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Horse Racing, Kentucky Derby at The Downey Profile®

 

The Commish History


Results of Greg "The Commish" Johnson's Dissection of the Triple Crown Trail


SCROLL DOWN FOR RESULTS BACK TO 2011

Greg "The Commish" Johnson's Picks on the Road to the 2016 Kentucky Derby

The Downey Profile engaged in a limited edition on the 2016 Road to the Kentucky Derby. Dick Downey's father was very ill at the time.

Santa Anita Derby
1. Exxagerator (first at 3-1)
2. Danzing Candy (fourth at 8-5)
3. Smokey Image (seventh at 14-1)
4. Mor Spirit (second at 7-5)
$2 exacta paid $20.00

Lexington Stakes
1. Direct Message (fourth at 5-1)
2. Swipe (sixth at 2-1)
3. Synchrony (third at 8-1)
4. Riker (eighth at 8-1)

Collected (2-1) won and One More Round (40-1) ran one-two

Greg "The Commish" Johnson's Picks on the Road to the 2015 Kentucky Derby

Greg picked seven right-on-top winners  with 10 winners overall appearing in his selections as well as five exactas, two trifectas and one superfecta from 12 races on the road to the Kentucky Derby. For the most part, the prep races didn't produce big payoffs in 2015.

LeComte Stakes
1. Runhappy (ninth at 5-1)
2. Eagle (seventh at 3-1)
3. Tiznow R J (third at 4-1)
3. War Story (second at 5-1)
International Star won at 9-1

Hutcheson Stakes
1. Barbados (first at 3-5)
2. Stanford (SCR)
3. X Y Jet (second at 3-1)
4. Richard the Great (fourth at 6-1)
$2 exacta paid $8.60

San Vicente Stakes
1. Lord Nelson (first at 9-5)
2. Texas Red (second at 3-5)
3. Punctuate (SCR)
4. Bench Warrant (fourth at 20-1)
$2 exacta paid $9.80

Robert B. Lewis Stakes
1. Dortmund (first at 3-5)
2. Firing Line (second at 9-5)
3. Hero Ten All (fourth at 24-1)
$2 exacta paid $4.60

El Camino Real Derby
1. Metaboss (first at 6-1)
2. Indianaughty (ninth at 5-1)
3. Conquest Typhoon (third at 9-5)
4. Ernest Shackleton (eighth at 40-1)
Cross the Line second at 6-1

Risen Star Stakes
1. J S Bach (SCR)
2. St. Joe Bay (fourth at 29-1)
3. Imperia (fifth at 3-2)
4. Tiznow R J (seventh at 6-1)
International Star first at 7-2.; War Story second at 7-2; Keen Ice third at 7-1.

San Felipe Stakes
1. Dortmund (first at 4-5)
2. Sir Samson (ninth at 26-1)
3. Ocho Ocho Ocho (eighth at 4-1)
4. Lord Nelson (fourth at 10-1)
Prospect Park second at 4-1; Bolo third at 11-1.

Tampa Bay Derby
1. Danzig Moon (fourth at 7-1)
2. Carpe Diem (first at 1-1)
3. Divining Rod (third at 9-1)
4. Ocean Knight (seventh at 7-1)
Ami's Flatter second at 13-1.

Sunland Derby
1. Firing Line (first at 1-5)
2. Why Two (sixth at 7-1)
3. Dirt Monster (fifth at 24-1)
4. Tiznow R J (fourth at 7-1)
Where's the Moon second at 11-1; Pain and Misery third at 24-1.

Louisiana Derby
1. Mr. Z (ninth at 3-1)
2. Keen Ice (fourth at 5-1)
3. War Story (third at 2-1)
4. International Star (first at 2-1)
Stanford second at 7-1.

Santa Anita Derby
1. Dortmund (first at 3-5)
2. Bolo (third at 9-2)
3. One Lucky Dane (second at 8-1)
$2 exacta paid $13.40; $1 trifecta paid $17.70

Lexington Stakes
1. Comfort (fourth at 5-1)
2. Divining Rod (first at 5-2)
3. Fame and Power (third at 5-2)
4. Donworth (second at 8-5)
$2 exacta paid $25.80; $1 trifecta paid $40.90; $1 superfecta paid $105.80

 

 

Greg "The Commish" Johnson's Picks on the Road to the 2014 Kentucky Derby

Greg's selections yielded the exacta in seven of nine races. The cost of boxing his selections in $2 exacta bets was $228.00, but the return was $159.40 due to short-priced horses running well. Greg also hit the trifecta seven of nine times. Boxing the picks in $1 trifecta bets cost $222.00 and yielded $441.30.

Withers Stakes
1. SCOTLAND (third at 15-1)
2. SAMRAAT (first at 1-1)
3. HONORABLE JUDGE (fifth at 24-1)
4. UNCLE SIGH (second at 1-1)
$2 exacta paid $9.40. $1 trifecta paid $15.80.

