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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 28, 2026</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-28-2026</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 28, 2026
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Pin Oak Stud’s Albus and Incredibolt galloped a mile with Antonio Garcia astride the former and Charlotte O’Connell the latter for trainer Riley Mott during the special Kentucky Derby and Oaks training period from 7:15-7:30 a.m.
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           Horses for the 20-horse Kentucky Derby will be loaded into the starting gate in two tiers with posts 1 and 11 loading first and then moving outward.
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           Albus has post 2 and Incredibolt the 11 which means they could be in the gate longer than most of the field.
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           “Neither one of them has had any gate issues,” Mott said after his initial two Derby entrants returned to the barn from their activity over a track labeled as fast.
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           Both horses have run all their races on fast tracks and this morning “they floated over the track,” Mott said of the activity over a surface that had plenty of moisture in it.
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           “There is no reason to believe they won’t (handle an off track),” Mott said. “But you never know until you try it.”
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           Albus and Incredibolt were scheduled to school in the paddock with horses in this afternoon’s fifth race.
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Trainer Bill Mott sent Chief Wallabee out for a gallop at 7:15 with Marvin Orantes aboard.
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           Third in the Florida Derby (GI) in his most recent start, Chief Wallabee is owned by Mike and Kay Kay Ball.
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           “I have known Mike and Kay Kay for more than 40 years and this is the first horse that I have trained for them,” Mott said.
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           Chief Wallabee will exit post 12 in the Derby and be one of the first horses to load in the 20-horse field. “He hasn’t had any problems at the gate,” Mott said. “He’s been pretty good.”
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Kentucky Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort and Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado were all out early Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           At 5:15 a.m., Commandment, with assistant trainer and exercise rider Katie Tolbert aboard, jogged about one mile before galloping 1 ¼ miles. Close behind, Fulleffort and exercise rider Edvin Vargas followed the same routine. Nearly 90 minutes later, Further Ado, accompanied by exercise rider Jonathan Santiago, jogged in the chute before galloping 1 ¼ miles.
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           DANON BOURBON – Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee Danon Bourbon completed his final serious move prior to Kentucky Derby 152 Tuesday morning, breezing a half-mile in :52.80 under assistant trainer Satoshi Oshita.
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           The colt began his move from the finish line, galloping in about :15-second furlongs before increasing his speed once he reached the half-mile pole and finishing his final furlong in :12.60. Trainer Manabu Ikezoe is scheduled to arrive Friday.
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           Kate Hunter, speaking on behalf of Danon Bourbon’s connections, said the colt continues to handle Churchill Downs well. “He seems to be moving over the track well and they are really hopeful his pedigree will shine through,” Hunter said.
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           Hunter noted the team was pleased with Tuesday’s move.
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           “I think a ‘breeze’ may not be entirely accurate with what they like to do the week of a race, but they were very happy with how he went,” Hunter said. “They have already put in their most serious work, and when they get here, it is more about just waking him up and letting him know it is just about race time.”
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           Though Danon Bourbon never has raced around a left-handed turn, Hunter said that should not be a concern.
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           “The training centers in Japan are ambidextrous, so at a certain time of the day, they switch directions,” Hunter said. “So he has experience training both ways.”
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           Hunter also joked about the possibility of a Japanese-trained horse winning the Kentucky Derby.
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           “My goal in life is to be some American trainer’s worst nightmare, to bring over a Japanese horse that’s going to ruin Kentucky Derby day, so I apologize in advance,” she said with a laugh.
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stables’ Emerging Market galloped 1 ½ miles during the special training sessions for Derby and Oaks horses between 7:15 and 7:30 a.m.
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           GOLDEN TEMPO – Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Golden Tempo galloped Tuesday morning for trainer Cherie DeVaux.
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           INTREPIDO – The California-based colt by the Into Mischief sire Maximus Mischief was out for a mile jog underneath Alejandro Galindo during the special 7:15 to 7:30 Derby/Oaks training period Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           The bay is owned by Dutch Girl Holdings and Irving Ventures and trained by California veteran Jeff Mullins, who is scheduled to make the scene Thursday. Galindo, who has been overseeing the graded stakes winner in Kentucky, noted that the light jog by Intrepido this morning was completely by design.
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           “We need to keep him nice and fresh,” he said. “We want him to break in front Saturday and stay there.”
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           Intrepido will be handled Saturday by his regular pilot, Hector I. Berrios, and they’ll come out of Post 3 in the 20-horse lineup.
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           LITMUS TEST/POTENTE – Bob Baffert's Barn 33 was its usual beehive Tuesday morning of Derby Week with the trainer Bob Baffert leading the charge with aid from his two key assistants, Jimmy Barnes and Dan Ward.
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           The main man was asked about his trio of Derby and Oaks types – Litmus Test and Potente (Derby) and Explora (Oaks).
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           "Well, I can tell you that they've all got their heads sticking out of their stalls, which is a real good sign," he said. "When they're standing back in the corner with their head down, that's when you've got trouble."
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           The Hall of Fame conditioner worked it out that his two Derby colts would go out for exercise during the 7:15 to 7:30 special Derby/Oaks training session at the big Churchill Downs oval. Litmus Test was partnered by exercise rider Talia Viscusi for a jog around the track, while Potente accomplished a similar feat under Humberto Gomez.
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           Derby Day Litmus Test will partner with Martin Garcia as they come out of Post 4 in the field of 20. Potente will have Juan Hernandez up as they break from Post 14 in the 152nd Run for the Roses.
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           PAVLOVIAN – The homebred roan/gray soph who races in the silks of two-time Derby winner J. Paul Reddam jogged a mile Tuesday morning under exercise rider Tony Romero during Churchill Downs' special 7:15 to 7:30 special Derby/Oaks training session.
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           Romero gave the move a thumbs up afterward back at Barn 41 where trainer Doug O'Neill shook hands with friends and associates, then later on gave a pep talk to a crew of equine students from Blue Grass Community and Technical College being sheparded on the backside by Remi Bellocq, the former industry executive, cartoonist and jockey – as well as the son of the legendary racing cartoonist Pierre (PEB) Bellocq.
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           O'Neill fired up the youngsters and drew lots of smiles along the way. And Bellocq brought warm feelings to some old racing friends when he let them know that his Dad is still hanging tough at his home in New Jersey at the ripe old age of 99.
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           Pavlovian will come out of Post 16 in the Derby and be handled by California veteran Edwin Maldonado.
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           RENEGADE – The Kentucky Derby morning line favorite – Robert and Lawana Low and Repole Stable's Renegade – went trackside at Churchill Downs for some exercise during the special 7:15 to 7:30 Derby/Oaks training session on a racetrack termed "good," which was a good thing all things considered following a heavy-duty night of thunder, lightning and pelting rain in the Louisville area.
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher tagged along to oversee the drill and he was joined by his oldest son, Payton, who is just a few weeks away from graduating from veterinarian school.
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           Regular exercise rider Nora McCormack was in the boot on the bay colt by Into Mischief and steered him through a gallop of a mile and one-eighth in good order.
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           Come Saturday, Renegade will be handled by champion jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. as they break from Post 1 in the 152nd edition of the world's most famous race.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party galloped 1 ½ miles.
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            “He’s doing well,” said assistant trainer Greg Geier. “Got in a nice gallop this morning.”
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic returned to the track after a scheduled walk day and jogged in the mile chute before galloping a mile and a half under Dass Garcia for trainer Mark Casse.
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           Silent Tactic began his career at Woodbine last fall and then wintered at Oaklawn Park. He will be Casse’s 12th Kentucky Derby starter and the seventh to begin his career on the all-weather surface at Woodbine.
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           “We identified him as a possible Derby prospect and felt that Oaklawn was a good place to get him started,” said Casse, who followed a similar path last year with Sandman. Previously, Casse’s Derby horses had started their 3-year-old campaigns in Florida or at Fair Grounds.
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           SIX SPEED – UAE Derby (GII) runner-up Six Speed walked the shedrow following his half-mile move in :48.80 Monday at Churchill Downs. He’s scheduled to school in the paddock during Tuesday’s second race.
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           SO HAPPY – Norman Stables &amp;amp; Saints or Sinners’ So Happy galloped 1 1/2 miles Tuesday morning.
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           THE PUMA – Florida Derby (GI) runner-up The Puma, owned by OGMA Investments, JR Ranch and High Step Racing, galloped during the 7:15 a.m. Kentucky Derby and Oaks exclusive training window Tuesday morning.
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           Trainer Gustavo Delgado said the colt’s foundation was already in place before shipping from Florida.
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           “He’s experienced a lot in a short amount of time,” Delgado said. “He had two good works in Florida, and coming to Kentucky we knew we didn’t have to do a whole lot with him. Right now it’s just about keeping him happy and maintaining him for Derby Day.”
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean (JPN) recorded his final serious move prior to Kentucky Derby 152 Tuesday morning, working a half-mile in :54.60 under Takuya Nakano.
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           Before the move, the UAE Derby (GII) winner warmed up in the chute for about 15 minutes. He began his extended gallop from the five-furlong pole and gradually increased his speed starting at the half-mile marker, working through an opening quarter-mile in :28.20 and galloping out five furlongs in 1:08.40. After completing the move, he schooled in the starting gate.
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           Nakano, who oversees Wonder Dean, was pleased with the breeze.
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           “Everything went great, according to plan,” Nakano said. “I feel like he is taking to the track well. We will see tomorrow how tired he is. He will probably just walk.”
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           Nakano said Wonder Dean has settled in well since arriving in Kentucky nearly a month ago.
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           “He has been here almost a month now, and he really seems to be enjoying the environment being closer to other horses,” Nakano said. “His favorite thing to do is grazing. That is something he didn’t really get to do in the Middle East. It’s much more sand than grass, so he’s enjoying the bluegrass of Kentucky.”
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           Wonder Dean will hand walk Wednesday before likely returning to the track Thursday and Friday.
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           THE $5 MILLION KENTUCKY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here’s the field for Kentucky Derby 152 in post position order (with jockey, trainer and morning-line odds): Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher, 4-1); Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott, 30-1); Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins, 50-1); Litmus Test (Martin Garcia, Bob Baffert, 30-1); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek, 30-1); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox, 6-1); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe, 20-1); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt, 15-1); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado, 10-1); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi, 30-1); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott, 20-1); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott, 8-1); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse, 20-1); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert, 20-1); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown, 15-1); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill, 30-1); Six Speed (Brian Hernandez Jr., Bhupat Seemar, 50-1); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox, 6-1); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux, 30-1); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox, 20-1). Also Eligibles: Great White (Alex Achard, John Ennis, 50-1); Ocelli (Joe Ramos, Whit Beckman, 50-1); Robusta (Emisael Jaramillo, Doug O’Neill, 50-1); Corona de Oro (Brian Hernandez Jr., Dallas Stewart, 50-1).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Douglas Scharbauer &amp;amp; Three Chimneys Farm’s Always a Runner galloped 1 1/2 miles for trainer Chad Brown.
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina galloped about 1 ½ miles Tuesday morning under exercise rider Erin Campbell.
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           BROOKLYN BLONDE/MEANING – Trainer Michael McCarthy and his right-hand assistant Justin Curran had their Oaks filly Meaning, who is owned by Bridlewood Farm and Eclipse Thoroughbreds, out before 6 a.m. Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs under exercise rider Juan Alverez. The pair stood in the gate then galloped a mile and an eighth around the big oval.
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           Later during the special Derby/Oaks session between 7:15 and 7:30 they brought out their other Oaks runner, Sun-Kissed Stable and Bobby Flay’s Brooklyn Blonde, for a tour around the big oval.
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           “It’s all going to plan,” said McCarthy, who indicated he likes it just that way.
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – Trainer Mark Casse’s two Kentucky Oaks hopefuls, West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars and Tracy Farmer’s Search Party jogged in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a half during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Froylan Garcia was aboard Counting Stars, who comes into the Kentucky Oaks off a 5 ½-length victory in the Fantasy (GII) at Oaklawn Park on March 27.
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           Prior to the Fantasy, she was second to Oaks rival Explora in the Honeybee (GIII), which followed a last-place showing as the odds-on favorite in the Martha Washington (Listed).
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           “She didn’t show up one day at Keeneland (in her second start) and that was mind-boggling,” Casse said. “The Martha Washington, she had missed some training because of weather and that affects horses in different ways.
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           “The good thing is, she is training well and she has shown up in her past two races.”
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           A daughter of Gun Runner, Search Party, who had Elver Vargas up Tuesday morning, gives Farmer and Casse their second Oaks starter in two years following Grade I winner La Cara.
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           “I trained her dam Devious Charm,” Casse said. “She was the first horse I bought for Mr. Farmer and the first day she tried to jump the round pen and got cut up and spent 30 days at a clinic. I thought, ‘Well, that’s a good start.’”
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           Devious Charm was stakes-placed in her 19-race career and earned nearly $180,000. Search Party is her second foal.
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           “I think she has more Gun Runner in her,” Casse said.
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           DAZZLING DAME – Respect the Valleys, Medallion Racing and Madaket Stables’ Dazzling Dame jogged a mile and galloped a mile with a pony Tuesday morning with trainer Brittany Russell looking on.
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           Russell, who went out on her own in 2018, will see her first Oaks starter exit post 7 in the 14-horse field.
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           “She will be the last one in the gate and that is fine with me,” Russell said of the speedy Girvin filly who has won four of six starts and most recently was second in the Virginia Oaks to Bottle of Rouge.
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           Dazzling Dame has been going to the track at 7:15 each morning under Emma Wolfe. However, before going to the track she is out of her stall and grazing behind Barn 41.
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           “Yes, we have grass at Fair Hill (Training Center in Maryland),” Wolfe said of Dazzling Dame’s main base. “She gets five hours of turnout each day there. Here, she gets an hour in the morning and another hour in the afternoon.”
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           Dazzling Dame completed her morning activity with a visit to the paddock after training hours.
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           EXPLORA – Initially trainer Bob Baffert had considered just letting his Oaks filly Explora have a walk day, but then he “called an audible” and had Humberto Gomez take her out right at the end of the special training period.
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           “We went to the gate first,” the exercise rider noted, “and then we went for a little gallop of about a mile. She was just stretching her legs.”
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           Friday, Explora will come out of the No. 1 hole and have champion jockey Flavien Prat on her back.
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           LOVELY GREY – Go Go Grey Stable’s Lovely Grey galloped Tuesday morning and was scheduled to school in the paddock during the second race for trainer Kelsey Danner.
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           MY MISS MO – Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) runner-up My Miss Mo galloped at 7:15 a.m. for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.
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           PASHMINA – Red White and Blue Racing’s Pashmina visited the paddock and then galloped a mile and a half under Jesse Sauter for trainer Rob Atras.
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           Pashmina started her career on the grass at Keeneland before winning her dirt debut by 10 3/4 lengths at Fair Grounds.
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           “Rob likes to start some of his horses on turf for a good Day One experience,” Brittany Atras, assistant to her husband, said. “She didn’t run that bad (in her debut, splitting the field of 12).”
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           PERCY’S BAR – Hat Creek Racing’s Ashland (GI) winner Percy’s Bar jogged two miles under Rene Morales for trainer Ben Colebrook.
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           “She will gallop in the morning, go to the gate and stand and go to the paddock,” Colebrook said.
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           Percy’s Bar won the Ashland over a track labeled as good, defeating Oaks morning-line favorite Zany in the process and becoming the only Oaks runner with an off-track victory. The only other Oaks starter with off-track experience is Lovely Grey, who was fifth in debut over a sloppy track at Horseshoe Indianapolis.
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           With a slight chance of rain in the Friday forecast for Oaks Day, “that’s a good stat to know,” Colebrook said.
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           PROM QUEEN – Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen galloped with Katie Tolbert in the saddle, then schooled in the paddock after training.
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           ZANY – The Kentucky Oaks morning-line favorite Zany, who is owned by Repole Stable, went from Barn 39 down to the big Churchill Downs oval for a gallop of just more than a mile under exercise rider Wilmer Hernandez during the special 7:15 to 7:30 training period for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           The chestnut daughter of Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has been a galloping winner of three of four lifetime starts and continued her Oaks preparedness by schooling in the paddock following Tuesday morning training.
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher will give ace rider Irad Ortiz Jr. a leg up on the racy distaffer Friday, then watch them break from post 2 in the nine-furlong classic that will be the 13th and final offering on a card that kicks off a spectacular weekend of racing.
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           The $5 MILLION LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS – Here’s the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) in post position order, with jockey, trainer and morning-line odds: Explora (Flavien Prat, Bob Baffert, 6-1); Zany (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher, 4-1); Search Party (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse, 30-1); Counting Stars (Francisco Arrieta, Mark Casse, 8-1); Meaning (Juan Hernandez, Michael McCarthy, 5-1); My Miss Mo (Micah Husbands, Saffie Joseph Jr., 20-1); Dazzling Dame (Luis Saez, Brittany Russell, 30-1); Bottle of Rouge (Mike Smith, Bob Baffert, 20-1); Always a Runner (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown, 10-1); Prom Queen (Javier Castellano, Brad Cox, 8-1); Percy’s Bar (Luan Machado, Ben Colebrook, 6-1); Bella Ballerina (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh, 10-1); Pashmina (Ramon Vazquez, Rob Atras, 30-1); Brooklyn Blonde (Kazushi Kimura, Michael McCarthy, 30-1); Lovely Grey (Dylan Davis, 30-1). Also Eligibles: Nycon (Jaime Torres, 50-1); Resist (Brian Hernandez Jr., 50-1
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      <pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 17:10:58 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 27, 2026</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-27-2026</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 27, 2026
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Pin Oak Stud’s Derby duo of Albus and Incredibolt were back on the track early Monday morning for trainer Riley Mott following half-mile works Sunday morning.
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           With Antonio Garcia aboard Albus and Charlotte O’Connell partnering Incredibolt, the two jogged a mile with the former being accompanied by a pony shortly after 6 o’clock.
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           “I just wanted to let them get out for a little bit,” Mott said as he watched the two complete their activity by a brief jog in the mile chute.
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           Incredibolt breezed his half-mile Sunday in :47 and will exit post 11 in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby. Albus, who will leave post 2 in the Derby, worked his half in :49.
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           “We are very happy with Incredibolt’s draw, he can do whatever he needs to do from that post,” Mott said. “Albus will probably experience horses coming down over the top of him into the first turn, but he has experienced adversity, kickback, and traffic, so I think if we were going to draw inside with either of them, he would be the one.”
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           Mott has a house guest this week – his father Bill, who is sending out Chief Wallabee in a bid for a Derby repeat following on the heels of Sovereignty last May.
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           “I was in the grandstand with my family last year,” Riley Mott said. “It’s going to be pretty cool saddling for the Derby next to him (in saddling stall 12). I may have to take a selfie.”
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Trainer Bill Mott’s hope for Derby 152, Mike and Kay Kay Ball’s Chief Wallabee, walked the shedrow the morning after his :49.20 half-mile breeze in company Sunday under Junior Alvarado.
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           Chief Wallabee will represent Mott’s 15th Kentucky Derby starter with the first being Taylor’s Special for Louisvillian William Lucas in 1984.
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           “I was thrilled to be here, but it was probably not very realistic,” Mott said of Taylor’s Special, who won 21 of 41 starts in a five-year career and earned more than $1 million. “He was basically a sprinter, but he was a runner. He had won going two turns in the Blue Grass and Louisiana Derby.”
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           Mott was 30 at the time and “we didn’t have the kind of horses that we have now. They were mostly claimers.”
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           A few of the runners in the early 1980s were for Lucas.
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           “We had Rapid Gray (a winner of 26 of 56 starts) and Shot n’ Missed (a winner of 12 of 29 starts),” Mott said as he pulled out his phone and scrolled through photos. “Here is one of Shot n’ Missed here at the three-eighths pole.”
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           Mott did not take the picture … he was in the saddle.   
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Kentucky Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado and St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort jogged about a mile in the first training set Monday at 5:15 a.m. following their final published works over the weekend.
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           DANON BOURBON – Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee Danon Bourbon recorded another strong gallop Monday morning under assistant trainer Satoshi Oshita as preparations continued for Kentucky Derby 152.
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           “We’ll do his final tune-up on Tuesday, and we also plan to take him to the gate afterward just to let him get used to it,” Oshita said. “Mentally, he’s nice and settled, and as for his feed, he’s been cleaning everything up ever since the trip over, without leaving a bite. So there are no concerns on that front.”
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stable’s Emerging Market galloped 1 ½ miles during the special training session for Kentucky Derby and Oaks contenders between 7:15 and 7:30 a.m. for trainer Chad Brown.
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           GOLDEN TEMPO – Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Golden Tempo galloped about 1 3/8 miles Monday morning for trainer Cherie DeVaux.
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           “He went great,” DeVaux said. “He will need to take a step forward in the Derby, but he has it in him.”
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           INTREPIDO – The California-based colt by the Into Mischief sire Maximus Mischief who is owned by Dutch Girl Holding and Irving Ventures walked the shedrow in Barn 41 Monday morning with stable overseer/exercise rider Alejandro Galindo involved. The day before at Churchill, Intrepido had turned in a wicked four-furlong move under regular rider Hector I. Berrios in :45 flat, the fastest of 71 works at the distance on the Sunday slate.
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           His trainer, Jeff Mullins, is scheduled to fly in from his Los Angeles base Thursday. The conditioner is dealing with a recently broken leg, but has recovered enough to be mobile and is planning on being onsite for Derby 152.
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           LITMUS TEST/POTENTE – The duo of Derby colts out of the Bob Baffert barn went down different roads Monday morning as they move closer to their assignments in Saturday's $5 million Kentucky Derby.
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           Potente, who carries the silks of Speedway Stables, had a walk day following his serious bit of exercise the day before when covered five furlongs in company under Martin Garcia in :57.80.
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           After training the colt schooled in the Churchill Downs paddock accompanied by Baffert and chief assistant trainer Jimmy Barnes.
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           Barnmate Litmus Test, on the other hand, went trackside during the special 7:15 to 7:30 training session under exercise rider Talia Viscusi for a good tour of the big Churchill oval. The son of 2016 Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist covered a bit more than a mile in fine fashion. The bay youngster races for an extensive partnership headed by SF Racing and Starlight Racing.
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           On Saturday, Potente will begin his mile and a quarter journey from Post 14 with ace California rider Juan Hernandez aboard. Litmus Test will break from Post 4 and be handled by Garcia.
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           PAVLOVIAN – The racy roan/gray was a walker Monday morning at Churchill Downs after his five-furlong exercise out of the gate Sunday.
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           The son of the California sire Pavel, who is owned and was bred by Californian J. Paul Reddam, had regular rider Edwin Maldonado up for the 1:03.40 drill.
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           Trainer Doug O'Neill, a double Derby winner himself already (I'll Have Another in 2012 and Nyquist in 2016) through the Reddam connection, flew in from his California base in advance of the Sunday drill and was pleased with what he saw from his charge.
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           "He did well yesterday and he ate up last night and is a happy horse," O'Neill said. "He just walked this morning and he's doing great."
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           O'Neill, one of the top trainers on the west coast for nearly two decades now, indicated he currently has 60 horses in training in California. But, looking to take advantage of the huge purses being offered on the Kentucky circuit, he now stables 25 head at Keeneland.
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           "It's a sign of the times," the conditioner said. "I hope we can get things to pick up in California. That would be a good thing." 
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           RENEGADE – The Kentucky Derby 152 favorite – Robert and Lawana Low and Repole Stable's Renegade stretched his legs Monday morning during the special Derby/Oaks training session at Churchill Downs that goes each morning from 7:15 to 7:30 a.m. The well-made colt by super sire Into Mischief had exercise rider Nora McCormack in the boot and the pair galloped a strong mile and a quarter out in the middle of the strip.
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           Walking back to Barn 39 after the move, McCormack was asked how her charge felt during the drill. "He felt real good," she said. "He was strong."
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           Renegade drew Post 1 for the 10 furlongs of the Derby on Saturday and will have regualr rider Irad Ortiz Jr. in the saddle.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party jogged with exercise rider Robby Albarado aboard, accompianed by a pony ridden by Kevin “Alf” Mudd.
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           Trainer Kenny McPeek noted he invited the surviving members of the Beastie Boys to attend the Kentucky Derby in honor of the colt who’s named after their famous song “Fight for Your Right (To Party).”
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic had a scheduled walk day at trainer Mark Casse’s barn.
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           SIX SPEED – Brunetti Dugan Stables, Black Type Thoroughbreds, Steve Adkisson and Swinbank Stables’ Six Speed, runner-up in the UAE Derby (GII), worked a half-mile in :48.80 Monday morning with exercise rider Declan Cannon aboard for trainer Bhupat Seemar. The colt covered his opening furlong in :13.20, reached the quarter-mile in :25 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:01.60.
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           “We’re not going to change too much in the Derby,” Seemar said. “He’s a horse that likes to be up there. If they go fast, he’ll go faster. On the other hand, this horse has a deep pedigree. He has that Phipps family pedigree where there’s a lot of stamina in it. We’ll find out – if you don’t do it, you’ll never know.”
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           Brian Hernandez Jr., who won the 2024 Kentucky Derby aboard Mystik Dan, has the mount for Kentucky Derby 152.
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           SO HAPPY – Norman Stables and Saints or Sinners’ So Happy galloped 1 ½ miles Monday morning for trainer Mark Glatt.
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           “He’s doing well,” Glatt said. “He’s always been a cool customer. At this point, nothing seems to have fazed him.”
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           THE PUMA – Florida Derby (GI) runner-up The Puma galloped Monday under exercise Carlos Olivero for trainer Gustavo Delgado.
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           Following the training session, Delgado added, “He’s ready.”
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean galloped Monday morning during the 7:15 a.m. Kentucky Derby and Oaks exclusive training window and could record his final breeze Tuesday, according to his connections.
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES – Three Chimneys Farm and trainer John Ennis’ Great White galloped 1 ½ miles during the special training session for Kentucky Derby and Oaks contenders between 7:15 and 7:30 a.m.
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           “He’s doing fantastic,” Ennis said. “He galloped a mile and a half and really picked it up late. I’m happy with how he is moving over the track.”
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           THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here’s the field for Kentucky Derby 152 in post position order (with jockey, trainer and morning-line odds): Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher, 4-1); Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott, 30-1); Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins, 50-1); Litmus Test (Martin Garcia, Bob Baffert, 30-1); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek, 30-1); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox, 6-1); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe, 20-1); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt, 15-1); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado, 10-1); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi, 30-1); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott, 20-1); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott, 8-1); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse, 20-1); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert, 20-1); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown, 15-1); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill, 30-1); Six Speed (Brian Hernandez Jr., Bhupat Seemar, 50-1); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox, 6-1); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux, 30-1); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox, 20-1). Also Eligibles: Great White (Alex Achard, John Ennis, 50-1); Ocelli (Joe Ramos, Whit Beckman, 50-1); Robusta (Emisael Jaramillo, Doug O’Neill, 50-1); Corona de Oro (Brian Hernandez Jr., Dallas Stewart, 50-1).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Douglas Scharbauer and Three Chimneys Farm’s Always a Runner galloped 1 1/2 miles Monday morning for trainer Chad Brown.
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina galloped Monday morning under Erin Campbell for trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           BROOKLYN BLONDE/MEANING – Trainer Michael McCarthy's duo of Kentucky Oaks fillies – Bridlewood Farm and Eclipse Thoroughbreds' Meaning and Sun-Kissed Stable and Bobby Flay's Brooklyn Blonde – went about the business of getting ready for their dates with destiny this Friday in the 3-year-old female classic out of Barn 27 at Churchill Downs Monday morning.
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           "Brooklyn" got things started at 6 a.m. with a once-around gallop of the big oval with exercise rider Juanito Alverez in the tack. Meaning, also partnered by Alverez, went trackside during the 7:15 to 7:30 special training session for Derby and Oaks types and both schooled at the gate and galloped once around.
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           Meaning will be handled Friday by top California rider Juan Hernandez and they'll start their nine-furlong run out of Post 5. "Brooklyn" is drawn all the way outside in Post 14 and she'll have another California rider on her back in the person on Kazushi Kimura.
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars and Tracy Farmer’s Search Party had scheduled walk days at trainer Mark Casse’s barn.
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           DAZZLING DAME – Respect the Valleys, Medallion Racing and Madaket Stables’ Dazzling Dame jogged a mile and galloped a mile under Emma Wolfe for trainer Brittany Russell.
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           As part of her routine the next two days, Dazzling Dame is scheduled to visit the paddock Tuesday and the gate on Wednesday according to Wolfe.
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           EXPLORA – The daughter of Blame, who races in the silks of the trio of Mike Pegram, Karl Watson and Paul Weitman, had a walk day Monday following her smart five-panel drill in :58.80 under Martin Garcia at Churchill Downs Sunday morning.
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           The Bob Baffert-trained miss, first or second in all seven of her lifetime starts so far, has drawn Post 1 for the rich Oaks Friday and will be handled by champion rider Flavien Prat. She is listed as the co-third choice (with Percy's Bar) at 6-1 in the nine-panel Oaks.
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           LOVELY GREY – Go Go Grey Stable’s Lovely Grey galloped Monday morning under exercise rider Alfredo Pena for trainer Kelsey Danner.
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           “She gets a lot out of her training each morning,” Danner said. “She’s a tough horse and but has trained well here over the dirt.”
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           Dylan Davis has the mount in the Oaks as owner Dave Portnoy reported the filly would run there and bypass the $600,000 Edgewood (GII) on turf.
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           MY MISS MO – Averill Racing, Mathis Stable, Tristan De Meric and BAG Racing Stables’ Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) runner-up My Miss Mo galloped Monday morning at Churchill Downs for the first time with trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. watching from the backstretch clocker stand.
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           “She’s a very relaxed filly,” Joseph said. “She peps up a little bit when we walk over but she’s fairly straightforward. She put in a routine gallop this morning and all went well.”
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           PASHMINA – Red White and Blue Racing’s Pashmina visited the paddock under Jesse Sauter and then galloped a mile and a quarter for trainer Rob Atras.
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           Pashmina will represent the second Oaks starter for Atras, who brought Maracuja here in 2021.
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           “They are different horses,” Atras said of the fillies. “Maracuja was big and long while Pashmina has more tactical speed, is pretty handy and a little faster.”
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           Maracuja wound up seventh behind Malathaat, the champion 3-year-old filly of 2021.
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           “Maracuja had the 2 hole and she didn’t get away well and that compromised her a little bit, but she still ran well,” Atras said.
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           Maracuja’s next race after the Oaks was the Coaching Club American Oaks (GI) in which she defeated Malathaat by a head.
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           Pashmina will exit the other end of the starting gate this year from post 12 with Ramon Vazquez up.
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           PERCY’S BAR – With owner Gatewood Bell of Hat Creek Racing looking on, Ashland (GI) winner Percy’s Bar jogged to the frontside for a quick stop in the paddock before galloping a mile under Rene Morales.
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           Percy’s Bar will exit post 10 under Luan Machado in the Oaks, one spot closer to the inside following the exit of Bottle of Rouge.
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           “Gatewood’s lucky number is 11, so we have that saddle cloth,” trainer Ben Colebrook said. “I liked the draw. I didn’t want to the 13 or 14 or the 1 or 2.”
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           PROM QUEEN – Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen trained at her normal 9:15 a.m. timeslot for trainer Brad Cox.
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           “She immediately stamped herself as a filly of quality as a 2-year-old,” Cox said. “She’s a big filly and definitely has route pedigree. She’s very athletic and a good mover.”
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           ZANY – The Kentucky Oaks morning-line favorite – Repole Stable's Zany – took another step forward toward the $1.5-million classic Monday morning at Churchill Downs when she went trackside at 6:10 a.m. from trainer Todd Pletcher's Barn 39 with exercise rider Nora McCormack at the controls.
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           The chestnut daughter of Triple Crown winner American Pharoah galloped nicely around the mile oval, covering roughly a mile and a quater before heading back to her home.
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           Zany, who has captured three of her four lifetime outings, will come out of Post 2 Friday with champion rider Irad Ortiz Jr. on her back. She's listed at 4-1 for starters in the 152nd edition of the Run for the Lillies.
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           The $5 MILLION LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS – Here’s the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) in post position order, with jockey, trainer and morning-line odds: Explora (Flavien Prat, Bob Baffert, 6-1); Zany (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher, 4-1); Search Party (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse, 30-1); Counting Stars (Francisco Arrieta, Mark Casse, 8-1); Meaning (Juan Hernandez, Michael McCarthy, 5-1); My Miss Mo (Micah Husbands, Saffie Joseph Jr., 20-1); Dazzling Dame (Luis Saez, Brittany Russell, 30-1); Bottle of Rouge (Mike Smith, Bob Baffert, 20-1); Always a Runner (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown, 10-1); Prom Queen (Javier Castellano, Brad Cox, 8-1); Percy’s Bar (Luan Machado, Ben Colebrook, 6-1); Bella Ballerina (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh, 10-1); Pashmina (Ramon Vazquez, Rob Atras, 30-1); Brooklyn Blonde (Kazushi Kimura, Michael McCarthy, 30-1); Lovely Grey (Dylan Davis, 30-1). Also Eligibles: Nycon (Jaime Torres, 50-1); Resist (Brian Hernandez Jr., 50-1).
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      <pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2026 17:44:25 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 26, 2026</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-26-2026</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 26, 2026
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Pin Oak Stud’s Albus and Incredibolt turned in their final pre-Kentucky Derby works with half-mile breezes during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Derby and Kentucky Oaks hopefuls.
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           Albus, winner of the Wood Memorial (GII) in his most recent start, worked inside of the 3-year-old maiden filly Theoretical. With Antonio Garcia up, Albus was clocked in :49 for the half-mile with a :24.80 opening quarter and a five-eighths gallop out in 1:01.80.
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           Incredibolt, winner of the Virginia Derby in his most recent start, worked outside of the unraced 3-year-old Wan Dale. With jockey Jaime Torres up, Incredibolt covered his half in :47 with opening fractions of :12.60 and :24 and galloping out five-eighths in :59 and three-quarters in 1:13.80. The half-mile was the second fastest of 71 at the distance.
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           “They both looked happy and had their ears pricked,” trainer Riley Mott said. “They traveled well. Finished strong and galloped out well. They are two different horses and this was a typical work for them. Incredibolt is like a race car; he has a lot of gears. Albus is more of a grinder type and not that flashy.”
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           Torres has been aboard Incredibolt in all five of his starts and been a fan all along. “From the first time I breezed him I said that was my Derby horse,” Torres said. “His work was very good and all you would want to see (before the Derby).”
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Mike and Kay Kay Ball’s Chief Wallabee completed his major preparation for Kentucky Derby 152 by working a half-mile in :49.20 in company under jockey Junior Alvarado.
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           Working outside of Steel, a maiden winner who most recently was ninth in the Wood Memorial (GIII), Chief Wallabee produced splits of :13.20, :25.40, :49.20 and out five-eighths in 1:01.80 and six furlongs in 1:15.20.
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           “We did what we wanted to do and if it doesn’t work out, then that’s on me,” said trainer Bill Mott, who will be trying for a consecutive Derby victory to bookend with Sovereignty from last year. Last year, I felt good about Sovereignty. Chief Wallabee has lots of class and ability and he is good and smooth. I’m not making any predictions. We’ll have to wait and see.”   
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Kentucky Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado and St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort had a walk day Sunday at Barn 22 following their final published works Saturday morning.
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           Commandment worked five furlongs in 1:01.40, Further Ado breezed five furlongs in 1:00 and Fulleffort worked five furlongs in :59.
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           Commandment drew post 6 for Kentucky Derby 152, while Further Ado and Fulleffort landed on the outside in posts 18 and 20, respectively.
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           “Commandment has shown he can handle traffic and run inside or outside of horses,” Cox said. “From there, he should have a chance to save some ground into the first turn.”
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           “Further Ado should be able to work out a good stalking trip from there and settle into the race,” Cox said. “With Fulleffort, hopefully he can work his way over a bit down the lane, save some ground and make that late run we’ve seen from him.”
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           DANON BOURBON – Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee Danon Bourbon galloped about one mile Sunday morning under assistant trainer Satoshi Oshita and drew post 7 for Kentucky Derby 152.
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           “I thought it was just about perfect,” Oshita said of the draw. “There should be pace around us, so I think he’ll be able to go with them. And it’s a lucky number,” he added with a laugh. “After that, I’m sure (Atsuya) Nishimura will think it through and ride the race accordingly.”
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stable’s Emerging Market jogged during the special training session for Kentucky Derby and Oaks contenders between 7:15 and 7:30 a.m.
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           Speaking about Emerging Market and Longines Kentucky Oaks entrant Always a Runner, trainer Chad Brown said, “They both came out of their works in good shape. They just jogged today and will go back to galloping a mile and a half tomorrow.”
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           GOLDEN TEMPO – Phipps Stable and St Elias Stable’s Golden Tempo drew post No. 19 for the Kentucky Derby and will give trainer Cherie DeVaux her first starter in the Run for the Roses.
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           “I’m just trying to keep things in perspective and not think too much for it being my first time in the race,” DeVaux said after watching Golden Tempo jog early Sunday morning.
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           INTREPIDO – The bay colt by the Into Mischief sire Maximus Mischief who is owned by the partnership of Dutch Girl Holdings and Irving Ventures teamed up with his regular rider – Hector I. Berrios – for an especially quick drill Sunday morning at Churchill Downs during the special Derby/Oaks "only" session between 7:15 and 7:30.
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           Berrios had come in from California for the exercise and he and his mount clipped off a nifty half mile in :45, fastest of 71 at the distance on the clockers' tab. His splits included :11.60 and :22.60, with "out" times of :57 and 1:10.20. 
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           "He'll just walk tomorrow," said stable overseer and chief exercise rider Alejandro Galindo back at Barn 41. "Then we'll jog up to the race."
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           Intrepido's trainer, Jeff Mullins, is expected to land in Louisville on Thursday. The California veteran has been recovering from an unfortunatel incident that went down two days before the Santa Anita Derby at the Los Angeles area track. Mullins was on horseback when another Thoroughbred came up alongside him and delivered a nasty "cow kick" that broke the conditioner's leg. Reports are that he had been getting around using crutches, but recently shifted to using a walking boot.
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           LITMUS TEST/POTENTE – The pair of Derby colts out of trainer Bob Baffert's barn headed out to the racetrack Sunday morning during the special training period for Oaks/Derby runners between 7:15 and 7:30.
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           Litmus Test, owned by the extensive partnership headed by SF Racing and Starlight Racing, had execise rider Humberto Gomez on board and they turned in a good jog around the big oval that the rider said was accomplished "with good energy."
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           Potente, who races for Speedway Stables and went about his business with workmate Embry Show – a maiden – alongside, drilled sharply under rider Martin Garcia, zipping five furlongs in :57.80 on the fast oval. The Into Mischief offspring had splits of :11.60, :23.40, :34.80 and :46.60 en route to his final time, then galloped out six furlongs in 1:10.40.
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            "Oh, he's a good one," said Garcia. "Real nice horse."
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            Baffert took it all in from the grandstand where he maintains radio contact with his riders.
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           Litmus Test will start from Post 4 in the Derby with Garcia in the tack. Potente, who'll be handled by top California rider Juan Hernandez, will come out of Post 14.
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           PAVLOVIAN – The roan/gray colt turned in his final bit of serious exercise Sunday morning at Churchill Downs in advance of next Saturday's 152nd edition of the Kentucky Derby. The son of Pavel, owned and bred by Californian J. Paul Reddam, had a pair of his Golden State pals involved in the drill with regular rider Edwin Maldonado in the saddle and trainer Doug O'Neill observing from the track's grandstand.
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           Pavlovian began his drill from the gate in the chute and broke smartly for Maldonado, who is known as a top gate rider. They put in splits of :25.80, :38 and :50.80 on the way to a final clocking of 1:03.40. Clockers caught him going "out" in 1:16.80.
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           "I thought he worked great," said Maldonado. "He was perfect out of the gate. That's a good work for him."
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           O'Neill, a double Derby winner already (I'll Have Another in 2012 and Nyquist in 2016), gave the move a big thumbs up. The conditioner indicated he'll stay in Kentucky for the balance of the week leading up to the big one.
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           Maldonado, a 25-year veteran in the saddle who'll be making his first start in the Kentucky Derby, was asked what his strategy might be regarding the famous mile and a quarter.
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           "I just want to be in that first flight; the first five or so horses," the rider said. "If I can get him up there to start and make it through that first turn OK, then we can figure out positioning and tactics from there."
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           RENEGADE – The Kentucky Derby 152 morning line favorite – Robert and Lawana Low and Repole Stable's Renegade – went trackside Sunday morning during the special 7:15 to 7:30 training period at Churchill Downs for Derby and Oaks runners.
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           The well-made colt by super sire Into Mischief had exercise rider Nora McCormack in the boot and they proceeded to gallop once aound the big oval, looking all the while like a professional racehorse. Trainer Todd Pletcher picked up most of the action from the trackside and appeared happy with his charge's exercise.
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           Renegade will break from the rail next Saturday with regular rider Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party walked the shedrow Sunday morning following his Saturday breeze at Churchill Downs.
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic jogged in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a half under Dass Garcia after coming on the track at 7:15 for trainer Mark Casse.
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           Winner of the Southwest (GIII) and runner-up in the Rebel (GII) and Arkansas Derby (GI), Silent Tactic is a 20-1 morning-line proposition who will exit post 13 under Cristian Torres.
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           “That is a perfect spot for him,” Casse said of Silent Tactic who never has been worse than second in six career starts.
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           SIX SPEED – UAE Derby (GII) runner-up Six Speed galloped Sunday morning for trainer Bhupat Seemar and is scheduled to record his final Kentucky Derby work Monday.
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           Jockey Declan Cannon, who’s been aboard the colt for the past several days, said he arrived at Churchill Downs with a reputation for being full of energy, but has handled his training well.
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           "He came in with a reputation that I’d have my hands full, but he’s been full of energy in a good way,” Cannon said. “He’s fit and ready to go, we just need to keep a lid on him. I’m looking forward to his breeze tomorrow.”
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           Brian Hernandez Jr., who won the 2024 Kentucky Derby aboard Mystik Dan, has the mount for Kentucky Derby 152 from post 17.
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           “Brian should handle him just fine,” Cannon said. “He’s a quiet rider with quiet hands. He’ll try to get him to relax as much as he can.”
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           SO HAPPY – Norman Stables and Saints or Sinners’ So Happy jogged one mile during the special training session for Kentucky Derby and Oaks contenders between 7:15 and 7:30 a.m.
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           THE PUMA – OGMA Investments, JR Ranch, High Step Racing, TCC Stables and Bruce Zoldan’s The Puma galloped Sunday morning for trainer Gustavo Delgado.
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           “He’s a cool dude. He’s pretty easy to handle,” assistant trainer/co-owner Gustavo Delgado Jr. said.. “More importantly he seems to like it here.”
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           Delgado noted the horse could work an easy half-mile on Monday or Tuesday.
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           The Puma drew post 9 in the Derby with Javier Castellano named to ride.
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean (JPN) had a scheduled walk day Sunday following his six-furlong work Friday and is scheduled to resume training Monday during the 7:15 a.m. Kentucky Derby and Oaks exclusive training window.
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           THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here’s the field for Kentucky Derby 152 in post position order (with jockey, trainer and morning-line odds): Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher, 4-1); Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott, 30-1); Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins, 50-1); Litmus Test (Martin Garcia, Bob Baffert, 30-1); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek, 30-1); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox, 6-1); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe, 20-1); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt, 15-1); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado, 10-1); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi, 30-1); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott, 20-1); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott, 8-1); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse, 20-1); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert, 20-1); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown, 15-1); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill, 30-1); Six Speed (Brian Hernandez Jr., Bhupat Seemar, 50-1); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox, 6-1); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux, 30-1); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox, 20-1). Also Eligibles: Great White (Alex Achard, John Ennis, 50-1); Ocelli (Joe Ramos, Whit Beckman, 50-1); Robusta (Emisael Jaramillo, Doug O’Neill, 50-1); Corona de Oro (Brian Hernandez Jr., Dallas Stewart, 50-1).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Gazelle Stakes (GIII) winner Always a Runner jogged Sunday morning at Churchill Downs for trainer Chad Brown.
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina galloped Sunday morning under Erin Campbell for trainer Brendan Walsh. She drew post 10 for the Oaks.
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           “I’m really excited about her for the Oaks,” jockey Tyler Gaffalione said. “She’s been training great and is coming into the race in great shape. I hope we can repeat what we did on her sister (2023 Kentucky Oaks winner Pretty Mischievous).
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           BOTTLE OF ROUGE/EXPLORA – Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert got a taste of the sweet – and a taste of the sour – that can be Thoroughbred racing Sunday morning.
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           His day started well at 5:30 a.m. when his Kentucky Oaks filly Bottle of Rouge – owned by his wife Jill – went through a good workout in :48.80 with rider Martin Garcia up. The move was meant to be her last major one prior to Friday's 152nd edition of the Run for the Lillies, where she was to be handled by Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith.
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           But, alas, "Rouge" did not come out of her drill in good order. Back at Barn 33 she started to cough and a veterinarian was called in to "scope" her. Unfortunately, she didn't pass that test. The trainer then did what he had to do and alerted Churchill officials that he was withdrawing his daughter of Vino Rosso from the race.
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           Further along in the morning, Baffert again had Garcia signed on to one of his charges – this time it was Pegram, Watson and Weitman's top filly Explora – and the pair went trackside just after 9 a.m. for what became a nifty five-panel move in :58.80 alongside maiden Winston Ave. And there was no coughing back at the barn afterwards.
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           "I don't think they can beat her," said an enthusiastic Garcia as he rode her back to the Baffet headquarters. "You know what, she reminds me of a filly named Plum Pretty (aboard whom he won the 2011 Kentucky Oaks). She was a good one and so is this one."
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           Explora, who drew Post 1 and will have the saddle services of champion rider Flavien Prat, will be making her eighth-career start. In her first seven, she finished either first or second and become a millionaire ($1,053,000) in the process. 
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           BROOKLYN BLONDE/MEANING – Trainer Michael McCarthy's Oaks duo of Brindlewood Farm and Eclipse Thoroughbreds' Meaning and Sun-Kissed Stable and Bobby Flay's Brooklyn Blonde got some exercise in Sunday morning prior to their planned outing in the Friday's Grade I Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs.
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           "Brooklyn" was out of Barn 27 early, hitting the track at 5:30 for a jog of one mile. Then during the 7:15 to 7:30 special Derby/Oaks training window, Meaning galloped a mile as her conditioner looked on.
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           "We're all good," McCarthy noted. "No complaints from me."
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           The trainer has signed on top California rider Juan Hernandez to handle Meaning in the $1.5 million headliner, while he's got another California reinsman – Kazushi Kimura – to be the man for Brooklyn Blonde. 
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars and Tracy Farmer’s Search Party jogged in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a half during the 7:15-7:30 Derby/Oaks training period.
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           Counting Stars, the 5 ½-length winner of the Fantasy (GII) in her most recent start, was partnered by Froylan Garcia while Search Party, the Fantasy runner-up, had Elver Vargas aboard.
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           Search Party and Counting Stars will start the Oaks next to each other in stalls 3 and 4, respectively.
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           “They both drew well,” said Mark Casse, who will leg up Francisco Arrieta on Counting Stars (8-1 on the morning line) and Cristian Torres on Search Party (30-1).
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           DAZZLING DAME – Respect the Valleys, Medallion Racing and Madaket Stables’ Dazzling Dame jogged a mile and galloped a mile under exercise rider Emma Wolfe during the 7:15-7:30 training period for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Trained by Brittany Russell, Dazzling Dame will exit post 7 as a 30-1 morning line proposition under two-time Oaks winner Luis Saez.
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           MY MISS MO – Averill Racing, Mathis Stable and Tristan de Meric’s My Miss Mo jogged one lap over the Churchill Downs surface for the first time Sunday morning after arriving from Gulfstream Park on Saturday.
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           PASHMINA – Red White and Blue Racing’s Pashmina had a walk day for trainer Rob Atras after working a half-mile in :49.60 Saturday morning.
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           “Easy day for her,” said Jesse Sauter, who was aboard for the breeze. “She came out of the work good.”
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           Atras said part of Pashmina’s training this week would include another trip to the paddock and possibly a visit to the starting gate.
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           Listed at 30-1 on the Oaks morning line, Pashmina will exit post 13 under Ramon Vazquez.
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           PERCY’S BAR – Hat Creek Racing’s Percy’s Bar jogged two miles under exercise rider Rene Morales for trainer Ben Colebrook.
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           Winner of the Ashland (GI) in her most recent start, Percy’s Bar arrived at Churchill Downs Saturday morning and got settled into Barn 42, Stall 14 … the same spot occupied by Seattle Slew in 1977.
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           Percy’s Bar, the co-second choice at 6-1 on the Kentucky Oaks morning line, will exit post 11 under Luan Machado.
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           PROM QUEEN – Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen drew post 10 for Friday’s Longines Kentucky Oaks and was installed as an 8-1 morning-line proposition for trainer Brad Cox.
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           “I think it’s a solid post for her,” Cox said. “She’s right there in the middle of the gate, which gives her options heading into the first turn. She’s tactical enough to put herself wherever she needs to be, so I was happy with it.”
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           ZANY – The daughter of Triple Crown champion American Pharoah went to the racetrack at 6 a.m. Sunday morning with exercise rider Nora McCormack in the tack and trainer Todd Pletcher following in trace from their Barn 39 headquarters.
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           The chestnut lassie, owned by Mike Repole's Repole Stable, looked a picture and McCormack sat high in the saddle. How long, the exercise rider was asked, had she worked for champion trainer Pletcher? "Too long," she said with a smile. Then, by way of explanation, she offered: "I don't like to count the years."
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           Pletcher had her take the 4-1 Oaks morning line favorite on to the big strip and gallop once around -- "five to the five," as it was explained.
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           On Friday, Zany will be handled by her regular rider, Irad Ortiz Jr.
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           The $5 MILLION LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS – Here’s the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) in post position order, with jockey, trainer and morning-line odds: Explora (Flavien Prat, Bob Baffert, 6-1); Zany (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher, 4-1); Search Party (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse, 30-1); Counting Stars (Francisco Arrieta, Mark Casse, 8-1); Meaning (Juan Hernandez, Michael McCarthy, 5-1); My Miss Mo (Micah Husbands, Saffie Joseph Jr., 20-1); Dazzling Dame (Luis Saez, Brittany Russell, 30-1); Bottle of Rouge (Mike Smith, Bob Baffert, 20-1); Always a Runner (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown, 10-1); Prom Queen (Javier Castellano, Brad Cox, 8-1); Percy’s Bar (Luan Machado, Ben Colebrook, 6-1); Bella Ballerina (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh, 10-1); Pashmina (Ramon Vazquez, Rob Atras, 30-1); Brooklyn Blonde (Kazushi Kimura, Michael McCarthy, 30-1); Lovely Grey (Dylan Davis, 30-1). Also Eligibles: Nycon (Jaime Torres, 50-1); Resist (Brian Hernandez Jr., 50-1).
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      <pubDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2026 17:29:32 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-26-2026</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 25, 2026</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-25-2026</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 25, 2026
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Trainer Riley Mott pushed workouts for his two trainees to Sunday morning.
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           “The track was a little heavy this morning,” Mott said before sending Albus and Incredibolt out for mile and a half gallops. Antonio Garcia was on Albus, the Wood Memorial (GII) winner and Charlotte O’Connell partnered Incredibolt, winner of the Virginia Derby.
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Mike and Kay Kay Ball’s Chief Wallabee visited the paddock under Marvin Orantes and galloped a mile and a half.
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           Trainer Bill Mott plans to work Chief Wallabee Sunday morning.
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           “That’s the plan,” Mott said. “The weather is looking a little sketchy for Monday.”
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           CHIP HONCHO – Trainer Steve Asmussen reported that Chip Honcho would bypass Kentucky Derby 152 and target the Preakness Stakes (GI) on Saturday, May 16 at Laurel Park.
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Kentucky Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort and Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado all recorded their final published works Saturday morning prior to Kentucky Derby 152.
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           Further Ado was first to the track at 5:15 a.m., breezing five furlongs in 1:00 with Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez aboard. The Blue Grass (GI) winner worked through an opening quarter-mile in :24.60 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.
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           “I was very pleased with how he went,” Velazquez said. “I started paying attention to him after riding against him at Keeneland in his maiden race. He’s a very nice horse.”
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           Minutes later, Florida Derby (GI) winner Commandment worked five furlongs in 1:01.40 outside stablemate Rock Music. The colt covered his opening quarter-mile in :25.20 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.40.
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           “He’s a unique horse and doesn’t do a whole lot in his training, but his move today was exactly what we wanted a week out from the Derby,” Cox said. “You could tell in his gallop-out once he got by his workmate, his ears went up like he knew he was finished with the work.”
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           During the 7:15 a.m. Kentucky Derby exclusive training window, Fulleffort worked five furlongs in :59. The Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) winner posted fractions of :12.80, :24.60, :36.20 and :47.40 before galloping out six furlongs in 1:11.60.
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           “He’s continued to impress us on the dirt, and today was no different,” Cox said. “He’s worked like a different horse over this surface than when he was here as a 2-year-old.”
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           DANON BOURBON – Danox Co. Ltd.’s Danon Bourbon made his first appearance over the Churchill Downs oval Saturday morning, jogging one lap accompanied by a pony. He’s scheduled to have a similar training session Sunday.
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stables’ Emerging Market walked Barn 25 Saturday following his four-furlong move in :47.60 Friday at Churchill Downs.
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           GOLDEN TEMPO – Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Golden Tempo arrived at Churchill Downs Saturday morning at 8:30 from Keeneland.
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           Trained by Cherie DeVaux, Golden Tempo had worked a half-mile in company in :47.40 Friday morning at Keeneland.
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           GREAT WHITE – Three Chimneys Farm and trainer John Ennis’ Great White arrived at Churchill Downs after 8 a.m. after vanning from Lexington this morning.
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           INTREPIDO – Dutch Girl Holdings and Irving Ventures' Intrepido did a double tour of the big Churchill Downs oval Saturday morning during the special training sessions for Derby and Oaks horses between 7:15 and 7:30. Regular exercise rider Alejandro Galindo was in the irons.
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           "We jogged a little and galloped some," Galindo offered back at Barn 41. "He felt just fine."
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           Galindo also noted that the colt's regular rider, Hector I. Berrios, would be onsite to handle his final drill Sunday morning.
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           LITMUS TEST/POTENTE – Trainer Bob Baffert's duo for Derby 152 – Speedway Stables' Potente and SF Racing, Starlight Racing and partners' Litmus Test – moved forward toward the mile and a quarter classic in their own way Saturday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           Potente had exercise rider Humberto Gomez in the boot for a gallop of a mile and three-eighths during the special training period between 7:15 and 7:30.
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           Litmus Test, who turned in a sharp five-furlong drill in :59 Thursday under rider Martin Garcia, was only a shedrow walker Saturday.
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           Potente is scheduled to put in his final work for the Run for the Roses Sunday morning with regular rider Juan Hernandez in from California to do the steering.
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           Litmust Test was listed as No. 21 and not in the big race early Saturday morning. Baffert was asked what "Plan B" for his colt was should he not make the race.
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           "No Plan B," the conditioner stated emphatically, and presciently.
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           As it turned out there was no need for a Plan B. Litmus Test is a go and he'll have Garcia on his back for the 10-furlong classic.
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           PAVLOVIAN – Reddam Racing's Pavlovian, the homebred gray/roan by the California stallion Pavel, put in a one-mile jog Saturday morning during the 7:15 to 7:30 special training session for Derby and Oaks horses at Churchill Downs. Stable overseer Tony Romero was at the controls for the exercise.
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           The colt will be making his 11th start in Derby 152, the most of any runner in the 20-horse lineup. But first he'll have to put in a final work tomorrow morning -- with Edwin Maldonado, the California-based rider who'll handle him in the Derby, on board -- and trainer Doug O'Neill watching from the backside.
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           Romero, who has been with the colt since Day one, passed on a bit of information that might be of interest to fans should the weather turn wet heading into next Saturday's Run for the Roses.
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           "He likes the mud," Romero offered. "If it rains, we'll like it."
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           RENEGADE – Robert and Lawana Low and Repole Stable’s Renegade arrived at Churchill Downs at 2:45 Saturday morning after departing Palm Beach Downs in South Florida at 8:20 Friday morning.
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Saturday afternoon.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party worked five furlongs in 1:01.40 Saturday morning in company with Very Connected for trainer Kenny McPeek. The colt worked with exercise rider/assistant trainer Robby Albarado inside his stablemate in his final major move prior to Kentucky Derby 152.
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           “I put him inside today,” McPeek said. “I think he is more focused inside. I wasn’t worried about time today, happy to get this last work in.”
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           McPeek said the colt had a couple of loose caps in his mouth earlier in the week that affected his training, but after having horse dentist Marty Hissle address the issue, he moved much better Saturday.
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           Chris Elliott has the mount in Kentucky Derby 152.
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic returned to the track a little before 6 a.m. to jog for 15 minutes in the mile chute with Dass Garcia aboard.
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           The Mark Casse trainee had worked a half-mile in :48 on Thursday and walked the shedrow Friday.
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           SIX SPEED – UAE Derby (GII) runner-up Six Speed galloped during the 7:15 a.m. training window with Declan Cannon aboard. The colt trains in a hood and shadow roll and will be ridden in Kentucky Derby 152 by Brian Hernandez Jr., who won the 2024 Kentucky Derby aboard Mystik Dan.
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           SO HAPPY – Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner So Happy walked the shedrow following his Friday morning breeze at Churchill Downs.
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           THE PUMA – Florida Derby (GI) runner-up The Puma galloped about 1 ½ miles Saturday morning at Churchill Downs for trainer Gustavo Delgado Sr.
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean had an easy day Saturday, walking around Barn 17 following his six-furlong work Friday as he continues preparations for Kentucky Derby 152.
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           SHAPING UP: THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here is the top 20 preference list for the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) in alphabetical order (with jockey and trainer): Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott); Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins); Litmus Test (Martin Garcia, Bob Baffert); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert); Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse); Six Speed (Brian Hernandez Jr., Bhupat Seemar); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi). Also Eligibles: Great White (Alex Achard, John Ennis); Ocelli (Joe Ramos, Whit Beckman); Robusta (Emisael Jaramillo, Doug O’Neill); Corona de Oro (Brian Hernandez Jr., Dallas Stewart)
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Gazelle (GIII) winner Always a Runner walked trainer Chad Brown’s Barn 25 Saturday morning following her Friday half-mile move in :48.40.
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina walked in trainer Brendan Walsh’s barn Saturday morning and is expected to go back to the track Sunday.
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           BOTTLE OF ROUGE/EXPLORA – Pegram, Watson and Weitman's Explora and Jill Baffert's Bottle of Rouge both stretched their legs Saturday morning at Churchill Downs in advance of their dates next Friday in the Grade I Longines Oaks.
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           Explora, who'll go the nine furlongs of the Oaks with champion jockey Flavien Prat on her back, was out at 5:45 a.m. with exercise rider Humbeto Gomez at the controls. She galloped a mile and a quarter and "felt good," according to her pilot.
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           Bottle of Rouge also went a mile and a quarter, though she did it during the special 7:15 to 7:30 special training time for Derby and Oaks horses with exercise rider Talia Viscusi doing the driving. Hall of Famer Mike Smith is scheduled to be aboard the daughter of Vino Rosso come Friday. 
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           BROOKLYN BLONDE/MEANING – The duo of soph fillies who train out of Michael McCarthy's Barn 27 on the Churchill Downs backside merely walked the shedrow Saturday morning after both had turned in works Friday leading up to potential starts in next Friday's Run for the Lillies.
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           Meaning, who races for Brindlewood Farm and Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, is a go for the nine-furlong classic and she'll be handled by the top California rider Juan Hernandez. "Brooklyn," who flies the silks of Sun-Kissed Stables and Bobby Flay, made the Oaks field as of entry time and will be ridden by Kazushi Kimura.
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           McCarthy was asked how his two lassies had come out of their exercises from the day before. "No complaints," he noted.
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – The Mark Casse-trained Oaks duo of West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars and Tracy Farmer’s Search Party returned to the track a little before 6 a.m. to jog for 15 minutes in the mile chute.
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           Search Party, who had Elver Vargas up this morning, worked a half-mile in :47.60 on Thursday and Counting Stars, who had Froylan Garcia aboard today, worked a half in :48.60 on Thursday. Both walked the shedrow Friday.
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           DAZZLING DAME – Respect the Valleys, Medallion Racing and Madaket Stables’ Dazzling Dame, returning to Churchill Downs for the first time since finishing fourth in last September’s Pocahonas (GIII), jogged a mile under exercise rider Emma Wolfe.
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           LORELEI LEE – Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) winner Lorelei Lee will bypass the Kentucky Oaks and instead run in the $600,000 Edgewood presented by Accenture (GII).
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           MY MISS MO – Averill Racing, Mathis Stable and Tristan De Meric’s My Miss Mo arrived at Churchill Downs from Gulfstream Park Saturday morning following an overnight van ride.
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           Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on Sunday.
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           PARADISE/PROM QUEEN – Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen walked trainer Brad Cox’s shedrow Saturday morning and expected to go back to the track Sunday.
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           Gazelle (GIII) third-place finisher Paradise will not enter the Kentucky Oaks, according to Cox.
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           PASHMINA – Red White and Blue Racing’s Pashmina worked a half-mile in :49.60 with Jesse Sauter aboard for trainer Rob Atras.
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           “The track was kind of deep and sticky, but she did it easy,” Sauter said.
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           Atras was pleased with the work from Pashmina, whose Oaks appearance will mark a fifth track at which she has raced.
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           “I thought she worked great,” Atras said. “She got going at the four and a half and he let her pick it up down the lane.
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           “She’s been all over,” Atras added regarding Pashmina’s travels that have taken her to Keeneland, Fair Grounds, Sunland Park and Aqueduct. “I think that helps coming to a new track that she has done well before.”
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           PERCY’S BAR – Hat Creek Racing’s Percy’s Bar arrived at Churchill Downs at 8:30 Saturday morning after leaving her home base at Keeneland for trainer Ben Colebrook.
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           SHE BE SMOOTH/ZANY – Calumet Farm’s She Be Smooth and Repole Stable’s Zany arrived at Churchill Downs at 2:45 Saturday morning after departing Palm Beach Downs in South Florida at 8:20 Friday morning.
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           However, trainer Todd Pletcher did not enter She Be Smooth in the Oaks.
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           “I didn’t feel she was ready,” Pletcher said.
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           SHAPING UP: The $5 MILLION LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS – Here is the top 14 preference list for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) in alphabetical order (with jockey and trainer): Always a Runner (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown), Bella Ballerina (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh), Bottle of Rouge (Mike Smith, Bob Baffert), Brooklyn Blonde (Kazushi Kimura, Michael McCarthy), Counting Stars (Francisco Arrieta, Mark Casse), Dazzling Dame (Luis Saez, Brittany Russell) Explora (Flavien Prat, Bob Baffert), Meaning (Juan Hernandez, Michael McCarthy), My Miss Mo (Micah Husbands, Saffie Joseph Jr.), Pashmina (Ramon Vazquez, Rob Atras), Percy’s Bar (Luan Machado, Ben Colebrook), Prom Queen (Javier Castellano, Brad Cox), Search Party (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse), She Be Smooth (John Velazquez, Todd Pletcher), Zany (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher).
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      <pubDate>Sat, 25 Apr 2026 17:56:20 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 24, 2026</title>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 24, 2026
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Pin Oak Stud’s Derby duo of Albus and Incredibolt visited the paddock and then galloped a mile and a half for trainer Riley Mott.
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           Mott initially had considered working his colts Friday morning to beat anticipated showers forecast for the Louisville area Friday night into Saturday but opted to wait.
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           Apparently it is the right move with only brief rain forecast for tonight and clouds Saturday morning when the colts will work during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Antonio Garcia, who was on Albus this morning, is slated to handle his work Saturday while jockey Jaime Torres will work Incredibolt who was partnered by Charlotte O’Connell this morning.
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Mike and Kay Kay Ball’s Chief Wallabee visited the paddock as well as the starting gate before galloping a mile and a half under Marvin Orantes.
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           Chief Wallabee will be attempting to give trainer Bill Mott and jockey Junior Alvarado consecutive Derby victories to go with the Sovereignty triumph of 2025.
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           The most recent trainer of six to win the Derby in consecutive years is Bob Baffert with Silver Charm in 1997 and Real Quiet in 1998 and Victor Espinoza is the most recent of six riders to go back to back with California Chrome in 2014 and American Pharoah in 2015.
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           Chief Wallabee is scheduled to work Sunday or Monday with Alvarado slated to be aboard for the final pre-Derby drill.
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           CHIP HONCHO – Leland Ackerley Racing, James Sherwood, Jode Shupe and John Cilia’s Chip Honcho galloped Friday morning for trainer Steve Asmussen and is scheduled to work Saturday as connections continue monitoring the Kentucky Derby field.
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort and Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado trained a little later than normal Friday morning and remain scheduled to work Saturday.
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           Commandment and Fulleffort both trained around 6:15 a.m. Commandment jogged in the chute before galloping 1 ¼ miles, while Fulleffort jogged. About 20 minutes later, Further Ado galloped.
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           DANON BOURBON – Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee Danon Bourbon arrived at Churchill Downs around 7:30 a.m. Friday following USDA quarantine in Chicago and is scheduled to train Saturday morning.
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stable’s Emerging Market worked a half-mile in :47.60 Friday morning with Flavien Prat aboard for trainer Chad Brown. The colt worked in company with maiden Hedge Brook.
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           “He just glided through the lane,” Brown said. “He galloped way out past three-quarters the right way and came back good. I was very pleased with the way he was moving. He hit his fractions perfect, and he didn’t even look like he was going that fast, which is what you love to see as a trainer.”
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           GOLDEN TEMPO – At Keeneland, Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Golden Tempo worked a half-mile under Ameth Gonzalez in :47.40 in company with multiple graded stakes winner and $2.4 million earner Brilliant Berti for trainer Cherie DeVaux.
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           It was the fourth Keeneland work, all in company, for Golden Tempo since a third-place finish in the Louisiana Derby on March 21.
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           “He has had different company, and he’s outworked each one,” DeVaux said “This was just a maintenance work and Brilliant Berti is a pretty good workhorse, and he’s older. It was good company with him, we didn’t want him doing too much in the work and the gallop out. It was a really good company, and with Brilliant Berti, even though he’s a turf horse, works pretty well on the dirt.”
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           Golden Tempo is scheduled to leave Keeneland at 7 in the morning for the van ride to Churchill Downs.
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           INTREPIDO – Dutch Girl Holdings and Irving Ventures’ Intrepido continued to move forward to his date in Derby 152 with a solid two-mile jog Friday morning under exercise rider Alejandro Galindo. 
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           “He felt good,” Galindo offered afterward back at Barn 41.
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           Intrepido was the winner of the Grade I American Pharoah at Santa Anita last October and has banked more than $342,000 in purses so far. He is trained by West Coast veteran Jeff Mullins. 
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           Intrepido is scheduled to work Sunday morning with Hector Berrios in the saddle.
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           POTENTE – Speedway Stables’ Potente turned in a solid mile jog Friday morning under exercise rider Humberto Gomez. The $2.4-million colt by super sire Into Mischief has only a trio of starts under his belt as he heads toward Derby 152, but they were good ones. He won first time out in January at Santa Anita, then came back there for another score in the San Felipe (GII) on March 7. In his most recent outing he ran second in the Santa Anita Derby.
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           The bay colt hails from the prolific barn of conditioner Bob Baffert, who already has six Derby victories on his ledger and is scheduled to make it into town this evening. 
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           PAVLOVIAN – The homebred gray/roan colt by the California sire Pavel was feeling frisky Friday at Churchill Downs and went through a strong gallop under Tony Romero during the special Derby/Oaks training period on a picture-perfect morning. He was a handful back at Barn 41 afterward as he makes his way toward his 11th start – the 152nd Kentucky Derby on the first Saturday in May.
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           Trainer Doug O’Neill has been tending to his large string back on the West Coast, including runners for Pavlovian’s owner/breeder – J. Paul Reddam. The colt is scheduled to turn in his final drill for the Derby this Sunday, while his conditioner is slated to come on board Tuesday.
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           Pavlovian’s two most recent efforts saw him come away a winner in the Sunland Derby and be beaten a head in the Louisiana Derby.
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           RENEGADE – Robert and Lawana Low and Repole Stable’s Renegade was en route to Churchill Downs after leaving Palm Beach Downs in South Florida at 8:20 Friday morning with an early Saturday morning arrival expected at the track.
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           Renegade worked a half-mile in :49.07 Thursday morning at Palm Beach.
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Saturday afternoon.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party galloped Friday morning for trainer Kenny McPeek and is scheduled to record his final Kentucky Derby work Saturday.
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic, who worked a half-mile in :48 Thursday morning, walked the shedrow at trainer Mark Casse’s barn Friday morning.
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           “He’s doing fine this morning,” said Casse, whose Derby hopeful has been dealing with a bruised foot for the past four weeks. “He is probably better now than he has been in months.”
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           SIX SPEED – Brunetti Dugan Stables, Black Type Thoroughbreds, Steve Adkisson and Swinbank Stables’ Six Speed got acquainted with the Churchill Downs surface Friday morning for the first time since arriving from Europe.
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           Jockey Declan Cannon was aboard the UAE Oaks (GII) runner-up for his morning training session. Trainer Bhupat Seemar is scheduled to be the special guest Saturday on the Kentucky Derby Morning Works Show presented by TwinSpires.
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           SO HAPPY – Norman Stables and Saints or Sinners’ So Happy worked five furlongs in 1:00.20 Friday morning under jockey Mike Smith for trainer Mark Glatt.
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           “We thought he worked really well,” Glatt said. “He’s the type of horse that just goes through the motions in the morning. Oftentimes we will give him a little bit of company, but we decided not to do that today. He got over the track well and galloped out a little stronger than he normally does, so I felt like it was just about right coming into the race.”
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           Smith added, “He did what he always does, he just kind of does what he has to do. Especially by himself, I knew it was going to be a little bit challenging. The track was a little bit deeper in the second break than it was the first, but he still went good for him. He’s just not much of a flashy work horse.”
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           THE PUMA – Florida Derby (GI) runner-up The Puma, owned by OGMA Investments, JR Ranch and High Step Racing, galloped Friday morning in his first serious training session since arriving at Churchill Downs on Tuesday.
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           The Puma previously tack-walked Wednesday and jogged Thursday.
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean worked six furlongs in 1:17.80 Friday morning under Takuya Nakano in preparation for Kentucky Derby 152.
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           The UAE Derby (GII) winner began with a methodical opening furlong in :15.40 before increasing his speed to a half-mile in :54.40 and finishing his final quarter-mile in :23.40.
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           “He felt similar today as he did during his breeze a week out from the UAE Derby,” Nakano said. “He felt really great. This gives me a lot of confidence that he will be able to perform his best on Derby Day.”
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           SHAPING UP: THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here is the top 20 preference list for the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) in alphabetical order (with jockey and trainer): Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Chip Honcho (TBD, Steve Asmussen); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott); Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert); Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse); Six Speed (TBD, Bhupat Seemar); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi). Also Eligibles: Litmus Test (TBD, Bob Baffert); Great White (Alex Achard, John Ennis); Ocelli (TBD, Whit Beckman); Robusta (TBD, Doug O’Neill)
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Douglas Scharbauer and Three Chimneys Farm’s Always a Runner completed her final serious Longines Kentucky Oaks tune-up Friday morning for trainer Chad Brown, working a half-mile in :48.40 under Jose Ortiz in company with maiden winner Leinani.
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           “I was able to get Jose Ortiz out to breeze her, who is going to ride her for the first time in the Kentucky Oaks, which I thought was a real positive,” Brown said. “He just loved the filly. Very smooth, and she galloped out well.”
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina worked a half-mile in :47.40 Friday morning with jockey Tyler Gaffalione aboard for trainer Brendan Walsh in company with Diamond Eyed Jack (four furlongs, :47.80). The filly galloped out five furlongs in :59.20.
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           “She worked very well this morning and did everything we wanted to see,” Walsh said. “Tyler was very happy with her, and she came out of it in great shape.”
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           Gaffalione is named to ride Bella Ballerina in the Longines Kentucky Oaks. 
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           BOTTLE OF ROUGE/EXPLORA – The duo of trainer Bob Baffert fillies who are headed to next Friday’s Kentucky Oaks both stretched their legs Friday morning at Churchill Downs. Mike Pegram, Karl Watson and Paul Weitman’s Explora (already a millionaire) and the trainer’s wife Jill’s Bottle of Rouge (a three-time stakes winner) turned in good jogs for their dates in next Friday’s Run for the Lillies.
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           Humberto Gomez was aboard for Explora’s mile exercise, while Talia Viscusi was at the controls for “Rouge’s” similar drill.
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           Overseeing the Baffert stable’s Kentucky string currently are a duo of racetrack veterans – Dan Ward and Jimmy Barnes. Ward, who has more than a half-century in the game working for such aces as the late Bobby Frankel and trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, just recently signed on with Baffert to handle his eastern runners. Barnes, the stable’s king of “on-the-road,” now has 27 years of playing right-hand-man to the Hall of Fame conditioner who will be aiming for his fourth tally in the filly classic.
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           BROOKLYN BLONDE/MEANING – The duo of fillies who come out of trainer Michael McCarthy’s Barn 27 on the Churchill Downs’ backside saddled up and went trackside for the 7:15 to 7:30 a.m. special training period for Derby and Oaks runners Friday morning.
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           Meaning, who is owned by Bridlewood Farm and Eclipse Thoroughbreds and is a go for the Run for the Lillies next Friday, had exercise rider Juanito Alverez in the tack, while “Brooklyn,” who is still hopeful to get a chance to run in the nine-furlong classic for owners Sun Kissed Stable and Bobby Flay, had rider Ben Curtis aboard.
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           Both fillies went through a brief warmup followed by Meaning, a double stakes winner at Santa Anita this year, firing off first and going through a solid five-panel drill in 1:00. The daughter of champion Gun Runner drew praise from her conditioner: “I was real happy with that,” he noted back at the barn afterward. Brooklyn Blonde followed her stablemate’s exercise and also went five furlongs with her time coming out at 1:01, which drew a thumbs up from her conditioner. 
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           Entries for the 152nd Kentucky Oaks will be drawn Saturday between the third and fourth races at approximately 2 p.m. 
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – Trainer Mark Casse’s two Kentucky Oaks hopefuls – West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars and Tracy Farmer’s Search Party – walked the shedrow following half-mile works from Thursday.
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           “All fine this morning,” Casse reported of Counting Stars (:48.60) and Search Party (:47.60).
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           DAZZLING DAME – Respect the Valleys, Medallion Racing and Madaket Stables’ Dazzling Dame arrived at Churchill Downs at 4:40 a.m. after vanning from the Fair Hill Training Center in Maryland.
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           Trained by Brittany Russell, Dazzling Dame had worked a half-mile in :49.20 on the dirt at Fair Hill Thursday morning. Russell is expected to arrive in Louisville tonight.
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           MY MISS MO – Averill Racing, Mathis Stables and Tristan De Meric’s My Miss Mo, runner-up in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) in her most recent start, was scheduled to leave Gulfstream Park at 1 p.m. with an early Saturday morning arrival anticipated at Churchill Downs.
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           Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. will arrive in Louisville Sunday.
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           PARADISE/PROM QUEEN – Trainer Brad Cox’s Longines Kentucky Oaks contenders Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen and NK Racing and LNJ Foxwoods’ Paradise both worked Friday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           Prom Queen worked around 9:15 a.m., breezing five furlongs in :59.80 with exercise rider Edvin Vargas aboard. The Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) winner recorded fractions of :12.20 and :23.60, galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.40 and completed seven furlongs in 1:25.60.
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           “She’s a filly that gets a lot out of her training, and we kept her in her normal routine this morning,” Cox said of Prom Queen. “It was a really strong work and we’re in a good spot with her.”
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           Earlier in the morning, Gazelle (GIII) third-place finisher Paradise worked a half-mile in :47.60 in company with On Time Girl. Along with the Longines Kentucky Oaks, Paradise also is nominated to the $700,000 Eight Belles presented by Sysco (GII) on the Kentucky Oaks undercard.
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           PASHMINA – Red White and Blue Racing’s Pashmina visited the paddock under Jesse Sauter and then galloped a mile and a half during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Runner-up in the Gazelle (GIII) in her most recent start, Pashmina is scheduled to work Saturday or Sunday for trainer Rob Atras who was en route to Louisville Friday morning. Ramon Vazquez has the Oaks mount.
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           PERCY’S BAR – Hat Creek Racing’s Percy’s Bar walked the shedrow at trainer Ben Colebrook’s Keeneland barn Friday morning a day after working a half-mile in :49.60 in company.
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           Colebrook plans to send Percy’s Bar to the main track at Keeneland early Saturday morning before vanning to Churchill Downs at 7 o’clock. All Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses have to be on the grounds by 11 a.m. Saturday.
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           SHE BE SMOOTH/ZANY – Calumet Farm’s She Be Smooth and Repole Stable’s Zany were en route to Churchill Downs after leaving Palm Beach Downs in South Florida at 8:20 Friday morning with an early Saturday morning arrival expected at the track.
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           The two fillies worked together in :49.07 for a half-mile Thursday at Palm Beach.
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Saturday afternoon.
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           SHAPING UP: The $5 MILLION LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS – Here is the top 14 preference list for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) in alphabetical order (with jockey and trainer): Always a Runner (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown), Bella Ballerina (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh), Bottle of Rouge (Mike Smith, Bob Baffert), Counting Stars (Francisco Arrieta, Mark Casse), Explora (Flavien Prat, Bob Baffert), Meaning (Juan Hernandez, Michael McCarthy), My Miss Mo (TBA, Saffie Joseph Jr.), Paradise (TBA, Brad Cox), Pashmina (Ramon Vazquez, Rob Atras), Percy’s Bar (Luan Machado, Ben Colebrook), Prom Queen (Javier Castellano, Brad Cox), Search Party (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse), She Be Smooth (John Velazquez, Todd Pletcher), Zany (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher).
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      <pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 21:02:37 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 23, 2026</title>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 23, 2026
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           Scheduled to work Friday at Churchill Downs for the Derby are Emerging Market, So Happy and Wonder Dean (JPN), with Golden Tempo expected to work at Keeneland.
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Pin Oak Stud’s Albus and Incredibolt galloped a mile and a quarter and then ventured to the mile chute to visit the starting gate before completing their morning activity by galloping another quarter-mile.
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           “That is pretty standard for us,” trainer Riley Mott said after the two returned to the barn with Antonio Garcia on Albus and Charlotte O’Connell on Incredibolt.
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           Mott said he would be watching the weather to determine a final work day for his runners.
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           “It doesn’t look like the forecast is as ominous as it was earlier,” Mott said. “Looks like the rain starts at 6 tomorrow night but doesn’t stick around, so we should be OK Saturday morning.
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           “They have worked together before but they won’t this time. Antonio would be on Albus and Jaime Torres on Incredibolt.”
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Mike and Kay Kay Ball’s Chief Wallabee visited the paddock and then galloped a mile and a half under Marvin Orantes for trainer Bill Mott.
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           CHIP HONCHO – Leland Ackerley Racing, James Sherwood, Jode Shupe and John Cilia’s Chip Honcho galloped Thursday morning at 7:15 a.m. with exercise rider Roberto Howell aboard for trainer Steve Asmussen. The colt is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort and Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado trained Thursday morning at Churchill Downs before schooling in the paddock.
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           Commandment and Fulleffort were out in the first training set at 5:15 a.m. Commandment, with assistant trainer and exercise rider Katie Tolbert aboard, jogged, while Fulleffort galloped about 1 ½ miles under Edvin Vargas. Further Ado trained in the second set with exercise rider Jonathan Santiago aboard, jogging about a half-mile before galloping about 1 ½ miles.
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           All three horses would work Saturday or Sunday depending on the weather, according to Cox.
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           DANON BOURBON – Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee Danon Bourbon remains in USDA quarantine in Chicago and is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Friday morning. The colt is expected to train Saturday morning and will be based in Barn 17.
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stables’ Emerging Market galloped a mile and a half under Luis Ortiz Trinidad for trainer Chad Brown.
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           Brown said that Emerging Market would work at 7:15 Friday with jockey Flavien Prat aboard.
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           INTREPIDO – Dutch Girl Holdings and Irving Ventures’ Intrepido jogged two miles under Alejandro Galindo for trainer Jeff Mullins.
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           Galindo said Intrepido is scheduled to work Sunday morning with jockey Hector Berrios coming in for the breeze.
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           LITMUS TEST – Los Alamitos Futurity (GII) winner Litmus Test worked five furlongs out of the gate in company with Favoritism in :59 under Martin Garcia here Thursday morning.
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           Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols caught Litmus Test in fractions of :23.80, :35.40, :47.20, :59 and then out six furlongs in 1:11.20 and seven-eighths in 1:24.
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           “He was going to work Sunday (at Oaklawn Park) but the weather was bad and the track was sealed so we gave him a couple days to gallop here and he was good to go,” said Dan Ward, who is overseeing trainer Bob Baffert’s string here.
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           With Stark Contrast opting for the American Turf, Litmus Test stands at No. 21 on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard and needs one defection from horses under consideration for the Derby to make the main body of the field when entries are taken Saturday.
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           PAVLOVIAN – Reddam Racing’s Pavlovian galloped a mile and a half at 7:15 under Tony Romero for trainer Doug O’Neill. Pavlovian is scheduled to work Sunday.
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           POTENTE – Speedway Stables’ Potente is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Thursday afternoon after shipping from his Southern California base for trainer Bob Baffert.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party galloped Thursday morning for trainer Kenny McPeek and is scheduled to record his final Kentucky Derby work Saturday.
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic worked a half-mile in :48 under jockey Cristian Torres for trainer Mark Casse.
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           Working on his own at 7:15, Silent Tactic clicked off fractions of :12, :24, :48 and galloped out five furlongs in 1:01 and six furlongs in 1:14.80, according to Churchill Downs clocker Adam Wallace.
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           “He got over the track really well and when he came back, he wasn’t even blowing,” Casse said of Silent Tactic’s first Churchill Downs work.
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           The work was accomplished on a Chamber of Commerce morning with mild temperatures.
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           “The weather was perfect,” Casse said, adding with a smile, Now let the other guys worry about the weather.”
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           SIX SPEED – Brunetti Dugan Stables, Black Type Thoroughbreds, Steve Adkisson and Swinbank Stables’ Six Speed is scheduled to clear quarantine Thursday evening and train Friday at 7:15 a.m.
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           SO HAPPY – Norman Stables and Saints or Sinners’ Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner So Happy galloped a mile and a half under Gustavo Alvarado during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Trainer Mark Glatt was on hand for the morning activity for So Happy who is scheduled to work Friday morning.
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           STARK CONTRAST – Amerman Racing’s Stark Contrast will bypass Kentucky Derby 152 and be entered in the $1 million American Turf (GI) on Derby Day according to trainer Michael McCarthy.
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           THE PUMA – OGMA Investments, JR Ranch and High Step Racing’s The Puma jogged a mile under Carlos Oliveras for trainer Gustavo Delgado.
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           It was the first day on track for The Puma, who arrived at Churchill Downs Tuesday and tack-walked in Barn 42 on Wednesday.
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean galloped Thursday morning and remains scheduled to work six furlongs Friday.
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           SHAPING UP: THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here is the top 20 preference list for the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) in alphabetical order (with jockey and trainer): Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Chip Honcho (TBD, Steve Asmussen); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott); Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert); Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse); Six Speed (TBD, Bhupat Seemar); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi). Also Eligibles: Litmus Test (TBD, Bob Baffert); Great White (Alex Achard, John Ennis); Ocelli (TBD, Whit Beckman); Robusta (TBD, Doug O’Neill)
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Douglas Scharbauer and Three Chimneys Farm’s Always a Runner galloped a mile and a half under Oscar Becerra Laynen for trainer Chad Brown.
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           Brown said the undefeated winner of the Gazelle (GIII) would work Friday morning at 7:15 with jockey Jose Ortiz up.
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina galloped Thursday morning at 7:15 a.m. and is scheduled to work Friday for trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           BOTTLE OF ROUGE/EXPLORA – Jill Baffert’s Bottle of Rouge and Mike Pegram, Karl Watson and Paul Weitman’s Explora are expected to arrive at Churchill Downs this afternoon after leaving their Southern California base early Thursday morning.
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – Trainer Mark Casse sent his two Kentucky Oaks hopefuls out under the lights at Churchill Downs shortly after the track opened Thursday morning for half-mile works.
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           First up was Tracy Farmer’s Search Party. With Cristian Torres up, Search Party clicked off fractions of :11.80 and :23.20 with the half-mile in :47.60. She galloped out five furlongs in 1:00.40 and six furlongs in 1:13.80.
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           “That was probably as good as she has ever worked,” Casse said of the Fantasy (GII) runner-up.
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           A few minutes later, West Point Thoroughbreds’ Fantasy winner Counting Stars worked a half-mile in:48.60 under Froylan Garcia.
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           Fractions on the work were :12.40, :24.60, :48 and out five furlongs in 1:01.20 and six furlongs in 1:15.
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           “We had to slow her down a little bit or otherwise she would have just zipped around there,” Casse said. “Pleased with all the works.”
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           MEANING/BROOKLYN BLONDE – Bridlewood Farm and Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners’ Meaning and Sun-Kissed Stables and Bobby Flay’s Brooklyn Blonde both galloped Thursday morning with Brooklyn Blonde out at 5:40 and Meaning at 7:15.
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           Isael Alvarez Perez partnered both fillies who are scheduled to work Friday morning according to trainer Michael McCarthy.
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           PARADISE/PROM QUEEN – NK Racing and LNJ Foxwoods’ Paradise and Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen both galloped Thursday morning at Churchill Downs for trainer Brad Cox.
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           Both fillies are scheduled to work Friday, according to Cox.
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           PASHMINA – Red White and Blue Racing’s Pashmina jogged a mile on her first day on track for trainer Rob Atras.
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           Jesse Sauter was aboard Pashmina who is scheduled to work Friday or Sunday depending on weather.
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           PERCY’S BAR – Hat Creek Racing’s Percy’s Bar, winner of the Ashland Stakes (GI) at Keeneland in her most recent start, worked a half-mile in :49.60 at Keeneland Thursday morning.
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           With jockey Luan Machado up, Percy’s Bar started 5 lengths in back of Tregetour, a 3-year-old maiden, and was even at the wire.
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           “It was perfect. Nice and easy,” trainer Ben Colebrook said. “She didn’t need to do much. She ships to Churchill Saturday morning. She will walk on Friday, train first thing Saturday morning at Keeneland and head to Churchill.
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           “She won’t do much at Churchill. Probably just gallop, go to the gate to stand, go to the paddock to school and that will be it.”
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      <pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 17:42:38 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 21, 2026</title>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 21, 2026
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Trainer Riley Mott’s two Kentucky Derby hopeful for Pin Oak Stud, Albus and Incredibolt, both galloped a mile and a half during the special reserved Derby and Kentucky Oaks training period from 7:15-7:30 a.m. (all time Eastern).
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           Incredibolt won the Street Sense (GIII) here last October and this morning’s exercise under exercise rider Charlotte O’Connell enabled him to get reacquainted with the surface.
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           “He looked super out there; he’s a good training horse,” Mott said.
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           Mott said schooling sessions at the paddock and the gate for the two runners were in the cards leading up to the Derby with final works scheduled for the weekend.
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           Antonio Garcia was aboard Albus this morning and handled the :49 half-mile breeze last Saturday here. Mott said that jockey Jaime Torres, who has the mount on Incredibolt for the Derby, would probably be aboard for the colt’s final pre-Derby work.
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Mike and K.K. Ball’s Chief Wallabee walked the shedrow at trainer Bill Mott’s barn the morning after working five furlongs in 1:00.
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           CHIP HONCHO – Trainer Steve Asmussen’s Kentucky Derby hopeful, Leland Ackerley Racing, James Sherwood, Jode Shupe and John Cilia’s Chip Honcho galloped at 7:15 a.m. under Roberto Howell. 
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort and Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado all galloped Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           Commandment and Fulleffort were out in the first training set at 5:15 a.m., with Katie Tolbert aboard Commandment and Edvin Vargas aboard Fulleffort. Further Ado galloped in the second set with exercise rider Jonathan Santiago aboard.
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           “All three are doing well after their works from last week,” Cox said. “We’ll gallop them a couple more days and have one more work.” 
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           Cox is monitoring the forecast as he decides between Friday and Saturday for their final major breeze.
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           DANON BOURBON – Danox Co. Ltd.’s Danon Bourbon left Japan and will arrive Tuesday evening in Chicago. He’ll undergo 42 hours of mandatory USDA quarantine prior to vanning to Churchill Downs.
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stables’ undefeated TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (GII) winner Emerging Market made his first on-track appearance for Kentucky Derby 152 by galloping a mile and a half under exercise rider Luis Ortiz Trinidad for trainer Chad Brown.
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           Emerging Market had arrived at Churchill Downs early Monday morning after vanning from Payson Park Training Center in South Florida.
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           “I liked what I saw,” Brown said. “They (along with Oaks candidate Always a Runner) both floated over the track.”
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           Brown is keeping an eye on the weather regarding a final work for Emerging Market.
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           “It looks like there is some rain moving in Friday night, so I could push things back to Friday morning,” Brown said.
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           PAVLOVIAN – Reddam Racing’s Pavlovian, runner-up to Emerging Market in the Louisiana Derby (GII) for trainer Doug O’Neill, was en route to Churchill Downs from his Southern California base with a mid-afternoon arrival time expected.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party galloped Tuesday morning at 7:15 a.m. with exercise rider Robby Albarado aboard for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic, with Dass Garcia aboard, jogged a half-mile in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a quarter after coming on the track at 5:50
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           Trainer Mark Casse is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Tuesday and be trackside Wednesday morning.
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           SO HAPPY – Norman Stables and Saints or Sinners’ So Happy, winner of the Santa Anita Derby (GI) for trainer Mark Glatt, was en route to Churchill Downs from his Southern California base with a mid-afternoon arrival time expected.
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           STARK CONTRAST – Amerman Racing’s Stark Contrast galloped a mile and a quarter under Christian Garcia at 5:30 Tuesday morning for trainer Michael McCarthy.
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           THE PUMA – OGMA Investments, JR Ranch and High Step Racing’s The Puma arrived at Churchill Downs shortly after 9 o’clock for trainer Gustavo Delgado.
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           Winner of the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) and runner-up in the Florida Derby (GI), The Puma will be seeking to give Delgado a second Kentucky Derby winner to go with Mage in 2023. The Puma took up residence in Barn 42, Stall 10, the same spot Mage occupied three years ago.
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean (JPN) warmed up in the chute for about 25 minutes before galloping Tuesday morning under Takuya Nakano.
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           SHAPING UP: THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here is the top 20 preference list for the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) in alphabetical order (with jockey and trainer): Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Chip Honcho (TBD, Steve Asmussen); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert); Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse); Six Speed (TBD, Bhupat Seemar); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt); Stark Contrast (TBD, Michael McCarthy); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi). Also Eligibles: Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins); Litmus Test (TBD, Bob Baffert); Great White (TBD, John Ennis); Ocelli (TBD, Whit Beckman).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Douglas Scharbauer and Three Chimneys Farm’s undefeated Gazelle (GIII) winner Always a Runner made her first on-track appearance by galloping a mile and a half under Oscar Becerra Laynen.
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           “I liked what I saw,” trainer Chad Brown said. “They (along with Derby candidate Emerging Market) both floated over the track.”
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           Brown is keeping an eye on the weather regarding a final work for Always a Runner.
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           “It looks like there is some rain moving in Friday night, so I could push things back to Friday morning,” Brown said.
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina made her first appearance at Churchill Downs since November. The Golden Rod (GII) and Fasig-Tipton Rachel Alexandra (GII) winner galloped about 1 ¼ miles at 7:15 a.m. for trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           Jockey Tyler Gaffalione has the mount in the Oaks.
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – Trainer Mark Casse’s two Kentucky Oaks candidates, West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars and Tracy Farmer’s Search Results, were on the track at 5:50 for their morning activity.
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           Froylan Garcia was on Counting Stars and Elver Vargas was on Search Party as both jogged a half-mile in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a half.
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           PROM QUEEN – Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen galloped at 9:40 a.m. with exercise rider/assistant trainer Katie Tolbert. 
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           KENTUCKY DERBY, OAKS MORNING WORKOUTS OPEN TO THE PUBLIC THURSDAY, APRIL 23 THROUGH WEDNESDAY, APRIL 29 – Starting Thursday and continuing through Wednesday, April 29, Churchill Downs will be open free-of-charge daily from 6:45-10 a.m. so guests can watch the nation’s top 3-year-old Thoroughbreds train toward their engagements in this year’s Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks during Dawn at the Downs.
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           Horses train on Churchill Downs’ main track daily from 5:15-10 a.m. There is an exclusive training window only for Derby and Oaks participants from 7:15-7:30 a.m. following the 6:45-7:15 a.m. renovation break. Those horses will be identified by special saddle towels that include their names: yellow saddle towels for Derby horses and pink saddle towels for Oaks contenders. 
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           Guests can park for free in the Yellow Lot off Longfield Ave. (all vehicles must be removed by 10:30 a.m.) and enter Churchill Downs through the Clubhouse Gate. Guests will be directed to Sections 115-117 to watch the morning workouts. 
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           On Monday, fans can enjoy a premium breakfast in Millionaires Row or the Stakes Room for Dawn at the Downs Dining. Tickets and more information can be found at www.kentuckyderby.com/visit/derby-week-events/dawn-at-the-downs/ 
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           The 152nd runnings of the $1.5 Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) and $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) will be held Friday, May 1 and Saturday, May 2, respectively. Opening Day of Derby Week and the 44-day Spring Meet is Saturday at 12:45 p.m. 
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      <pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 16:50:04 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 22, 2026</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-22-2026</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 22, 2026
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Pin Oak Stud’s Albus and Incredibolt had routine mile and a half gallops during the 7:15-7:30 Derby/Oaks training window for trainer Riley Mott. Antonio Garcia was on Albus, winner of the Wood Memorial (GII) and Charlotte O’Connell partnered Incredibolt, winner of the Virginia Derby.
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           With storms in the forecast for Friday afternoon, Mott plans to work Friday morning “or I could push it back to Sunday.”
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           The son of Hall of Famer Bill Mott who saddled his first Derby starter in 1984 before Riley was born, Riley is no stranger to the Derby scene that he is stepping into for the first time as a trainer.“
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           The first Derby I saw here, I think it was Smarty Jones in 2004,” Riley said. “I was a big Smarty Jones fan and (runner-up) Lion Heart too.”
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           CHIEF WALLABEE – Mike and K.K. Ball’s Chief Wallabee galloped a mile and a half at 7:15 under Marvin Orantes for trainer Bill Mott.
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           The training occurred during the special training window for Kentucky Derby hopefuls and previous Derby winners. That meant Chief Wallabee was followed on the track by 2025 Derby winner Sovereignty, who jogged a mile.
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           CHIP HONCHO – Leland Ackerley Racing, James Sherwood, Jode Shupe and John Cilia’s Chip Honcho galloped Wednesday morning for trainer Steve Asmussen as connections continue to monitor his Kentucky Derby status.
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           “We’ve timed it to where we plan on working him on Saturday morning, which is entry morning,” Asmussen said. “We need all the information you can possibly have, and we’ll obviously wait to make a final decision after his last work.”
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort and Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado warmed up in the chute before galloping Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs. All three horses are scheduled to have their final Derby breezes Saturday or Sunday.
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           DANON BOURBON – Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee Danon Bourbon arrived Tuesday evening in Chicago and will undergo 42 hours of USDA quarantine prior to shipping to Churchill Downs.
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stables’ Emerging Market galloped a mile and a half under exercise rider Luis Ortiz Trinidad for trainer Chad Brown.
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           “He got around there beautifully,” Brown said, adding “with the weather that looks like it is coming in late Friday, it looks like I will have to move the final work up to Friday morning.”
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           GREAT WHITE – Three Chimneys Farm and trainer John Ennis’ Great White worked a half-mile in :52.20 out of the gate at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington.
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           Fifth in the Blue Grass (GI) in his most recent start, Great White is 23rd on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard and would need three defections from anticipated entrants to make the main body of the 20-horse field.
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           Ennis plans to van Great White to Keeneland Saturday morning and onto Churchill Downs should he enter the Derby. All Derby and Oaks horses need to be at Churchill Downs by 11 a.m. Saturday.
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           INTREPIDO – Dutch Girl Holdings and Irving Ventures’ Intrepido jogged two miles under Alejandro Galindo for trainer Jeff Mullins.
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           Fourth in the Santa Anita Derby (GI) in his most recent start, Intrepido is 21st on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard and would need one defection from anticipated entrants to make the main body of the 20-horse field.
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           LITMUS TEST – SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Golconda Stable, Waves Edge Capital and Catherine Donovan’s Litmus Test galloped a mile and a half under Hector Garcia for trainer Bob Baffert.
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           Dan Ward, who is overseeing the Baffert string here, said Litmus Test is scheduled to work Friday
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           Seventh in the Arkansas Derby (GI) in his most recent start, Litmus Test is 22nd on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard and would need two defections from anticipated entrants to make the main body of the 20-horse field.
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           PAVLOVIAN – Reddam Racing’s Pavlovian jogged a mile under Tony Romero for two-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer Doug O’Neill at 7:15.
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           Romero said Pavlovian is scheduled to work Sunday.
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           Also jogging a mile under Romero was Calumet Farm’s Robusta who was seventh in the Santa Anita Derby (GI) in his most recent start.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Chester Broman Sr.’s Right to Party galloped Wednesday morning for trainer Kenny McPeek and is scheduled to have one more work prior to Kentucky Derby 152. 
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           The colt will be ridden by 20-year-old Chris Elliott in the Derby, who is expected to arrive at Churchill Downs in seven days.
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic, second in the Arkansas Derby (GI) in his most recent start, jogged a half-mile in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a half under Dass Garcia at 5:15.
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           Trainer Mark Casse said that Silent Tactic would work at 7:15 Thursday morning.
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           SO HAPPY – Norman Stables and Saints or Sinners’ Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner So Happy jogged a mile during the Derby-Oaks training period under Gustavo Alvarado for trainer Mark Glatt.
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           Glatt is scheduled to arrive in Louisville this afternoon with plans to work So Happy Friday morning.
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           STARK CONTRAST – Amerman Racing’s Stark Contrast galloped a mile and a quarter under Christian Garcia after coming on the track at 5:25.
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           THE PUMA – OGMA Investments, JR Ranch and High Step Racing’s The Puma tack-walked in Barn 42 Wednesday morning.
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           “We wanted to give him an extra day,” Gustavo Delgado Jr. said of the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up. “He will not have a work but may have a strong gallop Monday or Tuesday.”
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           Three years ago, Delgado and his father captured Derby glory with Mage, who had his final work before the Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs.
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           The schedule will be varied this time as Gustavo Delgado pointed, “his last work was very, very strong (at Gulfstream Park).”
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           That work was last Saturday in 1:00.60 with jockey Javier Castellano up.   
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean (JPN) galloped Wednesday morning and is scheduled to work six furlongs Friday.
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           SHAPING UP: THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here is the top 20 preference list for the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI)
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            in alphabetical order
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           (with jockey and trainer): Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Chip Honcho (TBD, Steve Asmussen); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert); Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse); Six Speed (TBD, Bhupat Seemar); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt); Stark Contrast (TBD, Michael McCarthy); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi). Also Eligibles: Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins); Litmus Test (TBD, Bob Baffert); Great White (TBD, John Ennis); Ocelli (TBD, Whit Beckman).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           ALWAYS A RUNNER – Douglas Scherbauer and Three Chimneys Farm’s Always a Runner galloped a mile and a half under Oscar Becerra Laynen.
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           Trainer Chad Brown said the Gazelle (GIII) winner would work Friday morning.
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina galloped about 1 ½ miles early Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs and will have her final Oaks work this weekend. 
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars and Tracy Farmer’s Search Party jogged a half-mile in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a half.
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           Froylan Garcia partnered Counting Stars while Elver Vargas was on Search Party.
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           Trainer Mark Casse said the two fillies would work at 5:15 Thursday morning.
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           MEANING/BROOKLYN BLONDE – Trainer Michael McCarthy’s two Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) Bridlewood Farm and Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners’ Meaning and Sun-Missed Stables and Bobby Flay’s Brooklyn Blonde galloped a mile with Brooklyn Blonde on the track at 5:25 and Meaning at 7:15. Isael Alvarez Perez galloped both fillies.
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           Brooklyn Blonde is 16th on the Oaks leaderboard and would need two defections for the roster of anticipated Oaks entrants to be in the main body of the race.
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           MY MISS MO – Averill Racing, Mathis Stables and Tristan De Meric’s My Miss Mo worked a half-mile in :48.67 at Gulfstream Park Wednesday morning.
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           “She worked very well,” trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. said of the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) runner-up. “She will ship Friday and arrive at Churchill Downs early Saturday morning.”
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           Joseph plans to arrive in Louisville Sunday.
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           PASHMINA – Red White and Blue Racing’s Pashmina arrived at Churchill Downs at 4:30 Wednesday morning following a van trip from Belmont Park.
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           PROM QUEEN – Gary and Mary West’s Prom Queen schooled in the starting gate then galloped Wednesday morning around 8:45 a.m. under Katie Tolbert. 
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      <pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 18:32:54 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 20, 2026</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-20-2026</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 20, 2026
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           Edited Churchill Downs track notes
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           ALBUS/INCREDIBOLT – Pin Oak Stud’s Albus galloped a mile under exercise rider Antonio Garcia at 7:15 for trainer Riley Mott. Before Albus went to the track, Virginia Derby winner Incredibolt arrived at Mott's Churchill Downs barn at 6:15 from Palm Meadows Training Center in South Florida. Pin Oak also owns Incredibolt.
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           “It was his first day back (after working a half-mile in :49 on Saturday),” Mott said of the Wood Memorial (GII) winner.
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           CHIEF WALLLABEE – Mike and K.K. Ball’s Chief Wallabee worked with recent maiden winner Gilded Bandit going five furlongs in 1:00. Chief Wallabee produced fractions of :24.80, :36.60, :48.20 and 1:00 while galloping out six furlongs in 1:12 and seven-eighths in 1:26.60 according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols.
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           “It was a good work,” jockey Junior Alvarado said. “We added blinkers to see how he would handle them and he was very focused. He had a strong gallop out and did everything we wanted to.”
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           Trainer Bill Mott, seeking to become the first trainer since Bob Baffert in 1997-1998 to win the Derby in consecutive years, also was happy with the work from Chief Wallabee who was third in the Florida Derby (GI) in his most recent start.
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           “I thought it was very good, he finished really well and galloped out strong,” said Mott, who saddled Horse of the Year Sovereignty to victory in Kentucky Derby 151. “He’s an inexperienced horse (with three starts) and we put the blinkers on to give him a little something to help him focus.”
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           Sovereignty, who is scheduled to ship in to the Mott barn today following his runner-up finish in Saturday’s Oaklawn Handicap (GI), had two works here last spring before his Derby victory. Mott plans a similar path for Chief Wallabee with a final work coming next Sunday or Monday depending on weather.
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           COMMANDMENT/FULLEFFORT/FURTHER ADO – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Wathnan Racing’s Commandment, St. Elias Stable and Starlight Racing’s Fulleffort and Spendthrift Farm’s Further Ado all galloped early Monday morning.
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            Commandment, with assistant trainer and exercise rider Katie Tolbert aboard, jogged one mile and galloped one mile, while stablemates Fulleffort and Further Ado each galloped about 1 ½ miles under exercise rider Edvin Vargas.
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           Cox was at Keeneland Monday and will return to Churchill Downs Tuesday.
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           EMERGING MARKET – Klaravich Stables’ undefeated Louisiana Derby (GII) winner Emerging Market arrived at Churchill Downs at 5 a.m. with a string of trainer Chad Brown’s horses from Payson Park Training Center in South Florida.
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           RIGHT TO PARTY – Trainer Kenny McPeek’s Kentucky Derby hopeful jogged Monday morning with exercise rider Robby Albarado aboard for owner Chester Broman Sr.. It was Right to Party’s first time returning to the track since working five furlongs in 1:00.80 Saturday morning.
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           SILENT TACTIC – John Oxley’s Silent Tactic, runner-up in the Arkansas Derby (GI) in his most recent start, jogged two miles in the mile chute shortly after the track opened for training at 5:15. Dass Garcia was aboard.
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           “It’s a lot quieter back in the chute,” said Allen Hardy, assistant to trainer Mark Casse. “He will train early tomorrow and Mark will be here Wednesday morning and we will probably go during the Derby training period.”
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           STARK CONTRAST – Amerman Racing’s Stark Contrast jogged at 5:30 with exercise rider  Christian Garcia aboard for trainer Michael McCarthy. A decision on whether to run in the Kentucky Derby or the American Turf has not been announced.
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           WONDER DEAN (JPN) – Yoshinari Yamamoto’s Wonder Dean (JPN), jogged in the chute, jogged about one mile on the main track and schooled in the starting gate Monday morning.
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           His country mate and fellow Kentucky Derby contender, Danon Bourbon, was on a flight Monday to Chicago and is scheduled to undergo 42 hours of USDA quarantine prior to arriving at Churchill Downs.
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES – Trainer Steve Asmussen’s Kentucky Derby hopeful, Leland Ackerley Racing,  James Sherwood, Jode Shupe and John Cilia’s Chip Honcho, jogged at 7:15 a.m. with exercise rider Roberto Howell aboard and was accompanied by Asmussen’s chief assistant  Scott Blasi on the pony. The colt needs one defection to make the field for Kentucky Derby 152.
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            SHAPING UP: THE $5 MILLION KENTUCY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (GI) – Here is the top 20 preference list for the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) in
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           alphabetical order
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            (with jockey and trainer): Albus (Manny Franco, Riley Mott); Chief Wallabee (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Commandment (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Danon Bourbon (Atsuya Nishimura, Manabu Ikezoe); Emerging Market (Flavien Prat, Chad Brown); Further Ado (John Velazquez, Brad Cox); Fulleffort (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox); Golden Tempo (Jose Ortiz, Cherie DeVaux); Incredibolt (Jaime Torres, Riley Mott); Iron Honor (TBD, Chad Brown); Pavlovian (Edwin Maldonado, Doug O’Neill); Potente (Juan Hernandez, Bob Baffert); Renegade (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Right to Party (Chris Elliott, Kenny McPeek); Silent Tactic (Cristian Torres, Mark Casse); Six Speed (TBD, Bhupat Seemar); So Happy (Mike Smith, Mark Glatt); Stark Contrast (TBD, Michael McCarthy); The Puma (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Wonder Dean (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Daisuke Takayanagi).
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           Also Eligibles: Chip Honcho (TBD, Steve Asmussen); Intrepido (Hector Berrios, Jeff Mullins); Litmus Test (TBD, Bob Baffert); Great White (TBD, John Ennis).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           BELLA BALLERINA – Godolphin’s Bella Ballerina arrived at Churchill Downs around 1:30 p.m. Sunday. The filly is scheduled to record her final Kentucky Oaks breeze this weekend.
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           COUNTING STARS/SEARCH PARTY – Trainer Mark Casse’s two Kentucky Oaks hopefuls, Counting Stars and  Search Party jogged two miles in the mile chute shortly after the main track opened for training at 5:15.
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           Froylan Garcia was aboard West Point Thoroughbreds’ Counting Stars, winner of the Fantasy (GII) in her most recent start, and Elver Vargas was on Tracy Farmer’s Search Party, runner-up in the Fantasy.
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           LORELEI LEE – Skychai Racing’s Lorelei Lee, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start, worked a half-mile in company in :48.20 for trainer Mike Maker. She opened the work in company with Salty Senorita with a :24 first quarter and galloped out five-eighths in 1:01.40, according to Churchill Downs clocker Adam Wallace.
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           MEANING/BROOKLYN BLONDE – Santa Anita Oaks (GII) winner Meaning is scheduled to arrive from trainer Michael McCarthy’s Southern California base Tuesday afternoon according to Justin Curran, McCarthy’s Churchill assistant.
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            ﻿
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           Also on the plane is scheduled to be Brooklyn Blonde, the runner-up in the Santa Anita Oaks. Brooklyn Blonde is 16th on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks leaderboard and would need two defections from fillies under consideration for the race to make the field. Curran said Brooklyn Blonde would be pointed to the $700,000 Eight Belles Presented by Sysco (GII) on May 1 if she does not get in the Oaks.
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      <pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2026 17:34:16 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>NTWAB Eclipse Award Voting</title>
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           NTWAB Eclipse Award Voting
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            Click through to this pdf to view 2025 Eclipse Award voting by NTWAB members:
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           click here
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      <pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 14:26:38 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Triple Crown Nominations By The Numbers</title>
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           Triple Crown Nominations by the Numbers
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           There are 367 3-year-olds early-nominated to the 2026 Triple Crown. Nominations closed Jan. 26.
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           Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher leads all trainers with 31 nominees, followed by Bob Baffert (23), Chad Brown (22), Brad Cox (21) and Japan-based Daisuke Takayanagi (14).
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           Nominations include 37 from Japan, led by Godolphin's Japan-Road Kentucky Derby points leader Pyromancer, winner of the Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushun.
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           Last year there were 373 early nominees and five late nominations.
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           By The Numbers:
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           ·   281 – Kentucky-bred nominees, most of any state. Others: Japan (37), New York (11), Florida (10), California (7), Pennsylvania (5), Ireland (3), Maryland (3), Virginia (3), Indiana (2), Ontario (2), Great Britain (1), Louisiana (1), Minnesota (1) and New Jersey (1).
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           ·   171 bay horses. Other colors: dark bay/brown (84), chestnut (68), gray/roan (42) and gray (3).
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           ·   127 – Trainers with horses nominated to the Triple Crown.
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           ·   55 – Stakes winners nominated. 19 graded stakes winners.
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           ·   16 – Horses sired by Not This Time, the most of any stallion. Others: Gun Runner (15), Into Mischief (14), Nyquist (14), Constitution (13) and Maxfield (12).
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           ·   11 – Fillies Nominated: Bella Ballerina (trainer Brendan Walsh), Belle of the Barn (Caio Caramori), Counting Stars (Mark Casse), Dancin in Old Town (Keith Desormeaux), Energy Issei (JPN) (Daisuke Takayanagi), Goldmunze (JPN) (Daisuke Takayanagi), Perfect Town (Steve Asmussen), Ten Time Top (JPN) (Daisuke Takayanagi), Tokai Ma Cherie (JPN) (Daisuke Takayanagi), Unnatamsa (JPN) (Daisuke Takayanagi) and Zany (Todd Pletcher).
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           ·   Jan. 1, 2023 – Earliest foal among nominees: Star Ship (JPN).
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           ·   May 24, 2023 – Latest foals among nominees: Silver Prince.
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           Three-year-olds not nominated during the early phase can still join the Triple Crown trail by making a late payment of $6,000 by Monday, April 6 at www.thetriplecrown.com.
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           Thirteen horses have swept the Triple Crown: Sir Barton (1919), Gallant Fox (1930), Omaha (1935), War Admiral (1937), Whirlaway (1941), Count Fleet (1943), Assault (1946), Citation (1948), Secretariat (1973), Seattle Slew (1977), Affirmed (1978), American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018).
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      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2026 16:52:11 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Triple Crown Nominations 2026</title>
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           2026 Triple Crown Nominations in Alphabetical Order
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           Unnamed
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           (23)Coco Vin
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           (23)Free Flying Soul
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           (23)Killer Graces
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           (23)La Bombalina
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           (23)Sibaaq
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           (23)True Royalty
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           A
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           Aces Honor
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           r-Acknowledgemeplz
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           Act of Parliament
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           Al Arqraah
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           Albus
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           Amberjack
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           Arbiter
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           Associated
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           Attfield
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           B
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           Balboa
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           Banksy's
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           Baytown Dreamer
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           Bearister
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           Bedeviled
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           f-Bella Ballerina
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           Better America
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           Big Cuddle
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  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Big Tech
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bishop Booming
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bitmap
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Blackout Time
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Blacksmith
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Boyd
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Brant
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bravaro
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Brazilian Conexao
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bricklin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Brigante
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Buetane
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bull by the Horns
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Buntus Foclora
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           C
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Campobasso
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Canaletto
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cannoneer
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Captain Shreve
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Carson Street
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chaos Agent
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chayton
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cherokee Nation
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chess Match
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chianti Town
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chief Wallabee
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chip Honcho
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cierto
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Circle Tap
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Civic Charm
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Civil Liberty
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Class President
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Clocker Special
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Close the Gate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Code of Silence
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Code Review
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Colleague
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Colt Forty Seven
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Come Up Roses (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Commandment
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Commerce
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Comport
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Conducted
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Confessional
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Corona de Oro
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Counting Stars
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Courting
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Creole Chrome
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Criteria
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crossingthechannel
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crude Velocity
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crupper
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Curtain Call
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           D
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Dancin in Old Town
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Danon Andre (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Danon Bourbon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Danon History (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Dark Omen
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Day One Starter
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           D'code
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Decisive Win
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Deep Tracks
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Desert Gate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dirty Rich
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Doctrine
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dolan
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Donegal Rocks
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Donegal Time
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dorset (IRE)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Double Entendre
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dr. Kapur
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dr. Sinatra
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dragones
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Duntov
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           E
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Easterly
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Easy Company
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Easy Decision
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Easy Pick
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Embry Show
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Emerging Market
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Emilio
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Encore Again (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Energy Issei (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Enfield
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Enforced Agenda
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Englishman
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Epic Desire
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Epic Summer
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ewing
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Exosome
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Express Kid
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           F
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Falcon Jet
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Fancy Fairlane
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fancy Gentleman
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fifty Four Yarder
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Final Story
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           First in Class
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Flamboyant
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Follow Up
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Forty Twenty
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Fourth and One
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fulleffort
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Further Ado
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fuzzbuster
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           G
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Game for It
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ganda (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gaura Disco (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Geistreich (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gene King (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           General Graham
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Get Them Roses
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Ghostwritten
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gilded Bandit
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Givethedevilhisdue
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Global Aviator
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Golden Tempo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Golden Tornado
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Goldmunze (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grand Slam Sam
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grant the Great
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Great White
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Greenwich Village
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grittiness
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Growth Equity
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Guildmaster (IRE)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           H
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hadrian's Wall
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Halogen
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hard to Borrow
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hardtoblame
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hawk
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Herbs Bolt
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hermes Gang (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           He's Inevitable
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hey Dey
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hickman Creek
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           High Go
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Holding Power
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hollywood Import
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hulkamania
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hutchinson
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           I
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Incredibolt
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Independence Rise
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Infiltrate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Into the Beast
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Intrepido
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Iron Honor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Its the Bandit
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Itterasshai (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           J
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jackson Hole
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jericho
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Just the One
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Just Tipsy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           K
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Keiai Agito (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Kelce
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Khon Han
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           King of Heat
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kirkwood
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Knock It Off
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Krautrock (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kristofferson
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           L
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Leading Change
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Libeccio (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Liberty National
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Liberty Valance
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lighter
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lino Padrino
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Litmus Test
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Lockstocknpharoah
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lucky Kid (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           M
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mac Lir (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mach Seven
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Magazzini
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mailata
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Make My Day
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Manawa
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mapped Flight
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Marauder
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Max Capacity
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Max Haste
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Maximus Prime
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Meanstepper
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Memory
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mesquite
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Michael
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Minorinconvenience
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mischief Ride
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mo Koko
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mojacar
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Montana Jet
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Moonstrocity
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mount Errigal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Mr. A. P.
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mr. Miracle
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Municipal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           My World
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           N
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Napoleon Solo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Nearly
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           New Fund
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Newton
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Noble Affair
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Noble Edition
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Not to Worry
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           O
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Obliteration
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ocelli
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Omaha Front
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           One More Freud
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Only I Can Fix It
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ottinho
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Our Forefathers
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Our Magical Moon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ovechkin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Oxford Street
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           P
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Paladin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Palladion (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Pataliputra (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pauillac
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pavlovian
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pay the Piper
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Payton's Hammer
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Peace On Earth
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Perfect Town
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Peripoli
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Plutarch
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Potente
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Presidential Power
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Pretty Boy Miah
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Probably Dreaming
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Project Ace
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Props
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Puerto Rico (IRE)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pyromancer (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           Q
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Quality Mischief
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Quiet Power
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           R
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Radar Lock
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ramblin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rancho Santa Fe
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ready to Rumble (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Reagan's Honor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rebel Instinct
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Reclamation
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Redland Rebels
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Renegade
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Resolute Will
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rio Grande
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Robusta
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rock Ptarmigan (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rockies Balboa
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Roger That Dana
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Royal Causeway
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Royal Crescent
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           S
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sabino Canyon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Saint Lazare (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Salloom
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           San Giovanni
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Schoolyardsuperman
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Scope
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sculcos Folly
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sea Strike
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Secured Freedom
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Seize the Throne (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Sharons Beach
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Sharons Pharoah
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sigfrid
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Silent Tactic
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Silver Prince
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Silver Shot
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Silver Syndicate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Silver Talent
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sir George
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sistema Solar (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Six Speed
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sleepingonfreedom
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Smoovin Saturday
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           So Happy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Soldier N Diplomat
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Solitude Dude
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sorrentino
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Souper Caliber
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Spartacus
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Spirit of Royal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Stan Theman Musial
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Star Ship (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Stark Contrast
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Start the Ride
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Steel
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Steel Imperium
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Stop the Car
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Storming
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Straitshootinlarry
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Strategic Risk
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Street Beast
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sweeping Shadow
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Swift Blade
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           T
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           T O Kaiser (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tagano Abandonne (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Talk to Me Jimmy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Talkin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tariff Mindset
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tarkenton
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ted Noffey
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ten Magic Hour (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Ten Time Top (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Thailand
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           The Big Con (GB)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           The Hell We Did
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           The Puma
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Thomas
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Thunder Buck
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Thunderously
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Time for Music
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Time to Roll
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Titan King
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Toga Twist
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Tokai Ma Cherie (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Touch of Fire
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Treadstone
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Two Out Hero
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           U
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Universe
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Unnatamsa (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           V
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Veblen
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Versailles Road
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Very Connected
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Vivo Stavolta
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           W
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Whine Country
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           White Tiger
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Wild Cat Curlin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Wild Warrior
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Winston Ave
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Wonder Dean (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;strong&gt;&#xD;
      
           Z
          &#xD;
    &lt;/strong&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Zany
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Zihnal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Zimmer
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
            
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           f-Filly
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           g-Gelding
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           r-Ridgling
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2026 16:19:40 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/triple-crown-nominations-2026</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string" />
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: May 4, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-4-2025</link>
      <description />
      <content:encoded>&lt;div data-rss-type="text"&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           DAILY DERBY UPDATE
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           May 4, 2025
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           SOVEREIGNTY - Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott drew a crowd Sunday morning at Barn 19 as he and Godolphin’s director of bloodstock Michael Banahan reviewed the previous day’s proceedings at Churchill Downs.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Their Godolphin charge had run the race of his brief career on a sloppy Churchill Downs strip to come away a length and a half winner in the $5 million Kentucky Derby in front of 147,406 cheering fans and tens of millions of television viewers across the world.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           With Mott’s go-to rider Junior Alvarado in the saddle, Sovereignty overcame a series of obstacles in his mile and a quarter journey, chief of which was the dead-game colt Journalism whom he encountered entering the stretch in a showdown that had the crowd roaring. Digging in like the good horse he is, Sovereignty started to inch clear, then eased out front to his final margin at the finish line.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           “You know,” Mott said Sunday, “I’ve been in this game a long time and I’ve dreamed about having my horse go across the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby. And now it’s finally happened and it feels very good.”
           &#xD;
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           The trainer noted that his horse suffered “a small scrape – about four inches” on his right front pastern during the running, likely when he clipped heels with a rival right out of the gate. He said it was nothing serious, but that anything to do with a horse’s legs are always a concern.
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           “When I got back to the barn last night after the race,” he added, “he’d already eaten up, his tub was empty. Probably did it in 20 minutes. That’s unusual for a horse that had to run a race as hard as he did.”
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           The trainer said he’s likely give the horse two or three days off as he and the horse’s ownership connections considered whether to take the next logical Triple Crown step in Baltimore for the Preakness.
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           “We’ve got to consider all options with him,” he stated. “We certainly respect the Triple Crown and what it means, but we’re not dead set on it. We’ll have to let the horse tell us how he’s doing in the next little while and then we’ll go from there.”
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           JOURNALISM (Second) – “We’ve got no complaints.”
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           Trainer Michael McCarthy was reflecting on his Kentucky Derby experience Sunday morning at Barn 35 following his colt Journalism’s gallant effort in which he finished second behind Sovereignty in the 151st edition of the Run for the Roses.
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           His Curlin colt had a tough beginning in the mile and a quarter because of traffic and wasn’t able to obtain the close-up stalking position his connections had hoped for until well along on the backside, then turned in a stout run around the turn and into the lane, only to be outdone by the winner.
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           “With a field this size in a race like this, it’s all about the trip,” McCarthy said. “It didn’t quite work out the way we hoped, but he ran a good race against a good horse.”
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           The main thing, the conditioner said, was that his horse was “in good order this morning and everything going forward is now in play.”
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           That would indicate the possibility that his charge’s next start could be in two weeks in Baltimore in the Preakness Stakes and a possible second go-round with the Derby winner.
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           BAEZA (Third) – The Kentucky Derby third-place finisher was doing fine back at Barn 41 Sunday morning following his stellar effort in the mile and a quarter classic Saturday.
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           After almost not getting to compete in the race after being hung out on the Derby also-eligible list until Thursday evening, the good-looking son of the young stallion McKinzie took rider Flavien Prat for an adventuresome trip on a sloppy strip in which he closed through the lane with every stride.
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           “Quite a trip for him, this whole week,” trainer John Shirreffs said Sunday morning. “He’s never been on a wet surface before, so there was that. Then that big field and the bumping that went on. But in the end he ran well and we’re proud of him.”
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           The conditioner said the Preakness was not a consideration for the bay youngster.
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           “Too much for a West Coast horse to work with,” he said. “We’ll go back west, then look at the Belmont.” The third leg of the Triple Crown will be run this year on June 7 at Saratoga in upstate New York as Belmont Park continues to undergo its massive renovation. It also will be run at a mile and a quarter instead of the classic distance of a mile and one-half.
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           FINAL GAMBIT (Fourth) – Juddmonte’s Final Gambit was back at trainer Brad Cox’s Barn 22 Sunday morning resting after his fourth-place finish in Kentucky Derby 151.
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           “We’re really proud of his effort – especially this being his first start on dirt,” Cox said. “Maybe if the pace was a little bit faster it could’ve benefited him even more. Overall it was a good effort. He’s a good horse. We’ll see how it goes from here.” Final Gambit earned a 99 Brisnet Speed Rating.
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY (Fifth) – Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing’s Owen Almighty, who led the field into the stretch “seems to have come out of the race in good order,” trainer Brian Lynch said.
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           “We will let the dust, or mud, settle and talk with the team but possibly the ($500,000) Woody Stephens next.”
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           BURNHAM SQUARE (Sixth) – Whitham Thoroughbreds’ Burnham Square came out of his troubled sixth-place finish in the Derby in good order.
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           “I jogged him and he looks good,” trainer Ian Wilkes said.
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           Burnham Square was put in tight quarters at the half-mile pole when Admire Daytona (JPN) came in on him.
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           “In a 20-horse field, somebody is going to have trouble and I guess it was my turn,” Wilkes said. “I thought he ran a terrific race. He got stopped at the half-mile pole when everybody else was making their move and then he got going again to get sixth. Without the trouble, I think he would have been in the top three.”
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           Plans going forward for Burnham Square are to be determined.
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           SANDMAN (Seventh) – D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables’ Sandman was doing well Sunday morning following his Kentucky Derby run.
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           “He is good this morning,” said Allen Hardy, assistant to Mark Casse. “He ate up last night and jogged early this morning (at the barn).”
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           Casse indicated that the Belmont Stakes likely would be next for Sandman.
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           EAST AVENUE (Eighth) – Godolphin’s East Avenue was back at trainer Brendan Walsh’s Barn 10 Sunday morning following his eighth-place finish in Kentucky Derby 151.
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            “This was my second time running in the Derby and I was able to take it in a little more this time,” Walsh said. “The atmosphere is unbelievable. I’ve been in lots of places all over the world and this is second to none.”
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           East Avenue was given an 89 Brisnet Speed Rating, an eight-point regression from his Blue Grass Stakes runner-up effort four weeks ago.
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           CHUNK OF GOLD (Ninth) – Terry Stephens’ Chunk of Gold exited his Kentucky Derby run in good order according to trainer Ethan West.
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           “The horse is OK,” West said of Chunk of Gold, who will leave Churchill Downs around 10 a.m. to return to Turfway Park. “I think the mile and a quarter probably got to him. He will get a couple weeks off and there are plenty of 3-year-old races across the summer for him.”
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           TIZTASTIC (10th)/PUBLISHER (14th) – While things didn’t go as planned for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby, the veteran horseman still had reason to celebrate – he earned his record-extending 14th leading trainer title at Oaklawn.
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           The Asmussen family was represented Saturday at both tracks, with sons Erik and Keith accepting the trophy at Oaklawn, while Steve, his wife Julie, and their other son, Darren, were at Churchill Downs.
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           COAL BATTLE (11th) – Norman Stables’ Coal Battle was doing well Sunday morning according to assistant and exercise rider Bethany Taylor, who added, “he’s probably a little mad and grouchy this morning because he’s not used to being that far back.”
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           Trainer Lonnie Briley said he’s going to let the horse tell us where to take him next. He wants to watch and see how much the race took out of him. He thinks the track condition didn’t play a factor into how he ran but the rough trip.
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           LUXOR CAFÉ (12th)/ ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN) (19th) – From Kate Hunter, Japan Kentucky Derby liaison: “Both Japanese horses came back from the race in good condition. Junko Kondo’s Admire Daytona (JPN) was not a fan of the slop. He was well positioned, but it wore him out. Traffic ultimately thwarted Koichi Nishikawa’s Luxor Café who was unable to get a good spot early. Both could come back for the Breeders’ Cup Classic (GI) on Nov. 1 at Del Mar – no rain in Southern California.”
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           CITIZEN BULL (15th) – The morning after Derby was fairly quiet at Bob Baffert’s Barn 33. Right-hand man Jimmy Barnes was overseeing operations and he reported that their Derby colt – pacesetter Citizen Bull – had come back from his efforts in fine fettle.
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           “He’s fine,” Barnes reported. “He’ll walk for a couple of days and then we’ll see what’s up from there.”
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           Citizen Bull set quick early splits from his post 1 position under Martin Garcia, going :22.81, :46.23 and 1:10.78 for the first six furlongs. He ran out of gas from there and fell back to finish 15th in the 19-horse field.
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           Another Baffert runner – the Authentic colt Rodriguez – was also set to start in the Derby, but a bruised foot kept him in the barn Saturday. Sunday morning the trainer stated that his only Preakness runner would be Rodriguez, meaning that Citizen Bull shortly would likely be on a plane back to California along with the dozen other runners the conditioner shipped east to compete during the week.
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           AMERICAN PROMISE (16th) – BC Stables’ American Promise came out of his Derby effort in good order according to Bas Nicholl, assistant to trainer D. Wayne Lukas.
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           “Magnificent,” Nicholl reported of American Promise, who was part of the pace before beginning a retreat entering the far turn.
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           FLYING MOHAWK (18th) – It was a disappointing Saturday evening for the connections of Flying Mohawk who finished 18th in Kentucky Derby 151 after he experienced trouble in the first quarter-mile of the race.
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           “The sun still rose at Churchill and ‘Mohawk’ is still the man,” co-owner Jeff Berry said. “Thanks to Flying Mohawk and the entire team for an incredible life experience for the Berry family.”
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      <pubDate>Sun, 04 May 2025 17:07:49 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Wet Track Information</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/wet-track-information</link>
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           Wet Track Information
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           Posted May 3, 2025 at 9:45 a.m.
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            This morning's weather and the forecast for the remaining part of the day indicates a sloppy track is expected. The track may be sealed as well.
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           Wet track outlook based on Bob Ehalt's story in BloodHorse a few days ago.
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           Admire Daytona was second on a good track and fourth on a muddy one in a pair of maiden races.
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           American Promise broke his maiden on a muddy track at Oaklawn Park, but he was eighth in a maiden race on a sloppy track at Churchill Downs.
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           Coal Battle won his debut on a sloppy track and the Jean Lafitte stakes in the mud.
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           Ehalt reported Curlin, Journalism's dad, is an excellent wet-track sire. Curlin also sired Grande, but he is scratched.
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           Luxor Cafe has four starts on wet track with three wins and a close second. His sire American Pharoah won in the slop in the Rebel Stakes and Preakness.
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           Neoequos won a Florida-bred allowance race at Gulfstream Park on a sloppy surface.
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           Publisher was second on a muddy track at Oaklawn and third on a sloppy track at Churchill Downs, both of them maiden races.
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           Into Mischief is known for progeny who handle off tracks, according to Ehalt. He sired Sovereignty and Citizen Bull.
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           Sandman is by Tapit out of a Distorted Humor mare, which, according to Ehalt, gives him good wet-track bloodlines.
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      <pubDate>Sat, 03 May 2025 13:50:16 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: May 1, 2025</title>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE
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           May 1, 2025
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN) – UAE Derby (GII) winner Admire Daytona jogged in the one-mile chute.
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           AMERICAN PROMISE – BC Stables’ American Promise galloped about a mile and a half under Tayja Smith for trainer D. Wayne Lukas during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Looking on from the backstretch were co-owners John Bellinger and Brian Coelho. They had teamed with Lukas last year with their first Derby starter in Just Steel, who will be making his first Churchill Downs appearance since the Derby in Saturday’s $1 million Churchill Downs (GI).
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           “We thought we would probably be back (rather quickly),” said Bellinger, who arrived in Louisville Tuesday from San Antonio. “We knew we had three good colts and we have Perfect Force and Innovator in the Pat Day Mile (GII) on Saturday plus American Promise in the Derby. Wayne has done a wonderful job.”
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           BAEZA – The Kentucky Derby’s lone also-eligible still is on the outside looking in as race scratch time (9 a.m. Friday) closes in. His connections still have hope, though the window is very close to closing now.
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           Trainer John Shirreffs continued the process of preparing the McKinzie colt for a possible Saturday date. He put him through a strong two-mile gallop under exercise rider Frankie Herrate during the 7:30 to 7:45 special training slot for Derby and Oaks types.
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           The conditioner said he sent him the extra distance “To get him to settle. We need to keep his feet on the ground.
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           Part of the Shirreffs team who has been on hand to care for Baeza – Francisco Leal – has been quietly taking care of business back at Barn 41. He’s been with Shirreffs for more than two decades and worked for Hall of Fame trainer Charlie Whittingham before that. He’s Shirreff’s foreman and traveling guy and over the years has had his hands on many, many good horses.
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           Leal brought Giacomo to Churchill back in 2005 and rooted him on to his 50-1 upset. He was the guy alongside the mighty Zenyatta when she made her amazing run through the racing world from 2007 to 2010, too.
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           Back in the day, when the traveling outfit named Tex Sutton would fly horses most everywhere, Leal would literally fly in the planes with the horses. These days, Fed Ex is the method of transportation for equines and no humans are allow on board with them. So Leal books his flights on “regular” airlines.
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           BURNHAM SQUARE – Whitham Thoroughbreds’ Burnham Square galloped a mile under Mark Cutler during the 7:15-7:30 training window for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           Burnham Square will represent the second Derby starter for Wilkes, who saddled McCraken for the Whithams in 2017. Brian Hernandez Jr. rode McCraken and will have saddle duties on Burnham Square in Derby 151.
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           Wilkes, who was the exercise rider for 1990 Derby winner Unbridled for trainer Carl Nafzger and assistant to Nafzger when Street Sense won the 2007 Derby, has been exuding a positive vibe all week.
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           “I’m feeling good and he’s doing good,” Wilkes said. “That is all I can do until we lead him over there.” Owner Clay Whitham is expected to be at the track in the morning.
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           CHUNK OF GOLD – Terry Stephens’ Chunk of Gold galloped at 7:15 a.m. with trainer Ethan West in the saddle. Following Chunk of Gold’s training session, West had some special visitors come to his barn – WWE Superstars Maxxine Dupri and Natayla.
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           “Of course I have to pick a horse with the name ‘gold’ in it,” Dupri said. “He’s my Derby horse.”
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           Chunk of Gold was scheduled to school in race 2 on Thursday.
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           CITIZEN BULL/RODRIGUEZ – Trainer Bob Baffert’s duo of Derby colts were gallopers during the 7:15 to 7:30 a.m. special training period at Churchill Downs for Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks horses. They both galloped a solid mile and a quarter.
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           Exercise rider Eric Garcia was aboard Rodriguez, while Humberto Gomez was the guy for Citizen Bull.
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           Most observers and handicappers foresee the Baffert twosome being serious front-end candidates in the 20-horse Derby field that has it fair share of early speed. Citizen Bull, in particular, from his No. 1 post position has little choice to do anything but fire in order to avoid being left far behind early.
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           COAL BATTLE – Norman Stables’ Coal Battle was on the track early Thursday morning to visit the paddock and jog a mile under Bethany Taylor. The multiple stakes winner worked three furlongs in :36 on Monday and walked the previous two mornings.
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           “After a work, we walk two days. That’s the way I do it,” trainer Lonnie Briley said. “He’ll gallop Friday.”
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           EAST AVENUE – Godolphin’s East Avenue galloped during the 7:15-7:30 training window under Stephen Dolan for trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           FINAL GAMBIT – Juddmonte’s Final Gambit galloped at 7:15 under Joel Osorio for trainer Brad Cox.
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           FLYING MOHAWK – Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing and Kaleta Racing’s Flying Mohawk galloped at 7:15 under Maurilio Garcia aboard with jockey Joe Ramos and co-owner Jayson Werth looking on.
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           GRANDE – It was “the usual routine” for trainer Todd Pletcher and his Kentucky Derby charge Grande Thursday morning at Churchill Downs. And that was a good thing.
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           “Horses like routines,” the Hall of Fame and seven-time Eclipse Award winning conditioner noted.
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           That meant the drill for the Curlin colt was to gallop a mile and three-eighths under regular exercise rider Juan Suarez during the special 7:15 to 7:30 Derby/Oaks training period on an overcast morning in Louisville. He returned to Barn 39 for a bath and a hay rack in his regular stall.
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           Grande will be handled Saturday by Hall of Famer John Velaquez and come out of post 10 in the 20-horse field. The rider will be seeking his fourth Derby victory, while the trainer will be going for his third. They worked together to capture one in 2017 with the colt Always Dreaming.
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           JOURNALISM – The husky Curlin colt continued on his path to Kentucky Derby 151 Thursday morning at Churchill Downs when he went trackside during the special 7:15 to 7:30 period dedicated to Derby and Oaks runners. Regular exercise rider Marc Witkowski was attached and the pair turned in another solid gallop, underscoring his role as the favorite for America’s most famous race.
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           On hand to watch the drill was his primary owner, Aron Wellman, of Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners. Others in the ownership collective consist of Brian Spearman, breeder Don Alberto Stable (Chileans Liliana Solari and her son Carlos Heller), Bridlewood Farm (Leslie and John Malone), Elayne Herrick of Elayne Stables 5, Robert LaPenta, Mrs. John Magnier, Derrick Smith and Michael Tabor.
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           Also an interested observer Thursday was rider Umberto Rispoli, who’ll be aboard the bay for his mile and a quarter challenge Saturday. The Italian reinsman was asked if he did anything special in advance of a big race like the Derby. “No, not really,” he said. “I try to treat it just like I do all other races. At the end of the day it is just another race.”
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           LUXOR CAFÉ – Koichi Nishikawa’s Luxor Café warmed up in the mile chute and then at 7:15 moved to the main track and galloped under Naoto Suzuki for trainer Noriyuki Hori.
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           NEOEQUOS – C2 Racing Stable, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables and Stefania Farms’ Neoequos galloped during the 7:15-7:30 training window for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY – Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing’s Owen Almighty jogged in trainer Brian Lynch’s first set early Thursday morning with Antonio Orellano aboard.
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           Lynch turned 61 on Thursday and he hopes Owen Almighty can deliver a belated birthday present on Saturday.
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           “We’ll just play it from the break,” Lynch said of Owen Almighty, who will be piloted by Javier Castellano from post 20. “Then we will bide our time.”
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           PUBLISHER/TIZTASTIC – Trainer Steve Asmussen’s Derby duo of Publisher, owned by Gus King and the Estate of Brereton Jones, and Tiztastic, owned by Winchell Thoroughbreds, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor and Derrick Smith, galloped during the 7:15-7:30 training window. Roberto Howell was aboard Publisher and Carlos Rosas on Tiztastic.
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           RENDER JUDGMENT – Baccari Racing Stable, Dream Walkin Farms, MJM Racing and Rocket Ship Racing’s Render Judgment galloped during the 7:15-7:30 training window under Robby Albarado for trainer Kenny McPeek. He reportedly has a quarter crack that is being treated.
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           SANDMAN – D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables’ Sandman jogged a mile under Froylan Garcia for trainer Mark Casse during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           SOVEREIGNTY – Trainer Bill Mott who will be saddling his 14th Kentucky Derby starter with Sovereignty Saturday, kept a steady hand on the helm at Barn 19 Thursday morning as he continued to move forward toward the $5 million classic.
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           "We’ll take him around the paddock a few times this morning, then gallop him (under exercise rider Javier Cardona) around the track,” the conditioner noted. “Yesterday we took him to the paddock in the afternoon and he did OK. He got a little hot, but nothing special. We gave him some extra for lunch and he ate it all up. He ate up last night, too. The routine is good and so is he.”
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      <pubDate>Thu, 01 May 2025 18:31:17 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-1-2025</guid>
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      <title>Dick's Picks for Kentucky Derby 151</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/dick-s-picks-for-kentucky-derby-151</link>
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           DICK'S PICKS FOR KENTUCKY DERBY 151
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted May 1, 2025
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           Updated May 2, 2025 at 11:49 a.m. ET
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            I wrote detailed information about every horse in the field in the Overview I posted on Monday. A lot of reference material is there as well.
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           Here's a link for easy reference
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           The selections are good rain or shine. We anticipate a fast track, but the selections have good wet ratings.
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           May 2: Dick's Picks are updated after Grande's scratch.
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           May 2 RUMOR MILL HORSES: American Promise jogged two miles at 5:15 under Tayja Smith followed by his daily grazing session behind Barn 42. Trainer Lukas said American Promise may jog in the morning. Owen Almighty galloped a mile and three-eighths under Antonio Orellano at 7:50. Trainer Lynch said he would not go to the track in the morning.Render Judgment galloped during the 7:45-8 training window under Robby Albarado.
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           May 2, 9:00 a.m. ET: Grande was scratched by a state veterinarian. Owner Repole says the horse has tested clean for a foot issue, he's fine, and that the decision is confusing. We are told other scratches are coming. I hope to know more soon and will update this page after the dust settles.
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           May 2, 8:25 a.m.
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           Rodriguez did not play a part in Dick's Picks posted yesterday morning. I am thinking about how the announcement of his defection last night affects the race shape and will revisit Dick's Picks this morning. Obviously, one early speed horse is out, other early speed horses remain in the field, and Baeza is in the race at post 20 unless Owen Almighty or another horse scratches.
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           This year's analysis is broken down among early speed, stalkers and closers. I am leaning toward a closer and a group of four stalkers that includes Journalism.
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           Early Speed
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           Citizen Bull (#1) has worked four times since his disastrous Santa Anita Derby, twice without blinkers. It was decided he will continue to race with blinkers, which turned out to be a fortuitous choice because he drew the rail. With that draw and the blinkers, he has to be sent, doesn't he? In two turn races Citizen Bull has pretty much gone 23 and change and 47 and change. He might have run faster than that in the Derby to avoid being hemmed in, bumped or whatever as the field, seeking good first-turn position, funnels in after the gates open. If he builds a lead he might hang on around both turns for a little piece at the wire, but I like others better.
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           Neoequos (#2) faces the same challenges as Citizen Bull from post 2 and as a result could help insure a solid early pace. However, his credentials don't shout a top five finish.
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           Rodriguez (#4) and Citizen Bull are owned by partnerships that are mostly overlapping and of course they have the same trainer. Above all else they will avoid a speed duel. Rodriguez has more breathing room than his stable mate. Will he take the early lead as jockey Smith has promised, or will Citizen Bull or something else set the pace?
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            As between the two horses, and if all other things are equal, I would typically guess the one on the outside, but with Citizen Bull's need to avoid the pitfalls of post 1, he looks more likely.
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           n four starts at two turns, Rodriguez didn't get an early lead in two of them, and he produced sub-par figures. If he doesn't set the pace in the Kentucky Derby, can he win? Both his wins, including the Wood Memorial, came when he set the pace (46.20 in his maiden win, 47.40 in the Wood). Jockey Smith said that he discovered in the Wood Memorial Rodriguez just wants to be left alone, that he runs better if he isn’t bothered. Will being in a 20 horse field bother him? Probably not if he’s alone on the lead. Maybe so if he's not.
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           American Promise (#5) took six races to break his maiden. In his maiden win (first half in 47.40) he led at each call on a muddy track. Since blitzing the field in the one-turn Virginia Derby (45.40), he’s been off for seven weeks after trainer Lukas initially said he would probably run once more before the Derby. I have confidence about one thing: logic dictates American Promise will try to get the early lead. If it doesn't work out for him, there's always the Preakness.
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           One last thought about American Promise. I remember the 2002 Kentucky Derby when War Emblem and Proud Citizen finished 1-2 for Baffert and Lukas -- both at 20-1 odds -- after running 12s. Will American Promise and the Baffert horses get to the lead and slow the pace? Wouldn't that be to their advantage? It makes me crazy to think about 2002 happening again.
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           Admire Daytona (#6) ran on or right on top of the lead all the way through the UAE Derby to win by nose. He does not always run that way, and it is impossible to know how what he will do in this race. I am not using him in my selections because he did not finish off the UAE Derby very fast even though he won.
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           East Avenue (#12) has demonstrated an inability to perform well unless he has an early lead. He could do that if he's flying, and he is capable of running 46 and change. But if that is what happens, will he have enough energy left for the late running?
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           Owen Almighty (#20) has not demonstrated enough stamina to finish off the race, even if he does somehow get the lead. I don’t see him as much of a factor.
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           Stalkers
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           To my eye there are four stalkers, and any one of them could get the jump on the closers.
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           I look for Luxor Cafe (#7) to stalk and pounce coming out of the far turn. His devastating turn of foot could take him to the winner’s circle if his timing is right and his trip is clear. I’ve heard a knock that he hasn’t faced competition like this in Japan, but none of the Derby horses have faced this level of competition before.
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           I tend to think of Journalism (#8) as a closer, and he has been described as a closer, but his PPs reveal he is a stalker, which should help him avoid trouble. But he has a target on his back and ran into trouble running against only four horses in the Santa Anita Derby. To his credit, he overcame it. If there's a knock on him, it's that he's beaten a very small sample of horses in California, some of them more than once, where there's a limited supply of good stakes horses. A plus is that he's beaten the Baffert barn, with its seemingly unlimited resources, in all four of his wins. His only loss was his debut, the only one-turn race on his resume.
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           Grande (#10) has come a long way in a short time and still has upside potential. Trainer Pletcher is, in his own words, “cautiously optimistic“ about Grande. It has been said the real goal might be the Belmont Stakes. Assuming that is that is the case, Grande needs to run well in the Kentucky Derby to justify going in the Belmont. Pletcher's top horses are trained to run close to the pace. If Grande does that and gets the jump on the closers, it’s not hard to envision him having an impact.
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           Coal Battle (#16) could stalk, pick off horses in the turn and, if he has enough gas for the whole trip, put away some horses in the stretch. He has been showing controlled energy training at Churchill Downs. His calling card is his versatility, and he has a good turn of foot. He won the Smarty Jones Stakes setting a moderate pace on the lead. Next time out he won the Rebel Stakes when he was fifth after the first half-mile, eight lengths off the lead behind a lively pace. He was able to hold off Sandman, who was 13 lengths behind after a half-mile and narrowed the gap on the leader by 7 1/2 lengths in the next quarter-mile.
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           Baeza (#21) will break from the far outside post, but that could turn out to be post 16 if rumors pan out. From there he would have a better chance to get within a few lengths of the early pacesetter, which is his preferred style of running.
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           Closers
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           Final Gambit (#3) showed a devastating late kick in the Jeff Ruby Steaks, and jockey Machado says he might be better on dirt than synthetic. I became especially interested in Final Gambit when he was pulled up at the track kitchen in his final Derby workout. Ordinarily, I would like his inside post position draw, but Machado has commented sometimes Final Gambit does not run all that well when he's between horses. That comment down downgraded his chances in my book. However, Final Gambit is a play underneath. Machado is just going to have to work out the trip he needs.
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           Although he finished the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes slowly, Burnham Square (#9) earned a late pace figure just as good as that of Sandman's Arkansas Derby. His high dosage index (7.80), to which I made reference in my overview published Monday, give me pause about his ability to effectively get a mile and a quarter. To that point, Tuesday night I ran across a video of an interview with his exercise rider on X. He was articulate and seemed straightforward. After a discussion of Burnham Square's strengths, he mentioned the only concern is his stamina.
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           Flying Mohawk (#11) needs to improve quite a bit to make a dent in the race. It’s happened before and it could happen with him, but I have to go with others.
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           Stable mates Publisher (#13) and Tiztastic (#14) have shown an ability to grind on and pick up checks. Either one or both of them could hit the board, although I’m leaning more toward others. In my opinion, Publisher looks the better of the two based on recent workouts and his nine-furlong late pace figure of 87 compared to that of Tiztastic in his 9.5-furlong prep, an 81.
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           For whatever reason Render Judgment (#15) is catching money in early betting. He has alternated between closing and stalking. He has never shown the kind of speed figures that will get the job done in the Kentucky Derby. He has improved since he was a juvenile, but a Kentucky Derby win would be on a scale with Rich Strike.
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           Sandman (#17) has not lived up to his $1.2 million expectations, but he's close to coming into his own physically and mentally. Is he far enough along to win the Kentucky Derby? He apparently showed a bit of immaturity schooling in the paddock Tuesday, which is a concern, but at the same time all of these horse have some little something that could be better; and Sandman's appearances on the track have turned a lot of heads since arriving at Churchill Downs. Detractors point to him swerving out in the Arkansas Derby, but to my eye he was responding to a left-hand whip, not weakening.
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           Sandman needs an uninterrupted trip over a long distance. Jose Ortiz could turn post 17 to his advantage by staying outside of trouble. It would mean running a longer distance than some of them, but if can get Sandman in rhythm, those long legs will give him an advantage when the moment of truth arrives at the top of the stretch. Sandman is likely to keep running when many others have had enough.
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           Sovereignty (#18) was washy after galloping last week, but the issue dissipated over the weekend when he put in a nice workout although the gallop out did not measure up to that of Country House in 2019 for trainer Mott. Mott said he wasn't looking for a big gallop out this time. Sovereignty has good Brisnet late pace numbers, but his overall speed figures are not superior and he doesn’t rank well at all in Derby by the Speed Numbers (Section 5), where we examine four different methods of measuring speed. Despite all that, Sovereignty is the morning line second choice, presumably because he won the Street Sense at Churchill Downs in such dramatic fashion. What will the betters actually do when the serious money starts flowing?
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           Chunk of Gold (#19) ran a late pace Brisnet figure of 72. That makes him hard to endorse going in a race as long as the Kentucky Derby from such a poor post position. He's finished second in his last two races, and he is usable on the bottom.
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           DICK'S PICKS
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           I'm selecting SANDMAN in an attempt to upset JOURNALISM. The son of American Pharoah, LUXOR CAFE, could very well get it done, but BAEZA might outlast him. COAL BATTLE looks live, and I'm rooting for him and trainer Briley.
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           #17 SANDMAN
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           #8 JOURNALISM
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           #7 LUXOR CAFE
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           #10 GRANDE
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           #21 BAEZA
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           #16 COAL BATTLE
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           PLAY ON THE BOTTOM
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           #18 SOVEREIGNTY, #3 FINAL GAMBIT, #9 BURNHAM SQUARE, #1 CITIZEN BULL, #13 PUBLISHER, #14 TIZTASTIC
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           Sample trifecta tickets
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           7, 8, 17
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           with
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           7, 8, 10, 16, 17
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           with
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           1, 3, 7, 8, 9, 10, 13, 14, 16, 17, 18 = 108 combinations (3x4x9)
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           _______________
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           7, 8, 10, 16, 17 box = 60 combinations
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           Selections from the Works show cast
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           Joe Kristufek's selections
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           BURNHAM SQUARE
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           JOURNALISM
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           SOVEREIGNTY
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           LUXOR CAFE
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           CITIZEN BULL
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           James Scully's selections
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           SANDMAN
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           SOVEREIGNTY
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           CITIZEN BULL
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           TIZTASTIC
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           Kaitlin Free's selections
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           CHUNK OF GOLD
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           FINAL GAMBIT
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           Tony Calo's selections
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           BAEZA
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           Kevin Kilroy's selections
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           BURNHAM SQUARE
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           COAL BATTLE
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           SANDMAN
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           Rosie Napravnik's Top Kentucky Derby Workouts
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           RODRIGUEZ
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           AMERICAN PROMISE
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           EAST AVENUE
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      <pubDate>Thu, 01 May 2025 12:49:53 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/dick-s-picks-for-kentucky-derby-151</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 30, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-30-2025</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE
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            April 30, 2025
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN) – UAE Derby (GII) winner Admire Daytona had a planned walk day following his five-eighths breeze in 1:02.20 Tuesday morning. Admire Daytona is scheduled to school in the paddock Wednesday afternoon with horses in the fifth race.
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           AMERICAN PROMISE – BC Stables’ American Promise galloped a mile and three-eighths under Tayja Smith for trainer D. Wayne Lukas during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Derby and Oaks entrants.
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           BAEZA – The Kentucky Derby’s lone also-eligible continued to move forward in his training Wednesday morning while his connections continue to hope for the bit of help that would allow them to be a player Saturday in Kentucky Derby 151.
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           Baeza, a half-brother to 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage, as well as a half-brother to 2024 Belmont Stakes hero Dornoch, proceeded to head to the Churchill paddock with his pony for a couple of spins there, then back to the track to gallop once around under regular exercise rider Frankie Herrate. As they finished up, Shirreffs directed his rider to take the colt into the track’s mile chute and have him stand in the starting gate. With all that accomplished, they headed back to Barn 41.
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           Baeza and crew have until 9 a.m. Friday morning (scratch time for the Derby) to get “lucky” and get to run. If that doesn’t happen, it’ll be on to the Preakness Stakes in Baltimore. Trainer Shirreffs said, “We’re still hoping for a gift from the gods. What else are you going to do?”
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           BURNHAM SQUARE – Whitham Thoroughbreds’ Burnham Square galloped a mile and a half during the 7:15-7:30 window under Mark Cutler for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           Winner of the Blue Grass Stakes (GI), Burnham Square has not raced on an “off” track, something he could possibly encounter Saturday.
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           “He worked really good over it Saturday,” jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. said of Burnham Square, who drilled five furlongs in :59.40 over a track labeled as good. “Good horses can overcome a lot.”
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           Cutler, who was the exercise rider for 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, does not feel an off track would be a problem for Burnham Square.
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           “But Street Sense. No, no, no,” Cutler said with a laugh. “If it was raining, he didn’t even want to come out of the barn. I knew we were in trouble when it was sloppy for the (Breeders’ Cup) Classic at Monmouth when he was fourth.”
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           CHUNK OF GOLD – The Kentucky Derby colt went trackside during the special 7:15 to 7:30 Derby/Oaks only training session Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs. The gray son of Preservationist had trainer Ethan West on his back and they started out their exercise by first moving to the six-furlong pole and having a stand alongside a mounted trainer Helen Pitts Blasi, who has given West a home in her barn as he readies for his first crack at the Run for the Roses.
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           Chunk of Gold then moved out and galloped a mile and a half for West in advance of his Derby start, where he’ll begin from post 19 under rider Jareth Loveberry.
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           Trainer West indicated that his charge would afternoon paddock with the horses for today’s Race 3.
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           CITIZEN BULL/RODRIGUEZ – The duo of Bob Baffert colts got their exercise Wednesday morning during the special 7:15 to 7:30 session set aside for Derby and Oaks runners only at Churchill Downs. Both galloped under their regular exercise riders – Eric Garcia for the former and Humberto Gomez for the latter.
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           Doing a TV appearance with a local station on the Churchill backside, the Hall of Fame conditioner was asked about the Derby post positions for his charges – the 4 for Rodriguez and the 1 for Citizen Bull.
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           “The four for Rodriguez isn’t so bad,” he offered. “He’ll be OK coming out of there. As for Citizen Bull in the one hole, we’re going to have to use him early. We’re going to tell him to get out of there like he just robbed a bank.”
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           Rodriguez will be handled Saturday by Hall of Famer Mike Smith, who already has a couple of Derby wins under his belt and will be making his record 29th start in the Run for the Roses. “Bull” will have regular rider Martin Garcia aboard, who’ll be making his fifth start in the classic and be looking for his first victory.
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           In Baffert’s case, he’ll be saddling his 35th and 36th horses in the mile and a quarter and seeking to add to his six earlier winners.   
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           COAL BATTLE – Norman Stables’ Coal Battle had a walk day for trainer Lonnie Briley. The son of Coal Front is scheduled to return to the track Thursday morning.
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           Coal Battle is 2-for-2 on off tracks with daylight victories coming at Evangeline Downs and Delta Downs.
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           Exercise rider/assistant Bethany Taylor was asked if there was a difference between Kentucky mud and Louisiana mud.
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           “Mud is mud,” Taylor said. “The only difference is that in Louisiana there might be crawfish on the track.”
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           EAST AVENUE – Godolphin’s East Avenue galloped at 7:15 a.m. under jockey Stephen Dolan for trainer Brad Cox.
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           FINAL GAMBIT – Juddmonte’s Final Gambit galloped about 1 ½ miles Wednesday morning with Joel Osorio aboard for trainer Brad Cox.
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           FLYING MOHAWK – The Karakontie colt went trackside Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs just after the 7:15 to 7:30 special Derby/Oaks training session and galloped a mile and one half for trainer Whit Beckman with exercise rider Maurilio Garcia in the tack.
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           Flying Mohawk broke his maiden at Churchill last October on the turf and will be making his first start on dirt in Kentucky Derby 151. He’ll be accompanied by Joe Ramos and start from post 11.
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           GRANDE – The Curlin colt Grande went about his business as usual Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs as he moves ever closer to his date this Saturday in Kentucky Derby 151. He left from Barn 39 and headed to the racetrack for the 7:15 a.m. special training period with exercise rider Juan Suarez aboard and trainer Todd Pletcher following.
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           The conditioner has been happy with the flow of things heading to the big race. “The week has been good,” he said. “Grande has been handling things the way you’d hope.” Pletcher added that barring a rain storm, they’re planning to paddock the dark bay or brown youngster with horses for today’s third race.
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           His charge will break from post 10 on Saturday and have old pro John Velazquez attached. More than a few folks will recall that when Pletcher and Velazquez – Hall of Famer both – got together in 2017 on the first Saturday in May, they came away a winner with the colt Always Dreaming.
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           JOURNALISM – The Kentucky Derby 151 favorite had another good morning at Churchill Downs Wednesday, turning in a strong gallop under exercise rider Marc Witkowski during the special 7:15 training period as trainer Michael McCarthy looked on from trackside.
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           The three-time stakes winner, including most recently in the Santa Anita Derby (GI), has looked a picture since his arrival in Louisville, impressing onlookers who are both savvy and just awed. That goes for the man who has been on his back the most of late.
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           Witkowski, a native of Tucson, Arizona, has worked for McCarthy for the past two years after a seven-year stint in Southern California with the likes of John Shirreffs, Paddy Gallagher and Carla Gaines. He’s gotten on board more than a few good horses along the way, but he says he’s never been on one like Journalism.
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           “He just feels so good when he gallops,” said Witkowski. “He’s got a beautiful stride. I’ve never been on one that moves like him. Sweet – that’s the word for him.”
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           The son of super sire Curlin drew post 8 for his Derby run Saturday and will have regular rider Umberto Rispoli on board. They’ll have 19 rivals to beat that afternoon.
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           LUXOR CAFÉ – Luxor Café had a planned walk day following his five-furlong move in 1:02.20 Tuesday morning. Luxor Café is schooling with the horses in the fifth race today.
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           NEOEQUOS – C2 Racing Stable, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables and Stefania Farms’ Neoequos galloped at 7:15 then schooled at the gate for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. “All good, we’re ready,” Joseph said.
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY – Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing’s Owen Almighty galloped a mile and a half under Antonio Orellana for trainer Brian Lynch during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           Winner of the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII), Owen Almighty never has raced on an off track. “I hope it is good and fair for everybody,” Lynch said. “His breeding (by Speightstown) indicates he should handle it and we hope that works in our favor.”
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           PUBLISHER/TIZTASTIC – Trainer Steve Asmussen’s duo of Publisher and Tiztastic both galloped at 7:15 a.m.
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           Publisher, with Roberto Howell in the irons, and Tiztstic, ridden by Carlos Rosas, both warmed up on the one-mile chute prior to their training sessions.
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           “Derby week is so much fun,” Asmussen said. "It’s enjoyable to take it all in.”
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           RENDER JUDGMENT – Render Judgment galloped at 7:15 a.m. with Robby Albarado aboard.
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           SANDMAN – D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables’ Sandman galloped a mile and a half under Froylan Garcia for trainer Mark Casse during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           A son of Tapit out of a Distorted Humor mare, Sandman never has raced on an off track.
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           SOVEREIGNTY – The son of top sire Into Mischief continued on his path to Kentucky Derby 151 with no hitches to speak of and a steady flow that continued Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           The bay colt came out of trainer Bill Mott’s Barn 19 in time for the 7:15 to 7:30 special Derby/Oaks training period on the big oval on a warm morning with a fast track underneath his hooves.
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           Exercise rider Javier Cardona steered the youngster first to the Churchill paddock, then took him back trackside for a good gallop around the big oval.
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           “No complaints yet,” noted his Hall of Fame conditioner.
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           The Godolphin homebred is schedule to paddock school this afternoon. Saturday he’ll be reunited with regular rider Junior Alvarado as they come out of Gate 18 in the Run for the Roses.
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      <pubDate>Thu, 01 May 2025 02:53:33 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 29, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-29-2025</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE
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           April 29, 2025
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN) – Trained by Yukihiro Kato, Junko Kondo’s Admire Daytona worked five furlongs in 1:02.40 with Yoshimitsu Niyashita aboard. Working in company with the 3-year-old Dale Romans-trained maiden winner Greatdayforhockey, Admire Daytona produced fractions of :13.40, :25.60, :49.40, 1:02.40 and out six furlongs in 1:16.20.
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           “Up until now he’s been just training on his own just maintaining condition from Dubai,” Kato said of the UAE Derby (GII) winner. “Today we wanted to train him in company to tighten the screws down and it was perfect. He is a horse that thrives off a challenge. We really appreciate Dale Romans helping us out today.”
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           AMERICAN PROMISE – BC Stables’ American Promise galloped a mile and a half under Tayja Smith for trainer D. Wayne Lukas at 7:15. Looking on from the backstretch was jockey Nik Juarez, who will have the mount in Kentucky Derby 151 that will mark his inaugural foray in the Run for the Roses.
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           “I am just taking it all in,” said Juarez, whose agent is three-time Kentucky Derby-winning rider Gary Stevens. “He told me to just soak it all in.”
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           Juarez was aboard American Promise for the first time when he won the Virginia Derby by 7 3/4 lengths on March 15 at Colonial Downs. “He was exceptional that day and he did what Mr. Lukas was expecting him to do,” Juarez said.
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           Stevens will have Juarez busy on Saturday with four mounts before the Derby plus one in the nightcap on the 14-race program. So, what will the Derby rookie be thinking about when he guides American Promise into post 5 on Saturday? “I’ll be in the gate with confidence and wait for the gate to pop,” Juarez said.
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           BAEZA – The Kentucky Derby’s lone also-eligible went about his business Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs as his people hope for that touch of good fortune that will get him in the starting gate this Saturday.
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           The McKinzie colt had regular exercise rider Frankie Herrate in the irons as they headed out during the Derby/Oaks special training period at 7:15 a.m. on a warm morning in Louisville. Their first stop was the new paddock at the ancient oval and the bay handled that just fine. From there they came back to the racetrack and put in a good gallop of approximately a mile and a quarter.
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           The day prior, he’d turned in his final Derby work by going 1:02 for five furlongs. Trainer John Shirreffs looked on Tuesday from the Lukas Gap area.
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           “We just want to keep him from getting too fresh now,” the veteran conditioner said. “Keep that nose to the grindstone, so to speak. Later in the week we’ll lighten it up.”
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           Currently Baeza is No. 21 on the Derby list and is needing one of the 20 scheduled runners to withdraw from the mile and a quarter before the 9 a.m. scratch time Friday for the big race. Eclipse Award winner Flavien Prat is listed as the rider, if the bay gets to do his thing.
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           BURNHAM SQUARE – Whitham Thoroughbreds’ Burnham Square galloped a mile and a half under Mark Cutler at 7:15 for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           A victory by Burnham Square on Saturday would put Wilkes into some exclusive company as one of 12 trainers to saddle a Kentucky Derby winner and a Breeders’ Cup Classic winner. Wilkes saddled Fort Larned to victory in the 2012 Classic at Santa Anita for Janis Whitham with Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard. Hernandez has the mount on Burnham Square on Saturday.
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           Whitham Thoroughbreds has six horses with Wilkes now, and the trainer was asked what a Derby victory for his longtime clients would mean. “I can’t explain it,” Wilkes said. “It would mean so much to the staff. I would like to try to answer that Saturday evening.”
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           CHUNK OF GOLD – Terry Stephens’ Chunk of Gold visited the Kentucky Derby starting gate and then galloped a mile and a half under trainer Ethan West during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           CITIZEN BULL/RODRIGUEZ – Trainer Bob Baffert’s two Derby colts – Rodriguez and Citizen Bull – had different agendas Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs. The latter was only a shedrow walker (he’s drilled a nifty bullet :58.40 Monday), but the former took to galloping during the special Derby/Oaks training period under exercise rider Eric Garcia. Rodriguez took care of business and returned to Barn 33 in good order.
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           Come Saturday, both runners figure to be busy early as likely members of the forward contingent in Kentucky Derby 151. Citizen Bull drew the rail and rider Martin Garcia will have last year’s 2-year-old champ going full tilt ASAP. Hall of Famer Mike Smith is assigned to Rodriguez again (they most recently had captured the Wood Memorial in New York) and his front-running style indicates he’ll be in the hunt from the git-go, too.
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           Trainer Baffert, a six-time winner of the Kentucky Derby, is back in town and back in action after being sidelined for three years after his horse Medina Spirit failed a post-race drug test in 2021. Baffert, a member of horse racing’s Hall of Fame since 2009, said one of the things he’s happiest about is his chance to be back in action with his good ‘other’ horses on the Derby undercard.
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           "You know, they always have a terrific undercard for the Derby with lots of good opportunities for good horses,” he said Tuesday morning on the Churchill backstretch. “I had good horses over the past three years and never got to run them here.
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           “But I’m back doing it now (he has five horses in undercard races on Saturday) and have spots for my horses to run. That’s one of the best things of all for me and for my owners.” 
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           COAL BATTLE – Norman Stables’ Coal Battle walked the shedrow as Barn 42 a day after working three furlongs in :36 under Bethany Taylor. Owner Robbie Norman from Alabama was on hand and enjoying the Derby experience.
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           “We’ve been here since Saturday before the draw,” Norman said. “I have never been to the Derby. I had a horse here in 2022 (with trainer Lonnie Briley) on the Thursday before, but the traffic was so bad, I just turned around and decided I wouldn’t come back until I had a horse in it.”
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           Briley has been training for Norman for 13 years.
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           EAST AVENUE – Godolphin’s East Avenue galloped a mile and a quarter at 7:15 under Stephen Dolan for trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           FINAL GAMBIT – Juddmonte’s Final Gambit galloped a mile and a half under Joel Osirio for trainer Brad Cox at 7:15.
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           FLYING MOHAWK – Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing and Kaleta Racing’s Flying Mohawk galloped at 7:15 under Maurilio Garcia for trainer Whit Beckman.
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           GRANDE – The Wood Memorial (GII) runner-up continued his training for Kentucky Derby 151 with a solid gallop of about a mile and three-eighths Tuesday morning during the 7:15 to 7:30 special period for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Exercise rider Juan Suarez was at the controls and trainer Todd Pletcher was a very interested observer.
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           Things are flowing fine during Derby week for the Hall of Fame conditioner, who knows a thing or two about how the drill works at Churchill Downs. When he puts the saddle on his Curlin colt Saturday, it will be the 66th time he’s sent a horse out in America’s most famous race. Not surprisingly, that’s a record – by a clear margin.
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           “We’ve got him lined up to do some paddock schooling in the third race Wednesday,” Pletcher noted. Hall of Famer John Valezquez will be aboard Grande and come out of Post 10 on Saturday.
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           JOURNALISM – The well-made Curlin colt known as Journalism continued Tuesday morning to move toward his date with destiny in Kentucky Derby 15.
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           With regular exercise rider Marc Witkowski doing the steering, the likely Kentucky Derby favorite merely jogged a mile, then spent some time getting used to the starting gate. It all went well for the bay who comes into Run for the Roses with three straight graded stakes on his ledger, the most recent being the Grade I Santa Anita Derby.
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           Trainer Michael McCarthy oversaw the proceedings and continues to navigate his way through a hectic week. The 54-year-old, who spent his growing-up-years in Southern California and now calls that part of the world his training headquarters, said he always enjoys coming back to Kentucky.
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           “In a lot of ways Louisville feels like home,” he said. “I had all those years here with Todd (he was an assistant for Todd Pletcher for 11 years), so I know my way around a bit. If I want to go for a nice dinner, Jack Fry’s is one of my favorites. And there are a couple of watering holes around town where I like to stop by. But I’m not drinking this week. I’ve got other things to do.”
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           LUXOR CAFÉ – Koichi Nishikawa’s Luxor Café worked five furlongs in 1:02.40 with jockey Joao Moreira aboard. Fractions on the work were :13.40, :26, :37.80 and 1:02.40.
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           “Today I was asked to canter a lap as a warm up,” Moreira said of the colt trained by Noriyuki Hori. “Then I galloped him from the five-furlong pole. It was just an easy work, just to keep him ticking over. The horse felt good, relaxed and had good rhythm throughout. I was happy with his action and focus. He pulled up well. Looking forward to the challenge of riding him in the Kentucky Derby.”
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           NEOEQUOS – C2 Racing Stable, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables and Stefania Farms’ Neoequos galloped at 7:15 for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY – Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing’s Owen Almighty galloped a mile and a half at 7:15 under Antonio Orellana for trainer Brian Lynch. Javier Castellano, who savored Derby success with Mage in 2023, will be aboard Owen Almighty for the first time in Derby 151 and exit post 20.
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           “He has tactical speed and he can sit off the pace,” Lynch said of his three-time stakes winner. “Then we’ll see what happens.”
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           Owen Almighty is scheduled for a paddock schooling session in Wednesday’s third race.
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           PUBLISHER/TIZTASTIC – Trainer Steve Asmussen’s Derby duo jogged during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           RENDER JUDGMENT – Baccari Racing Stable, Dream Walkin Farms, MJM Racing and Rocket Ship Racing’s Render Judgment galloped at 7:15 under Robby Albarado for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           SANDMAN – D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables’ Sandman galloped a mile and a quarter at 7:15 under Froylan Garcia for trainer Mark Casse.
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           Jose Ortiz, who rode Sandman to victory in the Arkansas Derby (GI) in his most recent start, will be aboard for the fourth time on Saturday. Ortiz rode Sandman in his debut here last June and also in the Iroquois (GIII) in September before reuniting at Oaklawn Park.
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           “Jose said he rode him terrible the first time,” Casse said. “Before the Arkansas Derby, we watched tapes of the Southwest (GIII) and Rebel (GII) and the key is to let him get into his stride, and Jose let him settle (in the Arkansas Derby).”
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           Sandman finished third in the Street Sense (GIII) in his third Churchill start, but Casse does not feel the track will be an issue Saturday.
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           “A lot has been made of him not running well here,” Casse said. “The track was totally different last fall and now is the best I have seen it and I have been coming here 47 years. (Trainer) Dale Romans said the same thing last night and he has been here about as long as I have.”
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           Sandman is scheduled to school in the paddock this afternoon with horses in the third race.
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           SOVEREIGNTY – The colt who is the 5-1 second betting choice in the morning line for the Kentucky Derby was kept to the task Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs with regular exercise rider Guesler Cardona on his back.
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           He put in a good gallop, then went up and into the paddock with trainer Bill Mott on his pony as accompaniment. All went well in that regard.
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           Mott, who’ll be saddling his 14th Derby starter Saturday, looked a day ahead with his Into Mischief youngster. “We’ll probably paddock school him in the afternoon Wednesday,” he noted.
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           Sovereignty is scheduled to be ridden by Junior Alvarado in Derby 151 and they are drawn into post 18 in the 20-horse field.
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           .
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2025 16:56:31 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-29-2025</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>2025 PROFILE BUSTERS PROFILE</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/2025-profile-busters-profile</link>
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           PROFILE BUSTERS PROFILE
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           Posted April 29, 2025
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           UPDATED May 1 at 6:04 p.m. ET after the defection of Rodriguez
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           2025 PROFILE BUSTERS
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           RODRIGUEZ (7). There are eight categories and we no longer use one of them, leaving seven. Rodriguez scored in all seven of those categories.
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           GRANDE (5)
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           SOVEREIGNTY (5)
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           JOURNALISM (5) does not qualify as a Profile Buster because he's in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile Rankings. In fact, he towers over the field.
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           PROFILE BUSTERS RANKINGS
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           RODRIGUEZ 7
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           GRANDE 5
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           JOURNALISM 5 - does not qualify because he's in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile Rankings.
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           SOVEREIGNTY 5
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           CHUNK OF GOLD 4
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           TIZTASTIC 4
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           AMERICAN PROMISE 3
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           BAEZA 3
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           BURNHAM SQUARE 3
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           FINAL GAMBIT 3
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           FLYING MOHAWK 3
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           LUXOR CAFE 3
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           SANDMAN 3
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA
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           CITIZEN BULL 2
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           COAL BATTLE 2
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY 2
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           PUBLISHER 2
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           EAST AVENUE 1
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           NEOEQUOS 1
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           RENDER JUDGMENT 0
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           PROFILE BUSTERS DETAILS
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            1. First, four of the Profile Busters (GRINDSTONE [who paid $13.80], REAL QUIET [$18.80], CHARISMATIC [$64.60] and WAR EMBLEM [$43.00]) were trained by either D. Wayne Lukas or Bob Baffert.
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            AMERICAN PROMISE, CITIZEN BULL,
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           RODRIGUEZ
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            The year 2021 first included horses in this category that were trained by either Todd Pletcher or Doug O'Neill. Pletcher won the 2010 (Super Saver) and 2017 (Always Dreaming) Derbies with Profile Buster horses, and in 2012 (I'll Have Another), O'Neill won with a Profile Buster. He also trained 2016 Derby winner Nyquist, but Nyquist was in The Downey Profile Top 4.
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            GRANDE
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            2. Second, Profile Busters from Lukas, Baffert and others ran a triple digit Beyer speed rating in their final prep race.
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            JOURNALISM,
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           RODRIGUEZ
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            3. Third, 10 Profile Busters ran either first or second in their final prep. WAR EMBLEM won the Illinois Derby. CHARISMATIC won the Lexington Stakes. REAL QUIET was second in the Santa Anita Derby. GRINDSTONE was second in the Arkansas Derby. STREET SENSE was second in the Toyota Blue Grass. BIG BROWN won the Florida Derby. SUPER SAVER was second in the Arkansas Derby. I'LL HAVE ANOTHER won the Santa Anita Derby. ORB won the Florida Derby. ALWAYS DREAMING won the Florida Derby.
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            ADMIRE DAYTONA, AMERICAN PROMISE, BAEZA, BURNHAM SQUARE, CHUNK OF GOLD, EAST AVENUE, FINAL GAMBIT, FLYING MOHAWK, GRANDE, JOURNALISM, LUXOR CAFE, PUBLISHER,
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           RODRIGUEZ
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            , SANDMAN, SOVEREIGNTY, TIZTASTIC,
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            4. Next, at least 10 Profile Busters ran either first or second in at least two of their three races preceding the Derby.
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            ADMIRE DAYTONA, BAEZA, BURNHAM SQUARE, CHUNK OF GOLD, CITIZEN BULL, COAL BATTLE, FINAL GAMBIT, FLYING MOHAWK, GRANDE, JOURNALISM, LUXOR CAFE, OWEN ALMIGHTY,
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           RODRIGUEZ
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            , SANDMAN, SOVEREIGNTY
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            5. Of the 16 Profile-Busting Derby winners, three ranked fifth in our Total Points Profile, four ranked sixth, and four ranked seventh. The Profile, of course, focuses on its Top 4.
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            COAL BATTLE (t),
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           RODRIGUEZ
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            , SOVEREIGNTY, TIZTASTIC (t)
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            6. Two Profile Busters were 2005 Kentucky Derby winner GIACOMO and 2000 Derby winner FUSAICHI PEGASUS.
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            A. Jumps in Performance Points Only Category. For example, Giacomo was ranked thirteenth in our Total Points Category but jumped to fifth in the Performance Points Only Category, meaning he was outrunning his pedigree. The Performance Points Only Category does not utilize the sole remaining dosage factor employed in the Total Points Category.
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            SEVERAL MAY JUMP A NOTCH, BUT DUE TO THE LIMITED DOSAGE POINTS EMPLOYED IN THE DOWNEY PROFILE AT THIS TIME, THIS CATEGORY IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED RELEVANT
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            B. Fusaichi Pegasus stands alone. He ranked fifth in our Total Points Category but jumped to first in the Performance Points Only Category. At that time, the Performance Points Only Category did not utilize any of the dosage factors employed in the Total Points Category, and now it doesn't utilize the sole remaining dosage factor employed in the Total Points Category.
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            NONE
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            7. Another factor to watch, in terms of horses capable of busting the Profile, is the horse that can reserve his speed and race along close to an average of 12 seconds per furlong at each call of the race in a nine-furlong Kentucky Derby prep race. That topic is covered in Section 3 of this Subscription. I award "12's" to horses that hit the mark in at least three calls of their nine-furlong (or longer) races at age three.
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            BAEZA, BURNHAM SQUARE, CHUNK OF GOLD, CHUNK OF GOLD, GRANDE, JOURNALISM, NEOEQUOS, OWEN ALMIGHTY, PUBLISHER,
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           RODRIGUEZ
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            , SANDMAN, SOVEREIGNTY, TIZTASTIC,
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            8. For the first time in 2012, we included this as a Profile Buster factor: The horse finished the last three furlongs of a nine-furlong race in 38 seconds or less. This topic is covered in detail in Section 4.
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            AMERICAN PROMISE, FINAL GAMBIT, FLYING MOHAWK, GRANDE, JOURNALISM, LUXOR CAFE,
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           RODRIGUEZ
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           , SOVEREIGNTY, TIZTASTIC
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           BACKGROUND
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           In 18* of the last 50 runnings (for statistical purposes, not counting the Derby run in September 2020 and the Derby won by Medina Spirit and subsequently disqualified for a drug infraction) of the Kentucky Derby, the Downey Profile has gone bust -- that is to say, none of our top four horses won the race. We've identified some themes tying some of these winners together.
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           OVERVIEW since 2007
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           &amp;gt;In 2007, Hard Spun, Street Sense* and Curlin were our Profile Busters, and they made up the Kentucky Derby trifecta.
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           &amp;gt;In 2008, Big Brown was tied with three others for the leading number of Profile-busting factors. The other three were Adriano, Gayego and Recapturetheglory.
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           &amp;gt;In 2009, Mine That Bird was nowhere to be found as a Profile Buster. Dunkirk and Friesan Fire were the Profile Busters horses, but they did little and nothing in the Kentucky Derby.
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           &amp;gt;In 2010, Super Saver was one of two horses identified as Profile Busters. Downey used him in selections, and he won. The other one was Conveyance, whom we did not use in our selections for the Kentucky Derby.
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           &amp;gt;In 2011, Nehro was one of two horses identified as Profile Busters. He finished second. The other one was Midnight Interlude, whom we did not use in our selections for the Kentucky Derby. Animal Kingdom, the winner, was in The Downey Profile Top 4.
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           &amp;gt;In 2012, one-two finishers I'll Have Another and Bodemeister were both Profile Buster horses. Dullahan, who ran third, was a Downey Profile Top 4 horse. The winner, I'll Have Another, ranked sixth in The Downey Profile; and Bodemeister, who finished second, was pretty far down the Downey Profile rankings but was the only horse with back-to-back triple-digit Beyers going into the Derby.
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           &amp;gt;In 2013, Profiile Buster Orb won the Kentucky Derby, but he was part of a crowded field -- four Profile Busters were identified that year.
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           &amp;gt;In 2014, winner California Chrome was in The Downey Profile Top 4 and won. He also was tied for the most Profile Buster points.
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           &amp;gt;In 2015, American Pharoah was in The Downey Profile Top 4 and won. He also had the most Profile Buster points.
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           &amp;gt;In 2016, Nyquist was in The Downey Profile Top 4 and he won. He was third in Profile Buster points.
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           &amp;gt;In 2017, Always Dreaming was our Profile Buster, and he was Downey's pick to win the Kentucky Derby. That year, the Downey Profile Top 4 horses hadn't been all that consistent, and Always Dreaming put in a super-impressive final workout before the Kentucky Derby.
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           &amp;gt;In 2018, Justify was in The Downey Profile Top 4 and won. He also had the most Profile Buster points along with Mendelssohn, who finished last.
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           &amp;gt;In 2019, Maximum Security** was in The Downey Profile Top 4 and won the race. Stewards disqualified him to 18th. The Profile Buster that year was Improbable, and he finished fifth, moved up to fourth by stewards.
