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Horse Racing, Kentucky Downs Horses at The Downey Profile®

Kentucky Derby Trail: Where They're Going Next

2/25/2014

By Dick Downey
@DowneyProfile


The Kentucky Derby is only a little more than two months away, but there are still many roads to be traveled. This weekend, some of the routes converge with Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3. Let's see where 60 of them are going next.

We begin with Saturday's Gotham Stakes. Entries were taken Monday, and the 11 names (with links to their profiles) are Classic Giacnroll, Deceived, Extrasexyhippzster, Financial Mogul, Harpoon, In Trouble, Master Lightning, Monopolize, Noble Cornerstone, Samraat, and Uncle Sigh. Here's a link to the Entry Chart. Two of the Gotham entries are in Future Wager Pool 3: Samraat (30-1 morning line) and Uncle Sigh (50-1).

While we're at it, we'll continue with the other horses listed in Pool 3.

Albano (30-1) is being pointed to the Louisiana Derby on March 29. Larry Jones hopes he won't continue what Jones referred to after the Risen Star Stakes as "the family tradition" of finishing second in these races. Half-brother Mark Valeski did that.

After Bayern (15-1) demolished a Santa Anita allowance field on Feb. 13, Bob Baffert said, "I would just make sure he comes out of it and give him plenty of time." That could mean the Rebel Stakes on March 15.

Cairo Prince (8-1) is going to the Florida Derby on March 29. Until then, you'll find him breezing on Saturday mornings at Palm Meadows for Kiaran McLaughlin.

California Chrome (30-1), the California Cup Derby winner, is headed back into open company in the San Felipe Stakes on March 8 for trainer Art Sherman.

Robert B. Lewis Stakes winner Candy Boy (20-1) will wait for the Santa Anita Derby on April 5, according to John Sadler.

Mark Casse said Conquest Titan (30-1) had dropped some weight after the Holy Bull, so for now, as far as we know, the Florida Derby is the target.

Constitution (20-1), winner of two races in two starts, will try stakes company after dispatching a Feb. 22 allowance field at Gulfstream Park last Saturday. Todd Pletcher's assessment after that race: "We have a horse that’s talented enough to keep moving in the right direction.”

General a Rod (20-1) may or may not seek a rematch with Wildcat Red (20-1) in the Florida Derby. Trainer Jose Garoffalo has pretty much thrown down the gauntlet and invited all comers. Mike Maker says it's too early to say what's next.

Honor Code (10-1) may be gearing up for a breeze as I type this. That would be his third in a pattern, the first time he's done that this year. The Rebel Stakes remains the target for Shug McGaughey.

Indianapolis (20-1), who has run six furlongs in both his races, was declared out of the San Vicente with a cough on Feb. 12, and he hasn't put in a published workout since. Keep an eye on the worktab. Baffert will likely keep all options open.

At this point, all systems are go for Intense Holiday (15-1) to return to Fair Grounds for the Louisiana Derby for Pletcher.

Kobe's Back (20-1) will return to two turns after his decisive win of the San Vicente. Look for Sadler to ship him to the Rebel.

Kristo (30-1) should appear next in the San Felipe for Sadler.

Noble Moon (30-1) won the Jerome on Jan. 4 and breezed three furlongs on Feb. 12. That sums up his recent official activity. A foot problem and bad weather are the culprits. Trainer Leah Gyarmati about two weeks ago that she was looking at the Wood Memorial on April 5.

Shared Belief (12-1) still hasn't put in a published workout since Jan. 3. He's been galloping, but on Feb. 21, Jerry Hollendorfer shipped him from Santa Anita to Golden Gate Fields in search of a more forgiving training surface.

Strong Mandate (20-1) will come back in the Rebel after finishing second in the Southwest for Wayne Lukas.

The hard-knocking Tamarando (30-1) has his connections eying the Spiral Stakes on March 22. He won the El Camino Real Derby for Hollendorfer after Exit Stage Left came up injured.

Steve Asmussen said Southwest Stakes winner Tapiture (15-1) will be shipped back to Hot Springs for the Rebel.