Robert B. Lewis Stakes
1.  CHITU (second at 9-2)
2. CANDY BOY (first at 2-1)
3. MIDNIGHT HAWK (third at 6-5)
4. DIAMOND BACHELOR (fourth at 10-1)
$2 exacta paid $29.40
$1 trifecta paid $31.30
$1 superfecta paid $167.50

El Camino Real Derby
1. CRAFTSMAN (seventh at 12-1)
2. ENTERPRISING (third at 6-5)
3. TAMARANDO (first at 2-1)
4. ICY RIDE (sixth at 26-1)
Dance with Fate was second at 7-2

Risen Star Stakes
1. VICAR'S IN TROUBLE (third at 2-1)
2. RISE UP (seventh at 4-1)
3. QUICK INDIAN (tenth at 44-1)
4. GOLD HAWK (fifth at 6-1)
Intense Holiday won at 5-1; Albano was second at 13-1

Swale Stakes
1. NO NAY NEVER (second at 2-5)
with
2. HAVANA (scratched)
3. SPOT (first at 9-1)
4. BROTHERSOFTHETIME (third at 28-1)
$2 exacta paid $54.40; $1 trifecta paid $243.40

San Felipe Stakes
1. KRISTO (third at 7-2)
2. MIDNIGHT HAWK (second at 2-1)
3. SCHOOLOFHARDROCKS (fourth at 9-2)
4. CALIFORNIA CHROME (first at 7-5)
$2 exacta paid 12.40; $1 trifecta paid 10.40; $1 superfecta paid 25.30

Sunland Derby
1. CHITU (first at 9-5)
2. COMMISSIONER (third at 7-2)
3. BOURBONIZE (fifth at 9-1)
4. MIDNIGHT HAWK (second at 2-1)
$2 exacta paid $16.00; $1 trifecta paid $27.80

Louisiana Derby
1. IN TROUBLE (fifth at 3-1)
2. INTENSE HOLIDAY (second at 9-5)
3. VICAR'S IN TROUBLE (first at 3-1)
4. COMMANDING CURVE (third at 13-1)
$2 exacta paid $26.60; $1 trifecta paid $104.20

Santa Anita Derby
1. CANDY BOY (third at 5-2)
2. CALIFORNIA CHROME (first at 3-5)
3. HOPPERTUNITY (second at 4-1)
4. BIG TIRE (fifth at 54-1)
$2 exacta paid $11.20; $1 trifecta paid $8.40

Arkansas Derby
1. CONQUEST TITAN (fifth at 10-1)
2. TAPITURE (fourth at 2-1)
3. BAYERN (third at 8-5)
4. RIDE ON CURLIN (second at 7-1)
Danza won at 41-1

 

Greg "The Commish" Johnson's Picks on the Road to the 2013 Kentucky Derby
 
It was a tough year for Johnson's picks on the 2013 Derby Trail. Things happened; they happen to all of us. Take War Academy in the Arkansas Derby as a prime example. But Greg is still kicking himself after leaving Govenor Charlie out of the Sunland Derby while having the 26-1 second finisher, Show Some Magic, in his selections. The Commish is due for a better year in 2014.
 
But on a very positive note, the Commish had three of his top four Kentucky Derby selections in the superfecta -- Orb, Revolutionary and Normandy Invasion -- and ended the Triple Crown Trail with the exacta in the Belmont Stakes.
 
From 2010 through 2012, The Commish hit with 29% of his right-on-top win selections on the Derby Trail, and he produced a profit in two out of three years in both his exacta box and trifecta box selections.

Robert B. Lewis Stakes
1. FLASHBACK (first)
2. DEN’S LEGACY (second)
3. HE’S HAD ENOUGH (third)
4. LITTLE JERRY (fourth)
$2 exacta paid $4.80
$1 trifecta paid $3.60

El Camino Real Derby
1. WILDCAT MOON (sixth)
2. MANANDO (ninth of nine at 2-1)
3. DICE FLAVOR (first at 9-1)
4. CARVING (fourth at 5-2)
Nina's Dragon second at 13-1

Risen Star Stakes
1. PALACE MALICE (third at 5-1)
2. CODE WEST (second at 6-1)
3. PROUD STRIKE (eighth at 5-1)
4. NORMANDY INVASION (fifth at 3-2)
Ive Struck A Nerve won at odds of 135-1.