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           &amp;gt;2020 does not count in our analysis because the Derby was run four months later than normal. In case you're curious, Tiz the Law easily had the most Profile Buster points, but he was also among The Downey Profile Top 4 horses. Authentic, who ranked third in Profile Buster points, was also in The Downey Profile Top 4.
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           &amp;gt;In 2021, the declared winner of the Derby, Mandaloun, was neither a Top 4 Downey Profile horse nor a Profile Buster. Known Agenda was the Profile Buster, and he finished ninth at 9-1 odds.
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           &amp;gt;In 2022, 90-1 Rich Strike was not on the radar at all in either The Downey Profile or the Profile Busters Profile. Epicenter was the 2022 Profile Buster, and he looked like he had the race won until Rich Strike ran him down in the closing seconds of the race.
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           &amp;gt;In 2023 Two Phil's and Mandarin Hero were our Profile Busters. We were not keen on Mandarin Hero. Two Phil's worked well leading into the Derby and became Downey's third selection. He finished a strong second.
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           &amp;gt;In 2024 Catching Freedom, Just Steel and Resilience topped the Profile Busters Profile with five points apiece. Mystik Dan, who ranked poorly in both the Downey Profile and Profile Busters Profile, won.
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           *Street Sense, a Profile Buster, was ranked sixth in the 2007 Downey Profile and would have been in the Top Four but for a nose loss in the Blue Grass Stakes, a fact which we noted going into the 2007 Kentucky Derby.
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           **In 2019, Maximum Security won the Kentucky Derby but was disqualified by stewards for interfering with a horse that finished 17th. He was the best horse that day, and he was in the Top 4. His performance, in my opinion, should be included among the horses in the Top 4 that won the Kentucky Derby.
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      <pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2025 14:06:10 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Monday, April 28, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-monday-april-28-2025</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE
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            ﻿
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           April 29, 2025
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA – UAE Derby (GII) winner Admire Daytona warmed up in the one-mile chute, then had a light training session on the track prior to schooling in the paddock. Trainer Yukihiro Kato was expected to arrive Monday afternoon and the colt could breeze Tuesday.
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           AMERICAN PROMISE – BC Stables’ American Promise went trackside at 6:30 (all times Eastern) Monday morning to jog once around the main track under Tayja Smith and then took a few more laps around the chute before returning to trainer D. Wayne Lukas’ barn.
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           The flashy chestnut son of 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify continues to make a favorable impression in the mornings. “He’s a beautiful horse,” Lukas said of American Promise, who later in the morning grazed behind Barn 42.
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           “The best thing is not having to make a single adjustment,” Lukas said. “Everything has been smooth so far the past six weeks (since winning the Virginia Derby). That is a big plus not to have to worry about anything.”
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           BAEZA – Trainer John Shirreffs greeted racing’s most recent Eclipse Award winner, Flavien Prat, at Barn 41 Monday morning just before the 7:15-7:30 special training period for Derby and Oaks runners.
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           The conditioner then gave the Frenchman a leg up on his Kentucky Derby hopeful Baeza, a son of the young sire McKinzie who is the lone also-eligible for this year’s 151st edition of the Kentucky Derby. The pair went trackside through the Lukas Gap near the six-furlong pole and then conducted the business of working five furlongs on a pleasantly mild morning in Louisville.
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           Clockers caught the bay in splits of :13.60, :26.40, :37.80 and then a final time of 1:02. He went “out” in 1:16.
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           “He went good,” offered the rider afterwards. “He felt good and he did it easy.”
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           Shirreffs was OK with the move. “I know 1:02 is a little on the slow side, but he’s not an especially sharp work horse. We put a good work into him last week (seven furlongs in 1:28 at Santa Anita on April 20) and he’s ready. We just need to get a little lucky and get him into the race.”
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           Currently Baeza sits at No. 21 on the Derby list and only 20 will be allowed to run in America’s most famous race. Scratch time for the 10 furlongs is this coming Friday at 9 a.m.
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           BURNHAM SQUARE – Whitham Thoroughbreds’ Burnham Square jogged to the starting gate where he stood and then backed out before galloping a mile under Mark Cutler for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           Winner of the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) and Holy Bull (GIII), Burnham Square was on the track at 7:15 during the special training period for Kentucky Derby and Oaks runners.
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           CHUNK OF GOLD – Terry Stephens’ Chunk of Gold galloped about 1 ½ miles Monday morning under trainer Ethan West. “He was definitely feeling good and wanted to do more,” West said.
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           Chunk of Gold is expected to school in the paddock mid-week, West said.
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           CITIZEN BULL/RODRIGUEZ – The duo of Kentucky Derby colts trained by Bob Baffert took different routes Monday morning as they head to the Run for the Roses this Saturday.
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           Rodriguez, who had put in his final drill for the big one the previous morning when he covered five furlongs in 1:00, was just a walker at the trainer’s Barn 33 on a pleasant Louisville morning.
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           His stablemate, however, had work to do. Jockey Martin Garcia, who will ride the Into Mischief colt who was America’s champion 2-year-old in 2024, took the bay from the barn down through the 5 ½ furlong gap and out onto the big oval right at the beginning of the 7:15 to 7:30 special training session for Derby/Oaks competitors.
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           He then put the colt through a bullet :58.40 drill that was built around splits of :11.60, :23 and :45.80, then finished up with “out” times of 1:12.40 and 1:27.20.
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           As the veteran rider came back up through the five and a half gap, he told an onlooker: “He worked really good out there. But he was just messin’ around. He did it easy.”
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           A later chat with the rider turned up an “on the fly” special. It is notable that all of trainer Baffert’s riders have radio contact with him as they go through their exercises. The conditioner was watching this morning’s move from the frontside and had his version of a walkie-talkie connection in place.
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           “I thought I was working four furlongs,” Garcia said. “But then when I get into it, Bob tells me I’m going five. So I’d broken off at the half-mile pole, which meant I had to go past the wire and finish up at the seven (furlong marker). We did it and it worked out OK.”
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           COAL BATTLE – Norman Stables’ Coal Battle put the finishing touches on his Kentucky Derby preparations with a three-furlong blowout in :36 with Bethany Taylor aboard for trainer Lonnie Briley.
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           “He looks like he did pretty easily,” Briley said of the work that produced fractions of :11.60, :36 and out a half-mile in :50.
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           The work was the fourth for Coal Battle since arriving three weeks ago from Oaklawn Park where he was third behind Sandman in the Arkansas Derby (GI).
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           “The closer to the race the tougher it gets,” said the 72-year-old Briley, who will be saddling his first Kentucky Derby starter. “He will walk tomorrow and then there will be some jogging and galloping. He’s ready.”
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           EAST AVENUE – Godolphin’s East Avenue returned to the track Monday following his five-eighths move in :59.60 Saturday morning.
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           The colt jogged under exercise rider Stephen Dolan with trainer Brendan Walsh leading him on their stable pony.
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           FINAL GAMBIT – Juddmonte’s Final Gambit jogged about a mile Monday morning under exercise rider Joel Osorio for trainer Brad Cox.
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           FLYING MOHAWK – Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing and Kaleta Racing’s Flying Mohawk had a light gallop Monday morning under trainer Whit Beckman’s assistant/exercise rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           GRANDE – The Wood Memorial runner-up got some exercise under Juan Suarez with trainer Todd Pletcher looking on during the 7:15 to 7:30 a.m. special Derby/Oaks training period Monday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           The handsome son of Curlin galloped approximately a mile and three-eighths in the middle of the track, then took a trip over to stand in the starting gate in the chute.
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           “It’s looking like we might get some rain and some funky weather over the next few days so I wanted to get him to the gate when we’ve got dry land,” the conditioner said.
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           The 57-year-old Pletcher has signed on his good buddy, 53-year-old John Velazquez, to handle Grande on Derby Day this coming Saturday. Between them, the two have nine Eclipse Awards and they both have been enshrined in racing’s Hall of Fame. Oh, and they also won the 2017 Kentucky Derby with Always Dreaming.
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           JOURNALISM – The likely Kentucky Derby favorite took it easy Monday morning and merely walked the shedrow at Barn 35. The husky Curlin colt had put in his final Derby drill Sunday when he covered five furlongs in 1:01.40 to earn his day off.
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           Trainer Michael McCarthy was feeling fine about the circumstances surrounding his charge.
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           “He came out of it (the work) very well,” he noted. “We’re all good this morning. He just walking and that’s enough.”
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           Journalism will be ridden in Derby 151 by the veteran Italian jockey Umberto Rispoli, who worked his way through a flying escapade from his west coast headquarters to Louisville this past Saturday and Sunday in order to put his colt through his paces. After working his way through a canceled work session Saturday, canceled connections and a five-hour hang out in the Atlanta airport that afternoon, a return to Louisville for the Sunday exercise and another plane ride back to Los Angeles that morning, the high-energy rider rang the bell at Santa Anita by winning the day’s stakes. Adventure, thy name is Rispoli.
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           This coming Saturday he’ll take Journalism out of the No. 8 gate and point him toward glory.
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           LUXOR CAFÉ – Fukuryu Stakes winner Luxor Café galloped Monday morning after warming up in the one-mile chute for about 20 minutes. Trainer Noriyuki Hori was expected to arrive in Louisville on Monday and the horse could breeze Tuesday.
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           NEOEQUOS – C2 Racing Stable, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables and Stefania Farms’ Neoequos had an easy gallop at 7:15 a.m. for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY – Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing’s Owen Almighty had a scheduled walk day at trainer Brian Lynch’s barn.
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           PUBLISHER/TIZTASTIC – Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen’s duo of Publisher and Tiztastic had a walk day in Barn 38 following their half-mile works in :49 and :50.20, respectively.
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           RENDER JUDGMENT – Baccari Racing Stable, Dream Walkin Farms, MJM Racing and Rocket Ship Racing’s Render Judgment galloped at 7:15 under retired jockey Robby Albarado for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Render Judgment’s co-owner, the late country music star Toby Keith, always dreamed about having a horse run in the Kentucky Derby, according to his family. They posted on Keith’s X account, “It was Toby’s dream… Render Judgment is going to the Kentucky Derby. He worked so hard to finally have one there. Toby will have the best seat in the house to watch.”
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           SANDMAN – D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables’ Sandman had a scheduled walk day at trainer Mark Casse’s barn.
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           “We are on the same schedule as the Arkansas Derby when we gave him Monday off,” Casse said of the 2 ½-length winner of the Grade I race at Oaklawn Park on March 29.
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           SOVEREIGNTY – The double stakes-winning son of Into Mischief earned himself an “off” day by putting in a solid 1:01.80 workout Sunday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           Trainer Bill Mott gave the thumbs up at Barn 19 Monday morning when asked about his bay charge.
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           “He came out of his work just fine,” the Hall of Fame conditioner stated. “It’s all good. He’ll walk today, then the plan is to go back to galloping tomorrow.”
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           Sovereignty will be reunited with his regular rider Junior Alvarado for Kentucky Derby 151 this Saturday and they’ll start their mile and a quarter challenge from post 18. They are tabbed the second favorite at 5-1 in what will be the 151st edition of the Run for the Roses.
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      <pubDate>Mon, 28 Apr 2025 23:24:34 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Downey Profile Kentucky Derby Overview</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/downey-profile-kentucky-derby-overview</link>
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           DOWNEY PROFILE KENTUCKY DERBY OVERVIEW
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           Posted April 28, 2025
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           Updated May 1, 2025 at 6:03 p.m. ET after the defection of Rodriguez
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           UPDATED May 2 at 10:29 a.m. ET after a state vet scratched Grande
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           PLEASE NOTE: This section contains my thoughts about every Kentucky Derby horse, plus references to summaries and details of my research.
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           PROGRAM NUMBERS SHORT FORM
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            1 CITIZEN BULL (KY), M Garcia, B Baffert, 20-1
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            2 NEOEQUOS (FL),
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           , Luis Saez, S Joseph Jr, 30-1
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           3 FINAL GAMBIT (KY), L Machado, B Cox, 30-1
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           4 RODRIGUEZ (KY), M Smith, B Baffert, 12-1
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           5 AMERICAN PROMISE (KY), N Juarez, W Lukas, 30-1
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           6 ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN), C Lemaire, Y Kato, 30-1
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           7 LUXOR CAFE (KY), J Moreira, N Hori, 15-1
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           8 JOURNALISM (KY), U Rispoli, M McCarthy, 3-1
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           9 BURNHAM SQUARE (KY), B Hernandez Jr, I Wilkes, 12-1
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           10 GRANDE (KY), J Velazquez, T Pletcher, 20-1
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           11 FLYING MOHAWK (KY), J Ramos, W Beckman, 30-1
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           12 EAST AVENUE (KY), M Franco, B Walsh, 20-1
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           13 PUBLISHER (KY), I Ortiz Jr, S Asmussen, 30-1
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           14 TIZTASTIC (KY), J Rosario, S Asmussen, 20-1
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           15 RENDER JUDGMENT (KY), J Leparoux, K McPeek, 30-1
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           16 COAL BATTLE (KY), J Vargas, L Briley, 30-1
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           17 SANDMAN (KY), J Ortiz, M Casse, 6-1
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           18 SOVEREIGNTY (KY), J Alvarado, W Mott, 5-1
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           19 CHUNK OF GOLD (KY), J Loveberry, E West, 30-1
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           20 OWEN ALMIGHTY (KY), J Castellano, B Lynch, 30-1
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           21 BAEZA (KY), F Prat, J Shirreffs, 12-1
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            LINK TO PROGRAM NUMBERS LONG FORM
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           12-SECOND FURLONGS + 38 SECONDS OR LESS
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            - UPDATED May 1 after defection of Rodriguez
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            Three horses ran both 12-second furlongs and finished in 38 seconds or less in their final prep: Journalism, Sovereignty and Tiztastic. Journalism has an asterisk because his 12-second furlongs are projected due to trouble in the Santa Anita Derby. See
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           Section 3
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            and
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           Section 4
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            for details.
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           TOP HORSES IN FOUR CATEGORIES OF SPEED FIGURES IN RACES NINE FURLONGS OR LONGER
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           - UPDATED May 1 after defection of Rodriguez
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            Races in Dubai and Japan are not rated using U. S. methods.
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            Beyer Speed Figure: Journalism 102, Baeza 101, Sandman 99, Burnham Square 96, East Avenue 96
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            DRF Combined Speed-Track Variant: American Promise 120, Render Judgment 112, Final Gambit 106, Journalism 106
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            Equibase Speed Figure: Journalism 108, Baeza 107, Burnham Square 104, East Avenue 104, Sandman 104
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            Brisnet Speed Figure: Journalism 108, Baeza 107, American Promise 105, Final Gambit 101, Sandman 101
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            See
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           Section 5
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            for more details.
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           DOWNEY PROFILE TOP HORSES
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           - UPDATED May 1 after defection of Rodriguez
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            Top 4
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            Journalism           20.26
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            Burnham Square 13.72
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            Sandman              13.61
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            East Avenue         12.43
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            5th, 6th, 7th
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            Sovereignty  11.22
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            Coal Battle     7.86 T
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            Tiztastic         7.86 T
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            See
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           Section 6
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            for details.
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           PROFILE BUSTERS PROFILE
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           - UPDATED May 1 after defection of Rodriguez
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           RODRIGUEZ (7). There are eight categories and we no longer use one of them, leaving seven. Rodriguez scored in all seven of those categories.
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           GRANDE (5)
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           SOVEREIGNTY (5)
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           JOURNALISM (5) does not qualify as a Profile Buster because he's in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile Rankings. In fact, he towers over the field.
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            See
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           Section 11
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            for details.
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           TOP GALLOP OUTS AFTER RACES
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           - UPDATED May 1 after defection of Rodriguez
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            In their most recent races two horses produced gallop outs into the backstretch that were the most visually impressive to my eye:
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           Rodriguez and
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            Sandman. Final Gambit was much the best in his gallop out on the synthetic at Turfway. See details in
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           Section 8
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           .
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           LINK TO RACING VIDEOS + EQUIBASE CHARTS
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           DOWNEY'S PROFILES OF THE KENTUCKY DERBY FIELD
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           #1 CITIZEN BULL (20-1)
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           - In the past we were amazed at how often trainer Baffert's drew the rail. Welcome back to the future.
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           Citizen Bull, who has worn blinkers every start of his career, will be equipped with them once again. His victories have come running on the lead. After his disastrous Santa Anita Derby, and after a couple of workouts without blinkers, connections said they hoped he could track the early speed and stay on once the field emerges from the second turn. But now he's wearing blinkers after all, and he has drawn the rail.
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           His bad post draw might make a fast early pace more probable. What option is he going to have but to be sent and risk being bumped, squeezed and who knows what else?
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           All that said, it's hard for me to see him staying on when they hit the top of the stretch. Citizen Bull's dosage profile is 2-6-2-0-0 (10), producing a dosage index of 9.00. But he's in the Baffert barn, so who knows. Seeing Citizen Bull close up, he does impress me as being on the small side and muscular, built like a sprinter, and that visual was reinforced April 28 when Joe Kristufek described him on the Works show as "compact".
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           There's some talk he might float Rodriquez out. Or perhaps, assuming trainers Baffert and Lukas are not in league with each other (see American Promise below), Citizen Bull might push American Promise out, opening space for Rodriguez. Or maybe there won't be any such shenanigans and the Baffert horses will compete straight up, as it should be.
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           On April 25 trainer Baffert joked to the media that Citizen Bull's recent workouts finally readied him for the Santa Anita Derby -- perhaps signaling, whether consciously or not, he's not yet ready for the longer Kentucky Derby. Trainer Baffert doesn't miss much. Maybe he was telling us straight up.
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           Trainer Baffert after the poor Santa Anita Derby effort: “I was discouraged (Citizen Bull) didn’t get the win today. He got tired. He’s a heavy horse. The track was deep today. We will figure this out. We have a week and then we’ll decide what is next.”
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           #2 NEOEQUOS (30-1)
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           - To win the Kentucky Derby he would have to improve on a grand scale. In Florida on a speed-favoring track he has impacted major races with his early speed and stayed on a bit into the stretch, but Neoequos not been a threat to win. If connections were thinking of rating him, that thought might be out the window now with his unlucky inside post position draw.
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           His jockey, Edgard Zayas, after finishing third in the Florida Derby: “He ran a huge race. We got the trip we wanted. He set up perfect in a stalking position. We were able to slow the pace and he was great. He really finished up pretty nice. We wanted to get running out of there and then kind of get running to the outside and after that, if I had the horse, get it done.”
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           #3 FINAL GAMBIT (30-1)
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            - Final Gambit finished the Jeff Ruby Steaks like a rocket to win going away at 15-1 odds. The synthetic track produced a turf-like finish. His early pace was slow, but he passed every horse in the field to win. Turf-like or not, it was a tall order and he did it.
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            Sometimes Churchill Downs can be friendly to turf horses, but not always, and the Kentucky Derby will be Final Gambit's first race on dirt. However, he is certainly bred to run on dirt, and he has been training well on dirt at Churchill Downs -- he absolutely dusted his workmate in his April 26 move and didn't stop running until he was in the second turn. I was sitting up there on the backside when he did that. It's the kind of Derby workout I look for.
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            Final Gambit possesses a couple of the better numbers in two of four speed categories I posted in Section 5, and in addition he earned the highest Bris late pace figure of the Derby field in the Ruby. He has a pedigree that is crying out for distance; just look at that 15 classic number in his dosage profile: 2-7-15-0-0 (24), yielding a 2.20 dosage index. You hardly ever see that any more.
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            With Tappan Street out of the Derby with an unfortunate injury, Final Gambit is the Cox stable's final hope for the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Wouldn't it be something if he won. Final Gambit is owned by Juddmonte, and it's difficult to think of a more serious outfit. I think don't they run in the Kentucky Derby just to get good seats.
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            I am concerned with post position 3 after reading what his jockey said after the Ruby. It may be that in order to run effectively Final Gambit will need to drop back, which I expected regardless of the post position, find a spot to make it through the first turn without trouble, and then fan outside to get a clear run.
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            After the Jeff Ruby Steaks, Luan Machado said, “I knew keeping him in the clear around the turn would probably be best, but I was worried with how wide the horses on the front end were going. Sometimes when he’s between horses he doesn’t try as hard as when he’s in the clear. He really closed fast down the lane and was impressive late.”
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            Brad Cox assistant trainer Tessa Walden said, “He was visually impressive when he broke his maiden here. It gave us confidence he’d come with a run, especially with how he handled the surface this winter.”
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           #4 RODRIGUEZ (12-1)
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           - Mike Smith recently said he's going for the lead in the Kentucky Derby and they'll have to come after him if they want it. The question is how fast he'll have to go to get it. That's a big key to the race.
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           If Rodriguez can get to the early lead and slow down the fractions to a reasonable pace, and if he can repeat his performance in Wood Memorial, he looks like a winner. American Promise looks like he wants to prevent Rodriguez from taking the early lead after recnet fast workouts, including his penultimate workout when he blazed out of the gate to run seven furlongs in 1:25.20 (with splits of 22.00, 33.60, 45.80, 57.80, 1:11.00).
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           Rodriguez ran a pretty big number in the Wood, much superior to previous efforts when he was not on the lead. I don’t know if he can duplicate that effort, even if he gets the lead. He's a horse it’s hard to leave out but there's also reason to doubt.
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           We have to keep in mind the Derby is an eighth of a mile longer than the Wood, but Rodriguez' Brisnet numbers from the Wood fit that source's Derby model almost to a T. The model is 94 E1, 103 E2, 93 LP, 103 Speed. In the Wood Rodriguez ran 93-103-101-105.
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           His workout at Churchill Downs was aweome. He was pulled up around the track kitchen. I was located nearby and saw it happen.
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           After the Wood Memorial:
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           Bob Baffert: “He’d been training like he was going to do something like that. I’ve always been very high on him. He’s just had some rough trips here in California. I knew the added distance would be a big factor for him. I thought he’d love stretching out and going a mile and an eighth. Mike Smith told me he wanted a super live one and I said, ‘Man, I’ve got a good one for you.’ He rode him beautifully. The horse looked great – he looked like Authentic. He won like a good horse. It was very impressive.
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           “His last two works were really strong here so I felt really good as long as he didn’t get too worked up, he'd be good. I think with taking the blinkers off, he relaxed a lot better. It was just a beautiful run and I’m just happy and blessed to have a horse like that."
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           Winning jockey Mike Smith: “I think they realized he just wants to be left alone. I could tell that warming up. Every time you did something with him, he’d get uptight. That’s just it – if you get him to breathe, he’s gonna run, man, and that’s what he did today. That’s probably why he ran that 100 Beyer when he broke his maiden to be honest with you.
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           “Man, he was doing it and Manuel (Franco on Captain Cook) came at me early around that turn and he picked it up with him. We put some separation on the field, and when I felt him do that again, I said, ‘Oh, we’re OK! He’s just got to be good enough, and he was.
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           About the gallop out: “He looked good, didn’t he? He really did. I asked Manuel, he picked him up [in the gallop out] and said, ‘Whoa, he’s still got a lot.’ I said, ‘yeah!’ Look, the Derby is always different, there’s going to be a big crowd. He gets a little [nervous], that’s why he had the earplugs. There’s a lot of growing for this horse to do, and that’s a good thing.
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           #5 AMERICAN PROMISE (30-1)
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           - As noted above, Mike Smith said if somebody wants to get the lead instead of Rodriguez, they’re gonna have to come after it. American Promise's most recent works, especially the penultimate one, suggest he may do just that.
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           But consider this. Trainers Baffert and Lukas ran one-two in the 2002 Derby with War Emblem on the lead for Baffert and Proud Citizen second at every call for Lukas. They each ran perfectly reasonable 12 second furlongs at the first four calls, and the merry-go-round continued to the finish line.
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           After the one-turn Virginia Derby, trainer Lukas' assistant said American Promise has a good mind. If American Promise is able to accept prompts from his jockey and dictate a moderate early pace, or stalk off a moderate early pace, he and Rodriguez could dictate the pace throughout the running. What’s going to happen if American Promise and Rodriguez are able to establish fractions like War Emblem and Proud Citizen did in 2002?
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           OR, Lukas could have in mind what Justify did in the 2018 Kentucky Derby, which was run the first five furlongs in 45 and change and never give up the lead. American Promise is a son of Justify, and according to Lukas he looks just like Justify: very large and imposing. With Citizen Bull in post 1 and bound to be sent, Lukas decide to send American Promise too.
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           American Promise has good figures in two of the four speed figure ratings we assessed on the subscription page (See Section 5). He has the highest combined DRF speed-track variant figure and third highest Brisnet speed figure. Before I began my study of those figures, I was highly skeptical of American Promise. I am still somewhat skeptical regardless of whether he tries to be part of a moderate early pace or goes hell-bent-for-leather, but he could win if he can get the distance effectively.
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           After the March 15 Virginia Derby, trainer Lukas talked about the coming days, saying “This is a typical case of a horse that was in a growth spurt like he is, big and rangy. He didn’t actually know what was expected, like a big, rangy kid. But the last 30 days, he has really come around and I expect him to get better the next 30 days."
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           #6 ADMIRE DAYTONA (30-1)
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           - Without traditional speed figures we have to go by visual assessment of his UAE Derby win, the fractions, and his training at Churchill Downs. The ability to gauge his training is questionable because Japanese trainers simply train differently than their American counterparts. For one thing, speedy timed workouts are not necessarily part of the program. Workouts appear to be used to stretch the horses' legs and expand their lungs.
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           In the UAE Derby, three runners were on near-even terms 100 yards out after being on or close to the lead earlier. One of those three faded a bit, one of them veered out late and still looked like he would win, and Admire Daytona’s nose was in exactly the right position at the wire. On air talent for the Dubai World Cup day broadcast described the end of this race as a battle of attrition.
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           Admire Daytona was on or pressing the lead at every call. Because there is no runup at the start of races in Dubai, it is difficult to assess his fractional splits when compared to American races that have runups. Regardless of whether he ran 12's or ran slower splits (see Section 3), one thing looks certain to me and it's none of the top three finishers ran very fast through the lane; instead, it was a battle of attrition.
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           Christophe Lemaire rode Admire Daytona in the UAE Derby and is named again for the Kentucky Derby. After the UAE Derby he said, "For sure he can go to Kentucky, but it is such a difficult race to win. It is one of the most iconic races in the world and we have to go if we can.”
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           Last year Forever Young proved that a horse could ship from Japan to Dubai to Louisville and still run a great race in the Kentucky Derby. However, Admire Daytona does not look as talented as Forever Young looked at this time last year. Lemaire's comment do not inspire me to change my outlook.
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           #7 LUXOR CAFE (15-1)
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            - This horse finishes dirt races like he’s got a motor. A motor with lots of horse power. His modus operandi is to stay off the pace outside a few lengths back before turning on the burners with a devastating kick at the moment of truth. In the Fukuryu the pace was moderate and still zoomed by his rivals in the stretch.
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            Last year I had some reservations about forever Young because even though he finished strong his opening fractions in the UAE Derby were on the slow side. I was concerned that by the time he reached the quarter pole he would be too far behind to finish the job. That is not the way it turned out -- leaving the far turn he was close enough to strike and he came so close to winning.
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            Learning from that experience, I’m looking for the same type of performance from Luxor Café. In my book it’s gonna be hard to leave this Kentucky-bred son of American Pharoah out.
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            Lap times* in the Fukuryu Stakes, presumably for the pacesetter at each furlong of the race: 12.8 - 11.9 - 13.2 - 13.0 - 12.2 - 12.3 - 12.5 - 12.2 - 12.0. The first three furlong pace was 37.9 seconds, slower than the final three furlongs, making the pace resemble that of a turf race. Except for the second call, the final furlong was run faster than any other. *Lap Time is the time in between splits. The lap time is how long it takes you to get from one split to the next. The clock then starts over on the next split, or lap.
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           #8 JOURNALISM (3-1)
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            - What can I write here that hasn’t already been written. His appearances on the track at Churchill Downs have been exceptional. He is a grand looking, handsome specimen. His exercise rider, through body language and demeanor when no one was really looking, is visibly impressed with him, and he is in the hands of a confident and thoughtful trainer. In my Downey Profile model, he towers over the rest of the field to an extent I've never seen.
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            I would not like giving out a 5-2 or 3-1 favorite as the winner when so many things can happen in a large field. But if he gets a good trip and doesn't stub his toe, he’s gonna be hard to beat.
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            His workout at Churchill Downs extended into the first turn. He ran almost a mile and a quarter. Really excellent.
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            Trainer and jockey thoughts after the race.
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            Winning trainer Michael McCarthy: “He had me worried for a jump or two. Special horse. I saw a little bit of adversity today, which you saw around the far turn. It took him a little bit to get his feet under him, but once Umberto was able to wheel him outside, he started getting him through his gears. He started to pick it up towards the end, leveled off nicely. He looked like he finished up well and galloped out well."
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            Winning jockey Umberto Rispoli: “I was trapped on the fence, and I thought, ‘Wow, this isn’t looking good. I knew my only way out was to push Barnes a little bit. I got through. That’s such a good animal to be able to get out of there. It’s rare for a horse to get held up at the three-eighths pole and to get back in the race in that way. It’s always difficult, especially for such a big horse. But he has such an amazing style and is just an amazing horse."
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           #9 BURNHAM SQUARE (12-1)
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            - I’m going back-and-forth with this horse. He sure did finish slowly in the Blue Grass, and his speed figures from that race, although respectable, are not in the top tier. But trainer Wilkes is good at getting horses to peak when he wants.
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            Burnham Square is the Derby points leader and is in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile Rankings.
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            Although whether a horse has a dosage index more or less than 4.00 has lost its relevance in the Kentucky Derby, it's difficult for me to imagine this kind of profile can effectively get the distance: 4-13-5-0-0 (22) = a 7.80 dosage index.
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            His work on April 19 went kind of fast after we were told it would be a maintenance move, prompting some onlookers to wonder if Burnham Square was trying to run off. He settled down and ran to the wire with a lot of energy, but his gallop out looked better visually than the actual time. I can’t help but wonder if what I initially took as an energetic workout was really uncontrolled energy. Hard to figure.
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            Then, on April 26, his breeze was outstanding. On a track rated good, Burnham Square was accompanied by a pony until just before he broke off, which prevented him from trying to run off/lunging against Brian Hernandez, Jr. As soon as the work began Burnham Square dropped his head and moved through an impressive solo five-furlong breeze, galloped out while timed for seven furlongs, and pulled up after running a mile.
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            He and Journalism break from the gate next door to each other, and they have similar running styles, but I don't see Burnham Square beating Journalism if both have good trips and Journalism runs his race.
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            After the Blue Grass, we have the trainer and jockey reactions.
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            Winning trainer Ian Wilkes on Burnham Square’s progress from a maiden claiming runner-up finish at Keeneland in his debut Oct. 26: “You’d probably have to pinch me, because if you’d asked me before that race, I would not have dreamed I’d be here with him. He’s taken me there. You know, the horse has taken me everywhere I’ve wanted to go. I’ve just got to try and stay out of his way. The only thing I had to do to help him was put blinkers on him.
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            “(Winning) the Holy Bull was good. The Fountain of Youth (fourth), maybe I was just – I had to go easy. He’s not a big, robust horse, and I was probably a little kind on him coming in to that race, wasn’t as hard on him as what I wanted to be. Then I trained him a little more for here because I needed points, so I couldn’t mess around. We had to step up and get a little more serious now. But his number was better in the Fountain of Youth than it was in the Holy Bull.
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            “I’ll watch him. He’ll tell me what I need to do. But we have to keep the foot on the gas – got to keep the foot down on the pedal – because we’ve got to get a little better again. It’s going to be very deep waters, and we’ve got to get a lot better.”
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            Winning jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr.: "When we turned for home we had a full head of steam and I was confident. It kind of goes back to Ian trusting us; he doesn’t give us a whole lot of instructions. My son, Ben, and I sat down last night and watched all his races, and we both kind of came up with a plan: Just let him travel, let him cruise along. That’s the nice thing about a horse like him. For a 3-year-old to make such a long run like he did today and be able to run down Grade 1 winners like he did – he’s an exciting horse to move forward with.”
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           #10 GRANDE (20-1)
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           - In only his third career start, the Wood Memorial, Grande was shuffled back on the backstretch, wide on the back stretch, wide on the second turn, and inexplicably wide entering the stretch, yet he still managed to get up for second behind Rodriguez, who could be among the favorites on Kentucky Derby day.
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           Trainer Pletcher’s two Derby winners both trained at Churchill Downs coming into the race, but he sent Grande to Keeneland. That type of preparation is not unique in the trainer’s experience.
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           I was thinking perhaps Pletcher chose that venue just to make sure Grande got the work in when he wants, which was Friday, whether there’s rain or shine (thinking about the synthetic training track). There’s no way of knowing, but as things turned out the track at Churchill Downs was wet that morning while Grande got his breeze in before it rained at Keeneland.
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           Grande's 97 Beyer is in the top four if Baeza doesn’t run. If he does, Grande is in the top five. Grande ranks well in three of the four major categories of speed figures I published in Section 5 — barring defections from the other top figures horses.
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           Following his sole workout after the Wood Memorial, in which Grande was out in 1:27 and change after opening in 13.00, trainer Pletcher said he was cautiously optimistic about the Derby. Grande's workout at Keeneland received mixed reviews. but after watching it twice I thought it was pretty good in that he did the main body of the work on his own with Johnny V practically standing up and responded well when asked to run past the wire.
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           By the way, we might want to keep an eye on Valentinian, the workmate, who put in a pretty strong move himself. He's in race 3 at Churchill on Saturday.
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           I am not necessarily seeing Grande winning the Derby, although it it could happen, but I can see him picking up pieces. At a time when something like this rarely happened, his sire, Curlin, also came into the Derby off only three lifetime starts, albeit with higher speed figs and a better resume. Curlin finished third in the Derby and won the Preakness two weeks later.
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           Trainer Pletcher after running second in the Wood Memorial: "I thought he ran super. He didn’t break real well. He got shuffled around a little bit going into the first turn. Dylan [Davis] said he kind of had to check off heels which forced him to go really wide. He advanced nicely down the backside while out in the middle of the track. He still got hung out pretty wide on the far turn and I think compared to the ground saved that the winner had, it was a very creditable effort.
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           “He hasn’t been that far back, he hadn’t had dirt in his face – it was his first time in a stakes and only his third start. We have a lot of positive things to draw from it. I think he proved that he does belong and got some points as well. We’ll see how he comes out of it and come up with a plan, but I thought he certainly ran well enough.”
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           #11 FLYING MOHAWK (30-1)
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            - Blinkers off, the only equipment change noted in the overnight. At 9-1 odds he came from next to the last to finish second in the Jeff Ruby. He has more turf breeding than his rival Final Gambit, who won the Ruby, and his speed figures in six career starts, none on dirt, do not suggest success. However, probably no one is having more fun participating in the Derby than his connections. Sometimes happy connections lead to good things, but I have to go with others.
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            Second place trainer Whit Beckham said this after his second-place finish in the Jeff Ruby: “When you’re from Louisville, there’s only one race you’re aiming for and that’s the Derby."
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           #12 EAST AVENUE
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            - We are told by his camp East Avenue was trained too lightly in New Orleans before the Risen Star debacle, and that he likes being back home in Kentucky thus explaining his improvement in the Blue Grass. Is this just talk to promote his brand or is it legit?
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            It's difficult for me to buy into it. It wasn't just the Risen Star when East Avenue didn't make the lead and ran poorly. He didn't get an early lead in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile either, and he flopped just as badly in that one as he did in the Risen Star. He was a short-priced favorite in both races.
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            In summary, East Avenue's good races have seen him on the early lead; otherwise, he has not performed well. Logic thus dictates he will try to get the lead again. But if that's what he does, what will it cost him? It will only work if the pace is moderate. That could be a hard sell with one or two Baffert horses determined to get the lead and the Lukas horse, American Promise, just as primed to go-go at the break from all appearances.
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            And there's this. What if East Avenue is just a rabbit for stable mate Sovereignty? That scenario might help insure a fast early pace but not a likely win for East Avenue.
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            After running a close second to Burnham Square in the Blue Grass:
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            Brendan Walsh: “I loved how he battled. He looked at the head of the straight like he was going to fold and he didn’t fold, and I think it’s a good sign for the future. I think he’s a horse that can still improve. It’s nice to see him run a race like that."
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            Luan Machado (who's on Final Gambit in the Kentucky Derby): “We went really quick from the start, but the horse came back to me. It was a little aggressive, and he dropped a little bit in the second half. He dug deep and he fought back. He tried his best to get him, and I am happy with him.”
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           #13 PUBLISHER (20-1)
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            - An exacta made up of Journalism and Publisher would be a fun bet.
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            There’s a good chance Publisher will finish ahead of his stable mate Tiztastic who is also 20-1, even though the former is a maiden and the latter won the Louisiana Derby. He's outworked Tiztastic at Churchill Downs. Recently when the two horses entered the track together, trainer Asmussen and his pony accompanied Publisher while Tiztastic was accompanied by a pony ridden by assistant trainer Scott Blasi.
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            Publisher hasn't run exceptional numbers, but he's hit the board five of seven starts and has shown recent improvement. He has a chance to dent the board. His stock certainly went up when Irad Ortiz, Jr. was named to ride at a time when he appeared to have other option.
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            Steve Asmussen said after the Arkansas Derby, “I’m very pleased with the progression he’s made. I love the class of that horse. I mean, he is meant for a big day. He is classy and calm. Wastes zero energy doing anything he shouldn’t be doing. Top class horse. (Did blinkers help?). I was hoping he would be a little bit closer, but he kind of got squeezed away from there again. You know what? With the pace scenario, we got a good trip. Winner outran us. At the head of the stretch, I’d have picked us and we ended up second. I’m very proud of how he ran, and we need to find more.”
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           #14 TIZTASTIC (20-1)
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            He is a grinder that improved when the distance got longer, and he really enjoyed the track at Fairgrounds, but I wonder if he peaked winning the Louisiana Derby. It is difficult to leave him out underneath because he has he been around at the finish many times in his career, and he's the type that can pass tired horses in the last quarter-mile. Couldn’t blame anybody for playing him underneath.
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            I note Tiztasic got a low late pace figure as he ground his way to win the Louisiana Derby. I think there are others in the race with a better turn of foot in the late stages, so I can't pick him to win.
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            As noted above my research shows five Derby horses ran both 12-second furlongs and finished in 38 seconds or less in their final prep: Grande, Journalism, Rodriguez, Sovereignty and Tiztastic. I still don't know how he did that with a Brisnet late pace figure of 81.
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            After the Louisiana Derby, here's what his jockey and trainer had to say. Joel Rosario: "He did everything right. He was the best horse in the race. He handled a little bit of traffic at the 3/8ths pole. The pace was fast in front and I had the horse underneath me to get it done.” Steve Asmussen: "We thought he’d run bigger in the Southwest. He had enough distance (today). He’s stepping forward when he needs to. The horse has a great mind about him. I loved the way he acted pre-race. He ran a solid race but I think there’s more in him."
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           #15 RENDER JUDGMENT (30-1)
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            - Unless Baeza draws in from the also-eligible list, Render Judgment is the last horse to make the field. If our only handicapping tool was his last workout at Churchill Downs, he might rank in the top five. However, he's another one that would have to vastly improve to win. And while he has improved this year, what he has lacked so far is a late kick even though he has some stamina influence in his pedigree. Hard to recommend.
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            It's too bad the late Toby Keith did not live to see Render Judgment make the Derby. He put a lot into the sport and died way too young last year. You might say Render Judgment is a part of his legacy.
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           #16 COAL BATTLE (30-1)
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            - As consistent as this horse was leading into the Arkansas Derby, as straightforward as this horse is in his training, and as good-natured and open as his 72-year-old trainer talks when interviewed, I’m rooting for Coal Battle.
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            Before his poor post position draw, I was thinking he had a shot at doing some damage in The Derby. Now I'm not as sure. But there's room for hope.
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            Trainer Briley says Coal Battle takes care of himself on the race track but that he was just a little too full of himself before the Arkansas Derby. Briley talked about how he had to saddle Coal Battle "on the walk" for the first time. Later, Briley observed jockey Juan Vargas probably moved too soon.
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            The result: Coal Battle's numbers were not up to par in the Arkansas Derby. The race was an aberration from previous efforts, and I have to wonder if he might bounce back if Vargas can time it right.
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            I see post 16 as a potential problem, but maybe Coal Battle will break well and be able to follow #12 East Avenue out of the gate and establish good position going into the first turn. From there a well-timed ride could get him in the money when he shows his quick turn of foot leaving the far turn.
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            After the subpar third-place finish in the Arkansas Derby, here's what his trainer and jockey said.
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            Trainer Lonnie Briley: “He was a little too fresh today. And you always think about the drawing board, going back to it. But in the paddock, he was a little anxious and stuff. So, I was worried about that today. He ran a good race. He ran third and Sandman had been coming from behind, so we knew that he would be a factor. When they added the blinkers to Publisher, he’s a good horse and he ran big. (Coal Battle) ran good against some good horses. We’ll have another shot at them soon.”
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            Coal Battle jockey Juan Vargas: “I think one thing that hurt my horse this time was he was very aggressive – like never before. I know he broke well from the gate, but this time he was very aggressive. I had to fight the horse and I think that cost me the race, for sure. If he had settled down, like normally he does, it was a perfect race for him. This time, I had to fight him a lot. You can’t fight him.”
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           #17 SANDMAN (6-1)
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            - In 2007 I was told by a pretty good Jockey that high profile trainers like to talk about their horse when they have confidence in them; and when they don't, they stay quiet.
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            Trainer Casse has been accessible to the media. He has expressed optimism and and more than that, confidence, every time he encounters media at Churchill Downs.
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            And who can blame him. This son of Tapit has appeared to be growing up in front of our eyes since he got to Churchill Downs. He makes a grand impression on the track, he has a long stride and he just has a great aura about him.
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            A serious knock is that progeny of Tapit are not precocious; they are prone to mature as time passes. A son of Tapit has never won the Kentucky Derby, but four of them have won the Belmont Stakes five weeks later. Will one of his offspring ever mature quickly enough to win the Kentucky Derby?
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            I’ll have to admit I have been biased in favor of Sandman since February. He was my first pick in a triple crown fantasy league that involves some people whose names you would recognize. As a result, naturally I was disappointed when he drew post 17.
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            Sandman doesn’t flash much early speed (although he has respectable early speed Brisnet figures), and I hoped he would draw closer to the middle, but trainer Casse said that there’s not much difference in posts 14 through 17, so I’ll take what I can get.
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            To deal with his post, I envision Sandman and Jose Ortiz gradually moving toward the rail before the first turn to obtain a good position behind a lot of the earlier speed while staying out of trouble. Assuming a quick early pace, I see him being behind the second flight at that point. I do not see him going to the rail. I project his staying outside of horses so his momentum is never slowed by trouble.
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            A fast early pace is not guaranteed. It looks a lot more likely than not, though. And so I am banking on that to help Sandman put in a sustained run and a good placing in the Kentucky Derby, if not a win.
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            Two weeks ago I thought his odds might be about 8-1. But his improvement since then leaves us with a 6-1 morning line. I’m starting to wonder if Journalism, with a 3-1 morning line, has checked so many boxes he will go off at 2-1. If his odds drop that low, maybe Sandman will be a better value.
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            A few critics are dismissive of him, saying the fast early pace in the Arkansas Derby led to his win. I’m sure it helped him a lot, but that is not the only thing that led to his win. I was convinced before the Arkansas Derby that the added distance would benefit benefit Sandman, and it did. Now we have a race with even more added distance, and we have a horse that looks like he can run all day.
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            Reviewing his three losses at Churchill Downs: the first loss (badly beaten fifth) was at one turn in his debut; the second loss (badly beaten fifth in the Irogquois) was at one turn; the third loss (third, beaten 5 1/4 lengths by Sovereignty in the Street Sense) chart says, "SANDMAN broke a beat slow and transferred contact from an outer rival to an inner foe at the start, laid off of the pace in the four to three path, shiftzed (sic) out to the five path entering the lane, got outkicked by an outer rival while hanging on his left lead in upper stretch, delayed changing leads until the sixteenth pole, then kicked in after doing so and produced a late kick to miss place at the wire."
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            Other notable progeny of Tapit: Arthur's Ride, As de Trebol, Careless Jewel, Chachkova, Chasing Yesterday, Constitution, Creator, Cupid, Dance Card, Dream Dancing, Essential Quality, Flightline, Frosted, Hansen, Joyful Victory, Laragh, Panivino, Pauline's Pearl, Pretty City Dancer, Proxy, Ring Weekend, Stardom Bound, Sweet Loretta, Tapit Girl, Tapit Trice, Tapitsfly, Tapizar, Tapwrit, Tell a Kelly, Testa Matta, Time and Motion, Tonalist, Unique Bella, Untapable, Valiance, Zazu.
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            Here's what Sandman's trainer and jockey said after the Arkansas Derby.
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            Mark Casse: “I couldn’t believe (the fast early fractions), actually. I said, ‘Well, they’ll have to be superstars to keep going.’ The farther they went, the more confident I was. The faster they went, the more I smiled. I think that just shows how good he is (after lugging out in the stretch and still winning by 2 1/2 lengths). He wasn’t focusing and he was still able to draw away. As Jose said, he wants to get into a rhythm. And if you can get him into that rhythm, he’ll just go. Jose said he didn’t take a deep breath when he pulled up.”
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            Jose Ortiz: “We knew back then (when I rode him in the G3 Iroquois) that he wasn’t a one-turn horse. I was a little sad that I lost him because he came this way. But very excited to get him back. Today, a mile and an eighth, he’s proved that the two turns is his game. Very happy, very excited. Kentucky Derby – here we (come). He was a little shy from the whip from the left hand. I could see that from the replays the last time. I tried one time and didn’t try it again. So, he was rolling.”
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           #18 SOVEREIGNTY
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            - I'm getting mixed signals all over the place.
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            My first draft of this profile, which I wrote the week before the Derby, started out with this comment: "I am not enamored with the runners coming from the Florida Derby." That was before Tappan Street, the Florida Derby winner, was taken out of the Kentucky Derby by an unfortunate injury. That leaves second- and third-place finishers Sovereignty and Neoequos.
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            The top speed figures from the Florida Derby are on the low side compared to many other Kentucky Derby horses no matter where you look -- Beyer, Brisnet, DRF speed/track variant and Equibase -- and so are the early pace and late pace Brisnet figures. YET, Sovereignty and Tappan Street did something in that race few other Derby starters accomplished in their final prep -- they finished in less than 38 seconds after running 12-second furlongs.
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            Last October Sovereignty won the Street Sense at Churchill Downs impressively, then skipped the Kentucky Jockey Club in November. His performance at Churchill Downs turned heads, and apparently he does really like Churchill Downs. There is no explaining it, some horses just take to Churchill Downs, including for one example 2010 Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver.
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            Sovereignty returned in the March 1 Fountain of Youth and he showed improvement over his excellent Street Sense performance. So now he had two things going for him. He stepped up to another level, and he did it on a different track.
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            But then the Florida Derby produced this for Sovereignty: his Brisnet figure (94) is barely better than the Street Sense figure (93); his combined DRF speed + track variant is 98 compared to 105 in the Street Sense and 107 in the FOY; his Beyer is 92 compared to a 95 in the FOY and an 87 in the Street Sense. And his Equibase figure (94) is five points lower than his Street Sense figure (99).
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            The week before the Kentucky Derby Sovereignty was sweating quite a bit at the end of gallops, and the word was that before the Florida Derby sweat was dripping from his neck before he lost to Tappan Street. Over the past weekend the issue subsided, and he put in good workout on Saturday.
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            If Sovereignty becomes anxious/washy before the Kentucky Derby -- let's say it happens during the post parade -- I don’t see how he can win. I should never say anything like that, because it can come back to bite you, but that’s just the way I see it.
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            As noted, he won the Street Sense at Churchill Downs, and I take it a lot of support is going his way because of that. However, winning a race at Churchill Downs is not a qualifier for the Kentucky Derby. You look at your Derby winners over the years, and there’s no correlative value.
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            Something else that comes to mind is the fact that a lot of time has passed since the Street Sense, and many of these horses are not the same as they were then. Some have gotten a lot better, and some have stayed about the same. Which type is Sovere
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           ignty?
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           I am still pondering what to do with Sovereignty in my selections, which I anticipate posting no later than Thursday morning.
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           Trainer and jockey comments after that second-place finish in the Florida Derby:
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           Trainer Bill Mott: “He (Sovereignty) came with his run. He ran well. He had a pretty good trip. He got a little wide going into the first turn but he got in and got a pretty good trip. Manny said the ground kind of broke away from him two different times, once at the three-eighths pole and once at the five-sixteenths pole. He said he kind of lost it and gathered himself up, and then he did it again. But, look, he ran OK.
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           "The winner ran good. It was a good race. This doesn’t have to be his best race. Sometimes you can look at it and say, maybe that’s a good thing. You don’t want their best race before the big event. This is a very important race, but I think the fact that he ran very big last time and ran very well this time, maybe he’ll continue to improve. I don’t think the fact that he didn’t win doesn’t mean he didn’t run a good race.”
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           Jockey Manny Franco: “I had a really good trip. I rode the horse the way he likes to run. I told Bill at two points he just didn’t get over the track. He bobbled on me and lost his stride. At that point I think I lost a little momentum to get him into the bridle again, into the rhythm, but he finished running. He’s going to be a good horse going forward.
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           “From the three-eighths pole he did it, and going to the quarter pole. I feel like he disappeared on me a little bit. But that’s the way it is. He kicked home anyway. When I hit the clear he was gaining ground.”
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           Junior Alvarado is healed and will ride Sovereignty in the Kentucky Derby.
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           #19 CHUNK OF GOLD (30-1)
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           - Even though Tiztastic and Chunk of Gold came from off the pace to comprise the Louisiana Derby exacta, according to Brisnet figures the accomplishment did not emerge from top late pace numbers, but rather from top early pace numbers.
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           It is astonishing to me how many of these Derby horses have very slow late pace Bris numbers. Chunk of Gold finished the Louisiana Derby with a 70 Brisnet late pace. Chunk of Gold also does not figure in the top tier of different speed figures going nine furlongs or longer. And he drew post 19.
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           Trainer Ethan West said this after the Louisiana Derby: “He was a lot closer in this race than he ever has been. Jareth (Loveberry) said he was a lot more aggressive early on the front side here and he was trying to get covered up behind John Hancock. He said down the backside he took a big breath and relaxed and he said he was tired but rightfully so. Jareth put a beautiful ride on him - it was picture perfect.”
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           #20 OWEN ALMIGHTY (30-1)
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            - I was at the track the day Owen Almighty won the Tampa Bay Derby. I was sick as you know what after some bug hit me the night before. I had only two cocktails, so it wasn't that. Whatever it was, it hit me like a ton of bricks. Anyway, I drug myself to the track and enjoyed the day with host Bobby Neuman and my BloodHorse editor Byron King, both of whom I consider friends. I said all that to say this: If Owen Almighty wins the Kentucky Derby, somebody better call me an ambulance because I'm gonna need it to get home.
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           #21 BAEZA (12-1)
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            - He's going to be stuck on the far outside post, which seems unfair, but that's the way it is.
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            Baeza ran very impressive numbers in the Santa Anita Derby in only his fourth start as he sat fifth of five off of moderate early fractions and came home very strongly, beaten less than three lengths by the presumptive Kentucky Derby favorite, Journalism.
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            We still don’t know what he’ll do in a large field. When he faced 11 runners in his debut he finished ninth, but that was his first start and it was on turf. In his last three races he faced only 14 total competitors.
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            Two races back he won on second Lasix. To his credit, he moved forward without Lasix in his next start, which, of course was the Santa Anita Derby. Can't get Derby points unless there's no Lasix.
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            I don’t know what to make of his April 20 workout. He was originally credited at Equibase with six furlongs in 1:15 and change. That was revised to 7 furlongs in 1:28 flat. So yes, he finished well, but either way you slice it, that was a slow workout. He ran slowly again in his April 28 workout at Churchill Downs. I suppose both were maintenace works. I think it might be a mistake to discount him based on those works -- unless he's sore or something.
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            Baeza's speed figures jumped in the Santa Anita Derby, just as Rodriguez' did in the Wood Memorial, so a legitimate question is whether he or they will run another one like that or bounce.
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            I don't delve into pedigree very much, mainly because you could make a case for any number of Derby horses based on their pedigrees, but it's worth noting Baeza's dam, Puca, not only produced 2023 Kentucky Derby winner but also Mage and Dornoch, winner of the 2024 Belmont Stakes, Haskell and Fountain of Youth.
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            For now I'll say I remember when Big Brown won from way out there, but he was 2-1 and enough better than his rivals that all he had to do was circle them.
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            Trainer Shirreffs after the Santa Anita Derby: “He ran super."
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            Thank you for reading my work, and I hope it helps you with your selections. I'll post selections no later than Thursday morning.
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      <pubDate>Mon, 28 Apr 2025 22:31:09 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/downey-profile-kentucky-derby-overview</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Update: Sunday, April 27, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-update-sunday-april-27-2025</link>
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           AILY DERBY UPDATE
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           Sunday, April 27, 2025
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA – UAE Derby (GII) winner Admire Daytona had a planned walk day on Sunday. The colt is scheduled to have a published workout Tuesday
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           AMERICAN PROMISE – BC Stables’ American Promise took to the grass Sunday morning … the grass behind Barn 42 to graze early … a day after working five furlongs in :59.40 under jockey Nik Juarez.
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           Winner of the Virginia Derby in his most recent start, American Promise drew post 5 for the Derby and was listed as a 30-1 proposition on the morning line.
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           “That’s a good spot,” four-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer D. Wayne Lukas said as he watched American Promise graze. “He had a good work yesterday and everything has been positive.”
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           Also looking on was part owner Brian Coelho, who teamed with John Bellinger last year on the ownership of Just Steel for Kentucky Derby 150. Coelho lives in central California and Bellinger in San Antonio. Bellinger is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Tuesday afternoon.
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           BAEZA – The Kentucky Derby’s lone also-eligible, the McKinzie colt Baeza, galloped during the special Derby/Oaks training session Sunday morning at 7:15. Trainer John Sherriffs had veteran exercise rider Frankie Herrate up for the exercise. They’re planning on working the Santa Anita Derby (GI) runner up Monday.
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           The trainer was told that more than a few people believe that through belief in luck/bad luck/Derby gods, one of the other runners will come out before Friday morning and give his charge a chance to compete.
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           “We’re ready,” he replied with a smile.
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           BURNHAM SQUARE – Whitham Thoroughbreds’ Burnham Square returned to the track Sunday morning a day after working five furlongs in :59.40 to jog in the mile chute under Mark Cutler.
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           Co-fourth choice on the morning line at 12-1, Burnham Square drew post 9 for the Derby and will be ridden by Brian Hernandez Jr. “That’s a good spot,” trainer Ian Wilkes said of the draw.
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           CHUNK OF GOLD – Terry Stephens’ Chunk of Gold had his first training session at Churchill Downs, jogging under trainer Ethan West.
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           The son of Preservationist drew post 19 for the Derby.
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           “I’d rather have post 19 then not have a post at all,” West joked. “I was hoping for the middle portion of the gate to have a better chance at not going so wide into the turn. (jockey) Jareth (Loveberry) has time to try and get into position into the turn.”
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           Following Chunk of Gold’s training session, West sent his Derby contender to the equine salt water spa, located within steps of his barn. “We’re taking it all in and as long as the horse is happy, I’m happy,” West said.
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           When the 32-year-old trainer wrapped up his morning at Churchill Downs, he was gearing up to coach his son’s championship basketball game in Northern Kentucky.
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           Chunk of Gold is scheduled to gallop on Monday.
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           CITIZEN BULL/RODRIGUEZ – The duo of Bob Baffert-trained colts headed for the 151st Kentucky Derby this coming Saturday both went trackside Sunday morning for the special 7:15 to 7:30 training session.
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           Citizen Bull, the nation’s 2-year-old champion in 2024, had exercise rider Humberto Gomez up for a solid gallop around the Churchill Downs oval. He’s scheduled to turn in his final drill leading up to the Derby Monday and regular rider Martin Garcia is on hand to be the driver for that run.
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           Stablemate Rodriguez, who’ll have Hall of Famer Mike Smith in the tack Saturday, had exercise rider Eric Garcia aboard for his move Sunday, which was a serious five-panel drill in 1:00. The track’s clockers caught his splits in :12.20, :24.20, :36.20 and :47.60, then timed him “out” in 1:12.60 and 1:27.
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           Garcia came off the track at the five and a half-furlong gap shaking his head in a form of pleasing disbelief. “Amazing work; amazing,” the rider said. “He was in hand all the way.”
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           Later at his Barn 33, Baffert had to agree with his rider. “Yes, it was an amazing work,” he stated.
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           Then, either showing some of his impish style, or foretelling a tale he knows well, he offered: “Right over there, on our shedrow rail, that’s where the roses are going to hang.”
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           COAL BATTLE – Norman Stables’ Coal Battle galloped a mile and a half during the 7:15-7:30 training period for Derby and Oaks horses with Bethany Taylor aboard.
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           Coal Battle drew post 16 for the Derby and is listed at 30-1 on the morning line.
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           “I was hoping for 8, 9, 10 or 11,” trainer Lonnie Briley said. “But it looks like most of the speed is inside of us so we can just drop in behind it.”
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           Coal Battle is scheduled for a three-eighths mile blowout Monday morning according to Briley.
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           EAST AVENUE – Godolphin’s East Avenue completed his major preparation for the Kentucky Derby, breezing five furlongs in :59.40 under jockey Manny Franco.
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           The colt worked to the outside of Joejoe Go through a quarter-mile of :24.20 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.20. Joejoe Go’s final time was :59.60.
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           East Avenue drew post 12 in the Derby.
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           “We’re really happy with our draw,” trainer Brendan Walsh said. “There’s a lot of speed on our inside so I think it’s a good spot to be.”
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           FINAL GAMBIT – Juddmonte’s Final Gambit had a walk day at trainer Brad Cox’s barn following his five-eighths move in 1:01 Saturday morning.
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           The winner of the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) drew post 3 for the Derby and will be ridden by Luan Machado.
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           FLYING MOHAWK – Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing and Kaleta Racing’s Flying Mohawk drew post 11 for the Kentucky Derby.
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           “Post 11 seems like a pretty good post,” trainer Whit Beckman said. “It’s right in the middle of the gate. He’ll break out of there and probably track the pace. So, we’re good with it.”
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           Co-owner Jayson Werth was in attendance Saturday night at the draw and was very pleased with drawing post 11.
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           “My grandpa played 19 years in the big leagues and for most of it, his number was 11. So, I have some history with that number and it was one of my favorite numbers growing up as a kid. We are here in the Kentucky Derby with the guy we never thought would make it here. I think he’s live at number 11.”
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           Jockey Joe Ramos has the mount and was tabbed at 30-1 on the morning line.
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           GRANDE – The lightly raced Curlin colt returned to regular training Sunday morning with exercise rider Juan Suarez aboard for a mile and three-eighths gallop during the special Derby/Oaks training period at Churchill Downs starting at 7:15.
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher oversaw the exercise and gave it a thumbs up. “He’ll just gallop the rest of the week,” the trainer said. “And I’m fine with his Derby post draw.”
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           Grande drew post 10 at the draw Saturday evening on the Paddock Plaza Terrace. Saturday he’ll have old pro John Velazquez in the irons.
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           JOURNALISM – One could tell by the crowd of Media types and looki-loos surrounding Barn 35 that Journalism is a big deal for this year’s Kentucky Derby 151. The strapping Curlin colt had the backside at Churchill Downs all atwitter Sunday morning as he went through his final drill for America’s most famous race.
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           The fact that he drew a pleasing post (#8) for the race Saturday evening and was hung the morning line favorite at 3-1 over 19 rivals stirred the pot, of course, as has his run of three straight graded stakes tallies coming into The Most Exciting Two Minutes In Sports, capped by a nifty score in the Santa Anita Derby.
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           Sunday morning, the bay had the airplane-challenged rider Umberto Rispoli up for a move of 1:01.40, preceded by splits of :13.60, :25.80 and :37.60 and followed by some “out” marks of 1:13.60 and 1:26.80. They went about their business on a sunny and slightly chilly morning in Louisville.
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           Rispoli, the ebullient Italian who works out of Southern California these days, went through an airplane adventure in which he came into Louisville Saturday on the planned-though-scratched work day, attempted to fly back to California only to wind up spending five hours in the Atlanta airport trying to make connections, then returning to Louisville later Saturday so he could be on hand for his saddle services Sunday.
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           Nonetheless, the rider liked what his mount had done out on the racetrack that morning. “He was good today,” he said. “Very professional. He’s a professional horse; a pleasure to ride.”
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           Conditioner Michael McCarthy, who watched the work from the frontside with several of his clients, also found the exercise to his liking.
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           “I was very pleased with the work,” he offered. “Umberto was happy, so that’s good. He’ll just walk tomorrow. It’s all good for now.”
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           LUXOR CAFÉ – Fukuryu Stakes winner Luxor Café visited the paddock Sunday morning
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           Trainer Noriyuki Hori is expected to arrive in Louisville on Monday and the horse could breeze Tuesday.
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           NEOEQUOS – C2 Racing Stable, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables and Stefania Farms’ Neoequos trained for the first time at Churchill Downs Sunday morning, jogging at 7:15 a.m. for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. He drew post 2 in the Derby.
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY – Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing’s Owen Almighty galloped a mile and a half under Antonio Orellana for trainer Brian Lynch at 7:15.
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           Assigned morning line odds of 30-1, Owen Almighty drew post 20 for the Derby.
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           PUBLISHER/TIZTASTIC – It was a busier than usual morning for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen as his Derby duo of Publisher and Tiztastic had their final published workouts prior to the Run for the Roses.
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           Publisher, with Wilson Fabian in the irons, breezed a half-mile in :49 and Tiztastic, ridden by Carlos Rosas, worked a half-mile in :50.20.
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           The duo drew adjacent starting positions for the Derby with Publisher breaking from post 13 and Tiztastic post 14.
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           “It’s an ideal draw for both of them being next to each other,” Asmussen said. “They’ve been training together, everything is coming together perfectly. I just hope we can catch a day that’s going to be sunny and a fast track. We couldn’t be more excited.”
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           Tiztastic, owned by Winchell Thoroughbreds, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor and Derrick Smith, won the 1 3/16 TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (GII) six weeks ago.
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           “I think the distance was the difference with him,” Asmussen said. “If the Louisiana Derby were any shorter, he would’ve been fourth or fifth. I think the key to him is getting the opportunity to go this far.”
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           Gus King and the Estate of Brereton C. Jones’ Publisher has accomplished a lot but has yet to win a race. The runner-up in the Arkansas Derby (GI) added blinkers for that race and will wear them again in the Kentucky Derby.
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           “I think we get better focus with him with the addition of blinkers. It was a big jump forward from a numbers standpoint,” Asmussen said. “He’s been very impressive since he’s started training here.”
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           Publisher will be ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr. while Tiztastic will have Joel Rosario in the irons. Both horses are tabbed at 20-1.
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Sun, 27 Apr 2025 16:24:56 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-update-sunday-april-27-2025</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby Field</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-field</link>
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           KENTUCKY DERBY 151 ENTRIES
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           May 3, 3025    $5,000,000 guaranteed    Maximum field of 20
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           Short form
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           1 CITIZEN BULL (KY), M Garcia, B Baffert, 20-1
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           2 NEOEQUOS (FL), F Prat, S Joseph Jr, 30-1
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           3 FINAL GAMBIT (KY), L Machado, B Cox, 30-1
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           4 RODRIGUEZ (KY), M Smith, B Baffert, 12-1
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           5 AMERICAN PROMISE (KY), N Juarez, W Lukas, 30-1
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           6 ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN), C Lemaire, Y Kato, 30-1
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           7 LUXOR CAFE (KY), J Moreira, N Hori, 15-1
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           8 JOURNALISM (KY), U Rispoli, M McCarthy, 3-1
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           9 BURNHAM SQUARE (KY), B Hernandez Jr, I Wilkes, 12-1
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           10 GRANDE (KY), J Velazquez, T Pletcher, 20-1
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           11 FLYING MOHAWK (KY), J Ramos, W Beckman, 30-1
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           12 EAST AVENUE (KY), M Franco, B Walsh, 20-1
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           13 PUBLISHER (KY), I Ortiz Jr, S Asmussen, 20-1
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           14 TIZTASTIC (KY), J Rosario, S Asmussen, 20-1
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           15 RENDER JUDGMENT (KY), J Leparoux, K McPeek, 30-1
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           16 COAL BATTLE (KY), J Vargas, L Briley, 30-1
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           17 SANDMAN (KY), J Ortiz, M Casse, 6-1
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           18 SOVEREIGNTY (KY), J Alvarado, W Mott, 5-1
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           19 CHUNK OF GOLD (KY), J Loveberry, E West, 30-1
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           20 OWEN ALMIGHTY (KY), J Castellano, B Lynch, 30-1
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           Also eligible
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           21 BAEZA (KY), F Prat, J Shirreffs, 12-1
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           Long form
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           #1
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           CITIZEN BULL (KY) 20-1
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           Derby Points: 71.25
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           Earnings: $1,451,000
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           Jockey: Martin Garcia
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           Trainer: Bob Baffert
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           Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC and Donovan, Catherine
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           Foal Date: April 2, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $675,000
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           Last race: Fourth G1 Santa Anita Derby
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           #2
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           NEOEQUOS (FL) 30-1
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Earnings: $291,050
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           Jockey: Flavien Prat if Neoequos gets in and Baeza does not
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           Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
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           Owner: C2 Racing Stable LLC, Parsard, Ian, Shining Stables LLC, Stefania Farms LLC and Paul Braverman
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           Breeder: Helen Barbazon, Joseph Barbazon &amp;amp; Matalona Thoroughbres,LLC
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           Foal Date: April 28, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): OBS October 2023 $22,000
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           Last race: Third G1 Florida Derby
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            #3
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           FINAL GAMBIT (KY) 30-1
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Earnings: $520,639
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           Jockey: Luan Machado
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Juddmonte
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           Breeder: Juddmonte
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           Foal Date: Feb. 21, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Last race: Won G3 Jeff Ruby Steaks
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           #4
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           RODRIGUEZ (KY) 12-1
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           Derby Points: 121.25
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           Earnings: $522,800
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           Jockey: Mike E. Smith
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           Trainer: Bob Baffert
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           Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC and Donovan, Catherine Owner Link
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           Breeder: Kingswood Farm &amp;amp; David Egan
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           Foal Date: May 20, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $485,000
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           Last race: Won G2 Wood Memorial
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           #5
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           AMERICAN PROMISE (KY) 30-1
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           Derby Points: 55
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           Earnings: $444,874
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           Jockey: Nik Juarez
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           Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
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           Owner: BC Stables LLC
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           Breeder: Candy Meadows LLC
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           Foal Date: May 1, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $750,000
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           Last race: Won Virginia Derby
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           #6
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN) 30-1
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           Derby Points: Euro/UAE Road
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           Earnings: $672,047
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           Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
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           Trainer: Yukihiro Kato
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           Owner: Junko Kondo
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           Breeder: Northern Racing
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           Foal Date: March 17, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): JRHA Yearling 2022 $480,276
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           Last race: Second G2 UAE Derby
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           #7
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           LUXOR CAFE (KY) 15-1
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           Derby Points: Japan Road
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           Earnings: $379,057
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           Jockey: Joao Moreira
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           Trainer: Noriyuki Hori
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           Owner: Koichi Nishikawa
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           Breeder: Orpendale/Chelston/Wynatt &amp;amp; Westerberg Ireland ULC
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           Foal Date: Feb. 26, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Last race: Won Fukuryu Stakes
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           #8
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           JOURNALISM (KY) 3-1
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           Derby Points: 122.5
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           Earnings: $638,880
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           Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
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           Trainer: Michael W. McCarthy
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           Owner: Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Elayne Stables 5 LLC, LaPenta, Robert V., Magnier-Lessee, Mrs. John, Smith-Lessee, Derrick and Tabor-Lessee, Michael B.
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           Breeder: Don Alberto Corporation
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           Foal Date: Feb. 6, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton August 2023 $825,000
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           Last race: Won G1 Santa Anita Derby
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           #9
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           BURNHAM SQUARE (KY) 12-1
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           Derby Points: 130
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           Earnings: $977,755
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           Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
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           Trainer: Ian R. Wilkes
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           Owner: Whitham Thoroughbreds LLC
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           Breeder: Whitham Thoroughbreds, LLC
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           Foal Date: April 9, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Last race: Won G1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           #10
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           GRANDE (KY) 20-1
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Earnings: $228,200
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           Jockey: John Velazquez
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Repole Stable
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           Breeder: KatieRich Farms
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           Foal Date: March 9, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $300,000
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           Last race: Second G2 Wood Memorial
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           #11
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           FLYING MOHAWK (KY) 30-1
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           Derby Points: 50
           &#xD;
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           Earnings: $295,800
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           Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos
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           Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman
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           Owner: Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing LLC and Kaleta Racing
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           Breeder: John O'Meara
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           Foal Date: Feb. 18, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland November 2022 $25,000; Keeneland September 2023 $72,000
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           Last race: Second G3 Jeff Ruby Steaks
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           #12
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           EAST AVENUE (KY) 20-1
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           Derby Points: 60
           &#xD;
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           Earnings: $654,395
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           Jockey: Manny Franco
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           Trainer: Brendan P. Walsh
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           Owner: Godolphin
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           Breeder: Godolphin
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           Foal Date: Feb. 4, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Last race: Second G1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           #13
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           PUBLISHER (KY) 20-1
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           Derby Points: 60
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           Earnings: $407,756
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           Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: King, Gus and Estate of Brereton C. Jones
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           Breeder: Brereton C. Jones
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           Foal Date: Feb. 6, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton August 2023 $600,000
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           Last race: Second G1 Arkansas Derby
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           #14
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           TIZTASTIC (KY) 20-1
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           Derby points: 119
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC, Magnier, Mrs. John, Tabor, Michael B. and Smith, Derrick
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           Breeder: Capital Bloodstock
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           Foal Date: April 30, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland January 2023 $80,000; Keeneland September 2023 $335,000
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           Last race: Won G2 Louisiana Derby
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           #15
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           RENDER JUDGMENT (KY) 30-1
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           Derby Points: 39
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           Earnings: $250,672
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           Jockey: Julien Leparoux
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: Baccari Racing Stable LLC, Dream Walkin Farms, Inc., MJM Racing and Rocket Ship Racing
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           Breeder: Green Lantern Stables
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           Foal Date: March 8, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton July 2023 $310,000
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           Last race: Fifth G1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           #16
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           COAL BATTLE (KY) 30-1
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           Derby Points: 95
           &#xD;
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           Earnings: $1,188,875
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           Jockey: Juan P. Vargas
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           Trainer: Lonnie Briley
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           Owner: Norman Stables LLC
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           Breeder: Hume Wornall &amp;amp; Jay Adcock
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           Foal Date: April 6, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Texas Yearling Sale 2023 $70,000
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           Last race: Third G1 Arkansas Derby
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           #17
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           SANDMAN (KY) 6-1
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           Derby Points: 129
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           Earnings: $1,254,595
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           Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
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           Trainer: Mark E. Casse
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           Owner: D. J. Stable LLC, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables
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           Breeder: Lothenbach Stables Inc
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           Foal Date: Feb. 27, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): OBS March 2024 $1,200,000
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           Last race: Won G1 Arkansas Derby
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           #18
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           SOVEREIGNTY (KY) 5-1
           &#xD;
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           Derby Points: 110
           &#xD;
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           Earnings: $572,800
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           Jockey: Junior Alvarado
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           Trainer: William I. Mott
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           Owner: Godolphin, LLC
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           Breeder: Godolphin
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           Foal Date: Feb. 22, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
           &#xD;
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           Last race: Second G1 Florida Derby
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           #19
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           CHUNK OF GOLD (KY) 30-1
           &#xD;
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           Derby Points: 75
           &#xD;
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           Earnings: $348,818
           &#xD;
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           Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
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           Trainer: Ethan W. West
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           Owner: Terry L. Stephens
           &#xD;
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           Breeder: Brereton C. Jones
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           Foal Date: May 11, 2022
           &#xD;
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           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton October 2023 $2,500. Private sale: 1/2 sold to Stephens for $67,500; later, Stephens bought the other half for $100,000 per reporting by DRF's David Grening.
           &#xD;
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           Last race: Second G2 Louisiana Derby
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           #20
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY (KY) 30-1
           &#xD;
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           Derby Points: 65
           &#xD;
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           Earnings: $499,935
           &#xD;
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           Jockey: Javier Castellano
           &#xD;
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           Trainer: Brian A. Lynch
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           Owner: Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing LLC
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           Breeder: Mark Stanley
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           Foal Date: March 5, 2022
           &#xD;
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland November 2022 $360,000; Fasig-Tipton August 2023 $350,000 (not a typo)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Last race: Sixth G1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           ALSO ELIGIBLE
           &#xD;
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           #21
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           BAEZA (KY) 12-1
           &#xD;
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           Derby Points: 37.5
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $148,500
           &#xD;
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           Jockey: Flavien Prat
           &#xD;
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           Trainer: John A. Shirreffs
           &#xD;
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           Owner: C R K Stable LLC and Grandview Equine
           &#xD;
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           Breeder: Grandview Equine
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: May 13, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $1,200,000
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Last race: G1 Santa Anita Derby
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           GRADE 2 PAT DAY MILE
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           $600,000   Run on Kentucky Derby day  For 3-year-olds
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 Madaket Road
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           2 Built
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3 California Burrito
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           4 Smoken Wicked
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           5 Gate to Wire
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           6 Gaming
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           7 Macho Music
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           8 Innovator
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           9 Perfect Force
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           .
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Sat, 26 Apr 2025 19:45:15 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-field</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string" />
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 26, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-26-2025</link>
      <description />
      <content:encoded>&lt;div data-rss-type="text"&gt;&#xD;
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE
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           April 26, 2025
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            ﻿
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           Burnham Square topped a list of five Kentucky Derby hopefuls with timed workouts Saturday morning at Churchill Downs under three track conditions.
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           However, one of the five, Tappan Street, will not be participating in Kentucky Derby 151. The Brad Cox trainee exited his five-furlong work in :59.60 with a right foreleg injury.
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           The Post Position Draw for the Oaks and Derby will take place Saturday night beginning a little after 7 p.m. (all times Eastern) between the fifth and sixth races on the Spring Meet opening-night program.
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           First up at 5:30 on a track rated sloppy was BC Stables’ American Promise (five furlongs in :59.40) on his own.
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           Following the first track maintenance break with the track condition upgraded to good, Burnham Square worked five furlongs on his own in :59.40. Also during the 7:15-7:30 training window for Derby and Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) hopefuls, Baccari Racing Stable, Dream Walkin Farms, MJM Racing and Rocket Ship Racing’s Render Judgment worked five furlongs in :59 in company.
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           Working over a fast track at 9 o’clock following the second maintenance break, were Tappan Street and Juddmonte’s Final Gambit with the latter working five furlongs in company in 1:01.
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           Several scheduled works were pushed back a day. On tap now for Sunday morning are Journalism, Rodriguez, Sovereignty, East Avenue, Tiztastic and Publisher.
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           ADMIRE DAYTONA – UAE Derby (GII) winner Admire Daytona jogged in the one-mile chute then galloped Saturday morning. The colt is scheduled to have a published workout Tuesday.
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           AMERICAN PROMISE – BC Stables’ Virginia Derby winner American Promise wasted no time going to the track Saturday morning, working five furlongs in :59.40 with jockey Nik Juarez up.
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           Churchill Downs clockers timed American Promise in fractions of :12, :23.80, :35.40, :47, :59.40 and out six furlongs in 1:12.40 for trainer D. Wayne Lukas.
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           Juarez arrived in Louisville at 8:30 Friday night after driving to Kentucky from Oaklawn Park.
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           “Got here last night, ready to work this morning,” Juarez said. “He was ready to work too and the off track was not a problem.”
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           Juarez rode American Promise for the first time in the Virginia Derby when the Justify colt won by 7 ¾ lengths. American Promise broke his maiden over a muddy track at Oaklawn Park on Dec. 29.
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           American Promise is a half-brother to Grade II stakes winner Hoosier Philly who will be shooting for millionaire status Saturday afternoon at Oaklawn Park in the $200,000 Dig A Diamond Stakes. She has earned $974,465.
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           BAEZA – Trainer John Shirreffs went trackside Saturday morning with his colt Baeza, who had come in from California on Thursday. The son of the young stallion McKinzie, currently No. 21 on the Kentucky Derby points list (only 20 get to run), galloped during the special 7:15 to 7:30 training period for horses bound for the Derby or the Kentucky Oaks.
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           Baeza turned in a steady gallop over the “good” Churchill strip under exercise rider Frankie Herrate. “You might remember,” the trainer noted to a bystander, “Frankie galloped Giacomo here for me in 2005.”
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           Giacomo, with Mike Smith in the boot, is recalled as the 2005 Kentucky Derby winner at the hearty price of 50-1.
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           Baeza, unfortunately, might not make the 2025 Derby field, even though Shirreffs has the Eclipse Award jockey Flavien Prat named as his rider.
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           “If we don’t make it,” the trainer said, “we’ll work him here Monday. Then we’ve got to look at the Preakness.”
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           BURNHAM SQUARE – Whitham Thoroughbreds’ homebred Burnham Square worked five furlongs in :59.40 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. up for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           Working at 7:15 over a track rated as good, Burnham Square produced fractions of :12.40, :24.40, :36, :59.40 and out six furlongs in 1:12 and seven-eighths in 1:26.20.
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           “I let him out a little bit at the eighth pole and he got his last eighth in 11 and 1,” said Hernandez, winner of Derby 150 last year on Mystik Dan.
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           Watching the work from the backstretch was two-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer Carl Nafzger for whom Wilkes served as an exercise rider for Unbridled in 1990 and as an assistant for Street Sense in 2007.
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           “The track was good,” Wilkes said. “It was probably a tick faster, but he did it well in hand and had a strong gallop out. We just have to keep him on the ground now. He’s ready.”
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           CHUNK OF GOLD – Terry Stephens’ Chunk of Gold arrived at Churchill Downs Friday at 3 p.m.
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           The son of Preservationist had a walk day at Barn 45 and is scheduled to hit the track Sunday morning.
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           CITIZEN BULL/RODRIGUEZ – Trainer Bob Baffert’s duo of Derby colts – Rodriguez and Citizen Bull – were gallopers not workers, Saturday morning at Churchill Downs. Both got to stretch their legs nonetheless with exercise rider Eric Garcia handling the Authentic colt Rodriguez and Humberto Gomez aboard last year’s 2-year-old champion Citizen Bull.
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           Both youngsters traveled approximately a mile and a quarter around the big strip, which went from sloppy to “good” to fast over the course of the morning.   
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           Hall of Famer Baffert said his plan is to work Rodriguez Sunday morning, then Citizen Bull on Monday.
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           Hall of Famer Mike Smith, who was aboard Rodriguez for his tally in the Grade II Wood Memorial in his most recent outing on April 5, has the call back for Derby 151. Regular rider Martin Garcia will be aboard Citizen Bull, who has four wins in six starts and more than $1.4 million in earnings.
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           COAL BATTLE – Norman Stables’ Coal Battle walked at Barn 42 Saturday morning and following training hours had a paddock schooling session.
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           EAST AVENUE – Godolphin’s East Avenue schooled in the paddock then galloped under exercise rider Stephen Dolan for trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           The Blue Grass (GI) runner-up is slated to breeze Sunday with jockey Manny Franco in the saddle.
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           FINAL GAMBIT/TAPPAN STREET – WinStar Farm, CHC Inc. and Cold Press Racing’s Tappan Street breezed five furlongs in :59.40 but following the work, trainer Brad Cox reported the colt had a condylar fracture in his right foreleg.
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           His stablemate, Juddmonte’s Final Gambit, completed his final move before the Derby by working five furlongs in 1:01 under jockey Luan Machado. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.80.
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           FLYING MOHAWK – Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing and Kaleta Racing’s Flying Mohawk had a scheduled walk day following his five-furlong move in 1:00 Friday.
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           GRANDE – Repole Stable’s Curlin colt Grande, who had drilled five furlongs in 1:01 Friday morning at Keeneland, was sent back to the track at Churchill Downs Saturday by conditioner Todd Pletcher.
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           “He’s a high energy colt and we’ve got to keep him busy,” the seven-time Eclipse Award winner noted. “He’ll just gallop a mile.”
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           Grande, who most recently ran second in the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct on April 5, will be handled by Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez in Derby 151. The veteran reinsman was aboard the Kentucky-bred for victories in a straight maiden test and an allowance race at Gulfstream Park this year. 
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           JOURNALISM – The likely Kentucky Derby favorite was scheduled to turn in his final major prep for the Run for the Roses Saturday morning, but when the day dawned trainer Michael McCarthy said “uh, uh.”
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           “That track out there is a little wetter than I’d like it to be,” he offered. “We’ll wait until tomorrow.”
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           Journalism, a striking colt by super sire Curlin, is headed to America’s most famous race with four straight victories under his belt, the most recent one the Santa Anita Derby (GI) on April 5.
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           So instead of his Saturday work, the bay took exercise rider Marc Witkowski for a mile and a quarter spin around Churchill in a good gallop. Sunday will be a different story.
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           LUXOR CAFÉ – Fukuryu Stakes winner Luxor Café galloped at 7:15 a.m. under exercise rider Naoto Suzuki.
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           Trainer Noriyuki Hori is expected to arrive in Louisville on Monday and the horse could breeze Tuesday.
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           NEOEQUOS – C2 Racing Stable, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables and Stefania Farms’ Neoequos arrived at Churchill Downs Saturday morning. He’s scheduled to hit the track Sunday morning.
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY – Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing’s Owen Almighty galloped a mile and a half at 5:30 under exercise rider Antonio Orellana for trainer Brian Lynch.
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           PUBLISHER/TIZTASTIC – Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen’s duo of Publisher and Tiztastic galloped Saturday and are scheduled to work on Sunday.
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           RENDER JUDGMENT – Trainer Kenny McPeek reported Virginia Derby runner-up Render Judgment will be entered in the Derby.
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           The colt breezed five furlongs in :59 under jockey Julien Leparoux who has the call in the “Run for the Roses.”
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           SANDMAN – D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables’ Sandman galloped a mile during the 7:15-7:30 training window under Froylan Garcia for trainer Mark Casse.
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           SOVEREIGNTY – “We’re just going to gallop at 7:15,” noted trainer Bill Mott Saturday concerning his Kentucky Derby charge Sovereignty. “I don’t have a problem with the racetrack; I just decided to wait until tomorrow (to work).”
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           The Hall of Fame conditioner has previously indicated that his Into Mischief colt, owned and bred by the folks of Godolphin, was going to turn in his final Derby drill Saturday morning, but checked to Plan B for his double stakes winner on an overcast and chilly morning in Louisville.
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           Instead, the bay and exercise partner Javier Cardona, took a tour of the paddock, then galloped a mile and one half around the big Churchill oval.
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           Regular rider Junior
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            A
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            lvarado is slated to handle the homebred come Derby Day.
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Sat, 26 Apr 2025 17:23:52 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-26-2025</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby by the Speed Numbers</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-by-the-speed-numbers</link>
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           Kentucky Derby by the Speed Numbers - PRELIMINARY
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           Posted April 22, 2025
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           UPDATED May 2 at 10:05 a.m. ET after last evening's defection of Rodriguez and this morning's scratch of Grande by a state vet
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           This section will be updated once the Derby field is more settled. Entries for the Derby close Saturday, April 26. Baeza is included here but may not make the Kentucky Derby field. In addition, there could be defections of contenders who already qualify for the Derby.
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           TOP HORSES IN FOUR CATEGORIES OF SPEED FIGURES IN RACES NINE FURLONGS OR LONGER
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           Races in Dubai and Japan are not rated using U. S. methods.
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            Beyer Speed Figure: Journalism 102, Baeza 101,
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           Rodriguez 101
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           , Sandman 99, Grande 97, Burnham Square 96, East Avenue 96
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           DRF Combined Speed-Track Variant: American Promise 120, Render Judgment 112, Rodriguez 109, Final Gambit 106, Journalism 106
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           Equibase Speed Figure: Rodriguez 111, Journalism 108, Baeza 107, Grande 106, Burnham Square 104, East Avenue 104, Sandman 104
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           Brisnet Speed Figure: Journalism 108, Baeza 107, American Promise 105, Rodriguez 105, Final Gambit 101, Grande 101, Sandman 101
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           INCIDENCE AND RANKING OF HORSES' SPEED FIGURES IN ABOVE CATEGORIES (T = tie)
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           NOTE:
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           Rankings include Baeza, who at this time lacks points to make the Derby field. Races in Dubai and Japan are not rated.
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           April 26 NOTE:
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            Today I minimally pared down this list to emphasize the top numbers.
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           Journalism: 1 Beyer; 4T DRF-S/TV; 2 Equibase; 1 Brisnet
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           Rodriguez: 3 Beyer; 3 DRF-S/TV; 1 Equibase; 3T Brisnet
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           Baeza: 2 Beyer; 3 Equibase; 2 Brisnet
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           American Promise: 1 DRF-S/TV; 3 Brisnet
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           Grande: 5 Beyer; 4 Equibase;  5T Brisnet
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           Sandman: 4 Beyer; 5T Equibase; 5T Brisnet
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           Final Gambit: 4T DRF-S/TV; 5T Brisnet
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           Burnham Square: 6T Beyer; 5T Equibase
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           East Avenue: 6T Beyer; 5T Equibase
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           Render Judgment 2 DRF-S/TV
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           EARLY AND LATE BRISNET PACE FIGURES IN RACES NINE FURLONGS OR LONGER
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           E1 is a pace figure that measures speed over the first four furlongs in route races.
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           E2 is a pace figure that measures speed over the first six furlongs in route races.
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           LP is a pace figure that measures speed after the first six furlongs in route races.
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           Brisnet Baseline Ratings for the Kentucky Derby
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           E1 94 - E2 103 - LP 93 - Speed 103
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            This section is not intended to be a model. It is offered for your own analysis.
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            The 10 horses with the fastest E1 figures and E2 figures are all faster than the baseline. With what appears on paper to be an abundance of speed we could see a fast early pace that is likely to melt down unless the horse does a "Justify" and just keeps going. Almost all of the 10 horses with the fastest LP figures meet or exceed the baseline. Taking into account the long stretch at Churchill Downs and the increased length of the Kentucky Derby vis a vis the prep races, I think the horse in this group that gets the best trip is likely to win.
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           Rodriguez has figures that most approximate the Brisent baseline ratings. This does not necessarily mean he can duplicate those figures in the Kentucky Derby. If he does, he might win, but a horse with figures superior to his might finish ahead of him. Or, a late-developing horse with upside potential could improve enough to beat him, particularly if he does not get an uncontested lead.
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           10 Fastest E1 Figures
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           Chunk of Gold 106, East Avenue 104, Coal Battle 103, Citizen Bull 99, Owen Almighty 98, American Promise 97, Baeza 97, Journalism 96, Sandman 94, Rodriguez 93, Render Judgment 93
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           Render Judgment 92, Tiztastic 92, Grande 90, Flying Mohawk 89, Neoequos 88, Publisher 88
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           10 Fastest E2 Figures
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           Chunk of Gold 118, Tiztastic 114, Coal Battle 112, American Promise 111, Citizen Bull 109, Sandman 108, Baeza 107, East Avenue 107, Owen Almighty 106, Render Judgment 105
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           Next: Publisher 104, Rodriguez 103, Render Judgment 102, Journalism 102, Burnham Square 101, Grande 100
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           10 Fastest Combined E1-E2 Figures
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           Chunk of Gold 224, Coal Battle 215, East Avenue 211, American Promise 208, Citizen Bull 208, Tiztastic 206, Baeza 204, Owen Almighty 204, Sandman 202, Journalism 198, Render Judgment 198
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           10 Fastest Late Pace Figures
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           Bris LP: Final Gambit 112, Journalism 109, Baeza 102, Flying Mohawk 102, Rodriguez 101, Grande 97, Sovereignty 97, American Promise 93, Burnham Square 89, Sandman 88
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           DETAILS
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           (DRF S-TV = Combined DRF speed- track variant)
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    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Admire Daytona: No figures, but has has good early speed, and he finished slowly in the UAE Derby. Can also rate off the pace.
          &#xD;
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           American Promise: 95 Beyer, 120 DRF S-TV, 101 Equibase, 105 Brisnet, 97 BrisE1, 111 BrisE2, 93 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Baeza: 101 Beyer, 105 DRF S-TV, 107 Equibase, 107 Brisnet, 97 BrisE1, 107 BrisE2, 102 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Built: 84 Beyer, 92 DRF S-TV, 88 Equibase, 92 Brisnet, 108 BrisE1, 121 BrisE2, 60 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           Built: 92 Beyer, 94 DRF S-TV, 91 Equibase, 94 Brisnet, 98 BrisE1, 110 BrisE2, 76 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Burnham Square: 96 Beyer, 101 DRF S-TV, 104 Equibase, 97 Brisnet, 85 BrisE1, 101 BrisE2, 89 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           California Burrito: 73 Beyer, 96 DRF S-TV, 81 Equibase, 90 Brisnet, 95 BrisE1, 96 BrisE2, 81 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Chunk of Gold: 92 Beyer, 98 DRF S-TV, 96 Equibase, 98 Brisnet, 106 BrisE1, 118 BrisE2, 72 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chunk of Gold: 92 Beyer, 94 DRF S-TV, 91 Equibase, 94 Brisnet, BrisE1, BrisE2, 81 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Citizen Bull: 87 Beyer, 96 DRF S-TV, 94 Equibase, 97 Brisnet, 99 BrisE1, 109 BrisE2, 82 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Coal Battle: 88 Beyer, 97 DRF S-TV, 93 Equibase, 93 Brisnet, 103 BrisE1, 112 BrisE2, 70 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           East Avenue: 96 Beyer, 101 DRF S-TV, 104 Equibase, 97 Brisnet, 104 BrisE1, 107 BrisE2, 83 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Final Gambit: 90 Beyer, 106 DRF S-TV, 96 Equibase, 101 Brisnet, 87 BrisE1, 85 BrisE2, 112 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Flying Mohawk: 84 Beyer, 102 DRF S-TV, 91 Equibase, 97 Brisnet, 89 BrisE1, 88 BrisE2, 102 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grande: 97 Beyer, 105 DRF S-TV, 106 Equibase, 101 Brisnet, 90 BrisE1, 100 BrisE2, 97 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Journalism: 102 Beyer, 106 DRF S-TV, 108 Equibase, 108 Brisnet, 96 BrisE1, 102 BrisE2, 109 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Luxor Cafe: No figures but he has shown an amazing turn of foot in the late stages of his races.
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Neoequos: 89 Beyer, 95 DRF S-TV, 90 Equibase, 91 Brisnet, 88 BrisE1, 95 BrisE2, 83 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owen Almighty: 90 Beyer, 97 DRF S-TV, 98 Equibase, 92 Brisnet, 98 BrisE1, 106 BrisE2, 76 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Publisher: 95 Beyer, 101 DRF S-TV, 100 Equibase, 98 Brisnet, 88 BrisE1, 104 BrisE2, 87 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Render Judgment: 90 Beyer, 97 DRF S-TV, 98 Equibase, 93 Brisnet, 92 BrisE1, 102 BrisE2, 80 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Render Judgment 83 Beyer, 112 DRF S-TV, 90 Equibase, 96 Brisnet, 93 Bris E1, 105 Bris E2, 84 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rodriguez: 101 Beyer, 109 DRF S-TV, 111 Equibase, 105 Brisnet, 93 BrisE1, 103 BrisE2, 101 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sandman: 99 Beyer, 104 DRF S-TV, 104 Equibase, 101 Brisnet, 94 BrisE1, 108 BrisE2, 88 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sovereignty: 92 Beyer, 98 DRF S-TV, 95 Equibase, 94 Brisnet, 79 BrisE1, 87 BrisE2, 97 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tappan Street: 94 Beyer, 99 DRF S-TV, 96 Equibase, 95 Brisnet, 82 BrisE1, 90 BrisE2, 96 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tiztastic: 95 Beyer, 100 DRF S-TV, 99 Equibase, 100 Brisnet, 92 BrisE1, 114 BrisE2, 81 BrisLP
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2025 17:04:07 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-by-the-speed-numbers</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string" />
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>CONTENDERS WITH POINTS, EARNINGS, CONNECTIONS, JOCKEY, PEDIGREE, DOSAGE, FOAL DATE, AUCTION PRICE</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/contenders-with-points-earnings-connections-jockey-pedigree-dosage-foal-date-auction-price</link>
      <description />
      <content:encoded>&lt;div data-rss-type="text"&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           CONTENDERS WITH DERBY POINTS, EARNINGS, CONNECTIONS, JOCKEY, PEDIGREE, DOSAGE, FOAL DATE, AUCTION PRICE
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           LISTED IN PROGRAM NUMBER ORDER
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
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           #1
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           CITIZEN BULL (KY)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: 71.25
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $1,451,000
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Martin Garcia
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: Bob Baffert
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC and Donovan, Catherine
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): No Joke (Distorted Humor, Unenchantedevening)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-2-0-0 (10) 9.00
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: April 2, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $675,000
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
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  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           #2
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           NEOEQUOS (FL)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: 40
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $291,050
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Luis Saez
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: C2 Racing Stable LLC, Parsard, Ian, Shining Stables LLC, Stefania Farms LLC and Paul Braverman
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Breeder: Helen Barbazon, Joseph Barbazon &amp;amp; Matalona Thoroughbres,LLC
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Neolithic (Harlan's Holiday, Swingit)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Bold Birdie (CAN) (Birdstone, On the Podium (CAN))
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-2-1-0-0 (4) 7.00
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: April 28, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): OBS October 2023 $22,000
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           #3
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           FINAL GAMBIT (KY)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: 100
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $520,639
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Luan Machado
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: Juddmonte
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Breeder: Juddmonte
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Not This Time (Giant's Causeway, Miss Macy Sue)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Pachinko (Tapit, Hachita)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-7-15-0-0 (24) 2.20
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: Feb. 21, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): NA
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           #4
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           RODRIGUEZ (KY)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: 121.25
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $522,800
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Mike E. Smith
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: Bob Baffert
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC and Donovan, Catherine Owner Link
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Breeder: Kingswood Farm &amp;amp; David Egan
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Authentic (Into Mischief, Flawless)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Cayala (Cherokee Run, Chasethegold)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-1-2-0-0 (4) 3.00
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: May 20, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $485,000
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           #5
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           AMERICAN PROMISE (KY)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: 55
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $444,874
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Nik Juarez
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: BC Stables LLC
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Breeder: Candy Meadows LLC
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Justify (Scat Daddy, Stage Magic)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Tapella (Tapit, Princess Arabella)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-6-0-0 (14) 3.67
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: May 1, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $750,000
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           #6
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: Euro/UAE Road
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $672,047
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: Yukihiro Kato
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: Junko Kondo
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Breeder: Northern Racing
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Defrong (Gio Ponti, Eltimaas)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Ice Pastel (Shackleford, Million Gift (JPN))
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-2-5-1-0 (10) 1.86
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: March 17, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): JRHA Yearling 2022 $480,276
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           #7
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           LUXOR CAFE (KY)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: Japan Road
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $379,057
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Joao Moreira
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: Noriyuki Hori
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: Koichi Nishikawa
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Breeder: Orpendale/Chelston/Wynatt &amp;amp; Westerberg Ireland ULC
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): American Pharoah (Pioneerof the Nile, Littleprincessemma)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Mary's Follies (More Than Ready, Catch the Queen)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-1-2-0-0 (6) 5.00
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: Feb. 26, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): NA
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           #8
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           JOURNALISM (KY)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derby Points: 122.5
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Earnings: $638,880
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Trainer: Michael W. McCarthy
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owner: Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Elayne Stables 5 LLC, LaPenta, Robert V., Magnier-Lessee, Mrs. John, Smith-Lessee, Derrick and Tabor-Lessee, Michael B.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Breeder: Don Alberto Corporation
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriff's Deputy)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Mopotism (Uncle Mo, Peppy Rafaela)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-5-7-0-0 (16) 3.57
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foal Date: Feb. 6, 2022
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton August 2023 $825,000
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
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           #9
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           BURNHAM SQUARE (KY)
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           Derby Points: 130
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           Earnings: $977,755
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           Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
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           Trainer: Ian R. Wilkes
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           Owner: Whitham Thoroughbreds LLC
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           Breeder: Whitham Thoroughbreds, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Liam's Map (Unbridled's Song, Miss Macy Sue)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Linda (Scat Daddy, Beautiful Noise)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-13-5-0-0 (22) 7.80
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           Foal Date: April 9, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           #10
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           GRANDE (KY)
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Earnings: $228,200
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           Jockey: John Velazquez
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Repole Stable
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           Breeder: KatieRich Farms
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriff's Deputy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Journey Home (War Front, Soul Search)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 6-10-12-0-0 (28) 3.67
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           Foal Date: March 9, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $300,000
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           #11
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           FLYING MOHAWK (KY)
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Earnings: $295,800
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           Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos
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           Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman
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           Owner: Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing LLC and Kaleta Racing
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           Breeder: John O'Meara
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Karakontie (JPN) (Bernstein, Sun Is Up (JPN))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Bonbons Fleur (Twirling Candy, America's Blossom)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-1-2-0-0 (4) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 18, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland November 2022 $25,000; Keeneland September 2023 $72,000
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           #12
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           EAST AVENUE (KY)
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           Derby Points: 60
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           Earnings: $654,395
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           Jockey: Manny Franco
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           Trainer: Brendan P. Walsh
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           Owner: Godolphin
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           Breeder: Godolphin
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Medaglia d'Oro (El Prado (IRE), Cappucino Bay)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Dance Music (Ghostzapper, Dance Card)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-9-8-2-0 (24) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 4, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           #13
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           PUBLISHER (KY)
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           Derby Points: 60
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           Earnings: $407,756
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           Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: King, Gus and Estate of Brereton C. Jones
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           Breeder: Brereton C. Jones
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): American Pharoah (Pioneerof the Nile, Littleprincessemma)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Indian Pride (Proud Citizen, Ms Cornstalk)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-3-0-0 (8) 4.33
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           Foal Date: Feb. 6, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton August 2023 $600,000
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           #14
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           TIZTASTIC (KY)
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           Derby Points: 119
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           Earnings: $1,549,800
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC, Magnier, Mrs. John, Tabor, Michael B. and Smith, Derrick
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           Breeder: Capital Bloodstock
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tiz the Law (Constitution, Tizfiz)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Keesha (Tapit, Wile Cat)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-5-4-0-0 (10) 4.00
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           Foal Date: April 30, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland January 2023 $80,000; Keeneland September 2023 335,000
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           #15
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           RENDER JUDGMENT (KY)
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           Derby Points: 39
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           Earnings: $250,672
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           Jockey: Julien Leparoux
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: Baccari Racing Stable LLC, Dream Walkin Farms, Inc., MJM Racing and Rocket Ship Racing
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           Breeder: Green Lantern Stables
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Blame (Arch, Liable)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Barbara Gordon (Commissioner, Waltz with Chester)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-3-10-1-0 (18) 2.00
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           Foal Date: March 8, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton July 2023 $310,000
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           #16
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           COAL BATTLE (KY)
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           Derby Points: 95
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           Earnings: $1,188,875
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           Jockey: Juan P. Vargas
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           Trainer: Lonnie Briley
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           Owner: Norman Stables LLC
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           Breeder: Hume Wornall &amp;amp; Jay Adcock
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Coal Front (Stay Thirsty, Miner's Secret)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Wolfblade (Midshipman, Venice Queen)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-7-3-1-0 (12) 3.80
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           Foal Date: April 6, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Texas Yearling Sale 2023 $70,000
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           #17
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           SANDMAN (KY)
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           Derby Points: 129
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           Earnings: $1,254,595
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           Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
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           Trainer: Mark E. Casse
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           Owner: D. J. Stable LLC, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables
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           Breeder: Lothenbach Stables Inc
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tapit (Pulpit, Tap Your Heels)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Distorted Music (Distorted Humor, Music Room)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 6-15-13-2-0 (36) 3.24
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           Foal Date: Feb. 27, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): OBS March 2024 $1,200,000
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           #18
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           SOVEREIGNTY (KY)
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           Derby Points: 110
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           Earnings: $572,800
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           Jockey: Junior Alvarado
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           Trainer: William I. Mott
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           Owner: Godolphin, LLC
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           Breeder: Godolphin
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Crowned (Bernardini, Mushka)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-3-0-0 (8) 4.33
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           Foal Date: Feb. 22, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           #19
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           CHUNK OF GOLD (KY)
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           Derby Points: 75
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           Earnings: $348,818
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           Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
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           Trainer: Ethan W. West
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           Owner: Terry L. Stephens
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           Breeder: Brereton C. Jones
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Preservationist (Arch, Flying Dixie)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Play for Gold (Cairo Prince, Gold N Shaft)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-3-6-0-0 (10) 2.33
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           Foal Date: May 11, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Fasig-Tipton October 2023 $2,500. Private sale: 1/2 sold to Stephens for $67,500; later, Stephens bought the other half for $100,000 per reporting by DRF's David Grening.
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           #20
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           OWEN ALMIGHTY (KY)
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           Derby Points: 65
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           Earnings: $499,935
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           Jockey: Javier Castellano
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           Trainer: Brian A. Lynch
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           Owner: Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing LLC
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           Breeder: Mark Stanley
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Speightstown (Gone West, Silken Cat (CAN))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Tempers Rising (Bayern, Marchmont)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-5-7-0-0 (16) 3.57
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           Foal Date: March 5, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland November 2022 $360,000; Fasig-Tipton August 2023 $350,000 (not a typo)
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           #21
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           BAEZA (KY)
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           Derby Points: 37.5
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           Earnings: $148,500
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           Jockey: Flavien Prat
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           Trainer: John A. Shirreffs
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           Owner: C R K Stable LLC and Grandview Equine
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           Breeder: Grandview Equine
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): McKinzie (Street Sense, Runway Model)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Puca (Big Brown, Boat's Ghost)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-1-4-0-0 (6) 2.00
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           Foal Date: May 13, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): Keeneland September 2023 $1,200,000
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2025 22:52:22 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/contenders-with-points-earnings-connections-jockey-pedigree-dosage-foal-date-auction-price</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: April 12 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-april-12-stonestreet-lexington-stakes</link>
      <description />
      <content:encoded>&lt;div data-rss-type="text"&gt;&#xD;
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           Kentucky Derby Road: April 12 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes
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           G3 Stonestreet Lexingon Stakes, 1 1/16 Mile
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           The Road to the Kentucky Derby is at an end with the running of the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes. Going two turns for the first time Gosger (4-1) was midpack on the backstretch, loomed on the turn and took over in the stretch under Irad Ortiz, Jr. to get past Bracket Buster (25-1) and favored Praetor (8-5) for the win in 1:44.15 for 1 1/16 mile. Hypnus (9-2) was fourth in the field of seven. It's very unlikely the race will have Kentucky Derby implications. Kentucky Derby points: 20-10-6-4-2. Brendan Walsh trains Gosger for owner-breeder Harvey A Clarke Racing Stable. Gosger is a son of Nyquist out of Gloria S, by Tapit.
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           Equibase chart
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           I
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           rad Ortiz Jr. (winning rider of Gosger); “He’s a really nice horse. He ran a little green down the lane, looking around. I tried to stay straight and keep him focused. He was very impressive. He’s fun to ride. I had a beautiful trip, and he responded whenever I asked him. He was there for me. Everything worked out perfect. Brendan did a great job. I’m happy to be here.”
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           Brendan Walsh (winning trainer): “We weren’t sure if he had enough experience coming here today. He could have done with maybe another run or two. We gave him a little time after he broke his maiden (Feb. 15 at Gulfstream Park). He did a lot of growing, so we just took our time with him. So I think there’s a lot of upside to the horse, and I think he’s got a lot in front of him.”
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           On what’s ahead for Gosger: “We’ll see how he comes out (of this race). I won’t do anything drastic too quick unless he really warrants it. He’s going to be a lovely horse as the year goes on, really, but we’re going to stay calm and pick our spots with him and see how we go.”
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           Manny Franco (rider of runner-up Bracket Buster): “I had a really good trip – I think the best trip in the race. I ended up in the lead without asking him to do it. He was traveling so well and comfortable. We just got run down by a better horse.”
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           Flavien Prat (rider of third-place finisher and beaten favorite Praetor): “He broke very well, he sat next to the pace, he made a good run turning for home.”
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           Michael McCarthy (trainer of fifth-place finisher and second choice Bullard): “I would have liked to have seen him 1, 2, 3 today. He’s coming back after a bit of an extended layoff. I was pleased with his performance. I thought it was a good place to start. The first half was a little slower than I would have liked. He needs to come from way out of it or be closer to the pace. A little bit of a head scratcher. I’m not exactly sure what to think. I’m just glad to get this horse back to the races. We will put our heads together and see where we go after this.”
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      <pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2025 21:50:02 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-april-12-stonestreet-lexington-stakes</guid>
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      <title>ARRIVALS AT CD / BARN NUMBERS / WORKOUTS</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/arrivals-at-cd-barn-numbers-workouts</link>
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           ARRIVALS AT CD / BARN NUMBERS / WORKOUTS
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           MAY 1: THESE NOTES ARE CONCLUDED. TRAINING HOURS ON OAKS AND DERBY DAYS WILL BE ABBREVIATED.
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           UPDATED May 1 at 6:04 p.m. ET after the defection of Rodriguez
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           Arrival dates at Churchill Down, barn numbers, workouts.
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           Videos of workouts since the horse's last race are posted. Workouts are on fast dirt unless otherwise noted.
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           VIDEOS:
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           Workouts available on video since the horse's last race are being posted. We began locating and posting these on April 19. Videos produced by 1/ST (such as the Baeza, Citizen Bull, Rodriguez and Tappan Street workouts) may require you to sign in to a 1/ST account. There is no charge for setting up an account. If available we will post Youtube videos instead of 1/ST.
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           Includes a few horses that need defections to make the Derby field, and some of those may opt to go in other races. As of April 21 in Derby points order they are Neoequos, Render Judgment, Baeza and California Burrito.
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           Training hours at Churchill Downs initially are 5:30-10 with renovation breaks from 6:45-7:15 and 8:30-9. Beginning April 18 training from 5:15-10, the same renovation breaks, and a 7:15-7:30 window exclusively for Derby and Oaks contenders.
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           Admire Daytona:
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            April 9 (Quarantine barn 1)
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           April 22
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            53:20 Breezing 33/33
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           CD
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             -
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            - typical, expected slow breeze - solo - 13.00, 39.20 - “With only three (actually four) weeks between races, we just prepped him the same way we did in Dubai,” exercise rider/assistant trainer Yoshimitsu Miyashita said. “We let him decide what he wanted to do over the four furlongs. He increased his speed a bit in the straight on his own and really it was exactly like the kind of work he turned in prior to the UAE Derby. He has managed to maintain his pre-UAE Derby physical condition perfectly so we just have to help him keep it until race day.”
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           April 23:
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            Scheduled walk day.
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           April 24:
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           Back on the race track today.
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           April 25:
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            Admire Daytona had a routine morning of training that consisted of jogging in the one-mile chute before galloping.
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           April 26:
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            He is scheduled to have a published workout Tuesday.
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           April 29
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            1.02:40 Breezing / CD - inside workmate Greatdayforhockey, a Dale Romans trainee whose highest Equibase figure is 71 - 13.40, 25.60, 49.40, out six in 116.20 - the type of move we have come to expect from Japanese trainers - "laps" as they say in Japan are 13.40, 12.20, next quarter in 23.80, out in another 13.80 - workmate stayed with him in gallop out - Trainer Kato said, “Up until now he’s been just training on his own just maintaining condition from Dubai. Today we wanted to train him in company to tighten the screws down and it was perfect. He is a horse that thrives off a challenge. We really appreciate Dale Romans helping us out today.”
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           April 30:
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            Scheduled walk day.
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           May 1:
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           He jogged in the one-mile chute.
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           American Promise:
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            April 20, barn 44
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           March 25
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            59.80 Breezing 2/5 OP
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           April 1
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            59.20 Breezing 1/20 OP
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           April 9
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            59:40 Breezing 1/20 OP
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           April 18
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              1.25:20 Handily gate 1/1 OP -
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            - the rare "handily" workout at Oaklawn; seldom used outside California - In company with Bon Temps, under jockey Nik Juarez. Splits were 22.00, 33.60, 45.80, 57.80, 1:11.00. Bon Temps, a seven-race maiden, began dropping back on the turn and went five furlongs in :59.60. Trainer Lukas claimed, “That’s what I wanted him to do, jump on that other horse. From the wire to the seven-eighths (pole), I could tell he wasn’t as interested. That’s a habit – horses pulling up after they work – galloping out. What I’m trying to do is get him focused on getting into his races quicker because with a 20-horse field, there’s always a problem. Put yourself in a place where you can (avoid trouble). I’m training him a little bit different. He did a half-mile
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           from the gate
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            in :45 seconds. He doesn’t have to do that, but at least he’s got that in mind now. (The next work, which will be at Churchill Downs) will be a lot easier. The last two weeks have been the best two weeks he’s had here (at Oaklawn)."
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           April 21 NOTE:
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            Arrived at CD yesterday, galloped today.
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           April 22 NOTE:
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           After the imposing colt's gallop trainer Lukas said, “He’s just growing into his frame. He won’t be 3 until May 17.” American Promise will be ridden by Nik Juarez, his Kentucky Derby debut. Juarez is scheduled to ride Thursday at Oaklawn Park and will travel to Louisville on Friday.
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           April 23:
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            Scheduled to breeze F
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           riday or
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            Saturday with Nik Juarez up.
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           April 25:
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           Will breeze Saturday. Rosie Napravnik observing as American Promise galloped he "kinda has a little bit of a choppy way of going but really settling in with his rider...."
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           April 26
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           59:40 Breezing 4/33 CD sloppy - solo under Nik Juarez - 12.00, 23.80, 35.40, 47.00 out six in 112.40. Juarez said, “Got here last night, ready to work this morning. He was ready to work too and the off track was not a problem.”
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           April 27:
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           Trainer Lukas said, “That’s a good spot, (post 5). He had a good work yesterday and everything has been positive.”
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           April 28:
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           Trainer Lukas said, “The best thing is not having to make a single adjustment. Everything has been smooth so far the past six weeks (since winning the Virginia Derby). That is a big plus not to have to worry about anything.”
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           April 29:
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           American Promise galloped a mile and a half under Tayja Smith for trainer D. Wayne Lukas at 7:15. Looking on from the backstretch was jockey Nik Juarez, who will have the mount in Kentucky Derby 151 that will mark his inaugural foray in the Run for the Roses.
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           April 30:
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           He galloped a mile and three-eighths.
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           May 1:
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           He galloped about a mile and a half under Tayja Smith.
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           Baeza:
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            April 24
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           April 14
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             50:00 Handily 39/52
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           SA
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            -
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            - solo
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           April 20
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            originally reported by Equibase  six in 1.15:60 Handily
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           (5/6), revised to seven in 1:28 Handily (3/4) -
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            VIDEO
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           - His worktab is scattered with slow and fast workouts beginning on Feb. 26: 52.60, 1:02.20, 1:10.40, 1:03.40, 1:12.00, 50.00 and today's 1:15.60/1:28.00; he raced once in this timeframe: the April 5 Santa Anita Derby following the 1:12.00 workout
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            - under jockey Hector Berrios (Flavien Prat is named for the Derby) in company with Atitlan, a multiple graded stakes winner on turf - The SA press office says Baeza "was officially credited with a seven-furlong work in 1:28.00." Shirreffs said he clocked Baeza in 1:28.20. “Because his morning gallops have been a little on the easy side, I wanted to give him a longer work to put a little more air in him and with a good finish," he said. Fractions were not released by the press office, but DRF's Steve Andersen wrote Shirreffs got the final eighth in 11.80, which is not quite consistent with the difference in the six- and seven-furlong times posted by Equibase (12.40).
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           April 25:
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            CRK Stables tweeted around midnight last night, "We’ve arrived at Churchill Downs and Baeza will visit the track tomorrow. We’ll see what the next 8 days holds! Best case scenario is we grab a spot in the Derby but time will tell."
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           April 26:
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            Baeza galloped at Churchill Downs for the first time. With Render Judgment's connections decision to enter the Derby, presumably as the first also-eligible, as of this time Baeza needs two defections to make the main body of the field. Trainer Shirreffs said, “If we don’t make it, we’ll work him here Monday. Then we’ve got to look at the Preakness.”
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           April 27:
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            From my vantage point on the backside, I caught Baeza galloping around the track twice.
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           April 28
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              1.02:00 Breezing 15/15 CD -
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           VIDEO
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            -  jockey Prat up -  13.60, 26.40, 37.80, out six  in 1:16.00 - slow work much like the last one, I doubt this is cause for concern - Trainer Shirreffs said, “I know 1:02 is a little on the slow side, but he’s not an especially sharp work horse. We put a good work into him last week (seven furlongs in 1:28 at Santa Anita on April 20) and he’s ready. We just need to get a little lucky and get him into the race.”
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           April 29:
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            He visited the paddock and galloped. Trainer Shirreffs said, “We just want to keep him from getting too fresh now. Keep that nose to the grindstone, so to speak. Later in the week we’ll lighten it up.”
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           April 30:
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            Baeza and crew have until 9 a.m. Friday morning (scratch time for the Derby) to get “lucky” and get to run. If that doesn’t happen, it’ll be on to the Preakness Stakes in Baltimore. Trainer Shirreffs said, “We’re still hoping for a gift from the gods. What else are you going to do?”
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           May 1:
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           He ran a strong two-mile gallop under exercise rider Frankie Herratel. Trainer Shirreffs said he sent him the extra distance “To get him to settle. We need to keep his feet on the ground."
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           Burnham Square:
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            Returned to CD April 8 after the Blue Grass. Barn 26.
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           April 19
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            49.40 Breezing 51/97 CD -
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            - 24.40, 37.00, 49.40, out five in 1:02.00 per CD clockers (Mike Welsch got him in 1:02.60 and 1:15.60) but he continued almost all the way up the backstretch - solo under Brian Hernandez Jr., who has the Derby mount. Trainer Wilkes said beforehand it would be a maintenance work, but it looked like more than a maintenance work. Wilkes said beforehand he needed to do something with Burnham Square or he'd get upset. “I know I needed to run him more because he was making too many mistakes, and I thought I needed to educate him more so he doesn’t make those mistakes in the Derby. He’s got to move forward again from the Blue Grass because the water gets deeper again. He’s a lighter-framed horse. I can’t be afraid to train him because he needs it to get ready for the Derby.”
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           April 20:
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           A photo by Barbara Livingston shows Burnham Square sweating on his neck during the breeze; he might've been worked up a bit, and I say that because Wilkes said before the work Burnham Square would get upset if he didn't do something with him.
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           April 21:
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            Jogged today after working April 19 and day off April 20.
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           April 22:
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           Burnham Square is expected to work Saturday.
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           April 24:
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           Exercise rider Mark Cutler was asked to compare Burnham Square with Street Sense, whom he handled for trainer Carl Nafzger and then-assistant trainer Wilkes: “Street Sense liked to take his time. We’d get to Barn 30 and he would stop and wanted to look at everything. It was like he owned the place. (Burnham Square) tests you a little bit,” Cutler said smiling. “He wants to do a little more than you want.”
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           April 25:
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            Set to work Saturday at 7:15 ET with Brian Hernandez, Jr. aboard.
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           April 26
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            59.40 Breezing 3/33 CD good -
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           VIDEO
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            - solo under Brian Hernandez, Jr. - 12.40, 24.40, 36, out six in 1:12, seven in 126.20. Hernandez said, “I let him out a little bit at the eighth pole and he got his last eighth in 11 and 1." Trainer Wilkes said, “The track was good. It was probably a tick faster, but he did it well in hand and had a strong gallop out. We just have to keep him on the ground now. He’s ready.” Watching the work from the backstretch was two-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer Carl Nafzger for whom Wilkes served as an exercise rider for Unbridled in 1990 and as an assistant for Street Sense in 2007.
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           April 27:
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            Jogged in the mile chute. Trainer Wilkes said, “That’s a good spot (post 9)."
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           April 29:
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           He galloped a mile and a half under Mark Cutler at 7:15 for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           April 30:
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            Burnham Square has not raced on an “off” track, something he could possibly encounter Saturday. “He worked really good over it Saturday,” jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. said of Burnham Square, who drilled five furlongs in :59.40 over a track labeled as good. “Good horses can overcome a lot.”
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           May 1:
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            He galloped a mile under Mark Cutler. Trainer Wilkes said, “I’m feeling good and he’s doing good. That is all I can do until we lead him over there.”
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           Chunk of Gold:
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           April 25, a day prior to the 11 a.m. deadline
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           April 5
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            49.20 Breezing 26/64 TP synthetic
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           April 12
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            59:40 Breezing 1/18 TP synthetic  Trainer West: "I got 47 and change for a half-mile and out six in 1:12" Jareth Loveberry came in to handle the work.
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           April 19
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            49.40 Breezing 30/78 TP synthetic  -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/TP/2025-04/ChunkOfGold-TP-20250419_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
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            - Solo under Derby jockey Jareth Loveberry, workout was before sunrise. Churchill Downs publicity previously posted on X 12.60, 25.20, 38.20,
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           50.00
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           , out five in 1:02.00. Trainer West said, “It was exactly what we had planned. We wanted to go a little slow early and finish up well. Jareth never asked him, and he had a really strong gallop out. Chunk really wanted to do more, but we’ll save that for 14 days from now.” Chunk of Gold will work Friday at Turfway before vanning to Churchill Downs that afternoon.
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           April 21:
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            Returned to the track at TP today after working April 19 and day off April 20.
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           April 22:
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            Chunk of Gold is scheduled to work Friday at Turfway Park.
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           April 25
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              59:20 Breezing
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           1/4 TP synthetic - VIDEO not available at this post - under Jareth Loveberry outside 3yo Brodeur - 12.20, 24.20, 36.20, 47.60 -  strong move approaching the wire and around first turn
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            - Trainer West said, “Now we just have to keep that same energy level up over the next week. That was about as good as we could ask of him. He was galloping out really easy around the turn, then another horse came up to his outside and he wanted to get back in the bit.”
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           April 26:
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            Chunk of Gold arrived at CD yesterday following ship from Turfway after his workout.
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           April 27:
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            Trainer West joked,
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           “I’d rather have post 19 then not have a post at all. I was hoping for the middle portion of the gate to have a better chance at not going so wide into the turn. Jareth has time to try and get into position into the turn.”
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           April 29:
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            He visited the Kentucky Derby starting gate and then galloped a mile and a half under trainer Ethan West during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           April 30:
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            He galloped a mile and a half and schooled in the paddock.
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           May 1:
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           He galloped at 7:15 a.m. with trainer Ethan West in the saddle.
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           Citizen Bull:
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            April 24, barn 33
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           April 13
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           initially reported 1.01:00 Handily
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           33/86 SA; changed to
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            47.60 Handily 12/102 SA -
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           VIDEO
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            - outside Dothraki without blinkers.
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           April 18
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              1.11:80 Handily 1/4 SA -
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           VIDEO
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            - outside unraced Lionel (1:00.00) without blinkers for the second straight work. Stable says he will race without blinkers for the first time in the Kentucky Derby. Citizen Bull spotted Lionel five lengths before overtaking him in the work.
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           April 22 NOTE:
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            Still scheduled to arrive Thursday.
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           April 23
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              1.24:20 Handily 1/2 SA -
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            - in company -
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           with blinkers on
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           . Much the best.
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           April 25:
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           After arriving late yesterday afternoon, Citizen Bull was on track this morning. Neck arched, he was "super aggressive" before galloping as his rider was pulling mightily standing up in the irons. Trainer Baffert said, “I really would have liked to have had these horses in California and given them their final works on a fast track out there in good weather tomorrow. Then I would have shipped in and set up shop. But they have rules about being on the grounds (by 11 a.m. Saturday), so we had to come in early. I’m just going to have to work around the wet track and the rain, but what can you do. It’s just good to be back on the scene.”
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           April 26:
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           Baffert said his plan is to work Citizen Bull on Monday.
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           April 27:
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           Citizen Bull came galloping by me on the backside. He struck me as a smallish horse and looked a bit like a sprinter. Scheduled to breeze Monday under Martin Garcia.
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           April 28
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              58:40 Breezing 1/15 CD -
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           VIDEO
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            - solo under Martin Garcia - 11.60, 23,00, 45.80, out six in 112.40, seven in 127.20 - note 45 and change would put him on the lead entering the backstretch of the Derby
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            -
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           Jockey Garcia said, “I thought I was working four furlongs. But then when I get into it, Bob tells me I’m going five. So I’d broken off at the half-mile pole, which meant I had to go past the wire and finish up at the seven (furlong marker). We did it and it worked out OK.”
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           April 29:
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            He had a scheduled walk day.
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           April 30:
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            Trainer Baffert said, "We’re going to have to use him early. We’re going to tell him to get out of there like he just robbed a bank.”
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           May 1:
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           He galloped under Humberto Gomez.
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           Coal Battle:
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           April 6, barn 42
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           April 8
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              48:40 Breezing 30/57 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/CoalBattle-CD-20250408_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - solo, 24, out in 1:02.40 - “He was too fresh in the Arkansas Derby,” trainer Briley said. “I usually never have to saddle him on the walk, but I had to that day. Then after he broke, and Cornucopian and Speed King went blazing to the lead, we were in third. He was just too fresh. We have a plan now going forward." Juan Vargas will ride.
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           April 15
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            1.01:20 Breezing 14/21 CD -
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           VIDEO
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            - solo, 12.20, 23.80, 36.40 under assistant trainer Bethany Taylor. Out fractions unavailable.
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           Next scheduled workout is "probably" April 22.
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           April 22
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            47:80 Breezing 3/33
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           CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/CoalBattle-CD-20250422_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
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            VIDEO
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           - solo under Bethany Taylor - 12.40, 24.60, out five furlongs in 100.80 -  Taylor said, “I was thrilled with it. He keeps getting better every time he goes out there. He is improving every time.” Trainer Briley said, “It was good and he came back like he hadn’t done anything, not even taking a drink of water. Four or five days before a race, I like to give them a three-eighths blowout to put some air in their lungs."
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           April 23:
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           Scheduled walk day.
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           April 24:
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           Back on the track to stretch his legs, per the stable.
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           April 25:
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           Assistant trainer Bethany Taylor said, “He was good in gate; such a gentleman." Coal Battle also galloped per the norm.
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           April 26:
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           He walked at Barn 42 Saturday morning and following training hours had a paddock schooling session.
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           April 27:
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           Galloped by me on the backside with controlled high energy. He looked great. Trainer Briley said, “I was hoping for 8, 9, 10 or 11, but it looks like most of the speed is inside of us so we can just drop in behind it (from post 16).”
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           April 28
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              36:00 Breezing 7/16 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/CoalBattle-CD-20250428_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - part of trainer Briley's typical race prep is a blowout like this - exercise rider Taylor pushing him a bit shortly before the wire - 11.60, out four in 50.20 - in the video note how Taylor has both feet on the brakes until the work starting point of the blowout - Trainer Briley said, “He looks like he did pretty easily. The closer to the race the tougher it gets. He will walk tomorrow and then there will be some jogging and galloping. He’s ready.”
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           April 29:
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           He had a scheduled work day. Owner Norman said, “We’ve been here since Saturday before the draw. have never been to the Derby. I had a horse here in 2022 (with trainer Lonnie Briley) on the Thursday before, but the traffic was so bad, I just turned around and decided I wouldn’t come back until I had a horse in it.”
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           April 30:
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            He had a walk day. Coal Battle is 2-for-2 on off tracks with daylight victories coming at Evangeline Downs and Delta Downs.
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           May 1:
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            He was on the track early to visit the paddock and jog a mile under Bethany Taylor. Trainer Briley said, “After a work, we walk two days. That’s the way I do it. He’ll gallop Friday.”
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           East Avenue:
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            April 14, barn 9
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           April 19
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            47.60 Breezing 5/97 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/EastAvenue-CD-20250419_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - in company with Raquel 11:60, 23.20, 47.60 out five in 1:00.60. Edgar Morales worked East Avenue while trainer Brendan Walsh’s exercise rider Stephen Dolan was aboard Raquel. Morales worked East Avenue in the past at Fair Grounds. Trainer quote unavailable at this post.
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           April 21 NOTE:
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            Galloped today after a day off following his April 19 workout.
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           April 24:
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            Trainer Walsh said, “I think we learned more about the horse in the Risen Star (when he finished 10th) than ever before. We had to knuckle down on him and get tougher on him. He didn’t learn an awful lot last year because he was just so talented at that stage. We didn’t realize it at the time that we might have been too easy on him, but (after) the Risen Star we had to fix that."
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           April 25:
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           East Avenue is scheduled to breeze Saturday.
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           April 26:
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            Workout postponed to Sunday with Manny Franco up.
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           April 27
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            59.40 Breezing 6/22 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/EastAvenue-CD-20250427_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - in company outside of Joejoe Go (59.60) - 24.20, 35.80, out six in 1:12.20. Trainer Walsh said, “We’re really happy with our draw (post 12). There’s a lot of speed on our inside so I think it’s a good spot to be.”
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           April 28:
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           Back on the track today.
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           April 29:
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           He galloped a mile and a quarter at 7:15 under Stephen Dolan.
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           April 30:
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            He galloped under jockey Stephen Dolan.
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           May 1:
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            He galloped under Stephen Dolan.
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           Final Gambit:
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            March 31, barn 22
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           April 2
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            48.80 Breezing 36/68 CD
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           April 9
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            1.00:80 Breezing 10/32 CD Broke off at the 4 1/2-furlong pole, 25.40, worked through the wire to mid-turn, out six in 1:13.60 and seven in 1:27. Trainer Cox: "I really like what I see from him. (The dirt) doesn't seem to slow him down."
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           April 18:
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            Has been nine days since he worked.
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           April 19
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            No worries, 1:00.80 Breezing 24/56 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/FinalGambit-CD-20250419_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - outside Coffee Talk 24.40, 36.60, 48.40, out six in 1:14.40. Trainer Cox was there for the workout outside Coffee Talk, whom he easily outworked, with exercise rider Edvin Vargas aboard. “He’s really handled the dirt well here. I thought it was a strong move today. He’s done everything well since we got him back here.”
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           April 21:
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            After a day off, back on the track today.
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           April 23:
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           Scheduled to work Saturday.
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           April 26:
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            1:01.00 Breezing 17/33 CD -
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           VIDEO
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            - Worked at 9:07 a.m. ET - once again outside Coffee Talk, 12.80, 25.40, 37.40, out six in 1:13.80 - smoked his workmate leaving the first turn and up the backstretch - he didn't stop until he was into the first turn again - very impressive.
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           April 27:
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           Scheduled walk day.
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           April 28:
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            He jogged about a mile under exercise rider Joel Osorio.
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           April 29:
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            He galloped a mile and a half under Joel Osirio at 7:15.
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           April 30:
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            He galloped about 1 ½ miles.
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           May 1:
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            He galloped at 7:15 under Joel Osorio.
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           Flying Mohawk:
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            March 31, barn 21
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           April 12
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            50:80 Breezing 74/86 CD -
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            - 26, out five 1:03.40, outside Honor Marie. Trainer Beckman: "I just wanted an easy move." Joe Ramos has the Derby mount.
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           April 19
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            1:00 Breezing 11/56 CD -
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            - Inside stablemate Honor Marie with exercise rider Maurilio Garcia in the saddle.  12.00, 23.40, 35.00, out six in 1:13.40
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           April 21 NOTE:
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           CD track notes say he had "an easy training day" after a day off yesterday.
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           April 25
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              1:00.00 Breezing 3/11 CD -
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           VIDEO
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            - track rated good - under assistant trainer/exercise rider Maurlio Garcia inside Oaks contender Drexel Hill (also 1.00.00) - 12.40, 24.20, 35.80, out 1:12.80, 1:26.40 - pulling against his rider on the turn and into stretch - Trainer Beckman said, “He’s doing well and handled training over this track as we expected/ We never had any issues with him training over the dirt, and he’s shown that in his works.”
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           April 26:
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           Scheduled walk day.
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           April 27:
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           Trainer Beckman said, “Post 11 seems like a pretty good post. It’s right in the middle of the gate. He’ll break out of there and probably track the pace. So, we’re good with it.” Co-owner Jayson Werth said, “My grandpa played 19 years in the big leagues and for most of it, his number was 11. So, I have some history with that number and it was one of my favorite numbers growing up as a kid. We are here in the Kentucky Derby with the guy we never thought would make it here. I think he’s live at number 11.”
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           April 28:
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            He had a light gallop Monday morning under assistant trainer/exercise rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           April 29:
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            He galloped at 7:15 under Maurilio Garcia.
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           April 30:
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           He galloped a mile and one half.
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           May 1:
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            He galloped at 7:15 under Maurilio Garcia.
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           Grande:
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            Arrived at Keeneland April 18. Arrived at Churchill Downs April 25, barn 37
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           Unless Pletcher calls an audible, Grande will have his sole pre-Derby work April 25 at Keeneland, then be vanned to Louisville.
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           April 23:
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            No change in the expected schedule.
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           April 25
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              1:01.00 Breezing 3/11 KEE -
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           VIDEO
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            - in company with 3yo maiden winner Valentinian on the main track - 13.00, 25.00, 37.20 and
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           49, out six in 1:13.40, seven in 1:27.20 - John Velazquez standing in the irons all the way - given a nudge at the wire, pushed along a bit around the turn and into the backstretch - moves ahead of workmate, the workmate gets ahead as they finish up, workmate pulled up while Grande eases to a stop far into the backstretch - Trainer Pletcher said after the breeze, “I got him in 1:01 and four. But that’s just splitting hairs. The main thing was it was a very good work. I was very pleased and thought he worked super. He showed good energy throughout and galloped out strong.”
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           "My instinct told me to bring him to Keeneland. I thought we would have a more reliable surface. As it turns out, the track was muddy and sealed today at Churchill. With more rain in the forecast, I thought this was a safer play. Looking statistically at Derby winners, plenty of them have not had a breeze at Churchill. He will either take to the surface or he won’t. With the restriction of having to be at Churchill on Saturday, I thought the timing was too risky to ship in (from Belmont Park). We are thankful we have (another Derby starter). A couple of months ago, we weren’t sure we would be here at all. He stepped up, and I thought he ran a big race in the Wood. He had a tough trip in the first turn and came fighting to the wire. He is a relatively inexperienced horse and he is on the improve and I am cautiously optimistic.” Grande is scheduled to leave for Churchill Downs around 2 p.m. today. 
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           April 26: 
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           Grande galloped about a mile and a half today at Churchill Downs.
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            Trainer Pletcher said, “He’s a high energy colt and we’ve got to keep him busy. He’ll just gallop a mile.”
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           April 27:
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            He was back on the track again today, his second straight day since working on April 25. No walk days for Grande. Trainer Pletcher said, “He’ll just gallop the rest of the week. And I’m fine with his Derby post draw (10).”
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           April 28:
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            Trainer Pletcher said, “It’s looking like we might get some rain and some funky weather over the next few days so I wanted to get him to the gate (to school) when we’ve got dry land."
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           April 29:
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            He engaged in a solid gallop of about a mile and three-eighths at 7:15 under exercise rider Juan Suarez. Trainer Pletcher said, “We’ve got him lined up to do some paddock schooling in the third race Wednesday."
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           April 30:
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            Trainer Pletcher said, “The week has been good. Grande has been handling things the way you’d hope.”
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           May 1:
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            He galloped a mile and three-eighths under regular exercise rider Juan Suarez. Trainer Pletcher said, "Horses like a routine."
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           Journalism:
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            April
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           13
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            22
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           , barn 35
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           April 19
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            47.00 Breezing 1/57 SA -
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           VIDEO
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            - under Umberto Rispoli, inside Feel the Magic, a 4-year-old gelding and one-time winner. Both timed in 47.00. Fractions are not published anywhere I can locate. The work was termed maintenance, but it looked like more. Journalism's gallop out was long and strong. Trainer McCarthy said, “We’re just keeping him in his routine. He’s really been training well and this was kind of maintenance. He looked relaxed out there. We just let him stretch his legs a little bit." Rispoli said, “I was very happy. The horse seems to have come out well from the Santa Anita Derby. He’s in good shape and gave me a good feeling. One more to go.”
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           April 22:
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            Journalism is en route to Churchill Downs from southern California via charter today. The ship includes a landing in Indianapolis, followed by a van ride to Louisville with a mid-afternoon arrival to Churchill Downs expected.
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           April 23:
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            With Marc Witkowski aboard, Journalism came on the track during the 7:15–7:30 training window and galloped a mile and an eighth. “It looked like he got over the track nicely,” trainer McCarthy said, adding that any gate or paddock schooling is TBD. As far as when a workout will be, McCarthy said, “I’m handicapping the weather.” Rain is in the forecast for Friday with a lesser chance of precipitation Saturday.
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           April 24:
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            Trainer McCarthy said, “He’s an easy horse to train. When he came to us last summer as a 2-year-old he sort of showed us he was more advanced than your average 2-year-old. He really proved that once we stretched him out in the second start and we knew he wasn’t an average 2-year-old.”
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           April 24:
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            Based on his body language and demeanor, Journalism's exercise rider was obviously very happy with his gallop this morning.
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           April 25:
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           Journalism galloped a strong mile and a half. Trainer McCarthy said, “He’ll probably work five eighths tomorrow. That’s my best guess today. We’ll see what the racetrack looks like then.”
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           April 26:
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            Workout postponed to Sunday. Trainer McCarthy said, “That track out there is a little wetter than I’d like it to be. We’ll wait until tomorrow.”
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           April 27
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              1:01.40 Breezing 18/22 CD -
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            - solo - out into the first turn, what I was looking for - 13.60, 25.80, 37.60, out six in 1:13.60, seven in 1:26.80, a mile in 1:41.20 - Jockey Rispoli said, “Very professional. He’s a professional horse; a pleasure to ride.” Trainer McCarthy said, “I was very pleased with the work. Umberto was happy, so that’s good. He’ll just walk tomorrow. It’s all good for now.”
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           April 28:
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           Scheduled walk day. Trainer McCarthy said, “He came out of it (the work) very well. We’re all good this morning. He just walking and that’s enough.”
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           April 29:
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            He jogged a mile under exercise rider Marc Witkowski and visited the starting gate. Trainer McCarthy said, “In a lot of ways Louisville feels like home. I had all those years here with Todd (he was an assistant for Todd Pletcher for 11 years), so I know my way around a bit. If I want to go for a nice dinner, Jack Fry’s is one of my favorites. And there are a couple of watering holes around town where I like to stop by. But I’m not drinking this week. I’ve got other things to do.”
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           April 30:
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           He had another good morning, turning in a strong gallop under exercise rider Marc Witkowski, who said, “He just feels so good when he gallops. He’s got a beautiful stride. I’ve never been on one that moves like him. Sweet – that’s the word for him.”
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           May 1:
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            He and regular exercise rider Marc Witkowski turned in another solid gallop. Umberto Rispoli was asked if he did anything special in advance of a big race like the Derby. “No, not really,” he said. “I try to treat it just like I do all other races. At the end of the day it is just another race.”
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           Luxor Cafe:
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           April 23, Quarantine barn 1
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           April 21 NOTE:
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            Still on schedule to arrive at Churchill Downs April 23.
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           April 22 NOTE:
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           As scheduled, Luxor Café is undergoing a 42-hour USDA quarantine in Chicago following his arrival there from Japan on Monday.
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           April 24:
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            Luxor Café arrived at Churchill Downs Wednesday evening and jogged in the one-mile chute this morning. Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby liaison Kate Hunter said his connections were very pleased with how he shipped and will do more in his training in the next several days.
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           April 25:
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            In a routine getting more familiar to American onlookers, Luxor Café jogged in the one-mile chute prior to galloping under exercise rider Naoto Suzuki. Trainer Noriyuki Hori is expected to arrive in Louisville on Monday.
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           April 26:
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            Light gallop today.
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           April 27:
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           Could work Tuesday.
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           April 29
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            1.02:40 Breezing / CD - solo - 13.40, 26.00, 37.80 - the type of move we have come to expect from Japanese trainers - "laps" as they say in Japan are 13.40, 12.60, 11.80, final quarter in 24.60 - Jockey Moreira said, “Today I was asked to canter a lap as a warm up. Then I galloped him from the five-furlong pole. It was just an easy work, just to keep him ticking over. The horse felt good, relaxed and had good rhythm throughout. I was happy with his action and focus. He pulled up well. Looking forward to the challenge of riding him in the Kentucky Derby.”
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           April 30:
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           Scheduled walk day.
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           May 1:
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           He warmed up in the mile chute and moved to the main track and galloped under Naoto Suzuki.
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           Neoequos:
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            April 26
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           April 11
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            49:63 Breezing 20/37 GP
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           April 18
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             1.00:51 Breezing 2/4 GP - 37.00, out six in 1:14.20 with late urging per DRF's Mike Welsch who covered works at both Gulfstream Park and Payson Park this date. Trainer Joseph said, "He sat a bit off his workmate (Neoequos outworked Mr. Narcissistic) and finished up decent. He’s a horse that once he makes the lead he kind of doesn’t really go on much once he goes by the horse. Right now, we’re going to the Derby. The distance is still a question mark. Right now, I’m probably leaning toward working him one more time (Thursday or Friday) and then head to Churchill."
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           April 24
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              48:43 Breezing
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           1/16 GP -
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           VIDEO
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           - Trainer Joseph said,  “It went good. He worked in company. He was inside his workmate. It was his last breeze and we were just looking for maintenance. It went well. He’s in good form."Joseph said Neoeuos will ship to Kentucky Friday, April 25 and that Flavien Prat is named to ride unless Baeza also makes the Derby field. Baeza has first dibs on Prat. Joseph added,
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           “We feel like we can get into the Derby, but if he doesn’t get in, he’ll run in one of the other races Derby Day. Right now, we’re leaning to the American Turf, but the Pat Day Mile, I’d say, is also in contention."
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           April 25:
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            Now in the Kentucky Derby with the defection of Built, Neoequos is scheduled to arrive Saturday.
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           April 26:
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            Arrived this morning, expected on the track tomorrow.
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           April 27:
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           Jogged on the track for the first time.
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           April 29:
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           He galloped at 7:15.
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           April 30:
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           Trainer Joseph said, “All good, we’re ready."
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           May 1:
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           He galloped.
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           Owen Almighty:
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           Arrived shortly after April 8, Barn 40
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           April 21:
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           Walked the shed row this wet morning.
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           April 22:
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            Owen Almighty is scheduled to work Friday.
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           April 24:
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            1.01:60 Breezing 3/9 CD -
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           VIDEO
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            - With rain in the Friday forecast, Owen Almighty was sent out today in company with Nosleeptilbrooklyn, a maiden. Owen Almighty started two lengths behind and posted fractions of 26.00 and 37.60 and galloped out well in front with six furlongs in 1:14.00 and seven-eighths in 1:27.00. Trainer Lynch said, “I didn’t want to take a chance on the weather. The work couldn’t have been any better.” DRF's Mike Welsch posted on X  37.49, 1:01.38, out six in 1:13.75, up seven in 1:27.27.
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           April 25:
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            Back out on the track today, jogging.
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           April 27:
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           Galloped.
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           April 28:
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           Scheduled walk day.
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           April 29:
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            He galloped a mile and a half at 7:15 under Antonio Orellana. Trainer Lynch said, “He has tactical speed and he can sit off the pace. Then we’ll see what happens.”
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           April 30:
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           He galloped a mile and a half. Trainer Lynch said, “His breeding (by Speightstown) indicates he should handle an off track and we hope that works in our favor.”
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           May 1:
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            He jogged early Thursday with Antonio Orellano aboard. Trainer Lynch said, “We’ll just play it from the break. Then we will bide our time."
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           Publisher:
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            April 1, barn 38
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           April 12
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            1.00:80 Breezing 12/31 CD -
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           VIDEO
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            - inside Tiztastic, 13, 24.80, 36.60, out six 1:13.40 and seven 1:26.60. Trainer Asmussen: "I was extremely pleased with how they handled and traveled over the racetrack."
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           April 19
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            59.60 Breezing 4/56 CD -
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            - inside Tiztastic, 12.80, 24.20, 36.00, out six in 1:11.80. Publisher got a head start on Tiztastic, a closer, but outworked Tiztastic to the wire and in the gallop out. There were no comments from trainer Asmussen in notes released by the track.
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           April 21:
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           Galloped today after a day off April 20.
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           April 23:
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            Trainer Asmussen was aboard his pony alongside Publisher while assistant trainer Scott Blasi was aboard a pony leading Tiztastic to the paddock prior to galloping.
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           April 25:
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           Track notes say he will breeze Sunday.
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           April 27
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             49.20 Breezing 78/121 CD - VIDEO UNAVAILABLE AT THIS POST - maintenance move
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            -
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “It’s an ideal draw for both of them being next to each other (posts 13 and 14). They’ve been training together, everything is coming together perfectly. I just hope we can catch a day that’s going to be sunny and a fast track. We couldn’t be more excited.”
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           April 28:
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            Scheduled walk day.
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           April 29:
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           He jogged during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           April 30:
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            Trainer Asmussen said, “Derby week is so much fun. It’s enjoyable to take it all in.”
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           May 1:
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            He galloped under Roberto Howell .
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           Render Judgment:
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            ~April 8~
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           April 19
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            1.00:80 Breezing 24/56 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/RenderJudgment-CD-20250419_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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           April 26:
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            He will be entered in the Kentucky Derby, per reporting by DRF's David Grening.
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           April 26:
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            59.00 Breezing 2/33 CD good -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/RenderJudgment-CD-20250426_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - outside Hypnus 12.20, 23.60, 35.60, out six in 1:12.40, seven in 1:26.40 - he got by his mate before the wire and left him behind in the turn - very impressive workout
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           April 26:
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            Injury to Tappan Street this morning puts Render Judgment in the main body of the Derby field. Julien Leparoux will ride.
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           April 27:
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           Trainer McPeek said, “We will let Julien do his thing (from post 15). The good news is I think the horse is going to come from way off the pace so I don’t think the draw is a big deal. He needs to get to a whole new level that we’ve never seen from him. He always tries hard and is doing great. Julien worked him Saturday morning and it was the best work of his life. Post 1, 20 or 15, I don’t think where you put him in the starting gate is going to matter since he comes from off the pace.”
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           April 28:
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           Toby Keith's family posted on X, “It was Toby’s dream… Render Judgment is going to the Kentucky Derby. He worked so hard to finally have one there. Toby will have the best seat in the house to watch.”
          &#xD;
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           April 29:
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            He galloped at 7:15 under Robby Albarado.
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           April 30:
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           He galloped with Robby Albarado aboard.
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           May 1:
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            He galloped under Robby Albarado. He reportedly has a quarter crack that is being treated.
            &#xD;
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           Rodriguez:
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           April 22, barn 33
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           April 20
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            1.00:40 Handily
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           10/59 SA
          &#xD;
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             -
           &#xD;
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    &lt;a href="https://1st.tv/video/rodriguez-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/1_d2fd8czq/" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - solo under an exercise rider, strong gallop out. Mike Smith watched the work. All the press office gave us is Baffert saying, "All went well." No fractions, no nothing. On X, Tom Ryan posted, "He had a great morning and exited his work in excellent shape. A very fit and happy 3-year-old - heading to Kentucky." Smith said, “If they want to be in front of him, they’ll have to run to get it," according to reporting by DRF's Steve Andersen.
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           April 22:
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            Still scheduled to arrive Thursday. Woops, he arrived late Tuesday afternoon. Sean Collins of BloodHorse tweeted at 6 pm ET "Bob Baffert’s Wood Memorial winner Rodriguez and Santa Anita Oaks winner Tenma have arrived...."
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           April 23
          &#xD;
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           : Rodriguez trained at 7:15 a.m. with exercise rider Humberto Gomez aboard.
          &#xD;
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           April 25:
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           April 25: Trainer Baffert said, “I really would have liked to have had these horses in California and given them their final works on a fast track out there in good weather tomorrow. Then I would have shipped in and set up shop. But they have rules about being on the grounds (by 11 a.m. Saturday), so we had to come in early. I’m just going to have to work around the wet track and the rain, but what can you do. It’s just good to be back on the scene.”
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           April 26:
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           Rodriguez galloped today per the norm. Trainer Baffert said his plan is to work Rodriguez Sunday.
          &#xD;
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           April 27
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              1:00 Breezing 9/22 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/Rodriguez-CD-20250427_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - solo - worked to track kitchen - 12.40, 24.20, 36.20, 47.60, out six in 1:12.60, seven in 1:27.00. Exercise rider Eric Garcia came off the track shaking his head and said, “Amazing work; amazing. He was in hand all the way.”
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           April 28:
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            Scheduled walk day.
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           April 29:
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           He galloped under exercise rider Eric Garcia. Trainer Baffert said, "You know, they always have a terrific undercard for the Derby with lots of good opportunities for good horses. I had good horses over the past three years and never got to run them here. But I’m back doing it now (he has five horses in undercard races on Saturday) and have spots for my horses to run. That’s one of the best things of all for me and for my owners.”
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           April 30:
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            Trainer Baffert said, “The four for Rodriguez isn’t so bad. He’ll be OK coming out of there.
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           May 1:
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            He galloped under Eric Garcia.
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           Sandman:
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            April 1, barn 36
            &#xD;
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            April 15 April 15 49:60 Breezing 18/23 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/Sandman-CD-20250415_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - solo, 13.60, 26.40, out five in 1:01.80, up six in 1:15.00 under Froylan Garcia. Trainer Casse said, “I asked the rider to go between 49 and 50 seconds and he did just that.”
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           April 20 NOTE:
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           Kevin Kilroy said at the tail end of the Works show Sandman was not on the track today. We'll know soon enough whether it's just because today is Easter Sunday (many of the stables didn't do much today at CD), there was some other reason that's not important to his condition, or there is an issue.
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           April 21 NOTE:
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           Sandman galloped a mile-and-a-half at 7:15 a.m. with Froylan Garcia aboard on a wet track.
          &#xD;
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           April 23
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            1.02:40 Breezing 20/29 CD -
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    &lt;a href="https://brunowiththeworks.s3.amazonaws.com/CD/2025-04/Sandman-CD-20250423_hq.mp4" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           VIDEO
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            - solo - 13.60, 26.20, 38.00, out six in1:15.60 - the fastest segment was the second half of the turn in 11.80 - Trainer Casse said, “On a scale of 1 to 10 this gets a 10. That was his last work before the Derby. I think he grows every time I look at him. He is more than 16 hands, more than 16-3.”
           &#xD;
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           NOTE:
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           He said to reporters, "He didn't want to pull up."
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           April 24:
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            Trainer Casse said, “He walked early, and he’s just chilling now."
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           April 25:
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            Jogged today.
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           April 26:
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            Galloped today.
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           April 27:
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           Trainer Casse said, “I think we did well on both of our draws,” Casse said of Sandman (17) and La Cara (7, Oaks). “The 14 through the 17 are about the same. Jose (Ortiz) was happy with it. I didn’t ask Sandman yet, but I am sure he is fine with it.”
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           April 28:
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           Scheduled walk day. Trainer Casse said, “We are on the same schedule as the Arkansas Derby when we gave him Monday off."
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           April 29:
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           He galloped a mile and a quarter at 7:15 under Froylan Garcia. Sandman is scheduled to school in the paddock this afternoon with horses in the third race. Trainer Casse said, “Jose (Ortiz) said he rode him terrible the first time. Before the Arkansas Derby, we watched tapes of the Southwest and Rebel and the key is to let him get into his stride, and Jose let him settle (in the Arkansas Derby). A lot has been made of him not running well here. The track was totally different last fall and now is the best I have seen it and I have been coming here 47 years. Dale Romans said the same thing last night, and he has been here about as long as I have.”
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           April 30:
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            He galloped a mile and a half.
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           May 1:
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             He jogged a mile under Froylan Garcia.
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           Sovereignty:
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            April
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           13
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            16, barn 19
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           April 11
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            48.40 Breezing
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           3/24
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            PAY - Trainer Mott said, “He was into it. He’s not a great work horse, but he went well. Good sign that we’re able to keep going. I’m considering shipping him Sunday. I thought I’d probably want to have a couple works over the [Churchill Downs] track.”
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           April 19
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            1:00.60 Breezing 17/56 CD -
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            is limited to Kevin Kerstein's X post - CD camera crew did not catch the workout - 13.00, 25.20, 37.20, out six in 1:12.80 - outside of stablemate Playa Del Mar. According to Churchill Downs notes Playa Del Mar completed his move at the eighth pole, with Sovereignty drawing clear to the wire. Exercise rider Guesler Cardona was aboard for the work. I previously marked this work solo after seeing Kevin Kerstein's video of Sovereignty finishing up the move on X, but it only looked that way because Sovereignty left Playa Del Mar so far in his wake. Trainer Mott said, “There’s a lot of luck involved in winning the Kentucky Derby. You obviously have to have the right horse for the race, but you need to have some racing luck go your way. The goal is to have him the best he can be for the first Saturday in May.”
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           April 21:
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            Sovereignty galloped following a day off after his April 19 breeze.
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           Addendum:
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            His neck was sweaty after the gallop.
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           April 23:
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           After Sovereignty galloped at about 7:15 trainer Mott said, “No complaints this morning. He went through the paddock and then galloped out past the half-mile pole.”
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           April 24:
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           Noticed again this morning Sovereignty's neck looked very washy after his gallop.
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           April 24:
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            Trainer Mott said after Sovereignty's morning on the track, “We’re all good here. He stood in the gate, backed out and then galloped well.” Mott said he is flexible about the date of Sovereignty's upcoming workout.
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           April 25:
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            Report this morning Sovereignty "didn't turn a hair" before entering the gate for the Fountain of Youth but he was dripping sweat before Tappan Street beat him in the Florida Derby. Rosie Napravnik said on today's Works show she is taking his sweating on the track at CD as a negative sign. These comments came before he galloped today. After the gallop the sweat on his neck wasn't as pronounced as previous days.
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           April 25:
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           Trainer Mott said, “We’re hoping to (work) tomorrow. Or Sunday – or maybe even Monday – if the weather and track don’t cooperate.”
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           April 26:
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            Did not breeze today. Looks like he will breeze Sunday. Trainer Mott said, “I don’t have a problem with the racetrack; I just decided to wait until tomorrow.”
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           April 27
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            1:01.80 Breezing 22/22 CD -
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            - easily outworked company under Javier Cardona - 25.40, 37.80, out six in 1:15.00 - Trainer Mott said, “Liked what I saw. He looked good coming through the stretch.”
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           April 28:
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           Scheduled walk day. Trainer Mott said, “He came out of his work just fine. It’s all good. He’ll walk today, then the plan is to go back to galloping tomorrow.”
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           April 29:
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           He put in a good gallop exercise rider Guesler Cardona, then went up and into the paddock with trainer Bill Mott on his pony. Trainer Mott said, “We’ll probably paddock school him in the afternoon Wednesday.
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           April 30:
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           Trainer Mott said, “No complaints yet."
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           May 1:
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            Trainer Bill Mott said, "We’ll take him around the paddock a few times this morning, then gallop him (under exercise rider Javier Cardona) around the track. Yesterday we took him to the paddock in the afternoon and he did OK. He got a little hot, but nothing special. We gave him some extra for lunch and he ate it all up. He ate up last night, too. The routine is good and so is he.”
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           Tappan Street:
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            early April 20, barn 22
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           April 11
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            48:40 Breezing 3/24 PAY
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            - outside Rapture - Trainer Cox said he had him in 48.40, out 1:01.60. "He was under a good hold throughout. He definitely hasn’t regressed. He’s really doing well. He's a smart horse. I think we’ll probably stay here for one more (work)."
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           April 18
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            1.01:40 Breezing 2/12 PAY -
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            - pre-dawn work outside Rapture - DRF's Mike Welsch was there and tweeted early this date 1:02 breezing from the four-furlong marker w/ last four in 48.20, out six in 1:14.79 and seven 1:28.72. Rapture also worked in 1:01.40 (2/12). Trainer Cox said, “We were looking to kind of stretch his legs and have a nice gallop out and I thought we got what we were looking for. Continued on around the turn very nicely and galloped out strong. He looked great coming off the track. He’s been very consistent, and it seems like with his works, the further the better. I think just based off what we’ve seen, a horse (Hit Show) went to the Middle East (from Payson Park) and won the World Cup. If they can’t get them ready over this track, you’re not going to get them ready over any track."
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           April 21:
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           On the track today after arriving from CD yesterday.
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           April 23:
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            Scheduled to work Saturday.
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           April 26:
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           59.60 Breezing 8/33 CD - Worked at 9:04 a.m. ET - outside his company, inched ahead in the turn
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           April 26:
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            Unfortunately Tappan Street is out of the Kentucky Derby after sustaining a condylar fracture this morning. The injury is not life-threatening; he will undergo surgery.
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           Tiztastic:
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            March 25, barn 38, stall 24
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           April 12
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            1.00:80 Breezing 12/31 CD -
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            - outside Publisher, 13, 24.80, 36.60, out six 1:13.40 and seven 1:26.60. Trainer Asmussen: "I was extremely pleased with how they handled and traveled over the racetrack."
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           April 19
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           59.60 Breezing 4/56 CD -
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           - outside Publisher, 12.80, 24.40 and :36.40, out six in 1:11.80. Publisher got a head start on Tiztastic, a closer, but outworked Tiztastic to the wire and in the gallop out. There were no comments from trainer Asmussen in notes released by the track.
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           April 21 NOTE:
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           Galloped today after a day off April 20.
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           April 25:
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           Track notes say he will breeze Sunday.
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           April 27:
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           April 27 50.20 Breezing 112/121 CD -
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            VIDEO
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           - solo - 12.40, 24.60, 50.20 - maintenance - Trainer Asmussen said, “It’s an ideal draw for both of them being next to each other (posts 13 and 14). They’ve been training together, everything is coming together perfectly. I just hope we can catch a day that’s going to be sunny and a fast track. We couldn’t be more excited.”
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           April 28:
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           Scheduled walk day.
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           April 29:
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           He jogged during the 7:15-7:30 training window.
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           April 30: 
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “Derby week is so much fun. It’s enjoyable to take it all in.”
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           May 1:
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           He galloped under Carlos Rosas.
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      <pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2025 19:26:18 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/arrivals-at-cd-barn-numbers-workouts</guid>
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    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Downey Profile Rankings</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/the-downey-profile-rankings</link>
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           The Downey Profile Rankings
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           UPDATED May 1 at 6:04 p.m. ET after the defection of Rodriguez
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           Top 4
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           Journalism            20.26
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           Burnham Square  13.72
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           Sandman               13.61
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           East Avenue          12.43
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           5th, 6th, 7th
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           Sovereignty   11.22
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           Rodriguez      10.86
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           Coal Battle      7.86 T
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           Tiztastic          7.86 T
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           Others
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           Baeza  7.33
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           Grande 6.12
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           Citizen Bull 5.11
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           Flying Mohawk  4.99
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           Publisher  4.54
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           Admire Daytona  4.11
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           Luxor Cafe  3.79
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           2.79 or below
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           American Promise
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           Chunk of Gold
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           Final Gambit
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           Neoequos
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           Owen Almighty
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           Render Judgment
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      <pubDate>Fri, 11 Apr 2025 22:18:22 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/the-downey-profile-rankings</guid>
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      <title>Earnings Per Start At Age 3</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/earnings-per-start-at-age-3</link>
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           Average Earnings Per Start at Age 3
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           NOTE: EPS is a major factor in The Downey Profile. Changes at the top of this list could yield revisions to the top-rated horses in The Downey Profile. I will monitor this.
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           UPDATED May 1 at 6:04 p.m. ET after the defection of Rodriguez
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           Top 5
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           Sandman         363,333
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           Burnham Square  309,108
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           Coal Battle       293,750
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           Tiztastic          243,333
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           Journalism     240,000
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           Others
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           Sovereignty       214,760
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           Admire Daytona    212,136
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           Final Gambit   169,546
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           Rodriguez           128,000
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           East Avenue       121,875
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           Publisher       118,333
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           American Promise   111,666
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           Chunk of Gold   108,000
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           Luxor Cafe          107,667
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           Flying Mohawk   92,100
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           Grande            76,066
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           Citizen Bull        75,000
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           Owen Almighty  66,969
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           Neoequos       61,883
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           Baeza           49,333
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           Render Judgment   47,187
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      <pubDate>Fri, 11 Apr 2025 21:46:05 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/earnings-per-start-at-age-3</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: April 8 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-april-8-toyota-blue-grass-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: April 8 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           G1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Burnham Square (4-1) sat in last place of seven off fairly quick early fractions, came wide into the stretch and overtook East Avenue (9-2) in the shadow of the wire to win the G1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland. River Thames (3-1) finished third with interest, longshot Admiral Dennis (15-1) was fourth, and Render Judgment was fifth. East Avenue set the pace into the far turn with fractions of 22.95, 46.95 and 1:11.96, stayed strong in the turn, and was denied at the last possible moment. Owen Almighty tracked East Avenue into the stretch and faded to sixth. Favored Chancer McPatrick (5-2) broke well but never got his engine running and finished last behind a slow final time of 1:51.33. Brian Hernandez, Jr. rode the winner for trainer Ian Wilkes and owner-breeder Janice Whitham's Whitham Thoroughbreds. Burnham Square was bred in Kentucky and is a son of Liam's Map out of Linda, by Scat Daddy. Kentucky Derby points: 100-50-25-15-10.
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           The track was not playing fast today, with a pair of seven-furlong stakes races timed in just under 1:24.
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           THE NEXT DAY: “Both horses got back last night to Churchill,” trainer Wilkes said from his main base in Louisville. “Everything is all good. It was a really exciting day for everyone involved.”
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           Burnham Square got a 96 Beyer, and Equbase rated him a 104.
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           Winning jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr.: "When we turned for home we had a full head of steam and I was confident. It kind of goes back to Ian trusting us; he doesn’t give us a whole lot of instructions. My son, Ben, and I sat down last night and watched all his races, and we both kind of came up with a plan: Just let him travel, let him cruise along. That’s the nice thing about a horse like him. For a 3-year-old to make such a long run like he did today and be able to run down Grade 1 winners like he did – he’s an exciting horse to move forward with.”
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           Winning trainer Ian Wilkes on Burnham Square’s progress from a maiden claiming runner-up finish at Keeneland in his debut Oct. 26 to now winning the Toyota Blue Grass: “You’d probably have to pinch me, because if you’d asked me before that race, I would not have dreamed I’d be here with him. He’s taken me there. You know, the horse has taken me everywhere I’ve wanted to go. I’ve just got to try and stay out of his way. The only thing I had to do to help him was put blinkers on him.
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           “(Winning) the Holy Bull was good. The Fountain of Youth (fourth), maybe I was just – I had to go easy. He’s not a big, robust horse, and I was probably a little kind on him coming in to that race, wasn’t as hard on him as what I wanted to be. Then I trained him a little more for here because I needed points, so I couldn’t mess around. We had to step up and get a little more serious now. But his number was better in the Fountain of Youth than it was in the Holy Bull.
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           “I’ll watch him. He’ll tell me what I need to do. But we have to keep the foot on the gas – got to keep the foot down on the pedal – because we’ve got to get a little better again. It’s going to be very deep waters, and we’ve got to get a lot better.”
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           Luan Machado (rider of runner-up East Avenue): “We went really quick from the start, but the horse came back to me. It was a little aggressive, 
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           and he dropped a little bit in the second half. He dug deep and he fought back. He tried his best to get him, and I am happy with him.”
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           Brendan Walsh (trainer of East Avenue): “I loved how he battled. He looked at the head of the straight like he was going to fold and he didn’t fold, and I think it’s a good sign for the future. I think he’s a horse that can still improve. It’s nice to see him run a race like that.
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           “We’d have to seriously consider (the Derby). We’ll go back and talk among ourselves and see what we do. But I loved what I saw today. We’re a little disappointed we didn’t win, but it’s the next best thing; at least he showed up today. He’s the horse we’ve always thought he was.”
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           East Avenue likely will relocate to Churchill Downs during the coming week.
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           Irad Ortiz Jr. (rider of third-place finisher River Thames): “Can’t complain, he put up one hell of a race. He got beat by two nice horses. He gave me everything. I think it was set up perfect for me. I thought I got the chance to run for home, but they followed all the way to the wire. It was a great race.”
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           Todd Pletcher (trainer of River Thames): “I thought he ran terrific. We got the trip we were hoping to get. We kind of anticipated the pace would unfold the way it did, and we were in the position we wanted to be. The turn for home we had a chance and kept trying all the way to the wire but couldn’t quite get there.
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           “I think (it was a step forward). It was the first time at a mile and an eighth. It seemed like he stuck it out pretty well, and he’s come a long way in a short period of time. It was a good effort; we just couldn’t quite get there.
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           “We will let the dust settle. I’ll talk to all the connections, and we will come up with a game plan.”
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           Flavien Prat (rider of favored Chancer McPatrick, who finished in a dead heat for sixth with Owen Almighty): “I thought I had a good trip, but when he had a chance to make a run, he didn’t.”
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           Brian Lynch (trainer of Owen Almighty): “He had the perfect trip and had every chance to make it his race, but he came up a little empty when we needed it. I don’t think the Derby is the way we will go. We’ll regroup and talk with our people and come up with another plan.”
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      <pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2025 22:37:52 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-april-8-toyota-blue-grass-stakes</guid>
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      <title>GALLOP OUTS</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/gallop-outs</link>
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           GALLOP OUTS
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            We review the strength or lack thereof of gallop outs following races going nine furlongs or more.
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            Not every good horse gallops out strongly past the wire, but a lot of good ones do. Todd Pletcher, a high-achieving trainer for many years, places emphasis on the gallop out. Others not so much. For example, 2024 Kentucky Derby winner and Ken McPeek trainee Mystik Dan did not gallop out strongly at all following his third-place finish in the Arkansas Derby, and we did not see that in his pre-Derby workouts.
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            Replays available on YouTube, even those produced by the host track, don't always give us a good look at gallop-outs. I watched replays on TwinSpires.com.
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           Here is a link
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            to replays at The Downey Profile.
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           Feb. 15 Risen Star, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Magnitude, whose career ended with this race, won big and galloped out well ahead of the others. The best of the rest in the gallop out were second finisher Chunk of Gold and fourth finisher Vassimo, the latter of whom is out of consideration for the Derby. They were beaten by Magnitude about 9 and 12 lengths, resppectively.
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           March 15 Virginia Derby, 1 1/8 Mile
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           It's a one-turn race. Winner American Promise, second finisher Render Judgment (who, like Mystik Dan, is trained by Ken McPeek) and Rapture (who is not a Derby contender) galloped out best.
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           March 22 Jeff Ruby Steaks, 1 1/8 Mile, Synthetic Track
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           Winner Flying Gambit galloped out much the best. Best of the rest were Maximum Promise and Poster, who are not Derby contenders. Second finisher Flying Mohawk did not gallop out strongly.
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           March 22 Louisiana Derby, 1 3/16 Mile
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           Five of the six top finishers galloped out pretty well. Built was the exception. Second finisher Chunk of Gold initially ran ahead of winner Tiztastic, whose ears pricked just past the finish line. Instant Replay, who is off the Derby Trail, then also ran by Tiztastic after finishing the race pretty well. John Hancock and Vassimo, both of whom are also out of consideration for the Derby, then ran by both Tiztastic and Chunk of Gold in the latter portion of the first turn.
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           March 29 Florida Derby, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Heading to the finish line, Sovereignty was closing on winner Tappan Street. After the wire those two initially galloped out together, Tappan Street gallloped beyond Sovereignty into the backstretch. Madaket Road, who led and faded to fourth, also galloped out into the backstretch. Third finisher Neoequos trailed the top two after the wire in the first turn and was the first to be turned around
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           March 29 Arkansas Derby, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Sandman, who closed in the stretch to win, galloped out far ahead of the others into the backstretch with his ears pricked despite the fact he finished the final three furlongs of the race in over 38 seconds. In my eyes he produced a superior gallop out. Neither second finisher Publisher nor third finisher Coal Battle are visible in the gallop out footage, but this could have been by design. Beaten favorite Cornucopian and Brereton's Baytown can be seen far behind Sandman.
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           April 5 Wood Memorial, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Rodriguez galloped out into the backstretch, pricking his ears as he ran out of the turn before Mike Smith pulled him up as an outrider joined them. It looked impressive. Grande and Passion Rules, the second and third finishers, can be seen galloping up beside Rodriguez to mid-turn at which time the camera angle changed to only capture Rodriguez. Trainer Pletcher later commented that Grande galloped out well.
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           April 5 UAE Derby
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           Fourth finisher Shin Forever galloped by winner Admire Daytona soon after the wire. Second-finisher-by-a-nose Heart of Honor, who lugged out before the wire, also ran by the winner soon after in an abbreviated showing of the gallop out.
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           April 5 Santa Anita Derby
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           Running through the first turn in the mdidle of the track, second finisher Baeza out-galloped Journalism by several lengths. Journalism was guided to the outer rail mid-turn and was turned around before Baeza. I looked back at Journalism's gallop out in the March 1 San Felipe at 1 1/16 mile, and he ran further into the turn in that one. Neither gallop out was spectacular, but this could have been by design.
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           April 8 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           Winner Burnham Square galloped out well, a bit better than narrow second finisher and pacesetter East Avenue. The horse that was last coming out of the far turn, Admiral Dennis, finished pretty well to get fourth and was right there with Burnham Square well into the gallop out before Burnham Square eased on ahead. Third finisher River Thames trailed those three.
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Mon, 07 Apr 2025 21:48:56 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/gallop-outs</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>FINISHED IN 38 SECONDS OR LESS</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/finished-in-38-seconds-or-less</link>
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           FINISHED IN 38 SECONDS OR LESS
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           UPDATED May 1 at 6:04 p.m. ET after the defection of Rodriguez
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            We look at whether horses finished the final 3/8 mile in races going nine furlongs or longer in 38 seconds or less.
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           Many Kentucky Derby winners have hit this mark in their final prep race.
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           YES
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           Feb. 1 Withers
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           : Captain Cook 38 flat after first six furlongs in 1:13.83. Nothing else in the race will be in the Kentucky Derby.
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           Feb. 15 Risen Star
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           : Magnitude is off Derby Trail.
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           March 15 Virginia Derby
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           : American Promise 38.02 after running the first six furlongs in 1:08.39.
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           March 22 Louisiana Derby (9 1/2 furlongs):
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            Tiztastic's average 1/16-mile time in the final seven furlongs is 6.33857 seconds, which I interpolate to 38.03 seconds He was no doubt slowing the final 1/16, so at 1 1/8 mile he is a YES.
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           March 22 Jeff Ruby Steaks (synthetic track)
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           Final Gambit finished in 36.02 after running the first six furlongs in 1:13.89.
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           Flying Mohawk finished in 37.22 after six in 1:13.48.
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           March 29 Fukuryu Stakes
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           Luxor Cafe finished in 36.30 after going the first six furlongs in 1:15.80.
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           March 29 Florida Derby
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           Tappan Street finished in 37.06 after running the first six furlongs in 1:12.21.
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           Sovereignty finished in 37.12 after the first six furlongs in 1:12.36
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           April 5 Wood Memorial
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           Rodriguez finished in 36.90 after running the first six furlongs in 1:11.25.
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           Grande finished in 37.24 after the first six in 1:11.52.
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           April 5 Santa Anita Derby
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           Journalism 37.59 after the first six furlongs in 1:11.97.
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           NO
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           Feb. 15 Risen Star
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           Chunk of Gold finished in 38.95.
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           Built was slightly slower.
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           American Promise was nowhere near.
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           East Avenue was slower yet.
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           March 15 American Derby (one turn)
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           Second finisher Render Judgment finished in 38.97.
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           Third finisher Omaha Omaha 38.42.
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           March 22 Louisiana Derby (9 1/2 furlongs)
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           Chunk of Gold's average 1/16-mile time in the final seven furlongs is 6.46 seconds, which I interpolate to 38.76 seconds for six furlongs.
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           Built's time using the same math comes out to 39.83 seconds.
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           March 22 Jeff Ruby Steaks (synthetic)
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           California Burriot finished in 38.92 after running the first six furlongs 1:12.87
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           March 29 Florida Derby
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           Neoequos finished in 38.17 after running the first six in 1:11.76.
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           Disruptor 38.90 after the first six in 1:12.12.
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           March 29 Arkansas Derby
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           Sandman finished in 38.51 after six in 1:11.28.
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           Publisher 38.93 after six in 1:11.57.
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           Coal Battle 40.19 after running the first six in 1:11.07 -- and still finished third. Maybe the surface was a "drying out track" or an otherwise tiring track. After rainfall the track was rated good most of the day and upgraded to fast a couple of races before the Arkansas Derby.
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           April 5 Santa Anita Derby
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           Baeza 38.15 after the first six furlongs in 1:11.55.
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           Citizen Bull 39.91 after the first six in 1:11.42.
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           April 5 UAE Derby
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           Winner Admire Daytona interpolated to 38.34 after six furlongs in 1:14.40 based on my view of the teletimer as the race unfolded.
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            Second finisher Heart of Honor interpolated to 38.19 after six furlongs in 1:14.60.
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           As mentioned on the 12-Second Furlongs page, the fractional times for this race as I view the teletimer strongly conflict with fractions announced by on-air talent following the race. The talent had the initial fractions much faster than I am seeing on the teletimer.
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           April 8 Toyota Blue Grass
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           Burnham Square finished in 38.77 after running the first six furlongs in 1:12.56.
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           East Avenue finished in 39.38 after six in 1:11.96.
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           River Thames finished in 39.13 after six in 1:12.36.
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           Owen Almighty finished in 39.90 after six in 1:12.21.
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           .
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Mon, 07 Apr 2025 16:15:44 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/finished-in-38-seconds-or-less</guid>
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      <title>12-SECOND FURLONGS IN DERBY PREP RACES GOING NINE FURLONGS OR LONGER</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/12-second-furlongs-in-derby-prep-races-going-nine-furlongs-or-longer</link>
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           12-SECOND FURLONGS IN DERBY PREP RACES GOING NINE FURLONGS OR LONGER
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           UPDATED May 1 at 6:04 p.m. ET after the defection of Rodriguez
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           UPDATED May 2 at 10:05 a.m. ET after a state vet scratched Grande.
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           We examine whether horses ran within one second of averaging 12 seconds per furlong at calls of races going nine furlongs or longer. History teaches us that such horses can run well in the Kentucky Derby.
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           APRIL 16 NOTE: 
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            Added Owen Almighty to the "YES" list.
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           YES
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           Feb. 15 Risen Star
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           Winner Magnitude is off the Derby Trail. Second finisher Chunk of Gold hit the mark first three calls. Third finisher Built hit the mark first four calls.
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           March 22 Louisiana Derby (9 1/2 furlongs)
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            Winner Tiztastic hit the first four marks in
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           24.79, 47.74, 1:11.83, 1:36.47
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            . His final time was 1:56.20.
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            Second finisher Chunk of Gold also hit the first four marks with splits of
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           23.59, 47.34, 1:11.43, 1:36.57
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           . His final time was 1:56.65.
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           Fifth finisher Built
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           hit the mark at the first four calls
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            but had nothing the final eighth mile.
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            Not applicable: After the race, trainer Cox said third and fourth finishers John Hancock won't make the Derby and will regroup.
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           March 22 Jeff Ruby Steaks (synthetic)
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            Also-ran California Burrito hit the first three marks, then finished slowly.
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           23.07, 48.13, 1:12.87
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           , 1:37.99, final time 1:51.79.
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           March 29 Florida Derby
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            Winner Tappan Street hit the mark four times:
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           24.14, 47.96, 1:12.21, 1:36.60
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            with a final time of 1:49.27.
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            Runner-up Sovereignty gets credit for hitting the mark four times even though the fourth split was off, but it was off only 1/100 of a second:
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           24.37, 47.97, 1:12.36, 1:37.01
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            with a final time of 1:49.48.
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            Third finisher Neoequos hit the mark four times:
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           23.68, 47.35, 1:11.76, 1:36.60
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           with a final time of 1:49.93
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           March 29 Arkansas Derby
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            Winner Sandman hit the mark three times. Knowing that he doesn't display early speed, I thought his initial splits would be a few lengths slower than this:
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           23.84, 47.16, 1:11.28
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            . He got the mile in 1:37.11 and the final time was 1:50.08
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            Second finisher Publisher hit the mark three times despite the fact he was last in the early going:
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           24.25, 47.61, 1:11.57
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           . His mile was timed in 1:37.44 and is final time was 1:50.50.
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           April 5 Wood Memorial
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           From the perspective of 12-second furlongs, this was the strongest Wood Memorial in a good while.
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            Rodriguez, on the lead with Captain Cook attending his pace, hit the mark at all five calls, the first horse to do so this year:
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           23.31, 47.44, 1:11.25, 1:35.68, 1:48.15
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           . It detracts a bit from his performance that front speed was holding this day Aqueduct, but it was still an outstanding performance.
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            Grande became the second horse to hit the mark at all five calls:
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           23.88, 47.73, 1:11.52, 1:36.25, 1:48.76
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           . With not much hype about him after the race, Grande's race has the earmarks of an underrated performance. Grande was shuffled back early, had to go wide up the backstretch while making a big middle move to gain contention, was wide around the far turn, was unnecessarily wide leaving the turn, and with all that he still overcame the track's speed bias to finish second in only his third career start. Let's see how much it took out of him, if anything.
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            At this juncture it appears Passion Rules doesn't have enough Derby points, but he also ran a strong race using the 12-second-per-furlong metric:
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           23.85, 47.70, 1:11.68, 1:36.44
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            , 1:49.07.
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            Captain Cook also has good marks in this category, but he couldn't keep up in the final furlong:
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           23.45, 47.49, 1:11.37, 1:36.22
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           , 1:49.31
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           April 5 Santa Anita Derby
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            I am giving Baeza credit for hitting the mark at three calls because he was only 7/100 of a second off at the fourth call: 22.75,
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           47.30
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            ,
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           1:11.55, 1:37.07
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           , 1:49.70. Whether he has enough points to make the Derby is anyone's guess at this point.
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           See below for comments on Journalism.
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           April 8 Toyota Blue Grass
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            Burnham Square hit three of the marks but like everything else in the Toyota Blue Grass he noticeably slowed down after entering the final turn:
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           24.59, 48.32, 1:12.56
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           , 1:38.25, 1:51.33.
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            River Thames hit the mark at the first three calls but was unable to hold off Burnham Square:
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           23.60, 47.54, 1:12.36
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           , 1:38.08, 1:51.49.
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            Owen Almighty hit the mark at the first three calls but faded badly in the stretch to finish in a dead heat for sixth and last:
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           23.48, 47.58, 1:12.21
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           , 1:38.06, 1:52.11.
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           YES WITH AN ASTERISK
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            We heard pre-race hype from interests vested in promoting the Santa Anita Derby as the best Kentucky Derby prep of the year even with only five starters. The hype collapsed when both Baffert entries performed like 20-1 shots. To his credit, Journalism overcame difficulty and met expectations to win his fourth straight race. He is a legit horse and a deserving Kentucky Derby favorite. However, in my opinion the Santa Anita Derby clearly was not the top Derby prep of 2025 even if Journalism is the best horse. It was a five horse race in which two of the top three favorites ran poorly.
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            We hear this every year. What did he beat? When I ask myself this question I try to always remind myself the purpose of the preps is to separate the wheat from the chaff, and that was achieved in this Santa Anita Derby.
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            And now to the 12-second furlongs. This goes against the grain of his anticipated Kentucky Derby favoritism, but Journalism hit the mark only twice. He was under the mark at the first call and over the mark the last two calls: 22.57,
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           47.35, 1:11.97
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            , 1:37.24, 1:49.56. However, in my opinion Journalism would have hit the mark at least one of the two final calls, if not both, had he not run into trouble. I feel very confident his time at one mile would have been
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           1:37
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            or better in the absence of trouble.
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            This doesn't mean Journalism or other closers won't run into trouble in the Kentucky Derby. I'm "just sayin" Journalism gets a
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           YES
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            in my book.
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           NO
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           Feb. 1 Withers
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            Neither the winner Captain Cook nor any of the other starters qualified for a yes. Capatain Cook hit the mark only at the first call:
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           24.35
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           , 49.34, 1:13.83, 1:39.22, 1:51.83.
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           March 15 Virginia Derby (one turn)
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            A strange race. American Promise hit the mark the first call --
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           23.27
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            -- but he ran SUB-12 seconds per furlong the remaining calls in this one-turn race -- 45.27, 1:08.39, 1:33.01, 1:46.41. 
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            We have a similar reading on second finisher Render Judgment:
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           23.14
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            , 45.41, 1:08.88, 1:33.93 with a final time of
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           1:47.70
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            .
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            And the same with third finisher Omaha Omaha:
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           24.16,
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            46.09, 1:09.52, 1:34.52 with a final time of
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           1:47.80
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           .
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           March 22 Louisiana Derby (9 1/2 furlongs)
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           Not applicable:
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           After the race, trainer Cox said third finisher Instant Replay and fourrh finisher John Hancock won't make the Derby and will regroup.
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           March 22 Jeff Ruby Steaks
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            Flying Gambit hit only the first two marks:
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           24.69, 48.90
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            , 1:13.89, 1:38.19. Final time 1:50.10.
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            Second finisher Flying Mohawk also hit only the first two marks:
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           24.22, 48.63
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            , 1:13.48, 1:38.16, 1:50.70.
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            Third finisher Maximum Promise also hit only the first two marks:
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           23.81, 48.47
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            , 1:13.33, 1:38.17, 1:50.82. He is out of consideration for the Derby.
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            Poster trained at Turfway all winter but also only hit the first two marks:
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           23.72, 48.34
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           , 1:13.20, 1:38.35, 1:51.05.
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           March 29 Fukuryu Stakes
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            We don't have complete splits for this race but Luxor Cafe could not have hit the mark at three calls. His time after six furlongs was
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           1:15.80
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            , we interpolate his one-mile time at
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           1:37.90
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            , and his final time was
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           1:52.10
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           . The track was rated good.
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           March 29 Arkansas Derby
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            Coal Battle hit the mark only twice. Before the race he was too much on the muscle, and he went too fast early. He could improve off this in the Kentucky Derby if he is able to settle down before the race:
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           23.28
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            , 46.76,
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           1:11.07
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           , 1:37.56, 1:51.26.
