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Horse Racing, Kentucky Downs Horses at The Downey Profile®

Kentucky Derby Trail: Where They're Going Next

2/11/2014

By Dick Downey
@DowneyProfile

Updates
Feb. 11, 2:27 p.m. ET (Intense Holiday)
Feb. 12, 12:21 p.m. ET (Honor Code, Hartford)
Feb. 1:22 p.m. ET (Indianapolis)


Connections of many horses have firmed up plans since last week, and other events have transpired, so let's see where they're going next on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. This survey covers over 90 horses.

Bond Holder continues to work steadily for Doug O'Neill and remains pointed to the Risen Star Stakes on Feb. 22. We note that a list released today shows he's been nominated to the UAE Derby, scheduled for March 29. O'Neill leads all U. S.-based trainers with six nominations from a total of 129.

Cairo Prince will skip the Fountain of Youth and be trained up to the Florida Derby on March 29 by Kiaran McLaughlin. However, he's also nominated to the UAE Derby.

Candy Boy will, according to a comment made by John Sadler on Sunday, skip the San Felipe and wait for the Santa Anita Derby. But wait, he's another leading Derby Trail contender that's been nominated to the UAE Derby.

Commissioner, trained by Todd Pletcher, remains on track for the Fountain of Youth following breezes at Palm Meadows on Jan. 26, Feb. 2 and Feb. 9.

Gold Hawk, who disappointed in the Lecomte states, worked on a sloppy track afterward, just like he did beforehand. Additional workouts came on Feb. 3 and Feb. 10, and he remains on track for the Risen Star on Feb. 22 for Steve Asmussen. Corey Nakatani is coming in to ride, the third jockey in three races for Gold Hawk.

Havana, who finally returned to the worktab on Feb. 1, remains pointed to the Swale Stakes on March 1. Todd Pletcher said after that breeze Havana was further along than he thought. Since then, Havana has breezed twice more, on Feb. 6 and Feb. 11, so that's three works in 11 days.

Honor Code still hasn't put in a published workout since going three furlongs on Jan. 18 at Payson Park. On Jan. 30, Shug McGaughey moved Honor Code from Payson Park to his barn at Gulfstream Park so he could keep a closer eye on him. He's being pointed to the Rebel Stakes on March 15.

Midnight Hawk, third in the Robert B Lewis Stakes for Bob Baffert, could go next in the San Felipe, but it's too early to tell. Baffert, who is apparently sitting out the Southwest Stakes, said he'd like to send something to the Rebel Stakes on March 15.

Samraat, winner of the Withers Stakes by a length over Uncle Sigh, will either wait for the Florida Derby or Louisiana Derby or Wood Memorial -- or, in the words of Rick Violette, if he's tearing down his stall could go in the Gotham on March 1.

We're still awaiting a workout by Shared Belief, and right now it looks like there is no way to predict when it will happen. The last one was on Jan. 3.There's no way to say we'll see the Jerry Hollendorfer trainee in the San Felipe on March 8. He is among the nominees to the UAE Derby.

The Southwest Stakes is only six days away as this piece is posted, and the track at Oaklawn Park was shut down due to winter weather for four straight days on Feb. 6-9. There were only three workouts at the track on Feb. 10.Strong Mandate breezed a bullet on a sloppy track Feb. 2 for Wayne Lukas. Everything at the track is in the same boat. Horses were training on the track the date of this post, Feb. 11. Worktab not yet posted, though.

Tapiture is also looking at the Southwest Stakes for Asmussen and has been preparing at Fair Grounds, where the weather's been better than at Oaklawn. We double-checked the Fair Grounds worktab, and there's nothing there for Tapiture since Feb. 3. Maybe something will happen soon, but the Southwest is less than a week away.

The featured horse on Shug McGaughey's marquee remains Top Billing, and he remains on course for the Fountain of Youth after breezing on Feb. 8.