Palm Beach Stakes
1. CHARMING KITTEN (second at 8-5)
2. RYDILLUC (first at 2-1)
3. QUINZIEME MONARQUE (fourth at 9-1)
4. SUMMIT COUNTY (tenth at 48-1)
$2 exacta paid $18.20

San Felipe Stakes
1. FLASHBACK (second at 1-1)
2. GOLDENCENTS (fourth at 2-1)
3. HEAR THE GHOST (first at 5-1)
4. CARVING (sixth at 31-1)
$2 exacta paid $38.40
$1 trifecta paid $125.10

Louisiana Derby
1. CODE WEST (sixth at 9-2)
2. PALICE MALICE (seventh at 7-2)
3. SUNBEAN (eighth at 18-1)
4. REVOLUTIONARY (first at 2-1)
Mylute second at 19-1

Sunland Derby
1. SAINT PRADO (seventh at 12-1)
2. ABRAHAM (third at 9-2)
3. DRY SUMMER (eigthth at 10-1)
4. SHOW SOME MAGIC (second at 26-1)
Govenor Charlie won at odds of 6-5.

Santa Anita Derby
1. FLASHBACK (second at 1-1)
2. HEAR THE GHOST (scratched)
3. TIZ A MINISTER (fourth at 5-1)
4. Power Broker (fifth at 5-1)
Goldencents won at odds of 6-1.

Arkansas Derby
1. WAR ACADEMY (DNF at 9-5)
2. FALLING SKY (fourth at 9-1)
3. OVERANALYZE (first 7-2)
4. OXBOW (fifth at 3-1)
Frac Daddy second at 23-1.

Derby Trial
1. ZEE BROS (sixth at 3-1)
2. TOUR GUIDE (ninth at 28-1)
3. FORTY TALES (first at 3-1)
4. RUBLE (fifth at 6-1)
Capo Bastone second at 4-1.

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Greg "The Commish" Johnson's Picks on the Road to the 2012 Kentucky Derby

Robert B. Lewis Stakes
1. ROUSING SERMON (third at 3-1)
2. ISN'T HE CLEVER (fourth at 7-1)
3. LIAISON (dnf at 3-2)
4. SKY KINGDOM (fifth at 7-2)
I'll Have Another won at 43-1; Empire Way second at 11-1

WEBN Stakes
1. TIZ TEE TIME (fifth at 7-2)
2. MR. PRANKSTER (first at 8-5)
3. TIGERDUDE (eighth at 18-1)
4. PHANTOM FURY (second at 2-1)
$2 exacta paid $21.20

El Camino Real Derby
1. LUCKY CHAPPY (second by a nose at 5-2)
2. LADY OF FIFTY (sixth at 7-1)
3. RUSSIAN GREEK (fifth at 4-1)
4. ROCKINARTZ RECRUIT (eighth at 36-1)
Daddy Nose Best first at 4-1, Handsome Mike third at 2-1

San Vicente Stakes
1. CREATIVE CAUSE (third at 3-5)
2. AMERICAN ACT (second by a nose at 3-1)
3. CAPTAIN OBVIOUS (scr)
Drill won at 7-2, breaking a five-race losing streak

Risen Star Stakes
1. MR. BOWLING/MARK VALESKI (M.V. second at 3-1)
2. EL PADRINO (first at 4-5)
3. AFFORD (sixth at 20-1)
4. SHARED PROPERTY (fifth at 5-1)
$2 exacta paid $12.00

John Battaglia Memorial Stakes
1. DYNAMICAL (third at 4-1)
2. STATE OF PLAY (first at 2-1)
3. MR. PRANKSTER (fourth at 4-5)
Ill Conceived second at 6-1

Swale Stakes
1. EVER SO LUCKY (third at 6-5)
2. TRINNIBERG (first at 7-1)
3. SEVE (ninth at 11-1)
4. GOOD MORNING DIVA (fifth at 4-1)
Hello Prince second at 45-1 off 8-1 ML

Tampa Bay Derby
1. TAKE CHARGE INDY (scr)
2. SPRING HILL FARM (fourth at 2-1)
3. COZZETTI (third at 8-1))
4. GOLDEN TICKET (second at 12-1)
5. CAJUN CHARLIE (tenth at 11-1)
Prospective first at 3-1

Sunland Derby
1. ENDER KNIEVEL (fifth at 5-1)
2. STIRRED UP (third at 4-1)
3. DADDY NOSE BEST (first at 7)
4. CASTAWAY (seventh at 8-5)
Isn't He Clever second at 3-1

Louisiana Derby
1. MARK VALESKI/MR. BOWLING (MV second at 3-2)
2. Z DAGER (seventh at 14-1)
3. FINNEGANS WAKE (tenth at 11-1)
4. ROUSING SERMON (third at 6-1)
Hero of Order won at 109-1

Santa Anita Derby
1. CREATIVE CAUSE (second at 4-5)
2. MIDNIGHT TRANSFER (seventh at 7-1)
3. LIAISON (sixth at 6-1)
4. SENOR RAIN (eighth at 50-1)
I'll Have Another won at 4-1

Arkansas Derby
1. BODEMEISTER (first at 2-1)
2. COZZETTI (fourth at 32-1)
3. ISN'T HE CLEVER (eighth at 8-1)
4. STAT (sixth at 8-1)
Secret Circle second at 5-2; Saberat third at 11-1
Winner paid $6.80

 

Greg "The Commish" Johnson's Picks on the Road to the 2011 Kentucky Derby

The Commish made selections in eight races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Total investment for a $2 exacta box for all the selections would have been $112.00. The total return on investment was $385.40.