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           April 5 Santa Anita Derby
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            See above for comments on Journalism.
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            Citizen Bull hit the mark only twice: 22.41,
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           47.14, 1:11.42,
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            1:37.26, 1:51.33. He reportedly came out of the race in good shape but he looks more and more like a "needs-the-lead" type off this race.
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            Westwood doesn't have the points to make the Derby.
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            Barnes will not make the Kentucky Derby. I doubt we will see him race again any time soon.
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           April 5 UAE Derby
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            The splits in the UAE Derby are difficult to gauge because there is no runup to the timer. The timer starts when the gate opens. A typical runup is 34 feet, which is used in the Kentucky Derby.
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            There are no official fractional times at Emirates Racing's website. Byron King provided me sectional times for Admire Daytona supplied to atheraces.com by Total Performance Data: 8.84, 10.58, 11.22, 12.13, 12.35, 12.89, 12.63, 12.28, 12.52 and 13.70. The absence of a runup to the start at Meydan accounts for the slow 8.84 seconds for the first 100 meters, which is 328.08 feet compared to 330 feet in 1/16 of a mile.
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            Ignoring the slight differential in distance, the fractional times are: 3/16 mile in 19.42 (12 seconds per furlong for 3/16 mile would be 18 seconds), the first 7/16 in
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           42.77 (12 seconds per furlong would be 42),
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            the first 11/16 in 1:08.01 (12 seconds per furlong would be 1:06), the first 15/16 in 1:32.92 (12 seconds per furlong would be 1:30), and the full 19/16 in 1:59.14 (12 seconds per furlong would be 1:54).
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            I stop-actioned the race video in order to get quarter-mile times from the inception of the race. While not exact I'm within a hundredths of a second in getting Admire Daytona in
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           25.00, 49.00
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            , 1:14.40, 1:39.00, 1:59.14.
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           But how do we deal with the lack of a runup. Should we deduct about two seconds from each split?
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            A stat posted on-screen just after the race shows the final quarter-mile was run in 26.22. Using my stop-action timing, the last 3/16 was run in about 20.14.
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           April 8 Blue Grass Stakes
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            Pacesetter East Avenue set the pace and hit the mark at one call and one close enough to get credit for two: 22.95,
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           46.95, 1:11.96
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           , 1:37.89, 1:51.34. He was beaten a nose by Burnham Square.
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      <pubDate>Mon, 07 Apr 2025 15:48:31 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/12-second-furlongs-in-derby-prep-races-going-nine-furlongs-or-longer</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: April 5 Wood Memorial, Santa Anita Derby, UAE Derby</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-april-5-wood-memorial-santa-anita-derby-uae-derby</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: April 5 Wood Memorial, Santa Anita Derby, UAE Derby
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           Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby, 1 1/8 Mile.
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            Journalism stamped his credentials as the probable Kentucky Derby favorite with a come-from-behind victory as the even-money favorite. It was his fourth straight win. Journalism saw longshot Westwood (44-1) lead the way around the first bend with Bob Baffert trainees Citizen Bull (2-1 second choice) and Barnes (5-2) in closest pursuit. Journalism was fifth in the field of five into the backstretch. Citizen Bull pulled ahead of Westwood midway up the back after initial fractions of 22.25 and 47.14. Baeza (14-1) made his presence known early in the second turn with six furlongs in the books at 1:11.42. Around that turn Citizen Bull and Baeza battled for supremacy with Westwood a grudging third, Journalism starting to come on strong on after traffic trouble when shuffled behind Westwood and bumping with Barnes at the seven-sixteenths pole, and Barnes fading. In  In mid-stretch a charging Journalism was already past Citizen Bull and catching Baeza en route to the win by 3/4 of a length. He hit the finish line in 1:49.56 under Umberto Rispoli. Baeza was second, Westwood third 9 1/4 lengths off the winner, Citizen Bull fourth another half-length back and Barnes fifth, beaten 19 3/4 lengths.
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           The winner is trained by Michael McCarthy for the partnership of Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Elayne Stables 5, Robert V. LaPenta, Mrs. John Magnier-Lessee, Derrick Smith-Lessee, and Michael B. Tabor-Lessee. Journalism was bred in Kentucky by Don Alberto Corporation. He's by Curlin out of Mopotism, by Uncle Mo. Kentucky Derby points were valued at 75% of the normal 100-50-25-15-10 due to the short field.
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           THE NEXT DAY: “All good,” trainer McCarthy said Sunday morning. “I thought he showed a lot of poise being down inside. He had to kind of bide his time and wait for a seam to get through. As I said yesterday, he is amenable to whatever Umberto asks of him. He will have a couple of easy days and start back at the end of the week.: When Journalism ships to Louisville remains to be determined. "We’re going to watch the weather and come up with a game plan. We’ll get with everybody and see what we think is best for him.”
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            Journalism got a 102 Beyer in in the Santa Anita Derby. Journalism's Equibase speed figure is 108, which is next-level consistency. Second time out he broke his maiden with a 105 going a mile at Del Mar, followed by a 106 winning the Los Al Futurity and a 110 destroying the San Felipe.
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           Winning trainer Michael McCarthy: “He had me worried for a jump or two. Special horse. I saw a little bit of adversity today, which you saw around the far turn. It took him a little bit to get his feet under him, but once Umberto was able to wheel him outside, he started getting him through his gears. He started to pick it up towards the end, leveled off nicely. He looked like he finished up well and galloped out well.
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           "It’s pretty exciting. It’s a huge day on the Santa Anita calendar, a huge day on any calendar, or any kind of Derby before the Kentucky Derby. So to go ahead and be a part of this and be lucky enough to win, it is special.”
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           Winning jockey Umberto Rispoli: “I was trapped on the fence, and I thought, ‘Wow, this isn’t looking good. I knew my only way out was to push Barnes a little bit. I got through. That’s such a good animal to be able to get out of there. It’s rare for a horse to get held up at the three-eighths pole and to get back in the race in that way. It’s always difficult, especially for such a big horse. But he has such an amazing style and is just an amazing horse."
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           Runner-up trainer John Shirreffs: “He (Baeza) ran super."
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           Bob Baffert, trainer of fourth-place Citizen Bull and fifth-place (and last) Barnes: “I was discouraged (Citizen Bull) didn’t get the win today. He got tired. He’s a heavy horse. The track was deep today. We will figure this out. We have a week and then we’ll decide what is next.”
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           As for Barnes: “We need to regroup.”
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           G2 Wood Memorial, 1 1/8 Mile
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           West coast invader Rodriguez led all the way to win by 3 1/2 lengths under Mike Smith in a swift 1:48.15. Internal fractions for Rodriguez (7-2 odds) were 23.31, 47.44, 1:11.25 and 1:35.68. Captain Cook (favored at 9-5) attended the pace into the stretch but faded to fourth 6 3/4 lengths behind the winner as Grande (4-1), who lost ground after the break, made a big middle move and went wide out of the turn before overtaking Captain Cook for the place. Passion Rules (9-1) got up late for third, beaten 5 1/4 lengths. Longshot McAfee (29-1) finished well to take fifth. Local hero Sand Devil ran sixth. Kentucky Derby points 100-50-25-15-10.
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           Bob Baffert trains the winner, who raced in the Starlight colors, for the consortium of SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Robert E. Masterson, Tom J. Ryan, Waves Edge Capital and Catherine Donovan. Rodriguez was bred in Kentucky by Kingswood Farm &amp;amp; David Egan. He's a son of 2020 Kentucky Derby winner Authentic out of Cayala, by Cherokee Run.
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           Rodriguez was assigned an outstanding 111 Equibase figure. Per Tom Ryan's post on X, it's a 101 Beyer.
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           Rodriguez broke his maiden at Santa Anita in his second start with a 105 Equibase figure going one mile. Next out he ran second to Citizen Bull in the G3 Robert B Lewis Stakes, registering a 101. He backed up to a 92 when a very distant third to Journalism in the G2 San Felipe.
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            Winning trainer Bob Baffert: “He’d been training like he was going to do something like that. I’ve always been very high on him. He’s just had some rough trips here in California. I knew the added distance would be a big factor for him. I thought he’d love stretching out and going a mile and an eighth. Mike Smith told me he wanted a super live one and I said, ‘Man, I’ve got a good one for you.’ He rode him beautifully. The horse looked great – he looked like Authentic. He won like a good horse. It was very impressive.
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            “His last two works were really strong here so I felt really good as long as he didn’t get too worked up, he'd be good. I think with taking the blinkers off, he relaxed a lot better. It was just a beautiful run and I’m just happy and blessed to have a horse like that.
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            “Any time you win in New York it means a lot. I have great memories of winning the Wood [Bob and John, 2006; Congaree, 2001]. It’s a very important race. Just knowing that you have a horse that looks like he’s a serious Derby contender makes it that much better. We’re all pretty excited and I’m really happy for our ownership group.”
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            Winning jockey Mike Smith: " Just happy I got the opportunity. I know they thought a lot of him early on. Because in California racing there’s not big fields, if it’s a five-horse field, Bob probably has three. They can’t all just go out there and hook each other, you’ve got to try and play some strategy.
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            “I think they realized he just wants to be left alone. I could tell that warming up. Every time you did something with him, he’d get uptight. That’s just it – if you get him to breathe, he’s gonna run, man, and that’s what he did today. That’s probably why he ran that 100 Beyer when he broke his maiden to be honest with you.
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            “Man, he was doing it and Manuel (Franco on Captain Cook) came at me early around that turn and he picked it up with him. We put some separation on the field, and when I felt him do that again, I said, ‘Oh, we’re OK! He’s just got to be good enough, and he was.
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            “I just really thank the owners and Bob. He said, ‘I’m pulling you off the bench, man. There’s three seconds and I need you to hit a three.’ I said, ‘alright, I’ll do it, Bob.’ I closed my eyes and I hit a three [laughs].”
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            About the gallop out: “He looked good, didn’t he? He really did. I asked Manuel, he picked him up [in the gallop out] and said, ‘Whoa, he’s still got a lot.’ I said, ‘yeah!’ Look, the Derby is always different, there’s going to be a big crowd. He gets a little [nervous], that’s why he had the earplugs. There’s a lot of growing for this horse to do, and that’s a good thing.
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            About a potential Derby bid: “I’m excited. I don’t want to say that I’m going back [to Louisville], he [Baffert] took me off the bench, but I just hope they keep me on.”
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            Runner-up trainer Todd Pletcher: "I thought he ran super. He didn’t break real well. He got shuffled around a little bit going into the first turn. Dylan [Davis] said he kind of had to check off heels which forced him to go really wide. He advanced nicely down the backside while out in the middle of the track. He still got hung out pretty wide on the far turn and I think compared to the ground saved that the winner had, it was a very creditable effort.
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            “He hasn’t been that far back, he hadn’t had dirt in his face – it was his first time in a stakes and only his third start. We have a lot of positive things to draw from it.”
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            On a start in the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby May 3, at Churchill Downs: “I think so. That’s why we were here today – to see if we belong and earn some points. I think he proved that he does belong and got some points as well. We’ll see how he comes out of it and come up with a plan, but I thought he certainly ran well enough.”
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            Runner-up jockey Dylan Davis: “He ran very nicely. I was planning on just trying to break well. He broke OK. We were going nicely into the first turn but the four [My Mitole] ended up pushing the five [Sand Devil] out in front of me, I had to go a little wide because I was going to be on heels. After that, they kind of slowed down in front of me a little bit. My horse was off the bridle and I needed to get him on the bridle and get him engaged. I got him into it with a little mid-move there in the backside just to get him engaged with those frontrunners. I wanted him closer than where I was at. He was into a nice rhythm into the second turn, I was really happy with the way he was going then. The one [Rodriguez] just kind of jumped away from him. He ran well. He stepped up nicely and had to overcome a wide trip. Given the circumstances, he ran a great race, stepping up big from his two wins."
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            Kendrick Carmouche, jockey of third finisher Passion Rules: “I had a perfect trip. I got the horse to break better. I had him in a good position. My horse broke good. I saved ground. It took him a little longer to get started. At the quarter-pole, I think those horses got away from him. I think that was pretty much the race."
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           G2 UAE Derby, 1 3/16 Mile
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            Admire Daytona edged Heart of Honor by a nose in a head bob to win. Don in the Mood was third, beaten 2 3/4 lengths, Shin Forever fourth and the filly Queen Azteca fifth. The winning time was 1:59.13. Admire Daytona and Rafid were part of opening fractions of 10.48, 11.10, 12.09 and 12.40. Heading into the final turn, Heart of Honor and Don in the Mood had joined those front-runners. Rafid soon faded to finish eighth of nine. Admire Daytona stayed the final quarter-mile in 26.22 in what a track announcer described as a war of attrition. Gotham Stakes winner and betting favorite Flood Zone, the only U. S. based horse in the race, was never in contention. He was last into the stretch and finished seventh of nine. It was the fourth straight UAE Derby win for a Japan-based horse.
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           Christophe Lemaire rode the winner for trainer Yukihiro Kato and owner Junko Kondo. Admire Daytona was bred in Japan by Northern Racing. He is by Drefong out of Ice Pastel, by Shackleford. Kentucky Derby points 100-50-25-15-10. All starters carried 126 pounds except Queen Azteca, who carried 121.
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           In his last start Admire Daytona finished fourth behind Fukuryu Stakes winner Luxor Cafe in the Hyacinth Stakes. Third finisher Don in the Mood was also third in the Hyacinth last time out. UAE Derby second finisher Heart of Honor, based in Dubai, also finished second most recently in the Al Bastakiya, preceded by another second in the G3 UAE 2000 Guineas.
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            The track record is 1:55:18, Mendellsohn 2018. Hit Show ran the 1 1/4-mile Dubai World Cup in 2:03.50.
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           Chart from Emirates Racing
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           Of the top five finishers in the UAE Derby only Shin Forever was early-nominated to the Triple Crown. The deadline for late nominations is Monday, April 7 for connections who haven't already filed their paperwork and paid the $6,000 fee.
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           Winning jockey Christophe L​​​​emaire: “Honestly, I thought I’d won but it was very tight so you never get too happy, too early. The Japanese horses come here with quite a bit of experience at home. For us, they arrive near their best this early in the season, not too much racing but also with plenty of experience. I think they like the Meydan dirt track too. For sure he can go to Kentucky, but it is such a difficult race to win. It is one of the most iconic races in the world and we have to go if we can.”
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           Winning trainer Yukihiro Kato: He confirmed the plan is for Admire Daytona to go to the Kentucky Derby.
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           Heart Of Honor trainer Jamie Osborne: “He’s put up a lifetime best, and you always have to be pleased when that happens. But this is a tough one to swallow.”
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           Don In The Mood jockey Ryusei Sakai: "He ran well. The pace was fast, he travelled nicely on the bridle, he just found it tough the last 400 meters."
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           Don in the Mood trainer Teiichi Konno: “He was traveling very well and I thought he might win it. It was tough for him at the end. He is always relaxed but was a little bit nervous in the stalls this time. His physique will definitely improve more.”
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           Shin Forever jockey Akira Sugawara: “Missing the jump ruined his race. All good. Other than that, he ran well.”
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           Queen Azteca jockey Carlos Lopez: “She went well, I’m so proud of her. She felt strong all the way, I thought she was going to kick a little bit more in the finish. She showed she is a good filly.”
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           Dragon (6th) jockey Yutaka Take: “He handled dirt well. He was hanging a bit and didn’t respond.”
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           Flood Zone (7th) jockey Florent Geroux: “Disappointed, to be honest. He broke well, I thought I was going to be in a good spot. I let the speed go, I tucked behind the two leaders and got down to the rail. From there, as soon as we hit the first turn, he never traveled, never grabbed the bit and just kept going backwards. It was too bad to be true. If he’d been able to grab the bit, I think I would have been able to travel into it, but I was trapped where I was and I couldn’t follow those in front. For some reason, our American horses don’t seem to have the same early speed here.”
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           Rafid (8th) jockey John Velazquez said: “Good break and that was it.”
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           Galactic Star (9th) jockey Tadhg O’Shea said: “Traveled well in the run, but just never finished off. Ran a little bit flat.”
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      <pubDate>Sat, 05 Apr 2025 16:22:26 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-april-5-wood-memorial-santa-anita-derby-uae-derby</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: March 29 Arkansas Derby, Florida Derby, Fukuryu Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-29-arkansas-derby-florida-derby-fukuryu-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: March 29 Arkansas Derby, Florida Derby, Fukuryu Stakes
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           G1 Arkansas Derby, 1 1/8 Mile
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            Sandman got a good setup for his late kick, and he took full advantage to win at 7-2 odds. Odds-on favorite Cornucopian (4-5) and two-time stakes winner Speed King (15-1) rumbled through taxing opening fractions of 22.46 and 45.21 to open up on the field by about 10 lengths in the backstretch. Heading into the second turn, second betting choice Coal Battle (3-1) and Publisher (7-1) started coming after them as Sandman began gearing up for his anticipated late run with six furlongs gone in 1:10.37. After the field turned for home, Sandman's momentum carried him to the lead. Perhaps unaccustomed to that position he drifted out into Publisher's lane, but he was two lengths ahead at that point, and new rider Jose Ortiz righted him quickly to stay on task and finish ahead by 2 1/2. The winning time was 1:50.08. Publisher was second, Coal Battle third, Cornucopian fourth and Brereton's Baytown a distant fifth. Order of finish: 6-3-8-9-1-5-7-4-4-2. Kentucky Derby points 100-50-25-15-10. Sandman is by Tapit out of Distorted Music, by Distorted Humor and was bred in Kentucky by Lothenbach Stables. Today's Florida Derby winner Tappan Street's dam is also Distorted Humor. Sandman is trained by Mark Casse for D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables.
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           Sandman racked up a 104 Equibase figure in the Arkansas Derby, a career best. He was given a solid 99 Beyer Speed Figure. Second-place finisher Publisher earned a 95 Beyer.
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           Sandman has now run eight times with three wins, a second and two thirds. He ran fifth in his debut (58 Equibase), a sprint at Churchill Downs, but rebounded at Saratoga to win at seven furlongs (93 Equibase). He was a badly-beaten fifth (77) in the one-turn G3 Iroquois at Churchill Downs. After finishing third in the two-turn G3 Street Sense (90), he won a high-priced allowance at Oaklawn (97). He's been in Hot Springs since, finishing a close second (100) to Speed King in the G3 Southwest and a fast-closing third (101) in the G2 Rebel.
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           Winning trainer Mark Casse: “I couldn’t believe (the fast early fractions), actually. I said, ‘Well, they’ll have to be superstars to keep going.’ The farther they went, the more confident I was. The faster they went, the more I smiled. I think that just shows how good he is (after lugging out in the stretch and still winning by 2 1/2 lengths). He wasn’t focusing and he was still able to draw away. As Jose said, he wants to get into a rhythm. And if you can get him into that rhythm, he’ll just go. Jose said he didn’t take a deep breath when he pulled up.”
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           Winning jockey Jose Ortiz: “We knew back then (when I rode him in the G3 Iroquois) that he wasn’t a one-turn horse. I was a little sad that I lost him because he came this way. But very excited to get him back. Today, a mile and an eighth, he’s proved that the two turns is his game. Very happy, very excited. Kentucky Derby – here we (come). He was a little shy from the whip from the left hand. I could see that from the replays the last time. I tried one time and didn’t try it again. So, he was rolling.”
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           Publisher trainer Steve Asmussen: “I’m very pleased with the progression he’s made. I love the class of that horse. I mean, he is meant for a big day. He is classy and calm. Wastes zero energy doing anything he shouldn’t be doing. Top class horse. (Did blinkers help?). I was hoping he would be a little bit closer, but he kind of got squeezed away from there again. You know what? With the pace scenario, we got a good trip. Winner outran us. At the head of the stretch, I’d have picked us and we ended up second. I’m very proud of how he ran, and we need to find more.”
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           Coal Battle trainer Lonnie Briley: “He was a little too fresh today. And you always think about the drawing board, going back to it. But in the paddock, he was a little anxious and stuff. So, I was worried about that today. He ran a good race. He ran third and Sandman had been coming from behind, so we knew that he would be a factor. When they added the blinkers to Publisher, he’s a good horse and he ran big. (Coal Battle) ran good against some good horses. We’ll have another shot at them soon.”
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           Coal Battle jockey Juan Vargas: “I think one thing that hurt my horse this time was he was very aggressive – like never before. I know he broke well from the gate, but this time he was very aggressive. I had to fight the horse and I think that cost me the race, for sure. If he had settled down, like normally he does, it was a perfect race for him. This time, I had to fight him a lot. You can’t fight him.”
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           Cornucopian jockey John Velazquez: “Nothing else you can say. We went fast.”
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           G1 Florida Derby, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Tappan Street (2-1 second choice) broke alertly, got into good early and intermediate position, continued a good trip with a strong outside move on the turn, and left the field behind in the stretch under urging by Luis Saez to win the G1 Curln Florida Derby over favored Sovereignty. Sovereignty (8-5) finished second after ceding ground from post 10 and coming on late as expected, beaten about 1 1/4 length. Neoequos (11-1) was in second place through much of the race but finished third for the second consecutive time on the Florida road to the Kentucky Derby. Makaket Road (5-1), sans blinkers, finished fourth after setting an honest pace through six furlongs in 23.37, 47.22 and 1:11.61 into the far turn. Third betting choice Disruptor (3-1) was a belated fifth. Tappan Street crossed the finish line after nine furlongs in 1:49.27. Order of finish: 9-10-1-8-4-6-5-2-3-7. Kentucky Derby points 100-50-25-15-10. Tappan Street is trained by Brad Cox for WinStar Farm, CHC Inc. and Cold Press. He was bred in Kentucky by Blue Heaven Farm and is a son of Into Mischief out of the Distorted Humor mare Virginia Key.
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           Today's winning Equibase figure is 96. The Beyer is 94. Second finisher Sovereignty registered a 95 Equibase figure.
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           Tappan Street broke his maiden at first asking going seven furlongs at Gulfstream Park on Dec. 28, earning an impressive 93 Equibase speed figure. He regressed a bit in the G3 Holy Bull (89 Equibase) on Feb. 1 to run second to Burnham Spare, who's expected next in the Blue Grass at Keeneland. Tappan Street skpped the Foutain of Youth in preparation for the Florida Derby.
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           I didn't realize it's pronounced Ta-PAN Street until today!
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           Winning trainer Brad Cox: “Anytime you have a young horse like this and you give them eight weeks between starts, it’s always a concern. But this is a very smart horse. He’s intelligent. I thought he would break very, very well today the way he was training, and he did. That put him in the race and put him in a great position.
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           “We have five weeks. We have to make sure he comes out of it in good order, first and foremost. Our plan right now is Monday or Tuesday to ship him to Churchill. Hopefully, he comes out of it in good order and we can march forward. I think he’s going to get a tremendous amount out of this.
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           “Luis was very high on him after he broke his maiden. He was very high on him after the Holy Bull. He had a lot of confidence in him and it all came together today. This is a step forward today. His numbers his first two starts were really good. I felt like the two-month lead up to the Florida Derby would propel him forward.”
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           Winning jockey Luis Saez: “Everything went to plan. He broke from there pretty well. He was in good position. The whole way I had a lot of horse. We knew the speed was inside and we followed the speed. Everything came out perfect. He was traveling professionally today. I saw [Sovereignty] and I let my horse go a little bit more, and he gave me a good turn of foot. When he came to the top of the stretch, I knew it was going to be tough to catch [us]. As soon as we broke from the gate, I had a lot of confidence the whole way. I knew he was going to give me a good turn of foot at the top of the stretch. He always does.
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           “I think it’s [Kentucky Derby] going to be a perfect race for him because he can sit anywhere. He can break and let the speed go, or he can be right there on the pace. It’s a good horse to be around. We had a good feeling about this horse from the first time I rode him. Today he proved he was a super horse. It would be the best. The Kentucky Derby for us is going to be everything. [Winning it] would be sweet.”
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           Winning President, CEO &amp;amp; Racing Manager Elliott Walden: “He really ran like we thought he would. We’ve given him the time after the Holy Bull because we thought he was this type of horse, and it was nice for him to show up. He’s taken that step now and I think he’s going to be a very live horse going into the Kentucky Derby.”
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           Second-place trainer Bill Mott: “He (Sovereignty) came with his run. He ran well. He had a pretty good trip. He got a little wide going into the first turn but he got in and got a pretty good trip. Manny said the ground kind of broke away from him two different times, once at the three-eighths pole and once at the five-sixteenths pole. He said he kind of lost it and gathered himself up, and then he did it again. But, look, he ran OK.
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           "The winner ran good. It was a good race. This doesn’t have to be his best race. Sometimes you can look at it and say, maybe that’s a good thing. You don’t want their best race before the big event. This is a very important race, but I think the fact that he ran very big last time and ran very well this time, maybe he’ll continue to improve. I don’t think the fact that he didn’t win doesn’t mean he didn’t run a good race.”
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           Second-place jockey Manny Franco: “I had a really good trip. I rode the horse the way he likes to run. I told Bill at two points he just didn’t get over the track. He bobbled on me and lost his stride. At that point I think I lost a little momentum to get him into the bridle again, into the rhythm, but he finished running. He’s going to be a good horse going forward.
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           “From the three-eighths pole he did it, and going to the quarter pole. I feel like he disappeared on me a little bit. But that’s the way it is. He kicked home anyway. When I hit the clear he was gaining ground.”
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           Edgard Zayas aboard Neoequos, 3d: “He ran a huge race. We got the trip we wanted. He set up perfect in a stalking position. We were able to slow the pace and he was great. He really finished up pretty nice. We wanted to get running out of there and then kind of get running to the outside and after that, if I had the horse, get it done.”
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           Mike Smith aboard Madaket Road, 4th: “Right now I just felt like it was a bit far. It wasn’t like I went overly fast. I thought we got away really well and put him in a great place to kick on. Let me tell you something, those two or three horses in front of us are serious, man, because I was running. I could hear him and I could feel him, and it was getting to him a little bit, but it’s not because of a lack of try. He still kicked.”
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher (Disruptor, 5th): “We blew it at the start, came away last. I thought he ran really well considering it was only his third start to make up a lot of ground.”
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           Joel Rosario aboard Jimmy’s Dailys, 6th: “He had a good trip. It just looked like he was going to do something turning for home and then he got a little tired. The horses in front just kept running. For a little while it looked like we were going to be fine, but the mile and an eighth kind of tired him out.”
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           Jorge Ruiz aboard Indecisiveness, 7th: “He break sharp from the gate and I tried to relax him but he was very strong. I was closer than I expected but he was very excited.”
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           Trainer Jorge Delgado (Cool Intentions, 8th): “He was coming off the layoff and I know it was a challenging spot being a Grade 1, but I was hoping to see a better effort. I think when the kickback hit his face he kind of went from 10 to zero. He was too far back. We might have a chance to go on the grass and probably shorten the distance. It’s a long season. He’s a 3-year-old with five starts, so we have plenty of options.”
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           Javier Castellano aboard Cool Intentions, 8th: “I had a good trip. We broke out of the gate and got a good position in the first turn. I loved my spot. I think the key part with my horse was he didn’t like and appreciate the dirt in his face, and I started to lose my position. I felt like I had to give him a little break and I put him in the clear on the backside. He was traveling so good. My target was [Sovereignty]. I followed him but he couldn’t keep up.”
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           Dylan Davis (aboard Enterdadragon, 10th: “We were going back to the dirt from the grass, and we were just trying to keep his face clean. He just really didn’t show much on the dirt, so we’re going to go back to the turf with him. They’re running him at Keeneland next start. It depends on what’s going on with Keeneland and New York, I’m doing both tracks, but I’d like to stay with him. He’s a really nice horse.”
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           Fukuryu Stakes, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Luxor Cafe, favored at 3-10 (1.3 as expressed on the board locally), dominated the 11-horse field in the nine-furlong Fukuryu Stakes at Nakayama Racecourse in Japan. He has been invited to the Kentucky Derby, and a response is expected mid-week. Luxor Cafe laid in sixth during the early going while kept clear on the outside under Joao Moreira. He quickly separated himself from the field when roused at the top of the stretch. Luxor Cafe finished the final three furlongs in 36.3 seconds and was five impressive lengths clear at the finish. The race was timed in 1:52.1 on a dirt course rated good. Meisho Zuiun was second, followed by Golden Cloud, Levant Univers and Slazak. The winner is trained by Noriyuki Hori for Koichi Nishikawa and was bred in Kentucky by Orpendale/Chelston/Wynatt &amp;amp; Westerberg Ireland ULC. Luxor Cafe is a son of American Pharoah and is out of the More Than Ready mare Mary's Follies. It was the fourth consecutive win for Luxor Cafe.
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             The Fukuryu was run on a right-hand course. NOTE: My friend Roxy Roxborough advises Luxor Cafe never changed leads.
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           Luxor Cafe dominated the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby, with his previous three wins including the one-mile Hyacinth Stakes, another Derby points race that was run on a left-hand course, American style. He took that one with a similar running style and was timed in 1:37.6 after going through the final three furlongs in a swift 35.1 seconds. He won the one-turn Hyacinth by only a half-length but was visually impressive. The Fukuryu gave Luxor Cafe two turns and more ground, and he responded by exponentially increasing his margin of victory.
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           T O Password won the Fukuryu last year and finished fifth, beaten 6 1/2 lengths, in the Kentucky Derby. In Louisville T O Password was in 18th place, 14 lengths off the pace, into the first turn, was checked there, and the jockey dropped his whip mid-stretch. The chart call: "T O PASSWORD (JPN) broke a step slow, checked in traffic into the first turn, settled off the inside into the backstretch, came under a ride nearing the seven-sixteenths pole, looped seven wide through the second turn and into the stretch, had the jockey lose the crop near the furlong marker and continued on well under a fierce hand ride."
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           Lap times* in the Fukuryu, presumably for the pacesetter at each furlong of the race:   
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           12.8 - 11.9 - 13.2 - 13.0 - 12.2 - 12.3 - 12.5 - 12.2 - 12.0. The first three furlong pace was 37.9 seconds, slower than the final three furlongs, making the pace resemble that of a turf race. Except for the second call, the final furlong was run faster than any other.
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           *Lap Time is the time in between splits. The lap time is how long it takes you to get from one split to the next. The clock then starts over on the next split, or lap.
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      <pubDate>Sat, 29 Mar 2025 15:00:13 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-29-arkansas-derby-florida-derby-fukuryu-stakes</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: March 22 Jeff Ruby Steaks, Louisiana Derby</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-22-jeff-ruby-steaks-louisiana-derby</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: March 22 Jeff Ruby Steaks, Louisiana Derby
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           Louisiana Derby, 1 3/16 Mile
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           Tiztastic, ridden by Joel Rosario for trainer Steve Asmussen, came on strong in the stretch to win by 2 1/4 lengths at 7-1 odds. Chunk of Gold (10-1), who also came into foremost contention in the stretch, narrowly held off the late-charging Instant Replay (8-1) to get the place after the latter one trailed the field early on. Early pacesetter John Hancock (favored at 9-5) held on for fourth while Built (5-1), who was never far back early and passed John Hancock on the far turn to lead into the stretch, backed up to come fifth. John Hancock got an early lead and ran through initial splits of 22.99 and 46.84 and was confronted by Built shortly into the arc of the final turn after six furlongs in 1:11.03. Tiztastic swooped outside leaving the turn and was on his way to the win near the final furlong of the race. The 1 3/16 mile was timed in 1:56.20. Tiztastic is a son of Tiz the Law out of Keesha, by Tapit. He was bred in Kentucky by Capital Livestock and is owned by the partnership of Winchell Thoroughbreds, Mrs. John Magnier, Micheal Tabor and Derrick Smith. Kentucky Derby points 100-50-25-15-10.
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           Tiztastic's Beyer Speed Figure was 95. He was given a 99 Equibase figure.
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           Tiztastic broke his maiden his second start, an allowance race in August. Next time out he won the lucrative Kentucky Downs Juvenile Mile Stakes on the track's undulating turf course, earning a 92 Equibase figure. He went on to finish second in the G3 Street Sense (91 Equibase), third in the G2 Kentucky Jockey Club (87), third in the G3 Southwest Stakes (97) and fifth in the G2 Rebel Stakes (94).
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           Winning Jockey Joel Rosario: "He did everything right. He was the best horse in the race. He handled a little bit of traffic at the 3/8ths pole. The pace was fast in front and I had the horse underneath me to get it done.”
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           Winning trainer Steve Asmussen: "We thought he’d run bigger in the Southwest. He had enough distance (today). He’s stepping forward when he needs to. The horse has a great mind about him. I loved the way he acted pre-race. He ran a solid race but I think there’s more in him."
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           Ethan West, trainer of Chunk of Gold (2nd): “He was a lot closer in this race than he ever has been. Jareth (Loveberry) said he was a lot more aggressive early on the front side here and he was trying to get covered up behind John Hancock. He said down the backside he took a big breath and relaxed and he said he was tired but rightfully so. Jareth put a beautiful ride on him - it was picture perfect.”
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           Florent Geroux, jockey of Instant Replay (3rd): “Distance is not a problem with him. Question is if he’s good enough. I was following the winner around there. I feel like he got a little bit tired on me the last sixteenth of a mile. He swapped leads on me. It was a great run, he’s moving forward.”
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           Flavien Prat on John Hancock (4th): “He broke so well, I went on with him and he was traveling well, he settled down nicely on the backside. They came at me and it looked like he was done, but he regrouped and ran a good fourth”
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           Brad Cox, trainer of Instant Replay (3rd) and John Hancock (4th): “They're not going to get in (the Kentucky Derby). I don’t think we’ll try to take another swing. John Hancock didn’t run as well as I hoped and expected. Instant Replay ran well, there was enough pace for him. We’ll regroup on them both and figure out next steps.”
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           Jose Ortiz, jockey of Built (5th): “I had a great trip. The last eighth of a mile was very hard for us. He started to struggle.”
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           Brian Hernandez Jr. jockey of Hypnus (7th): “We kind of had the same trip as the winner going down the backside. They were going fast. He cruised up my inside and I was right outside of him and I tried to make the run with him. My horse just couldn't sustain his run. He emptied out. His last two races.”
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           Jeff Ruby Steaks, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Juddmonte Farm's homebred, the aptly named Final Gambit, closed from 12th and last in the early going and flew past foes down the lane to win going away by 3 1/2 lengths on Turfway Park's synthetic surface. He was dismissed at 15-1 off a 6-1 morning line. Under Luan Machado for trainer Brad Cox, Final Gambit sat between seven and nine lengths off fractions of 22.97, 47.91 and 1:12.84 established by early front-runner Charlie's to Blame. Flying Mohawk (9-1) finished second after he also made a late move from 11th. The next three in order were Maximum Promise (9-1) beaten four lengths, Poster (9-5 favorite) another 3/4 length back and Giocoso (14-1) a distant seven lengths from the winner. The nine furlongs was timed in 1:50.10. Kentucky Derby points 100-50-25-15-10. Flying Gambit is a son of Not This Time out of Pachinko, by Tapit. Tapit is also the damsire of the G2 Louisiana Derby run on this date.
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           Beyer Speed Figure 90. Equibase 96.
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           This was Final Gambit's fourth career start, the first one coming at Churchill Downs going a mile on turf. His third place finish earned him an 86 Equibase figure. His next three starts were all on Turfway Park's synthetic course. After finished second (95 Equibase) he broke his maiden third time out (84).
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            Winning jockey Luan Machado: “I knew keeping him in the clear around the turn would probably be best, but I was worried with how wide the horses on the front end were going. Sometimes when he’s between horses he doesn’t try as hard as when he’s in the clear. He really closed fast down the lane and was impressive late.”
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           Brad Cox assistant trainer Tessa Walden: “He was visually impressive when he broke his maiden here. It gave us confidence he’d come with a run, especially with how he handled the surface this winter.”
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           Second place trainer Whit Beckham (Flying Mohawk): “When you’re from Louisville, there’s only one race you’re aiming for and that’s the Derby."
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      <pubDate>Sun, 23 Mar 2025 00:01:25 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-22-jeff-ruby-steaks-louisiana-derby</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: March 15 Virginia Derby</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-15-virginia-derby</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: March 15 Virginia Derby
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           D. Wayne Lukas is back in the Kentucky Derby picture after American Promise upset the Virginia Derby. The son of Justify was ridden by Nik Juarez and was timed in 1:46.41 going through nine furlongs around one turn. At 7-1 American Promise attended odds-on favorite Getaway Car through fast early fractions pf 23.12 and 45.20 as Render Judgment tracked those two. Around the turn and six furlongs traveled in 1:08.39 American Promise seized the lead while Getaway Car shortened stride. Render Judgment caught the favorite at the eighth pole and finished second behind American Promise as he widened his lead to 7 3/4 lengths. Omaha Omaha got up late to wrest the show money from Getaway Car, finishing 3/4 length behind Render Judgment. Studlydoright was fifth. Only about a quarter-length separated the third, fourth and fifth finishers. The winner is owned by BC Stables and was bred in Kentucky by Candy Meadows LLC. He's out of the Tapit mare Tapella. Kentucky Derby points 50-25-15-10-5.
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           His fast time in the Virginia Derby, albeit around one turn, earned American Promise an Equibase speed figure of 101, just a hair off the 102 Equibase and 95 Beyer he got breaking his maiden going two turns at Oaklawn Park on Dec. 29. This was his third race since then -- after finishing seventh in the Southwest (91) and fifth in the Risen Star (86). Beyer from today's race is a 95, same as he earned in his maiden-breaker.
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           American Promise is a large horse that has nine starts under his belt. If he carries his weight forward I would not be surprised if Lukas tests him in one more prep before the first Saturday in May.
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           Lukas assistant Sebastian Nicholl: “He had a gate work, so we really wanted to be close. We felt like he dropped too far back in his previous races, he broke badly in Arkansas, but this was perfect today and he broke beautifully, stalking the pace was perfect. He’s got a great mind as well. You know he handled all the adversity today beautifully.”
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           THE NEXT DAY. D Wayne Lukas: “This is a typical case of a horse that was in a growth spurt like he is, big and rangy. He didn’t actually know what was expected, like a big, rangy kid. But the last 30 days, he has really come around and I expect him to get better the next 30 days. I don’t know if I’m a good enough trainer to train him from now till the Derby and get a good performance. I have a tendency to want to run my horses periodically. They do better for me. But I’ll let him get here and get settled in. We have the options of doing something different, but also can be comfortable with the fact that we’re in the Derby already.”
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      <pubDate>Sat, 15 Mar 2025 21:39:12 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-15-virginia-derby</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: March 8 G3 Tampa Bay Derby</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-8-g3-tampa-bay-derby</link>
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            Kentucky Derby Road: March 8 G3 Tampa Bay Derby
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           G3 Tampa Bay Derby, 1/16 Mile
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           Owen Almighty (5-2) would not be denied as he led at all calls to win in 1:42.30 under Irad Ortiz, Jr., who's ridden him in five of six career starts. First time past the finish line Brodeur (21-1) and Patch Adams (favored at 9-5) were first in line behind the leader; and into the first turn Owen Almighty was tracked by most closely by Brodeur as the first quarter-mile went in 23.84 and the half in 48.16. Up the back Owen Almighty continued his quest in front of Brodeur as Chancer McPatrick (2-1) joined in. Those three entered the far turn with six furlongs gone in 1:12.54. Into the stretch Owen Almighty increased his lead in a rousing run and won by 3 1/2 lengths over Chancer McPatrick, whose stablemate Hill Road loomed up to get third another 2 3/4 lengths behind. They were followed by Patch Adams, beaten 10 1/2 lengths, Brodeur, Naughty Rascal and Filoso. Kentucky Derby points 50-25-15-10-5.
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           Owen Almighty, disqualified winner of the Pascoe Stakes and second in the Sam F. Davis at the track, is trained by Brian Lynch. He was bred in Kentucky by Mark Stanley and is owned by Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing LLC. He's by Speightstown out of Tempers Rising, by Bayern.
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           Owen Almighty earned a 98 Equibase figure in the Tampa Bay Derby following a 95 in the Pasco and a 96 in the Sam F. Davis. Skippylongstocking set a track record 1:41.20 today in race 5, the G3 Michelob Ultra Challenger Stakes, earning him a 108 Equibase rating. Beyers to follow.
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           Winning Trainer Brian Lynch: “I’m just thrilled. He’s run two crackerjack races here (the Sam F. Davis and today) and of course this Derby is the big race of the meet, so it’s nice to see him take it in the fashion he did. This is a good field of horses, and it’s not to say the (Kentucky) Derby winner couldn’t come out of it, but he was the best today. It was a great ride by Irad. I didn’t give him any instructions – I just said one thing to him I learned from Bobby Frankel: ‘class horse, class rider. You two are a perfect match.’ Irad was just waiting (at the quarter pole), he knew he had plenty of horse. This is a wonderful ownership group.
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           "There will be conversation (about perhaps targeting the Kentucky Derby). But if I was to have my way I'd still stick to the plan and go to the Pat Day Mile."
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           Winning Jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr.: “We had some cheater blinkers on last time and they were still too little. I talked to Brian and we decide to give him a little fuller blinkers today, and I think it helped. He was there for me when I asked him to go. I tapped him on the shoulder at the quarter-mile pole and he jumped on the bridle and I thought, that’s what I was looking for before. I knew he had more, but he had not really given it to me before today. He was just waiting on horses and kind of looking around. Today when I tapped him, he jumped on the bridle and I said ‘Let’s roll.’ I didn’t wait for nobody and he didn’t wait for nobody, so that was huge.”
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           Payton Boersma, the COO of owner Flying Dutchmen Breeding and Racing: “Owen is here, he’s my younger brother. Our Mom Jen is here and our dad (Travis) is coaching soccer back in Oregon. This horse really showed what he’s made of today. He’s going to be really tough going into that Derby. The Kentucky Derby, of course.”
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           Race 6 at Tampa saw the unveiling of Accelerize, who wasn't named when he was nominated to the Triple Crown (his dam was listed). In race 6 he broke from post 12 under Irad Ortiz, Jr. and won a seven-furlong maiden special weight as he pleased in 1:09 and change. It was visually impressive. He wore the Mike Repole colors in partnership with Spendthrift Farm. The $400,000 September 2023 Keeneland auction purchase is a son of Omaha Beach out of Motion Emotion, by Take Charge Indy. Accelerize was given a 97 Equibase speed figure.
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      <pubDate>Sat, 08 Mar 2025 23:11:51 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-8-g3-tampa-bay-derby</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: March 1 Gotham Stakes, Fountain of Youth Stakes, San Felipe Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-1-gotham-stakes-fountain-of-youth-stakes-san-felipe-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: March 1 Fountain of Youth Stakes, San Felipe Stakes, Gotham Stakes
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           Coolmore Fountain of Youth Stakes , 1 1/16 Mile at Gulfstream Park
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           Sovereignty (3-1) came from back of the pack to nail River Thames (2-1) by a neck on the wire in the G2 Fountain of Youth, timed in 1:43.12. River Thames attended the early pace of 23.12, 47.07 and 1:10.68 set by Neoquos (14-1) before taking over in upper stretch to lead almost to the finish. Neoquos stayed on for a non-threatening third, beaten 2 3/4 lengths. Burnham Square (9-5 favorite) was fourth a neck back, and Gate to Wire fifth. Keep It Easy was eased. It was Sovereignty's first start of 2025 after beginning the year with a sketchy worktab. He won the Street Sense in his last start of 2024 with a closing style like today's effort Junior Alvarado was aboard for trainer Bill Mott and owner-breeder Godolphin. Sovereignty is a son of Into Mischief out the Bernardini mare Crowned. McKellen and Solid Left were scratched, leaving only a six-horse field. Kentucky Derby points 50-25-15-10-5.
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           The winning Equibase speed figure is 98. Sovereignty ran 73 and 84 Equibase figures in his first two starts, maiden special weights at Aqueduct and Saratoga, and a 99 when he broke his maiden at Churchill Downs in the Street Sense. Sovereignty and River of Thames were awarded a 95 Beyer Speed Figure (revised down from 98). Neoquos and Burnham Square each got a 91 Beyer.
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           Winning trainer Bill Mott: “It was a great run. He had a good trip. We had a good post inside, saved some ground on the first turn. Fortunately we didn’t get an outside post and have to be wide on the first turn. He saved some ground, he was able to tip out, and he’s got some acceleration. We got one under our belt and now we get with the team and see where we go. I guess it’s a good thing that we’ve shown that we can run over the track. Naturally, [the Florida Derby] is on the list of things to be considered very strongly.”
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           Winning jockey Junior Alvarado: “I was just trying to give him a good race. We’ve been running second and third and I wanted to make sure he could finish. At the three-eighths pole I found myself trying to save ground but I don’t think the inside’s the best place to be so I thought, let me lose a little ground here and put him on the outside. I was already a little bit riding him and when I put him in the clear, it seemed like everything came back to his head and he turned it on. After that it was like, ‘I hope we get there in time,’ and he did. He kept grinding his way there. He’s such a nice horse.
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           “When I saw him in the paddock I thought he looked like a man among kids. He was very, very, very good. Billy Mott always brings the horses here beautiful. I was just a little bit worried about the break that he had. He was still a baby back then and I knew he was still probably learning. I think today he was a little more of what’s happening. I just think he outclassed these horses.”
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher (River Thames, 2d, Gate to Wire, 5th): “He kind of got to looking around a little bit late. Johnny said he was looking at the screen and just got a little bit complacent on the lead. He showed that he’s still maturing. We actually got a perfect trip, stalking the horse that we thought would show speed. We were able to put him away and it looked like he was maybe home and I think he got a little complacent. The winner ran a very good race. He’s had three races in seven weeks, so we’ll let the dust settle and come up with a plan.
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           “[Gate to Wire] got a good trip, the trip we were hoping for. It looked like he started backing up a little bit at the three-eighths pole and then he kind of re-rallied a little bit, and just flattened out a little bit the last part.”
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           John Velazquez (on board River Thames, 2nd): “It was a good trip. I was where I wanted to be. He acted up a little bit today, kind of getting away from the horses, shying away. I had to ride him early on the turn. He passed the other horse and kind of stopped and got nailed.”
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           Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. (Neoequos, 3rd): “I thought he ran well. I thought he was a winner at the three-furlong pole, he just didn’t stay. He’s a good horse and he proved it today. We’ll probably cut him back to one turn. Irad was aggressive and I was happy with that move. At the three-eighths pole I thought he was a winner. I thought we had [River Thames] put away for sure. Obviously, I could see [Sovereignty] making a move and my horse didn’t stay enough but he ran third. I’m proud of him.”
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           Irad Ortiz Jr. (on board Neoequos, 3d): “I knew he was going to be in front. I tried to slow him down as much as I could. I tried to relax him. Don't fight too much with him. And then he felt that horse outside of him at the five-eighths pole. He jumped on the bridle. But it was time to go, and he kept fighting. He was third today, first time going two turns.”
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           Edgard Zayas (on board Burnham Square, 4th): “He didn't break that good, like always. Last time, he made a nice move on the backstretch. But today he wasn't there. He's just still learning. It looked like in the turn he was going nowhere. But all of a sudden when I got him back to the outside, he really picked it up again. At the end he just got beat by two lengths, I think. He didn't get beat by much. I thought, wow, if he had given me this from the turn going into the stretch … He definitely needs more distance and a longer stretch. Last time it was probably a weaker field. But he's going to keep improving.”
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           The DK Horse San Felipe Stakes, 1 1/6 Mile at Santa Anita
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           At 3-1 odds Journalism pulled a mild upset defeating 2-5 favorite Barnes and two other Bob Baffert trainees. The long-striding Journalism tracked in fourth under Umberto Rispoli while Barnes ran through early fractions of 23.71 and 47.31 most closely followed by Baffert trainee Rodriguez. Heading into the far turn Journalism moved up a notch while Barnes maintained his lead with six furlongs gone in 1:11.10. It was just Barnes and Journalism at the top of the stretch, and Journalism went on with to to prevail by 1 3/4 length in a time of 1:42.24. It was Journalism's third win in four starts and his second at the 1 1/16-mile distance. Rodriguez finished third at 7-2 odds and beaten over 11 lengths, Mellencamp was fourth, and Smooth Cruisein fifth and last. With Berlin Wall scratched leaving a field of only five, reduced Kentucky Derby points were 37.5, 18.5, 11.5, 7.5 and 3.75. Michael McCarthy trains Journalism for Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Elayne Stables 5 and Robert V. LaPenta. Curlin sired Journalism. He's out of Mopotism, by Uncle Mo.
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           For his San Felipe effort Journalism was given a rousing 110 Equibase speed figure. Journalism broke his maiden in his second start (105 speed figure) after finishing third in his debut at Del Mar (83). He went on to win the Los Alamitos Futurity (106) to close out his juvenile season. Journalism was given a 108 Beyer Speed Figure, and Barnes got a 105. Locked got a 109 for his big performance in the Santa Anita Handicap.
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           Winning jockey Umberto Rispoli: “He broke really sharp. He is the kind of horse that for the first furlong he needs to adjust himself. The trip was perfect. I couldn’t ask for anything better. Once I took him out and pressed the button he put on the beast mode. He ran really strong.”
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           Winning trainer Michael McCarthy: “Obviously it’s nice to have a horse on the Triple Crown trail. It is always great to have a horse that can take you places and he looks like he is taking himself and everybody else with him. I was fairly confident today. I wouldn’t say I was overly confident, but I thought he was doing well enough to make some noise today. It is a little overwhelming to think of where this horse could go.”
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           Runner-up jockey Juan Hernandez: “He was driving really well…honestly, we just got beat by a great horse today. This is his first time going two turns, and I think he ran great even after Journalism ran past me.”
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           Gotham Stakes, 1 Mile at Aqueduct
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           At 17-1 odds, Flood Zone upset the G3 Gotham for trainer Brad Cox under Reylu Gutierrez. Flood Zone, 7-5 favorite Sand Devil and longshot Normandy Coast vied for the lead through early splits of 23.86 and 47.97. The latter one faded after a half-mile. Six furlongs went in 1:13.69, and Flood Zone got the edge on Sand Devil from the outside before those two finished one-two separated by about 3 1/4 lengths. Time for the one-turn mile was 1:39.62, about par for the course for that distance today. Garamond came from mid-pack to get third, beaten five lengths. My Mitole was fourth by another 1 1/2 length followed by McAfee beaten over nine lengths. 7-5-9-10-8-6-3-4-2. Scorching was scratched after spiking a fever. The winner is owned by Wathnan Racing and was bred in Florida by Al Figliolia Westburystables. By Frosted out of Curls for Girls, by Curlin.
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           It was Flood Zone's first start out of the Cox barn after being previously trained by Victor Barboza, Jr. at Gulfstream Park where Flood Zone had a second and first from two starts, the latter one at 6 1/2 furlongs. Kentucky Derby points 50-25-15-10-5. McAfee and My Mitole are not early Triple Crown nominated but can become eligible with a $6,000 payment due by Monday, April 7.
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           Equibase gave Flood Zone a 97 speed figure in this, his third start. He got a 64 and a 95 in his first and second starts, respectively. Flood Zone was awarded a 98 Beyer Speed Figure, the same as Sovereignty in the Fountain of Youth Stakes.
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           Dustin Dugas, assistant to winning trainer Brad Cox, who also conditions eighth-place Sacrosanct: "It was a great effort. Reylu knew more about the horse than I did - he was a recent purchase and Reylu had ridden him the first two times as well. He said he was full of horse today and really happy with him. He broke very sharp, and he said as soon as he crossed the chute, he was full of horse and in command from there on. The horse came in from Payson and had three gallops here at Belmont. He seems like a solid colt.”
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           On Sacrosanct: “Manny [Franco] said he wanted to be a little more aggressive leaving there but a couple others were just as aggressive and squeezed him back. He couldn't really be as aggressive as he wanted to and from there on was playing catch up. It didn't work out in his favor, so we'll go back to the drawing board."
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           Winning jockey Reylu Gutierrez: "I'm ecstatic. These are the best connections in the world. Brad Cox is a multiple Eclipse Award-winning trainer. They could get any jockey in the country and for some reason they decided to keep Reylu Gutierrez on this horse and for that I'm humbled and grateful. This horse did all of it - it's all about the horse.
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           "He broke really sharp and on the bridle. Once we passed the chute, he was in control and in command. I just let him take me. I have to credit Dylan Davis, too. We spoke yesterday at Gulfstream about playing on this track and I have to give him a lot of credit. The horse did all the work.
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           "He's got small blinkers on so it's just a matter of him feeling that other horse [coming on]. He's a younger horse, too. You have to keep them alive and productive, and we did that - he did that. I didn't do anything special today. It was an outside draw and it's all about the horse. Going two turns, he'll be even better in my opinion. He has very good tactical speed and he has gears to go the distance."
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           On winning in New York: "It means everything to me. The emotion, especially here at Aqueduct with the Withers, the Gotham, the Wood Memorial, the Cigar Mile - they mean everything to me. Being a New York guy this is one of the best wins of my career amongst the Grade 1s and 2s just because it's New York. For me, riding in New York, there's nothing better."
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           Case Clay, U.S. Advisor of winning owner Wathnan Racing: "How fun was that? He always looked like a horse that could go a bit longer with his second race at six and a half furlongs, and the Gotham was the next logical step at a mile. The way he won that second race with that turn of foot on the dirt, we just had a lot of confidence in him.
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           "We were optimistic, but you never know with these 3-year-olds in these Derby preps how it's going to go. Reylu has always been confident in the horse, too, and wanted to ride him, and we were happy to have him ride him in this race. It's exciting and it doesn't always work out this way. For the team at Wathnan Racing, it feels good for all of us.
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           "A great break, very good position and not too fast for the first quarter. It was one of those things where - keep the position to the turn and then make a go of it. He answered from there and I thought it was a good ride. He had a good trip and when the rubber met the road, he answered."
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           On a next start and future plans to get to the Derby: "We'll get with Brad and see how he comes out of the race and make a decision from there."
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           Linda Rice, trainer of runner-up Sand Devil: "It wasn't exactly the trip we thought that we would get. We thought we would stalk off of it, but we stumbled at the break, and I think Jose had to get him underway then. But I thought he ran a good race."
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           About picking up 25 Kentucky Derby points and a potential next start in the Wood Memorial: "Frankly, as far as I'm concerned, we will head towards the Wood."
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           Jose Lezcano, jockey of runner-up Sand Devil: "Well, he gave me a good race. He broke a little awkwardly. I think he still gave me a very good race. I think he'll be a bit better next time, let's see what happens. I had to rush a little bit with my position, and he still gave me a good race. I think (longer) distance will be no problem for him."
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      <pubDate>Sat, 01 Mar 2025 21:44:09 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-march-1-gotham-stakes-fountain-of-youth-stakes-san-felipe-stakes</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 26 Road to the Kentucky Derby Condition Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-26-road-to-the-kentucky-derby-condition-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 26 Road to the Kentucky Derby Condition Stakes
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           Road to the Kentucky Derby Condition Stakes, 1,609 Meters (1 Mile)
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           The winner of this race, Godolphin's Opera Ballo, isn't nominated to the Triple Crown, and neither were the other five entries, but he proved to be in a class by himself deserving of his odds-on favoritism. After stalking stablemate Olympus Point into the stretch, Opera Ballo was set down for the drive by Jamie Doyle and separated himself from the field in the blink of an eye to win by open lengths going away on the Kempton Park synthetic. The final time was 1:38.05, but the winner clearly quickened in the stretch. Trained by Charlie Appleby, Opera Ballo impressively won his debut at the same track using the same running style. His future is likely on the turf if post-race comments after his debut come to fruition. By the four-time Group 1 winner Ghaiyyath, out of Dubai Opera. Remaining order of finish: Hott Shott, Saddadd, Quai De Bethune, Molveno, Olympus Point.
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      <pubDate>Wed, 26 Feb 2025 20:20:43 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-26-road-to-the-kentucky-derby-condition-stakes</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 23 Hyacinth Stakes, Rebel Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-23-hyacinth-stakes-rebel-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 23 Rebel Stakes, Hyacinth Stakes
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           G2 Rebel Stakes, 1 1/16 Mile
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           Coal Battle upended the Rebel at 11-1 odds after a patient ride by Juan Vargas. Madaket Road (5-1) broke on top of the 13-horse field under Irad Ortiz, Jr. and motored through splits of 22.47, 45.72 and 1:10.94 heading into the far turn. Innovator and Smoken Wicked were closest to the pacesetter initially, while Coal Battle bided his time in fifth several lengths back of the first flight. Coal Battle began a serious move in the turn despite being bumped on his left flank. He closed in on Madaket Road in upper stretch and gradually ran by to win by 1 1/4 length. Coal Battle covered the 1 1/16 mile in a nifty 1:43.01. Post time favorite Sandman (5-2) broke well but soon found himself far back of the torrid pace. He did his best running in the latter stages of the race after coming into the stretch five wide and closed strongly to finish third a half-length behind Madaket Road. Publisher (11-1) was fourth, Tiztastic (5-1) fifth.
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           Lonnie Briley, a veteran hardboot, trains the winner for Norman Stables. Coal Battle was bred in Kentucky by Hume Wornall and Jay Adcock. He's by Coal Front out of Wolfblade, by Midshipman.
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           Coal Battle earned a 103 Equibase speed figure and a 91 Beyer. Maybe the track was playing a bit fast, or maybe there is talent at Oaklawn in search of big purses. Clever Again won a 1 1/16-mile 3yo maiden special weight in 1:43.48 to start the day; it was an excellent effort as he prevailed by 3 1/4 lengths in a field of 10. Cornucopian, a 3yo, ran six furlongs in 1:09.02 in his career debut and won by 5 3/4 lengths in another field of 10, getting a 101 Beyer and a 107 Equibase. An allowance for older horses at the Rebel distance was timed in 1:42.96 with the winner, Lambeth, getting a 103 Equibase. In the Honeybee, Quietside was timed in 1:43.63, earning a 97 Equibase but only an 86 Beyer. Alexander Helios won the Razorback in 1:41.88, awarded a 113 Equibase and a 102 Beyer.
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            Winning trainer Lonnie Briley: "I was really worried about the one hole with so many horses in the race. Juan did a great job. He ran big and caught the lead horse and went by. We plan on going to the Arkansas Derby. And we figured the speed would have went, but we didn’t want him to get too far back. So, he had him in perfect position and he moved him at the right time. I always give him (Coal Battle) a little three-eighths before his race, and it’s like that’s where he wants to be. He ran big. He opened up on the field and he caught the lead horse and went by him. What can I say? You couldn’t ask for more.”
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           Winning jockey Juan Vargas: “My plan was just to follow the leaders. At the three-eighths pole, I began to move and he just took off. He responded. I was so happy with that. I knew I had horse, but (Madaket Road) just kept running. Around the sixteenth pole, my horse started to put his neck in front and I knew I had more horse today and he ran well to the finish line. It’s the best race he’s ever run. The field was stronger than his previous races, for sure. There were some nice horses, horses that can run. He showed that he can run, too.”
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           Second-place jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. (Madaket Road): “That (going to the lead) was the plan. I was so close. He was running down the lane, but that other horse was coming. I’m happy. My horse ran a big race.”
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           Third-place jockey Cristian Torres (Sandman): “We had the trip we wanted. They were definitely flying around. They were rolling. He’s an easy horse to ride. I just put my hands down and let him do his thing. When I asked him, he was there for me. We had to go wide on the (second) turn because when we started making our move, the horses in front of me were just stopping. I had to go wide, but he made his move. He shows up every time. Definitely, the longer the better for him.”
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           Tenth-place jockey Rafael Bejarano (Speed King): “No excuses. The horse broke clean, beautiful. I knew those two horses (Madaket Road and Innovator) were going to go to the lead, so I tried to save ground. Took a hold a little bit to save a little bit of horse, but at the half-mile pole, they were going too fast. He kind of got tired a little bit in the end.”Hyacinth Stakes, 1,600 Meters (about 1 Mile)
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Briley said, “Seems like every race, he improves. I think it is the best race he’s run. It’s the plan, but (the Arkansas Derby) not etched in stone. I’m going to let him tell me because if I go to the Kentucky Derby with him, I don’t want to go with a tired horse. I skipped the Southwest after the Smarty Jones and it was about seven weeks that he hadn’t run and he ran a big race. Come back in 4 1/2 weeks and ask him for his life again and then in another five weeks again, that’s quite a bit.
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           “I wanted him to come back to make the run because I knew the fractions would be a lot faster than the last race and it worked out good,” Briley said. “The field was spread out quite a bit. He was sitting back there and then started to make his move a little before the three-eighths pole. I said: ‘Ooh, I was thinking a little early.’ When he hit the three-eighth pole, (Vargas) let him roll. When he ran up to the lead horse, I wasn’t worried then because I knew he would fight to go to the front.”
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           Hyacinth Stakes, 1,600 Meters (About 1 Mile)
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           Overcoming a slow start, odds-on favorite Luxor Cafe circled the field en route to a half-length victory over Promised Gene at Tokyo Racecourse. Vilja Lied set a brisk early pace going the first three furlongs in 35.60 and four in 48.80, followed most closely by Danon Figo and Ecoro Azel in the field of 10. None of those were around at the end of the race. Don in the Mood, who was fourth in the early running, finished third, beaten two lengths, followed by Admire Daytona another 1 1/4 length back in fourth. Dragon was fifth. The 1,600 meter (about 1 mile) race was timed in 1:37.60. Rachel King was on board Luxor Cafe for trainer Noriyuki Hori. The winner is owned by Koichi Nishikawa and was bred in Kentucky by Orpendale/Chelston/Wynatt &amp;amp; Westerberg Ireland ULC. Luxor King is a son of American Pharoah out of Mary's Follies, by More Than Ready. The listed Hyacinth Stakes is worth points on a scale of 30-15-9-6-3 on the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. Don in the Mood and Admire Daytona are not nominees to the Triple Crown but may be late-nominated for a fee of $6,000.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 23 Feb 2025 06:00:10 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-23-hyacinth-stakes-rebel-stakes</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 22 Saudi Derby, John Battaglia Memorial, Miracle Wood Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-22-saudi-derby-john-battaglia-memorial-miracle-wood-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 22 Saudi Derby, John Battaglia Memorial, Miracle Wood Stakes
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           G3 Saudi Derby, 1,600 Meters (about 1 Mile)
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           Golden Vekoma ran down pacesetter Shin Forever to win the $1,500,000 G3 Saudi Derby in a time of 1:38.19 despite not timely changing leads in the stretch. The winner is a $90,000 Ocala Breeders' Sale purchase trained in the UAE and will be pointed to the G2 UAE Derby. He wasn't early-nominated to the Triple Crown but can be late-nominated for $6,000. Japan-based Shin Forever, who is Triple Crown-nominated, had a two-length lead into the stretch before being overtaken about 75 yards from the finish line and finishing two lengths back in second. Mhally was third. The lone North American runner Cyclone State found himself too far back early to make an impression on the race. There are no Kentucky Derby points associated with the Saudi Derby.
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           The winner of the G3 UAE 2000 Guineas Presented By Longines on Jan. 24 was ridden by Connor Beasley and is trained by Ahmad Harmash for Mohammed Ahmad Ali Al Subousi. Bred in Kentucky by Woods Edge Farm. By Vekoma out of Sticks Wondergirl, by Stevie Wonderboy.
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           Trainer Harmash on Golden Vekoma: "He's the kind of horse that has a big heart, and he tries all the time."
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           John Battaglia Memorial, 1 1/6 Mile
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           California Burrito led most of the way to win the Battaglia at Turfway Park on the synthetic in a languid 1:45.98. Maitre D shot from the gate at the far outside post to reach the first turn on top, but California Burrito and Irving Moncada were right there with Baby Max a close third. The first two contested the opening quarter-mile in 24.50, and from there it was California Burrito in charge up the backstretch under a strong hold through a half-mile in 49.41. Moncada began to ride him going six furlongs in a glacial 1:14.41 amidst the surrounding snow as Maitre D retreated. California Burrito had plenty left when Baby Max and Luis Saez came for him in earnest leaving the far turn and held on by a half-length. Maximum Promise, who was near or at the back of the field early on, made a solid-but-too-late move around the turn before getting up for a non-threatening third. Longshot Banks was fourth and Studlydoright fifth. The morning line favorite, First Resort, was by far the most significant scratch of three. Kentucky Derby points 20-10-6-4-2. Banks is not nominated to the Triple Crown.
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           The winner is trained by Tom Drury, Jr. for owners Aaron and Victoria Haberman. He was bred in Kentucky by Westbrook Stables. By Army Mule out of Bluegrass Sunset, by Hard Spun.
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           California Burrito got a 92 Beyer but the Equibase figure is 107.
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           Winning trainer Tommy Drury Jr.: “His first race was sort of a head-scratcher. We knew we’d be able to be aggressive with him entering for the $150,000 claiming tag because of that, and it actually gave him a confidence boost. Watching these 3-year-olds develop is like watching teenagers and trying to pick out which ones will make it to the NBA—it’s so difficult at this stage. His last race, he got an easy lead and did everything on his own, so we really didn’t know a lot about him. Tonight, he made the lead very easily again, but the way he battled back against Baby Max told us a lot. He has a lot of fight in him. He doesn’t need the lead—he’s worked behind horses in the morning.”
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           Winning jockey Irving Moncada: “He’s been working lights out in the morning. I was very confident in him coming into the race. The plan was to be aggressive early to get him into a good spot, and he took me right to the lead. He was doing it very easily on his own most of the race. I’m very impressed with how he battled back down the lane. I think the future is very bright for him. I see no problem with him stretching out in distance from today.”
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           Runner-up trainer Kelsey Danner (Baby Max): “We’re proud how well he ran. He just came up second best tonight.”
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           Miracle Wood Stakes, 1 Mile
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           Barbadian Runner ran down early leaders Crab Daddy and Pay Billy in the stretch to win the one-turn Miracle Wood Stakes at Laurel by a head. The early pace was tepid as Crab Daddy ran the first quarter- and half-mile in 24.82 and 48.92 with Pay Billy attending the pace and Barbadian Runner never far back. Coming out of the turn Pay Billy overtook Crab Daddy and looked best for a moment, but Barbadian Runner loomed outside mid-stretch and narrowly edged by Pay Billy as Crab Daddy rapidly faded to fourth after being overtaken by 6-5 favorite Sacred Runner. The time was 1:38.39. The race carries no Derby points.
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           Ridden by Forest Boyce for trainer Henry Walters, Barbadian Runner is owned by AJ Will Win Stables. He was bred in Maryland by Shamrock Farm. Barbadian Runner is not a Triple Crown nominee and is unlikely to be late-nominated.
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           Barbadian Runner earned a 90 Equibase figure.
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           Winning trainer Henry Walters: “[Forest] said he ran as straight as an arrow until it got late in the race. That could be because he had to run another sixteenth of a mile. He’s a peculiar horse because he doesn’t [lug in] in the morning. I don’t know if he gets anxious. Sometimes he’ll do it down the backside, sometimes he won’t.
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           “I was expecting a much faster pace. I was a little worried going down the backside that he wouldn’t have as much punch. I thought everybody would be running at the end. Turning for home, Forest put him where he belonged, and he was right there. He’s very gritty. If I stick to my plans, he’s probably going to go to the farm three or four weeks and rest up for the spring."
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           Wining jockey Forest Boyce: “He didn’t drift nearly as bad as he had in the past. I thought we’d get a little more pace. We got to sit the perfect trip. I felt super confident [turning for home]. He’s just so full of himself right now.”
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      <pubDate>Sat, 22 Feb 2025 13:57:03 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-22-saudi-derby-john-battaglia-memorial-miracle-wood-stakes</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 16 Sunland Derby</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-16-sunland-derby</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 16 Sunland Derby
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           Sunland Derby, 1 1 /16 Mile
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           A head bob decided the $400,000 Sunland Derby as Getaway Car edged Caldera for the win. Getaway Car, the 6-5 favorite, zipped out of the gate in front and set opening fractions of 23.31, 46.93 and 1:10.99 under Juan Hernandez while Caldera bided his time. In the far turn Caldera and Rafael Bejarano stormed up to challenge, then overtake Getaway Car. During the ensuing stretch battle Getaway Car came back on Caldera and the pair hit the wire almost inseparable. The winning time was 1:42.64. Touchy, bet down with late money to 2-1, overtook tiring fourth finisher Take Charge Tom in the stretch to get the show but never challenged the top two. The winner is trained by Bob Baffert for SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Robert E. Masterson, Tom J. Ryan, Waves Edge Capital and Catherine Donovan. Bred in KY by Blue Heaven Farm and Curlin Syndicate. Getaway Car is by Curlin out of Surrender Now, by Morning Line. Kentucky Derby points: 20-10-5-4-2.
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           Getaway Car's Equibase speed figure for the Sunland Derby is 99, the same he was awarded in his second-place finishes in the G2 Los Alamitos Futurity and G2 American Pharoah Stakes and his win of the G3 Best Pal. The winning Beyer Speed Figure is 92.
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           Quotes likely unavailable from the track.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 16 Feb 2025 23:46:03 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-16-sunland-derby</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 15 Risen Star Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-15-risen-star-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 15 Risen Star Stakes
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           Risen Star Stakes: 1 1/8 Mile at Fairgrounds
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           From the far outside post Magnitude shot to the lead under Ben Curtis and romped by 9 3/4 lengths going away in the Fasig-Tipton Risen Star Stakes at 43-1 odds. He led through splits of 23.42, 46.92, 1:10.95, 1:36.13 and finished in a strong 1:48.85. Chunk of Gold, who was also 43-1, was best of the rest with a late move in his first two-turn start. Built, prominent into the stretch, held on for third. Vasssimo salvaged fourth after losing a lot of ground to the winner. East Avenue finished 10th, beaten over 20 lengths as the 4-5 favorite. Steve Asmussen trains the winner for Winchell Thoroughbreds. Bred in KY by Ron Stolich. By Not This Time out of the Bernardini mare Rockadelic. The $2 exacta paid an extraordinary $2,629.40.
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           The winning time compared to 1:44.12 for 1 1/16 mile (and an 89 Equibase figure) registered by Godolphin trainee Good Cheer, who's now five-for-five, in the Rachel Alexandra Stakes for 3-year-old fillies. Magnitude (106 Equibase figure) moved a bit faster than than the 1:42.89 (a 104 Equibase) run by 4-year-old Hall of Fame in the Mineshaft Stakes two and three races earlier, respectively. David Aragona posted Saturday night Magnitude got a 109 Beyer. That figure was revised to a 108. As for Hall of Fame, it was his third straight win since a 10th-place finish in the 2024 Louisiana Derby followed by nine months away from the races.
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           Twelve ran in the Risen Star, making it a crowded field if not necessarily a very competitive one. Kentucky Derby points: 50-25-15-10-5.
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           NOTE:
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            The original post contained incorrect information about East Avenue. Our apology.
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           Winning jockey Ben Curtis: “It was fantastic. It is a pleasure to ride horses like that. The instructions were limited but they were let the horse do what he does and try to get forward. I had all the confidence going out there in the world. He pulled away very well in the stretch and he hit the line strong. Couldn't be happier with the horse, couldn't be happier with the trip.”
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           Winning trainer Steve Asmussen; “He needed to make the decision to get over. He took the initiative and was very positive with what he wanted to do and the horse responded for him. I think the (Kentucky Derby) foundation, the races, being here staying in the system and what you can develop–it’s why we’re here. The horse has not missed a single day, a single oat. Scott (Blasi, assistant trainer) has done a tremendous job with him. We always thought he was capable of more. We put him where he needed to be, played the bias of the racetrack and he took advantage of it.”
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           Jareth Loveberry, jockey of runner-up Chunk of Gold; “I’ve been with Ethan the last two mornings, watching the replays and talking about the horse. The trip went pretty good but there’s still a little greenness–he’s still learning and developing, but he knows how to finish.”
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           Ethan West, trainer of Chunk of Gold: “We are absolutely thrilled. He ran a massive race. We asked a lot of him shipping down here and trying dirt for the first time and he came with a massive run. Jareth rode him perfectly.”
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            Luis Saez, jockey of third finisher Built: "He felt good the whole way. I thought we were going to win. Half a mile I thought we had. Came in at 3/8 he got pretty close, top of the stretch when I asked him he gave me a good turn of foot and when i got to the winner, he took off."
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           Wayne Catalano, trainer of Built; “I wasn't happy about getting nailed for second but I feel good about how he ran.”
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           Tyler Gaffalione, jockey of East Avenue (post-time favorite, finished 10th): “I felt like a winner every step until we got to the far turn, he switched leads and just kind of emptied out on me. I don't have an answer for it. Hopefully he comes back good and we’ll see what happens. It’s hard to tell (if he has the heart to pass other horses). He is still lightly raced, only four starts, so we still have some figuring out to do. Brendan (Walsh) does such a good job with his horses–he’ll figure it out.”
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      <pubDate>Sun, 16 Feb 2025 01:05:31 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-15-risen-star-stakes</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 8 Sam F. Davis Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-8-sam-f-davis-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 8 Sam F. Davis Stakes
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           Sam F. Davis Stakes, 1 1 /16 Mile at Tampa Bay Downs
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           In only his second start and first at two turns, John Hancock won with a sparkling time of 1:42.27, a new stakes record. Favored at 5-2 under Flavien Prat, the winner broke well and was always foremost although challenged strongly by Owen Almighty until eventually getting his way in the stretch, best by one-half length. Fractions were 22.75, 46.23 and 1:10.49. Poster settled well back early before coming on from the second half of the field to get up for third, beaten 2 3/4 lengths and a neck past Camp Hale. Huge longshot Very Bold was fifth at 84-1. Treaty of Rome looked out of sorts in the post parade and had a miserable trip to fade on the far turn and finish ninth. Brad Cox trains the winner for CHC, Inc. and WinStar Farm LLC. Bred in Kentucky by WinStar. Kentucky Derby points: 20-10-6-4-2.
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           John Hancock, a son of Constitution, debuted at Tampa going six furlongs on Jan. 8 and won by three lengths in front-running fashion to earn a 94 Equibase figure. Despite setting a stakes record in the Davis, John Hancock's Equibase figure initially regressed to an 87 but was changed to a 96. The winner of the Suncoast Stakes for 3yo fillies, La Cara, got the mile in 1:38.51 two races earlier and initially earned a 95, then revised to 94. In Beyer country, John Hancock was given an underwhelming 85 while La Cara got an 84.
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           Winning trainer Brad Cox (via telephone): “It was his first time facing winners, it was the second start of his life, it was his first time going long. It was a lot to ask from a young horse. He took a lot of pressure and stayed on well. I'm very, very impressed with him. He fought off a horse (Owen Almighty) that had multiple starts, and was a stakes winner. It was a big, big move forward for him and I'm very proud of the effort.
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           "We had a race over the track and broke our maiden on it, but we were a little short on seasoning. Once again, his talent showed up and it was a very big effort and we're very proud of him. This is a nice race to win and setting the new stakes record on top of it is very nice. I want to congratulate WinStar Farm and also Flavien Prat, who did a great job. I'm looking forward to how he comes out of it, and we'll get him back to Payson Park tonight and regroup and come up for a plan for the future."
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           Winning jockey Flavien Prat: "(Owen Almighty) did get ahead of me at the 1/8 pole. I was trying to give him a chance because he was pretty aggressive going into the first turn and going faster than I wanted to, but he switched off nice on the backside. The both of us made a very good run turning for home, he took the lead at the 1/8 pole but my horse was very game and came back.”
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           Brian Lynch, trainer of runner-up Owen Almighty: “He tried, he did give it everything he had. He just got beat by a better horse today. We’ll take a deep breath and let the dust settle. We’ll just regroup and put our heads together. I think our horse tried as hard as he can, maybe he’s a little discouraged but I don’t think he’s old enough yet to have worked all that out. Very happy with the way he ran. We’ll put our heads together with our crew and I’m sure we’ll stay the course. Brad’s horse ran really well and no excuse. He (John Hancock) was very impressive.”
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           Irad Ortiz, Jr., jockey on Owen Almighty: “My horse did great. It was a good pace and I felt like he was going good. That horse (John Hancock) fought back in the stretch, it was a good race and that’s a nice horse. We just got beat today, we’ll try to come back stronger next time.”
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           Eoin Harty, trainer of third-place finisher Poster and fifth-place finisher Very Bold: "I thought they both ran very well, considering how far back they had to come from and that they were both very wide. But they both rallied and finished strongly. I'm very happy with them, though I would have been happier if I'd won. They both showed up. That gives me optimism for moving forward with them both. It's a little early to make any plans for either. We'll give them a few days and see how they come back from the race and we'll go from there."
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      <pubDate>Sat, 08 Feb 2025 22:41:25 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Triple Crown Nominations By the Numbers</title>
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           Triple Crown Nominations By the Numbers
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           The 2025 Triple Crown drew 373 early nominations, a 7.8% increase from last year’s 346. A record 69 Japan-based horses, 54 of them bred there and trained by 33 different conditioners, were nominated. Japan produced 47 early nominations last year.
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           Sixty nominees are stakes winners, including the top 10 point leaders on the Road to the Kentucky Derby: Citizen Bull
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           Speed King, Coal Battle, Burnham Square, Disco Time, Captain Cook, Built, Gaming, Getaway Car and Jonathan’s Way. The list also includes Grade I winners Chancer McPatrick and East Avenue.
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           The nominations feature several of the sport’s top conditioners, led by Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher, who has 32 horses nominated. Other leading trainers include Bob Baffert (21), Brad Cox (14), Chad Brown (13) and Kenny McPeek (12).
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           Early Triple Crown Nominees by the Numbers:
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           ·
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           $3,200,000
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            – Highest-priced public auction purchase: Barnes   (2023 Fasig-Tipton August Sale).
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           ·
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           $1,421,000
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             – Highest lifetime earnings: Citizen Bull
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           ·
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           268
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            – Kentucky-bred nominees, the most of any state or country. Others: Japan (54), Florida (14), New York (11), Maryland (9), Louisiana (4), Pennsylvania (3), Ontario (2), Virginia (2), California (1), France (1), Iowa (1), Ireland (1), Ohio (1) and West Virginia (1).
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           ·
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           181
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            – Bay-colored horses. Other colors: Dark bay/brown (89), chestnut (69), gray/roan (30), gray (4).
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           ·
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           146
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            – Trainers with horses nominated to the Triple Crown.
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           ·
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           60
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            – Stakes winners nominated.
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           ·
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           32
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            – Horses nominated from trainer Todd Pletcher’s barn, followed by Bob Baffert (21), Brad Cox (14), Chad Brown (13) and Kenny McPeek (12).
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           ·
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           21
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            – Horses sired by Into Mischief, the most of any stallion. Others: Not This Time (14), Nyquist (13), Constitution (11), Curlin (11), Gun Runner (11) and Uncle Mo (11).
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           ·
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           20
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             – Geldings nominated.
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           7
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            – Fillies nominated: Beauty Reigns (trainer Bill Mott), Mistress (JPN) (Yoshito Yahagi), Necessity (Norm Casse), Promised Gene (JPN) (Yuki Uehara), Queen’s Chocolat (JPN) (Koichi Shintani), Velvet Devil (Mike Tomlinson) and Vilja Lied (JPN) (Masayuki Nishimura).
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           3
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             – Ridglings nominated.
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           May 29, 2022
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            – Latest foal among nominees: Gunmetal.
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           ·
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           Jan. 8, 2022
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            – Earliest foal among nominees: Promised Gene (JPN).
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            Three-year-olds not nominated during the early phase can still join the Triple Crown trail by making a late payment of $6,000 by Monday, April 7, at
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           www.thetriplecrown.com
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           .
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            Thirteen horses have swept the Triple Crown:
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           Sir Barton
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            (1919),
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           Gallant Fox
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            (1930),
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           Omaha
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            (1935),
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           War Admiral
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            (1937),
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           Whirlaway
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            (1941),
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           Count Fleet
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            (1943),
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           Assault
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            (1946),
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           Citation
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            (1948),
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           Secretariat
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            (1973),
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           Seattle Slew
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            (1977),
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           Affirmed
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            (1978), 
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           American Pharoah
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            (2015) and
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           Justify
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            (2018).
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           --
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           EDITED CHURCHILL DOWNS RELEASE
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           2025 Early Triple Crown Nominees (in alphabetical order)
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           :
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           (22)Beholder
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           (22)Dayfa
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  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           (22)How My Heart Works
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           (22)Motion Emotion
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           (22)Nonna Mia
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           A. P. Kid
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Admiral Dennis
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Adventurist
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Aftermath (IRE)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           American Beyond
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           American Promise
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Amjaad
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ananias
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ashley's Archer
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ask At Bat
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ask Stein (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Attack Now
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Authentic Gallop
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Aviator Gui
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Baby Max
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Baeza
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Baker Hayfield
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Barnes
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Barricade
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Batard (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Be Real
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bear Claw Necklace
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Beauty Reigns
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Berber Compass (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Big Boat
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bob Mo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bon Temps
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bracket Buster
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Brightline Bullet
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Brodeur
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Brooklyn Dance (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Brother Tony
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Brummell
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Built
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bullard
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bulldoze
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Burnham Square
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Burning Glory
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Caldera
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           California Burrito
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Calling Card
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Camp Hale
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Canal Beagle (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Candytown
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Canuto
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Capitol Hill
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Captain Cook
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cash the Money
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Caspian Wind
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           C'estbon Cadessert (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chancer McPatrick
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chappelle
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chase a Dream
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chief Liam
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Chunk of Gold
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cipher
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Citizen Bull
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Classic of Course
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Classicist
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Clay King (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Clever Again
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Clock Tower
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Coal Battle
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Coche Deli (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Coco Cool
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Coming in Hot
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Complex Agenda
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Contribution
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cornhuskerchris
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cornucopian
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cosmo Storm (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crab Daddy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crisis Manager
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cromwell
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crudo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crystal Pearl
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Curvino
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cut the Dust
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cyclone State
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Daishin Link (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Danon Figo (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Danon Vestal (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dapper Moon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Day and Age
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dear Chairman
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Del Avar
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dettori
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Diamond Eyed Jack
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Disco Time
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Disruptor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Donut God
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dragon (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dragon Taylor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dragon Welds
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dreaminblue
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           East Avenue
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ecoro Azel
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ecoro Sieg
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ecoro Svar
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Enterdadragon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Exuberant Mischief
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ferocious
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Filoso
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Final Gambit
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           First Resort
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Flood Zone
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Flyin Private
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Flying Mohawk
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fomo Joe
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fully Volatile
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gaming
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Garamond
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gate to Wire
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gateskeeper
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gaura Thunder (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gearing Up
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Georgia Magic
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Getaway Car
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ghostrick
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Giocoso
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Givememythememusic
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Global Steve
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Go Go Takashi (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Goal Oriented
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           God Espada (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Golden Afternoon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Golden Cloud
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gosger
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Got'm Cot'm
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gran Giorno (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grand Oracle
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grande
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grande Plage (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Grayscale
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gun Runner Charlie
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gunmetal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Guns Loaded
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hands of Time
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Handsome Pants
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Happy Man (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hard as Life
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Harlow
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Heartwind
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           He's Not Joking
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Highgarden
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hill Road
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Honor the Bull
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hope's Alive
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hug (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hymn
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hypnus
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Icemaker
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Incentive Pay
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Indy Rags
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Innately Good
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Innovator
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Iron Man Cal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Iron Sharpens Iron
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Isambard Brunel
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Isana (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           It's Hammertime
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Itsmybirthday
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Janadriyah (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jimmy's Dailys
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           John Hancock
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jonathan's Way
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Journalism
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Juris Doctor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Just Classic
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kalahari Dreams
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kalamatianos (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kale's Angel
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Keep It Easy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kick It In
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kinetic Control
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           King Squall (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lake Stripes (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Last Man Standing
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Legitimate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lionel
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Logi Rickey (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lord Chevalier (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lord Labyrinth (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lordship
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lotta Spirit Here
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lured Away
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Luxor Cafe
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Madaket Road
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Magic Red
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Magnitude
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Maitre D
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Majorca
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Majority Opinion
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Makes Sense
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mama Tried
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Market Timing
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Marshal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Maruvy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Maximum Promise
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Maximus
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           McCorvey
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           McKinsense
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Megalodon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Meisho Hachiro (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Melchior (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mellencamp
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Meritorious
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mistress (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mo Plex
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mo Quality
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mobetterthangood
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Modus Bestia
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mokara Mars (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Monet's Magic
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mount Kilimanjaro (FR)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mount Vernon (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mr. Mendelslew
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Multiverse
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mutaz
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Nanyo Powerful (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Natural Rise (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Naughty Rascal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Necessity
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Neoequos
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           No Escape
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Noble Confessor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Normandy Coast
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Olive Green (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Omaha Omaha
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           On the Move (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           One Man Team
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Only in America
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Onrush
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Optical
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Owen Almighty
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Oy Gevald
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pascaline
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Passion Rules
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Patch Adams
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pay Billy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pitkin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Poster
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Poulsen
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Power From Above
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Power Play
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Praetor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Prayer
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pretty Capable
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Prime Power
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Privman
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Promised Gene (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Publisher
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Quantum Wave (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Queen's Chocolat (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           R Heisman
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Radauti
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ranger Battalion
          &#xD;
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           Rank
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           Rapture
          &#xD;
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           Rated by Merit
          &#xD;
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           Reggie Runs Rogue
          &#xD;
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           Remember Big Jim
          &#xD;
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           Render Judgment
          &#xD;
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           Rhino (JPN)
          &#xD;
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           Ripped
          &#xD;
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           River Thames
          &#xD;
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           Rodriguez
          &#xD;
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           Roger Roger
          &#xD;
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           Romanesque
          &#xD;
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           Rossiniana
          &#xD;
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           Rothko
          &#xD;
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           Sacred Thunder
          &#xD;
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           Sacrosanct
          &#xD;
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           Saif Al Sahra
          &#xD;
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           San Saba
          &#xD;
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           Sand Devil
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           Sandman
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           Scarecrow
          &#xD;
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           Scipio
          &#xD;
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           Scorching
          &#xD;
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           Seattle Road
          &#xD;
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           Septarian
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           Shan
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           Shangrala Road
          &#xD;
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           Shepherd
          &#xD;
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           Shihono Perfetto (JPN)
          &#xD;
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           Shin Believe
          &#xD;
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           Shin Forever
          &#xD;
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           Shootersgottashoot
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           Showcase
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           Sierra Silver
          &#xD;
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           Smart Seeker (JPN)
          &#xD;
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           Smoken Boy
          &#xD;
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           Smoken Wicked
          &#xD;
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           Smooth Cruisein
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           Snookie Bear
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           Sock It to Me
          &#xD;
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           Sol Naciente (JPN)
          &#xD;
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           Sole Lute
          &#xD;
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           Solid Left
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           Sonic Skidaddle
          &#xD;
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           Sonic Step (JPN)
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           Sorcerer's Silver
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           Souper Times
          &#xD;
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           Sovereignty
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           Special Session
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           Speed King
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           Speedstorm
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           Stargell
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           Start Mo Up
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           Statesman
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           Steeze
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           Stiglets
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           Street Mo
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           Strummin
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           Studlydoright
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           Summer Night (JPN)
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           Summer Vibes
          &#xD;
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           Summit Ridge
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           Super Cruise
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           Superpower
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           Surfside Moon
          &#xD;
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           Surgical Precision
          &#xD;
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           T O Elvis
          &#xD;
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           Taisei Current (JPN)
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           Taisei Dorado (JPN)
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           Take Charge Tom
          &#xD;
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           Takeru Hurlock (JPN)
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           Tamino
          &#xD;
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           Tap Into This
          &#xD;
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           Tappan Street
          &#xD;
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           Tempus Prime
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           Tenacious Leader
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           Test Score
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           The Last Straw
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           The Warden
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           Thought Control
          &#xD;
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           Thunder Road (JPN)
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           Tiger Twenty Four
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           Timely Decision
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           Tip Top Thomas
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           Tiz Secure
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           Tiztastic
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           Tjuta (JPN)
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           Tony Eclipse
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           Touchy
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           Treaty of Rome
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           Turn and Count
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           Tux
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           U Devil You
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           Uncaged
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           Uncle Jim
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           Valentinian
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           Vamos Carlitos
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           Varney
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           Vassimo
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           Velvet Devil
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           Very Bold
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           Vilja Lied (JPN)
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           Voldemort
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           Waco
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           Walking in Memphis
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           Weaponized
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           What Me Worry
          &#xD;
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           Wise Decision
          &#xD;
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           Wonder Rhythm (JPN)
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           Yamanin Bouclier (JPN)
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           Yinzer
          &#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Tue, 04 Feb 2025 16:09:13 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/triple-crown-nominations-by-the-numbers</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string" />
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby Road, Feb. 1, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-feb-1-2025</link>
      <description />
      <content:encoded>&lt;div data-rss-type="text"&gt;&#xD;
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Feb. 1 Robert B. Lewis Stakes, Holy Bull Stakes, Withers Stakes, Swale Stakes
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           G3 Robert B. Lewis Stakes, 1 Mile
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           Citizen Bull led throughout in this paid workout with splits of 23.27, 47.06 and 1:23.52 before getting home in 1:36.71 for the mile in a hand ride under Martin Garcia at 4-5 odds. Rodriguez, uncomfortable early while inside, rallied from the outside after dropping back to get second. Madaket Road was third after being well of the leaders, completing a Bob Baffert trifecta. Clock Tower and Valentines Candy rounded out the field. Owners are SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Robert E. Masterson, Tom J. Ryan, Waves Edge Capital and Catherine Donovan. Bred by Robert Low and Lawana Low (KY). Kentucky Derby points 20-10-6-4-2.
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           Citizen Bull was awarded a 102 Equibase figure. He got a 105 in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile.
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           Winning trainer Bob Baffert: “You don’t know until their next start. He has been working really well. He is a big strong heavy horse and he handled it well. He wasn’t cranked up totally but he is such a good horse that he just caught another gear. My other horses ran really well. They are learning their styles, and they need a little more racing. We are happy and especially winning the Robert B. Lewis because he was one of my favorite clients of all time. It is so nice. The ‘Bull’ looked good coming down (the stretch). It’s funny you see him and you don’t realize that he has those gears. He won’t show you that in the morning, but he does have gears.”
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           Winning jockey Martin Garcia: “He was fresh. When I was warming him up, he just wanted to go and you could see that he was ready. When the gates opened it was like the ground broke underneath him. He just broke too fast. Right away he recovered and I just sat, sat, sat and he took me right away. Bob knows when the horses are ready, that’s why he is in the Hall of Fame. He knows when the horse is ready. My horse took the pressure, and he was just so mature and professional. When he made the lead (early on) he kind of pinned his ears forward and he was waiting around for company. He was just messing around; he wasn’t very focused. He had one ear forward and one ear backwards, that means you have plenty of horse left. I feel really lucky because these are hard times and me being on a superstar horse like this it means a lot to me.”
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           Runner-up jockey Juan Hernandez: “I just let him take the reins because the other horse broke in front of me already. I didn’t want to go and fight him. When I gave him the reins, he relaxed beautifully and responded really well around the bend. When I asked him to pick it up, he picked it up and started making his move.”
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            THE NEXT DAY: Citizen Bull earned a 98 Beyer Speed Figure. Trainer Baffert said Citizen Bull is doing well after his 3 3/4-length win. He was non-committal about upcoming plans. Prior to the Lewis, Baffert noted Citizen Bull is a “big, heavy colt” that should improve with racing. On Sunday, he said “we’ll just wait and see” how soon Citizen Bull makes another start. “I need to talk it over with (SF Racing's) racing manager (Tom Ryan) and we’ll make a plan,” Baffert said.
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           G3 Holy Bull Stakes, 1 1/16 Mile
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           Burnham Square stalked the leaders and made a strong move into the stretch, as did Tappan Street, to finish one-two in the Holy Bull Stakes separated by 1 3/4 lengths. They sat off honest early fractions of 23.42 and 47.60. Tappan Street, favored at 8-5, went wide leaving the far turn and looked like he might roll to victory only to see Burnham Square outrun him to the wire at 4-1. Burning Glory third, second choice Ferocious fourth, He's Not Joking fifth. Early leaders Kinetic Control and Guns Loaded faded badly. Final time was a respectable 1:43.60. Edgard Zayas rode the winner for trainer Ian Wilkes and owner/breeder Whitham Thoroughbreds LLC (KY). Kentucky Derby points 20-10-6-4-2.
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           In his first start of 2025, Burnham Square topped his Equibase figures from last year with a 95. In 2024 he ascended with each start from 78 to 86 to 92 and continued the trend in the Holy Bull. Burnham Square got a 90 Beyer. Tappan Street was given a 92 Equibase fig in this, his second career start.
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            Winning trainer Ian Wilkes: “The key is the blinkers. I had to put the blinkers on because he wasn’t helping me at all. I had to help him. He wouldn’t help the jockey. He wouldn’t start running in the race. He’d run away from horses, wouldn’t run into the dirt. He did everything wrong. This horse doesn’t get tired, and that’s an asset you saw today. He overcame a lot of adversity today and still won. (The Fountain of Youth is) a strong possibility. First, I’m going to enjoy the night. I’ll talk to Mrs. Whitham and [her son and racing manager] Clay after this.”
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           Winning jockey Edgard Zayas: "Last time he broke a little sharp, so I really thought he’d break a little sharp and be close to the pace, but I feel like he was a little worked up before the race, a little nervous, so he broke out of there a little slow and I had to go to Plan B. I dropped to the rail and let him do his thing. He’s a horse that doesn’t get tired, has a really good stride, steady. Once I was closing in on the quarter pole, I knew I had a really good shot of winning.”
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           Runner-up trainer Brad Cox: “I thought he ran really big/. He was wide throughout. Young horse, still learning, second start of his life. He’s going to really move forward off this, I believe.”
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           Assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr., Ferocious: “He seemed more focused (with the blinkers), right on the bridle from the beginning the whole time. He was going good until the quarter pole and then he got a little tired. You have to start running. This horse seemed to be fit, and you have to carry on and keep going. We were expecting to be a little closer. We’ll regroup and look forward.”
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           Javier Castello, aboard Ferocious, who was first-time blinkers: “I had a great trip. I liked the way he settled behind horses on the first turn. I saved all the ground, and on the backside I gave him a little break. I stepped up outside and let him keep track of those pacemaker horses and he traveled good. He hadn’t run since the Breeders’ Cup and we tried to put a couple works together to make him fit for this race, but it seemed to me like he got tired a little bit.”
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           Withers Stakes, 1 1/8 Mile
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           Captain Cook bided his time behind early leaders Uncle Jim and Mo Quality and moderate fractions before bounding to the lead and winning by 2 1/4 lengths as the 7-5 favorite. Second was 33-1 longshot Surfside Moon, followed by a tardy Omaha Ohama after that one broke very slowly. Mo Quality and Uncle Jim faded to fourth and fifth. The winning time was 1:51.83 for the nine furlongs. Winning connections are jockey Manny Franco, trainer Rick Dutrow, owner St Elias Stable, breeder Marylou Whitney Stables LLC (KY). Kentucky Derby points 20-10-6-4-2.
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           Captain Cook earned a 97 Equibase after getting an 81 and a 90 in his first two starts.
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           Winning trainer Rick Dutrow, Jr.: “It feels good that we can head him towards another big race for his next start. I love that. I’m not thinking about the Derby right now, but he did get the job done the right way and he went three-wide around both turns here, didn’t break so sharp. First time around two turns, mile and an eighth – he ran big. Since we’ve seen him run the first time, we began to get more confidence and got to know him better – I got to see him come out of a race, stuff like that, and it’s all been good since he’s run. I hope that continues on.
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           “When he switched his leads, he kind of took off again. It was a tough race for him, he goes from seven-eighths to a mile and an eighth, only his third start. He didn’t break good.... You see we have a very relaxed horse – he doesn’t need the lead, anybody could see that from his first start with us and today. We’re very excited about running him back in the Wood, and I think that’s the next reasonable spot – a mile and an eighth, plenty of time, which he likes."
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           Winning jockey Manny Franco: "It was his first time two turns, and I was a little bit worried about that, but at the same time confident because I've been working him in the mornings, and I got to know him well. I knew he had stamina, but you never know. He proved he's a runner. He can do anything you want. He can stalk. He can be on the pace. He's a versatile horse."
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           James Lawrence II, trainer of runner-up Surfside Moon: "We gave him a layoff for 30 days and brought him back. He had three real nice works and his last work; he couldn't blow out a match. I expected him to run well. I really like this horse and hopefully we can map out a good plan for him. We'll look at (the Wood Memorial) and the Virginia Derby."
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           Runner-up jockey Sahin Civaci: "I sat off the speed in mid-pack and I was happy with my position. The horse relaxed really well and came with a good run. The winner just had more horse than I did. I was very impressed with my horse."
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Dutrow said, “I don’t care about Beyers (he got a 94). He’s a very relaxed horse, and we’re very lucky to have him. He’s a pleasant surprise. He was running against better horses and when he broke his maiden with us, he liked the track well enough, but we don’t really know if he beat anything that day. Facing these guys yesterday, there were horses that had the credentials to run big. Our horse just ran a big race, man.
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           “He didn’t break so well, and Manny said that he could have went to the lead with him any time he wanted to/ He said he knew the horses that were in front of him were the two main players, but he said, ‘Rick, I had them any time. I could have passed them at the five-eighths pole if I wanted to.’ But there wasn’t any reason to – they had their thing, and they were battling, and he [Captain Cook] was just sitting outside as comfortable as a horse could be.
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           “We’re lucky that he is the way he is in a race,” Dutrow, Jr. added of the colt’s relaxed nature. “He doesn’t have a lot of size to him, and he’s going to need to conserve everything he’s got, but man, he does that. When Manny hopped off of that horse, he said, ‘Rick, I’m starting to dream.’ He’s got a big step forward next time when we run him back in the Wood, but he’s got plenty of time and we love that – so does he. He’ll be running back over a track he’s won two races over, and it seems like he’s all lined up to run big again, as long as he stays the way he is now.”
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           Dutrow also trains McAfee, who had his first work in almost one month when covering a half-mile in 52 seconds flat Feb. 1 over the Belmont dirt training track in a move that was met with rave reviews by exercise rider Emily Ellingwood, who frequently exercised multiple Grade 1-winner White Abarrio during his tenure with Dutrow, Jr.
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           “Oh, we’re excited about that guy,” Dutrow, Jr. said. “He’s doing great. After Emily would breeze White Abarrio for us in California, I could see her molars because she was smiling so much – that’s what happened yesterday when she breezed McAfee. She just loved the feeling the horse gave her.”
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           Dutrow, Jr. did not commit to a firm plan in the coming weeks for McAfee, but did say the colt could also be on his way to lucrative stakes like the Wood Memorial should he continue to train and race as expected.
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           “We have a hopeful plan that if he stays the way he is, it could set him up for the Wood and we could have two horses – two live horses – for that race,” Dutrow, Jr. said. “That’s never happened to me before, and I like to dream, too.”
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           Swale Stakes, 7 Furlongs at Gulfstream Park
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           There are no Kentucky Derby points for this one, but sometimes the best runners will hit the Trail. Gate to Wire went off at 13-1 for trainer Todd Pletcher and was much the best in the Swale. He did not go gate to wire, instead followed blazing fractions (21.93, 43.92) set by early battlers Grayscale, Gunmetal and Macho Music, was in striking distance rounding the turn and drew off in the lane to hit the finish line in 1:22.51. Gunmetal hung on for second, Macho Music third and Fire Pit fourth. Grayscale was done in the turn. Donut God was scratched. In addition to Pletcher, winning connections are jockey Dylan Davis, owner Donegal Racing, breeder Moyglare Stud Farm Ltd (KY).
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           In this, his second start of the year, Gate to Wire was given a 98 Equibase figure. His next-best in five starts was an 87 when 10th in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint. He got a 93 Beyer.
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           Winning trainer Todd Pletcher: “He won his debut on the grass, and we thought at that point he was training a little better on the grass. He was second in the Futurity and then we ran him in the Breeders’ Cup. Looking to get a race into him here, and five furlongs was just too short. Actually, the original plan was to run him back on relatively short rest in an allowance race and that didn’t fill, so we figured let’s take a shot while he’s doing good. It seems like these Munnings run on anything. I’ll talk to [Donegal Racing’s] Jerry [Crawford] and come up with a game plan. I liked the way he finished today. Who knows, maybe he’ll stretch out a little bit.”
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           Winning rider Dylan Davis after his first time on Gate to Wire: “There was a lot of speed in the race. Todd said try to keep his face clean but I broke as aggressive as I could. I was able to get in a great tracking spot with the three speed pressing each other. It was a matter of my horse handling the dirt and fighting for me. He never had kickback in his face, he handled it well.He was traveling really good. I wanted to sit behind just a little bit longer, but he felt so strong I just said I have to turn him out and get to work on him. He was determined to win. He ran a great race.”
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      <pubDate>Sun, 02 Feb 2025 00:19:08 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Jan. 25 Southwest Stakes</title>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Jan. 25 Southwest Stakes
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           Southwest Stakes, 1 1/16 Mile
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           At 2-1 odds Gaming broke from post 1 a step slow, was checked twice early, pretty hard the second time, and never got involved at all finishing eighth of nine behind moderate fractions set at every call by winner Speed King and Rafael Bejarano who broke from the outside post. Sandman, the 6-1 third choice, stumbled badly at the break and was dead last going up the backstretch, but he fought valiantly in the stretch to get up for second, but not very close to the winner. Patch Adams at 4-5 stumbled a bit at the gate, kept trying through the lane, looked like he had third as the wire loomed, but was passed by Tiztastic who came on late for the show.
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           A slow slow slow 1:45.86 for the 1 1/16 mile. Purse was $1,000,000. Kentucky Derby points 20-10-6-4-2. Ron Moquett trains for owner Triton Thoroughbreds LLC.
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           Despite his slow time, Speed King was awarded a 103 Equibase speed figure. Speed King was assigned a preliminary Beyer Speed Figure of 93. Opening fractions were 24.11, 47.82 and 1:12.23.
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           Winning trainer Ron Moquett the next day: “I love to see someone that has been loyal have success. We’re obviously going to lean towards (the Rebel), with the ultimate goal the Arkansas Derby. He’s very tactical. We didn’t need to be on the lead. It just worked out that we were. We were going to get a good break and try to save ground from that point on. It just worked out where we were able to get an easy first quarter.”
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           Winning jockey Rafael Bejarano said he wasn’t planning to grab the lead, but seized the opportunity after speed types like Gaming and Patch Adams didn’t break sharply.
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           Speed King was second to Coal Battle in the Springboard Mile. Coal Battle returned to win the Smarty Jones Stakes.
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           Trainer Casse on Feb. 2: “I was just happy that he was fine. I’ve been doing this for a long time and watched a lot of horses run, good horses that could never overcome the break that he had to even hit the board. So, I think one, hats off to Cristian. Not really sure how he stayed on and two, he didn’t panic. He let the horse get himself together and the rest goes to Sandman. I said going in we’re going to find out whether he’s a man or a boy and I think he’s a man. He’s one of the reasons I came there This is the first time in some time. That was a real interrupted schedule, as well, training. So many things the way he ran were good. We’re staying there. That is our path to the Derby. It will be the Rebel next.”
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           Sandman was assigned a career-high 92 Beyer Speed Figure for the Southwest, a three-point improvement over his previous best, which came in a 1 3/4-length allowance victory at 1 mile Dec. 13 at Oaklawn to close his five-race 2-year-old campaign.
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      <pubDate>Sat, 25 Jan 2025 23:14:17 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: Jan. 18 LeComte Stakes, Leonatus Stakes</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-jan-18-lecomte-stakes-leonatus-stakes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Jan. 18 LeComte Stakes, Leonatus Stakes
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           LeComte Stakes, 1 1/16 Mile
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           Favored at 9-5 in a 13-horse field, Disco Time and Florent Geroux broke from the far outside post, were bumped early, came from 10 1/4 lengths off the early pace, and went eight wide into the stretch on a sloppy-sealed track to win the Lecomte by a neck over 5-2 second choice Built. Innovator broke best from post 1, moved away from the rail, and led the field through fractions of 23.68, 47.91 and 1:13.38. In mid-stretch Innovator held a 2 1/2-length lead before giving way to hang on for third. Golden Afternoon and Maximum Promise were fourth and fifth. Disco Time earned 20 Kentucky Derby points, which were distributed 10-6-4-2 to the other four.
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           Disco Time overcame adversity, but the time for 1 1/6 mile was slow, 1:47.07. Was the track that tiring? The Silverbulletday for 3-year-old fillies, won by Simply Joking, was timed in 1:44.30 going a mile and 70 yards. She was given a 91 Equibase figure. Hit Show (104 Equibase) won the G3 Louisiana Stakes at the LeComte distance in 1:44.91, over 10 lengths faster. The winner of the Leonatus Stakes at Turfway (see below) got a 95. Disco Time was given an Equibase speed rating of 84.
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           Brad Cox trains Disco Time for Juddmonte and mentioned the Risen Star as the next step. From BloodHorse: Bred in Kentucky by Juddmonte out of the multiple stakes-winning Jump Start mare Disco Chick, Disco Time is a son of Not This Time. Sire of graded stakes winners Next and Cogburn, among other talented runners, Not This Time finished 2024 as the 13th-ranked stallion.
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           Winning trainer Brad Cox: “I did think he would be a little bit closer, but it looked like he was traveling well enough and there was a two or three length gap between him and the horses in front of him so I was hoping he would stay clean and on the outside. Florent did a good job of not pushing the button and overreacting and the horse finished up well. An easier trip wouldn’t have been as taxing on him. When they’re able to sit and maybe run the last 3/8ths of a mile as opposed to breaking on top and running the entire way.”
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           Winning jockey Florent Geroux: “That wasn’t the way we drew it up before the race. But he broke ok, and from there I saw a lot of horses going at it, so I just tucked in. I was able to save a lot of going into the first turn, which was important given the tough post we had. From there he relaxed beautifully for me and took the kickback very well. I didn’t feel like I was behind horses who were traveling great and felt like they were going to back up at me.... I feel like I gave some ground to the runner-up (Built) who had a little bit of a better trip than mine...."
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           Jareth Loveberry, jockey of runner-up Built: “We got a really good trip, he just didn’t quite handle the track as well. He just kept fighting through the mud, fighting through the mud. To run a second like that, given the way he handled the track, he ran a good race, even in defeat.”
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           Jamie Torres, jockey of third-place finisher Innovator: “If he can learn to relax more at the beginning, they won’t be able to get him. I could have had a ton of horse at the end if he would have relaxed. I don’t think getting the distance is a problem at all. It was just his first time going two turns."
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           Nick Vaccarezza, trainer of fourth-place finisher Golden Afternoon: “It was a good race. I’m proud of him. He was kind of even at the end. We’ll never know how it would have been with a fast track. I think maybe the grass will be his best surface, possibly targeting the American Derby.”
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           Axel Concepcion, jockey of fourth-place finisher Golden Afternoon: “I broke good and he put me in a really good position. I think he’s a nice horse. I think he handled the off track really well. He showed today that he has a lot of heart.”
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           Leonatus Stakes, One Mile
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           Baby Max drew clear by 2 1/2 lengths to win the 35th running of the $125,000 Leonatus Stakes at Turfway Park. Owned by J S Stables, trained by Kelsey Danner and ridden by Abel Cedillo, Baby Max covered a mile on sythetic track in 1:40.11 while earning a career-best 86 Brisnet Speed Rating.
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           Shan put together moderate-to-slow fractions of 24.88 and 50.01 to lead the way early. Baby Max tracked in third before making his move entering the far turn. At the top of the lane Baby Max collared Shan. Chunk of Gold, who was last early, stormed home late to finish second by another 3 3/4 lengths over a tiring Shan. They were followed in order by Church and State, Up to No Good, Hard as Life, 2-1 favorite Banks -- who was never involved -- and Can’t Deny It.
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           Baby Max was 5-1. His record improved to 4-2-1-0. By Maximus Mischief out of the Lemon Drop Kid mare Lemon Gal. Bred in Kentucky by Westbrook Stables.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 17:09:10 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-jan-18-lecomte-stakes-leonatus-stakes</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: January 11, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/jan-11-stakes-summary</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Jan. 11 Pasco Stakes
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            This seven furlong local prep for the Sam F. Davis Stakes was ruined for one-length winner Owen Almighty after stewards declared an inquiry and disqualified him upon finding he interfered with the fourth-place finished one-half mile into the race. Irad Ortiz, Jr., known for his competitive tactics, was aboard Owen Almighty for trainer Brian Lynch. Stewards said Ortiz and Owen Almighty "bumped and forced Rookie Card to take up sharply." Second finisher Naughty Rascal, who cleared third finisher Very Bold by 4 1/2 lengths, was declared the winner for jockey Edwin Gonzalez and trainer Gerald Bennett. Owen Almighty's time was a quick 1:22.50 after vying for the lead early. Naughty Rascal, in the words of the Equibase chart writer, tracked the early pace from the outside, dug in deep stretch and finished gamely to the wire.
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           Gerald Bennet, winning trainer: “My horse ran his race, but I think he’ll get much better going around two turns. I didn’t really drill on him for this race. He eats everything you put in front of him, and he looked a little on the heavy side in the paddock. He’s way off from being at his peak, but you want them to peak at the right time. My main objective is to try to win the Tampa Bay Derby (on March 8).”
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           Edwin Gonzalez, winning jockey: “He got a little tired late, but he did everything I asked. He proved himself. He tried hard and put it right there for me.”
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           Brian Lynch, trainer of DQ'd Owen Almighty: “You haven’t run enough horses if you haven’t been in a position like this. (Ortiz said) he felt like (Alvarado on Rookie Card) was out of horse and he was backing out of there anyway. It’s just a very unfortunate thing.”
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            Naughty Rascal is 4-for-6, and first-place money of $62,500 raised his career earnings to $220,630. He is owned by Mr Pug, LLC and J.P.G. 2, LLC, the partnership of Ron Pugliese and Jim Georgeades.
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      <pubDate>Sat, 11 Jan 2025 23:06:06 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/jan-11-stakes-summary</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Road: January 4, 2025</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-january-4-2025</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Road: Jan. 4 Smarty Jones Stakes, Jerome Stakes, San Vicente Stakes, Mucho Macho Man Stakes
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           Smarty Jones Stakes, 1 1/16 Mile at Oaklawn Park
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           The Springboard Mile winner Coal Battle won easily on a contested early pace under Juan Vargas. Mo Quality and Kale's Angel were second/third after contending early. Supplemented runner Bon Temps was fourth after being boxed in a bit through much of the running but failing to fire when freed up. A very slow 1:46.43 on a track rated fast. Morning line favorite Hot Property finished fifth of six. Coal Battle is now unbeaten in three dirt starts.
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           Winning trainer Lonnie Briley: “Today he went to the front and was pricking his ears. When he stayed up there, I’m thinking: ‘I’m going to steal it, jockey.’ He ran big, big. Every time we run him, he just seems to surprise us. He’s a neat little horse. I don’t know if it’s set in yet. No, it’s crazy for the little guy.”
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           Winning jockey Juan Vargas: “This time he kind of surprised me because I never expected he was going to the lead that easy. I can say this is the best race he’s run. He’s getting better and better. He surprised me the way he won."
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           Second-place trainer Chris Davis (Mo Quality): “I still think he’s just got a little bit of learning to do. The pace wasn’t kind of what we thought it would be. He didn’t break super sharp. In fact after the race, Junior (Alvarado) just said: ‘If he jumps, we probably wire them.’ He goes: ‘He didn’t get tired, just a little green still.’ So, (Mo Quality) going 6 1/2 to a mile and a sixteenth, Junior doesn’t think distance is an issue, nor do I. I think he just needs a little bit more seasoning...."
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           Jerome Stakes, One Mile at Aqueduct
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           Cyclone State made the front early and stayed there to win the one-mile Jerome by 3 1/2 with fractions of 23.43, 47.25, 1:13.20, 1:26.41 and 1:40.62 under Manny Franco at 3-1. Omaha Omaha was second after trailing 11 1/2 lengths in last halfway through. Ican, third, was keen early but shuffled back. Studlydoright fourth. Seven ran.
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           Chad Summers, winning trainer: "He just continues to get better. Obviously, a deep, tiring, heavy track today. The rail didn't look like it was that great. We wanted to get off the rail but kind of got stuck there. Our horse's first step is so quick. He's nominated to Saudi. The 'noms' come out on the 8th and I think this will get us an invitation."
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           Luis Rivera, Jr. winning jockey: "I break trying to go to the lead, then I saw the number one [Enduring Spirit] going for the same thing as me. I just put my horse like five paths outside the other horse, so my horse got relaxed a little bit, because I wasn't worried about the number one. So I let him stay there, then whenever I saw he wasn't there, I just moved to the rail and by the quarter pole I was asking him and he was there for me the whole way."
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           Michael Gorham, trainer of runner-up Omaha Omaha: "He's crying for more ground. This was pretty much our only option locally, so we gave it a go and he showed he belongs. Maybe we'll come back in a month for the Withers. He breaks OK. He just doesn't have natural speed. It takes him a quarter mile to get into his stride."
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           Raul Mena, jockey of Omaha Omaha: "This horse, it is a little difficult for him to try to be close to the pace. He takes his time all the time."
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           San Vicente Stakes, Seven Furlongs at Santa Anita
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           Not a Kentucky Derby points race but an important one nevertheless as highly-touted Barnes won for the Baffert stable at even money, making his record two-for-two after a debut win at Churchill Downs. Barnes dueled on the lead with McKinzie Street (12-1) through fractions of 22.65 and 45.10, then spurted away in the turn to win by 5 1/2 lengths. Romanesque (7-1), also trained by Baffert, got up for second by a half-length over Bullard (1-1). Smooth Cruisein and McKinzie Street filled out the finish. The winning time was 1:22.15.
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           Bob Baffert, winning trainer: “I knew he would run well. I was watching Juan, he knows the horse well, and he said he was a little green. But everyone who has worked him says he has another gear. They are all a little green. The second out is the most important for all these horses. Body-wise he has a lot of American Pharoah in him."
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           Winning jockey Juan Hernandez: “He’s really good. I love him. He was aggressive down the backside but he’s still learning how to run. I like him because around the quarter pole he got off the bridle and was kind of looking around a little bit. But when I corrected him, he came back to me. I was really surprised how he finished today.”
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           Mucho Macho Man Stakes, One Mile at Gulfstream Park
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           Kicking off the Florida Derby series, Guns Loaded got up late for the win at 6-5 under Luis Saez. Running off a six-furlong maiden win Nov. 16, the expensive yearling purchase led throughout on the rail through temperate fractions of 24.54 and 47.61 and held off late-charging Treaty of Rome. The winning time was 1:38.87 on fast dirt.
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           Winning trainer Jose D’Angelo: “Today he looked green again. He ran the first time out in Saratoga and he tried to go inside, and he did the same today. I asked Luis about the gallop out and he said when he saw the other horse he got another gear. So that’s good, but we have to train him now going forward.” The Holy Bull is the next goal, D'Angelo said.
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           Winning jockey Luis Saez: “The trip was perfect. We were concerned about [Macho Music]. He have a lot of speed, but he missed the break and we ended up on the lead and we took it. He was traveling pretty great. Pretty comfortable. When we came to the top of the stretch, I was trying to save as much horse as I could.”
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      <pubDate>Sat, 04 Jan 2025 23:25:12 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-road-january-4-2025</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: May 5, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-5-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Sunday, May 5, 2024
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           Standing outside his barn at Churchill Downs on Sunday morning, trainer Kenny McPeek was asked to sum up his feelings about Mystik Dan’s victory in the 150th running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) just about 12 hours earlier. “Wow,” was all the Lexington native could say.
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            MYSTIK DAN
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           - Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan, ridden by Brian Hernandez Jr., pulled off an 18-1 upset in Saturday’s Run for the Roses, finishing a nose ahead of 4-1 Sierra Leone and Tyler Gaffalione, who was another nose in front of 7-1 Forever Young (JPN), with Ryusei Sakai aboard.
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           Hernandez used a ground-saving trip before guiding Mystik Dan through a tiny space that opened along the rail to the front. They passed a tiring Track Phantom, with Joel Rosario, then staved off a closing rush from his competition in the field of 20.
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           “Brian Hernandez gave him the ride,” a joyous but sleep-deprived McPeek said. “Look, he doesn’t win the race without the job Brian did.”
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            The Derby victory came a day after the pair teamed up win the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) for 3-year-old fillies Friday afternoon at Churchill Downs before a crowd of 107,236.
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           “I was fortunate to ride for Kenny,” said Hernandez about the Derby. “He and the owners entrusted in me to have the daring trip that we had. And we were fortunate to have a horse that trusted us, and he went through a couple of tight spots, and never thought twice about doing it. It was like, ‘No problem,’ and did it. It’s a big team effort, more than anything.”
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            McPeek put a call on speaker from Pimlico Race Course officials of the invitation to run Mystik Dan in the Preakness in just 13 days.
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           While accepting the invite, McPeek said, “We’re not committing. When I ran him back in two weeks (at Churchill Downs last November), it completely backfired. And we skipped the Rebel (at Oaklawn Park) because it was too short as well. So we’ll watch him over the next week, and probably decide then. It will be a last-minute decision. We’ll let him tell us.”
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           The victory in 2:03.34 for the mile-and-a-quarter was worth $3.1 million. The most recent time the Derby was decided by a nose was in 1996 when Grindstone edged Cavonnier. Having three horses finish almost as close in a Kentucky Derby photo finish goes back to 1947, when Jet Pilot finished a head in front of Phalanx, who was another head in front of Faultless.
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           “It got pretty tight,” Hernandez admitted. “Going around the second turn, I was watching those horses to the outside, and the thing about a race like that, everyone starts to make their moves. They can just stack and stack and stack, but we were just sitting there waiting. And the minute that Joel (Rosario, riding 41-1 Track Phantom) made a half a step to go meet those horses, we’re shooting through. When we did that, he (Joel) tried to come back down, but by then, Mystik Dan was already through there.”
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            After slipping into the lead, Mystik Dan appeared headed to victory by a comfortable margin, but fast-closing Sierra Leone and Forever Young made it unbelievably tight at the wire.
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           “We kind of busted through there right before we straightened up and headed for home, Hernandez said. “And Mystik Dan switched leads, and spurted off, it was like, hurry up and get to the wire as fast as we can. It was just rolling. When we got to the eighth pole, I was thinking, wow, we’re about to win the Kentucky Derby. And then, right at the wire, it was like, maybe we got beat. He never stopped running. It was the first time they were going a mile-and-a-quarter, those horses were getting to him late, but he was there for us.”
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            Both Hernandez and McPeek won the Oaks and Derby for the first time. McPeek became the first trainer since Ben Jones in 1952 to win both the Oaks and Derby. “I wish I could have met him,” McPeek said.
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           “For three weeks, I’ve felt that we had a shot at winning both races,” McPeek said. “Both horses have been doing fantastic. There was never any little issue, anywhere or anytime, with either horse. It was always all systems go.”
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            Two members of the partnership that owns Mystik Dan were at the McPeek barn on Sunday, checking out the horse, talking to the news media, and accepting the presentation of WWE championship title belts that the fight organization is presenting to winners at various sporting events this year.
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           When asked how many trips to the Kentucky Derby they’ve made, both Lance Gasaway and Sherilyn Gasaway, wife of Lance’s cousin Brent, made a startling admission.
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            “Just one,” Lance and Sherilyn said in unison.
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           Mystik Dan is a bay colt by the sire Goldencents, out of Ma’am, a Colonel John mare that the partners had raced. The breeding to the Spendthrift Farm sire was a match made in heaven.
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            “Kenny’s the one who suggested it,” Sharilyn Gasaway said.
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            Whether he races in the Preakness on May 18 or not, the Derby winner will ship directly to Saratoga in upstate New York, prepping for the June 8 Belmont Stakes. McPeek and his wife have a house there, and he said they’d accompany Mystik Dan while getting the house ready for the Belmont meeting at the track, and the regular Saratoga meet.
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            McPeek said Thorpedo Anna could be headed to the Acorn Stakes on June 7, and noted that he would have reservations against running her in the Belmont Stakes against Mystik Dan.
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           “I couldn’t have Brian riding both horses,” he said.
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           SIERRA LEONE (2
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           )/DOMESTIC PRODUCT (13
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           ) – Trainer Chad Brown checked on Sierra Leone first hand Sunday morning, reporting that the son of Gun Runner was tired but all good following his achingly close runner-up finish in the first leg of the Triple Crown. After showing off the colt to co-owner Derrick Smith, who was on hand to also admire his gritty charge, Brown discussed what might be next for the Blue Grass Stakes victor after running a winning race that didn’t yield the result to match.
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           “He’s good, but he’s not going to the Preakness,” Brown said of Sierra Leone. “I’m going to take him to Saratoga tomorrow and he’s going to train there for the Belmont. He’s a little tired. He’s a real laid back horse but when we brought him he out, was a little more tired than he normally is after his races. I think giving him the five weeks to the Belmont is definitely the right thing to do.”
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           Sierra Leone expended tremendous energy in the Kentucky Derby as he rallied from 18th early on, made a wide, sweeping move off the far turn, traded bumps with third-place finisher Forever Young (JPN) in the lane and still only came up inches short. Brown said Sierra Leone does have a tendency to lean in and that jockey Tyler Gaffalione was trying to keep the colt straight in tight quarters with Forever Young without accidentally striking that rival with his stick. 
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           “There was so much bumping going on there,” Brown said. “When horses are fatigued, they have a tendency to lean in a bit like he did with his last two wins and it’s going to be more exaggerated when they’re more tired. He had so much to do and by the time he got to the eighth pole, he was leaning in a bit.
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           “What Tyler was attempting to do is make room for his left stick, which the horse really respects, and keep him straight. And he was looking for sort of a pathway to use his left stick. But with the bumping, the tight duel between those two horses, it disarmed him with the stick. All he had was a rein to pull on and it really hurt his momentum. He couldn’t use it because he had no room to use his left stick without hitting his horse. He didn’t want to do that either. So he was trying create a path not only to straighten out my horse who really respects that, he was trying not to foul the other horse with the stick.”
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           Given the amount of ground Sierra Leone had to make up and the traffic he had to work his way through, Brown believes his protege ran the kind of race that further validates his belief that he brought the best horse into the 10-furlong classic.
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           “I’m very proud of the horse. I’m disappointed with the result, but I’m so proud of the horse, Brown said. “In my mind, he ran the best race. That’s no disrespect to the winner. It’s just, it’s a hard race to win, everything has to go right. With the winner, the horse showed up and was prepared right and he ran terrific. You have to have a trip where everything goes right. 
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           “It’s not (Mystik Dan’s) fault the doors opened for him, I wish that would have happened for me. But I don’t think lesser of the winner’s performance. It’s just an example of two trips. But that’s what has to happen here. For us, I don’t think we had a bad trip. But our horse was very far back on a track that favors speed and he had to go around a lot of horses and he had a ton of ground to make up. To almost get there despite all that, I really feel he ran the best race. We’ll see going forward the rest of the year where he stacks up with the entire body of work.”
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           Brown added that his other Kentucky Derby starter, Domestic Product, emerged from his 13
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           -place run having lost a shoe and grabbed a quarter. 
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           “Domestic Product lost a shoe leaving the gate and grabbed his quarter pretty good,” Brown said. “Then he was a bit keen down the backside. Irad (Ortiz Jr.) was trying to tuck in and he was pulling and stuff like that. He was just never happy, he never really relaxed. I’m going to throw that race out. I do like that horse and hopefully he comes back good.”
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           From Brown, Sierra Leone’s defeat marked the third time he has sent out a horse who finished in the top three of the Derby. Brown saddled champion Good Magic to a runner-up finish behind eventual Triple Crown winner Justify in 2018 and had Zandon come home third to long shot winner Rich Strike in 2022. 
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           “I really felt I had the best horse,” Brown said of Sierra Leone. “Nobody was really going to convince me otherwise. I wasn’t going to broadcast it, but I knew what I had. But I also went in prepared for the worst because it’s such a hard race to win. Little things can change fate. It can be brutal dealing with the agony of defeat sometimes.”
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) (3
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           rd
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           ) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) was scheduled to return to Japan on Tuesday starting with a van trip to Chicago and then a flight to Narita.
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           Fujita left Louisville after the race Saturday night but told Hiroshi Ando, racing manager for trainer Yoshito Yahagi, that he “enjoyed the massive atmosphere and proud of his horse’s performance.”
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           Ando said that Yahagi was disappointed that Forever Young lost, but “how he ran his race made us so proud.”
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           Yahagi, who left Louisville early Sunday morning, noted that Forever Young’s third-place finish was the best result for a UAE Derby winner in the Derby and even after traveling first to Saudi Arabia where he won the Saudi Derby and then to Dubai and on to Kentucky, “it shows that you can do it.”
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           While winner Mystik Dan was getting the golden run along the rail, Forever Young and  Sierra Leone were exchanging bumps. Jockey Ryusei Sakai did not claim foul.
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           “Claims of foul do not happen much in Japan,” Ando said. “It is the stewards’ call, not us.”
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           CATCHING FREEDOM (4
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           th
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           )/JUST A TOUCH (20
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            ) – It was a much quieter scene at Barn 22 Sunday morning than the rest of Kentucky Derby Week with both Catching Freedom and Just a Touch enjoying an easy day in the shedrow.
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           Both horses came out of the Derby fine and next plans are still to be determined, according to trainer Brad Cox.
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) (5
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           ) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN) was scheduled to return to Japan on Tuesday starting with a van trip to Chicago and then a flight to Narita.
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           Ozaza left Louisville after the race Saturday night and trainer Daisuke Takayanagi was on an early flight Sunday morning back to Japan.
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           After the race, Takayanagi told his racing manager Hiroshi Ando that T O Password “got a lot of experience for just his third race and was proud of his horse’s performance. It was a great experience for adapting to racing in North America.”
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           Stopping by the Quarantine Barn this morning was jockey Kazushi Kimura.
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           “He’s good this morning, no problems but he is tired,” said Kimura of T O Password, who was cut off at the start when Track Phantom came inward after the break. “It is what it is. He missed the first step and from there I followed Sierra Leone. He tried hard all the way.”
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           RESILIENCE (6
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           ) – Wood Memorial Stakes winner Resilience was none the worse for wear after his sixth-place run in the Kentucky Derby, but will not go on to the Preakness Stakes (GI) trainer Bill Mott said.
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           “He had absolutely a great trip,” Mott said. “I think he tried. By the looks of it, he might not have handled the 10 furlongs. He actually ran a very good race. Leaving the quarter pole, he looked like he could win as well as anybody but he just couldn’t finish it off. I’d say at this point, we wouldn’t go (to the Belmont) either.”
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           STRONGHOLD (7
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           ) – The California-based colt Stronghold, who had checked in seventh in Saturday’s Derby 150, was looking fine and feeling a little frisky at Barn 48 on the Churchill backstretch Sunday morning. 
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           Trainer Phil D’Amato and his wife and chief exercise rider Sherri Alexander had caught an early flight west to their Santa Anita headquarters but stable assistant Julie Witt was overseeing activity and noted that all was well. 
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           “He (Stronghold) got a little hot after running yesterday, but he’s fine and feeling good this morning,” she noted. “He’ll go back to California at some point in the next week I’d guess. 
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           “We had five horses run here this week and Stronghold and Elm Drive will go back west. The others are going to stay and they’ll be joined by a few other runners currently over at Keeneland. Phil keeps a string here.” 
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           HONOR MARIE (8
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           ) – Trainer Whit Beckman lamented the trip his Derby runner Honor Marie had Saturday in Kentucky Derby 150.
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           "He had the worst of the worst trips,” Beckman said. “He passed a lot of horses, he was making his run. You ask Kenny McPeek, you look at how many Derbys he’s been in and I’m sure he’s had a lot of bad trips. He got a beautiful trip, and that’s what it takes. Hopefully we keep showing and doing this again because it was a fun week.” 
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           ENDLESSLY (9
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           ) – The Kentucky Derby ninth-place finisher, Amerman Racing’s Endlessly, was doing fine at Barn 35 on the Churchill Downs backstretch Sunday morning as trainer Michael McCarthy and assistant Justin Curran went about the business of dealing with their string of Kentucky horses. 
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           McCarthy was booked on a flight to California for around 9 a.m. He had horses to run Sunday afternoon at Santa Anita from his California stable. 
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           Both men indicated that they were pleased with the effort their son of Oscar Performance had given in his first attempt on a dirt surface. 
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           “He certainly gave it a good try,” McCarthy said. “We beat more than half the field and that’s not bad. But it’s in the cards now for all concerned that the horse will go back to the grass. That’s where he wants to be.” 
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           The horse is headed back to California, too, probably on a plane with other California runners in the next few days. 
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           DORNOCH (10th)/SOCIETY MAN (16
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           ) – Pricilla Schaefer, exercise rider for Danny Gargan, reported that all was good with Dornoch and Society Man following their 10
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           th
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           - and 16
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           -place finishes, respectively in the Kentucky Derby. Schaefer gave both colts tons of affection Sunday morning, stressing that the fact they both came back well was the best takeaway from their efforts.
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           “That’s the most important thing,” Schaefer said. “You should have seen us walking back yesterday, we were laughing, smiling. We were just happy to be there and happy that they came back safe and sound. That always comes first.”
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           WEST SARATOGA (12
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           ) – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga was scheduled to return to trainer  Larry Demeritte’s base at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky, later today.
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           Sitting in his tack room at Barn 42 after the race last night, Demeritte said that West Saratoga came out of the race good.
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            Demeritte was not at the barn today because he attends a 9:45 a.m. weekly church service in Lexington.
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           EPIC RIDE (14
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           ) – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride returned to The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky, Saturday night after the race.
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           Trainer John Ennis reported via text that all was good with Epic Ride this morning.
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           “My plan was always to try and run in the Derby and give him some time off and bring him back at a mile in the summer,” Ennis said. “Maybe even Kentucky Downs.”
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           FIERCENESS (15
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           ) – The Kentucky Derby favorite Fierceness was resting in Barn 39 at Churchill Downs Sunday morning after a disappointing effort that saw him among the leaders for the first mile of the mile and a quarter, but then lacking in punch for the run through the lane. The City of Light colt wound up 15th in the 20-horse field. 
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           “The colt seems fine this morning,” trainer Todd Pletcher said. “He cooled out fine and scoped clean and he’s doing OK. I haven’t; had a chance to discuss what’s next with Mike (Repole), but I think we will take a couple of weeks and let the dust settle before we make any decision.
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           “I believe he’ll ship up to Saratoga in the next week.”
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           JUST STEEL (17
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           ) – Sebastian "Bas" Nicholl, assistant to trainer D. Wayne Lukas, said  Just Steel emerged in good order from his 17
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           -place finish. 
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST (18
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           ) – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First is scheduled to return to his base at Gulfstream Park on Monday.
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            ﻿
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           “I don’t have a clear plan now (for what’s next),” trainer Victor Barboza Jr. said via text. “We will check the horse out the next few days and decide on a new race.”
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           CATALYTIC (19
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           ) – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic came out of the Derby in good shape after finishing 19th with Jose Ortiz, trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. reported. “All is well. He will go back to Florida,” Joseph said.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 05 May 2024 16:32:18 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-5-2024</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: May 3, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-3-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Friday, May 3, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – With overnight rain that was heavy at times, trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. decided to have Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic walk the shedrow Friday morning.
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           The lightly raced Florida Derby (GI) runner-up drew post 5 with Jose Ortiz to ride. In the Derby advance wagering after three days, Catalytic is 37-1.
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/JUST A TOUCH – Catching Freedom and Just a Touch both had their final Derby training sessions, galloping 1 ½ miles at 7:45 a.m. Friday over the sloppy surface.
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           “We’re ready to go. Let’s do this,” trainer Brad Cox said.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Trainer Chad Brown’s Kentucky Derby duo of Sierra Leone and Domestic Product hit the track just before 6 a.m. and galloped twice around beneath the rain drops.
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           Sierra Leone, winner of the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, signaled his quality during his seasonal bow in the Risen Star Stakes (GII) when he was able to rally from ninth over a sealed, sloppy track after they went a half-mile of :49.67. If you are the company you keep, that race has continued to flatter the son of Gun Runner as the top five finishers in the Risen Star are all set to be in the Kentucky Derby starting gate.
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           “I knew I wanted to run there because of the long stretch and the timing of the race,” Brown said of the Risen Star. “You know it came up a super tough race and the weather was really challenging. But the horse ran against everything and still won … especially on a track that not many horses were closing on that day. This horse was able to overcome a lot and get there. And he’s really moved forward from there.”
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           Sierra Leone is the 3-to-1 second choice on the morning line.
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Fountain of Youth Stakes winner (GII) Dornoch had a scheduled walk day while his stablemate Society Man hit the track early under the watch of trainer Danny Gargan for a jog over the sloppy conditions, but was feeling good enough to break into a gallop coming off the track.
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           ENDLESSLY – The multiple-stakes winning colt bred and owned by Joan and Jerry Amerman took advantage of the special 7:45-8 a.m. training period Friday for Derby or Oaks runners. 
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           The Oscar Performance offspring had regular exercise rider Walter Davilia at the controls as they did a one-mile tour of a sloppy racing strip. On hand to observe the exercise were trainer Michael McCarthy and his right-hand assistant Justin Curran. 
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           “He was loving the track this morning,” McCarthy said. “It was good to see him going so well.’ 
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           The trainer was asked how he felt about his horse and his situation on the eve of Derby 150. 
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           “I’m feeling good about where we are,” he said. 
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           He was further asked if he was feeling “real good” about it all. 
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           “I try to not get too high, or too low,” was the reply. “But I’m feeling good.” 
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           EPIC RIDE -- Welch Racing’s Epic Ride jogged in the mile chute shortly before 8 o’clock with Sophie Doyle aboard for trainer John Ennis.
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           Epic Ride will exit post 20 under Adam Beschizza.
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           “I just want him to run his race,” Ennis said of his hopes for Saturday. “And I just want the rain to stop. I want a fast track.”
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           Epic Ride will not go to the track in the morning.
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           FIERCENESS – The Kentucky Derby morning line favorite (5-2) took his final bit of exercise Friday at Churchill Downs during the 7:45-8 a.m. training session limited to Oaks and Derby runners. 
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher was trackside overseeing the exercise by the Repole Stable homebred who had regular exercise rider Danny Wright aboard. The two went in at the 5 ½-furlong gap, then quickly broke off at the five-furlong pole for a solid one-mile navigation of the oval. 
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           Pletcher was reminded that this is the 24th year that he will be running a horse in the world’s most famous race. He was asked if it is getting “old hat” by now. 
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           “No way,” was the answer. “If anything, it just becomes more nerve racking.” 
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           After his Florida Derby winner came off the track following his leg stretching, the conditioner was asked how he assessed his situation heading into Kentucky Derby 150. 
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           “All good,” was the simple and direct reply. 
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) came on the track at 5:20, spent 10 minutes in the mile chute warming up under jockey Ryusei Sakai and then galloped on a sloppy track before returning to the chute for another 10 minutes to cool down before returning to the Quarantine Barn in a driving rain.
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           Looking on from the viewing stand at the six-furlong gap was trainer Yoshito Yahagi.
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           Yahagi, trained Loves Only You (JPN) and Marche Lorraine (JPN) to Breeders’ Cup victories at Del Mar in 2021. Was asked what he would like to see from his undefeated runner to keep his record perfect.
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           “First of all, I want him to come back safe,” Yahagi said. “I don’t want him to get too much excited and after that it is up to the jockey.”
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           Forever Young is scheduled to go to the track Saturday morning at 5:15.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First walked the shedrow under tack as trainer Victor Barboza Jr. opted to pass on going to the track as heavy rain fell.
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           “He had a strong gallop yesterday and schooled in the paddock yesterday afternoon and did very well,” Barboza said.
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           Grand Mo the First will exit post 15 under Emisael Jaramillo, starting next to Derby favorite Fierceness who led all the way in the Florida Derby (GI) in which Grand Mo the First was third.
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eiserman, Earl Silver, Kenneth Fishbein and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie had a quiet morning during training hours but got a taste of the Oaks Day crowd, schooling in the paddock during the first race.
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           JUST STEEL – The D. Wayne Lukas-trained Just Steel hit the track early for an easy jog over the rain-soaked Churchill Downs surface. The son of Justify owned by BC Stables and Henry Schmueckle is coming into the Derby off a runner-up finish in the Arkansas Derby (GI) on March 30, his 11
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           MYSTIK DAN – Trainer Kenny McPeek sent Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan out Friday morning at the scheduled Derby/Oaks training time for a typical gallop.
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           With exercise rider Martin Reyes up, Mystik Dan went about a mile and three-eighths. The colt will start from post 3 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard in the Derby.
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           After three days of advance wagering, the winner of the Southwest Stakes (GIII) and third-place finisher in the Arkansas Derby (GI) – both at Oaklawn Park – was a 19-1 choice for the Kentucky Derby.
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           RESILIENCE – With trainer Bill Mott keeping watch from astride his pony, Wood Memorial Stakes (GII) winner Resilience came out during the 7:45 a.m. training period and galloped twice around. 
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           STRONGHOLD – Trainer Phil D’Amato repeated his early go with his Derby colt Stronghold Friday morning, sending the Ghostzapper offspring trackside at 5:30 with exercise rider Sherri Alexander at the controls. 
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           The two went right off out of the six-furlong chute on a sloppy strip as light rain fell and did a once-around tour of the big Churchill oval. 
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           After she came off the strip, Alexander had a big smile. “He felt great,” she said. 
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           Reports out of the D’Amato barn all week have been glowing concerning the Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner. The way the story goes, Eric and Sharon Waller’s homebred bundle of joy has just gotten better and better since the turn of the year. 
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           He started 2024 with a trip to New Mexico and a tally in the Sunland Derby. He came out of that one feeling very good about himself. Then he followed that up with an extra game score over the top colt Imagination in Santa Anita’s biggest 3-year-old contest on April 6, coming out of that race with his chest pumped up and good vibes flowing strongly. 
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           Now he has looked strong all week in Kentucky and appears to be peaking just right as Derby looms. 
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           D’Amato was asked about the possibility of putting his charge on the racetrack Saturday morning ahead of the race. 
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           “I go about 50-50 with that,” the conditioner offered. “Some horses I put on the track (on race mornings); some not. We’ll play it by ear tomorrow.”
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN) came on the track at 5:20, spent 10 minutes in the mile chute warming up under jockey Kazushi Kimura and then galloped on a sloppy track before returning to the chute for another 10 minutes to cool down before heading to the Quarantine Barn in a driving rain.
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           Watching the morning activity from the viewing stand at the six-furlong gap was trainer Daisuke Takayanagi. T O Password will represent the first Derby starter for Takayanagi.
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           “I want him to come back to the stable safe,” Takayanagi said. “Winning is most important. I am not concerned with his position. It is about how he feels and is comfortable (in the race).”
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           T O Password is not scheduled to go to the track in the morning.
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Trainer Steve Asmussen’s father, Keith, was on hand Friday morning to watch training including seeing Kentucky Derby contender Track Phantom who jogged with Roberto Howell in the irons.
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           Asked who Keith would be rooting for – his grandson’s mount Just Steel or his son’s trainee Track Phantom – he simply said, “a dead heat.”
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga jogged a mile and galloped a mile under Donte Lowery at 7 o’clock as morning showers began to lessen in intensity.
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           Trainer Larry Demeritte said West Saratoga would not go to the track Saturday morning.
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           “I don’t take my horses to the track on race day,” Demeritte said, “except one time I had this filly from England who didn’t run well unless I would take her out.”
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           Jesus Castanon has the mount on West Saratoga, who represents the first Derby starter for Demeritte and Veruchi.
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           “I would like to see him get to the first turn clear,” Demeritte said of West Saratoga, who will exit post 12. “Then on the backstretch lead the second flight and have the lead at the top of the stretch. The ideal trip.”
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Average Joe Racing Stables and Dan Wells’ Mugatu (No. 21) walked the shedrow as trainer Jeff Engler waited to hear word if there would be any defections from the main body of the Derby field that would get Mugatu into the starting gate.
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            “Looks like we are going to New York,” said Engler, who plans to work Mugatu on Sunday and then ship to Aqueduct for next Saturday’s $200,000 Peter Pan (GIII).                                                   
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           THE KENTUCKY DERBY FIELD – Here is the field for the 150
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            running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I) in order of post positions (with rider and morning line odds): Dornoch (Luis Saez, 20-1), Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, 3-1),  Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1), Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, 8-1), Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, 30-1), Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, 20-1), Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, 20-1), Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, 10-1), Encino (Axel Concepcion, 20-1), T O Password (JPN) (Kazuski Kimura, 30-1), Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai. 10-1), Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, 20-1), West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, 30-1), Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, 30-1), Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., 30-1), Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, 50-1), Fierceness (John Velasquez, 5-2), Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, 20-1), Resilience (Junior Alvarado, 20-1), Society Man (Frankie Dettori, 50-1); Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, 50-1). Also Eligible: Mugatu (Joe Talamo, 50-1). All starters will carry 126 pounds.
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      <pubDate>Fri, 03 May 2024 15:53:39 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Dick's Picks for Kentucky Derby 150</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/dick-s-picks-for-kentucky-derby-150</link>
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      <pubDate>Fri, 03 May 2024 02:17:21 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Dick's Picks for Kentucky Derby 150</title>
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           Dick's Picks for Kentucky Derby 150
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           Posted May 2, 2024
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           By Dick Downey
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           This is The Downey Profile's 22d consecutive Kentucky Derby and likely its last in this format. The endeavor has been fun and satisfying, and I feel The Downey Profile was and still is groundbreaking in the completeness of its coverage of one of world's most important sporting events. I know I would do it all over again if the clock were turned back.
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           I may reach out to see if there's interest in an email-driven format. For now, I'll report to you my health is holding up well. There has been no detection of cancer cells since my July 2020 prostatectomy.
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           Thank you for subscribing. I am particularly grateful to those who have returned year after year to share in the joy and occasional disappointment of the Kentucky Derby.
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           Now let's get going. We'll begin with The Downey Profile's objective findings, followed by my selections. We'll conclude with comments about all 22 entries. If there are any late scratches that affect selections, I will post an update.
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           OBJECTIVE FINDINGS
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           DOWNEY PROFILE TOP 4 (See Section 5)
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           SIERRA LEONE (17.13 rating)
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           STRONGHOLD (17.13)
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           FIERCENESS (15.96)
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           FOREVER YOUNG (12.60)
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           DOWNEY PROFILE FIFTH, SIXTH AND SEVENTH
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           CATALYTIC (10.49)
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           CATCHING FREEDOM (10.04)
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT (8.33, tie)
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           DORNOCH (8.33, tie)
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           PROFILE BUSTERS PROFILE (See Section 9)
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           CATCHING FREEDOM (5 points, tie)
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           RESILIENCE (5, tie)
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           JUST STEEL (5, tie)
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           NOTE: Fierceness has the most points (6) but cannot be a Profile Buster because he's in The Downey Profile Top 4. Ditto for Sierra Leone (5). Although I haven't run an analysis of this issue, my recall is that horses with both a Top 4 Downey Profile Ranking and a top Profile Buster number are formidable.
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           DERBY BY THE SPEED NUMBERS (See Section 6)
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           FIERCENESS - among the four fastest numbers in 5 of 6 categories
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           SIERRA LEONE - among the four fastest numbers in 5 of 6 categories
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           CATCHING FREEDOM - among the four fastest numbers in 3 of 6 categories
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           RESILIENCE - among the four fastest numbers in 3 of 6 categories
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           KENTUCKY DERBY SELECTIONS
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           #17 FIERCENESS
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           #19 RESILIENCE
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           #2 SIERRA LEONE
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           #6 JUST STEEL
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           #4 CATCHING FREEDOM
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           #11 FOREVER YOUNG
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           PLAYABLES IN MY ORDER OF PREFERENCE
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           # 8 JUST A TOUCH
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           #7 HONOR MARIE
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           #12 TRACK PHANTOM
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           #3 MYSTIK DAN
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           #5 CATALYTIC
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           KENTUCKY OAKS
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           MY WIN PICK: #13 JUST F Y I
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           I will probably play only this filly.
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           #5 THORPEDO ANNA
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           #14 LESLIE'S ROSE
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           #8 TARIFA
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           LONGSHOTS
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           #3 WHERE'S MY RING
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           #4 REGULATORY RISK
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           EVALUATIONS OF ENTRIES IN POST POSITION ORDER
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           1 DORNOCH - A starting gate with 20 stalls that replaced the old auxiliary gate means post 1 isn't as geometrically challenging as it once was. But it's still challenging. This will be the fifth Derby for the gate.
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              --The 2020 Derby saw Max Player in post 1 at 19-1 odds. He was far back early but finished well to get fifth, beaten seven lengths. ("Max Player reserved off of the inside, moved out between rivals four to five wide on the far turn, churned on in traffic and improved position" under Ricardo Santana, Jr. 
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              --In 2021 Known Agenda drew post 1, was sent off at 9-1, and finished ninth, beaten 10 3/4 lengths; he was one of only four horses sent off at single-digit odds.("Known Agenda was unhurried along the inside, shifted out into the stretch and improved under stern urging" under Irad Ortiz, Jr.).
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              --In post 1 for the 2022 Derby was the last-place finisher, 36-1 Summer Is Tomorrow. He "was away in good order, set a contested tempo for six furlongs, but gave way readily once headed and was eased through the lane and walked off" under Mickael Barzelona, a top-notch European jockey.
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              --In 2023 Hit Show was sent off at 24-1 and finished fifth, beaten 6 1/4 lengths after sitting in striking distance all the way to the eighth pole. ("Hit Show tracked the top flight from the two to three path around the far turn, responded to rousing to range up outside of the leading trio entering the far turn, gradually progressed around that bend to spin into the lane in the five path while within striking range but flattened out between horses" with Manny Franco aboard.
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           Dornoch will undoubtedly be sent like Verifying was last year from post 2. That did not work out well. At 14-1 odds Verifying finished 16th after he "brushed an outer rival upon leaving the gates, dueled for the lead inside of a pair of pressers around the first turn, clung to an advantage down the backstretch, but weakened at the seven sixteenths pole, and wilted along the rail around the far turn."
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           I believe good horses in better post positions will finish better than Dornoch. On his best day Dornoch ran a 90 Beyer (Fountain of Youth) and a 94 Brisnet (Fountain of Youth, Blue Grass).
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           Dornoch had it pretty much his own way in the Fountain of Youth. Second betting choice Speak Easy, a speedy type, was a late scratch after getting loose on the track minutes before the race. Locked, the presumptive favorite, and Victory Avenue were scratched race morning. Merit was also scratched after racing in an allowance on Friday instead of the Fountain of Youth. Dornoch's final 5/16 was timed in 32.21. In the Blue Grass, he didn't go to the lead, and it didn't work out, and his gallop-out didn't stand out either.
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           Although Dornoch remains the only horse to beat Sierra Leone (Remsen Stakes), his Beyer figures haven't improved since. You can't bet them all, and I can't pull the trigger on him.
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           2 SIERRA LEONE - His qualifications, from his breeding to the $2.3 million auction price to some visually impressive winning performances, speak for themselves. He is an effective closer even when the pace is moderate to slow and whether the ground is wet or dry.
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           In average size fields an inside post is typically good for closers because they can save ground efficiently. Sierra Leone's style has been to drop back, avoid the fray, go through or around them on the far tun, and mow 'em down in the stretch. However, being this far inside is not trainer Brown's ideal post. He said on April 20, "You’ve seen horses win from the far outside and some that draw inside and run well. We’ll take what they give us, but somewhere in the middle would be ideal.” Although he hasn't taken much kickback in his four-race career, it's something Sierra Leone is able to do, and it's hard to conceive jockey Gaffalione won't give him a confident ride where he avoids trouble albeit behind more horses than ever before during the early running.
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           I think the real questions are whether he's fast enough to catch the better horses with clearer trips and whether his habit of lugging in during the stretch run of a long race will cost him. Although Sierra Leone did lug in during the Blue Grass stretch run, and although Just a Touch lost the lead to finish second, they galloped out together ahead of the rest of the field.
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           We are told jockey Gaffalione said Sierra Leone was only 75% in the Blue Grass. That is a scary thought for such a magnificent physical specimen. I am not a student of equine anatomy, but this horse is so large and muscular he reminds me of Justify. He paddles his left foreleg in races, but it hasn't affected his will or ability to win. His workouts at Keeneland and Churchill Downs were both excellent.
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           One issue that might arise is a reluctance to load in the gate. That process took three minutes in the Blue Grass, making the other horses wait in their stalls. In the Derby, however, Sierra Leone will be the third horse to load, so he'll be the one waiting for 17 others.
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           3 MYSTIK DAN - It is said a rainy day would move up Mystik Dan, who won the Southwest Stakes by a wide margin on a sloppy track, but we should not forget others have also run well on wet tracks, including the Southwest runner-up (Just Steel); the first five finishers in the sloppy Risen Star (Sierra Leone, Track Phantom, Catching Freedom, Resilience and Honor Marie); the Remsen top two on mud (Dornoch and Sierra Leone); the Gotham runner-up in the slop (Just a Touch); and a muddy maiden winner (Society Man).
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           That said, Mystik Dan is one of only two horses in the field with a triple-digit Beyer (Fierceness has two of them), and he is another closer drawn close to the rail. He doesn't mind running inside of horses with a rider who loves to skim the rail, a la the Southwest Stakes win.
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           I note Mystik Dan finished the final 5/16 of the 1 1/16-mile Southwest in 30.04. However, he was not strong in the gallop-out of the Arkansas Derby after finishing that one in 37.88. His works at Churchill Downs are just fine but do not exactly tout him.
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           His most recent race, a game third in the Arkansas Derby, yielded a top-echelon Equibase figure and a combined DRF speed-track variant number that's among the four best numbers in the field even after he was knocked sideways early in the backstretch. Trainer McPeek can beat you when you least expect it. I would not want to leave Mystik Dan off tickets.
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           4 CATCHING FREEDOM - Catching Freedom is a small horse, but that's not all bad as those types can be more nimble and adept at avoiding trouble in a crowded field. The down side is he might not be able to handle a bump as well as a larger horse.
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           A confirmed closer, Catching Freedom is another one that will have to work out a trip from an insidish post. Catching Freedom has trained very well at Churchill Downs and has been there long enough since winning the Louisiana Derby from far off the pace to put in four workouts. He gallops with his neck arched and looks the part. A definite player.
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           We do note, however, the gallop-out of the Louisiana Derby had Tuscan Gold and Agate Road besting the others. Catching Freedom and Honor Marie were pulled up early in the first turn. However, that could have been by design.
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           5 CATALYTIC - Finished second in the Florida Derby but far behind Fierceness both in the race and the gallop-out; but it was not a bad effort at all considering he hit the gate and it was only his third career start and first at two turns. Legacy pedigree influence Distorted Humor (think Funny Cide), the dam sire, makes him more interesting.
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           The down side is his speed figures make him impossible for me to endorse for the win, but he is not completely out of the question in a superfecta. This quote from trainer Joseph got my attention, and it's not your typical "just what I wanted" statement. "He’s showing a lot more energy here than he does at Gulfstream," Joseph said following Catalytic's April 28 breeze.
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           6 JUST STEEL - It seems no one is picking this horse to do anything after he finished a pretty close second to an outstanding performance by Muth in the Arkansas Derby.
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           His last Derby work orchestrated by trainer Lukas -- slow and no gallop-out -- told me either the horse is not doing well or Lukas didn't want to show his hand. With that work following a one-mile move in 1:40 eight days earlier, I suspect it's the latter. This is my personal view based on a reading of the room; you might not agree; but Lukas used to have a propensity for winning big races at long odds, and he could have that in mind here.
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           A replay of the Arkansas Derby showed me Just Steel found another gear when he switched leads in the stretch. After running second, he was a few lengths behind Muth in the gallop-out. The Arkansas Derby was a strong race in my estimation, and this son of Justify has some good numbers in our objective measurements. We think he is a player.
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           7 HONOR MARIE - An improving type that showed a lot more in his second start of the year than he did in the first. A really nice finish to got him second in the Louisiana Derby. But as mentioned in our section on Catching Freedom, the gallop-out of the Louisiana Derby had Tuscan Gold and Agate Road besting the others. Catching Freedom, the winner, and Honor Marie were pulled up early in the first turn, but that could have been by design.
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           Honor Marie doesn't fit well in our objective measures, but I would be careful about discarding him if you like to play trifectas and superfectas, and he is not out of the question to do better than that. Another step forward from the Louisiana Derby puts him right there for a sharp trainer, and his last workout for the Derby was a dandy.
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           One issue is there are at least three horses to his inside that have a similar come-from-behind style, leading me to think about where and when he will be tucked in toward the rail by his British, first-time Kentucky Derby jockey Ben Curtis. A strung-out field led by a fast pace would aid his trip.
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           8 JUST A TOUCH - Another one that doesn't fit our objective standards but who stands to improve going forward. The Blue Grass Stakes was his first outing at two turns and only his third career start (think Catalytic), but he ran a big race and looked like a winner turning for home. I think it took him a while to change leads in upper stretch as he was running by pacesetter/Sierra Leone rabbit Top Conor, but when he changed leads he ran on and was beaten only 1 1/2 length. The top finisher, Sierra Leone, didn't exactly blaze home, which helped Just a Touch stay close.
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           My intial post-race thought was that Just a Touch got a lot out of the effort and should move forward in his second start at two turns. Although Sierra Leone lugged in during his stretch run in the Blue Grass, and although Just a Touch finished second, they galloped out together ahead of the rest of the field. It wouldn't shock me if Just a Touch wins the Kentucky Derby, but other scenarios are also likely. I would use him underneath.
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           9 ENCINO - Scratched.
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           10 T O PASSWORD - He led, opened up, and barely held on to win the Fukuyru to qualify for this race in only his second career start. Immediately following the win his trainer said he sent the horse to make sure he won so they could go to Kentucky but that he would not do that in the Derby.
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           His sole workout at Churchill Downs was in company with a stable mate who started out three lengths in front as they approached the half-mile pole, setting up what looks like an off-the-pace strategy. But who knows what he'll do when the time comes.
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           I was once told there are owners out there who want their horses sent in a race like this so their friends will see him on the lead, even if it's not for long. I cannot recommend T O Password, but if he blows up some tickets, good for him.
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           11 - FOREVER YOUNG - How odd the two Japanese horses drew posts next door to each other.
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           Everything about Forever Young, from the way he has run races to his workouts at Churchill Downs, indicates the strategy will be to conserve energy early and run like hell late. He does show the ability to finish strong, but repeating his early fractions in the UAE Derby could put him 15 lengths off the lead at the top of the Derby stretch.
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           He appears to have stamina but may need to avoid kickback. Forever Young was kept to the outside while winning the UAE Derby, avoiding kickback the entire trip. He galloped out ahead of the field, bounding along no worse for the wear into the middle of the first turn at the close of the video. He is a Downey Profile Top 4 horse and is one of my selections because I believe he will have a late kick. But I can't pick him to win.
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           12 - TRACK PHANTOM - Track Phantom loves to run, and it's not hard to see him being part of the pace scenario, but his training since the Louisiana Derby does not point to that outcome. One would think adding blinkers to a speed horse would make him more of a speed horse, but his training is designed for him to rate off the pace so he will have some gas left when the running gets real. We are sure trainer Asmussen knows what he's doing.
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           Track Phantom doesn't fit our objective standards, and I can't play much money on him. He's a tough read given the fact that until his last (and longest) race he had never finished off the board in six starts. But then, when the distance got a bit longer in the Louisiana Derby, he couldn't sustain his speed. At that point jockey Rosario said it's possible he has distance limitations. I suspect that missing a work, as he did at Churchill Downs, might mean something of a physical nature nature is in play. He's the kind of horse I would not feel comfortable betting across the board, but I don't feel easy about leaving him out either.
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           13 - WEST SARATOGA - The only gray horse in the field.
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           I respect trainer Demeritte and how part of his battle with cancer is to keep training. It makes me so happy he could make it to the Kentucky Derby and bask in this beautiful week.
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           West Saratoga earned his way in with a second in the Jeff Ruby Steaks, won decisively by Endlessly. You could throw a towel over the distance between West Saratoga, Seize the Grey, Triple Espresso and Woodcourt as they crossed the finish line, and West Saratoga was not prominent in the gallop-out. He would become the only Kentucky Derby winner I can recall whose final workout was designed for three furlongs. Much as I respect his trainer, I have to pass.
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           14 ENDLESSLY - The best 3-year-old on grass will try the dirt in the Derby. In the past Churchill Downs' dirt surface has been kind to some grass horses who made the surface switch. In this case the horse, according to trainer McCarthy, works about the same on Churchill's dirt as he has at other tracks. And there is the thought that, following the spate of equine fatalities at Churchill Downs last year which led to the meet being finished at Ellis Park, the soil on the main track was amended; in other words, it's not the same dirt surface that was sometimes kind to turf runners in the past. But since this is the first meet with the amended soil, we just don't know.
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           Endlessly's penultimate Derby workout was not good; his final one looked much better but it was staged with a hopelessly outmatched workmate. He fits in the I-can't-use-them-all category. I wish he were running in the American Turf where he would probably be in a "best bet" category.
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           15 DOMESTIC PRODUCT - I really like this horse and his trainer's ability to bring one to the Kentucky Derby the right way, but his route -- going straight to the Kentucky Derby off a win in a 1 1/16-mile race in early March (Tampa Bay Derby) -- does not work for me. In the Tampa Bay Derby, Good Money led through crawling fractions of 25.25, 51.15 and 1:16.21. Domestic Product got the final 5/16 mile and the win in a very quick 28.86 seconds which is comprehensible considering the glacial early pace. A faster pace, which he will get in the Kentucky Derby, may help Domestic Product.
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           I see a red flag in the fact he didn't compete in a major nine-furlong prep, but that is so obvious it worries me I'm wrong. Tough to use, tough to completely ignore. But I cannot see him winning the Kentucky Derby; then again, I couldn't see Rich Strike winning the Kentucky Derby. I was just struck by the thought of another sometimes potent angle -- the trainer's "other horse." Can you imagine that happening with this one versus Sierra Leone?
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           Domestic Product is drawn fairly wide for a closer who needs a fast pace to run his best race. Working out a perfect trip would be key to a good result.
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           16 GRAND MO THE FIRST - He is set to break from the gate next door to the presumptive favorite, Fierceness. The form says "bumped start" in the Florida Derby. The head-on video shows Grand Mo the First broke straight and was bumped by the horse to his inside.
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           The colt's works have been very slow. This seems to be taken straight out of the Mage playbook. Mage worked very slowly leading into the 2023 Kentucky Derby.Grand Mo the First could be part of the early pace, but based on his form and training we cannot endorse him.
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           17 FIERCENESS - We all know Fierceness has exhibited demonstrable issues with adversity, and in a large field that could be a problem. Is this a legitimate fear or a relatively minor concern?
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           There's always something to worry about when you invest. Whether it's Wall Street, main street or the Kentucky Derby, a need to climb the wall of worry is always there. One of Fierceness' two bad races occurred almost seven months ago. Is that relevant now? The need to have a good trip in the Kentucky Derby applies not just to Fierceness but to every horse in the field. Is Fierceness any more likely than others to encounter a bad trip?
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           Fierceness is my top pick to win. He is in The Downey Profile Top 4 (Section 5 of the Subscription Page). Because of that he cannot be a Profile Buster, but he has the most points in the Profile Busters Profile (Section 9 of the Subscription Page). And in six categories of speed figures set out in Derby by the Speed Numbers (Section 6 of the Subscription Page) used by DRF, Brisnet and Equibase, he shares the lead with Sierra Leone. The post 17 jinx (no horse has ever won the Derby from that post), which didn't influence my thinking in the first place, is likely gone with the defection of Encino and the addition of Epic Ride. If the field remains at 20, this moves Fierceness in one notch to post 16. Regardless of the post number, he can certainly get a clear trip from there enabling him to get into that rhythm he enjoys. Like the others, he needs to break well for obvious reasons and to avoid being squeezed back.
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           A nightmare scenario would be something like #19 Resilience breaking inward, forcing #18 Stronghold into Fierceness and Resilience getting the best of both of them running toward the first turn. This is my wall of worry.
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           If something like that doesn't happen, and if he runs his race, it's a matter of getting the distance, something they all face. Fierceness put in an awesome workout at Churchill Downs (my observation was "I don't know how Fierceness could be asked for a better workout going into a big race"), leading me to think he is no worse for the wear after his 13 1/2-length win in the Florida Derby. That race result standing alone is reason enough to like him, and during his gallop-out he remained far in front of the Florida Derby field.
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           18 STRONGHOLD - The son of Ghostzapper is tied for the lead in The Downey Profile rankings. I will box him in an exacta with the others in the Top 4, which I always do, but he lags in the other objective ratings and is hard for me to endorse.
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           I was told years ago that Ghostzapper is not a great sire of two-turn winners, and I notice the sire of Stronghold's dam is Jimmy Creed, who made his name sprinting.
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           Stronghold won the Santa Anita Derby by a slim margin over Imagination, who doesn't have the look of a top Triple Crown prospect. On the plus side, Stronghold and Imagination galloped out together in front of the rest far past the finish line.
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           I view his penultimate workout that took place at Santa Anita as the major one. It was very fast (46.60 -- too fast?). That was followed by a maintenance 59.80 breeze at Churchill Downs, where we saw a lot of fast workouts, with a gallop-out that was less than real strong probably by design.
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           19 RESILIENCE - An examination of Derby by the Speed Numbers shows his best figures at Brisnet where from the Wood Memorial he earned Top 4 numbers in both early speed and late pace as well as his overall number. In addition he is close to Top 4 territory with his Equibase figure. On the down side, his DRF Beyers of 90 in his last two races look dull by comparison.
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           Resilience's training at Churchill Downs has been excellent, with a single outstanding workout sandwiched between two others in a span that ran from April 18 to April 28. Technically, that's three works in 11 calendar days, but the old-timers call it "three works in 10 days," something you hardly see any more and that stands out in my mind. The second of the three works, Resilience ran nearly to the track kitchen and wanted to keep going. Can't hardly ask for better than that.
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           He has tactical speed that should serve him well from this wide post, and I think trainer Mott, a veteran who's won many big races, believes he's a stayer. However, the Wood Memorial gallop-out showed me something I didn't expect when Society Man easily outran Resilience. That may have been by design for each of them, it's impossible to know for sure. I put more emphasis on how he has moved forward in his training. Finally, Resilience's sire, Into Mischief, has been on a roll for several years. A lot to like with Resilience.
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           20 - SOCIETY MAN - It's odd he and his stable mate Dornoch drew opposite ends of the gate. The lone chestnut in the race unless Mugatu gets in. If this closer drops back very far, the wide post will seriously compromise him. A repeat of his Wood Memorial tactics, where he was never more than 4 1/2 lengths off the pace, would help him. He broke from the outside in that race too, post 10 of 12, and finished just 2 1/4 lengths behind Resilience.
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           As I mentioned above, the gallop-out in the Wood showed me something I didn't expect -- Society Man easily outran Resilience; however, each gallop-out may have been by design. In his works at Churchill Downs with stable mate Dornoch, Society Man has held his own, and I've seen him in good spirits bouncing on the track.
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           21 EPIC RIDE - A forward pace influence, he has to hit the go button from the far outside post, where will be unless Mugatu draws in. He chased a lively pace in the Blue Grass, and it did not work out well as he receded in the stretch and did not join Sierra Leone and Just a Touch as they led the gallop-out. Difficult to see him around at the finish, especially if Fierceness to his inside fires.
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           AE 22 MUGATU - In case Mugatu gets in, I can't help but notice he is very experienced with 12 starts; however, he has earned only $80,570 in the process. The $14,000 son of Blofeld has definitely improved this year, and anything is possible, but I will omit him from my wagering if he runs.
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           Good luck everyone, and as my friend Roxy Roxborough says, "May the odds be with you."
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           SAMPLE TRIFECTA BET
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           #17 FIERCENESS
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           with
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           #2 SIERRA LEONE
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           #4 CATCHING FREEDOM
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           #6 JUST STEEL
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           #11 FOREVER YOUNG
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           #19 RESILIENCE
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           with
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           #2 SIERRA LEONE
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           #3 MYSTIK DAN
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           #4 CATCHING FREEDOM
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           #5 CATALYTIC
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           #6 JUST STEEL
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           #7 HONOR MARIE
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           # 8 JUST A TOUCH
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           #11 FOREVER YOUNG
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           #12 TRACK PHANTOM
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           #19 RESILIENCE
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           A total of 45 bets.
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      <pubDate>Fri, 03 May 2024 01:31:08 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Si's Selections for Kentucky Derby 150</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-150-chapin</link>
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           Si's Selections for Kentucky Derby 150
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            #2 SIERRA LEONE (3-1) Gaffalione/Brown. Brown's first Derby WIN.
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            #7 HONOR MARIE (20-1) Curtis/Beckman. Nearing peak.
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            #18 STRONGHOLD (20-1) Fresu/D Amato. Improved to win SA Derby.
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            #19 RESILIENCE (20-1) Alvarado/Mott. Mott wants the ROSES.
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            #4 CATCHING FREEDOM (8-1) Prat/Cox. Strong closer.
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            The LOUISVILLE LONG SHOT of the Day: #14 ENDLESSLY (30+-1) Rispoli/McCarthy. They say he can't run on the DIRT ??? We'll find out!
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            Good luck, Si   
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      <pubDate>Fri, 03 May 2024 01:13:19 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-150-chapin</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: May 2, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-2-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Thursday, May 2, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic went to the track Thursday shortly after the start of the 7:30 a.m. training period for Oaks and Derby horses.
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           With regular exercise rider Olaf Hernandez aboard, the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up galloped a mile-and-a-half for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. 
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           “He also stood in the starting gate before his gallop,” said Joseph, who’s waiting to see the weather to map out his Friday training plans.
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           “It’s undecided,” Joseph said. “He’s scheduled to go to the track. If it rains, he might walk tomorrow. If the track’s good, he’ll go to the track. If the track’s nasty, he’ll just walk.”
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           Jose Ortiz will ride the lightly raced colt in the Derby from post 5. In the Derby advance wagering after two days, Catalytic is 40-1.
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/JUST A TOUCH – A host of “Team Cox” supporters were on hand Thursday to watch Albaugh Family Stables’ Catching Freedom along with Qatar Racing, Resolute Racing and Marc Detampel’s Just a Touch gallop at 7:30 a.m.
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           Trainer Brad Cox, who watched his horses train from the clocker stand near the five-eighths pole simply said, “Perfect.”
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           Both horses are scheduled to school in the paddock Thursday afternoon.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE - Blue Grass Stakes (GI) winner Sierra Leone has been metronomic in his training, going about his daily routine without a hitch and with eye-catching ability. The son of Gun Runner kept up that trend Thursday morning, coming out during the 7:30 a.m. training period and getting into another solid gallop twice around the Churchill Downs oval.
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           As has also been standard, stablemate and fellow Kentucky Derby entrant Domestic Product emerged after his comrade put in his morning work, coming onto the track just after 8 a.m. and galloping about 1 1/2 miles under the watch of trainer Chad Brown.
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           “Obviously we’re getting into the last couple days of training here,” Brown said. “My Oaks horses are done, the Derby horses will have one more routine gallop tomorrow. Sierra Leone looks super and I feel (Domestic Product) is flying under the radar a bit too. I was very pleased with both gallops. These horses both have so much energy and they’re moving well. In my position as a trainer that’s really all you can ask for.”
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           On hand to watch Sierra Leone Thursday morning was one of Brown’s top clients, Peter Brant, who owns the colt along with Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Brook Smith, and Westerberg. Brant owned a share of Claiborne Farm's 1984 Kentucky Derby winner Swale and has been impressed by Sierra Leone from Day One, as evidenced by the colt’s $2.3 million price tag as a yearling. 
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           “He is a special horse and I’m confident that he should be here,” Brant said. “It is a difficult race (the Kentucky Derby). You have to have a good trip, you have to have a good rider, it’s all very complicated. But I’m just proud of him to be here. It’s one of those situations where an outstanding individual like him comes along and he runs to what he looks like, that doesn’t always happen.
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           “A lot of times you buy an expensive horse like that and they can’t run. We’re very, very lucky he’s made it this far and Chad has done a fantastic job. He wouldn’t bring the horse here if he didn’t feel he was up to it. We’re looking forward to this race but also looking forward to the future of taking care of this horse.”
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Though he considered giving the colt a walk day Thursday, trainer Danny Gargan opted to send Remsen (GII) and Fountain of Youth Stakes (GII) winner Dornoch out for a jog early as he readies for what is expected to be a front-running effort in the Kentucky Derby.
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           With the son of Good Magic set to have to gun it out of post No. 1 in the Derby, Gargan may give Dornoch a walk day Friday in an effort to have him extra sharp come Saturday. His stablemate Society Man meanwhile did hit the track for his gallop and gate schooling Thursday, with plans to gallop Friday as well.
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           “They both looked great on the track I thought,” Gargan said. “Dornoch just had an easy morning, he went around there one time. We’ve walked him more going into some of his races but it is the Derby. Tomorrow, I’ll make the decision what we’re going to do but most likely he’ll walk because we want him to show speed. Society Man will go out and train. But I’m pleased with both of them.”
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           On Wednesday, Gargan had famed farrier Ian McKinlay come and lace up a quarter crack on Dornoch’s right front foot, an issue the colt has had dating back to his juvenile season. Gargan said the quarter crack is not something that has impacted Dornoch’s training or running previously, adding there have been no signs of any heat or lameness. 
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           “He’s had it since has was 2,” Gargan said of the quarter crack. “It’s just routine what we do, Ian has always done him up. We’re coming into the Derby and we looked at it last week and Ian said he’d be good. We ended up putting one more lace in the top of it. But he looks great, no heat, he jogs beautifully. It’s something he’s had, it’s been there. But he ran with it and won three races with it. We’re pleased with how it looks right now.”
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           Dornoch has been in a three-quarter shoe but Gargan said he will be shod with a full shoe Saturday morning. 
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            ENDLESSLY – It was basic training business for Amerman Racing’s Endlessly Thursday morning at Churchill Downs, nothing fancy. The dark homebred son of Oscar Performance took part in the 7:30-7:45 training period for Oaks and Derby runners with regular exercise rider Walter Davilia in the irons.
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           The jockey who’ll handle him on Saturday – Umberto Rispoli – was on hand as an observer and joined trainer Michael McCarthy trackside to watch the colt go through a smooth gallop of about a mile and a quarter.  
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           “No more standing in the gate, no more trips to the paddock,” McCarthy said. “We’re all done with that. The only thing we want to do now is keep him happy.” 
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           EPIC RIDE – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride jogged in the mile chute under Sophie Doyle during the 7:30-7:45 training period for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Third in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, Epic Ride was entered in the Kentucky Derby last Saturday as an also eligible and made the main body of the race when Encino was scratched this week.
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           Trainer John Ennis took the uncertainty of whether Epic Ride would be in the Derby in stride.
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           “I don’t get anxious or nervous,” Ennis said. “The only aim is to get the horse to the race in the best shape possible. We are happy with everything and this morning he just bounced off the track.”
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable’s Fierceness, 2023’s 2-year-old champion, followed pattern and sauntered down to the racetrack for the 7:30 start of the special training session with regular exercise rider Danny Wright on board. The handsome City of Light colt galloped a mile and one half, then made a visit to the starting gate for the second day in a row.  
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           “He’s good there (the gate),” Wright said. “Just in and out.” 
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           Overseeing the colt’s activities were trainer Todd Pletcher, owner Mike Repole with family members and barn friend and favorite Avery Johnson, the basketball player, coach and commentator.  
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           Fierceness has been assigned post 17 for Saturday’s 150th Kentucky Derby, a race where he has been tabbed as the 5-2 morning line favorite. Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez will be in the saddle. 
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute under training assistant  Yusaku Oka and then galloped a mile and a half before returning to the chute to cool down before walking back to the Quarantine Barn.
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           Trained by Yoshito Yahagi, the undefeated Forever Young will be partnered as usual by Ryusei Sakai in Derby 150. Sakai is scheduled to return to Louisville tonight from Japan.
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           Forever Young is scheduled to be on the track at 5:15 Friday morning.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First galloped a mile and a quarter under Amel Macias for trainer Victor Barboza Jr.
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           Barboza said Grand Mo the First would school in the paddock this afternoon with horses in the fourth race and would train early Friday morning.
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           Emisael Jaramillo has the mount Saturday.
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eiserman, Earl Silver, Kenneth Fishbein and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie had his normal 1 ½-mile gallop Thursday morning regular rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           Trainer Whit Beckman, who made it back to the track following five days in the hospital, said his condition was slowly improving and hopes to be at the Derby.
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           JUST STEEL – After coming onto the track just before 5:30 a.m. with D. Wayne Lukas leading the way, Just Steel checked off another day of routine training with a gallop twice around under the lights. 
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           “Everything’s good,” said Brian Coelho, who co-owns Just Steel in partnership with his friend John Bellinger. “It’s nerve wracking at this point, but it’s exiting at the same time.”
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           While Just Steel is not the most accomplished of the Derby entrants in terms of wins, he has it over most of his comrades in terms of experience. In throwback fashion, the son of Justify made seven starts during his 2-year-old season. He broke his maiden going six furlongs at Saratoga last August and earned his lone stakes win when he captured the 6 ½-furlong Ed Brown at Churchill Downs last November. 
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           “He’s just an incredibly impressive horse who has competed at the pinnacle of his sport for the duration of his career,” said jockey Keith Asmussen, who guided Just Steel to his runner-up effort in the Arkansas Derby (GI) and will be aboard the colt on Saturday. “He broke his maiden at Saratoga, won the Ed Brown here, and has raced at every prep at Oaklawn. A horse that has his mindset and ability as a competitor, it’s hard not to have a bunch of confidence in him.”
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           MYSTIK DAN –Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan was out Thursday for trainer Kenny McPeek for a typical gallop of about a mile and three-eighths with  Robby Albarado, a former jockey who regularly rides for McPeek and was available for the workout.
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           “It was a regular gallop, he’s doing fine,” said McPeek, whose colt will start from post 3 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard.
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           After two days of advance wagering, the winner of the Southwest Stakes (GIII) and third-place finisher in the Arkansas Derby (GI) – both at Oaklawn Park – was a 27-1 proposition for the Kentucky Derby.
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           RESILIENCE – Wood Memorial Stakes (GII) winner Resilience put in another easy gallop Thursday morning, visiting the paddock and then going about 1 3/8 miles under the watch of trainer Bill Mott. 
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           “Everything’s good,” Mott said. 
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           With the scratch of Encino out to the race, Resilience will move in one spot in the gate and break from the No. 18 post.
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           STRONGHOLD – “We got on it real early; got him a good mile and a half gallop and he’s doing good.” 
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               That was trainer Phil D’Amato speaking about his Kentucky Derby charge Stronghold on Thursday following a training session that unfolded shortly after the track opened at 5:15. The conditioner had given his Derby rider, Antonio Fresu, a leg up on his Ghostzapper colt and Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner and watched the twosome conduct their business on a fast Churchill Downs racing strip. 
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           “We’ll go out again early tomorrow and go a little lighter,” he said. “Then we’ll be all buttoned up.” 
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           At his Southern California base, D’Amato is seen as “the man,” working with his 100-plus stable, running several horses a day, often seen as the man to beat in many of the major stakes races. In Louisville this week, he’s just a guy with a horse and a hope. 
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           “I like being under the radar,” he said. “Anytime you don’t have that bullseye on your back, life is easier.”   
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute under jockey Kazushi Kimura and then galloped a mile and half with stablemate T O Saint Denis (JPN) and then returned to the chute to cool down before returning to the Quarantine Barn.
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           Looking on from the backstretch was trainer Daisuke Takayanagi, who seven years ago came to Churchill Downs to shadow trainer Dale Romans and to observe American training.
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           “I liked how his horses, when they would come out of the barn, he would take time with them and make them relax,” the 46-year-old Takayanagi said. “We can’t really do that as long in Japan, but it is something I would like to implement.”
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Lecomte Stakes (GIII) winner Track Phantom returned to his early morning training session Thursday for trainer Steve Asmussen and was under the watchful eye of co-owner Jerry Caroom.
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           “We’re thrilled to be a part of the Derby,” Caroom said. “It’s a fun week and we’re having a blast so far.”
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga galloped a mile and a half under Donte Lowery for trainer Larry Demeritte during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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           West Saratoga is housed in Barn 42, the same barn that the winner of the first Derby Demeritte saw in person came out of.
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           “Seattle Slew in 1977,” Demeritte said. “We were almost in that Derby. Oscar Dishman had Silver Series that year and he drew the 14 hole for the Fountain of Youth and he shouldn’t have run that day.”
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           Silver Series finished 10
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            in that race and the Derby dream ended.
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           “They had similar running styles, go to the front,” Demeritte said. “He went on to win the Ohio Derby, American Derby and was third in the Travers.”
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           Silver Series earned nearly $600,000 in his career that included six stakes wins.
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           “It is an interesting field this year,” Demeritte said. “But then I am paying a little more attention to it.”
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           West Saratoga has been ridden in his past two starts by Jesus Castanon, who will be aboard Saturday.
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           Castanon has had one previous Derby mount, that coming in 2011 on Shackleford. Trained by Dale Romans, Shackleford set the pace and had the lead at the eighth pole only to be overtaken by Animal Kingdom and finish fourth, 3 ¾ lengths behind the winner.
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           “I thought I was going to win it,” Castanon said Thursday morning. “It would have been my first Grade One. He wasn’t tired and I didn’t think anybody was going to come from behind (and get us). I was celebrating. In my mind, I was going crazy.”
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Average Joe Racing Stables and Dan Wells’ Mugatu (No. 21) galloped a mile and a half under Joe Talamo for trainer Jeff Engler. Mugatu would need one defection from the Derby field of 20 to move into the main body of the race.
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           Scratch time for the Kentucky Derby is 9 a.m. Friday and if Mugatu does not get in the race, Engler’s Plan B is to probably work Mugatu Sunday morning and then ship to New York that afternoon or Monday for the $200,000 Peter Pan (GIII) run at 1 1/8 miles on May 11 at Aqueduct.
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           THE KENTUCKY DERBY FIELD – Here is the field for the 150
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            running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I) in order of post positions (with rider and morning line odds): Dornoch (Luis Saez, 20-1), Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, 3-1),  Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1), Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, 8-1), Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, 30-1), Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, 20-1), Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, 20-1), Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, 10-1), Encino (Axel Concepcion, SCRATCHED), T O Password (JPN) (Kazuski Kimura, 30-1), Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai. 10-1), Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, 20-1), West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, 30-1), Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, 30-1), Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., 30-1), Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, 50-1), Fierceness (John Velasquez, 5-2), Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, 20-1), Resilience (Junior Alvarado, 20-1), Society Man (Frankie Dettori, 50-1); Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, 50-1). Also Eligible: Mugatu (Joe Talamo, 50-1). All starters will carry 126 pounds
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           EVERLAND – Foster Family Racing, William Wargel, R.K. Eckrich Racing and Maxis Stable’s Everland, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start for trainer Eric Foster, walked the shedrow Thursday.