Vicar's in Trouble, energetic winner of the Lecomte, is staying put and pointing to the Risen Star for Mike Maker. Since that win, he's worked at Fair Grounds on Feb. 2 and Feb. 9 for Mike Maker.

Other Contenders -- All of them listed on our Worth Watching or Just In Case Pages


Albano: Second in the Lecomte, next is the Risen Star on Feb. 22 for Larry Jones. Sharp recent workout.

Almost Famous: The Fountain of Youth on Feb. 22 for Pat Byrne after running fourth in the Holy Bull.

Baratti: Gotham Stakes on March 1 for Kiaran McLaughlin's maiden winner.

Bayern: Got a little sick but then worked and has an allowance race on Feb. 13.

Bobby's Kitten: Since his third in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, he's worked five times, most recently on Feb. 10.

Bourbonize: Allowance winner to the Southwest Stakes on Feb. 17.

California Chrome: Cal Cup Derby winner to the San Felipe Stakes on March 8.

Can'thelpbelieving: Working on turf at Palm Meadows and nominated to the UAE Derby. Graham Motion certainly knows the ropes over there. Maybe the Palm Beach on March 1 is next.

Cherubim: San Vicente Stakes on Feb. 16.

Chitu: He was somewhat of a surprise entry in the Robert B. Lewis and ran a credible second. Like Midnight Hawk, it's too early to know what's next.

Coastline: Southwest Stakes after a disappointing third in the Smarty Jones.

Coltimus Prime: A close second in the Display Stakes last year, he's only recently returned to the worktab at Palm Beach Downs.

Commanding Curve: Risen Star on Feb. 22.

Conquest Titan: Trainer Casse has considered everything and decided to stay at home for the Fountain of Youth on Feb. 22.

Constitution: Trainer Pletcher went on record that an allowance race is probably the next logical spot.

Cool Samurai: Stable may be regrouping after poor effort in the Robert B. Lewis.

Cousin Stephen: Don't yet know if he'll return in the Tampa Bay Derby on March 8 after running third in the Sam F. Davis.

Craftsman: El Camino Real Derby on Feb. 15.

Deceived:  Possible for the Gotham Stakes on March 1.

Dunkin Bend: Southwest Stakes on Feb. 17.

East Hall:  Fountain of Youth on Feb. 22 if all goes well.

Edison: Will be fun to follow what this $950,000 turf maiden winner does next.

Enterprising: Second in the California Derby, he'll return to Golden Gate for the El Camino Real Derby on Feb. 15.

Exit Stage Left: First in the California Derby, he's sidelined with an injury for a duration not yet publicly disclosed.

Financial Mogul: Gotham Stakes on March 1.

Flat Gone: Risen Star Stakes on Feb. 22.

General a Rod: Fountain of Youth Stakes is next for the Gulfstream Park Derby winner.

Global View: Note that the Nov. 30 Generous Stakes winner is working at Tampa for his 2014 debut.

Harpoon: Too early to know what's next for the closing runner-up of the Sam F. Davis.

Hartford: Published work on Jan. 28, then there was a gap, then he returned to the tab on Feb. 11. An allowance race is probably next.

Hoppertunity: Impressive maiden winner at Santa Anita on Jan 30 worked on Feb. 10; fantasy players like him; next outing not known here.

Hy Kodiak Warrior: Third to Commissioner in that Jan. 3 allowance, he's not appeared on the worktab since Jan. 17.

I’ll Wrap It Up: El Camino Real Derby on Feb. 15.

In Trouble: Hasn't raced since winning the Futurity on Sept. 29, but he's been working at Palm Meadows since Jan. 11; his most recent breeze was Feb. 3.

Infosec: El Camino Real Derby on Feb. 15.

Indianapolis: San Pedro winner was going next in the San Vicente on Feb. 16, but he was declared out of the race on Feb. 12 after coughing.

Intense Holiday: Third in the Holy Bull, his next outing is reported to be the Risen Star Stakes on Feb. 22. Nice breeze on Feb. 9.