Robert B. Lewis Stakes
1. TAPIZAR (fifth at 1-5)
2 WEGNER (sixth at 17-1)
3. ANTHONY'S CROSS (Won at 8-1)
4. RIVETING REASON (Second at 7-1)
(Quail Hill third at 68-1)
$2 exacta paid $99.20

San Vicente Stakes
1. SWAY AWAY (second at 5-2)
2. INDIAN WINTER (SCR)
3. THE FACTOR (Won at 4-5)
4. CITY COOL (sixth at 14-1)
$2 exacta paid $11.00

Hutcheson Stakes
1. MADMAN DIARIES (seventh at 5-1)
2. LEAVE OF ABSENCE (fifth at 7-1)
3. TRAVELIN MAN (second at 3-5)
4. BLACK N BEAUTY (DNF)
(Flashpoint won at 6.90-1; Little Drama third at 50-1, Razmataz fourth at 25-1)

San Felipe Stakes
1. RUNFLATOUT (tenth at 5-2)
2. PREMIER PEGASUS (Won at 7-1)
3. BENCH POINTS (third at 8.9-1)
4. SURREY STAR (seventh at 24-1)
(Jaycito second at 2-1; Comma to the Top fourth at 9-1)

Sunland Derby
1. SINAI (eleventh at 2-1)
2. NACHO SAINT (sixth at 5-1)
3. ASTROLOGY (second at 5-2)
4. TWICE THE APPEAL (won at 25-1)
$2 exacta paid $275.20

Illinois Derby
1. EL GRAYLING (fifth at 5-1)
2. SOUR (fourth at 7-2)
3. WATCH ME GO (sixth at 2-1)
4. ZOEBEAR (second at 10-1)
(Joe Vann won at 5-1; The Fed Eased third at 5-1)

Santa Anita Derby
1. MR. COMMONS (third at 3-1)
2. PREMIER PEGASUS (scr)
3. JAYCITO (scr)
4. INDIAN WINTER (sixth at 11-1)
Midnight Interlude won at 13-1; Comma to the Top second at 6-1)

The Commish: Arkansas Derby
1. SWAY AWAY (fourth at 6-1)
2. ELITE ALEX (ninth at 6-1)
3. THE FACTOR (seventh at 4-5)
4. NEHRO (second at 9-1)
Archarcharch won at 25-1; Dance City third at 29-1.


Biography

The year my brother first gave me round trip tickets to the Derby, I went there confident and cocky that my West Coast charge, Ferdinand, was going to get the job done.

Not only did I scream his name outside of the Aerosmith concert on Derby Eve, but ended up dancing the night away with “The Shoe” that night at a little hole in the wall, dive bar somewhere in Lou-a-vul’. He looked me in the eye, half crocked, and said, “We’re going to win tomorrow”.

To make a long story short, I got off him at the window. I really love this game.

Then came that January afternoon at Santa Anita Park, and this big  strapping filly named Winning Colors. Next stop was Caliente Race Track down in Tijuana, and a decent future book bet, and the longest 3 1/2 months of my life.

I remember saying to myself, “Self, if this horse wins, I’m moving to Kentucky”.

The results of the race we know. As for me, I spent 10 years in Leitchfield, Kentucky, and became a fanatic of this race, this sport, this event, this American tradition.

For the past 14 years, I've been known as “The Commish”, not to be mistaken with any other Commissioner in any similar game, but more like the beer guy that used to be in those commercials.

The Commish resides in Arizona and manages a West Coast-based Kentucky Derby Fantasy Challenge, providing race analysis and results throughout the year to a very uncaring group of horsey soothsayers.

After nine years of heartache, I managed to win our DERBY Challenge in 2009, and can now proudly boast my name on the trophy. Right under my ex-wife's and my current wife's names....I love this game!

What a year for California Chrome, and I was more than happy to select him right on top in the 2014 Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. My dreams of riding a triple crown winner were unfortunately not to be.

So away we go with another year, and if my Calculator continues to add the figures up accurately without a glitch, I'm hoping a repeat of last years numbers is on its way!


The Commish (left) is shown with Dick Downey at the 2013 Kentucky-Alabama football game following a day at Keeneland. Contact The Commish at: greg@thedowneyprofile.com

 

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