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           “She’s doing great, everything’s good, wish we could run the race today,” said Foster, who scored an upset win Wednesday in the featured $291,000 William Walker Stakes with 29-1 Joe Shiesty. Abel Cedillo, who was that winning jockey, also will ride Everland in the Oaks.
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           “We came in here ready, and we’re not going to change a whole lot,” Foster said. “We’re already fit. Gallop yesterday, walk today, win tomorrow.”
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           Foster claimed the daughter of Arrogate for $30,000 on Dec. 30, 2023, at Turfway Park. Everland is 44-1 after two days of advance wagering and will start from post 9.
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           FIONA’S MAGIC – Stonehedge LLC’s homebred Fiona’s Magic jogged a mile and visited the paddock under Alejandro Mariano.
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           “Our on-track training is done,” trainer Michael Yates said. “She won’t go to the track in the morning.”
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           A winner of three of six starts, including the Davona Dale (GII), Fiona’s Magic will exit post 6 under Luis Saez, who will be aboard for the first time.
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           “I just want to see her break clean and go from there,” Yates said of what he was looking for Friday.
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           Should Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners’ Candied draw into the race off the also-eligible list, Saez would have that mount. Yates has John Velazquez on standby, if necessary.
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa both galloped about 1 ½ miles Thursday at 7:30 a.m. for trainer Brad Cox.
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           “They’re doing as good as you can hope leading into the Oaks,” Cox said. “It’s a solid group of fillies this year and we’re looking forward to the race.”
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne was on the track Thursday at the 7:30 a.m. training time for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           “She galloped about a mile-and-three-eighths with Adelso Orantes,” Wilkes said. “All good with her.”
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            Jockey Julian Leparoux will ride Into Champagne, the third-place finisher in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII). She has finished in the money in her four career starts with Leparoux.
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           The filly drew post 10 but will move in one spot with the scratch of Tapit Jenallie. She was bet down to 36-1 after two days of advance wagering.
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           JUST F Y I – George Krikorian’s reigning champion juvenile filly Just F Y I continues to train as impressively as any Oaks or Derby contender, putting in another gallop twice around Thursday where she was on the muscle. 
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           The daughter of Justify certainly brings fresh legs to the table for the Oaks as she has had just one start this year, a runner-up finish in the Ashland Stakes (GI) at Keeneland.
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           “She’s moving great,” trainer Bill Mott said. “When she had that race in the Ashland, I think it was a little wake-up call. You lay those horses up five months and they get a little rusty, but I think she kind of realizes she’s back in the game.”
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           Rain is in the forecast for Oaks day, but an off track shouldn’t be an issue for Just F Y I. The bay filly won the Frizette Stakes (GI) at Saratoga last October over a sealed, sloppy surface. 
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           LEMON MUFFIN - For the second straight day, Honeybee Stakes (GIII) winner Lemon Muffin jogged once around and in the chute after coming onto the track with stablemate and Derby entrant, Just Steel.
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           Trainer D. Wayne Lukas has been jogging the filly in an effort to keep her energy contained after a swift final workout (:58.20 for five furlongs) on Saturday and strong gallop two days ago.
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           LESLIE’S ROSE/CANDIED – The two potential Kentucky Oaks fillies that train out of the Todd Pletcher barn took advantage of the special 7:30-7:45 training session available for runners pointing for the Kentucky Derby or the Kentucky Oaks.  
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           Leslie’s Rose, who is assured a spot in the 14-horse field for the nine-furlong classic tomorrow, had regular exercise rider Joel Osorio in the saddle. Candied, who is on the also-eligible list and will need one defection from the race prior to the 9 a.m. Friday scratch time, had exercise rider Carlos Quevedo aboard.  
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           “She went nice and easy today,” Osorio said of Leslie’s Rose and her mile and a half gallop. “She’s feeling very good.” 
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           Leslie’s Rose will break from post 13 Friday at approximately 5:51 p.m. Regular rider Irad Ortiz Jr. has the call.  
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            OUR PRETTY WOMAN – Courtlandt Farm’s Our Pretty Woman drew into the Longines Kentucky Oaks field following the defection of Tapit Jenallie.
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           Trained by Steve Asmussen, Our Pretty Woman galloped about 1 ½ miles Thursday at 5:30 a.m.
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           POWER SQUEEZE – Lea Farms’ Kentucky-bred Power Squeeze was out on the Churchill Downs track Thursday with exercise rider Edwin Castro for trainer Jorge Delgado.
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           “She went out and galloped her mile-and-a-half,” Delgado said. “Just one more day. With the scratch (of Tapit Jenallie), that changes the race a little.”
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           Power Squeeze could extend her win streak to five if the upset winner of the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) prevails in the Kentucky Oaks. The filly, who is a 11-1 betting choice after two days of advance wagering, drew post 12 with Daniel Centeno in the field of 14, but the scratch will move Power Squeeze one stall closer to the rail.
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS -- With all the hard work behind them, the Chad Brown’s Oaks duo of Regulatory Risk and Ways and Means both put in their final gallops ahead of Friday’s signature test for 3-year-old fillies. 
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           With rain in the forecast for Oaks day, Ways and Means may be faced with running over a wet track for the first time in her career. Regulatory Risk caught a sealed, sloppy track in the Busher Stakes at Aqueduct March 2 in which she finished fifth. 
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           “They’re both doing really well but we’re watching the weather I guess,” Brown said. “These horses don’t have much experience in the wet, particularly Ways and Means, who is the stronger half of the entry. But she is doing super and I do expect her to run well.”
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie was withdrawn from Friday’s Oaks because of a slight injury, trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. said Thursday morning.
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           “She’s having a little problem with her back end, and we felt like she’s just too nice of a filly to do anything detrimental to her health,” Milligan said.
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           The trainer said that he first noticed something was a little off the last couple of days, but that the situation didn’t clear up.
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           “It’s very disappointing, very disheartening, but that’s how this game is,” he said. “She’s been doing really well, and been training really well. It showed up one morning while I was galloping her, and it’s there.”
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           Milligan said they’ll regroup and plan out an altered racing schedule for her 3-year-old season.
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           “We’re going to give her a little more time, maybe a 30-day break, let her eat some grass, then re-evaluate and see what we need to do,” said Milligan, who was training Tapit Jenallie to be his first Oaks starter.
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna went out Thursday morning for a gallop with her Oaks rider, Brian Hernandez Jr.
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           After two days of advance wagering, the easy winner of the Fantasy (GII) at Oaklawn Park is the 2-1 favorite.
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           “She galloped a mile-and-a-half, the usual stuff,” said trainer Kenny McPeek, who was one of several trainers on hand Wednesday night at the Davenport Derby Dash to support Bellarmine University Basketball.
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           Thorpedo Anna, winner of three of her four career starts with Hernandez, drew post 5 for the Oaks.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Gazelle (GIII) winner Where’s My Ring took care of business relatively early Thursday morning, going trackside with exercise rider David Rodriguez up at 6:20 for a two-mile jog around the big oval. 
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           Trainer Val Brinkerhoff took the filly to the track, then watched her stretch her legs from the clocker’s stand on the backside. They were back at Barn 30 shortly thereafter. 
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           “We got her out early today to beat the heat (it has been in the 80s in Louisville of late),” Brinkerhoff said. “She’s as ready as she can be. We’re just hoping for a good trip tomorrow.” 
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           The Twirling Candy filly will break from post 2 in the 14-horse Oaks lineup with veteran rider Jose Lezcano once again at the controls.  
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            SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here is the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) in order of post position (with jockey and morning line odds): The field for the Kentucky Oaks, from the rail out with riders and morning line odds, is:
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           Tapit Jenallie (SCRATCHED),
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            Gin Gin (Florent Geroux, 30-1), Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, 15-1), Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, 20-1), Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., 5-1), Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, 30-1), Fiona’s Magic (Luis Saez, 30-1), Tarifa (Flavien Prat, 7-2), Everland (Abel Cedillo, 30-1), Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, 30-1), Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, 5-1), Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, 12-1), Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, 9-2), Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., 4-1), Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, 15-1). Also-eligible: Candied (Luis Saez, 20-1).
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      <pubDate>Thu, 02 May 2024 17:30:58 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-2-2024</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: May 1, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-1-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Wednesday, May 1, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic was back on the track Wednesday at 7:30 a.m., with regular exercise rider Olaf Hernandez aboard.
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           Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. had the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up gallop a mile-and-a-half. Later Wednesday, “He’s going to school in the paddock during race two this afternoon,” Joseph said. “Tomorrow, he’ll gallop again, and maybe school in the paddock, depending on how today goes.”
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           “All is well with him,” said Joseph, who will give a leg up to Jose Ortiz in the Derby. He’ll leave the post 5. “He’s been handling everything very well so far.”
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/JUST A TOUCH – It was a lively morning at Brad Cox’s Barn 22 with several ownership interests from Catching Freedom and Just a Touch watching their Derby contenders train.
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            The duo is scheduled to school in the paddock during the races Thursday.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE -- It was another routine morning for the Chad Brown-trained duo of Blue Grass Stakes (GI) winner Sierra Leone and Klaravich Stables’ Domestic Product. Sierra Leone came out at his customary time during the 7:30 a.m. training period, galloping twice around over the Churchill Downs track.
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           Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) winner Domestic Product put in his training just after 8 a.m., galloping with good energy and even giving Brown an anxious moment when he reared coming off the track.
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           “The horses look super,” Brown said. “(Domestic Product) actually came off on his hind legs and had me a little scared. He seems to conserve his energy so much. He’s really coming into the race the right way.”
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           Among the many onlookers at the Brown barn Wednesday morning was Brook Smith, whose happy visage has been a constant presence whenever Sierra Leone, whom he co-owns, goes to the track. The Louisville resident has been a popular spokesperson for the son of Gun Runner he owns 16 percent of in partnership with Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith and Westerberg as he enjoys his first venture as a Kentucky Derby owner.
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           Through a business investment with a sports entertainment insurance company in London, England, Smith was able to connect with the principles of Coolmore Stud.      That relationship grew to the point where Smith was asked if he would be willing to partner with the group on a couple of purchases. He was on a plane when the bidding for Sierra Leone was taking place during the 2022 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Select Yearling Sale and when the final price hammered down at $2.3 million, the entrepreneur had no idea how massive the dividends would be coming at him.
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           “I got to know the (Coolmore) folks here in Kentucky and then I went to Ireland and had a lunch and spent a day at the farm there, which was unbelievable,” Smith said. "They asked if I wanted to partner with them on some high-end yearlings and I wasn’t going to miss that opportunity. They’ve been incredible, just lots of fun. 
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           “I’m just kind of soaking it in still. I know waking up on Derby Day and heading to the track will be a lot different than it’s ever been before. I’m excited. I’m anxious but at the same time I’m more excited because if he runs his race, it’s going to be exciting.”
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           Quick with a grin and welcoming word, Smith has had his already ebullient nature cranked into overdrive since Sierra Leone cemented himself among the Derby favorites on the strength of his victory in the Blue Grass Stakes. He is determined to share the moment literally and figuratively as he has pledged 10 percent of the colt’s earnings to Churchill Downs’ Backside Learning Center with plans to contribute an additional $100,000 to BLC should Sierra Leone prevail. 
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           “You have horses who are winning and if you just give a small percentage of the purse to the backside, it’s that simple,” Smith said. “A little bit moves the needle significantly.”
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           Smith has been generous with both his intentions and his time in the lead up to the 150th Kentucky Derby. He admits to being awestruck by the entire experience, one that already ranks among his significant involvements personally and professionally. 
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           “I don’t know what’s going to happen next week. I guess if (Sierra Leone) gets there, the high will continue,” Smith said. “And even if it doesn’t, if he runs a big race and doesn’t win it’s still going to be one of the most memorable things of my life.”
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Fountain of Youth Stakes (GII) winner Dornoch and Wood Memorial Stakes (GII) runner-up Society Man switched things up Wednesday morning with Dornoch coming out before 6 o’clock to train this time while his stablemate hit the track for a gallop and gate schooling during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           “I wanted to school at the gate and I only have one rider so one will train early,” trainer Danny Gargan said. “Society Man did the gate today and I don’t know if I’ll take him again tomorrow. He trained really well today at that time and Dornoch looked good. I’m pleased with how my horses are doing. I think I have two super sound horses and they’re both training good. Just have to take it day by day.”
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           Gargan has often given Dornoch two walk days leading into some of his races, saying it hones the son of Good Magic’s early speed. That may be the plan again heading into Saturday’s Kentucky Derby, although Gargan said he is still deciding whether to send the bay colt to the track Thursday. 
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           “Dornoch sometimes walks a couple days going into a race. It makes him sharper out of the gate,” Gargan explained. "I don’t know exactly what I’m doing with him. He could walk and he could train. I’ll think about it tonight. But all the races that he’s broke good and come out of the gate on the lead, we’ve walked him two days into it. So there is a big chance he’ll walk. Society Man we want to break and settle, so he’ll train every day. He’ll train through Friday.”
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           ENDLESSLY – Trainer Michael McCarthy will be saddling “his” first Kentucky Derby starter this Saturday in Amerman Racing’s Endlessly. 
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            But, as the phrase goes, this won’t be his first rodeo. 
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            For nearly 10 years, the California native came east to work as the chief assistant to Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher and was on board for the barn’s extensive run of Kentucky Derby starters. Between 2006 and 2012, McCarthy helped Pletcher saddle no fewer than 19 runners for the Run for the Roses, including the stable’s first score in the big one with Super Saver in 2010. 
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            In 2014, with a want to be with his wife and young daughter back in California, McCarthy took a huge gamble and stepped away from the Pletcher gravy train to condition two horses of his own on the West Coast. 
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           Through a lot of hard work “and a bit of luck,” he now oversees a stable of some 100 horses, including more than a few stakes types, and will have his own Derby runner in Endlessly. 
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           Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs he was trackside at 7:30 to watch his Oscar Performance colt go through a mile and three-eighths gallop with Walter Davila in the tack. 
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            “He looks good,” a fan offered as the four-time stakes winner cruised by. 
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           “That’s him,” McCarthy offered back. “If he didn’t look good, I’d be worried. But he’s looking good.” 
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            West Coast rider Umberto Rispoli will get a leg up from McCarthy Saturday, then break from post 14 in the 20-horse Derby lineup. 
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           EPIC RIDE – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride visited the starting gate and then jogged in the mile chute under Sophie Doyle for trainer John Ennis.
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           “We will probably do all of our work down there the rest of the week,” Ennis said. “He’s sharp now and he stood in the gate quiet as a church mouse this morning.”
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           Epic Ride drew into the main body of the race Tuesday when Encino was scratched from the Derby. Epic Ride will exit post 20, the same spot Rich Strike came out of when he registered his 80-1 shocker two years ago.
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           Adam Beschizza, who has ridden Epic Ride in all five of his starts, has the mount in Derby 150. It will be the second Derby ride for Beschizza, who piloted Enforceable to a seventh-place finish in the 2020 Run for the Roses.
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           “He will get him to where he is comfortable,” Ennis said of coming out of the 20 hole.
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           Epic Ride is scheduled to school in the paddock this afternoon with horses in the third race.
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            FIERCENESS – Trainer Todd Pletcher, he of the eight Eclipse Awards as the nation’s top trainer, the Hall of Fame credentials and the two Kentucky Derby winners, will be saddling Kentucky Derby 150’s favorite Saturday in Repole Stable’s Fierceness. 
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            The man has been down this road before – has he ever. 
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            Fierceness, 2023’s 2-year-old champion, will be the record-extending 65th starter for the 56-year-old native of Dallas. Since he saddled his first Derby starters in 2000, the champion trainer has missed only one year (2003) in which he hasn’t had a least one starter in the world’s most famous horse race. 
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            Twice (2007, 2013) he has started five runners in the field. Four other times (2000, 2015, 2018, 2021) he had four entered. On four additional occasions (2005, 2015, 2017, 2022) he sent out three entrants. 
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            So this year he has only the one possibility in the City of Light colt he’ll tack up for a mile and a quarter journey under veteran John Velazquez. But it’s a very good possibility, as his 5-2 morning line favoritism in the field of 20 tells you. 
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            Wednesday morning Pletcher had Fierceness on the Churchill oval at 7:30 under Danny Wright for a mile-and-a-quarter tour of the oval, followed by a jog down to the starting gate in the mile chute where the dark bay youngster practiced entering a version of the 20-hole gate he’ll see Saturday. Pletcher was nearby to make sure all went well. It did and a return to Barn 39 followed shortly thereafter.   
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) walked in the mile chute for 15 minutes and then had a paddock schooling session in which training assistant Yusaku Oka was replaced in the saddle for two laps around by trainer Yoshito Yahagi.
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           “I’m very proud to represent Japan at Kentucky Derby 150,” Yahagi said. “American horse racing is very tough. I always have so much respect for American horses. My horse had a great morning yesterday for his breeze and I’m very pleased with how he did it. We did many things to prepare for kickback but that’s all secret.”
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           Forever Young had worked five furlongs in 1:03 over a “good” track Tuesday morning. He completed his Wednesday morning activity by walking back to the Quarantine Barn.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First spent part of the walking in the grassy area behind Barn 41 and giving fans on their way into the track for Dawn at the Downs a real up-close look at a Kentucky Derby runner.
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           “No grass at Gulfstream Park (in the barn area),” trainer Victor Barboza Jr. said.
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           Once on the track, exercise rider Amel Macias took Grand Mo the First to the starting gate where he stood to the satisfaction of Barboza and then galloped a mile and a half.
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           Emisael Jaramillo, who has ridden Grand Mo the First in four of his six starts including his two victories, has the Derby mount. Jaramillo is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Friday night after riding at Gulfstream Park.
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eiserman, Earl Silver, Kenneth and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie galloped 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. Wednesday under regular rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           Jockey Ben Curtis was on hand to watch his Derby contender train.
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           “It’s a fun week being involved with the Kentucky Derby,” Curtis said. “I’m excited to get to Saturday, though.”
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            This will be the first mount in the Derby for Curtis.
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           JUST STEEL – About 10 minutes after the track opened at 5:15 a.m., D. Wayne Lukas and his distinctive pony were on the scene leading Just Steel out for his routine gallop. Lukas stated he has been watching the energy level of the colt since his half-mile breeze in :50.40 on April 28 and has been encouraged by what he has seen since. 
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           “Everything went smooth, he had good energy,” Lukas said. “We’re now in the keep-them-happy stage. And I’m happy.”
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           At this stage of his illustrious career, Lukas says his biggest satisfaction when it comes to the Derby is being able to bring his clients to Thoroughbred’s biggest stage. The latest success story in that respect is Brian Coelho, who co-owns Just Steel in partnership with his friend John Bellinger. 
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           Coelho, who is based in California and is president and CEO of Central Valley Meat Company, only got involved in the Thoroughbred industry three years ago. Bellinger had a mutual friend with Lukas and after some discussion, they decided to get their feet wet in the game by buying some yearlings at the 2022 Keeneland September sale.
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           Among the youngsters that caught their eye was a big-framed son of Justify out of the Eaton Sales consignment. The colt who would become Just Steel was hammered down for $500,000 by BC Stables -- the nom de course of Coelho and Bellinger’s operation. With Lukas giving both his equine protege and his new clients an education along the way, Just Steel ran himself into the upper ranks of the sophomore division with runner-up finishes in the Southwest Stakes (GII) and Arkansas Derby (GI).
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           “Being able to be here, it’s a dream come true and in such a short period of time,” Coelho said. “We searched out some good horses. We identified (Just Steel) at the Keeneland September sale and he had great structure and a great pedigree to start with. Just a good sound horse, good body, big frame and he’s really developed well. We feel very fortunate and are just trying to enjoy the moment.”
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           Joking that he does nothing halfway, Coelho says that he now owns 21-22 horses. He recognizes how fortune he has been during this whirlwind journey to racing’s promise land and gives full credit to his legendary conditioner for making an improbable opportunity come to fruition.
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           “It’s very rare,” Coelho said of his experience. “The amount of knowledge with Mr. Lukas and spending the time with him learning the sport, it's been amazing just to sit and talk with him and learn so much from him. He’s always available, it’s been a great learning experience the last few years for sure.”
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           MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan was out for trainer Kenny McPeek for a typical gallop of about a mile and three-eighths with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. on Wednesday, along with a little gate schooling.
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           “We stood him in the gate for like a minute, 45 seconds, to kind of simulate what’s going to happen Saturday,” Hernandez said. “Then we popped him out and let him go for about a sixteenth of a mile. Then he came back to us and trained well. It seems like he’s ready to go.”
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           “We just did a little gate schooling, since we drew inside,” said McPeek, whose colt will start from the post 3 with Hernandez. “We wanted to make sure we leave there clean. We don’t want to leave there flat-footed.”
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           The scratching of Encino could make a difference in the Derby. “I do think he was a little speed in there,” McPeek said. “I’m not sure how that will unfold.”
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           RESILIENCE – It was a “thumbs up” kind of morning for trainer Bill Mott as he watched Wood Memorial Stakes (GII) winner Resilience complete his latest day of training without a hitch days out from the Kentucky Derby.
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           As has been the standard routine for Resilience, he and champion stablemate Just F Y I visited the paddock and then took to the Churchill Downs track. The son of Into Mischief galloped twice around the oval with Mott keeping watch from his pony. 
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           In addition to fielding multiple questions about his latest Kentucky Derby contender, Mott still gets asked about how he would feel to have one of his proteges actually cross the wire first in the 10-furlong classic. Mott famously won the Derby with Country House in 2019 when the colt was elevated to the victory after Maximum Security was disqualified because of interference. 
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           Mott stated he was already feeling like a winner when Country House outran his 65-1 odds to hit the wire in second. Over the next 23 minutes that passed as the stewards reviewed the incident that led to the historic decision to take Maximum Security down, Mott remembers thinking a change in order in his favor was inevitable. 
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           “I was happy to win the other one the way we won it, it was fine. But actually if you’re competing you want to win -- and 99 percent of time you have to cross the wire first to get the victory,” the Hall of Fame trainer recalled. “There was some suspense. During that 23 minutes there was a TV in the tunnel and I went in the tunnel and the stewards were showing the view of the stretch run and it was becoming pretty obvious there would probably be a disqualification. 
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           “I think the stewards knew right away there would be a disqualification and what took a while was figuring out where to place (Maximum Security). He bothered 3-4 horses in the race. We didn’t get really get bothered in the race. We were thrilled the way our horses ran, even to be second, my son Riley and I were going down and you would have through we won the race.”
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            STRONGHOLD – Trainer Phil D’Amato was back from his two-day sojourn to his stable headquarters at Santa Anita Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs and gave his Kentucky Derby rider – Antonio Fresu – a leg up on his Santa Anita Derby winner Stronghold for an early tour of the track. 
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           The two went trackside just after 5:30 and took a mile and one-half gallop around the strip, then headed back to Barn 48. 
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           “I wanted to get (Fresu) up on him and let him get the lay of the land,” D’Amato said. “We’ll probably do the same thing tomorrow.” 
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           The Italian Fresu, who is making quite a name for himself with his riding exploits in Southern California, will be making his first start in the Kentucky Derby. That will be true, too, for D’Amato, as well as the colt’s owners and breeders, Eric and Sharon Waller. 
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           Saturday, Stronghold will come out of post 18 in the 20-horse lineup. 
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN), who worked a half-mile in :46.80 on Tuesday, walked in the mile chute for 15 minutes under jockey Kazushi Kimura and then walked to the paddock for a schooling session.
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           “I spent some time in North America and I’ll never forget the experience I had here learning from some great people like Dale Romans,” trainer Daisuke Takayanagi said. “It really helped my training career when I got back to Japan.
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            “(T O Password) had a long trip from Japan and I wanted to see how he’d do going a little faster than normal. I didn’t care about time, I wanted to see how he was moving. I was very pleased with how he was moving. He has only run two times but improved in his second start. I think he can keep improving.”
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           Following the paddock stop, T O Password walked back to the Quarantine Barn.
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Lecomte Stakes (GIII) winner Track Phantom galloped about 1 3/8 miles at 7:30 a.m. Wednesday and schooled at the starting gate, which is normal for most Steve Asmussen trainees on Wednesday.
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           Track Phantom is scheduled to school in the paddock during racing Wednesday.
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga visited the starting gate under exercise rider Donte Lowery and then galloped a mile and a half for trainer Larry Demeritte.
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           For Veruchi, the Derby experience is one to relish.
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           “I bought my first horse in 1982, and two weeks later he won at Centennial Racetrack in Littleton, Colorado,” Veruchi said. “I thought, this is easy. And now, to be here, who would have thought it. I don’t know anybody who has been in the Kentucky Derby or even anybody who has won a graded stake.”
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           ALSO ELIGIBLE – Average Joe Racing Stables and Dan Wells’ Mugatu (No. 21) galloped a mile and a half at 7:30 under jockey Joe Talamo for trainer Jeff Engler.
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           THE KENTUCKY DERBY FIELD – Here is the field for the 150
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            running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I) in order of post positions (with rider and morning line odds): Dornoch (Luis Saez, 20-1), Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, 3-1),  Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1), Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, 8-1), Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, 30-1), Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, 20-1), Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, 20-1), Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, 10-1),
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           Encino (Axel Concepcion, 20-1),
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            T O Password (JPN) (Kazuski Kimura, 30-1), Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai. 10-1), Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, 20-1), West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, 30-1), Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, 30-1), Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., 30-1), Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, 50-1), Fierceness (John Velasquez, 5-2), Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, 20-1), Resilience (Junior Alvarado, 20-1), Society Man (Frankie Dettori, 50-1); Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, 50-1). Also Eligible: Mugatu (Joe Talamo, 50-1). All starters will carry 126 pounds.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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            EVERLAND – Foster Family Racing, William Wargel, R.K. Eckrich Racing and Maxis Stable’s Everland, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start for trainer Eric Foster, went out for a gallop of about 1 1/16 miles Wednesday with her Oaks rider, Abel Cedillo.
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           “I know she’s going to run her race, if she transitions to the dirt,” said Foster, who has been in the horse business his entire life, other than about 10 years when he worked as a boilermaker. “We’re gonna find out Friday if she belongs. Going from the artificial to the dirt was my biggest concern. I always said that I’d never run in the Oaks or Derby just to run. Saying that, I think she has a legitimate shot.”
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           Foster claimed the daughter of Arrogate for $30,000 in a Dec. 30, 2023, race at Turfway Park.
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           "In claiming, it is a numbers game,” he said. “We try to pick the ones we like the breeding on, or the past performances.”
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           Foster couldn’t cite anything specific that he’s done which has made a difference in Everland’s rise from the claiming ranks to competing in one of the top graded stakes for 3-year-old fillies.
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           "There aren’t a lot of secrets out there,” he said. “She was getting beat, but I actually thought she put some effort in for most of her races. They’re the same as we are – you give a horse three, or four, or five chances at the upper level, and most of the time there’s just one thing to do to get their confidence up.
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           “I try to do the minimum, to keep it simple for the horse,” he added. “We just put her on our program, and try to keep her happy. All we do is take care of them so they last a long time. I try to do everything to keep them healthy to where they can keep running.”
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           Everland drew the post 9 for the Oaks, and was 30-1 on the morning line with Cedillo.
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           FIONA’S MAGIC – Stonehedge LLC’s homebred Fiona’s Magic had her morning routine switched up a bit Wednesday morning by trainer Michael Yates.
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           “Instead of breaking off when she came on the track, I took her over to the front side to let her get a look at all the people (for Dawn at the Downs),” Yates said. “Then she galloped about a mile and three-eighths.”
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           Alejandro Mariano was aboard Fiona’s Magic, who will be ridden in the Oaks by Luis Saez from post 7.
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa both galloped about 1 ½ miles Wednesday at 7:30 a.m. for trainer Brad Cox.
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne went to the track Wednesday at the 7:30 a.m. training time for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           “She galloped about a mile-and-three-eighths with her exercise rider, Adelso Orantes,” Wilkes said. Later in the morning, he said, she was going to be schooling in the paddock.
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           Jockey Julian Leparoux likes his chances in the Oaks with Into Champagne. The filly drew the post 10 and was bet down to 34-1 in advance wagering Tuesday.
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           “She doesn’t have any bad races, she’s always run good, so hopefully we get the trip, and we’ll see what happens,” he said.
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           JUST F Y I – George Krikorian’s champion filly Just F Y I had another standard morning for trainer Bill Mott, visiting the paddock before putting in her gallop over the main track.
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           Just F Y I capped off her 3-for-3 2-year-old season with a victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI). The daughter of Justify ran second to fellow Oaks contender Leslie’s Rose in the Ashland Stakes (GI) on April 5.
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           LEMON MUFFIN -- Trying to keep Lemon Muffin on the ground in recent days has been the challenge for Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas. To that end, the steel-colored daughter of Collected jogged once around the track and in the chute Wednesday in an effort to try and harness some of her abundant energy. 
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           “She galloped real strong again yesterday morning, she’s been doing a little too much in her mornings,” Lukas said. “That work the other day (five furlongs in :58.20) was all her. She came back the first day after that, we gave her a day off, and then the next day she was rolling around there again. But that’s her, that’s what we need to see.”
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           Jockey Keith Asmussen, who will be aboard Lemon Muffin in the Oaks, was on hand to watch his filly train Wednesday. As the young rider sat in Lukas’ office during the break, the Hall of Fame trainer let his pilot know “she’s a different horse than you rode last time.”
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           The last race Lukas was referring to was Lemon Muffin’s seventh-place run in the Fantasy Stakes (GII) on March 30, an effort he says he is drawing a line through.
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           “She never spiked a temperature that day but she wasn’t herself that day,” Lukas said. “She saddled quiet even. If she goes over there on Friday like she’s been this week, we’re in good shape.”
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            LESLIE’S ROSE/CANDIED – Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher’s Kentucky Oaks candidates – Leslie’s Rose and Candied – followed pattern Wednesday morning and galloped during the special training session between 7:30-7:45 at Churchill Downs on a lovely Kentucky morning. 
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            The trainer assigned the duo’s regular riders to handle the duties with Joel Osorio on Leslie’s Rose and Carlos Quevedo aboard Candied. 
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                Following their gallops of approximately a mile and one-quarter, the riders jogged their horses into the track’s mile chute and took turns standing them in the starting gate. Pletcher was nearby to see that all went well. Then it was back to Barn 39 for a bath and a snack. 
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           “All’s quiet,” the trainer noted. “Quiet is good.” 
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            Leslie’s Rose, the lukewarm favorite for the classic at 4-1, will break from post 14 in the full field for the nine-furlong Oaks Friday with regular rider Irad Ortiz Jr.
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           Candied is on the outside looking in. She’s on the also-eligible list and will need two defections from the body of the race to be a starter. 
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           POWER SQUEEZE – Lea Farms’ Kentucky-bred Power Squeeze went to a Churchill Downs track Wednesday for trainer Jorge Delgado, with exercise rider Edwin Castro.
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           “She just did her routine, and galloped a mile-and-a-half,” Delgado said. “She looked really good. She’s having some fun out there. I can’t wait until Friday. I just wish the race was this afternoon, and not two days away. People are noticing her now.”
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           If the upset winner of the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) captures the Kentucky Oaks, she’ll extend her win streak to five. The filly, bet down to 8-1 in advance wagering, breaks from the post 12 with Daniel Centeno.
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS -- Klaravich Stables’ Kentucky Oaks duo of Regulatory Risk and Ways and Means continued to go through their paces without drama. Each galloped twice around during the 7:30 a.m. training session Wednesday with trainer Chad Brown looking on. 
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie was out stretching her legs on Wednesday with trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. at 6 a.m. in preparation for Friday’s Oaks.
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           “We just jogged her two miles,” Milligan said. “Two days to go, if we’re not ready now, we’re not going to be ready. She’s blooming at the right time.”
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           Kevin Horton, who’s in charge of the stable started by his late father, was on hand to check out his filly’s progress.
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           “We’re looking forward to it,” he said. “Eddie’s done a great job getting her ready, he’s hands-on, that’s for sure. There aren’t many like him.”
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           The Horton stable has campaigned such Eclipse Award champions as Will Take Charge and Take Charge Brandi, and 2006 Kentucky Oaks winner Lemons Forever.
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           “He was fixing to retire on me, to go traveling with his wife,” Horton said of his trainer. “I just thought there was something better for him to do. We’ve had a good relationship, and he’s horseman so deep. Eddie’s first class, he’s on the horse every day, how can you get any better?”
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           In addition to Lemons Forever, the Horton stable finished third in the 2021 Oaks with Will’s Secret.
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           “We’re pretty excited, since we’re coming in under the radar,” Horton said. “She’s improved so much, and I think she’s gonna be a shocker to some people.”
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           Tapit Jenallie, who will start in the Oaks from post 1 with jockey Manny Esquivel, was 44-1 after Tuesday’s advance wagering for the Oaks.
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           “I’m a fan of the 1-hole, if you have a horse that breaks good,” Horton said. “She breaks good. One of those fears is going wide in the first turn and getting hung out. Well, there’s no reason to be wide if you’ve got the speed to get away.”
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna went out Wednesday morning for a gallop with another jockey that trainer Kenny McPeek regularly calls on, Robby Albarado.
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           "The filly galloped a mile-and-a-half, and stood in the gate, too,” McPeek said.
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           Thorpedo Anna, winner of three of her four career starts including the Fantasy Stakes (GII) at Oaklawn Park, drew the No. 5 post for the Oaks. The filly, who will have jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard, was bet down to the 5-2 favorite after Tuesday’s advance wagering.
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            WHERE’S MY RING – Trainer Val Brinkerhoff had a good problem on his hands Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs. His filly Where’s My Ring was scheduled to stretch her legs under exercise rider  David Rodriguez; just something simple was the plan. 
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           “She’s feelin’ good though, real good,” Brinkerhoff said. “I was just going to jog her around there one time, but now I might have to gallop her one, too.” 
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            The well-made daughter of Twirling Candy did just that during the special 7:30-7:45 training session for Oaks and Derby horses, proving to be part of the show put on for a large crowd on a sunny morning. 
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            Michael McMillan, the filly’s owner, was on hand for the activities. 
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           “She’s the first horse I ever bought,” the Las Vegas resident said. “It’s exciting being with her and coming up to a big race like the Oaks.” 
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            McMillan, whose business is medical billing, was living in Del Mar out in California and found himself going to the racetrack there looking for entertainment. He discovered that he and his family liked it and they decided to become involved. Now he owns eight horses on his own and shares parts of several others. 
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           “I just bought a home here in Simpsonville,” he said. “We’re going to shift our emphasis to Kentucky and race here. The purses are amazing and Val (Brinkerhoff) and I are going to set up shop.” 
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             ﻿
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            Where’s My Ring gave him a taste of big-time success last out when she captured the Gazelle (GIII) in New York and earned Kentucky Oaks points. Now New York rider Jose Lezcano will be back aboard the filly Friday as they take a big-time swing at the $1.5 million purse in the 150th Kentucky Oaks. 
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here is the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) in order of post position (with jockey and morning line odds): The field for the Kentucky Oaks, from the rail out with riders and morning line odds, is: Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, 30-1), Gin Gin (Florent Geroux, 30-1), Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, 15-1), Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, 20-1), Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., 5-1), Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, 30-1), Fiona’s Magic (Luis Saez, 30-1), Tarifa (Flavien Prat, 7-2), Everland (Abel Cedillo, 30-1), Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, 30-1), Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, 5-1), Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, 12-1), Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, 9-2), Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., 4-1). Also-eligible: Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, 15-1), Candied (Luis Saez, 20-1).
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      <pubDate>Wed, 01 May 2024 17:25:36 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-may-1-2024</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>KENTUCKY DERBY ODDS</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-odds</link>
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      <content:encoded />
      <pubDate>Wed, 01 May 2024 03:04:08 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-odds</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 30, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-30-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Tuesday, April 30, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic was back on the track Tuesday at the 7:30 a.m. time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses following a harrow break.
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           With regular exercise rider Olaf Hernandez aboard, trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. had the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up jog a mile. He’s hopeful that lightly tested Catalytic continues to improve in the Derby. 
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           “On paper, it’s hard to see that he can win,” Joseph said. “But in racing, you have to have a hope and a dream. You need a perfect setup. He’s a horse who’s only had three starts, so you have to hope that there’s improvement to come. How much improvement, we don’t know.”
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           And the Derby will present an opportunity to show how much the $125,000 yearling purchase has come along.
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           “This is the most eyes we ever get,” Joseph said. “There’s pressure on the vets, pressure on the trainers, everyone wants everything to be perfect. That’s our wish, that we have a perfect week. Everyone’s watching, even those who don’t watch racing. It’s the biggest race in America, it’s America’s race, and the attention it gets for two minutes is second to none.”
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           With jockey Jose Ortiz aboard, Catalytic was timed in :47.80 for the half-mile on Sunday. Ortiz will ride Catalytic in the Derby, starting from the No. 5 post as a 30-1 shot. 
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – Trainer Brad Cox confirmed Encino will not run in Kentucky Derby 150 after being off after training this morning.
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            Cox’s other two contenders, Catching Freedom and Just a Touch both galloped at 7:30 a.m. Tuesday and schooled in the paddock.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE - Grade 1 winner Sierra Leone and his stablemate, Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) victor Domestic Product, took to the track separately Tuesday for their morning training under the watch of trainer Chad Brown.
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           Blue Grass Stakes (GI) winner Sierra Leone headed out first, galloping twice around the Churchill Downs track during the 7:30 a.m. training period. Shortly after 8 a.m., it was Domestic Product’s turn to get his legs moving as he also went twice around on the gallop days out from their expected run in the Kentucky Derby.
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           “Everyone’s doing great, we had a nice day of training,” Brown said. “The track is a little wet but it’s in good condition considering. I was happy with that.”
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           Sierra Leone specifically has gained his share of admirers with the strong impression he has made during the morning hours. Among those who have been on the colt’s bandwagon for some time now is his jockey, Tyler Gaffalione who, like Brown, will be aiming to capture the roses for the first time. 
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           Gaffalione’s best finish in the Derby from six prior mounts came in 2019 when he guided War of Will to a seventh-place effort after the duo nearly went down due to inference from Maximum Security, who was disqualified from the victory. 
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           Gaffalione rode Sierra Leone for the first time in the Feb. 17 Risen Star Stakes (GII) and the chemistry between the two was instant. After getting the colt to rally from ninth to score a half-length win that day, Gaffalione further showcased how well he got along with his mount during their victory in the Blue Grass Stakes when he was able to settle the son of Gun Runner following a prerace tantrum at the gate en route to a 1 1/2-length triumph. 
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           “I love everything about him,” Gaffalione said of Sierra Leone. “He was so impressive in the Risen Star making up all that ground, but I was even more impressed with him the last time in the Blue Grass. With that little bit of fit he threw behind the gate, for him to compose himself and get his mind back on running and put on the performance he did I thought was incredible. It shows the mind frame he has and the talent he has.”
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           Gaffalione was able to get a feel for what the competition experiences when alongside Sierra Leone as he worked stablemate Domestic Product when the two Brown trainees went in company together on April 27.
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           “Every time I got up closer to him, he would stick his head out a little bit more,” Gaffalione said. “I’ve definitely never had these feelings before, it’s pretty special. That’s the thing, you get a horse like this and it’s just so exciting. I’m living the dream right now.”
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Keeping his two contenders healthy and happy is the goal for trainer Danny Gargan as he readies for Kentucky 150 on Saturday. On Tuesday morning after his charges traveled over the drying out Churchill Downs surface, the Louisville native deemed it another day of mission accomplished on that front. 
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           With Gargan looking on, Society Man and Dornoch each put in solid gallops beneath the Twin Spires. Wood Memorial Stakes (GII) runner-up Society Man was first on the scene, coming out early to take advantage of the quieter setting as he stretched his legs.”
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           “Society Man is actually the tougher of the two to train. He’s stronger to gallop,” Gargan said. “That’s why we train him early because he’s more relaxed that way.”
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           The imposing frame of Remsen Stakes (GII) winner Dornoch was out and about during the 7:30 a.m. training session as he galloped twice around the Churchill Down main track. 
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           “Everyone’s good. Everyone ate up well. They trained good,” Gargan said. “Dornoch always looks good out there on the track.”
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           ENDLESSLY – Amerman Racing’s homebred colt Endlessly galloped a mile and one-eighth Tuesday morning after standing in the starting gate during the special 7:30-7:45 training session for Derby and Oaks horses. 
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           Assistant trainer Justin Curran noted further that the four-time stakes winner is likely to paddock school with horses in this afternoon’s fourth race, provided it wasn’t raining. 
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           Trainer Michael McCarthy watched his charge’s exercises from the frontside grandstand, then returned to his Barn 35 headquarters. 
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           He was asked for a short take on the dark bay, who has five tallies in six starts, though he has yet to race on a dirt surface. 
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           “He’s always been a good-feeling horse,” the conditioner said. “He likes his work; he’s glad to do it. 
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           “He’s continued in that fashion since he’s been here and, of course, that’s what we want to see.” 
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           McCarthy will give rider Umberto Rispoli a leg up in the new $200 million paddock Saturday in the lead up to Derby 150. The two then will get to start their 1 ¼-mile journey from post 14 in the 20-horse lineup. 
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           EPIC RIDE – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride officially drew into Kentucky Derby 150 following the defection of Encino Tuesday afternoon.
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           Trainer John Ennis reported the colt will continue his normal training plus have some gate and paddock schooling.
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           Epic Ride jogged a mile this morning under Sophie Doyle.
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           FIERCENESS – The morning line favorite for Kentucky Derby 150 this Saturday – Repole Stable’s homebred Fierceness – got his morning exercise in during the special 7:30-7:45 training session designated for Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks horses at Churchill Downs on a track designated as “good” because of overnight rains in the Louisville area. 
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           Danny Wright, the veteran British jockey who once rode for Queen Elizabeth II in England, was up on the City of Light colt, as he has been for the run up to his go in the $5 million headliner. 
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           “He’s feelin’ good,” Wright reported back at Barn 39 following the gallop. “He’s been like that since Day One. He’s a neat little horse.” 
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher noted that his handsome colt was likely to follow a similar pattern morning Wednesday with a side trip for schooling in the starting gate. 
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) turned in his final major preparation for the 150
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           th
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            Kentucky Derby by working five furlongs in 1:03 over a track rated as “good” Tuesday morning.
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           Fractions on the work were :14, :27, :39.60 and out six furlongs in 1:16.80 under training assistant Yusaku Oka.
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           It was the second work at Churchill Downs for Forever Young, who covered six furlongs in 1:19.60 last Wednesday under jockey Ryusei Sakai.
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           Oka was pleased with the work and Forever Young’s ability to handle the less than fast track condition.
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           “He handled it well and moved well over the track,” Oka said through a translator. “I think we did a good for job for the final breeze.”
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           Yoshito Yahagi trains Forever Young and is scheduled to arrive in Louisville tonight to oversee final Derby preparations.
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           Oka, who was the morning partner for 2021 Breeders’ Cup winners Marche Lorraine (JPN) and Loves Only You (JPN) for Yahagi was asked about the confidence level with Forever Young going into the Derby.
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           After a pause, Oka grinned and said, “The Kentucky Derby is a difficult race to win but all I can is Team Yahagi Stable is undefeated in the United States and Forever Young is undefeated.”
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           Forever Young is scheduled to return to the track Wednesday with a trip to the paddock on the agenda.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First galloped a mile and a half under Amel Macias for trainer Victor Barboza Jr.
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           Grand Mo the First began his career on the all-weather surface at Gulfstream Park and concluded his 2-year-old campaign with a third-place finish in the Zuma Beach (GIII) on the grass at Santa Anita.
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           “We went to California for the Breeders’ Cup, but he didn’t get in,” owner David Geofrey said. “He ran OK out there (in the Zuma Beach in which he was defeated by Derby rival Endlessly). After that we regrouped to see if could go on dirt and we put him in the Swale and he did OK.”
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           OK was a third-place finish in the Swale that was followed by a close third in the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) and then third in the Florida Derby (GI).
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           “And now, here we are,” Geofrey said.
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eisterman, Earl Silver, Kenneth and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie galloped 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. Tuesday under regular rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           JUST STEEL – BC Stables LLC and Henry Schmueckle’s Just Steel hit the track early Tuesday morning along with stablemate and Kentucky Oaks contender Lemon Muffin, putting in an easy jog two days after breezing a half mile in his last series work before the Kentucky Derby.
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           Trainer D. Wayne Lukas was pleased with what he saw from the son of Justify on Tuesday as he believes the colt was wanting to do a little more than was being asked. 
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           “That’s what I wanted to see today, he had very good energy,” the Hall of Fame trainer said. “Actually, watching him go around there, I was thinking we probably should have galloped him. He’s got a lot of energy.”
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           Just Steel was installed at 20-1 odds on the morning line and will break from post 6 on Saturday.
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           MYSTIK DAN –Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan was out for trainer Kenny McPeek for a typical gallop with exercise rider Martin Reyes on Tuesday.
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           “He galloped a mile-and-a-half and stood in the gate,” said McPeek.
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           Brian Hernandez Jr. will ride Mystik Dan, 20-1 on the Derby morning line, from the No. 3 post. Last Saturday, Mystik Dan was timed for the five furlongs in 1:01.20 with Hernandez.
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           RESILIENCE – It was another good morning for Wood Memorial Stakes (GII) winner Resilience as he galloped twice around the Churchill Downs oval on Tuesday during the 7:30 p.m. training period for Oaks and Derby contenders. 
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           For many horsemen, the Kentucky Derby represents the pinnacle achievement in Thoroughbred racing. In that respect, it would be especially fitting if Resilience is able to deliver a victory in the 10-furlong classic to the man who has been as responsible for equine excellence as anyone over the decades. 
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           The Bill Mott trainee is co-owned by Emily Bushnell, daughter of longtime owners Pam and Marty Wygod, and renowned bloodstock consultant Ric Waldman, whose numerous achievements include managing the career of the legendary stallion Storm Cat at Overbook Farm. Through Waldman’s guidance, Storm Cat became a commercial powerhouse in the Thoroughbred industry, commanding a $500,000 stud fee at the peak of his career en route to creating a bloodline that has its finger prints over the best sires and runners to this day.
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           Throughout his career, Waldman has counted the Wygods among his top clients and closest friends. In a move that speaks to the level of camaraderie and respect he commands, the Wygods gifted partial ownership of Resilience to Waldman. 
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           That generous gesture took on greater emotional importance when Marty Wygod passed away on April 12 at the age of 84 -- just six days after Resilience prevailed in the Wood Memorial. For Waldman, having the chance to become a Kentucky Derby-winning owner pales in comparison to the honor he has of being part of Marty Wygod’s legacy. 
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           “For the historical perspective of it, that would be quite unique that someone years from now would look back on that and see my name (in the Derby),” Waldman said. “But I don’t get caught up in it. My mind hasn’t been trained in that way. How I came about owning this horse is so personal. I said this before and I still believe, I consider myself more of a steward of this horse for Marty and Pam Wygod. 
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           “It was a very personal gift that they gave me,” Waldman continued. “It’s a continuation of our friendship that we’ve had the whole time. I’m grateful for that. Some people think, I’m sure even Bill (Mott) thought ‘Why would you give away the best horse that you might have ever had?’ And the answer to that, if I can put words in Marty’s mouth, is that is the only horse he would give because he would want it to be meaningful. He would want it be to a meaningful gift, something of significance. That’s how Marty would think.”
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           In Resilience, Waldman sees the culmination of years of diligence on the part of the Wygods - and himself.
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           Resilience’s dam, Meadowsweet, was bred by the Wygods and is herself the only filly produced from multiple Grade 1 winner Tranquility Lake. The colt is also by five-time leading sire Into Mischief, who counts Storm Cat as his great grandsire. 
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           “I love the horse, I care about the horse, and I can’t wait for the horse’s second career,” Waldman said of Resilience. “As a stallion, it wouldn’t surprise me a bit if he ended up having some good turf horses as well as dirt horses. But I always get ahead of myself on this breeding thing. Emily is always in the present on racing and I’m always thinking way past that and forget to smell the roses.”
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           If the best case scenario happens for Waldman on Saturday, he will have ample chances take in that floral fragrance. Regardless, he believes the colt’s presence in the race itself is worthy of celebration. 
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           “The difference between my emotional barometer on this between winning and losing is more narrow than most people,” Waldman said. “If he wins, I’m not going to jump over the barn and if he loses, I’m not going feel like the world has collapsed. If the horse comes back safely and soundly then there is nothing that could happen that could alter that barometer reading much from that.”
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           STRONGHOLD – The Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Stronghold went trackside early Tuesday morning under exercise rider Sherri Alexander. The two entered the strip termed sloppy following overnight rains in the Louisville area just after 5:30 and did a 1-mile jog around the big oval. 
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           “He’ll go back to galloping tomorrow,” Alexander said. 
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           The exercise rider triples as stable foreman and wife of trainer Phil D’Amato, who had headed back to California Sunday to take care of their large string at Santa Anita. Tuesday she took all five of the D’Amato contingent on board for races this weekend to the track for a bit of leg stretching. 
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           D’Amato is scheduled to return to Kentucky this afternoon.
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN) worked a half-mile in :46.80 under jockey Kazushi Kimura.
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           Working in company with Alysheba (GII) entrant T O Saint Denis (JPN), T O Password produced fractions of :23.80 and out five furlongs in :59.60 over track rated as “good” following overnight rain in Louisville.
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           “Everything was smooth this morning,” Kimura said. “I put him behind his workmate to get some kickback. We got everything we wanted this morning.”
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           With rain a possibility for Saturday, Kimura was asked if he was confident that T O Password could handle conditions similar to this morning.
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           “He was OK with the mud this morning,” Kimura said, “but with 20 horses, you never know.”
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           Trainer Daisuke Takayanagi agreed with his rider’s assessment and indicated that T O Password would return to the track in the morning.
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Lecomte Stakes (GIII) winner Track Phantom had an early training session where he jogged about a mile at 5:30 a.m.
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           The Steve Asmussen trainee is likely to school in the gate Wednesday.
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga galloped two miles under Donte Lowery and visited the paddock Tuesday morning for trainer Larry Demeritte.
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           West Saratoga never has raced on an off track and with a chance of rain Saturday, Demeritte was asked about how his colt would fare on sloppy going.
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           “I don’t want to ruin the day for anybody (with rain), but I’d take it,” Demeritte said. “I know his daddy liked it.”
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           That would be Exaggerator, runner-up in the 2016 Kentucky Derby and subsequent winner of the Preakness (GI) and Haskell (GI), both of which were run on sloppy tracks and made up a good chunk of Exaggerator’s $3.5 million in earnings.
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Average Joe Racing Stables and Dan Wells’ Mugatu (No. 21) walked the shedrow for trainer Jeff Engler.
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           THE KENTUCKY DERBY FIELD – Here is the field for the 150
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            running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I) in order of post positions (with rider and morning line odds): Dornoch (Luis Saez, 20-1), Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, 3-1),  Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1), Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, 8-1), Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, 30-1), Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, 20-1), Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, 20-1), Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, 10-1),
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           Encino (Axel Concepcion, 20-1),
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            T O Password (JPN) (Kazuski Kimura, 30-1), Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai. 10-1), Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, 20-1), West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, 30-1), Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, 30-1), Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., 30-1), Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, 50-1), Fierceness (John Velasquez, 5-2), Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, 20-1), Resilience (Junior Alvarado, 20-1), Society Man (Frankie Dettori, 50-1), Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, 50-1). Also-Eligible: Mugatu (Joe Talamo, 50-1). All starters will carry 126 pounds.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           EVERLAND – Foster Family Racing, William Wargel, R.K. Eckrich Racing and Maxis Stable’s Everland, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start for trainer Eric Foster, walked the shedrow Tuesday.
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           “She’ll go out tomorrow, to keep her fresh,” said Foster, who claimed the daughter of Arrogate for $30,000 in a Dec. 30, 2023, race at Turfway Park. She drew the No. 9 post for the Oaks, and was 30-1 on the morning line, with Abel Cedillo to ride.
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           FIONA’S MAGIC – Stonehedge LLC’s homebred Fiona’s Magic galloped a mile and three-eighths under Alejandro Mariano for trainer Michael Yates at 9:30.
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           With rain chances in the long-range forecast at better than 50 percent for Friday, Yates was asked how an off track would affect his filly, who finished second in her debut on a track listed as good.
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           “I hate to run on an off track with any of my horses,” Yates said. “Today she looked good out there (over a track rated as ‘good’).”
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa both galloped about 1 ½ miles Tuesday at 7:30 a.m. for trainer Brad Cox.
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           “Just going through the normal motions right now,” Cox said. “All good.”
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne went to the track Tuesday at the 7:30 a.m. training time for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           “She galloped about a mile-and-three-eighths today with her exercise rider, Adelso Orantes,” Wilkes said. “It’s probably one of the strongest Oaks’ fields that I’ve seen in a long time. Top to bottom, it’s very strong.”
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           The filly drew the No. 10 post with jockey Julien Leparoux and is 30-1 on the morning line.
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           JUST F Y I – Champion filly Just F Y I used Tuesday’s training session to show how little her last workout took out of her. George Krikorian’s homebred daughter of Justify visited the paddock and proceeded to skip over the track as she galloped twice around during the 7:30 a.m. training session, two days after working a half mile in :49.40. 
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           “She’s got some stride on her,” trainer Bill Mott commented of the 2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI) winner.
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           The Oaks will mark just the second start for Just F Y I this season as she had her seasonal bow delayed due to illness. She most recently finished second to fellow Oaks contender Leslie’s Rose in the Ashland Stakes (GI) on April 5.
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           LEMON MUFFIN - As has been customary for the D. Wayne Lukas trainee, Oaks contender Lemon Muffin was among the early risers at Churchill Downs on Tuesday. The Honeybee Stakes (GIII) headed out along with her stablemate, Derby entrant Just Steel, for a routine gallop over the drying out surface.
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           Among those present at the track on Tuesday was Lemon Muffin’s jockey Keith Asmussen. The son of Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen arrived on the scene as he is set to be aboard both the daughter of Collected and Just Steel for Lukas when the due try to put their names in the history books Friday and Saturday, respectively. 
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           “I couldn’t be more excited to be here given the gravity of the week,” Keith Asmussen said. “Now I get to be here as a race rider and experience this week in a different dimension. For many years we’ve been here and…I’m certainly used to being around racing of this caliber. But as a rider it’s definitely a different experience. I’m not too nervous or anxious. Just couldn’t be more excited for the experience.”
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           When Lemon Muffin prevailed by 3 1/2 lengths over Tapit Jenallie in the Honeybee on Feb. 24, it marked the first career graded stakes victory of the younger Asmussen. 
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           “I really loved the filly heading into that race. I was excited to stretch her out,” Asmussen said. “She ran in there as a maiden but I always thought the world of her. When she ran the way she did, it was definitely exciting but we weren’t surprised.”
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           LESLIE’S ROSE/CANDIED – The two Grade I stakes winners out of the Todd Pletcher barn, Leslie’s Rose and Candied, each galloped a mile and a quarter during the 7:30-7:45 training session for horses eyeing the Kentucky Derby or the Kentucky Oaks. Both had their regular ex
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           The two will school in the paddock with the horses for this afternoon’s sixth race. 
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           Leslie’s Rose has been assured a spot in the $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks Friday. She’ll come out of the 14-hole in the 14-horse field with regular rider Irad Ortiz Jr. attached. Candied, unfortunately, is on the also-eligible list and will need two withdrawals if she’s to make the field in the nine-furlong classic. 
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            POWER SQUEEZE – Lea Farms’ Kentucky-bred Power Squeeze went out Tuesday onto a Churchill Downs track listed as good after overnight rains for trainer Jorge Delgado, with her regular exercise rider, Edwin Castro.
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           “She went a mile-and-a-half, galloping,” Delgado said. “It’s her routine, we’ll follow it the next two days. She’s eating well, resting well, resting good, so no complaints.”
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           Delgado, who is regularly stabled in New Jersey, Delaware Park and Gulfstream Park, said this is his first time at Churchill Downs.
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           “This is my first time at Churchill, my first time at the Oaks and the Derby,” he said. “It’s all new to me. We’re looking forward to enjoying every day to the fullest, and that our horses will perform the way they’ve been training.”
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           The upset winner of the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) is looking to extend her win streak to five in the Kentucky Oaks. The filly, a 12-1 morning-line pick, breaks from the No. 12 post with Daniel Centeno.
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           “She’s training really good,” Delgado said. “We’re getting really excited, because she’s doing everything better than expected. She looks like a winner … it’s difficult to control my excitement about her.”
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           With a balanced field of 14 entered in the Oaks, Power Squeeze hasn’t received as much attention as some of her competition.
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           “I really don’t mind,” Delgado said. “It’s really better to let her do the talking.”
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           Delgado said it’s hard to believe that his horses are in Louisville going up against those of trainers he remembers from his childhood.
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           “Some of the trainers that are competing in this race, I saw them as a child,” he said. “Trainers like (D. Wayne) Lukas, (Todd) Pletcher, (Bill) Mott, and a few others. To be here with a horse running against them, it means a lot. But it’ll mean a lot more if I beat them.”
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS – Just as trainer Chad Brown has two strong contenders for the Kentucky Derby in Sierra Leone and Domestic Product, the four-time Eclipse Award winning trainer has also been confident in the two fillies he is set to saddle in the Kentucky Oaks on May 3.
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           Regulatory Risk and Ways and Means, both owned by Klaravich Stables, added to the good feelings their conditioner has for them as they each galloped twice around during the 7:30 a.m. training period on Tuesday. 
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           “It was another good day of training,” Brown said.
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           Both fillies were set to paddock school Tuesday as they ready for their respective runs in the signature race for 3-year-old fillies. Regulatory Risk is coming into the race off a runner-up finish in the Gazelle Stakes (GII) while Ways and Means returned from a seven-month layoff to place second in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII).
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie walked the shedrow Tuesday for trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. in preparation for Friday’s Oaks.
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           “She’s doing good,” said Milligan, who is training an Oaks entry for the first time.
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           Tapit Jenallie, who will start in the Oaks from the No. 1 post at 30-1 morning-line odds, worked a half-mile last Thursday with jockey Manny Esquivel, in :49.40.
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna went out Tuesday morning with her Oaks jockey, Brian Hernandez Jr., for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           “She did the same thing as Mystik Dan, galloping a mile-and-a-half and then stood in the gate,” McPeek said.
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            Thorpedo Anna, winner of three of her four career starts including the Fantasy Stakes (GII) at Oaklawn Park, drew the No. 5 post for the Oaks, and is 5-1 on the morning line. Last Friday, Hernandez guided her to a five-furlong work in :59.40.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Trainer Val Brinkerhoff stuck to pattern with his Kentucky Oaks filly Where’s My Ring and had exercise rider David Rodriguez take his bay daughter of Twirling Candy trackside at 7:30 a.m. to stretch her legs for a mile and a half gallop. The Gazelle (GIII) winner accomplished her assignment in good order. 
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           “She had issues with ulcers when she was a 2-year-old,” Brinkerhoff said. “We gave her a bit of time off and got that sorted out and she’s been good since. She’s come good at the right time.” 
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           Where’s My Ring will break from post 3 in the nine-furlong Oaks and have the saddle services of New York veteran Jose Lezcano, who was aboard for her handy tally in the Gazelle. 
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           ALSO ELIGIBLE – Our Pretty Woman galloped 1 ½ miles at 5:30 a.m. for trainer Steve  Asmussen. The filly still needs one defection to make the body of the Oaks.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here is the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) in order of post position (with jockey and morning line odds): The field for the Kentucky Oaks, from the rail out with riders and morning line odds, is: Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, 30-1), Gin Gin (Florent Geroux, 30-1), Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, 15-1), Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, 20-1), Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., 5-1), Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, 30-1), Fiona’s Magic (Luis Saez, 30-1), Tarifa (Flavien Prat, 7-2), Everland (Abel Cedillo, 30-1), Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, 30-1), Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, 5-1), Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, 12-1), Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, 9-2), Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., 4-1). Also-eligible: Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, 15-1), Candied (Luis Saez, 20-1).
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      <pubDate>Tue, 30 Apr 2024 19:16:03 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-30-2024</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 29, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-29-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Monday, April 29, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic walked the shedrow on Monday following a Sunday workout.
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           “That’s the routine we follow after a breeze,” trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. said. “He’ll be back out tomorrow.”
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           With jockey Jose Ortiz aboard, Catalytic was timed in :47.80 for the half-mile on Sunday. Ortiz will ride Catalytic in the Derby, starting from the No. 5 post as a 30-1 shot. 
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Catching Freedom, Encino and Just a Touch all returned to the track Monday around 6:45 a.m. for easy one-mile jogs following their respective breezes Saturday.
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           All three horses exited their works in good shape,” Cox said. “They’ll gallop the rest of the week and be ready for Saturday.”
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           Jockey Florent Geroux was on hand Monday to watch his mount in the Derby, Just a Touch, train.
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           “I’m really excited about his chances,” said Geroux, who won the Derby in 2021 via disqualification aboard Mandaloun. “He’s light on experience but he’s a very talented colt. I think he’s ready to run a big race.”
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            Jockey Flavien Prat will ride Catching Freedom while Axel Concepcion will be in the irons for Encino.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Stablemates Sierra Leone and Domestic Product both returned to the track Monday for the first time since working five furlongs in company on April 17. The Chad Brown-trained Kentucky Derby contenders each jogged the wrong way once around the Churchill Downs oval during the 7:30 a.m. training period.
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           “Everyone’s good,” Brown said.
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           While Brown already has most of the sport’s top races on his resume, the four-time Eclipse Award winning trainer will be seeking his first victory in the Kentucky Derby. He has come into the Derby with strong chances before, saddling champion Good Magic to a runner-up finish in 2018 and having Grade I winner Zandon run third in 2022. What Brown hasn’t had prior to this year is the 1-2 punch for the classic he believes he currently possesses.
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               While Sierra Leone casts a long shadow off the strength of his victories in the Blue Grass (GI) and Risen Star (GII) Stakes, Domestic Product could be right in the mix in his own right if race conditions set up in his favor. Having closed into slow fractions while running second in the Holy Bull Stakes (GIII) and winning the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII), Domestic Product looms a real threat if he gets a halfway decent pace on the front end.
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           “I’m thinking the same way. The horse has really been giving a great appearance here at Churchill, he’s really glowing and beaming with energy,” Brown said. “I couldn’t be more pleased with both of the Derby colts. Knock on wood they just go into the race this way. (Domestic Product), he’s a hell of a nice horse. He just looks terrific.”
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – It was back to business for trainer Danny Gargan’s duo of Dornoch and Society Man on Monday with each returning to the track after putting in their final work April 27 when they breezed four furlongs.
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           Society Man was the first to the track on Monday, heading out just after 6 a.m. for a light jog. The chestnut son of Good Magic was especially easy to spot and he wore what Gargan calls a unicorn light between his ears. 
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           “Churchill has really bright lights but most of the tracks -- Palm Meadows, Saratoga -- there’s not a bunch of lights. So we put that on all the horses so we know where they are,” Gargan said.
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           Dornoch took the track during the 7:30 a.m. training period, coming out for a jog the wrong way while also having a session of gate schooling that Gargan deemed “perfect.”
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           “Society Man always bounces right back out of his race,” Gargan said. “Dornoch struggles a little bit sometimes, but he’s come out of the Blue Grass better than he’s come out of any race, I think. We didn’t really have to ship this time or go anywhere, so I’m real pleased with him. But Society Man, he never has a bad day. He’s one of those horses where day in and day out, he’s a happy kind of guy. Just always the same, real level.”
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           ENDLESSLY – Trainer  Mike McCarthy had his handsome bay Endlessly dressed out and ready to roll shortly after 6 a.m. Monday and he sent him and exercise rider Walter Davila trackside for a mile and one-quarter tour of the Churchill Downs oval. 
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           “He’s happy,” reported the exercise rider after returning from the exercise. “I’m happy, too,” noted McCarthy regarding the homebred son of Oscar Performance that he conditions for the Amerman Racing couple of John and  Jerry Amerman. 
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           The conditioner has guided his good-looking bay charge through an interesting platform that has seen him win four stakes – two on grass, two on all-weather – though he’s yet to race on a dirt surface. He’s trained well on the loam, but Saturday will be his initial chunk of competition on it. 
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           Jockey Umberto Rispoli will be making his second Derby start having finished 14th on Brooklyn Strong in 2021.
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable’s Kentucky Derby favorite Fierceness looked a picture Monday morning moving smoothly through a gallop of a mile and three-eighths during the special 7:30-7:45 training session for Derby and Oaks runners. 
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           The City of Light colt, bred by his owner, once again had the former Brit jockey Danny Wright in the saddle as he took another step forward toward his date with destiny in the mile and a quarter classic scheduled to go off at 6:57 p.m. Saturday.
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           Should he run to his 5-2 morning line odds, he’d add $3.1 million to his healthy bankroll that already reads $1,703,850. He’d also pick up a spectacular gold trophy to go alongside his championship hardware for being named America’s top 2-year-old of 2023. 
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           His Hall of Fame trainer, Todd Pletcher, has named Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez to handle the riding duties on Saturday. 
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute for a half-hour before galloping a mile and a half under Yusaku Oka. Following the gallop, Forever Young returned to the chute to cool down before walking back to the Quarantine Barn.
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           Trained by Yoshito Yahagi, Forever Young is scheduled to work Tuesday morning with fellow Derby entrant T O Password (JPN).
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           Yahagi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Tuesday night.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First galloped two miles at 6:30 under Amel Macias for trainer Victor Barboza Jr.
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           The Kentucky-bred son of Uncle Mo comes into Derby 150 off a third-place finish behind Derby favorite Fierceness in the Florida Derby (GI).
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           Grand Mo the First finished 16 lengths behind Fierceness that day, so the question is how to make up that margin.
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               “This time it will be different, a different race,” Barboza said. “The pace will be quicker this time. The last time, nobody fought him (Fierceness). He got away with :24 and :49 and nobody fought him. This will be different.”
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eisterman, Earl Silver, Kenneth and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie galloped 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. Monday under regular rider Maurilio Garcia.
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            Jockey Ben Curtis will ride in his first Kentucky Derby aboard Honor Marie.
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            “I came over to North America in November and I never thought I’d be riding in the Kentucky Derby,” said Curtis, a native of Ireland who was riding in Europe. “It’s a fantastic opportunity on a horse who I think could show up brilliantly on Derby Day. His stamina is there, his pedigree is there and everything he’s shown to this point says he will stay for the mile-and-a-quarter trip. There’s question marks on others in the race but he crosses off a lot of those question marks.
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           “He’s a very laid back, professional horse. A lot of the good ones are. They know how to keep their cool and use the right energy when it matters when the gates open. The way he goes through a race he likes to warm up into it. He puts himself in the right spots. There’s a long stretch here and I think it will suit his running style very well.”
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           JUST STEEL – BC Stables, LLC and Henry Schmueckle’s Just Steel walked the shedrow one day after breezing four furlongs in his final serious preparation for the Kentucky Derby (GI)
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           Among the intangibles trainer D. Wayne Lukas believes is a key aspect toward having success in the Derby is having an entrant with the pedigree to handle the first leg of the Triple Crown. As the Hall of Famer prepares to saddle his 50th Kentucky Derby starter with Just Steel, both of his equine protege and his jockey check that box.
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           Just Steel, a son of Triple Crown winner and newly minted Hall of Fame Justify, will be ridden in the 1 1/4-miles classic by Keith Asmussen, son of Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen. The younger Asmussen began his career in saddle in 2020 and is coming off a 2023 season in which he rode 60 winners while earning more than $3.2 million.
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           This year, the 25-year-old Asmussen - who has a Master’s Degree in accounting - already has ridden 53 winners through Sunday, including his first graded stakes victory when he guided Lukas trainee Lemon Muffin to victory in the Honeybee Stakes (GIII). Not only is Asmussen keeping the mount on Lemon Muffin in the Kentucky Oaks (GI), Lukas is giving him a chance go to one better on Just Steel after the duo most recently finished second in the Arkansas Derby (GI) on March 30.
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           “He has a really good pedigree to be a horseman,” Lukas said of Keith Asmussen. “Physically, he doesn’t fit. He’s too tall, too skinny but he’s got so much horsemanship that he overcomes it. We used to say in athletics they look good in the lobby, he doesn’t look good in the lobby, he looks better on the horse. He’s very smart. He’s got a lot of confidence and it’s not going to bother him to get out there with those guys.”
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           If Just Steel is able to pull the upset on Derby Day, Keith Asmussen will beat his father to the punch in achieving a victory in the first leg of the Triple Crown as Steve Asmussen is winless with 25 starters.
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           "I do make the comment to these jockeys in these big races, that I don’t want them to embarrass me,” Lukas said. “I feel real comfortable that this is really solid young man who is going to carry himself well through it all.”
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           MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan was out for trainer Kenny McPeek for a typical gallop with Martin Reyes on Monday.
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           “He jogged one (mile) and galloped one,” said McPeek, who was satisfied in drawing the No. 3 post position in the Derby. The 20-1 morning-line shot will have Brian Hernandez Jr. on board for the Derby.
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           On Saturday, Mystik Dan was timed for the five furlongs in 1:01.20 with Hernandez.
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           RESILIENCE – With another morning of ideal weather providing the perfect backdrop, Emily Bushnell and Ric Waldman’s Resilience kept to his routine as well, returning to the track to loosen his legs up with an easy jog under the watch of trainer Bill Mott one day after putting in a half-mile breeze in preparation for the Kentucky Derby (GI). 
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           When Resilience makes his way into the starting gate for the 150th Kentucky Derby, the son of Into Mischief will have a new pilot at the helm in jockey Junior Alvarado as John Velazquez - who rode the colt to victory in the Wood Memorial (GII) - is committed to morning-line favorite Fierceness. While Alvarado hasn’t yet guided the bay colt in a race setting, few riders are more familiar with what it takes to get a Mott trainee to succeed in a big spot.
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           Alvarado is coming off a career-best year in 2023 in which he notched more than $13.3 million in earnings and 16 graded stakes victories. A major of those graded wins came aboard horses for Mott, including his most notable mount, 2023 Horse of the Year Cody’s Wish. 
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           In addition to guiding Cody’s Wish, Alvarado has also been trusted by Mott to handle the duties for such Grade 1 winners as War Like Goddess, the late Art Collector, Olympiad, and reigning juvenile filly champion and Oaks contender, Just F Y I. If momentum contributes anything toward racing luck, Alvarado has that in spades whenever Mott is the one legging him up.
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           “I’ve been riding for Mott the last 11 years and the last couple years, we’ve been on a great run in big races,” said Alvarado, who also won the $20 million Saudi Cup (GI) this year aboard Todd Fincher trainee Senor Buscador. “Hopefully it can continue this week. I think I am lucky right now. I think I’ve been on a hell for a run for the last three years. I wouldn’t change anything.”
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               Alvarado did get on Resilience when the colt was a juvenile up in Saratoga and the impression his future mount left on him then is one he hopes will be fully validated in the 10-furlong classic on May 4.
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           “I worked him in Saratoga before he ever ran. We always thought he was very nice, we just always thought he would be a late developer,” Alvarado said of Resilience. “He was a little awkward at that time, but the talent always was there. He’s been showing that in every race he runs since, he’s been progressing and running faster numbers. Hopefully this race, he gets a little faster.”
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           STRONGHOLD – The Ghostzapper colt Stronghold merely walked the shedrow at Barn 48 Monday morning one day after he had drilled five furlongs in :59.80 in company as his final prep for his date in Saturday’s $5 million Kentucky Derby. 
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           “He’s doing fine today,” reported Sherri Alexander, the wife, exercise rider and No. 1 assistant to Stronghold’s conditioner, Phil D’Amato. “He ate up last night and he’s looking for mints this morning.” 
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           Following Sunday’s exercise with the barn’s stakes horse Motorious, Alexander turned wheelman to rush her husband to the Louisville airport and a flight back to their Los Angeles headquarters at Santa Anita Park. The stable ran two horses at the California track yesterday, winning one and running third with the other. 
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           Rider Antonio Fresu is scheduled to arrive in Louisville today. D’Amato is planning to return Tuesday. 
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           Stronghold, the Santa Anita Derby winner, is slated to start his Kentucky Derby journey from post 18 in the 20-horse lineup. 
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) –Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN) wamed up in the mile chute for a half-hour and then galloped a mile and a half under jockey Kazushi Kimura. Following the gallop, T O Password returned to the chute to visit the starting gate and cool down before walking back to the Quarantine Barn.
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           T O Password is scheduled to work with fellow Derby entrant Forever Young (JPN) Tuesday morning.
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           Trainer Daisuke Takayanagi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville tonight.
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Lecomte Stakes (GIII) winner Track Phantom had a scheduled walk day in trainer Steve Asmussen’s Barn 38 following his five-eighths work in 1:00 Sunday morning.
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga galloped a mile under Donte Lowery and then visited the starting gate Monday morning.
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           “He’s feeling good this morning,” trainer Larry Demeritte said. “He will probably go to the paddock Tuesday and possibly Wednesday.”
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride (No. 21) jogged for 10 minutes in the mile chute under Sophie Doyle.
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           Average Joe Racing Stables and Dan Wells’ Mugatu (No. 22) galloped a mile and half at 6:30 under jockey Joe Talamo for trainer Jeff Engler.
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           THE KENTUCKY DERBY FIELD – Here is the field for the 150
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            running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I) in order of post positions (with rider and morning line odds): Dornoch (Luis Saez, 20-1), Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, 3-1),  Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1), Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, 8-1), Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, 30-1), Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, 20-1), Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, 20-1), Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, 10-1), Encino (Axel Concepcion, 20-1), T O Password (JPN) (Kazuski Kimura, 30-1), Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai. 10-1), Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, 20-1), West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, 30-1), Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, 30-1), Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., 30-1), Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, 50-1), Fierceness (John Velasquez, 5-2), Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, 20-1), Resilience (Junior Alvarado, 20-1), Society Man (Frankie Dettori, 50-1). Also-Eligible: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, 50-1), Mugatu (Joe Talamo, 50-1). All starters will carry 126 pounds.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           EVERLAND – Foster Family Racing, William Wargel, R.K. Eckrich Racing and Maxis Stable’s Everland, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start for trainer Eric Foster, had a Monday morning assignment of walking the shedrow.
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           “Everything is good so far,” said Foster of the daughter of Arrogate, claimed by Foster for $30,000 in a Dec. 30, 2023, race at Turfway Park. She drew the No. 9 post, and was listed on the morning line at 30-1, with Abel Cedillo to ride.
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           Foster has 10 horses entered in races at Churchill Downs this week, including Maxisuperfly in the $600,000 Edgewood (GII), a turf race preceding the Oaks.
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           FIONA’S MAGIC – Stonehedge LLC’s homebred Fiona’s Magic galloped a mile and three-eighths and visited the starting gate shortly after 9 o’clock Monday morning under exercise rider Alejandro Mariano.
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           “She did well at the gate,” trainer Michael Yates said of the winner of the Davona Dale (GII).
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           In her most recent start, the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII), Fiona’s Magic finished eighth, beaten 44 ¾ lengths.
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           “We learned absolutely nothing from that race,” Yates said. “We breezed her eight days before the race and scoped her. She scoped clean. Everything looked to be on 'go.' She had no nasal discharge. Everything was normal, but after the race, we scoped her, and she was loaded with mucus.”
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           Fiona’s Magic had three wins and two seconds before that race and Yates knew his filly was in trouble on the backstretch.
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           “When Chad (Brown’s) filly (Ways and Means) ran right by us between the half-mile pole and the three-eighths,” Yates said of when he knew something was wrong.
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           Last Tuesday at Gulfstream Park, Fiona’s Magic worked six furlongs in 1:15.16.
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           “The day after she worked, she scoped clean and everything looked good and that’s when we made the decision to come here,” said Yates, who has 28 horses stabled at Gulfstream Park and another 25 in training at his farm in Ocala, Florida.
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa both galloped about 1 ½ miles Monday at 7:30 a.m. for trainer Brad Cox.
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           “Just going through the normal motions right now,” Cox said. “All good.”
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne walked the shedrow on Monday for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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           “She’s been doing fine since she got here,” Wilkes said of his filly, who drew the No. 10 post with jockey Julian Leparoux and is a 30-1 shot on the morning line. “Monday’s always a walk day at our barn so nothing different today.
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           Following morning training, Into Champagne had a paddock schooling session.
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           JUST F Y I – One day after breezing a half mile in :49.40, reigning juvenile filly champion Just F Y I stretched her legs with a jog once around during the 7:30 a.m. training period.
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           Instead of a walk day, trainer Bill Mott wanted to give his Oaks contender and her stablemate, Kentucky Derby entrant Resilience, a chance to “loosen up” a day after their respective breezes. 
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           “They’re both good,” the Hall of Fame trainer said.
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           LEMON MUFFIN -- It was an early morning for Honeybee Stakes (GIII) winner Lemon Muffin on Monday. With assistant trainer Sebastian "Bas" Nicholl keeping an eye on things for trainer D. Wayne Lukas, Lemon Muffin returned to the track around 5:30 a.m. for a jog once around.
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           The daughter of Collected put in a swift final work on April 27 in advance of the Kentucky Oaks (GI), going five furlongs in :58.20. Owned by Aaron Sones, Julie Gilbert, and Harrison Sones, Lemon Muffin won the Honeybee on Feb. 24 before most recently finishing seventh in the Fantasy Stakes (GII).
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           LESLIE’S ROSE/CANDIED – Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher is a clockwork guy.
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           Steady, steady, steady is what you get. His horses like it and, in the end, that’s what it’s all about.
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           His two potential Kentucky Oaks fillies – Leslie’s Rose and Candied – followed pattern Monday morning and went about the business of preparing for Friday’s Grade I Kentucky Oaks with a mile and three-eighths gallop during the 7:30-7:45 special Oaks/Derby training period that Churchill Downs provides for those runners aiming for the two classics.
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           As he has on a regular basis, the conditioner assigned the horses’ regular exercise riders – Joel Osorio on Leslie’s Rose and Carlos Quevedo on Candied – to the two well-bred fillies for their exercise. The two covered a mile and three-eighths, then headed back to Barn 39.
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           Leslie’s Rose is already in the $1.5 million field and drew Post 14; Candied is on the also-eligible list and will need two withdrawals this week if she’s to go.
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           “No gate work for these two today,” Pletcher said. “We’re all good.”
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           POWER SQUEEZE – Lea Farms’ Kentucky-bred Power Squeeze visited the Churchill Downs track for a gallop Monday with exercise rider Edwin Castro. Trainer Jorge Delgado arrived in Louisville on Sunday from South Florida to oversee the final preparations of the Union Rags filly for the Oaks.
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           “She’s doing pretty good,” said Delgado, a nephew of Gustavo Delgado, the winning trainer of last year’s Derby with Mage. “Since she traveled on Thursday, she’s gone to the track now three times.”
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           Last Wednesday, she was timed by Gulfstream Park clockers going four furlongs in 49 seconds, in her last major work in preparation for the Oaks. Delgado said that because of travel plans, he decided to work her before shipping north. “We had to go with the cards we were dealt, and felt that it was the best way to give her time to recuperate,” he said.
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           “She’s very fit, and after a very busy winter, it’s a matter of maintenance here,” said Delgado, who had her ready to pull off an 11-1 upset in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) that earned her a trip to the Kentucky Oaks – which was her fourth win in a row.
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           “Hopefully we can keep her as happy as she looks now right through the day of the race,” he added about the filly, a 12-1 morning-line pick who breaks from the No. 12 post with Daniel Centeno.
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           Delgado thinks the mile-and-an-eighth distance of the Oaks will suit Power Squeeze. “She’s a long-legged filly, with a long stride,” he said. “I believe the farther we go, the better it will be for her. I feel confident with the way she’s acting, the way she’s training.”
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            If there’s rain for the Oaks, Delgado believes she can handle any kickback. “She ran a second place sprinting in the slop,” he said, “and she won at Delaware, main track only, when it came off the turf. So I don’t think she cares about the slop. As long as she has a clean trip, I think she has a good chance.”
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS - Trainer Chad Brown’s two Oaks contenders were both on the track during the 7:30 a.m. training period. 
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           Klaravich Stables’ Regulatory Risk returned to the track for a jog once around after putting in a half-mile work on April 27, while Grade I-placed Ways and Means, who is also owned by Klaravich, was back galloping for the first time since her blazing half-mile breeze on April 26.
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie was on the track early Monday for trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. in preparation for the Oaks.
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           “Basically I just walked her around, walked her to the paddock, then galloped her to the half-mile pole and then came back,” said Milligan.
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           Tapit Jenallie is the only horse that he’s training at a racetrack for Horton.
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           “I actually broke her,” he said. “At that time, I was breaking yearlings for people. I broke most of her family, and I had broke horses for Mr. Horton for about 20 years. When I broke her, I really liked her and thought she was a pretty nice filly.”
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           Working with Tapit Jenallie marks a career change for Milligan. “This is my first year to train for Mr. Horton at the track. I broke horses for 30 years, that’s all that I’ve done. Before that, I trained at the track, and was a jockey before that. Last July, I was quitting breaking babies anyway, and he asked me if I’d train for him at the racetrack.
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            “I had a training center in East Texas where I raised my two boys, and when they went off to college, we decided to do something different. I sold that place and moved up to Hot Springs, broke babies there for three years, then started this deal with Mr. Horton.” 
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           Tapit Jenallie worked a half-mile Thursday with jockey Manny Esquivel, in :49.40.
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna went out in the second set of workers for trainer Kenny McPeek on Monday with Martin Reyes.
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           “She went out a seven and a four – a mile-and-three-eighths gallop,” McPeek said.
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           Thorpedo Anna, who will have Brian Hernandez Jr. on board, drew the No. 5 post for the Oaks, and is at 5-1 on the morning line. On Friday, Hernandez guided her to a five-furlong work in :59.40.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Gazelle Stakes (GIII) winner Where’s My Ring had a quiet Monday morning with her key bit of activity being a nice gallop during the special 7:30-7:45 training period for Derby and Oaks runners.
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           Trainer Val Brinkerhoff put regular exercise rider David Rodriguez up on his Twirling Candy filly, then watched them tour the big oval once, then half again in smart fashion.
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           The conditioner offered a nod of approval and noted: “She’ll go back (to stand in) the gate again at some point this week.”
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           Where’s My Ring drew post 3 for the $1.5-million Kentucky Oaks this Friday. Her Gazelle partner, veteran New York rider Jose Lezcano, once again will be in the saddle.
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           ALSO ELIGIBES – Our Pretty Woman jogged one mile at 5:30 a.m. under regular rider Wilson Fabian for trainer Steve Asmussen. The filly still needs one defection to make the body of the Oaks.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here is the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) in order of post position (with jockey and morning line odds): The field for the Kentucky Oaks, from the rail out with riders and morning line odds, is: Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, 30-1), Gin Gin (Florent Geroux, 30-1), Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, 15-1), Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, 20-1), Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., 5-1), Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, 30-1), Fiona’s Magic (Luis Saez, 30-1), Tarifa (Flavien Prat, 7-2), Everland (Abel Cedillo, 30-1), Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, 30-1), Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, 5-1), Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, 12-1), Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, 9-2), Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., 4-1). Also-eligible: Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, 15-1), Candied (Luis Saez, 20-1).
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      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Apr 2024 17:04:55 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 28, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-28-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Sunday, April 28, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic had his final workout Sunday ahead of next Saturday’s Kentucky Derby. With jockey Jose Ortiz aboard, Catalytic was timed in :47.80 for the half-mile. 
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           “It was a good time, a good work,” said trainer Saffie Joseph Jr., who was pleased in drawing the No. 5 post position for the Run for the Roses. “I thought it went as good as we could have asked, and Jose is happy with him. Hopefully we have a good week, and go on from here.”
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           Joseph said he has noticed a difference in Catalytic since he arrived from South Florida. “He’s showing a lot more energy here than he does at Gulfstream. And there, he doesn’t seem to pay attention, here he seems very focused.”
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            Ortiz gave a thumbs-up to the work for Catalytic, a 30-1 proposition on the morning line.
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           “He looked great, felt great. It was just a maintenance work, and exactly what we were looking for. The horse is happy,” he said. “Keeping him happy is all we have to do until Saturday.”
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            CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Catching Freedom, Encino and Just a Touch all had a scheduled walk day following their respective works Saturday morning.
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           All three are expected to return to the track Monday.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Trainer Chad Brown’s Kentucky Derby (GI)-bound duo of Grade I winner Sierra Leone and Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) winner Domestic Product both walked the shedrow a day after working five furlongs in company. 
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           "We look in good shape,” Brown said. “I just checked everyone and I’m really pleased."
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           Brown added that he likely will do some paddock schooling with his charges over the coming days. 
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           “I’m not sure about (gate schooling) yet. Sierra Leone is good. The other horses, they did some gate schooling before they came here so I’m not sure I really need to bring them back,” Brown said. “Definitely paddock schooling. I’m not sure when I’m going to start that. Maybe Tuesday, at the latest Wednesday.”
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           Sierra Leone, who won the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, is owned by Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg and Brook Smith. Domestic Product is a Klaravich Stables homebred.
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – One day after working four furlongs in company in their final moves ahead of the Kentucky Derby, Dornoch and Society Man both had a walk day on Sunday for trainer Danny Gargan.
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           “They’re good. Dornoch is strong and happy, he’s acting like a wild man,” Gargan said.
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           ENDLESSLY – Trainer Mike McCarthy, as is his wont, was on it early with his good colt Endlessly, giving exercise rider Walter Davila a leg up at 6 a.m. out of Barn 35 en route to a one-mile gallop around Churchill Downs Sunday morning.
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           Endlessly, a winner of five of six starts – with four of them in stakes – drew post 14 in the 20-horse Kentucky Derby field upcoming this Saturday. He’ll have California-based Umberto Rispoli aboard for the $5 million feature that many people consider the most famous horse race in the world.
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           “He’ll gallop a mile again tomorrow,” McCarthy said. “Then we might stretch him out some later in the week.” 
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable’s Fierceness, last year’s 2-year-old champion and this year’s favorite for Kentucky Derby 150, galloped approximately a mile and a quarter Sunday morning during the special Derby/Oaks training session between 7:30 and 7:45 at Churchill Downs. In the irons for trainer Todd Pletcher was Danny Wright, the Brit who once rode for the late Queen Elizabeth II.
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           Fierceness, who captured the Florida Derby in his most recent outing, once again will have veteran John Velazquez on his back as they break from post 17 in the 20-horse lineup.
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           Pletcher will follow the galloping routine for the balance of the week leading up to Saturday’s $5 million Derby. The conditioner also stated that he would gate school his City of Light colt Tuesday and take him to the paddock both Tuesday and Wednesday.
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s undefeated Forever Young (JPN) walked the mile chute for about an hour under Yusaku Oka for trainer Yoshito Yahagi.
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           Forever Young drew post 11 for the Kentucky Derby and Kate Hunter, Asia representative for the Kentucky Derby, said the connections of the UAE Derby (GIII) winner were pleased with the draw.
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           Forever Young is scheduled to work Tuesday in company with Derby entrant T O Password (JPN).
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First jogged a mile and galloped a mile under Amel Macias for trainer Victor Barboza Jr.
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           Grand Mo the First drew post 16 for the Derby, a spot that pleased the connections.
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           Barboza had been hoping for an outside draw and as the pills were pulled most of the inside spots in the gate were taken. As the remaining gate spots drew larger, the smiles grew larger.
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           “I’m very, very happy with the draw,” said Barboza, who wanted anywhere between 12 and 18.
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           “We were the next to last one drawn,” owner David Geofrey said of the pill pull in which the final two spots were 13 and 16.
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           Geofrey said this will be the third Derby he has attended and the most different.
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           “I always wanted to come here and this time I have come with a horse,” Geofrey said.
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           Third to Kentucky Derby morning line favorite Fierceness in the Florida Derby (GI) Grand Mo the First is slated gallop up to the race with an open gallop and gate visit scheduled for Wednesday.
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           Emisael Jamarillo has the mount, his second in the Derby. He finished 18
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            on Majesto in 2016.
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eisterman, Earl Silver, Kenneth and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie galloped 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. Sunday under regular rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           “This has always been a fun week my entire life,” said trainer Whit Beckman, who grew up in Louisville. “It’s just even more special to be involved with one of my horses. If he’s feeling good, I’m feeling good. And, right now, I’m all good.”
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           JUST STEEL – Right as the Churchill Downs track opened at 5:15 a.m., Hall of Famer D. Wayne Lukas was on the scene to send BC Stable’s Just Steel  through his final timed workout in preparation for the colt’s expected start in the Kentucky Derby (GI).
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           As Lukas watched from astride his pony, Just Steel had the track practically to himself as he broke off and registered splits of :13.40 and :25.20 during an easy half-mile in :50.40 before being eased up on the gallop out.
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           “Just a slow maintenance work. We’re close to the race, we didn’t want to do much,” Lukas said. “We pretty much did what we thought. I didn’t want him to gallop out much because I didn’t want to do too much this close. He probably could have done more, but that’s what it was.”
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           Lukas worked Just Steel one mile at Churchill Downs on April 20, although stamina should be the last thing the son of Justify has to worry about come May 4.
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           “I think he has a pedigree to do this, very much so,” Lukas said. “And his running style probably complements it too. If he’s good enough, he’ll show up. But we’ve got something to work with his pedigree.”
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           MYSTIK DAN – After Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan put in his final major tune-up on Saturday for the Derby for trainer Kenny McPeek, so he walked the shedrow on Sunday.
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           “He walked today after his work,” said McPeek, who was satisfied in drawing the No. 3 post position in the Derby. He’ll have Brian Hernandez Jr. on board and was listed at 20-1 on the morning line.
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           On Saturday, he was timed for the five furlongs in 1:01.20 with Hernandez, finishing up in 1:14.40.
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           RESILIENCE – Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott is bringing Wood Memorial (GII) winner Resilience up to the Kentucky Derby (GI) in old school fashion. On Sunday, Mott sent Resilience out for his third work in 10 days as the colt covered four furlongs in :49.20 during the 7:30 a.m. training session. 
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           Shortly after stablemate and champion Just F Y I completed her half-mile breeze in advance of the Kentucky Oaks (GI), Resilience got down to his own bit of serious business in a solo move with blinkers on. The son of Into Mischief was well in hand through fractions of :12.60 and :24.80 before galloping out in 1:01.40.
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           “I would say I was hoping to see exactly what we got,” Mott said. “I was hoping for a :49 work. We put a really good work into both horses six days ago so we just wanted our final work to be nice and smooth and cross our fingers and hope they come back good. It looked like they both breezed well, finished up well and came back nicely. Neither one of them was being pushed.”
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           The addition of blinkers has helped Resilience dial in his focus, with Mott now seeing a horse whose mind is on par with his physical ability. When he captured the Wood Memorial on April 6, he was able to not only finish up in strong fashion but do so with what appeared to be more left in the tank. 
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           "He’s physically done well and with the blinkers he seems to be more focused on everything,” Mott said “He got jostled around a bit in the Wood but by the time he got to the backside, he had a nice trip, had a nice stalking position.”
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           Mott added that, rather than a walk day, he may send Resilience back to the track on Monday for an easy jog.
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           STRONGHOLD – Trainer Phil D’Amato put the finishing touches on his colt Stronghold as the Ghostzapper offspring heads toward Saturday’s 150th edition of the Kentucky Derby.
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           The conditioner sent Eric and Sharon Waller’s homebred trackside during the 7:30-7:45 training period for Derby and Oaks horses Sunday morning at Churchill Downs. He signed on rider Joe Talamo to handle the youngster in a team drill with his charge Motorious and rider Martin Garcia. Motorious is one of the horses D’Amato brought in from California and he’s bound for Saturday’s $600,000, Grade II Twin Spires Turf Sprint.
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           The trainer’s instructions were for the two to work in concert, but not go too, too fast for their five-furlong exercise. The riders did just that, breaking off at the five-eighths pole and going in unison to the wire where they finished all but even. Churchill clockers gave Stronghold, who worked outside, a final time of :59.80 and his workmate a clocking of 1:00.
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           “He felt real good,” Talamo said following the exercise. “I’ve worked this horse before (Talamo broke his maiden at Churchill last October) and today he showed me another gear. He’s a different horse now; he did this easy.”
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           D’Amato, who watched the work from the frontside grandstand, was quite pleased with the drill.
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           “I told them I just wanted a maintenance work today; nothing too serious. And in the end it was an ideal drill. I said maybe go in 1:01 or so, but the way the track is playing right now their times were plenty good. This horse has raced six times at six different racetracks and he knows what he’s doing out there now. We’ve checked all the boxes and I’m very happy with where we stand coming up to the Derby.”
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           With his wife and chief exercise rider Sherri Alexander at the wheel, the trainer headed out from the track to catch a plane back to California and his main string of runners. He
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           indicated he’d return Tuesday for the balance of Derby Week.
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN) warmed up for a half-hour in the mile chute with stablemate T O Saint Denis (JPN) and then galloped an easy mile before turning to the chute to cool down. Training assistant Yuichi Tomomichi rode T O Password this morning.
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           Jockey Kazushi Kimura is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Sunday and will take over the morning saddle activity on Monday.
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           T O Password drew post 10 for the Kentucky Derby and Kate Hunter, Asia representative for the Kentucky Derby, said the connections of the undefeated colt were pleased with the draw.
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           T O Password is scheduled to work Tuesday in company with Derby entrant Forever Young (JPN).
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Lecomte Stakes (GIII) winner Track Phantom had his final work prior to the Kentucky Derby, working a solid five furlongs in 1:00 outside stablemate Mugen.
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           Track Phantom began his move through a solid opening quarter-mile of :24.20 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60, according to Churchill Downs Clocker John Nichols.
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           “I think Track Phantom has a beautiful rhythm to him with a nice, beautiful stride,” trainer Steve Asmussen said. “I don’t think he’s a horse that has to be on the lead. In his last two starts there were very tepid paces. I think for him to be wrangled back in either of those two races wouldn’t have been to his style. I obviously expect there to be more pace in the Derby, everybody does with the quarter-mile run into the first turn. I think in a full field I still want him to jump away from there well but I’d be very surprised to see him on the lead in this year’s Derby.”
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga walked the shedrow Sunday morning following a three-eighths work in :37.20 under jockey Jesus Castanon on Saturday.
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           rained by Larry Demeritte, West Saratoga will return to the track Monday. West Saratoga drew post 13 for the Derby.
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           “No matter what, I go to church on Sundays,” Demeritte said Saturday. “It’s normally a quiet day at the barn for us.”
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           ALSO ELIGIBLE – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride galloped a mile and a half under Sophie Doyle for trainer John Ennis.
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           Average Joe Racing Stables and Dan Wells’ Mugatu had a scheduled walk day for trainer Jeff Engler.
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           THE KENTUCKY DERBY FIELD – Here is the field for the 150
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            running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I) in order of post positions (with rider and morning line odds): Dornoch (Luis Saez, 20-1), Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, 3-1),  Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1), Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, 8-1), Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, 30-1), Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, 20-1), Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, 20-1), Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, 10-1), Encino (Axel Concepcion, 20-1), T O Password (JPN) (Kazuski Kimura, 30-1), Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai. 10-1), Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, 20-1), West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, 30-1), Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, 30-1), Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., 30-1), Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, 50-1), Fierceness (John Velasquez, 5-2), Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, 20-1), Resilience (Junior Alvarado, 20-1), Society Man (Frankie Dettori, 50-1). Also-Eligible: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, 50-1), Mugatu (Joe Talamo, 50-1). All starters will carry 126 pounds.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           EVERLAND – Foster Family Racing, William Wargel, R.K. Eckrich Racing and Maxis Stable’s Everland, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start for trainer Eric Foster, worked a half-mile in :51.80 Sunday after shipping over from Keeneland the day before.
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           Everland drew the No. 9 post, and was listed on the morning line as a 30-1 shot with Abel Cedillo to ride. Cedillo was aboard Sunday.
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           “I thought she looked really good,” trainer Eric Foster said. “He (Cedillo) was smiling. I was tickled with her.”
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           Foster admitted “we’ve got a lot of unanswered here” heading into the Oaks – how she’ll handle the crowd, and the switch from an artificial racing surface to the dirt.
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           “We’re hoping her breeding will make the difference,” he said of the daughter of Arrogate. “There was an Arrogate that won at a mile-and-a-quarter last night, and we like Arrogates. We’re hoping he shines through on her.”
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           FIONA’S MAGIC – Stonehedge LLC’s Fiona’s Magic made her first visit to the track Sunday moirning since arriving from South Florida, galloping a mile and a quarter under exercise rider Alejandro Mariano for trainer Michael Yates.
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           Winner of the Davona Dale (GII) to punch her ticket to the Kentucky Oaks, Fiona’s Magic will exit post 7 under Luis Saez in Friday’s race.
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           Fiona’s Magic gives Yates an Oaks starter for the second consecutive year. Last year, Dorth Vader was prominent throughout before tiring late to finish fifth, beaten only 3 ¼ lengths by Pretty Mischievous.
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           Yates said he would give Fiona’s Magic gate and paddock schooling sessions this week prior to the Oaks.
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           He said that owner Marilyn Campbell was scheduled to arrive in Louisville on Thursday.
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa both had an easy training session Sunday morning for trainer Brad Cox.
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           “Both fillies are doing well out of their works from Friday,” Cox said. “We’ll gallop them this week and probably school in the paddock again.”
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne was out just before 6 a.m. for trainer Ian Wilkes. Exercise rider Adelso Orantes was aboard.
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           “She galloped, about a mile-and-three-eighths today,” Wilkes said of his filly, who drew the No. 10 post with jockey Julian Leparoux.           
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           The draw suits Into Champagne, listed at 30-1 on the morning line, Wilkes said. “No problem there. The post is fine … it’s better than the 1 or 2, and it gives us a few options.”
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            The Gulfstream Parks Oaks (GII) third-place finisher completed a five-furlong breeze Friday morning in 1:00, with Leparoux.
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           JUST F Y I – Jockey  Junior Alvarado’s face visibly beams when discussing Just F Y I, the champion filly he has guided through each of her four career starts. The positive adjectives and broad smiles continued to flow from the rider Sunday shortly after he climbed off his Kentucky Oaks (GI) contender following as easy half-mile breeze in :49.40.
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           In registering her third workout in 10 days, George Krikorian’s homebred filly continued to flaunt good energy as she broke off solo during the 7:30 a.m. training period with trainer Bill Mott looking on from his pony. Alvarado was a passenger through splits of :24.80 with a gallop out in 1:02.40.
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           “It was a great work, it was nice and comfortable,” said Alvarado, who will also ride Resilience for Mott in the Kentucky Derby. “Today was more like a maintenance work to make sure she felt good. She traveled very well, nice and comfortable and galloped out with good energy.
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           “This track can go either way, sometimes horses don’t get a good hold of it. And she’s just been skipping over this ground,” Alvarado said. “She’s traveling as good as you want a horse to travel over this ground and that makes me happy because she’s a lengthy filly. I just love my chances. She’s handled the track and been galloping everyday with good energy, that’s all you can ask.”
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           In addition to her class, Just F Y I is indeed bringing fresh legs into the Kentucky Oaks as she has only made one start thus far in 2024. Following her Eclipse Award-clinching victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI) last November, the daughter of Justify had her sophomore debut delayed by illness. 
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           When she finally did return in the Ashland Stakes (GI) at Keeneland on April 5, she finished second, three lengths behind race winner Leslie’s Rose, but got a jolt of fitness out of the effort. 
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           “I think she’s a little more mature now and doing very well,” Mott said. “She seems like having the race at Keeneland under her belt, she’s begun to wake up. Over the winter, they kind of let down and they’re going through the motions in their training but sometimes it takes a race to really put them on edge and I think we accomplished that with her race in the Ashland. Hopefully it will move her forward.”
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           Mott added he may send Just F Y I back to the track Monday for a light jog.
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           LEMON MUFFIN -- Honeybee Stakes (GIII) winner Lemon Muffin had a walk day for trainer D. Wayne Lukas after working five furlongs in :58.20 on Saturday. 
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           LESLIE’S ROSE/CANDIED – Trainer Todd Pletcher had his two Kentucky Oaks candidates trackside Sunday morning during the 7:30-7:45 training period for Oaks and Derby horses at Churchill Downs.
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           Exercise rider Joel Osorio was aboard Leslie’s Rose, while Carlos Quevedo handled Candied.
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           They both galloped roughly a mile and one quarter, then took turns standing in the starting gate. Pletcher indicated he’ll have both of them spend some time in the paddock both Tuesday and Wednesday.
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           Leslie’s Rose will be ridden in Friday’s $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks by regular rider, Irad Ortiz Jr. She drew the outside post 14 at Saturday’s draw. Candied is the second also-eligible and will need two withdrawals to make the field.
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           POWER SQUEEZE – Lea Farms’ Kentucky-bred Power Squeeze visited the Churchill Downs track for a gallop Sunday after arriving late Thursday from South Florida.
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           Trainer Jorge Delgado is expected to arrive in Louisville today to oversee the final preparation of the Union Rags filly for the Oaks.
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           Daniel Centeno has the riding assignment on Power Squeeze for the Oaks from post 12.
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS - While Klaravich Stables’ Regulatory Risk walked the shedrow one day after putting in a half-mile work, her stablemate and fellow Kentucky Oaks (GI) contender Ways and Means returned to the track for a jog with trainer Chad Brown looking on.
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           Brown expressed concern that Ways and Means might have done too much when she worked four furlongs in a blistering in :46.20 on April 26 but he has been encouraged since by the way the daughter of Practical Joke has bounced out of that effort.
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           “She looked great today. She looked good,” Brown said. “Tomorrow, we’ll give her a little gallop and see how it goes. She came out really sound and happy and normally those things you don’t quite know the next week until you run them or work them again. But so far, so good.”
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie was on the track Sunday for trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. in preparation for the Oaks.
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           “I jogged her to the half-mile pole, then turned her around and galloped her back, so she basically went a mile galloping,” said Milligan.
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           Milligan sounded philosophical about drawing the No. 1 post position on Saturday. “The owner asked me before the draw what post I wanted,” he said. “I told him it really didn’t matter because where we ended up, because it’s where God wanted us. We’ll how this comes out. She was in the 1-hole at Oaklawn, and ran well. She was in the 2-hole at Delta Downs and won. She is an impatient filly, so I don’t like her to stand around while the others load.”
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           The Oaks’ 30-1 shot worked a half-mile Thursday with jockey Manny Esquivel, in :49.40.
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna returned to the track on Sunday with exercise rider Martin Reyes, two days after she completed her final major workout for the Longines Kentucky Oaks for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           “She jogged a mile and galloped a mile,” McPeek said. “That’s typical for the first day back for us.”
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           Thorpedo Anna, who will have Brian Hernandez Jr. on board, drew the No. 5 post for the Oaks, and was near the top of the morning line at 5-1. On Friday, Hernandez guided her to a five-furlong work in :59.40.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Where’s My Ring galloped a solid two miles under exercise rider David Rodriguez during the 7:30-7:45 special Derby/Oaks training session at Churchill Downs Sunday morning.
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           Trainer Val Brinkerhoff, who has guided the daughter of Twirling Candy through an eight-race career so far that peaked on April 6 at Aqueduct when she both broke her maiden and scored her first stakes victory in the Grade III Gazelle, watched his charge go through her exercise from the backside clockers’ stand. He seemed quite pleased with her leg stretching.
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           Veteran New York rider Jose Lezcano rode Where’s My Ring in her stakes tally and has signed on once more to take the controls when she goes in the Oaks Friday. They’ll begin from post 3 in the 14-horse field for the mile and one-eighth test.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here is the field for the $1.5 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) in order of post position (with jockey and morning line odds): The field for the Kentucky Oaks, from the rail out with riders and morning line odds, is: Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, 30-1), Gin Gin (Florent Geroux, 30-1), Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, 15-1), Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, 20-1), Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., 5-1), Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, 30-1), Fiona’s Magic (Luis Saez, 30-1), Tarifa (Flavien Prat, 7-2), Everland (Abel Cedillo, 30-1), Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, 30-1), Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, 5-1), Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, 12-1), Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, 9-2), Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., 4-1). Also-eligible: Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, 15-1), Candied (Luis Saez, 20-1).
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      <pubDate>Sun, 28 Apr 2024 16:30:39 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Post Position Draw Reactions</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-post-position-draw-reactions</link>
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           Kentucky Derby and Oaks Post Position Draw Reactions
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           DORNOCH (Post 1, 20-1), Society Man (Post 20, 50-1) – trainer Danny Gargan – “Dornoch is going to come out of there running so it’s not the end of the world. It’s the new gate so a lot of people are saying the 1 hole is not what it used to be. So we’re not breaking into that funny turn and that will help too. I don’t think it’s the kiss of death. There’s no speed on our outside so hopefully he’ll break running and we’ll put him on the front end and see how it goes. We planned on keeping his face clean, now we’ll keep it real clean. And society man is a closer so he’ll just break and get over and sit midpack, maybe 10th or 10th and hopefully make a big run.”
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           SIERRA LEONE (Post 2, 3-1), DOMESTIC PRODUCT (Post 15, 30-1),– trainer Chad Brown – “Not that bad. Sierra Leone, he’s in just a touch farther in than I wanted but he didn’t get the 1 hole so I’m OK with that. With this particular horse, what I didn’t want was the 19 or 20. In fact, it would have been hard for him to drop over without losing ground, significant ground around the first turn. With Domestic Product, I thought it was a very good draw for him. He has a lot of natural speed, he should be in the second flight and I think that Irad (Ortiz Jr.) will have plenty of options from the 15 for that long run down the stretch the first time to sort of position himself hopefully behind the half dozen speed horses.”
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           MYSTIC DAN (Post 3, 20-1) – trainer Kenny McPeek – “I like it a lot. When you’re waiting for your number to come up, I told my wife that posts 3 or 7 was good for me. He can track right into the turn and he’s a horse that’s proven that he can run inside horses. So he doesn’t need the outside and he’s going to get a shorter trip from this post. So I’m very pleased.”
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           CATCHING FREEDOM (Post 4, 8-1), Encino (Post 9, 20-1), Just a Touch (Post 8, 10-1) – trainer Brad Cox – “Post positions are pretty over rated in my opinion. They all drew fine. If you’re a good enough horse you can overcome any post position. We can’t control posts so I like to keep things in perspective of what I can control, which is their training. They all worked well this morning and are training great going into the race. We’re looking forward to the opportunity to running all three horses.”
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           CATALYTIC (Post 5, 30-1) – trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. – “We drew well, so we can’t complain about the draw. We just have to get away clean and after that it’s up to Jose (Ortiz) to give him a good trip and for him to run the race of his life.”
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           JUST STEEL (Post 6, 20-1) – trainer Wayne Lukas – “It’s fine. I just didn’t want inside. I don’t care for the inside but anything from probably the 5 out is comfortable.”
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           HONOR MARIE (Post 7, 20-1) – trainer Whit Beckman – “It’s a great spot. We’re ready to go.”
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           WEST SARATOGA (Post 13, 50-1) – trainer Larry Demeritte – “I think it’s just fine breaking from post 13. We are so grateful to be here and enjoying every single minute.”
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           ENDLESSLY (Post 14, 30-1) – trainer Michael McCarthy – “Fantastic. I wanted to be anywhere between seven and 14, so this is perfect.”
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           FIERCENESS (Post 17, 5-2) – trainer Todd Pletcher – “I’m fine with the post. There’s a long enough run into the first turn to hopefully establish position.”
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           STRONGHOLD (Post 18, 20-1) – trainer Phil D’Amato – “It’s not the worst. He gets away from there pretty well so I think we can get a good spot.”
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           RESILIENCE (Post 19, 20-1) – trainer Bill Mott – “I’m fine with it. For me, I would have preferred to be in the outside half than the inside half. We have a certain amount of speed but not the speed that you would need to get away from the 1 hole or even the 2 hole. So you know, I think I’m happy enough being out there. Part of it is the trip and you have a chance from there to have a clean trip at least through the stretch and hopefully by the time you get to the turn, something works out in your favor, and you can track in a little bit.
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           KENTUCKY OAKS
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           GIN GIN (Post 2, 30-1), Tarifa (Post 8, 7-2) – trainer Brad Cox – “I think post positions are a little overrated. If you have the right horse you can really win from anywhere. I think both horses had a solid work the other morning so that’s most important at this stage to me.”
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           WHERE’S MY RING (Post 3, 15-1) – trainer Val Brinkerhoff – “I don’t like it, I love it.”
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           REGULATORY RISK (Post 4, 20-1), WAYS AND MEANS (Post 11, 5-1) – trainer Chad Brown – “Both of them good spots. Regulatory Risk is going to have to make up a couple lengths somewhere to get a piece of it and I think the inside draw was key for her to try and save ground. So that was really good. With Ways and Means, raw speed especially going 1 1/8 miles, I expect her to be very forward in the race. I’d rather her be outside most horses through that first run into the turn and have options out there. I’m very pleased, I didn’t want to be stuck inside with her. If she breaks clean, Tyler (Gaffalione) should have plenty of options to just choose his spot if he wants to go on or be just off the lead.”
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           THORPEDO ANNA (Post 5, 5-1) – trainer Kenny McPeek – “She’s got another good spot. You can let her run to the first turn. She’s fast, and has got enough early speed to put herself in a good spot (with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr.). It’ll be interesting to see what’s inside of her, I haven’t really studied all of that. But I’m pretty confident with her.”
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           JUST F Y I (Post 13, 9-2) – trainer Bill Mott – “She won the Breeders’ Cup from the 12. Hopefully she’ll have a good clean trip and have a chance to get over. If she’s on her game, she’ll break pretty good and hope it works out as well as it did in the Breeders’ Cup.”
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           LESLIE’S ROSE (Post 14, 4-1) – trainer Todd Pletcher – “It’s not ideal. We’ll have to overcome it.”
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      <pubDate>Sun, 28 Apr 2024 11:16:28 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Derby by the Speed Numbers 2024</title>
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           Kentucky Derby by the Speed Numbers
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           OR Who'll Reach the Eighth Pole First?
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted April 27, 2024
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           In 64 of the last 69 (93 percent) runnings of the Kentucky Derby, the winner was either on the lead with an eighth of a mile to go in the race, within a length of the lead, or running second although more than a length off the leader. Of those 69 winners, 50 of them (72 percent) were on the lead at the eighth pole. *Running positions at the eighth pole since the 2005 Kentucky Derby are shown below.
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           The Kentucky Derby is 1 1/4 miles for 3-year-olds only. It's the first time any of the horses have ever run that far in a race. In this industry, speed figures are calculated to identify how fast horses run, not by time, but by analysis. From six categories of speed figures published at Daily Racing Form, Brisnet and Equibase for 3-year-old races at 1 1/8 or 1 3/16 miles, we identified the horses with the best four figures in each category, then we added up how many times each of the horses were among the best.  **A chart showing all the horses' speed figures in all the categories is below.  ***A brief description of each the speed figure methods is below the chart.
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           There are six categories. The study finds horses with the four fastest numbers in each of those six categories. The four horses found the most are:
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           FIERCENESS - among the four fastest numbers in 5 categories
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           SIERRA LEONE - among the four fastest numbers in 5 categories
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           CATCHING FREEDOM - among the four fastest numbers in 3 categories
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           RESILIENCE - among the four fastest numbers in 3 categories
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           DETAILS
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           Top 4 Beyer Speed Figures:
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            Fierceness 110 (Florida Derby); Sierra Leone 98 (Blue Grass Stakes); Catching Freedom 97 (Louisiana Derby); Honor Marie 96 (Louisiana Derby); Just a Touch 96 (Blue Grass Stakes)
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           Top 4 DRF combined speed/track variant figures:
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            Endlessly 113 (El Camino Real Derby); Just Steel 107 (Arkansas Derby); Fierceness 105 (Florida Derby); Catching Freedom 103 (Louisiana Derby); Mystik Dan 103 (Arkansas Derby); Sierra Leone (Blue Grass Stakes)
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           Top 4 Brisnet Speed Figures:
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            Fierceness 106 (Florida Derby); Resilience 104 (Wood Memorial); Society Man 102 (Wood Memorial); Sierra Leone 101 (Blue Grass Stakes)
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           Top 4 combined Brisnet E1-E2 figures:
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            Just a Touch 215 (Blue Grass Stakes); Dornoch 200 (Blue Grass Stakes); Resilience 205 (Wood Memorial); Track Phantom 200 (Louisiana Derby)
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           Top 4 Brisnet late pace figures:
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            Fierceness 113 (Florida Derby); Catching Freedom 101 (Louisiana Derby); Sierra Leone 99 (Risen Star); Resilience 98 (Wood Memorial)
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           Top 4 Equibase Speed Figures:
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            Just Steel 112 (Arkansas Derby); Fierceness 110 (Florida Derby); Sierra Leone 107 (Blue Grass Stakes); Mystik Dan 106 (Arkansas Derby)
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           *DETAILS SINCE 2005
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           In 2023, Mage was second, two lengths off the pace, at the eighth pole. In 2022, Rich Strike was third, four lengths off the pace, at the eighth-pole. In 2021, Medina Spirit (since disqualified) and Mandaloun (who was second across the wire) were one-two at the marker, separated by a neck. In 2020, Authentic was ahead by a length. In 2019, Maximum Security also led by a length with a furlong left - but was disqualified. In 2018, Justify led by 2 1/2 lengths at the all-important eighth pole. In 2017, Always Dreaming led by three lengths at the eighth-pole. In 2016, Nyquist led by 2 1/2 lengths at the eighth pole. In 2015, American Pharoah had poked his head in front at that point of the race. In 2014, California Chrome led by five lengths at the furlong marker. In 2013, Orb was second, 2 1/2 lengths off the lead at the eighth pole. In 2012, I'll Have Another was second, three lengths off the lead with a furlong left. In 2011, Animal Kingdom didn't qualify for this stat, but he was about as close as you can get -- third by by 1 1/2 length at the eighth pole. In 2010, Super Saver was two lengths the best at the furlong marker. Mine That Bird was one length ahead at the eighth pole in 2009. Big Brown, the 2008 Derby winner, was 2 1/2 lengths ahead. In 2007, Street Sense was up by a length, and in 2006, Barbaro was four lengths in front at the eighth pole. The 2005 winner, Giacomo, was an exception to the rule. He was in sixth place at the eighth pole, almost three lengths off the lead held by Closing Argument at that moment.
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           ***Descriptions of Speed Figures Used in the Study
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           Beyer Speed Figures; Speed Rating and Track Variant
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            Beyer Speed Figures are a well-known handicapping staple at Daily Racing Form. A single number is designed to express how fast a horse ran in a race.
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           These figures are complemented by the publication's pure speed rating and track variant figures, explained succinctly as follows.
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           The speed rating is a comparison of a horse's final time with the best time at the distance at that track in the last three years. The best time is given a rating of 100. One point is deducted for each fifth of a second by which a horse fails to equal that time.
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           To compute the track variant, the speed ratings of all winners in each type of race on a card are added together and an average is computed, which is deducted from 100. The lower the track variant, the faster the track, or the better the overall quality of competition that day, according to Daily Racing Form. Conversely, a higher track variant almost always means a slower track.
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           Brisnet Speed Figures
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           Brisnet has its own formula for calculating speed and like Beyer figures, a single number is designed to express how fast a horse ran in a race.
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           Brisnet speed figures are complemented by pace figures to evaluate horses' speed in the early and late stages of races, called E1, E2 and LP.  E1 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the first call of the race, usually a half-mile in longer races, and E2 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the second call, usually three-quarters of a mile. LP is the pace rating of the horse from the second call to the finish of the race.
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           Equibase Speed Figures
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           Since 1991 Equibase has been the official repository for statistics in Thoroughbred racing in North America. This company also has its own formula for assessing speed expressed in a single number.
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      <pubDate>Sat, 27 Apr 2024 21:38:20 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-by-the-speed-numbers-2024</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 27, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-27-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 27, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. was preparing Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic for a planned Sunday work. On Saturday, the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up was out with exercise rider Olaf Hernandez during the designated training time for Oaks and Derby horses.
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           “He’s doing well,” said Joseph, who plans to keep a string of horses stabled at Churchill for the entire meet. “He had a nice gallop today, about a mile-and-a-half again. I thought he got over the track well.”
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           Catalytic is scheduled to work Sunday during the designated training period for Oaks and Derby horses that starts around 7:30 a.m.
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – “Let’s go to work.”
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           That was the statement Brad Cox said when he arrived at Barn 22 early Saturday morning before his trio of Kentucky Derby contenders – Catching Freedom (five furlongs, :59.20); Encino (five furlongs, :59.20) and Just a Touch (five furlongs, 1:00.80) – all had their final works prior to the “Run for the Roses.”
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           At 5:15 a.m., Albaugh Family Stables’ Catching Freedom worked to the inside of Godolphin’s Encino. The duo went an opening quarter-mile in :23.80 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.
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           Then, during the 7:30 a.m. exclusive training window for Derby/Oaks contenders, Qatar Racing, Resolute Racing and Marc Detampel’s Just a Touch breezed five furlongs in 1:00.80.
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           “Solid morning overall,” said jockey Florent Geroux, who worked both Encino and Just a Touch. “I thought both horses worked well. Encino seems to have bounced out of the Lexington in good shape and was solid. Just a Touch was very easy. He did everything on his own.”
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           Geroux is set to ride Just a Touch while 2023 Eclipse Award-winning apprentice rider Axel Concepcion, represented by Cox’s son, Bryson, will ride Encino.
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            “All three had good, solid moves this morning,” Cox said. “I liked the breeze this morning for Encino and that was really the thing we were looking for as far as making the decision to enter the Derby. His work went great. We did a little more with him this morning than we normally would back in two weeks. He responded well and so did Catching Freedom.
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           “I thought Just a Touch went pretty working a minute and change and galloped out in hand.”
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           All three Derby contenders are scheduled to have an easy Sunday morning and walk the shedrow.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Call it trainer speak, but Chad Brown was definitive in his belief that what he saw from his two Kentucky Derby (G1) contenders Saturday morning was just the eyeful he was looking for one week out from the first leg of the Triple Crown
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           Heading up a busy work tab morning under ideal weather conditions, the Brown-trained duo of Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg and Brook Smith’s Sierra Leone and Klaravich Stables’ homebred Domestic Product put in their final major piece of work ahead of the 10-furlong classic on May 4. Working in company with Blue Grass Stakes (GI) winner Sierra Leone inside, the duo drilled five furlongs in 1:00.20 over the fast main track.
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           With Kriss Bon in the irons for Sierra Leone and Tyler Gaffalione up on Domestic Product, the duo notched splits of :13, :24.80, :36.40 and galloped out in 1:13.20 and 1:26.20. Gaffalione is set to be aboard Sierra Leone on Derby Day, but has ridden Domestic Product in the past and was filling in for Irad Ortiz Jr., who had to be in New York.
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           “Just that,” Brown said when asked what he wanted to see from his Derby duo. “It was executed perfectly. I wanted them to a good five-eighths out in three-quarters but well within themselves. (Sierra Leone) is super fit and it was just an outstanding work. I’m just trying to get him in there happy and sound.
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           “He’s a very rare horse. He’s just everything you want as a trainer.”
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           Touting himself in the morning hours is nothing new for Sierra Leone, as he posted a similarly impressive four-furlong breeze at Keeneland on April 20. With the last breeze now in the books, Brown can now focus on getting the horse who may arguably be his best Kentucky Derby contender yet over to the starting gate in the best condition possible.
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           "We’re just really trying to stay out of his way. Me and my team, we’ve been managing this horse and just trying to allow him to be who he was meant to be,” said Brown, who best finish in the Kentucky Derby came when he second with champion Good Magic in 2018. “Don’t do anything to prevent him from getting there really. He has a tremendous amount of power and endurance. He might not be the fastest horse early in his races but once he gets moving, it does seem like his stride is probably two to the horses next to him.
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           Brown added that Sierra Leone, who was fractious while loading for the Blue Grass Stakes, has had two gate schooling sessions at Churchill.
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           “He’s visited the gate twice this week and did really well, there is no need to take him back,” Brown said.
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           Domestic Product is one Brown said has been “glowing” since he arrived at Churchill Downs. The winner of the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) on March 9 continued that trend with the way he handled the final workout.
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           “With these two horses, I feel as confident that I’ll have good runs in the Derby if they can get clear trips,” Brown said.
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – The Danny Gargan-trained duo of Dornoch and Society Man have been workmates for each other throughout their careers. Hence, it was fitting the two pushed each other through the last major breeze ahead of the biggest race of their young lives.
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           Dornoch, owned by West Paces Racing, R. A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing and Breeding, Two Eight Racing and Pine Racing Stables, and stablemate Society Man were once again in company as they put in a half-mile move in :46.60 during the 7:30 a.m. training period at Churchill Downs Saturday. 
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           With Dornoch situated on the inside, the two posted splits of :11.60, 23.20, and 34.60 before galloping out in :59 and 1:12.60. 
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           “The track is playing super fast right now,” Gargan said. “We thought we’d go in 47 and change, I got them 46 and 4. They went out nice though and … that’s kind of the work for everybody, they’re all going around the same time. We wanted to go a little bit slower but they looked good doing it, they were in hand, no one was asking them. We’re just hoping they come back good, everything looks good and they’re cooling out good.”
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           Society Man, who is owned by the partnership of Reeves Thoroughbreds, West Paces, GMP Stables and Carl and Yurie Pascarella, has been friendly company for his multiple graded stakes winning stablemate since their juvenile seasons with Gargan saying the Wood Memorial (GII) runner-up is one of the few horses he has that can hang with Dornoch.
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           “They’ve worked together even as 2-year-olds,” Gargan said. “They’ve breezed together multiple times, I couldn’t even tell you how many times. They worked twice before the Remsen together and they’ve worked twice here now together. They worked in Saratoga together as babies so they’re definitely familiar with each other.”
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           ENDLESSLY – Trainer Michael McCarthy was asked if the conversation had taken place. 
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           “It’s been done,” the conditioner said. “We’ll be running in the Derby.” 
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           The Oscar Performance colt had drilled a half-mile in :47.80 Friday morning and the trainer had called owner John Amerman not long after to discuss the next step for his multiple-stakes winner. 
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           The bay was a winner of five of his six starts, none of them on dirt. In light of that, the conditioner gently encouraged his boss to consider staying on the sure road and entering Endlessly in the $600,000 American Turf (GII) next Saturday. 
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           But Derby Fever is hard to cure and owner-breeder Amerman and his wife Jerry opted to take their big shot at the world’s most famous race. 
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           So it will be a first-timers special for the connections around the bay: Owner, trainer and jockey (Umberto Rispoli) will all be experiencing their first go-round in the $5 million headliner. 
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           FIERCENESS – The possible Kentucky Derby favorite – Repole Stable’s Fierceness – had a quiet walk morning Saturday at Churchill Downs following his :48.80 final prep Friday for the Run for the Roses. 
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           “He looked super this morning,” trainer Todd Pletcher said of his Florida Derby (GI) winner. “We’re all good.” 
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           The trainer has lined-up Hall of Famer John Velaquez to be at the controls for 2023’s 2-year-old champion. Racing fans with a recall for recent history might remember a similar scenario in 2017. Pletcher won the Florida Derby with Always Dreaming, then gave Velazquez a leg up on the colt in the Kentucky Derby. They met next in the winner’s circle. 
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute during the morning’s first harrow break and then gallop at a two-minute-mile clip under Yusaku Oka.
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           Trainer Yoshito Yahagi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Tuesday night. Fujita is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on Friday.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First made his first appearance on the track Saturday morning for trainer Victor Barboza Jr., jogging a mile under exercise rider Amel Macias.
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           Grand Mo the First walked around in the grass behind Barn 41 before going to the track at 6:45 when equine traffic thinned before the first harrow break of the morning. Barboza said the colt would train at the same time during the coming week.
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           Grand Mo the First worked six furlongs in 1:16.46 at Gulfstream Park on Tuesday that will serve as his final pre-Derby work.
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           “No works here, but he will go to the paddock and gate one or two times,” said Barboza, who won an allowance race last year here on Derby Day with Petulante.
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           Third in the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) and Florida Derby (GI) in his past two starts, Grand Mo the First will be ridden in the Derby by Emisael Jaramillo.
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           Barboza was eager Saturday morning to see what this evening’s post position draw would bring.
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           “The draw is very important,” Barboza said. “I don’t want to be inside where a lot of horses could come over on you. I’d prefer the middle to the outside, say from the 12 to the 18.”
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           HONOR MARIE – TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (GII) runner-up Honor Marie went back to the track Saturday for the first time since his sharp five-furlong drill in :59.20 Thursday.
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           “He came out of the work great,” trainer Whit Beckman said. “I was very happy when I got back to the barn from the work because he looked like he didn’t do much at all.”
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           Honor Marie jogged about a mile under regular exercise rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           JUST STEEL – BC Stable’s Just Steel, runner-up in the Arkansas Derby (GI) in his most recent outing, galloped during the special 7:30 a.m. training period with trainer D. Wayne Lukas looking on. 
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           “The next couple days I might do something with him,” Lukas said regarding when Just Steel might have his final pre-Derby breeze. 
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           MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan put in his final major tuneup on Saturday for the Derby for trainer Kenny McPeek. He was timed for the five furlongs in 1:01.20 with jockey  Brian Hernandez Jr., finishing up in 1:14.40.
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           “It was pretty basic stuff out there,” McPeek said. “For me, he worked fast enough last weekend. He didn’t need a whole lot. I told Brian to go a minute and change, and that I didn’t want him to go 59. He went in 1:01, which is fine, and he had a nice gallop out. He’ll gate school, paddock school, and have regular gallops all week.”
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           Mystik Dan, the winner of the Southwest (GIII) and most recently finished third in the Arkansas Derby (GI) at Oaklawn Park, will have Hernandez aboard in the Derby.
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           Traffic problems may have cost him an even better finish in the Arkansas Derby.
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           “He could have had a cleaner trip. He got turned sideways on the first turn, and I think it cost him some ground,” McPeek said. “But he ran well enough to get him some points to get in. He likes it here, this is his home track. He almost got the track record for five-and-a-half (furlongs) on a dry track. We’re pretty optimistic, whether it’s rain or shine.” 
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           RESILIENCE – Similar to Friday, Emily Bushnell and Ric Waldman’s Wood Memorial (GII) winner  Resilience galloped during the 7:30 training session Saturday morning after taking a trip through the new Churchill Downs paddock. Trainer Bill Mott said his intention is to work Resilience on Sunday. 
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           STRONGHOLD – The Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Stronghold again trained during the special 7:30-7:45 Oaks/Derby session Saturday morning at Churchill Downs. The Ghostzapper colt galloped strongly for exercise rider Sherri Alexander, covering about a mile and one half on a fast track during a warm morning. 
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           Trainer Phil D’Amato looked on from the clocker’s stand on the backside and said he liked what he saw. 
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           “He seems like he’s full of energy,” the conditioner said, “and that what you like to see. I’m very happy with how he’s coming up to this.” 
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           D’Amato has scheduled Stronghold’s final prep for the $5 million Derby for Sunday during the 7:30-7:45 special training period for Oaks and Derby runners. He’s signed on local rider Joe Talamo to be aboard for a work of “probably five furlongs.” 
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           Stronghold’s Derby date means it will be another case of an owner (Eric and Sharon Waller), a trainer (D’Amato) and a jockey (Antonio Fresu) getting their first go-round in the world’s most famous race. 
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password (JPN) left the Quarantine Barn at 5:45 Saturday morning for his first activity at Churchill Downs since arriving early Friday from Chicago where he was in quarantine.
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           With training assistant Yuichi Tomomichi aboard, T O Password and stablemate T O Saint Denis (JPN) warmed up for about a half-hour in the mile chute and then galloped a mile before returning to the chute to cool down. T O Saint Denis is a candidate for Friday’s $750,000 Alysheba (GII) presented by Sentient Jet.
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           Trainer Daisuke Takayanagi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Monday afternoon. Breeder Bokujo Yanagawa arrives Friday and will represent the owner.
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           Kazushi Kimura, who has the Derby mount, is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Monday.
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           TRACK PHANTOM – L and N Racing, Clark Brewster, Jerry Caroom and Breeze Easy’s Track Phantom had another routine 1 ½-mile gallop Saturday around 5:45 a.m. under exercise rider Roberto Howell.
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            The Steve Asmussen trainee is scheduled to school in both the paddock and starting gate prior to the Derby.
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga completed his major training for Derby 150 by working three furlongs under jockey Jesus Castanon in :37.20.
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           With Veruchi and trainer Larry Demeritte looking on from the frontside, West Saratoga clocked an initial eighth in :11.80 and galloped out a half-mile in :50.20.
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           “He was good this morning and handled the track well,” said Castanon, who waited to work until six other Derby and two Oaks hopefuls had completed their breezes. “He has handled every track that I have been on him … Tampa, Turfway, Keeneland and here.”
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           Demeritte only got to see the last part of the work.
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           “By the time we got to the frontside, I just got to see the stretch,” Demeritte said. “I liked the gallop out. I was hoping for :36, but he had strong gallop out.”
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           Demeritte said West Saratoga would walk Sunday and then gallop up to the race with paddock schooling slated for Monday and a gate visit for Tuesday.
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           After the work, West Saratoga was a handful after getting a bath.
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           “He likes to show off for the cameras,” Demeritte said. “If he’s happy, I’m happy.”
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           West Saratoga is named for the street in Littleton, Colorado, where Veruchi grew up.
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           “It is six blocks from the old Centennial Racetrack which closed in 1983,” said Veruchi, who is in Louisville through the Derby.
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES
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           EPIC RIDE - Welch Racing’s Epic Ride galloped a mile under Sophie Doyle for trainer John Ennis.
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           Epic Ride arrived at Churchill Downs at 8 p.m. Friday from The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington where he worked a half-mile in :51.20 that morning.
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           Epic Ride will need one defection from the anticipated Derby field to make the main body of the race.
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           We are going to go to the paddock maybe Wednesday and the gate Thursday,” Ennis said. “If we get in, we get in. If we don’t, after scratch time Friday we will go back to Lexington. I’m not sure (where he may run next if he does not get in the Derby.”
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           MUGATU - Average Joe Racing Stables and Dan Wells’ Mugatu galloped at a two-minute lick under Joe Talamo at 9 o’clock for trainer Jeff Engler.
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           Mugatu arrived at Churchill Downs at 5 p.m. Friday from Belterra.
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           “We moved to Belterra from Turfway so he could train on the dirt,” Engler said. “If he doesn’t get in the Derby, he would probably work here and then ship Saturday or Sunday for the Peter Pan.”
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           The $200,000 Peter Pan (GIII) will be run May 11 at Aqueduct going 1 1/8 miles.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY
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            – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., Chad Brown); Dornoch (Luis Saez, Danny Gargan); Encino (Axel Concepcion, Brad Cox); Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, Michael McCarthy); Fierceness (John Velazquez, Todd Pletcher); Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, Victor Barboza Jr.); Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, Whit Beckman); Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Resilience (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown); Society Man (Frankie Dettori, Danny Gargan); Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, Phil D’Amato); T O Password (JPN) (Kazushi Kimura, Daisuke Takayanagi); Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, Larry Demerritte).
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           Also Eligibles: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, John Ennis); Mugatu (Joe Talamo, Jeff Engler)
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           EVERLAND – Foster Family Racing, William Wargel, R.K. Eckrich  Racing and Maxis Stable’s Everland, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start for trainer Eric Foster, arrived at her barn at Churchill Downs at around 10:30 a.m. Saturday from Keeneland.
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           FIONA’S MAGIC – Stonehedge LLC’s Fiona’s Magic, winner of the Davona Dale (GII), arrived at Churchill Downs at 3:50 Saturday morning after vanning from trainer Bo Yates’ base at Gulfstream Park.
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           Fiona’s Magic did not go to the track this morning.
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Trainer Brad Cox’s duo of Gin Gin and Tarifa both walked Barn 22 Saturday morning following their five-furlong moves in :59.60 and :59.20, respectively, Friday morning.
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            Both fillies are scheduled to go back to the track Sunday at 7:30 a.m.
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Following a Friday work, Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne was back out shortly after the track opened Saturday morning for trainer Ian Wilkes. Exercise rider Adelso Orantes was aboard.
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           “She was out for a jog, just a mile,” Wilkes said. “She came out of her work fine. She’ll gallop tomorrow, then walk Monday.”
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            On Friday, the Gulfstream Parks Oaks (GIII) third-place finisher completed a five-furlong breeze Friday morning in 1:00, with jockey Julien Leparoux.
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           JUST F Y I – Reigning juvenile filly champion Just F Y I had another routine day on Saturday. George Krikorian’s homebred galloped about 1 1/2 miles after going through the Churchill Downs paddock with trainer Bill Mott saying he plans to give the daughter of Justify one more move on Sunday in advance of the Kentucky Oaks (GI).
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           LEMON MUFFIN - Among the reasons Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas is emboldened about Lemon Muffin’s chances in the Kentucky Oaks (GI) is the clear preference she has for the Churchill Downs surface.
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           On Saturday, the Honeybee Stakes (GIII) winner flaunted how much she enjoys her time beneath the Twin Spires when she blazed five furlongs in :58.20 in her final major work in advance of the nation’s top race for 3-year-old fillies. Breaking off solo during the 7:30 a.m. training period, Lemon Muffin posted splits of :11.20, :22, and :33.80 with a gallop out in 1:14.
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           While the main track has been playing fast, Lukas wanted to get a stronger move into his Oaks contender to make sure her fitness is on point coming off a lackluster seventh-place finish in the Fantasy Stakes (GII) on March 30.
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           “She worked really strong. I wanted a strong work out of her because her performance the last time, I didn’t think she got a lot out of it,” Lukas said. “She went in 58 and 1 and that’s probably going to be a bullet work this morning. The track is playing very well.”
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           Owned by Aaron Sones and Julie Gilbert, Lemon Muffin came out of the Fantasy with what Lukas believes might have been a minor illness that impacted her run that day. 
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           “She was flat last time, a little under the weather,” Lukas said. “But she really has responded well. And I think she has a real affinity for this surface. She loves it out here. (That time today) was by herself, no prompt, no workmate. She loves it here.”
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           LESLIE’S ROSE/CANDIED – Trainer Todd Pletcher sent his two Kentucky Oaks hopes to the racetrack Saturday morning during the special 7:30-7:45 training period. Exercise rider Joel Osorio handled Leslie’s Rose, who is assured a spot in the $1.5 million Oaks starting gate. Exercise rider Carlos Quevedo was the man for Candied, who will need two defections from the fillies under consideration for the Oaks to make the main body of the race.
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           Both fillies covered approximately a mile and a quarter in a good gallop.
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           POWER SQUEEZE – Lea Farms’ Kentucky-bred Power Squeeze galloped Saturday morning in her first appearance on the track since arriving late Thursday night from Gulfstream Park.
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           Trainer Jorge Delgado is arriving in Louisville on Sunday.
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS – While her male counterparts were stealing focus during the 7:30 a.m. training session on Saturday, Klaravich Stables’ Regulatory Risk put in a strong effort of her own when she breezed four furlongs in :49.60 in preparation for her expected start in the Kentucky Oaks (GI).
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           In a solo move, jockey Jose Ortiz guided Regulatory Risk through splits of :12.60, and :25 before galloping out in 1:01.60 and 1:14 flat. 
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           ”She did a little lighter piece of work,” trainer Chad Brown said of the Gazelle Stakes (GIII) runner-up. “She’s been in steady work up in New York and up there in the winter really developing, and she’s come pretty far forward. She’s not one of the main contenders in here but we decided to come down because she has come forward so much, she could get a piece of this race, which would make her pretty valuable. So we’re going to give her a shot in there.”
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           As Regulatory Risk was finishing her last major move, stablemate Ways and Means -- also owned by Klaravich -- had a walk day after blazing through a four-furlong move in :46 1/5 on Friday. 
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           “She came out of it well,” Brown said of Ways and Means. “Luckily the track cooled off. It was such a fast work but I will say, once I got to seeing the work over a few times and some of the other fast works yesterday, it seemed the track was very, very fast. I don’t think it’s going to hurt her. She’s an extremely rare talent herself.”
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie walked the shedrow on Saturday for trainer Eddie Milligan Jr in preparation for the Oaks. She worked a half-mile Thursday with jockey Manny Esquivel, in 49 2/5 seconds. She’s expected to be out on the track Sunday.
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            THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna walked the shedrow on Saturday, a day after she completed her final major workout for the Longines Kentucky Oaks for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           “She’s doing fine,” McPeek said. “High energy, that’s her. Both Mystik Dan and she schooled twice in the paddock this week. She got a little nervous at Oaklawn, with its tight stalls. It was all new scenery to her, because she had been at Fair Grounds all winter. She had been at Oaklawn only for about 72 hours. But here, this is home track for both horses.”
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           On Friday, jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. guided her to a five-furlong work in 59.40 seconds. She has won three of her four starts with Hernandez, most recently the Fantasy (GII) at Oaklawn Park in her first start this year.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Trainer Val Brinkerhoff reported that all was quiet and well at Barn 30 with his 3-year-old filly Where’s My Ring, who is owned by Michael McMillan and has a date this coming Friday in the $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks. The daughter of Twirling Candy only had a walk day Saturday following her handy :46.60 drill Friday morning during the special Oaks/Derby training period.
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           The veteran horseman did have to deal with a touch of anxiety throughout the morning, however, concerning his scheduled rider for the 1 1/8-mile test. Veteran New York jockey Jose Lezcano had the call for the Oaks following his winning ride in the Gazelle (GIII) at Aqueduct in her most recent effort April 6. But Lezcano was involved in a spill in New York on Friday and Brinkerhoff was needing to hear positive news on the medical front from the rider’s agent.
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           After having to consider two other riding possibilities over the course of the morning, Brinkerhoff finally got good news from the Lezcano folks that he had been cleared to ride and was planning on being in Kentucky for his Friday engagement.
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES: Courtlandt Farm’s Our Pretty Woman, currently No. 15 on the Oaks preference list, galloped about 1 ½ miles at 5:30 a.m. Saturday with Wilson Fabian in the irons. She’d need one defection to make the Oaks field.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS
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            – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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            Everland (Abel Cedillo, Eric Foster); Fiona’s Magic (TBA, Bo Yates); Gin Gin (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, Ian Wilkes); Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher);
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           Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, Jorge Delgado); Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown); Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, Eddie Milligan); Tarifa (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown) and Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, Val Brinkerhoff).
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           Also-Eligible: Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Candied (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher).
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      <pubDate>Sat, 27 Apr 2024 19:19:05 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 26, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-26-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: Friday, April 26, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic was back on the track Friday with exercise rider Olaf Hernandez, shortly after he received a new set of shoes.
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           Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. arrived from South Florida on Thursday, and was on hand to supervise the shoeing and the easy mile-and-a-half gallop when he took to the track at 9:10 Friday morning.
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           “He’s galloping well,” said Joseph, who also gave Catalytic some time to stand in the starting gate. “He’s getting over the track really well. So far, so good.”
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           Catalytic, the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up behind probable Kentucky Derby favorite Fierceness, is scheduled to work Sunday.
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           “Before we shipped from Florida, we weren’t sure what to do, if we should work him at Gulfstream or wait until we got here,” Joseph said. “The weather is looking good for this weekend, so hopefully it stays like that.”
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           Joseph is looking forward to taking part in something different that Churchill is doing this year – holding the Derby and Oaks post position draws between races Saturday night.
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           “That’s very different, something quite unique,” he said. “Anything that helps generate interest with the fans. It will be something to see. It’s always good to be creative.”
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            CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – All was well in trainer Brad Cox’s Barn 22 Friday as his Derby trio of Catching Freedom,  Encino and Just a Touch all galloped about 1 ½ miles around 6 a.m.
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            “It was a solid day of training for them ahead of their breezes tomorrow,” Cox said. “We’re looking forward to seeing good works out of all of them tomorrow ahead of next Saturday.”
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg and Brook Smith’s Sierra Leone continued to give trainer Chad Brown a favorable impression, galloping a mile and a half under Kriss Bon. The son of Gun Runner is slated to have his final major workout in advance of the Kentucky Derby on Saturday with Bon set to be in the saddle during the 7:30 a.m. reserved training period for Derby/Oaks horses.
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           Klaravich Stables’ Domestic Product put in his mile and a half gallop shortly after 8 a.m. Friday and is also set to work at 7:30 a.m. on Saturday with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. 
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           "Tyler Gaffalione is going to breeze Domestic Product, and Kriss Bon is going to breeze Sierra Leone,” Brown said. “Tyler is riding Sierra Leone (in the Derby) but he knows Domestic Product and (jockey) Irad (Ortiz Jr.) has to be in New York, so he’s going to cover for him. Both of those horses are doing great.”
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Two-time graded stakes winner Dornoch, owned by West Paces Racing, R. A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing and Breeding, Two Eight Racing and Pine Racing Stables’, made a strong impression Friday with a solid gallop during the 7:30 a.m. training period under the watchful eye of trainer Danny Gargan.
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           Dornoch opened his season with a victory in the Fountain of Youth (GII) at Gulfstream Park on March 2, but will have to rebound off a fourth-place run in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) at Keeneland on April 6. The son of Good Magic didn’t have ideal shipping conditions for that race, however, because of inclement weather and also didn’t get the smoothest of breaks away from the starting gate that day.
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           “I think he’s training better heading into this race than he was for the Blue Grass,” Gargan said. “He reared at the start (of the Blue Grass) a little bit, nobody noticed that. But he did rear a bit. Then he broke awkward and had to sit in the pocket. Hopefully this time he can get a clean break and keep his face clean. We don’t need to be on the lead but we’d like to be right there.”
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           Dornoch’s stablemate Society Man hit the track for his gallop at 5:45 a.m. on Friday. Both horses are slated to breeze during the 7:30 a.m. training period on Saturday. 
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           Society Man is owned by the partnership of Reeves Thoroughbreds, West Paces, GMP Stables and Carl and Yurie Pascarella and well outran his odds when he finished second in the Wood Memorial (GII) at odds of 106-1.
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           “I was kind of shocked when I entered, I thought we’d be 30- or 40-1, but when he went off a 100-1, I was a little shocked by that,” Gargan said. “We liked him going into the race, he’d been training good. He’d been a workmate for Dornoch going into the Remsen (GII), he was probably the only horse I had who could breeze with him. He kept up with him and he was right there all the time. That’s when I got a little high on him then.”
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           ENDLESSLY – Amerman Racing’s Endlessly got right on it early Friday morning at Churchill Downs working a half-mile in :47.80 (out five furlongs in 1:00) at 5:30 shortly after the track opened for business. Umberto Rispoli was in from his California base to handle the drill and will be in the saddle when the horse runs next.
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           Now, where he runs next is currently the question.
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           “All options are now open,” said trainer Michael McCarthy, who oversaw the early drill. “I liked his move this morning, very pleased with it. Now we’ll see what’s next.”
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           Endlessly, a homebred by Oscar Performance, has yet to run on a dirt track in any of his six races (with five wins) to date. He has been a turf or synthetic ace so far, including four stakes wins. And that has led to a friendly debate among his connections.
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           Endlessly could continue on the proven path and start next Saturday in the $600,000, Grade II American Turf on the Churchill lawn. Or he could take a shot at the $5 million, Grade I Kentucky Derby, contested at a mile and a quarter on the main track.
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           “I’m going to have a conversation with Mr. Amerman now and see what we’re going to do,” McCarthy said. “It’ll be interesting.”
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable's Fierceness put in his final major Kentucky Derby prep Friday morning during the 7:30-7:45 a.m. period that is reserved strictly for horses aiming for the Kentucky Derby or Kentucky Oaks.
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           The Florida Derby winner, bred by his owner, had Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez aboard as Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher looked on from in Churchill Downs grandstand. Clockers caught the City of Light colt in :48.80 for his half-mile exercise. Fractions on the work that was accomplished in company with Agate Road were :12.80, :24.80, :36.80, :48.80, galloping out five furlongs in 1:00.60, six furlongs in 1:12.60 and seven-eighths in 1:26.
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           Velazquez had a big smile when asked about the move and noted: “He really, really went well today.”
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            Pletcher offered his opinion of the exercise and replied: “I’m very, very happy with the work.” 
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute during the morning’s first harrow break and then galloped a mile and a half under Yusaku Oka.
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            According to Kate Hunter, Asia representative for the Kentucky Derby, Forever Young would gallop at a two-minute lick in the morning.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First arrived at Churchill Downs at 11:39 p.m. Thursday after vanning to Louisville from Gulfstream Park.
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           Trainer Victor Barboza Jr. was en route to Louisville on Friday.
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           Grand Mo the First walked the shedrow this morning and is scheduled to go to the track in the morning.
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           HONOR MARIE – It was a scheduled walk day at trainer Whit Beckman’s Barn 37 after TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (GII) runner-up Honor Marie worked a sharp half-mile in :59.20 Thursday.
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           JUST STEEL – BC Stable’s Just Steel gave those watching the Derby/Oaks contenders during the special 7:30 a.m. training period an eyeful of his large frame as he jogged with the pony with trainer D. Wayne Lukas looking on. 
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           “I’m jogging him today with the idea that I could do something tomorrow or the next day,” Lukas said, referring to when his charge might have his final pre-Derby breeze.
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           A 17-hand son of Justify, Just Steel captured the Ed Brown Stakes at Churchill Downs last November and is coming into the Derby off a second-place run in the Arkansas Derby (GI) on March 30. 
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           “He’s really big, he’s 17 hands and he’s just finding himself now,” Lukas said. “He’s going to get better as he gets older but he’s starting to find himself and get the idea.”
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            MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan galloped a light mile-and-a-half for trainer Kenny McPeek under Martin Reyes.
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           Mystik Dan, the winner of the Southwest (GIII) and most recently finished third in the Arkansas Derby (GI) at Oaklawn Park, is scheduled to work Saturday with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr., who has the Derby riding assignment.
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           RESILIENCE – With co-owner Ric Waldman in attendance, Wood Memorial (GII) winner Resilience put in an easy gallop at 7:30 Friday morning and may have his final breeze Sunday, according to trainer Bill Mott.
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           Resilience, who is owed by Waldman in partnership with Emily Bushnell, took four tries to break his maiden but has won two of his past three outings. In the Wood Memorial, Mott said he saw what his charge was capable of when he finally put him mind toward the business at hand. 
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           “I think it seems like the last couple races, the last race in particular, he was more focused,” Mott said. "We closed his blinkers up a bit and it seemed to get him a little more focused. Instead of paying attention to what the other horses were doing, he was minding his own business. That’s really helped him. We always kind of felt that there seems to be a little bit more there, like he’s leaving a little left in the tank. Last time he finally showed that.”
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           STRONGHOLD – Eric and Sharon Waller’s Santa Anita Derby winner Stronghold continued to train forwardly at Churchill Downs Friday morning as he prepares for a run in Kentucky Derby 150 on Saturday, May 4.
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           Trainer Phil D’Amato, in from California to oversee his charge’s preparations, sent the Ghostzapper colt out during the 7:30 special training period for Derby/Oaks horses after having put his favorite exercise rider – Sherri Alexander – up for the exercise that covered roughly a mile and one half of a steady gallop.
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           D’Amato’s propensity for Alexander is understandable; she’s his wife. She’s also a veteran horsewoman who knows how to do well with a good horse.
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           D’Amato will continue on in Louisville through Sunday, when he has a “probably five furlong” drill slated for Stronghold with rider Joe Talamo scheduled to be in the tack. The trainer will then catch a plane back to his California headquarters to tend to some business before returning to Kentucky on Tuesday for the balance of the week.
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password arrived at Churchill Downs at 4:45 a.m. Friday after spending 42 hours in quarantine in Chicago following a flight from Japan.
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           Undefeated in two starts in Japan going a mile and eighth, T O Password is trained by Daisuke Takayanagi and will be ridden in the Derby by Kazushi Kimura.
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           “I’m very lucky to run in the Kentucky Derby,” Takayanagi said before T O Password left Japan. “I am honored to join the history of running in the 150
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           th
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            one.
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           “I didn’t change any training with T O Password going into the Derby. We have a long travel schedule and it’s a lot different environment compared to Japan. I’d like to make a similar Japanese training style over the Churchill Downs track.
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           “T O Password had a good jump out of the gate in his last two starts, so naturally he had good position. But we aren’t sure if we’ll have that good of a position in the Kentucky Derby.”
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           TRACK PHANTOM – L and N Racing, Clark Brewster, Jerry Caroom and Breeze Easy’s Track Phantom had a routine 1 ½-mile gallop Friday around 5:45 a.m.
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           The Steve Asmussen trainee will add blinkers for the Kentucky Derby and has been galloping with them for the past two weeks.
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            WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga was scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Friday afternoon from Lexington.
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           Trained by Larry Demeritte, West Saratoga is slated to work three furlongs Saturday morning with jockey Jesus Castanon in the irons.
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride worked an easy half-mile in :51.20 at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky, and is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs this evening for trainer John Ennis.
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           Epic Ride would need one defection from the top 20 point earners and invitees on the Road to the Kentucky Derby to be included in the main body of the race when entries close Saturday morning.
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               Trainer Jeff Engler reported Mugatu is scheduled to ship to Churchill Downs Friday and train Saturday.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY
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            – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., Chad Brown); Dornoch (Luis Saez, Danny Gargan); Encino (TBA, Brad Cox); Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, Michael McCarthy); Fierceness (John Velazquez, Todd Pletcher); Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, Victor Barboza Jr.); Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, Whit Beckman); Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Resilience (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown); Society Man (Frankie Dettori, Danny Gargan); Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, Phil D’Amato); T O Password (JPN) (Kazushi Kimura, Daisuke Takayanagi); Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, Larry Demerritte).
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               Also Eligibles: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, John Ennis); Seize the Grey (TBA, Wayne Lukas); Mugatu (Joe Talamo, Jeff Engler).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Trainer Brad Cox’s duo of Gin Gin and Tarifa completed their final tune-ups prior to the Longines Kentucky Oaks, working together through five furlongs in :59.60 and :59.20, respectively.
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           Tarifa, ridden by jockey Flavien Prat, started the work about two lengths back of her stablemate, who was ridden by Kelvin Perez. The duo cruised through opening quarter-mile of :23.80 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:11.
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           “I thought the move was very strong,” Cox said. “Tarifa started just behind Gin Gin and they both finished up well together and galloped out strong. A good, solid move. We’re looking forward to getting them ready for next Friday.”
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Gulfstream Parks Oaks (GIII) third-place finisher Into Champagne completed a five-furlong breeze Friday morning in 1:00 for trainer Ian Wilkes. With jockey Julien Leparoux aboard, Into Champagne galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.
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           “Everything was really good,” Wilkes said. “I couldn’t be any happier with the way she’s doing. Now we’ll gallop, school her in the paddock, school her in the gate to get ready – the normal things. And keep her happy.”
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           Into Champagne is Wilkes’ second filly in the Oaks, with Champagne Anyone having finished fourth in 2019.
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           “That’s the key (to winning),” he said. “You just have to get in the gate. Once you’re in the gate, it’s a long run to the first turn, so you don’t have to rush. You just hope for a clean break, and go from there.”
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           JUST F Y I – The improved level of fitness trainer Bill Mott has been seeing from champion filly Just F Y I was again on display Friday. George Krikorian’s homebred daughter of Justify put in another energetic gallop, going about 1 1/2 miles beneath the Twin Spires after going through the new Churchill Downs paddock. 
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           Just F Y I had has just one start since taking the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI) last November, an effort that capped off a 3-for-3 campaign for the Eclipse Award honoree. After having her seasonal bow delayed because of illness, the bay filly finished second in the Ashland Stakes (GI) at Keeneland on April 5. 
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           “Her last race, we went into that last race not 100 percent cranked up,” Mott said. “She had been sick and she missed a couple works. We got a couple works into her and we ran her and I believe she was probably needed the race, just because she had been off several months. It seems like she’s bounced out of that race good.”
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           Mott added he might breeze Just F Y I on Sunday. 
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           LEMON MUFFIN – Taking to the track during the 7:30 a.m. training period along with her stablemate and Kentucky Derby hopeful, Just Steel, Aaron Sones and Julie Gilbert’s Lemon Muffin put in a routine gallop as trainer  D. Wayne Lukas pondered when he might give the Oaks hopeful her final workout. 
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           After winning the Honeybee Stakes (GIII) on Feb. 24, Lemon Muffin threw in a disappointing effort when she finished seventh in the Fantasy Stakes (GII), an outing Lukas is drawing a line through given how dull the filly was the day after. 
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           “She didn’t feel good when she ran in the Fantasy, so throw that one out,” Lukas said. “She was really flat the next day but she’s training really well since. She’s going to have something to say about this race.”
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           LESLIE’S ROSE/MANAMA GOLD – Whisper Hill Farm’s Leslie’s Rose merely walked the shedrow at trainer Todd Pletcher’s barn on the Churchill Downs backside Friday morning.
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           The Into Mischief filly, who is likely to be one of the favorites for next Friday’s Grade I Kentucky Oaks, had worked a half mile in :49.40 Thursday at Churchill in her final major move in front of the nine-furlong classic.
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           “She came out of it (the work) well,” Pletcher said. “We’re all good.”
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           Victorious’ Manama Gold worked a half-mile in :48.60 with Irad Ortz Jr. in the saddle during the special Oaks/Derby training period between 7:30 and 7:45.
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            The 3-year-old daughter of Star Guitar has been a late arrival at the Pletcher barn in hopes of finding a spot in year’s $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks. Her most recent outing was a tally in the UAE Oaks (GIII) at Meydan in Dubai in February, a triumph that gave her the points for entrance in this year’s Kentucky Oaks.   
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           But because of various issues, notably a late ship from the Middle East, the conditioner doesn’t feel the Louisiana-bred is ready to take on an assignment as tough at next Friday’s championship race.
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           “She worked OK this morning (half mile in :48.60), but she got real tired at the end of it,” Pletcher said. “She looks like she has the makings of a good filly, but we’re going to need some more time to work with her before she’s ready to go. We won’t be putting her in the Oaks.”
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           POWER SQUEEZE – Lea Farms’ Kentucky-bred Power Squeeze arrived at Churchill Downs at 9 p.m. Thursday from South Florida, and will visit the track for the first time on Saturday.
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           On Wednesday, she was timed by Gulfstream Park clockers going four furlongs in :49.03 in her final work in preparation for the Oaks.
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           Trainer Jorge Delgado is arriving in Louisville on Sunday.
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS – While Klaravich Stables’ Regulatory Risk put in a routine gallop ahead of her planned breeze on Saturday, her stablemate Ways and Means showcased how fast the Churchill Downs surface was playing when she drilled four furlongs in :46.20 under exercise rider Peter Roman.
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            Working solo, Ways and Means cranked out splits of :12.40 and :23.40 en route to her blistering final time, galloping out in :58.40 and 1:11.80.
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           Trainer Chad Brown didn’t hide the fact the work was more than he wanted to see from the daughter of Practical Joke a week out from the Kentucky Oaks (GI), but he was encouraged by the way the filly he calls the best he has trained on dirt handled the effort.
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           “She just did a little bit too much,” Brown said. “It seemed like she was doing it in hand but it’s a little quicker than I was looking for so that part’s disappointing. But she came back good from it and hopefully she can overcome it. The track was fast, and a bit of rider error.”
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           Ways and Means returned from a near seven-month layoff to finish second in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) on March 30. While Friday’s move wasn’t exactly what Brown ordered, it did showcase part of the reason why the filly has earned such high regard from her four-time Eclipse Award winning trainer.
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           “Part of what you saw there is just her raw talent,” Brown said. “Right on top of the race a week out, I just wish she had done just a tick less. But looking at some of the times, it seems the track’s very quick. I have turf horses who just went down there in :48 and 2 and they can’t run on dirt at all so maybe the track is just that fast hopefully.
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           “I will say, she doesn’t seem to be blowing much. That gives me a little bit of relief. So we’ll see.”
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           Regulatory Risk galloped with Gudiel Alvarez and is set to breeze on Saturday at 7:30 with Jose Ortiz in the irons.
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – After Thursday morning’s half-mile breeze, Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie walked the shedrow on Friday for trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. in preparation for the Oaks.
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            Jockey Manny Esquivel, who rode her to a third-place finish in the GII Fantasy and a second in the GIII Honeybee at Oaklawn Park, guided the homebred daughter of Tapit to a 49.40 half-mile Thursday.
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. was aboard Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna for her final major workout on Friday ahead of the Longines Kentucky Oaks for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Hernandez guided her to a five-furlong work in :59.40, with splits of :12.20 and :35.40 and galloping out six furlongs in 1:12.60.
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           “She worked really well,” Hernandez said. “She was in the bridle all the way. She’s a forward filly, and always shows how talented she is.”
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           “She does things really easy,” McPeek said. “She was born fast.”
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           The Fast Anna filly is the winner of three of her four starts with Hernandez, most recently having captured the Fantasy (GII) in her first start this year. Thorpedo Anna cost just $40,000 at the Fasig-Tipton sale in Lexington, Kentucky, in October 2022.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Where’s My Ring, a solid winner of New York’s Grade III Gazelle Stakes last out on April 6, put in her final major prep for next Friday’s Kentucky Oaks when she covered a half mile in :46.60 under exercise rider David Rodriguez during the special Oaks/Derby training period at Churchill Downs Friday morning at 7:30.
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           Veteran horseman Val Brinkerhoff was very pleased with the drill.
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           “It was good to see her make a move like that coming up to this kind of race,” the trainer said. “We’ve had so many issues with her; mostly small problems, but plenty of them all along the way. But now she’s right. I know we haven’t gotten to the bottom of her yet, but it’s good to have her doing well with her getting ready to take on that tough bunch next Friday. I’m just glad she’s come around.”
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           Brinkerhoff said top New York rider Jose Lezcano – who rode Where’s My Ring in her Gazelle triumph – again will be on board for the Grade I Oaks.
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES: Courtlandt Farm’s Our Pretty Woman, currently No. 15 on the Oaks preference list, galloped about 1 ½ miles at 5:30 a.m. Friday with Wilson Fabian in the irons. She’d need one defection to make the Oaks field.
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            Eclipse Thoroughbreds’ Candied walked trainer Todd Pletcher’s shedrow following her half-mile move in :47.60 Thursday morning.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS
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            – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Everland (Abel Cedillo, Eric Foster); Fiona’s Magic (TBA, Bo Yates); Gin Gin (TBA, Brad Cox); Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, Ian Wilkes); Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, Jorge Delgado); Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown); Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, Eddie Milligan); Tarifa (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown) and Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, Val Brinkerhoff).
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           Also-Eligible: Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Candied (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher)
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      <pubDate>Fri, 26 Apr 2024 17:21:31 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-26-2024</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Thursday, April 25, 2024</title>
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           Daily Derby Update: Thursday, April 25, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic was back on the track Thursday with an energetic gallop going a mile-and-a-half under exercise rider Olaf Hernandez.
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           Trained by Saffie Joseph Jr., Catalytic arrived at Churchill Downs Monday morning after vanning from South Florida.
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           “He’s doing well,” said Tristan Ford, an assistant to Joseph, after the gallop. “Everyone is happy with the way he’s progressing.”
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           Catalytic, the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up behind probable Kentucky Derby favorite Fierceness, is expected to work this weekend, possibly Sunday.
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Catching Freedom, Encino and Just a Touch had their normal training sessions Thursday at 7:30 a.m., all galloping 1 ½ miles.
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            The trio will train between 5:30-6:30 a.m. Friday and work at 7:30 a.m. Saturday.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg and Brook Smith’s Sierra Leone galloped a mile and a half under Kriss Bon and for the second consecutive morning visited the starting gate.
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           “He did great this morning (at the gate),” trainer Chad Brown said of Sierra Leone, who delayed the start of the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) by being reluctant to load in the gate in front of the Keeneland grandstand.
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           Domestic Product, owned by Klaravich Stables, galloped a mile and a half under Peter Roman.
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           “He’s feelin’ good this morning,” Roman said after the morning’s activity was completed.
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            DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – West Paces Racing, R. A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing and Breeding, Two Eight Racing and Pine Racing Stables’
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           Dornoch galloped a mile and a half at 7:30 with Pricilla Schaefer aboard for trainer Danny Gargan.
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           Schaefer returned to the track at 9 with Gargan’s other Kentucky Derby hopeful, Society Man.
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           Owned by the partnership of Reeves Thoroughbreds, West Paces, GMP Stables and Carl and Yurie Pascarella. Society Man also galloped a mile and a half.
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           “He’s strong,” Gargan said as Society Man jogged past a viewing stand heading back to the barn. “He’s a bulldog now.”
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            ENDLESSLY – Amerman Racing’s Endlessly had a normal training day Thursday, galloping 1 ½ miles around 5:45 a.m.
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            The winner of the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable’s homebred Fierceness, winner of the Florida Derby (GI) by 13 ½ lengths in his most recent start, galloped a mile and three-eighths under exercise rider Danny Wright for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           The Eclipse Award winner as the champion 2-year-old of 2023, Fierceness is scheduled to work Friday morning at 7:30 with jockey John Velazquez aboard.
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s Forever Young (JPN) walked in the mile chute for about an hour under Yusaku Oka before returning the Quarantine Barn.
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           Forever Young worked six furlongs in 1:19.60 in company on Wednesday.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First was en route to Churchill Downs Thursday from Gulfstream Park. Trainer Victor Barboza Jr. said Grand Mo the First was scheduled to arrive here around 9 o’clock tonight.
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           Grand Mo the First is scheduled to walk Friday and then go to the track Saturday.
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           HONOR MARIE – It was a busy morning outside trainer Whit Beckman’s Barn 37 as his Kentucky Derby hopeful Honor Marie completed his major training towards the first Saturday in May with a strong five-furlong move in :59.20 with jockey Ben Curtis in the irons.
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           “We can take one breath now that the work is over,” Beckman said about an hour after the 7:30 a.m. breeze. “He came back to the barn and everything was great. The work was great. It reminded me a lot of his work leading up to the Kentucky Jockey Club, except that work was over at (Churchill Downs’) Trackside.”
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           Honor Marie was partnered in his work with Agoo, a 3-year-old son of Munnings who won a maiden special weight in October at Keeneland. The duo started the move together through a swift opening quarter-mile of :23.80. As they reached the top of the stretch following three furlongs in :35.60, Honor Marie began to separate from his stablemate and completed his move four lengths in front at the wire. As he galloped out, Honor Marie continued to extend his margin and completed six furlongs in 1:12.60 and finished seven furlongs in 1:27.60, according to Churchill Downs Clocker John Nichols.
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           “Everyone keeps asking me about why I’m not working on a traditional schedule but I just train each horse individually and not have a certain schedule like every Friday or Saturday or Sunday they work,” Beckman said.
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           JUST STEEL – BC Stable’s Just Steel stayed with his traditional early training session and galloped 1 ½ miles Thursday morning for Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas.
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           “We’re very fortunate to have some solid horses in the barn this year and in both the Kentucky Derby and Oaks (with Lemon Muffin) but I’ve got a great 2-year-old class getting ready to come in the barn,” Lukas said. “Derby 150 is special but we always have to keep thinking forward.”
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           Just Steel is scheduled to have one more work prior to the Kentucky Derby.
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           MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan galloped the usual mile-and-a-half for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Mystik Dan, the winner of the Southwest (GIII) and most recently finished third in the Arkansas Derby (GI) at Oaklawn Park, is scheduled to work Saturday. Brian Hernandez Jr. has the Derby riding assignment.
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           RESILIENCE – Emily Bushnell and Ric Waldman’s Resilience had an easy gallop at 7:30 Thursday morning.
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           Jockey Junior Alvarado has the mount in the Kentucky Derby and is scheduled to ride at Churchill Downs throughout Derby Week.
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           “It’s great to be here in Kentucky right now,” Alvarado said. “The (Bill Mott) barn has meant a lot for my career.”
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           STRONGHOLD – Eric and Sharon Waller’s Stronghold, trained by Phil D’Amato, galloped a mile and a half Thursday morning with the trainer’s wife, Sherri, aboard.
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           Winner of the Sunland Derby (GIII) and Santa Anita Derby (GI) in his two starts of 2024, Stronghold is scheduled work Sunday morning with Joe Talamo up.
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           “Sunday is looking like the best day,” D’Amato said of the schedule that is weather dependent.
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee T O Password is in quarantine in Chicago and scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs early Friday morning.
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Lecomte Stakes (GIII) winner Track Phantom returned to his early schedule Thursday for Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen, galloping about 1 ½ miles under exercise rider Roberto Howell at 5:45 a.m.
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           The son of Quality Road changed training schedules Wednesday when he visited the starting gate at 7:30 a.m. during the special Derby/Oaks training session.
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga galloped Thursday morning at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky.
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           Trainer Larry Demeritte said West Saratoga would train Friday morning in Lexington and then ship to Churchill Downs with a 2 p.m. arrival anticipated.
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            Jesus Castanon is scheduled to be aboard for a three-furlong work here Saturday.
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride, third in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, galloped this morning at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky.
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           Trainer John Ennis said Epic Ride would train in the morning then ship to Churchill Downs Friday evening.
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           Adam Beschizza would have the Derby mount.
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           Trainer Jeff Engler reported Mugatu, fifth-place finisher of the Blue Grass, would arrive Friday and two-minute lick Saturday morning with jockey Joe Talamo in the irons.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., Chad Brown); Dornoch (Luis Saez, Danny Gargan); Encino (TBA, Brad Cox); Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, Michael McCarthy); Fierceness (John Velazquez, Todd Pletcher); Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, Victor Barboza Jr.); Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, Whit Beckman); Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Resilience (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown); Society Man (Frankie Dettori, Danny Gargan); Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, Phil D’Amato); T O Password (JPN) (Kazushi Kimura, Daisuke Takayanagi); Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, Larry Demerritte).
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           Also Eligibles: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, John Ennis); Uncle Heavy (TBA, Butch Reid); Seize the Grey (TBA, Wayne Lukas); Mugatu (Joe Talamo, Jeff Engler).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa both galloped about 1 ½ miles Thursday at 7:30 a.m. Both fillies are scheduled to work Friday at 7:30 a.m.
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            INTO CHAMPAGNE – Gulfstream Parks Oaks (GIII) third-place finisher Into Champagne had an easy mile-and-three-eighths gallop Thursday morning for trainer Ian Wilkes. After her gallop, Wilkes said he’s expecting to breeze her Friday.
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            “I’ll probably breeze her tomorrow (Friday), since it looks like there’s a chance for rain coming in later,” said Wilkes.
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            Over the years, Wilkes has trained several horses with champagne in their names — including Champagne Problems, a Grade III-winning earner of more than $400,000, Champagne Anyone, the 2019 Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) winner who finished fourth in the Kentucky Oaks, and Yes to Champagne.
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           “I’ve got a lot of alcoholic owners,” Wilkes joked. “I do have a lot of 2-year-olds coming along with champagne in their names. It’s fun, it’s great. The owners love it, y’know, and that’s the main thing.”
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            JUST F Y I – Champion filly Just F Y I had a 1 ½-mile gallop Thursday morning at 7:30.
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           The Bill Mott trainee is expected to be one of the favorites for the Longines Kentucky Oaks. “She’s a beautiful filly,” Mott said. “She feels good most days in her training and gets a lot out of it.'
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           LESLIE’S ROSE – Whisper Hill Farm’s Ashland (GI) winner Leslie’s Rose worked a half-mile in :49.40 on her own with jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           Getting into the work on her own shortly after coming on the track, Leslie’s Rose produced fractions of :13.20, :25.20 and :49.40 and galloped out five furlongs in 1:02.40 and three-quarters in 1:16.20.
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           “She worked really, really good,” said Ortiz, who has been aboard Leslie’s Rose in all four of her starts.
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           Pletcher said he was pleased with the work.
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           “I was very, very happy with it,” said Pletcher, a four-time Oaks winner. “She got over the ground well and galloped out strong.”
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS – Klaravich Stables’ Regulatory Risk and Ways and Means both galloped a mile and half for trainer Chad Brown.
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           Ways and Means galloped under Peter Roman before the first morning harrow break and is scheduled to work at 7:30 Friday morning.
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           Regulatory Risk galloped at 7:30 with Gudiel Alvarez in the boot and is scheduled to work Saturday at 7:30 with  Jose Ortiz up.
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie breezed a half-mile Thursday morning in preparation for the Oaks. Jockey Manny Esquivel guided the homebred daughter of Tapit for trainer Eddie Milligan Jr., and will get the call to ride her in the Oaks.
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           Working without company, Tapit Jenallie was timed in :49.40 with fractions of :12.80, :25, out in 1:02.40 and finishing up in 1:16.20, according to Churchill Downs Clocker Adam Wallace.
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           “She worked really well,” Milligan said as he held the shank while she got her cool down bath. “She did everything we wanted her to do this morning. The time was kind of where I thought she should be today. She just needed an easy breeze without taking too much out of her.
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           “Manny said she worked well. He rode her the last two times at Hot Springs (Oaklawn Park, third in the GII Fantasy and second in the GIII Honeybee), and she’s gotten somewhat better, and has grown quite a bit. She’s really doing great.”
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna is scheduled to have her final major workout on Friday ahead of the Longines Kentucky Oaks for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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               On Thursday, Thorpedo Anna galloped an easy mile-and-a-half. The Fast Anna filly is the winner of three of her four starts with Brian Hernandez Jr., most recently having captured the Fantasy (GII) in her first start this year.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Where’s My Ring jogged a mile before the first morning harrow break with exercise rider David Rodriguez aboard for trainer Val Brinkerhoff.
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           Winner of the Gazelle (GIII) in her most recent start, Where’s My Ring is scheduled to work a half-mile in the morning with Rodriguez up.
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           ALSO ELIGIBES – Victorious’ Manama Gold galloped a mile and three-eighths under  Jonathan Fabian Aguilar for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           Pletcher said the UAE Oaks (GIII) winner would work in the morning before making a decision on her Oaks status.
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           Pletcher’s other Oaks hopeful, Eclipse Thoroughbreds Partners’ Candied, worked a half-mile in company with graded stakes-placed Scalable.
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           With jockey Luis Saez up, Candied worked to the outside of Scalable and produced fractions of :12.60, :24.20, :36.20 and :47.60 with a five-eighths gallop out of 1:00, three-quarters in 1:12.80 and seven-eighths in 1:27.40, according to Churchill Downs Clocker John Nichols.
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           “Very good, a good solid work,” Pletcher said. “She switched leads on cue and galloped out strong. I hope she gets in.”
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            SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Everland (Abel Cedillo, Eric Foster); Fiona’s Magic (TBA, Bo Yates); Gin Gin (TBA, Brad Cox); Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, Ian Wilkes); Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, Jorge Delgado); Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown); Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, Eddie Milligan Jr.); Tarifa (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown) and Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, Val Brinkerhoff).
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           Also-Eligible: Manama Gold (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Candied (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher)
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      <pubDate>Thu, 25 Apr 2024 17:58:11 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-thursday-april-25-2024</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 24, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-24-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 24, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – After coming to the track for the first time Tuesday morning, Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic returned Wednesday to gallop a mile and a half under exercise rider Olaf Hernandez.
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           Trained by Saffie Joseph Jr., Catalytic arrived at Churchill Downs Monday morning after vanning from South Florida.
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           “He just galloped the mile and a half,” said Tristan Ford, an assistant to Joseph. “We’re happy with everything. He’s feeling good.”
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           Catalytic, the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up behind expected Kentucky Derby favorite Fierceness, is on target to work Sunday.
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Catching Freedom, Encino and Just a Touch all galloped about 1 ½ miles Wednesday at 7:30 a.m. and schooled in the starting gate.
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            All three horses are scheduled to breeze Saturday morning.
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           Cox stated Encino’s jockey has yet to be confirmed for the Kentucky Derby.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Trainer  Chad Brown’s Derby duo of Sierra Leone and Domestic Product galloped a mile and a half during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Kriss Bon was aboard Sierra Leone, who gave Brown his third Blue Grass Stakes (GI) victory. Brown’s other Blue Grass winners were Good Magic, who finished second in the 2018 Derby, and Zandon, who finished third in the 2022 Derby.
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           Sierra Leone is owned by the partnership of Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg and Brook Smith.
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           Peter Roman partnered Domestic Product, winner of the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) in his most recent start. Klaravich Stables owns and bred Domestic Product.
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           Both colts are scheduled to work Saturday, weather permitting.
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Trainer Danny Gargan’s two Kentucky Derby hopefuls both galloped a miler and a half under exercise rider Pricilla Schaefer.
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           Winner of the Fountain of Youth (GII), Dornoch is owned by the partnership of West Paces Racing, R. A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing  and Breeding, Two Eight Racing and Pine Racing Stables. He put in his morning work at 7:30. Luis Saez has the Derby mount.
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           Coming out at 9 o’clock for his morning exercise was Wood Memorial runner-up Society Man, who is owned by the partnership of Reeves Thoroughbred Racing, West Paces, GMP Stables and Carl and Yurie Pascarella. Frankie Dettori has the mount on Society Man.
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            The two colts are scheduled to work in company Saturday morning with Saez aboard Dornoch.
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           “I think they worked fine together last week and going to do it again this week,” Gargan said. “This time, I’ll put Dornoch on the inside of Society Man. Another day of training down and one closer to the Derby.”
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            ENDLESSLY – Amerman Racing’s Endlessly had a normal training day Wednesday, galloping 1 ½ miles around 5:45 a.m.
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           The winner of the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable’s champion Fierceness galloped a mile and three-eighths under regular exercise rider Danny Wright for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           Winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (GI) last November at Santa Anita to wrap up the Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old, Fierceness is scheduled to work Friday morning with John Velazquez aboard.
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s undefeated Forever Young (JPN) worked six furlongs in 1:19.60 over a fast track in company.
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           With jockey Ryusei Sakai aboard, Forever Young posted fractions of :14.80, :28.80, :42.60, :55.20, 1:19.60 and out seven furlongs in 1:33,60. He was joined for the last half-mile by Cuffed Candy, an unraced 3-year-old for trainer Dale Romans.
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           “Thanks to Dale Romans (with providing the workmate) so we were able to do exactly what we want to do this far out (from the Derby),” Sakai said through a translator.
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           As usual, Forever Young warmed up in the mile chute for a half-hour during the first harrow break of the morning before commencing his work that went off slowly and finished with a final quarter-mile in :24.40.
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           Following the work, Forever Young visited the starting gate.
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           “The gate was no problem,” said Sakai, who missed out on riding in last year’s Derby after Continuar (JPN) was scratched days before the race. “He has been to the gate before at all the places he has run.”
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           Sakai has been aboard Forever Young in all five of his starts ranging in distance from a mile to a mile and three-sixteenths. Forever Young raced in Japan last year at age 2 and this year has been to Saudi Arabia and Dubai before coming here.
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           Sakai said Forever Young, trained by Yoshito Yahagi, would have another work next week. However, Sakai will not be aboard for that work as he is returning to Japan to ride this weekend before coming back to Louisville late next week.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First exited his six-furlong work of 1:16.46 on Tuesday morning at Gulfstream Park in good order and is on schedule to van to Churchill Downs on Thursday.
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           Trainer Victor Barboza Jr. will be here Friday, which is a scheduled walk day for Grand Mo the First.
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           HONOR MARIE – Trainer Whit Beckman was “calm, cool and relaxed” Wednesday morning watching TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (GII) runner-up Honor Marie train.
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           “I don’t really get nervous when I run a horse in a race I think they can win,” Beckman said. “It’s a weird feeling but right now I don’t feel too nervous.”
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           Honor Marie is scheduled to work Thursday morning with jockey Ben Curtis in the irons.
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           JUST STEEL – BC Stable’s Just Steel was the first Kentucky Derby contender to train Wednesday morning with Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas closely watching aboard his pony.
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           The son of new Hall of Fame inductee Justify galloped about 1 ½ miles.
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           MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan galloped an easy mile and a half for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Mystik Dan, the winner of the Southwest (GIII) and most recently third in the Arkansas Derby (GI) at Oaklawn Park, is scheduled to work Saturday. Brian Hernandez Jr. has the Derby riding assignment.
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           RESILIENCE – Emily Bushnell and Ric Waldman’s Resilience had an easy gallop at 7:30 a.m. Wednesday.
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           The winner of the Wood Memorial (GII) is scheduled to school in the paddock a couple times before the Derby, according to trainer Bill Mott.
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           STRONGHOLD – Eric and Sharon Waller’s Stronghold, who arrived at Churchill Downs Tuesday afternoon at 4 o’clock from his base at Santa Anita, jogged a mile Wednesday morning with trainer Phil D’Amato’s wife, Sherri, in the saddle.
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           Weather permitting, the Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner is scheduled to work Saturday with Joe Talamo up.
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            ALSO ELIGIBLES – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride, third in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, galloped Wednesday morning at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky, for trainer John Ennis.
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            Trainer Jeff Engler reported Mugatu is back in consideration for the Kentucky Derby also-eligible list. The fifth-place finisher of the Blue Grass (GI) is based at Belterra Park in Ohio.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., Chad Brown); Dornoch (Luis Saez, Danny Gargan); Encino (TBA, Brad Cox); Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, Michael McCarthy); Fierceness (John Velazquez, Todd Pletcher); Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, Victor Barboza Jr.); Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, Whit Beckman); Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Resilience (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown); Society Man (Frankie Dettori, Danny Gargan); Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, Phil D’Amato); T O Password (JPN) (Kazushi Kimura, Daisuke Takayanagi); Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, Larry Demerritte).
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               Also Eligibles: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, John Ennis); Uncle Heavy (TBA, Butch Reid); Seize the Grey (TBA, Wayne Lukas); Mugatu (TBA, Jeff Engler).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa both galloped about 1 ½ miles Wednesday at 7:30 a.m. then schooled in the paddock following training.
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           Both fillies are scheduled to work Friday or Saturday depending on weather.
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Gulfstream Parks Oaks (GIII) third-place finisher Into Champagne had an easy 1 ½-mile gallop Wednesday morning for trainer Ian Wilkes.
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            She’s scheduled to breeze Friday or Saturday.
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           JUST F Y I – Champion filly Just F Y I returned to the track Wednesday for the first time since her sharp five-furlong move in :59.80 Monday morning.
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           The Bill Mott trainee had a light gallop at 7:30 a.m.
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           LESLIE’S ROSE – Whisper Hill Farm’s Ashland (GI) winner Leslie’s Rose galloped a mile and three-eighths with exercise rider Joel Osorio aboard for four-time Kentucky Oaks-winning trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           Leslie’s Rose is scheduled to work Thursday morning.
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS – Klaravich Stables’ Regulatory Risk and Ways and Means both galloped a mile and half Wednesday morning for trainer Chad Brown.
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           Ways and Means, second in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) in her 2024 debut, galloped early under Peter Roman. She will be ridden by Tyler Gaffalione.