Kobe's Back: San Vicente Stakes on Feb. 16.

Kristo: Last seen second in the Sham, skipped the Lewis, active on the worktab. San Felipe? Nominated to the UAE Derby.

Louies Flower: Springboard Mile winner to the Southwest Stakes for his 2014 debut.

Matador: A close fourth in the Davis, presumably the Tampa Bay Derby is next.

Matterhorn: Active on the worktab at Palm Meadows, this maiden winner is one of several Plether must sort out.

Medal Count: Fountain of Youth Stakes on Feb. 22.

Mexikoma: Recent comment by trainer Mettee: He hopes an allowance race near the end of February will fill.

Mosler: Bill Mott maiden winner is active on the Payson Park worktab; allowance race on Fountain of Youth day?

Mr Speaker: Back to the grass in the Palm Beach Stakes at Gulfstream Park on March 1 after a disappointing effort on dirt in the Holy Bull.

No Nay Never: Word has been it's the Swale Stakes on March 1 for the winner of the 2013 Norfolk at Royal Ascot and Prix Morny at Deauville

Noble Moon: He is now out of consideration for the March 1 Gotham Stakes; stable now shooting for the Wood Memorial.

Orange Grove: Sadly, he's off the Derby Trail with an injury.

Paganol: Southwest Stakes on Feb. 17.

Papa Turf: San Vicente Stakes on Feb. 16.

Poker Player: Talented turf runner is active on the main track worktab at Fair Grounds.

Quick Indian: The Risen Star Stakes ws mentioned as logical by his trainer following an allowance win on Jan. 24.

Red N Black Attack: One mile starter/optional claimer at Santa Anita on Feb. 13.

Ride On Curlin: Southwest Stakes on Feb. 17.

Rise Up: The Risen Star is the 2014 debut destination for the Delta Jackpot winner.

Roger Rocket: January debut maiden winner active on the Santa Anita worktab.

Sassicaia: Maiden special weight stretching out from 6 1/2-furlong debut.

Schoolofhardrocks: Don't know, but he's working up a storm at Santa Anita.

Scotland: A distant third in the Withers, is the Gotham Stakes on March 1 next, or will connections be less amitious with him?

Smack Smack: Southwest Stakes on Feb. 17.

Solitary Ranger: There was a gap after a Jan. 18 workout; he returned to the tab on Feb. 6.

Son of a Preacher: Presumbly the Southwest Stakes is next after a fourth in the Smarty Jones.

Storming Inti: Palm Beach Stakes-to-Keeneland route to the Derby?

Surfing U S A: Yet another one Pletcher must sort out has returned to the worktab after losing to Top Billing on Jan. 25.

Tamarando: El Camino Real Derby was named after stablemate Exit Stage Left was injured, knocking him out of the race.

Tanzanite Cat: Smarty Jones winner to the Southwest Stakes.

Tap It Rich: One mile allowance at Santa Anita on Feb. 13.

Tonalist: Maybe an allowance race on Fountain of Youth day.

Uncle Sigh: Withers runner-up will go to the Gotham next.

Undertaker: Presumably the Gotham Stakes on March 1.

Vinceremos: One would think the Sam F. Davis winner will proceed to the Tampa Bay Derby if all goes well.

Walt: Smarty Jones second finisher to the Southwest Stakes.

We Miss Artie: Will it be the Palm Beach on March 1, then on to Polytrack in Kentucky? Or to the UAE Derby? He was nominated to the Fountain of Youth.

Wildcat Red: Fountain of Youth Stakes next for the Hutcheson winner.

Three horses are considered possible for the El Camino Real Derby, and they're all nominated to the Triple Crown: Grazen’s Hope, Life Is A Joy and Pearl Spectre. Three other runners considered probable for that race weren't early-nominated to the Triple Crown: Dance with Fate, Neverwherecauseway and Puppy Manners.

This survey is not intended to cover all 3-year-olds on the Road to the Kentucky Derby..

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