Top Billing (8-1), a valiant third in the Fountain of Youth after breaking from way outside, will probably return in either the Florida Derby or Wood Memorial. McGaughey says the cooler air in New York might do both of them some good.

Vicar's in Trouble, (30-1) third in the Risen Star for Maker after also breaking from way outside, is possible for the Louisiana Derby.

All Others is listed at 6-1 on the morning line for Pool 3. In the comparable pools in 2011, 2012 and 2013, All Others was listed at a 3-1 morning line. The wagering interest closed at 7-2 in 2011 and at 3-1 the last two years.

Other Horses

Bond Holder didn't like flying, cut himself and was scratched from the Risen Star. He is now in Florida awaiting his 2014 debut in the March 8 Tampa Bay Derby.

Midnight Hawk was also left out of Pool 3, as was Chitu. It wouldn't be surprising to see the two-three finishers in the Robert B. Lewis return in the March 23 Sunland Derby and San Felipe.

Bobby's Kitten has been breezing regularly at Palm Meadows, the last two on turf, but he isn't nominated to the Palm Beach this Saturday. Supplemental entries may be made for a fee of $7,500.

Can'thelpbelieving (IRE) has also been breezing on turf at Palm Meadows, and he is nominated at to the Palm Beach. Maybe that would be a good opportunity to test him for a possible run in the UAE Derby.

Chelios, impressive maiden winner at Santa Anita on Jan. 26, put in his first recorded workout since then on the date this was posted, Feb. 25.

Cousin Stephen was said to be possible for the Gotham Stakes on March 1, but he wasn't entered. Back to Tampa? Wait for the Florida Derby? Switch to synthetic?

East Hall finished an amazing fourth in the Fountain of Youth at 72-1 odds from the far outside post. and the Florida Derby is next for him.

Edison Hall last breezed on Feb. 16. Looking for a workout.

Enterprising: Maybe the Spiral Stakes after a couple of runs on synthetic in the Golden Gate stakes race.

I was going to write that I'd be surprised if Global View didn't run next in the Tampa Bay Derby -- he's been working there since Jan. 25 -- but he isn't listed as a nominee to the race pending late mail.

Gold Hawk will try the track at Fair Grounds again in the Louisiana Derby.

Hartford hasn't breezed since Feb. 11.

Hoppertunity, fourth in the Risen Star, could very well return for the Louisiana Derby after assistant trainer Jim Barnes said Hoppertunity seemed to like the Fair Grounds track.

Hy Kodiak Warrior was absent from the worktab between Jan. 17 and Feb. 8, but now he's back to work.

Matador looks likely for the Tampa Bay Derby.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Medal Count, fifth in the Fountain of Youth at 43-1, return in the Florida Derby, but there are plenty of options for this versatile horse, including synthetic-track preps in Kentucky.

Mexikoma got his mind on some serious running late in the allowance race won by Constitution, so look for him in a stake next.

Mosler has been working every seven days and last breezed on Feb. 17.

Mr Speaker is presumably going back to turf and is nominated to the Palm Beach Stakes. Entries close Wednesday.

There are not Kentucky Derby aspirations for No Nay Never, who's going in the Swale on Saturday. Other plans for him include Royal Ascot for the St. James’s Palace Stakes on June 17 or the Jersey Stakes on June 18, with the King’s Bishop a long-term goal.

Ride On Curlin will return in the Rebel.

Schoolofhardrocks is expected to return to the races “in a couple of weeks,” his trainer said on Feb. 21.

Last we heard, the Palm Beach Stakes was being considered for Storming Inti and stable mate Pleuven (FR).

The Rebel Stakes could be next for Tanzanite Cat, or he might wait for the Northern Spur on Arkansas Derby day.

Tonalist chased Constitution home in that allowance race last Saturday. No word on what's next for him.

Vinceremos will return to Tampa for its Derby and try to win the second leg of that million-dollar bonus they're offering. If he does, he'll have to win the big one in Kentucky to collect the cash.

After We Miss Artie We Miss Artie didn't enjoy kickback in the Fountain of Youth, a return to Keeneland, where he has a grade I win, would not seem far-fetched.

Not intended to be a survey of all 3-year-olds.

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