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           Regulatory Risk galloped during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Derby and Oaks horses with Gudiel Alvarez aboard. Jose Ortiz has the Oaks mount on the Gazelle (GIII) runner-up.
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           Brown initially had both fillies scheduled to work Friday, but said Wednesday morning, “I’m not sure about that. I may work one filly Friday and one Saturday.”
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie is on target to work Thursday morning in preparation for the Oaks, eight days later. Trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. took the homebred daughter of Tapit to the starting gate and paddock, before galloping her a mile and a half.
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           “She’s doing really well right now,” Milligan said. “She went into the gate real good, relaxed real good, and she did everything I needed her to do today. We’ll breeze her an easy half- mile tomorrow, then walk her a couple of days after that.”
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           Tapit Jenallie is scheduled to work Thursday with jockey Manny Esquivel up.
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna galloped a mile and a half for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Thorpedo Anna is the winner of three of her four starts with Brian Hernandez Jr., most recently having captured the Fantasy (GII) in her first start this year. The Fast Anna filly is scheduled to work Friday.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Gazelle (GIII) winner Where’s My Ring galloped a mile and a half early Wednesday morning under  David Rodriguez.
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           “She will jog Thursday and then work a half-mile Friday,” trainer Val Brinkerhoff said of the filly who will be piloted in the Oaks by Jose Lezcano, who was aboard for the Gazelle victory.
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES – Manama Gold (No. 15) and Candied (No. 17) both galloped a mile and three-eighths for trainer Todd Pletcher. Manama Gold was out early under Jonathan Fabian Aguilar while Candied galloped at 7:30 under Carlos Quevedo.
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           They are scheduled to work Thursday.
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               Pletcher said Luis Saez would have the mount on Candied should she make it into the main body of the race. The rider for Manama Gold is to be determined.
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           “We will see how she breezes tomorrow,” Pletcher said of Manama Gold regarding her Oaks status.
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            SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Everland (Abel Cedillo, Eric Foster); Fiona’s Magic (TBA, Bo Yates); Gin Gin (TBA, Brad Cox); Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, Ian Wilkes); Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, Jorge Delgado); Regulatory Risk (Jose Ortiz, Chad Brown); Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, Eddie Milligan); Tarifa (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown) and Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, Val Brinkerhoff).
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           Also-Eligible: Manama Gold (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Candied (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher)
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Apr 2024 18:49:51 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-24-2024</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby field</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-field</link>
      <description />
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           150th Grade 1 Kentucky Derby   May 4, 2024   10 Furlongs
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           Run Annually Since 1874 at Churchill Downs
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           Purse: $5,000,000 with $3,100,000 guaranteed to the winner; $1,000,000 to second; $500,000 to third; $250,000 to fourth; $150,000 to fifth.
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           Race 12, 6:57 ET
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      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2024 21:51:14 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-field</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string">Todd Pletcher,D. Wayne Lukas,Phil D'Amato,Kentucky Derby,Chad Brown,Just Steel,Sierra Leone,Stronghold,Resilience,Kentucky Derby horses,Brad Cox,Forever Young,Yoshito Yahagi,Chasing Freedom,Fierceness,Japan in Kentucky Derby</g-custom:tags>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 23, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-23-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 23, 2024
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Catching Freedom, Encino and Just a Touch all galloped about 1 ½ miles Tuesday at 7:30 a.m.
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            Following their training sessions, the trio schooled in the paddock at 10 a.m.
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           Cox, who was at Keeneland Tuesday morning, is scheduled to be back at Churchill Downs Wednesday.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Trainer  Chad Brown’s two Kentucky Derby hopefuls galloped a mile and a half during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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           It was the first day on the track for Klaravich Stables’ Domestic Product, who was partnered by Peter Roman.
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           The first day on the track was excellent. He was moving well,” Brown said.
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           Sierra Leone, winner of the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) and Risen Star (GII), had regular exercise rider Kriss Bon aboard. Sierra Leone is owned by the partnership of Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg and Brook Smith.
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Trainer  Danny Gargan’s Kentucky Derby hopefuls, Dornoch and Society Man, galloped a mile and a half under Pricilla Schaefer.
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           Dornoch, owned by the partnership of West Paces Racing, R. A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing  and Breeding, Two Eight Racing and Pine Racing Stables, galloped at 7:30 and comes into the Derby off a fourth-place finish in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI).
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           Society Man, runner-up in the Wood Memorial (GII) in his most recent start, galloped at 9 a.m. He is owned by the partnership of Reeves Thoroughbred Racing, West Paces Racing, GMP Stables and Carl and Yurie Pascarella.
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           ENDLESSLY – Amerman Racing’s Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) winner Endlessly had an easy 1 ½-mile gallop early Tuesday morning.
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            Endlessly is slated to work Saturday.
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable’s Fierceness, the champion 2-year-old of 2023 and possible favorite for the 150
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            running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby (GI) Presented by Woodford Reserve, made his first appearance on the track at Churchill Downs on a sun-splashed Tuesday morning.
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           Under regular exercise rider Danny Wright, Fierceness galloped a mile during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks runners.
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           Wright has been the regular morning partner for Fierceness since last summer at Saratoga.
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           “He looked smooth and handled it well,” trainer Todd Pletcher said of the morning’s activity.
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           Winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (GI) and Florida Derby (GI) in dominating fashion, Fierceness is scheduled to work Friday morning … weather permitting.
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           Pletcher said Fierceness would make a couple of trips to the starting gate as well as a couple of paddock schooling sessions next week.
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s undefeated Forever Young (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute for a half-hour before galloping a mile and a half under jockey Ryusei Sakai.
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           Trained by Yoshito Yahagi, Forever Young is scheduled to work six furlongs in company Wednesday morning with Sakai aboard.
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           Yahagi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville next Tuesday night and be trackside Wednesday morning, May 1.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – At Gulfstream Park Tuesday morning, Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First worked six furlongs in 1:16.46 for trainer Victor Barboza Jr. Grand Mo the First is scheduled to ship to Louisville on Thursday.
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           “It was a beautiful workout,” Barboza said via text of the solo move with jockey Emisael Jaramillo up. “We will arrive there Thursday night, walk Friday and then go to the track Saturday.”
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eiserman, Earl Silver, Kenneth and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie galloped 1 ½ miles Tuesday at 7:30 a.m. under trainer Whit Beckman’s exercise rider Maurilio Garcia.
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           His jockey, Ben Curtis, was also in town Tuesday to watch his Derby mount train. Curtis, a native of Ireland, moved his tack to North America this winter and will base at Delaware Park throughout the spring and early summer.
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            JUST STEEL – BC Stable’s Just Steel returned to the track Tuesday for the first time since is serious one-mile work Saturday.
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           The D. Wayne Lukas trainee had an easy gallop around 5:30 a.m.
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           MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan galloped a mile and a half for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Winner of the Southwest (GIII) and most recently third in the Arkansas Derby (GI), Mystik Dan is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           RESILIENCE – Emily Bushnell and Ric Waldman’s Resilience jogged about one mile Tuesday at 7:30 a.m. a day after his five furlong move in 1:01.60
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            “It was a beautiful work and had very good energy,” jockey Junior Alvarado said. “He’s a very easy horse to manage. He galloped out very strong. I had to pull him up a little bit earlier because he wanted to keep going.”
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           Alvarado was named to ride Resilience in the Kentucky Derby.
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           STRONGHOLD – Eric and Sharon Walker’s Stronghold, winner of the Santa Anita Derby (GI) in his most recent start, was en route to Louisville Tuesday morning from trainer Phil D’Amato’s main base at Santa Anita.
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           Stronghold was scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Tuesday afternoon.
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Lecomte (GIII) winner Track Phantom jogged about one mile then had a light gallop under exercise rider Roberto Howell Tuesday at 5:45 a.m.
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga galloped two miles at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky, under Donte Lowery for trainer Larry Demeritte.
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           West Saratoga is scheduled to ship to Churchill Downs with a work scheduled for Saturday morning.
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           “I thank God every day for my blessings in this life and this is truly amazing how we got to this position with this horse,” Demeritte said. “I’m hopeful people will see our story and become interested in this sport because this horse is proving anyone with a dream can make it to the Derby stage.”
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           ALSO ELIGIBLES – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride galloped at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky. Trainer John Ennis tentative plans call for Epic Ride to come to Churchill Downs after training Friday morning in Lexington.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., Chad Brown); Dornoch (Luis Saez, Danny Gargan); Encino (TBA, Brad Cox); Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, Michael McCarthy); Fierceness (John Velazquez, Todd Pletcher); Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, Victor Barboza Jr.); Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, Whit Beckman); Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Resilience (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown); Society Man (TBA, Danny Gargan); Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, Phil D’Amato); T O Password (JPN) (Kazushi Kimura, Daisuke Takayanagi); Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, Larry Demerritte).
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                Also Eligibles: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, John Ennis); Uncle Heavy (TBA, Butch Reid); Seize the Grey (TBA, Wayne Lukas).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Calumet Farm’s Gin Gin along with Godolphin’s Tarifa, two of trainer Brad Cox’s Longines Kentucky Oaks hopefuls, both galloped about 1 ½ miles Tuesday at 7:30 a.m.
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           The duo will have their final breeze before the Oaks Friday or Saturday.
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne galloped about 1 ½ miles Tuesday at 7:30 a.m. with trainer Ian Wilkes watching from the clocker stand.
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            JUST F Y I – George Krikorian’s Ashland (GI) runner-up Just F Y I had a scheduled walk day at Bill Mott’s Barn 19 following her strong five-furlong move in :59.80 Monday at Churchill Downs.
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           LEMON MUFFIN – Aaron Sones’ Lemon Muffin returned to the track Tuesday for the first time since her five-eighths work in 1:02.20 Saturday morning.
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            Trained by D. Wayne Lukas, Lemon Muffin had an easy gallop at 5:30 a.m.
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           LESLIE’S ROSE – Whisper Hill Farm’s Ashland (GI) winner Leslie’s Rose galloped a mile and three-eighths under Joel Osorio for trainer Todd Pletcher. She is scheduled to work Thursday morning.
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            Pletcher said Leslie’s Rose would make a couple of trips to the starting gate as well as a couple of paddock schooling sessions next week.
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS – Klaravich Stables’ Regulatory Risk and Ways and Means both galloped a mile and a half on their first day on track at Churchill Downs.
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           “The first day on the track was excellent. They were moving well,” Brown said of the fillies who arrived at Churchill Downs Monday morning.
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           Peter Roman was on Ways and Means and Gudiel Alvarez was on Regulatory Risk
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie stood in the mile chute for about 15 minutes and then headed to the frontside of the track under trainer Eddie Milligan Jr.
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           “She went to the paddock, visited the gate and stood at the three-sixteenths pole for a while before galloping a mile and a half,” said Milligan, who has another nine horses stabled at the nearby Trackside Training Center.
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           Tapit Jenallie is scheduled to work Thursday with jockey Manny Esquivel up.
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna galloped a mile and a half for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Winner of three of four starts with the most recent coming in the Fantasy (GII), Thorpedo Anna is scheduled to work Friday.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Where’s My Ring galloped a mile and a half under exercise rider  David Rodriguez for trainer Val Brinkerhoff.
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           Winner of the Gazelle (GIII) in her most recent start, Where’s My Ring is scheduled to work a half-mile on Friday for Brinkerhoff who has three other horses here and another 24 at Santa Anita.
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           ALSO ELIGIBES – Fawzi Abdulla Nass’ Manama Gold and Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners’ Candied galloped a mile and three-eighths for trainer Todd Pletcher. Jonathan Fabian Aguilar was on Manama Gold and Carlos Quevedo on Candied. The two are scheduled to work Thursday.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the bubble:
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           Everland (Abel Cedillo, Eric Foster); Fiona’s Magic (TBA, Bo Yates); Gin Gin (TBA, Brad Cox); Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, Ian Wilkes); Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Leslie’s Rose (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, Jorge Delgado); Regulatory Risk (TBA, Chad Brown); Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, Eddie Milligan); Tarifa (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown) and Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano, Val Brinkerhoff).
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           Also-Eligible: Manama Gold (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Candied (TBA, Todd Pletcher)
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      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2024 17:50:20 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-23-2024</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: April 22, 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-22-2024</link>
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           Daily Derby Update: April 22, 2024
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           CATALYTIC – Tami Bobo, Julie Davies and George Isaacs’ Catalytic arrived from South Florida at 7 o’clock Monday morning for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.
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           Runner-up in the Florida Derby (GI) in his most recent start, Catalytic will be ridden by Jose Ortiz in Kentucky Derby 150. Catalytic is scheduled to work Sunday.
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           CATCHING FREEDOM/ENCINO/JUST A TOUCH – Trainer Brad Cox’s Derby trio of Catching Freedom, Encino and Just a Touch all trained Monday at 7:30 a.m.
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            Catching Freedom and Just a Touch, who recorded published workouts Saturday, had a lighter training session compared to Encino.
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           “They’re all handling things well right now,” Cox said. “At this point we’re one work away from the Derby so we’re looking forward to seeing them train this week and then working all three of them this weekend.”
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           All three are likely to train Tuesday at 7:30 a.m.
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT/SIERRA LEONE – Klaravich Stables’ Domestic Product arrived at Churchill Downs from Payson Park in South Florida early Monday morning for trainer Chad Brown.
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           Winner of the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) in his most recent start, Domestic Product will be ridden in the Derby by Irad Ortiz Jr.
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           Peter Brant, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg and Brook Smith’s Sierra Leone, winner of the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, galloped a little more than a mile under Kriss Bon.
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           The final pre-Derby works for the two likely will be Saturday, depending on the weather. As of Monday, rain was forecast for Friday with a lesser chance of precipitation for Saturday.
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           DORNOCH/SOCIETY MAN – Trainer  Danny Gargan’s Derby duo of Dornoch and Society Man jogged Monday morning under Pricilla Schaefer. Both horses are scheduled to work Saturday.
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           Dornoch, the full brother to 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage, also visited the starting gate. He is owned by the partnership of  West Paces Racing, R. A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing and Breeding, Two Eight Racing and Pine Racing Stables.  Luis Saez has the Derby mount.
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           Society Man, owned in partnership by Reeves Thoroughbreds, West Paces, GMP Stables and Carl and Yurie Pascarella, has not had a rider confirmed by Gargan for the Derby.
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           ENDLESSLY – Amerman Racing’s Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) winner Endlessly had an easy Monday at trainer Michael McCarthy’s Barn 35 after he breezed five furlongs in 1:00.80 Saturday at Churchill Downs.
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           The son of Oscar Performance was one of the first horses to school in the paddock after training later Monday morning under the watchful eye of McCarthy’s local assistant Justin Curran.
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            McCarthy is scheduled to return to Louisville Thursday morning.
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           FIERCENESS – Repole Stable’s Fierceness, runaway winner of the Florida Derby (GI) in his most recent start for trainer Todd Pletcher, arrived at Churchill Downs at 4:30 this morning from Palm Beach Downs in South Florida.
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) – Susumu Fujita’s undefeated Forever Young (JPN) spent 20 minutes in the mile chute and then galloped a mile and a half under Yusaku Oka.
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           Winner of the Saudi Derby (GIII) and UAE Derby (GII) in his past two starts, Forever Young is trained by Yoshito Yahagi.
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           Ryusei Sakai, who has been aboard Forever Young in all of his starts, is scheduled to arrive in Louisville tonight and will be aboard the colt the next two mornings with a workout scheduled for Wednesday. Sakai will return to Japan after the two days here and then return Thursday of Derby Week.
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST – Granpollo Stables’ Grand Mo the First is scheduled to work Tuesday morning at Gulfstream Park for trainer Victor Barboza Jr.
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           “If he works out tomorrow with God’s favor and everything is OK, we are traveling to Kentucky on Thursday,” Barboza said via text.
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               Jockey Emisael Jaramillo will be aboard for the work scheduled at 8 a.m.
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           HONOR MARIE – Ribble Farms, Michael Eiserman, Earl Silver, Kenneth and Dave Fishbein’s Honor Marie galloped 1 ½ miles Monday at 7:30 a.m. under trainer Whit Beckman’s exercise rider Maurilio Garcia.
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            Honor Marie will have his final work for the Kentucky Derby Thursday with jockey Ben Curtis in the saddle.
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           Beckman confirmed Monday that Curtis will have the mount in Kentucky Derby 150.
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           JUST STEEL – BC Stable’s Just Steel walked Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas’ famed Barn 44 Monday after working one mile in 1:40 Saturday.
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           MYSTIK DAN – Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing and Daniel Hamby III’s Mystik Dan, third in the Arkansas Derby (GI) in his most recent start, galloped Monday morning for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Mystik Dan is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           McPeek also said that Common Defense, owned by the partnership of David Bernsen, Tony Holmes, Michael Holmes and Norevale Farm, would not run in the Kentucky Derby with plans to be determined.
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           RESILIENCE – Emily Bushnell and Ric Waldman’s Resilience had a serious tune up for Kentucky Derby 150 Monday with a five-furlong move in 1:01.60 under jockey Junior Alvarado, who has the mount in the “Run for the Roses.”
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           Resilience galloped about one-mile before he worked Monday at 9 a.m. The winner of the Wood Memorial (GII) breezed an opening quarter-mile in :25.80 and easily galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.60, according to Churchill Downs Clocker John Nichols.
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           “He’s the type of horse that has taken a little more time to mature than some others,” trainer Bill Mott said. “We took our time with his development and it’s seem to have worked out well.”
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           STRONGHOLD – Eric and Sharon Waller’s Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Stronghold galloped Monday morning at Santa Anita and is scheduled to ship to Churchill Downs on Tuesday.
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           “He galloped this morning and looked good and will be flying your way early tomorrow morning,” trainer Phil D’Amato said via text. “He will probably work Sunday and (jockey Antonio) Fresu night come in to breeze him.”
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           T O PASSOWRD (JPN) – Tomoya Ozasa’s T O Password is scheduled to leave Japan Tuesday to start the long trek to Churchill Downs that will include a stopover in Chicago to quarantine for 42 hours before a scheduled arrival in Louisville early Friday morning
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           TRACK PHANTOM – Trainer Steve Asmussen’s Barn 38 was quiet Monday morning following Track Phantom’s five-furlong move in 1:00.80 Sunday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           Track Phantom, who had a scheduled walk day, is expected to return to the track Tuesday.
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           WEST SARATOGA – Harry Veruchi’s West Saratoga galloped a mile and three-quarters at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky, for his first day back at the track since working six furlongs in 1:16.20 on Friday at Keeneland.
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           Trainer Larry Demeritte plans to bring West Saratoga to Churchill Downs on Friday with a three-furlong work scheduled for Saturday. Jesus Castanon has the Derby mount.
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           Also Eligibles – Welch Racing’s Epic Ride galloped at The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington, Kentucky, this morning for trainer John Ennis.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Catalytic (Jose Ortiz, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Catching Freedom (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Domestic Product (Irad Ortiz Jr., Chad Brown); Dornoch (Luis Saez, Danny Gargan); Encino (TBA, Brad Cox); Endlessly (Umberto Rispoli, Michael McCarthy); Forever Young (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Grand Mo the First (Emisael Jaramillo, Victor Barboza Jr.); Honor Marie (Ben Curtis, Whit Beckman); Just a Touch (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Just Steel (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Mystik Dan (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Resilience (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Sierra Leone (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown); Society Man (TBA, Danny Gargan); Stronghold (Antonio Fresu, Phil D’Amato); T O Password (JPN) (Kazushi Kimura, Daisuke Takayanagi); Track Phantom (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); West Saratoga (Jesus Castanon, Larry Demerritte).
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            Also Eligibles: Epic Ride (Adam Beschizza, John Ennis); Uncle Heavy (TBA, Butch Reid); Seize the Grey (TBA, Wayne Lukas).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           EVERLAND – Foster Family Racing, William Wargel, R.K. Eckrich Racing and Maxis Stable’s Everland, winner of the Bourbonette Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start, walked the shedrow at Keeneland Monday morning for trainer Eric Foster.
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           GIN GIN/TARIFA – Two-time Longines Kentucky Oaks-winning trainer Brad Cox was intently watching his duo of Gin Gin and Tarifa train Monday morning for their expected starts on the first Friday in May.
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               Gin Gin and Tarifa worked together five furlongs in 1:00.80 Saturday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           INTO CHAMPAGNE – Six Column Stables, Randy Bloch, Jim Gladden, Mike Davis and Michael Steele’s Into Champagne had a scheduled walk day in trainer Ian Wilkes’ Barn 26 following her sharp five-furlong breeze of 1:00.20 Saturday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           JUST F Y I – George Krikorian’s Ashland (GI) runner-up Just F Y I returned to the work tab Monday with a sharp five furlong breeze in :59.80 at Churchill Downs.
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                Trained by Bill Mott, Just F Y I cruised through opening eighth-mile fractions of :12.20, :24.20 and :36 before galloping out six furlongs in 1:12.20 and seven furlongs in 1:25.40. She completed one mile in 1:40.20 while remaining in hand under jockey Junior Alvarado.
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               “She’s a very nice filly and we had a minor setback with her this winter when she developed a fever on race day (in the Davona Dale) and we had to scratch that day,” Mott said. “It’s one of those situations where we hoped she’d get over the virus quickly to return training, and she did. Then, we started looking at the Ashland as her next option.”
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           LEMON MUFFIN – Aaron Sones’ Lemon Muffin walked trainer D. Wayne Lukas’ Barn 44 shedrow following her five-furlong move in 1:02.20 Saturday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           LESLIE’S ROSE – Trainer  Todd Pletcher’s trio of Kentucky Oaks hopefuls, who arrived at Churchill Downs on Sunday, all had mile gallops Monday morning during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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               Whisper Hill Farm’s Leslie’s Rose, winner of the Ashland (GI) in her most recent start, was partnered by Joel Osorio.
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               Fawzi Abdulla Nass’ Manama Gold, winner of the UAE Oaks (GIII) and currently 15
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            on the list of Oaks possibles in a field limited to 14 starters, was ridden by Carlos Quevedo.
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               Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners’ Candied, winner of last fall’s Alcibiades (GI) and currently 17
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            on the list of Oaks possibles, was ridden by Jonathan Fabian Aguilar.
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               Manama Gold, who would have to be supplemented into the Oaks, just came to the Pletcher barn.
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               “After the UAE Oaks that (the Kentucky Oaks) was the plan,” Pletcher said. “It was the same thing as with Shahama (who was sixth in the Kentucky Oaks) two years ago. But there were some delays and she didn’t clear quarantine until a week ago. With Shahama, we had her with at Palm Beach (Downs) for some time before coming here.”
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           REGULATORY RISK/WAYS AND MEANS – Klaravich Stables’ Kentucky Oaks hopefuls Regulatory Risk and Ways and Means arrived at Churchill Downs on Monday morning from varied starting points on the East Coast.
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               Regulatory Risk, runner-up in the Gazelle (GIII), in her most recent start, arrived from Belmont Park and Ways and Means, runner-up in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) in her most recent start, arrived from Payson Park in South Florida.
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               Regulatory Risk re-entered the Oaks picture following a half-mile work in :48.88 at Belmont Park on Saturday.
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               “She worked great in her first work after the Gazelle,” trainer Chad Brown said. “She is a rapidly improving filly and she will work here this weekend. She deserves a shot and we wanted to meet the requirements of being here on the grounds (by Saturday the 27
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           TAPIT JENALLIE – Willis Horton Racing’s Tapit Jenallie galloped a mile and a half with trainer Eddie Milligan Jr. aboard Monday morning.
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               Third in the Fantasy (GII) in her most recent start, Tapit Jenallie returned to the track for the first time since working five furlongs in :58.40 last Thursday.
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               “She probably will work again Thursday with an easy half-mile,” Milligan said. “Manny (Esquivel) will work her again and he has the mount for the Oaks.”
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           THORPEDO ANNA – Brookdale Racing, Mark Edwards, Judy Hicks and Magdalena Racing’s Thorpedo Anna, four-length winner of the Fantasy (GII) in her most recent start, galloped Monday morning for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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               She is scheduled for her third Churchill Downs workout since the Fantasy on Friday.
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           WHERE’S MY RING – Michael McMillan’s Gazelle (GIII) winner Where’s My Ring walked the shedrow Monday morning, a day after blowing out a quarter-mile through the stretch.
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               “That was her dragging me around the shedrow,” trainer Val Brinkerhoff said with a laugh.
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               Where’s My Ring is scheduled to work Friday morning. Jose Lezcano, who was aboard for the Gazelle victory, will have the Oaks mount.
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            SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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               Everland (Abel Cedillo, Eric Foster); Fiona’s Magic (TBA, Bo Yates); Gin Gin (TBA, Brad Cox); Into Champagne (Julien Leparoux, Ian Wilkes); Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Lemon Muffin (Keith Asmussen, Wayne Lukas); Power Squeeze (Daniel Centeno, Jorge Delgado); Regulatory Risk (TBA, Chad Brown); Tapit Jenallie (Manny Esquivel, Eddie Milligan); Tarifa (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Thorpedo Anna (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Ways and Means (Tyler Gaffalione, Chad Brown) and Where’s My Ring (Jose Lezcano).
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               Also-Eligible: Manama Gold (TBA, Todd Pletcher) and Our Pretty Woman (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen).
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Mon, 22 Apr 2024 21:29:18 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-april-22-2024</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby Horse Profiles 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-horses-profiles-2024</link>
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           KENTUCKY DERBY HORSES
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           PROFILES IN ORDER OF DERBY POINTS
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           In Section 4 we break down the numbers and analyze the performances of the Kentucky Derby hopefuls in Derby prep races. In this section, Section 3, all in one place are the contenders' connections, Derby points, non-restricted stakes earnings, breeding, dosage, auction prices, arrival at Churchill Downs, stakes race results, workouts and post-race connections quotes. Workout videos are posted when available.
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           At The Downey Profile we like post-race quotes because they are uttered without much time to spin what happened out there. Post-race quotes are from a variety of Kentucky Derby points races including the important recent preps. In a few cases we've included pre-race comments.
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           SIERRA LEONE (KY)
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            #2     3-1
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           Derby Points: 155
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $871,250
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           Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
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           Trainer: Chad C. Brown
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           Owner: Brant, Peter M., Magnier, Mrs. John, Tabor, Michael, Smith, Derrick, Westerberg and Smith, Brook T.
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           Breeder: Debby M. Oxley
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Gun Runner (Candy Ride (ARG), Quiet Giant)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Heavenly Love (Malibu Moon, Darling My Darling)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-2-8-0-0 (12) 2.00
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           Foal Date: March 31, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $2,300,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 21, Barn 25
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 20
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            Sierra Leone 48.80 breezing 18/125 KEE under exercise rider Kriss Bon in company with recent Keeneland maiden winner White Palomino (97 Equibase).
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           VIDEO FROM KEENELAND
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            He is expected at Churchill Downs tomorrow. Initial splits were 12.40, 24.20 and 36.80. Sierra Leone galloped out five furlongs in 1:01.20 and six in 1:15.60. Sierra Leone distanced his workmate in the first turn. Trainer Brown said, “(He) worked super. The horse is really fit and ready. It was just what I wanted. I’ve always worked him in company in the mornings. He’s always been a decent workhorse, just needs a little focus. Obviously, we’ve added blinkers this year, which have helped. But a little competition so he just feels a horse next to him just keeps him in the bridle nicely. He’s a very alpha horse. He’s definitely in charge of what’s going on everywhere, and we give him his space and we let him be him. He’s a very rare horse to have in your shedrow. (Regarding his reluctance to load in the gate before the Blue Grass) Brown said, “I have a plan set up so he can see the gate a couple of times this week coming up. I really don’t anticipate any problems. He’s really never been much of a problem at the gate. I’d be more interested with the post position of where he’s going to be strategically in that first turn more than the loading process. Maybe I’ll regret those words, but I feel somewhere in the middle of the field always seems to be the (best). But there’s no telling. You’ve seen horses win from the far outside and some that draw inside and run well. We’ll take what they give us, but somewhere in the middle would be ideal.” Brown said Sierra Leone would ship to Churchill Downs on Sunday work again April 27 if weather permits.
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            April 27
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            Sierra Leone 1:00.20 breezing 15/58 CD inside Domestic Product (1:00.20), who broke off about a half-length behind Sierra Leone. The horses were on even terms early in the turn, but Sierra Leone resumed a half-length advantage in upper stretch and was up a neck at the finish line. They galloped out well together most of the way up the backstretch. . Initial fractions were 13.00, 24.80 and 36.40; out six in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:26.20. Not too shabby! Yesterday trainer Brown said exercise rider Kriss Bon would be up on Sierra Leone while that one's regular rider Tyler Gafflalione filled in for Irad Ortiz, Jr. who was scheduled to be in New York, aboard Domestic Product. We will update if that isn't the way it turned out.
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             Trainer Brown said, “It was executed perfectly. I wanted them to a good five-eighths out in three-quarters but well within themselves. He is super fit and it was just an outstanding work. I’m just trying to get him in there happy and sound. He’s a very rare horse. He’s just everything you want as a trainer. We’re just really trying to stay out of his way. Me and my team, we’ve been managing this horse and just trying to allow him to be who he was meant to be. Don’t do anything to prevent him from getting there really. He has a tremendous amount of power and endurance. He might not be the fastest horse early in his races but once he gets moving, it does seem like his stride is probably two to the horses next to him." Gate issues? "He’s visited the gate twice this week and did really well, there is no need to take him back. With these two horses, I feel as confident that I’ll have good runs in the Derby if they can get clear trips."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Second Remsen Stakes
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           First Toyota Blue Grass
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Jose Ortiz after the Remsen: “He broke good, they went plenty fast. He just sit there, he was relaxed. I make a move at the half a mile and he responded nicely. He was lugging in a little bit in the stretch and the other horse (Dornoch) looked like he was waiting. When he felt me, he came back. I think it was a good race from him (Sierra Leone). My horse kept coming. He ran a bit greenly, but I’m proud of him. It was a big step up. He was running so good to the other horses, and I didn’t want to get him stopped, so I went wide with him.”
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           Trainer Brown after the Risen Star: “I told Tyler to keep him out of trouble. He had a minor stumble but was able to get him into the race and in the clear off the rail. I told him to stay outside and keep him straight. Given the track conditions (sloppy) and slow pace and that he hasn’t run since the Remsen, I thought he showed a lot to run down a pretty good horse who was in form and fit and didn’t have to ship. This proved a lot to me today.”
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           Tyler Gaffalione after the Risen Star: “The blinkers really helped him focus today. He broke alertly, and we hoped going into this race there would be more speed. He got a comfortable trip up the backside and relaxed for me. When he took the lead in the stretch I could feel beneath me he is only going to want to go longer after this. He is an incredible horse and Chad Brown and his team have done an incredible job with him. You always keep dreaming of the big races like the derby and horses like this help you keep the dream alive.”
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           Trainer Brown after the Blue Grass: “He hesitates a touch here and there, but really the outside post with the wonderful, large crowd we have at Keeneland today got him just a little bit stirred up (when he refused to load multiple times), Tyler said. Probably from just the outside post. But we’ll do plenty of gate schooling before the Derby, and I don’t anticipate that being a problem for him. He’s just a natural athlete. I’m so lucky, so appreciative of the ownership group.... He's been a star since he’s been born. The Oxleys are here, who bred the horse. Tyler did such a great job. I don’t know if they ever fully figure it out, but he’s only had a handful of starts. But there’s such good chemistry with Tyler and Sierra Leone his last two starts. You can see he wants to lean in a little bit, but it’s never too bad. He’s still polishing off his experience and his skills, and I just think a mile-and-a-quarter won’t be a problem going forward. We’re looking forward to it.”
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           Tyler Gaffalione after the Blue Grass: “I think (his reluctance to load) was just the crowd. We break right in front of them here. Everybody’s lined up against the rail and he was the last horse going in, so I think it just kind of got to him – got him a little nervous. I loved everything about it. He didn’t break the sharpest, but it actually gave me time to get over and save some ground into the first turn. He took the dirt just fine. Down the backside he got into a great rhythm. From the five-eighths pole on, he was moving like a winner.... He made it way too easy today. I actually got there a little quicker than I thought I would. I actually tapped on him a little bit at the five-sixteenths to slow down, because he was really wanting to get going.... We haven’t even got close to the bottom of him yet.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Brown said, “I’m not going to get too far away from this guy." He added there will be one work at Keeneland followed by a ship to Churchill Downs with one work there.
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            FIERCENESS (KY)   #17     5-2  
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            Derby Points: 136
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            Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $1,646,100
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            Jockey: John R. Velazquez
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            Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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            Owner: Repole Stable
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            Breeder: Repole Stable, Inc.
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            Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): City of Light (Quality Road, Paris Notion)
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            Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Nonna Bella (Stay Thirsty, Nonna Mia)
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            Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-3-2-0-0 (6) 5.00
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            Foal Date: March 28, 2021
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            Auction Price(s): Homebred
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            Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 22 Barn 39
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            WORKOUTS
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            April 12
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            Fierceness 50.28 breezing 14/22 PBD under John Velazquez.
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             Trainer Pletcher said, "He's been great since the Florida Derby. His energy level is good. He’s seemed to take the race really well. He had a nice easy breeze this morning and was moving great. Really, I couldn’t be happier with him. He’ll get his next work here at Palm Beach Downs and then we’ll make a decision when to ship to Churchill. We have to be there at 11.a.m. on the Saturday before, so there’s a good chance we’ll have our final breeze at Churchill, but I want to keep the window open if I don’t like the way the weather is looking in Kentucky. Right now, I’m happy we’ve stayed where we are (with good weather).... The way he trained up to the Florida Derby, we expected a good performance, but that was kind of a ‘wow’ performance. I don’t think he’d need a better one (in the Derby), just similar. What can you do? He ran that well. It didn’t seem to be a stressful race on him. He came to the wire with his ears pricked. Johnny never seemingly asked him at any point.”
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           April 19
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            Fierceness 1:00.50 breezing 1/5 PBD under John Velazquez in company with Agate Road (1:00.90). Trainer Pletcher said, “I thought he worked super – a solid five-eighths with a good gallop-out, exactly what we were targeting. I think he is doing every bit as good, if not better, than he was going into the Florida Derby.' Plans to ship Fierceness to Kentucky are not known publicly.
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           April 26
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            Fierceness 48.80 breezing 43/68 CD under John Velazquez outside Agate Road, his first workout at Churchill Downs. Opening fractions of 12.80, 24.80, 36.80, out five in 1:00.60, six in 1:12.60 seven in 1:26.00. At the wire Fierceness was a quickly-increasing 2 1/2 lengths ahead of Agate Road, and he ran well beyond Agate Road past the wire. He eased up just before the track kitchen located at the start of the far turn. I don't know how Fierceness could be asked for a better workout going into a big race.
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           . While it's possible the track was playing a bit fast today, trainer and jockey were demonstrably happy. Track notes said Velazquez had a big smile and said, “He really, really went well today.” Trainer Pletcher, known for being understated, said, “I’m very, very happy with the work.” 
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Seventh Champagne
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           First Breeders' Cup Juvenile
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           No quotes available from the Champagne
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           Trainer Pletcher after the Breeders' Cup Juvenile: “Look, not everyone would do that (enter this race off a seventh-place finish in the Champagne). We talked about it, we covered every base after the Champagne. The horse trained awesome all summer (at Saratoga); he was a monster since his debut. We took a shot today and it worked out. He had a beautiful trip and he showed what he is all about. A lot of the tactics in a race like this, you have to leave in your rider’s hands. I could make a case for five horses being the pacesetter, possibly. It was really about getting in a good rhythm with him and letting him get comfortable with him. (John Velazquez) was able to do that. It did look easy. It was a helluva race. Very impressive.”
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           John Velazquez after the Breeders' Cup Juvenile: “I had a perfect trip. We were concerned a little about the break. He behaved well in the gate and broke well. He went forwardly and sat second nicely. Once we passed the half-mile pole, he grabbed into the bridle a little sooner than I wanted. When he got to the quarter-pole, he started looking around so I got after him. He was running down the stretch and got serious once I got after him. I had no doubt (I was going to win.) I worked him in the morning and I was very impressed and I was hoping he would put the same work in the afternoon.”
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           John Velazquez after the Holy Bull: “The way he broke out of there, he kind of broke a step slow and got bounced out of there. I had to put him into the race and then sat against him on the backstretch. Somebody moved on the outside and I let him do his thing. [I saw] Paco’s already riding so I kind of sat against him thinking, ‘Let me just wait.’ When I asked him, he wasn’t there for me.”
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           Trainer Pletcher before the Florida Derby: “Normally I’d be afraid of the outside post but Forte won from the 11 last year so you can overcome that. Everybody knows Gulfstream two-turn races are tricky, and I think that’s why the start is so important, getting away cleanly. I think what happens in a lot of these two-turn races is the jockeys are so conscious of having to get to the first turn in good position that it can get a little rough leaving the gate sometimes.... The horse gives you a lot of confidence watching him breeze. It seems like he’s in really good form, so we’re expecting a good performance from him.”
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           Trainer Pletcher after the Florida Derby: “That was a pretty awesome performance. That’s what we see in the mornings when we breeze him, a special talent. That's why it was so perplexing his two races that he didn't run brilliantly. I think he did really well over the eight weeks. I think he put on some weight. He strengthened a little bit. He had a really good series of works. We got a better trip today.... We weren’t committed to being on the lead. We were committed to being forward and getting a good position on the first turn.... From a talent perspective, he has it all.”
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           John Velazquez after the Florida Derby: “It was pretty easy. This is what I expected last time out of him. He had been working lights out. He broke well today and I just let him have it. I let them come and get him, and he dominated the whole race. When he got to the backstretch and switched to the turn, he picked it up and so I let him do it. He was comfortable. Then at the quarter pole, I gave him a little smooch and he picked it up right away. It was pretty easy.”
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           Owner Mike Repole after the Florida Derby: “It’s surreal. I don’t know what to tell you. It’s not normal to do it once, twice in back-to-back years to win this race and go in with the Kentucky Derby favorite? As you guys know from the past, a lot can happen from now to post time, but we saw something pretty special today. I got 70 family members and they wanted it for me as much as I wanted it for them."
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           CATCHING FREEDOM (KY)   #4     8-1
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            Derby Points: 125
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            Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $802,000
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            Jockey: Flavien Prat
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            Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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            Owner: Albaugh Family Stables LLC
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            Breeder: WinStar Farm, LLC
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            Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Constitution (Tapit, Baffled)
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            Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Catch My Drift (Pioneerof the Nile, Drift to the Lead)
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            Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-5-3-0-0 (10) 5.67
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            Foal Date: March 8, 2021
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            Auction Price(s): $575,000 Keeneland September 2022
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            Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 25, Barn 22
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            WORKOUTS
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            April 5
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            Catching Freedom 48.40 Breezing 9/65 CD with exercise rider Edvin Vargas aboard. Opening fraction 24 and out five in 1:01.20. Trainer Cox said, “He’s settled in nicely since we shipped him back to Churchill from Fair Grounds. He was impressive closing from that far back in the Louisiana Derby and I think the longer stretch at Churchill plus the mile-and-a-quarter should only help him in the Derby.”
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            April 13
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            Catching Freedom 48.00 breezing 14/123 CD solo with exercise rider Edvin Vargas in the saddle through splits of 11.60 and 23.60, out five furlongs in 1:01 and six in 1:14.60. Trainer Cox said, “He’s had very steady training the last five, six weeks. We’ve worked him solo the last couple times and he’s done very well. I’d say the track this morning was a bit heavy. but he still got over it fine. His last two works have been fairly easy, and we’ll see how things shake out over the next two weeks with what we’ll do before the Derby.”
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            April 20
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            Catching Freedom 1:00.80 breezing 20/72 CD under Flavien Prat outside third-time-out Oaklawn maiden winner (94 Equibase) Castlewarden (1:01.00) shortly after the track opened this morning. Catching Freedom began his work from the 4 1/2-furlong pole. After breaking off a length behind Castlewarden, Chasing Freedom finished on even terms with his workmate. Chasing Freedom's initial fractions were 25.40 and 37.80, and he galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:26.20.
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            April 27
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            Catching Freedom 59.20 breezing 2/58 CD under exercise rider Edvin Vargas inside Encino (59.20), ridden by Florent Geroux, who also rides Just a Touch. The first two on the track when training hours opened at 5:15, Encino was noticeably larger than Catching Freedom. After jogging to the front side they wasted no time heading back around the first turn and quickly got to work from the 4 1/2 furlong pole. The pair broke off together and finished up energetically in equal times assigned by clockers on a track that might be playing a bit quickly again today. They galloped up the backstretch almost to the half-mile pole, which precedes the far turn, and walked off the track uneventfully. Opening fractions 23.80, 47.20; out six in 1:12.00 and seven in 1:26.40.
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             Trainer Cox said, "All three had good, solid moves this morning. I liked the breeze this morning for Encino, and that was really the thing we were looking for as far as making the decision to enter the Derby. His work went great. We did a little more with him this morning than we normally would back in two weeks. He responded well and so did Catching Freedom."
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           First Smarty Jones
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           Third Risen Star
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           First Louisiana Derby
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           Trainer Cox after the Smarty Jones: "Very proud of the horse. I think he's still learning. I think he was a little green there down the lane, but overall showed that he does have a lot of stamina and talent. I thought he stepped up and ran well against a solid group of 3-year-olds."
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           Cristian Torres after the Smarty Jones: "We were able to have a great trip. I saved all the ground the first part of the race. As soon as I got him out, he accelerated like he always does."
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           Owner Dennis Albaugh after the Risen Star: “We got third today but we keep getting points for the first Saturday in May which is always important. I think this race today was a good effort and should set him up well moving forward.”
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           Trainer Cox after the Louisiana Derby: "I didn’t know what to make of it early on, being so far back and with not much pace, but Flavien did a great job of letting him inch up. He needed pretty much the entire stretch to get there and I am very proud of the effort. We’ll make sure he is happy and healthy. We’ll ship him up to Churchill; he broke his maiden there so he knows the place. Hopefully he can have a great six weeks and a big run the first Saturday in May.”
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           Flavien Prat after the Louisiana Derby: "You never know until he runs (the mile-and-a-quarter distance), but it seems like he'll handle it."
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           STRONGHOLD (KY)   #18     20-1
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           Derby Points: 125
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           Jockey: Antonio Fresu
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           Trainer: Philip D'Amato
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           Owner: Waller, Eric M. and Waller, Sharon
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           Breeder: Eric Waller &amp;amp; Sharon Waller
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Ghostzapper (Awesome Again (CAN), Baby Zip)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Spectator (Jimmy Creed, Diva's Tribute)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-6-0-0 (12) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Jan. 24, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): Homebred
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 23, Barn 48
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           April 20
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           Stronghold 46.60 handily 1/68 SA with Antonio Fresu aboard outside Shady Tiger (47.40, won Echo Eddie Stakes recently). Stronghold broke off four lengths behind his workmate and finished on even terms. They continued to stride together into the backstretch. Trainer D'Amato said, “I think the track was a little fast today, but he did it the right way. He was in hand and we gave him a little target to help stretch him out on the gallop out. Antonio was very happy with him. He was cooling out like it was just a trot in the park for him. So far so good. All that spacing helped us to be where we are at now. With a fresher horse. He hasn’t had a tough campaign as a 3-year-old. We picked our spots and hopefully we’ll have a fresh horse for a Triple Crown bid.” Jockey Fresu said, “He did it so easy. I was actually expecting about 48 the way he was going. The track was a little fast today. I didn’t ask him for anything.”
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           April 28
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           Stronghold 59.80 breezing 3/16 CD outside under Joe Talamo. He broke off a length behind his workmate, was about two lengths back midway through the turn, on even terms turning for home and stayed that way into the first turn. The gallop-out ended about halfway up the backstretch after Stronghold edged away from his workmate.
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             The breeze was in company with Motorious (1:00.00, entered in the Twin Spires Turf Sprint) and rider Martin Garcia. Talamo said, “He felt real good. I’ve worked this horse before (Talamo broke his maiden at Churchill last October) and today he showed me another gear. He’s a different horse now; he did this easy.” Trainer D'Amato said, “I told them I just wanted a maintenance work today; nothing too serious. And in the end it was an ideal drill. I said maybe go in 1:01 or so, but the way the track is playing right now their times were plenty good. This horse has raced six times at six different racetracks and he knows what he’s doing out there now. We’ve checked all the boxes and I’m very happy with where we stand coming up to the Derby.” D'Amato said he was catching a plane to California today and will return to Churchill Downs Tuesday.
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Second Bob Hope
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           Second Los Alamitos Futurity
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           First Sunland Park Derby
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           First Santa Anita Derby
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           Trainer D'Amato after the Sunland Derby: “It was a really great ride by Antonio and he got the job done. I liked where we were sitting right there on the outside stalking. This horse likes that spot. The six (Alotaluck) put a little pressure on us at the half-mile pole, but Stronghold was able to find another gear there and once he shook loose at the top of the lane, I thought we had a great chance."
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           Trainer D’Amato after the Santa Anita Derby: “We thought we needed a top three performance…. We were definitely hoping to get on the winning end here. I think this was a great education for him, and a nice test that he's going to need to win a race like the Kentucky Derby. I was hoping we'd get that track and trip. It was a nice little speed battle back there, and he handled it well. He didn't really get the easiest trip coming around the turn, but luckily, he was able to squeeze through a small hole there and prove that he can be the best when it comes down to the wire.”
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           Antonio Fresu after the Santa Anita Derby: “It is my first Grade I in America and it is all thanks to these great people that gave me the opportunity to ride this fantastic horse…. I loved the way Phil D’Amato was training him the last couple of works. The horse was getting so much confidence and he was getting so much better than before. Today he proved to be a very good horse.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer D'Amato said, "He came out of the race in great shape. It’s very special. Especially to win with a horse I think is one of the top contenders (for the Kentucky Derby). Stronghold is a horse that just continues to improve, and I think it’s the further the better with him. He does just enough. He’s shown the will to win, but those are usually the kinds of horses that stretch out well because they don’t use themselves too much early and drain the gas tank. They have something left. I’m happy where we’re at with him right now. I’ll devise a plan to get him to Churchill, but we’ll keep him here (at Santa Anita) for at least the next two weeks. Then we’ll look at the long-term weather forecast and decide whether we’ll be there a week out or two weeks out. I think it’s more about not having any interruptions to his training, that’s the most important thing for the Derby.”
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           RESILIENCE (KY)   #19     20-1
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           Derby Points: 110
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           Jockey: Junior Alvarado
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           Trainer: William I. Mott
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           Owner: Bushnell, Emily and Waldman, Ric
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           Breeder: Pam &amp;amp; Martin Wygod
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Meadowsweet (Smart Strike (CAN), Tranquility Lake)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-5-8-0-0 (18) 3.50
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           Foal Date: March 24 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 10, Barn 19
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            Resilience 50.20 breezing 12/18 CD at 7:30 a.m. in company with and inside of Oaks candidate Just FYI (50.00) after galloping about one mile.
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            Just F Y I began one length behind; by the quarter-pole,Just F Y I moved about a length in front of Resilience; and by the wire, the duo finished together. Resilience galloped out in 1:02.80 while Just F Y I did the same in 1:03.40. Trainer Mott said, “I thought (Resilience) had a great trip in the Wood Memorial. I thought Johnny rode him great. He might have gotten a little jammed up on the first turn but got clear down the backside. When (Velazquez) asked him, he responded and he finished up well. The best part is he looked good visually. The entire family of this horse has been very accomplished on the racetrack. Part of the family is Courageous Cat, who I trained for a Grade I win (in the Shoemaker Mile). The owners have been in the breeding business a long time and Resilience is just the result of their program.”
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           April 22
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            Resilience 1:01.60 breezing 10/12 CD under Junior Alvarado going solo. The opening quarter was timed in 25.80. Resilience galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.60 and kept going a long way up the backstretch. Junior Alvarado said, "Today he galloped out very strong, He wanted to keep going, that's a good sign." Trainer Mott said, “He’s the type of horse that has taken a little more time to mature than some others. We took our time with his development and it’s seem to have worked out well.” Trainer Mott sent Resilience out for a breeze only four days ago, and I suspect we will see another one soon. Mott is following the same pattern with Just F Y I for the Oaks. Her breeze this morning was dynamite. It was Just F Y I's second workout since finishing runner-up to Leslie's Rose in the Ashland, and Leslie's Rose is absent from the worktab. When I was a much, much younger man I knew this guy who was a degenerate gambler if there ever was one, but he did know things about horse racing. When it came to handicapping horses he liked telling people about his dad who helped manage stallions at Claiborne farm years and years before then. "Three works in 10 days, that's a good bet," he'd say. "Dad never bought a form at the races, he already knew all the horses," the guy would say, "and he knew the ones that worked three times in 10 days." Times have changed, and we hardly ever see a horse that works two times in 10 days, much less three. Resilience and Just F Y I could be old-school exceptions. Heads up. 
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           April 24
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           Resilience was back out on the track for the second time in two days following his April 22 workout. No off day in the shedrow for Resilience! Stable mate Just F Y I, who also breezed Monday, took the following day off. I don't hold that against the Oaks filly as long as she was out on the track today. The works show focused on only a handful of horses today and I'm not at Churchill Downs yet, so check Daily Derby update for details on Just F Y I. I will be at Churchill Downs first thing Friday morning and through the weekend.
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           April 28
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            Resilience 49.20 breezing 37/60 CD solo move, his third work in 11 days, something you hardly ever see any more (see April 22 note above). This was a solid move intended for maintenance with a strong gallop-out but not as deep into the backstretch as the eye-catching final move we saw from trainer Mott's Country House in 2019. However, the gallop-out in Resilience's prior work, the middle one of the three, went far up the backstretch.
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            Stable mate Just F Y I also breezed the third time in 11 days for trainer Mott this morning, and she looked on top of her game again. I like her in the Oaks. Early fractions for Resilience were 12.60 and 24.80 before galloping out in 1:01.40. Trainer Mott said, “I would say I was hoping to see exactly what we got. I was hoping for a :49 work. We put a really good work into both horses (Resilience and Just F Y I) six days ago so we just wanted our final work to be nice and smooth and cross our fingers and hope they come back good. It looked like they both breezed well, finished up well and came back nicely. Neither one of them was being pushed. He’s physically done well and with the blinkers he seems to be more focused on everything. He got jostled around a bit in the Wood but by the time he got to the backside, he had a nice trip, had a nice stalking position." Mott added that he may send Resilience back to the track on Monday for an easy jog rather than walking the shedrow.
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Fourth Risen Star
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           First Wood Memorial
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           John Velazquez after the Risen Star: “The distance was good. I think he’s still just very green though. It was very hard for him to pass the horses. When the horse came out on him a little bit, he didn’t know what to do. But he’s a good one, that’s for sure.”
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           Trainer Mott on after Wood Memorial, when Resilience added blinkers: “He ran very well. Leana (Williford) did a great job with him. It was a similar trip to what we were hoping for. The blinkers didn't hurt, did they."
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           John Velazquez after the Wood Memorial: "We broke really well, which was what we wanted to do. He got a little bit aggressive, more than I wanted to in the first part. Then I put him out and he kind of relaxed better on the outside of horses. The reason we put blinkers on is because he's kind of hesitant in passing the horses. So, I kind of engaged him a little bit early to see if he'd pass horses and he passed them. Then I was like 'Oh man I might've broken a little too soon.' Then he just kept me busy down the lane.... Very nice horse. The second time I rode him, he kind of got shy away from the horses coming out and didn't want to pass, then all of a sudden everybody passed him at the sixteenth pole. Then I said, 'maybe blinkers will keep him smart and focused and running' and it did today, so this is where to do it."
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           THE NEXT DAY: Assistant trainer Willaford said, "(Resilience is) good. We’re very happy and we were hoping for Resilience’s performance. He’ll make his way over to Churchill sooner rather than later.”
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           FOREVER YOUNG (JPN)   #11     10-1
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $1,769,919
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           Jockey: Ryusei Sakai
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           Trainer: Yoshito Yahagi
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           Owner: Susumu Fujita
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           Breeder: Northern Racing
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Real Steel (Deep Impact (JPN), Loves Only Me)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Forever Darling (Congrats, Darling My Darling)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-2-6-0-0 (12) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 24, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $720,603, JHRA Select Yearling and Foal Sale 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 13, Quarantine Barn 1
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 20
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           Forever Young was out on the track solo during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses and galloped with good energy but it was not intended to be a timed workout. We are told that will happen Tuesday, April 23.
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            April 24
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            Forever Young 6f 1:19.60 breezing 1/1 CD under Ryusei Sakai in company the last four furlongs with a horse from the Dale Romans barn. Forever Young wore a hood without ear coverings. Forever Young was under mild restraint initially without displaying any resentment. The workmate joined the move heading into the far ahead of Forever Young but was directly in front of Forever Young when they ran into the stretch. By design Sakai shifted Forever Young to the inside of the workmate and proceeded to blow by him. There was not a long gallop-out, and I don't have a time for the gallop-out. This horse, per Japanese practice we have witnessed in the past at Churchill Downs, spends a lot of time on the track each day and did so prior to today's work. Per the broadcast of the workout initial fractions were very slow, 14.80, 28.80, 42.60, 55.20. These numbers yield a final 1/2 mile timed in 50.80, final 3/8 in 37.00, stretch run in 24.40. The time announced in the works broadcast, 1:19 flat, was erroneous.
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           WORK BEGINS AT 26.40
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           April 30
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            Forever Young 1:03.00 breezing 2/3 CD (good) under his exercise rider. The jockey is arriving Thursday. We were told this work would be in company with T O Password, but they worked separately, and this one was solo. Officials were informed this work would go six furlongs, but clockers caught it in five. The gallop-out went to about mid-backstretch. This was a maintenance work.
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           VIDEO AT 27:25
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            Fractions were slow as usual: 14.00, 27.00, 39.60 and out six furlongs in 1:16.80. Exercise rider Oka said, “He handled it well and moved well over the track. I think we did a good for job for the final breeze.” Oka grinned and said, “The Kentucky Derby is a difficult race to win but all I can say is Team Yahagi Stable is undefeated in the United States and Forever Young is undefeated.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First JBC Nisai Yushun
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           First Zennippon Nisai Yushun
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           First Saudi Derby
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           First UAE Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer Yahagi after the Saudi Derby: “He didn’t have a good start. He was wide out and it was a tough race, but he ended up winning, so we are very satisfied. He didn’t like the kickback, so the jockey kept him wide out. Still, he had a very good performance, so I’m very happy about that. We will first head to the UAE Derby before hopefully the Kentucky Derby. My heart is very, very tired. Stretching out to distance is very welcome for him. I love Saudi Arabia, I love this country.”
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           Jockey Ryusei Sakai after the Saudi Derby: “He tried very hard, he knows everything about what to do, he’s a special horse. I was very confident coming into the race, but it was a tougher race because the runner-up was tough and running really well. I was worried but we finished very strongly. He hasn’t fully matured but he is improving now. At the final turn I was very confident and I trusted my horse, so I just urged him very strongly to the line. I have been riding him since his debut and my master Yahagi and I hope he can have more and more experience overseas and I can learn a lot from him.”
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           Trainer Yahagi after the UAE Derby: “He did not travel well from Japan to Saudi Arabia so he was not in great condition but he still performed very well. After traveling from Riyadh to Dubai he improved and he has so much potential, I always have a lot of confidence in him. His condition improved from the Saudi Derby and so I was very confident that the horse would perform for me. I really trust the horse and it was a great performance.
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           “Of course it will be very difficult to manage the horse's condition from Dubai to Kentucky, but I really believe my team will be able to get him in good order. This horse is yet to be beaten, and I feel he’s the champion three-year-old in Japan. I will do everything to prepare for Kentucky.”
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           ENDLESSLY (KY)   #14     30-1
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            Derby Points: 100
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            Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $658,000
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            Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
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            Trainer: Michael W. McCarthy
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            Owner: Amerman Racing LLC
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            Breeder: Mrs. Jerry Amerman
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            Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Oscar Performance (Kitten's Joy, Devine Actress)
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            Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Dream Fuhrever (Langfuhr, Society Dream (FR))
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            Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-4-8-1-0 (18) 2.60
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            Foal Date: March 25, 2021
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            Auction Price(s): Homebred
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            Arrival at Churchill Downs: On or around April 1, Barn 35
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            WORKOUTS
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            April 6
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            Endlessly 49.60 breezing 72/102 CD under exercise rider Walter Davila outside 3yo Blue Eyed George with those two together until Endlessly edged slightly ahead on the gallop out in 1:02.80. Trainer McCarthy said, “After the Jeff Ruby, Mr. Amerman and I talked and we’re going to leave all of our options open. We still have a few weeks to train here and have some time to make a final decision...."
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            April 13
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            Endlessly 49.00 breezing 54/123. CD inside stablemate and maiden special weight winner Yellow Card. They stayed together until the wire when Endlessly got slight edge galloping out five furlongs in 1:02.20.
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            April 20
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            Endlessly 1:00.80 breezing 20/72 CD under James Graham in company with and inside of second-time-out Turfway maiden winner (95 Equibase) Yellow Card (1:00.80) shortly after the track opened this morning. Endlessly broke off about a length behind the workmate before finishing on even terms. Internal fractions were 25.00 and 36.60. Joe Kristufek commented Endlessly "was struggling" to keep up with Yellow Card past the wire, and in fact Yellow Card drew off easily from Endlessly in the first turn. I added Yellow Card to my stable alert.
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           VIDEO ON CHURCHILL DOWNS WORKS SHOW
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           April 26
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            Endlessly 47.80 breezing 19/68 CD under Umberto Rispoli in company with Gottaneedforspeed (best Equibase 70 from three starts). Endlessly was among the first horses to step on the track when training began at 5:15. His team wasted no time before he broke off in company to breeze four furlongs in 47.80. Endlessly began the move about a half-length back and outside and hit the wire about a half in front of his workmate. This post will be updated with internal and out fractions, but Endlessly kept up with the workmate past the wire better than his previous workout. Presumably trainer McCarthy and Amerman Racing will soon decide/disclose whether Endlessly will compete in the Kentucky Derby or the American Turf on May 4. Trainer McCarthy said, “All options are now open. I liked his move this morning, very pleased with it. Now we’ll see what’s next. I’m going to have a conversation with Mr. Amerman now and see what we’re going to do. It’ll be interesting.”
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           VIDEO AT 40.24
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Del Mar Juvenile Turf
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           First Zuma Beach
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           Eighth Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf
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           First El Camino Real Derby
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           First Jeff Ruby Steaks
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer McCarthy after the Del Mar Juvenile Turf: “The horse had drawn a little bit outside today and I told Juan just go ahead and bounce out of there and hopefully not get yourself stuck too far out in the middle of the racetrack around the first turn. The horse was attentive to him and he put himself in a great spot. He looked like he was always traveling comfortably. It did look like Juan took it to him a little early. It just seemed like he couldn’t wait any longer and he was able to finish off nicely.”
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           Juan Hernandez after the Del Mar Juvenile Turf: “I had a good trip. Mike told me the horse had really been training well. When you hear that, you don’t get nervous out there if you get in a little trouble. You know the horse is going to run strong. My horse did that today. I was tracking the favorite (Boltage) and when I got by him I knew I was in good shape.”
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           Juan Hernandez after the Zuma Beach: "My horse was really professional. He came through the horses really well and after that he just passed everybody like the last couple of races. He's improving with every race."
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           Trainer McCarthy after the El Camino Real Derby: “You like winning a race like this, but this is a tough spot knowing that this place is going away. I feel bad for everybody up here. His workouts on dirt have just been steady, whereas Rombauer (the 2021 winner) was a very good work horse. Endlessly is just a different horse. There are plenty of rich grass races for 3-year-olds later in the year.”
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           Umberto Rispoli after the El Camino Real Derby: “He’s a very nice horse and he handled everything well. I just took my time because there was a lot of speed in front of me. You kind of have to help him along around the (second) turn, but when he wanted to go he took off.”
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           Trainer McCarthy after the Jeff Ruby Steaks: “This was a really solid effort but I think his best days down the road are on turf. I thought he sat a great trip today being just off a fast pace. He’s a very nice colt and mentally has handled everything in stride. I think he has a very bright future ahead of him and he’s already very accomplished in his young career.”
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           Jockey Rispoli after the Jeff Ruby Steaks: “I just remained patient with the pace in front of me. This was his second start on the Tapeta and I think he handled it much better today (than in the El Camino Real Derby). He was able to get into a much better rhythm. In the stretch he was just so powerful and continued to go strongly through the wire.”
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           DORNOCH (KY)   #1     20-1
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           Derby Points: 75
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $472,375
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           Jockey: Luis Saez
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           Trainer: Danny Gargan
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           Owner: West Paces Racing LLC, R. A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing and Breeding, LLC, Two Eight Racing, LLC and Pine Racing Stables
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           Breeder: Grandview Equine
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Good Magic (Curlin, Glinda the Good)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Puca (Big Brown, Boat's Ghost)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-8-0-0 (14) 2.50
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           Foal Date: April 22, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $325,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 10, Barn 42
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 20
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            Dornoch 48.20 breezing 16/123 CD wih Luis Saez aboard outside fellow Derby contender Society Man (48.20) during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses. Society Man came out on the track bouncing and was restrained before the pair broke off pretty much together and worked on even terms. During the gallop-out Society Man wouldn't let Dornoch by him.
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           VIDEO ON KENTUCKY DERBY WORKOUTS SHOW
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           April 27
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            Dornoch 46.60 breezing 2/130 CD inside Society Man (46.60). The workouts were coming rat-a-tat today, and I didn't catch them break off, but they finished on even terms. The TV cameramen were unable to catch this work at all. I was able to get a video. Dornoch and Society Man galloped out together with Dornoch eventually ahead out by about a length as they were eased down on the backstretch between the 5/8 and 1/2 poles. I talked to DRF's Mike Welsch, and he told me he got this work in 47. Regardless of the time, trainer Gargan signaled his stated intention for Dornoch to get the lead in the Derby. Opening fractions per track clockers were 11.60, 23.20 and 34.60. Out five furlongs in 59.00, six in 1:12.60. . Please refer to video of this work on the
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           .  Trainer Gargan said, “The track is playing super fast right now. We thought we’d go in 47 and change, I got them 46 and 4. They went out nice though and … that’s kind of the work for everybody, they’re all going around the same time. We wanted to go a little bit slower but they looked good doing it, they were in hand, no one was asking them. We’re just hoping they come back good, everything looks good and they’re cooling out good. They’ve worked together even as 2-year-olds. They’ve breezed together multiple times, I couldn’t even tell you how many times. They worked twice before the Remsen together and they’ve worked twice here now together. They worked in Saratoga together as babies so they’re definitely familiar with each other.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Remsen
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           First Fountain of Youth
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           Fourth Toyota Blue Grass
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer Gargan after the Remsen: “Kendrick told me, when he rode him at Monmouth, he said ‘Danny, if I had more time.’ When he saw the horse go by him, he said he gets to playing around, which he bounced off the rail today and when he gets out there by himself he loses focus. He said if he sees another horse, he’s going to run back to him and today he proved it. It was something that was always said but never proven until today, but that was pretty impressive because I thought the other horse went way past him. For him to dig in and fight back like that, especially after the half mile in 46, three quarters in 1:11, he ran the whole race.”
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           Luis Saez after the Remsen: “It was pretty good fractions. I had everyone on top right there, but he was pretty comfortable. When he has pressure, he’s OK, but when he feels alone, he kind of look around. But he’s learning. He’s a pretty good horse. He’s a pretty nice horse, but I feel like he’s still learning. When he kind of feels a little alone, he was a little lost. As soon as the other one (Sierra Leone) came to him, he saw him and he want to beat him. I can’t describe this. He wants to win the race....
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           “Jose tried to close, but he’s a big horse and he got through. It’s pretty difficult to come back, but he has a big stride, and two jumps – he was right there. I was pretty surprised. Every day, you learn something new from horses, and this is a pretty special horse. Last time, he kind of was the same, but he ran with different horses. Today was a pretty tough race, and he proved that he’s a pretty good horse.”
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           Trainer Gargan before the Fountain of Youth: “When horses run in the Breeders’ Cup, they get a break. I won the Remsen before and didn’t give them a break in the past and it didn’t work out so well for me. I just wanted him to have every chance he deserves (after the Remsen).... I think he’s a really good horse, so we just went ahead and gave him three or four weeks off and let him grow and mature.... Everybody in barn likes him. We think he’s a nice horse. I just don’t want him to go too forward. Hopefully he doesn’t have to run a crazy, big, fast number or anything like that too soon."
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           Trainer Gargan after the Fountain of Youth: "We could run in the Florida Derby or the Blue Grass. We really wanted to stalk today, it just didn’t work out that way.... Surely it won’t be his fastest race. We didn’t expect to win today. It just kind of played out that way. I don’t think he ran very hard. He was just kind of playing around out there. Before, we were going to follow (Speak Easy, who was scratched) around there and have a target, because that’s how we’ve been training."
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           Luis Saez after the Fountain of Youth: “We just break from there running. We know the inside horse has a little speed and we’d like to follow him but Dornoch is a super horse and I didn’t want to get him in trouble.... I know when horses get close to him he’s going to give me another gear, so I was not worried. The plan was the follow Speak Easy (who was scratched). We know Speak Easy is a good horse but have a pretty good horse. The horse can run all day. He has matured and grown. He’s a big horse. This horse has something very special. When he got pressure, he took off again.”
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           Trainer Gargan after the Blue Grass: “He went really well. He got in there behind. It’s his first time really getting a lot of dirt like that, he resented it a little bit early, Luis said. He said he kind of ran away from the horses. (He was) a little bit stuck in there. Next time, we’ll break him out of (the starting gate on the lead) and keep his face clean, and he'll run better next time. There’s no pressure now. We’re going to go over there (to Churchill) and have fun. We’re going to have two horses (Dornoch and Society Man...and enjoy ourselves, and hopefully get lucky and win that day.”
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           Luis Saez after the Blue Grass: “Good, perfect trip. It wasn’t the trip we were expecting; we didn’t get there. We had a clean trip.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Dornoch was scheduled to go to Churchill Downs April 10. “I may have shipped him in here (to Keeneland) a little too close to the race,” trainer Gargan said. “He ran good but got a little tired. He’ll run better next time. He got dirt for the first time and got back in there. I don’t expect to have horses gunning it out of there in the Derby like they did yesterday, so hopefully him and Fierceness can break out of there and go a nice, relaxed pace. We’ll enjoy the Derby and hopefully he can lay up close and run big. We think we’ll bring a tougher, fitter horse who’s learned a lot to the Derby.”
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           JUST A TOUCH (KY)   #8     10-1
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           Derby Points: 75
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $247,500
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           Jockey: Florent Geroux
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Qatar Racing, LLC, Resolute Racing and Detampel, Marc
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           Breeder: Don Alberto Corporation
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Justify (Scat Daddy, Stage Magic)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Just a Beauty (Tapit, Victory Road)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-6-7-0-0 (16) 3.57
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           Foal Date: May 5, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $170,000 RNA Keeneland September 2021; $125,000 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October 2022; $300,000 OBS April 2023
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: On or about April 8, Barn 22
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 20
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           Just a Touch 48.20 breezing 16/123 CD under Florent Geroux. This was a solo work during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses, opening in 24.20 and out five furlongs in 1:01.20. Geroux said, “He’s doing great and feeling great. He’s a very nice colt with a very bright future.” It appears the camera crew at Churchill Downs did not capture video of this work.
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            April 27
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            Just a Touch 1:00.80 breezing 26/58 CD going solo under Florent Geroux. This was a longer work than last week's move, and a bit less intense. The move, characteristic of the Cox barn, began at the 4 1/2 furlong pole. Opening splits of 12.40, 24.00, 36.00, 48.20; out six in 1:13.60 and seven in 1:27.20. One of several quality workouts today. Please refer to video of this work on the
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           .  Jockey Geroux said, “Solid morning overall. I thought both horses (Just a Touch and Encino) worked well. I thought Just a Touch went pretty working a minute and change and galloped out in hand.” Trainer Cox said, "All three had good, solid moves this morning."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Second Gotham
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           Second Toyota Blue Grass
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer Cox before the Gotham: “He’s a good-sized colt and done everything right in the mornings and he showed up first time out. It’s going to be a big ask shipping him up there, but I like the idea of stretching him out to the one-turn mile.... We’ve done plenty with him since he broke his maiden and fitness-wise we’ve got him as tight as we can get him."
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           Trainer Cox after the Gotham: "He ran well. It looked like he finished up well. He showed enough speed and he’s obviously still learning, but I think he’ll be better around two turns. He’s big, with plenty of leg, and hopefully he will stretch out."
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           Florent Geroux after the Gotham: "He was still a little bit immature. I lost him a little bit. He was not traveling that great in the turn, so I had to ask him a little more than I would have loved to, but I was very happy with the last eighth of a mile. He picked himself up and came back to re-rally and secure the second place. I think he will be good going two turns."
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           Trainer Cox after the Blue Grass: “He’s going to have to move forward in the next four weeks. Colts can do that. If he moves forward, he will be able to compete in the Derby. I knew Sierra Leone would be hard to hold off. Derby is still under consideration. I’m proud of the effort today. (We’ll probably ship to Churchill Downs tomorrow.)”
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           Florent Geroux after the Blue Grass: “He ran great, had a great trip. The pace was a bit quicker than I thought it would be. Turning for home, I thought I had it but was just taken down by Sierra Leone. My horse had a good finish to be second. He ran a good race and against really good horses, maybe the Derby favorite. But we are in the Derby and he’s a real good horse and I have hope for him. I really think he’s going to blossom and be great.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Just a Touch was scheduled to be shipped to Churchill Downs to continue training for the Kentucky Derby.
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           TRACK PHANTOM (KY)   #12     20-1
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           Derby Points: 70
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $300,000
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: L and N Racing LLC, Brewster, Clark O., Caroom, Jerry and Breeze Easy, LLC
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           Breeder: Breeze Easy, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Quality Road (Elusive Quality, Kobla)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Miss Sunset (Into Mischief, Tuscan Sunset)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-2-5-0-0 (8) 2.20
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           Foal Date: Feb. 17, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $500,000 Keeneland September 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 27, Barn 38
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 7
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           Track Phantom 1:02.00 breezing 4/13 CD sporting a small set of blinkers while under Joel Rosario and outside 4yh Gatlinburg. They went in 13.40, 26.20 and 37.80. Track Phantom edged clear at the wire and galloped out in 1:15.20. Assistant trainer Scott Blasi said, “I thought it was a nice first work getting back to Churchill.
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            April 21
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            Track Phantom 1:00.80 breezing 6/32 CD with Tyler Gaffalione up outside Carbone (also 1:00.80, tried to get on Derby Trail) at 5:45 a.m. Gaffalione's presence (he is committed to Sierra Leone) may indicate a rider for Track Phantom has not been firmed up, or it could be a rider is lined up but could not be at Churchill Downs this morning. I doubt this indicates a problem with Sierra Leone. This was Track Phantom's first workout in two weeks. He is wearing blinkers but has not raced with blinkers. Even though these two were given identical times, Track Phantom broke off about a length behind Carbone and was on even terms at the wire after being asked a bit in the stretch by Gaffalione. The opening quarter was a slow 26.20, making the final three furlongs 34.60. Track Phantom galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60 and from there distanced Carbone, who has shown endurance limitations in the afternoon, and galloped well up the backstretch. The move might mark an attempt to change Track Phantom's forward running style, and it was a little sharper than we often see from this barn.
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           VIDEO ON THE WORKS SHOW AT 11:30
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           April 28
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           Track Phantom 1:00.00 breezing 5/16 CD outside Mugen (1:00.00, 3yo filly winless in five MSW starts, most recently Equibase 88 going 5.5 furlongs). Track Phantom has blinkers added in his training since his last start. Often adding blinkers signals a plan to utilize early speed, but Track Phantom alreay has plenty of of that and has been stalking in company in his recent training. He broke off a length behind Mugen, entered the stretch about a half-length behind, and was a head back at the wire. During the gallop-out he easily edged ahead of Mugan entering the backstretch. 
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            The opening quarter-mile went in 24.20 and he galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60. Trainer Asmussen said, “I think Track Phantom has a beautiful rhythm to him with a nice, beautiful stride. I don’t think he’s a horse that has to be on the lead. In his last two starts there were very tepid paces. I think for him to be wrangled back in either of those two races wouldn’t have been to his style. I obviously expect there to be more pace in the Derby, everybody does with the quarter-mile run into the first turn. I think in a full field I still want him to jump away from there well but I’d be very surprised to see him on the lead in this year’s Derby.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Gun Runner
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           First Lecomte
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           Second Risen Star
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           Fourth Louisiana Derby
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           Trainer Asmussen after the Gun Runner: “It’s impressive that both of his two turn races have been victories, and it was a good field today. I actually thought they went too fast in the middle, you know, 46 4/5 here in a two-turn race, you don’t see horses see it out very often. He’s obviously a very good horse who has some room to physically develop and we have him right where want to be at this stage of his career.”
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           Cristian Torres said after the Gun Runner: “He broke sharp for us like we expected. Going into the first turn I was trying to let the one horse (Next Level) go and save (my horse). On the backside, he kind of relaxed a little bit, but I knew we were going a little bit fast. The way he was traveling, he felt comfortable and he was well in hand. I just waited until we turned for home to really ask him and when he did, he just took off.”
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           Trainer Asmussen said in a Q and A after the Lecomte: “It’s easy to compare where he’s at with where we were with Epicenter two years ago. Epicenter won the Gun Runner and was second in the Lecomte, but physically he was developing at the right time.... I think the Lecomte was as easy on him as you could have wanted it to be, with him still getting something out of it.”
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           Joel Rosario after the Risen Star: “He ran a great race but ended up just being second best. He tries hard every time and keeps getting better. He did everything right, but just too bad he got beat. I think he ran well on the (sloppy sealed) surface.”
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           Joel Rosario after the Louisiana Derby : “He ran very nice out there. I don't know if it was the distance. It looked like it was a comfortable pace. He was relaxed and he gave me a kick but the others came strong at the end. Sometimes it's hard to tell, but maybe he got tired at the end.”
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           WEST SARATOGA (KY)   #13     50-1
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           Derby Points: 67
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: 363,640
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           Jockey: Jesus Lopez Castanon
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           Trainer: Larry W. Demeritte
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           Owner: Harry L. Veruchi
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           Breeder: Two Hearts Farm II LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Exaggerator (Curlin, Dawn Raid (CAN))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Mo Wicked (Uncle Mo, Wicked Ride)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-5-0-0 (10) 3.00
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           Foal Date: March 19, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $11,000 Keeneland September 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 26, Barn 42
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 6
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           West Saratoga 36:40 Breezing 5/30 TTC
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            April 19
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            West Saratoga 1:16.20 breezing 1/1 KEE wet fast.
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            West Saratoga 1:16.20 breezing 1/1 KEE wet fast. With Jesus Castanon aboard and going solo, West Saratoga cut out splits of 13.60, 26.40, 39.80, 51.20, 1:04.20 and galloped out seven furlongs in 1:30.20. Trainer Demeritte said West Saratoga would be returned to The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington and stay there until April 26, with a three-furlong breeze scheduled at Churchill Downs the next day. Demeritte said, “I am happy with the work, and right now everything is in place going forward. That work (April 6) was for speed and this one for stamina. You can’t do both at the same time. He will have a lot of long gallops. The Thoroughbred Center has a 7-furlong track, and working six furlongs there would be almost like going two turns and the turns are tighter there. With a classic horse going longer distances, they stay on their leads longer going into the turns. He still has to get there. We are preparing to win and everybody feels the same. Hey, I might be a first-time starter (in the Derby), but I’m not a rookie. I love being over there on Derby Day. I have been in a lot of Derbies – the Ohio Derby, Indiana Derby – but this is the ultimate Derby.” Jockey Castanon, who rode Shackleford fourth in the 2011 Kentucky Derby before winning the Preakness, said, “It’s about never giving up and to keep trying. Demeritte added, "After the first time Jesus got on him, he told me ‘this guy is real.' He flew up from Tampa to work him (at Turfway) and then flew back to ride races that afternoon. That’s how professional he is.”
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            April 27
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            West Saratoga 37.20 breezing 8/27 CD. West Saratoga broke off at the 3/8 pole and exhibited high knee action. Rosie Napravnik commented she thought he would worked past the wire, and she said he did, but trainer Demeritte previously said this would be a three-furlong workout, and that's how clockers recorded it. The opening furlong in 11.80, out four in 50.20 per track clockers. The work did not give me confidence in West Saratoga. If he wins, I don't know what to say.
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             Jockey Castanon said, “He was good this morning and handled the track well. “He has handled every track that I have been on him … Tampa, Turfway, Keeneland and here.” Trainer Demeritte said, “By the time we got to the frontside, I just got to see the stretch. I liked the gallop out. I was hoping for :36, but he had a strong gallop out.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Iroquois
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           Fifth Claiborne Breeders' Futurity
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           Second Pasco
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           Third Sam F. Davis
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           Second Jeff Ruby Steaks
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer Demeritte said after the Pasco his horse got checked into the turn, but he didn’t dispute the stewards’ verdict. “I thought my horse made a fight of it and ran a great race to get second. Our plan is to keep him here and train up to the (Sam F.) Davis.”
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           No quotes available from the Sam F. Davis or Jeff Ruby Steaks
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           JUST STEEL (KY)   #6     20-1
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           Derby Points: 65
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $628,295
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           Jockey: Keith J. Asmussen
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           Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
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           Owner: BC Stables, LLC
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           Breeder: Summerhill Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Justify (Scat Daddy, Stage Magic)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Irish Lights (AUS) (Fastnet Rock (AUS), Aspen Falls)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-4-0-0 (10) 4.00
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           Foal Date: March 9, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $500,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 13, Barn 44
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 11
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           Just Steel 1.00:80 breezing 1/2 OP muddy
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            April 20
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            Just Steel one mile 1:40.00 breezing 1/1 CD with exercise rider Jamie Torres aboard outside eight-race maiden Daily Grind, who joined Just Steel at the 5/8 pole (five in 1:03.80, 70/72) shortly after the track opened this morning. The duo was then briefly joined by a set of workers from the Norm Casse barn at the half-mile pole, but by the quarter-mile pole they were separated. Just Steel's opening fractions were 13.40, 37.20, 49.40 and 1:13.80. Just Steel finished the final 5/8 in 1:02.80 and the pair hit the wire within a head of one another, so Daily Grind must have broken off five lengths ahead. Video does not show that portion of the work. Trainer Lukas said, “When he won the Ed Brown Stakes as a 2-year-old he wasn’t nearly as tall and big and heavy as he is right now. I don’t think he’ll be winning any 6 1/2-furlong races (like the Ed Brown) anytime in the near future. He’s got a pedigree that he’ll have no problem getting a mile-and-a-quarter, unlike many of the horses in the race. We have opinions, horses have the facts. They have the brilliance to show that ability doing things at distances we know probably shouldn’t be the best for them.”
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           VIDEO AT CHURCHILL DOWNS WORKOUT SHO
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           April 28
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            Just Steel 50.40 breezing 52/60 CD solo. On the video at 35:40 the rider grabs a crop right-handed from the back left pocket and shows it to Just Steel, who appears to respond by running a bit faster. At that precise time Rosie Napravnik commented Just Steel was "not overly motivated" but then the broadcast team noted, right after the rider stood up in the stirrups after the four furlongs was completed, Just Steel worked a mile last weekend. In my opinion, this was a maintenance work that went as planned. VIDEO AT
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           35:02
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            Initial splits were 13.40 and 25.20. Trainer Lukas said, “Just a slow maintenance work. We’re close to the race, we didn’t want to do much. We pretty much did what we thought. I didn’t want him to gallop out much because I didn’t want to do too much this close. He probably could have done more, but that’s what it was. I think he has a pedigree to do this, very much so. And his running style probably complements it too. If he’s good enough, he’ll show up. But we’ve got something to work with, his pedigree.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Seventh Hopeful
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           Sixth Claiborne Breeders' Futurity
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           First Ed Brown Stakes
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           Second Smarty Jones
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           Second Southwest
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           Seventh Rebel
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           Second Arkansas Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer Lukas after the Ed Brown Stakes: “He kind of came to life the last race, winning that little stake, which helped us because he’s had a couple of trips where I don’t think he learned much. He got his act together very well. The thing I loved about his last race was the way he extended his stride on the far turn. He was running along and all of a sudden, he extended it about 3 feet per jump. I need that because I’m hoping he’s a two-turn horse.”
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           Trainer Lukas after the Smarty Jones: "I really feel like I was a little bit to blame. I was a little concerned about maybe getting him tightened down too much early, with the four-race series in mind. He came up a little bit short the last sixteenth. I blame myself a little bit. He ran a really strong race, but he did come up a little bit short."
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           Trainer Lukas before the Rebel: “He’s still carrying a little weight. He’s a big, powerful horse and I think with racing, he’ll drop some of that weight and he’ll be a bit better at finishing.... I think he needs racing.”
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           Trainer Lukas after the Rebel: “You can’t overcome the 11 hole, 11, 12. You’re damned if you do, damned if you don’t. You almost have to break hard and get up there. You’re bound to be wide. I was sick to my stomach when they drew. We’ll draw a line through it.”
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           Trainer Lukas after the Arkansas Derbyu: “We’re excited, but it’s disappointing there won’t be Bob. He’s got great horses. He’s got Derby horses, but he’s going through a lot of things right now that shouldn’t be happening. But we can’t change that. I was confident about my horse. I was telling someone else, when there’s a little bit of brilliance in there, when you see it, you can dig in there and get it. If they don’t have that brilliance, then you’re just in la la land bringing these horses over and hoping, but he’s got some in him and now we just have to see if we can get it out of him.”
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           Keith Asmussen after the Arkansas Derby: “The horse handled it beautifully – excellent position. The horse was extremely comfortable in the first turn and down the backside. Loved where he was every step of the race and he really ran home. I think more ground will help him a little bit.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Lukas said, "He’s developing in the right direction at the right time, just like I tried to do. Tried to use all my experience to bring him along. Have him good in May and he’s responding really well. He’s a nice horse. (The media) doesn’t even know he’s on the ground. They don’t give him any credit. They talked about the Arkansas Derby and went to the fifth, sixth, seventh horse and everything. My owner called and said: ‘Are we OK?’ I said: ‘Yeah, we don’t need that.’”
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           HONOR MARIE (KY)   #7     20-1
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            Derby Points: 65
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            Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $448,455
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            Jockey: Ben Curtis
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            Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman
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            Owner: Ribble Farms LLC, Eiserman, Michael H., Silver, Earl I., Fishbein, Kenneth E. and Fishbein, Dave
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            Breeder: Royce Pulliam
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            Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Honor Code (A.P. Indy, Serena's Cat)
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            Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Dame Marie (Smart Strike (CAN), Crystal Crossing (IRE))
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            Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 9-11-15-1-0 (36) 3.24
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            Foal Date: May 4, 2021
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            Auction Price(s): $40,000 Keeneland September 2022
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            Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 27, Barn 37
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            WORKOUTS
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            April 7
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            Honor Marie 47.80 breezing 3/36 CD outside recent maiden winner Anthem King with both going 12:20 and 24.20 and Honor Marie finishing one length ahead and out five in 1:01.60. Trainer Beckman said, “I thought it was a really good move for his first work back here at Churchill. He did well this winter down at Fair Grounds and the Risen Star is proving to be a very key race leading into the Derby.”
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            April 14
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            Honor Marie 48.80 breezing 24/77 CD with jockey Ben Curtis up in company with Anthem King. Initial fractions were 12.40 and 24.80. Honor Marie galloped out five in 1:02.00, a bit ahead of Anthem King. Trainer Beckman said, “He did it the right way, easily. We didn’t want to do a ton this week, and he seemed to do it well. He’s the type of horse that will always do what you ask of him. I always thought it was good to have a workmate next to him to just give him a little encouragement.” 
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           ADDED LATER:
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             In an April 19 story in Thoroughbred Racing Commentary, veteran British jockey Ben Curtis said, “(The Louisiana Derby) was probably a personal best from Honor Marie and I found him very easy to ride. He’s been training well since and when I flew to Churchill last week to breeze him he looked a million dollars. He did an easy half-mile breeze in 48.4s, well in his comfort zone, moving fantastic and finishing with his ears pricked. It was as near-perfect as you can get in a breeze. Some horses going into the race will have question marks over their stamina, but all Honor Marie has ever done in his races is finish strong and close late. He’s going to thrive over the trip and he’s already got winning form at Churchill."
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           April 25
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            Honor Marie 59.20 breezing 1/11 CD under Ben Curtis in company with 3yo Agoo (1:00.00), who typically has Equibase figures in the 80s. Initial fractions were 12.00, 23.80, 35.60 and 47.40. He was out six in 1:12.60 and seven in 1:27.60. The pair broke off with Honor Marie about a length back. He was soon on even terms with Agoo and they entered the stretch that way. At the wire, Honor Marie had powered to a three-length advantage, and he galloped out well ahead of his workmate. Honor Marie continued galloping up the backstretch beyond the timed seven furlongs.
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           VIDEO AT 17:15
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Kentucky Jockey Club
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           Fifth Risen Star
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           Second Louisiana Derby
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           Trainer Beckman said after the Kentucky Jockey Club: “He’s a very nice horse and we were confident with his pedigree, and the way he trained, he’d enjoy longer distances. It’s very exciting to have a horse like this and win our first graded stakes with him. We’ll probably take him down to Fair Grounds after this. They have a good program for 3-year-olds.”
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           Rafael Bejarano said after the Kentucky Jockey Club: “I was thinking the two turns would help out. After I saw there was a lot of speed in the race which would fit him, he came with a big run. In his last start he ran OK but that was seven furlongs. I was more confident with him going two turns today.”
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           Trainer Beckman after the Risen Star: “It was a great starting point for his three-year-old year. He can only move forward after this and I think if we get a fast track next time he will improve even more.”
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           Jockey Ben Curtis after the Louisiana Derby: “He ran a big race. He’s tough. He can get any trip, he’s so relaxed. I’m thankful to (trainer) Whit (Beckman) for this opportunity.”
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           DOMESTIC PRODUCT (KY)   #15     30-1
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           Derby Points: 60
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $260,500
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           Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
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           Trainer: Chad C. Brown
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           Owner: Klaravich Stables, Inc.
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           Breeder: Klaravich Stables
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Practical Joke ((Into Mischief, Halo Humor)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Goods and Services (Paynter, Indian Legend)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-2-2-0-0 (4) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 22, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): Homebred
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 22, Barn 25
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 6
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           Domestic Product 48:60 breezing 3/61 PAY
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           April 13
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           Domestic Product 48.40 breezing 1/57 at PAY.
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           April 20
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           Domestic Product 48.40 breezing 3/37 PAY. Trainer Brown said his assistants in Tampa were very enthusiastic about the work and a gallop-out in 1:13. "He is screaming for some pace to run at," Brown said. Expected to arrive at Churchill Downs April 22.
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           April 27
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            Domestic Product 1:00.20 breezing 15/58 CD outside Sierra Leone (1:00.20), who broke off about a half-length in front of Domestic Product. The horses were on even terms early in the turn, but Sierra Leone resumed a half-length advantage in upper stretch and was up a neck at the finish line. They galloped out well together most of the way up the backstretch. Initial fractions were 13.00, 24.80 and 36.40; out six in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:26.20. Not too shabby! Yesterday trainer Brown said exercise rider Kriss Bon would be up on Sierra Leone while that one's regular rider Tyler Gafflalione filled in on Domestic Product for Irad Ortiz, Jr. who was scheduled to be in New York. We will update if that isn't the way it turned out.
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            Trainer Brown said, “It was executed perfectly. I wanted them to a good five-eighths out in three-quarters but well within themselves. "(Domestic Product has been) “glowing. With these two horses, I feel as confident that I’ll have good runs in the Derby if they can get clear trips."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Seventh Remsen
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           Second Holy Bull
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           First Tampa Bay Derby
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           Trainer Brown after the Holy Bull: “He ran super. I’m really proud of him. The winner ran good to continue on and kick there. We made a good plan to just stay on the rail and save ground. He was pulling (with blinkers off), but it was a slow pace. It jammed us up a little bit pulling, but I’m just so proud that the horse gets back on track."
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           Tyler Gaffalione after the Tampa Bay Derby: “It worked out well because I was able to get right behind Javier (Castellano, on No More Time) the whole way and when we got around the 3/8-mile pole, he started to ask his horse and I just followed him. My horse was very responsive and he did the job well. That’s the thing I was most proud of coming into the stretch, was that (Grand Mo the First) was kind of leaning on my horse and I felt like if I could just get him free, I had plenty of horse. He’s still young and he’s still learning but I was very proud when he got him at the wire.”
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           Trainer Brown after the Tampa Bay Derby: “He showed a lot of heart after getting bumped by (Grand Mo the First) and he showed a lot of perseverance.He got good seasoning today. He had to rate and he was pulling a little bit off a slow pace, and I was really impressed with his heart and the fact he got his nose down on the wire. I think this race will serve him well moving forward. That’s why I wanted to run him here because he needed a race like this for a little more experience and a little more seasoning. I’m happy management here decided to go ahead, because this is an important race for the Kentucky Derby and I think they should be commended for putting the (tote issue) aside and running the race.”
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           CATALYTIC (KY)   #5     30-1
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $186,000
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           Jockey: Jose Ortiz
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           Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
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           Owner: Bobo, Tami, Davies, Julie and Isaacs, George G.
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           Breeder: Fred W. Hertrich III
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Catalina Cruiser ((Union Rags, Sea Gull)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): One Show Only (Distorted Humor, Showpiece)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-4-5-0-0 (10) 3.00
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           Foal Date: March 21, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $70,000 Keeneland November 2022; $125,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 22, Barn 3
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 12
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           Catalytic 49:25 breezing 4/20 GP. Trainer Joseph said, “He went well. It was his first breeze back. It was an easy half in 49-and-1. He’ll work back here once more, most likely next Friday, and then he’ll ship and have his last work at Churchill. He bounced out of the race well for a horse that was only making his third start, second start in three weeks. He was a distant second behind a deserving favorite, but I feel like he’s a horse that can improve again, which he should.”
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           April 19
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           Catalytic 1:00.72 breezing 2/7 GP. Trainer Joseph said, “Everything went all right. I got him in a minute and four-fifths and the gallop-out in 1:14-and-change." Joseph said he plans to ship Catalytic to Churchill Downs Sunday in two days. “The key is to get there, and once you get there, anything can happen in the Derby," he said.
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           VIDEO
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           April 28
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            Catalytic 47.80 breezing 13/60 CD outside a workmate. After breaking off a length behind, Catalytic ran beside the workmate in the turn and was up one length at the finish line. The workmate slowed going into the first turn while Catalytic galloped out far ahead. He was pulled up about halfway up the stretch.
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           VIDEO AT 32:22
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            Trainer Joseph said, “It was a good time, a good work. I thought it went as good as we could have asked, and Jose is happy with him. Hopefully we have a good week, and go on from here. He’s showing a lot more energy here than he does at Gulfstream. And there, he doesn’t seem to pay attention, here he seems very focused.” Jockey Ortiz said, “He looked great, felt great. It was just a maintenance work, and exactly what we were looking for. The horse is happy. Keeping him happy is all we have to do until Saturday.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Second Florida Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer Joseph after the Florida Derby: “It wasn’t the ideal circumstance but he was brave today. I had a lot of respect for some of the horses in the race and he ran a really good second. Nothing was going to beat the winner. We should improve a lot from this.”
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           Julien Leparoux after the Florida Derby: “We had a great trip. We ran against a monster today. In saying that, he had the race by himself in front. I was trying to get a good race for my horse. so I put him in a good spot in the clear and he kept on going."
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           SOCIETY MAN (KY)   #20     50-1
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $141,875
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           Jockey: L Dettori
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           Trainer: Danny Gargan
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           Owner: Reeves Thoroughbred Racing, West Paces Racing LLC, GMP Stables LLC and Carl and Yurie Pascarella
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           Breeder: SF Bloodstock LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Good Magic (Curlin, Glinda the Good)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): You Cheated (Colonel John, Zipper Zapper)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-5-5-0-0 (12) 3.80
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           Foal Date: April 19, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $85,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 10, Barn 42
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 20
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            Society Man 48.20 breezing 16/123 CD inside Dornoch (48.20) during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses. Society Man came out on the track bouncing and was restrained before the pair broke off pretty much together and worked on even terms. During the gallop-out Society Man wouldn't let Dornoch get past him.
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           VIDEO AT CHURCHILL DOWNS WORKOUT SHOW
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            April 27
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            Society Man 46.60 breezing 2/130 CD outside Dornoch (46.60). The workouts were coming rat-a-tat today, and I didn't catch them break off, but they finished on even terms. The cameramen were unable to catch this work at all. A video I took shows Dornoch and Society Man galloped out together with Dornoch eventually ahead out by about a length as they were eased down on the backstretch between the 5/8 and 1/2 poles. I talked to DRF's Mike Welsch, and he tole me he got this work in 47. Society Man did well to keep up with a fast horse today. Opening fractions per track clockers were 11.60, 23.20 and 34.60. Out five furlongs in 59.00, six in 1:12.60.
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           SEE DORNOCH VIDEO ON THE DERBY WORKOUTS PAGE
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             Trainer Gargan said, “The track is playing super fast right now. We thought we’d go in 47 and change, I got them 46 and 4. They went out nice though and … that’s kind of the work for everybody, they’re all going around the same time. We wanted to go a little bit slower but they looked good doing it, they were in hand, no one was asking them. We’re just hoping they come back good, everything looks good and they’re cooling out good. They’ve worked together even as 2-year-olds. They’ve breezed together multiple times, I couldn’t even tell you how many times. They worked twice before the Remsen together and they’ve worked twice here now together. They worked in Saratoga together as babies so they’re definitely familiar with each other.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Eighth Withers
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           Second Wood Memorial
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Trainer Gargan before the Wood Memorial: “The kid rode him good (in his maiden-breaker). He sat back there and didn’t get in a hurry. He showed a nice turn of foot and opened up there and won pretty easy. His pedigree suggests two turns, so we don’t think distance will be a problem. We just have to hope he’s mature enough to run with these kind of horses. The first time I ran him two turns, he needed a race. We had turned him out and gelded him, and he had a big gap in races. I thought he just needed one to get back running, and then we went ahead and took a shot in the Withers. We’ve always wanted to run him long.
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           “We expected him to run better in the Withers, but he broke in a tangle and never really got running. We have always liked him and he’s a nice gelding. We’re just taking another chance and seeing if he can move forward (in the Wood). If he can hit the board, it would be great.
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           “He was pretty good the other day (schooling at the gate after prior troubles in races), so let’s hope he keeps getting better. A lot of the Good Magics can be a little feisty.
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           “I wanted to get a good work this week. He’s a little bit chunkier and to get the distance, I want to get him tightened up. He had a strong work and then we’ll bring him back next week and go a little slower – 49 [seconds] or 48 and change.”
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           Trainer Gargan after the Wood Memorial: "What a race he ran. I was super proud of him, and I thought for a minute he was going to get there. He's learning and getting better, and obviously we're going to look at the Derby with him. 50 (points) gets you in usually. We couldn't be more excited. His mother won going a mile and an eighth, and he's getting better. I'm excited to have two for the Derby, both by Good Magic."
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           THE NEXT DAY: Society Man was scheduled to ship to Churchill April 10.
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Gargan said, "I ran him as a maiden in a stake, so I’ve always liked him quite a bit. I thought he would run 1-2-3 in the Withers, and I was kind of disappointed. He didn’t get a very good trip and got checked out of there. That was frustrating, but then he came back and looked really good breaking his maiden. He did it again yesterday. He’s a different kind of horse (from stable mate Dornoch) with a different running style. He ran a really game effort and is getting better with every race."
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           MYSTIK DAN (KY)   #3     20-1
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           Derby Points: 46
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $550,050
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           Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: Gasaway, Lance, 4 G Racing LLC, and Daniel Hamby III
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           Breeder: Lance Gasaway, Daniel Hamby &amp;amp; 4G Racing, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Goldencents ((Into Mischief, Golden Works (CAN))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Ma'am (Colonel John, Lady Siphonica)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-1-1-0-0 (2) 3.00
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           Foal Date: March 4, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): Homebred
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 10, Barn 7
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 13
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           Mystik Dan 48.00 breezing 14/123 CD with Brian Hernandez, Jr. up through a quarter-mile in 24.20 and out five furlongs in 1:00.80. Trainer McPeek said, “He ran a credible third last time in the Arkansas Derby. I think he got a lot out of that race, and has shown he handled it well in his training after.”
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            April 20
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            Mystik Dan 59.40 breezing 1/72 CD with Brian Herrnandez, Jr. aboard outside Northern Flame (tried to get on the Derby Trail, also 59.40) during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses. As they prepared for the workout Mystik Dan was about a length behind his workmate but soon came alongside him although not quite even, was about a half-length back at the sixtheenth pole, and efficiently surged to hit the wire together with Northern Flame. Opening splits were 23.80, 35.60 and 47.60. Beyond that, the pair ran together through the first turn out six furlongs in 1:12.60, and Mystik Dan was pulled up first in the backstretch. Trainer McPeek said, “When Mystik Dan won the Southwest it was ultra impressive. After that race we decided not to come back until the Arkansas Derby where he got turned sideways in the first turn. All that said he ran a good race. He’s a fresh horse and hasn’t been over-taxed in the preps. I think it sets him up well for the Kentucky Derby.”
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           VIDEO AT CHURCHILL DOWNS WORKOUTS SHOW
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           April 27
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           Mystik Dan 1:01.20 breezing 35/58 CD under Brian Hernandez, Jr. outside a workmate. This was strictly a maintenance work with Mystik Dan recording a noticeably faster time in his penultimate workout last weekend. Initial three furlongs clocked at 36.40; out six in 1:14.40. Trainer McPeek said, “It was pretty basic stuff out there. For me, he worked fast enough last weekend. He didn’t need a whole lot. I told Brian to go a minute and change, and that I didn’t want him to go 59. He went in 1:01, which is fine, and he had a nice gallop out. He’ll gate school, paddock school, and have regular gallops all week. He could have had a cleaner trip (in the Arkansas Derby). He got turned sideways on the first turn, and I think it cost him some ground. But he ran well enough to get him some points to get in. He likes it here, this is his home track. He almost got the track record for five-and-a-half (furlongs) on a dry track. We’re pretty optimistic, whether it’s rain or shine.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Fifth Smarty Jones
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           First Southwest
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           Third Arkansas Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Brian Hernandez Jr. after the Southwest: “I was actually thinking about (the rail) the whole way in the post parade there. I was just trying to figure out what horse I could get behind…. And from there, he just traveled so well the whole way. We were able to save ground on both turns. When we got to the second turn, I called on him and he picked it up.”
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           Trainer McPeek after the Southwest: “We left it up to Brian…. He needed to learn how to settle off horses and maintain that late punch, and we’ve been doing that in the morning every day. I think we’ll probably skip the Rebel and wait for the Arkansas Derby…. I’ve run him back quick and it’s kicked me.”
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           Trainer McPeek after the Arkansas Derby: “He got beat up a little bit in the first turn by the 5 horse (Liberal Arts). But look, third is a respectable run. I really expected him to win, but these things aren’t easy.”
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           Brian Hernandez, Jr. after the Arkansas Derby: “We went around the first turn and got knocked pretty good by (Liberal Arts). It was pretty hard and kind of cost us some position. But our horse, you’ve got to be proud of him. He ran on nicely, and picking up third was big.”
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           ENCINO (KY)   #9     SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 40   
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $323,136
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           Jockey: Alex Concepcion
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           Trainer: Brad Cox
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           Owner: Godolphin
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           Breeder: Godolphin
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Nyquist (Uncle Mo, Seeking Gabrielle)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Glittering Jewel (Bernardini, Bedazzle)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-2-6-0-0 (10) 2.33
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           Foal Date: March 14, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): Homebred
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 16, Barn 22
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 27
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            Encino 59.20 breezing 2/58 CD under Florent Geroux, who rides Just a Touch, outside of Catching Freedom (59.20) under exercise rider Edvin Vargas. The first two on the track when training hours opened at 5:15, Encino was noticeably larger than Catching Freedom. After jogging to the front side they wasted no time heading back around the first turn and quickly got to work from the 4 1/2 furlong pole. The pair broke off together and finished up energetically on a track that might be playing a bit quickly again today. They galloped out up the backstretch almost to the half-mile pole, which precedes the far turn, and walked off the track uneventfully. Opening fractions 23.80, 47.20; out six in 1:12.00 and seven in 1:26.40. If this was a test of how Encino is doing after the Lexington Stakes, it looks like he passed it. Now the question for Godolphin is which race to take on next, the Derby or the Preakness. In my estimation Godolphin is not an outfit that will run in the Derby just to have a Derby horse. Instead, alternate outcomes will be evaluated and I would think a decision made based on what is best for the horse and his potential as a stallion. UPDATE: Axel Concepcion is named to ride Encino in the Derby per a tweet by my editor at BloodHorse, Byron King.
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             Jockey Geroux said, “Solid morning overall. I thought both horses (Just a Touch and Encino) worked well. Encino seems to have bounced out of the Lexington in good shape and was solid." Trainer Cox said, ox said. “I liked the breeze this morning for Encino, and that was really the thing we were looking for as far as making the decision to enter the Derby. His work went great. We did a little more with him this morning than we normally would back in two weeks. He responded well...."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Battaglia
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           First Stonestreet Lexington
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES
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           Axel Concepcion after the John Battaglia Memorial: "After I broke pretty well from the gate I was able to get over and begin to follow Epic Ride. He relaxed very well down the backside and around the far turn I was able to ask him for his best run. I had a lot of horse still left down the lane and he continued to run hard all the way to the wire."
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           Trainer Cox after the Lexington: “I want to start by thanking Sheikh Mohammed for the opportunity with the horse and congratulate him. Ultimately (a possible Kentucky Derby start) will be up to the Godolphin team – Dan Pride, Michael Banahan, Sheikh Mohammed.... We’ll ship him over to Churchill in a few days regardless. I’ll tell you it will either be the Derby or the Preakness.... Hopefully, he comes out of it in good shape and we’ll march forward. (Assistant trainer) Tessa Bisha (Walden) had him up at Turfway all winter, and as the winter went on she kept raving about how well he was doing. She loved him in the Battaglia. There was a little bit of a question mark about whether he would like the dirt, but he handled it today. He had a few works at Keeneland leading up to this race and showed his hand.”
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           Florent Geroux after the Lexington: “He broke like a shot. I was expecting more speed. His biggest issue was how he would do with Hades having blinkers on and Lucky Jeremy to the outside; he outbroke them. It was pretty much all him to the first turn; he pretty much controlled the race from there. He was cruising around there, and when he felt The Wine Steward outside of him, it gave him a little extra push. I think that’s what he needed because he was getting a little lost out there on his own. But he had plenty left in the tank, the dirt felt great, and it looks like added distance shouldn’t be a problem for him.”
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            THE NEXT DAY:
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           Trainer Cox told DRF, “Mentally, he’s not all there yet, and that’s okay. I think there’s some room for improvement. Florent said he raced a little green on and off . . . but he finished up. Most Godolphin horses relish a route of ground, and he did. He was beginning to shut off a little bit up the backside. Florent had some positive things to say about him, said he was green, still learning. He thinks there’s a tremendous amount of improvement he could do mentally moving forward.”
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           GRAND MO THE FIRST   #16     50-1
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $164,250
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           Jockey: Emisael Jaramillo
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           Trainer: Victor Barboza, Jr.
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           Owner: Granpollo Stable
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           Breeder: John D. Gunther
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Uncle Mo (Indian Charlie, Playa Maya)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Lillies So Fair (Giant's Causeway, Wildwood Flower)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-1-9-0-0 (10) 1.22
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           Foal Date: Feb. 6, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $125,000 Keeneland September 2021; $135,000 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky Fall 2022; $335,000 OBS March 2023
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 25
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 14
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           Grand Mo the First 1:03.95 breezing 9/9 GP. Trainer Barboza said, “Next week, the horse will breeze at Gulfstream, and if everything is OK, he will go to Churchill. It was a very relaxed breeze. It was important for me for him to finish strong after the wire. The horse is a happy horse. It’s been a dream since I was a child in Venezuela. Every year, I watched the Kentucky Derby. I have a good chance today to enter the Derby.”
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           April 23
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            Grand Mo the First 1:16.46 breezing 2/2 GP solo with Emisael Jaramillo up. Trainer Barboza said, “It was a beautiful workout. We will arrive there Thursday night, walk Friday and then go to the track Saturday.” The colt's last work was also very slow. This seems to be taken straight out of the Mage playbook. He worked very slowly leading into the 2023 Kentucky Derby.
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           ADDED APRIL 25:
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            Trainer Barboza said, “My plan after the Florida Derby was to have two workouts, and I really liked this last work. He came back to the barn very fresh and he’s ready to go to Churchill. The pace in the Tampa Bay Derby was very slow and he nearly won. I think he’ll have a very good chance if the pace is faster in the Kentucky Derby.”
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            TOP RESULTS
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            Third Zuma Beach
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            Third Swale
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            Third Tampa Bay Derby
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            Third Florida Derby
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            There is very little out there from the connections of Grand Mo the First.
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            Trainer Barboza after the Florida Derby: “I’m very happy with the race.... He has a good chance to make the Kentucky Derby.”
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           T O PASSWORD (JPN)   #10     30-1
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           Derby Points: Japan Road to the Derby
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $120,474
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           Jockey: Kazushi Kimura
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           Trainer: Daisuke Takayanagi
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           Owner: Tomoya Ozasa
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           Breeder: Yanagawa Bokujo
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Copano Rickey (JPN) (Gold Allure (JPN), Copano Nikita)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): T O Rachel (JPN) (King Kamehameha (JPN), Nike Favor)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-0-6-2-0 (10) 1.00
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           Foal Date: May 20, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): Not sold at public auction
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 26, Quarantine barn
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 30
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            T O Password 46.80 breezing 1/2 CD (good). We were told this would be in company with Forever Young, but they worked separately. Equipped with blinkers, T O Password broke off during the work proper about a length behind Japanese workmate T O Saint Denis (47.00, 2/2), made a quick move to range up to him on the turn, was outworked briefly in upper stretch, and got by the workmate before the wire while being pushed a bit by the rider. He easily won the gallop-out with ears pricked. The setup of the work evidenced an intent to try to come from behind in the Derby, which is what his trainer said they would do after they won the Fukyuru on a diminishing lead, but the raw time could indicate he'll be winging it early. Hard to read.
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            The opening quarter-mile was timed in 23.80 and he was out five furlongs in :59.60. Jockey Kazushi Kimura said, “Everything was smooth this morning. I put him behind his workmate to get some kickback. We got everything we wanted this morning. He was OK with the mud this morning, but with 20 horses, you never know.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Fukuryu Stakes
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           Jockey Katsuma Sameshima after the Fukuryu Stakes: "This time he (again) was in front. Therefore, the next time will be the test for him. Because winning the race today was the utmost priority, I just concentrated on winning today. I am very happy I was able to get the job done. I rode him two times on training two weeks in a row. In both training and warming up before the race, I felt he has the habit of pushing forward with energy, so I thought it would be better to let him run the way he wants, rather than considering the pace with other horses."
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           EPIC RIDE (KY)   #21     50-1
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           Derby Points: 35
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $198,315
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           Jockey: Adam Beschizza
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           Trainer: John Ennis
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           Owner: Welch Racing LLC
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           Breeder: Fred W. Hertrich III
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Blame (Arch, Liable)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Pick a Time (Gio Ponti, Ask Me When)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-2-8-1-0 (12) 1.40
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           Foal Date: May 17, 2022
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           Auction Price(s): $160,000 Keeneland September 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 26
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           TOP RESULTS
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           First Leonatus Stakes
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           Second Battaglia
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 18
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           Epic Ride 48.20 breezing 2/9 TTC
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           April 26
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           Epic Ride 51.20 breezing 22/23 TTC
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           Trainer Ennis before the Battaglia: “Coming out of his maiden win, we were testing the waters to see if he could go two turns because he was pretty quick when he broke his maiden. He handled everything great (in the Leonatus Stakes). He always trains great. He’s such a level-headed horse that it was easy for him to rate and relax throughout.... It’s hard to win a stakes anywhere but especially here in Kentucky in a 3-year-old stakes. To win it in the fashion he did we were very pleased.”
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           Ennis after the Battaglia: “I’d probably side with the Blue Grass (at Keeneland) because we’ll be all level weights,” Ennis told DRF, noting that Encino carried 118 to Epic Ride's 124 in the Battaglia. “I think he’s a nice horse. We won’t make any decisions yet, but that’s what I’m thinking right now.”
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           Trainer Ennis after the Blue Grass: “Super, super proud of the horse. Great ride. I think the winner is a very, very good horse. Probably entitled to be the Derby favorite. We’re just delighted. We’ll see how he comes out it, but I would love if we could get into the Derby because I think he’s entitled to have a shot. Let’s see what happens. He’s a lovely horse and he's going to be a nice horse later in the year."
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           Adam Beschizza after the Blue Grass: “I was very happy with the trip. I mean we were sort of on the wing of the field there and we could go whenever we wanted to. He gave a very good account, it was nice to pull some Derby points there. With luck, we could get the owners to the first weekend in May.”
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           ALSO ELIGIBLE:  MUGATU (KY)   #22     50-1
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           Derby Points: 14
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           Jockey: Joe Talamo
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           Trainer: Jeff Engler
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           Owner: Average Joe Racing Stables and Wells, Dan
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           Breeder: JSM Eqine LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Blofeld (Quality Road, Storm Minstrel)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Union Way (Union Rags, Island Hop)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-4-4-0-0 (8) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 17, 2021
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           Auction Price(s): $14,000 OBS April 2023
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 26
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 20
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           Mugatu 59.80 breezing 3/3 BTP
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           TOP RESULTS
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           Fifth Toyota Blue Grass
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           Eighth Rushaway Stakes
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           Fourth John Battaglia Memorial
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      <pubDate>Mon, 15 Apr 2024 04:18:38 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Workouts 2024</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-workouts-2024</link>
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           COLLATED KENTUCKY DERBY WORKOUTS 2024
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           ALL TIMES PER LOCAL TRACK CLOCKERS.
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           ALL WORKS ON FAST DIRT UNLESS NOTED.
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           CONNECTIONS' COMMENTS AND VIDEO POSTED WHEN AVAILABLE.
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           April 5
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           Catching Freedom 48.40 Breezing 9/65 CD with exercise rider Edvin Vargas aboard. Opening fraction 24 and out five in 1:01.20. Trainer Cox said, “He’s settled in nicely since we shipped him back to Churchill from Fair Grounds. He was impressive closing from that far back in the Louisiana Derby and I think the longer stretch at Churchill plus the mile-and-a-quarter should only help him in the Derby.”
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           April 6
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           Common Defense 47.80 breezing -- CD under Brian Hernandez, Jr., outside 3yo Real Men Violin with an opening quarter of 24.60 and out in 1:01.40.
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           Domestic Product 48:60 breezing 3/61 PAY
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           Endlessly 49.60 breezing 72/102 CD under exercise rider Walter Davila outside 3yo Blue Eyed George with those two together until Endlessly edged slightly ahead on the gallop out in 1:02.80. Trainer McCarthy said, “After the Jeff Ruby, Mr. Amerman and I talked and we’re going to leave all of our options open. We still have a few weeks to train here and have some time to make a final decision...."
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           No More Time 48:60 breezing 8/52 PMM going solo. Trainer D'Angelo said, "He went good and also had a strong gallop-out/ Everything’s good. We’re hoping to get into the Kentucky Derby. We’re not just going to just run a horse there. We have a horse with a chance to win the race.” Assuming they made the Derby, D'Angelo said he planned to breeze No More Time at Palm Meadows on April 13 before shipping to Churchill Downs.
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           West Saratoga 36:40 Breezing 5/30 TTC
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           April 7
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           Honor Marie 47.80 breezing 3/36 CD outside recent maiden winner Anthem King with both going 12:20 and 24.20 and Honor Marie finishing one length ahead and out five in 1:01.60. Trainer Beckman said, “I thought it was a really good move for his first work back here at Churchill. He did well this winter down at Fair Grounds and the Risen Star is proving to be a very key race leading into the Derby.”
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           Track Phantom 1:02.00 breezing 4/13 CD sporting a small set of blinkers while under Joel Rosario and outside 4yo Gatlinburg. They went in 13.40, 26.20 and 37.80. Track Phantom edged clear at the wire and galloped out in 1:15.20. Assistant trainer Scott Blasi said, “I thought it was a nice first work getting back to Churchill.
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           April 11
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           Just Steel 1.00:80 breezing 1/2 OP muddy
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           April 12
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           Catalytic 49:25 breezing 4/20 GP. . Trainer Joseph said, “He went well. It was his first breeze back. It was an easy half in 49-and-1. He’ll work back here once more, most likely next Friday, and then he’ll ship and have his last work at Churchill. He bounced out of the race well for a horse that was only making his third start, second start in three weeks. He was a distant second behind a deserving favorite, but I feel like he’s a horse that can improve again, which he should.”
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           Fierceness 50.28 breezing 14/22 PBD under John Velazquez. Video: https://youtu.be/JYJ0FoRCzU8   Trainer Pletcher said, "He's been great since the Florida Derby. His energy level is good. He’s seemed to take the race really well. He had a nice easy breeze this morning and was moving great. Really, I couldn’t be happier with him. He’ll get his next work here at Palm Beach Downs and then we’ll make a decision when to ship to Churchill. We have to be there at 11.a.m. on the Saturday before, so there’s a good chance we’ll have our final breeze at Churchill, but I want to keep the window open if I don’t like the way the weather is looking in Kentucky. Right now, I’m happy we’ve stayed where we are (with good weather).... The way he trained up to the Florida Derby, we expected a good performance, but that was kind of a ‘wow’ performance. I don’t think he’d need a better one (in the Derby), just similar. What can you do? He ran that well. It didn’t seem to be a stressful race on him. He came to the wire with his ears pricked. Johnny never seemingly asked him at any point.”
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           April 13
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           Catching Freedom 48.00 breezing 14/123 CD solo with exercise rider Edvin Vargas in the saddle through splits of 11.60 and 23.60, out five furlongs in 1:01 and six in 1:14.60. Trainer Cox told Jennie Rees, "Actually we had him 1:01 and 2 from the 4 1/2.... The track was a little heavy this morning...." He also said, “He’s had very steady training the last five, six weeks. We’ve worked him solo the last couple times and he’s done very well. I’d say the track this morning was a bit heavy. but he still got over it fine. His last two works have been fairly easy, and we’ll see how things shake out over the next two weeks with what we’ll do before the Derby.”
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           Common Defense 49.40 breezing 65/123 CD.
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           Domestic Product 48.40 breezing 1/57 at PAY.
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           Endlessly 49.00 breezing 54/123 CD inside stablemate and maiden special weight winner Yellow Card. They stayed together until the wire when Endlessly got slight edge galloping out five furlongs in 1:02.20.
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           Mystik Dan 48.00 breezing 14/123 CD with Brian Hernandez, Jr. up through a quarter-mile in 24.20 and out five furlongs in 1:00.80. Trainer McPeek said, “He ran a credible third last time in the Arkansas Derby. I think he got a lot out of that race, and has shown he handled it well in his training after.”  “Looked good,” co-owner Gasaway said. “The horse moved good. Just a maintenance half-mile. They’ll get down on him in the next two weeks.”
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           Tuscan Gold 48.40 breezing 1/57 at PAY.
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           April 14
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           Grand Mo the First 1:03.95 breezing 9/9 GP. Trainer Barboza said, “Next week, the horse will breeze at Gulfstream, and if everything is OK, he will go to Churchill. It was a very relaxed breeze. It was important for me for him to finish strong after the wire. The horse is a happy horse. It’s been a dream since I was a child in Venezuela. Every year, I watched the Kentucky Derby. I have a good chance today to enter the Derby.”
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           Honor Marie 48.80 breezing 24/77 CD with jockey Ben Curtis up in company with Anthem King. Initial fractions were 12.40 and 24.80. Honor Marie galloped out five in 1:02.00, a bit ahead of Anthem King. Trainer Beckman said, “He did it the right way, easily. We didn’t want to do a ton this week, and he seemed to do it well. He’s the type of horse that will always do what you ask of him. I always thought it was good to have a workmate next to him to just give him a little encouragement.” 
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             In an April 19 story found in Thoroughbred Racing Commentary, veteran British jockey Ben Curtis said, “(The Louisiana Derby) was probably a personal best from Honor Marie and I found him very easy to ride. He’s been training well since and when I flew to Churchill last week to breeze him
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           He did an easy half-mile breeze in 48.4s, well in his comfort zone, moving fantastic and finishing with his ears pricked. It was as near-perfect as you can get in a breeze. Some horses going into the race will have question marks over their stamina, but all Honor Marie has ever done in his races is finish strong and close late. He’s going to thrive over the trip and he’s already got winning form at Churchill."
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           No More Time 1:01.90 breezing 1/4 PMM. He was declared off the Derby Trail after this work with a condylar fracture to be followed by surgery on April 15. Encino is now in the Derby field should connections want that.
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           April 17
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           Seize the Grey 59.20 breezing 1/1 CD sloppy. The work took place around dawn. There were only four workouts at Churchill Downs on this date. Seize the Grey needs numerous defections to make the Kentucky Derby field.
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           April 18
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           Epic Ride 48.20 breezing 2/9 TTC
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           Resilience 50.20 breezing 12/18 CD at 7:30 a.m. in company with and inside of Oaks candidate Just FYI (50.00) after galloping about one mile.
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           Just F Y I began one length behind; by the quarter-pole,Just F Y I moved about a length in front of Resilience; and by the wire, the duo finished together. Resilience galloped out in 1:02.80 while Just F Y I did the same in 1:03.40. Trainer Mott said, “I thought (Resilience) had a great trip in the Wood Memorial. I thought Johnny rode him great. He might have gotten a little jammed up on the first turn but got clear down the backside. When (Velazquez) asked him, he responded and he finished up well. The best part is he looked good visually. The entire family of this horse has been very accomplished on the racetrack. Part of the family is Courageous Cat, who I trained for a Grade I win (in the Shoemaker Mile). The owners have been in the breeding business a long time and Resilience is just the result of their program.”
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           April 19
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           Catalytic 1:00.72 breezing 2/7 GP. Trainer Joseph said, “Everything went all right. I got him in a minute and four-fifths and the gallop-out in 1:14-and-change." Joseph said he plans to ship Catalytic to Churchill Downs Sunday in two days. “The key is to get there, and once you get there, anything can happen in the Derby," he said.
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           Fierceness 1:00.50 breezing 1/5 PBD under John Velazquez in company with Agate Road (1:00.90). Trainer Pletcher said, “I thought he worked super – a solid five-eighths with a good gallop-out, exactly what we were targeting. I think he is doing every bit as good, if not better, than he was going into the Florida Derby.' Plans to ship Fierceness to Kentucky are not known publicly.
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           West Saratoga 1:16.20 breezing 1/1 KEE wet fast. With Jesus Castanon aboard and going solo, West Saratoga cut out splits of 13.60, 26.40, 39.80, 51.20, 1:04.20 and galloped out seven furlongs in 1:30.20. Trainer Demeritte said West Saratoga would be returned to The Thoroughbred Center in Lexington and stay there until April 26, with a three-furlong breeze scheduled at Churchill Downs the next day. Demeritte said, “I am happy with the work, and right now everything is in place going forward. That work (April 6) was for speed and this one for stamina. You can’t do both at the same time. He will have a lot of long gallops. The Thoroughbred Center has a 7-furlong track, and working six furlongs there would be almost like going two turns and the turns are tighter there. With a classic horse going longer distances, they stay on their leads longer going into the turns. He still has to get there. We are preparing to win and everybody feels the same. Hey, I might be a first-time starter (in the Derby), but I’m not a rookie. I love being over there on Derby Day. I have been in a lot of Derbies – the Ohio Derby, Indiana Derby – but this is the ultimate Derby.” Jockey Castanon, who rode Shackleford fourth in the 2011 Kentucky Derby before winning the Preakness, said, “It’s about never giving up and to keep trying. Demeritte added, "After the first time Jesus got on him, he told me ‘this guy is real.' He flew up from Tampa to work him (at Turfway) and then flew back to ride races that afternoon. That’s how professional he is.”
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           April 20
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            with the exception of Just a Touch. He was not caught on that video. Sierra Leone and Stronghold are shown on separate videos.
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           Catching Freedom 1:00.80 breezing 20/72 CD under Flavien Prat outside third-time-out Oaklawn maiden winner (94 Equibase) Castlewarden (1:01.00) shortly after the track opened this morning. Catching Freedom began his work from the 4 1/2-furlong pole. After breaking off a length behind Castlewarden, Chasing Freedom finished on even terms with his workmate. Chasing Freedom's initial fractions were 25.40 and 37.80, and he galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:26.20.
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           Domestic Product 48.40 breezing 3/37 PAY. Trainer Brown said his assistants in Tampa were very enthusiastic about the work and a gallop-out in 1:13. "He is screaming for some pace to run at," Brown said. Expected to arrive at Churchill Downs April 22.
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           Dornoch 48.20 breezing 16/123 CD wih Luis Saez aboard outside fellow Derby contender Society Man (48.20) during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses. Society Man came out on the track bouncing and was restrained before the pair broke off pretty much together and worked on even terms. During the gallop-out Society Man wouldn't let Dornoch by him.
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           Endlessly 1:00.80 breezing 20/72 CD under James Graham in company with and inside of second-time-out Turfway maiden winner (95 Equibase) Yellow Card (1:00.80) shortly after the track opened this morning. Endlessly broke off about a length behind the workmate before finishing on even terms. Internal fractions were 25.00 and 36.60. Joe Kristufek commented Endlessly "was struggling" to keep up with Yellow Card past the wire, and in fact Yellow Card drew off easily from Endlessly in the first turn. I added Yellow Card to my stable alert.
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           Forever Young was out on the track solo during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses and galloped with good energy but it was not intended to be a timed workout. We are told that will happen Tuesday, April 23.
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           Just a Touch 48.20 breezing 16/123 CD under Florent Geroux. This was a solo work during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses, opening in 24.20 and out five furlongs in 1:01.20. Geroux said, “He’s doing great and feeling great. He’s a very nice colt with a very bright future.”
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           Just Steel one mile 1:40.00 breezing 1/1 CD with exercise rider Jamie Torres aboard outside eight-race maiden Daily Grind, who joined Just Steel at the 5/8 pole (five in 1:03.80, 70/72) shortly after the track opened this morning. The duo was then briefly joined by a set of workers from the Norm Casse barn at the half-mile pole, but by the quarter-mile pole they were separated. Just Steel's opening fractions were 13.40, 37.20, 49.40 and 1:13.80. Just Steel finished the final 5/8 in 1:02.80 and the pair hit the wire within a head of one another, so Daily Grind must have broken off five lengths ahead. Video does not show that portion of the work. Trainer Lukas said, “When he won the Ed Brown Stakes as a 2-year-old he wasn’t nearly as tall and big and heavy as he is right now. I don’t think he’ll be winning any 6 1/2-furlong races (like the Ed Brown) anytime in the near future. He’s got a pedigree that he’ll have no problem getting a mile-and-a-quarter, unlike many of the horses in the race. We have opinions, horses have the facts. They have the brilliance to show that ability doing things at distances we know probably shouldn’t be the best for them.”
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            Mugatu 59.80 breezing 3/3 BTP.
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            Mystik Dan 59.40 breezing 1/72 CD with Brian Herrnandez, Jr. aboard outside Northern Flame (tried to get on the Derby Trail, also 59.40) during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses. As they prepared for the workout Mystik Dan was about a length behind his workmate but soon came alongside him although not quite even, was about a half-length back at the sixtheenth pole, and efficiently surged to hit the wire together with Northern Flame. Opening splits were 23.80, 35.60 and 47.60. Beyond that, the pair ran together through the first turn out six furlongs in 1:12.60, and Mystik Dan was pulled up first in the backstretch. Trainer McPeek said, “When Mystik Dan won the Southwest it was ultra impressive. After that race we decided not to come back until the Arkansas Derby where he got turned sideways in the first turn. All that said he ran a good race. He’s a fresh horse and hasn’t been over-taxed in the preps. I think it sets him up well for the Kentucky Derby.”
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            Sierra Leone 48.80 breezing 18/125 KEE under exercise rider Kriss Bon in company with recent Keeneland maiden winner White Palomino (97 Equibase).
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            He is expected at Churchill Downs tomorrow. Initial splits were 12.40, 24.20 and 36.80. Sierra Leone galloped out five furlongs in 1:01.20 and six in 1:15.60. Sierra Leone distanced his workmate in the first turn. Trainer Brown said, “(He) worked super. The horse is really fit and ready. It was just what I wanted. I’ve always worked him in company in the mornings. He’s always been a decent workhorse, just needs a little focus. Obviously, we’ve added blinkers this year, which have helped. But a little competition so he just feels a horse next to him just keeps him in the bridle nicely. He’s a very alpha horse. He’s definitely in charge of what’s going on everywhere, and we give him his space and we let him be him. He’s a very rare horse to have in your shedrow. (Regarding his reluctance to load in the gate before the Blue Grass) Brown said, “I have a plan set up so he can see the gate a couple of times this week coming up. I really don’t anticipate any problems. He’s really never been much of a problem at the gate. I’d be more interested with the post position of where he’s going to be strategically in that first turn more than the loading process. Maybe I’ll regret those words, but I feel somewhere in the middle of the field always seems to be the (best). But there’s no telling. You’ve seen horses win from the far outside and some that draw inside and run well. We’ll take what they give us, but somewhere in the middle would be ideal.” Brown said Sierra Leone would ship to Churchill Downs on Sunday work again April 27 if weather permits.
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            Society Man 48.20 breezing 16/123 CD inside Dornoch (48.20) during the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses. Society Man came out on the track bouncing and was restrained before the pair broke off pretty much together and worked on even terms. During the gallop-out Society Man wouldn't let Dornoch get past him.
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            Stronghold 46.60 handily 1/68 SA with Antonio Fresu aboard outside Shady Tiger (47.40, won Echo Eddie Stakes recently). Stronghold broke off four lengths behind his workmate and finished on even terms. They continued to stride together into the backstretch. Trainer D'Amato said, “I think the track was a little fast today, but he did it the right way. He was in hand and we gave him a little target to help stretch him out on the gallop out. Antonio was very happy with him. He was cooling out like it was just a trot in the park for him. So far so good. All that spacing helped us to be where we are at now. With a fresher horse. He hasn’t had a tough campaign as a 3-year-old. We picked our spots and hopefully we’ll have a fresh horse for a Triple Crown bid.” Jockey Fresu said, “He did it so easy. I was actually expecting about 48 the way he was going. The track was a little fast today. I didn’t ask him for anything.”
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           April 21
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            Deterministic 1:02.86 breezing 11/19 BEL dirt training track in company with The Shoe Lady (four in 49.49, recent allowance optional claimer winner Equibase 69).
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            Track Phantom 1:00.80 breezing 6/32 CD with Tyler Gaffalione up outside Carbone (also 1:00.80, tried to get on Derby Trail) at 5:45 a.m. Gaffalione's presence (he is committed to Sierra Leone) may indicate a rider for Track Phantom has not been firmed up, or it could be a rider is lined up but could not be at Churchill Downs this morning. I doubt this indicates a problem with Sierra Leone. This was Track Phantom's first workout in two weeks. He is wearing blinkers but has not raced with blinkers. Even though these two were given identical times, Track Phantom broke off about a length behind Carbone and was on even terms at the wire after being asked a bit in the stretch by Gaffalione. The opening quarter was a slow 26.20, making the final three furlongs 34.60. Track Phantom galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60 and from there distanced Carbone, who has shown endurance limitations in the afternoon, and galloped well up the backstretch. The move might mark an attempt to change Track Phantom's forward running style, and it was a little sharper than we often see from this barn.
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           VIDEO ON THE WORKS SHOW AT 11:30
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           April 22
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           Resilience 1:01.60 breezing 10/12 CD under Junior Alvarado going solo. The opening quarter was timed in 25.80. Resilience galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.60 and kept going a long way up the backstretch
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            , something I like to see before the Derby. Junior Alvarado said, "Today he galloped out very strong, He wanted to keep going, that's a good sign."
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            Trainer Mott said, “He’s the type of horse that has taken a little more time to mature than some others. We took our time with his development and it’s seem to have worked out well.” Resilience galloped out a long way up the backstretch, something I like to see before the Derby. Trainer Mott sent Resilience out for a breeze only four days ago, and I suspect we will see another one soon. Mott is following the same pattern with Just F Y I for the Oaks. Her breeze this morning was dynamite. It was Just F Y I's second workout since finishing runner-up to Leslie's Rose in the Ashland, and Leslie's Rose is absent from the worktab. When I was a much, much younger man I knew this guy who was a degenerate gambler if there ever was one, but he did know things about horse racing. When it came to handicapping horses he liked telling people about his dad who helped manage stallions at Claiborne farm years and years before then. "Three works in 10 days, that's a good bet," he'd say. "Dad never bought a form at the races, he already knew all the horses," the guy would say, "and he knew the ones that worked three times in 10 days." Times have changed, and we hardly ever see a horse that works two times in 10 days, much less three. Resilience and Just F Y I could be old-school exceptions. Heads up.
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           VIDEO OF JUST FYI AT THE WORKS SHOW
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           VIDEO OF RESILIENCE AT THE WORKS SHOW
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           April 23
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           Grand Mo the First 1:16.46 breezing 2/2 GP solo with Emisael Jaramillo up. Trainer Barboza said,  “It was a beautiful workout. We will arrive there Thursday night, walk Friday and then go to the track Saturday.” The colt's last work was also very slow, timed in 1:03.95. This seems to be taken straight out of the Mage playbook. He worked very slowly leading into the 2023 Kentucky Derby.
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           April 24
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            Forever Young 6f 1:19.60 breezing 1/1 CD under Ryusei Sakai in company the last four furlongs with a horse from the Dale Romans barn. Forever Young wore a hood without ear coverings. Forever Young was under mild restraint initially without displaying any resentment. The workmate joined the move heading into the far ahead of Forever Young but was directly in front of Forever Young when they ran into the stretch. By design Sakai shifted Forever Young to the inside of the workmate and proceeded to blow by him. There was not a long gallop-out, and I don't have a time for the gallop-out. This horse, per Japanese practice we have witnessed in the past at Churchill Downs, spends a lot of time on the track each day and did so prior to today's work. Per the broadcast of the workout initial fractions were very slow, 14.80, 28.80, 42.60, 55.20. These numbers yield a final 1/2 mile timed in 50.80, final 3/8 in 37.00, stretch run in 24.40. The time announced in the works broadcast, 1:19 flat, was erroneous.
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           WORK BEGINS AT 26.40
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           Resilience was back out on the track for the second time in two days following his April 22 workout. No off day in the shedrow for Resilience! Stable mate Just F Y I, who also breezed Monday, took the following day off. I don't hold that against the Oaks filly as long as she was out on the track today. The works show focused on only a handful of horses today and I'm not at Churchill Downs yet, so check Daily Derby update for details on Just F Y I. I will be at Churchill Downs first thing Friday morning and through the weekend.
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           April 25
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            Honor Marie 59.20 breezing 1/11 CD under Ben Curtis in company with 3yo Agoo (1:00.00), who typically has Equibase figures in the 80s. Initial fractions were 12.00, 23.80, 35.60 and 47.40. He was out six in 1:12.60 and seven in 1:27.60. The pair broke off with Honor Marie about a length back. He was soon on even terms with Agoo and they entered the stretch that way. At the wire, Honor Marie had powered to a three-length advantage, and he galloped out well ahead of his workmate. Honor Marie continued galloping up the backstretch beyond the timed seven furlongs.
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           VIDEO AT 17:15
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           April 26
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            Endlessly 47.80 breezing 19/68 CD under Umberto Rispoli in company with Gottaneedforspeed (best Equibase 70 from three starts). Endlessly was among the first horses to step on the track when training began at 5:15. His team wasted no time before he broke off in company to breeze four furlongs in 47.80. Endlessly began the move about a half-length back and outside and hit the wire about a half in front of his workmate. This post will be updated with internal and out fractions, but Endlessly kept up with the workmate past the wire better than his previous workout. Presumably trainer McCarthy and Amerman Racing will soon decide/disclose whether Endlessly will compete in the Kentucky Derby or the American Turf on May 4. Trainer McCarthy said, “All options are now open. I liked his move this morning, very pleased with it. Now we’ll see what’s next. I’m going to have a conversation with Mr. Amerman now and see what we’re going to do. It’ll be interesting.”
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           Epic Ride 51.20 breezing 22/23 TTC. VIDEO UNAVAILABLE
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            Fierceness 48.80 breezing 43/68 CD under John Velazquez outside Agate Road, his first workout at Churchill Downs. Opening fractions of 12.80, 24.80, 36.80, out five in 1:00.60, six in 1:12.60 seven in 1:26.00. At the wire Fierceness was a quickly-increasing 2 1/2 lengths ahead of Agate Road, and he ran well beyond Agate Road past the wire.  He eased up just before the track kitchen located at the start of the far turn. I don't know how Fierceness could be asked for a better workout going into a big race.
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            . While it's possible the track was playing a bit fast today, trainer and jockey were demonstrably happy. Track notes said Velazquez had a big smile and said, “He really, really went well today.” Trainer Pletcher, known for being understated, said, “I’m very, very happy with the work.” 
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           Seize the Grey 1:00.00 breezing 11/25 CD solo and showing energy. No doubt Seize the Grey needs no workmate to encourage him in the mornings. VIDEO UNAVAILABLE
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            Catching Freedom 59.20 breezing 2/58 CD under exercise rider Edvin Vargas inside Encino (59.20), ridden by Florent Geroux, who also rides Just a Touch. The first two on the track when training hours opened at 5:15, Encino was noticeably larger than Catching Freedom. After jogging to the front side they wasted no time heading back around the first turn and quickly got to work from the 4 1/2 furlong pole. The pair broke off together and finished up energetically in equal times assigned by clockers on a track that might be playing a bit quickly again today. They galloped up the backstretch almost to the half-mile pole, which precedes the far turn, and walked off the track uneventfully. Opening fractions 23.80, 47.20; out six in 1:12.00 and seven in 1:26.40.
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            Trainer Cox said, "All three had good, solid moves this morning. I liked the breeze this morning for Encino, and that was really the thing we were looking for as far as making the decision to enter the Derby. His work went great. We did a little more with him this morning than we normally would back in two weeks. He responded well and so did Catching Freedom."
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            Domestic Product 1:00.20 breezing 15/58 CD outside Sierra Leone (1:00.20), who broke off about a half-length in front of Domestic Product. The horses were on even terms early in the turn, but Sierra Leone resumed a half-length advantage in upper stretch and was up a neck at the finish line. They galloped out well together most of the way up the backstretch. Initial fractions were 13.00, 24.80 and 36.40; out six in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:26.20. Not too shabby! Yesterday trainer Brown said exercise rider Kriss Bon would be up on Sierra Leone while that one's regular rider Tyler Gafflalione filled in on Domestic Product for Irad Ortiz, Jr. who was scheduled to be in New York. We will update if that isn't the way it turned out.
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              Trainer Brown said, “It was executed perfectly. I wanted them to a good five-eighths out in three-quarters but well within themselves. "(Domestic Product has been) “glowing. With these two horses, I feel as confident that I’ll have good runs in the Derby if they can get clear trips."
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            Encino 59.20 breezing 2/58 CD under Florent Geroux, who rides Just a Touch, outside of Catching Freedom (59.20) under exercise rider Edvin Vargas. The first two on the track when training hours opened at 5:15, Encino was noticeably larger than Catching Freedom. After jogging to the front side they wasted no time heading back around the first turn and quickly got to work from the 4 1/2 furlong pole. The pair broke off together and finished up energetically on a track that might be playing a bit quickly again today. They galloped out up the backstretch almost to the half-mile pole, which precedes the far turn, and walked off the track uneventfully. Opening fractions 23.80, 47.20; out six in 1:12.00 and seven in 1:26.40. If this was a test of how Encino is doing after the Lexington Stakes, it looks like he passed it. Now the question for Godolphin is which race to take on next, the Derby or the Preakness. In my estimation Godolphin is not an outfit that will run in the Derby just to have a Derby horse. Instead, alternate outcomes will be evaluated and I would think a decision made based on what is best for the horse and his potential as a stallion. UPDATE: Axel Concepcion is named to ride Encino in the Derby per a tweet by my editor at BloodHorse, Byron King.
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              Jockey Geroux said, “Solid morning overall. I thought both horses (Just a Touch and Encino) worked well. Encino seems to have bounced out of the Lexington in good shape and was solid." Trainer Cox said, ox said. “I liked the breeze this morning for Encino, and that was really the thing we were looking for as far as making the decision to enter the Derby. His work went great. We did a little more with him this morning than we normally would back in two weeks. He responded well...."
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            Sierra Leone 1:00.20 breezing 15/58 CD inside Domestic Product (1:00.20), who broke off about a half-length behind Sierra Leone. The horses were on even terms early in the turn, but Sierra Leone resumed a half-length advantage in upper stretch and was up a neck at the finish line. They galloped out well together most of the way up the backstretch. . Initial fractions were 13.00, 24.80 and 36.40; out six in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:26.20. Not too shabby! Yesterday trainer Brown said exercise rider Kriss Bon would be up on Sierra Leone while that one's regular rider Tyler Gafflalione filled in for Irad Ortiz, Jr. who was scheduled to be in New York, aboard Domestic Product. We will update if that isn't the way it turned out.
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            Society Man 46.60 breezing 2/130 CD outside Dornoch (46.60). The workouts were coming rat-a-tat today, and I didn't catch them break off, but they finished on even terms. The cameramen were unable to catch this work at all. A video I took shows Dornoch and Society Man galloped out together with Dornoch eventually ahead out by about a length as they were eased down on the backstretch between the 5/8 and 1/2 poles. I talked to DRF's Mike Welsch, and he tole me he got this work in 47. Society Man did well to keep up with a fast horse today. Opening fractions per track clockers were 11.60, 23.20 and 34.60. Out five furlongs in 59.00, six in 1:12.60. SEE DORNOCH VIDEO Trainer Gargan said, “The track is playing super fast right now. We thought we’d go in 47 and change, I got them 46 and 4. They went out nice though and … that’s kind of the work for everybody, they’re all going around the same time. We wanted to go a little bit slower but they looked good doing it, they were in hand, no one was asking them. We’re just hoping they come back good, everything looks good and they’re cooling out good. They’ve worked together even as 2-year-olds. They’ve breezed together multiple times, I couldn’t even tell you how many times. They worked twice before the Remsen together and they’ve worked twice here now together. They worked in Saratoga together as babies so they’re definitely familiar with each other.”
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            T O Password made his first appearance on the Churchill Downs oval, and he was noticeably sweating. I recall a previous note indicating he will work Tuesday.
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            West Saratoga 37.20 breezing 8/27 CD. West Saratoga broke off at the 3/8 pole and exhibited high knee action. Rosie Napravnik commented she thought he would worked past the wire, and she said he did, but trainer Demeritte previously said this would be a three-furlong workout, and that's how clockers recorded it. The opening furlong in 11.80, out four in 50.20 per track clockers. The work did not give me confidence in West Saratoga. If he wins, I don't know what to say.
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            Jockey Castanon said, “He was good this morning and handled the track well. “He has handled every track that I have been on him … Tampa, Turfway, Keeneland and here.” Trainer Demeritte said, “By the time we got to the frontside, I just got to see the stretch. I liked the gallop out. I was hoping for :36, but he had a strong gallop out.”
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            Uncle Heavy remains at Parx and wasn't entered in the Derby. Maybe the Preakness. Today he worked in 1:01.51 breezing 1/2 at PARX.
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           April 28
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            FRACTIONAL TIMES AND QUOTES HAVE BEEN ADDED HERE, AND THE NOTES ARE COMPLETE.
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           THESE NOTES WILL BE POSTED IN THE HORSE PROFILES IN SECTION 3. (There will be a delay as I will be at the Louisville Bats baseball game this afternoon. I need a little break!
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            Catalytic 47.80 breezing 13/60 CD outside a workmate. After breaking off a length behind, Catalytic ran beside the workmate in the turn and was up one length at the finish line. The workmate slowed going into the first turn while Catalytic galloped out far ahead. He was pulled up about halfway up the stretch.
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              Trainer Joseph said, “It was a good time, a good work. I thought it went as good as we could have asked, and Jose is happy with him. Hopefully we have a good week, and go on from here. He’s showing a lot more energy here than he does at Gulfstream. And there, he doesn’t seem to pay attention, here he seems very focused.” Jockey Ortiz said, “He looked great, felt great. It was just a maintenance work, and exactly what we were looking for. The horse is happy. Keeping him happy is all we have to do until Saturday.”
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            Just Steel 50.40 breezing 52/60 CD solo. On the video at 35:40 the rider grabs a crop right-handed from the back left pocket and shows it to Just Steel, who appears to respond by running a bit faster. At that precise time Rosie Napravnik commented Just Steel was "not overly motivated" but then the broadcast team noted, right after the rider stood up in the stirrups after the four furlongs was completed, Just Steel worked a mile last weekend. In my opinion, this was a maintenance work that went as planned. VIDEO AT
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              Initial splits were 13.40 and 25.20. Trainer Lukas said, “Just a slow maintenance work. We’re close to the race, we didn’t want to do much. We pretty much did what we thought. I didn’t want him to gallop out much because I didn’t want to do too much this close. He probably could have done more, but that’s what it was. I think he has a pedigree to do this, very much so. And his running style probably complements it too. If he’s good enough, he’ll show up. But we’ve got something to work with, his pedigree.”
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            Resilience 49.20 breezing 37/60 CD solo move, his third work in 11 days, something you hardly ever see any more (see April 22 note above). This was a solid move intended for maintenance with a strong gallop-out but not as deep into the backstretch as the eye-catching final move we saw from trainer Mott's Country House in 2019. However, the gallop-out in Resilience's prior work, the middle one of the three, went far up the backstretch.
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            Stable mate Just F Y I also breezed the third time in 11 days for trainer Mott this morning, and she looked on top of her game again. I like her in the Oaks. Early fractions for Resilience were 12.60 and 24.80 before galloping out in 1:01.40. Trainer Mott said, “I would say I was hoping to see exactly what we got. I was hoping for a :49 work. We put a really good work into both horses (Resilience and Just F Y I) six days ago so we just wanted our final work to be nice and smooth and cross our fingers and hope they come back good. It looked like they both breezed well, finished up well and came back nicely. Neither one of them was being pushed. He’s physically done well and with the blinkers he seems to be more focused on everything. He got jostled around a bit in the Wood but by the time he got to the backside, he had a nice trip, had a nice stalking position." Mott added that he may send Resilience back to the track on Monday for an easy jog rather than walking the shedrow.
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            Stronghold 59.80 breezing 3/16 CD outside under Joe Talamo. He broke off a length behind his workmate, was about two lengths back midway through the turn, on even terms turning for home and stayed that way into the first turn. The gallop-out ended about halfway up the backstretch after Stronghold edged away from his workmate.
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            The breeze was in company with Motorious (1:00.00, entered in the Twin Spires Turf Sprint) and rider Martin Garcia. Talamo said, “He felt real good. I’ve worked this horse before (Talamo broke his maiden at Churchill last October) and today he showed me another gear. He’s a different horse now; he did this easy.” Trainer D'Amato said, “I told them I just wanted a maintenance work today; nothing too serious. And in the end it was an ideal drill. I said maybe go in 1:01 or so, but the way the track is playing right now their times were plenty good. This horse has raced six times at six different racetracks and he knows what he’s doing out there now. We’ve checked all the boxes and I’m very happy with where we stand coming up to the Derby.” D'Amato said he was catching a plane to California today and will return to Churchill Downs Tuesday.
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           Track Phantom 1:00.00 breezing 5/16 CD outside Mugen (1:00.00, 3yo filly winless in five MSW starts, most recently Equibase 88 going 5.5 furlongs). Track Phantom has blinkers added in his training since his last start. Often adding blinkers signals a plan to utilize early speed, but Track Phantom alreay has plenty of of that and has been stalking in company in his recent training. He broke off a length behind Mugen, entered the stretch about a half-length behind, and was a head back at the wire. During the gallop-out he easily edged ahead of Mugan entering the backstretch. 
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             The opening quarter-mile went in 24.20 and he galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60. Trainer Asmussen said, “I think Track Phantom has a beautiful rhythm to him with a nice, beautiful stride. I don’t think he’s a horse that has to be on the lead. In his last two starts there were very tepid paces. I think for him to be wrangled back in either of those two races wouldn’t have been to his style. I obviously expect there to be more pace in the Derby, everybody does with the quarter-mile run into the first turn. I think in a full field I still want him to jump away from there well but I’d be very surprised to see him on the lead in this year’s Derby.”
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           April 30
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            Forever Young 1:03.00 breezing 2/3 CD (good) under his exercise rider. The jockey is arriving Thursday. We were told this work would be in company with T O Password, but they worked separately, and this one was solo. Officials were informed this work would go six furlongs, but clockers caught it in five. The gallop-out went to about mid-backstretch. This was a maintenance work.
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           VIDEO AT 27:25
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              Fractions were slow as usual: 14.00, 27.00, 39.60 and out six furlongs in 1:16.80. Exercise rider Oka said, “He handled it well and moved well over the track. I think we did a good for job for the final breeze.” Oka grinned and said, “The Kentucky Derby is a difficult race to win but all I can say is Team Yahagi Stable is undefeated in the United States and Forever Young is undefeated.”
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            T O Password 46.80 breezing 1/2 CD (good). We were told this would be in company with Forever Young, but they worked separately. Equipped with blinkers, T O Password broke off during the work proper about a length behind Japanese workmate T O Saint Denis (47.00, 2/2), made a quick move to range up to him on the turn, was outworked briefly in upper stretch, and got by the workmate before the wire while being pushed a bit by the rider. He easily won the gallop-out with ears pricked. The setup of the work evidenced an intent to try to come from behind in the Derby, which is what his trainer said they would do after they won the Fukyuru on a diminishing lead, but the raw time could indicate he'll be winging it early. Hard to read.
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           VIDEO AT 24:48
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             The opening quarter-mile was timed in 23.80 and he was out five furlongs in :59.60. Jockey Kazushi Kimura said, “Everything was smooth this morning. I put him behind his workmate to get some kickback. We got everything we wanted this morning. He was OK with the mud this morning, but with 20 horses, you never know.”
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      <pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2024 13:12:15 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-workouts-2024</guid>
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      <title>Nine Furlong Prep Races Analyses</title>
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           NINE-FURLONG PREP RACES
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           NOTES, FRACTIONS AND HOW THEY FINISHED; BEYERS
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           *Please note my April 14 postscript to the Blue Grass Stakes.
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           UPDATES
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           March 27: Comments for the Fukuyru Stakes
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           March 25: Comments and fractions for the Louisiana Derby and Jeff Ruby Steaks
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           April 1: Comments and fractions for the Florida Derby, UAE Derby, Arkansas Derby
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           April 7: Comments and fractions for the Blue Grass Stakes, Wood Memorial and Santa Anita Derby
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           ______________________
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            A Bonus Section:
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           8.5 Furlong Races Since Feb. 3
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           Feb. 3
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            Hades won the Holy Bull
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           with an always prominent trip. Hades led all but a few strides -- Fierceness stuck a head in front to the outside after about six furlongs -- but Hades went on with it and Fierceness gave way to the late-running second finisher Domestic Product. Early contender Inveigled hung on for fourth, Dancing Groom fifth. Fractions on the fast track were moderate-to-slow 25.03, 50.53, 1:14.25, 1:39.28 and 1:46.07. Final 5/16 in 31.82. He got a 90 Beyer, adjusted from the original 85.
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           Feb. 3
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           Robert B. Lewis Stakes. This race was run at one mile.
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            Nysos was the one "by a pole." He bided his time behind Scatify, Wine Me Up, Mc Vay, then blew by coming out of the far turn. Early splits were quick 22.81 and 46.67, then 1:11.11 when Nysos wound up and fired the fast ball. Seven in 1:23.86, final in 1:36.65. Final quarter-mile in 25.54. Next four finishers were Wine Me Up, Scatify, Mc Vay and Moonlit Sonata. Nysos and Wine Me Up ineligilbe for the Kentucky Derby because they are trained by Bob Baffert. Nysos given a 105 Beyer.
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           Feb. 3
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           Southwest Stakes.
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            Mystik Dan rode the rail through the far turn under Brian Hernandez and blew away opponents in the muddy stretch. Early stretch leader Just Steel hung on for second with Liberal Arts almost up for the place but not quite. Awesome Road and Common Defense fourth and fifth. Early pacesetters Carbone and Otto the Conqueror not around late. Pace fractions 23.56, 47.95, 1:13.23, 1:37.74, 1:43.67. Mystik Dan finished the final 5/16 in 30.04.
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           Feb. 10
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            Sam F. Davis Stakes.
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           No More Time stayed on well after leading through early splits of 23.52 and 46.61 while pressed by West Saratoga, eventually outran that one and easily held off a late move by Agate Road. West Saratoga third by several lengths, Elysian Meadows and Fuilmineo fourth and fifth. Final time a respectable 1:43.26 after six furlongs in 1:10.81, leaving the final 5/16 at 32.45. Despite his solid overall time, maybe the slowish finish led to an 80 Beyer.
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           Feb. 18
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            Sunland Derby goes to Stronghold.
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           Despite drifting out in the stretch, 6-5 favorite Stronghold held sway to win. Lucky Jeremy shot to the early lead but was initially pressured by both the eventual winner and Alotofluck as they ran through the first quarter-mile in 23.69. Lucky Jeremy battled with Stronghold through subsequent fractions of 47.45 and 1:11.32. Stronghold got clear in mid-stretch while out in the middle of the track, hitting the wire in 1:42.64. Alotaluck stayed on and narrowly edged Lucky Jeremy for the place. Curlin's Kaos fourth. Informed Patriot fifth. Stronghold's final 5/16 mile went in 31.32. Stronghold registered an 89 Beyer (and thanks to a loyal subscriber for the info).
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           Feb. 24
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            in the Rebel Stakes
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           it was the favorite Timberlake, easily, at 4-5 odds. He laid in fifth early as Carbone led through honest fractions of 23.20 and 47.67 with Northern Flame, Common Defense and Woodcourt in closest pursuit. Into the far turn and six furlongs in 1:12.93, the top three were unchanged as Timberlake eased wide into fourth place, two lengths back. Carbone spit the bit in upper stretch as Timberlake surged to the front, drifted out and won going away in 1:44.00 with the final 5/16 timed in 30.67. The other early runners, longshots all, stayed on with Common Defense finishing second, Northern Flame third, Woodcourt fourth. Dimatic was fifth. Cristian Torres up on the winner. Timberlake was awarded a 93 Beyer.
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           March 2
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            Encino won the Battaglia Memorial
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           on Tapeta synthetic. Encino broke well from post 12, settled in fifth early, rated up the backstretch, gained ground on the outside in the far turn, and outran his competion to the wire in 1:44.22 under Axel Concepcion. Bolt at Midnight led through early fractions of 24.84 and 48.3, initally followed most closely by longshot Fidget, short-priced Blue Eyed George and favored Epic Ride. The latter one made a bold move in the far turn with Encino charging up to his outside. Six furlongs were gone in 1:12.98. Epic Ride left the turn on the lead but yielded late to Encino. Blue Eyed George stayed on to finish third. Mugatu came on fourth at 68-1 odds, and Ode to Balius, another longshot, picked up pieces to finish fifth. Encino finished in 30.84. His Beyer figure was 89.
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           March 2
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            The scratch-laden Fountain of Youth
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           was won by heavy favorite Dornoch after he finally shook off stubborn longshot Le Dom Bro in the stretch after that one pressed him from the inside for most of the race. Luis Saez was aboard. After breaking second to Le Dom Bro, Dornoch led through each call in honest fractions of 24.35, 48.14 and 1:11.43 before hitting the finish line in 1:43.64 on a fast track. Le Dom Bro clung to second just ahead of the late-running Frankie's Empire. Real Macho was fourth after stalking the pace down the backside. Dancing Groom was fifth and last. Second betting choice Speak Easy was a late scratch after getting loose on the track minutes before the race. Locked and Victory Avenue were scratched race morning, and Merit raced in an allowance on Friday instead of the Fountain of Youth. The final 5/16 was timed in 32.21. Dornoch didn't have to run too hard according to trainer Gargan. His Beyer was 88.
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           March 2
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            The winner of the San Felipe was Imagination, Wine Me Up second.
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           Neither can qualify for the Kentucky Derby because they are in Bob Baffert's barn. Third- and fourth-finishers Mc Vay and Scatify were beaten 6 3/4 and 37 3/4 lengths, respectively, after the latter was eased.
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           March 9
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            Tampa Bay Derby.
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           Domestic Product, No More Time and Grand Mo the First topped the Tampa Bay Derby in a blanket finish and in that order. The race was run with the tote inoperable in Tampa and other east coast tracks. Good Money led through crawling fractions of 25.25, 51.15 and 1:16.21, with No More Time attending and Domestic Product and Grand Mo the First waiting in mid-pack for the other one to make his move. That happened as they rounded the far turn. No More Time and Javier Castellano grabbed the lead in upper stretch only to be run down in the final jump by Domestic Product under Tyler Gaffalione. Grand Mo the First, who was running early alongside Domestic Product, was right there at the wire for third. Good Money was fourth and Heartened made a late move up the rail to get fifth. The winning time was 1:45.47. The Tampa Bay Derby, race 11 on the card, went off at 5:51 ET after an announced post time of 5:18.Domestic Product got the final 5/16 mile in a very quick 28.86 seconds which is understandable considering the glacial early pace. The Tampa Bay Derby unfolded much like the Risen Star and had the look of a turf race even though both were run on dirt. Domestic Product was given an 82 Beyer. Word came out that the fractional times were double-checked and are accurate.
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           April 13
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            Lexington Stakes.
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            Encino, a personal favorite of mine, led at each call and finished the final 5/16 mile in 31.99, not bad after running the first quarter-mile in 23.55 and the half in 47.28. His six-furlong time was 1:11.94. Encino slowed down the pace in the fourth quarter-mile timed in 25.28 (the mile in 1:37.22). In the far turn, Encino and runner-up The Wine Steward had separated themselves from the remaining field. At that point Luis Saez started asking The Wine Steward hard while Florent Geroux was sitting chilly on Encino. In the stretch Geroux popped Encino with his crop twice but mainly waved the stick. The camera angle on the gallop out initially features Encino alone with The Wine Steward nowhere to be seen. Eventually Secret Chat galloped past Encino. Encino earned a 94 Beyer for this effort
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           Early Nine Furlong Races
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           The Withers, El Camino Real Derby and Risen Star Stakes are run relatively early compared to the heavyweight races with more Derby points typically starting in late March.
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           Feb. 3
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            Withers Stakes.
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           Uncle Heavy won in a slow 1:53.79 on a muddy/sealed track. His Beyer figure was 84, a cut below his peers in the same time period.
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           Feb. 10
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            El Camino Real Derby.
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            Endlessly was sent off at 7-10 odds in a field of eight and won going away in the final edition of this race at soon-to-be-shuttered Golden Gate Fields. Endlessly was 7 1/2 lengths off the pace after a quarter-mile and won by 1 1/4 length. His internal fractions were 24.55, 49.01, 1:13.99, 1:38.66 and the final time was 1:50.68. He did not run 12-second furlongs at at least three of the five calls, but he did finish the final 3/8 mile in under 38 seconds -- we have him at 36.69. Umberto Rispoli had the mount. Endlessly earned an 87 Beyer.
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           Feb. 17
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            Risen Star Stakes.
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            Sierra Leone made his much-heralded return to the races, winning at 2-1 odds in a field of 12 with a late run well out on a sloppy-sealed track under Tyler Gaffalione. Sierra Leone trailed modest early fractions. Final time was 1:52.13 on a track that was very wet all day. Track Phantom led through splits of 24.32, 49.67, 1:14.74 and 1:39.40 before yielding late to the winner by a half-length. As the field passed the finish line the first time, Sierra Leone had three horses beat. Catching Freedom, mid-pack early, made a solid bid to get a close third. Resilience, always prominent, hung on for fourth. Honor Marie fifth. Sierra Leone finished the final 3/8 mile in a respectable 36.89, but his early fractions were very slow as he trailed the pace at the first three calls by 6 1/2 lengths, 6 1/4 lengths and 2 1/2 lengths. Sierra Leone acquired a Beyer figure of 90. 
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            APRIL 21 POSTSCRIPT:
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           Nothing ran in 12s, but the top five finishers all got the final 3/8 mile in 38 seconds or less: Sierra Leone, Track Phantom, Catching Freedom, Resilience and Honor Marie.
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           Major Nine Furlong+ Races
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           Every year we examine fractions in the 9 and 9.5 furlong Kentucky Derby prep races, with emphasis on (1) whether horses finished the final 3/8 mile in 38 seconds or less; and (2) whether horses ran 12-second furlongs, or what we call "12s," at three of the five calls or better. See Section 7 for more information about "12's". Horses with these abilities do well in the Kentucky Derby. It's better if a horse can run "12's" AND finish in 38 seconds or less in the same race.
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           March 23
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           1 3/16 Mile Louisiana Derby Comments and Fractions
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           The fifth running of the Louisiana Derby at the current distance of 1 3/16 mile. In 2020 favored Wells Bayou won in 1:56.47 and earned an Equibase speed figure of 102. Hot Rod Charlie was best in 2021, timed in 1:55.06 (101 Equibase figure). In 2022 it was Epicenter in 1:54.38 (new track record, 102 Equibase). In 2023 Kingsbarns was timed in 1:57.33 (96 Equibase figure). In 2024 Catching Freedom's time was 1:56.16 (98 Equibase figure).
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           This race continued a 2024 trend where the top finishers of Kentucky Derby points races run relatively slowly early and fast late, much like winners of turf races.
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           Catching Freedom, who earned a 97 Beyer, charged from last to first as he enjoyed the extra distance of the 1 3/16-mile Louisiana Derby. He'll get six weeks to prepare for the Kentucky Derby, and he may need it after that gigantic effort. Since trainer Cox is a Louisville resident, we expect Catching Freedom to be at Churchill Downs sooner rather than later. We will follow Catching Freedom's workouts and general appearances on the track as the big day draws nearer.
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           Although he gets credit for finishing the final three furlongs in under 38 seconds, Catching Freedom did not run 12-second furlongs (see Section 7 for more about that). However, note he ran each leg of the second, third and fourth quarter-miles faster than the leg before it, and he finished the final 3/16 mile in just over 18 seconds. If it's the finest effort of his career, who can fault that? Whether he can run back to it is another question. It's possible he could improve. Time reveals all.
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           Honor Marie also did not run 12s, but he finished strongly and gets credit for getting the final three furlongs in 38 seconds or less. This was a greatly improved effort from the Risen Star, when Honor Marie either didn't like the slop or just needed a race. The slop was probably not the culprit -- he finished second sprinting on a sloppy course last year at Churchill Downs. Third race off the layoff could bode well for him.
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           Tuscan Gold ran 12s in at least three of the five calls, so he gets credit for that. He also is credited with an interpolated final three furlongs in 38 seconds or less. Trainer Brown was high on Tuscan Gold coming into the Louisiana Derby, and he ran really well except for the fact that he switched back to his left lead as he was surpassed by the top two. Some might say he ran evenly, and that wouldn't be unfair. Caught in the stretch by a pair of freight trains going downhill, he passed another pair, early leaders Track Phantom and Common Defense. Tuscan Gold probably got a lot out of the race but showed he needed more seasoning.
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           Track Phantom may have run into distance limitations. I'm not totally convinced because he ran 12s and maybe (it depends on how you figure it) an interpolated final 3/8 in under 38 seconds. I'm inclined to veer away from the latter factor because he slowed considerably in the final 3/16 mile which, if interpolated to 3/8 mile, results in a finish of almost 38 3/5 seconds. Regardless, after setting an honest pace while pressured by Common Defense through the first mile, he was unable to out-finish the top three. Should Track Phantom continue to the Kentucky Derby, it's hard to see anyone trying to change his forward running style.
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           Common Defense slowed in the stretch considerably more than Track Phantom. Common Defense gets credit for 12s but not finishing in 38 seconds or less. Behind by 1/2 length after a mile, Common Defense was beaten four lengths after he switched back to his left lead about 200 yards from the finish line, per the Equibase chart.
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           The Louisiana Derby is not included in the portion of The Downey Profile that rewards horses for finishing first or second in one of five major prep races. Although its stature has been praised since the distance was upped from nine furlongs to 1 3/16 mile, it is nevertheless true that since then not one horse that finished first or second in the Louisiana Derby has won the Kentucky Derby. Could this year be the year?
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           The gallop-out had Tuscan Gold and Agate Road besting the others. Catching Freedom and Honor Marie were pulled up early in the first turn.
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           Catching Freedom
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.24 (eleventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.88 (eleventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.89 (eleventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.88 (fourth)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:56.16 (first)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.24
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.64
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.01
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :23.99
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.28
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           Honor Marie
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.94 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.58 (tenth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.54 (ninth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.93 (sixth)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:56.36 (second)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.94
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.64
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.96
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.39
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.43
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           Tuscan Gold
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.94 (sixth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.63 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.74 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.68 (third)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:56.51 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.94
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.69
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.11
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.94
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.83
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           Track Phantom
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.49 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.33 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.54 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.38 (first)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:56.66 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.49
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.84
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.21
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.84
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           final 3/16 mile -- :19.28
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           Common Defense
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.69 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.43 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.64 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.48 (second)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:56.96 (fifth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.69
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.74
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.21
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.84
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           final 3/16 mile -- :19.48
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           March 23
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           1 1/8 Mile Jeff Ruby Steaks Comments and Fractions
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           Endlessly, who earned a 91 Beyer, did not run12s, but he did finish impressively in under 38 seconds to win by four convincing lengths. He continued a 2024 Derby points races theme: slow early, fast late. The Tapeta surface at Turfway Park has in the limited time I've watched it this year played fairly, but here is a case where the finish looked turfy.
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           After winning the Jeff Ruby, trainer McCarthy was equivocal about Endlessly's dirt-track prospects. We will see if Derby Fever grips owner Amerman. Endlessly is known for being just okay in his dirt works, but the fact remains he's never run on Churchill Downs' dirt track, which many experts say can accommodate turf horses. Let's see how Endlessly responds when he is shipped into Churchill Downs for either the American Turf or the Kentucky Derby.
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           West Saratoga was "outgamed late" in the words of the chart call. Third by 1/2 length at the furlong marker, he was beaten four lengths. He did not run 12s but did finish in under 38 seconds.
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           Seize the Grey also failed to run 12s but finished in under 38 seconds. He ran evenly throughout -- off the pace by 2 1/2 lengths, 1 3/4 lengths, 1 3/4 lengths and 2 1/4 lengths before finishining four lengths and a head behind at the wire.
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           You could throw a towel over the distance between West Saratoga, Seize the Grey, Triple Espresso and Woodcourt as they crossed the finish line. In the gallop-out, Endlessly was pulled up fairly early in the first turn. Most eager were Lucky Jeremy and Woodcourt, although neither of them displayed a monster gallop-out.
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           Endlessly
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.12 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.22 (seventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.65 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.93 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.15 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.12
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.10
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.43
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.28
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.22
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.50
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           West Saratoga
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.93 (sixth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.77 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.10 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.03 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.95 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.93
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.84
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.33
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.93
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.92
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.85
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           Seize the Grey
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.83 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.92 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.35 (fifth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.38 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.97 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.83
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.09
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.43
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.03
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.59
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.62
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           March 23
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           1800 Meter Fukuryu Stakes Comments
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           T O Password became the first winner of the Fukuryu Stakes to accept an invitation to the Kentucky Derby. T O Password was hustled to the lead from post 10 of 11 and saved ground from there under Katsuma Sameshima. He nearly gave up his advantage nearing the stretch but jetted away from a closely-bunched group of contenders leaving the far right-handed turn and built a two-length lead. However, he barely hung on by a long nose to win the 1800 meter race in 1:54 1/5, two seconds or more slower than the previous three winners. Track video does not show internal fractions. His trainer, Daisuke Takayanagi, commented later that the front-running style was employed to make sure they emerged victorious and implied the strategy would not be used in the "true test," the Kentucky Derby. The Fukuryu purse was $265,000 American.
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           March 30
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           Florida Derby Comments and Fractions
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           Fierceness ran a perfect race by my metrics, achieving 12-second furlongs at every call, including the finish line, and finishing the final three furlongs in well under 38 seconds. After breaking cleanly and getting into good position entering the first turn, he was soon on the lead. Never taking kickback, he got into a good rhythm in the backstretch and showed formidable tactical speed and endurance from there on to win by 13 1/2 lengths. This kind of effort would win most any Kentucky Derby in my estimation.
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           The next day trainer Pletcher said Fierceness recovered quickly, and he talked about upcoming plans. “I have to do some more research. As I understand it, Churchill has a new rule this year that you have to be on the grounds the Saturday before the Derby. So, you have to be on the grounds for a week,” said Pletcher.
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           “He had his final breeze for the Florida Derby eight days before the race. I moved it up one day because we had that rain coming, and we were able to get it in before the rain. If I were to have his final breeze eight days out, that gives me some options. If his final breeze is seven days out that locks you into committing to do it at Churchill. We’ve got to think that through a little bit.”
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           A loyal and knowledgeable subscriber contacted me the day after the race and mentioned Bellamy Road's 17 1/2-length victory in the Wood Memorial 19 years ago (Scrappy T and Naughty New Yorker were in that field) and Sinister Minister's front-running, 12 3/4-length blowout of the Toyota Blue Grass the following year (facing among others Strong Contender, Bluegrass Cat and First Samurai). Neither horse made a dent in the Derby. My friend said Saturday looked different as Fierceness was eased through the stretch and had plenty left in the tank.
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           After Forte's late scratch by a state veterinarian shortly before last year's Kentucky Derby, a win by Fierceness would provide a storybook ending for Mike Repole and Todd Pletcher -- and a boost to an event that in the last five years has seen better days.
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           We've had a winner who was disqualified in a controversial stewards' ruling that arguably defied state regulations and whose trainer later agreed to a prison sentence for cheating with drugs (2019), a Derby run in front of 6,000 people in the month of September (2020), a winner that tested positive for a substance banned on race day and whose disqualification was accompanied by almost three years of litigation (2021), an 80-1 winner that has never won again and that was so wild post-race he repeatedly tried to bite the lead pony and outrider while being led to the winner's circle (2022), and a 15-1 winner that was credible despite having raced only three times but that failed to win another race after the Derby before being retired (2023).
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           As pointed out by my friend, the last horse to win a big Derby prep race the way Fierceness did it was Maximum Security, my pick to win that ill-fated 2019 Derby. And win he did only to be disqualified.
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           Fierceness was awarded a 110 Beyer figure, and his gallop-out saw him remain far in front of the field. Catalytic earned a 90, Grand Mo the First an 87 and Conquest Warrior an 86.
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           There are at least three big questions at this point. Will Fierceness bounce next time out? Will he maintain his weight? And will he be able to deal with adversity in the crowded field of the Kentucky Derby.
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           Weight loss would probably lead to a bounce. There has to be a way to get a reliable gauge on this talented colt's weight as the Kentucky Derby approaches.
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           Aside from the dreaded bounce, the fundamental question that remains for Fierceness is whether he can overcome adversity. He's had his problems, but if he gets a Barbaro-like trip in the Derby, the adversity question could become a moot point in two minutes as long as he's fit.
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           The top three finishers in the Florida Derby pretty much ran a merry-go-round, except that the merry-go-round broke in half behind Fierceness like something from the climax of Hitchcock's "Strangers On A Train."
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           We could ask ourselves "Who did he beat," and the answer might be "Not much," but I don't see that point of view as being necessarily helpful. The reason these preps exist is to separate the wheat from the chaff, and man did we see a big sickle in the Florida Derby.
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           Fierceness
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.06 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.50 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.31 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:35.63 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.22 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.06
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.44
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.81
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.32
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.59
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.91
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           Catalytic
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.36 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.70 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.61 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.23 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.92 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.36
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.34
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.91
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.62
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.69
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.31
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           Grand Mo the First
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.41 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.80 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.61 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.83 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.42 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.41
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.39
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.81
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.22
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.59
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.81
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           March 30
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           UAE Derby Comments and Fractions
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            Forever Young is now five-for-five after winning the UAE Derby. Upon reviews of the video, after breaking from the outside post 11 he got into stalking position a couple of lengths behind give or take a length, although four to five wide entering both turns with while in fifth or fourth position; moved into third as they headed home; and overtook Auto Bahn, one of the two pacesetters, 200 meters from the finish line. Forever Young drew off to win by two lengths over Auto Bahn, with Pandagate another 4 3/4 lengths back in third, Mendelssohn Bay beaten 7 3/4 lengths in fourth and Navy Seal fifth by a total of 8 1/4 lengths.
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            Forever Young was kept to the outside, avoiding kickback the entire trip. He galloped out ahead of the field, bounding along no worse for the wear into the middle of the first turn at the close of the video.
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            After the race Forever Young's owner Susumu Fujita said, "We will go to America." The 50 Kentucky Derby points for finishing second will go unused as Auto Bahn is a South American-bred and not eligible for the Kentucky Derby because he is a 4-year-old under North American rules.
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            The distance of the UAE Derby is 1900 meters, or 6234 feet, which is 36 feet shorter than 1 3/16 mile. The final time was 1:57.89. The Meydan track record for the distance is 1:55:18 and belongs to Mendelssohn, who won the UAE Derby six years ago.
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            Of 14 runnings of the UAE Derby since the distance was upped to 1 3/16 mile from nine furlongs, Forever Young's time is the sixth fastest. Mendelssohn ran approximately 13 lengths faster than Forever Young.
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            The track may not have been playing all that fast. Two Rivers Over won the Godolphin Mile in 1:37.49. Upset winner Laurel River won the UAE Derby (about 1 1/4 mile) in 2:02.31. The track record for that distance is 2:01.38 set by Thunder Snow the same year Mendelssohn won the UAE Derby. However, the 2024 Al Quoz Sprint (about six furlongs) was won in 1:07.50, a new track record breaking the mark of 1:07.61 set by Wildman Jack in July 2020.
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            Here are times for the UAE Derby in the 10 preceding years and the Kentucky Derby result: Derma Sotogake (2023, 1:55.81, sixth), Crown Pride (2022, 1:59.76, thirteenth), Rebel's Romance (2021, 1:56.28, NA), race canceled (2020), Plus Que Parfait (2019, 1:58.41, eighth), Mendelssohn (2018, 1:55.18, twentieth), Thunder Snow (2017, 1:57.76, DNF), Lani (2016, 1:58.41, ninth), Mubtaahij (2015, 1:58.35, eighth), Toast of New York (2014, 1:57.92, NA).
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            After 1,500 meters of this year's UAE Derby, the horses were at the top of the quarter-mile-long stretch and Forever Young was second, about three-quarter lengths back of Auto Bahn. At 1,600 meters, Forever Young was about one-half length off the lead. At 1,700 meters, he led. Here are the pace times at those and other points based on my estimates, which are very close if not dead on.
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            400 meters (about two furlongs): 24.70
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            800 meters (about four furlongs): 49.00
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            1,200 meters (about six furlongs): 1:14.90
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            1,400 meters (about seven furlongs): 1:27.20
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            1,500 meters (about 7 1/2 furlongs) 1:33.60 (Forever Young three-quarters length back)
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            1,600 meters (about one mile): 1:39.50 (Forever Young one-half length back)
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            1700 meters (about 8 1/2 furlongs): 1:45.40 (Forever Young led)
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            1800 meters (about nine furlongs): 1:51.50
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            1900 meters (about 1 3/16 mile: 1:57.89 (final time)
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            This was not a fast-run race. The pace after about six furlongs was 1:14.90, so Forever Young was a little over 1:15. He ran the first 1 1/6 mile in 1:45.40. To his credit, he finished the final quarter-mile in a touch over 24 1/5, the final eighth-mile in 12.49 and the final sixteenth-mile in 6.39. In the stretch, Forever Young was motoring. Before that, not so much.
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            Here are three "ifs to consider. If there is much pace in the Kentucky Derby, and if Forever Young runs these kinds of fractions, and if at the top of the Churchill Downs stretch the leader has gotten the first mile in 1:36 and change, Forever Young would find himself about 15 lengths off the pace with a quarter-mile remaining in the race.
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            Here's
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           a link to UAE Derby video
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            where you can see some of the race milestones I've cited superimposed on the track.
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           March 30
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           Arkansas Derby Comments and Fractions
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           After looking at Equibase figures I suspected the Arkansas Derby might have been a sneaky-good race, and then I looked at the Beyers and my own figures. I conclude this race was excellent.
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           The Beyers are not very inspiring. Muth, who can't run in the Kentucky Derby, got a 98 Beyer figure (compared to a 110 Beyer for Fierceness in the Florida Derby), followed by Just Steel at 95, Mystik Dan 89 and Timberlake 88.
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           In contrast, Equibase awarded Muth a 115 speed figure (compared to an Equibase figure of 110 for Fierceness in the Florida Derby), Just Steel 112, Mystik Dan 106 and Timberlake 105.
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           Running my own numbers, all of the top four finishers in the Arkansas Derby get credit for 12s (running within one second of averaging 12 seconds per furlong in at least three calls), and three of those four finished the final 3/8 mile in 38 seconds or less.
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           In turn, those numbers reminded me of the 2005 Santa Anita Derby. The top four, in order of finish, were....
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           1 Buzzard's Bay (30-1) 23.70, 47.32, 1:11.34, 1:36.45, 1:49.18
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           2 General John B (64-1) 23.70, 47.36, 1:11.38, 1:36.49, 1:49.28
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           3 Wilko (7-2) 24.05, 47.32 1:11.59, 1:36.80, 1:49.30
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           4 Giacomo (7-2) 24.35, 48.32 1:12.11, 1:36.85, 1:49.58
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           All four of them ran 12s, and all four finished in under 38 seconds. Buzzards Bay was given a 114 Equibase figure, and Giacomo got a 111. Giacomo went on to win the Kentucky Derby at 50-1 odds. Buzzards Bay was fifth at 46-1 odds.
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           It could have turned out differently, but that's racing. Afleet Alex's jockey chose the rail in the stretch, but it was a slower path that day, and the favorite missed winning by a length. The jockey blamed himself for the loss. Undaunted, connections ran Afleet Alex in the Preakness and Belmont Stakes and won both. But the point is, that was a very strong race that produced all three of the Triple Crown wins.
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           Just Steel is an enigma to me. He runs a lot and you never know what you're going to get. One thing is clear to me, though, and it is that Just Steel and Muth got significantly better trips than Mystik Dan, who lost 2 1/2 lengths of ground in the second quarter-mile when Liberal Arts (the 5 horse) bolted mid-race.
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           The chart describes the incident in mild terms. "LIBERAL ARTS back off the early pace while between horses into the first turn, very rank late in that bend, got out to bother a pair of outer rivals, two to four wide second turn, evenly through the stretch..... MYSTIK DAN in mid pack outside in the first turn, slight bother and carried out four wide onto the backstretch, made a mild advance while four wide in the second bend, stalled a bit in the drive but managed to be up late for the show, no match for the top two."
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           Timberlake was a little hard for his jockey to handle, or at least that's what jockey Prat said, and faded late. The horse jumped into the lead when Time for Truth didn't go on with it after the first quarter-mile, and it might have taken too much out of him. After Timberlake lost the lead, I was surprised when he faded to not second or third, but fourth after Mystik Dan got by him late.
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           Muth
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.53 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.56 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.30 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.25 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.54 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.53
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.03
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.74
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.95
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.29
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.24
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           Just Steel
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.83 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.76 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.46 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.65 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.94 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.83
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.93
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.70
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.19
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.29
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.48
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           Mystik Dan
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.18 (eighth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.71 (eighth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.91 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.95 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.79 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.53
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.20
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.04
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.84
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.88
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           Timberlake
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.73 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.46 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.26 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.55 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.89 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.73
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.73
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.80
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.29
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.34
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.63
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           April 6
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           1 1/8 Mile Blue Grass Stakes, Keeneland
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           Sierra Leone was awarded a 98 Beyer Speed Rating. He gets credit for running 12-second furlongs and finishing in under 38 seconds. Second finisher Just a Touch also gets credit for running 12s, but he finished a more slowly (just over 39) after attending fast early fractions.
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           We were at Keeneland. All my buddy could talk about all day was Sierra Leone, and all day long the dirt races were a repeat of Friday. It was the Keeneland of old where winning on dirt was all about being on or near the lead. Out-footed early? Done. Miss the break a little? Done. Before the Blue Grass I said, "Ron, there is no way Sierra Leone can win this race from 10 lengths off the pace." And he didn't. He came from about nine lengths off the pace.
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           There was only one other Keeneland dirt race at two turns Saturday (race 1), and yes, that winner didn't lead all the way. In fact, he was sixth early -- and he was three lengths off the pace after a half-mile. But Sierra Leone was 8 3/4 lengths behind at that call.
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           At this point the son of Gun Runner looks like he's worth every bit of the $2.3 million it took to buy him. Sloppy track? Oh yeah. Fast track? Yep again. Closer against a speed bias? No worries. Run a big race after four weeks of rest? Wait, he hasn't done that this year. But he did it last year.
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           So we will watch workouts and try to see if he's holding his flesh and so forth. But right now he looks like the UConn of 3-year-olds, meaning there might be only a couple of teams in the nation that have a chance of running better regardless of the game plan.
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           I didn't count on my fingers and toes, but it seemed like the gate crew tried to load Sierra Leone about 10 times. Ordinarily you would think the horse would not benefit from going through that. But again, no problem for him. What if he loads like a gentleman in the Kentucky Derby? What if he falls apart? Food for thought.
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           As the horse balked and balked and balked, it crossed my mind the wait was unfair to the rest of the horses, all of whom were to his inside. If the delay had gone on much longer, I suspect the field would have been backed out of their stalls and reloaded. No way was Sierra Leone going to be scratched. But in retrospect, maybe the long wait didn't matter because Sierra Leone looked destined to win.
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           After the Blue Grass I heard a turf writer in the press box say there was a million-dollar rabbit in the race. He was referring to Top Conor, who was shipped in from Florida off of one career start. That came at Gulfstream Park where he won a Feb. 17 one-mile maiden special weight by two lengths under Jose Ortiz. Top Conor's trainer is Chad Brown, who also conditions Sierra Leone. If there is common ownership between the two horses, it doesn't show at Equbase.
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           Just a Touch made his two-turn debut in a grade 1 and ran an awesome race. I knew he would overtake Top Conor as they headed for the top of the stretch, and I thought he might have it won until I glanced to my left and saw Sierra Leone chugging toward the front. Watcing the race on video, it took Just a Touch longer to get by Top Conor than I perceived while watching live, and it also appears he was a bit late changing leads. Once he did he ran on, but the momentum belonged to the winner.
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           Like Sierra Leone, Just a Touch has already shown he can compete on an off track, and added distance should be no problem for this son of Justify out of a Tapit mare. Furthermore, he stands to improve going two turns for the second time in the Kentucky Derby.
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           Epic Ride needs defections to make the Derby. Like the top two, he gets credit for running 12s. He didn't come close to finishing in 38 seconds or less.
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           Per both the chart and his trainer, Dornoch was keen into the first turn and he got in a bit tight. Without the lead maybe he was thrown off his game. Trainer Gargan said he'd be on the lead and/or run better next time. The biggest disappointment in the race, Dornoch did not run 12s or finish in under 38 seconds.
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           Video of the gallop-out shows Sierra Leone and Just a Touch on even terms.
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           April 14 Postscript:
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            I saw a reference to this on Twitter a few days ago and today had time to pull up the Blue Grass head-on, which confirms the tweet referencing that Sierra Leone paddles his left foreleg. It can be seen clearly during the stretch run. It's a bit unnerving to see a $2.3 million purchase run that way. Not that every horse has perfect motion, because they don't, and some very good ones succeed despite this way of moving. Vekoma (won the 2029 Blue Grass at 7-5 odds, was 12th in the Kentucky Derby at 16-1, went on to win two grade 1s in his last three starts) and Archarcharch (won the 2011 Arkansas Derby but was 15th in the Kentucky Derby after drawing the rail, did not race again) come to mind. One has to wonder if the horse is bothered by it and whether it's the reason for his extreme reluctance to load in the Blue Grass.
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           That thought led me to wonder if the paddling was something new, which could explain that reluctance but which seemed highly unlikely, and it's not. A review of the Risen Star shows the same thing. It's hard to know what to make of it. At this time of year we have to be wary of overreacting to every little thing, but at the same time we need to be aware.
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           Sierra Leone
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.60 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.23 (ninth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.13 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.15 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.08 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.60
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.63
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.90
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.02
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.93
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.95
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           Just a Touch
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.35 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.68 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.23 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.65 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.38 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.35
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.33
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.55
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.42
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.73
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.15
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           Epic Ride
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.49 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.88 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.13 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.85 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.13 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.49
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.39
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.25
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.72
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           final 1/8 mile -- :14.28
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           final 3/8 mile -- :40.00
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           Dornoch
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.45 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.92 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.33 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.45 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.38 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.45
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.47
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.41
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.12
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.93
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           final 3/8 mile -- :40.05
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           April 6
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           1 1/8 Mile Wood Memorial, Aqueduct
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           Resilience got a 90 Beyer winning the Wood. He gets credit for running 12-second furlongs, and he finished in slightly under 38 seconds.
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           With blinkers added by Bill Mott, and running on the outside of horses from post 1 with the help of an expert ride by John Velazquez, Resliience ran a career-best race. Connections say he doesn't like being inside of horses, something to remember when post positions are drawn for the Derby. That Beyer figure is just okay, but let's not forget Resilience has an uninterrupted string of ascending Beyers in his six career races, to wit: 57, 76, 79, 80, 85 and now 90.
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           Resilience is by the outstanding sire Into Mischief. In the Risen Star Sierra Leone beat him by only 3 1/2 lengths. It is possible the added distance of the Derby will benefit Resilience, but he probably needs to draw outsidish and get a forward trip.
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           Society Man was deservingly sent off at 106-1 odds and blew up a $2 exacta payoff worth $742. I expect his odds to be very high again in the Kentucky Derby. He ran 12s, and I'm giving him credit for finishing in 38 seconds. He seems like a complete write-off in the Derby, but then again Rich Strike won the race at 80-1 odds two years ago.
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           The gallop-out showed me something I didn't expect. Society Man easily outran Resilience. What a form upgrade for this Danny Gargan trainee.
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           Resilience
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.65 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.89 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.51 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.35 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.28 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.65
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.24
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.62
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.84
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.93
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.77
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           Society Man
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.00 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.39 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.71 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.85 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.73 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.00
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.39
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.32
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.14
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.88
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.02
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           April 6
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           1 1/8 Mile Santa Anita Derby, Santa Anita
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           Stronghold was given an 89 Beyer in the Santa Anita Derby. He gets 12s but finished in over 38 seconds.
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           Stronghold bested Bob Baffert trainee Imagination, who is not eligible for the Kentucky Derby barring court intervention, by a neck in an effort that was not particularly engaging for me visually.
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           His Beyer matched the 89 he was given in the Sunland Derby, which he won by 2 1/2 lengths against lesser company.
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           The most positive thing I noticed was Stronghold and Imagination galloping out together far past the finish line.
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           Stronghold
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.22 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.23 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.30 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.88 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.98 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.22
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.01
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.07
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.58
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.10
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.68
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2024 22:08:40 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/nine-furlong-prep-races-analyses</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby Future Wager Charts 2009-2021</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-future-wager-charts-2009-2021</link>
      <description />
      <content:encoded>&lt;div data-rss-type="text"&gt;&#xD;
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           Facts and Figures About The
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            Kentucky Derby Future Wager
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           2009-2021
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Fri, 24 Nov 2023 14:46:38 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-future-wager-charts-2009-2021</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: Sunday, May 7, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-sunday-may-7-2023</link>
      <description />
      <content:encoded>&lt;div data-rss-type="text"&gt;&#xD;
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Sunday, May 7, 2023
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           It was a celebration long into the night for the connections of Kentucky Derby 149 winner Mage, who had several fans and owners stop by Barn 42 Sunday morning to see the winner of Saturday’s Run for the Roses.         
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           “For all of us, this was a lot of time, dedication and sacrifice more than anything from these two boys (trainer Gustavo Delgado Sr. and assistant trainer/co-owner Gustavo Delgado Jr.),” co-owner Ramiro Restrepo said. “This is a game that you lose way more than you win. It’s a labor of love. You’re just dream chasing. Today is very special for all of us. This is the top of the mountain in this sport for so many. Everyone knows the Kentucky Derby around the world. It’s arguably, if not the, top race in the world. We had that dream come true. For one brief second, we can exhale, and look up, and enjoy this moment.”
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           The Delgado Team was on hand at Churchill Downs Sunday morning and stated the Preakness Stakes (GI) remains in consideration.
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           “The horse is looking very good. I checked with the vet, and he’s fine,” Delgado Sr. said. “Winning the Kentucky Derby is different than winning the Triple Crown and Simon Bolivar in Venezuela. It’s the same but different.
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           “It was a very happy experience to win the Kentucky Derby with my son and family here. When we go out there and work every day, every day, every day, it’s the best. Winning the Kentucky Derby was the goal. This is a good thing.”
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           For the first time since Mine that Bird pulled off his 50-1 upset in the 2009 Run for the Roses, Barn 42 served as the residence of the Kentucky Derby winner.
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           Mage became the 13th winner to come out of that barn since 1972, and the second winner to come out of Stall 10. The other Stall 10 occupant was 2006 winner Barbaro, who also wore the No. 8 saddlecloth in his run to glory.
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           “This is something we wanted, we worked for this,” Delgado Jr. said. “My dad had accomplished pretty much everything in Venezuela. For him, at 60-years-old, to start over again, pretty much at zero… and for me, it’s the best example. I’m very proud of him.”
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           Mage is likely to remain at Churchill Downs for several days and could return to the track as soon as Tuesday.
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           TWO PHIL’S (second) – Patricia’s Hope, Phil Sagan  and Madaket Stable’s Two Phil’s was doing well Sunday after the Derby in Barn 1 at Churchill Downs, according to trainer Larry Rivelli’s staff who were doing their daily barn chores.
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           Two Phil’s, the winner of the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) in late March, nearly became the second consecutive winner out of the race following Rich Strike’s victory in Kentucky Derby 148.
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           “He proved his race at Turfway was no joke,” jockey Jareth Loveberry said. “It was tough to run second like that but I know this horse gave me his all. He fought back when Mage came to him. I can’t say enough about everyone who’s been involved with this horse. It’s been such an emotional journey to get to this point in my career. I’ve had so many ups and downs throughout the years. The most amazing part about the Derby was being here with my family. They let me do what I love and it means everything to me.
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           “I’ll never forget the feeling. The view of the stretch, the crowd and the feeling I was going to win.”
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           Rivelli, who was getting on a plane to Chicago Sunday morning, stated there are no immediate plans for the colt’s next start.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE (third), HIT SHOW (fifth), VERIFYING (16
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           th
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           ), JACE'S ROAD (17
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           ) –  Without having time to fully go over them, trainer Brad Cox said all four of his Kentucky Derby runners were doing well Sunday morning. Albaugh Family Stables’ Angel of Empire, the 4-1 post time favorite, provided Cox with the best finish of the four by coming in third. He was followed by Gary and Mary West’s Hit Show in fifth, Coolmore’s Verifying in 16th and West Point Thoroughbreds and Albaugh Family Stables’ Jace’s Road in 17th.
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           “We’re going to go over these horses this morning and hopefully they come out of it in good shape,” Cox said. “Hit Show had a good trip. He had every opportunity, but was just fifth best. Manny (Franco) did a fantastic job on him. Angel of Empire was outrun early. He closed into a hot pace. He kind of tracked Mage from the half-mile pole on. Flavien (Prat) went when he went. If you watch the two of them together, you could say that Mage was traveling a little easier than Angel of Empire. Angel of Empire just kept coming and coming, so big effort on his part. It’s a hard race to get in and even harder to win.”
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           Cox said it’s still too early to know if any of the four Derby horses would move on to the Preakness Stakes in two weeks, but he does plan to be represented in the race.
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           “Right now, First Mission is our Preakness horse,” Cox said. I don’t know if we’ll add any of these horses, but we’ll have to make a decision soon. First Mission had a fantastic work yesterday (five furlongs in :59.80). I’m very happy with what we’re seeing.”
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           Godolphin LLC’s First Mission won the Lexington Stakes (GIII) April 15 in just his third career start.
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           DISARM (fourth) – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm was back in Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen’s Barn 38 Sunday morning following his fourth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby.
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           “He’s faced a lot of adversity this year,” Asmussen said. “We’re very proud of how he handled himself through it all.”
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE (JPN) (sixth) – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN) Derby dreams were dashed at the start when he brushed the gate leaving post 14.
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           “It was an important race, but the moment the gate opened was everything,” trainer Hidetaka Otonashi said. “My strategy was to race in front, but I got into a situation where I couldn’t do that at all and it was impossible to come back from that position. I wanted to make a good lead if possible. (Jockey Christophe) Lemaire said he felt good, but again he was poorly positioned. I think it is all about the late start out of the gate.”
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           Derma Sotogake is scheduled to return to Japan on Monday with the Japan Dirt Derby on July 12 as the next goal.
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           TAPIT TRICE (seventh), KINGSBARNS (14
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           ) –  Trainer Todd Pletcher was back on the job at Barn 39 early Sunday morning.
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           “They both came out of it well,” he said, “and we’ll be vanning them up to New York at some point in the next while.”
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           Pletcher also had planned to run the likely Derby favorite – 2-year-old champion Forte – in the headliner but on the morning of the race Kentucky state racing veterinarians deemed the colt not ready to compete because of an issue with his right front hoof.
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           The two colts he did get to run were Derby starters 63 and 64 for the Hall of Fame conditioner. He won the Run for the Roses in 2010 with Super Saver and again with Always Dreaming in 2017.
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           Pletcher also said he’d likely be shipping his two of Kentucky Oaks horses – Gambling Girl, who finished second, beaten a neck, in Friday’s 149th edition of the “Run for the Lilies,” and Julia Shining, who never made it off the also-eligible list – to New York.
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           “There’s still a chance we might run Julia Shining in the Black-Eyed Susan at Pimlico during Preakness Week,” the conditioner noted. “I’ll have to huddle with the owners on that.”
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           RAISE CAIN (eighth) – Andrew  and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain headed back to Keeneland on Sunday to trainer Ben Colebrook’s main base of operations. Plans are to be determined for the Gotham (GIII) winner.
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           “We will see how he comes out of this race, but there are no definite plans for his next race,” Colebrook said. “He ran hard and had a tough trip late in the race.”
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           ROCKET CAN (ninth) – Frank Fletcher Racing Operation’s Rocket Can was in good shape Sunday morning at Barn 19, according to Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott’s chief assistant Kenny McCarthy.
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           The Mott barn enjoyed success on the Derby undercard Saturday with Godolphin’s Cody’s Wish returning to the winner’s circle in the $750,000 Churchill Downs Stakes (GI).
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           Even though Rocket Can did not win the Run for the Roses, the Mott barn still played a part in the success of Mage’s victory. His dam, Puca, was trained by Mott and finished 12
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           th
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            in the 2015 Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI).
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           CONFIDENCE GAME (10
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           ) – Don’t Tell My Wife Stables  and Ocean Reef Racing Stables’ Confidence Game “seemed happy” Sunday morning following his 10th-place finish in the Derby and will be considered for the Preakness Stakes, according to trainer Keith Desormeaux.
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           “Yes, if he’s up to it. Absolutely,” Desormeaux said via text message.
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           SUN THUNDER (11
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           ) –  All was well with the Kenny McPeek-trained Sun Thunder Sunday morning following his 11
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            -place finish in the Kentucky Derby. McPeek reported Saturday that the Belmont Stakes (GI) could be in play for his next start.
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           MANDARIN HERO (12
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           ) – Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero (JPN) is scheduled to return to Japan Monday with connections looking at the Japan Dirt Derby on July 12.
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           Mandarin Hero had a wide trip and was bumped hard in the second turn under Kazushi Kimura in his second U.S. start following a runner-up finish in the Santa Anita Derby (GI).
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           “I was hoping to finish in the top five, but it turned out to be a disappointing result. But I am glad I took on the challenge,” trainer Terunobu Fujita said. “The horse behaved well throughout the walkover, paddock and post parade. And he loaded into the gate well, so the atmosphere was no problem.
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           “The start was good and I was in good position along the way, so I believed that he would use his good legs at the end. I can only give thanks to Mandarin Hero for running hard until the end even though his face was caked with mud. I am very proud of him and I appreciate everyone who cheered us on.”
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           Also heading back to Japan on Monday is Continuar (JPN), who was withdrawn from the Derby Thursday night by trainer Yoshito Yahagi. Continuar also will target the Japan Dirt Derby.
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           REINCARNATE (13
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           ) –  Trainer Tim Yakteen was closing up shop Sunday morning at Barn 27 on the Churchill backside, getting things ship shape so he and his wife, Millie Ball, could catch a plane back to Los Angeles later in the day. He had made arrangements for another plane to take the six runners he had brought east to run on the Derby Day card to return to their Santa Anita headquarters on Wednesday.
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           “Reincarnate came out of the Derby in good shape,” the conditioner said.
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           He also reported that Practical Move, the big colt who had spiked a fever during Derby Week and never got a chance to run in the 149th edition of the Kentucky Derby, was recovering nicely and that he, too, would be aboard the Wednesday flight.   
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           KING RUSSELL (15
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           ) –  Trainer Ron Moquett reported that Brereton C. Jones and Naber Racing’s King Russell exited his 15th-place finish in the Kentucky Derby in good order and that next race plans are pending.
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           CYCLONE MISCHIEF (18
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           ) – Albaugh Family Stables’ Cyclone Mischief  was the final entrant in this year’s Kentucky Derby but after a tough start, he finished 18
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           th
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           . Trainer Dale Romans chief assistant Baldemar Bahena stated the barn was disappointed in the outcome but the horse was doing fine Sunday morning.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 07 May 2023 18:01:26 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-sunday-may-7-2023</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Churchill Downs Addresses Horse Fatalities</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/churchill-downs-addresses-horse-fatalities</link>
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           Churchill Downs Addresses Horse Fatalities
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           Churchill Downs issued the following statement after the Kentucky Derby in the wake of seven equine fatalities at the track in the last week.
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           "Two horses sustained severe injuries during today’s Churchill Downs race card. Chloe’s Dream suffered a right knee fracture in Race 2 at the top of the first turn. Freezing Point incurred a left front biaxial sesamoid fracture in Race 8 midway down the backstretch. In the interest of pursuing the most humane treatment for each horse, the owner, trainer and private veterinarian, in consultation with a board-certified equine surgeon, made the difficult decision to euthanize. We express our most sincere condolences to those connections who cared for and loved Chloe’s Dream and Freezing Point. 
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           "It is with the utmost sadness that we report these tragic fatal injuries. Churchill Downs is unwavering in our commitment to the health and well-being of equine safety. The equine fatalities leading to this year’s Kentucky Derby are a sobering reminder of the urgent need to mobilize our industry in order to explore every avenue possible and effectively minimize any avoidable risk in the sport.
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           "Despite our determination to continually improve upon the highest industry standards, there is more to be done and we will rigorously work to understand what caused these incidents and build upon our existing data, programs and practices to better understand what has been incredibly difficult for us to witness and accept this week.
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           "While each incident reported has been unique, it is important to note that there has been no discernable pattern detected in the injuries sustained. Our track surfaces are closely monitored by industry experts to ensure their integrity. Each horse that participates in racing at Churchill Downs must undergo multiple, comprehensive veterinarian exams and observations to ensure their fitness to race.
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           "From here, we will fully and actively work with the Kentucky Horseracing Commission (KHRC) and the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority (HISA) to thoroughly investigate each incident to determine, to the degree possible, any underlying health or environmental causes and apply those learnings to continue to improve the safety of this sport. Together, we all want what is best for the horses.
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           "The team at Churchill Downs works year-round to deliver an inspiring and world-class event to thousands of fans, but also to provide the safest racing environment each and every day. We are proud of the enduring legacy of the Kentucky Derby and these magnificent horses are central to its iconic appeal. While we believe the incidents leading to this year’s Derby are anomalies, they are unacceptable and we remain steadfast in our commitment to safety and integrity.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 07 May 2023 13:59:17 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/churchill-downs-addresses-horse-fatalities</guid>
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      <title>Si's Selections</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/si-s-selections</link>
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           Si's Selections for Kentucky Derby 149
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           #5 TAPIT TRICE
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           #17 DERMA SOTOGAKE
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           #14 ANGEL OF EMPIRE
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           #11 DISARM
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           #3 TWO PHIL'S
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           FORTE hard to leave out. I like Tapit Trice more and Forte's odds are too low for me. A little worried about post 15 too.
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           GOOD LUCK!    SI
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      <pubDate>Sat, 06 May 2023 11:49:55 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/si-s-selections</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Friday, May 5, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-friday-may-5-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Friday, May 5, 2023
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           C R K Racing’s Skinner was scratched from Kentucky Derby 149, trainer John Shirreffs citing an elevated temperature. With the defection of Skinner, the Kentucky Derby field is down to 19 starters. Practical Move, Lord Miles and Continuar (JPN) were scratched on Thursday. The last time four horses were scratched from the Kentucky Derby was 2015 when 22 horses entered the race.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – Gary and Mary West’s Hit Show went out to train at 6:30 a.m., while his other three Derby running stablemates, Albaugh Family Stables’ Angel of Empire, West Point Thoroughbreds and Albaugh Family Stables’ Jace’s Road, and Coolmore’s Verifying went to out to train at 7:45 a.m. during the special training time Friday.
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           All four had routine 1 ½-mile gallops, including Verifying, who had gotten loose after dumping his exercise rider Thursday. 
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            “Everybody’s good,” trainer Brad Cox said.       
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Don’t Tell My Wife Stables’ Confidence Game returned to the track Friday to gallop and is likely to also gallop Saturday morning, race day.
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           When asked earlier in the week, how he saw the Kentucky Derby playing out, trainer Keith Desormeaux said, “It seems simple to me. In my mind, it’s simple. Our post position is determined. Hopefully there’s speed on the outside, surely. They’re going to be sending their horses. They are going to overdo it and they’re going to come down on us. But, that pace is going to be rapid and if James Graham can just get him out on the rail, do a Calvin Borel special and get him on the rail and comfortable. And, hopefully the Red Sea opens when it’s time to go. But yeah, simple. Get on the rail and pray.”
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           CYCLONE MISCHIEF  – After sweating out whether Cyclone Mischief would make the field, trainer Dale Romans was relaxed Friday morning after his colt galloped with exercise rider Faustino Herrarte.
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           On Thursday, Cyclone Mischief made the field when Practical Move was scratched with a fever. By Friday morning, with three more scratches, the colt owned by Albaugh Family Stables LLC and Castleton Lyons took ownership of the No. 17 gate. He’ll wear the 21 saddle number for betting purposes.
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           “The entire look of the race really changed yesterday,” Romans said following his horse’s gallop of about a mile-and-three-eighths. “I’m happy with his gallop.”
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN)  came on the track accompanied by a pony at 6:50 and walked to the frontside of the track before circling back to the mile chute where he walked with the pony for 30 minutes.
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           After jogging in the chute for another 10 minutes and walking for five, Derma Sotogake galloped a little more than a mile.
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           Trained by Hidetaka Otonashi, Derma Sotogake will be ridden in the Derby by Christophe Lemaire.
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           Lemaire, who will be riding in the Kentucky Derby for the second time, was aboard Derma Sotogake for the first time in the UAE Derby (GII) victory. The UAE Derby was the eighth start for Derma Sotogake, making him and Two Phil’s the most experienced runners in Derby 149.
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           “He has a lot of experience and it has made him tougher and tougher,” Lemaire said. “It is important to have that experience with 18 other horses in a high level race.”
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           Derma Sotogake led all the way in the UAE Derby victory, but Lemaire says he doesn’t have to have the lead.
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           “In the past, he has won from the middle and from the front,” Lemaire said. “He can adapt to the conditions of the race and that is a big advantage for me.”
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           Derma Sotogake is not expected to go to the track Saturday morning.
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           DISARM – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm galloped Friday at 7:45 a.m. for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/TAPIT TRICE –  The Todd Pletcher trio galloped strongly Friday morning for the last time coming up to their dates with destiny Saturday in Kentucky Derby 149.
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           They took advantage of the special 7:45 to 8 a.m. training period for Oaks and Derby horses only on the big Churchill Downs strip. The three colts had their usual exercise riders aboard for their mile and three-eighths exercise – Hector Ramos on multiple-stakes winner Forte; Elder Flores on the undefeated Kingsbarns, and Amelia Green aboard the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) ace Tapit Trice.
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           The Hall of Fame trainer was asked if there was any one thing he’d wished he had for any of his three runners coming up to the mile and one-quarter Classic.
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           “In a perfect world, I would have liked to have had one more race for seasoning for Kingsbarns,” he said. (The Uncle Mo colt has only three starts coming into the race.) “But other than that, we’re all good to go.”
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           Pletcher has Irad Ortiz Jr. named to ride Forte; Jose Ortiz set to handle Kingsbarns, and Luis Saez set to handle Tapit Trice.
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           KING RUSSELL  – Brereton C. Jones and Naber Racing’s King Russell galloped 1 ½ miles Friday at 7:45 a.m., his first gallop as an official Kentucky Derby starter. The Arkansas Derby runner-up, AE23, needed three defections to make the field and after two earlier in the day, the connections got word shortly before 9 p.m. when Continuar was coming out and King Russell was in.
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           “I kind of thought we’d get in the whole time,” trainer Ron Moquett said. “I was under the impression we would be and should be in the Derby. I schooled him yesterday as if he was in the race, but at the time I was walking to the paddock, it was still a full field.”
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           Moquett has never wavered in his confidence in King Russell, a son of Creative Cause, who ran fifth in the Kentucky Derby and third in the Preakness in 2012. When asked what gives him that confidence, Moquett said, “I think he’s improving and the fact there are some well-meant horses that finished behind us that day (in the Arkansas Derby). We’re moving forward at the right time. That’s what anybody wants for their horse to be happy and healthy, to be peaking at the right moment. Hopefully, we get a good trip and everything works out well.”
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           MAGE –  The Good Magic colt, runner-up to Forte in the Florida Derby (GI), galloped Friday a little more than a mile-and-a-half with regular exercise rider J.J. Delgado. 
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           “We’re pleased with the way he has been training for the race,” said assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr. “He’s ready.”
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           Delgado Jr. said his father, trainer Gustavo Delgado Sr., does not plan to take Mage onto the track Saturday morning. Javier Castellano will ride the colt, owned by OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH. He’s listed at 15-1 on the morning line.
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           MANDARIN HERO (JPN)  – Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero came on the track at 6:50 and walked to the frontside of the track before circling back to the mile chute where he walked for 30 minutes. After jogging in the chute for another 10 minutes and walking for five, Mandarin Hero galloped a little more than mile under Yuji Horita.
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           Mandarin Hero did not draw into the main body of the race until Thursday with the withdrawal from the field of Practical Move and Lord Miles.
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           Trainer Terunobu Fujita had canceled a flight to Louisville when it appeared the Santa Anita Derby (GI) runner-up would not be in the starting gate. However, last-minute arrangements were made with Fujita scheduled to arrive late tonight.
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           Arai is scheduled to arrive in Louisville this afternoon.
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           Another late arrival will be jockey Kazushi Kimura, who has six mounts this afternoon on Woodbine’s program that begins at 1:10 p.m. ET. Kimura, who rode Mandarin Hero in the Santa Anita Derby, is scheduled to arrive in Louisville at midnight.
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           Mandarin Hero will not go to the track Saturday morning.
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           REINCARNATE –  Trainer Tim Yakteen’s remaining Kentucky Derby hope – SF Racing (and partners) Reincarnate – went out early (5:15) Friday and galloped a mile and a quarter under Baltazar Contreras in his final piece of preparation for Saturday’s Derby 149.
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           The California-based conditioner was forced to scratch his other Derby hope – the big colt Practical Move – when he spiked a fever Thursday after training in the morning. Word out of the barn is that he was doing better Friday, but they were hoping for better yet by Monday when the trainer has arrangements to fly back west the six horses he brought to town for Saturday’s card.
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           Reincarnate, who’ll be handled in the Derby by Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez, will break from Post 7 in the 20-horse lineup.   
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           RAISE CAIN – Andrew and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain  jogged with exercise rider Rene Morales aboard for trainer Ben Colebrook to complete his preparation for Derby 149.
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           Raise Cain, who represents Colebrook’s first Derby starter, and will be ridden by Gerardo Corrales, also in his first Derby.
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           “I hope he gets a clean break and gets into the first turn without getting wiped out,” Colebrook said of the deep closer. “I think there will be more pace than people think.”
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           ROCKET CAN –  The Into Mischief colt, owned by Frank Fletcher Racing Operations, was on the track Friday morning for a gallop of about a mile-and-three-eighths with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona. He’ll also have a gallop on Saturday, roughly 11 hours before the Derby.
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           “He made it around there, and made it back,” Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott joked, noting that he’ll bring Rocket Can out on Saturday morning. “No problems.”
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           The colt, listed at morning-line odds of 30-1, will have Junior Alvarado aboard in the Derby. He’ll wear blinkers, and has worn them in training.
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           SKINNER –  Just as things appeared to be coming up rosy for trainer John Shirreffs and his Kentucky Derby candidate Skinner, the bottom fell out Friday morning.
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           The Curlin colt had galloped a mile strongly Friday morning during the special 7:45 to 8 a.m. Derby/Oaks training period and all looked well. But then, back at Barn 41, something seemed amiss. Several temperature checks on the well-made bay did not come back right, forcing the veteran conditioner to alert track officials that it would not be right for him to run Saturday. It was a last-minute heartbreaker for the trainer and the horse’s connections, the C R K Stable of Californians Lee and Susan Searing.
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           Skinner was a fast-closing third in his most-recent outing, the Santa Anita Derby on April 8 and was seen as a serious contender for the Kentucky Derby. He had been scheduled to be handled by California’s top rider, Juan Hernandez.
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           Ironically, the winner of the Santa Anita Derby, the big colt Practical Move, had spiked a fever Thursday also forcing his people to take him out of the race.
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           With Skinner’s withdrawal, the field for Derby 149 is now reduced to 19 runners.
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           SUN THUNDER –  Trainer Kenny McPeek had his colt back on the track Friday morning with regular exercise rider Martin Vargas, galloping slightly more than a mile-and-a-half. McPeek’s assistant, Greg Geier, said there are no plans for Sun Thunder to go out on Derby Day to train.
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           The colt, owned by R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine is 50-1 on the morning line, has trained with blinkers on, and will wear them in the Derby.
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           TWO PHIL’S – Patricia’s Hope, Phillip Sagan, and Madaket Stable’s Two Phil’s  had a walk day on Friday ahead of his “Run for the Roses.”
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           “He’s feeling strong,” trainer Larry Rivelli said.
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           This will be Rivelli’s first Derby and the same goes for Two Phil’s jockey, Jareth Loveberry. Winner of the Street Sense as a 2-year-old over a sloppy track, the son of Hard Spun has one win over the local track in two tries.
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            ﻿
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           “We’d be very happy if it rained,” owner Anthony Sagan said.
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      <pubDate>Fri, 05 May 2023 15:36:16 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-friday-may-5-2023</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: Thursday, May 4, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-thursday-may-4-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: May 4, 2023
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           Includes Kentucky Oaks
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           Less than 48 hours remain until the first Saturday and trainers are ea
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           gerly watching as their Kentucky Derby contenders log their final training sessions before the Run for the Roses.   It was an eventful morning for trainer Brad Cox with three of his four Derby contenders scheduled to gallop at 7:30 a.m. Two of three contenders were completing their final circuit around the racetrack when the third runner, Verifying, passed the five-furlong marker and got loose from his rider. He was apprehended at the quarter pole by Outriders Greg Blasi and Lee Lockwood.
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           Cox reported Verifying was fine following the training mishap.
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           Moments later, Peter Miller’s filly And Tell Me Nolies reared as she was walking off the track and ran off the gap back to her Barn 24.
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           Miller stated And Tell Me Nolies was OK.
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           There will be special training hours on Friday and Saturday with training from 5:30-7:30 a.m. with Friday’s 7:45-8 slot reserved for Oaks and Derby horses and the same time Saturday for Derby horses.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – Gary and Mary West’s Hit Show went out to train at 5:15 a.m., while his other three Derby running stablemates, Albaugh Family Stables’ Angel of Empire, West Point Thoroughbreds and Albaugh Family Stables’ Jace’s Road, and Coolmore’s Verifying went to out to train at 7:30 a.m. during the special training time Thursday.
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           Three of the four had routine 1 ½-mile gallops, but Verifying had a little more eventful training session. He dumped his exercise rider and had to be caught by outrider Greg Blasi and Lee Lockwood. About an hour later, Cox reported Verifying was “fine.”
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           In addition to the four horses in the Kentucky Derby, Cox also has three fillies in the Kentucky Oaks as he seeks his third win in that race. When asked how he was holding up from the pressures of the week, the Louisville native said, “I’m great. It’s cool, it’s great. Since we got all of our works in and our gate schooling in, I’m just ready for race day to get here.”
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           All four of the Cox Derby runners will school in the paddock during the first race Thursday.
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Don’t Tell My Wife Stables’ Confidence Game walked the shedrow of barn 24 as is the normal routine for the Keith Desormeaux stable. He will return to the track Friday to gallop and is likely to also gallop Saturday morning, race day.
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           A lot has been made out of the fact that Confidence Game has not run since the Rebel Stakes (GII) Feb. 25 at Oaklawn this week, but the only ones not concerned are his trainer and owner.
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           “The answer is simple, it took the ownership a month to sober up,” Desormeaux said. “That’s the funny answer. How do you want me to make a decision when the ownership was still partying a month later? It was awesome. The Rebel was fun for those guys. The serious answer is it was 40 degrees all weekend in Hot Springs that week, he ran in that kind of weather and then we shipped back to New Orleans on Sunday and it’s 80 degrees. In New Orleans it was 80 degrees all week. So, he went from 40 to 80. And, it zapped him. I knew I was going to give him a couple of light weeks. And, right when I got him up to race readiness again, which was around Louisiana Derby time, around Arkansas Derby time, Blue Grass time, it was time to ship here. And, horses need to acclimate. He was going from New Orleans to Louisville, changing homes, changing routine. I just didn’t think adding a race on top of that was beneficial to what I wanted to do Saturday, so we chose not to run and I feel very comfortable with that decision. The horse is just thriving right now.”
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           “Ten weeks, there’s been a lot of talk about this, but Keith and I talked about it and we felt it was in the best interest of the horse,” Don’t Tell My Wife Stables Managing Partner Kirk Godby said. “We wanted to have him fresh and ready to run in the Triple Crown. We felt this gives him the best chance to compete in this race and then go on from there. We’re excited.”
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           CONTINUAR  – Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.’s Continuar (JPN) walked from the Quarantine Barn to the front of the grandstand and then went to the mile chute where he warmed up during the first harrow break of the morning.
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           When the track reopened for training at 7:30, Continuar cantered a mile with trainer Yoshito Yahagi looking on.
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           Ryusei Sakai will be aboard Continuar for his first Derby mount and will break from post 20.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN) walked from the Quarantine Barn to the front of the grandstand and then went to the mile chute where he warmed up during the first harrow break of the morning.
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           When the track reopened at 7:30, the UAE Derby (GII) winner galloped a mile and a quarter as trainer Hidetaka Otonashi and jockey Christophe Lemaire looked on.
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           Derma Sotogake will represent the second Derby mount for Lemaire, who was aboard Crown Pride (JPN) last year when that runner finished 13th.
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           Lemaire rode the son of Mind Your Biscuits for the first time in the UAE Derby, a front-running 5 ½-length victory, a performance that propelled Derma Sotogake to the co-fourth choice on the Derby 149 morning line at 10-1.
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           DISARM – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm galloped Thursday at 7:30 a.m. for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE –  As per usual, Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher had his Derby trio trackside and ready to roll for the special 7:30 to 7:45 training period for Derby and Oaks runners. They all went about their business by galloping about a mile and three eighths around the big Churchill oval.
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           The threesome consisted of Derby favorite Forte (with exercise rider Hector Ramos up), the undefeated Kingsbarns (Elder Flores) and the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) star Tapit Trice (Amelia Green).
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           Green, a young English horsewoman who has worked for Pletcher for the past six years, was asked about the possibility of her charge – the gray Tapit Trice – winning Saturday’s Derby and what that would mean to her.
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           “Well, I’m lucky to be working in a good barn with good horses,” she said. “All our horses are working well, including mine. But I don’t think you’re going to find anyone here this week with a Derby horse that wouldn’t tell you their horse is training well.
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           “If one of the horses from our barn were to win, I’d be delighted. We’re a team here and we root for each other and want the others to do well. But probably – deep in my heart – there’s a place that would feel very warm if my horse was to win the Derby. That would be special.”
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           Pletcher said “All is good so far,” when asked about his Derby hopefuls. He’s scheduled them for a visit to the paddock with the horses for today’s Race six and indicated his runners would be ready to train again Friday in the special 7:45 to 8 a.m. training session for Derby and Oaks runners.
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           LORD MILES – Vegso Racing Stable’s Wood Memorial (GII) winner walked the shedrow Thursday morning.
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           MAGE –  The Good Magic colt, runner-up to Forte in the Florida Derby (GI), galloped Thursday with regular exercise rider J.J. Delgado.
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           “Today he was schooling at the gate, and he looked really, really good on the track,” said trainer Gustavo Delgado. “There wasn’t any problem when the horse (Verifying) got loose. Today he’s probably going to the paddock, too.”
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           “The talent he’s showing is very great,” Delgado added after lightly raced Mage galloped a strong mile-and-a-half.
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           Javier Castellano will ride the colt, owned by OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH, out of post eight. He’s listed at 15-1 on the morning line.
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           PRACTICAL MOVE/REINCARNATE –  Trainer Tim Yakteen sent his Santa Anita Derby winner Practical Move out for a good gallop at the start of the special 7:30 to 7:45 training session Thursday morning at Churchill Downs. The big colt by Practical Joke galloped under exercise rider Baltazar Contreras for a mile and three-eighths and schooled in the starting gate as well.
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           At 7:55 Contreras got a leg up on Reincarnate, the Sham Stakes (GIII) winner, and he, too, headed to the racetrack for a good gallop, covering a mile and a quarter when all was said and done.
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           The trainer was asked if all was good with his charges heading toward Derby 149.
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           “Yes, I’m happy with where my horses are,” he said. “Everything is going well.”
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           Practical Move will break out of Post 10 Saturday with regular rider Ramon Vazquez aboard. Reincarnate will come out of Post seven and have Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez in the saddle.
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           RAISE CAIN – Andrew and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain  galloped 1 ½ miles under Rene Morales for trainer Ben Colebrook.
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           “This morning was as good as he ever trained,” Colebrook said. “His ears were pricked.”
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           Raise Cain will represent the first Derby starter for the 45-year-old Colebrook, who went out on his own in 2012.
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           “The first Derby I saw in person was Thunder Gulch in 1995,” Colebrook said. “The first Derby I really remember was Alysheba (in 1987). He was my favorite horse.”
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           ROCKET CAN –  The Into Mischief colt, owned by Frank Fletcher Racing Operations, was on the track Thursday morning for a gallop of about a mile-and-three-eighths with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona.
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           “We got held up a bit, but it turned out OK,” said Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott, referring to Verifying dumping his exercise rider and taking off.
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           Rocket Can, who drew the No. 18 post position and was listed at morning-line odds of 30-1, will have Junior Alvarado aboard in the Derby. He’ll wear blinkers, and has trained with them on.
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           SKINNER –  Following a pattern he set on his first Churchill training morning this past Monday, trainer John Shirreffs sent his colt Skinner to the racetrack at 9 a.m. for his morning exercise.
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           The Curlin colt, a $510,000 2-year-old-in-training purchase by owners C R K Stable, had exercise rider Donnie Balthazar up and a stable pony alongside as they came through the six-furlong gap and backtracked to the finish line and up into the paddock. The rider then took the bay onto the racetrack from there for a strong mile and one-half gallop, moving smartly in the middle of the racetrack. Skinner was on the bit and wanting to run.
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           “Oh, yeah, happy with that strong move,” said Shirreffs, who watched he drill from a viewing stand on the backside.
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           Skinner was escorted by veteran pony lady Monnie Goetz. She has taken Shirreffs previous Kentucky Derby winner, Giacomo, to the post for the 2005 Kentucky Derby. She was asked if she had happy memories of that.
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           “Oh, yes,” she said. “That’s always fun when you’re working with a winner. I’ve had a couple of others that I took to the post, too – Orb in 2013 and California Chrome in 2014.”
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           Who, it was wondered, would she be taking postward for Derby 149?
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           “Don’t know yet,” she noted. “I’ve been working with about 13 of them leading up to the race. I’ll wind up with one of them.”
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           Made aware of the special training hours in place for Friday because of the Kentucky Oaks card, Shirreffs indicated that he would send his charge out during the special 7:45 to 8 a.m. training period set aside for Derby and Oaks runners. The track closes for training after that. 
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           SUN THUNDER –  Trainer Kenny McPeek had his colt back on the track Thursday with regular exercise rider Martin Vargas, galloping slightly more than a mile.
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           On Oaks Day, McPeek plans to send Sun Thunder out in the first set when the track opens at 5:15 a.m.
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           Riding Sun Thunder in his breeze was his Derby jockey, Brian Hernandez Jr. The colt, owned by R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine, has been training with blinkers on, and will wear them in the Derby. Sun Thunder and Hernandez will leave the Derby starting gate from post position 13. He’s listed at 50-1 on the morning line.
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           McPeek has made headlines throughout the week sporting University of Kentucky and University of Louisville gear. However, Wednesday night McPeek and his family attended the Davenport Derby Dash, a benefit for the Scott Davenport Foundation at Bellarmine University.
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           When asked at the event his instructions to Hernandez in the Derby, McPeek stated, “I’m just watching along. I’ll let Brian decide what to do.”
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           TWO PHIL’S – Patricia’s Hope, Phillip Sagan, and Madaket Stable’s Two Phil’s  visited the track earlier than usual on Thursday, galloping his standard 1 and 1/4 miles at 6 a.m. under exercise rider Gonzalo Gonzales. The son of Hard Spun by the General Quarters mare Mia Torri was bred by the father and son team of Chicago natives Philip and Anthony Sagan, who have retained 10 percent ownership.
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           One of the two eponymous Phils, Phil Sagan arrived in Louisville on Wednesday and joined son Anthony on the backside Thursday morning.
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           Two Phil’s is the first horse we ever bred, and nobody wanted him,” Anthony Sagan said. “His mother is a Florida-bred and we actually bought her off Michael “Bo” Yates (trainer of Oaks filly Dorth Vader). She was the first horse we ever bought. The mom is the same type of horse—relaxed, easy going, nothing bothered her, she didn't lose her mind in the paddock—so he got that from her. How many guys get involved in the game with one horse and then after she’s done racing, breed that horse, and the first horse she has is now in the Derby.”
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           Two Phil’s has two brothers, a two-year-old by Omaha Beach and a baby by McKenzie. The chestnut colt will school in the paddock ahead of Race three on Thursday.
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES (at the time notes were released)  – Trainer Dale Romans is making sure Cyclone Mischief is fresh, fit and ready to step into the 20th starting gate on Saturday, if a horse is scratched from the Derby field.
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           “He went out to school in the gate, and will stand in the paddock today,” Romans said Friday following a gallop of about a mile-and-three-eighths with exercise rider Faustino Herrarte. “He galloped super today.”
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           Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero galloped two miles under Yuji Horita.
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           Brereton C. Jones and Naber Racing’s King Russell galloped 1 ½ miles Thursday at 7:30 a.m.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           AFFIRMATIVE LADY – AMO Racing USA’s Affirmative Lady had an eventful mile and a half gallop under Kevin Lundie.
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           “She had an interrupted mile and a half,” trainer Graham Motion said. “She had to pull up because of the loose horse. It’s ironic, really, with the special training time and there is supposed to be no drama.”
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           Winner of the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) in her most recent start, Affirmative Lady will exit post 13 under John Velazquez in Friday afternoon’s Oaks.
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           “I’d like to see Johnny save some ground going into the first turn,” Motion said. “He has done it so many times, I will leave it up to him.”
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           Motion said Affirmative Lady would not go to the track in the morning.
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           AND TELL ME NOLIES – Peter Redekop’s And Tell Me Nolies  went out to train at 7:30 a.m. with the other Kentucky Oaks and Derby contenders and was appearing to have a routine morning of galloping and standing in the starting gate until the very end of the session. As she was walking back to the barn, she reared and dumped her exercise rider before galloping at full speed off the track and back to the barn.
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           Trainer Peter Miller, who had been watching training with his two sons Jacob and Seth, reported the filly appears to be fine and they are moving forward to the Oaks.
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           “She just got real happy and reared up,” Miller said. “Luckily, she didn’t go down or anything, so she’s OK. She seems OK.”
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox sent Botanical and The Alys Look to the track together first set at 5:15 a.m. along with Derby runner Hit Show for their Thursday training and they both galloped a 1 ½ miles. Kentucky Oaks morning line favorite Wet Paint went out to train at 7:30 with three of her stablemates running in the Kentucky Derby, Angel of Empire, Jace’s Road and Verifying, and she also galloped 1 ½ miles.
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           “They’re really good,” Cox said. “They just had regular gallops. They all schooled yesterday and were great. They’ll just walk tomorrow.”
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           DEFINING PURPOSE –  The Ashland Stakes (GI) winner took to the track Thursday morning during the period reserved for Oaks and Derby horses, with regular exercise rider Shelby Spalding aboard, for the usual gallop of about a mile-and-three-eighths.
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           “My filly was off the track before it happened, so she got in her full gallop,” trainer Kenny McPeek said of the incident with Verifying dumping his exercise rider and running off. She’ll walk the shedrow early Friday, before the Oaks later in the day.
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           The filly, who races in the silks of Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball, drew the No. 11 post position in the field of 14. Brian Hernandez Jr. will ride 12-1 Defining Purpose Friday.
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           DORTH VADER – John Ropes’ Dorth Vader had a routine 1 ½-mile gallop at 7:30 a.m. Thursday.
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           FLYING CONNECTION – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection  galloped a mile and a half under Oscar Rojero.
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           “She had to pull up (because of the loose horse), but a couple minutes later I saw her around the seven-eighths pole and see was going strong,” trainer Todd Fincher said.
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           Fincher said the wire-to-wire winner of the Sunland Park Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start would not go to the track Friday morning.
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           Florent Geroux, who worked Flying Connection twice here, has the mount and will leave from post 10.
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           “I’d like to see her break a length and front and have a clean trip,” said Fincher, who is saddling his first Oaks starter. “Then we will see how she stacks up.”
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           GAMBLING GIRL/JULIA SHINING  –  Trainer Todd Pletcher had his two Kentucky Oaks possibles trackside for the special training session between 7:30 and 7:45 Thursday morning. Exercise rider Carlos Quevedo was at the controls for Gambling Girl, while Humberto Zamora was in the saddle with Julia Shining.
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           Gambling Girl is guaranteed a spot for the 149th edition of the “Run for the Lillies,” while Julia Shining will need a couple of scratches in the race prior to 9 a.m. Friday. Both took their Thursday exercise over a mile and three eighths on a sunny Louisville morning.
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           Gambling Girl will have Irad Ortiz Jr. in the tack and break from Post three. Julia Shining may wind up in the Black-Eyed Susan on Preakness weekend in Baltimore
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           MIMI KAKUSHI –  Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi jogged a mile alongside a pony and then galloped a mile under Xavier Ziani.
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           Trainer Salem bin Ghadayer said Mimi Kakushi could go to the track in the morning or be hand-walked in the Quarantine Barn.
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           Mimi Kakushi will represent bin Ghadayer’s first starter in the United States and the trainer is optimistic about his filly.
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           “She has improved every race and I think she has a good chance,” bin Ghadayer said of the UAE Oaks (GIII) winner. “It is a very open race, but we came here to win and not to turn around and go back home.”
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            PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS –  With trainer Brendan Walsh on pony overseeing the preparations, Pretty Mischievous galloped her regular distance of one mile and a half during the 7:30 - 7:45 a.m. Derby/Oaks training window. 
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           “She’s had a great week, really she’s doing super,” Walsh said. “She’s got a lot of class. It’s been a good couple of days so far, which feels good heading into a big weekend.”
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           Walsh has saddled three winners from four entries in the first three days of Churchill’s Spring Meet, including winning two maiden races on Wednesday’s card with Gloria’s Princess and Eddie M.
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           PROMISEHER AMERICA –  Forgoing the Derby and Oaks training window, Hoffman Thoroughbreds, Tom McCrocklin, and Medallion Racing’s Promiseher America jogged one mile at around 6:00 a.m. Thursday.
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              “She did perfect. She’s a quiet filly. She’s not nervous at all and seems like her normal self in the new environment. (Her exercise rider Fernando Tapara) was really happy with the gallop yesterday,” assistant trainer Rodrigo Montecino reported.
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Robert Masterson’s Southlawn had a 1 ½-mile gallop Thursday morning for trainer Norm Casse. Jockey Rey Gutierrez was on hand watching his Oaks mount train while getting interviewed in the Kentucky Derby Morning Works Show.
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            WONDER WHEEL –  A day after making an appearance during the Oaks and Derby training window, the Mark Casse-trainee Wonder Wheel returned to her routine exercise time of 6 a.m. on Thursday morning. Assistant trainer David Carroll led D.J. Stable’s filly through an easy gallop.
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           “If the real Wonder Wheel shows up, she’ll be tough,” Mark Casse said. “She is 2 for 2 here at Churchill. My wife brought two dresses, her fancy dress for Derby day and her other dress which is nice but is for the Oaks, and I told her she might want to reverse that. I can’t say anything better than that about how she is doing.”
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      <pubDate>Fri, 05 May 2023 00:07:09 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-thursday-may-4-2023</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Dick's Picks for the 2023 Kentucky Derby</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/dick-s-picks-for-the-2023-kentucky-derby</link>
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           Dick's Picks for the 2023 Kentucky Derby
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted May 4, 2023 at 12:48 p.m. ET
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           Updated May 4, 2023 at 3:13 p.m. ET with scratch of Practical Move, inclusion of Cyclone Mischief
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           Updated May 4, 2023 at 5:12 p.m. ET with Lord Miles ordered out of the race, inclusion of Mandarin Hero
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           Updated May 4, 2023 at 11:15 p.m. ET with scratch of Continuar, inclusion of King Russell
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           Updated May 5, 2023 at 11:05 a.m. ET with scratch of Skinner
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           Updated May 6, 2023 at 12:02 p.m. ET after scratch of Forte
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           PLEASE NOTE  FINAL REVISIONS AND FINAL EDIT TOOK PLACE ON SATURDAY AFTER THE SCRATCH OF FORTE.
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           RACE SETUP
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           Most of the early speed drew inside one of the two horses among the three lowest morning lines: Angel of Empire (#14, 8-1) and Derma Sotogake (#17, 10-1). With a good trip Angel of Empire can sit outside the initial pace, and with a well-timed ride he can loom large as the field turns for home and and the wall of sound to run the dramatic last quarter-mile of the Kentucky Derby.
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           Tapit Trice (#5, 5-1), the morning line favorite with the scratch of Forte, doesn't break from the gate all that well and may very well find himself behind horses in the early going. I suspect Tapit Trice, in order to be most effective and utilize his long stride, will need to find a way to get outside the speed, but how long will it take? More about that below.
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           Angel of Empire being outside the early pace, especially a quick early pace, will help him. The consensus seems to be the early pace won't be hot, but you never know in the Derby. No one saw a 45-and-change first half-mile coming last year, but it happened.
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           The addition of #22 Mandarin Hero and #23 King Russell in the outside posts puts two more closers in the field.
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           My thought is Reincarnate (#7) is a good candidate to lead the field into the first turn after his most recent workout going four furlongs in 46:40 Handily (1/31) at Santa Anita. He may try to take it all the way, Baffert style, but without being in Baffert's barn. If he does, well, that's horse racing for better or for worse.
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           Verifying (#2) could be right there with Reincarnate at the first turn IF he isn't shuffled back by the inevitable narrowing of running room while horses are jockeyed for position the first time down the lane.
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           Confidence Game (#4) has won two races on the lead and had a very aggressive workout last Saturday, so it's hard to rule out an early engagement for him.
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           Kingsbarns (#6) won the Louisiana Derby on the lead when he put a field with little early speed to sleep and got away with moderate fractions. As long as he isn't banged around much in the early going, he won't have a problem dealing with kickback, so while I don't look for Kingsbarns to lead early I suspect he'll be prominent.
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           Other horses are, in my opinion, candidates to be at the front or close to it in the early going: Jace's Road (post 12), a stablemate of Angel of Empire; Derma Sotogake (JPN) (post 17, 10-1), who resents restraint and could be part of the speed; Rocket Can (#18), although I think he is unlikely, and Cyclone Mischief (#21).
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           Should a brisk early pace set up, I see it benefiting my top choice (Angel of Empire) and other closers.
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           _______________
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           OBJECTIVE MEASURES
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           The Downey Profile is an objective evaluation of the Kentucky Derby, and this year we've looked to two other objective measures. Attached here is a summary of the three different objective measures used this year: (a) The Downey Profile rankings; (b) Profile Busters Profile; and (c) Derby by the Speed Numbers.
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           (a) Top 4 Downey Profile horses in order of points: Angel of Empire, Tapit Trice, Confidence Game (added after scratch of Practical Move), Hit Show (Performance Points Only category, moved up after scratch of Forte) and Mandarin Hero (Total Points category, moved up after scratch of Forte)
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           (b) Profile Buster Profile: Mandarin Hero and Two Phil's
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           (c) Top 4 Derby by the Speed Numbers in order of points:
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           Angel of Empire (5), Skinner (4), Two Phil's (4), Tapit Trice (3), Verifying (3)
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           HORSES SUGGESTED BY THESE OBJECTIVE MEASURES
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            ANGEL OF EMPIRE (8-1, #14)
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           He also looks good in both my Profile and Derby by the Speed Numbers.
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           Angel of Empire is my Derby horse. Horses are pack animals, and the ones that separate from the pack like to win. This was one such horse in the Arkansas Derby The way he separated himself from the field, his turn of foot, impressed me. The separation took place quickly.
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           Some might say, what did he beat. You can look at a lot of the fields in races like this and say the same thing about the winner. I don't think this argument holds water, and my answer to it is, he beat every other horse in the race. The fact is that the margin of victory in the Arkansas Derby was much greater than it was in the Santa Anita Derby, the Florida Derby and the Blue Grass Stakes combined.
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           I think the comment made by Chris Landeros after his last workout was telling. Angel of Empire had just left Jace's Road in his dust during the gallop-out -- again we saw a sudden separation of horses. Landeros was aboard Angel of Empire for the move. Asked about the work by the notes team, Landeros said, "He seems to have a lot of gears."
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           Albaugh Family Stables owns Angel of Empire, and they own Jace's Road in partnership with West Point Thoroughbreds. Jace's Road will break from post 12 and represent an early influence that could help insure an honest pace. Meanwhile, Angel of Empire can sit outside the leaders early while Prat waits to see if he will repeat his stunning turn of foot. In the meantime, if he needs to run through kickback Angel of Empire has shown it doesn't bother him.
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           Angel of Empire has a dosage index of 9.00. I have long written about the demise of the dual qualifier (horses had to have a dosage index of 4.00 to qualify, but the handicapping method went away a number of years ago), and some of you may remember I recently wrote Angel of Empire could represent not just the demise, but the extinction of dosage as a factor in the Kentucky Derby. Before the Arkansas Derby, I had never seen a horse with a dosage index this high annihilate foes going nine furlongs.
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           Not only that, but Angel of Empire ran through the wire and led the way in the Arkansas Derby gallop-out, separated two or three lengths from the ran-too-late Red Route One who in the gallop-out was just ahead of second-, third- and fourth-place finishers King Russell, Reincarnate and Rocket Can. Those four remained grouped closely in the first turn like they were at the finish line.
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           One last point, and it's that the Arkansas Derby draws a huge crowd. The Kentucky Derby won't be Angel of Empire's first rodeo in front of a large number of raucous fans. My top selection.
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           TWO PHIL'S (12-1, #3)
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            He is a Profile Buster along with Mandarin Hero, and he rates well in my Derby by the Speed Numbers analysis.
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            Two Phil's is another one that can handle kickback, and he'll likely need that quality exiting from post 3 as horses ahead of him wrangle for position going into the first turn.
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            The win of the Jeff Ruby by Two Phil's was devastating as he came from the middle of the field to blow away his competition in the lane. Like Angel of Empire, he defies pack mentality. Before the synthetic-track Ruby, Two Phil's raced competitively on dirt in the Lecomte and Risen Star, but he could not quite close the deal.
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            Trainer Rivelli said the colt trained super at Turfway, that he clearly liked the synthetic surface, and that he wished for a sloppy track at Churchill Downs on May 6 (Two Phil's won on the slop there last fall). Two Phil's isn't going to have synthetic track or rain on Saturday, but will he need it? His recent works on dirt have been great, and upon arrival at Churchill Downs this week, he's stood on the track like an old pro, unfazed by the activity around him.
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            There's a lot to like here. After the wire in the Jeff Ruby, Two Phil's gallop-out extended all the way to the backstretch, and the camera work doesn't show anything else close to him.
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            And lest we overlook this, synthetic horses are often best on turf. Two Phil's hasn't run on turf, but if he is indeed best on turf, the dirt track at Churchill Downs is known to be kind to some of the turf horses that try it. Major threat.
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           PRACTICAL MOVE (SCRATCHED)
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           He looks good in the Downey Profile and Derby by the Speed Numbers.
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           By my count there are four, maybe five possible early-pace horses located inside Practical Move in the starting gate. Practical Move's backers want to see him get another trip like the ones he got in the San Felipe Stakes and Santa Anita Derby, sitting off (hopefully for him) lesser horses while saving ground before he assumes command.
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           A knock on the Santa Anita Derby as a whole could be that the top three finishers received a perfect setup from two long odds horses setting a brisk pace (54-1 One in Vermillion and 40-1 Low Expectations, pace was 22.30 and 46.30) for over a half-mile. The absence of Geaux Rocket Ride, who was scratched after spiking a fever, left the field absent a front-runner with the potential to carry his speed deep into the stretch.
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           Going into the Kentucky Derby, assuming he gets a good trip and runs well, the question is whether Practical Move can keep it going after a mile and an eighth. His pedigree does not exude classic distance, and he held off a charging Mandarin Hero (as of this post still needing two defections to get in) by only a nose in the Santa Anita Derby, with Skinner a looming one-half length back at the wire. But here's the thing. Despite the momentum Mandarin Hero and Skinner built when they were coming after Practical Move in the lane, Practical Move still led the field through the gallop-out, initially followed most closely by Mandarin Hero and Skinner -- and it was National Treasure, not Mandarin Hero or Skinnerr, who joined Practical Move as they approached the center of the first turn.
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            I'm told there are rumors floating around about Practical Move,
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           but if he isn't okay why does Rosie Napravnik have him picked second? I do take note that none of the other in-house experts at Churchill Downs have him in their top 5 selections, but Rosie has proven them wrong before.
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            FORTE (SCRATCHED)
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           He is in The Downey Profile Top 4.
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           I wonder if Forte will be sent off at 3-1 or less. If those odds hold, maybe we better forget about whatever concerns we have.
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           Concerns like him getting worked up and sweating on his neck like he did before the Florida Derby. Wait, he won the Florida Derby anyway.
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           Concerns like his descending Beyer speed figures. Let's take a look at some comparative figures.
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           Beyers: Breeders' Cup Juvenile: 100. Fountain of Youth: 98. Florida Derby: 95.
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           Brisnet: Breeders' Cup Juvenile: 100. Fountain of Youth: 103. Florida Derby: 100.
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           Equibase: Breeders' Cup Juvenile: 105. Fountain of Youth: 106. Florida Derby: 104.
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           That was a bit anti-climactic unless you trust the Beyer figures a lot more than the others.
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           Concerns that his pedigree doesn't shout classic distance. Maybe it doesn't, but does that mean he can't win the Kentucky Derby?
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           Concerns the Florida Derby took too much out of him. That is possible, in my opinion. Although it was a courageous win, the race kind of fell apart in front of him when second-finisher Mage shortened stride late after coming from last to quickly pass Forte. Forte looked all-out to get the win. Still, after the wire, Forte and Mage galloped out best, but neither of them galloped past the mid-point of the first turn.
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           I feel at this point like I'm playing Devil's Advocate against Forte, just searching for reasons to beat a winner of six races in seven starts, so I'll return to the initial point. Maybe we should just watch the board and see if he gets support to match the future wagers (5-2 in pool 6) and the morning line (3-1). He's a deserving favorite.
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            TAPIT TRICE (5-1, #5)
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           This $1.3 million yearling purchase is in The Downey Profile Top 4 and in the Top 4 of Derby by the Speed Numbers.
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           Tapit Trice did not draw well, in my opinion. Although he has a long, graceful, athletic stride, he is not very quick leaving the gate, where he is inside-ish. Tapit Trice impresses me as a horse that wants to be outside to run his best. If so, the question is how and when will he get outside.
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           There may be a path. Let's look at the horses to his outside in the gate. Reincarnate [7] and Jace's Road [12] will probably be sent, and Mage [8] probably will be behind him, possibly opening the space to get out. But Skinner [9] Practical Move [10] and Disarm [11] could block that space, and certainly the riders of those horses will see it would be to their advantage to do so.
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           In conclusion at some point Tapit Trice should run freely enough to impact the race, but I see his chance of winning compromised by the post position.
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            SKINNER (SCRATCHED)
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           He ranks well in Derby by the Speed Numbers, which looks at six measurements of speed. He has a top 4 Beyer Speed Figure; a top 4 DRF combined speed/track variant number; a top 4 Brisnet late pace figure; and a top 4 Equibase speed figure.
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           Victor Espinoza, who won a Triple Crown aboard American Pharoah the year after he won the Derby and Preakness on California Chrome, was taken off Skinner for the Kentucky Derby and replaced with Juan Hernandez, who's never ridden him or in a Triple Crown race. Comments by trainer Shirreffs intimate the owner wanted a change after Espinoza moved too soon on Skinner in the Santa Anita Derby.
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           Curiously, Skinner was the only horse that finished in the top four of the Santa Anita Derby to run perfect 12-second furlongs (see Sections 4 and 7), and he finished the final 3/8 mile in under 37 seconds. Assuming the track was playing fast, and in my opinion it was, he did very well to close from seventh to be beaten by only a half-length. So if he was ridden poorly, no telling what could happen with better timing.
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           The chart call for the Santa Anita Derby: "Skinner got bumped on both sides leaving the gate, reserved three wide early, went three deep into the far turn, range up four wide outside the leaders leaving the bend, bumped with the runner-up in the lane, fought three deep into the final sixteenth and finished a game third."
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           CONFIDENCE GAME (20-1, #4)
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            He is in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile rankings. Read more about him below in The Pace Candidates section. From three total wins he has come from behind to win once (on a sloppy track in the Rebel). He has two wins as the pacesetter with both those races taking place at Churchill Downs. I consider him a possible pace factor.
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           MANDARIN HERO (20-1, #22)
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            He is a Profile Buster along with Two Phil's; is in the Top 4 in the Total Points Category of The Downey Profile rankings; and is among the Top 4 in Derby by the Speed Numbers. Mandarin Hero, who ran a 100 Beyer in the Santa Anita Derby, could be a major player. He ran his eyeballs out in the Santa Anita Derby after being shipped in from Japan. I have to wonder if he has another effort like that in him this soon. He's on the small side, so has he retained his weight? Can he handle such an extreme outside post with his come-from behind style? If he makes it into the field, I could not pick him to win, but perhaps on the bottom of vertical exotics.
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            VERIFYING (15-1, #2)
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           He is in among the top horses in Derby by the Speed Numbers. See section below for Verifying.
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           THE PACE CANDIDATES
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           Most if not all the horses in the preceding section are expected to come from off the pace. Confidence Game could be an exception, and there's more about him below. Let's take a look at the early pace.
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           VERIFYING (15-1, #2)
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            This one is a consistent pace factor and is capable of breaking well and running an initial quarter-mile in 23 seconds. Recently I wondered if the Blue Grass was his Derby and if he had another eighth-mile in him, but then I looked back at the gallop-out. Verifying was showing the way ahead of Tapit Trice, who overtook Verifying late to win the Blue Grass by a neck. He's an expensive, well-bred horse who has a legitimate chance in the Kentucky Derby.
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            I'm mainly concerned with his post, which is not a desirable one even with the relatively new starting gate that has the inner posts looking straight down the stretch instead of the inner rail. Verifying will need a clean trip into the first turn, and no one knows how that's going to work out. One thing is for sure, in my opinion, and it's that he will be sent by jockey Gaffalione, who's not afraid to ride aggressively.
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            I would not leave Verifying off of tickets.
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           CONFIDENCE GAME (20-1, #4)
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            Confidence Game wowed onlookers with what some perceive to have been a one-mile breeze last Saturday, although it was made official at five furlongs. Trainer Desormeaux claimed he was told Confidence Game went 1 1/6 mile in 1:43 and 2/5. This gives me the impression Desormeaux wants jockey Graham be aggressive, have Confidence Game right there leaving the far turn, and let the chips fall where they may. Last year Confidence Game won on the lead sprinting and in an allowance race at the home of the Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs.
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            The obvious issue is that Confidence Game hasn't raced since February and has not raced beyond 1 1/16 mile. The last horse I recall who tried the Derby under similar circumstances was Destin. After winning the 1 1/16-mile Tampa Bay Derby in March 2016, he finished sixth, beaten seven lengths, in the Kentucky Derby.
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           KINGSBARNS (#6)
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            is discussed in the next section.
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            REINCARNATE (50-1, #7)
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           This looks like a mistake morning line. Some of the readers probably know more than I do about this, but I'm told there's a belief that his morning line was somehow switched with that of Jace's Road at the post position draw. Jace's Road was announced at 15-1, but he's 50-1 in the program. Reincarnate was announced at 50-1, which surprised me, and he's the same in the program. I guess my point is, if Reincarnate is bet down quite a bit from that 50-1 morning line, don't be surprised.
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           This horse has been on the lead at the first call three times, winning twice and finishing second the other time. In each of those three races he cut out splits of 23 and 47 seconds (one of them was 47 and 1). One of the two wins came in the Sham, where he hung on by a neck to the since-injured Newgate. Horses from trainer Baffert's barn have a history of improving off so-so finishes to win the Kentucky Derby (Authentic in 2020, Medina Spirit in 2021 later disqualified by stewards for a betamethasone positive). 
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           Beating Reincarnate will be more likely if he gets an early challenge or two. His best chance of winning is to get an uncontested lead and just cruise around there.
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           Last year trainer Yakteen had two horses in the Derby formerly trained by Baffert. Taiba was sent off at 5-1 odds and finished 12th. Messier finished 15th at 7-1 odds.
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           Although horses transferred out of Baffert's barn have not been outstanding as a group this year, it might be wise to use Reincarnate on tickets in case he gets out front and stays ahead of tiring horses.
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           JACE'S ROAD (50-1, #12)
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            The stablemate to Angel of Empire is expected to be forwardly placed early. In past races he's set the pace only once, winning the Gun Runner (sire of his stablemate) by five lengths in December at Fair Grounds. He did not fare as well in the Southwest Stakes after finding himself fifth early and fifth at the end after losing ground. Much more forwardly-placed in the Louisiana Derby, Jace's Road was second early and could have challenged Kingsbarns at that point, but jockey Geroux decided to back off and conserve his energy. However, Kingsbarns had plenty left in the tank and won. Disarm came on late to get second.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE (10-1, #17)
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            Derma Sotogake ran a very good and fast UAE Derby on the lead and finished strongly after cutting out honest early fractions. He was all alone at the finish line. I am told he got a 1 on the Ragozin sheets, a very good number. The 1 3/16-mile UAE Derby was Derma Sotogake's fifth (not a typo) race at 1 1/8 mile or longer, so he has a lot of foundation.
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            If this horse had won a major prep race in the United States like he did the UAE Derby, his morning line would probably be less than 10-1. The fact remains that from 22 editions of the UAE Derby, not one horse from the UAE Derby has hit the board in the Kentucky Derby. Five years ago UAE Derby winner Mendelssohn got a lot of steam at Churchill Downs, was sent off at 6-1, and finished last after being eased.
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            With history against Derma Sotogake, nothing is ever absolute in this game. With that disclaimer, I view this horse as one that will either run great or bad.
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            His assistant trainer said Tuesday, “I think from the outside (post 17) he will be able to take a decent position keeping an eye on the whole field in the early stages. He broke quickly from the gate the other day, so I think it won’t be a problem."
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            I'm not sure how to interpret that comment, but in my opinion, if Derma Sotogake has a chance to win, I cannot envision his rider doing anything other than sending him. My reasoning is that this horse has demonstrated in the mornings his resentment of being restrained by throwing his head. If that his how he's ridden in the Derby, would it not compromise him?
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            Perhaps the rider will not try to rate Derma Sotogake. I'm thinking back on the 2017 Derby when Always Dreaming was a bear to train in the mornings. Trainer Pletcher resorted to draw reins to keep him under control in training because Always Dreaming kept trying to run off. It was a big deal, and his unruliness left a lot of people doubting Always Dreaming. But when the Derby gate opened, Always Dreaming had it his way. He was not restrained, and he won.
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            I have to think Derma Sotogake's odds would be skewed lower due to heavy Japanese interest and wagering, so if he's not on the board at less than his 10-1 morning line, it might be a tell.
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            Derma Sotogake could merit a ticket where he's the winner or on top in vertical bets. He's not my top pick or in my top 6, but a saver ticket on him might be in order just in case he turns out to be another rendition of Always Dreaming.
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            ROCKET CAN (#18)
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           is discussed two sections down.
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           CYCLONE MISCHIEF (30-1, #21)
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            I am happy to see Cyclone Mischief get in the Derby because it's possible he will enhance the early pace, helping set it up for my top pick. If he is not sent, he will either have to deal with kickback, which he didn't seem to handle in the Holy Bull, or he will be very wide in the first turn. And it's possible he will be very wide even if he is sent.
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           HORSES THAT IMPRESS ME SUBJECTIVELY
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           KINGSBARNS (12-1, #6)
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            This horse hasn't done anything wrong in three career starts, all age three.
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            The name alone shows connections thought highly of him from the beginning. An $800,000 Fasig-Tipton Florida March 2022 purchase, the village of Kingsbarns is just down the road from the royal and ancient home of golf, St. Andrews.
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            Kingsbarns is a laid-back professional horse that just deals with things. For example, he's unbeaten even though he has never run out of his own stall at a track. He raced right through kickback to impressively win his first start, a one-turn mile at Gulfstream Park after shipping in from Palm Beach Downs. Next he shipped up to Tampa and won an allowance race by almost eight lengths. Then he shipped to Fair Grounds and won the Louisiana Derby. As my old friend Mike "Cheap Speed" Pearson used to say about Smarty Jones, "Kingsbarns just don't care." Now he will run out of his own stall for the first time in the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.
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            Kingsbarns won the Louisiana Derby on the lead, the first time he used that style. From post 6 he's likely to encounter kickback, which is not a concern. The main thing he must avoid, like any horse trying for position hitting the first turn, is being jostled, and that's out of our hands.
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            I have kind of come around to this horse, and it was watching videos of his first two races on Tuesday afternoon that brought me. I also realized he has ascending speed figures much like Angel of Empire. One other thing, and it's that Flavien Prat chose to ride Angel of Empire over Kingsbarns. If he's right, then maybe I'm good with Angel of Empire. And now in Kingsbarns' corner is Jose Ortiz. Not bad.
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            DISARM (30-1, #11)
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           His speed figures aren't special, but Disarm's training at Churchill Downs has been eye-catching, walking and jogging with his neck bowed, very much within himself and looking like the real deal.
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           That kind of demeanor doesn't always produce a big race, but nine days after he ran an just-okay third in the short-stretch Lexington Stakes to get Derby points, Disarm put in one of the two best, if not the best, Derby workout this year. To me the most impressive part came after the finish line when Disarm ran hard up the backstretch, and was into the far turn when he was pulled up. That was a good Derby work, and trainer Asmussen was obviously enthused by what he saw as revealed in a post-workout interview by Jennie Rees.
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           Wouldn't it be ironic if Asmussen and owner Winchell, who teamed up with heavily favored Epicenter in the 2022 Derby only to see him upset by ultra-longshot Rich Strike, finally got their first gold trophy with a 30-1 morning line.
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           TWO HORSES SHOWING LIFE WITH BLINKERS ADDED
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           SUN THUNDER (50-1, #13)
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            and
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           ROCKET CAN (30-1, #18)
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            They have picked up supporters in recent days with the addition of blinkers by their respective trainers.
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            Rocket Can's stakes resume shows a decline in form with fluctuating speed figures: first in the Holy Bull (82 Beyer, 93 Brisnet), second to Forte in the Fountain of Youth (91 Beyer, 98 Brisnet) and fourth as the favorite in the Arkansas Derby (86 Beyer, 96 Brisnet). Trainer Mott is known for persevering with Country House, who was in the far outside post in the 2019 Derby and won via the disqualification of Maximum Security. Country House ran the race of his life a week after putting in the best workout of his life in company with stablemate Tacitus who went on to finish a good fourth (moved up to third).
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            Rocket Can's penultimate Derby work found him running all the way into the second turn, which is what Country House and Tacitus did in their final works. Rocket Can's most recent work was impressive as well, just not as ambitious. He looks great on the track and has a trainer in his corner who's founds ways to win for decades.
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            Sun Thunder gives the impression he's feeling very well, and it wouldn't surprise me if he far outruns his odds.
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            The McPeek trainee has been very energetic on the track for several days, both while working Tuesday and otherwise galloping with ears consistently pricked. At a 50-1 morning line he sports a resume that includes not one, not two, but three races at 1 1/8 mile or more. He suggests to us he can get a mile and a quarter, and there is a degree of consistency about him even though he doesn't consistently win races: fourth of eight in the Southwest, second of 14 in the Risen Star, fifth of 12 in the Louisiana Derby, and fourth of 11 in the Blue Grass.
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           THE REMAINING FIELD
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           HIT SHOW (30-1, #1)
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            His inside post and lack of early speed lead me to think he will have a tough trip. Whether he will hit the board is anyone's guess, but he doesn't lead my list of candidates because of the heavy traffic he's likely to encounter during the run to the first turn. However, as of Saturday Hit Show is now in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile (Performance Points Only category) after the defection of Forte, and so I added him to the recommended plays set out below.
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            MAGE (15-1, #8)
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           I recommend using Mage because even though he is subpar at getting away from the gate, he can motor if he gets a decent trip. With only three races under his belt, Mage's inexperience could be his undoing when he encounters the delirium that is the Kentucky Derby crowd. If possible keep an eye on him in the paddock and post parade.
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            RAISE CAIN (50-1, #16)
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            He will be very high odds. He will be running late and try to pick up pieces. This horse is a smooth galloper, and I see a possibility of his being in the picture late if the race falls apart behind the winner.
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           KING RUSSELL (AE) (50-1, #23)
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            Only in the Kentucky Derby could a horse that most recently finished second in a grade 1 race be 50-1 on the morning line. He is a late runner and starts from the far outside, and thus will be compromised from a ground-saving standpoint, so maybe long, long odds are justified. At any rate, King Russell would not affect the early pace, so his participation does not affect my top selections. I could see using him in superfectas. Maybe trifectas, depending on the budget.
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           GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
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           DICK'S PICKS
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           1. ANGEL OF EMPIRE (objective pick)
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           2. KINGSBARNS (subjective pick)
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           3. TWO PHIL'S (objective pick)
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           4. TAPIT TRICE (objective pick)
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           Longshots
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           DISARM (subjective pick)
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           ROCKET CAN (subjective pick)
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           Derma Sotogake
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           ?
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           On the top in a couple of plays maybe use DERMA SOTOGAKE in case he duplicates his UAE Derby effort, which I consider unlikely, but he is gettting respect at the windows.
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           ON THE BOTTOM OF TICKETS
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           Must use HIT SHOW, MANDARIN HERO, VERIFYING
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           Recommend consideration of KING RUSSELL, MAGE, RAISE CAIN, SUN THUNDER
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           Possible trifecta plays (NOTE: VERIFYING IS #2)
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           14 ANGEL OF EMPIRE
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           with 3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE 6 KINGSBARNS
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           with 1 HIT SHOW / 2 VERIFYING / 3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE / 6 KINGSBARNS / 8 MAGE / 11 DISARM / 13 SUN THUNDER / 16 RAISE CAIN / 18 ROCKET CAN / 22 MANDARIN HERO / 23 KING RUSSELL
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           (33 combinations)
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           3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE / 6 KINGSBARNS
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           with 14 ANGEL OF EMPIRE
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           with 1 HIT SHOW / 2 VERIFYING / 3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE / 6 KINGSBARNS / 8 MAGE / 11 DISARM / 13 SUN THUNDER / 16 RAISE CAIN / 18 ROCKET CAN / MANDARIN HERO / 23 KING RUSSELL
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           (33 combinations)
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           3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE / 6 KINGSBARNS
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           with 1 HIT SHOW / 2 VERIFYING / 3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE / 6 KINGSBARNS / 8 MAGE / 11 DISARM / 13 SUN THUNDER / 16 RAISE CAIN / 18 ROCKET CAN / MANDARIN HERO / 23 KING RUSSELL
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           with 14 ANGEL OF EMPIRE
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           (33 combinations)
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           One more possible tranche:
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           1 HIT SHOW / 2 VERIFYING / 3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE / 6 KINGSBARNS / 8 MAGE / 11 DISARM / 13 SUN THUNDER / 16 RAISE CAIN / 18 ROCKET CAN / 22 MANDARIN HERO / 23 KING RUSSELL
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           with 14 ANGEL OF EMPIRE
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           with 3 TWO PHIL'S / 5 TAPIT TRICE / 6 KINGSBARNS
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           (33 combinations)
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      <pubDate>Thu, 04 May 2023 16:45:54 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/dick-s-picks-for-the-2023-kentucky-derby</guid>
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      <title>Statement by Churchill Downs</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/statement-by-churchill-downs</link>
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           Statement by Churchill Downs on Recent Equine Fatalities
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           "Transparency is an important component of our commitment to safety and accountability in horse racing. We share the concern of our fans who have questions about the recent equine fatalities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and we extend our sincere condolences to those who love and cared for these horses. 
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           "Since Opening Night of Kentucky Derby Week, two horses trained by Saffie Joseph Jr. have died suddenly of cause yet to be identified: Parents Pride on Saturday and Chasing Artie on Tuesday. Two other horses sustained musculoskeletal injuries from which they could not recover: Wild on Ice last Thursday while training on dirt and Take Charge Briana during a turf race on Tuesday. Wild on Ice was transported to Rood &amp;amp; Riddle Equine Hospital for care, but both were ultimately euthanized for humane reasons.
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           "While a series of events like this is highly unusual, it is completely unacceptable. We take this very seriously and acknowledge that these troubling incidents are alarming and must be addressed. We feel a tremendous responsibility to our fans, the participants in our sport and the entire industry to be a leader in safety and continue to make significant investments to eliminate risk to our athletes. We have full confidence in our racing surfaces and have been assured by our riders and horsemen that they do as well. 
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           "Each horse was transported to the University of Kentucky Veterinary Diagnostics Lab for complete necropsies. We continue to press for answers and are working with regulators to conduct swift and thorough investigations.The safety and well-being of horses is a critical issue for which everyone in the industry shares responsibility; however, we will continue to take every measure to ensure that we are providing the safest possible environment for horses on our property."
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      <pubDate>Thu, 04 May 2023 01:33:07 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/statement-by-churchill-downs</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Wednesday, May 3, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-wednesday-may-3-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Wednesday, May 3, 2023
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           Includes Kentucky Oaks
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           It was a quiet morning at Churchill Downs with routine gallops and some gate schooling.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – Hit Show, Jace’s Road and Verifying went to out to train at 7:30 a.m. during the special training time Wednesday, while Albaugh Family Stables’ Angel of Empire went out in the next set. All four Brad Cox-trained Derby contenders stood in the starting gate and then galloped 1 ½ miles.
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           “Everything went really well today,” Cox said. “We stood all four Derby horses in the gate. They stood extremely well. They are going to school tomorrow in the paddock. They are doing great, they really are. They stood in the gate and had really, really good gallops after that. Hopefully everything goes good in the paddock and we’ll do as much as we can in the mornings. Hopefully that will translate to them being settled and handling everything well on Saturday.”
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           When asked if there was a specific reason Arkansas Derby winner Angel of Empire didn’t go out with his stablemates, Cox said, “I wanted to stand Verifying and Hit Show next to each other because that’s where they’ll be on Saturday, in the 1 and 2 (posts). Also, exercise rider Edvin (Vargas) rides both Hit Show and Angel of Empire. Angel of Empire is pretty easy. You can do anything with him. I think a 7-year-old could probably gallop him. He’s a super cool horse to be around.”
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Confidence Game returned to the track Wednesday after walking on Tuesday and galloped 1 ¼ miles under exercise rider Alex Cano. Trainer Keith Desormeaux is known to give his horses two walk days a week, but called the audible to walk Tuesday based on what he thought was best for the horse.
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           “His last two works were strong,” Desormeaux said. “And, you know, the main reason is that some horses don’t rest well in their stall if they don’t train. He’s the opposite. If you get him out early, he does his thing. He walks 30 minutes and he goes back in his stall and rests. He lays down, he munches on hay, even on a walk day. He takes full advantage of it. So, I’m like you know what? Let’s leave the track alone and let him sleep Tuesday. He’s going to train again Wednesday. He’s going to train again Friday and I’ll probably train him Saturday morning early. Since the race isn’t until 6:30 or something, I’ll get him out and blow some steam off because by that time he’ll know what’s going on.
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           “He did go to the paddock, so it’s not like he was sleeping all day, he did get out there and get pumped up. That’s also another reason I walked. Why get him fired up twice. Onto the paddock isn’t enough.”
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           CONTINUAR  – Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.’s Continuar (JPN) spent an hour training in the mile chute. Trainer Yoshida Yahagi said Continuar would gallop in the morning.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN)  walked the shedrow in the Quarantine Barn a day after working a half-mile in :49.60.
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           Trainer Hidetaka Otonashi arrived in Louisville on Tuesday and was at the Kentucky Derby Trainers Dinner Tuesday night at the Speed Art Museum.
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           DISARM – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm had a light one-mile jog Wednesday morning for trainer Steve Asmussen.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE –  The Todd Pletcher threesome of Derby colts went trackside at their usual time, right when the track opened at 7:30 a.m. for the 15-minute session for Derby/Oaks trainees. They also had their usual exercise riders on their backs – Hector Ramos on Derby favorite Forte; Elder Flores on the undefeated Kingsbarns, and Amelia Green aboard the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) hero Tapit Trice.
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           Again, the trio went through their regular exercise, which is a mile and three-eighths in a good gallop.
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           “Everything is right on schedule,” Hall of Famer Pletcher confirmed when his charges had returned to his Barn 39 headquarters. “They’ll all paddock today with the horses for Race 6.”
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           Forte will be ridden Saturday by Irad Ortiz Jr. Kingsbarns will be handled by Irad's brother Jose Ortiz, while Tapit Trice runs gets regular rider Luis Saez.
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           LORD MILES – Vegso Racing Stable’s Wood Memorial (GII) winner had a light gallop Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs. Lord Miles drew post 19 in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby.
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           MAGE –  The Florida Derby (G1) runner-up to Forte was out for a gallop Wednesday with regular exercise rider J.J. Delgado.
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           “He’s looking really well,” said Gustavo Delgado Jr., assistant to trainer Gustavo Delgado Sr. “He galloped about a mile-and-a-half again, and he finished the last three or four furlongs increasing his speed. Most importantly, when he came back, his breathing was nearly normal, and he wasn’t breathing hard. I think he’s going to run well.”
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           Javier Castellano will ride the son of Good Magic out of the No. eight post position. He’s 15-1 on the morning line.
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           PRACTICAL MOVE/REINCARNATE –  Trainer Tim Yakteen changed his routine with his two Derby colts Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs. He had his gray Sham Stakes (GIII) winner Reincarnate take the early slot at 5:20 with exercise rider Baltazar Contreras attached. Then at 7:30 during the special Derby/Oaks training period, he had Contreras take out the big bay Practical Move.
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           “Just put a little variety in it for the horses,” the conditioner said.
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           Reincarnate galloped a mile and three-eighths before returning to Barn 27. Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Practical Move merely jogged a mile, an unusual move for a Derby horse midweek coming up to Saturday’s Classic.
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           Yakteen was asked if everything was OK with Practical Move. The trainer said: “Everything is fine.”
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           Reincarnate, who’ll have the saddle services of Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez for the Run for the Roses, will break from Post seven in the 20-horse lineup. Practical Move will break from Post 10 and have Ramon Vazquez at the controls.
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           RAISE CAIN – Andrew and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain  visited the starting gate and galloped a mile and a half under Rene Morales for trainer Ben Colebrook.
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           Winner of the Gotham (GIII) in the mud, Raise Cain schooled in the paddock Tuesday and will have another paddock session Thursday.
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           There is rain the forecast three days out from Derby 149 and that doesn’t bother Colebrook.
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           “Nick Zito (Hall of Famer and two-time Derby winner including Go for Gin in the slop in 1994) said it was going to rain Saturday,” Colebrook said. “I’ll take that. The forecast said 60 percent (chance of rain) Friday and 40 on Saturday … oh, now it’s 54. He has handled an off track, and that is nothing that we have to worry about. Some handle it better than others, but what we need is pace.”
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           Gerardo Corrales has the mount Saturday and will break from post 16.
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           ROCKET CAN –  Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott had the Into Mischief colt on the track for a gallop of about a mile-and-three-eighths with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona. The colt, who drew the No. 18 post position and was issued odds of 30-1, will have Junior Alvarado aboard in the Derby.
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           “All’s good,” said Mott of Wednesday’s preparations for Rocket Can. “His gallop went well, and he practiced at the starting gate, standing in and backing out.”
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           SKINNER –  The bay colt Skinner followed pattern Wednesday morning for trainer John Shirreffs and went trackside through the six-furlong gap at 9 a.m. with exercise rider Donnie Balthazar in the tack. The pair backtracked with a pony to the finish line, they moved up the tunnelway to the new paddock that has been setup for Derby 149 while the main paddock goes through its total remake.
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           Skinner did his paddock tour, then returned to the main track for a solid mile and a half gallop. A close-up third in the Santa Anita Derby in his most recent try, he was full of vigor as he moved past his trainer, who looked on from the clocker’s stand on the backside. “I liked his energy,” the conditioner said.
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           Shirreffs, who won the 2005 Kentucky Derby with the 50-1 shot Giacomo and handled the grand racemare Zenyatta through several championship seasons, said he wasn’t sure whether he would have Skinner paddock with horses Wednesday afternoon.
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           “It’s a matter of saving energy,” the trainer said. “That and the fact that what he’ll see for a crowd over there today won’t be anywhere near what he’ll encounter Saturday.” 
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           SUN THUNDER –  Following Tuesday’s four-furlong breeze with Derby jockey Brian Hernandez Jr., trainer Kenny McPeek had his colt walking the shedrow on Wednesday. Sun Thunder, owned by R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine, was clocked in :47.80 for Tuesday’s breeze, with blinkers on.
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           “Everybody’s in good order,” McPeek said.
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           Sun Thunder and Hernandez will exit the Derby starting gate from post position 13. He’s listed at 50-1 on the Derby morning line.
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           TWO PHIL’S – Patricia’s Hope, Phillip Sagan, and Madaket Stable’s Two Phil’s  spent an extended period on the track on Wednesday under exercise rider Gonzalo Gonzales. Heading out at 7:30 a.m. with the other Derby and Oaks horses, Larry Rivelli’s first Derby horse spent around 30 minutes on the track. He stood in his usual spot along the fence outside his Barn 1 watching all the activity, then he took time to school in the gates before galloping his usual one 1 and 1/4 miles.
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           Rivelli, jockey Jareth Loveberry, and owner Anthony Sagan looked on, reflecting on how well he has traveled to each track. Including Hawthorne, where Two Phil’s trained but has yet to race, Churchill Downs is his seventh stop.
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           “If he runs his last race he’s going to have a huge chance,” Rivelli said. “A lot of people think it’s the Tapeta that moved him up (winning the Jeff Ruby Steaks at Turfway Park), and it could be. If it wasn’t, he’s got a serious shot. It’s a deep and even year this year. There’s no Justify, no American Pharoah, which gives us a shot.”
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           Two Phil’s schooled on Tuesday prior of Race 1, sharing the paddock with fellow chestnut Rich Strike, who won Kentucky Derby 148.
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES  –.Trainer Dale Romans again had Cyclone Mischief galloping on the track about a mile-and-three-eighths with exercise rider Faustino Herrarte aboard. The colt, owned by Albaugh Family Stables LLC and Castleton Lyons, is the first also-eligible for the Derby, and not in the field of 20.
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           Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero had a walk day in the Quarantine Barn after working five furlongs in 1:05.60 on Tuesday.
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           Brereton C. Jones and Naber Racing’s King Russell galloped a mile and three-quarters Wednesday.
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            LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           AFFIRMATIVE LADY – AMO Racing USA’s Affirmative Lady  had a strong 1 ½-mile gallop under Kevin Lundie and visited the starting gate.
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           Trained by Graham Motion, the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) winner had a paddock schooling session after training hours.
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           Winner of her past two starts, Affirmative Lady is one of four Oaks entrants to have raced at the Oaks distance of 1 1/8 miles, something she has done twice.
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           “The farther she goes, the stronger she gets,” Lundie said of Affirmative Lady, who will break from post 13 under John Velazquez. “I just hope she gets a clean trip.”
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           AND TELL ME NOLIES – Peter Redekop’s And Tell Me Nolies  had an easy day Wednesday, walking the shedrow of barn 24.
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox sent Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint to the track all together first set at 5:15 a.m. for their Wednesday training and they all galloped a 1 ½ miles. All three, led by Oaks morning line favorite Wet Paint, will school Wednesday during the first race.
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           “Overall, I’m super happy with them,” Cox said. “They all schooled in the gate a couple of days ago and did well. Everything has been fantastic with them.”
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           DEFINING PURPOSE –  At the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses, the Ashland Stakes (GI) winner again stepped onto the track Wednesday with regular exercise rider Shelby Spalding aboard, for a gallop of about a mile and three eigthths.
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           While some humans on the backstretch didn’t appreciate the chilly weather with gusty winds, the equines appeared to tolerate it well.
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           “It’s crisp, but it feels good,” trainer Kenny McPeek said. “Horses like it.”
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            McPeek said Defining Purpose is progressing to his satisfaction ahead of the Oaks. The filly, who races in the silks of Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball, drew the No. 11 post position in the field of 14. Brian Hernandez Jr. will ride 12-1 Defining Purpose Friday.       
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           DORTH VADER – John Ropes’ Dorth Vader had a routine 1 ½-mile gallop at 7:30 a.m. Wednesday.
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           Dorth Vader would be the first start in the Oaks for Florida-based trainer Michael Yates.
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           Yates appears to be enjoying his trip to Louisville which included a visit to the Kentucky Thoroughbred Association’s Trainer’s Dinner Tuesday night.
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           FLYING CONNECTION – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection  had a regular walk day in trainer Todd Fincher’s barn and will return to the track to gallop at 7:30 Thursday morning.
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           GAMBLING GIRL/JULIA SHINING  – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl and Stonestreet Stables’ Julia Shining flexed their equine muscles Wednesday morning at Churchill Downs as they put some finishing touches on their preparations for Friday’s Kentucky Oaks.
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           Gambling Girl, a daughter of the Mineshaft stallion Dialed In, is assured a spot in the $1.25 million mile and one eighth. Stablemate Julia Shining, who is by champion Curlin, remains on the outside looking in in the 16th spot for the 14-horse field. 
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           Both 3-year-old fillies galloped a mile and three eighths, with Carlos Quevedo handling Gambling Girl and Humberto Zamora up on Julia Shining for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           Irad Ortiz Jr. is scheduled to handle “Girl” on Friday, while “Julia,” should she get to run, would have the saddle services of Luis Saez.
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           Both fillies will paddock today with horses from Race 6. 
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           MIMI KAKUSHI –  Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi followed her regular routine of jogging a mile with the pony and then galloping a mile under Xavier Ziani.
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           Mimi Kakushi has not raced since the Feb. 17 UAE Oaks (GIII) and enters Friday’s Run for the Lilies off a 12-week layoff, the longest of any Oaks starter.
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           “She had had a busy campaign and she got a short break (after the UAE Oaks),” said trainer Salem bin Ghadayer, who currently oversees 72 horses in training in Dubai. “She got back on our program and she has been breezing every week (prior to coming to Churchill Downs).”
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           Mickael Barzalona has the mount in the Oaks and will break from post one.
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            PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS –  Keeping to her routine, moving well, Godolphin’s Pretty Mischievous galloped one mile and a half on Wednesday during the designated Derby/Oaks training time at 7:30 a.m. Exercise rider Albino Martinez reported she is feeling good.
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              The Rachel Alexandra (GII) winner, who wintered in New Orleans at Fair Grounds Race Course, took time ahead of Race 6 on Tuesday to get comfortable in the paddock as trainer Brendan Walsh saddled the eventual winner, Farfellow Farm’s Fuente Ovejuna (GB).
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           PROMISEHER AMERICA –  After arriving at Churchill Downs safely on Sunday night, Hoffman Thoroughbreds, Tom McCrocklin, and Medallion Racing’s Promiseher America had her first gallop across Churchill Downs’ main track. After jogging Tuesday, the Gazelle (GII)-winner galloped 1 and 1/4 miles under exercise rider Fernando Tapara.
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           “Fernando said she felt awesome and was looking around a lot today,” trainer Ray Handal said. “We did all the heavy lifting back home so I wanted to ship her in, jog, change her shoes, and get her comfortable with her surroundings. She galloped today and looked around a bit. She’ll gallop tomorrow and look around less, so she’ll be relaxed on race day.”
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           Handal returns to Churchill Downs for the first time since May of 2013, and he brought Kentucky Derby alumni Giant Finish with him. Having worked for trainer Anthony Dutrow prior to beginning his own barn, Handal was on hand for Giant Finish’s 10th-place finish to Orb.
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           “Giant Finish is my pony now,” Handal said. “I saddled him for the Derby. He’s kind of the reason I started training (on my own) because the owners were so thrilled, and they gave me my first two horses to start training. I kept Giant Finish and now he’s 13, so hopefully we can make a Derby with him around. It would be a nice way to come full circle.”
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Robert Masterson’s Southlawn had a 1 ½-mile gallop Wednesday morning for trainer Norm Casse.
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           Jockey Rey Gutierrez will pilot the Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) winner in the Longines Kentucky Oaks.
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           “I love a rider that’s confident walking into the paddock and I know Reylu will be,” Casse said. “I’ve never had another trainer tell me before that they heard from my rider that they will win a race and that’s what happened in the Fair Grounds Oaks. I came into the paddock in the second or third race and (trainer) Bret Calhoun came up to me and said ‘Rey told me you’re going to win the Fair Grounds Oaks today.’ So, I’m confident that Rey will be confident coming into the race.”
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           WONDER WHEEL –  After arriving on Tuesday, trainer Mark Casse was on hand for Wonder Wheel’s Wednesday morning work. Breaking from her 5:45 a.m. routine training time, D.J. Stable’s filly made an appearance during the Derby and Oaks training window at 7:30 a.m. Her regular exercise rider David Carroll guided her for a jog along the outside rail before galloping easily twice around the track.
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           “She went nicely and did everything right,” Casse said. “We’re going to conserve her energy a couple days before the race. She’s carrying more flesh than she probably ever has. Numbers-wise, I don’t think her race in the Ashland was as bad as some have said. I think she got confused out there. One problem was, and I knew I was going to run into it, but there was two months between races (before the Ashland). I’m thinking that maybe I didn’t do enough to get her in a competitive mindset. The timing is much better for this.”
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      <pubDate>Wed, 03 May 2023 18:33:45 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-wednesday-may-3-2023</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Tuesday, May 2, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-tuesday-may-2-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
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           Includes Kentucky Oaks
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           Two entrants for Saturday’s 149th running of the $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) put in half-mile works on a sunny Tuesday morning beneath the Twin Spires at Churchill Downs.   First to work during the 7:30-7:45 training window reserved for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses was Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN) who covered the four furlongs in :49.60 under Masatoshi Segawa.
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           Following him was R. T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine’s Sun Thunder. With jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard, Sun Thunder was timed in :47.80.
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           Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero (JPN), who is an also-eligible for the Derby, worked five furlongs in 1:05.60 with Yuji Horita aboard.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – Trainer Brad Cox split his four Kentucky Derby contenders up for training Tuesday morning. Angel of Empire and Verifying went out at 5:15 a.m., while Hit Show and Jace’s Road went out at 7:30 a.m. All four galloped once around. Cox said they also will school in the starting gate Wednesday morning.
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           Albaugh Family Stables is returning to the Kentucky Derby for the first time since they were the co-owners of Thousand Words in 2020. They return as sole owner of Arkansas Derby winner Angel of Empire and co-owner of Jace’s Road.
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           “We were talking last night at dinner that since the Arkansas Derby, it’s been the longest four weeks of our life,” said Jason Loutch, the racing manager of Albaugh Family Stables. “It’s all you think about, the excitement and trying to get here. Now that that we are here, it’s really starting to hit us. We’re excited for Saturday.
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           “I’m really happy. To have two runners is a huge accomplishment for our stable. The way Angel came out of the Arkansas Derby, Brad (Cox) thinks he’s doing even better than before that race. Gives us a lot of optimism, but it’s all about getting the right trip. We like our post positions.”
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Confidence Game stayed in the barn and walked the shedrow Tuesday and then schooled in the paddock at 10:15 a.m., while his trainer Keith Desormeaux went to Keeneland to oversee his horses there.
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           CONTINUAR – Continuar (JPN)  galloped a mile under Kazunari Yoshida after warming up in the mile chute during the first harrow break of the morning. Continuar, who will be ridden in Derby 149 by Ryusei Sakai, drew post 20 for Saturday’s Run for the Roses.
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           “I’ve been getting the outside draw in a lot of big races lately,” trainer Yoshito Yahagi said. “I feel like I am cursed. It isn’t a good draw at all, but there is only so much we can do.”
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE – Derma Sotogake (JPN)  warmed up in the mile chute during the first harrow break of the morning and then breezed a half-mile in :49.60 with Masatoshi Segawa aboard. Trained by Hidetaka Otonashi, Derma Sotogake will be ridden in the Derby by Christophe Lemaire. Derma Sotogake drew post 17 for the Derby.
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           “I think from the outside he will be able to take a decent position keeping an eye on the whole field in the early stages. He broke quickly from the gate the other day, so I think it won’t be a problem,” assistant trainer Masanari Tanaka said.
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           DISARM – Disarm had a scheduled walk day at trainer Steve Asmussen’s Barn 38 Tuesday morning following his half-mile move in :49.20 Monday. Disarm will break from post 11 in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby.
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           “He’s a very durable horse and I think the best is yet to come from him,” Asmussen said. “I think it’s very obvious that the major players in this year’s race lack a lot of early speed. I see a lot of jockeying in the first eighth of a mile. So I’m very curious what will happen in the early stages of the race.”
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE –  The Todd Pletcher Derby trio of Forte, Kingsbarns and Tapit Trice went trackside during their usual exercise time as part of the Derby/Oaks special training period from 7:30 to 7:45 at Churchill Downs on Tuesday morning.
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           Each of the trio galloped about a mile and three-eighths with their usual exercise riders aboard. That mean Hector Ramos handled Forte, Elder Flores was up on Kingsbarns and Amelia Green was aboard Tapit Trice.
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           Their Hall of Fame conditioner took it all in, then marched with them back to his Barn 39.
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           The threesome drew well at Monday’s Derby Draw session. Race favorite (3-1) Forte will start from Post 15 with Irad Ortiz Jr. in the tack. Second choice (5-1) Tapit Trice drew Post five (Luis Saez), while Kingsbarns (12-1) and Jose Ortiz are right alongside in Post six.
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           “They’ll all paddock school this afternoon,” Pletcher noted. “They’ll be in with the horses from the sixth Race.”
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           LORD MILES – Wood Memorial (GII) winner jogged one mile Tuesday morning at Churchill Downs. Lord Miles drew post 19 in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby.
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           MAGE –  Trainer Gustavo Delgado Sr. sent the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up to Forte out for a gallop with regular exercise rider J.J. Delgado. Javier Castellano will ride the son of Good Magic out of the No. eight post position. He’s 15-1 on the morning line.
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           “So far, so good,” said assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr. “He definitely likes the cooler weather than it is in Florida.”
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           Mage will gallop each day heading into the Derby, with maybe a “higher tempo” exercise on Wednesday. He’ll get some schooling in the starting gate on Thursday.
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           PRACTICAL MOVE/REINCARNATE –  Following a pattern he set from right after he shipped to Churchill Downs last Saturday from California, trainer Tim Yakteen split his Kentucky Derby workers into an early one (Practical Move at 5:20 a.m.) and a later one (Reincarnate at 7:30 during the special Derby/Oaks training session) on a sunny Tuesday morning Louisville morning. That split allows exercise rider Baltazar Contreras to pilot each horse. 
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           Both trainer and rider were happy with the mile and a quarter gallops the horses put in.
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           Yakteen also noted that his charges would visit the paddock during racing in the afternoon. That was scheduled to happen with the horses for today’s 2nd Race.
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           RAISE CAIN – Andrew and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain  jogged two miles under Rene Morales for trainer Ben Colebrook and schooled in the paddock after training hours. Raise Cain arrived at Churchill Downs Monday morning from Colebrook’s main base at Keeneland. The Violence colt’s appearance on the track this morning was not his first beneath the Twin Spires.
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           “He had his debut here, if you could call it that,” Colebrook said of the eighth-place finish in a 6 ½-furlong sprint. “He was so laid back and the light bulb had not gone on yet.”
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           Raise Cain, fifth in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, drew post 16 for the Derby and will be reunited with Gerardo Corrales, who rode him in his first three starts.
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           ROCKET CAN –  The Into Mischief colt was back to galloping with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona after Sunday’s five-furlong breeze for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. Junior Alvarado will ride Rocket Can, listed at 30-1 on the Derby morning line.
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           Rocket Can drew the No. 18 post position, the same spot from which Mott trainee Country House left the starting gate in 2019. Country House was declared the Derby winner by disqualification.
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           “I’m fine with it,” Mott said the morning after the draw. “You never know what a good post really is. You can have a bad trip from a good post. So I’m happy to be out there.”
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           SKINNER –  As he did Monday in his first day on the track, trainer John Shirreffs took his Derby charge Skinner to the Churchill oval at 9 a.m. with a pony alongside and exercise rider Donnie Balthazar in the tack. They walked and jogged from the six-furlong gap to the paddock where the bay Curlin colt took a tour, then headed back to the track for a solid mile and one-half gallop out in the middle of the big strip
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           “He’s settled in nicely and looked good galloping today,” his conditioner offered.
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           Skinner drew Post nine for Saturday’s $3 million Kentucky Derby and will be handled for the first time by California’s leading rider, Juan Hernandez.
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           SUN THUNDER –  Trainer Kenny McPeek had his colt breeze four furlongs Tuesday morning, under jockey Brian Hernandez Jr., who will ride him in the Derby.
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           With blinkers on, after starting off in :24, the R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine colt was clocked for the four furlongs in :47.80, before finishing up five furlongs in 1:01.40. “It was just a maintenance half for him,” McPeek said. “Brian was happy with him. He was going evenly, that’s what we wanted.”
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           Sun Thunder and Hernandez will leave the Derby starting gate from post position 13. He’s listed at 50-1 on the Derby morning line.
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           Since 1995, McPeek has had eight Derby starters, with his best finish coming home second in his first try. Tejano Run finished 2 1/4 lengths behind longshot Thunder Gulch.
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           “I finished second in that race. So if you had asked me how 28 years later I still hadn’t won it, you’d have to ask the question, how did that happen,” McPeek said. “It takes a certain amount of things lining up. You’ve gotta have the right horse, the right luck, the right jockey … a lot of things have got to come together.”
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           TWO PHIL’S –  Exercise rider Gonzalo Gonzales took Two Phil’s out for another spin on Tuesday, galloping 1 1/4 miles for the second straight day since arriving from Hawthorne. 
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           “He was good,” Gonzales said. “He was a little nervous when we began, but once we got on the other side where there was more traffic, he was relaxed and liked his time standing there watching everything. He’s been steadily improving (throughout the winter and spring).”
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           Trainer Larry Rivelli and jockey Jareth Loveberry were on hand to watch the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) winner stretch his legs. Two Phil’s will break from post four in the Derby.
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           “It looks like the closers all drew to his outside, so as long as he breaks well, we’re in a good spot, and they can come down and get behind him,” Rivelli said.
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           “It looks like I’ll be able to find a good trip,” Loveberry said. “My horse has tactical speed. I don’t mind where we’re at all. We’ll have a good shot to track behind the two speed horses who drew to each side.”
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES  – Cyclone Mischief (No. 21), Mandarin Hero (No. 22) and King Russell (No. 23) all officially entered the Kentucky Derby on the also-eligible list.
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           Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero warmed up in the mile chute during Tuesday morning’s first harrow break and then worked five furlongs in 1:05.60 under Yuji Horita.
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           Following the work, the Santa Anita Derby (GI) runner-up visited the gate and the paddock.
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           Mandarin Hero is trained by Terunobu Fujita.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE (unedited)
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           AFFIRMATIVE LADY – AMO Racing USA’s Affirmative Lady put in her first on-track appearance Tuesday morning by galloping a mile and a half under Kevin Lundie for trainer Graham Motion.
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           “I couldn’t be any happier with her,” Lundie said of Affirmative Lady, who drew post 13 for Friday’s Oaks. “But she is going to have to run the race of her life.”
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           Affirmative Lady will be reunited in the Oaks with Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez, who was aboard for her first three starts. Velazquez won the 2021 Oaks on Malathaat.
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           Winner of the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) in her most recent start, Affirmative Lady is scheduled to have a trip to the starting gate Wednesday as well as a paddock schooling session.
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           AND TELL ME NOLIES – Peter Redekop’s And Tell Me Nolies  was reunited with regular jockey Ramon Vazquez, who was aboard the filly for her 1 ¼-mile gallop Tuesday during the 7:30 a.m. training time set aside for Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks contenders.
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           Vazquez, who has seen his career skyrocket since moving to the tough Southern California circuit after the Oaklawn meet ended last May, has been aboard And Tell Me Nolies for all seven of her career starts, including his first American Grade I in the Del Mar Debutante last August. He earned his second Grade 1 this spring aboard Practical Move in the Santa Anita Derby. And Tell Me Nolies will be the first Oaks mount for the native of Puerto Rico, while Practical Move will be his first Derby mount.
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           “I’m excited,” Vazquez said. “I feel amazing to be here. And, grateful for the opportunity.”
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           After finishing a disappointing eighth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI) last fall, And Tell Me Nolies earned her way into the Oaks by finishing second in the Santa Ysabel Stakes (GIII) and the Santa Anita Oaks (GII).
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           “She’s doing good,” Vazquez said. “She’s galloping good. She’s getting better and better. Before she would get so nervous and be sweaty. Now, she’s much more relaxed.” 
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox split his three Oaks fillies up this morning, sending The Alys Look out with his first set and Botanical and Oaks morning line favorite Wet Paint out at 7:30 a.m.
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           The Alys Look, with exercise Luis Hernandez, went out at 5:15 a.m. with stablemates Angel of Empire and Verifying, who are running in the Kentucky Derby, and galloped 1 ½ miles.
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           Wet Paint, with exercise rider Edwin Vargas, and Botanical, with exercise rider Fernando Espinoza, also galloped 1 ½ miles when they went to out to train.
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           DEFINING PURPOSE – At the time reserved for Oaks and Derby horses, the Ashland Stakes (GI) winner stepped onto the track Tuesday with regular exercise rider Shelby Spalding aboard for a gallop of about a mile-and-three-eighths.
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           On Monday, the filly, who races in the silks of Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball, drew the No. 11 post position in the field of 14. Brian Hernandez Jr. will ride 12-1 Defining Purpose in the Oaks on Friday.
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           “Just a little maintenance work for her,” trainer Kenny McPeek said. “In the Oaks, we’ve done a good job in bringing horses up to the race. We’ve had a little bit of second-itis. But seconds are a respectable run. Maybe this is the year.”
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           DORTH VADER – John Ropes’ Dorth Vader had a routine 1 ½-mile gallop at 7:30 a.m. Tuesday.
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           Ropes stated he named Dorth Vader after his wife, Dorothy, and played into the Star Wars theme.
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              Her half-brother, who Ropes also owned and bred, will also be named as a tie in to Star Wars.
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            FLYING CONNECTION – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby  and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection visited the starting gate and then galloped a mile and a half under Oscar Rojero.
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           Winner of the Sunland Park Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start, Flying Connection is scheduled to school in the paddock this afternoon with horses in the third race.
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           Two-time Oaks-winning rider Florent Geroux will have the mount Friday and exit post position 10.
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           “There were a few other spots I wouldn’t want,” trainer Todd Fincher said of watching the Post Position Draw unfold Monday afternoon.
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           Flying Connection is scheduled to have a walk day on Wednesday.
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           GAMBLING GIRL/JULIA SHINING  – Trainer Todd Pletcher’s Oaks fillies – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl and Stonestreet Stable’s Julia Shining – went trackside Tuesday morning during the special Derby/Oaks training period between 7:30 and 7:45. Each had their usual exercise rider attached, meaning Carlos Quevedo handled Gambling Girl and Humberto Zamora was up on Julia Shining. They both galloped about a mile and three-eighths.
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           Gambling Girl was drawn well for Friday’s 149th edition of the Longines Kentucky Oaks, getting the post three with Irad Ortiz Jr. scheduled to ride. They’re listed as 15-1 on morning line.
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           Julia Shining remains a “hope” for the stable to make the Oaks, but currently sits at No. 16 on the list for the 14-horse race. She, too, was tabbed at 15-1 in the morning line and is scheduled to have Luis Saez up if she gets to run.
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           MIMI KAKUSHI –  Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi jogged a mile and galloped a mile under stable rider Xavier Ziani.
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           Winner of the UAE Oaks (GIII) in her most recent start on Feb. 17 at Meydan, Mimi Kakushi is scheduled to school in the paddock thuis afternoon with horses in the seventh race.
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           Winner of her past three starts, Mimi Kakushi will break from post one in the 14-horse Oaks field.
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           “You can’t buy luck,” said trainer Salem bin Ghadayer, who had hoped for a spot in the middle of the gate. “She is not what you would call a super breaker, so she will be right behind the speed.
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           “She has not had any gate issues and she will not go to the gate this week.”
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS –  A day after drawing to the far outside in post 14, Pretty Mischievous galloped her regular distance of one mile and a half on Tuesday during the Derby/Oaks training time at 7:30 a.m. Trainer Brendan Walsh has decided to add blinkers for the Rachel Alexandra-winner’s run in Friday’s Oaks.
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           “I think she loses focus a little bit,” Walsh said. “She’s got such a high cruising speed. It might be time to change things up and add an extra dimension.”
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           PROMISEHER AMERICA –  After arriving at Churchill Downs safely on Sunday night, Hoffman Thoroughbreds, Tom McCrocklin, and Medallion Racing’s Promiseher America made her track debut on Tuesday. Foregoing the Derby/Oaks-only training window to spend time with the farrier, at 8:30 a.m she merged from Barn 42 outfitted in new shoes. Accompanied by assistant trainer Rodrigo Montecino on pony, Promiseher America jogged about one mile under exercise rider Fernando Tapara.
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           “We just jogged today, let her see the sights,” trainer Ray Handal said. “We’ll have an easy gallop tomorrow.”
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Robert Masterson’s Southlawn had a 1 ½-mile gallop Tuesday morning for trainer Norm Casse.
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           “She’s turned into a very kind horse in her races,” Casse said. “I think she can be wherever the rider tells her to go and she knows her cues when it’s time to show her best run. Drawing inside shouldn’t be a factor because of that ability.”
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            WONDER WHEEL –  Emerging from Mark Casse’s barn at 5:45 a.m., Wonder Wheel took to the track on Tuesday after Monday’s walk day. Assistant trainer David Carroll jogged the D.J. Stable’s filly one lap around the outside rail before leading her through an easy gallop.
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            In Monday’s Oaks draw, Wonder Wheel drew Post No.5–the same position she broke from when winning the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Fillies.
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           Trainer Mark Casse arrived on Tuesday.
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           “Great spot,” Casse said. “It’s kind of funny that Norm (son Norm Casse, trainer of Southlawn who drew post four) and I are next to each other. We can keep an eye on each other’s horse. (from post five) I can see Wonder Wheel gathering herself and getting into a nice stride. We have one of the best riders in the world in Joel Rosario—I usually don’t try to give too many instructions.”
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Taxed  (No. 15), Julia Shining (No. 16) and Hoosier Philly (No. 17) all entered the Kentucky Oaks as also-eligibles.
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      <pubDate>Tue, 02 May 2023 17:43:16 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Monday, May 1, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-monday-may-1-2023</link>
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FROM THE 2023 KENTUCKY DERBY POST POSITION DRAW
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE  (Post 14, 8-1), HIT SHOW (Post 1, 30-1), JACE’S ROAD (Post 12, 50-1), VERIFYING (Post 2, 15-1) – trainer Brad Cox: “Hit show, it’s OK. We’ll live with it. We have to. He’s doing great. Manny (Franco) is obviously going to have to work out a trip from down in there. Same thing with Verifying. Tyler (Gaffalione) rides Verifying. Both riders area going to have to find a way into the first turn. Verifying has a little more speed than Hit Show. Both are doing well. Angel of Empire, I think it’s a good draw. Flavien (Prat) will be able to break running and get a good spot mid-pack. That’s what I’m envisioning. Jace’s Road will probably be more forwardly placed as opposed to Angel of Empire. Hopefully he can get himself up into the mix.”
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           FORTE  (Post 15, 3-1), KINGSBARNS (Post 6, 12-1), TAPIT TRICE (Post 5, 5-1) – trainer Todd Pletcher: “I’m good with all of them. Good draws. We’re very happy with it.”
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           MAGE  (Post 8, 15-1) – trainer Gustavo Delgado: “It was a good draw. I think it’s a good spot for him. The horses right next to him are not that fast. To be in the middle of the field gives Javier (Castellano) a lot of opportunities. Whether he wants to go to the outside or inside, the post is a very good place to start.”
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           PRACTICAL MOVE  (Post 10, 10-1), REINCARNATE (Post 7, 50-1) – trainer Tim Yakteen: “Do I like them? Yes.”
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           RAISE CAIN  (Post 16, 50-1) – trainer Ben Colebrook: “I like it.”
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           SKINNER  (Post 9, 20-1) – trainer John Shirreffs: “Thumbs up. It’s a good draw.”
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           SUN THUNDER  (Post 13, 50-1) – trainer Kenny McPeek: “It’s a good spot. I’ve got a lot of confidence in Brian Hernandez Jr. He’s got to negotiate the post positions and we’re gonna let him. I hire him to ride and he does a great job for me.”
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           TWO PHIL’S  (Post 3, 12-1) – trainer Larry Rivelli: “I hope the pace is reasonable. There’s always someone who goes in the Derby. We’ll look to be sitting behind them and have all the traffic behind us. As long as we’re covered up we’re good.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FROM THE 2023 KENTUCKY OAKS POST POSITION DRAW
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           AFFIRMATIVE LADY  (Post 13, 10-1) – trainer Graham Motion: “I’d rather be there than in post 1. That’s for sure.”
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           BOTANICAL, (Post 6, 4-1), THE ALYS LOOK (Post 2, 15-1), WET PAINT (Post 7, 5-2) – trainer Brad Cox: “I thought it was a good draw for all of these fillies. Botanical and Wet Paint are in the middle of the gate which is fine for both of them. The Alys Look is inside but can work out a trip from there.”
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           DEFINING PURPOSE  (Post 11, 12-1) – trainer Kenny McPeek: “I’ve got a lot of confidence in Brian Hernadez’s ability. He knows this filly. You can over coach these things and overthink them. We’re not going to do that. We’re just going to let it happen and I trust Brian’s judgement.”
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           GAMBLING GIRL  (Post 3, 15-1) – trainer Todd Pletcher: “I’m fine with it. We weren’t too worried about the draw with this filly. She’s tactical.”
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS  (Post 14, 10-1) – “It’s not ideal but I’d rather be there than buried down on the inside. She’s easy to ride so it gives us room to maneuver. We’ll try to come up with the best way to work out a good trip.”
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           PROMISEHER AMERICA  (Post 8, 30-1) – trainer Ray Handal: “Really good draw. She can drop right over and get a good trip. We’re going to be forward regardless and leave it up to Jorge (Vargas Jr.) after that.”
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           SOUTHLAWN  (Post 4, 8-1) – trainer Norm Casse: “I think it’s a perfect draw. I played baseball my entire life and I was No. 4. So, it’s my lucky number.”
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           WONDER WHEEL  (Post 5, 12-1) – Kim Valerio, bloodstock agent representing D.J. Stable: “We’re super excited that we drew the same post that we did in the Breeders’ Cup win. Let’s hope she can redeem herself.”
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      <pubDate>Mon, 01 May 2023 21:44:45 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Kentucky Oaks Post Positions</title>
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           149th Kentucky Oaks Post Positions
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           1 Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer) 20-1
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           2 The Alys Look (Brad Cox) 15-1
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           3 Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher) 15-1
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           4 Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse) 8-1
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           5 Wonder Wheel (Joel Rosario, Mark Casse) 12-1
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           6 Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox) 4-1
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           7 Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox) 5-2
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           8 Promiseher America (Jorge Vargas Jr., Ray Handal) 30-1
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           9 And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller) 15-1
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           10 Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher) 15-1
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           11 Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek) 12-1
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           12 Dorth Vader (Luis Saez (second preference), Mike Yates) 20-1
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           13 Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion) 10-1
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           14 Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh) 10-1
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           Also-Eligible:
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           15 Taxed (Rafael Bejarano, Randy Morse) 20-1
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           16 Julia Shining (Luis Saez (first preference), Todd Pletcher) 15-1
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           17 Hoosier Philly (Edgar Morales, Tom Amoss) 30-1
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      <pubDate>Mon, 01 May 2023 19:16:10 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-oaks-post-positions</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Workouts</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-workouts</link>
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           KENTUCKY DERBY WORKOUTS
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           Posted May 1, 2023 - Updated May 2, 2023
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           Most workouts occurred after final prep races. Disarm is an exception. Continuar did not breeze May 2 as expected.
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           Angel of Empire
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           April 15 - 48:20 Breezing 5/22 CD dirt fast
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           April 21 - 1:13.40   Breezing 1/2 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 1.01:40 Breezing 23/54 CD dirt fast
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           Confidence Game
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           April 8 - 1.00:40 Breezing 5/28 CD dirt fast
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           April 14 - 1.38:20 Breezing 1/1 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 59:00 Breezing 1/54 CD dirt fast
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           Continuar (JPN)
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           April 26 - 50:00 Breezing 28/36 CD dirt fast
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           Cyclone Mischief
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           April 15 - 52.60 Breezing 99/99 CD dirt fast
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           April 23 - 1:01.00   Breezing 11/41 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 1.00:80 Breezing 16/54 CD dirt fast
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           Derma Sotogake (JPN)
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           April 19 - 49:60 Breezing 16/20 CD dirt fast
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           April 26 - 1:01.40 Breezing 3/5 CD dirt fast
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           May 1 - 49:60 Breezing 13/20 CD dirt fast
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           Disarm
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           April 3 - 50:60 Breezing 18/18 CD dirt fast
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           April 10 - 50:20 Breezing 8/11 CD dirt fast
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           April 24 - 1:00.00   Breezing 1/18 CD dirt fast
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           May 1 - 49.20 Breezing 15/30 CD dirt fast
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           Forte
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           April 14 - 50.23 Breezing (16/25) PBD dirt fast
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           April 21 - 1:02.00 Breezing 29/33 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 49:80 Breezing 96/149 CD dirt fast
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           Hit Show
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           April 21 - 1:01.00   Breezing 18/33 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - Hit Show 59.60 Breezing 4/54 CD dirt fast
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           Jace's Road
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           April 8 - 49:60 Breezing 50/66 CD dirt fast
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           April 15 - 48:20 Breezing 17/82 CD dirt fast
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           April 21 - 1.13:40 Breezing 1/2 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 1.01:20 Breezing 21/54 CD dirt fast
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           King Russell
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           April 16 - 1:03.20 Breezing 16/18 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 47.80 Breezing 10/149 CD dirt fast
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           Kingsbarns
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           April 7 - 49:74 Breezing 5/17 PBD dirt fast
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           April 14 - 49:48 Breezing 10/25 PBD dirt fast
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           April 20 - 1:00.80   Breezing 11/20 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 48:40 Breezing 33/149 CD dirt fast
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           Lord Miles
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           April 21 - 47.05 Breezing 2/33 GP dirt fast
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           April 28 - 1.02:41 Breezing 12/13 GP dirt fast
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           Mage
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           April 16 - 1.01:09 Breezing 5/20 GP dirt fast
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           April 22 - 1.14.78 Breezing 1/1 GP dirt fast
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           April 29 - 1.16:80 Breezing 1/1 CD dirt fast
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           Major Dude
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           April 14 - 49:48 Breezing 10/25 PBD dirt fast
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           April 20 - 1:00.80   Breezing 11/20 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 48:40 Breezing 33/149 CD dirt fast
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           Mandarin Hero
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           April 26 -1.04:60 Handily 9/10 SA dirt fast
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           May 2 - 1.05:60 Breezing 15/15 CD dirt fast
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           Practical Move
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           April 21 - 47.00 Handily 2/31 SA dirt fast
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           April 28 - 59:60 Handily 1/14 SA dirt fast
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           Raise Cain
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           April 20 - 1.03:40 Breezing 11/11 KEE dirt fast
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           April 27 - 49:00 Breezing 13/51 KEE dirt fast
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           Reincarnate
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           April 16 - 1:00.00   Handily 12/99 SA dirt fast
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           April 22 - 1.01:00 Handily 7/16 SA dirt fast
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           April 28 - 46:40 Handily 1/26 SA dirt fast
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           Rocket Can
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           April 13 - 46:60 Breezing 1/34 CD dirt fast
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           April 23 - 1:01.00   Breezing 11/41 CD dirt fast
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           April 30 - 59.80 Breezing 4/35 CD dirt fast
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           Skinner
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           April 17 - 48:00 Handily 19/70 SA dirt fast
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           April 23 - 1:13.40 Handily 1/3 SA dirt fast
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           April 29 - 1.14:00 Handily 3/3 SA dirt fast
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           Sun Thunder
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           April 26 - 48.60 Breezing 10/36 CD dirt fast
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           May 1 - 47:80 Breezing 3/20 CD dirt fast
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           Tapit Trice
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           April 21 - 48.60 Breezing 11/68 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 48:20 Breezing 20/149 CD dirt fast
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           Two Phil's
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           April 9 - 49:60 Breezing 3/10 HAW dirt fast
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           April 16 - 1.00:00 Breezing 1/10 HAW dirt fast
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           April 27 - 59:00 Breezing 1/16 HAW dirt fast
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           Verifying
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           April 21 - 1:01.00 Breezing 18/33 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 59.40 Breezing 2/54 CD dirt fast
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      <pubDate>Mon, 01 May 2023 14:49:22 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-workouts</guid>
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    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Derby by the Speed Numbers</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-by-the-speed-numbers</link>
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           Kentucky Derby by the Speed Numbers
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           OR Who'll Reach the Eighth Pole First?
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted May 1, 2023
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           REVISED THE AFTEROON OF MAY 4, 2023 REMOVING PRACTICAL MOVE AND ADDING TAPIT TRICE
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           REVISED A SECOND TIME THE EVENING OF MAY 4, 2023 REMOVING TAPIT TRICE AND ADDING MANDARIN HERO
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           REVISED A THIRD TIME MAY 5, 2023 REMOVING SKINNER AFTER HIS SCRATCH AND ADDING BACK TAPIT TRICE
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           REVISED A FOURTH TIME THE MORNING OF MAY 6, 2023 FOLLOWING THE SCRATCH OF FORTE AND ADDING VERIFYING
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           In 63 of the last 68 (93 percent) runnings of the Kentucky Derby, the winner was either on the lead with an eighth of a mile to go in the race, within a length of the lead, or running second although more than a length off the leader. Of those 68 winners, 50 of them (74 percent) were on the lead at the eighth pole.  *Running positions at the eighth pole since the 2005 Kentucky Derby are shown below.
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           The Kentucky Derby is 1 1/4 miles for 3-year-olds only. It's the first time any of the horses have ever run that far in a race. In this industry, speed figures are calculated to identify how fast horses run, not by time, but by analysis. From six categories of speed figures published at Daily Racing Form, Brisnet and Equibase for 3-year-old races at 1 1/8 or 1 3/16 miles, we identified the horses with the best four figures in each category, then we added up how many times the horses were among the best.
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           **A chart showing all the horses' speed figures in all the categories is below.
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           The horses in the main body of the Derby field that rate the best using this method are:
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE - among the four best figures in 5 of 6 categories
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           TWO PHIL'S - among the best in 4 of 6 categories
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           MANDARIN HERO - among the best in 3 of 6 categories
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           TAPIT TRICE - among the best in 3 of 6 categories
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           VERIFYING - among the best in 3 of 6 categories
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           DETAILS
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           (See below for how each set of speed figures works)
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           ****REVISED May 4, 2023. With the scratch of Practical Move, the only category with a new Top 4 horse is the Equibase speed figure category: Tapit Trice and that moved him into the Top 4. But Mandarin Hero supplanted Tapit Trice later in the day when he drew in.
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           ****Revised May 5, 2023. Skinner was scratched, and he was removed from the Top 4. Tapt Trice is now back in the Top 4.
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           Top 4 Beyer Speed Figures:
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            Two Phil's 101 (Jeff Ruby Steaks); Mandarin Hero 100 (Santa Anita Derby); Tapit Trice 99 (Blue Grass Stakes); Verifying 99 (Blue Grass Stakes)
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           Top 4 DRF combined speed/track variant figures:
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            Two Phi's 111 (Jeff Ruby Steaks); Angel of Empire 104 (Arkansas Derby); Mandarin Hero 103 (Santa Anita Derby); Mage101 (Florida Derby)
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           Top 4 Brisnet Figures:
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            Two Phil's 107 (Jeff Ruby Steaks); Tapit Trice 102 (Blue Grass Stakes); Verifying 102 (Blue Grass Stakes); Angel of Empire 101 (Arkansas Derby)
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           Top 4 Combined Brisnet E1-E2 figures:
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            Two Phil's 218 (Risen Star Stakes); Angel of Empire 208 (Risen Star Stakes); Sun Thunder 202 (Risen Star Stakes); Cyclone Mischief 196 (Florida Derby)
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           Top 4 Brisnet Late Pace figures:
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            Disarm 110 (Louisiana Derby); Kingsbarns 109 (Louisiana Derby); Angel of Empire 108 (Arkansas Derby); Skinner 107 (Santa Anita Derby)
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           Top 4 Equibase Figures:
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            Angel of Empire 106 (Arkansas Derby); Mandarin Hero 105 (Santa Anita Derby); Tapit Trice 103 (Blue Grass Stakes); Mage 102 (Florida Derby); Verifying 102 (Blue Grass Stakes)
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           *DETAILS SINCE 2005
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           In 2022, Rich Strike was third, four lengths off the pace, at the eighth-pole. In 2021, Medina Spirit (since disqualified) and Mandaloun (who was second across the wire) were one-two at the marker, separated by a neck. In 2020, Authentic was ahead by a length. In 2019, Maximum Security also led by a length with a furlong left - but was disqualified. In 2018, Justify led by 2 1/2 lengths at the all-important eighth pole. In 2017, Always Dreaming led by three lengths at the eighth-pole. In 2016, Nyquist led by 2 1/2 lengths at the eighth pole. In 2015, American Pharoah had poked his head in front at that point of the race. In 2014, California Chrome led by five lengths at the furlong marker. In 2013, Orb was second, 2 1/2 lengths off the lead at the eighth pole. In 2012, I'll Have Another was second, three lengths off the lead with a furlong left. In 2011, Animal Kingdom didn't qualify for this stat, but he was about as close as you can get -- third by by 1 1/2 length at the eighth pole. In 2010, Super Saver was two lengths the best at the furlong marker. Mine That Bird was one length ahead at the eighth pole in 2009. Big Brown, the 2008 Derby winner, was 2 1/2 lengths ahead. In 2007, Street Sense was up by a length, and in 2006, Barbaro was four lengths in front at the eighth pole. The 2005 winner, Giacomo, was an exception to the rule. He was in sixth place at the eighth pole, almost three lengths off the lead held by Closing Argument at that moment.
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           **2023 Kentucky Derby Chart
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           Beyer Speed Figures; Speed Rating and Track Variant
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            Beyer Speed Figures are a well-known handicapping staple at Daily Racing Form. A single number is designed to express how fast a horse ran in a race.
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           These figures are complemented by the publication's pure speed rating and track variant figures, explained succinctly as follows.
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           The speed rating is a comparison of a horse's final time with the best time at the distance at that track in the last three years. The best time is given a rating of 100. One point is deducted for each fifth of a second by which a horse fails to equal that time.
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           To compute the track variant, the speed ratings of all winners in each type of race on a card are added together and an average is computed, which is deducted from 100. The lower the track variant, the faster the track, or the better the overall quality of competition that day, according to Daily Racing Form. Conversely, a higher track variant almost always means a slower track.
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           Brisnet Speed Figures
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           Brisnet has its own formula for calculating speed and like Beyer figures, a single number is designed to express how fast a horse ran in a race.
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           Brisnet speed figures are complemented by pace figures to evaluate horses' speed in the early and late stages of races, called E1, E2 and LP.  E1 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the first call of the race, usually a half-mile in longer races, and E2 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the second call, usually three-quarters of a mile. LP is the pace rating of the horse from the second call to the finish of the race.
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           Equibase Speed Figures
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           Since 1991 Equibase has been the official repository for statistics in Thoroughbred racing in North America. This company also has its own formula for assessing speed expressed in a single number.
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      <pubDate>Mon, 01 May 2023 13:47:09 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-by-the-speed-numbers</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: Sunday, April 30, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-sunday-april-30-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Sunday, April 30, 2023
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           Frank Fletcher Racing Operations’ Rocket Can completed his major preparation for Kentucky Derby 149 by working five furlongs in company in :59.80 on a brisk Sunday morning at Churchill Downs.   
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           Disarm is scheduled to work Monday morning here for trainer Steve Asmussen and on Tuesday works are possible from Sun Thunder, Continuar (JPN) and Derma Sotogake (JPN).
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           Trainer Tim Yakteen’s Derby duo of Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Practical Move and Reincarnate both jogged a mile in their first appearance on track here.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – Trainer Brad Cox reported all four of his Kentucky Derby contenders were in fine fettle Sunday morning following their final works into this year’s Kentucky Derby.
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           All four horses could have light training Monday.
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – A day after impressing onlookers with a :59 five-furlong breeze under jockey James Graham, the best of 54 at that distance, Don’t Tell My Wife Stable and Ocean Reef Racing’s Confidence Game walked the shedrow for trainer Keith Desormeaux.
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           “He’s worked that fast before at Fair Grounds,” his regular rider Graham said, “I’ve sat off some strong company with him and beat them to the wire. But that work yesterday, to do it by himself was something impressive.”
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           Having bought into Confidence Game earlier in April for an undisclosed amount, members of Ocean Reef Racing stopped by the barn Sunday to visit their son of Candy Ride. The young ownership group with 12 members is led by Louisville native William Paynter.
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           “I was on a business trip and was talking to a buddy who was in last year’s Don’t Tell My Wife, and he mentioned that they have a horse in the Derby,” Paynter said. “Jokingly I said we’ll buy half of him, but then I got back from the trip and started looking at his bloodlines, that he won the Rebel Stakes, and the fact he has two wins at Churchill Downs. I followed up and here we are.”
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           Confidence Game schooled in the paddock after training hours.
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           CONTINUAR  – Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.’s Continuar (JPN) had a walk day at the Quarantine Barn.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE  – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN) had a walk day at the Quarantine Barn.
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           DISARM – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm galloped 1 ½ miles Sunday morning under exercise rider Roberto Howell in the irons. Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen was back in Louisville and stated the colt will work Monday.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE –  Trainer Todd Pletcher’s Derby colts all walked the shedrow Sunday morning following their final drills Saturday heading toward next Saturday’s Run for the Roses.
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           Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Forte, Whisper Hill Farm and Gainesway Stable’s Tapit Trice and Spendthrift Farm’s Kingsbarns all have guaranteed spots in the 149th edition of the race headliner. Their stablemate, Spendthrift Farm’s Major Dude, is No. 22 on the race’s list that only allows for 20 runners. Should he not make it into the big one, his connections are considering him for the $500,000 American Turf (GII) at a mile and one-sixteenth, also on Saturday.
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           “All four came out of their Saturday works fine,” Pletcher said. “I’m pleased with where we are.”
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           The trainer indicated that his charges would gallop their way up to the Derby for the balance of the week.
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           LORD MILES – Vegso Racing Stable’s Lord Miles was scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Sunday afternoon after vanning from Gulfstream Park.
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           MAGE –  Following his final timed breeze on Saturday, trainer Gustavo Delgado Sr. said the Good Magic colt will follow a maintenance program during the days leading up to the Derby.
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           Owned by OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH, Mage was timed in 1:16.80 for the six furlongs.
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           "Now there is this suspense,” he said. “We’ll find out tomorrow about the post position, and prepare for Saturday.”
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           Delgado said he’s seen rapid development in Mage in the last few months. In the Florida Derby, Delgado said that when he came up to challenge likely Kentucky Derby favorite Forte with jockey Luis Saez, it showed his potential.
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           “I don’t think that Luis knew the horse,” he said. “And when he asked him, it surprised him. When he moved, whoosh, he moved very, very fast. He goes to the front with Forte. He’s got that possibility to win the race.” 
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           Most importantly, being in Louisville for the Derby, Delgado said, “We are very happy, and we are going to enjoy the week.”
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           PRACTICAL MOVE/REINCARNATE –  Trainer Tim Yakteen’s California pair of Practical Move and Reincarnate got their introductions to Churchill Downs Sunday morning when they both jogged a mile around the big Louisville strip. They had been flown in from their Santa Anita home base Saturday.
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           Practical Move, the Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner owned by Pierre Jean and Leslie Amestoy, Jr. and Roger Beasley, was out first at 5:15 under exercise rider Baltazar Contreras for his leg stretching. Reincarnate, owned by SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Robert Masterson, Stonestreet Stables, Jay Schoenfarber, Wave Edge Capital and Catherine Donovan, followed during the special 7:30 to 7:45 Derby/Oaks training period.
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           “They both went well,” the rider said. “Both had good energy.”
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           Besides his Derby duo, Yakteen brought four other runners on the flight, all with designs on Churchill races this week. They, too, did some jogging Sunday morning. The quartet consists of Johannes, who is bound for Saturday’s $500,000 American Turf (GII) for sophomores at a mile and one-sixteenth; Kangaroo Court and Fort Bragg eyeing Saturday’s $500,000 Pat Day Mile (GII), and Dillinger, a 3-year-old earmarked for a maiden race. 
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           RAISE CAIN – Andrew and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain  galloped Sunday morning at Keeneland for trainer Ben Colebrook. Raise Cain is scheduled to ship to Churchill Downs on Monday morning after training at 7:30 at Keeneland.
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           ROCKET CAN –  Trainer Bill Mott waited until Sunday morning for the colt owned by Frank Fletcher Racing Operations to put in his final breeze for the Derby. And his move during the cool, breezy training session with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona aboard, had his Hall of Fame trainer beaming.
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           The Into Mischief colt finished a five-furlong move in :59.80, inside of workmate Mr. McGregor. The splits were :12.80, :24.40, :36 and out six furlongs in 1:13.
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           “I thought it went very well,” said Mott. “That’s racehorse time for this track. He had a workmate out there, both riders did a good job, and it worked out like we had hoped it would. I thought Rocket Can finished well, and galloped out well. It was a very nice work.”
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           With the colt primed for the 1 1/4-mile Derby, now Rocket Can’s connections, along with those of the other 19 on the points leaderboard, await the post position draw Monday afternoon.
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           “To ensure a win, you’ve got to have a pretty good trip,” Mott said. “It’s such a competitive race, that the trip means a lot. Sometimes you get lucky, and sometimes you don’t, in such a big field.”
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           Rocket Can worked in blinkers and he’ll be wearing them again in the race.
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           “Visually, for me, they appear to be helping,” Mott said. “We had worked him before in blinkers and we had thought that they didn’t make an extreme amount of difference. But if they help just a little bit, that’s what you need.”
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           Before the post position draw, Mott doesn’t plan too much for Rocket Can after Sunday’s breeze.
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           “He’ll have an easy day tomorrow, then we’ll get him back on a medium exercise program until Derby Day,” said Mott. “We just hope that he stays healthy, and in one piece, until Saturday.”
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           The Derby will answer one important question — which 3-year-olds can handle the distance.
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           “The one thing we all have to prove is if we can get 10 furlongs,” Mott said. “That’s always the question in the Derby, there’s not that many prep races at that mile-and-a-quarter distance. When they turn for home in the Derby, that really sorts them out.
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           “We hope this horse has the stamina to get the 10 furlongs. We think he has it, he has a pedigree that indicates he should get the distance. You never know if they can do it, until they do it.”
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           SKINNER – C R K Racing’s Skinner  was en route to Churchill Downs Sunday and scheduled to arrive at the track at approximately 8:30 p.m. after his flight from California. His trainer, John Shirreffs, his wife Dottie and his right-hand stablehand Frank Leal were airborne with a Louisville arrival time of 2:30 p.m.
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           Skinner, who was a closing third in the Santa Anita Derby last out, will be handled by California’s top rider, Juan Hernandez, for the first time in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby. 
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           Skinner, a Curlin colt who fetched $510,000 at auction, will be reunited with his connections at Barn 41 on the backside.
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           SUN THUNDER –  After a gallop Saturday with exercise rider Martin Vargas, the runner-up in the Risen Star (GII) at Fair Grounds is pointing toward one last breeze, on Tuesday. Jockey Brian Hernandez Jr., who will ride the colt, owned by R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine, in the Derby, is expected to climb aboard him in that workout.
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           “He walked today, but he’s fine,” said Greg Geier, assistant to trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           TWO PHIL’S – Patricia’s Hope, Phillip Sagan, and Madaket Stable’s Two Phil’s is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Sunday afternoon, traveling from his stable at Hawthorne Race Course.
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           Trainer Larry Rivelli confirmed that Madaket owns 10 percent of Two Phil’s, having bought half of Sagan’s share. The GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks winner will be stabled with Mike Tomlinson in Barn 1.
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            ALSO-ELIGIBLES  – Trainer Dale Romans said his Kentucky Derby hopeful came out of his Saturday 5-furlong breeze in good shape. Now, since Cyclone Mischief is 21st on the points leaderboard, he has to wait and see if there are any defections that would bring the Albaugh Family Stables and Castleton Lyons colt into the field.
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           Cyclone Mischief was clocked in 1:00.80 for the five furlongs.
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           “I thought he worked great yesterday, and he came back real good,” Romans said. “Now we just have to wait and see if one of the other horses drops out. You don’t want to wish anyone else to have a bad day, since most of these people are my friends. But you want to get in.
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           “We’ll see what happens. We’re not going to name a rider yet, we’ll wait and see if there are changes. One other time, we were in this position, with Cherry Wine, and he didn’t get in. But then he went on to run second in the Preakness. If he doesn’t get in as the also eligible, we’ll just go on to the Preakness.”
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           Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero (JPN) (No. 23) galloped two miles under exercise rider Yuji Horita.
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           Mandarin Hero, runner-up in the Santa Anita Derby (GI), is trained by Terunobu Fujita, who is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on Thursday.
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           Brereton Jones  and Naber Racing’s King Russell (No. 24) walked the shedrow at trainer Ron Moquett’s barn the morning after working a half-mile in :47.80.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Angel of Empire (jockey Flavien Prat, trainer Brad Cox); Confidence Game (James Graham, Keith Desormeaux); Continuar (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Derma Sotogake (JPN) (Christophe Lemaire, Hidetaka Otonashi); Disarm (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Forte (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Hit Show (Manny Franco, Brad Cox); Jace’s Road (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Kingsbarns (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Lord Miles (Paco Lopez, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Mage (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Practical Move (Ramon Vazquez, Tim Yakteen); Raise Cain (TBA, Ben Colebrook); Reincarnate (John Velazquez, Tim Yakteen); Rocket Can (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Skinner (Juan Hernandez, John Shirreffs); Sun Thunder (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Tapit Trice (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher); Two Phil’s (Jareth Loveberry, Larry Rivelli); and Verifying (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox)
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           Also-Eligible: Cyclone Mischief (TBA, Dale Romans); Major Dude (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Mandarin Hero (JPN) (TBA, Terunobu Fujita); King Russell (TBA, Ron Moquett).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE (unedited)
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           AFFIRMATIVE LADY – AMO Racing USA’s Affirmative Lady  galloped a mile on the main track at Keeneland under Kevin Lundie for trainer Graham Motion.
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           Affirmative Lady will train at Keeneland early Monday morning before leaving by van around 9 a.m. for Churchill Downs.
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           AND TELL ME NOLIES – Peter Redekop’s And Tell Me Nolies, who arrived at Churchill Downs on Saturday, walked the shedrow Sunday morning.
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           Winner of the Del Mar Debutante (GI) and Chandelier (GII), the Peter Miller trainee comes into the Kentucky Oaks off a runner-up finish in the Santa Anita Oaks (GII).
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox’s trio of Longines Kentucky Oaks runners Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint all galloped about 1 ½ miles Sunday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           LNJ Foxwoods and Clearsky Farm’s Botanical is likely to be one of the top choices in this year’s Longines Kentucky Oaks and will be ridden by local jockey Chris Landeros.
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           "She’s very talented and she’s already proved that this winter at Turfway when she was perfect from four starts,” Landeros said. “Keeneland’s meet has proved to be a good steppingstone for the Turfway horses. They’ve run very well there and I think that shows the caliber of horses that stayed this winter at Turfway. That gives you a lot of confidence coming into the Kentucky Oaks.
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           “Brad (Cox) is very blessed at having all of these talented fillies in this year’s race and even some that won’t run in this year’s race that have shown a lot of promise.
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           “I’ve been riding for 17 years now. I started when I was 17-years-old out west and my career has brought me to the biggest stage here at Churchill Downs. We’ve been here before but I’m glad I’m in this situation now with some more experience under my belt. I’m very anxious to get it going Friday.”
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           Jockey Flavien Prat will have the mount on likely Oaks morning line favorite Wet Paint while Luis Saez will pilot The Alys Look.
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           DEFINING PURPOSE – Following her “happy half” workout on Saturday of :47 for the four furlongs, the Ashland Stakes (GI) winner walked on Sunday.
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           Greg Geier, assistant to trainer Kenny McPeek, said she emerged from the breeze in fine shape.
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           DORTH VADER – John Ropes’ Dorth Vader galloped about 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. Sunday at Churchill Downs.
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           “She was a bit on her toes (Saturday) but that’s kind of who she is,” trainer Michael Yates said. “I’ll probably take her over to the paddock once or twice to get acquainted with things. We’re very excited to be here this week.”
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           FLYING CONNECTION – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby  and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection had a walk day for trainer Todd Fincher.
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           Following training hours, Flying Connection had a paddock schooling session. Fincher said the Sunland Park Oaks (Listed) winner would go to the gate in the next couple of days.
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           GAMBLING GIRL/JULIA SHINING  – Trainer Todd Pletcher’s Kentucky Oaks hopefuls both jogged a mile and three-eighths Sunday morning during the special Derby/Oaks 7:30 to 7:45 training session. Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl, who is guaranteed a spot in the mile and one-eighth headliner Friday, had Carlos Quevedo in the tack. Stonestreet Stables’ Julia Shining, who is two horses away from making the 14-horse lineup, was partnered by Humberto Zamora.
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           “They both went well,” Pletcher said. “We’re good.”
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           The trainer was asked for a possible Plan B for the Curlin filly Julia Shining should she not make it into the Oaks lineup.
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           “Possibly we’d consider the Black-Eyed Susan the day before the Preakness in Baltimore,” he said. “Or we might wait until the Acorn (Stakes) in New York at Belmont (Grade I, $500,000 June 9).”
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           MIMI KAKUSHI –. Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi was hand-walked in the Quarantine Barn a day after working a half-mile in :50.40.
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS – Pretty Mischievous  galloped on Sunday morning during the special Derby/Oaks 7:30 to 7:45 training period at Churchill Downs. Having put in her final preparatory work ahead of the Oaks on Thursday, the Godolphin homebred has been moving well under exercise rider Albino Martinez and keeping to her schedule as laid out by trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           “She galloped her normal one mile and a half today,” said Charlie Lynch, assistant trainer to Walsh. “She schooled in the paddock yesterday and it went very well.”
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           PROMISEHERAMERICA – Hoffman Thoroughbreds  and Tom McCrocklin’s Promiseher America is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs early Monday morning, traveling from her home base at Belmont Park.
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           Trainer Ray Handal has named Jorge Vargas Jr. to ride the daughter of American Pharoah in the Oaks. The grade-three Gazelle (GII)-winner will be stabled in barn 42.
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Robert Masterson’s Southlawn had another routine 1 ½-mile gallop for trainer Norm Casse Sunday at 7:30 a.m. The speedy daughter of Pioneerof the Nile will be ridden in the Oaks by Rey Gutierrez.
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           WONDER WHEEL –  After following up her final breeze with two easy days on the track, D.J. Stable’s Wonder Wheel galloped one mile and a half on Sunday morning. In good hands with assistant trainer David Carroll in the boot, Wonder Wheel entered the track at 5:40 a.m. in the Mark Casse barn’s second set. 
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           Carroll reported that Wonder Wheel moved well beneath him and is doing great going into the race. The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI) champion will keep to the same routine leading up to Oaks day.
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           Before becoming a trainer in 1992, Carroll worked as an exercise rider for Shug McGaughey. A brilliant exercise rider, Carroll accompanied the 1989 Belmont Stakes winner Easy Goer through his morning drills. 
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Richard Bahde’s Taxed  (No. 15 on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks leaderboard) galloped a mile and a half under Santurino Vergara for trainer Randy Morse. Morse said Taxed is likely to enter the Oaks as an also-eligible.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion); And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller); Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox); Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Dorth Vader (TBA, Mike Yates); Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher); Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer); Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh); Promiseher America (Jorge Vargas Jr., Ray Handal); Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse); The Alys Look (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Wonder Wheel (Joel Rosario, Mark Casse).
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           Also-Eligible: Taxed (Rafael Bejarano, Randy Morse); Julia Shining (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Hoosier Philly (Edgar Morales, Tom Amoss).
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           STAKES PROBABLES
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           The following are the early probable stakes race entrants for Kentucky Derby Week, according to assistant racing secretary and stakes coordinator Dan Bork:
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           The 37
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           th
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            running of the $1 million Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at 1 1/8 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Santin (Brendan Walsh); Spooky Channel (Jason Barkley); Up to the Mark (Todd Pletcher); and Wolfie’s Dynaghost (Jonathan Thomas).
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            The 88
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            running of the $750,000 Churchill Downs presented by Ford (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Cody’s Wish (Bill Mott), Endorsed (Mike Maker); Get Her Number (Peter Miller); Here Mi Song (Billy Stinson); Hoist the Gold (Dallas Stewart); Sir Alfred James (Lynn Cash); and Steal Sunshine (George Papaprodromou).
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            The 37
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            running of the $750,000 Derby City Distaff presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Frank’s Rockette (Bill Mott); Hot and Sultry (Norm Casse); and Matareya (Brad Cox).
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            The 32
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           nd
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            running of the $500,000 American Turf (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds at 1 1/16 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Far Bridge (Todd Pletcher); Johannes (Tim Yakteen); Major Dude (Todd Pletcher); Mendelssohns March (Kenny McPeek); Mo Stash (Vicki Oliver); Scoobie Quando (Ben Colebrook); Talk of the Nation (Shug McGaughey); and Wadsworth (Brad Cox).
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            The 38
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            running of the $500,000 Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at one mile on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Haughty (Chad Brown); Sharp Hero (Bradley Ross); Spendarella (Graham Motion); Sweet Dani Girl (Carlo Vaccarezza); and Wakanaka (IRE) (Bill Mott).
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            The 99
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            running of the $500,000 Pat Day Mile (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds at one mile (entries close Monday, May 1): Bourbon Bash (D. Wayne Lukas); Dreaming of Kona (Aldana Spieth); Fort Bragg (Tim Yakteen); Frosted Departure (Kenny McPeek); General Jim (Shug McGaughey); Gilmore (Brendan Walsh); Kangaroo Court (Tim Yakteen); and Tall Boy (Doug O’Neill).
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            The 29
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            running of the $500,000 TwinSpires Turf Sprint (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds and up at 5 ½ furlongs on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Artemus Citylimits (Mike Maker); Bad Beat Brian (Brittany Vanden Berg); Big Invasion (Christophe Clement); Carotari (Brian Lynch); Evan Sing (Al Stall Jr.); Go Bears Go (Wesley Ward); and Oceanic (Jordan Blair).
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            The second running of the $175,000 Knicks Go Overnight Stakes on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at one mile (entries close Monday, May 1): Caddo River (D. Wayne Lukas); Gulfstream Way (Rachel Sells); Masqueparade (Al Stall Jr.); Noble Drama (David Fawkes); Petulante (Victor Barboza Jr.); Promise Keeper (Dallas Stewart); Surly Furious (Glenn Wismer); Three Technique (Jason Cook); and Zozos (Brad Cox).
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            The 38
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            running of the $750,000 La Troienne (GI) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at 1 1/16 miles (entries close Monday, May 1): A Mo Reay (Brad Cox); Classy Edition (Todd Pletcher); Kathleen O. (Shug McGaughey); Played Hard (Phil Bauer); and Secret Oath (Wayne Lukas).
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            The 20
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            running of the $600,000 Alysheba presented by Sentient Jet (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 4-year-olds and up at 1 1/16 miles (entries close Monday, May 1): Milliken (Ian Wilkes); Rich Strike (Eric Reed); Smile Happy (Kenny McPeek); and West Will Power (Brad Cox).
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            The 39
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            running of the $500,000 Edgewood presented by Forcht Bank (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 3-year-old fillies at 1 1/16 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Cairo Consort (Todd Pletcher); Girl Named Charlie (Tom Amoss); Heavenly Sunday (Brad Cox); Mission of Joy (Graham Motion); and Sabalenka (Whit Beckman).
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            The 68
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            running of the $500,000 Eight Belles (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 3-year-old fillies at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Ami Please (Doug O’Neill); Grand Love (Rodolphe Brisset); Munnys Gold (Todd Pletcher); Olivia Twist (Todd Fincher); Positano Sunset (Ian Wilkes); Red Carpet Ready (Rusty Arnold); and Yvonne’s Miss (Bill Morey).
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            The 13
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            running of the $300,000 Unbridled Sidney presented by Sysco (Listed) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 3-years-old and up at 5 ½ furlongs on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Bay Storm (Jonathan Thomas); Caravel (Brad Cox); Mamba Wamba (IRE) (Brendan Walsh); and New Boss (Bret Calhoun).
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            The 66
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            running of the $300,000 Modesty (GIII) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at 1 1/8 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Australia Mia (Michael McCarthy); New Year’s Eve (Chad Brown); and Transient (GB) (Chad Brown).
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      <pubDate>Sun, 30 Apr 2023 17:14:15 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-sunday-april-30-2023</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: Saturday, April 29, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-saturday-april-29-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Saturday, April 29, 2023 (unedited)
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           Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable’s likely Kentucky Derby (GI) favorite Forte headlined a busy morning beneath the Twin Spires at Churchill Downs as 12 candidates for this year’s Run for the Roses turned in their final works for the first leg of the Triple Crown.   Forte, who worked a half-mile in :49.80 over a fast track, was one of four breezers for trainer Todd Pletcher. Other Pletcher half-mile workers were Tapit Trice (:48.20) and Kingsbarns and Major Dude, who worked together in :48.40.
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           Trainer Brad Cox also had four workers: Angel of Empire (five furlongs 1:01.40) and Jace’s Road (1:01.20) in company together and Hit Show (:59.60) and Verifying (:59.40) in separate company.
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           Confidence Game worked five furlongs in :59 for trainer Keith Desormeaux, a move that was the fastest of 54 at the distance.
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           Mage turned in a six-furlong work in 1:16.80 for trainer Gustavo Delgado.
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           Cyclone Mischief breezed five furlongs in 1:00.80 for trainer Dale Romans.
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           Working before the first morning harrow break, King Russell worked a half-mile in :47.80 for trainer Ron Moquett.
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           Working at Santa Anita was Skinner, who breezed six furlongs in 1:14 for trainer John Shirreffs. Skinner is scheduled to ship to Louisville on Sunday.
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           Two fillies put in their final works for the 149th running of the Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI): Defining Purpose (a half-mile in :47, the fastest of 149 at the distance) for trainer Kenny McPeek and Mimi Kakushi (a half-mile in 50.40) for trainer Salem bin Ghadayer.
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           Frank Fletcher Racing Operations’ Rocket Can is scheduled to work Sunday morning for trainer Bill Mott.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – Trainer Brad Cox had his game face on as Angel of Empire, Hit Show, Jace’s Road and Verifying all had their final works Saturday morning prior to the “Run for the Roses”
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           At 5:15 a.m. Gary and Mary West’s Hit Show worked five furlongs in :59.60 outside fellow 3-year-old Tapit’s Conquest. The duo breezed through fractions of :23.60, :35.80 and :47.40 before a six-furlong gallop out of 1:13.80, according to Churchill Downs Clocker John Nichols.
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           A few moments later, Westerberg, Mrs. John Magnier, Jonathan Poulin, Derrick Smith and Michael B. Tabor’s Verifying breezed five furlongs in :59.40 outside Everso Mischievous. They completed fractions of :23.20, :35.20 and :47.20. The duo recorded a six-furlong gallop out of 1:12.80.
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           “They were both pretty straightforward moves,” Cox said. “We’re one week out from the race and they are important works but we didn’t want to ask them to do too much. They did it on their own and did what we needed to see going into the Derby.”
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           Two hours later, Cox worked his other two Derby contenders, Albaugh Family Stables Angel of Empire and West Point Thoroughbreds’ Jace’s Road. Angel of Empire completed five furlongs in 1:01.40 and Jace’s Road 1:01.20. Angel of Empire started about two lengths behind Jace’s Road but following the official work began to edge clear of his workmate.
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           “(Angel of Empire) seems to have a lot of gears,” said jockey Chris Landeros, who subbed for Flavien Prat on the morning work. “He’s a really nice colt and worked easily.”
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Keith Desormeaux returned to the barn today to watch Confidence Game’s final work ahead of the Derby. Don’t Tell My Wife Stable and Ocean Reef Racing’s Rebel-winner headed out to the track at 7:30 a.m. and fired a :59 flat bullet going five furlongs under regular exercise rider Alex Cano.
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           “That beautiful breeze you saw was his last real preparation,” Desormeaux said. “And it was awesome. I heard he galloped out one mile and one-sixteenth in 1:43. He walked back to the barn with steady controlled breathing and he was relaxed cooling out. We just need to keep him happy and limber, school him in the paddock this week, enjoy the process and we’re ready.”
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           CONTINUAR  – Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.’s Continuar (JPN) confined his morning training session to exercising in the mile chute under Kazunari Yoshida.
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           Continuar, who will be ridden in Derby 149 by Ryusei Sakai, is expected to work Tuesday.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE  – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute during the first harrow break of the morning and then galloped a mile before visiting the starting gate and the paddock with Masanari Tanaka aboard.
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           Trained by Hidetaka Otonashi, Derma Sotogake will be ridden in the Derby by Christophe Lemaire. He is expected to work Tuesday, the same day Otonashi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville.
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           DISARM – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm had routine training session Saturday and galloped about 1 ½ miles. The son of Gun Runner is scheduled to work Monday.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE –  Heavy lifting complete.
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           The Todd Pletcher trio of Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Forte, Whisper Hill Farm and Gainesway Stable’s Tapit Trice and Spendthrift Farms’ undefeated Kingsbarns hit their last major marks Saturday morning when they went through half-mile works during the special Derby/Oaks 7:30 to 7:45 a.m. training period at Churchill Downs.
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           The three colts all had company as they clicked off the drills on a mild Louisville morning one week out from their dates with destiny in Kentucky Derby 149. Forte, who had regular rider Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the boot, was joined by Bright Future; Tapit Trice, with stable exercise rider Amelia Green at the controls, went with Equivoque on his hip; and Kingsbarns had Jose Ortiz up as he went through his exercise with Spendthrift Farm’s Major Dude – a Kentucky Derby hopeful still at this point – right alongside with exercise rider Joel Osorio attached.
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           Prior to driving from his backstretch Barn 39 to the Churchill grandstand to view the works, Pletcher noted that he was “looking for routine half-miles; nothing special.”
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           The Hall of Fame conditioner got just what he wanted.
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           Their times were as follows: Forte :49.80; Tapit Trice :48.20; Kingsbarns :48.40; Major Dude :48.40.
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           Pletcher was a happy man following his return to the backside. “I’m very pleased,” he stated. “They all did what they were supposed to do.”
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           Major Dude, who currently sits at #22 on the Derby list, will require a call from his trainer Monday morning when entries are taken for all the races on the Derby Day card. The Plan B for the son of Bolt d’Oro would be the Grade II, $500,000 American Turf for 3-year-olds at a mile and one sixteenth. A horse in Kentucky cannot be entered in more than one race on the Derby card. 
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           LORD MILES – Vegso Racing Stable’s Lord Miles, who worked five furlongs in 1:02.40 Friday morning over the fast main track at Gulfstream, was scheduled to leave trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.’s Florida base today with a Sunday arrival at Churchill Downs.
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           MAGE –  A final timed breeze for the Good Magic colt, owned by OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH, raised hopes in his team that he just might have the magic needed to win the Derby next Saturday.
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           In his final timed workout on Saturday morning, the colt, with exercise rider J.J. Delgado, was caught in :27.40, :40, :52.20 and 1:16.80 for the six furlongs, going out in 1:30.20.
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           “This workout was much like his previous workouts, but it was slower and he covered more ground,” said Gustavo Delgado Jr., assistant trainer to his father, Gustavo Delgado. “That was the plan. And it was mission accomplished, as you might say.”
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           In just three starts, Mage has shown rapid improvement. “We already know that he’s a fast horse, but now we’re training him for stamina,” Delgado Jr. said. “That’s pretty much the plan. The way he was traveling, he gave us a good feeling that he likes the track.”
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           The exercise rider – no relation to the trainers – delivered a glowing report on the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up. “He said he liked everything about it, the track, the work, the way he came back, all are good signs,” Delgado Jr. said. “He’ll walk tomorrow, and Monday he’ll jog and we’ll bring him to the gate. We’ll probably bring him back to the gate either Thursday or Friday. Pretty much the heavy work is done.
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           “A talented horse that’s feeling good, it’s all you need for the race,” he added. “We believe that he’s building the stamina needed for a mile-and-a-quarter.”
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           PRACTICAL MOVE/REINCARNATE –  Trainer Tim Yakteen two Kentucky Derby hopefuls were en route to Louisville Saturday following works Friday morning at Santa Anita.
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           Pierre Jean Amestoy Jr., Leslie Amestoy and Roger Beasley’s Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Practical Move breezed five furlongs in :59.60.
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           Reincarnate breezed a half-mile in :46.40 for the partnership of SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Robert Masterson, Stonestreet Stables, Jay Schoenfarber, Warren Edge Capital and Catherine Donovan.
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           The two colts are scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs this afternoon.
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           RAISE CAIN – Andrew and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain  returned to the track at Keeneland Saturday morning and jogged for trainer Ben Colebrook.
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           The winner of the Gotham (GIII) had worked a half-mile in :49 on Thursday, his second work since finishing fifth in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI).
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           Raise Cain is scheduled to ship to Churchill Downs on Monday morning after training at Keeneland.
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           ROCKET CAN –  Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott decided early Saturday to wait until Sunday morning for the colt owned by Frank Fletcher Racing Operations to put in his final breeze for the Derby. So the Into Mischief colt took to the track Saturday for a gallop with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona aboard.
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           “We decided to wait till tomorrow,” Mott said. “There might be a little shower (Saturday), but it shouldn’t be too bad and won’t affect him.”
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           No rider has been confirmed for the Derby.
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           SKINNER – C R K Stable’s Skinner  went through his final Kentucky Derby drill Saturday morning at Santa Anita at 6:30 when he covered six furlongs with new rider Juan Hernandez aboard. Clockers caught the Curlin colt in 1:14.
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           Trainer John Shirreffs, who pulled off a 50-1 Derby shocker with Giacomo in 2005, looked on Saturday and was fired up at the end of the move.
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           “This was the first time Juan was on him and he came back and said he really liked him, that he was ‘very professional’,” the conditioner said. “I asked him to finish the work just like the one we’d done last week and he did; he finished up his last eighth in :11 and 2.”
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           Hernandez, currently the leading rider in California, replaces Victor Espinoza on Skinner, who was a close up, closing third in his most recent start April 8 in the Santa Anita Derby (GI).
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           “He’ll be on a plane out of LAX at 3:30 tomorrow morning,” Shirreffs noted.
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           The trainer will ship from LAX too on a separate flight tomorrow and will rejoin his charge at Barn 41 on the Churchill backside at some point Sunday. 
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           SUN THUNDER –  With one final breeze expected on Tuesday, the runner-up in the Risen Star (GII) at the Fair Grounds was out Saturday for a gallop with exercise rider Martin Vargas. R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine’s Derby hopeful breezed a half-mile in :48.60 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. on Wednesday.
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           “He deserves a chance, and he can run well,” said trainer Kenny McPeek, who was battling a stomach virus for several days this week. “So much is out of your control, once you leg the rider up. Somebody said to me a long time ago, ‘Win like you’re used to it, and lose like you like it.’ That’s what we’ll do.”
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           The Into Mischief colt, who finished fourth in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) at Keeneland, has shown that he can compete with the likes of Forte, Tapit Trice, Angel of Empire and other highly regarded colts headed for the Derby field.
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           “He raced here last fall, so he knows his way around,” McPeek said. “He needs to find another level with the blinkers on, fingers crossed, that it’s something that propels him forward. Every now and then, you get a horse where that makes a big improvement on, but we’re excited.”
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           McPeek said Dr. Ramon Tallaj – of Florida-based R.T Racing Stables, an internal medicine specialist who’s chairman of the board of SOMOS Community Care in New York – told him that this is his first Derby, “and he’s over the moon about it. He told me that last week, he had lunch with the Pope, and I told him to get us a papal blessing … to give us a little push from above.”
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           McPeek is well aware of what makes the Derby unique, and preparing a 3-year-old for it takes added attention.
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           “This race is always unique,” McPeek said, “in the sense that they have to handle the racetrack, they have to handle the adversity that the Kentucky Derby throws at them. This horse is capable of doing that, and it’s always interesting. That’s why we’re here.”
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           TWO PHIL’S –  On his last day at Hawthorne before traveling to Churchill Downs, Patricia’s Hope and Phillip Sagan’s Two Phil’s jogged over the fast main track.
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           Trainer Larry Rivelli will be arriving Sunday as well and the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) winner will make his first appearance on Churchill Downs’ main track Monday morning at 7:30 a.m.
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           Wintering at Fair Grounds Race Course &amp;amp; Slots while targeting the Lecomte (GIII) and the Risen Star (GII), where he finished second and third respectively, the son of Hard Spun carried himself with an unmatched happiness and confidence everyday. Rivelli reports he has maintained that commanding demeanor throughout the spring at Hawthorne.
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           “On the track he always has his neck bowed,” Rivelli said. “He wants to stand out there all day. He acts like he could care less about anything. Sleeps during the day. He’s got a great mind. He’ll be there Sunday so we can acclimate him. We‘ll take him to the paddock to school, gallop him a couple days, and just play around with him and keep him happy until the race
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES  – Trainer Dale Romans watched his Kentucky Derby hopeful put in a final five-furlong breeze on Saturday with regular exercise rider Tammy Fox aboard, but now it’s a waiting game, since the son of Into Mischief is one spot away from making the starting gate.
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           Racing for owners Albaugh Family Stables LLC and Castleton Lyons, Cyclone Mischief was clocked in :12, :23.40, :36 and 1:00.80 for the 5 furlongs, finishing up at 1:14.60. But he’s 21st on the points leaderboard, and the Derby starting gate is limited to 20 horses.
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           “He looked really good, now all we can do is wait and see,” Romans said. “He’s been training great. If he gets in, they’ll know he’s in there.”
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           Romans said he’d likely enter Cyclone Mischief on the also-eligible list in the Kentucky Derby.
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           Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero, who arrived at Churchill Downs Thursday afternoon from Santa Anita, made his first appearance on track Saturday morning by galloping a mile under Yuji Horita for trainer Terunobu Fujita.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Angel of Empire (jockey Flavien Prat, trainer Brad Cox); Confidence Game (James Graham, Keith Desormeaux); Continuar (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Derma Sotogake (JPN) (Christophe Lemaire, Hidetaka Otonashi); Disarm (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Forte (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Hit Show (Manny Franco, Brad Cox); Jace’s Road (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Kingsbarns (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Lord Miles (Paco Lopez, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Mage (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Practical Move (Ramon Vazquez, Tim Yakteen); Raise Cain (TBA, Ben Colebrook); Reincarnate (John Velazquez, Tim Yakteen); Rocket Can (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Skinner (Juan Hernandez, John Shirreffs); Sun Thunder (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Tapit Trice (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher); Two Phil’s (Jareth Loveberry, Larry Rivelli); and Verifying (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox)
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           Also-Eligible: Cyclone Mischief (TBA, Dale Romans); Major Dude (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Mandarin Hero (JPN) (TBA, Terunobu Fujita); King Russell (TBA, Ron Moquett)
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE (unedited)
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           AFFIRMATIVE LADY – AMO Racing USA’s Affirmative Lady  returned to the track at Keeneland and jogged under Kevin Lundie for trainer Graham Motion.
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           Affirmative Lady had worked five furlongs in 1:01.40 on Thursday. She is scheduled to van to Churchill Downs Monday morning after training at Keeneland.
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           AND TELL ME NOLIES – Peter Redekop’s And Tell Me Nolies  was scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Saturday afternoon from her Southern California base.
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           Trained by Peter Miller, And Tell Me Nolies worked five furlongs at San Luis Rey Training Center in 1:01.80 on Friday.
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            Runner-up in the Santa Anita Oaks (GII) in her most recent start, And Tell Me Nolies will be ridden in the Kentucky Oaks by Ramon Vazquez.
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox’s trio of Longines Kentucky Oaks runners Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint all had easy training sessions late Saturday morning.
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           They are all expected to gallop at 7:30 a.m. Sunday.
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           DEFINING PURPOSE – While most of the Oaks fillies had their final workouts on Thursday, trainer Kenny McPeek waited until Saturday to send out the surprise Ashland Stakes (G1) winner.
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           “She went an easy, happy half,” said jockey Brian Hernandez Jr., who was aboard her for the workout, and will ride her in the Oaks. “She was doing it easy. She was flipping her ears back and forth, kind of just enjoying herself.”
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           Defining Purpose, owned by Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball, was clocked in :11.60, :23.40, :34.80 and :47 for the half-mile, then ridden out in :59.80.
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           “We like to let them just work what we call a happy half,” McPeek said. “She didn’t need company, she’s fit, and he (Hernandez) said she felt great. She looked great. We’re fairly confident in her. I think we’ve got a big chance. I’ve been second three times in the Oaks, and winning that is one that I’d like to check the box to.”
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           DORTH VADER – Trainer Michael Yates was on the scene Saturday morning for the first time at Churchill Downs where he watched John Ropes’ Dorth Vader gallop about 1 3/8 miles.
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           The 46-1 winner of the Davona Dale (GII) is scheduled to gallop Sunday and possibly school in the paddock following training.
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           FLYING CONNECTION  – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection, who had a walk day Friday following a five-furlong work in 1:00.60 on Thursday, returned to the track to gallop 1 ½ miles under exercise rider Oscar Rojero.
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           “We waited until all the Derby workers were done and then went out,” trainer Todd Fincher said of Flying Connection, who galloped at the end of the 7:30-7:45 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks runners.
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           GAMBLING GIRL  – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl galloped about 1 3/8 miles around 6:30 a.m. with exercise rider Carlos Quevedo in the irons.
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           MIMI KAKUSHI –.  Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al  Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi worked a half-mile in :50.40 under stable rider Xavier Ziani.
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           Mimi Kakushi jogged a mile with the pony before going into her work that produced fractions of :13.60, :26.20, :50.40 and out five furlongs in 1:05.20.
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           “I thought she worked well,” said trainer Salem bin Ghadayer, who went to the grandstand for the work. “The track is a little deeper (than in Dubai) but not that deep. It is not an issue.”
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           Sunday’s activity for the UAE Oaks (GIII) winner calls for being hand-walked in the Quarantine Barn with a return to the track scheduled for Monday.
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           Mimi Kakushi arrived here April 22 and made her first appearance on track April 24.
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           “She has settled in very well,” bin Ghadayer said of Mimi Kakushi, who will represent his first starter in the United States.
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           Mickael Barzalona, who has the Oaks riding assignment, is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on Thursday.
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS – Godolphin’s  homebred Pretty Mischievous kept to her routine as scheduled on Friday, heading out to the track at 7:30 a.m. to gallop her usual one mile and a half under exercise rider Albino Martinez.
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           Trainer Brendan Walsh then instructed her to school in the paddock at 10:15 a.m. The Rachel Alexandra (GII) victress will be ridden in the Oaks by Tyler Gaffalione, who on Friday at Keeneland won three races, securing the jockey title.
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           PROMISEHERAMERICA –  Returning to the track a day after her :49.77 half-mile work, Hoffman Thoroughbreds and Tom McCrocklin’s Promiseher America galloped one mile across a sloppy track at Belmont Park.
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           “She had a nice light gallop this morning and looked awesome,” trainer Ray Handal said. “The track is sloppy and sealed up here so I just did a short mile gallop and let her hack around there. She really bounced out of it well with a lot of good energy.”
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           Handal reports that the daughter of American Pharoah by the Unbridled’s Song mare Promisedyouheaven will retain the services of Jorge Vargas Jr. Who piloted her to victory in the Gazelle Stakes (GIII).
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           Scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs on Sunday, Promiseher America will make her debut appearance on Monday during the Derby and Oaks exclusive work time at 7:30 a.m.
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Robert Masterson’s Southlawn had another routine 1 ½-mile gallop for trainer Norm Casse Saturday morning.
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           WONDER WHEEL –  Stringing together her second easy day after breezing on Thursday, D.J. Stable’s Wonder Wheel went to the track at 6 a.m. under assistant trainer David Carroll. 
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           “Today was an easy day. She walked and galloped a short distance then had a nice long walk home,” Kim Carroll, assistant trainer for Mark Casse, said. “The biggest thing we try to do with her is give her a lot of time out on the track to just relax.”
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           On Sunday Wonder Wheel will go out in the Casse barn’s second set around 5:45 a.m. and gallop one mile and a half.
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Richard Bahde’s Taxed  (No. 15 on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks leaderboard) galloped 1 ½ miles at 6:30 with Saturino Vergara aboard for trainer Randy Morse.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion); And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller); Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox); Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Dorth Vader (TBA, Mike Yates); Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher); Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer); Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh); Promiseher America (Jorge Vargas Jr., Ray Handal); Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse); The Alys Look (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Wonder Wheel (Joel Rosario, Mark Casse).
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           Also-Eligible: Taxed (Rafael Bejarano, Randy Morse); Julia Shining (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Hoosier Philly (Edgar Morales, Tom Amoss).
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           STAKES PROBABLES
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             – The following are the early probable stakes race entrants for Kentucky Derby Week, according to assistant racing secretary and stakes coordinator Dan Bork:
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            The 37
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           th
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            running of the $1 million Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at 1 1/8 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Santin (Brendan Walsh); Spooky Channel (Jason Barkley); Up to the Mark (Todd Pletcher); and Wolfie’s Dynaghost (Jonathan Thomas).
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            The 88
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           th
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            running of the $750,000 Churchill Downs presented by Ford (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Cody’s Wish (Bill Mott), Endorsed (Mike Maker); Get Her Number (Peter Miller); Here Mi Song (Billy Stinson); Hoist the Gold (Dallas Stewart); Sir Alfred James (Lynn Cash); and Steal Sunshine (George Papaprodromou).
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            The 37
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           th
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            running of the $750,000 Derby City Distaff presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Frank’s Rockette (Bill Mott); Hot and Sultry (Norm Casse); and Matareya (Brad Cox).
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            The 32
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           nd
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            running of the $500,000 American Turf (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds at 1 1/16 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Far Bridge (Todd Pletcher); Johannes (Tim Yakteen); Major Dude (Todd Pletcher); Mendelssohns March (Kenny McPeek); Mo Stash (Vicki Oliver); Scoobie Quando (Ben Colebrook); Talk of the Nation (Shug McGaughey); and Wadsworth (Brad Cox).
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            The 38
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           th
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            running of the $500,000 Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at one mile on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Haughty (Chad Brown); Sharp Hero (Bradley Ross); Spendarella (Graham Motion); Sweet Dani Girl (Carlo Vaccarezza); and Wakanaka (IRE) (Bill Mott).
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            The 99
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           th
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            running of the $500,000 Pat Day Mile (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds at one mile (entries close Monday, May 1): Bourbon Bash (D. Wayne Lukas); Dreaming of Kona (Aldana Spieth); Frosted Departure (Kenny McPeek); General Jim (Shug McGaughey); Gilmore (Brendan Walsh); Kangaroo Court (Tim Yakteen); and Tall Boy (Doug O’Neill).
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            The 29
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           th
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            running of the $500,000 TwinSpires Turf Sprint (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds and up at 5 ½ furlongs on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Artemus Citylimits (Mike Maker); Bad Beat Brian (Brittany Vanden Berg); Big Invasion (Christophe Clement); Carotari (Brian Lynch); Evan Sing (Al Stall Jr.); Go Bears Go (Wesley Ward); and Oceanic (Jordan Blair).
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            The second running of the $175,000 Knicks Go Overnight Stakes on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at one mile (entries close Monday, May 1): Caddo River (D. Wayne Lukas); Gulfstream Way (Rachel Sells); Masqueparade (Al Stall Jr.); Noble Drama (David Fawkes); Petulante (Victor Barboza Jr.); Promise Keeper (Dallas Stewart); Surly Furious (Glenn Wismer); Three Technique (Jason Cook); and Zozos (Brad Cox).
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            The 38
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           th
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            running of the $750,000 La Troienne (GI) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at 1 1/16 miles (entries close Monday, May 1): A Mo Reay (Brad Cox); Classy Edition (Todd Pletcher); Kathleen O. (Shug McGaughey); Played Hard (Phil Bauer); and Secret Oath (Wayne Lukas).
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            The 20
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           th
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            running of the $600,000 Alysheba presented by Sentient Jet (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 4-year-olds and up at 1 1/16 miles (entries close Monday, May 1): Milliken (Ian Wilkes); Rich Strike (Eric Reed); Smile Happy (Kenny McPeek); and West Will Power (Brad Cox).
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            The 39
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           th
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            running of the $500,000 Edgewood presented by Forcht Bank (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 3-year-old fillies at 1 1/16 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Cairo Consort (Todd Pletcher); Girl Named Charlie (Tom Amoss); Heavenly Sunday (Brad Cox); Mission of Joy (Graham Motion); and Sabalenka (Whit Beckman).
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            The 68
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           th
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            running of the $500,000 Eight Belles (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 3-year-old fillies at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Ami Please (Doug O’Neill); Grand Love (Rodolphe Brisset); Munnys Gold (Todd Pletcher); Olivia Twist (Todd Fincher); Positano Sunset (Ian Wilkes); Red Carpet Ready (Rusty Arnold); and Yvonne’s Miss (Bill Morey).
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            The 13
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           th
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            running of the $300,000 Unbridled Sidney presented by Sysco (Listed) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 3-years-old and up at 5 ½ furlongs on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Bay Storm (Jonathan Thomas); Caravel (Brad Cox); Mamba Wamba (IRE) (Brendan Walsh); and New Boss (Bret Calhoun).
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            The 66
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           th
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            running of the $300,000 Modesty (GIII) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at 1 1/8 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Australia Mia (Michael McCarthy); New Year’s Eve (Chad Brown); and Transient (GB) (Chad Brown).
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            KENTUCKY DERBY, OAKS DRAWS MONDAY AT 2 P.M. 
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           – The Post Position Draw for the 149th running of the $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I) and $1.25 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) will be held Monday, May 1 at 2 p.m. ET in the Aristides Lounge on the second floor of Churchill Downs’ Clubhouse.
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           Both post position draws are a traditional “pill pull” in which horses’ entry blanks are pulled simultaneously with a numbered pill to determine what stall a horse will break from the starting gate.
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           Preference to America’s greatest race is given to the top point-earners on the “Road to the Kentucky Derby.” Up to 24 three-year-olds may enter the 1 ¼-mile race and four horses can be listed as “also eligible” and would be ranked in order accordingly; they could draw into the field should any horse(s) be scratched before scratch time on Friday, May 5, 2023 at 9 a.m. ET.
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           Preference to the nation’s premier race for 3-year-old fillies is given to the top point-earners on the “Road to the Kentucky Oaks.” Up to 18 horses may enter the 1 1/8-mile race and four horses can be listed as “also eligible” and would be ranked in order accordingly; they could draw into the field should any horse(s) be scratched before scratch time on Friday, May 5, 2023 at 9 a.m. ET.
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           BRISNET.COM PAST PERFORMANCES
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            Derby:
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            Oaks:
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           2023 KENTUCKY DERBY WEEK SCHEDULE
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            * Saturday, April 29: Opening Night / Live racing (First of 10 races: 6 p.m.; Last race: 10:42 p.m.)
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            * Sunday, April 30: Dawn at the Downs
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            * Monday, May 1: Dawn at the Downs / Kentucky Derby &amp;amp; Kentucky Oaks Post Position Draw in the Aristides Lounge (2-3 p.m.) / Second Stride Champions Night at Molly Malone's Highlands (6-9 p.m.)
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            * Tuesday, May 2: 502'sDay / Live racing (First of 9 races: 12:45 p.m.; Last race: 4:55 p.m.) / KTA's Kentucky Derby Trainers' Dinner at The Speed Art Museum (6 p.m.)
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            * Wednesday, May 3: Champions Day / Live racing (First of 10 races: 12:45 p.m.; Last race: 5:25 p.m.)
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            * Thursday, May 4: Thurby presented by Old Forester / Live racing (First of 11 races: 12:45 p.m.; Last race: 6:14 p.m.)
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            * Friday, May 5: Kentucky Oaks Day / Live racing (First of 13 races: 10:30 a.m.; Last race: 7:00 p.m.) / Race 11: Kentucky Oaks (5:51 p.m.) / Fillies &amp;amp; Lilies at Kentucky Derby Museum (7:30-10 p.m.) / Barnstable Brown Gala (Barnstable residence) / Unbridled Eve at The Galt House (7:00 p.m. to 1:30 a.m.) / Rockin' Derby Eve at Paristown Hall (7:30 p.m.)
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            * Saturday, May 6: Kentucky Derby Day / Live racing (First of 14 races: 10:30 a.m.; Last race: 8:30 p.m.) / Race 12: Kentucky Derby (6:57 p.m.) / Winner’s Party at Kentucky Derby Museum (7:30-9:00 p.m.)
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      <pubDate>Sat, 29 Apr 2023 20:35:46 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-saturday-april-29-2023</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Friday, April 28, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-friday-april-28-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Friday, April 28, 2023
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           Includes Kentucky Oaks horses
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           Overnight rain in Louisville left a sealed and muddy track for Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks horses to navigate Friday morning.   But, no harm; no foul. No works were scheduled and routine gallops were the norm of the day.
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           Saturday figures to be much different with rain clearing out of the Louisville area and as many as 12 Derby works and two Oaks work scheduled. Temperatures are forecast to be in the low 50s under cloudy skies.
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           Trainers Todd Pletcher and Brad Cox fill eight of the spots with breezes Churchill Downs says are scheduled during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Derby and Oaks horses.
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           Pletcher has half-mile works scheduled for Kingsbarns and Major Dude, who will work together, plus Forte and Tapit Trice, who will work in company but not together.
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           Cox plans to work Angel of Empire with Jace’s Road and Hit Show with Verifying.
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           Also expected to work are Mage for Gustavo Delgado, Confidence Game for Keith Desormeaux and Cyclone Mischief for Dale Romans. Bill Mott has penciled Rocket Can in for Saturday but could wait until Sunday depending on track condition.
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           Scheduled to work for the Oaks is Mimi Kakushi for trainer Salem bin Ghadayer and Defining Purpose for trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Three Kentucky Derby works took place Friday. Trainer Tim Yakeen worked Practical Move five furlongs in :59.60 and Reincarnate a half-mile in :46.40 at Santa Anita. At Gulfstream Park, Lord Miles worked five furlongs in 1:02.40 for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.
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           Tomorrow morning at Santa Anita, Skinner is scheduled to work for trainer John Shirreffs.
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           At Belmont Park, Promiseher America worked a half-mile in company in :49.60 over the training track for trainer Ray Handal in preparation for the Kentucky Oaks.
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           At the San Luis Rey Training Center, And Tell Me Nolies worked five furlongs in 1:01.80 for trainer Peter Miller.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – With the sloppy track condition, trainer Brad Cox’s Derby quartet had a lighter training day ahead of their final Derby works Saturday.
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           Angel of Empire trained at 5:30 a.m. and jogged about two miles. At 7:30 a.m., Hit Show, Jace’s Road and Verifying all had light gallops.
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           All four horses are scheduled to work Saturday at 7:30 a.m. according to Churchill Downs.
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Confidence Game returned to the track to gallop Friday morning after walking the shedrow on Thursday. Alex Cano, the regular exercise rider and assistant trainer for Keith Desormeaux, guided Confidence Game one mile and a quarter over the sloppy sealed track. 
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           The barn confirmed that Confidence Game will put in his last breeze ahead of the Derby on Saturday at 7:30 a.m. In his prior workout at Churchill Downs on April 14, the son of Candy Raid by the Bernardini dam Eblouissante traveled a mile from the gate in 1:38.20 with company.
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           “He had someone come with him from the gate and then on the backside another horse picked him up,” assistant trainer Julie Clark said. “We liked how he looked today ahead of his next work.”
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           CONTINUAR  – Continuar (JPN) spent an hour in the mile chute under Kazunari Yoshida before returning to the Quarantine Barn. The Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee is trained by Yoshito Yahagi, who is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Monday.
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           Continuar, who will be ridden in Derby 149 by Ryusei Sakai, is expected to work Tuesday.
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            DERMA SOTOGAKE  – Derma Sotogake (JPN) spent an hour in the mile chute under Masatoshi Segawa before turning to the Quarantine Barn. Winner of the UAE Derby in his most recent start for trainer Hidetaka Otonashi, Derma Sotogake will be ridden in the Derby by Christophe Lemaire.
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           DISARM – Disarm had routine training session Friday in which he was accompanied to the track by assistant trainer Scott Blasi on his pony and galloped 1 ½ miles with rider Roberto Howell in the irons.
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           The son of Gun Runner is scheduled to work Monday.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE –  Trainer Todd Pletcher’s Kentucky Derby trio of Forte, Tapit Trice and Kingsbarns all galloped “a mile and a quarterish” over a sealed track at 7:30.
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           The Hall of Famer and two-time Kentucky Derby-winning conditioner plans to give his charges half-mile breezes in the morning with Forte and Tapit Trice scheduled to work in company but not together. Kingsbarns will work with Spendthrift’s Major Dude, who is on the Derby also-eligible list.
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           LORD MILES – Lord Miles worked five furlongs in 1:02.40 Friday morning over the fast main track at Gulfstream.
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           “He worked well,” trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. said via text. “All being well, we will leave tomorrow.”
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           Winner of the Wood Memorial (GII) in his most recent start, Lord Miles will be ridden in Derby 149 by Paco Lopez and represent the third Derby mount for Lopez.
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           MAGE –  The Good Magic colt is expected to have a final breeze on Saturday morning. “That’s the plan, yes,” said Gustavo Delgado Jr., assistant trainer to his father, Gustavo Delgado. “It would have to be really bad (track conditions) for him not to go out tomorrow.”
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           The Delgados watched the Florida Derby (GI) runner-up gallop again on Friday morning during the session reserved for Derby and Oaks horses. Regular exercise rider J.J. Delgado was aboard him for a trip to the paddock for schooling, and then a routine gallop. J.J. Delgado is expected to ride him in the planned breeze.
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           PRACTICAL MOVE/REINCARNATE –  Trainer Tim Yakteen worked both of his Kentucky Derby hopefuls at Santa Anita.
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           Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Practical Move breezed five furlongs in :59.60. Later in the morning, Reincarnate breezed a half-mile in :46.40.
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           The two colts are scheduled to fly to Louisville Saturday.
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           ROCKET CAN – Trainer Bill Mott is going to call an audible as to when the colt prepares for the Derby with a final breeze on Saturday or Sunday. On Friday, the Into Mischief colt was out for a gallop with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona aboard. A final breeze ahead of the Derby is still planned for this weekend, but track conditions will determine the day.
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           “I’m waiting to see how the track is,” said Mott. “I’d rather wait another day, if we can give him a better track.”
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           SUN THUNDER –  The runner-up in the Risen Star (GII) at the Fair Grounds was out for a gallop on the sealed track with exercise rider Martin Vargas. He breezed a half-mile in :48.60 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. on Wednesday.
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           The Into Mischief colt, a $400,000 purchase at the Fasig-Tipton Kentucky November Sale in 2020, will have maintenance work looking ahead to the Derby in eight days, said Greg Geier, assistant to trainer Kenny McPeek. He said the fourth-place finisher in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) at Keeneland is training well.
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            TWO PHIL’S –  After putting in his final drill before the Derby on Thursday, Two Phil’s had a walk day on Friday at Hawthorne Race Course.mTrained by Larry Rivelli, the son of Hard Spun by the General Quarters dam Mia Torri fired a :59 five-furlong bullet at Hawthorne, where he has been stabled since his win in the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII). He will be piloted by Jareth Loveberry in the Derby, who traveled from Kentucky to Hawthorne especially for Thursday’s work. 
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           “The track was fast and tight,” Loveberry said. “He was relaxed the whole work. We took him out with the pony and he stood there nice and calm watching horses for three or four minutes. He broke off from the pony nice and smooth and he worked the last 3/16ths really well.”
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           Loveberry has ridden Two Phil’s in every race but his first, piloted him in every win, and has been aboard for many of the workouts.
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           “This work was his best, especially breaking from the pony,” Loveberry said. “I usually have to grab him and set him right behind a horse so he gets dirt and relaxes. He was relaxed the whole work yesterday.”
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES  – Cyclone Mischief (No. 21 on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard) galloped 1 ½ miles this morning under Faustino Herrarte and is scheduled to work Saturday morning for trainer Dale Romans with Tammy Fox aboard.
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           Major Dude (No. 22) galloped about 1 1/4 miles under Joel Osorio for trainer Todd Pletcher. Major Dude is scheduled to work Saturday morning in company with Kingsbarns.
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           Mandarin Hero (No. 23) arrived at Churchill Downs Thursday afternoon after 4 o’clock and settled into the Quarantine Barn. Runner-up in the Santa Anita Derby (GI) in his U.S. debut, Mandarin Hero walked the shedrow at the Quarantine Barn and is scheduled to go to the track Saturday morning. Mandarin Hero is trained by Terunobu Fujita.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Angel of Empire (jockey Flavien Prat, trainer Brad Cox); Confidence Game (James Graham, Keith Desormeaux); Continuar (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Derma Sotogake (JPN) (Christophe Lemaire, Hidetaka Otonashi); Disarm (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Forte (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Hit Show (Manny Franco, Brad Cox); Jace’s Road (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Kingsbarns (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Lord Miles (Paco Lopez, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Mage (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Practical Move (Ramon Vazquez, Tim Yakteen); Raise Cain (TBA, Ben Colebrook); Reincarnate (John Velazquez, Tim Yakteen); Rocket Can (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Skinner (Juan Hernandez, John Shirreffs); Sun Thunder (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Tapit Trice (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher); Two Phil’s (Jareth Loveberry, Larry Rivelli); and Verifying (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox)
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           Also-Eligible: Cyclone Mischief (TBA, Dale Romans); Major Dude (TBA, Todd Pletcher); and Mandarin Hero (JPN) (TBA, Terunobu Fujita).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE (unedited)
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox’s trio of Longines Kentucky Oaks runners Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint all walked the Barn 22 shedrow following their Thursday morning works. All three fillies are scheduled to return to the track Saturday.
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           DEFINING PURPOSE –  The Ashland Stakes (GI) winner was out on the sealed track, with regular exercise rider Shelby Spalding aboard, for her usual mile-and-a-quarter gallop.
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           Plans still call for the Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball filly to breeze on Saturday, said Greg Geier, assistant to trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           DORTH VADER – John Ropes’ Dorth Vader arrived at Churchill Downs Thursday afternoon from South Florida for trainer Michael Yates. Dorth Vader is expected to train Saturday morning, according to Yates.
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           FLYING CONNECTION  – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection walked the shedrow a day after working five furlongs in company in 1:00.60.
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           Trained by Todd Fincher, Flying Connection is scheduled to return to the track Saturday morning.
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           GAMBLING GIRL  – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl walked the shedrow at trainer Todd Pletcher’s barn a day after working a half-mile in company in :50.
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           Gambling Girl is scheduled to return to the track Saturday morning.
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           MIMI KAKUSHI – Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al  Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi jogged a mile with the pony and then galloped a mile under Xavier Ziani over the sloppy track.
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           “She has been on a wet track before, but not like this,” trainer Salem bin Ghadayer said. “She did very well on it this morning.”
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           The winner of the UAE Oaks (GIII) in her most recent start, Mimi Kakushi is scheduled to work a half-mile in the morning with Ziani to be aboard. Mickael Barzalona has the mount in the Kentucky Oaks.
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS –  Trainer Brendan Walsh sent his impressive filly Pretty Mischievous back to the track to jog once around the sloppy sealed track under exercise rider Albino Martinez a day after breezing four furlongs in :47.80. The daughter of Into Mischief and the Tapit mare Pretty City Dancer won an allowance race at Churchill Downs as a 2-year-old over a sloppy sealed track. One of two Godolphin homebred fillies in the Oaks along with Wet Paint, Pretty Mischievous won two of her three Oaks prep races, all at Fair Grounds. She finished second to Southlawn in the Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) last out. 
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           “In the (Fair Grounds Oaks), she just got a little bit lax once she cleared everybody (in the homestretch),” Walsh said. “She ran well, but the race set up for somebody to come from off the pace. We were there to be shot at.”
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           PROMISEHERAMERICA – Hoffman Thoroughbreds  and Tom McCrocklin’s Gazelle (GIII) winner Promiseher America worked a half-mile in 49.60 in company over the Belmont Park training track for trainer Ray Handal.
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           “It was exactly what I wanted,” Handal said. “I was looking for :49, 1:01 and 4 and a 1:15 or 16 gallop out and she did it perfectly. She did it all in hand just floating over the ground. All systems are go.”
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           She is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Sunday.
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Robert Masterson’s Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) winner Southlawn walked trainer Norman Casse’s Barn 5A shed row following her easy half-mile move in :48.80 Thursday.
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           WONDER WHEEL –  A day after traveling four furlongs in the second-fastest time, D.J. Stable’s Wonder Wheel headed back to the track to jog two times around the outside rail under exercise rider Kim Carroll. Coming into the Oaks dappled out with a healthy coat and sharp morning works, the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI) winner will look to return to her 2-year-old form after finishing sixth in April’s Ashland Stakes (GI) and second in February's Suncoast Stakes for trainer Mark Casse.
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           “She came out of yesterday’s work really well,” assistant trainer David Carroll said. “She’s a champion and is so talented. Unfortunately we didn't see the best of her in her last race. There was no real reason why she ran the way she did. She cooled out in five minutes and bounced back to the barn. She cleaned up her feed. She scoped clean. She was two for two (at Keeneland) so you can’t blame the track. After the race Tyler (Gaffalione) thought she just had a bad day.”
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           The dark bay daughter of Into Mischief by Wonder Gal is also two-for-two at Churchill Downs, breaking her maiden from off the pace and winning the Debutante Stakes wire-to-wire. Joel Rosario, who was aboard for Thursday’s workout, will be aboard Wonder Wheel in the Oaks, his first mount on the four-time winner.
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           “He’s as good as they come—a terrific rider,” Carroll said. “We’re of the opinion that maybe the way that she ran in the Breeders’ Cup was probably best race that she has run, even though (rallying from far back to win) wasn’t by design. I think if she were to relax and settle near the back, there’s no better pilot than Joel to get her switched off early and flying home late.” 
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Richard Bahde’s Taxed (No. 15 on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks leaderboard) galloped 1 ½ miles under Saturino Vergara for trainer Randy Morse. Taxed, runner-up in the Fantasy (GIII) in her most recent start, worked a half-mile on Wednesday in :47.60 under jockey Rafael Bejarano.
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           Stonestreet Stables’ Julia Shining (No. 16) walked the shedrow at trainer Todd Pletcher’s barn a day after working a half-mile in company in :49.60. Julia Shining is scheduled to return to the track Saturday morning.
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           Gold Standard Racing Stable’s Hoosier Philly (No. 17) walked the shedrow a day after working a half-mile in :48.40.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion); And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller); Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox); Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Dorth Vader (TBA, Mike Yates); Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher); Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer); Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh); Promiseher America (TBA, Ray Handal); Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse); The Alys Look (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Wonder Wheel (Joel Rosario, Mark Casse).
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           Also-Eligible: Taxed (Rafael Bejarano, Randy Morse); Julia Shining (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Hoosier Philly (Edgar Morales, Tom Amoss).
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      <pubDate>Fri, 28 Apr 2023 18:09:32 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-friday-april-28-2023</guid>
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      <title>Kickback Notes 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kickback-notes-2023</link>
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           SELECTED RACE NOTES FOCUSED ON KICKBACK
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           Plus a few other notes
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            following a review of video of major points races (and a few not as major)
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           How horses handled off tracks will be addressed in a separate post in the coming days.
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           Posted April 28, 2023
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE - Took some dirt, but not a lot, and ran through it in the Arkansas Derby. The track is so dark during the Risen Star it's hard to tell. Took plenty of kickback on a sloppy track in his winning debut at Indiana Grand.
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           CYCLONE MISCHIEF - Took little dirt while stalking the pace from the outside in the Florida Derby. Took a lot of kickback, then didn't respond when finally clear in the Holy Bull.
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           CONFIDENCE GAME - Took plenty of dirt on a sloppy track in the Rebel while coming from behind in a crowded field.
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           CONTINUAR - Took little or no dirt in the UAE Derby while outside the top two during much of the going.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE - Took no dirt while leading from early on to the wire in the UAE Derby.
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           DISARM - Checked between horses backstretch while lacking running room in the Lexington. Took plenty of dirt and kept going. Also took dirt while while inside in the Louisiana Derby before finishing second.
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           FORTE - In the Florida Derby, pre-race neck sweat; took a lot of kickback; overcame near-outside post and being far back early; shifted out from behind horses athletically and passed Mage late after that one blew by him in the turn.
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           HIT SHOW - Took very little kickback staying just outside horses in the Wood even though he dove to the inside of Lord Miles late in the backstretch.
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           JACE'S ROAD - Was near the pace in the early and late going of the Louisiana Derby and took little or no kickback.
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           KINGSBARNS - Took no dirt while leading the field (Jace's Road briefly shared the lead) in the Louisiana Derby.
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           LORD MILES - - Took very little kickback staying just outside horses in the Wood.
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           MAGE - Took a lot of kickback in the Florida Derby and came from far behind, passed Forte who was also far behind early, siezed the lead, but was overtaken late by Forte.
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           MAJOR DUDE - Took synthetic kickback while inside during the opening frames of the Jeff Ruby.
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           MANDARIN HERO - He took a ton of kickback in the Santa Anita Derby and lost the race by only a nose.
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           PRACTICAL MOVE - Inside trip laying behind two huge longshots in the Santa Anita Derby but was subjected to little kickback. In the San Felipe pretty much the same trip after being held early while "keen" per the chart call, and came home fairly clean of dirt.
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           RAISE CAIN - Ran through dirt in the Blue Grass after being far back early, then took the outside route into the stretch, five wide on the turn and seven wide leaving the turn.
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           REINCARNATE - Stalking trip in the Arkansas Derby. Took little kickback.
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           ROCKET CAN - Stayed outside and took little dirt in the Arkansas Derby. Was passed quickly on his outside by Angel of Empire.
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           SKINNER - Took little dirt with a three wide trip in the Santa Anita Derby and while able to continue momentum, it wasn't quite enough. He had the same kind of trip in the San Felipe but was unable to finish them off and actually lost a little bit of ground in the stretch.
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           SUN THUNDER - Ran through dirt in the Blue Grass after being far back early. Took the inside route into the stretch.
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           TAPIT TRICE - Outrun from the gate in the Blue Grass; took dirt and was climbing a bit before being shifted outside going into first turn; four wide far turn. In short, took no kickback after he made the first turn. Far back early in the Tampa Bay Derby, he didn't get going until he was taken to the outside and clear of kickback.
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           TWO PHIL'S - Was kept outside and avoided kickback in his monster effort winning the Jeff Ruby.
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           VERIFYING - Second early pressing the pace and did not take kickback in the Blue Grass. In the Rebel on a sloppy track, he broke from the 1 hole but encountered so much traffic for so long it's hard to tell if whether the slop or the kickback or both contributed to his so-so showing.
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      <pubDate>Fri, 28 Apr 2023 14:56:55 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kickback-notes-2023</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Thursday, April 27, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-thursday-april-27-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Thursday, April 27, 2023
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           Includes Kentucky Oaks horses
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           Two Kentucky Derby hopefuls worked Thursday morning. Patricia’s Hope and Phillip Sagan’s Two Phil’s worked at Hawthorne going five furlongs in :59 with jockey Jareth Loveberry aboard for trainer Larry Rivelli. At Keeneland, Andrew and Raina Warren’s Raise Cain worked a half-mile in :49 at Keeneland with Gerardo Corrales aboard for trainer Ben Colebrook.
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           Ten hopefuls for next Friday’s 149th running of the $1.25 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) took center stage Thursday morning at Churchill Downs. Leading the charge was probable morning line favorite Wet Paint who worked five furlongs in company with stablemate and Oaks hopeful The Alys Look in 1:01 for trainer Brad Cox. Also working for Cox was Botanical, who breezed five furlongs in 1:00.60 in company with Flashy Gem.
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           Four-time Oaks winning trainer Todd Pletcher worked Gambling Girl and Julia Shining a half-mile together with Gambling Girl being clocked in :50 and Julia Shining in :49.60
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           Pretty Mischievous worked a half-mile in company with Gilmore in :47.80 for trainer Brendan Walsh.
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           Southlawn worked a half-mile in :48.80 for trainer Norm Casse.
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           Wonder Wheel worked a half-mile in :47.20 for trainer Mark Casse.
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           Flying Connection worked five furlongs in company with Olivia Twist in 1:00.60 for trainer Todd Fincher.
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           Hoosier Philly worked a half-mile in :48.40 for trainer Tom Amoss.
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           At Keeneland, Affirmative Lady worked five furlongs in 1:01.40 for trainer Graham Motion.
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – It was a regular training day for Angel of Empire, Hit Show, Jace’s Road and Verifying, who all galloped 1 ½ miles ahead of their Saturday morning works.
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           “We’re still keeping an eye on the weather as to what time we’ll work Saturday,” trainer Brad Cox said.
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Don’t Tell My Wife Stables and Ocean Reef Racing’s Confidence Game walked the shedrow today. “They all walk Thursdays and Sundays,” Julie Clark, assistant trainer to Keith Desormeaux, said. “He’s doing good. He went two miles Tuesday. Jogged yesterday and walked today. We think he is going to gallop tomorrow and have his last breeze Saturday.”
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           The plan is to go out with the other Derby entries at 7:30, entering at gap three. Regular rider Alex Cano will be on board. “I usually take him back up to the chute first,” Cano said. “We’ll stand before galloping all the way around and then pull up by the kitchen and come back.”
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           CONTINUAR – Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.’s Continuar (JPN)  walked the shedrow in the Quarantine Barn after working a half-mile in :50 on Wednesday.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN) walked the shedrow in the Quarantine Barn after working five furlongs in 1:01.40 on Wednesday.
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           DISARM  – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm had an easy 1 3/8-mile gallop at 7:30 a.m. with exercise rider Roberto Howell in the irons. The Steve Asmussen-trained colt is scheduled to work Monday.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE –  The Todd Pletcher trio of Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Forte, Whisper Hill Farm and Gainesway Stable’s Tapit Trice and Spendthrift Farm’s undefeated Kingsbarns visited the starting gate and then galloped about 1 3/8 miles.
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           Hector Ramos was aboard Forte; Amelia Green was on Tapit Trice and Elder Flores was on Kingsbarns.
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           Pletcher has Irad Ortiz Jr. signed on to ride Forte in Derby 149 and Luis Saez to pilot Tapit Trice. Jose Ortiz will work Kingsbarns on Saturday morning but the riding assignment for the Derby has not been finalized.
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           MAGE –  The lightly raced Good Magic colt, owned by OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH, had another gallop Thursday morning.
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           “He galloped a mile-and-a-half again today, but he did it at a higher tempo than he did yesterday,” said Gustavo Delgado Jr., assistant trainer to his father, Gustavo Delgado.
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           “The way my father trains, he tries to build on each race,” Delgado Jr. said. “He’s showing improvement every time he goes out. He’s switching leads perfectly. His exercise rider said he couldn’t be happier with him.”
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           Regular exercise rider J.J. Delgado was aboard, and he’s expected to ride him in his final timed workout. Delgado Jr. said the team is expecting to breeze Mage on Saturday morning. His Derby rider, Javier Castellano, was to arrive in Louisville Thursday.
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           RAISE CAIN  – Andrew and Raina Warren’s Gotham (GIII) winner Raise Cain worked in company a half-mile in :49 at Keeneland with Gerardo Corrales aboard for trainer Ben Colebrook. Raise Cain galloped out five furlongs in 1:02.80.
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           “Very good work … well within himself,” Colebrook said of Raise Cain, who finished fifth in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start.
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           No rider has been confirmed for Raise Cain, who is scheduled to ship to Churchill Downs Monday morning after training at Keeneland.
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           ROCKET CAN –  Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott again sent the colt owned by Frank Fletcher Racing Operations out for a gallop with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona aboard. A final breeze ahead of the Derby is still planned for this weekend.
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           “He galloped again today,” said Mott, who noted that he’ll continue to get some paddock schooling in the days ahead. “He was in the paddock twice yesterday, once under tack and one time after training. And he’s going to go back today.”
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           SKINNER  – C R K Racing’s Santa Anita Derby (GI) third-place finisher Skinner is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Saturday. Trainer John Shirreffs reported Juan Hernandez will pick up the mount in the Kentucky Derby.
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           SUN THUNDER – R.T. Racing Stable  and Cypress Creek Equine’s Derby hopeful walked the shedrow, a day after breezing a half-mile in :48.60 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr.
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           Greg Geier, assistant to trainer Kenny McPeek, said the fourth-place finisher in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) at Keeneland exited his workout in good shape. “He’s fine this morning,” he said.
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           TWO PHIL’S –  Trainer Larry Rivelli was on hand at Hawthorne Race Course to watch Patricia’s Hope and Phillip Sagan’s Two Phil’s breeze for the final time ahead of his run in the Derby. Going five furlongs Thursday morning, the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) winner posted a bullet going :59 flat.
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           “He chased a pretty fast horse (stablemate Smokin Richie), and effortlessly ran by him,” Rivelli said. “He galloped out three-quarters in 1:12. He couldn’t blow out a match after. The last two works were almost identically the same, but I changed it up a bit by putting him back in company. I haven’t wanted to work him every seven days because he’s been racing frequently and he’s fit. I just want to have him focused in on what he likes to do which is sit behind a horse and idle off until you ask him, and then make his move when it’s time. And he’s done that in both works. The track was in great shape today. It’s all systems go and I couldn’t be happier with how he’s going into the race.”
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           Regular jockey Jareth Loveberry flew to Hawthorne for the drill then headed back to Kentucky to ride his Thursday mounts at Keeneland.
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           Rivelli will bring Two Phil’s to Churchill Downs on Sunday night and plans to have him on the track at 7:30 a.m. Monday.
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES  – Albaugh Family Stables and Castleton Lyons’ Cyclone Mischief (No. 21) galloped about 1 ½ miles with rider Faustino Herrarte in the irons. Following training, Cyclone Mischief schooled in the Churchill Downs paddock. Trainer Dale Romans stated a rider has not yet been confirmed for the Kentucky Derby should he get into the race.
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           Spendthrift Farm’s Major Dude (No. 22) visited the starting gate and then galloped 1 3/8 miles under Joel Osorio for trainer Todd Pletcher and is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           Hiroaki Arai’s Mandarin Hero (No. 23) is en route to Churchill Downs today from Santa Anita where he worked five furlongs in 1:04.60 on Wednesday. Runner-up in the Santa Anita Derby (GI) in his U.S. debut, Mandarin Hero is trained by Terunobu Fujita.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE (unedited)
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           AFFIRMATIVE LADY – AMO Racing USA’s Affirmative Lady, winner of the Gulfstream Park Oaks (GII) in her most recent start, worked five furlongs at Keeneland this morning in 1:01.40 with Kevin Lundie aboard for trainer Graham Motion.
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           “I was very happy with her work this morning,” Motion said of the move over a fast track. “It was very similar to last week (five furlongs in 1:01 last Friday).
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           “I would have preferred to wait another day but it was too risky with the weather.”
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           Affirmative Lady is scheduled to ship to Churchill Downs on Monday.
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox’s trio of Longines Kentucky Oaks runners Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint had their final works prior to the first Friday in May.
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           At 7:30 a.m., Botanical, with Chris Landeros up, worked five furlongs in 1:00.60 outside of stablemate Flashy Gem, who completed the same distance in 1:00.80. Just prior to Botanical’s move, The Alys Look, with Luis Saez up, worked five furlongs in 1:01 inside Wet Paint, who had Flavien Prat in the irons.
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           “It was a good morning for all three horses. We were just looking for them to do things easily with a week out from the race and we got that,” Cox said. “These fillies worked with their same workmates as last week. We liked how those works went so didn’t want to change much going into today. It’s a competitive field in this year’s Oaks, just like the Derby is with the boys. We’re in a fortunate position to have three horses in the race.”
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           All three fillies will have light training days Friday, according to Cox.
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           DEFINING PURPOSE – With regular exercise rider Shelby Spalding aboard, the impressive Ashland Stakes (GI) winner put in her usual mile-and-a-quarter gallop, without any issues, said Greg Geier, assistant to trainer Kenny McPeek.
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           Plans still call for the Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball filly to breeze on Saturday.
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           FLYING CONNECTION  – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection worked five furlongs in company in 1:00.60 with Oaks rider Florent Geroux aboard.
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           Working in company with Coleman’s Olivia Twist, Flying Connection started 3 lengths in front and posted fractions of :24.80, :37, 1:00.60 and out six furlongs in 1:13.60. Olivia Twist, who was third in the Fantasy (GIII) and a candidate for next Friday’s $500,000 Eight Belles (GII), was ridden by Mickaelle Michel and timed in 1:00.20.
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           “I wanted to work them together … give them a little competition,” trainer Todd Fincher said. “We got what we wanted. I thought Mickaelle did a good job with Olivia Twist.”
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           Flying Connection, winner of the Sunland Park Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start), had worked five furlongs in 1:01 on her own here on April 17 with Geroux aboard.
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           “She went very good this morning,” said Geroux, a two-time winner of the Oaks with Shedaresthedevil in 2020 and Monomoy Girl in 2018. “I’ve got two Oaks; now I need two Derbys.”
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           Geroux was the rider of elevated Derby winner Mandaloun in 2021. In Derby 149, he has the call on Jace’s Road.
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           Fincher, who is based in New Mexico, said he is in Louisville to stay through the Oaks. He said that Flying Connection is penciled in for two or three paddock school sessions and one more trip at least to the starting gate.
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           GAMBLING GIRL  – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl worked a half-mile in :50 in company with Julia Shining with jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           “The plan was to give them an easy half and they were both in hand the whole time,” Pletcher said. “Very pleased.”
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           Runner-up in the 1 1/8-mile Gazelle (GIII) in her most recent start, Gambling Girl will have a walk day Friday and return to the track Saturday.
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           MIMI KAKUSHI – Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al  Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi jogged a mile with the pony and then galloped a mile under Xavier Ziani.
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           Mimi Kakushi is scheduled to work a half-mile Saturday.
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS – Godolphin  representatives were on hand to witness the Rachel Alexandra (GII) winner Pretty Mischievous’ final workout ahead of her run in the Oaks. Heading to the track at 7:30 a.m. with her Brendan Walsh barn stablemate, the 3-year-old colt Gilmore, Pretty Mischievous went four furlongs in :47.80. Tabbed to ride her in the Oaks, jockey Tyler Gaffalione was aboard.
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           “She galloped out in a minute flat,” trainer Walsh said. “And she was going easy too. She likes this track. She won her first two races here at Churchill Downs, and she ran third in the Golden Rod. Everything seems to be going smoothly enough. Hopefully she comes out of it good now and if we get a good week then we’ll be all set.”
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           Walsh said the plan for Friday is to jog once around the track. Ahead of the Oaks, Pretty Mischievous will gallop each morning at her regular 7:30 a.m. time
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Robert Masterson’s Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) winner Southlawn completed her major preparation for the Longines Kentucky Oaks with an easy half-mile move in :48.80 Thursday morning.
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           Trainer Norm Casse’s exercise rider Joel Garcia was in the saddle for the work.
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           “It was a fairly easy move and nothing flashy,” Casse said. “She did most of her work last week. She’s trained forwardly out of that move and we’re ready to go.”
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           Jockey Rey Gutierrez will have the call in the Oaks.
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           WONDER WHEEL – D.J. Stable’s Wonder Wheel breezed four furlongs in :47.20 Thursday morning during the 7:30 a.m. Derby and Oaks workout window. The Mark Casse-trainee posted the second fastest time of 66 Thoroughbreds who went that distance. It was jockey Joel Rosario’s fist chance to acquaint himself with the 2-year-old champion filly ahead of piloting her in Friday’s Kentucky Oaks.
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           “It went very well,” David Carroll, assistant to trainer Mark Casse, said. “She’s a filly that’s very deceptive. Joel thought he went 49 or 50 (seconds) on her but she went 47 and 1. We warned him that she will fool you so to be careful (not to ask too much of her). She loped to the pole and eased off from there, and I thought he had her switched off, but I looked down at the clock and saw she was rolling. She just covers a lot of ground. She switched to her right lead on cue. He didn’t move on her. And he couldn’t believe that she went that fast. But that’s her. She cooled out in two minutes, hardly had to drink any water.”
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           Assuming the weather cooperates, Friday’s plan is to get Wonder Wheel back to the track to jog two miles.
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           “Tomorrow we want to get her out to the track,” Carroll said. “She’ll jog, get her out there and stretch her legs. We’ll make sure everything is okay with her and keep her in her little routine. Then she’ll gallop Saturday and Sunday and possibly have Monday off.”
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            ALSO-ELIGIBLE – Richard Bahde’s Taxed (No. 15 on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks leaderboard) walked the shedrow at trainer Randy Morse’s barn a day after she worked worked a half-mile in :47.60.
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           Stonestreet Stables’ Julia Shining (No. 16) worked a half-mile in :49.60 in company with stablemate Gambling Girl for trainer Todd Pletcher. Humberto Zamora was aboard.
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           Gold Standard Racing Stable’s Hoosier Philly (No. 17) worked a half-mile in :48.40 for trainer Tom Amoss.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion); And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller); Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox); Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Dorth Vader (TBA, Mike Yates); Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher); Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer); Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh); Promiseher America (TBA, Ray Handal); Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse); The Alys Look (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); and Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Wonder Wheel (Joel Rosario, Mark Casse).
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           Also-Eligible: Taxed (Rafael Bejarano, Randy Morse); Julia Shining (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Hoosier Philly (Edgar Morales, Tom Amoss).
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      <pubDate>Thu, 27 Apr 2023 18:00:35 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-thursday-april-27-2023</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Daily Derby Update: Wednesday, April 26, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-wednesday-april-26-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Wednesday, April 26, 2023
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           Three Kentucky Derby hopefuls as well as a Kentucky Oaks possible entrant worked Wednesday morning over a fast track at Churchill Downs.   Hiroyuki Asanuma’s UAE Derby (GII) winner Derma Sotogake (JPN) worked five furlongs in 1:01.40 and was partnered with Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.’s Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby invitee Continuar (JPN), who worked a half-mile in :50.
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           Shortly after those breezes during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Derby and Oaks horses, R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine’s Sun Thunder worked a half-mile on his own in :48.60 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard.
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           Richard Bahde’s Taxed, the runner-up in the Fantasy (GIII) and No. 15 on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks leaderboard, worked a half-mile in :47.60 under jockey Rafael Bejarano.
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           One Kentucky Derby work is scheduled for Thursday morning and that is Frank Sumpter’s Wild On Ice. Jockey Ken Tohill is flying to Louisville this afternoon and will be aboard for the work for trainer Joel Marr.
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           The Kentucky Oaks work schedule Thursday is much heavier with nine breezes slated.
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           Trainer Brad Cox is expected to work his trio of Wet Paint, Botanical and The Alys Look. Trainer Todd Pletcher has his duo of Gambling Girl and Julia Shining scheduled to breeze along with Southlawn for Norm Casse, Flying Connection for Todd Fincher, Wonder Wheel for Mark Casse and possibly Pretty Mischievous for Brendan Walsh
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – Trainer Brad Cox’s quartet of Angel of Empire, Hit Show, Jace’s Road and Verifying all had their normal 1 ½-mile gallops Wednesday morning but their work plans remain at the hand of Mother Nature.
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           “We’re playing things by ear with the weather coming in Thursday,” Cox said. “We’ll likely work them all on Saturday if the track is bad Friday.”
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           Cox schooled all four Derby runners in the paddock following training.
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           “We got them used to the paddock and we’ll probably do it again since it’s new,” Cox said. “I love it. I think the horses will love the extra space in here. It’s going to be really cool once it’s complete next year but even this year it looks great.”
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Don’t Tell My Wife Stables and Ocean Reef Racing’s Confidence Game jogged two miles under exercise rider Alex Cano.
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           Trainer Keith Desormeaux has been in Louisiana for the last several days following the death of his father, Harris, Saturday.
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           Harris was the father of Keith and Hall of Fame jockey Kent Desormeaux. Harris was involved in horse racing and livestock farming for most of his life. He created Acadiana Downs track in Louisiana.
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           Keith is expected to return to Louisville in the coming days.
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           CONTINUAR/DERMA SOTOGAKE – Lion Race Horse  Co. Ltd.’s Continuar (JPN) and Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN) worked together with Derma Sotogake continuing through five furlongs and Continuar completing a half-mile.
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           Breaking off at the half-mile pole, Continuar was 3 lengths in front under Kazunari Yoshida. By the head of the stretch, Derma Sotogake had drawn even under Masatoshi Segawa and was clear at the wire.
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           Fractions for Derma Sotogake were :25.80, :37.20, :48.60 and 1:01.40. Continuar was clocked in :13.40, :26.40, :50 and out five furlongs in 1:04.40.
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           Kate Hunter, the Japan Racing Association representative for the Kentucky Derby, said that both riders were happy with the works with Segawa pleased with the response in the stretch from Derma Sotogake.
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           Both horses will walk in the Quarantine Barn on Thursday.
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           Yoshito Yahagi, trainer of Continuar, is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on Monday with Hidetaka Otonashi, trainer of Derma Sotogake, due in the following day.
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           DISARM  – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm had an easy one-mile jog Wednesday morning following his scheduled walk day Tuesday.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE  – The Todd Pletcher Derby trio of Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Forte (Hector Ramos aboard), Whisper Hill Farm and Gainesway Stable’s Tapit Trice (Amelia Green aboard) and Spendthrift Farm’s Kingsbarns (Elder Flores aboard) all galloped 1 3/8 miles.
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           With rain expected to begin in Louisville Thursday afternoon and continuing through Friday morning, Pletcher is looking at Saturday as the final work day for his Derby hopefuls.
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           “That is what I am leaning toward now,” Pletcher said.
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           MAGE –  With exercise rider J.J. Delgado, the colt owned by OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH finished an easy gallop.
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           “He galloped a mile-and-a-half today, and he looked pretty good doing it,” said Gustavo Delgado Jr., assistant trainer to his father, Gustavo Delgado. “He definitely wanted to do more. We like everything that we’ve seen from him.”
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           After his Derby rider, Javier Castellano, arrives in Louisville on Thursday, they’ll finalize plans for a breeze, most likely Saturday morning.
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           Unraced as a 2-year-old, and with just three starts this year — including two graded stakes at Gulfstream Park, a fourth in the Fountain of Youth (GII) and a second to Forte in the Florida Derby (GI) — Mage is still learning the ropes.
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           “It’s going to take a couple more races for us to figure him out, and for the horse to put it all together, too,” Delgado Jr. said. “He’s shown three different styles — the first one he was in the front, the second one you can say he was in the middle, and then he was coming from behind. With a few more races, we’ll figure out what his best style is.”
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           ROCKET CAN –  Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott again sent the colt owned by Frank Fletcher Racing Operations out for a gallop with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona aboard.
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           “He had an easy gallop of about 1 3/8 miles,” Mott said. “He galloped great, and he went through the paddock. Our plans call for us to breeze him over the weekend.”
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           SUN THUNDER – R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine’s Derby hopeful breezed a half-mile in :48.60 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. with just 10 days before the 149th running.
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               The workout gave his connections and trainer Kenny McPeek an indication that the fourth-place finisher in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) at Keeneland is coming into the Derby the way they want him.
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           “He pretty much just clipped 12s the whole way around,” Hernandez said. “They added blinkers to him this morning, and that seems to make him want to go forward, and kind of get into things a little earlier than he did before the blinkers. He finished in 48 and 3(-fifths), with a good gallop out.”
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           Hernandez rode Sun Thunder, an Into Mischief colt out of the Medaglia d’Oro mare Greenfield d’Oro, to a fifth-place finish in the Louisiana Derby (GII), after crossing the wire behind Angel of Empire in the Risen Star (GII).
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           “Everybody kind of bunched up (in the Louisiana Derby), and it wasn’t the right kind of setup for him,” Hernandez said. “Here in the Derby, we’re hoping to get a little pace in front of us, and hopefully by the time we get to the second turn, things will start to spread out, and we can make our run.”
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           Sun Thunder finished his 2-year-old season by breaking his maiden on New Year’s Eve at Oaklawn Park in just his second start. At 3, he’s only had four starts, all graded stakes.
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           “He’s still a lightly raced horse, and he’s going to get better and better with each race,” Hernandez said. “That’s the nice thing about riding for Kenny: These guys do such a good job here at the barns, and give us live horses. I’m fortunate that Kenny trusts me, so I can go out and just ride my race.”
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           WILD ON ICE  – Frank Sumpter’s Wild On Ice came on the track at 6:15 and warmed up in the mile chute under Oscar Rojero before galloping 1 ½ miles. After training, Wild On Ice had a paddock schooling session.
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           Trainer Joel Marr plans to give the Sunland Park Derby (GIII) winner his second Churchill Downs work Thursday morning at 5:45 with a five-furlong breeze scheduled.
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           Jockey Ken Tohill is scheduled to arrive in Louisville this afternoon and will be aboard for the work as he was April 17 when Wild On Ice worked five furlongs in 1:00.
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES  – Albaugh Family Stables and Castleton Lyons’ Cyclone Mischief (No. 22 on the Road to the Kentucky Derby leaderboard), galloped 1 ½ miles under Faustino Herrarte for trainer Dale Romans.
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           Spendthrift Farm’s Major Dude (No. 23) galloped 1 3/8 miles under Joel Osorio for trainer Todd Pletcher and is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY DERBY – Here are the horses (with jockeys and trainers) that are qualified for the Kentucky Derby and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Angel of Empire (jockey Flavien Prat, trainer Brad Cox); Confidence Game (James Graham, Keith Desormeaux); Continuar (JPN) (Ryusei Sakai, Yoshito Yahagi); Derma Sotogake (JPN) (Christophe Lemaire, Hidetaka Otonashi); Disarm (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen); Forte (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Hit Show (Manny Franco, Brad Cox); Jace’s Road (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox); Kingsbarns (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Lord Miles (Paco Lopez, Saffie Joseph Jr.); Mage (Javier Castellano, Gustavo Delgado); Practical Move (Ramon Vazquez, Tim Yakteen); Raise Cain (TBA, Ben Colebrook); Reincarnate (John Velazquez, Tim Yakteen); Rocket Can (Junior Alvarado, Bill Mott); Sun Thunder (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Tapit Trice (Luis Saez, Todd Pletcher); Two Phil’s (Jareth Loveberry, Larry Rivelli); Verifying (Tyler Gaffalione, Brad Cox); and Wild On Ice (Ken Tohill, Joel Marr).
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           Also-Eligible: Skinner (Victor Espinioza, John Shirreffs); Cyclone Mischief (TBA, Dale Romans); Major Dude (TBA, Todd Pletcher); and Mandarin Hero (JPN) (TBA, Terunobu Fujita).
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint galloped 1 ½ miles Wednesday morning for trainer Brad Cox.
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           All three fillies are scheduled to breeze Thursday at 7:30 a.m.
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           DEFINING PURPOSE –  The impressive Ashland Stakes (GI) winner, trained by Kenny McPeek put in a mile-and-a-quarter gallop with regular exercise rider Shelby Spalding, without any issues.
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           Plans still call for the Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball filly to breeze Saturday.
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           “She looks well,” said Brian Hernandez Jr., who will ride her in the Oaks. “That’s the nice thing about her, she’s been developing with each race, so she seems to be getting better and better. That race in the Ashland was huge. She beat some nice fillies that day, and she did it all on her own terms.”
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           FLYING CONNECTION – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection galloped 1 ½ miles under Oscar Rojero.
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           Winner of the Sunland Park Oaks (Listed), Flying Connection is scheduled to work Thursday morning with jockey Florent Geroux slated to be aboard for trainer Todd Fincher.
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           Geroux was aboard Flying Connection on April 17 when she breezed five furlongs in 1:01.
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           GAMBLING GIRL  – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl visited the starting gate and then galloped 1 ¼ miles under exercise rider Carlos Quevedo.
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher plans to work Gambling Girl Thursday morning.
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           MIMI KAKUSHI – Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi jogged a mile and galloped a mile under jockey Xavier Ziani.
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           Winner of her past three starts at Meydan and capped by a victory in the UAE Oaks (GIII), Mimi Kakushi is scheduled to breeze a half-mile Saturday morning for trainer Salem bin Ghadayer.
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           Ziani, a jockey in the UAE, is one of the stable riders for bin Ghadayer. Mikael Barzelona will ride in the Oaks.
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS –  The Godolphin filly, trained by Brendan Walsh, again went out for an easy gallop, with exercise rider Albino Martinez.
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           “She went her usual mile-and-a-half,” said Walsh assistant Charlie Lynch. “Brendan is going to look at things tonight, and she might have a workout tomorrow.”
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           Plans originally called for a workout Friday or Saturday. “It all depends on the weather,” Lynch said.
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) winner Southlawn galloped about 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. for trainer Norm Casse.
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           Casse’s exercise rider Joel Garcia was in the saddle for Southlawn’s Wednesday training session.
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           “We’ll have her continue her normal Thursday work pattern,” said Casse, who spent the morning with his mother, Jennifer, watching his horses train. “This is a lot of fun being involved this week. I have a lot of family who are coming in town to support me and I’m looking forward to making the walkover with my son, Crew, and wife, Gabby, for the Oaks.”
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           Jockey Rey Gutierrez is scheduled to be aboard for Thursday’s work and will ride in the Oaks.
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           WONDER WHEEL –  The champion 2-year-old filly of 2022 again stepped onto the dirt shortly after the track opened for training Wednesday with exercise rider Kim Carroll aboard for another easy gallop.
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           David Carroll, assistant to trainer Mark Casse, said plans still call for the daughter of Into Mischief, out of the Tiz Wonderful mare Wonder Gal, who races in the colors of D.J. Stable, to breeze Thursday morning. She’ll go out after the harrow break, at 7:30 a.m., with her Oaks jockey, Joel Rosario. Casse will arrive in Louisville next week.
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           "She galloped her usual mile-and-a-quarter,” said Carroll. “She’ll go a half on Thursday. She’s fit and ready, and she wants to get on with it. We’re very happy with her, and hopefully tomorrow all goes well. It’ll be nice to see Joel get on her, and to get a little feedback from him.”
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           ALSO-ELIGIBLES  – Richard Bahde’s Taxed (No. 15) worked a half-mile in :47.60 under jockey Rafael Bejarano for trainer Randy Morse.
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           Working on her own, Taxed produced fractions of :23.80, :47.60 and out five furlongs in 1:00.40. The half-mile time was the second fastest of 40 at the distance.
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           “She worked amazing,” said Bejarano, who would have the Oaks mount should Taxed make the field. “She was 12s (seconds) all the way … 12, 24, 36.”
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           Stonestreet Stables’ Julia Shining (No. 16) visited the starting gate and then galloped 1 ¼ miles under exercise rider Humberto Zamora for trainer Todd Pletcher. She is scheduled to work Thursday.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion); And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller); Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox); Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Dorth Vader (TBA, Mike Yates); Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher); Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer); Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh); Promiseher America (TBA, Ray Handal); Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse); The Alys Look (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); and Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Wonder Wheel (Joel Rosario, Mark Casse).
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           Also-Eligible: Taxed (Rafael Bejarano, Randy Morse); Julia Shining (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Hoosier Philly (Edgar Morales, Tom Amoss).
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      <pubDate>Wed, 26 Apr 2023 23:50:39 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-wednesday-april-26-2023</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Tuesday, Apri 25, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-tuesday-apri-25-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Tuesday, April 25, 2023
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           Includes Kentucky Oaks update
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING  – It was another routine morning at trainer Brad Cox’s Barn 22 with all four of his Kentucky Derby contenders having routine gallops.
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           Albaugh Family Stable’s Angel of Empire was the first of Cox’s quartet of Kentucky Derby contenders to train at 5:30 a.m.
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           At 7:30 a.m., Gary and Mary West’s Hit Show, West Point Thoroughbreds and Albaugh Family Stable’s Jace’s Road and Westerberg, Mrs. John Magnier, Jonathan Poulin, Derrick Smith and Michael B. Tabor’s Verifying all had 1 ½-mile gallops.
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           “We’re pretty excited coming into this Derby,” Cox said. “We have four really nice colts and we’re looking forward to next weekend. They’ll all work once more this weekend. We’re keeping an eye on the weather and make a decision in the next 24-48 hours.”
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           CONFIDENCE GAME  – Don’t Tell My Wife Stables and Ocean Reef Racing’s Confidence Game galloped 1 ¼ miles under Alex Cano during the 7:30-7:45 training window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses.
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           A two-time winner from four starts at Churchill Downs, Confidence Game would represent the fourth Kentucky Derby starter for trainer Keith Desormeaux, whose best Derby finish came from his first starter in 2016 with Exaggerator’s runner-up effort.
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           CONTINUAR – Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.’s Continuar (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute during the first track harrow break of the morning and then galloped 1 ½ miles under Kazunari Yoshida for trainer Yoshito Yahagi.
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           A winner of two of five career starts, Continuar is scheduled to work Wednesday morning.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE  – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s $1.1 million earner Derma Sotogake (JPN), warmed up in the mile chute during the first track maintenance break of the morning and then galloped 1 ¼ miles with Masatoshi Segawa aboard.
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           Part of the morning activity also included a paddock schooling session for the winner of four of eight starts with the most recent victory coming in the UAE Derby (GII) by 5 ½ lengths.
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           Trained by Hidetaka Otonashi, Derma Sotogake is scheduled to work Wednesday morning.
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           DISARM  – Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Disarm had a routine walk day at Barn 38 following his five-furlong move in 1:00 Monday morning at Churchill Downs.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE  – One of the rites of spring in Louisville is watching the weather, and for trainer Todd Pletcher, who has had an entrant in every Derby since 2000 except for 2003, this year is no different.
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           “It wouldn’t be Derby Week without watching the weather,” Pletcher said. “It looks like there is some rain coming in Thursday and it could be a sketchy couple of days.”
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           Spendthrift Farm’s Kingsbarns and Major Dude worked together last Thursday and both galloped 1 3/8 miles Tuesday morning with Elder Flores aboard Kingsbarns and Joel Osorio on Major Dude.
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           Pletcher has not named a rider for Kingsbarns.
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           Major Dude who is No. 23 on the Road to the Kentucky Derby leaderboard and in need of three defections by entry time Monday to get in the starting gate, has the 32nd running of the $500,000 American Turf (GII) on May 6 as his backup race should he not make the Derby field.
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           Pletcher’s other Derby hopefuls also galloped 1 3/8 miles during the special Derby/Oaks training window from 7:30-7:45.
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           Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Forte, the probable morning line favorite for Derby 149, was partnered by Hector Ramos while Whisper Hill Farm and Gainesway Stable’s Tapit Trice was partnered by Amelia Green.
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           MAGE –  The Florida Derby (GI) runner-up, who gave likely Kentucky Derby favorite Forte a strong challenge in just his third lifetime start, took to the track for the first time, after arriving yesterday from the long van trip up from the Sunshine State.
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           For the Run for the Roses, he’ll have Javier Castellano riding. Castellano rode him in the Fountain of Youth (GII) at Gulfstream Park.
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           “Yesterday, we made the decision on the rider,” said Gustavo Delgado Jr., son of the colt’s same-named trainer. “He’s ridden him before, and we didn’t want to try anyone new.”
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           With exercise rider J.J. Delgado, the colt owned by OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH galloped easily, going a mile-and-a-quarter.
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           “He’s a pretty laid-back horse,” Delgado Jr. said. “He gave us the impression that he enjoys the track, so far, so good.”
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           RAISE CAIN  – Andrew and Rania Warren’s Raise Cain, fifth in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) in his most recent start, is in need of a rider for Derby 149. Javier Castellano initially was lined up to ride but he has opted to ride Florida Derby (G1) runner-up Mage.
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           “No rider yet,” trainer Ben Colebrook said. “We will wait it out. Never missed a race yet because of a rider.”
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           Stabled at Keeneland, Raise Cain is scheduled to work there Thursday morning.
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           ROCKET CAN –  Trainer Bill Mott sent the colt owned by Frank Fletcher Racing Operations out for a gallop with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona aboard.
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           “He looked good, after we worked him Sunday, he had an easy day yesterday, then had him back on the track this morning,” said the Hall of Fame trainer. “We also walked him over to the temporary paddock that they’ll use this year. It looked like he had good energy, and that he came out of the work in good shape.”
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           SUN THUNDER –  Trainer Kenny McPeek sent the fourth-place finisher in the Blue Grass Stakes (GI) at Keeneland, to the Churchill Downs track again Tuesday with exercise rider Martin Vargas.
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           “He galloped a mile-and-a-quarter, and he stood in the starting gate … pretty routine, basic stuff,” McPeek said. “He’ll work on Wednesday.”
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           WILD ON ICE  – Frank Sumpter’s Wild On Ice had a double schooling day Tuesday when he got acquainted with the Kentucky Derby starting gate and the paddock.
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           Trainer Joel Marr was alongside the Sunland Park Derby (GIII) at 7:30 a.m. and walked him to the one-mile chute where he schooled in the starting gate with exercise rider Oscar Rojero on board. Then, Wild On Ice was led over to the frontside by outrider Greg Blasi and schooled in the paddock. Finally, the gelding galloped about 1 3/8 miles.
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           Marr stated Wild On Ice’s final Derby work is scheduled for Thursday with Derby jockey Ken Tohill slated to be aboard.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE (unedited)
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT  – Trainer Brad Cox’s trio of Longines Kentucky Oaks contenders Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint all continued their regular training patterns on Tuesday.
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           Dawn and Ike Thrash’s The Alys Look and Godolphin’s Wet Paint galloped about 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. while LNJ Foxwoods and Clearsky Farms’ Botanical galloped the same distance around 8:30 a.m.
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           All three fillies then schooled in the Churchill Downs paddock.
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           DEFINING PURPOSE –  Trainer Kenny McPeek watched the Ashland Stakes (G1) winner put in a mile-and-a-quarter gallop, without any issues.
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           “She’ll breeze on Saturday,” he said of the Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball filly.
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           FLYING CONNECTION – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection had a walk day Tuesday.
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           Trained by Todd Fincher, Flying Connection is scheduled to have her second Churchill Downs work Thursday.
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           GAMBLING GIRL/JULIA SHINING  – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl galloped 1 3/8 miles under exercise rider Carlos Quevedo for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           Stonestreet Stables’ Julia Shining, No. 16 on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks leaderboard and in need of two defections to make the 14-horse Oaks starting gate, galloped 1 3/8 miles under Humberto Zamora.
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           “There is no Plan B as of yet,” Pletcher said when asked if there was an immediate option for Julia Shining should she not run in the Oaks.
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           Julia Shining is a full sister to 2021 Kentucky Oaks winner Malathaat.
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           MIMI KAKUSHI – Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al  Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi, jogged a mile and cantered a mile under exercise rider Xavier Ziani.
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           Undefeated in two starts this year with victories in the UAE One Thousand Guineas and UAE Oaks (GIII), Mimi Kakushi would represent the first runner in the United States for her owner, according to Churchill Downs, as well as her trainer Salem bin Ghadayer.
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           Bin Ghadayer plans to work Mimi Kakushi on Saturday. She will have paddock schooling on her agenda leading up to the Oaks and possibly gate schooling.
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS –  The Godolphin filly, trained by Brendan Walsh, went out for a gallop with exercise rider Albino Martinez. While Walsh is out of town, assistant Charlie Lynch supervised her.
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           “She went her usual mile-and-a-half,” Lynch said, confirming that the filly will have a timed workout probably Friday or Saturday. “A lot depends on the weather,” he said.
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           SOUTHLAWN  – Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) winner Southlawn galloped about 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. for trainer Norm Casse. Casse’s exercise rider Joel Garcia was in the saddle for Southlawn’s Tuesday training session.
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           “She’s doing well out of her work last week and has trained with a lot of energy,” Casse said. “That’s what you want to see out of a work.”
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           Southlawn is scheduled to work Thursday, according to Casse.
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           WONDER WHEEL –  The champion 2-year-old filly of 2022 stepped onto the Churchill Downs track at 6 a.m. With exercise rider Kim Carroll aboard, the D.J. Stable color bearer jogged in the chute for 10 minutes before an easy gallop.
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           “She galloped her usual mile-and-a-quarter,” said David Carroll, assistant to trainer Mark Casse. “She was up in the chute for a while, playing around, then she went down and did her mile-and-a-quarter.”
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           Wonder Wheel at times appears a bit headstrong, and Carroll said, “That’s something we’re working on. She wants to do too much.”
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           Plans still call for her to breeze Thursday morning, with her Oaks jockey, Joel Rosario. “Timing-wise, it’ll be good, since she breezed last Thursday,” Carroll said. “We want Joel to get a feel for her. He’s very, very good at getting horses to relax. He’s one of those riders who’s very astute, and picks up on things.”
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion); And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller); Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox); Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Dorth Vader (TBA, Mike Yates); Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher); Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer); Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh); Promiseher America (TBA, Ray Handal); Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse); The Alys Look (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); and Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Wonder Wheel (Joel Rosario, Mark Casse).
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           Also-Eligible: Taxed (TBA, Randy Morse); Julia Shining (TBA, Todd Pletcher); Hoosier Philly (Edgar Morales, Tom Amoss).
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      <pubDate>Tue, 25 Apr 2023 18:35:22 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-tuesday-apri-25-2023</guid>
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      <title>Daily Derby Update: Monday, April 24, 2023</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-monday-april-24-2023</link>
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           DAILY DERBY UPDATE: Monday, April 24, 2023
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           Includes Kentucky Oaks update
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE/HIT SHOW/JACE’S ROAD, VERIFYING – It was a routine morning at trainer Brad Cox’s Barn 22 with all four of his Kentucky Derby contenders having routine gallops.
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           Angel of Empire was the first of Cox’s quartet of Kentucky Derby contenders to train at 5:30 a.m. Hit Show, Jace’s Road and Verifying all trained at 7:30 a.m. Cox routinely oversees his Keeneland operation Mondays and is expected to be back at Churchill Downs Tuesday. Cox can't necessarily train all four of his Derby and Oaks contenders at the same time because groom Darwin Aguilar is in charge of Angel of Empire, Hit Show and Longines Kentucky Oaks runner Wet Paint.
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           CONFIDENCE GAME – Confidence Game galloped a mile and a quarter under exercise rider Alex Cano before 7 o’clock. Winner of the Rebel in his most recent start and a two-time winner at Churchill Downs, Confidence Game worked a mile here out of the gate in 1:38.20 on April 14 and is scheduled for his final pre-Derby work in several days.
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           Trained by Keith Desormeaux, Confidence Game will be ridden in the Derby by James Graham.
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           CONTINUAR – Continuar (JPN) warmed up in the mile chute during the first morning harrow break and then galloped 1 ½ miles under Kazunari Yoshida before completing his morning activity with a paddock schooling session. Third in the UAE Derby (GII) in his most recent start, Continuar is trained by Yoshito Yahagi and will be ridden in the Derby by Ryusei Sakai. Yahagi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville next Monday.
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE – Hiroyuki Asanuma’s Derma Sotogake (JPN), runaway winner of the UAE Derby in his most recent start, warmed up in the mile chute during the first harrow break of the morning and then galloped 2 miles under Masatoshi Segawa before cooling down in the mile chute and returning to the Quarantine Barn.
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           Trainer Hidetaka Otonashi is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on May 2. It would be his first Derby starter. Christophe Lemaire, who was aboard for the UAE Derby victory, has the mount in the Run for the Roses.
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           DISARM - Two Mondays before the 2023 Kentucky Derby, Disarm breezed five furlongs in 1:00 with Joel Rosario aboard for trainer Steve Asmussen at Churchill Downs. He was the sole Derby worker at the track. It was Disarm’s first work since finishing third in the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes on April 15, the final points race for the Derby. He go six points, boosting his total to 46 and getting him into the Derby field.
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           “I thought he worked really well this morning coming out of the Lexington,” Rosario said. “He was well within himself the entire work. He looks a lot like his sire (Gun Runner). He’s built bigger than he is but looking at him they have a lot of the same traits.”
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           Trainer Steve Asmussen was on the scene and watched the work from the grandstand.
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           “He’s a very durable horse and I think the best is yet to come from him,” Asmussen said. “He’s a horse we missed a little time with over the winter and we’re behind schedule. The one opportunity for a points race was the Louisiana Derby. He ran solid but needed more points to get in it. He’s a horse we definitely didn’t want to miss this opportunity with. We were looking for a little sense of direction in his work this morning. I think he’s not given us everything to this point and there’s more in the tank. I like how he accelerated to the wire and got over the racetrack nicely.”
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           Asmussen and and Disarm's owner, Ron Winchell, finished second in last year’s Kentucky Derby with Epicenter.
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           FORTE/KINGSBARNS/MAJOR DUDE/TAPIT TRICE – Trainer Todd Pletcher’s quartet of Derby hopefuls all galloped 1 3/8 miles during the special Derby/Oaks training window this morning from 7:30-7:45.
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           Forte, who will be ridden in the Derby by Irad Ortiz Jr., was partnered by Hector Ramos. Tapit Trice, who will be ridden in the Derby by Luis Saez, was partnered by Amelia Green. Elder Flores was aboard Kingsbarns, whose Derby rider remains to be determined. Major Dude, in need of three defections by entry time next Monday to get in the starting gate, was ridden this morning by Joel Osorio.
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           MAGE – Mage arrived at Churchill Downs Monday morning after an overnight van ride from Gulfstream Park. Trained by Gustavo Delgado, Made worked six furlongs at Gulfstream on Saturday in 1:14.78.
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           ROCKET CAN – Rocket Can came out of his Sunday morning workout in good order, trainer Bill Mott said Monday. The colt went 5 furlongs in 1:01 with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona aboard.
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           “He looked great,” Mott said. “He just walked the shedrow this morning. He’ll be back on the track on Tuesday, and probably won’t work until next week.”
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           SUN THUNDER – Trainer Kenny McPeek sent Sun Thunder, the fourth-place finisher in the Blue Grass Stakes, to the Churchill Downs track on Monday with exercise rider Martin Vargas.
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           “He galloped a mile-and-a-quarter, pretty routine, basic stuff,” McPeek said. “He’ll work on Wednesday.”
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           WILD ON ICE – Frank Sumpter’s Wild On Ice jogged in the mile chute for about 10 minutes before galloping two miles under exercise rider Oscar Rojero. Wild On Ice worked five furlongs in 1:00 at the track on April 17, and trainer Joel Marr has the Texas-bred’s final Derby work scheduled for Thursday with jockey Ken Tohill slated to be aboard.
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           LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS UPDATE (unedited)
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           BOTANICAL, THE ALYS LOOK, WET PAINT – Trainer Brad Cox’s trio of Longines Kentucky Oaks contenders Botanical, The Alys Look and Wet Paint all continued their regular training patterns for the first Friday in MaDawn and Ike Thrash’s The Alys Look and Godolphin’s Wet Paint galloped about 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. while LNJ Foxwoods and Clearsky Farms’ Botanical galloped the same distance around 8:30 a.m.
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            DEFINING PURPOSE – Defining Purpose came out of an easy half-mile work with regular rider Brian Hernandez Jr. on Sunday in fine shape, trainer Kenny McPeek said Monday. She was clocked in :48.40 in her first workout since she won the Ashland Stakes (GI) at Keeneland on April 7, which helped put her at third in the Kentucky Oaks points standings.
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           “She’s real easy to handle,” McPeek said of the filly, who races in the silks of Magdalena Racing, Collette Marie Vanmatre and James Ball. “She’ll be out for a gallop tomorrow, pretty routine stuff.”
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           The Cross Traffic filly, out of the Strong Hope mare Defining Hope, won two of her four starts as a 2-year-old, including a maiden special weight race at Churchill Downs in November. Already she has bankrolled $543,688 from her seven career starts.
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           DORTH VADER – John Ropes homebred Dorth Vader, the winner of the Davona Dale Stakes (GII), is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs Thursday, according to trainer Michael Yates.
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           Dorth Vader will fly from South Florida to Indianapolis then van to Churchill Downs.
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           FLYING CONNECTION – Brad King, Randy Andrews, G. Chris Coleman, Jim Cone, Suzanne Kirby and Lee Lewis’ Flying Connection visited the starting gate and then galloped 1 ½ miles under exercise rider Oscar Rojero.
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           Trainer Todd Fincher said Florent Geroux would have the Oaks mount on Flying Connection, who is scheduled to work Thursday. Winner of the Sunland Park Oaks (Listed) in her most recent start, Flying Connection worked five furlongs in 1:01 here last Monday.
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           GAMBLING GIRL/JULIA SHINING – Repole Stable’s Gambling Girl galloped 1 3/8 miles Monday morning under Carlos Quededo for trainer Todd Pletcher.
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           Stonestreet Stables’ Julia Shining, who is No. 16 on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks and would need two defections come entry time next Monday to secure a spot in the starting gate, galloped 1 3/8 miles under Humberto Zamora.
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           MIMI KAKUSHI – Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum’s Mimi Kakushi, who arrived at Churchill Downs on Saturday, had her first day on track Monday as she trotted a mile and jogged a mile under Xavier Ziani.
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           Mimi Kakushi walked under tack in Quarentine Barn 2 Sunday.
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           Trainer Salem bin Ghadayer said the winner of the UAE Oaks (GIII) would work Saturday and that Mickael Barzalona would have the mount in the Kentucky Oaks.
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           PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS – Godolphin’s Pretty Mischievous, trained by Brendan Walsh, was out very early Monday morning, for a gallop with exercise rider Albino Martinez. While Walsh was out of town, assistant Charlie Lynch supervised her trip to the track.
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           “She’ll likely have a workout later in the week, when Brendan gets back,” Lynch said. “She’s doing well. He’ll decide when she goes, but it’ll probably be Friday or Saturday. A lot depends on the weather.”
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           The daughter of Into Mischief, out of the Tapit mare Pretty City Dancer, won the Rachel Alexandra Stakes (GII) at the Fair Grounds on Feb. 18, then finished second to Southlawn in the Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) on March 25, both with Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard. Jockey Tyler Gaffalione has the mount in the Oaks.
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           SOUTHLAWN – Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) winner Southlawn galloped about 1 ½ miles at 7:30 a.m. for trainer Norm Casse. Casse’s exercise rider Joel Garcia was in the saddle for Southlawn’s Monday training session. Southlawn is scheduled to work Thursday, according to Casse.
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           WONDER WHEEL – D.J. Stable LLC’s Wonder Wheel, the 2-year-old champion filly of 2023, is off the bubble and now a Kentucky Oaks contender, after trainer Chad Brown decided to give Shidabhuti additional time off, and pulled her from consideration Sunday.
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            “She’ll go out to the track Tuesday morning, with our second set, which will be around 5:45,” said David Carroll, assistant to trainer Mark Casse. “While we were hoping to get in, we were glad that it wasn’t because of an injury to the other horse. Chad just decided to give his filly more time, so you feel better about getting this opportunity to run.
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            “We’re excited. She’s doing really well. She’ll have one more breeze, quite possibly this Thursday. She breezed last Thursday,” Carroll said. “We’re looking at the weather, but it looks like it’s unsettled weather this week. Around here, you never know.”
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            Her regular exercise rider, Kim Carroll, is expected to be aboard Wonder Wheel on Tuesday.
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           The daughter of Into Mischief, out of the Tiz Wonderful mare Wonder Gal, broke her maiden at Churchill Downs last June, then won the Debutante Stakes on the Fourth of July. After finishing her 2-year-old season as the champion of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI), she finished second in the Suncoast Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs in February, but then was sixth in the Ashland Stakes (GI) at Keeneland.
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           SHAPING UP: THE KENTUCKY OAKS – Here are the horses (with trainers) that are qualified for the Longines Kentucky Oaks and those on the also-eligible list (in alphabetical order with AEs listed last in preference order):
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           Affirmative Lady (John Velazquez, Graham Motion); And Tell Me Nolies (Ramon Vazquez, Peter Miller); Botanical (Chris Landeros, Brad Cox); Defining Purpose (Brian Hernandez Jr., Kenny McPeek); Dorth Vader (TBA, Mike Yates); Flying Connection (Florent Geroux, Todd Fincher); Gambling Girl (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher); Mimi Kakushi (Mickael Barzelona, Salem bin Ghadayer); Pretty Mischievous (Tyler Gaffalione, Brendan Walsh); Promiseher America (TBA, Ray Handal); Southlawn (Rey Gutierrez, Norm Casse); The Alys Look (Luis Saez, Brad Cox); and Wet Paint (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox); Wonder Wheel (Mark Casse).
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           Also-Eligible: Taxed (Randy Morse); Julia Shining (Todd Pletcher); Hoosier Philly (Tom Amoss).
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      <pubDate>Mon, 24 Apr 2023 16:43:17 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/daily-derby-update-monday-april-24-2023</guid>
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      <title>WORKOUT NOTES, PERIODIC COMMENTS, OUR SPEED FIGURES CHART, and SELECTIONS</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/workout-notes-periodic-comments</link>
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           WORKOUT RESULTS, VIDEOS, NOTES and COMMENTS
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           DOWNEY'S WORKOUT NOTES AND COMMENTS.
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           WORKOUT INFO FROM SECTION 3 IS ALSO POSTED HERE
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           May 6 NOTE:
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            Forte was scratched just after 9 a.m. ET following a gallop and an examination by state veterinarians.
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            May 5 NOTE:
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           (a) Skinner was scratched this morning, elevated temperature cited. (b) Nineteen horses remain in the field. Forte scratch rumors unsubstantiated. It is still possible a scratch could occur, but Forte galloped on the track this morning.
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            May 4 NOTE:
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           (a) Practical Move scratched, elevated temperature cited. (b) Lord Miles ordered out of Derby by KHRC, stewards. (c) Added content for Cyclone Mischief and Mandarin Hero. (d) Continuar scratched; added content for Lord Russell.
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           May 2 NOTE:
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            (a) Derma Sotogake, also-eligible Mandarin Hero and Sun Thunder breezed this morning at Churchill Downs. Details are posted. (b) Yesterday, track insiders said Continuar would breeze today, but he didn't. (c) Apparently a mistake was made when the morning line was revealed at the post position draw; Jace's Road is now listed at 50-1 instead of the 15-1 announced at the draw.
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            May 1 NOTE:
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           Disarm breezed this morning at Churchill Downs. A report and video are posted.
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Rocket Can breezed at 7:30, and we have a report and the video.
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            April 29 COMMENT:
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            Workouts today at Churchill Downs by Angel of Empire, Confidence Game, Cyclone Mischief, Forte, Hit Show, Jace's Road, Kingsbarns, Mage, Major Dude, Tapit Trice and Verifying. Skinner worked at Santa Anita. Reports and videos are posted for all the workouts.
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            April 28 COMMENT:
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           (a) A video of Two Phil's workout yesterday at Hawthorne was released just minutes before this post, and we have it. (b) We found video of Raise Cain's workout yesterday at Keeneland, and it is posted. Apology for the delay. (c) King Russell, who at one point looked like a potential also-eligible, has not put in a workout since April 16.  (d) Practical Move worked at Santa Anita. Video and quote posted. NOTE also posted. (e) Lord Miles worked at Gulfstream Park. Video and quote posted. NOTE also posted. (f) Reincarnate blazed four furlongs at Santa Anita. Video and quote posted. NOTE also posted.
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            April 27 COMMENT:
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           Sadly, a catastrophic injury occured to Wild on Ice during training this morning.
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            April 27 COMMENT:
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           (a) Skinner was added to this section. (b) Information about Raise Cain's breeze today is posted. (c) Information about a breeze by Two Phil's is posted.
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            April 26 COMMENT:
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           Added info and NOTES about workouts by Sun Thunder, Derma Sotogake and Continuar.
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           April 24 COMMENT:
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            (a) I added  a bit of information about Mage's most recent workout today, picked up from Mike Welsch's observation of the move. Mage arrived at Churchill Downs today. (b) Disarm breezed today at Churchill, a bullet of 18, and we added a NOTE and video.
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           HORSES LISTED IN DERBY POINTS ORDER
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           FORTE - SCRATCHED
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            APRIL 14/21 NOTES:
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           His April 14 and 21 works were basically maintenance breezes according to trainer Pletcher, and we can expect more of that in his final Derby workout, in which Pletcher said he would probably do less than he did on the 21st. If there is a weakness in the April 14 breeze, the first one after the Florida Derby, Irad (assuming that's him) was pushing Forte with his hands during the work while workmate's rider had a hold on him; and Forte was being pushed along again in the gallop-out as they went into the backstretch. However, all this could've been by design -- Pletcher describes Forte as a "push-button" horse, so maybe they were just pushing the buttons. The April 21 work is visually more pleasing with Forte pricking his ears from time to time galloping out in the backstretch, and he galloped a long way. A good-looking workout which he finished in 23.40, out six in 12.40 and seven in another 12.60.
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           APRIL 29 NOTE:
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            Forte breezed outside Bright Future, a recent allowance winner at age 4 with three races under his belt. They broke off at the half-mile pole with Forte and Irad Ortiz, Jr. about a length off Bright Future. After an easy move through the lane, Forte stuck his head in front at the wire. The horses galloped out together to the track kitchen located just inside the beginning of the far turn. A straightforward, strong work for Forte. Fractions per Churchill Downs clockers were 12.40 and 24.60, out five furlongs in 1:00.60. Nothing to knock from that perspective.
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            April 14 - 50:23 Breezing 16/25 PBD dirt fast 
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            Forte breezed in company with Bright Future (also 50.23), a 4-year-old son of Curlin that won an allowance race April 1 at GP. “With Forte we were just looking for a nice, easy first work back," Pletcher said.
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           April 21 - 1:02.00 Breezing 29/33 CD dirt fast 
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           TODD PLETCHER COMMENTS
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           IRAD ORTIZ, JR COMMENTS
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            This looks to have been Forte's major breeze for the Derby. Trainer Pletcher said of Forte and Tapit Trice after their workouts today, "We'll probably do a little less next week, we'll play it by ear and see how the week is." Forte had Irad Ortiz, Jr. on board and ran fractions of 26.20 and 38.60, then out six furlongs in 1:14.40 and seven in 1:27.00. Forte started about a half-length behind Bright Future.
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           Ortiz said, “It was a normal work from him, which is exactly what you want to see. I let him start going at the five-furlong pole and just get into stride. Going into the turn he stayed with the other horse. When I tipped him out in the stretch he responded well and galloped out nicely. His mind has changed a lot this year from last year. I’m happy with that. He’s growing physically but has a great mind.”
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           Trainer Pletcher said, "Forte is a very straightforward horse to train. He’s pushbutton. When Irad asked him to sit just off of his workmate this morning he did just that. When you press ‘go’, he quickly accelerated to put a head in front of his workmate.”
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           April 29 - 49:80 Breezing 96/149 CD dirt fast   
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           IRAD ORTIZ JR VIDEO
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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           Trainer Pletcher said of his Derby hopefuls, “I’m very pleased. They all did what they were supposed to do.”
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           PRACTICAL MOVE - SCRATCHED
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            PRIL 21 NOTE:
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           Practical Move looks none the worse for the wear on April 21 in this, his first workout since the Santa Anita Derby, which was run a week after the Florida Derby. As talented and fast as workmate Kangaroo Court is touted to be, he was soundly put away by Practical Move, whether by design or not, when they hit the clubhouse turn. The camera operator annoyingly cut off the video before Practical Move stopped running down the backstretch. I have to keep reminding myself Practical Move has been in trainer Yakteen's care all along -- this isn't a horse inherited from the Baffert barn.
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            APRIL 28 NOTE:
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           This is a fast solo move by a horse that still looks eager to run. He ran right by what might be an unintended workmate and distanced it on the gallop-out. Nothing to dislike about this workout. I like it, and Practical Move looks very fit.
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           April 21 - 47.00 Handily 2/31 SA dirt fast  
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           The work was in company with Kangaroo Court, and trainer Yakteen's watch matched the identical official time for both with what he termed a strong gallop-out in “59 seconds and change." Kangaroo Court will be entered in the Pat Day Mile. Kangaroo Court was purchased for $7,500 at the 2021 Arizona Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association Fall Mixed Sale by owner George Sharp. He has banked $197,200 in four starts.
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            April 28 - 59:60 Handily 2/32 SA dirt fast 
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Practical Move went really nice as well. We’re very happy with what we saw. Knock on wood, but we should be all set.”
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE and JACE'S ROAD
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            APRIL 15/21 NOTES:
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           Unfortunately, Angel of Empire's and Tapit's Conquest April 15 breeze took place at 5:30 in the morning with nary a cameraman in sight, and for whatever reason although a professional camera bank was in place on April 21, all we get to see from Angel of Empire and Jace's Road is what, thankfully, someone connected with either West Point or the Albaugh family was able to capture during the latter part of the move.
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           The April 15 move was finished off in 23.80, pretty impressive, and the first furlong of the gallop-out, which is all we have here, went in 12.60. Very nice. Angel of Empire wore blinkers for this breeze, which is not a first for him.
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           The April 21 workout extended into the mid-point of the first turn (7/8 marker), and we can see a portion of the seven-furlong gallop-out toward the 3/4 mile marker. Note that the time for the six-furlong breeze, 1:13.40, and the splits indicate the last 3/8 mile was traversed in 37.80, which doesn't knock my socks off, and the first furlong of the gallop-out (we can't see the rest) was run in 13 flat. Internal splits of the first three furlongs were 12.20, 11.60 and 11.80, so these two were rolling along the first half of the move. I would rather see more balanced fractions than this, like the splits from the April 15 move, but I don't know what trainer Cox had in mind. Note that Angel of Empire was without blinkers for this breeze.
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           APRIL 29 NOTE:
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            Wearing blinkers for the work as he sometimes does, Angel of Empire breezed outside Jace's Road, who had Florent Geroux up. After breaking off about a length behind Jace's Road, Angel of Empire was on even terms before the stretch and stuck his head in front at the finish line. Brandon Stauble had them galloping out six furlongs in 1:14.20. After that, the gallop-out was not competitive as Angel of Empire impressively distanced Jace's Road. He was close to the track kitchen when easily pulled up.
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            The clockers at Churchill Downs do a fantastic job, in my opinion, but it was a hectic morning and in this case Jace's Road was inadvertantly given the faster time of the two horses (1:01.20 vs 1:01.40). Based on their relative positions at the beginning and end of the breeze, Angel of Empire had to have breezed a bit faster because he started off a length behind Jace's Road and finished on even terms. . Fractions as I see them were (Angel of Empire) 25.00, 37.60, 49.00 and out six furlongs in 1:14.20; (Jace's Road) 12.80, 25.40, 37.80, 49.20 and out six in 1:14.20.
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           April 15 - 48:20 Breezing 20/99 CD dirt fast
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            The work was at 5:30 ET. Angel of Empire breezed in company outside of Tapit's Conquest (also 48.20) under exercise rider Edvin Vargas. Angel of Empire wore blinkers, according to Churchill Downs. Angel of Empire did not wear blinkers in the Arkansas Derby, but according to Churchill Angel of Empire has previously used blinkers in workouts. Initial fractions were 12.40 and 24.40, and Angel of Empire was out five furlongs in 1:00.80 according to clocker John Nichols. “It was a solid morning with three weeks out from the Derby,” trainer Cox said.
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            April 21 - 1:13.40  Breezing 1/2 CD dirt fast
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           BRAD COX COMMENTS
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           Trainer Cox said they were looking to do more with Angel of Empire and Jace's Road working in company (six furlongs) than the set of Hit Show and Verifying (five furlongs) on the same date. Trainer Cox added, “Angel of Empire is the type of horse we’ve been confident all along that can handle the mile-and-a-quarter distance in the Derby. He excelled going the longer distance in the Arkansas Derby and moves like the type of horse that will like a route of ground." Angel of Empire and Jace's Road broke off at the 5/8 mile pole and worked past the wire to mid-turn, six furlongs on Cox's watch in 1:13.20, and out seven in 1:26.40. Cox said the works are designed mainly to maintain fitness. According to track clocker John Nichols, their initial fractions were 12.20, 23.80, 35.60 and 1:00.40, and they galloped out seven furlongs in 1:26.40.
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            Angel of Empire April 29 1.01:40 Breezing 23/54 CD dirt fast (official clocking) 
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           Jace's Road April 29 - 1.01:20 Breezing 21/54 CD dirt fast (official clocking)
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           Trainer Cox said, “They were both pretty straightforward moves. We’re one week out from the race and they are important works, but we didn’t want to ask them to do too much. They did it on their own and did what we needed to see going into the Derby. Chris Landeros, who was board Angel of Empire, said, "He seems to have a lot of gears. He’s a really nice colt and worked easily.”
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           TAPIT TRICE
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           APRIL 21 NOTE:
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           I don't see any worries in this move. Tapit Trice's gallop-out went practically to the track kitchen, and to me the Churchill Downs track kitchen is the gold standard for gauging a horse's fitness and energy level in the days before the Derby. With a bit of caution I'll say this was not a pull-your-arms-off gallop-out, but it was impressive nevertheless. I saw Tapit Trice break out into a gallop during the Blue Grass post parade, and he looked like he was floating over the ground. Just after the gate opened, not so much, but once he gets in the clear he runs athletically.
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            APRIL 29 NOTE:
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           This was a good maintenance work for Tapit Trice. He out-galloped his workmate a bit past the finish line under exercise rider Amelia Green. Tapit Trice appears to like the surface at Churchill Downs as much as he did at Keeneland, where he gave the impressson of floating over the dirt. I heard a comment, I think from Rosie Napravnik, that Tapit Trice covers about 30 feet per stride when in full gallop, and that's a useful ability when covering a route of ground. Fractions per Churchill Downs clockers were 12.20, 24.00, 36.40 and out five furlongs in 1:00.60. Just like clockwork.
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            April 21 - 48.60 Breezing 11/68 CD dirt fast
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           TODD PLETCHER COMMENTS
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           This looks to have been Tapit Trice's major breeze for the Derby. Trainer Pletcher said of Forte and Tapit Trice after their workouts today, "We'll probably do a little less next week, we'll play it by ear and see how the week is." With exercise rider Amelia Green up, he registered an initial split of 12.80, out five furlongs in 1:01 and six in 1:13.80.
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           April 29 - 48:20 Breezing 20/149 CD dirt fast   \   See FORTE section for Todd Pletcher interview
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           Trainer Pletcher said of his Derby hopefuls, “I’m very pleased. They all did what they were supposed to do.”
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           TWO PHIL'S
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            April 27 COMMENT (updated April 28 with video):
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           Two Phil's appears to be thriving at Hawthorne where he polished off his second bullet work in a row. You'd have to think he is definitely the best horse stabled at Hawthorne, and he's showing it. Trainer Rivelli said he galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.00 after working in company with what he termed "a fast horse." Two Phi's has not run forwardly early in his races, and he isn't being trained to do that now.There is an 11-day gap between his last two breezes, something that is not encouraging to me, but Rivelli says its because he's been racing frequently and is fit. However, his most recent race was the Jeff Ruby Steaks on March 25, and he's had three starts this year. Mixed signals here. All that said, there is nothing at all wrong with this workout; he shows good energy.
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            April 16 COMMENT:
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            We can find no video or fractional times for his workouts at Hawthorne. On paper, Two Phil's looks like he's having no problem getting over the dirt at the Chicago track. He's one of the tougher horses to handicap, for me at least. He really stepped it up on synthetic track during the Jeff Ruby Steaks, but can he repeat that performance on fast dirt at Churchill Downs?
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            We found comments from trainer Rivelli at BloodHorse after Two Phil's most recent workout. "Really good. Probably couldn't have been happier," he said. "He worked in company with another horse of mine that's pretty fast for five-eighths. I wanted him to have something to chase. It was really good and pretty effortless. I'm probably going to work him one more time, a little bit more of a maintenance work than this one. It's as good as can be because nothing went any different than I was hoping it would go. So that's half the battle. He is at the peak of his game right now."
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           April 9 - 49:60 Breezing 3/10 HAW dirt fast
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           April 16 - 1.00:00 Breezing 1/10 HAW dirt fast
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            April 27 - 59:00 Breezing 1/16 HAW dirt fast 
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           Regular rider Jareth Loveberry handled the move after flying in from Keeneland, then he flew back for the end of the meet. Trainer Rivelli will ship Two Phil’s to Churchill Downs on Sunday, April 30 and plans to have him on the track at 7:30 a.m. the next day.
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           “He chased a pretty fast horse (stablemate Smokin Richie), and effortlessly ran by him,” Rivelli said. “He galloped out three-quarters in 1:12. He couldn’t blow out a match after. The last two works were almost identically the same, but I changed it up a bit by putting him back in company. I haven’t wanted to work him every seven days because he’s been racing frequently and he’s fit. I just want to have him focused in on what he likes to do which is sit behind a horse and idle off until you ask him, and then make his move when it’s time. And he’s done that in both works. The track was in great shape today. It’s all systems go and I couldn’t be happier with how he’s going into the race.”
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           LORD MILES - SCRATCHED
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           April 21 NOTE:
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            Lord Miles put in a fast workout on April 21, his first move since the Wood Memorial on April 8, but we are unable to see much of the gallop-out. I am getting from trainer Joseph's comments that Lord Miles' inconsistency while racing derives mainly from a lack of concentration -- he's on the bridle, then he's off the bridle, etc. He apparently put it all together in the Wood Memorial. Let's see one more work.
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            April 28 NOTE:
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           We have no information from Gulfstream Park about the fractions. This is unusual because track publicity does a great job there. As for the video, my impression is this was a slow work where without a big gallop-out following it. The only purpose was maintenance.
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            April 21 - 47.05 Breezing 2/33 GP dirt fast 
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           click a second time if not successful
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           Exercise rider Andrew Thomas was aboard. Fractions for the work weren't made available by Gulfstream Park. Trainer Joseph said, “It was a good easy work but probably a tad faster than ideal, but he did it well within himself and he was moving well – that’s the important thing. He came out of the Wood well. He shipped back (from New York to Florida) and he’s held his weight. His weight and his energy seem to be in good order. He’ll come back, all being well, and work next Friday. He’ll go five furlongs and we’ll ship Saturday or Sunday to Churchill Downs. He won the Wood, but his race in the Wood isn’t going to be good enough to win the Derby. He’s going to have to improve again."
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            April 28 - 1.02:41 Breezing 12/13 GP dirt fast 
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            Exercise rider Andrew Thomas was aboard for the workout. Trainer Joseph texted the Churchill Downs notes team, “He worked well. All being well, we will leave tomorrow." He told Gulfstream Park publicity, "We just wanted a steady five-eighths. We got what we wanted. He went well. He’ll need to improve a lot to have a chance. Hopefully, he has a good week and runs the race of his life." 
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE
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            COMMENT:
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           The final eighth-mile on April 19 was timed in 12.40 after an opening eighth of 13.00, so a nice, balanced breeze. Video is not available. The exercise rider's comment indicates to me that the next work will be Derma Sotogatke's serious one.
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            APRIL 26 NOTE:
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           His rider was really rousing him in the stretch, and he responded well, totally putting away Continuar. This was much the better of the two breezes. There is a lot of interest in this horse leading into the Derby, and this workout didn't do a whole lot to help those of us who aren't sure what to make of his morning antics such as throwing his head around a lot.
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           Last year another Japanese-based horse, Crown Pride, trained really well going into the Derby, and I liked him a bit and included him in selections -- and then he ran suicidal early fractions and retreated badly. I couldn't believe what I saw; he hadn't trained that way at Churchill Downs, he hadn't run off, and he hadn't raced that way that I knew about. Later, a fellow told me ownership just wanted to see the horse in first for awhile so they could brag to their friends and/or associates he led the Kentucky Derby field up the backstretch. That anyone would think that way had never dawned on me, and I don't know if it's true or not, but wow.
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            APRIL 29 COMMENT:
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           He was put in the starting gate at the top of the stretch and asked to break, which he did. After about one furlong the rider strangled him back, which caused Derma Sotogake to throw his head around violently. An official workout was not recorded. The only reason for this exercise that makes sense to me is two-fold: (a) get practice from the gate, and (b) condition the horse so that when he actually races, the lack of restraint will make him happy and joyful to run. This negative reinforcement, psychological ploy or whatever term you prefer may work in Japan, I don't know.
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           MAY 2 NOTE:
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            Initial fractions for his breeze were 13.40 and 37.00, then out 1:04.20 for five furlongs per the track clockers. His gallop-out looked faster than that to me. He was restrained by his rider early in the work and responded by throwing his head multiple times. When let go, he finished the move in racehorse time. Beyond the finish line, visually the colt galloped out in good form most of the way up the backstretch. Will he be restrained in the early stages of the Kentucky Derby from post 17?
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           April 19 - 49:60 Breezing 16/20 CD dirt fast
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           Initial fractions were 13 and 37.20, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols. He warmed up for about 25 minutes in the mile chute. “I am really happy with how he moved today,” exercise rider Masatoshi Segawa said. “He felt great. We didn’t want to go too fast today so I had to keep a strong hold on him throughout and even then he performed brilliantly. Now I can start to get really excited about Derby Day.”
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            April 26 - 1:01.40 Breezing 10/40 CD dirt fast 
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           The work was in company with Continuar and ended in the middle of the first turn. Both broke off from the four-furlong marker. His splits were 13.20, 25.80, 37.20, 48.60, 1:01.40. Internal fractions were 13.20, 12.60, 11.40, 11.40 and 12.80. Kate Hunter, the Japan Racing Association representative for the Kentucky Derby, said that both riders were happy with the works, with Derma Sotogake's rider pleased with the response in the stretch. Breaking off at the half-mile pole, Continuar was three lengths in front. By the head of the stretch, Derma Sotogake had drawn even and was clear at the wire.
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           May 2 - Derma Sotogake (JPN) 49:60 Breezing 13/20 CD dirt fast 
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           After the workout, assistant trainer Masanari Tanaka said, “I think from the outside he will be able to take a decent position keeping an eye on the whole field in the early stages. He broke quickly from the gate (at Churchill Downs) the other day, so I think it won’t be a problem.”
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           KINGSBARNS and MAJOR DUDE
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           APRIL 14/20 NOTES: 
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           Unfortunately Churchill Downs did not capture video of the April 20 breeze. The final quarter-mile of the breeze went in 24.60, and the first eighth-mile of the gallop-out, the only one the clockers got, was timed in 12.60.
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           On April 14 at Palm Beach Downs both Kingsbarns and Major Dude both showed good energy, with Major Dude holding his own during the work proper and most of the gallop-out. However, Kingsbarns was considerably wider. Kingsbarns was pushed along as they hit the wire, and he responded well using his powerful hind quarters. T Major Dude seemed more willing to be pulled up in the backstretch than Kingsbarns. I've been hearing Kingsbarns getting some Derby buzz.
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           Major Dude is being pointed to the American Turf on Derby day, assuming he doesn't draw into the Derby.
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           APRIL 29 NOTE:
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            Kingsbarns broke off about a length behind Major Dude and was a neck behind at the finish line. Both horses gallop out with energy and finished up about three-quarters of the way up the backstretch. A solid maintenance work for both. Fractions for both the horses per Churchill Downs clockers were 12.80, 24.40, 48.40, out five furlongs in 1:00.80. Nice and steady.
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           April 7 - 49:74 Breezing 5/17 PBD dirt fast
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            April 14 - 49.48 Breezing 10/25 PBD dirt fast 
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           In company with Major Dude.
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            April 20 - 1:00.80  Breezing 11/20 CD dirt fast 
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           TODD PLETCHER COMMENTS
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           In company with Major Dude. According to track clockers, they ran though splits of 12.60, 24.40 and 36.20 and galloped out together through six furlongs in 1:13.40. Irad Ortiz Jr. was aboard Major Dude. Exercise rider Humberto Zamora was in the saddle on Kingsbarns.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “We were looking for a little more from Major Dude and Kingsbarns (than with Forte on this same date). I thought they both went really well, good enthusiasm and energy in their gallop-outs. Both of them went pretty well. I thought it was a good, steady work with a strong gallop out. Kingsbarns accomplished a lot in a short period of time. I thought his debut was very professional. It’s hard to win going one-mile first time out, and he did it getting an education being behind horses. For his first start I thought that was impressive. We went the Tampa Bay Downs route to get a two-turn allowance race into him. I thought that worked out well. He made a big step forward then in the Louisiana Derby.”
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           Spendthrift Farm President Eric Gustavson said, “I think people gave Kingsbarns a discount because of the time of the Louisiana Derby. I don’t think you should be penalized by going to the front and putting everyone else to sleep like he did. We’re pretty confident coming into the Derby.
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           April 29 - 48:40 Breezing 33/149 CD dirt fast
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           Trainer Pletcher said of his Derby hopefuls, “I’m very pleased. They all did what they were supposed to do.”
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           RAISE CAIN
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            April 27 NOTE:
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           A workout today at Keeneland went well with Raise Cain being supplied an unraced workmate to charge at from five lengths back. He caught her at the wire in 49.00 (13/51) while she was timed in 50:00 (33/51). Raise Cain gallops smoothly. Raise Cain will be shipped to Louisville May 1. Trainer Colebrook hopes the track is wet for the Kentucky Derby, and he hopes for a hot pace. This horse clearly will not be part of the early pace with connections hope he will pick off horses in the far turn and lane.
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            APRIL 20 NOTE:
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           On April 20 before his solo move, Keeneland gives us an extended look at Raise Cain, who looks smooth and light on his feet in a gallop before the workout. He started the breeze out slowly under a stout hold (13.60 + 13.20 = 26.80) in the backstretch, then ran 11.80 up to the far turn, 12.80 around the far turn and 12.00 in the stretch. A little slow around the turn, but the rider grabbed him a bit at that point, and he motored in the lane.  We don't have a gallop-out time. He wasn't asked for much in the gallop-out, but he appeared to want to keep running as he was pulled up. Trainer Colebrook perhaps has a longshot sleeper candidate to pick up a piece.
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            April 20 - 1.03:40 Breezing 11/11 KEE dirt fast 
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           Raise Cain will try to run late in the Derby. His fractions were 13.60, 26.80, 38.60, 51.40, and he galloped out six furlongs in 1:15.80. Trainer Colebrook said, “Nice and easy … finished well and galloped out well. Just what you’re looking for. He started out slow and then finished well.”
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            April 27 - 49:00 Breezing 13/51 KEE dirt fast 
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            Keeneland's press office did not relay video of the workout, but we found it. The breeze was in company with the unraced 3-year-old filly Merrily Rush. Keeneland clockers did not relay internal fractions to the press office, but they had him galloping out five furlongs in 1:02.80.
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           Trainer Colebrook said, “I just wanted him to have something to run at, a horse five lengths in front of him, because that’s something he’ll be doing in the Derby. It went great. Just what we were looking for. Neither work (referring to April 20 breeze) was real strenuous for him. He’s run enough races that these works are just maintenance, keep the fitness that we have. He’s such a level-headed horse that I felt it was better to keep him here (at Keeneland). We can graze him a couple of hours a day, and he can be in his own stall. If he was nervous or he needed to get acclimated more to Churchill – he’ll have plenty of time over there. We’ll go over there Monday, last minute. He’ll have time to school in the paddock, stand in the gate. We just wanted to keep him home; he does great here. He ran a decent race (in the Toyota Blue Grass), but I think it’s a race he can improve on in the Derby. Pace and a wet track wouldn’t bother me a bit.”
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           Jockey Gerardo Corrales was aboard for the workout. Colebrook said Corrales “in the mix” to ride the colt in the Derby. It's Colebrooks' first Kentucky Derby horse.
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           ROCKET CAN
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            APRIL 13 AND 23 NOTES:
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            On April 13 Rocket Can worked fast and galloped out the first eighth mile beyond the wire in 12.60 and the second eighth in 13.40.
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            He had blinkers added for his next work 10 days later, when his speed was more measured, and trainer Mott said he'll have them on for the Derby so that when he runs up next to another horse hopefully he will go on instead of choosing to merely run along beside him.
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           In the April 23 breeze, Rocket Can was asked to start the work well behind his mate. The video shows Rocket Can began the move under a tight hold but was soon only a length behind the workmate. He finished about 3/4 length ahead of that one and was soon well ahead in the gallop-out. He ran on up the backstretch pretty much to the track kitchen, which is just inside the far turn, but he was being eased down gently leading to that point.He got the final quarter-mile of the breeze in 24.40 and galloped out past the wire the first eighth in 13.20. We don't have a time beyond that.
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           APRIL 30 NOTE:
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            Rocket Can breezed solo in a solid 59.80 sporting blinkers. Fractions were 12.80, 24.40, 36.00 and out six furlongs in 1:13.00. He ran well up the backstretch and was easily pulled up before the far turn. Trainer Mott said he'd worn blinkers in a works before, but not often, and the team thought they didn't really make much difference; however, he said, he feels Rocket Can picked it up a notch today. It was a good workout with nothing to cause you to turn away if you like Rocket Can.
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           April 13 - 46:60 Breezing 1/34 CD dirt fast
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           Rocket Can galloped out five furlongs in :59.20 and six in 1:12.60.
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            April 23 - 1:01.00 Breezing 11/41 CD dirt fast 
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           BILL MOTT COMMENTS
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           Rocket Can broke off six lengths behind stablemate Game Warden. Rocket Can completed early fractions of 12.20 and 36.60 with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona in the saddle. He finished even with his stablemate at the wire and galloped out several lengths in front through six furlongs in 1:14.20.
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           Rocket Can had blinkers added for the move and will for the Derby. Trainer Mott said, “It was a nice steady work. He worked fast last week and I was just looking for a good, steady work this week. He galloped out well and stayed within himself. It maybe was a little bit of a wide trip in the Arkansas Derby. The one thing that race told me is he still has more to give in the tank. I don’t think he’s quite learned to give it his all. That’s what you get this time of year with 3-year-olds but they can improve quickly. He’s got a lot of route pedigree on his bottom side being by Tapit. We added blinkers in today’s work and will for the race. Hopefully, that will help him go past horses when he runs up beside them.”
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           April 30 - 59.80 Breezing 4/35 CD dirt fast 
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           Trainer Mott said, “He’ll have an easy day tomorrow, then we’ll get him back on a medium exercise program until Derby Day. We just hope that he stays healthy, and in one piece, until Saturday. The one thing we all have to prove is if we can get 10 furlongs. That’s always the question in the Derby, there’s not that many prep races at that mile-and-a-quarter distance (tongue in cheek). When they turn for home in the Derby, that really sorts them out. We hope this horse has the stamina to get the 10 furlongs. We think he has it, he has a pedigree that indicates he should get the distance. You never know if they can do it, until they do it.
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           HIT SHOW and VERIFYING
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            APRIL 21 NOTE:
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           They worked in tandem on April 21 and finished the move in either 12.00 or 12.40 depending on whose watch (Cox v. clockers) is being used. Out an extra eighth in 12.80. Jockey Gaffalione starting niggling Verifying in the last 100 yards or so, and he responded. The gallop-out showed Verifying the better of the two and they proceeded up the backstretch. Trainer Cox's comments indicate he will ask them for more in their final Derby workouts.
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           APRIL 29 NOTE HIT SHOW:
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            Unlike the April 21 workous, Hit Show and Verifying breezed separately. They were the first two Derby workers of the morning, coming out at about 5:15. The track was rated fast and maybe playing a little more quickly than it was after the 7:00 renovation break. It was very wet the previous day.
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            Hit Show was timed in 59.60 by track clocker John Nichols, outside of Tapit's Conquest (1.00). Hit Show started about two lengths back and finished pretty much on even terms about a head in front. Hit Show moved nicely; I noticed his gallop-out was not really strong, and the stable intimated after last week's workotu today's move might be more. A media observer said Hit Show was more relaxed today than in his last workout, but perhaps that was by design. Fractions per Churchill Downs clockers were 23.60, 35.80 and 47.40 (12.20 for third furlong, 11.60 fourth furlong, 12.20 fifth furlong), out six furlongs in 1:14.30.
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            APRIL 29 NOTE VERIFYING:
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           Hit Show and Verifying breezed first out of the gate this morning just before 5:30, just not with each other as was expected. The track was rated fast and maybe playing a little more quickly than it was after the 7:00 renovation break.
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           Verifying, under Tyler Gaffalione, went a few minutes after Hit Show outside of maiden Everso Mischievous, and both were caught in 59.40. Verifying worked with blinkers per race day mode. Brandon Stauble, who was on the works show, had him out six furlongs in 1:12.00. Verifying's gallop-out was similar to that of Hit Show (moderate). Referring back to the maiden Everso Mischievous, you might want to keep an eye on her. He finished second by a head in his debut on Feb. 11 at Aqueduct, earning a 98 Equibase figure, and pretty much held her own with Verifying. Fractions for Verifying per Churchill Downs clockers were 23.20, 35.40, 47.20, out six in 1:12.80. His internal splits were nearly identical to those of Hit Show.
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            April 21 - 1:01.00  Breezing 18/33 CD dirt fast 
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           BRAD COX COMMENTS
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            Verifying and Hit Show breezed in company with Hit Show to the inside of Verifying. Hit Show had an exercise rider up while Tyler Gaffalione was on board Verifying. They got identical times for five furlongs. Trainer Cox said he had them in 1:00.60 (official time was 1:01.00) and out six in 1:13.80. Clocker John Nichols reported initial splits of 12.60, 24.40 and 48.60.
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           "We weren't looking to do as much with that set as Angel of Empire and Jace's Road (six furlongs)," he said. Cox said the works are designed mainly to maintain fitness. Cox added, “Hit Show just missed in the Wood Memorial. It was a pretty tough beat that day, but he showed us that as the distances get longer he can handle the route of ground as well. Verifying, like Hit Show, was a tough beat about an hour before in the Blue Grass. Going back in his career, I don’t’ think he was quite ready when we ran him in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He started to mature over the winter and I’m still a little confused on his effort in the Rebel. He was in contention, then dropped back and then rallied in the stretch. He put things together in the Blue Grass and has a lot of tactical speed that should play to his advantage in the Derby.”
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           HIT SHOW April 29 - 59.60 Breezing 4/54 CD dirt fast 
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            VERIFYING April 29 - 59.40 Breezing 2/54 CD dirt fast
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           Trainer Cox said,  “They were both pretty straightforward moves. We’re one week out from the race and they are important works but we didn’t want to ask them to do too much. They did it on their own and did what we needed to see going into the Derby.”
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           CONFIDENCE GAME
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           APRIL 21 COMMENTS:
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            It was Friday, April 21, seven days after Confidence Game's most recent breeze with with rain forecast the next day in Louisville. He didn't work that day, and Churchill Downs publicity reported his next work "is still to be determined." The colt was actively training, according to the report. Saturday came and went with hardly anything putting in workouts on a muddy track. But then Sunday, which was beautiful, came and went too, with Confidence Game again absent from the worktab nine days after his last breeze.
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            APRIL 29 NOTE:
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           Confidence Game made quick work of his breeze going solo under James Graham. He was really reaching out in the stretch, timed in 59 flat for five furlongs. He ran through the finish line strongly and galloped out hard. Brandon Stauble got him out six furlongs in 1:11 and change, much faster than the watch on the track clockers. Confidence Game galloped nearly to the top of the backstretch. Fractions per Churchill Downs clockers were 23.00, a blazing 34.40, and out six in 1:13.40, much slower than Stauble got him. The work was inspiring, but does it mean he's ready for 8.5 furlongs, 9 furlongs or 10 furlongs? He's never raced beyond 8.5.
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           April 8 - 1.00:40 Breezing 5/28 CD dirt fast
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           April 14 - 1.38:20 Breezing gate 1/1 CD dirt fast
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           Splits: 24.60, 36.00, 47.80, 1:00.20, 1:13.00 and 1:25.60; out 1 1/4 mile in 2:05.80. Per Churchill Downs he worked in company with two horses in tandem. James Graham was on board for the work.
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            April 29 - 59:00 Breezing 1/54 CD dirt fast 
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           “That beautiful breeze you saw was his last real preparation,” Desormeaux said. “And it was awesome. I heard he galloped out one mile and one-sixteenth in 1:43. He walked back to the barn with steady controlled breathing and he was relaxed cooling out. We just need to keep him happy and limber, school him in the paddock this week, enjoy the process and we’re ready.”
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           SUN THUNDER
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           As of Sunday, April 23, Sun Thunder hadn't breezed since he finished fourth in the Blue Grass on April 8. There's no word from his stable, which I generally view as a negative in this context.
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            APRIL 26 NOTE:
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           This was a straightforward workout but with blinkers added for the move and for the Derby. A couple of days ago Sun Thunder was reportedly galloping strongly around the track with blinkers. He had his ears pricked and was moving well as he galloped up the backstretch after the timed move. A good-looking workout.
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           MAY 2 NOTE:
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            The first half-mile was timed in 24.00, so he finished in 23.80. Nicely done with blinkers on again. He was out five furlongs in 1:01.40. Visually there was nothing untoward about the breeze, everything went well. He continues to work and gallop with his ears pricked a lot, a good sign for him.
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            April 26 - 48.60 Breezing 10/40 CD dirt fast 
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           Jockey Hernandez said, “He pretty much just clipped 12s the whole way around. They added blinkers to him this morning, and that seems to make him want to go forward, and kind of get into things a little earlier than he did before the blinkers. He finished in 48 and 3 with a good gallop out. Everybody kind of bunched up (in the Louisiana Derby), and it wasn’t the right kind of setup for him. Here in the Derby, we’re hoping to get a little pace in front of us, and hopefully by the time we get to the second turn, things will start to spread out, and we can make our run. He’s still a lightly raced horse, and he’s going to get better and better with each race. That’s the nice thing about riding for Kenny: These guys do such a good job here at the barns, and give us live horses. I’m fortunate that Kenny trusts me, so I can go out and just ride my race.”
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           May 2 - Sun Thunder 47:80 Breezing 3/20 CD dirt fast 
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           He breezed four furlongs with blinkers on under Brian Hernandez Jr., who will ride him in the Derby. Trainer McPeek said, “It was just a maintenance half for him. Brian was happy with him. He was going evenly, that’s what we wanted.”
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           MAGE
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            APRIL 16/22 NOTES:
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           Mage is still a bit green, but he has talent and stamina. As poorly as he gets away from the starting gate maybe a gate work would benefit him, but his trainer knows a lot more about him that we do here at TDP. Reports from Gulfstream Park don't include internal fractions for either of the works that came after Mage finished second in the April 1 Florida Derby.
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           Review of the April 16 video shows Mage working solo, which I like. The move itself isn't flashy, but the gallop-out was an extended, workmanlike exhibition indicating he came out of the Florida Derby 15 days earlier in good shape. This was on a track with a 1 1/8-mile circumference. Churchill's oval is one mile.
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           Review of the April 22 video shows him solo again. He's a horse that isn't the prettiest mover, and the workout was slow, but again his gallop-out up the backstretch looks like it's going on and on and on when the camera operator annoyingly cuts off the video. At that point he'd already run a mile from the start of the breeze. According to DRF's Mike Welsch, Mage's gallop-out for the mile was timed on his watch in 1:40.98 and another furlong in 1:54.40 while remaining well off the rail.
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            APRIL 29 NOTE:
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           Mage breezed solo in a very slow six-furlong time that mimics his lack of early speed during races while well out on the track. As I type this, I'm interested in seeing what the internal fractions were because he really started picking up his feet as he got into the move, and he galloped out well into the backstretch. Another good work here at Churchill Downs today. Okay, fractions per Churchill Downs clockers were 27.40, 40.00 (internal time 12.60), 52.20 (internal time 12.20), 1:16.80 (internal time for two furlongs 24.60). He was out seven furlongs in a leisurely 1:30.20. Viewed another way, with the work timed in 1:16.80, and if we subtract 27.40 (the first two furlongs), the final four furlongs went in 49.40.
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            April 16 - 1.01:09 Breezing 5/20 GP dirt fast 
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           Gustavo Delgado Jr., assistant trainer to his father: “What we usually do after a big race like we had, we try to go nice and easy. That seems to be what he did today. If the weather stays like this here, he may have another work here. It will all depend on how he behaves. We already know what we have.”
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            April 22 - 1.14.78 Breezing 1/1 GP dirt fast 
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           ssistant trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr. said, “He worked good. We liked what we saw. Everything is going to plan, Thank God. We just want him to get to know the track (in Louisville). We don’t expect to do very much there, fitness-wise. He should be ready after this work. Every day is crucial. We’ll take it day by day, but we like the position we’re in right now." Mage doesn't yet have a jockey assignment for the Derby. I get the feeling some of the prospects might already have a horse but are waiting to see if it defects from or doesn't get in the Derby. Luis Saez, who will ride Tapit Trice in the Kentucky Derby, was on Mage in the Florida Derby.
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            April 29 - 1.16:80 Breezing 1/1 CD dirt fast 
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           Assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado, Jr. said, “This workout was much like his previous workouts, but it was slower and he covered more ground. That was the plan. And it was mission accomplished, as you might say. We already know that he’s a fast horse, but now we’re training him for stamina. That’s pretty much the plan. The way he was traveling, he gave us a good feeling that he likes the track. (The exercise rider) said he liked everything about it, the track, the work, the way he came back, all are good signs. He’ll walk tomorrow, and Monday he’ll jog and we’ll bring him to the gate. We’ll probably bring him back to the gate either Thursday or Friday. Pretty much the heavy work is done. A talented horse that’s feeling good, it’s all you need for the race. We believe that he’s building the stamina needed for a mile-and-a-quarter.”
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           DISARM
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           I expected him to work again the weekend before the Kentucky Derby, but he breezed on April 24.
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            APRIL 24 NOTE:
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           The breeze on April 24 was good. It's not unusual for trainer Asmussen to work a horse nine days after a race, but this one was particularly important and probably used as a gauge of Disarm's readiness for the Kentucky Derby. How often does an Asmussen trainee work five furlongs in a minute flat? We are more used to seeing 1:01 or even 1:02. Disarm didn't show signs of being tired and in fact the colt literally ran all the way to the track kitchen, located just inside the start of the far turn, in his gallop-out. He moved up in my book with this move, which looked like his major workout for the Kentucky Derby. Internal fractions were 13.20, 12.20, 11.20, 11.80 around the turn, and 11.60 the final furlong to the wire.
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            MAY 1 NOTE:
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           The first quarter went in 25.00, so he finished in 24.20. Disarm again looked focused and well within himself today as he went about his business, getting in a final maintenance move for the Kentucky Derby. Nothing about the work is of concern.
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           April 3 - 50:60 Breezing 18/18 CD dirt fast
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           April 10 - 50:20 Breezing 8/11 CD dirt fast
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            April 24 - 1:00.00 Breezing 1/18 CD dirt fast 
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           Disarm ran initial fractions of 13.20, 25.40, 36.60 and 48.40. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:26.60 according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols and the morning works show.
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           Jockey Rosario said, “I thought he worked really well this morning coming out of the Lexington. He was well within himself the entire work. He looks a lot like his sire (Gun Runner). He’s built bigger than he (Disarm) is but looking at him they have a lot of the same traits.”
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “He’s a very durable horse and I think the best is yet to come from him. He’s a horse we missed a little time with over the winter and we’re behind schedule. The one opportunity for a points race was the Louisiana Derby. He ran solid but needed more points to get in it. He’s a horse we definitely didn’t want to miss this opportunity with. We were looking for a little sense of direction in his work this morning. I think he’s not given us everything to this point and there’s more in the tank. I like how he accelerated to the wire and got over the racetrack nicely.”
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           May 1- 49.20 Breezing 15/30 CD dirt fast 
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           REINCARNATE
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            APRIL 16 NOTE:
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            Reincarnate, who's always raced with blinkers, works with them too. His April 16 breeze was in company with American Admiral on the outside and the first one after his disappointing third in the April 1 Arkansas Derby. The gallop-out was mild.
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            April 22 NOTE:
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           Trainer Yakteen was a man of few words following Reincarnate's April 22 breeze.On April 22 he was inside his company, Westward Look, and outworked his outmatched mate by about six lengths, which might help Reincarnate's confidence. Like the April 16 breeze, the rider briefly scrubbed at his neck at the wire, but the gallop-out doesn't look energetic.
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           This was a three-way work where the third horse came running at the other two off the turn, but without the intended effect, as he was unable to keep up. The idea behind the work is not easy to discern, but it could signal Reincarnate will be the pacesetter or part of the early pace, something former trainer Baffert has used as a weapon in many a Kentucky Derby. Based on his past performances, Reincarnate is highly unlikely to drop way back early. Competitors better take notice.
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            April 16 - 1:00.00 Handily 12/99 SA dirt fast 
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            April 22 - 1.01:00 Handily 7/16 SA dirt fast 
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           Trainer Yakteen said the next day, “He worked great. Looked really good this morning."
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            April 28 - 46:40 Handily 1/31 SA dirt fast 
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Reincarnate went great. He had some outside company and looked really nice. Knock on wood, but we should be all set.
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           JACE'S ROAD made the Derby field the day these notes were posted. His workouts appear above with Angel of Empire.
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           SKINNER
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            - SCRATCHED
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           APRIL 27 COMMENT:
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            Skinner became eligible for the Kentucky Derby today when an injury knocked Wild on Ice out of the race. Skinner has shown talent coming from off the pace wide in big races, but his acceleration wasn't quite enough to carry him to the winner's circle.
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            APRIL 27 NOTE:
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           His April 23 solo, six-furlong workout was the second since he finished third in the Santa Anita Derby. The move looked good with plenty of energy. Skinner ran through the wire but was not asked for much in the gallop-out.
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            APRIL 29 NOTE:
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           The gallop-out was more vigorous in this move than it was on April 23, but we don't get to see how far he ran before the video ends. This looked like a good maintenance move, and Skinner should be ready for shipping to Kentucky. Juan Hernandez, who will ride Skinner for this first time in the Kentucky Derby, was aboard.
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           April 17 - 48:00 Handily 19/70 SA dirt fast
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           April 23 - 1:13.40 Handily 1/3 SA dirt fast 
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           Under Victor Espinoza, Skinner went solo and broke off at the six-furlong pole. Trainer Shirreffs said, “Victor worked him perfect. He went the first furlong in 13 seconds and change and gradually picked it up at every pole. I got him the last eighth of a mile in 11 seconds. Could have been 11 and a tick. He finished full of run. (As for the Derby) if we’re not in, why would we go? It’s a tough decision to make to go all the way there and then not get in. We’ll keep Skinner on his schedule. If we hear something early enough, we’d go. But if we don’t, I don’t know. I’ve been there before sitting on the outside and didn’t get to run.”
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           April 29 - 1.14:00 Handily 3/3 SA dirt fast   
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           Trainer Shirreffs said, “I was very happy with how he worked. We wanted another work like last week. We wanted to start off easy and finish strong with a good gallop-out. Keep him thinking about finishing. Juan (Hernandez) said he thought the horse was very professional and did everything right. He finished up his last eighth in 11 and 2."
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           CONTINUAR -SCRATCHED
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            APRIL 26 NOTE:
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           The April 26 move appeared lackluster, and the rider applied the whip in the stretch, but maybe that's how they do it in Japan. The final fractions look better than the work did visually, but he couldn't keep up with Derma Sotogake, his workmate. He's expected to breezed again Wednesday of Derby week.
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            April 26 - 50:00 Breezing 30/40 CD dirt fast 
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            The work was in company with Derma Sotogake and ended at the finish line. Both broke off from the four-furlong marker. His splits were 13.80, 26.40, 38.20, 50.00. Internal fractions were 13.80, 12.60, 11.80, 11.80.
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           Kate Hunter, the Japan Racing Association representative for the Kentucky Derby, said that both riders were happy with the works, with Derma Sotogake's rider pleased with the response in the stretch. Breaking off at the half-mile pole, Continuar was three lengths in front. By the head of the stretch, Derma Sotogake had drawn even and was clear at the wire.
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           CYCLONE MISCHIEF
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            APRIL 23 NOTE:
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           Cyclone Mischief ran initial fractions of 12.20, 24.20 and 36.20. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.00, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols.
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            APRIL 29 NOTE:
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           Cyclone Mischief worked solo with fractions of 12.00, 23.40, 36.00 and out six in 1:14.60. The work was uneventful and pretty much a clone of the April 23 workout. He needed one defection to make the Kentucky Derby. A slow out time as measured by the clockers, but he would be a pace factor in the Derby as a stablemate of Angel of Empire.
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           April 15 - 52.60 Breezing 99/99 CD dirt fast
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           April 23 - 1:01.00  Breezing 11/41 CD dirt fast 
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           Trainer Romans said, “I hope we can get him in the Derby. I thought he worked great this morning.”
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           April 29 - 1.00:80 Breezing 16/54 CD dirt fast VIDEO UNAVAILABLE
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           Trainer Romans said, “He looked really good, now all we can do is wait and see. He’s been training great. If he gets in, they’ll know he’s in there.”
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           MANDARIN HERO
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           April 26 - Mandarin Hero 1.04:60 Handily 9/10 SA dirt fast
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           May 2 - Mandarin Hero (JPN) (AE) 1.05:60 Breezing 15/15 CD dirt fast
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           Connections comments are not available. Initial fractions were 13.80 and 38.00.
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            I cannot locate videos for either of these super-slow workouts, but if I could would it help to watch them??
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           KING RUSSELL
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           April 16 - 1:03.20 Breezing 16/18 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 47.80 Breezing 10/149 CD dirt fast  VIDEOS UNAVAILABLE
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           King Rusell maiden-breaker
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      <pubDate>Sat, 22 Apr 2023 19:11:55 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Week Stakes Probables</title>
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           Kentucky Derby Week Stakes Probables
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           As of Noon April 25, 2023
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           The following are the early probable stakes race entrants for Kentucky Derby Week, according to assistant racing secretary and stakes coordinator Dan Bork:
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           The 99
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            running of the $500,000 Pat Day Mile (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds at one mile (entries close Monday, May 1): Bourbon Bash (D. Wayne Lukas); Dreaming of Kona (Aldana Spieth); Frosted Departure (Kenny McPeek); General Jim (Shug McGaughey); Gilmore (Brendan Walsh); Kangaroo Court (Tim Yakteen); and Tall Boy (Doug O’Neill).
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            The 32
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            running of the $500,000 American Turf (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds at 1 1/16 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Far Bridge (Todd Pletcher); Johannes (Tim Yakteen); Major Dude (Todd Pletcher); Mendelssohns March (Kenny McPeek); Mo Stash (Vicki Oliver); Scoobie Quando (Ben Colebrook); Talk of the Nation (Shug McGaughey); and Wadsworth (Brad Cox).
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           The 37
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            running of the $1 million Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at 1 1/8 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Santin (Brendan Walsh); Spooky Channel (Jason Barkley); Up to the Mark (Todd Pletcher); and Wolfie’s Dynaghost (Jonathan Thomas).
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           The 88
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            running of the $750,000 Churchill Downs presented by Ford (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Cody’s Wish (Bill Mott), Endorsed (Mike Maker); Get Her Number (Peter Miller); Here Mi Song (Billy Stinson); Hoist the Gold (Dallas Stewart); Sir Alfred James (Lynn Cash); and Steal Sunshine (George Papaprodromou).
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           The 37
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            running of the $750,000 Derby City Distaff presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery (GI) on Saturday, May 6 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Frank’s Rockette (Bill Mott); Hot and Sultry (Norm Casse); and Matareya (Brad Cox).
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           The 38
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            running of the $500,000 Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at one mile on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Haughty (Chad Brown); Sharp Hero (Bradley Ross); Spenderella (Graham Motion); Sweet Dani Girl (Carlo Vaccarezza); and Wakanaka (IRE) (Bill Mott).
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           The 29
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            running of the $500,000 TwinSpires Turf Sprint (GII) on Saturday, May 6 for 3-year-olds and up at 5 ½ furlongs on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Artemus Citylimits (Mike Maker); Bad Beat Brian (Brittany Vanden Berg); Big Invasion (Christophe Clement); Carotari (Brian Lynch); Evan Sing (Al Stall Jr.); Go Bears Go (Wesley Ward); and Oceanic (Jordan Blair).
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           The second running of the $175,000 Knicks Go Overnight Stakes on Saturday, May 6 for 4-year-olds and up at one mile (entries close Monday, May 1): Caddo River (D. Wayne Lukas); Gulfstream Way (Rachel Sells); Masqueparade (Al Stall Jr.); Noble Drama (David Fawkes); Petulante (Victor Barboza Jr.); Promise Keeper (Dallas Stewart); Surly Furious (Glenn Wismer); Three Technique (Jason Cook); and Zozos (Brad Cox).
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           The 38
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            running of the $750,000 La Troienne (GI) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at 1 1/16 miles (entries close Monday, May 1): A Mo Reay (Brad Cox); Classy Edition (Todd Pletcher); Kathleen O. (Shug McGaughey); Played Hard (Phil Bauer); and Secret Oath (Wayne Lukas).
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           The 20
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            running of the $600,000 Alysheba presented by Sentient Jet (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 4-year-olds and up at 1 1/16 miles (entries close Monday, May 1): Milliken (Ian Wilkes); Rich Strike (Eric Reed); Smile Happy (Kenny McPeek); and West Will Power (Brad Cox).
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           The 39
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            running of the $500,000 Edgewood presented by Forcht Bank (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 3-year-old fillies at 1 1/16 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Cairo Consort (Todd Pletcher); Girl Named Charlie (Tom Amoss); Heavenly Sunday (Brad Cox); Mission of Joy (Graham Motion); and Sabalenka (Whit Beckman).
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           The 68
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            running of the $500,000 Eight Belles (GII) on Friday, May 5 for 3-year-old fillies at seven furlongs (entries close Monday, May 1): Ami Please (Doug O’Neill); Grand Love (Rodolphe Brisset); Munnys Gold (Todd Pletcher); Olivia Twist (Todd Fincher); Positano Sunset (Ian Wilkes); Red Carpet Ready (Rusty Arnold); and Yvonne’s Miss (Bill Morey).
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           The 13
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            running of the $300,000 Unbridled Sidney presented by Sysco (Listed) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 3-years-old and up at 5 ½ furlongs on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Bay Storm (Jonathan Thomas); Caravel (Brad Cox); Mamba Wamba (IRE) (Brendan Walsh); and New Boss (Bret Calhoun).
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           The 66
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            running of the $300,000 Modesty (GIII) on Friday, May 5 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at 1 1/8 miles on turf (entries close Monday, May 1): Australia Mia (Michael McCarthy); New Year’s Eve (Chad Brown); and Transient (GB) (Chad Brown).
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           The second running of the $175,000 St. Matthews Overnight Stakes on Thursday, May 4 for 4-year-olds and up at six furlongs (entries close Sunday, April 30): Bagboss (Brendan Walsh); Bango (Greg Foley); Heart Rhythm (John Oritz); Miles Ahead (Paul McGee); and Pirate Rick (Lynn Cash).
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           The 18
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            running of the $300,000 Opening Verse (Listed) on Thursday, May 4 for 4-year-olds and up at one mile on turf (entries close Sunday, April 30): Camp Hope (Kenny McPeek); Churchtown (Roger Attfield); Gray’s Fable (Brian Lynch); and Stitched (Greg Foley).
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           The 29
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            running of the $200,000 Kentucky Juvenile on Thursday, May 4 for 2-year-olds at five furlongs (entries close Sunday, April 30): Nullify (Wayne Lukas).
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           The fifth running of the $175,000 Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnight Stakes on Wednesday, May 3 for 4-year-olds and up at 1 ½ miles (entries close Friday): Good Skate (Mike Maker); Lone Rock (Robertino Diodoro), Next (Doug Cowans); Scarlet Fusion (Joe Sharp); and Warrant (Brad Cox).
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           The fourth running of the $225,000 Mamzelle (Listed) on Wednesday, May 3 for 3-year-old fillies at 5 ½ furlongs on turf (entries close Friday): Margoinabubblebath (Donnie Habeeb); and Sassy Nature (Luis Mendez).
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           The 13
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            running of the $175,000 Roxelana Overnight Stakes on Saturday, April 29 for fillies and mares 4-years-old and up at six furlongs (entries close Wednesday): Coppelia (Phil Bauer); Last Leaf (Eddie Kenneally); My Destiney (Herman Wilensky); and Pretty Birdie (Norm Casse).
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      <pubDate>Sat, 22 Apr 2023 16:20:54 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-week-probables-2023</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>KENTUCKY DERBY HORSES PROFILES IN ORDER OF DERBY POINTS</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/connections-breeding-workouts-post-race-quotes-and-more</link>
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           KENTUCKY DERBY HORSES PROFILES IN ORDER OF DERBY POINTS
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           In Section 4 we break down the numbers and analyze the performances of the Kentucky Derby hopefuls in the longest Derby preps. In this section, Section 3, all in one place are the contenders' connections, Derby points, non-restricted stakes earnings, breeding, dosage, auction prices, arrival at Churchill Downs, stakes race results, workouts and post-race connections quotes. Workout videos are posted when available.
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            At The Downey Profile we like post-race quotes because they are uttered without much time to spin what happened out there.
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           Post-race quotes include a variety of Kentucky Derby points races, some going back to 2022, in addition to the very important recent preps.
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           Workouts since their last race are listed below and described in more detail horse-by-horse. Check back for more details as the days unfold.
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            May 6 NOTE:
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           Forte was scratched just after 9 a.m. ET following a gallop and an examination by state veterinarians.
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            May 5 NOTE:
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           (a) Skinner was scratched this morning, elevated temperature cited. (b) Nineteen horses remain in the field. Forte scratch rumors unsubstantiated. It is still possible a scratch could occur, but Forte galloped on the track this morning.
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            May 4 NOTE:
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           (a) Practical Move will be scratched. Elevated temperature cited. (b) Lord Miles also out per order of the KHRC and stewards. (c) Churchill Downs has indefinitely banned Joseph from entering horses. (d) Continuar scratched. (e) All three also-eligibles drew in.
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            May 2 NOTE:
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           (a) Derma Sotogake, also-eligible Mandarin Hero and Sun Thunder breezed this morning at Churchill Downs. Details are posted. (b) Yesterday, track insiders said Continuar was going to breeze today, but he didn't. (c) Apparently a mistake was made when the morning line was revealed at the post position draw; Jace's Road is now listed at 50-1 instead of the 15-1 announced at the draw.
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            May 1 NOTE:
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           Disarm breezed this morning at Churchill Downs, and we have the video.
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Rocket Can breezed at 7:30 a.m. and we have the video.
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            April 29 NOTE:
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           Workouts today at Churchill Downs by Angel of Empire, Confidence Game, Cyclone Mischief, Forte, Hit Show, Jace's Road, Kingsbarns, Mage, Major Dude, Tapit Trice and Verifying. Skinner worked at Santa Anita. Information and videos are posted for all the workouts.
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            April 28 NOTE:
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           (a) A video of Two Phil's workout yesterday at Hawthorne was posted minutes ago, and we have it posted. (b) We found video of yesterday's Raise Cain workout, and it is posted. Apology for the delay. (c) King Russell, who at one time looked like a potential also-eligible, has not put in a workout since April 16. (d) Practical Move worked at Santa Anita. Video posted. (e) Lord Miles worked at Gulfstream Park, and we have the video. (f) Reincarnate blazed four furlongs at Santa Anita. Video posted. (g) Barn numbers updated per chart by Bill Tingley. Stall numbers updated where available.
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            April 27 NOTE:
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           Sadly, Wild on Ice was euthanized after he was pulled up with an injury following a workout and was vanned to a Lexington surgical center for evaluation. A terrible blow to his connections and to us racing fans.
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            April 27 NOTE:
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            (a) Skinner  is confirmed for the Derby gate, with Cyclone Mischief next in line. Juan Hernandez replaces Victor Espinoza in the saddle on Skinner. (b) Two Phil's breezed at Hawthorne, and the details are posted. (c) Raise Cain breezed at Keeneland. Details are posted.
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            April 26 NOTE:
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           Derma Sotogake (JPN) and Continuar (JPN) breezed in company at Churchill Downs. Video is posted. (b) Sun Thunder breezed solo with blinkers added at Churchill, and the video is posted.. (c) Potential Derby also-eligible Mandarin Hero (JPN) worked slowly at Santa Anita.
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            April 25 NOTE:
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           (a) Raise Cain has lost his announced Derby jockey as Javier Castellano was named on Mage last night. Another rider hasn't been announced for Raise Cain, leading to speculation about his participation.
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            April 24 NOTE:
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           (a) Disarm breezed for trainer Asmussen at Churchill Downs nine days after he finished third in the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes. It was a bullet of 18. The video is posted. (b) Riders for two horses in the main body of the Derby field had not been named yet as of this morning: Kingsbarns and Mage. (c) Speaking of Mage, he arrived at Churchill Downs early this morning.
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            April 23 SECOND NOTE:
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           Blazing Sevens has defected from the Derby in favor of the Preakness. Jace's Road is now in the main body of the prospective field. Skinner and Cyclone Mischief are next in line if other defections occur.
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            April 23 NOTE:
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           (a) Rocket Can breezed at Churchill Downs for trainer Mott 10 days after his last workout, which was a fast one. Video is posted. (b) Potential Derby also-eligible Cyclone Mischief breezed at Churchill for trainer Romans. Video is posted. (c) Potential Derby also-eligible Skinner breezed at Santa Anita for trainer Shirreffs. Video is posted.
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            April 22 SECOND NOTE:
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           (a) Added an April 14 workout by Kingsbarns and matched up the video.
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           April 22 NOTE:
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            (a) Reincarnate breezed at Santa Anita for trainer Yakteen. The video is posted. (b) At Gulfstream Park, Mage breezed for trainer Delgado, and we have the video. (c) No workouts today at Churchill Downs on a track rated muddy after overnight rain.
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            April 21 NOTE:
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           (a) Trainer Pletcher sent out Forte and Tapit Trice for workouts at Churchill Downs as planned. We have videos of both workouts, Pletcher and Irad Ortiz, Jr. (b) Also on schedule in Louisville were four Kentucky Derby contenders for trainer Cox: Angel of Empire, Hit Show, Jace's Road (21st on the Derby points list and holding) and Verifying. We have videos of the Angel of Empire/Jace's Road workouts in company and the Verifying/Hit Show works in company and of trainer Cox. (c) At Santa Anita, Practical Move fired a near-bullet for trainer Yakteen, and we have video. (d) We added trainer Pletcher video comments following workouts yesterday by Kingsbarns and Major Dude. (e) Backup plan for Major Dude is the American Turf on Derby day. (f) Blazing Sevens breezed at Keeneland, and we have video. (g) Lord Miles fired a near-bullet at Gulfstream Park, and we have video. (h) Seven days after his most recent workout at Churchill Downs, Confidence Game did not work today, and rain is forecast for tomorrow. He is still in training.
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           April 20 NOTE:
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            (a) Raise Cain had a leisurely breeze at Keeneland. (b) Kingsbarns and potential also-eligible Major Dude breezed in
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           company at Churchill Downs. (c) Trainer Pletcher said Forte and Tapit Trice will breeze Friday at Churchill. (d) Trainer Cox told DRF Angel of Empire, Hit Show, Veryifing, and Jace’s Road are likely to breeze Friday at Churchill. (e) The special 15-minute training window for only Kentucky Derby and Longines Kentucky Oaks contenders begins Saturday at 7:30 a.m. ET.
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            The first morning of the Kentucky Derby Morning Works show is Monday. (f) Javier Castellano will ride Raise Cain in the Derby. (g) Ryusel Sakai has the mount on Continuar (JPN). (g) Brian Hernandez, Jr. on Sun Thunder.
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           April 19 NOTE:
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            (a) Derma Sotogake (JPN) put in his first recorded workout at Churchill Downs. Churchill does not have a video crew on hand yet, but according to Churchill Downs the first Kentucky Derby Morning Works show is Monday, April 24. (b) Joel Rosario to ride Disarm
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            April 17 NOTE:
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           (a) Wild on Ice, winner of the Sunland Derby, breezed a bullet a few days after arriving at Churchill Downs. Jockey Tohill implied his horse should be taken seriously. (b) Arkansas Derby runner-up King Russell, 26th on the Derby points list below, was not shown today as "also-eligible" in a Churchill Downs release one day after he breezed five furlongs in 1:03.20 at the track. (c) Santa Anita Derby third-finisher Skinner, who needs defections to make the Derby field, breezed at Santa Anita. A video is not available.
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           April 16 NOTE:
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            (a) Jeff Ruby winner Two Phil's breezed at Hawthorne. (b) Florida Derby runner-up Mage breezed at Gulfstream Park. See video below. (c) Arkansas Derby third-finisher Reincarnate worked at Santa Anita, and video is linked. (d) Arkansas Derby runner-up King Russell breezed at Churchill Downs.
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            April 15 NOTE:
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           Disarm is number 18 on the Derby eligibility list after picking up six points by finishing third in the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes. Reincarnate was bumped from 18th to 19th. Jace's Road was moved from 19th to 21st while Continuar remained at number 20 as the representative of the Japan Road to the Derby.
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            April 15 NOTE:
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           (a) Arkansas Derby winner Angel of Empire breezed early at Churchill Downs. (b) Trainer Cox also sent out Jace's Road, who hit the board in multiple Derby points races.
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            April 14 NOTE:
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           (a) Strong one-mile gate work by Rebel Stakes winner Confidence Game at Churchill Downs. (b) Workouts at Palm Beach Downs by trainer Pletcher's Florida Derby winner Forte, Louisiana Derby winner Kingsbarns and Jeff Ruby runner-up Major Dude (all three on video).
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           April 13 NOTE:
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            (a) Added Major Dude. Early conflicting reports about his status, but the most recent one says he will run if he makes the Derby field. (b) Fast workout by Arkansas Derby fourth-finisher Rocket Can at Churchill Downs.
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           Order of Listings
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           1 Forte  2 Practical Move  3 Angel of Empire  4 Tapit Trice  5 Two Phil's  6 Lord Miles  7 Derma Sotogake (JPN)  8 Kingsbarns  9 Raise Cain 10 Rocket Can  11 Hit Show  12 Confidence Game  13 Verifying  14 Sun Thunder  15 Mage  16 Disarm  17 Reincarnate  18 Jace's Road 19 Skinner 20 Continuar (JPN)  21 Cyclone Mischief  22 Major Dude  23 Mandarin Hero (JPN)  24 King Russell
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           FORTE (KY) 3-1  #15
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           SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 190
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $2,359,730
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           Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
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           Trainer: Todd Pletcher
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           Owner: Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable
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           Breeder: South Gate Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Violence (Medaglia d'Oro, Violent Beauty)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Queen Carolina (Blame, Queen's Plaza)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-4-5-1-0 (14) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 3, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $80,000 Keeneland November 2020
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           $110,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 17, barn 39, stall 24
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 14 - 50:23 Breezing 16/25 PBD dirt fast 
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           VIDEO
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            Forte breezed in company with Bright Future (also 50.23), a 4-year-old son of Curlin that won an allowance race April 1 at GP. “With Forte we were just looking for a nice, easy first work back," Pletcher said.
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            April 21 - 1:02.00 Breezing 29/33 CD dirt fast
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           TODD PLETCHER COMMENTS
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           IRAD ORTIZ, JR COMMENTS
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            This looks to have been Forte's major breeze for the Derby. Trainer Pletcher said of Forte and Tapit Trice after their workouts today, "We'll probably do a little less next week, we'll play it by ear and see how the week is." Forte had Irad Ortiz, Jr. on board and ran fractions of 26.20 and 38.60, then out six furlongs in 1:14.40 and seven in 1:27.00. Forte started about a half-length behind Bright Future.
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           Ortiz said, “It was a normal work from him, which is exactly what you want to see. I let him start going at the five-furlong pole and just get into stride. Going into the turn he stayed with the other horse. When I tipped him out in the stretch he responded well and galloped out nicely. His mind has changed a lot this year from last year. I’m happy with that. He’s growing physically but has a great mind.”
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           Trainer Pletcher said, "Forte is a very straightforward horse to train. He’s pushbutton. When Irad asked him to sit just off of his workmate this morning he did just that. When you press ‘go’, he quickly accelerated to put a head in front of his workmate.”
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            April 29 - 49:80 Breezing 96/149 CD dirt fast 
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           IRAD ORTIZ JR VIDEO
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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            TOP RESULTS
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            1st Florida Derby
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            1st Fountain of Youth
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           Stakes
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           1st Breeders’ Cup Juvenile
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           1st Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
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           1st Hopeful Stakes
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           4th Sanford Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE FLORIDA DERBY
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Forte (first): “I was worried, he had a lot to do turning for home. He had to angle out really wide and kind of got a wide trip all the way around there, but he had a pretty smooth run it; he just had to lose a lot of ground to do it. It looked like he had a lot to do still at the eighth pole but then really kicked in the last part and found his best stride the last sixteenth.
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           “He just continues to amaze us. He gets better and better. He handled the stretchout to a mile an eighth great and actually probably ran a mile and three-sixteenths today. It gives you a lot of confidence moving forward. He got a lot of experience today. The one good thing about here is you get a big crowd, a noisy crowd, long post parade, so they get exposed to a lot. That experience hopefully pays off down the road.”
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           Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., Forte (first): “In the first part of the race with that post, it was impossible to going that wide so I had a horse with speed beside me. We went to the first turn and those horses cleared me and I said, ‘Oh my God.’ I thought he could clear them and he didn’t do it so I said, ‘OK, go to Plan B.’ I had to take a hold. Now I’m a little far back and I have to use him the whole way on the turn. On the backside I let him roll. I keep riding, I keep coming and going to the quarter pole he gave me a good feeling. He grabbed the bit and the outside horse moved and he gave me a good feeling and he’s ready to roll. He jumped on the bit and I said, ‘OK we can go around.’ The trainer told me to ride him with patience, it’s a long stretch going a mile an eighth so that’s what I did.”
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           Twitter observation by jockey Jose Valenzuela w/ photo of Forte sweating on his neck in the post parade, translated from espanol: "This wears out the horses and even more so if they are restless for a good period of time, as it happened."
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Pletcher said, “I think the one thing we learned in the Florida Derby is that he handled the race really well. The best part of the race for him was the last sixteenth of a mile, which gives you confidence that the added distance won’t be an issue. He seems to have taken it well. He was on his toes after the race which he normally is, just like he is kind of in the walking ring beforehand.
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           “It showed that he still had some good energy left after the race, but we’ll learn a lot more about that as we kind of train this week. What was impressive yesterday was when he did make the lead, he kind of pricked his ears again which we’ve seen him do a number of times. It kind of makes you believe there’s a little more in the tank there.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH STAKES
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Forte (first): “He kind of got jostled around a bit leaving there. We got to the spot where we wanted to get to. He was able to save some ground on the first turn, He was traveling well behind those horses and it pretty much unfolded the way we talked about and the way we hoped.”
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           “We kind of carefully laid it out and put him in a program that would put him in the condition to be ready to run and still having room for improvement and room to continue to develop. I think we were able to accomplish that.”
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           “Honestly, I can’t say I was surprised. I felt really, really good the way this horse was coming into the race. It looks like there’s a lot of upside.”
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           Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., Forte (first): “I had a beautiful trip. Everything I expected happened. I wanted to get a good position forwardly placed. I was right behind the horse I had to be. I just bided my time to go, decided to wait a little more, two more jumps until the three-eighths [pole]. I went around horses and let him go and show what he can do.”
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           “He’s a nice horse. He just came back from his 2-year old [campaign]. He just turned 3 and it is nice to see him back the way he did it today. I think the race is going to set him up for future races well for sure. I mean, he was ready today. I worked him and he was doing everything so well and so easy. I had a lot of confidence in him today, but I think after this race after the long layoff, it’ll set him up good. He’s handled the kickback pretty good before, so I wasn't afraid. He broke clean and just kept going forward. I kept him out, and he did the rest.”
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           Owner Mike Repole, Forte (first): “It’s special. Very special. Very special. You know, for a horse making his first start in four months against other horses who have already raced this year, he does it with so much confidence. It’s like everything you see – breaks well, sits well, moves well, looks great. He’s just checking all the boxes right now. He’s a pretty special horse right now.”
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           Kentucky Derby – “It’s always been the dream. Dream big, dream bigger. It’s a good feeling right now.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Forte (first): “Obviously delighted with everything. He got a beautiful trip. Just kept coming. I think we both got a fair run at it today (referring to being second choice to Cave Rock). He got that two-turn experience (in the Breeders’ Futurity) and it paid off today. He’s much more professional today. We learned a little something (from the Breeders’ Futurity) and we tweaked off the last race and it paid off coming here.
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           “The last time, he made the lead pretty comfortably, but he got to waiting and laying on the horse next to him, so today if we were lucky enough to get in a position to get (the lead), we wanted to give ourselves plenty of space and not get close to the horse next to him.”
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           Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., Forte (first): “Beautiful trip. I broke good, saved some ground around the first turn and took my time down the backside. I started making my move around turn. I hit him once and he responded. He deserves all the credit.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE CLAIBORNE BREEDERS' FUTURITY STAKES
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           Assistant trainer Amelia Green, Forte (first) (commenting on Forte's antics in the paddock): "Todd warned me this morning that in Saratoga he was exactly like that" before the Hopeful Stakes. "He didn't do anything bad, you could just see he was on edge and ready to go."
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Forte (first): "I loved the way he handled the two turns. It was great to get that experience under his belt before the Breeders' Cup. It seemed like the track was playing a little bit toward speed, so I was a little concerned when they turned up to the backside. But it seemed like he was traveling well, was able to improve his position along the way, and got by a good horse [Loggins]. I think there is room for improvement off that."
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           Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., Forte (first) “At the turn, he was still figuring it out. He’s a young horse, and I had to start working really hard on him. He started doing it little by little, but by the time I got there and hit the lead he started acting a little green and laying in a little bit. I had to take a big hold of him the whole stretch. He didn’t even let me ride him that well. The whole time I had to hold him and, that horse inside of me, take care of him at the same time as I win the race.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE HOPEFUL STAKES
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Forte (first): “Last time, he wasn’t able to get extracted into the clear until really, really late. When he did, he showed some interest. He came back and trained really well with some older horses. His last breeze was with Bal Harbour who won earlier on the card. There were a lot of good indications that he was going to rebound and run to his capabilities, but you never know until you see it. I felt like the added distance was in his favor and he’s a nice colt.
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           “He came really energetic into the paddock, but it was a good energy, though. You could tell he was kind of enjoying the rain and playing in the slop and splashing in the puddles in the paddock. I love the way he kicked away from the pony, he warmed up awesome.
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           “We were looking for the outside but if you watch the head on, the outside was way, way out there. So, there was no other option other than to stay in. We tried to stay off the rail a little bit even though he was on the inside. There were puddles down in there and we wanted to get on the best part of the racetrack. Watching the head on, they were pretty spread out.”
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           Jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr., Forte (first): “They ran away from me a little bit and my horse doesn’t have that kind of speed. I didn’t panic, I knew we’d be in the back. I kept him in the race, and in the turn I started working on him. He started to pick it up slowly, but he picked it up. At the top of the stretch, I hit him a couple times and he responded really well. I knew I had a chance to win, so I just kept him busy.
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           “He was enjoying the time out there. He saw the water and was playing in it, so I thought maybe he’d like the slop. Todd told me to warm him up good before the race, I just tried to follow instructions and it worked out good.”
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           PRACTICAL MOVE (KY) 10-1  Post 10
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           SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 160
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $822,000
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           Jockey: Ramon Vazquez
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           Trainer: Tim Yakteen
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           Owner: Amestoy, Leslie A., Amestoy, Jr., Pierre Jean and Beasley, Roger K.
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           Breeder: Chad Brown &amp;amp; Head of Plains Partners
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Practical Joke (Into Mischief, Halo Humor)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Ack Naughty (Afleet Alex, Dash for Money)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-0-1-0-0 (2) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 30, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $90,000 RNA Keeneland September 2021
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           $230,000 OBS April 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 29, barn 27
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 21 - 47.00 Handily 2/31 SA dirt fast
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           The work was in company with Kangaroo Court, and trainer Yakteen's watch matched the official and identical workout time for both with what he termed a strong gallop-out in “59 seconds and change." Kangaroo Court will be entered in the Pat Day Mile. Kangaroo Court was purchased for $7,500 at the 2021 Arizona Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association Fall Mixed Sale by owner George Sharp. He has banked $197,200 in four starts.
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            April 28 - 59:60 Handily 2/32 SA dirt fast 
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Practical Move went really nice as well (as Reincarnate). We’re very happy with what we saw. Knock on wood, but we should be all set.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st Santa Anita Derby
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           1st San Felipe Stakes
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           1st Los Alamitos Futurity
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           3rd Bob Hope Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE SANTA ANITA DERBY
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           Trainer Tim Yakteen, Practical Move (first): “It's a great feeling to go back-to-back in this race. The rush you get—that's why you get in the game! You're calling wire when you're on the lead, and you're looking for more when you're closing ground."
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           Jockey Ramon Vazquez, Practical Move (first): “I made the move a little early because I saw Berrios (on One in Vermillion) look at me from the inside. I knew he wanted to put me inside a little bit tight, so I just moved my horse to the outside take a new position, made him relax a little bit and when I asked him the last quarter he responded really well. The other horse (Mandarin Hero) is a nice horse too and ran really well. I’m feeling amazing. When you ride a good horse like that, that’s your dream always to go to the Kentucky Derby.
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           Part owner Jean Pierre Amestoy, Jr., Practical Move (first): “We were a little worried that he didn’t get through early enough, but he finally made it through. He opened up a little bit, but those are good horses. They came up to him in the end but he was tough enough. Got his head in front and won the race. I think we are confident. I think we will catch the distance and he’s proven he’s a fighter, he’s a winner, so we’re going to go to Kentucky with our heads high and hope to bring the trophy back to this side of the country.”
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           Millie Ball, trainer Yakteen's wife: “I was sick to my stomach, honestly, I’ve never felt like that during a horse race before, but I just wanted everything to go well for the barn. Both horses ran good. It really is hard to believe that we’re in this position. When you think about the years that Tim’s been in the game and the education he’s had. The people he’s worked underneath, the Charlie Whittingham’s the Bob Baffert’s…It’s, I’m a little surprised Tim’s had the foundation to be put in that position and then know what to do when he’s in this position…For it to all come true, you’ve gotta have so much luck. You’ve got to have the owners behind you and you have got to have the horse and this horse is incredible, incredible! If he can get a mile and a quarter, he’ll win the Derby!”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE SAN FELIPE STAKES
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           Trainer Tim Yakteen, Practical Move (first): “He is a very healthy horse. He is a phenomenally gifted horse. I am amazed at how strong he is and how he has matured from a two-year-old to a three-year-old. Everything has fallen into place. There was only one challenge before this race, I felt we needed to get one more work in.
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           “There is nothing more satisfying than winning, so I am taking this in stride. I have to give kudos to my staff and thank them for the job they have done. They are the unsung heroes here. I’ve also got to tip my hat to Leslie (Amestoy) and Jean Pierre (Amestoy). They were the ones who went to Florida and bought this horse.
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           “I plan to start him again. I want to leave the canvas blank now and we’ll make the call later, but I think he will have one more start before the Derby.”
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           Jockey Ramon Vazquez, Practical Move (first): “This horse keeps getting better and better every day. He can go inside or outside. He is comfortable wherever. He lets me do my job and he does the rest. I only rode him once (In the Los Alamitos Futurity), but I know he is very aggressive from the gate, so I let him do his thing. He galloped out very good. I have always dreamed of winning the Kentucky Derby. I had one previous chance in 2015 (aboard Mr. Z) for Mr. (D. Wayne) Lukas. I’m hoping for another chance here.”
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           Co-owner Leslie Amestoy, Practical Move (first): “This was our dream. It’s been our dream for years and we love the colt, we are so happy and we really think we have a great horse.”
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           Co-owner Jean Pierre Amestoy, Practical Move (first): “This was our dream. It’s been our “We’ve seen him improve every race, almost. The first couple of races, he was green and didn’t know how to switch leads. Tim has brought him along perfectly and has taught him, and now he’s finishing like we expected he could finish. Like Leslie said, I think we’ve got a good one.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE LOS ALAMITOS FUTURITY
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           Trainer Tim Yakteen, Practical Move (first): "The horse got himself in a great position and Ramon did a great job. It was just a matter of whether we were going to be able to get the distance today or not. I think he validated himself as a route horse today."
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           Jockey Ramon Vazquez, Practical Move (first): "He relaxed perfectly. I had to make a decision turning for home whether to go inside or outside. When the leader drifted out a bit, there was an opening. He came right through and gave me a very nice finish."
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           ANGEL OF EMPIRE (PA) 8-1  #14
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           Derby Points: 154
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $1,026,375
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           Jockey: Flavien Prat
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           Trainer: Brad Cox
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           Owner: Albaugh Family Stables LLC
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           Breeder: Forgotten Land Investment Inc &amp;amp; Black Diamond Equine Corp.
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Classic Empire (Pioneerof the Nile, Sambuca Classica)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Armony's Angel (To Honor and Serve, Seeinsbelieven)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-4-2-0-0 (10) 9.00
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           Foal Date: April 9, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $32,000 RNA Keeneland November 2020
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           $70,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 4, barn 22
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 15 - 48:20 Breezing 20/99 CD dirt fast
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            The work was at 5:30 ET. Angel of Empire breezed in company outside of Tapit's Conquest (also 48.20) under exercise rider Edvin Vargas. Angel of Empire wore blinkers, according to Churchill Downs. Angel of Empire did not wear blinkers in the Arkansas Derby, but according to Churchill Angel of Empire has previously used blinkers in workouts. Initial fractions were 12.40 and 24.40, and Angel of Empire was out five furlongs in 1:00.80 according to clocker John Nichols. “It was a solid morning with three weeks out from the Derby,” trainer Cox said.
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            April 21 - 1:13.40   Breezing 1/2 CD dirt fast
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           BRAD COX COMMENTS
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           Trainer Cox said they were looking to do more with Angel of Empire and Jace's Road working in company (six furlongs) than the set of Hit Show and Verifying (five furlongs). Trainer Cox added, “Angel of Empire is the type of horse we’ve been confident all along that can handle the mile-and-a-quarter distance in the Derby. He excelled going the longer distance in the Arkansas Derby and moves like the type of horse that will like a route of ground." Angel of Empire and Jace's Road broke off at the 5/8 mile pole and worked past the wire to mid-turn, six furlongs on Cox's watch in 1:13.20, and out seven in 1:26.40. Cox said the works are designed mainly to maintain fitness. According to track clocker John Nichols, their initial fractions were 12.20, 23.80, 35.60 and 1:00.40, and they galloped out seven furlongs in 1:26.40.
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           Angel of Empire April 29 1.01:40 Breezing 23/54 CD dirt fast (official clocking)  
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           Chris Landeros, who was board Angel of Empire, said, "He seems to have a lot of gears. He’s a really nice colt and worked easily.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st Arkansas Derby
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           1st Risen Star Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE ARKANSAS DERBY
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Angel of Empire (first): "It was a big run. We always saw hm as a mile-and-a-mile quarter, mile-and-an-eighth horse and now he's won twice at a mile-and-an-eighth. His sire won this race, and I think he'll do better with more distance. Very impressed with this horse, how he ran today. He came home quick, and he’s a horse that the the longer the better.
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           "The older he’s getting the better he’s getting, bottom line. I think he really took to six weeks between races. He ran well here to start the year. He showed that he was going to want more ground. Out of the Risen Star, I thought he was just maybe a little tucked up, a little tired. He’s come around over the last three, four weeks. Now he’s back in top form and very happy how he looked physically leading up to this.”
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           “It was a good group of horses. I didn’t think there was a standout or a leader — obviously Forte is the leader of the division. I felt it was a nice open race that anybody good step up and win it. And he stepped up. He was very impressive today. I always thought he’d be better with more ground and obviously he’s 2 for 2 at a mile and an eighth. Hopefully we can be 1 for 1 at a mile and a quarter in five weeks.
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           "Just watching him in the paddock, I was telling Jason, ‘He’s a cool, calm horse. If there is anybody who can handle 150,000 people it would be this horse.' And then the way he presented himself. Once he was tacked up, he was out in the infield (before the race), kind of got on his toes but didn’t get hot. It was good energy.”
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           Jockey Flavien Prat, Angel of Empire (first): "Jumped well and then we got ourselves in a good spot. Down the backside, I was traveling really well. Caught a little wide, but I was pleased going this way and I wasn't too worried about it. When I squeezed him turning for home, he really responded well and went on.”
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           Albaugh Racing Manager Jason Loutsch, Angel of Empire (first): "I can't wait until the first Saturday in May. It's going to be a long, five-week wait. We couldn't be more excited. I thought he dominated this race, and we're going to Kentucky with a lot of confidence. I hope people believe what we've been saying about his stamina now. It would be fantastic if we can get three horses in the Derby, but I know we have one."
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE RISEN STAR STAKES
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Angel of Empire (first): “Physically it looks like he can run all day. We could see that last summer when we got him ready to run. We started him a mile at Indiana and it worked out. We had a little pace to run at today and it worked out well. It’s five weeks to the Louisiana Derby, and we’ll look at that, all the Grade 1s will be in the conversation. We’ll let the dust settle and see how he comes out of it. This is a horse that we thought as the months go by he’ll get better, and he has.”
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           Jockey Luis Saez, Angel of Empire (first): “I watched his replays and knew he is a nice horse. The key with him is to follow the right horse. We got lucky. When he got to the 3/8ths pole, I was pretty loaded. When we got to the top of the straight, I checked if I had the horse, he just kept going, and I just tried to go with him.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE SMARTY JONES STAKES
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Angel of Empire (second): “Nice horse and the longer they go, the better he’s going to get. Excited about him.”
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           TAPIT TRICE (KY) 5-1  #5
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           Derby Points: 150
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $783,500
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           Jockey: Luis Saez
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Whisper Hill Farm, LLC and Gainesway Stable (Antony Beck)
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           Breeder: Gainesway Thoroughbreds Ltd.
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tapit (Pulpit, Tap Your Heels)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Danzatrice (Dunkirk, Lady Pewitt)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-15-11-1-0 (32) 3.92
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           Foal Date: Feb. 17, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $1,300,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 16, barn 39, stall 28
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 21 - 48.60 Breezing 11/68 CD dirt fast
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           TODD PLETCHER COMMENTS
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           This looks to have been Tapit Trice's major breeze for the Derby. Trainer Pletcher said of Forte and Tapit Trice after their workouts today, "We'll probably do a little less next week, we'll play it by ear and see how the week is." With exercise rider Amelia Green up, he registered an initial split of 12.80, out five furlongs in 1:01 and six in 1:13.80.
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            April 29 - 48:20 Breezing 20/149 CD dirt fast 
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              See FORTE section for Todd Pletcher interview
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           1st Tampa Bay Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE TOYOTA BLUE GRASS STAKES
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Tapit Trice (first): “He didn’t jump well, but then he gained a little momentum. It got a little hairy going into the first turn, but when he was able to secure that spot. Luis was able to take him out in the clear down the backside. That was the position we hoped to get into, and once he got into that stride I thought we were in good shape. Yeah (slow out of the gate), that’s him. We’re not going to make him into a quick horse. The distances, as they stretch out, we always felt like would make him better. I think (the 1 1/4 miles is right in his wheelhouse.”
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           Jockey Luis Saez, Tapit Trice (first): On the objection from jockey of runner-up Verifying he said, “I just feel like I was riding Tapit Trice perfectly. We came and passed (Verifying) clear and then when I was in front I felt like somebody hit my horse from behind. I feel like the other guy (jockey Tyler Gaffalione) tried to look for a chance and look for a foul. That’s what I feel. I didn’t feel like we would come down. I kept the horse straight and he won the race.”
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           Was the early move to get clear a key to the win? “Yes, definitely. First of all, we had a tough position (post 1), especially with him, because he takes a little while to get going. In the first turn we had an opportunity to put him in the clear. I made a little move early, because the pace was pretty slow, so I could get behind the horse we were supposed to beat. I know we have to beat everybody, but that was the horse (Verifying) to follow, so we were right there, and when he made his move we were right on top of him.”
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           Co-owner Mandy Pope, Tapit Trice (first): “We’ll have one of the favorites. It is so awesome. It’s unbelievable for me. It’s dreams come true and a lot of hard work from a lot of people. It’s the determination that quality does pay off and quality is worth all the effort. From pedigree to the physical to the trainers to the barn crew at each of our farms who raise the horses and break them – they’re all quality people and it’s a quality effort. Hopefully quality continues up the road.”
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           Breeder and co-owner Antony Beck of Gainesway Farm, Tapit Trice (first): “He’s absolutely outstanding. It’s wonderful to be partners with Mandy. It’s a great friendship. We both love, love horses; we both love the sport. Tapit has been an incredible stallion and this is another one of his incredible horses. I also want to thank John Fort (of Peachtree Stable), who selected Danzatrice (dam of Tapit Trice) for me as a 2-year-old. Without that, we wouldn’t be here.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING FEB. 4 ALLOWANCE RACE AT GULFSTREAM PARK
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Tapit Trice, first by 8 lengths: “He’s a colt we’re had high hopes for all along. He improved from his first to second start and he improved again today. The exciting thing about him is the farther he goes, the better he’ll get. I kind of expected him not to break all that well today from the one-hole going a one-turn mile. But he recovered quickly, put himself in good tactical position and was impressive from there.”
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           TWO PHIL'S (KY) 12-1  #3
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           Derby Points: 123
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $643,850
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           Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
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           Trainer: Larry Rivelli
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           Owner: Patricia's Hope LLC and Sagan, Phillip, and Madaket Stable
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           Breeder: Phillip Sagan
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Hard Spun (Danzig, Turkish Tryst)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Mia Tori (General Quarters, Flip the Stone)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-7-11-0-0 (20) 2.64
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           Foal Date: March 16, 2020
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           $150,000 RNA Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 30, barn 1
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 9 - 49:60 Breezing 3/10 HAW dirt fast
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           April 16 - 1.00:00 Breezing 1/10 HAW dirt fast
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            April 27 - 59:00 Breezing 1/16 HAW dirt fast 
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           Regular rider Jareth Loveberry handled the move after flying in from Keeneland, then he flew back for the end of the meet. Trainer Rivelli will ship Two Phil’s to Churchill Downs on Sunday, April 30 and plans to have him on the track at 7:30 a.m. the next day.
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           “He chased a pretty fast horse (stablemate Smokin Richie), and effortlessly ran by him,” Rivelli said. “He galloped out three-quarters in 1:12. He couldn’t blow out a match after. The last two works were almost identically the same, but I changed it up a bit by putting him back in company. I haven’t wanted to work him every seven days because he’s been racing frequently and he’s fit. I just want to have him focused in on what he likes to do which is sit behind a horse and idle off until you ask him, and then make his move when it’s time. And he’s done that in both works. The track was in great shape today. It’s all systems go and I couldn’t be happier with how he’s going into the race.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st Jeff Ruby Steaks
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           2nd Lecomte Stakes
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           1st Street Sense Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES BEFORE AND FOLLOWING THE JEFF RUBY STEAKS
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           Winning trainer Larry Rivelli a few days before the Ruby: “I've been trying to think of the easiest spot for the money and I think this will be the spot. If he absolutely hates the surface, that's on me. I'm sort of putting myself out there saying that I think he will run well over it.”
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           Trainer Larry Rivelli, Two Phil's (first): “I think he probably prefers this surface better than he does the dirt, but I guess you can't change Churchill Downs. When he won in the Street Sense, I thought, 'I hope it rains on Derby Day again!' He really, really has [matured]. As he's gotten older, we've schooled him, we've done the proper stuff that we're supposed to do with him, but he never turns a hair. Nothing bothers him. He trained on this track unbelievable,The original plan probably wasn’t to run in this spot. I was just looking for the best route to get Two Phil’s to the Kentucky Derby. With this race on the calendar I thought it was the perfect timing and perfect spot. We’re on our way to the Derby.” Rivelli said Two Phil’s will head back to Hawthorne Park and ship to Louisville about three weeks before the Kentucky Derby.
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           Jockey Jareth Loveberry, Two Phil’s (first): “This horse is really special to us. And he’s won at Churchill Downs before. I hope it rains on Derby Day again. I was hoping ... I could try to tuck in as soon as I could. He just relaxed nicely. [Wadsworth] had me covered up, and he does a lot better when he's covered up. Just a dream trip. Got him tilted out, and he finished. Three weeks ago I suffered a hairline fracture in my left fibula but I’m pretty high on life right now and don’t feel that too much. Two Phil’s has seemed to get better each week this winter at Fair Grounds. Last time he had a beautiful trip, but he seems to do his best running while behind horses. I think h’es getting better with each start. He ran well in the Lecomte, but I thought he was even better in the Risen Star. It’s just very exciting to be partnered with a horse like this and a team that’s supported me.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE RISEN STAR STAKES
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           Jockey Jareth Loveberry, Two Phil’s (third): “I liked where I drew in the 10-hole with the speed outside me. When (Two Phil’s) gets behind a horse, he relaxes and drops the bit. I had him covered up he ran really well. He made a big move in the turn, that’s where he makes his moves, but he just got beat today.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE LECOMTE STAKES
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           Jockey Jareth Loveberry, Two Phil's (second): “I thought he moved a half a touch early, but he ran really good. He dug back in, he wanted to come back. He got outrun today, but he’ll be back.” (Instant Coffee won, Confidence Game third)
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE STREET SENSE STAKES
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           Trainer Larry Rivelli, Two Phil's (first): “He’s been roughed around a couple times but Jareth has really figured him out. He gave him a great ride today and has worked with him in each start to get to mature. He’s learned to relax and he’s a solid, sound horse. He ran great today and we’re thrilled with his potential.”
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           Jockey Jareth Loveberry, Two Phil's (first): “He’s shown a lot of maturity in his last couple of starts. He’s started learning a lot more and settling early into the race. He got a little bounced around today but down the backside I got him to settle nicely and at the half-mile pole we were in a good position. I tipped him out a little bit and he showed me a lot of run.”
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           LORD MILES (KY)  30-1  #19
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            SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 105
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $427,100
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           Jockey: Paco Lopez
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           Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Jr.
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           Owner: Vegso Racing Stable
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           Breeder: Vegso Racing Stable
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriff's Deputy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Lady Esme (Majestic Warrior, Come a Callin)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-6-9-0-0 (20) 3.44
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           Foal Date: March 30, 2023
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           Auction Price(s)
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           None
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 29, barn 42
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 21 - 47.05 Breezing 2/33 GP dirt fast
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            click a second time if not initially successful
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           Exercise rider Andrew Thomas was aboard. Fractions for the work weren't made available by Gulfstream Park. Trainer Joseph said, “It was a good easy work but probably a tad faster than ideal, but he did it well within himself and he was moving well – that’s the important thing. He came out of the Wood well. He shipped back (from New York to Florida) and he’s held his weight. His weight and his energy seem to be in good order. He’ll come back, all being well, and work next Friday. He’ll go five furlongs and we’ll ship Saturday or Sunday to Churchill Downs. He won the Wood, but his race in the Wood isn’t going to be good enough to win the Derby. He’s going to have to improve again."
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            April 28 - 1.02:41 Breezing 12/13 GP dirt fast 
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           Exercise rider Andrew Thomas was aboard for the workout. Trainer Joseph texted the Churchill Downs notes team, “He worked well. All being well, we will leave tomorrow." He told Gulfstream Park publicity, "We just wanted a steady five-eighths. We got what we wanted. He went well. He’ll need to improve a lot to have a chance. Hopefully, he has a good week and runs the race of his life."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st Wood Memorial
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           5th Tampa Bay Derby
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           6th Holy Bull Stakes
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           3rd Mucho Macho Man Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE WOOD MEMORIAL
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           Trainer Saffie Joseph, Jr., Lord Miles (first): "God is good. From the top of the stretch when I realized he had a chance to get a piece of it, I was just thankful. At the eighth pole, I was thinking go get second and then - wait a minute - and there it was. He was a horse we thought a lot of and he showed up today when it counted most.
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           "He got in such a good position and was more in the bridle. Paco gave him a great ride. Today was a big move forward because of the Tampa Bay Derby. In the Tampa Bay Derby, Paco taught him to keep running. He tried on him and he kept running and got fifth. I was very proud of him that day.
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           "He ran huge. After his first start, I was dreaming Derby. The Mucho Macho Man was good, but from there everything was derailed. The Holy Bull went wrong, the Tampa Bay Derby was a step in the right direction, but we were probably running out of time. Today, here we are, one more time and it worked out.
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           "I learned to take chances because of Math Wizard [who won at 31-1 in the 2019 Grade 1 Pennsylvania Derby]. John Fanelli, the [co-] owner, pushed me to run there and it worked out. From there, I learned in life to never stop taking chances. If the horse is doing good, take a chance, because each chance you don't take is a chance you miss.”
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           On the dramatic stretch run and inquiry/objection: "I knew they got in tight. Watching the head on, I thought we were good, but you're dealing with opinion. You never want to be in that position, but I accepted that if something happened at least we would be second. But I didn't think there should be a change."
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           Jockey Paco Lopez, Lord Miles (first): "The one [Dreamlike] came out and Franco [aboard Hit Show] was looking for room and so he bumped into my horse. My horse stayed in line all the time and stayed fighting for the line. It was a tight race. He ran a very good race, I knew I had a chance. I know at Tampa he didn’t give me a very good race the first time I rode him. This time didn’t have too much time to jog and gallop him (in Tampa). This time I had plenty of time and that helped me a lot today and it worked out very well today. He gave me a beautiful run today."
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           THE NEXT DAY: "Tapit Trice would be my Derby pick if I didn't have a horse in the race,” Joseph said.
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           Joseph said Lord Miles raced on-and-off the bridle in his races leading up to the Wood Memorial. He made his first three starts at Gulfstream Park, winning on debut traveling six furlongs ahead of a closing third in the Much Macho Man in January. He added blinkers for the Grade 3 Holy Bull and was a distant sixth before a last-out fifth with blinkers off and Lopez aboard for the first time in the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby. Joseph credited Lopez for the win.
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           "He traveled well yesterday but between the five-eighths and the half, he came off the bridle and it looked like he was almost done, but Paco was able to keep him going,” Joseph said.
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           "The main thing with him is his greenness to stay on the bridle. It worked out much better yesterday because he broke well and was able to stay in the clear. The Derby is going to be a different story with 20 horses. Hopefully, he keeps learning and gets more focused."
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           Lord Miles shipped out of Belmont Park for Gulfstream Park by van. Trainer Joseph said, “He might have both works (at Gulfstream) or he could work once and then go to Kentucky, but we'll give it a couple days and come up with a plan. He was good this morning. He checked up well, ate up his food and came out of the race well. This will be our third Derby in the last four years and I've learned just to get there is good and then hope for the best. Last year, with White Abarrio, we thought we'd have a pretty good chance, but it didn't work out the way we wanted. But you appreciate being there and anything can happen in the Derby, like we saw last year with Rich Strike."
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           DERMA SOTOGAKE (JPN)  10-1  #17
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $1,112,319
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           Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
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           Trainer: Hidetaka Otonashi
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           Owner: Hiroyuki Asanuma
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           Breeder: Shadai Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Mind Your Biscuits (Posse, Jazzmane)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Amour Poesie (JPN), (Neo Universe (JPN), Happy Request (JPN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-1-2-0-0 (4) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 28, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $163,397 JHRA Yearling and Foal Sale 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 8, barn Q1
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 19 - 49:60 Breezing 16/20 CD dirt fast
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           Initial fractions were 13 and 37.20, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols. He warmed up for about 25 minutes in the mile chute. “I am really happy with how he moved today,” exercise rider Masatoshi Segawa said. “He felt great. We didn’t want to go too fast today so I had to keep a strong hold on him throughout and even then he performed brilliantly. Now I can start to get really excited about Derby Day.”
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            April 26 - 1:01.40 Breezing 4/7 CD dirt fast 
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           The work was in company with Continuar and ended in the middle of the first turn. Both broke off from the four-furlong marker. His splits were 13.20, 25.80, 37.20, 48.60, 1:01.40. Internal fractions were 13.20, 12.60, 11.40, 11.40 and 12.80. Kate Hunter, the Japan Racing Association representative for the Kentucky Derby, said that both riders were happy with the works, with Derma Sotogake's rider pleased with the response in the stretch. Breaking off at the half-mile pole, Continuar was three lengths in front. By the head of the stretch, Derma Sotogake had drawn even and was clear at the wire.
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            May 2 - Derma Sotogake (JPN) 49:60 Breezing 13/20 CD dirt fast 
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           After the workout, assistant trainer Masanari Tanaka said, “I think from the outside he will be able to take a decent position keeping an eye on the whole field in the early stages. He broke quickly from the gate (at Churchill Downs) the other day, so I think it won’t be a problem.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st UAE Derby
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           3rd Saudi Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE UAE DERBY
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           Trainer Hidetake Otonashi, Derma Sotogake (first): "We were confident he would improve from [a third-place finish in the Saudi Derby Feb. 25], especially going around two corners. We didn't exactly plan to go straight to the lead but he broke well. We were expecting him to improve and go well, but you can never expect things to go that well. We had a different jockey and different ground so you can never be sure how well it works out, but it did. He will go straight to Kentucky from Dubai. We'll discuss it but Christophe will probably keep it; he said he would anyway!”
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           Jockey Christophe Lemaire, Derma Sotogake (first): “The only concern was to get a good start and be in a good position. It’s good to go to the front on this dirt track. I didn’t have to push the horse to make the lead, he travelled really well, and he accelerated. The Japanese horses in that race are really good. It really means something when you win a Derby by 5 1/2 lengths. How could you refuse a mount in the Kentucky Derby? I had my first experience last year (13th on Crown Pride ) and I'd be happy to go again.
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           "He can break a little slowly so it was important he began well to use his gate on the rail and he did just that. He travelled nicely on the lead and he relaxed for me down the back stretch. He was still moving smoothly for me as we came into the home stretch and once I pressed the button he was very impressive and I could enjoy the finish on him."
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           Owner Hiroyuki Asanuma, Derma Sotogake (first): "Of course! Yes, I will go! I have been in this business for 30 years and this is my first big horse."
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           SAUDI DERBY
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           No quotes available. Commissioner King edged Havnameltdown in the Saudi Derby. Derma Sotogake was third.
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           KINGSBARNS (KY)  12-1  #6
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $600,000
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           Jockey: Jose Ortiz
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Spendthrift Farm LLC
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           Breeder: Parks Investment Group, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Uncle Mo (Indian Charlie, Playa Maya)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Lady Tapit (Tapit, Temperence Gift)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-6-2-0 (14) 1.80
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           Foal Date: Jan. 17, 2020
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           $250,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2021
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           $800,000 Fasig-Tipton Florida March 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 17, barn 39
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           April 7 - 49:74 Breezing 5/17 PBD dirt fast
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            April 14 - 49.48 Breezing 10/25 PBD dirt fast 
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            Trainer Pletcher said, ““We were looking for a little more from Major Dude and Kingsbarns (than with Forte on this same date). I thought they both went really well, good enthusiasm and energy in their gallop-outs," trainer Pletcher said. Kingsbarns and Major Dude worked in company.
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            April 20 - 1:00.80   Breezing 11/20 CD dirt fast
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           TODD PLETCHER COMMENTS
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           In company with Major Dude. According to track clockers, they ran though splits of 12.60, 24.40 and 36.20 and galloped out together through six furlongs in 1:13.40. Irad Ortiz Jr. was aboard Major Dude. Exercise rider Humberto Zamora was in the saddle on Kingsbarns.
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           Both of them went pretty well. I thought it was a good, steady work with a strong gallop out. Kingsbarns accomplished a lot in a short period of time. I thought his debut was very professional. It’s hard to win going one-mile first time out, and he did it getting an education being behind horses. For his first start I thought that was impressive. We went the Tampa Bay Downs route to get a two-turn allowance race into him. I thought that worked out well. He made a big step forward then in the Louisiana Derby.”
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           Spendthrift Farm President Eric Gustavson said, “I think people gave Kingsbarns a discount because of the time of the Louisiana Derby. I don’t think you should be penalized by going to the front and putting everyone else to sleep like he did. We’re pretty confident coming into the Derby.
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           April 29 - 48:40 Breezing 33/149 CD dirt fast 
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st Louisiana Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE LOUISIANA DERBY
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher, Kingsbarns (first): "It appeared on paper that there was not a lot of pace, so we drew up a plan with Flavien that if we came away in good order to be placed forward and hopefully dictate the race on our terms. It was a lot to ask to go to a graded stakes going 1 3/16 for the 1st time in his third career start. We gave up a lot of seasoning and he responded in a big way. We'll get him back to Palm Beach Downs and assess but we're planning for him to be one of our ones in the Kentucky Derby.
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           "It looked like he still had his legs underneath him at the finish and looked like he galloped out well." Pletcher said Kingsbarns might be shipped to Kentucky from Palm Beach Downs a couple of weeks before the Derby.
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            Jockey Flavien Prat, Kingsbarns (first): "I talked with Mr. Pletcher and we thought there was not a lot of speed in the race. He told me that the horse was pretty straightforward and if I ended up on the lead he was fine with that. He jumped well, I was able to get myself in a comfortable spot and from there he did the job. Hopefully he moves forward. I thought it was already a great performance and if he moves forward, that's even better."
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           RAISE CAIN (KY)  50-1  #16
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           Derby Points: 64
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $232,500
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           Jockey: Gerardo Corrales
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           Trainer: Ben Colebrook
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           Owner: Warren, Andrew N. and Warren, Rania
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           Breeder: Rock Ridge Thoroughbreds, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Violence (Medaglia d'Oro, Violent Beauty)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Lemon Belle (Lemon Drop Kid, Queenie Belle)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-4-8-3-0 (20) 1.86
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           Foal Date: April 7, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $180,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           $65,000 RNA OBS June 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: May 1, barn 42
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 20, 2023 - 1.03:40 Breezing 11/11 KEE dirt fast 
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           Raise Cain will try to run late in the Derby. His fractions were 13.60, 26.80, 38.60, 51.40, and he galloped out six furlongs in 1:15.80. Trainer Colebrook said, “Nice and easy … finished well and galloped out well. Just what you’re looking for. He started out slow and then finished well.”
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            April 27 - 49:00 Breezing 13/51 KEE dirt fast 
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            Keeneland's press office did not relay video of the workout, but we found it the next day. Apology for the delay. The breeze was in company with the unraced 3-year-old filly Merrily Rush, who ceded Raise Cain five furlongs, which he made up by the time they reached the wire. Keeneland clockers did not relay internal fractions to the press office, but they had him galloping out five furlongs in 1:02.80.
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           Trainer Colebrook said, “I just wanted him to have something to run at, a horse five lengths in front of him, because that’s something he’ll be doing in the Derby. It went great. Just what we were looking for. Neither work (referring to April 20 breeze) was real strenuous for him. He’s run enough races that these works are just maintenance, keep the fitness that we have. He’s such a level-headed horse that I felt it was better to keep him here (at Keeneland). We can graze him a couple of hours a day, and he can be in his own stall. If he was nervous or he needed to get acclimated more to Churchill – he’ll have plenty of time over there. We’ll go over there Monday, last minute. He’ll have time to school in the paddock, stand in the gate. We just wanted to keep him home; he does great here. He ran a decent race (in the Toyota Blue Grass), but I think it’s a race he can improve on in the Derby. Pace and a wet track wouldn’t bother me a bit.”
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           Jockey Gerardo Corrales was aboard for the workout. Colebrook said Corrales “in the mix” to ride the colt in the Derby. It's Colebrooks' first Kentucky Derby horse.
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           TOP RESULTS
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           5th Toyota Blue Grass
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           1st Gotham
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           5th Leonatus Stakes
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           2nd Gun Runner
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           TOYOTA BLUE GRASS
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE GOTHAM STAKES
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           Trainer Ben Colebrook, Raise Cain (first): “He finally had some pace to run into, and I think that’s what he’s been missing to be honest. He never really had any pace to close into except in his maiden win. I don’t know that it’s necessarily one turn that he needs, but I definitely think pace to close into is what he needs because he’s such a relaxed horse and he can make that one big run like he did today. More credit goes to Jose for the ride. It was just a phenomenal ride.
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           “He’s bred to go longer and if he were to go on to the Derby, you usually get plenty of pace in there. I think more than anything pace is what he needs. He’s never run a bad race. The first race you can throw out because he’s so lackadaisical and he didn’t know what was going on until after the race. I ran him back after his maiden win going three-quarters [in the Bowman Mill] just because the race was at Keeneland. I probably ran him back too quick and six furlongs might be a little too sharp. But he didn’t run bad that day and the synthetic race was what it was. It just wasn’t the right surface for the horse.
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           “It’s too early to tell, but we’re nominated to the Blue Grass and we’ll nominate to the Wood Memorial. It’ll probably be one of those two races and we’ll see how it plays out and go to whichever race looks like the best option. You got a race in your own backyard and a race that he’s shipped and won over the track. When you ship, it’s always an unknown and now that we’ve shipped here it’s not an unknown for him. Those are two things to think about. So much changes day to day with 3-year-olds and the division and that stuff. It’s like my old boss Christophe Clement would say, ‘It’s a good problem to have.’"
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           Jockey Jose Lezcano, Raise Cain (first): “My horse broke very sharp. I let him break running away from there and when I passed the chute, I saw everybody looking and going outside. I crossed outside to inside and my horse did everything so easy. He did whatever I asked him to do. I think the Carlos Olivero horse was in the second path and I tried to go through, but when I tried to go through he came over and I had to check a little bit and go around. My horse did it very easy. He's a very light horse and when I asked him, he got right back into the race.
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           ROCKET CAN (KY)  30-1  #18
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           Derby Points: 60
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $284,025
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           Jockey: Junior Alvarado
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           Trainer: William I. Mott
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           Owner: Frank Fletcher Racing Operations, Inc.
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           Breeder: Woodford Thoroughbreds, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Tension (Tapit, Tough Tiz's Sis)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-4-3-0-0 (8) 4.33
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           Foal Date: April 28, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $245,000 RNA Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 5, barn 19
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 13 - 46:60 Breezing 1/34 CD dirt fast
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           Rocket Can galloped out five furlongs in :59.20 and six in 1:12.60.
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            April 23 - 1:01.00  Breezing 11/41 CD dirt fast 
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           Rocket Can broke off six lengths behind stablemate Game Warden. Rocket Can completed early fractions of 12.20 and 36.60 with regular exercise rider Guelser Cardona in the saddle. He finished even with his stablemate at the wire and galloped out several lengths in front through six furlongs in 1:14.20.
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           Rocket Can had blinkers added for the move and will for the Derby. Trainer Mott said, “It was a nice steady work. He worked fast last week and I was just looking for a good, steady work this week. He galloped out well and stayed within himself. It maybe was a little bit of a wide trip in the Arkansas Derby. The one thing that race told me is he still has more to give in the tank. I don’t think he’s quite learned to give it his all. That’s what you get this time of year with 3-year-olds but they can improve quickly. He’s got a lot of route pedigree on his bottom side being by Tapit. We added blinkers in today’s work and will for the race. Hopefully, that will help him go past horses when he runs up beside them.”
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            April 30 - 59.80 Breezing 4/35 CD dirt fast 
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           Trainer Mott said, “He’ll have an easy day tomorrow, then we’ll get him back on a medium exercise program until Derby Day. We just hope that he stays healthy, and in one piece, until Saturday. The one thing we all have to prove is if we can get 10 furlongs. That’s always the question in the Derby, there’s not that many prep races at that mile-and-a-quarter distance (tongue in cheek). When they turn for home in the Derby, that really sorts them out. We hope this horse has the stamina to get the 10 furlongs. We think he has it, he has a pedigree that indicates he should get the distance. You never know if they can do it, until they do it.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           4th Arkansas Derby
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           2nd Fountain of Youth
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           1st Holy Bull
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE ARKANSAS DERBY
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            Trainer Bill Mott, Rocket Can (fourth as the favorite): “Had a pretty good trip. Tick wide, but not bad. Really made it around the first turn pretty good. Had a clear trip. He moved up to third going around the (second turn) and then just couldn't find that other gear that he needed to go on. The winnerwon pretty impressively, the way it looked, and we were very close for second. I think there's a little more there. And Junior (Alvarado) is the same. He gives you the feeling there's a little more there, but he's just not quite giving it all to you yet.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH STAKES
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           Trainer Bill Mott, Rocket Can (second) and Shadow Dragon (fifth): “[Rocket Can] ran big. He was a little sharp leaving there. He broke awfully sharp. He was a little geared up in the post parade. He was a little more wound up than I actually like to see him. I was hoping he wouldn’t get too excited, but he still looked like he ran his race. He looked like he held on well. He broke sharp, in good position, was tactical and ran well.”
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           Jockey Junior Alvarado, Rocket Can (second): “It was a good trip. I ended up where I wanted to be. The only thing was on the backside we were putting a little bit of pressure. From 24 [seconds] the first part we had to speed it up to 23 the second quarter. Normally we do that the other way around, but he was there. Every time I ride him, he’s a different horse in the post parade, a different dimension. We’re trying to figure it out. I just think he hasn’t matured yet. He comes here and he’s very playful. I don’t think he’s put it all together. I take that as a good thing. Hopefully when he puts it together we can gain a few more lengths. He ran an unbelievable race. He was just second-best today.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE HOLY BULL STAKES
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           Trainer Bill Mott, Rocket Can (first): “It was a little troubling on the first turn when he was four wide, but obviously it’s a short run to the turn and he had the outside post. He was four wide going into the turn and three wide coming out of it. The good part about all that is you have a clean trip. You’re running farther than anyone else, but he got a nice, clean trip and that’s probably what he needed today. It seems like he’s going to keep going. Hopefully another sixteenth is good and another three-sixteenths is real good. Only time will tell that.”
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           Jockey Junior Alvarado, Rocket Can (first): “The horse broke sharp and I hustled out of there just to make sure I’m forwardly placed and he was there for me. I couldn’t really save much ground the first part because everybody had the same idea to get out of there running. I ended up being a little bit wide, but he was very kind. He was nice and relaxed the whole way around so I was very pleased with what I had under me. By the three-eighths pole I started picking it up little by little knowing that it’s the first wire. I had a great feeling going all the way around. I know before when he gets head-to-ead with horses he kind of stayed there, so I tried something different to surprise him a little bit and try to get away from there so he doesn’t stay with those horses, and he was there for me. He responded very well. Mr. Mott does an amazing job with all his horses, and he brought this one very ready for me.
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           “The other horse was coming but I can guarantee you we could have gone two times around the track, and he wouldn’t have gone by me. When he felt that horse coming, he kind of rebroke, even after the wire. I didn’t have a problem. I knew he was ready for a fight if we needed it.”
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           HIT SHOW (KY)  30-1  #1
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           Derby Points: 60
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $277,500
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           Jockey: Manuel Franco
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Gary and Mary West
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           Breeder: Gary &amp;amp; Mary West Stables Inc.
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Candy Ride (ARG), Ride the Rails, Candy Girl (ARG))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Actress (Tapit, Milwaukee Appeal (CAN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-5-6-1-0 (14) 2.50
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           Foal Date: May 9, 2023
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           Auction Price(s)
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           None
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 10, barn 22
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 21 - 1:01.00   Breezing 18/33 CD dirt fast
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           BRAD COX COMMENTS
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            Hit Show breezed in company to the inside of Verifying with an exercise rider up. They got identical times for five furlongs. Trainer Cox said he had them in 1:00.60 and out six in 1:13.80. Clocker John Nichols reported initial splits of 12.60, 24.40 and 48.60. "We weren't looking to do as much with that set as Angel of Empire and Jace's Road (six furlongs)," he said. Cox said the works are designed mainly to maintain fitness. Cox added, “Hit Show just missed in the Wood Memorial. It was a pretty tough beat that day, but he showed us that as the distances get longer he can handle the route of ground as well."
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            April 29 - 59.60 Breezing 4/54 CD dirt fast 
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           Trainer Cox said, “They were both pretty straightforward moves. We’re one week out from the race and they are important works, but we didn’t want to ask them to do too much. They did it on their own and did what we needed to see going into the Derby."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           2nd Wood Memorial
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           1st Withers Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE WOOD MEMORIAL
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           Jockey Manny Franco, Hit Show (second from post 13): "I was right in between those horses [Dreamlike and Lord Miles] like a ping pong ball. They hit me on both sides. I don't know. He was there for me and right between horses. Those bumps, I don't know. I don't think he was comfortable with that."
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           Does he believe the contact with winner Lord Miles cost him the win? "Yes. Definitely."
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Cox’s Belmont Park-based assistant Dustin Dugas said, “He came back great this morning. He had some jostling in the first turn and down the stretch, but he battled on well and it was a good race. He ran really well, so I’m happy with him.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE WITHERS STAKES
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Hit Show (first): “I just liked the way the Withers was coming up. I thought he fit well with the group. Obviously, he was 6-5, so everybody else thought so, too. It actually worked out well delaying the race a week as we had a little bit of an issue getting [a flight] out of Memphis. We would have made the race last week, but we would have been close on getting there in time.
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           "(His next race) very well could be the Wood Memorial. He obviously likes the racetrack there and we’ll see how things go.”
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           Jockey Manny Franco, Hit Show (first): “The horse helped me a lot. He had a clean break. He broke so sharp out of there and put me in a perfect position. I wanted to be fourth or fifth and I was following the right horse [Arctic Arrogance] and I was so happy with the position. When it was time to move, he was there for me. He responded really well and got the job done.
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           “He’s a little green. He’s learning race by race and I think he’ll be OK. I think the more distance the better for him. I put my hands down [in the gallop out] and I didn’t pull on him. I just let him gallop out and he kept going around. I had to pull him up to make him stop.”
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           CONFIDENCE GAME (KY)  20-1  #4
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           Derby Points: 57
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $610,480
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           Jockey: James Graham
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           Trainer: J. Keith Desormeaux
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           Owner: Don't Tell My Wife Stables &amp;amp; Ocean Reef Racing
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           Breeder: Summer Wind Equine LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Candy Ride (ARG), Ride the Rails, Candy Girl (ARG))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Eblouissante (Bernardini, Vertigineux)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-10-1-0 (16) 1.67
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           Foal Date: April 23, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $25,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: on or around March 28, barn 24, stall 2
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 8 - 1.00:40 Breezing 5/28 CD dirt fast
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           April 14 - 1.38:20 Breezing gate 1/1 CD dirt fast
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           Splits: 24.60, 36.00, 47.80, 1:00.20, 1:13.00 and 1:25.60; out 1 1/4 mile in 2:05.80. Per Churchill Downs he worked in company with two horses in tandem. James Graham was on board for the work.
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           APRIL 21 HEADS-UP:
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            Seven days after his most recent breeze with with rain forecast tomorrow in Louisville, the next work for Confidence Game "is still to be determined" according to Churchill Downs. The colt is actively training, according to the report.
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           April 29 - 59:00 Breezing 1/54 CD dirt fast 
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           “That beautiful breeze you saw was his last real preparation,” Desormeaux said. “And it was awesome. I heard he galloped out one mile and one-sixteenth in 1:43. He walked back to the barn with steady controlled breathing and he was relaxed cooling out. We just need to keep him happy and limber, school him in the paddock this week, enjoy the process and we’re ready.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           1st Rebel Stakes
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           3rd Lecomte Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE REBEL STAKES
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           Trainer Keith Desormeaux, Confidence Game (first): “I just pick good horses, we don’t worry about the price (laughing). He sort of lost his mind in the paddock, so I was worried until he got on the track. James got him to settle down out there. He’s really come into his own. He started off pretty immature, but as the races went on, he has improved things mentally, and physically.
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           Jockey James Graham, Confidence Game (first): “I was able to settle him down when we were warming up so he got back in the things mentally. I was really happy with where I was early in the race. He wasn’t doing too much too soon. He had a ton left down the lane. I’m just so happy for everyone involved and especially this horse. He keeps maturing and doing things the right way. I think the sky is the limit for him.”
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           IROQUOIS, LECOMTE
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           No post-race quotes available.
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           VERIFYING (KY)  15-1  #2
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           Derby Points: 54
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $369,750
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           Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Westerberg, Magnier, Mrs. John, Poulin, Jonathan, Smith, Derrick and Tabor, Michael B.
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           Breeder: Hunter Valley &amp;amp; Mountmellick Farm, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Justify (Scat Daddy, Stage Magic)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Diva Delite (Repent, Tour Hostess)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-2-3-0-0 (6) 3.00
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           Foal Date: May 11, 2020
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           $775,000 September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 10, barn 22, stall 34
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 21 - 1:01.00 Breezing 18/33 CD dirt fast 
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           BRAD COX COMMENTS
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           Verifying breezed in company to the outside of Hit Show. They got identical times for five furlongs. Tyler Gaffalione was on board Verifying. Trainer Cox said he had them in 1:00.60 and out six in 1:13.80. Clocker John Nichols reported initial splits of 12.60, 24.40 and 48.60. "We weren't looking to do as much with that set as Angel of Empire and Jace's Road (six furlongs)," Cox said. Cox said the works are designed mainly to maintain fitness.
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            Trainer Cox added, “Verifying, like Hit Show, was a tough beat about an hour before in the Blue Grass. Going back in his career, I don’t’ think he was quite ready when we ran him in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He started to mature over the winter and I’m still a little confused on his effort in the Rebel. He was in contention, then dropped back and then rallied in the stretch. He put things together in the Blue Grass and has a lot of tactical speed that should play to his advantage in the Derby.”
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           April 29 - 59.40 Breezing 2/54 CD dirt fast
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           Tyler Gafffalione was aboard. Trainer Cox said, “They (Hit Show and Verifying) were both pretty straightforward moves. We’re one week out from the race and they are important works, but we didn’t want to ask them to do too much. They did it on their own and did what we needed to see going into the Derby."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           2nd Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           4th Rebel Stakes
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           6th Breeders' Cup Juvenile
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           2nd Champagne Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE TOYOTA BLUE GRASS STAKES
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           Jockey Tyler Gaffalione, Verifying (second): “He really ran a huge race and tried very hard. (Tapit Trice) kind of came in on me in the stretch, but my horse really tried hard today, especially in the stretch. He dug in and almost got it done.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE REBEL STAKES
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           Trainer Brad Cox, 3-2 favorite Verifying (fourth) and 2-1 second choice Giant Mischief (sixth): “We’ll regroup. Obviously, we were hoping for a better result. I think both got something out of it. Kind of set close to a hot pace. I really don’t know what to make of it yet. Need to watch the replay. Obviously, going pretty quick early on. They both bounce out of it in good order, we’ll see what happens.”
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           Jockey Florent Geroux, Verifying (fourth): “Actually, I liked the beginning, but not the ending. From the quarter pole home, it took me a very long time to find some room and all the horses in front of me, they were just stopping. It took me a long time to find some room. Got through late, but the race was already over.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING JAN. 15 OAKLAWN ALLOWANCE RACE
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Verifying (first): “It went better than planned. We’ve always liked this colt. Mentally, I don’t know if he’s always been as polished as some of the other ones, but he’s really starting to, I think, figure it out. I thought it was a huge run off the freshening since the Breeders’ Cup.”
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           Jockey Martin Garcia, Verifying (first): “That’s a really good horse. Sometimes you break and have intentions to go and then later you take back. It’s hard. In this case, I had intentions to go and the other horse goes, then I sat outside, and moved around him. I asked him one time and he just took off. He just kept going. I knew he had some time off since the Breeders’ Cup. I think he’s a really good horse mentally and, of course, he has a lot of ability. That’s a really, really good horse.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE CHAMPAGNE STAKES
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Verifying (second) (speaking in January prior to Oaklawn allowance race): "I thought he ran really well in the Champagne to give us enough confidence out of the Champagne, training at Churchill, to try the Breeders' Cup. He didn't run a bad race, just probably wasn't quite up to par at that time. I'm hoping that now since he got a little time, we backed off him, he's back training, steady work pattern leading into this, and hopeful he takes that step forward from two to three."
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           SUN THUNDER (KY)  50-1  #13
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           Derby Points: 54
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $181,500
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           Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: R.T Racing Stable and Cypress Creek Equine
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           Breeder: Southern Equine Stables, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Greenfield d'Oro (Medaglia d'Oro, Maryfield (CAN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-2-1-0 (8) 3.00
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           Foal Date: March 12, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $400,000 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky November 2020
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           $495,000 RNA Fasig-Tipson Saratoga August 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: returned April 8 after Blue Grass, barn 6
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            WORKOUTS
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            April 26 - 48.60 Breezing 10/40 CD dirt fast 
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           May 2 - Sun Thunder 47:80 Breezing 3/20 CD dirt fast  
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           He breezed four furlongs with blinkers on under Brian Hernandez Jr., who will ride him in the Derby. Trainer McPeek said, “It was just a maintenance half for him. Brian was happy with him. He was going evenly, that’s what we wanted.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           4th Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           5th Louisiana Derby
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           2nd Risen Star Stakes
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           4th Southwest Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE TOYOTA BLUE GRASS STAKES
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           Jockey Florent Geroux, Sun Thunder (fourth): “I was at the back of the pack and I weaved my way through traffic. We took fourth place, all went great but he was really out of reach from the first two.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE RISEN STAR STAKES
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           Trainer Kenny McPeek, Sun Thunder (second) (four days after the Risen Star): “He’s a tough little horse. We started to pigeonhole him a little as a sprinter, but we wanted to give him one more chance to route. He had a tough draw [post 11], and if he’s ever going to be a horse to compete in these big races, he needs to rate. He doesn’t like a lot of dirt hitting him and traffic."
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           Jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr., Sun Thunder (second): “It worked out great. I wanted to be a little bit more into the race, but they were bunched up and going fast. My plan going out there was to follow the 6 (Angel of Empire). Midway down the backside I found him, tracked him and he got me to the second turn, but then he went around (the field), and with my horse only having four starts I knew I couldn’t go around all those horses and still be in contention. So it worked out well, we rode the fence, rolled the dice and it opened up. But it helped too that the horse was there for me, he was taking me there and cruising the whole way. When we tuned for home and switched leads I was like, he’s gone from here. In just his fourth race to go 1 1/8 miles against a 14-horse field, he’s going to get better and better.”
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           MAGE (KY)  15-1  #8
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $205,200
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           Jockey: Javier Castellano
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           Trainer: Gustavo Delgado
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           Owner: OGMA Investments, LLC, Restrepo, Ramiro, Sterling Racing LLC and CMNWLTH
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           Breeder: Grandview Equine
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Good Magic (Curlin, Glinda the Good)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Puca (Big Brown, Boat's Ghost)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-8-0-0 (14) 2.50
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           Foal Date: April 18, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $235,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           $290,000 Fasig-Tipton Mid-Atlantic 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 24, barn 42
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 16 - 1.01:09 Breezing 5/20 GP dirt fast
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           Gustavo Delgado Jr., assistant trainer to his father: “What we usually do after a big race like we had, we try to go nice and easy. That seems to be what he did today. If the weather stays like this here, he may have another work here. It will all depend on how he behaves. We already know what we have.”
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            April 22 - 1.14.78 Breezing 1/1 GP dirt fast 
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           Assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr. said, “He worked good. We liked what we saw. Everything is going to plan, Thank God. We just want him to get to know the track (in Louisville). We don’t expect to do very much there, fitness-wise. He should be ready after this work. Every day is crucial. We’ll take it day by day, but we like the position we’re in right now." Mage doesn't yet have a jockey assignment for the Derby.
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           April 29 - 1.16:80 Breezing 1/1 CD dirt fast   
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           Assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado, Jr. said, “This workout was much like his previous workouts, but it was slower and he covered more ground. That was the plan. And it was mission accomplished, as you might say. We already know that he’s a fast horse, but now we’re training him for stamina. That’s pretty much the plan. The way he was traveling, he gave us a good feeling that he likes the track. (The exercise rider) said he liked everything about it, the track, the work, the way he came back, all are good signs. He’ll walk tomorrow, and Monday he’ll jog and we’ll bring him to the gate. We’ll probably bring him back to the gate either Thursday or Friday. Pretty much the heavy work is done. A talented horse that’s feeling good, it’s all you need for the race. We believe that he’s building the stamina needed for a mile-and-a-quarter.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           2nd Florida Derby
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           4th Fountain of Youth Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE FLORIDA DERBY
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           Assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr., Mage (second): “We expected a better break from the gate. That was key. It happened again; it can’t happen in a race like the Derby. Other than that, what else can you ask? Good thing is Saez didn’t panic, so he didn’t force him. He let him get his stride. He made a move, and I thought he was getting home. He might have gotten tired but, remember, it’s still his third race. How many races did it take Forte to get to the level he is?”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH STAKES
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           Assistant trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr., Mage (fourth): “We knew that it was a big task for him. The only thing that we’d change is the fact that he didn’t break very well from the gate. That always gives an advantage to the other horses. It’s just his second race. There’s nothing wrong about him. The main thing is he comes back good and we’ll decide what we’re going to do. We know we have a nice horse.”
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           Jockey Javier Castellano, Mage (fourth): “He didn’t break the first jump but we had a mle and a sixteenth to run. He got a good position. In the first turn he was a little wide but then on the backside he was right there behind those three horses going a good pace. The only horse that come from behind is Forte, the best horse in the country, by far. He came from behind and blew away the field. But if you analyze the race, all the first three horses that dictate the pace they were 2-3-4. I liked the way he ran. I’m not disappointed at all. It’s only his second start. It’s a big thing, first time two turns, no Lasix, a big step up in class. All the horses had run four, five, six times. He finished fourth. We confronted the best horses in the country and he’s going to move forward.”
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           DISARM (KY)  30-1  #11
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           Derby Points: 46
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $237,500
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
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           Breeder: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Gun Runner (Candy Ride (ARG), Quiet Giant)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Easy Tap (Tapit, Easily)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-4-7-0-0 (12) 2.43
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           Foal Date: Feb. 28, 2020
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           None
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 28, barn 38, stall 21
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 3 - 50:60 Breezing 18/18 CD dirt fast
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           April 10 - 50:20 Breezing 8/11 CD dirt fast
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            April 24 - 1:00.00 Breezing 1/18 CD dirt fast 
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           JOEL ROSARIO VIDEO
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           STEVE ASMUSSEN VIDEO
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           Disarm ran initial fractions of 13.20, 25.40, 36.60 and 48.40. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20  and seven in 1:26.60 according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols and the morning works show.
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           Jockey Rosario said, “I thought he worked really well this morning coming out of the Lexington. He was well within himself the entire work. He looks a lot like his sire (Gun Runner). He’s built bigger than he (Disarm) is but looking at him they have a lot of the same traits.”
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “He’s a very durable horse and I think the best is yet to come from him. He’s a horse we missed a little time with over the winter and we’re behind schedule. The one opportunity for a points race was the Louisiana Derby. He ran solid but needed more points to get in it. He’s a horse we definitely didn’t want to miss this opportunity with. We were looking for a little sense of direction in his work this morning. I think he’s not given us everything to this point and there’s more in the tank. I like how he accelerated to the wire and got over the racetrack nicely.”
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            May 1- 49.20 Breezing 15/30 CD dirt fast 
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           Any available quotes will be added later today.
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           TOP RESULTS
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           2nd Louisiana Derby
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           3rd Lexington Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE LOUISIANA DERBY
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           Jockey Joel Rosario, Disarm (second): "He seems like he could be a special horse. We got a good trip. I was inside, in behind. That horse (Kingsbarns) went on with it. He has to keep improving, but he did everything right today."
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE STONESTREET LEXINGTON STAKES
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           Owner Ron Winchell, Disarm (third): “It looks like he got enough points to go, so we have the option to go. We’ll see how he comes out of this race. We’ve always thought a mile and a quarter would be fine for him.”
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            Jockey Jose Ortiz, Disarm (third): “I was squeezed a little leaving the gate. Ended up a little farther back than I wanted to. After that, it was a pretty good trip. I was just third best. The pace wasn’t there. It was :48.”
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           REINCARNATE (KY)  50-1  #7
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           Derby Points: 45
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $263,250
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           Jockey: John Velazquez
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           Trainer: Tim Yakteen
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           Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Masterson, Robert E., Stonestreet Stables LLC, Schoenfarber, Jay A., Waves Edge Capital LLC and Donovan, Catherine
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           Breeder: Woods Edge Farm, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Good Magic (Curlin, Glinda the Good)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Allanah (Scat Daddy, Star in the Corner)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-5-0-0 (10) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 1, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $775,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 29, barn 27
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 16 - 1:00.00 Handily 12/99 SA dirt fast 
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            April 22 - 1.01:00 Handily 7/16 SA dirt fast 
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “He worked great. Looked really good this morning."
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            April 28 - 46:40 Handily 1/31 SA dirt fast 
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Reincarnate went great. He had some outside company and looked really nice. Knock on wood, but we should be all set.”
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           TOP RESULTS
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           3rd Arkansas Derby
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           3rd Rebel Stakes
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           1st Sham Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE ARKANSAS DERBY
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           Trainer Tim Yakteen, Reincarnate (third): “He ran hard. Johnny had to use him to get in a good position, and I thought he ran very genuine. Hopefully we can improve off of that. Our next game plan still hasn’t been determined yet. He’s come out of his race so far in good shape. We’ll take it from there and get him back to California. We’ve got five weeks to decide what we want to do.”
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           Jockey John Velazquez, Reincarnate (third): "I thought we had a great trip, but he didn’t seem to have it today."
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE REBEL STAKES
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           Trainer Tim Yakteen, Reincarnate (third): “He ran giant. The race didn’t come out the way we had scripted it. That happens in racing, but my horse ran huge.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE SHAM STAKES
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           Former trainer Bob Baffert, Reincarnate (first): “He’s the kind of horse that can run all day long. He broke great and Juan just kind of let him run away from there. They were all on their own, I didn’t give anybody any instructions. After looking at that time, that was serious time, they ran really fast. We were hoping to win it. I think the horse showed that distance is not going to be a problem for him once he got the lead. I was surprised he had that easy lead and he just kept going.”
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           Jockey Juan Hernandez, Reincarnate (first): “It looks like this horse is getting better with every race, the first couple of starts, he was a little green. He always liked to look around. Today, he broke really sharp and actually he surprised me. I had come up with a plan to stay behind the speed, make him relax and make one move, but when the gate opened, plans changed. I saw myself in front, so I just let him run. I felt the fractions were like a hard pace, but he was really comfortable. He’s a really big horse, he has a big stride.
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           "Around the three eighths, when the other horse came to me, my horse responded back and he hit the wire first. He kind of waited for the other horses, but he’s still learning how to run. When he got the lead, he tried to wait for the company, but when he saw the other horse come to me, he saw him and fought back. He can go as far as you want. He’s a big horse so, I think he can go further than this. He already showed up today.”
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           JACE'S ROAD (KY)  50-1  #12
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           Derby Points: 45
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $200,350
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           Jockey: Florent Geroux
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: West Point Thoroughbreds and Albaugh Family Stables LLC
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           Breeder: Colts Neck Stables LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Quality Road (Elusive Quality, Kobla)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Our Post (Silver Deputy (CAN), Secret Wildcat
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-2-6-0-0 (10) 2.33
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           Foal Date: April 25, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $510,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 28, barn 22
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 8 - 49:60 Breezing 50/66 CD dirt fast
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           April 15 - 48:20 Breezing 20/99 CD dirt fast
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           Jace's Road worked outside Victory Formation (also timed in 48.20). Fractions for the workout were not made available by Churchill Downs.
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           April 21 - 1.13:40 Breezing 1/2 CD dirt fast 
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           VIDEO
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           BRAD COX COMMENTS
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           Trainer Cox said Jace's Road could run in the Pat Day Mile or the Peter Pan or maybe some other races if he doesn't make the Derby field. Cox mentioned the Derby also-eligible list will likely draw Jace's Road if a spot hasn't opened up by May 1, when entries close. He said they were looking to do more with Angel of Empire and Jace's Road working in company (six furlongs) than the set of Hit Show and Verifying (five furlongs). Trainer Cox added, “Jace’s Road is sitting on the outside looking in but worked well this morning with Angel of Empire. I thought they handled themselves well and galloped out strongly." Angel of Empire and Jace's Road broke off at the 5/8 mile pole and worked past the wire to mid-turn, six furlongs on his watch in 1:13.20, and out seven in 1:26.40. Cox said the works are designed mainly to maintain fitness. According to track clocker John Nichols, their initial fractions were 12.20, 23.80, 35.60 and 1:00.40, and they galloped out seven furlongs in 1:26.40.
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            Jace's Road April 29 - 1.01:20 Breezing 21/54 CD dirt fast (official clocking) 
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           TOP RESULTS
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           3rd Louisiana Derby
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           5th Southwest Stakes
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           1st Gun Runner Stakes
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           8th Street Sense Stakes
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           3rd Iroquois Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE LOUISIANA DERBY
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Jace's Road (third): "I'm a little frustrated. Lack of pace in the race. It's not going to happen like that in the Kentucky Derby.
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           Jockey Florent Geroux, Jace’s Road (third): "We got the points. He ran great actually. I wished we could have pressed the winner more, but he never really took me. I took a shot at him right before the first turn, but Flavien just opened his hands and his horse was in front of me again. I felt like he just wasn't there for me. I thought I could maybe make the lead, but if I sent him really hard, I don't know that he would have had any finish. I was very content with my position. He ran great down the lane. It doesn't look like distance is going to be a problem."
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE GUN RUNNER STAKES
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           Trainer Brad Cox, Jace's Road (first): "Believe it or not this wasn't really the goal after his last race at Churchill," trainer Brad Cox said, referring to Jace's Road's eighth-place finish in the Street Sense. "We kinda gave him some time off after that and then we came down here with him and he really put together a couple of nice works which told us he was ready to go."
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           Jockey Florent Geroux, Jace's Road (first): "He broke super sharp. On paper it didn't seem there was much speed so I thought if my horse won the break then I would take it from there."
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE STREET SENSE STAKES
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           Jockey Florent Geroux, Jace’s Road (eighth as 2-1 favorite): “I thought I had him in the perfect spot, and really at the five-eighths pole I didn’t have any horse.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE IROQUOIS STAKES
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           Jockey Florent Geroux, Jace's Road (third): “I saw the speed duel developing in front of me, so I wanted to take my horse back from the leaders so he didn’t get too aggressive too early. On the backside I got him in a better spot and the leaders sort of got away from me around the turn. When I tipped him out in the stretch he came running again. It was his first time going two turns, so I think this race is going to be really key for him moving forward with his fitness. He’s still young and learning.”
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           SKINNER (KY)  20-1  #9
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           SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 45
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $174,500
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           Jockey: Juan Hernandez
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           Trainer: John A. Shirreffs
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           Owner: C R K Stable LLC
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           Breeder: Stonestreet Thoroughbred Holdings LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriffs Deputy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Winding Way (Malibu Moon, More Than Pretty)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 6-6-10-0-0 (22) 3.40
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           Foal Date: Feb. 18, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $40,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           $510,000 OBS April 2022
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 30, barn 41
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 17 - 48:00 Handily 19/70 SA dirt fast
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           April 23 - 1:13.40 Handily 1/3 SA dirt fast 
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           Under Victor Espinoza, Skinner went solo and broke off at the six-furlong pole. Trainer Shirreffs said, “Victor worked him perfect. He went the first furlong in 13 seconds and change and gradually picked it up at every pole. I got him the last eighth of a mile in 11 seconds. Could have been 11 and a tick. He finished full of run. (As for the Derby) if we’re not in, why would we go? It’s a tough decision to make to go all the way there and then not get in. We’ll keep Skinner on his schedule. If we hear something early enough, we’d go. But if we don’t, I don’t know. I’ve been there before sitting on the outside and didn’t get to run.”
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           April 29 - 1.14:00 Handily 3/3 SA dirt fast   
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           Trainer Shirreffs said, “I was very happy with how he worked. We wanted another work like last week. We wanted to start off easy and finish strong with a good gallop-out. Keep him thinking about finishing. Juan (Hernandez) said he thought the horse was very professional and did everything right. He finished up his last eighth in 11 and 2."
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           TOP RESULTS
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           3rd Santa Anita Derby
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           3rd San Felipe Stakes
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           3rd Del Mar Futurity
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           JOCKEY SHAKEUP
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           Juan Hernandez replaces Victor Espinoza. "We thought a change would maybe shake things up a little bit," trainer John Shirreffs told DRF's Steve Andersen. "Maybe Skinner was used to the way Victor was riding him. It might help to have a different rider."
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING SANTA ANITA DERBY
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           Trainer John Shirreffs, Skinner (third): “He was a little bit wide, he didn’t get a chance to cut a corner anywhere, which would have helped."
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE SAN FELIPE STAKES
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           Jockey Victor Espinoza, Skinner (third): “I thought he ran an excellent race." Espinoza said he would have liked "to be closer to the lead.” Skinner was about six lengths off the pace after the opening quarter-mile.
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           CONTINUAR (JPN)  50-1  #20
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           SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 40 on Japan Road
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings:
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           Jockey: Ryusel Sakai
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           Trainer: Yoshito Yahagi
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           Owner: Lion Race Horse Co. Ltd.
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           Breeder: Lake Villa Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Drefong (Gio Ponti, Eltimaas)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Pan de Ring (JPN) (King Kamehameha (JPN), Fusaichi Pandora (JPN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-1-9-2-0 (14) 1.15
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           Foal Date: March 7, 2020
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           Auction Price(s)
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           $635,432 JHRA Yearling and Foal Sale 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 8, barn Q1
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           WORKOUTS
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            April 26 - 50:00 Breezing 30/40 CD dirt fast 
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           The work was in company with Derma Sotogake and ended at the finish line. Both broke off from the four-furlong marker. His splits were 13.80, 26.40, 38.20, 50.00. Internal fractions were 13.80, 12.60, 11.80, 11.80.  Kate Hunter, the Japan Racing Association representative for the Kentucky Derby, said that both riders were happy with the works, with Derma Sotogake's rider pleased with the response in the stretch. Breaking off at the half-mile pole, Continuar was three lengths in front. By the head of the stretch, Derma Sotogake had drawn even and was clear at the wire.
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           TOP RESULTS
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           3rd UAE Derby
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           5th Saudi Derby
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           1st Cattleya Sho Stakes
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           2nd Mochinoki Sho Stakes
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           CYCLONE MISCHIEF (KY)  30-1  #21
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           Derby Points: 45
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $137,525
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: Dale L. Romans
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           Owner: Albaugh Family Stables LLC and Castleton Lyons
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           Breeder: Castleton Lyons &amp;amp; Kilboy Estate
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Areyoucominghere (Bernardini, Uchitel)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-2-3-0-0 (6) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 30, 2020
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           $450,000 Keeneland September 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 3, barn 4
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 15 - 52.60 Breezing 99/99 CD dirt fast
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            April 23 - 1:01.00   Breezing 11/41 CD dirt fast 
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           Cyclone Mischief ran initial fractions of 12.20, 24.20 and 36.20. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.00, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols. Trainer Romans said, “I hope we can get him in the Derby. I thought he worked great this morning.”
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           April 29 - 1.00:80 Breezing 16/54 CD dirt fast  VIDEO UNAVAILABLE
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           Trainer Romans said, “He looked really good, now all we can do is wait and see. He’s been training great. If he gets in, they’ll know he’s in there.”
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            APRIL 29 NOTE:
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           Cyclone Mischief worked solo with fractions of 12.00, 23.40, 36.00 and out six in 1:14.60. The work was uneventful. He needs one defection to make the Kentucky Derby. A slow out time as measured by the clockers, but he would be a pace factor in the Derby.
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           TOP RESULTS
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           3rd Florida Derby
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           3rd Fountain of Youth Stakes
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           7th Holy Bull Stakes
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           7th Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE FLORIDA DERBY
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           Trainer Dale Romans, Cyclone Mischief (third): “I thought he ran a beautiful race. I thought he put himself where he needed to be, I thought Javier rode him well. I think it’s on to Churchill. I thought today he looked like he handled [the distance] fine. The pace scenario might be a little different going longer. It might even be better for him.”
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           Jockey Javier Castellano, Cyclone Mischief (third): “He ran really good. I had a little bit of a wide trip, but there’s nothing you can do with the nine hole. I couldn’t save any ground but I liked the way he did it. He fight all the way to the top of the stretch. I think he was just third-best today. He got a good foundation and hopefully it will pay off.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Romans said, “He looks good. We look forward to the Derby. His last couple races have been good and he keeps improving, so we’ll have him back in there.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH STAKES
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           Trainer Dale Romans, Cyclone Mischief (third): “It’s a relief to see him run hard like he did. He tried all the way. He did all the work. I’m very pleased with him. It’s a step forward. We’ll go to the next one. I told [jockey Tyler Gaffalione] to just let him go wherever he wanted. He’s a quick horse. He ran well today. Big improvement.”
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           Jockey Tyler Gaffalione, Cyclone Mischief (third): “Last time I felt like to took too much away from him so today we had a little better post position and I wanted to be more forward. He broke like a rocket. He traveled great throughout and his ears were going back and forth down the backside. We just couldn’t match the winner today, but it was a big effort. It’s only his second start back off the layoff so he definitely has room to improve. We’ll see what happens down the road.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE HOLY BULL STAKES
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           Trainer Dale Romans, Cyclone Mischief (seventh): “I don’t know what happened. He didn’t have a very good trip. He broke well, but then he was kind of in a bunch and obviously when it came time to run, he came up empty.”
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           Jockey Tyler Gaffalione, Cyclone Mischief (seventh): “At the quarter pole he started making a little bit of noise and he switched to his off lead, and that was it. But he pulled up fine we’ll see what we’ve got next time.”
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE KENTUCKY JOCKEY CLUB STAKES
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           No applicable quotes are available. Cyclone Mischief (seventh) is the only horse that ran in the Kentucky Jockey Club with a good chance to make the field of the Kentucky Derby. Instant Coffee (the winner) looks very unlikely.
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           MANDARIN HERO (JPN)  20-1  #22
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $339,041
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           Jockey: Kazushi Kimura
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           Trainer: Terunobu Fujita
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           Owner: Hiroaki Arai
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           Breeder: Hirano Bokujo
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Shanghai Bobby (Harlan's Holiday, Steelin')
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Namura Nadeshinko (JPN) (Fuji Kiseki (JPN), Taiki Mystery)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-1-1-0-2 (6) 1.40
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           Foal Date: March 20, 2020
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           None
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 27, barn Q1
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           April 26 - Mandarin Hero 1.04:60 Handily 9/10 SA dirt fast
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           May 2 - Mandarin Hero (JPN) (AE) 1.05:60 Breezing 15/15 CD dirt fast
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           Connections comments are not available. Initial fractions were 13.80 and 38.00.
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           TOP RESULTS
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           2nd Santa Anita Derby
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           2nd Kumotori Sho
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           1st Haiseiko Kinen
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE SANTA ANITA DERBY
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           Trainer Terunobu Fujita, Mandarin Hero (second): “We’re going to the Kentucky Derby! I’m so proud of him. I thought he would not handle the early pace, but he did. I believed he would have a good acceleration in the final stretch as usual. And he did it. Kazushi Kimura gave a really good ride. He made him accelerate at the final stretch. I thought he was going to win. I’m just so excited right now.”
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           Jockey Kazushi Kimura, Mandarin Hero (second): “I thought we got him (Practical Move) at the wire. I was on this horse since he got here and he was very comfortable. Today he was a totally different horse. He was very aggressive in company.  It looks like we’ll be headed to the Kentucky Derby. I’ve never been in the race, so I’m really looking forward to this opportunity.”
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           KING RUSSELL (KY)  50-1  #23
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $227,500
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           Jockey: Rafael Bejarano
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           Trainer: Ron Moquett
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           Owner: Jones, Brereton C. and Naber Racing, LLC
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           Breeder: Brereton C. Jones
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Creative Cause (Giant's Causeway Dream of Summer)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Believe You Will (Proud Citizen, El Fasto)
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           Foal Date: Feb. 8, 2020
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           $60,000 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 4, barn 10
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           WORKOUTS
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           April 16 - 1:03.20 Breezing 16/18 CD dirt fast
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           April 29 - 47.80 Breezing 10/149 CD dirt fast
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           TOP RESULTS
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           2nd Arkansas Derby
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           CONNECTIONS QUOTES FOLLOWING THE ARKANSAS DERBY
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           Trainer Ron Moquett, King Russell (second): “That would be cool (going to the Kentucky Derby), but we've always wanted to try to win this race. So, if we've got a good shot, we're going to take a swing at it. (Rafael Bejarano) rode great. Beautiful horse. He's just improving. We know how tough these races are here. As we see when people ship out, they go and run well in stakes races across the country. So, we're proud of the way we represented today.”
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           Jockey Rafael Bejarano, King Russell (second): “There were tough horses in this race. I was mainly concerned about the 7 (Rocket Can) and the 6 (Angel of Empire). If they had a good trip, they were going to come flying and keep running. But I said my horse, he comes from behind. He loves this track. Every time he was running better and better. I just left him alone, let him break good and make sure he had a good trip and find my position. At the half-mile, when I saw the 6 moving outside me, I said, ‘Now I have to follow this horse.’ Because he looked like he was running. I was in a great spot. Got out in the clear. The horse had a full turn of foot and was running good. I was really happy, especially for the trainer.”
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      <pubDate>Wed, 12 Apr 2023 22:03:55 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>2023 Late Triple Crown Nominations</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/2023-late-triple-crown-nominations</link>
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           2023 Late Triple Crown Nominations
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           Released March 28, 2023
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            1 Sunland Derby winner Wild on Ice
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            2 Kentucky Derby Condition Stakes winner Brave Emperor (IRE)
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            3 El Camino Real Derby winner Chase the Chaos
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            4 Multiple stakes winner Coffeewithchris
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            5 Animal Kingdom Stakes winner Eye Witness
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           6 Sunland Derby third-place finisher Henry Q
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           7 Arkansas Derby entrant Interlock Empire
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           8 Arkansas Derby entrant Kolomio
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           9 Arkansas Derby entrant King Russell
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           10 Florida Derby entrant Mr. Peeks
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           11 Florida Derby entrant Nautical Star
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           12 Two-time stakes winner Ninetyprcentmaddie
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           On March 29, 2023, one day after a list of late nominees was released, Empirestrikesfast was added to the late Triple Crown nominees due to what is said to be a clerical error. He broke his maiden on March 11 at Gulfstream Park,
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           In total, there are now 382 eligible 3-year-olds to compete in the Triple Crown series.
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      <pubDate>Tue, 28 Mar 2023 20:11:39 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>NINE-FURLONG PREP RACES: FRACTIONS AND HOW THEY FINISHED; BEYERS</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/nine-furlong-prep-races-fractions-and-how-they-finished-beyers</link>
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           NINE-FURLONG PREP RACES
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           NOTES, FRACTIONS AND HOW THEY FINISHED
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           ~BEYERS~
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           Updated April 25 w/ additional
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            review of fractions of
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           Derma Sotogake and Continuar
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           Updated with final 5/16 mile
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           in the Lexington Stakes.
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           See immediately below.
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           A Small Bonus Section
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           Final 5/16 Times in 8.5 Furlong Races Since Feb. 4
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           Feb. 4
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            Rocket Can: Won the Holy Bull
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           with a wide trip after being two lengths behind the first half-mile; was only 1/2 length off the pace with 5/16 left and finished in 31.11. Track rated fast. He got an 82 Beyer.
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           Feb. 4
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           The Robert B. Lewis is not analyzed.
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            Only four ran. The winner, Newgate, is off the Derby Trail. Second and third finishers Hard to Figure and Worcester are still in trainer Baffert's hands and thus ineligible for Kentucky Derby points.
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           Feb. 11
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           Litigate: Won the Sam F. Davis Stakes
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            after finishing in a slow 33.36 on a fast track. He is off the Derby Trail with a soft tissue injury. Second finisher Groveland finished eighth in the Tampa Bay Derby. Third finisher Classic Car Wash, who finished in 33.26, was second to Tapit Trice in the Tampa Bay Derby.
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           Feb. 18
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            Instant Coffee: In the Rebel Stakes
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           he earned a 94 Beyer after finishing in 32.41 on a track rated sloppy/sealed. The closing Red Route One got the final 5/16 in 31.56 going from last of 11 to second. Yes, he was last with 5/16 mile to go and was almost 20 lengths behind at the first call.
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           March 4
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            Congruent: Finished the Battaglia Memorial
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           on synthetic in 30.81. He lagged nine lengths behind the pace after a half-mile and was 4 1/2 lengths back with 5/16 mile left. Track fast at Turfway as always. Congruent's Beyer Speed Rating was 91.
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           March 4
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           Forte: In the Fountain of Youth
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           , he was never more than 2 1/2 lengths off the pace and finished in 30.88 seconds after rallying from two lengths back in the final 5/16. Second finisher Rocket Can, second by 4 1/2 lengths, came home in 32.14. Third finisher Cyclone Mischief led after six furlongs and finished in 32.43. Track rated fast. Forte earned a 98 Beyer Speed Figure.
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           March 4
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            Practical Move: The winner of the San Felipe
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           took an inside route into the stretch after waiting on the far turn to win after hitting the gate at the break. He got home in 30.63, besting second finisher Geaux Rocket Ride by 2 1/2 lengths when that one finished in 31.33 after being ahead of the winner at the 5/16 pole. Third finisher Skinner got the final 5/16 in 30.98 after a slow start. Track fast. Beyer Speed Figure: 100. Runner-up Geaux Rocket Ride 96, third place Skinner 94.
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            March 11
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            Tapit Trice: Worst to first in the Tampa Bay Derby,
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           he blew by eight horses to finish in 31.23. Second finisher Classic Car Wash finished in 32.13. Third finisher Classic Legacy timed in 31.98. Track fast. Tapit Trice was given a 92 Beyer. Rocket Can got his second straight 82 Beyer.
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           April 15
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           Disarm finished the final 5/16 mile of the Lexington Stakes
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            in 31.61, all the while losing ground to winner First Mission, who finished in an excellent 31.06, especially considering the short stretch run. After six furlongs, Disarm was two lengths behind First Mission. At the finish Disarm was beaten 4 3/4 lengths by First Mission. In fact, every horse in the race lost ground to First Mission in the final 5/16 mile.
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           Nine Furlong Races +
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           Every year we examine fractions in the 9 and 9.5 furlong Kentucky Derby prep races, with emphasis on (1) whether horses finished the final 3/8 mile in 38 seconds or less; and (2) whether horses ran 12-second furlongs, or what we call "12s," at three of the five calls or better. See Section 7 for more information about "12's". Horses with these abilities do well in the Kentucky Derby. It's better if a horse can run "12's" AND finish in 38 seconds or less in the same race.
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           April 8, 1 1/8 Mile Blue Grass Stakes, Keeneland, track fast
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           When Tapit Trice separated from his lead pony in the post parade and began a slow gallop, he seemingly floated over the ground with grace and ease you rarely see. He is a superior athlete befitting the $1.3 million price he brought at the Keeneland September Yearling Sale in 2021. If you haven't been there, the Keeneland sales pavilion is a baseball throw to the track, where Tapit Trice ran the most important race of his career to date.
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           A winning move was made early by Luis Saez. After Tapit Trice broke a bit slowly, Saez moved him off the rail to the clear outside while traveling into in the first turn. From there it was just a question of whether Tapit Trice was fast enough to run down several horses while going wide. The primary object of his attention turned out to be second betting choice Verifying.
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           Verifying was a stubborn beat, losing by only a neck to a horse that earned a solid Beyer figure. I haven't seen confirmation of it, but I'd think Verifying earned the same figure.
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           Another 5 3/4 lengths back in third was Blazing Sevens. He probably ran a sneaky-good race considering he was four or five wide on both turns. It was his second start of the year, and he stands to improve in his third one if he gets a better trip.
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           The tote board quaked a bit shortly before the gate opened. My recall is that Tapit Trice went from even money to 8-5 while Verifying dropped from 3-1 to 2-1. There was strong late backing for Verifying, but the betting public nailed the cold trifecta. Blazing Sevens was the third choice at 6-1.
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           I don't keep track of things like this, but I think it's rare for the first five finishers of one final prep race to emerge all qualifying for the Kentucky Derby. But that's what happened in the Blue Grass.
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           The gallop-out showed Verifying out front, soon to be joined by Tapit Trice, and then Blazing Sevens appeared with them in the middle of the first turn as his rider was beginning to pull him up.
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           Tapit Trice earned a 99 Beyer Speed Figure in the Blue Grass.
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           Tapit Trice
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           He earned 12s at the first three calls, which qualifies, and finished in under 38 seconds despite a five wide/three wide trip. The chart call: "Tapit Trice was hustled out of the gates, shifted out to the four path while off of the pace around the first turn, gained five wide and outside of foes entering the backstretch, to achieve stalking position by the five furlong pole, pressed outside of the top pair around the far turn, ranged up to a leading Verifying while getting floated to the five path entering the lane, bid coming to midstretch, brushed with that one at the furlong grounds, then took a bump while forging an advantage in the closing stages."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.92 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.54 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.77 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.64 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.00 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.92
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.62
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.23
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.87
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.36
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.23
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           Verifying
          &#xD;
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           He earned 12s at the first three calls, which qualifies, and finished in under 38 seconds while having a good trip. The chart call: "Verifying stalked two wide, bid entering the far turn, led turning for home, shifted out to the four path entering the lane to float an on-charging Tapit Trice wider, gamely resisted that foe's bid in upper stretch, brushed with him at the furlong grounds, then subtly came out under left handed urging in the final sixteenth, and bumped his counterpart while being bested."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.82 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.24 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.61 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.60 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.05 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.82
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.42
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.37
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.99
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.45
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.44
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           Blazing Sevens
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           He did not earn 12s and did not finish in under 38 seconds, but he was brave in the stretch to hold third. This is an astute chart writer. The chart call: "Blazing Sevens laid off of the pace in the four to five paths, tracked in hand outside of foes down the backstretch, inched closer four wide around the far turn, floated to the six path entering the lane, but failed to keep pace with the embattled leading pair in upper stretch, yet held show from inner rivals through the final furlong."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.12 (eighth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.99 (seventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.97 (fifth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.40 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.20 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.12
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.87
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.98
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.43
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.80
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.23
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           Sun Thunder
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           He did not earn 12s and did not finish in under 38 seconds. The chart call: "Sun Thunder settled far back along the inside, but was shuffled back behind a tiring rival around the far turn, shfited out to the five path entering the lane, and stayed on mildly between horses."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.32 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.24 (ninth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.32 (eighth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.50 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.30 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.32
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.92
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.08
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.18
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.80
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.98
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           Raise Cain
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           He did not earn 12s, but he finished in under 38 seconds despite being five wide on the second turn. The chart call: "Raise Cain brushed with an outer rival at the start, raced far back two wide, attempted a five wide gain outside of foes around the far turn, fanned to the seven path entering the lane, and moved up."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.42 (tenth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.04 (tenth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.42 (tenth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.85 (sixth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.35 (fifth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.42
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           second 1/4 mile --:23.62
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.38
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.43
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.50
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.93
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           April 8, 1 1/8 Mile Santa Anita Derby, Santa Anita, track fast
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           The Santa Anita Derby looks strong from a raw time standpoint, and the Beyer guys liked it too. From first to third each horse produced a winning effort.
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           One knock could be that those three received a perfect setup from two long odds horses setting the pace one-two (54-1 One in Vermillion and 40-1 Low Expectations) for over a half-mile. The absence of Geaux Rocket Ride after spiking a fever left the field without a front-runner with the potential to carry his speed deep into the stretch.
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           Skinner was visually impressive as he stormed around horses leaving the far turn, and it was Skinner who ran the last three furlongs fastest of all. Mandarin Hero (JPN) cut the corner to get a bit of an advantage on Skinner, and he showed he wasn't afraid of a fight in the stretch.
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           Despite the momentum of the second and third finishers, Practical Move led the field through the gallop-out, initially followed most closely by Mandarin Hero and Skinner, but National Treasure joined Practical Move as they approached the center of the turn.
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           Practical Move
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           He ran 12s the final three calls but not the first two when he aveaged faster than 12 seconds per furlong. Despite his quick early running he finished in under 38 seconds. I will be interested in DRF's track variant to see if it is a low number (indicating a track playing fast). The chart call: "Practical Move broke a step slow then steered to the inside to give chase, pulled the rider along at the three-quarter pole, inched closer from inside in the middle stages, applied pressure from the rail into the far turn, took over under confident handling at the five-sixteenths pole, roused two wide into the lane and moved clear, met the challenge from Mandarin Hero in the final sixteenth, drifted out a bit late and gamely prevailed."
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           Practical Move earned a 100 Beyer Speed Figure in the Santa Anita Derby.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :22.90 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.70 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.35 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:35.73 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.69 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :22.90
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.80
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.65
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.38
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.96
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.34
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           Mandarin Hero
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           He gets credit for 12s at the last four calls, and he finished strongly, almost less than 37 seconds. The chart call: "Mandarin Hero bumped with inner rival at the start, settled in the two path, took closer order up the backstretch, coaxed into the far turn, angled to the rail around the bend, cut the corner into the stretch, tipped out and bumped with Skinner in the lane, then rallied between foes in deep stretch and just missed."
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           Mandarin Hero earned a 100 Beyer Speed Figure in the Santa Anita Derby.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.30 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.00 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.65 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:35.93 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.71 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.30
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.70
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.65
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.28
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.78
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.06
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           Skinner
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           Curiously, Skinner is the only horse in the top four of the Santa Anita Derby to run perfect 12s, but he didn't win. Further, the loss came after running a sub-37 second final 3/8 mile. Assuming the track was playing fast, he did very well to close from seventh to be beaten by only a half-length. The chart call: "Skinner got bumped on both sides leaving the gate, reserved three wide early, went three deep into the far turn, range up four wide outside the leaders leaving the bend, bumped with the runner-up in the lane, fought three deep into the final sixteenth and finished a game third."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.60 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.10 (sixth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.85 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.03 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.79 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.60
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.50
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.75
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.76
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.94
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           National Treasure
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           He did not run 12s but did finish in under 38 seconds. He looks unlikely to make the Kentucky Derby. This was the only race he could earn points. The chart call: "National Treasure bumped at the start, tracked three wide early, raced outside rivals up the backstretch, continued in the three path on the far turn, lacked room behind One in Vermillion at the quarter pole, moved out in the lane and kept on to earn a minor award."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :22.90 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.80 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.65 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.73 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.24 (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :22.90
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.90
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.85
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.08
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.51
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.59
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           April 8, 1 1/8 Mile Wood Memorial, Aqueduct, track fast
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           Given its illustrious past, I don't take any joy in the demise of the Wood Memorial as an important cog in the Kentucky Derby wheel of fortune. Without doing a year-by-year analysis, my recollection and impression is the Wood lost its importance when Frank Stronach moved the Florida Derby up to five weeks before the Kentucky Derby. With that move, instead of being a prep for the Wood Memorial the Florida Derby became a significant Kentucky Derby prep in and of itself. Suddenly, the top players weren't in New York three or four weeks before the first Saturday in May.
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           One winner on the day was Tampa Bay Downs, whose Derby produced two of the three prep winners on April 8. Tapit Trice you could see coming, but Lord Miles?
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           You can never say never in life, law or horse racing, but it's hard to see Lord Miles or Hit Show excelling in the Kentucky Derby. Dreamlike and Arctic Arrogance look unlikely to make the field.
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           Lord Miles and Hit Show galloped out in tandem well ahead of the others.
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           Lord Miles earned a 93 Beyer Speed Figure in the Wood Memorial.
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           Lord Miles
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           He did not run 12s but he finished in under 38 seconds. They were crawling up front, and late runners had no chance to close. The chart call: "Lord Miles bumped with a rival at the start, established a forward position early, went three wide around the first turn, raced up close on the outside, was asked in the four path on the far turn, gained under a drive into upper stretch, made a bid outside of three foes inside the three-sixteenths, jostled with the runner-up outside the sixteenth-pole, rubbed saddles while battling with two foes to the wire and gamely prevailed at big odds."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.18 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.30 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.28 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.18 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.17 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.18
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.12
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.98
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.90
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.99
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.89
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           Hit Show
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           He did not run 12s but he finished in under 38 seconds. The chart call: "Hit Show moved in some early, went four wide around the opening bend, settled just off the pace, was given his cue in the three path while inside of the winner on the far turn, was guided out for room under a left-handed crop in upper stretch, made a bid between foes inside the three-sixteenths, jostled with the winner outside the sixteenth-pole, continued to fight between foes while rubbing saddles to the wire and was denied while just able to get the place."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.38 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.60 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.33 (fifth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.18 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.19 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.38
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.22
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.73
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.85
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.01
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.85
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           Dreamlike
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           He did not run 12s or finish in under 38 seconds. He tailed off after leading at the furlong marker. The chart call: "Dreamlike was hustled from the gate then taken in hand nearing the first turn, traveled around that bend in the two path, was well placed just off the pace, moved out late on the backstretch, issued a challenge under urging in the four then three path on the final turn, turned into upper stretch under a drive, fought on gamely inside of two opponents in the final furlong, rubbed saddles some with the runner-up and just missed while well clear for the show."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.28 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.20 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.98 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.14 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.20 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.28
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.92
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.78
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.16
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.06
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.22
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           Arctic Arrogance
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           He did not run 12s or finish in under 38 seconds. He lost several lengths in the final eighth-mile. The chart call: "Arctic Arrogance was hustled from the gate, angled in while going to the front, saved ground on the first turn, set a joint pace on the inside of a foe, vied in the two path under pressure on the far turn, battled under a drive into the final furlong and weakened."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.98 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.04 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.88 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.18 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:52.18 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.98
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.06
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.84
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.30
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           final 1/8 mile -- :14.00
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.30
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           April 1, 1 1/8 Mile Florida Derby, Gulfstream Park, track fast
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           The original official time of 1:48.51 was changed to 1:49.37.* We are told the finish line timer was tripped early, which seems impossible. The final time is probably trustworthy after reputable sources said they verified separately within 3/100 second four times. It's always something, isn't it? I am still concerned the time at one mile into the race is off too, considering how slowly the field is shown moving through the fourth quarter-mile.
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           This win wasn't nearly as effortless as Forte's Breeders' Cup or Fountain of Youth, so it gives reason to think he's not as invincible as we thought Saturday morning before he was sent off at 3-10 odds in the Florida Derby.
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           On the other hand, Forte won from post 11, something only two of the last 40+ starters at Gulfstream Park have managed to do according to trainer Pletcher. 
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           Barbaro faced similar concerns before his impressive win from post 10 in the 2006 Florida Derby, and that, I am almost certain, came before the starting and finish locations were reconfigured a bit to accommodate nine-furlong races more fairly. Barbaro's feat from way outside was especially rare in those days. Barbaro's running style was considerably different from Forte'sm in that rendition of the Florida Derby, though, as he was never worse than second in an 11-horse field (Sharp Humor set the pace), and Forte came from many lengths off the pace.
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           The worst mistake I ever made on this Subscription Page was failing to pick Barbaro to win the 2006 Kentucky Derby. I relied on someone's impression of his final workout, and it was a mistake. Since then, I've learned to rely on my own impressions of workouts. At the time, I was also concerned that Barbaro only had two prior starts at age three when almost all winners of the Derby had been racing three or four times at age three before the Derby. Little did I know Barbaro was part of an emerging trend of horses with two prior starts at age three being successful in the Kentucky Derby.
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           Only three of the 12 Florida Derby jockeys were riding on retained mounts: Edgard Zayas on Mr. Ripple (fourth at 47-1), Irad Ortiz, Jr. on Forte (first), and Jose Ortiz on Dubyuhnell (eleventh).
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           Javier Castellano either took off Mage or was taken off Mage in favor of Luis Saez. Castellano finished one placing back of Mage on Cyclone Mischief. Meanwhile, and I'm not aware of the reason, Tyler Gaffalione took off Cyclone Mischief and left town completely to ride Red Route One in the Arkansas Derby only to finish a desultory sixth.
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           Forte was awarded a 95 Beyer Speed Rating (it was 98 before the time was revised), lower than the 98 he received in the Fountain of Youth.
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           In the gallop-out, Forte and Mage were best, but neither of them galloped past the mid-point of the first turn.
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           Another note about Forte -- he was sweating on his neck during the post parade.
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            *Craig Milkowski (@TimeformUSfigs) and DRF handicapper David Aragona (@HorseToWatch, TimeformUS PPs, Morning Lines for NYRA tracks) kicked off Sunday morning on Twitter saying the time for the Florida Derby is wrong. They are respected figures, and was taking it seriously, noting the disparity in the rate of speed in Forte's fourth quarter-mile (originally calculated at 25.37) and his final eighth-mile (originally calculated at 11.62).
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            Later on Sunday, Milkowski tweeted, "Collaborated a bit with @randy_moss_TV on this and we were within 0.03 seconds timing from video. 1:49.40 is where we finished up, or 0.89 seconds slower than the current official time." Late Sunday afternoon, Equibase revised its chart. The revised chart can be viewed
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           here
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           Forte
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           Even with the Equibase chart revised, Forte ran near-perfect 12s and finished in under 38 seconds. The chart call: "Forte had his head turned at the start but was still away well, settled off the pace three wide, was patiently ridden three wide between foes around the far turn, swung five wide turning for home, surged outside and was up late."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.72 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.76 (ninth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.53 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.90 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.37 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.72
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.04
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.77
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.37
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.48
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.85
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           Mage
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           Mage also ran near-perfect 12s and finished in under 38 seconds. The chart call: "Mage broke slowly and lost his path, trailed early, raced three wide around the first turn, advanced outside down the backstretch, circled five wide around the far turn, took the lead in upper stretch, vied outside of Cyclone Mischief through midstretch, put away that foe nearing the sixteenth pole but but was unable to resist the winner in the later yards."
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           Mage was making only his third start. He has room for upside after a gallant effort in this race, but he is inexperienced for something like the Kentucky Derby. Note that he broke slowly and lost his path and thus trailed the entire field early in the Florida Derby. Of course there will be even more traffic in the Kentucky Derby.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.92 (twelfth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.01 (eleventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.73 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.35 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.57 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.92
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.09
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.72
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.62
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.22
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.84
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           Cyclone Mischief
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           Cyclone Mischier also ran near-perfect 12s but finished in over 38 seconds. The chart call: "Cyclone Mischief raced in range five wide around the first turn, advanced four wide around the far turn, bid between rivals near the quarter pole, vied to midstretch and kept on for the show."
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           Cyclone MIschief may be in Dale Romans' barn at Churchill Downs by the time this is posted. If not, he'll be there soon. He is a horse that should be watched carefully in the coming weeks. I'm not sold on him but at least he's improved from the egg he laid in the Holy Bull, managing to stay in striking distance during his last two races.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.22 (sixth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.41 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.33 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.39 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.97 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.22
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.19
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.92
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.06
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.58
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.64
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           Mr. Ripple
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           He ran 12s but didn't finish in 38 seconds or less. The chart call: "Mr. Ripple tracked the pace four wide, was bumped midway around the first turn, edged closer three wide between foes rounding the far turn then flattened out in the stretch."
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           With 20 Derby points, Mr. Ripple is unlikely to make the Derby field, but never say never.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.07 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.21 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.03 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.60 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.37 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.07
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.14
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.82
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.57
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.77
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.34
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           April 1, 1 1/8 Mile Arkansas Derby, Oaklawn Park, track fast
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           In my opinion, this was a visually impressive race. Angel of Empire reminded me of Captain Bodgit's Derby campaign as he launched an unrelenting bid from sixth place to circle four wide and draw off and win by 4 1/4 lengths. The depth of the field might be a bit suspect, but there were four horses considered serious contenders when the gate was loaded with odds ranging from 5-2 to 9-2.
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           Only one length separated the next four finishers: King Russell, Reincarnate, Rocket Can, Airtime and Red Route One.
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           We've seen a demise of dosage's importance in the Kentucky Derby, but Angel of Empire could signal its total irrelevance. His dosage index is 9.00 [profile is 4-4-2-0-0 (10)]. In the past, the nine-furlong major preps culled horses with very high dosage indices. I have never seen a horse with a dosage index this high so successful in a major Derby prep.
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           Red Route One was really disappointing. With blinkers added and an agressive jockey (Gaffalione) on board, he was last, 13 3/4 lengths off the pace, after the first half-mile. He finished sixth, beaten 5 1/2 lengths, and actually lost a half-length to the winner in the final furlong despite how slowly he ran early. The chart call for Red Route One (sixth). "Off a step slow, raced well back, four wide into the lane when moving a bit closer, went flat in the final furlong to finish up evenly.
           &#xD;
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           Angel of Empire was given a 94 Beyer Speed Rating in the Arkansas Derby, up from the 87 he received in the Risen Star Stakes.
           &#xD;
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           Angel of Empire led the way in the gallop-out, separated two or three lengths from Red Route One who was just ahead of King Russell, Reincarnate and Rocket Can, and the latter four remained grouped closely like they were at the finish line.
           &#xD;
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           Angel of Empire
           &#xD;
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           He ran 12s and finished in 38 seconds or less. Far less. The chart call: "Angel of Empire unhurried for five furlongs off the inside, four wide into the far turn, began a good move on the outside soon after, gained command into the stretch, quickly clear, drifted in, clearly best."
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           I am biased because I have a 112-1 ticket on Angel of Empire from Pool 4 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager offered by Churchill Downs, and I have an Angel of Empire-All Others exacta box ticket from the same pool.
           &#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :24.22 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.16 (seventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.89 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.56 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.68 (first)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.22
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.94
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.73
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.67
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.12
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.79
           &#xD;
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           King Russell
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           He ran 12s and finished in under 38 seconds. The chart call: "King Russell lacked early foot, continued unhurried for five furlongs, asked along far turn, swung five wide turning for home, finished willingly down the middle of the strip to be in time for the place, not a threat to the winner."
           &#xD;
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           I was sitting in Russell County, Kentucky at the time. King Russell looked so good in the post parade I put a few dollars on him to win despite his 58-1 odds. Shoulda woulda coulda bet him to place. He was prancing with his neck arched and looked for all the world like a Kentucky Derby horse in his prime. As well as King Russell ran, though, he lost a length of ground to the winner in the final eighth mile while passing Reincarnate, Two Eagles River, Airtime and Rocket Can to get the place.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.62 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.96 (eighth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.09 (ninth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.21 (sixth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.53 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.62
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.34
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.13
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.12
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.32
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.44
           &#xD;
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           Reincarnate
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           He ran 12s but did not finish in 38 seconds or less.The chart call: "Reincarnate in the second flight outside, remained prominent into the far turn, chased through that second bend, two path into the lane, lacked a closing punch to miss the place."
           &#xD;
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           After the race Johnny V said Reincarnate just wasn't there for him like he had been in the past. (Full quotes will be in Section 3 later on.)
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :23.57 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :47.36 (second)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.44 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:38.06 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.63 (third)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.57
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.79
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           third 1/4 mile -- :25.08
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.62
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.57
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.19
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           Rocket Can
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           He ran 12s and finished in 38 seconds or less. The chart call: "Rocket Can in mid pack and racing outside, crept closer four wide far turn, stalled into the lane while three wide and in some traffic, shifted out a bit, coming again for the show (sic)."
           &#xD;
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           I wouldn't write off this horse just yet. Trainer Mott said he thinks there's something more there that the horse just isn't giving. I keep thinking of Country House, also trained by Mott. I think it would be wise to watch Rocket Can's Derby works closely. Country House put in the best workout of his life a week before the Kentucky Derby.
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :23.82 (sixth)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :47.46 (fifth)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.69 (fifth)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:38.11 (fifth)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.67 (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.82
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.64
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :25.23
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.42
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.56
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.98
          &#xD;
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           March 26, 1 1/8 Mile Sunland Derby, Sunland Park, track fast
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           Due to a timer malfunction, an official time is not available for the first quarter-mile, which was originally shown as 20.58. The winner, Wild on Ice, lost his previous two races by over 40 lengths combined. Last year's Sunland Derby was not impressive either, and I'm starting to wonder if its Grade 3 status will be in jeopardy. Wild on Ice was not early-nominated to the Triple Crown. Late nominations are due on the date of this post, March 27. When asked after the race, trainer Joel Marr laughed, "We weren't thinking about any of that (Kentucky Derby) until a few minutes ago."
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           Wild on Ice
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           He did not run 12s or finish in under 38 seconds. The chart call: Wild on Ice tracked the early pace, advanced six wide through the second turn, took the lead in early stretch, drifted in, met the bid of Expectations, kept that rival in tight, dueled to late stretch and edged clear late.
           &#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- not available (third)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :46.16 (third)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:10.94 (third)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:37.70 (first)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.39 (first)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- not available
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- not available
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.78
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.76
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.69
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :40.45
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           Low Expectations
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           He did not run 12s or finish in 38 seconds or less. Unlike the winner, Low Expectations was early-nominated to the Triple Crown. The chart call: Low Expectations was allowed to settle early, was eased back into the backstretch, saved ground into the home turn, made a bid on the winner from the inside in mid stretch, dueled to late stretch and finished second best.
           &#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- not available (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :46.36 (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:10.94 (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:37.80 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.64 (second)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- not available
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- not available
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.58
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.86
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.84
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :40.70
           &#xD;
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           Henry Q
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           He was not early-nominated to the Triple Crown and does not appear possible for the Derby. The chart call: Henry Q set a pressured early pace, went four wide into the second turn, met the bid of Wild on Ice from the outside and Low Expectations from the inside, eased out form between those two rivals, drifted out and weakened late.
            &#xD;
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           How Did He Do That
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           He was not early-nominated to the Triple Crown and does not appear possible for the Derby. The chart call: How Did He Do That was void of any early speed, raced three wide into the second turn and offered no late rally.
          &#xD;
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           March 25, 1 1/8 Mile Jeff Ruby Steaks, Turfway Park, track fast
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           Per trainer Rivelli Two Phil's prefers synthetic surface to dirt and runs best on dirt if it's an off track. After training well at Turfway, he certainly displayed a liking for the synthetic surface on race day, winning going away by 5 1/4 lengths. The next finisher, Major Dude, was 2 1/4 lengths ahead of Funtastic Again at the wire, and Wadsworth was another three lengths back in fourth.
           &#xD;
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           This Ruby purse was upped to $700,000 from $600,000 last year and $250,000 the year before, so maybe it's attracting better horses as indicated by the numbers below. However, trainer Rivelli said a few days ago, "I've been trying to think of the easiest spot for the money and I think this will be the spot."
           &#xD;
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           Two Phil's gallop-out extended all the way to the backstretch. The camera work doesn't show anything else close to him.
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           Two Phil's earned a 101 Beyer Speed Figure.
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           Two Phil's
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           Two Phil's ran a perfect race getting 12s (averaging within one second of 12 seconds per furlong) at all the calls -- only 4/100 of a second off at the finish, he gets credit for hitting that mark. He finished in 36.72 seconds, which is outstanding. But can he do that on dirt? The chart call: "Two Phil's confidently handled while an outside trip, stayed clear of any trouble, rallied along from quarter pole to go clear with authority."
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :24.04 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.29 (sixth)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.31 (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:36.69 (first)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.03 (first)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.04
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.25
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.02
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.38
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.34
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.72
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           Major Dude
           &#xD;
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           He ran 12s at four of the five calls (three are required to get credit), and he finished in under 38 seconds. The issue is that Major Dude is a turf horse. Sometimes, but not always by any means, turf horses run well on the dirt at Churchill Downs, where Major Dude has never raced. At the moment he's 12th on the points leaderboard. Major Dude had to break from post 1 in the Ruby, but Irad said he got a great trip and was just outkicked going home. The chart call: "Major Dude close up throughout, secured position to far turn while chasing winner home proving no match."
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :23.69 (third)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :48.24 (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.21 (third)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:36.99 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.08 (second)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.69
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.55
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.97
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.78
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.09
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.87
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           Funtastic Again
           &#xD;
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           He rans 12s at four of the calls (gets credit for 1:37.03 after a mile) but didn't finish in under 38 seconds. Something had to take the lead, and it was Funtastic Again who did the heavy lifting for the first six furlongs in honest-to-quick fractions for the distance. In his sole start on dirt, Funtastic Again finished ninth in the Claiborne Breeders' Futurity at Keeneland. The chart call: "Funtastic Again speed to the front, stayed to far turn, kept on gallantly in the final furlong for show spot."
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :23.49 (first)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :47.84 (first)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.91 (first)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:37.03 (third)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.53 (third)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.49
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.35
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.07
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.12
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.50
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.62
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           Wadsworth
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           Godolphin gelding ran 12s at three of the calls (so he gets credit) but finished five lengths slower than 38 seconds. His best races have been at Turfway. The chart call: "Wadsworth good position throughout stayed game into stretch but wilted late."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.93 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.08 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.11 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.49 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.13 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.93
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.15
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.03
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.38
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.64
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.02
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           March 25, 1 3/16 Mile LOUISIANA DERBY, Fair Grounds, track fast
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           This was the fourth running of the Louisiana Derby at the distance of 1 3/16 mile. In 2020 favored Wells Bayou won in 1:56.47 and earned an Equibase speed figure of 102. Hot Rod Charlie was best in 2021, timed in 1:55.06 (101 Equibase figure). In 2022 it was Epicenter in 1:54.38 (new track record) (102 Equibase). Kingsbarns was timed in 1:57.33.
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           The Louisiana Derby has not been known for producing Kentucky Derby winners and has yet to do so at the new, longer distance, but they've been knocking on the door. Hot Rod Charlie and O Besos were third and fifth in the class of '21 and of course Epicenter ran a gallant second in '22.
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           My initial impresssion of Saturday's race was not all that good, but today I see Kingsbarns earned a 100 Equibase, consistent with recent winners of the Louisiana Derby. The problem I have is Kingsbarns got everything his own way after trainer Pletcher wisely determined there was absolutely no pace in the race and instructed Flavient Prat to take the lead if it came to him. From there, Prat walked the dog home. The Kentucky Derby is unlikely to set up this way for Kingsbarns.
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           On the other hand, the son of Uncle Mo has talent, he appears to be a versatile runner, and he carries his track with him. There aren't many horses who could carry this off in just the third career start, and I'm certain he could have run faster if asked, but it wasn't needed. Preceding this race he won a mile and 40 yard allowance at Tampa by almost eight lengths in a nifty time of 1:40.78 after coming from 4 1/2 lengths off the pace. The Louisiana Derby was Kingsbarns' third win at as many tracks.
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           An odd thing about this race is how closely-packed it was at the finish. Jace's Road (third) hit the wire 6 1/4 lengths behind Kingsbarns, and the trailing nine horses were all within 6 1/2 lengths of Jace's Road.
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           Kingsbarns galloped out well, followed a few lengths by Disarm. A latecomer to those two in the middle of the first turn was Baseline Beater, who finished ninth, beaten 11 3/4 lengths.
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           Kingsbarns earned a 95 Beyer Speed Figure
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           Kingsbarns
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           He does not get credit for 12s, but he finished in a time consistent with bettering the last three furlongs in 38 seconds or less. Kingsbarns actually sped up in the latter stages of the race, running the fourth quarter-mile faster than the preceding ones and the final 3/16 in a solid 18.20. He ran the final 7/16 mile in 42.62, meaning Kingsbarns had plenty of gas in the tank in the long Fair Grounds stretch. The chart call: "Kingsbarns set a comfortable and lightly pressured pace along the inside, remained in hand as an outer foe vied around the far turn, responded readily once set down entering the lane, quickly drew off in upper stretch, and ran well through the wire."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.71 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.60 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:14.69 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:39.13 (first)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:57.33 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.71
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.89
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           third 1/4 mile -- :25.09
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.44
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.20
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           final 7/16 mile-- :42.64
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           Disarm
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           Disarm did not run 12s but he finished well and a little faster than Kingsbarns. He gets credit for finishing in less than 38 seconds. Like Kingsbarns, his fourth quarter-mile was faster than the preceding ones. He is the only horse in the top four that closed and wasn't in somewhat of a merry-go-round. The chart call: "Disarm tracked from midpack along the inside, saved ground while awaiting racing room around the far turn, sustained a rail rally to gain place at the furlong grounds, and proved second best."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.46 (sixth)
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           1/2 mile -- :50.30 (sixth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:15.54 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:40.07 (third)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:58.03 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.46
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.84
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           third 1/4 mile -- :25.24
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.53
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           final 3/16 mile -- :17.96
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           final 7/16 mile-- :42.49
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           Jace's Road
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           He did not run 12s but we give him credit for finishing in under 38. Jace's Road popped the gate before the start and considering the stress that must have caused, he performed well once the running started, but not as well as the winner. The chart call: "Jace's Road popped open the gate pre-race without leaving it, was backed out and reloaded after a veterinarian exam, pressed the eventual winner from the outside, vied around the far turn, but proved no match for that one entering the lane, gave way, and lost placed to an inner rival at the eighth pole."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.75 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.80 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:14.89 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:40.03 (second)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:58.58 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.75
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.05
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           third 1/4 mile -- :25.09
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.14
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.55
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           final 7/16 mile-- :43.69
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           Shopper's Revenge
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           Like the others, he did not run 12s. He gets credit for finishing in under 38 seconds. Neither trainer Asmussen or jockey Santana had any public comment after the race. The chart call: "Shopper's Revenge stalked along the inside, then from the pocket around the far turn, but vacated the rail entering the lane to vie for minor places, got outkicked for show by an inner bidder in upper stretch, chased thereafter, and held fourth."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :25.11 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :50.00 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:15.19 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:40.43 (fourth)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:58.98 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.11
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.89
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           third 1/4 mile -- :25.19
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.24
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.55
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           final 7/16 mile-- :43.79
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           March 25, 1900 Meter UAE DERBY, Meydan, track fast
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            April 25 NOTE:
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           Further review of the race hitting pause with a "meters left" clock showing, I have Derma Sotogake getting credit for running 12's at the first three calls and finishing in under 38 seconds. I don't have Continuar, who was a distant third, getting credit for either factor.
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           _______________
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           For a few years Emirates Racing produced charts showing fractional times for all the runners on World Cup day, but those days are gone. There is no equivalent to Equibase in Dubai, and i cannot locate the fractions anywhere. Give me a holler if you know where to get them.
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           Derma Sotogake's race was impressive, but he got a setup much like Kingsbarns in the Louisiana Derby. One difference is that he ran faster. The distance of 1900 meters is slightly shorter than 1 3/16 mile, but the final time was a sharp 1:55.81.
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           The race played out much the same as Mendelssohn's win of the UAE Derby a few years ago, producing a track record 1:55.18 that still stands. We all know what happened next. A lot of very good handicappers picked Mendelssohn to win the 2018 Kentucky Derby (I know, I can't believe it's already been five years either) only to see him finish last of 20 on a rain-soaked track when Justify set fractions of 22.24, 45.77, 1:11.01 and 1:37.35 en route to a winning 2:04.20 and the Triple Crown.
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           A local announcer in Dubai said Derma Sotogake got the final quarter-mile in 24.30 seconds, which we don't see too often. The son of Mind Your Biscuits has raced exclusively on dirt and improved appreciably from his third-place finish in the one-mile, one-turn Saudi Derby when he was third of 13, beaten 2 3/4 lengths by Commissioner King.
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           His forward running style is one that has worked in recent Kentucky Derbys, but the on-track experts expressed doubt he could win the Roses the way he ran the UAE Derby, I suspect because his opening fractions were not all that fast, which in all probability would put him behind horses, not in a front-running cruise.
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           Feb. 11, 1 1/8 Mile WITHERS STAKES, Aqueduct, track fast
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           Hit Show was all by himself at the finish line, winning by over five lengths. The others did not look like Kentucky Derby material. The chart call: "HIT SHOW broke in and bumped with a foe, settled while inside to the two path, was roused on the far turn, rallied to take the lead at the three-sixteenths, shook clear under a drive into the final furlong, drifted in outside the sixteenth-pole then was placed under a hand-ride with his ears pricked while much the best."
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           The winner received a 91 Beyer despite his very slow time on a track rated fast.
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           Hit Show
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.23 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.49 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.63 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:40.65 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:54.71 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.23
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.26
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.14
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :27.02
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           final 1/8 mile -- :14.06
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           final 3/8 mile -- :41.08
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           Feb. 11, 1 1/8 Mile EL CAMINO REAL DERBY, Golden Gate Fields, track synthetic
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           Chase the Chaos won the race but then finished seventh in the San Felipe Stakes on dirt. Second finisher Gilmore was also seventh in his next race, the John Battaglia Memorial. Third finisher Harcyn remains stabled with trainer Steve Sherman at Golden Gate and fourth finisher Passarando is at the same track with trainer Steve Specht.
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           Feb. 18, 1 1/8 Mile RISEN STAR STAKES, Fair Grounds, track fast
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           Angel of Empire
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            I have a futures ticket on him, and I'm rooting for him, but he did not run 12s or finish in less than 38 seconds, but he won. The chart call: "ANGEL OF EMPIRE settled off of the pace in the two path, gained in the four to five paths and between horses around the far turn, sustained a charge after changing leads between horses at the three sixteenths pole, bid at the furlong grounds along with an inner SUN THUNDER, battled with that foe in the final sixteenth, and edged ahead."
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           Angel of Empire's Beyer figure was 87 on a fast track.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.59 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.65 (ninth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.16 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:39.02 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.47 (first)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.59
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.06
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.51
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.86
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.45
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.31
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           Sun Thunder
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           He did not run 12s or finish in less than 38 seconds. Couldn't sustain momentum final 1/8. The chart call: "SUN THUNDER settled far back two wide, awaited racing room while loaded behind rivals turning for home, found clear sailing two wide and between horses entering the lane, rallied to bid inside of the leaders at the furlong grounds, vied through the closing stages, but was outkicked late."
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           1/4 mile -- :25.39 (twelfth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.95 (eleventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.46 (tenth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.52 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.67 (second)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.39
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.56
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.51
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.06
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.15
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.21
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           Two Phil's
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           He did not run 12s or finish in less than 38 seconds. Outfinished by Sun Thunder. The chart call: "TWO PHIL'S bumped with an inner rival at the start, tracked from midpack two wide, moved forward down the backstretch, split foes to gain show at the three furlong pole, took aim outside of the leading pair turning for home, bid for the lead in the four path entering the lane, led in upper stretch, but met challenges from multiple rivals on either side in midstretch, and yielded leaving the sixteenth pole."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.19 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.10 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.61 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.56 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:52.02 (third)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.19
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.91
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.51
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.95
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.46
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           final 3/8 mile -- :39.41
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           Tapit's Conquest
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           He did not run 12s or finish in less than 38 seconds. Flattenend out. The chart call: "TAPIT'S CONQUEST settled off of the pace two wide, shifted out approaching the far turn, advanced in the seven path and outside of foes around that bend, sustained a grinding gain in upper stretch, but leveled off at the furlong grounds."
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.89 (tenth)
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           1/2 mile -- :50.00 (twelfth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.16 (eighth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.82 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:52.12 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.89
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.11
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.16
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.66
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.30
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.96
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      <pubDate>Mon, 20 Mar 2023 19:07:44 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/nine-furlong-prep-races-fractions-and-how-they-finished-beyers</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>369 Nominated to 2023 Triple Crown</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/369-nominated-to-2023-triple-crown</link>
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           369 Nominated to 2023 Triple Crown
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           Led by 2-year-old champion and three-time Grade I winner Forte, a total of 369 3-year-old Thoroughbreds were made eligible to compete in this year’s Triple Crown series during the early nomination phase, which closed Saturday, Jan. 28. 
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           Each of the 369 horses from the 2020 foal crop were made eligible through a $600 payment to compete in any leg of the Triple Crown series. The 2023 Triple Crown opens Saturday, May 6 with the 149
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            running of the 1 ¼-mile Kentucky Derby (GI) at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky. The 148
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            Preakness (GI), its 1 3/16-mile second jewel, is set for Saturday, May 20 at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Md. The 155
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            running of the Belmont Stakes (GI), the series’ 1 ½-mile final leg, is scheduled for Saturday, June 10 at Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y.
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           The total early nominations rose by 18.2% or 57 horses from last year’s total of 312. The nominees include a record 37 horses based in Japan, 16 more than last year’s previous record of 21.
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           Forte, owned by Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable and campaigned by Todd Pletcher, is scheduled to make his 2023 debut in the coming weeks. The champion colt won last year’s Hopeful (GI), Breeders’ Futurity (GI) and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (GI). Forte is one of 36 horses nominated by Pletcher to this year’s Triple Crown.
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           Overall, 52 stakes winners were nominated to the Triple Crown. Some of the most notable: Arabian Knight (Southwest); Blazing Sevens (Champagne); Cave Rock (Del Mar Futurity); Curly Jack (Iroquois); Dubyuhnell (Remsen); Forte (Breeders’ Cup Juvenile); the filly Hoosier Philly (Golden Rod); Instant Coffee (Lecomte); Newgate (Robert B. Lewis); Practical Move (Los Alamitos Futurity); Rocket Can (Holy Bull); Two Phil’s (Street Sense) and Victory Formation (Smarty Jones).
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           Spenthrift Farm had 19 horses nominated to the Triple Crown that they are sole owners or involved in a partnership. They also bred two nominees.
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           Brad Cox led all trainers with 38 horses nominated to the Triple Crown including recent Lecomte Stakes (GIII) winner Instant Coffee. Pletcher was next with 36 nominees followed by Steve Asmussen (13), Kenny McPeek (13), Chad Brown (12) and Hideyuki Mori (12).
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            Horses not currently assigned a trainer or horses under the care of any trainer suspended from competing in the 2023 Kentucky Derby have their trainer listed as “TBD.” For the Kentucky Derby, horses under the care of any suspended trainer or affiliates may be transferred to a non-suspended trainer and become eligible for earning Road to the Kentucky Derby points on a forward-looking basis so long as the transfer is complete by Feb. 28. 
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           EARLY TRIPLE CROWN NOMINEES BY THE NUMBERS
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           $3,550,000: Highest public auction purchase – Hejazi (2022 Fasig-Tipton Midlantic Two-Year-Olds in Training Sale).
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           $1,595,150: Highest earnings of an individual horse nominated (Forte). The other top earners (as of Feb. 3): Cave Rock ($748,000), Victoria Road (IRE) ($663,779), Dura Erede (JPN) ($633,186) and Private Creed ($618,913).
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           $3,000: Lowest public auction purchase – Accident (2021 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky Fall Yearling Sale).
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           285: Number of Kentucky-bred horses. Other states represented are Florida (19), New York (19), California (5), Maryland (3), Pennsylvania (3), Oklahoma (2) and Texas (1).
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           161: Number of registered Bay horses. Other registered colors are Dark Bay or Brown (93), Chestnut (74), Gray or Roan (39), Brown (1), Gray (1).
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           125: Number of trainers that nominated horses to the Triple Crown.
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           39: Horses who were foaled after Kentucky Derby Day (May 6).
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           32: Horses foaled outside the United States. Other countries are Japan (24), Ireland (4), Canada (3) and Great Britain (1).
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           17: Horses produced by sire Into Mischief. He’s followed by Curlin (15), Good Magic (14) and Justify (14).
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           2: Fillies nominated. They are Hoosier Philly and Julia Shining
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            Three-year-olds that were not nominated to the Triple Crown during the early nomination phase can pay a late payment of $6,000 through Monday, March 27. Payments must be made at the time of nomination on 
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    &lt;a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.thetriplecrown.com__;!!FGfOyC_HiFbkdz0!xY4v8eBd9oMicBgXwKfKzmWSoE-1Z0AnH8aaqmn19CjM8tMIJz8LoTqFVoTZvANHE4LwU9-tD0PUDVio9y7SlsgpBQ$" target="_blank"&gt;&#xD;
      
           www.thetriplecrown.com
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            or by calling (502) 638-3825.
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           Thirteen horses have swept the Triple Crown series: Sir Barton (1919), Gallant Fox (1930), Omaha (1935), War Admiral (1937), Whirlaway (1941), Count Fleet (1943), Assault (1946), Citation (1948), Secretariat (1973), Seattle Slew (1977), Affirmed (1978), American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018).
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           EARLY TRIPLE CROWN NOMINATIONS IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER
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           (20)Appealing Zophie
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           (20)Nonna Bella
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           (20)Often (IRE)
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           (20)She's Hot Wired
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           (20)Storm Crossing
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           (20)Value Stream
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           Aaraj
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           Aaron
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           Abeliefinthislivin
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           Accident
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           Adcap
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           Advance Pharoah
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           Ah Jeez
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           Alternate Reality
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    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           American Speed
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Amstrong
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Andiamo a Firenze
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Angel of Empire
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Arabian Knight
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Arabian Lion
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Arctic Arrogance
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Arman
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Arrowthegreat
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Arthur's Ride
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           B Minor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           B West
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Baby Billy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Banishing
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bank Frenzy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Be Punctual
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ben Franklin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bishops Bay
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Blazing Sevens
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Blocked
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bolt Supremacy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bourbon Bash
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bourbon Resolve
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Brigade Commander
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Bring Theband Home
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cagliostro
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cairo (IRE)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Calm Sea
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Calycanthus
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Candidate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Captain Choochies
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Capture the Lion
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Carmel Road
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Castle Island
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Castlewarden
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cave Rock
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Champagne Juan
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Champions Dream
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Charging
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Circling the Drain
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Citizen
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Class Actor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Classic Car Wash
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Classic Catch
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Classic Legacy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Classical Cat
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Clear the Air
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Clubhouse
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Confidence Game
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Congruent
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Continuar (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Corona Bolt
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cours Mirabeau (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crupi
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Crypto Ride
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cupidon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Curly Jack
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Curly Larry and Mo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Curren Alcantara (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cuvier
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cyclone Mischief
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dats Mr. Mo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dazzlemesilver
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Del Mar Jerry
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Demolition Duke
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Denington
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Derma Sotogake (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Determinedly
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Disarm
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Distinct Tale
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Don Corleone
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Donegal Arrow
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Donegal Danny
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           D'oro Lemon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dr. Kraft
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dreaming of Kona
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dreamlike
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Drew's Gold
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dubyuhnell
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dude N Colorado (GB)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Dura Erede (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Eastbound
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Easy Action
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Eclogite (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ecoro Ares
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Eirik Ridge
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Emperor's Appeal
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           English Bob
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Equivoque
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Escalation
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Escape Artist
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Escapologist
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Event Detail
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ever a Rebel
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Everso Mischievous
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Excel Calculator
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Expect More
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Expected Value
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Extra Anejo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Eyeing Clover
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Eyes On the King
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Faustin
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Favorable Scenario
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fearless Soldier
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fight'n Ready
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           First Defender
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           First Mission
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           First Strike
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Five Star G Man
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fleet Feet
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fletcher
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fliparino
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Flipper (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fort Bragg
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fort Warren
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Forte
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Foxburg
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Freedom Road
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Freedom Trail
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Freezing Point
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           From Dusk
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Frosted Departure
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Funtastic Again
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Game Change
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Game Keeper
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Geaux Rocket Ride
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           General Banker
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           General Jim
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Genius Jimmy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ghost Hero
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Giant Mischief
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gilmore
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Go On Mo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           God Blue Bee (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Golden Sombrero
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Goraiko (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Greenland (IRE)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Guadalajara
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gulfport
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Gun Pilot
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hard Mission
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hard to Figure
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Harlocap
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Havnameltdown
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hayes Strike
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hejazi
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Heroic Move
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           High Strike
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Highest Regards
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hit Show
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Honed
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hoosier Philly
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Hornung
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           I Don't Get It
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Il Miracolo
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Im a Modest Man
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Infinite Series
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Instant Coffee
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ironsides
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jace's Road
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jackstown
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jasper World
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Joey Freshwater
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Julia Shining
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jungfrau
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Justice Department
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kake's Arrow
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kalik
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kana Always (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kangaroo Court
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Keanu
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kentucky Joker
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kid Billy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kid Ketchum
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kingdom Heart
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Kingsbarns
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           La Perfect Bee
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Langlee Avenue
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lap Star
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Laver
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Legacy Isle
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Litigate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Loggins
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Looms Boldly
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lord Miles
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Love Me Not
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Low Expectations
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lugan Knight
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Lux Frontier (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mad Hustle
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mage
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Magic City
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Magico
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Major Blue
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Major Dude
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mandarin Hero (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Manibhadra
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mayfield Strong
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mazing Mark
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Medjed (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mendelssohns March
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Meta Max
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Meteorite
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mi Hermano Ramon
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Midnight Rising
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Miracle Worker
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Miranda Rights
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mokku Mokku (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Moment Catch (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Monegasque
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Moon Landing
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mo's Treasure
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mount Up
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mr Fisk
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mr. Keating
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mr. Ripple
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           My Man Ira
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           National Treasure
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Nation's Call (IRE)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Navy Man
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Neural Network
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Newgate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Nielson
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Notah
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Nullarbor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ocasek
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Odonata
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ohana Honor
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Omega Tuxedo (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           One in Vermillion
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Orion's Way
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ormstown
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Our Dream Rye'd
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Palace Gate
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pappy Wolfe
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Paradise Perfect
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Perriere (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Petcoff
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pink Soleil
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pioneer Prince
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Plavi (JPN)
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Point Proven
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Power in Numbers
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Powerful
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Practical Move
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Prairie Hawk
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Prince of Jericho
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Private Creed
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Promise Me a Ride
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Prospering
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Protege
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Prove Worthy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pursuit of Power
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Quadra Island
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Quality West
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Quaternion
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Raise Cain
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Raven's Nest
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Ready Shakespeare
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Reckoning Force
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;p&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Red Route One
          &#xD;
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      <pubDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2023 22:18:35 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/369-nominated-to-2023-triple-crown</guid>
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      <title>Churchill Downs Revises Derby Points Schedule</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/churchill-downs-revises-derby-points-schedule</link>
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           Churchill Downs Revises Derby Points Schedule
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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           Churchill Downs revised its points system for the Road to the Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve. Starting with the 2023 Derby, points will be awarded to five finishing positions instead of four, and the scale of points will be increased for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and select races traditionally run in late January.
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           The points system began in 2013. Churchill's announcement was up front in saying the purpose of expanding qualifying points from four to five places is "to grow 'Derby Fever' for more horses and ownership groups" and to potentially increase field size in Kentucky Derby Championship Series races.
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            Most of the early races on the schedule will award points on a scale of 10-4-3-2-1 instead of 10-4-2-1.
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           The points value of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile will be increased from 20-8-4-2 to 30-12-9-6-3, and select races will change from a 10-4-2-1 structure to 20-8-6-4-2 in what Churchill Downs says is "an effort to increase the importance and awareness of these races and to incentivize horses to potentially begin their 3-year-old campaigns earlier in the season."
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           The elevated races on the Prep Season schedule are the Lecomte (Fair Grounds), Southwest (Oaklawn Park), Withers (Aqueduct), Holy Bull (Gulfstream Park), Robert B. Lewis (Santa Anita), Sam F. Davis (Tampa Bay Downs) and John Battaglia Memorial (Turfway Park).
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           “We believe these modifications adhere to and amplify our goal of assembling the finest group of 3-year-olds in the starting gate for a race at the classic distance of 1 ¼ miles on the first Saturday in May,” said Mike Ziegler, Vice President and General Manager for Churchill Downs Racetrack.
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           At least 20 horses have been entered the “Run for the Roses” in 21 of the last 24 years, according to Churchill Downs.
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           The first points race for the 2023 Derby is the Gr. 3 Iroquois at 1 1/16 miles on opening weekend of Churchill's 14-day September meet.
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           In addition to the primary 37-race Road to the Kentucky Derby series, Churchill will continue two separate series for horses from Europe and Japan.
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           Similar changes have been made to the 32-race Road to the Kentucky Oaks series.
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           Other Qualifying Rules
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           FILLIES – If a filly wants to run in the Kentucky Derby she can, but she’ll have to earn her way into the field by accumulating points against open company just like the rest of the colts and geldings. Additionally, any points earned by a filly in the “Road to the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve” series against open company will be credited to her point total in the “Road to the Kentucky Oaks” series. If a filly garners an invitation to the Kentucky Derby via the “European Road to the Kentucky” or “Japan Road to the Kentucky,” ownership may opt to instead use that invitation to the Kentucky Oaks.
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           DEAD-HEATS – In the event of a dead-heat (tie) those horses will divide equally the points they would have received jointly had one beaten the other.
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           SPLIT DIVISIONS – In the event a race is split into divisions and each division awards its originally published purse money, points will be awarded as scheduled for each division. If the originally published purse is reduced for each division, points will be reduced proportionally as well.
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           LASIX – The 2021 Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks marked the first year those races were run without the permitted use of Furosemide (often referred to by the brand name, Lasix). Points will only be awarded to horses who compete on race day without Lasix in Road to the Kentucky Derby and Road to the Kentucky Oaks races. Any points earned by horses with Lasix on race day will be vacated.
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           MEDICATION VIOLATIONS – If the connections of a horse have been notified by a regulatory body about a medication violation from participation in a Road to the Kentucky Derby or Road to the Kentucky Oaks race, and that violation would result in disqualification, any accrued points from the race will be revoked until the matter reaches a legal conclusion. Accrued points will be reinstated if the matter is legally overturned prior to the running of the Kentucky Derby or Kentucky Oaks. 
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           DERBY/OAKS TRAINER SUSPENSION – Points from any race in the Road to the Kentucky Derby or Kentucky Oaks will not be awarded to any horse trained by any individual who is suspended from racing in the 2023 Kentucky Derby or 2023 Kentucky Oaks or any trainer directly or indirectly employed, supervised, or advised by a suspended trainer. Should a horse trained by a suspended trainer, or any trainer directly or indirectly employed, supervised, or advised by a suspended trainer, finish in a position that would have earned points in a Road to the Kentucky Derby or Kentucky Oaks race, the points associated with that finish position will be vacated.
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           Road to the Kentucky Derby Leaderboard History
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           2022 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Epicenter (164), 2. Zandon (114), 3. White Abarrio (112, $769,650), 4. Mo Donegal (112, $561,500), 5. Tiz the Bomb (110), 6. Cyberknife (100, $1,012,610), 7. Crown Pride (JPN) (100, $752,000), 8. Taiba (100, $671,544), 9. Simplification (74), 10. Smile Happy (70), 11. Classic Causeway (66), 12. Tawny Port (60), 13. Barber Road (58), 14. Messier (40, $390,000), 15. Zozos (40, $200,000, $291,200), 16. Summer Is Tomorrow (40, $200,000, $267,606), 17. Charge It (40, $188,000), 18. Happy Jack (30), 19. Pioneer of Medina (25), 20. Ethereal Road (22), AE 21. Rich Strike (21) and AE 22 Rattle N Roll (20).
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           2021 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Essential Quality (140), 2. Hot Rod Charlie (110), 3. Super Stock (109), 4. Like the King (104), 5. Known Agenda (102), 6. Rock Your World (100, $510,000), 7. Bourbonic (100, $400,000), 8. Medina Spirit (74), 9. Midnight Bourbon (66), 10. Mandaloun (52), 11. Highly Motivated (50, $271,000), 12. Helium (50, $255,492), 13. Soup and Sandwich (40, $161,000), 14. Dynamic One (40, $140,000), 15. Sainthood (40, $47,500), 16. Hidden Stash (32), 17. O Besos (25), 18. King Fury (20), 19. Keepmeinmind (18) and 20. Brooklyn Strong (10).
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           2020 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Tiz the Law (372), 2. Authentic (200), 3. Honor A. P. (140), 4. Ny Traffic (110), 5. King Guillermo (90), 6. Thousand Words (83), 7. Max Player (60), 8. Enforceable (43), 9. Major Fed (38), 10. Storm the Court (36), 11. Attachment Rate (35), 12. Sole Volante (30), 13. Finnick the Fierce (25), 14. Winning Impression (20), 15. South Bend (18), 16. Necker Island (14), 17. Mr. Big News (0, $129,500) and 18. Money Moves (0, $0, $67,400).
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           2019 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Tacitus (150), 2. Omaha Beach (137.5), 3. Vekoma (110), 4. Plus Que Parfait (104), 5. Roadster (100, $636,000), 6. By My Standards (100, $600,000), 7. Maximum Security (100, $582,800), 8. Game Winner (85), 9. Code of Honor (74), 10. Haikal (70), 11. Improbable (65), 12. War of Will (60), 13. Long Range Toddy (53.5), 14. Tax (52), 15. Cutting Humor (50, $462,467), 16. Win Win Win (50, $220,000), 17. Country House (50, $220,000), 18. Gray Magician (41), 19. Spinoff (40, $224,000), 20. Master Fencer (JPN) (Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby Invite) and AE 21. Bodexpress (40, $188,000).
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           2018 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Magnum Moon (150), 2. Good Magic (134), 3. Audible (110, $803,520), 4. Noble Indy (110, $640,000), 5. Vino Rosso (107), 6. Bolt d’Oro (104), 7. Enticed (103), 8. Mendelssohn (100, $1,947,299), 9. Justify (100, $600,000), 10. Flameaway (70), 11. Solomini (54, $716,000), 12. Bravazo (54, $359,913), 13. My Boy Jack (52, $622,000), 14. Promises Fulfilled (52, $266,480), 15. Free Drop Billy (44), 16. Lone Sailor (42), 17. Hofburg (40), 18. Firenze Fire (39), 19. Combatant (32), 20. Instilled Regard (29) and AE 21. Blended Citizen (22).
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           2017 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Girvin (150), 2. Classic Empire (132), 3. Gormley (125), 4. Irap (113), 5. Irish War Cry (110), 6. Thunder Snow-IRE (100, $1,621,063), 7. Always Dreaming (100, $589,000), 8. Gunnevera (84), 9. Practical Joke (74), 10. J Boys Echo (63), 11. State of Honor (62), 12. Tapwrit (54), 13. Hence (50, $401,429), 14. Fast and Accurate (50, $320,712), 15. McCraken (40, $385,048), 16. Battle of Midway (40, $224,000), 17. Patch (40, $200,000), 18. Untrapped (34), 19. Lookin At Lee (32), 20. Sonneteer (30, $236,000), AE 21. Royal Mo (30, $213,000) and AE 22. Master Plan (20).
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           2016 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Gun Runner (151), 2. Nyquist (130), 3. Exaggerator (126), 4. Outwork (120), 5. Brody’s Cause (114), 6. Creator (110), 7. Lani (100), 8. Mor Spirit (84), 9. Mohaymen (80), 10. Danzing Candy (60), 11. Destin (51), 12. Suddenbreakingnews (50, $637,000), 13. Oscar Nominated (50, 321,360), 14. Shagaf (50, $270,000), 15. Whitmore (44, $400,000), 16. Tom’s Ready (44, $270,670), 17. My Man Sam (40, $200,000), 18. Majesto (40, $190,000, $239,500), 19. Trojan Nation (40, $190,000, $213,290), 20. Mo Tom (32, $268,326), AE 21. Laoban (32, $142,000) and AE 22. Cherry Wine (25, $145,000).
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           2015 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. International Star (171), 2. Dortmund (170), 3. Carpe Diem (164), 4. American Pharoah (160), 5. Frosted (113), 6. Mubtaahij-IRE (100, $1,400,000), 7. Materiality (100, $632,028), 8. El Kabeir (95), 9. Upstart (76), 10. Far Right (62), 11. Itsaknockout (60), 12. Firing Line (58), 13. Danzig Moon (45), 14. War Story (44), 15. Tencendur (41), 16. Stanford (40), 17. Mr. Z (34), 18. Ocho Ocho Ocho (30, $760,250), 19. Bolo (30, $214,980), 20. Keen Ice (22), AE 21. Frammento (20) and AE 22. Tale of Verve (0).
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           2014 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. California Chrome (150), 2. Vicar’s in Trouble (120), 3. Dance With Fate (108), 4. Wicked Strong (102), 5. Samraat (100, $640,000), 6. Danza (100, $620,000), 7. Hoppertunity (95), 8. Intense Holiday (93), 9. Wildcat Red (90), 10. We Miss Artie (60), 11. Ride On Curlin (55), 12. Chitu (54), 13. Tapiture (52), 14. General a Rod (40, $240,000), 15. Medal Count (40, $226,500), 16. Candy Boy (30), 17. Uncle Sigh (24), 18. Vinceremos (20, $191,666), 19. Harry’s Holiday (20, $152,622), 20. Commanding Curve (20, $104,000) and AE 21. Pablo Del Monte (20, $102,000).
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           2013 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Orb (150, $840,000), 2. Verrazano (150, $810,000), 3. Goldencents (129), 4. Java’s War (122), 5. Overanalyze (110, $908,381), 6. Revolutionary (110, $720,000), 7. Lines of Battle (100), 8. Vyjack (70), 9. Will Take Charge (60), 10. Itsmyluckyday (50, $593,600), 11. Black Onyx (50, $317,130), 12. Palace Malice (50, $200,000), 13. Normandy Invasion (44, $258,000), 14. Frac Daddy (44, $240,596), 15. Mylute (42), 16. Oxbow (36), 17. Falling Sky (30), 18. Charming Kitten (20), 19. Golden Soul (14), 20. Giant Finish (10) and AE 21. Fear the Kitten (6).
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           Road to the Kentucky Oaks Leaderboard History
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           2022 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Kathleen O. (150), 2. Echo Zulu (130), 3. Nest (120), 4. Yuugiri (114), 5. Desert Dawn (108), 6. Nostalgic (101), 7. Venti Valentine (94), 8. Secret Oath (80), 9. Goddess of Fire (62), 10. Turnerloose (60), 11. Hidden Connection (57), 12. Cocktail Moments (52), 13. Candy Raid (51), 14. Shahama (50) and AE 15. Beguine (40).
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           2021 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Search Results (150), 2. Travel Column (132), 3. Crazy Beautiful (128), 4. Pauline’s Pearl (120), 5. Malathaat (110), 6. Clairiere (94), 7. Will’s Secret (80), 8. Millefeuille (44), 9. Moraz (42), 10. Ava’s Grace (40, $138,000), 11. Pass the Champagne (40, $80,000), 12. Maracuja (40, $50,000), 13. Competitive Speed (30) and 14. Coach (26).
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           2020 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Swiss Skydiver (450), 2. Speech (160), 3. Shedaresthedevil (90), 4. Donna Veloce (62), 5. Gamine (50, $330,000), 6. Hopeful Growth (50, $135,000), 7. Tempers Rising (47), 8. Dream Marie (35) and 9. Bayerness (8).
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           2019 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Bellafina (132), 2. Champagne Anyone (113), 3. Street Band (105), 4. Lady Apple (100, $336,000), 5. Out for a Spin (100, $300,000), 6. Liora (71), 7. Restless Rider (62), 8. Serengeti Empress (60, $313,270), 9. Motion Emotion (60, $140,000), 10. Jaywalk (55), 11. Chocolate Kisses (51, $157,000), 12. Jeltrin (51, $128,720), 13. Positive Spirit (50), 14. Flor de la Mar (40, $80,000), AE 15. Dunbar Road (40, $49,500) and AE 16. Point of Honor (20).
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           2018 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Midnight Bisou (160), 2. Monomoy Girl (154), 3. Sassy Sienna (115), 4. My Miss Lilly (112), 5. Chocolate Martini (100, $240,000), 6. Coach Rocks (100, $145,700), 7. Rayya (90), 8. Wonder Gadot (84), 9. Eskimo Kisses (80), 10. Take Charge Paula (70), 11. Patrona Margarita (35), 12. Classy Act (30), 13. Heavenhasmynikki (11) and 14. Kelly’s Humor (8).
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           2017 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Farrell (170), 2. Miss Sky Warrior (160), 3. Ever So Clever (106), 4. Sailor’s Valentine (100, $307,014), 5. Paradise Woods (100, $240,000), 6. Salty (100, $150,350), 7. Abel Tasman (70), 8. Daddys Lil Darling (60), 9. Tequilita (50, $227,540), 10. Lockdown (50, $120,000), 11. Wicked Lick (49), 12. Vexatious (40, $80,000), 13. Jordan’s Henny (40, $66,410), 14. Mopotism (16) and AE 15. Summer Luck (11).
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           2016 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Terra Promessa (150), 2. Lewis Bay (130), 3. Land Over Sea (128), 4. Weep No More (100, $340,000), 5. Go Maggie Go (100, $151,900), 6. Cathryn Sophia (80), 7. Mo d’Amour (70), 8. Venus Valentine (50, $132,375), 9. Mokat (50, $112,000), 10. Rachel’s Valentina (48), 11. Royal Obsession (45), 12. Dream Dance (44), 13. Taxable (40, $80,000), 14. Paola Queen (40, $49,000) and 15. Dothraki Queen (20).
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           2015 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Condo Commando (161, $715,000), 2. I’m a Chatterbox (161, $430,714), 3. Stellar Wind (150), 4. Birdatthewire (130), 5. Lovely Maria (120), 6. Include Betty (100), 7. Oceanwave (60), 8. Angela Renee (57), 9. Sarah Sis (54), 10. Eskenformoney (50), 11. Puca (45), 12. Shook Up (40), 13. Forever Unbridled (34), 14. Money’soncharlotte (22) and AE 15. Peace and War (10).
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           2014 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Untapable (160), 2. Sugar Shock (120), 3. Fashion Plate (110), 4. My Miss Sophia (100), 5. Rosalind (78), 6. Got Lucky (64, $180,000), 7. Aurelia’s Belle (64, $142,850), 8. Ria Antonia (55), 9. Kiss Moon (50), 10. Fiftyshadesofgold (40), 11. Unbridled Forever (30), 12. Thank You Marylou (20) and 13. Empress of Midway (15).
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           2013 FINAL LEADERBOARD – 1. Beholder (164, $1,500,000), 2. Rose to Gold (164, $717,889), 3. Unlimited Budget (160), 4. Dreaming of Julia (132), 5. Close Hatches (100), 6. Flashy Gray (60), 7. Princess of Sylmar (50, $170,000), 8. Midnight Lucky (50, $120,000), 9. Silsita (50, $57,600), 10. Seaneen Girl (34) and 11. Pure Fun (20).
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      <pubDate>Fri, 16 Sep 2022 14:30:39 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/churchill-downs-revises-derby-points-schedule</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string" />
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby 148 Wrap duplicate</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/my-post</link>
      <description />
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           Kentucky Derby 148 Wrap
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           By Dick Downey
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           May 16, 2022
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           Epicenter lost his bid to become the first Kentucky Derby winner bred near my home in Bowling Green, Ky. Ironic, at least to me, is that the upset winner was bred by Brad Kelley's Calumet Farm --because Brad was born and raised 20 miles from Bowling Green in Simpson County where I was born and grew up. It's a small world, but it's an even smaller state.
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           Rich Strike's most recent dirt Beyer was a 64. He was given a 101 in the Derby. His pre-Derby last-race Beyer was a career-best 84 running on synthetic in the Jeff Ruby Steaks.
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           Brisnet gave Rich Strike a Derby figure of 102. He had earned a 95 Bris figure in the Ruby. His best pre-Derby dirt figure was an 85 when he won the $30k claiming race at Churchill Downs last year.
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           Equibase shows an interesting progression of figures lifetime for Rich Strike -- 27(T)-77(D)-74(D)-75(D)-88(S)-94(S)-96(S) capped by a 106 in the Derby -- but even if I handicapped using those figures he would not have been attractive to me.
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           "Time reveals all," was carved into the old clock tower at The Curragh. I told a friend soon after the Derby if Rich Strike goes on to the Preakness and runs well, his Derby win will be verified. That's not going to happen, though. But time will reveal all.
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           All that said, if you pressed the All button on top, I am more than happy for you for hitting some exotics. I benefitted from the upset by cashing future wagers on All Others in Pool 1 and Pool 4, but my exotic wagers did not include Rich Strike.
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           My top choice Zandon got a great trip according to trainer Brown and jockey Prat. What I saw was a horse that got shuffled back early and overcame a lot, while finding some good openings along the way, to almost win the race. Epicenter was totally game holding Zandon off by three parts of a length.
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           I can't get a grip on the performance of Crown Pride (JPN). His handlers spent weeks training him to be patient, and he had shown the ability to rate in past performances -- then he ran off in the Derby. Maybe he was overtrained, maybe connections should have used an American jockey, or maybe just he lost his mind in all the pageantry.
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           I don't know about you, but I couldn't shake the feeling that someway or another Bob Baffert was Tim Yakteen's shadow every step of the way. I'm not saying it happened, and I don't know of any evidence it happened, but it was hard to shake that feeling. Turns out Messier and Taiba were not at all formidable and probably ruined many a ticket.
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           After picking the winner of the Kentucky Derby right on top for six straight years (2014-2019), which I never thought I could do, since then my top pick ran second once (Tiz the Law in 2020), and third twice (Hot Rod Charlie in 2021 and Zandon in 2022).
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           A Personal Note
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           This was the 20th Kentucky Derby for The Downey Profile, which I launched when I was 51. Now I'm 71 and beginning to wonder if it's time to call it a day. I've had so much fun and met so many people, and there are many loyal subscribers who have been nothing but kind to me all these years. It might be best to quit while I'm ahead. But it's hard to think about giving it up.
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           Influencing my thinking is a health scare from mid-2020 when I was diagnosed with stage 3 prostate cancer. There is nothing like being told you have cancer in the middle of a pandemic; but surgery, radiation therapy and hormone therapy have led to a happy ending. Today my doc told me I am cancer free, subject to having my blood tested once a year.
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           Thank you for your support, and good luck in the Preakness. I am leaning toward Early Voting and wondering whether Epicenter can get it done on short rest.
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      <pubDate>Mon, 16 May 2022 18:07:13 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
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      <title>Si's Selections for Kentucky Derby 148</title>
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           Si's Selections for Kentucky Derby 148
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           Five Star Day
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           By Si Chapin
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           Posted May 6, 2022 at 12:15 p.m. ET
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           Been doing the Derby for 65 years now, and this one of my 5 star days of the year. It gets the blood flowing. It's like going shopping with your wife the day before Christmas with MANY doors to open and you never know which one holds the answer. LETS GO SHOPPING!
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           SELECTIONS
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           #6 MESSIER (8-1) Velazquez/Yakteen
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           He has the full package: speed,stamina ,and breeding to WIN. The son of Empire maker comes to CD in peak condition The pace and pressure style set him up perfectly to bring home the ROSES.
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           5 SMILE HAPPY (20-1) Lanerie/McPeek
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           Had a really strong prep in the Blue Grass. He is very underrated and will be a head turner as he shoots to the finish line as a double digit LONGSHOT.
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            #10 ZANDON (3-1) Pratt/Brown
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           He is a strong closer and it looks like a fast pace will be set up at a projected 1 :10 2/5. This should be good for this style of a runner.
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           #1 MO DONEGAL (10-1) I. Ortiz/Pletcher
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           Mo has the dreaded #1 post that has not won the Derby since Ferdinand did it in 1986. Pletcher has Irad Ortiz, Jr. to guide Mo and keep him out of trouble as horses crowd in toward the rail.
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           #13  SIMPLIFICATION  (20-1) J. Ortiz/Sano 
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           Ran well in the Florida Derby. Been in the money six out of seven times in his career. Has a very talented rider, Jose Ortiz, who will get everything possible out of him.
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           #19 ZOZ0S  (12-1) Franco/Cox
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           Appears to be Cox's top Derby entry . Not a great post, but it may keep him out of trouble, and he may sneak in at the finish.
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           Have a great day,and bring home some CASH!
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           Si Chapin
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      <pubDate>Fri, 06 May 2022 16:12:59 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Dick's Picks for Kentucky Derby 148</title>
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           DICK'S PICKS FOR KENTUCKY DERBY 148
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           To be run May 7, 2022
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted May 6, 2022 at 9:20 a.m. ET
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           Updated at 10:49 a.m. with the scratch of Ethereal Road and addition of Rich Strike.
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           INTRODUCTION
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           First out of the box, The Downey Profile Top 4 are, in order, TAIBA, WHITE ABARRIO, ZANDON and CYBERKNIFE. The 2022 Profile Buster Profile has EPICENTER on top, and tied for the second slot are MO DONEGAL, MESSIER, SMILE HAPPY and TAIBA. Taiba cannot be a Profile Buster because he is in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile, but it is impressive he scored so well in both categories. If you like all these horses, maybe this is all you need to read.
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           From these horses, I am most impressed, not necessarily in this order, with TAIBA, WHITE ABARRIO, ZANDON, EPICENTER and MESSIER. Of the remaining entries, I like CROWN PRIDE best.
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           Whether this impacts the Kentucky Derby or not remains to be seen, but there are two sets of prep races that with striking similarities. One set of three races produced an abnormally large number of horses that finished the final 3/8 mile fast (38 seconds or less) on tracks that were playing fast; and another set of two races saw everything finish slowly (more than 38 seconds). My top three picks did not run in any of these races.
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           THE FIELD
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           It helps me organize my thoughts to write about each horse in post position order. Selections and some suggested plays follow. Good luck to everyone!
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           1 MO DONEGAL (KY) 10-1.
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            I apologize for the length of my analysis of Mo Donegal, but as you read on I think you'll see why it's this way. If he wins I am going to look bad, but this is the way I see it.
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            Drawing post 1 isn't as bad as it used to be because the new 20-horse starting gate takes up less space than the prior setup when an auxiliary gate was added to the main gate. Horses breaking from there no longer have to angle out to skim the inner rail. But post 1 is still a tough proposition if your horse gets shut off or worse as runners breaking from more exterior spots angle in to get a bead on the all-important first turn, where many a Derby has been won or lost.
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            Mo Donegal not only ran perfect 12s, he came home super fast in the Wood Memorial, overcoming what appeared to be a speed bias that day -- but the majority of the field also came home fast. Of the eight starters, five finished the final 3/8 mile in under 38 seconds. See Section 4 for details.
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            I don't recall ever seeing a sub-36 (in this case, 35.47) finishing time for a nine-furlong Derby prep race in the 20 years I've been analyzing these figures. Second and third finishers Early Voting and Skippylongstocking also finished in WELL under 38 seconds (both in 36.42). A.P.s Secret (fourth, 37.32) and Barese (fifth, 37.14) also hit the mark. The other three starters were beaten a combined 117.75 lengths.
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            While I was preparing my annual Derby By The Speed Numbers chart in Section 6, in my mind it was confirmed that the dirt surface at Aqueduct that day had to be, shall we say, very firm.
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            The speed-track variant figures for Mo Donegal in the Wood Memorial were expressed in the DRF chart as follows: 108 --.
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            The speed number (the first number) is figured as follows: it's a comparison of a horse's final time with the best time at the distance at that track in the last three years. According to DRF, the best time over that three years is given a rating of 100, and one point is deducted for each fifth of a second by which a horse fails to equal that time. We may deduce that a point is added for each fifth of a second by which a horse exceeds that time, meaning that Mo Donegal ran 1.6 seconds, or eight lengths, faster than anything at that distance in three years at Aqueduct.
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            According to DRF, to compute the track variant, the quality of the racing is taken into consideration; and the speed ratings of all winners in each type of race on a card are added together and an average is computed, which is deducted from 100. For example, if the average speed rating is 90, the track variant is 10. Therefore, a -- track variant has to indicate either a zero or a negative number, and this typically indicates a track that was playing very fast.
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            One has to wonder how much this epic win took out of the top finishers. Early Voting was beaten only a neck, and he's bypassing the Derby, thus getting an extra two weeks with the Preakness as his target.
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            I also note that Joel Rosario, who was aboard Mo Donegal in the Wood, chose to stay with Epicenter in the Kentucky Derby. Jose Ortiz, who had the four most-recent prior mounts on Mo Donegal, is staying with Simplification, whom he's ridden twice.
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            The Wood Memorial gallop-out was not dominated by the top two finishers. It was "won" by fourth- and fifth-finishers A.P.'s Secret and Barese. A couple of lengths behind them running into the turn were Mo Donegal, Early Voting and Skippylongstocking. Of the latter three, Skippylongstocking galloped out ahead in the turn and looked to gallop out farthest when the video ended.
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            Mo Donegal may very well win the Kentucky Derby. If he finishes in under 36 seconds again, then he probably will win, and congrats to all the connections if he does, but I cannot help but wonder if he will be able to duplicate his effort in the Wood Memoriai in back-to-back races.
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           2 HAPPY JACK (KY) 30-1.
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            He should rightfully be, based on his form, a zillion to one on the tote board Saturday. I look for Happy Jack to fall out of the gate and lag well behind most if not all of the field, thus staying out of trouble going into the first turn. At that point, if he's going to have a chance he can't wait long to mount a rally. Maybe it'll be a mile from the finish line, which is the length of his stellar workout at Keeneland last weekend (1:39.60 Breezing).
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            In the Santa Anita Derby, Happy Jack ran 12s for six furlongs before fading. In the gallop-out after the Santa Anita Derby, Taiba led into the turn but was soon joined by Messier, both in the middle of the track. In the turn, Happy Jack ran by those two on the rail. Messier was pulled up well before Taiba, who was approaching the end of the turn when the video ends.
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            Trainer O'Neill is on record that this horse needs the light bulb to come on. He might not ever wake up, but he has three new things going on that could light a fuse. He will run with blinkers off, get a new jockey in Rafael Bejarano, and he's back in Kentucky where he was foaled after running exclusively at Santa Anita. The Calumet Farm homebred has had his neck bowed galloping at Churchill Downs. The change of scenery, jockey and equipment, along with the most recent workout at Keeneland, could mean he's doing well enough to deserve consideration for the bottom of tickets.
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            3 EPICENTER (KY) 7-2.
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           After his banner winter and spring campaign, most people thought Epicenter would be the morning line favorite in the Kentucky Derby, but then came along Zandon.
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           Epicenter has not been invincible all year -- he was beaten a head by Call Me Midnight in the LeComte -- but he's won four of his last five starts in either front-running or stalking style, the latter tactic coming in the 1 3/16-mile Louisiana Derby, making him a flexible type with a good head on his shoulders that can get a distance. I should also mention that Epicenter ran perfect 12s in the Louisiana Derby.
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           Epicenter's Brisnet Figures have ascended in every start, and his Beyers have done the same thing but for one race (the Gun Runner), and he won that outing by 6 1/2 lengths. In his final and second start at age two, Epicenter took a one-turn mile at Churchill Downs on a track rated good and was given a speed-track variant rating of 88-17, the total of which (105) equals his Lousiana Derby total.
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           The Louisiana Derby and 1 1/8-mile Risen Star, which Epicenter won on the lead, have a couple of things in common aside from the fact that both races were run at Fairgrounds in New Orleans.
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           FIRST, a ton of horses finished fast. I wrote about the Risen Star in Section 4, "What is striking is that all four of the top runners finished well under 38 seconds (Epicenter 36.78, Smile Happy 36.43, Zandon also 36.43 and Pioneer of Medina 37.16), indicating either that this was a very strong race or that the track was playing fast." Upon further review, I see that fifth finisher Tawny Port also finished fast (37.23 seconds) in the Risen Star, and even sixth finisher Slow Down Andy -- who went on to win the Sunland Derby in what could be charitably called less than impressive style -- almost hit the mark, finishing in 38.08 seconds, and he was beaten 10 lengths.
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           The Louisiana Derby turned out the same way. My findings in Section 4 were, "This was a 1 3/16 mile race, but we can safely say that all four of the top runners get credit for finishing in the benchmark 38 seconds or less. If we assume the horses ran the same speed throughout the final 7/16 mile, then:
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           --Epicenter's final 7/16 mile in 42.39 interpolates to 36.33.
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           --Zozos' final 7/16 in 43.18, interpolates to 37.01.
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           --Pioneer of Medina's final 7/16 of 43.49 interpolates to 37.27
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           --Rattle N Roll's final 7/16 of 43.09 interpolates to 36.93.
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           Galt, who finished fifth, went the final 7/16 in 43.49,which interpolates to 37.27. Sixth finisher Call Me Midnight ran it in 42.74, and that interpolates to 36.63. The other three competitors were beaten a combined 85 1/4 lengths.
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           SECOND, like the Wood Memorial, we have an extremely low track variant on the days of both the Risen Star and the Louisiana Derby. Here are the speed-track variants figures for each of the top finishers mentioned above:
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           Epicenter 101-02
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           Zandon 98-02
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           Pioneer of Medina 98-02
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           Tawny Port 93-02
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           Slow Down Andy (unavailable)
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           LOUISIANA DERBY
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           Epicenter 104-01
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           Zozos 101-01
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           Pioneer of Medina 99-01
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           Galt (unavailable)
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           Rattle N Roll (unavailable)
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           I think we can deduce that the surface at Fairgrounds was playing fast in both the Risen Star and Louisiana Derby. That can be tough on horses, but a couple of things come to mind that could offset this negative thinking.
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           First of all, Fairgrounds is known for being kind to horses during the course of a meet. Second, something that could help these horses recover is that they had five weeks from the Risen Star to the Louisiana Derby and six weeks from the Louisiana Derby to the Kentucky Derby, compared to Mo Donegal's four-week turnaround time from the Wood Memorial.
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           I should also note that Epicenter easily led the gallop-out in the Louisiana Derby, and he was still going in the second half of the first turn when the video stopped. Rosario seemed reluctant to pull him up, probably by design. The second, third and fourth finishers galloped out in that order.
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           Joel Rosario's election to stay with Epicenter (versus Mo Donegal) is a positive, if not unexpected, endorsement, and simply having Rosario's talents on board is yet another plus. Finally, Epicenter's workouts at Churchill Downs have been telling me he's more than ready to run again.
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           Epicenter is this year's Profile Buster horse, and that speaks well of him, too. The reason he has a middling ranking in The Downey Profile is horses that run well in the Louisiana Derby haven't won the Kentucky Derby since 1996.
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           Yes, Country House (the 2019 Kentucky Derby winner via disqualification)and Mandaloun (the 2021 Kentucky Derby winner via disqualification) both competed in the Louisiana Derby, but in those races Country House finished fourth, beaten 6 1/2 lengths and Mandaloun finished seventh, beaten 11 3/4 lengths. That is hardly a signal of Kentucky Derby success.
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           By My Standards, Spinoff and Sueno (first, second and third in the 2019 Louisiana Derby, did not impact the Kentucky Derby. But on the other hand, Louisiana Derby horses performed well in the 2021 Kentucky Derby, crossing the finish line second, third, fifth and sixth.
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           Regardless, statistically the Louisiana Derby is not impactful of the Kentucky Derby winner, and that's why Epicenter ranks so poorly in The Downey Profile Rankings. But there's always the Profile Buster Profile angle.
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            4 SUMMER IS TOMORROW (KY) 30-1.
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           Before he ran a tiring second in the UAE Derby, picking up 40 Kentucky Derby points, Summer Is Tomorrow had raced six times, none of them beyond seven furlongs, winning twice. He has turf breeding (War Front is his grandsire), and during his sole workout at Churchill Downs, he displayed what I think is obvious high front action coming down the lane. He might or might not have a say in the early pace. Frankly, he doesn't look all that speedy upon inspection of the final times of his races at Meydan, but then again there is no runup to the timer at Meydan. Even if Summer Is Tomorrow does possess good early speed, will he break well? All that said, he impresses me as a horse that will yield once the field turns for home.
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           5 SMILE HAPPY (KY) 20-1.
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            I had high hopes for Smile Happy after I saw him enter the paddock with the greatest attitude before he handily won the Kentucky Jockey Club. Since then, he's been a little disappointing even though he finished second in both his races this year and even though he was beaten in those races by Epicenter and Zandon, the two Kentucky Derby morning line favorites.
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            His demeanor at Churchill Downs has been a bit disappointing. He's been lathered up on multiple occasions when the weather is cool and other horses on the track are dry.
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            Smile Happy does possess that win at Churchill Downs, though, and a track rated good in the Blue Grass (I thought it looked muddy) may have impaired a move forward off the Risen Star. But he was a beaten favorite in both those races (2-1 and 9-5, respectively).
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            The gallop-out in the Blue Grass belonged to Zandon. He was all by himself.
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            Smile Happy finished fast in the Risen Star, but as pointed out above, so did everything else, and he did not run 12s. In the Blue Grass, Smile Happy ran 12's AND finished in under 38 seconds, so that's a positive. Also, he's in the second tier of the Profile Busters Profile, if that means anything.
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            Emotionally I am attached to this horse, and I wouldn't mind seeing Corey Lanerie win one for Louisville, but I cannot endorse him to win. Onlookers at the track don't like what they see, but maybe he'll surprise them with a top four finish.
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           6 MESSIER (KY) 8-1.
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            If Messier wins, the race will be a clone of the way Bob Baffert 2020 and 2021 Kentucky Derby trainees Authentic and Medina Spirit took the roses -- go into the Santa Anita Derby the odds-on favorite; lose by three or four lengths; lead into the stretch in the Kentucky Derby; and rebreak to hold off all challengers. Messier is speedy but has high front action that might prevent him from winning at 10 furlongs no matter what, but he is athletic and will probably run well. With what we either know or suspect about how Baffert conducts his business, playing against Messier sounds risky. Plus, he ran almost perfect 12s in the Santa Anita Derby and finished in under 38 seconds.
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            In the gallop-out after the Santa Anita Derby, Taiba led into the turn but was soon joined by Messier, both in the middle of the track. In the turn, Happy Jack ran by those two on the rail. Messier was pulled up well before Taiba, who was approaching the end of the turn when the video ends.
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            One potential problem for Messier is that his post is to the immediate left of Crown Pride, who has shown a propensity for breaking inward. If that happens, both horses will be compromised.
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            It is impossible though a bit unpleasant, regardless of whether you like or dislike him, to think about the trainer who isn't here but yet seems to be here too. Whatever the reason he's been able to do it, Bob Baffert is a dominant force in the Kentucky Derby.
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           7 CROWN PRIDE (JPN) 20-1.
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            In my opinion, this horse is 2022's version of Mandaloun, who trained brilliantly last year only to lose to Medina Spirit by a half-length. Based in Japan, the UAE Derby winner has seen a training regimen unlike anything that's used in North America. From April 16 to May 4, a span of 19 days, he breezed five times. The first workout was six furlongs in a dawdling 1:18.60, progressing to a pair of four-furlong bullet works on the other end of the timeline timed in 46.40 and 46.60. The last workout was a thing of beauty with horse and rider Christophe Lamaire moving as one, Lemaire hands down and quiet, Crown Pride measuring his speed even as he finished the move in 22.40, with the final furlong in 11 seconds.
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            This horse finished the UAE Derby slowly. However, as noted in Section 6 when analyzing Crown Pride's April 27 workout, while it is true the UAE Derby was timed overall in a slow 1:59:76, maybe the best comparison that day is the 1 1/4-mile, $12 million Dubai World Cup for older horses that was timed in 2:04:97, not exactly racehorse time either. So maybe the track at Meydan was tiring.
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            Looking at the PPs, there is cause for concern if there is an off track, as Crown Pride lost his only race in four starts on a muddy track in the Hyacinth. It may or may not be a coincidence that the one-mile Hyacinth was the shortest distance Crown Pride has run from four starts, and it was his first two-turn race. He broke his maiden running for $120,600 at nine furlongs on the straight at Chukyo, then won again in a minor stake at Hanshin at the same distance, again on a straight course. Next came the Hyacinth off a three-month layoff, followed by the UAE Derby.
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            On May 3, the dirt surface at Churchill Downs was sloppy, but Crown Pride seemed to have no difficulty getting over it. His exercise rider gave him a big pat on the neck after a spirited gallop, and when they came off the track he said, "In Japan when the track is muddy a horse's foot can sink into the surface. This track, there is more cushion and it is safer. I don't see that as being a problem."
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            Crown Pride does not rank well in either The Downey Profile or the Profile Busters Profile -- in fact, like Mandaloun he has only two points in the latter Profile -- but he has been touting himself. I will use him in exotics and place a win bet on him, especially if he's anywhere near his 20-1 morning line.
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            Crown Pride is inbred 3x4 to Sunday Silence, who is third generation back on the sire side and fourth back on the dam side. According to Avalyn Hunter's pedigree work, inbreeding refers to mating sires and dams that share common ancestors within five generations or less. This is done to increase the chances that the foal will inherit traits from the duplicated ancestor. There can be disadvantages, but in this case the advantages won out, and in a racehorse those advantages include concentration of genes of the ancestor.
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            Another positive for Crown Pride is the recent success of Japanese racehorses at the highest level, including the 2021 Breeders' Cup and and 2022 Dubai World Cup program.
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            Finally, perhaps the biggest risk Crown Pride (and Messier to his immediate left in the gate) is his tendency to break inward. But should he get away from the gate cleanly, I look for Crown Pride to be forwardly placed, put on cruise control, and then asked on the far turn.
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           8 CHARGE IT (KY) 20-1.
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            Charge It is a big, good-looking colt that is light on his feet. He finished second to White Abarrio in the Florida Derby despite making several costly mistakes. He hit the gate, lugged in three times in the stretch while getting the whip, and switched back to his left lead in the final hundred yards. Despite all that he was never more than 2 1/2 lengths off the lead.
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            On the plus side, Charge It was given credit for running 12s in the Florida Derby, and on the down side, the finishing time was more than 38 seconds for all the runners -- and Charge It's gallop-out was lackluster. On the plus side, his training has been forward at Churchill Downs.
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            Should the track be wet, his weight could hamper his efforts to get over the top of the surface efficiently.
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            I do not see Charge It winning the Kentucky Derby, and I am marginal about his chance to run in the top 4, especially if the track is wet. He is playable in exotics.
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           9 TIZ THE BOMB (KY) 30-1.
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            Tiz the Bomb is the top selection of Ed DeRosa (Horse Racing Nation), but I respectfully decline. Tiz the Bomb is an excellent turf/synthetic horse -- he ran perfect 12s and finished in under 38 seconds in the Jeff Ruby Steaks -- but his high knee action on the dirt here at Churchill Downs doesn't encourage me.
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            In the Jeff Ruby, the winner of the gallop-out was...Rich Strike, much the best. He passed both Tiz the Bomb and second finisher Tawny Port before they entered the first turn. Then Tiz the Bomb was pulled up quickly as Tawny Port ran by him, as did fifth finisher Royal Spirit.
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            I think maybe Tiz the Bomb had an excuse for his poor performance on the dirt in the Holy Bull, as I recall he was washed out entering the starting gate. His other two dirt outings were both sprints with low Beyer figures when he was a 2-year-old: a fifth-place debut race at Churchill Downs resulting in a 41 Beyer figure; and the other a 14 1/4-length win at Ellis Park in his second start, earning him a 68 Beyer.
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           10 ZANDON (KY) 3-1.
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            First of all, I was at Keeneland on Blue Grass day, and Zandon's win was visually impressive. He came from off the pace, but it's not like he won from the clouds. Even as he was 10th of 11 after the first half-mile in 48.39, he was only 4 1/2 lengths off the pace. Zandon didn't run 12s in the Blue Grass (or the Risen Star), but he finished strongly over a track that was not glib at all (36.58 for the final 3/8 mile).
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            The gallop-out belonged to Zandon. He was all by himself.
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            His first workout after that, which took place at Keeneland, was more than trainer Brown expected, and Zandon did it easily, followed by an excellent breeze at Churchill Downs.
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            Trainer Brown impresses me as a smart young man who does not exaggerate the credentials of his Kentucky Derby prospects. He has been enthusiastic about Zandon. I have to remind myself periodically that trainer Asmussen isn't the only prominent name looking for his first Kentucky Derby win, and this could be Brown's year.
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            As I was preparing the Derby By The Speed Numbers chart (Section 6), I was impressed with Zandon's numbers all the way across the chart, not the least of which were his Brisnet Late Pace figure (114) and his combined DRF speed-track variant figures (88-18). Keeneland's track looked muddy to me but was rated good during the Blue Grass, and the high track variant figure combined with the fast finishing time impresses me.
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            I view it as my job to try to pick the winner. It's not my fault Zandon is the morning line favorite, and I wish his odds were going to be higher, but he looks like the best horse to me.
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            A very astute observer told me Wednesday night he believes Zandon will go straight to the lead and challenge the rest to come and get him. The colt has drawn a perfect post for the task, but in his brief career he has not been a great gate horse, so I can't say I can predict Zandon will wire this field. But I don't think he will be far back at any point.
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            11 PIONEER OF MEDINA (KY) 30-1.
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           He was among the last to make it into the main body of the Derby. He shows a steadily ascending stream of Beyer and Brisnet figures that, if uninterrupted, could find him filling out the bottom on exotics, though I can't endorse him for the win. He's been a workmate of Charge It and has been outworked, just a bit, by that one, but he has more racing experience than Charge It, finishing 3 1/4 and 4 1/2 lengths, respectively, behind Epicenter in his last two starts. He ran 12s in the latter start and in the Risen Star; and he finished in under 38 seconds in both races along with several other horses.
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           Epicenter easily led the gallop-out after the Louisiana Derby, and he was still going in the second half of the first turn when the video stopped. The second, third and fourth finishers (Zozos, Pioneer of Medina and Rattle N Roll) galloped out in that order.
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           As noted above, the Fairgrounds track seemed to be playing fast, but Pioneer of Medina has had six weeks to rebound from the Louisiana Derby, and if he finishes in the top 4 of the Derby, we'll be looking back at our forms and saying to ourselves, yeah, I can see that now.
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            12 TAIBA (KY) 12-1.
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           I never expected to see Taiba, or any other horse, top The Downey Profile Rankings off of only two starts, but I didn't expect to see Justify rank so well either after he was prepared for the Kentucky Derby with only three starts, the first of which was in February. I didn't think I would ever see a horse win the Santa Anita Derby off a single one-turn start, either. Plenty of people liked him, though, as he was sent off at 4-1 in a six-horse field.
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           Taiba is an expensive ($1.7 millon as a 2-year-old) purchase that could turn that investment into a dream come true in the ultimate irony for the same owner who campaigned Medina Spirit, a $35,000 purchase.
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           My mind keeps going back to Fusaichi Pegasus, a $4 million yearling purchase that raced only once at age two. There is a difference in that FuPeg raced four times at age three before the Kentucky Derby, but I see a similarities, too. Taiba kind of makes me think of a man among boys while he's on the track. He has a regal bearing, a good mind and a long stride.
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           Taiba ran perfect 12s in the Santa Anita Derby and finished in under 38 seconds. That impresses me.
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           In the gallop-out after the Santa Anita Derby, Taiba led into the turn but was soon joined by Messier, both in the middle of the track. In the turn, Happy Jack ran by those two on the rail. Messier was pulled up well before Taiba, who was approaching the end of the turn when the video ends.
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           Should he get a clean trip, Taiba and Mike Smith could gobble up some significant ground while inhaling horses heading to the top of the stretch, Then we will see The Moment of Truth. At that point, if his mind is good, Taiba could stay running and make it to the eighth pole first.
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           Just like Messier, it is impossible though a bit unpleasant, regardless of whether you like or dislike him, to think about the trainer who isn't here but yet seems to be here too. Whatever the reason he's been able to do it, Bob Baffert is a dominant force in the Kentucky Derby.
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            13 SIMPLIFICATION (FL) 20-1.
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           I can't endorse Simplification for the win, and he's not going to be in my top selections, but for him to finish third or fourth is not beyond reasonable thought. He's been working like a champ on both fast and wet surfaces, and he's always a hard trier. I am not fond of what looks like high front action in his stride, but I respect him in that Jose Ortiz has not jumped ship.
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           Apparently Simplification's forward position in the Florida Derby was by design, although I am still not sure why that was done, and he ran 12s before fading and finishing in over 38 seconds.
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           In a lackluster gallop-out, Steal Sunsine led the way into the first turn after finishing sixth, beaten 8 1/4 lengths at 75-1 odds. White Abarrio and Simplification, the latter one pulled up very early, followed Steal Sunshine in the gallop-out. Charge It and O Captain were behind those three, not galloping out strongly.
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           In the Kentucky Derby, I look for Simplification to drop back early before making a sustained run at the leaders.
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            14 BARBER ROAD (KY) 30-1.
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           His workouts at Churchill Downs have been, how shall we put it, less than flashy, but I like the vibe from Barber Road's barn. I don't think he can win the Kentucky Derby, but were he to finish in the top four, upon reflection we will recall he had finished on the board in seven of his eight races, with a fourth. If a race is long enough, a horse that just keeps grinding away like this one does can possibly come away with a check.
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           Barber Road finished second to Cyberknife in the Arkansas Derby, but he galloped out about a length in front of Cyberknife. The length of the video was inadequate to judge how far they ran. I didn't see any other horses in the gallop-out except for a brief glimpse of Secret Oath slowing down behind the other two.
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           15 WHITE ABARRIO (KY) 10-1.
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            Like Charge It, White Abarrio didn't exactly burn up the track finishing the Florida Derby (39.66 seconds) after running 12s in the initial stages, but he showed versatility winning from off the pace after being thought of as a pace factor.
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            In a lackluster gallop-out, Steal Sunsine led the way into the first turn after finishing sixth, beaten 8 1/4 lengths at 75-1 odds. White Abarrio and Simplification, the latter one pulled up very early, followed Steal Sunshine in the gallop-out. Charge It and O Captain were behind those three, not galloping out strongly.
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            Here at Churchill Downs, White Abarrio been touting himself with an arched neck and full attention to the job at hand while galloping. His pre-Derby workouts at Gulfstream Park were excellent, and he may be improving as we speak. One thing about White Abarrio that cannot be denied -- he is a game horse and a hard trier. He likes to go and get 'em. I would be surprised if he were to win but not completely shocked; and I will not be surprised if he hits the board.
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            16 CYBERKNIFE (KY) 20-1.
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           He is another one that finished his major prep slowly, going the final 3/8 mile of the Arkansas Derby in 39.16. With a reputation for being difficult sometimes, in front of a large crowd at Oaklawn Park Cyberknife unseated Florent Geroux in the post parade, but then he rated kindly for Geroux before taking command from Kavod, a front-runner with distance limitations, in the far turn and finishing 2 3/4 lengths better than Barber Road. It was a nice-looking win, but he finished slowly.
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           Barber Road galloped out about a length in front of Cyberknife, but the length of the video was inadequate to judge how far they ran. I didn't see any other horses in the gallop-out except for a brief glimpse of Secret Oath (the third finisher) slowing down behind the other two.
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           Cyberknife really likes Churchill Downs, hes' put in some really nice works here, especially the most recent one, and he has two good races over the surface, albeit several months ago while sprinting. Playable.
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           17  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY (KY) 30-1.
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            Anything can happen, but I find it surprising that a horse that finished dead last in a major prep race would be entered in the Kentucky Derby, and I say that knowing how powerful Derby Fever can be. This horse appears to have peaked weeks ago. Even if he pops out of the gate quickly, and Classic Causeway is very good at doing that, it's difficult to envision him making a major impact off a win at 1 1/16 mile followed by a last-place finish.
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           18 TAWNY PORT (KY) 30-1.
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            He got 40 Derby points with a second-place finish in the Jeff Ruby Steaks on synthetic track after running perfect 12s and finishing in under 38 seconds. Tawny Port showed he could handle dirt in the Lexington Stakes so long as 1:45 and change was good enough to win. To give him credit where credit is due, the track was playing deep that day.
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            In the Jeff Ruby, the winner of the gallop-out was...Rich Strike, much the best. He passed both Tiz the Bomb and Tawny Port before they entered the first turn. Then Tiz the Bomb was pulled up quickly as Tawny Port ran by him, and then so did fifth finisher Royal Spirit.
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            If Tawny Port runs a big one, more power to him, but think of him as a turf/synthetic horse, and I can't play all of them.
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           19 ZOZOS (KY) 20-1.
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            James Scully of Brisnet/TwinSpires, whom I respect greatly, picked Zozos to win the Kentucky Derby. I cannot do that, but Scully's recommendation is enough for me to include him on exotic tickets. Zozos' finish in the Louisiana Derby was strong (under 38 seconds), albeit over a surface that was, as noted above, playing fast. He also ran 12s, hitting the mark at four of five calls.
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            Epicenter easily led the gallop-out after the Louisiana Derby, and he was still going in the second half of the first turn when the video stopped. The second, third and fourth finishers (Zozos, Pioneer of Medina and Rattle N Roll) galloped out in that order.
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            Zozos is among eight horses in the field with four or fewer starts -- he has three -- so another move forward could propel him to victory. He must be sent from this outer post, and his early speed could get him into good position in the all-important first turn. His pedigree does not scream distance to me, but we shall see.
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            20 ETHEREAL ROAD (KY) 30-1.
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           Ethereal Road appears to have peaked in the Rebel Stakes and is likely to get hung wide from this post with his running style.
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            21 RICH STRIKE (KY) 30-1.
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           With the scratch of Ethereal Road, Rich Strike drew in and will run. No. 22 Rattle N Roll was scratched. After Churchill Downs purchased Turfway Park, the Jeff Ruby Steaks, run on synthetic track, was elevated to 170-point status, and Rich Strike makes the third horse in this field to have competed in the Ruby. He has low speed figures on synthetic and even lower on dirt. With no early foot, all he can do is sit back and try to make one run.
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           SELECTIONS
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           1 ZANDON
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           2 CROWN PRIDE
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           3 TAIBA
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           4 EPICENTER
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           5 MESSIER
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           6 WHITE ABARRIO
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           SUMMARY
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           No one knows how much rain will fall on Friday and Saturday, but as of this post my money is on a fast track for the Kentucky Derby. The dirt track at Churchill Downs has an excellent drainage system.
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           I like Zandon based on his strong finishing time on a less-than-glib track in the Blue Grass Stakes, his dominant gallop-out after that race, his training since then, his athleticism, the fact that he's ranked in the Top 4 in The Downey Profile, his superior ranking in Derby By The Speed Numbers, and his trainer's demeanor since the Blue Grass. He has a top rider. I see Zandon at or near the front of the pack heading into the first turn.
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           It's hard to say any Derby horse has trained better than Crown Pride in the past two weeks. He acts like a powder keg ready to blow. If he exits the gate cleanly, and he might not, I see him attending the pace and launching a solid bid on the far turn.
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           Taiba looks and acts the part despite the fact that he's raced only twice. He possesses superior speed numbers, he has a long stride, and we are told his mind is reflected in the $1.7 million paid for him as a 2-year-old. There is no denying the Baffert influence in the barn of this horse, and Baffert has won many a Derby.
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           Although the still-fairly-new 20-horse starting gate has rendered the inside posts less difficult, it's still an inside post with a large field to the outside jockeying for good position going into the all-important first turn. Epicenter will exit from post 3, and he is a forwardly running horse, so he could get great position if there's enough separation going under the wire the first time.
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           Messier is an athletic type, and if he doesn't get wiped out by Crown Pride exiting the gate, he should be a pace factor to be reckoned with. If he wins on the lead off his second-place finish in the Santa Anita Derby, it will be the third straight year that a Baffert trainee (or former trainee) has executed this exact pattern.
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           White Abarrio might not have run quite as fast as some of these, but he's a real hard trier and a go-getter. He appears to be coming into the race the right way.
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           POSSIBLE PLAYS
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           I will play The Downey Profile Top 4 in an exacta box: Taiba, White Abarrio, Zandon and Cyberknife.
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           I will play Zandon to win and a lesser amount on Crown Pride to win.
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           I will play a Zandon-Crown Pride exacta box. A $2 box costs $4.
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           A possible trifecta play is:
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           10 Zandon (ONE HORSE)
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           3 Epicenter, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 12 Taiba, 15 White Abarrio (FIVE HORSES)
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           1 Mo Donegal, 3 Epicenter, 5 Smile Happy, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 8 Charge It, 11 Pioneer of Medina, 12 Taiba, 13, Simplification, 14 Barber Road, 15 White Abarrio, 16 Cyberknife, 19 Zozos (THIRTEEN HORSES)
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           The number of combinations is 1 x 5 x 12 = 60
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           A total of 60 combinations. A $1 trifecta ticket would cost $60, and a 50 cent ticket would cost $30.
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           At the same cost for a ($60 for a dollar ticket, $30 for a 50 cent ticket), Zandon could be singled in the second spot like this:
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           3 Epicenter, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 12 Taiba, 15 White Abarrio
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           w/
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           10 Zandon
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           w/
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           1 Mo Donegal, 3 Epicenter, 5 Smile Happy, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 8 Charge It, 11 Pioneer of Medina, 12 Taiba, 13, Simplification, 14 Barber Road, 15 White Abarrio, 16 Cyberknife, 19 Zozos
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            And again at the same cost ($60 for a dollar ticket, $30 for a 50 cent ticket) singled in the third spot like this:
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            1 Mo Donegal, 3 Epicenter, 5 Smile Happy, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 8 Charge It, 11 Pioneer of Medina, 12 Taiba, 13, Simplification, 14 Barber Road, 15 White Abarrio, 16 Cyberknife, 19 Zozos
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            w/
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            3 Epicenter, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 12 Taiba, 15 White Abarrio
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            10 Zandon
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           Or this (again at $60 for a dollar ticket or $30 for a 50 cent ticket):
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           3 Epicenter, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 12 Taiba, 15 White Abarrio
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           w/
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           1 Mo Donegal, 3 Epicenter, 5 Smile Happy, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 8 Charge It, 11 Pioneer of Medina, 12 Taiba, 13, Simplification, 14 Barber Road, 15 White Abarrio, 16 Cyberknife, 19 Zozos
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           10 Zandon
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           A possible superfecta play is:
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           10 Zandon
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           7 Crown Pride, 12 Taiba (TWO HORSES)
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           3 Epicenter, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 12 Taiba, 15 White Abarrio (FIVE HORSES)
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           1 Mo Donegal, 2 Happy Jack, 3 Epicenter, 5 Smile Happy, 6 Messier, 7 Crown Pride, 8 Charge It, 11 Pioneer of Medina, 12 Taiba, 13, Simplification, 14 Barber Road, 15 White Abarrio, 16 Cyberknife, 19 Zozos (14 HORSES)
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           The number of combinations is 1 x 2 x 4 x 12 = 96
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           A total of 96 combinations. A $1 superfecta ticket would cost $96. According to a Churchill Downs release, on Oaks Day and Derby Day the superfecta is a $1.00 minimum wager.
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            For more information about wagering options, please click
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           here
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           .
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      <pubDate>Fri, 06 May 2022 13:21:01 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/dick-s-picks-for-kentucky-derby-148</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Kentucky Derby Undercard Stakes Advances</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-undercard-stakes-advances</link>
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           KENTUCKY DERBY UNDERCARD STAKES ADVANCES
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           Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic
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           Charles Fipke’s homebred Shirl’s Speight, winner of the Maker’s Mark Mile (GI) at Keeneland on April 15, heads a field of 10 for the 36th running of the $1 million Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic for 4-year-olds and up going a mile and an eighth on the Matt Winn Turf Course.	 The Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic will go as the day’s 11th race with a 5:27 p.m. (all times Eastern) post time on the 14-race program that features eight stakes races and is highlighted by the 148th running of the $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI). Racing begins at 10:30 a.m.
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           Trained by Roger Attfield, Shirl’s Speight brings a three-race win streak into the Turf Classic. Luis Saez, who was aboard for the Keeneland victory, has the mount Friday and will break from post position six.
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           Trainer Chad Brown, who has won the past three renewals of the Turf Classic, has three entrants Friday headed by Grade I winner Tribhuvan (FR).
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           Owned by Michael Dubb, Madaket Stables and Wonder Stable, the winner of last year’s United Nations (GI) will be making his 2022 debut. Manny Franco has the mount and will break from post position four.
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           Brown, who won with Bricks and Mortar in 2019, Digital Age in 2020 and Domestic Spending (GB) last year, also has multiple graded stakes winner Public Sector (GB) for Klaravich Stables and Dubb, Madaket and Louis Lazzinnaro’s Adhamo (IRE), runner-up in the Fair Grounds Stakes (GIII) in his U.S. debut in February. Irad Ortiz Jr. will be aboard Public Sector from post three and Flavien Prat is on Adhamo from post eight.
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           There is one other Grade I winner in the field in Bonne Chance Farm and Stud R D I’s Ivar (BRZ).
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           Trained by Paulo Lobo, Ivar won the Shadwell Turf Mile (GI) at Keeneland in 2020 and was a close sixth, beaten 2 lengths in last year’s Bourbon Turf Classic. Regular rider Joe Talamo will be aboard Ivar from post position one and who will be making his first start since finishing third in the Breeders’ Cup Mile (GI) at Del Mar in November.
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           The field for the Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic, with riders from the inside, is: Ivar (BRZ) (Joe Talamo), Bizzee Channel (Gerardo Corrales), Public Sector (GB) (Irad Ortiz Jr.), Tribhuvan (FR) (Manny Franco), Mira Mission (Julien Leparoux), Shirl’s Speight (Luis Saez), Cavalry Charge (Brian Hernandez Jr.), Adhamo (IRE) (Flavien Prat), Kentucky Ghost (Rafael Bejarano) and Santin (Tyler Gaffalione).
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           The Churchill Downs
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           J. Kirk  and Judy Robison’s champion Jackie’s Warrior and Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners’ 2021 Breeders’ Cup Sprint (GI) winner Aloha West will hook up again Saturday as they headline a field of eight for the 87th running of the $750,000 Churchill Downs presented by Ford (GI) going seven furlongs on the main track.
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           The Churchill Downs will go as the day’s 10th race with a 4:31 p.m. post time.
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           Trained by Steve Asmussen, Jackie’s Warrior is two-for-two at Churchill Downs, a record that includes a victory last year on Derby Day in the Pat Day Mile (GII). He returned to the races after a five-month layoff following the Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar with a victory in the Count Fleet (GIII) at Oaklawn Park on April 16.
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           Regular rider Joel Rosario will be aboard and break from post position three.
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           Aloha West has been working steadily at Churchill Downs for the past month as he readies for his 2022 debut. Trained by Wayne Catalano, Aloha West closed with a desperate rush to prevail by a nose in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint in what was his Grade I debut.
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           Jose Ortiz, who was aboard for the Breeders’ Cup victory, has the call Saturday and will break from post position one.
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           The field for the Churchill Downs, with riders from the rail, is: Aloha West (Jose Ortiz), Long Range Toddy (Luis Saez), Jackie’s Warrior (Joel Rosario), Sir Alfred James (Jon Court), Reinvestment Risk (Irad Ortiz Jr.), Prevalence (Tyler Gaffalione), Mind Control (John Velazquez) and Cezanne (Flavien Prat).
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           DERBY CITY DISTAFF
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           Lothenbach Stables’ Bell’s the One will be trying to become the first horse to win the $750,000 Derby City Distaff presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery (GI) twice when she headlines a field of eight fillies and mares for the 36th running of the seven-furlong main track test.
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           The Derby City Distaff will go as the day’s eighth race with a 2:48 p.m. post time.
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           Trained by Neil Pessin, Bell’s the One captured the 2020 running of the Derby City Distaff by a nose over 2019 Kentucky Oaks (GI) winner Serengeti Empress. She was fourth in last year’s renewal behind Gamine.
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           Owning an 8-4-3-0 record at Churchill Downs where she closed her 2021 campaign with a victory in the Dream Supreme, Bell’s the One came off a nearly five-month layoff to run second in the Madison (GI) on April 9 at Keeneland. Regular rider Corey Lanerie will be aboard Saturday and break from post position six.
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           Bell’s the One will be facing a familiar foe in Warriors Reward and Commonwealth New Era Racing’s Just One Time, who beat her in the Madison.
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           Trained by Brad Cox, Just One Time has won six of seven starts and will be ridden by Flavien Prat and break from post position two in her Churchill Downs debut.
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           Adding more spice to the race is the presence of Hronis Racing’s Edgeway. Trained by John Sadler, Edgeway closed 2021 with a runner-up finish in the Breeders’ Cup Filly &amp;amp; Mare Sprint (GI) at Del Mar and is unbeaten in two starts this year. John Velazquez has the mount Saturday and will break from post position seven.
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           The field for the Derby City Distaff, with riders from the rail, is: Lady Rocket (Irad Ortiz Jr.), Just One Time (Florent Geroux), Center Aisle (Tyler Gaffalione), Kimari (Joel Rosario), Obligatory (Jose Ortiz), Bell’s the One (Corey Lanerie), Edgeway (John Velazquez) and Four Graces (Julien Leparoux).
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           Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile
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           Team Valor International  and Gary Barber’s Wakanaka (IRE), a Group III winner in Italy and most recently the runner-up in the Honey Fox (GIII) at Gulfstream Park, headlines a field of eight fillies and mares for the 37th running of the $500,000 Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (GII).
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           The Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile will go as the day’s fifth race with a 12:36 p.m. post time.
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           Trained by Bill Mott, who has won this race a record four times, Wakanaka came off a nine-month layoff to make her U.S. debut in the Pegasus World Cup Filly &amp;amp; Mare Turf Invitational (GIII) in which she finished sixth going a mile and a sixteenth.
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           Jose Ortiz  will have the mount Saturday and break from post position five.
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           Trainer Chad Brown, who won this race last year with Blowout (GB) for his second victory in the race, will be represented by the Peter Brant duo of In Italian (GB) and Speak of the Devil (FR).
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           In Italian was a front-running winner of the Honey Fox, her third victory in four career starts. Irad Oritz Jr. has the mount and will break from post position seven.
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           Speak of the Devil, Group I placed in France, will be making her U.S. debut. Flavien Prat has the mount and will exit post position eight.
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           The field for the Churchill Distaff Turf Mile, with riders from the inside, is: She Can’t Sing (Manny Franco), Flower Point (Joel Rosario), Mona Stella (Florent Geroux), Abscond (Tyler Gaffalione), Wakanaka (IRE) (Jose Ortiz), Lady Speightspeare (Luis Saez), In Italian (GB) (Irad Ortiz Jr.) and Speak of the Devil (FR) (Flavien Prat).
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           Pat Day Mile
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           Jim  Bakke, Gerald Isbister, Coolmore Stud and Peter Brant’s undefeated Jack Christopher will make his return to the races Saturday when he headlines a field of 11 3-year-olds in the 98th running of the $500,000 Pat Day Mile presented by LG&amp;amp;E and KU (GII) going a mile on the main track.
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           The Pat Day Mile will go as the day’s seventh race with a 1:56 p.m. post time.
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           Trained by Chad Brown, Jack Christopher won on debut at Saratoga by 8 ¾ lengths and came back five weeks later to win by 2 ¾ lengths as the favorite in the Champagne (GI).
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           Jose Ortiz, who was aboard for those victories, has the call Saturday and will break from post position five.
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           The field for the Pat Day Mile, with riders from the rail, is: Major General (Irad Ortiz Jr.), Trademark (Rafael Bejarano), Pappacap (Flavien Prat), Ben Diesel (Jon Court), Jack Christopher (Jose Ortiz), Tejano Twist (Joe Rocco Jr.), Howling Time (Joe Talamo), Kavod (Mitchell Murrill), Trafalgar (Colby Hernandez), Doppelganger (John Velazquez), My Prankster (Luis Saez) and O Captain (Tyler Gaffalione).
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      <pubDate>Tue, 03 May 2022 15:07:34 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-undercard-stakes-advances</guid>
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            Kentucky Derby Post Position Comments
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           MO DONEGAL  (Post 1, 10-1), CHARGE IT (Post 8, 20-1), PIONEER OF MEDINA (Post 11, 30-1) – Trainer Todd Pletcher: “I think the new gate (which brings the inside horses farther off the rail) should work to Mo Donegal’s advantage. He’s got some experience in there; he just won the Wood Memorial from the one hole. He’s used to having dirt in his face and I’d hope that Irad (Ortiz Jr.) could save some ground around that first turn and get us in a good spot. He’s one of the few horses in my barn that I think could handle a spot like that. The other two – Charge It and Pioneer of Medina – I’m happy with their posts.”
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           HAPPY JACK  (Post 2, 30-1) – Trainer Doug O’Neill: “It is good. We’re happy. I think that new gate makes it better for the horses inside. We remain optimistic.”
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           EPICENTER  (Post 3, 7-2) – Trainer Steve Asmussen: “It matches his favorite colors (referring to the Asmussen’s barn color and saddle towel color of blue). Like any race, you want to get away nicely from the gate and go from there. How long he stands in there, how long it takes to load, 150,000 people staring at him – it’s a lot. Joel is very confident in rhythm of the horse. So, if he is away cleanly Joel will let him be who he is.”
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           SMILE HAPPY  (Post 5, 20-1), TIZ THE BOMB (Post 9, 30-1) – Trainer Kenny McPeek: “I’m real pleased with both Smile Happy in the five and Tiz the Bomb in the nine. I wanted to be inside Zandon, and that happened. They’ll be fine, in both their spots.
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           MESSIER  (Post 6, 8-1), TAIBA (Post 12, 12-1) – Trainer Tim Yakteen: “They made us wait (said in jest, Messier and Taiba were among the last three horses chosen.) But in the end we drew well.”
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           CROWN PRIDE  (JPN) (Post 7, 20-1) – Trainer Koichi Shintani: “We’re very happy with lucky number seven. And the Derby is on May 7.”
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           ZANDON  (Post 10, 3-1) – Trainer Chad Brown: “Perfect. We’re ready to go.”
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           BARBER  ROAD (Post 14, 30-1) – Trainer John Oritz: “I’m very happy with the post. I don’t feel like I have any pressure on me. Barber Road and Reylu (Gutierrez) have to do all the running. I think being out towards the middle of the racetrack gives us a good chance to see how the race shapes up going into the first turn. From there, we just have to navigate through traffic and Barber Road and Reylu have to do their job.”
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           WHITE  ABARRIO (Post 15, 10-1) – Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.: “Everything’s good so far, we like our post. We’re very thankful for where we drew. It’s a good spot, most definitely, now he just has to break well and run his race.”
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           CYBERKNIFE  (Post 16, 20-1), TAWNY PORT (Post 18, 30-1), ZOZOS (Post 19, 20-1) – Trainer Brad Cox: “I’m happy with all three draws. I think with the Derby starting at the head of the stretch, and a quarter of a mile to the first turn, they’ll be able to get into position.”
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      <pubDate>Tue, 03 May 2022 14:10:01 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-post-position-comments</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby 148 Field</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-148-field</link>
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           KENTUCKY DERBY 149 FIELD
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           Saturday, May 7, 2022 Post Time 6:57 p.m. ET
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           $3,000,000
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           Scratch Deadline: Friday, May 6, 2022 at 9:00 a.m. ET
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      <pubDate>Mon, 02 May 2022 20:51:07 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-148-field</guid>
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      <title>Derby By the Speed Numbers, OR, Who'll Get To The Eighth Pole First?</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-by-the-speed-numbers-or-who-ll-get-to-the-eighth-pole-first</link>
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           Kentucky Derby by the Speed Numbers,
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           OR, Who'll Reach The Eighth Pole First?
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted May 1, 2022
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           In 63 of the last 67 (94 percent) runnings of the Kentucky Derby, the winner was either on the lead with an eighth of a mile to go in the race, within a length of the lead, or running second although more than a length off the leader. In all, 50 of the last 67 winners (75 percent) were on the lead at the eighth pole.*
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            From six categories of speed figures at DRF, Brisnet and Equibase in 3-year-old races going 1 1/8 or 1 3/16 miles, these horses are in the Top 4 multiple times.
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           A chart showing all the figures is below.**
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           ZANDON - 5
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           EPICENTER - 4
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           MO DONEGAL - 4
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           TAIBA - 4
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           MESSIER - 3
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           SMILE HAPPY - 2
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           DETAILS
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           Top 4 Beyer Speed Figures:
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           Epicenter (102, 98), Messier (99), Taiba (102), Zandon (98), Zozos (98)
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           Top 4 DRF combined speed/track variant figures:
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           If you throw out Tawny Port (103) and Tiz the Bomb (105), who both ran on synthetic, that leaves: Epicenter (103, 105), Mo Donegal (108), Smile Happy (103), Zandon (106)
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           Top 4 Brisnet Figures:
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           Messier (108), Mo Donegal (111), Taiba (111), Zandon (103)
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           Top 4 Combined Brisnet E1-E2 figures:
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           Epicenter (203), Messier (209), Simplification (213), White Abarrio (206)
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           Top 4 Brisnet Late Pace figures:
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           Epicenter (106), Mo Donegal (121), Taiba (109), Zandon (114)
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           Top 4 Equibase Figures:
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           If you throw out Tawny Port (102) and Tiz the Bomb (105), who both ran on synthetic, that leaves: Mo Donegal (103), Smile Happy (104), Taiba (102), Zandon (107)
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           *Eighth pole facts for every Kentucky Derby since 2005 are shown below. 
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           2022 Kentucky Derby Chart
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           Runup at Meydan
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           There is no runup to the timer at Meydan Racecourse. Runup to the timer in the Kentucky Derby is 34 feet.
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           DRF Speed and Track Variant
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           The Beyer Speed Figures, a well-known staple at Daily Racing Form, are complemented by the publication's pure speed rating and track variant figures, explained succinctly as follows.
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           The speed rating is a comparison of a horse's final time with the best time at the distance at that track in the last three years. The best time is given a rating of 100. One point is deducted for each fifth of a second by which a horse fails to equal that time.
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           To compute the track variant, the speed ratings of all winners in each type of race on a card are added together and an average is computed, which is deducted from 100. The lower the track variant, the faster the track, or the better the overall quality of competition that day, according to the Form. Conversely, a higher track variant almost always means a slower track.
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           Brisnet Figures
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           Brisnet uses pace numbers to evaluate horses' speed in the early and late stages of races, called E1, E2 and LP.
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           E1 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the first call, and E2 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the second call.
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           LP is the pace rating of the horse from the second call to the finish of the race.
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           * In 2021, Medina Spirit (since disqualified) and Mandaloun (who was second across the wire) were one-two, separated by a neck. In 2020, Authentic was ahead by a length. In 2019, Maximum Security also led by a length with a furlong left - but was disqualified. In 2018, Justify led by 2 1/2 lengths at the all-important eighth pole. In 2017, Always Dreaming led by three lengths at the eighth-pole. In 2016, Nyquist led by 2 1/2 lengths at the eighth pole. In 2015, American Pharoah had poked his head in front at that point of the race. In 2014, California Chrome led by five lengths at the furlong marker. In 2013, Orb was second, 2 1/2 lengths off the lead at the eighth pole. In 2012, I'll Have Another was second, three lengths off the lead with a furlong left. In 2011, Animal Kingdom didn't qualify for this stat, but he was about as close as you can get -- third by by 1 1/2 length at the eighth pole. In 2010, Super Saver was two lengths the best at the furlong marker. Mine That Bird was one length ahead at the eighth pole in 2009. Big Brown, the 2008 Derby winner, was 2 1/2 lengths ahead. In 2007, Street Sense was up by a length, and in 2006, Barbaro was four lengths in front at the eighth pole. The 2005 winner, Giacomo, was an exception to the rule. He was in sixth place at the eighth pole, almost three lengths off the lead held by Closing Argument at that moment.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 01 May 2022 14:30:57 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-by-the-speed-numbers-or-who-ll-get-to-the-eighth-pole-first</guid>
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    <item>
      <title>Oaks-Derby Wagering Menu, Post Times</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/oaks-derby-wagering-menu-post-times</link>
      <description>Wagering options for the Kentucky Oaks and Derby.</description>
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           Kentucky Oaks and Derby Wagering Menu, Post Times
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           A new $3 All-3-Year-Old Pick 3 and a 50-cent All-Dirt, All-Stakes Pick 5 that close with the $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I), highlight the spectacular Derby-week wagering menu that kicks off the 44-day Spring Meet at Churchill Downs on Saturday.
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           The All-3-Year-Old Pick 3, which has a unique $3 minimum, will span across the $500,000 American Turf presented by BMW (GII), $500,000 Pat Day Mile presented by LG&amp;amp;E and KU (GII) and the Kentucky Derby. Like the 50-cent rolling Pick 3s, the All-3-Year-Old Pick 3 will have a 22% takeout.
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           Also new on the wagering menu is the All-Dirt, All-Stakes Pick 5 on Kentucky Derby Day, which closes with the “Run for the Roses.” With a low 15% takeout, and 50-cent minimum, the sequence will cover the $160,000 Knicks Go, $750,000 Derby City Distaff presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery (GI), $750,000 Churchill Downs presented by Ford (GI), the Pat Day Mile and the Kentucky Derby. MORE INFO IS BELOW WAGERING MENU.
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           Oaks Day- Friday, May 6th, 2022
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           Race  Post Time  Wagering
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           Longines Kentucky Oaks is Race 11. Remaining race order to be determined.
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           1  10:30AM  WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P5
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               11  5:51PM  WPS EX TRI SUPER SH% P3 (O/D-DBL) (O/W/D-P3) (Longines-Kentucky Oaks)
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               12  6:25PM  WPS EX TRI SUPER DD   
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               13  7:00PM  WPS EX TRI SUPER
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           Derby Day- Saturday, May 7, 2022
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           Race Post Time Wagering
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           Old Forester Turf Classic is Race 11, and Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve is Race 12. Remaining race order to be determined.
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           1  10:30AM  WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 P5
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               12  6:57PM  WPS EX TRI SUPER DD P3 SH5 (Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve)   
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               13  7:55PM  WPS EX TRI SUPER DD   
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               14  8:30PM  WPS EX TRI SUPER   
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           NOTE:
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           Trifecta and Superfecta wagering on all races that qualify under Kentucky statutes. Daily Double and Super High-5 wagers are $1 minimum straight bets. On Oaks Day and Derby Day the Superfecta is a $1.00 minimum wager. Trifecta, Pick-3, Pick-4 and Pick-5 wagers are $.50 minimum straight bets. The Derby City-6 is a $.20 minimum wager. The Exacta is a $2.00 minimum straight bet with $1.00 boxes and wheels. The special Oaks Day/Derby Day Pick-6 is a $2.00 minimum wager and will be a separate event from the regular Oaks Day card.
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           NOTE:
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           Derby Day we plan to offer two new wagers, placement determined when race cards are set:
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            All Stakes, All Dirt Pick 5
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            All 3 year-old Pick 3 (American Turf, Pat Day Mile &amp;amp; Kentucky Derby)
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           The 20-cent Derby City 6, a jackpot wager where bettors must correctly tab the only winning combination to take down the entirety of the pool, handled more than $1.06 million on Kentucky Derby Day in 2019.
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           The bet will begin Opening Night and if multiple winning combinations correctly select six winners, 90% of the daily pool gets paid, while 10% will carry over to the next day. If no one correctly selects all six winners, the entirety of the day’s pool will carry over to the next day. The Derby City 6 pool will have a mandatory payout on Kentucky Derby Day.
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           Along with the Derby City 6, the return of the two-day Oaks/Derby Pick 6 will also be a top wager. The $2 minimum bet (2019 handle: $479,561) spans six Grade I events across Kentucky Oaks and Derby Days. The bet begins on Oaks Day with the $750,000 La Troienne (GI) and the $1.25 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI). It continues Kentucky Derby Day with the Derby City Distaff, Churchill Downs, $1 million Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (GI) and the Kentucky Derby.
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           There will be four traditional Pick 5 and Pick 4 wagers on Kentucky Derby Day. The third Pick 5 (2019 handle: $3,980,809) and third Pick 4 (2019 handle: $4,091,771) will feature an all-stakes sequence and culminate in the Kentucky Derby.
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           Superfecta wagers will be a $1 minimum on Kentucky Derby and Oaks days but will be a 10-cent minimum on all other days.
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      <pubDate>Fri, 29 Apr 2022 10:58:53 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/oaks-derby-wagering-menu-post-times</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string">Horse Racing,Wagering,Kentucky Oaks,Kentucky Derby,Wagering Menu</g-custom:tags>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Workouts Comments</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-workouts-analysis</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Workout Comments
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           Comments by Dick Downey
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            April 30:
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           Messier video added last night. Zandon video added this morning
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            May 1:
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           Added Comments for workouts that took place on April 30 and May 1.
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           All videos are posted except for Un Ojo's breeze, which the cameramen may not have caught.
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            May 2:
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           Summer Is Tomorrow breezed today. Barring a surprise, the sole remaining workout will belong to Crown Pride on Wednesday.
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           May 3:
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            Added a NOTE to Cyberknife
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            May 4:
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           Crown Pride and Taiba breezed today. With these moves, our workout comments for Kentucky Derby 148 are concluded. I will post videos if they are made available.
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           WORKOUTS MAY 4
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           CROWN PRIDE
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           May 4 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           46:60 Breezing 1/9
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           I will post a video if it is made available. It can be viewed at the May 4 Works show link on the Home page.
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           May 4 NOTE:
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           Fractions were 24.20 and 35.60, with an easy gallop-out in 1:00, followed by a slow gallop up the backstretch.
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           May 4 COMMENT:
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           Crown Pride did this on his own well within himself as he displayed athleticism and a fluid stride. It was an impressive move, albeit not in comformity with American training standards. He was not running off and was in perfect harmony with Christophe Lemaire, his Derby jockey. Views of this breeze on Kevin Kerstein's Twitter numbered over 5,000 just under an hour after it was posted, while Taiba's three-furlong blowout on this same date had about 1,400 views.
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           TAIBA
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           May 4 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           38:40 Breezing 4/6
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           I will post a video if it is made available. It can be viewed at the May 4 Works show link on the Home page.
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            May 4 COMMENT:
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           Taiba also blew out three furlongs three days before he won the Santa Anita Derby. Taiba has not raced with blinkers, and he will not have an equipment change in the Derby, but he breezed with blinkers today as he did at Santa Anita on April 28. Taiba, the number 1 ranked horse in The Downey Profile, exhibited a long stride. He presents an unusual handicapping challenge.
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           WORKOUT MAY 2
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           SUMMER IS TOMORROW
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           May 2 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           49:20 Breezing 6/21
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           May 2 NOTE:
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           Splits were 13.60 and 25.80, so he finished well. Out five furlongs in 1:02.00.
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            May 2 COMMENT:
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           On a beautiful morning in Kentucky, Summer Is Tomorrow registered a
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           moderate workout time. His gallop-out was limited in scope. He displayed what I think is obvious high front action coming down the lane.
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           WORKOUTS APRIL 30-MAY 1, 2022
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           BARBER ROAD
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Barber Road breezed four furlongs in 48.80 going solo under exercise rider Elexander Aguilar.. His gallop-out was timed in a slow 1:02.40. Trainer Ortiz said, “We’re ready. We’ve had a really strong campaign leading into the Derby and he has a lot of good seasoning underneath him. We know we have a fit horse and will be ready for the mile and a quarter."
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           The reaction to the gallop-out in the clockers' area on the 4th floor at Churchill Downs was negative, but Rosie Napravnik was complimentary of it during the Works show both yesterday and today. Although he is not fast, she admires the way "he keeps coming" and the fact (and it is a fact) that he always tries hard. Barber Road, if you watched a lengthy interview with trainer Ortiz, has a ton of good personality, which might just make him an optimist in the world of horses.
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           CHARGE IT
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           47.40 Breezing 9/130
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE:
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            Charge It, with Luis Saez up, breezed inside of Pioneer of Medina. Charge It was a little better on the gallop-out. Track clockers caught them in 12.20, 23.60, 35.80 and 47.40, with the indication being they were out five furlongs in 59.60 and six in 112.40. Pioneer of Medina still needs a defection to make the Derby field. During the move, the backside siren activated for a loose horse in a gap. The riders persevered through the gallop-out of this all-important breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “It was a solid move. I got them in :23 and one for the last quarter. I was in touch with them on the radio and we had that scary moment when the siren went off (a workmate of an Oaks horse on the track lost the rider) just as they were at the wire so I alerted them. But I saw they picked up the loose horse right away and I was able to let them know about that, too.”
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           This was a good workout, and if trainer Pletcher timed it right on his watch, the move was 46 and change. This was a really good workout. Charge It continues to remind me of a Point Given type, just not as far along in his development as Point Given was, in that he is big and quick. As reported above, Charge It had a better gallop-out.
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           CLASSIC CAUSEWAY
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.13:20 Breezing 3/4
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           April 30 NOTE:
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            Under Julien Leparoux and outside of Sounion, a 5-year-old gelded allowance horse, who went in 1:14.20. Fractions for Classic Causeway were 24.60, 36.60 and 48.60, out seven furlongs in 1.27:00.
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           Trainer Lynch said, “He’s been doing everything right on the track to earn his spot in the Derby. With the way he’s training, I don’t want to be the one to hold him back.”
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           There was nothing to dislike about this workout. His evaluation is going to be tied to his performance while racing.
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           CYBERKNIFE
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.11:20 Breezing 1/4
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           BRAD COX VIDEO
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           FLORENT GEROUX VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE:
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            Cyberknife and Zozos worked in company, with Cyberknife breaking off a length behind and finishing on even terms. The move began at the 5/8 pole and ended at the 7/8 pole (midway through the clubhouse turn). Track clockers probably have the splits, and I will update if they become available. The pair were pulled up around mid-stretch.
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           “I think this is the part of Derby Week that is special because a lot of family and friends are here to support you,” said Geroux, who hasn’t seen his brother for more than two years due to COVID-19 restrictions in France. “I’ve been watching his plane on my phone, and my family is excited to spend some time with him once he arrives.”
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           Cyberknife continues to impress on the track at Churchill Downs, where he "
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           really likes it" according to trainer Cox. This was a swift work made even more impressive because it included all of the far turn and part of the first one. According to DRF's Mike Welsch, initial splits were 34.23 (possibly a typo?) and 58.84. Welsch's watch got the six furlongs in 111.55 and out seven in "114.56" (a typo? maybe meant to type 124.56), and up a mile in 140.39. As slowly as Cyberknife finished the Arkansas Derby, he's starting to appeal to me.
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            May 3 NOTE:
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           Trainer Cox said yesterday, “I thought his two works here were the best Derby works I’ve seen. I may be biased, but that’s my opinion.” Also, yesterday I noticed Cox was sitting at the table reserved for connections of Cyberknife during the post position draw ceremony, which is an important event for the owners.
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           EPICENTER
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           May 1 CHURCHILL DOWNS Muddy
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           1.01:00 Breezing 3/6
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           STEVE ASMUSSEN VIDEO
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           May 1 NOTE: 
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           Epicenter breezed five furlongs inside of Alejandro, a recent maiden winner. Internal fractions not available with this post. He was out six furlong in 1.13:40. His exercise rider had his feet jammed on the brakes to pull Epicenter up as the colt continued to upper stretch.
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           This was an impressive breeze that looked easy. In the gallop-out Epicenter did not want to stop after his workmate did, and the rider had his legs jammed down on the irons as he pulled up the colt. Exercise rider Roberto Howell piloted him through splits of 12.60, 24.40, 36.20, 48.40 and out six furlongs in 1:13.80.
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           Trainer Asmussen said,
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           “Honestly I have so much confidence in Epicenter right now I don’t think you could overdo it. He has taken a lot of training extremely easy. Including, I thought he took the Louisiana Derby extremely easy, how he came back from the test barn and walked into the barn, and that's why his training and his works ever since have been faster, or stronger, than is the norm for me.
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           “It felt perfect, knowing (Alejandro) and how he goes about what he is doing. His previous workmate, Gun It, is a very strong, very physical horse … somewhat hard to manage, and that brings out a little extra in (Epicenter), especially getting to the pole, getting off, getting away from the pole and what you are getting out of it. And as you saw today, they were away from it a lot smoother, just a lot easier to the pole. Still strong, still very smooth. I think he is in a beautiful rhythm, and we are trying to create the circumstances and prepare for what we are expecting to happen in the races this week.
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           “I am unbelievably excited to be doing this well with this much on the line. I had a pretty anxious drive last night with rain and thunderstorms for most of it, and if it's meant to be then it's meant to be, but everything seems to be working out perfectly. This year’s Oaks and Derby are extremely exciting with how strong the races look and how well all the horses are doing going into it. It is going to be an extremely exciting five or six days.”
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           HAPPY JACK
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           April 30 KEENELAND Fast
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           1:39.60 Breezing 1/1
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           April 30 NOTE: 
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           Trainer O'Neill said, “We’ve had some good fortune doing this before. We did it with Nyquist where we came here and did our final prep (workout). It’s so quiet; the track’s got a good cushion so it’s a little bit demanding, which we think they get a little bit better exercise out of it. Very happy with the way it went this morning. (He’s a) horse who’s got the potential but he hasn’t put up the numbers that we need to be a huge player in the race. We wanted to ask him firmly and make sure he was fit and ready. To me, he answered that question, and he’s ready.”
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           This solo workout really surprised me. It was awesome, very similar to the move Nyquist put in at Keeneland for trainer O'Neill (drawing applause from fans there for race 1 of the card) except that Nyquist dusted a workmate. The work was so good that I no longer have Happy Jack as a complete nullity in my thinking. I don't think he will win, but he could get a part.
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           MO DONEGAL
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.60 Breezing 55/130
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE:
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            Mo Donegal, with Irad Ortiz, Jr. up, breezed inside tough 3-year-old sprinter My Prankster, going four furlongs in 48.60, out five in 101.80. Internal splits aren't available.
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            Pletcher watched his colts’ drills from the Churchill grandstand and called Mo Donegal’s move “excellent. He was in hand and it was a good controlled work and gallop out. I was very happy with it.”
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           Last week's breeze was purely maintenance, and this one was a bit more than that. Nothing flashy, and apparently "just what they wanted," not that there's anything wrong with that.
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           PIONEER OF MEDINA
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           47.40 Breezing 9/130
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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            April 30 NOTE:
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            Charge It, with Luis Saez up, breezed inside of Pioneer of Medina. Charge It was a little better on the gallop-out. Track clockers caught them in 12.20, 23.60, 35.80 and 47.40, and out five furlongs in 59.60 and six in 112.40. Pioneer of Medina still needs a defection to make the Derby field. During the move, the backside siren activated for a loose horse in a gap. The riders persevered through the gallop-out of this all-important breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “It was a solid move. I got them in :23 and one for the last quarter. I was in touch with them on the radio and we had that scary moment when the siren went off (a workmate of an Oaks horse on the track lost the rider) just as they were at the wire so I alerted them. But I saw they picked up the loose horse right away and I was able to let them know about that, too.”
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           Pioneer of Medina is in the Derby now, and there was nothing about the way he worked that would make his connections think he shouldn't give it a try.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.00 Breezing 28/130
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           COREY LANERIE and BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR VIDEO
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           KENNY McPEEK VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE: 
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           Tiz the Bomb (inside under Brian Hernandez, Jr.) stayed ahead of Smile Happy (outside under Corey Lanerie). Both were timed in 23.80 for a quarter and 48.00 for four furlongs, out five in 1:00.20. Smile Happy caught up with his workmate further out in the gallop-out. Jockey Lanerie said, “In the Blue Grass, that track was tiring. I was disappointed when he let that horse come and get him so easy. But I think he’s doing better than ever. I like our chances. I hope we get a good, clean break, and find a good position going into the first turn. Hopefully I’d like to be no further back than fifth or sixth, and get a good, clean trip. But it’s the Derby, you never know.”
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           April 30 NOTE: 
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           It's been a long day. I just noticed while watching the Works Show that Smile Happy, who's been galloping with a shadow roll this week, worked today without the shadow roll.
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           May 1 COMMENT: 
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           I like the way Smile Happy overtook Tiz the Bomb in the gallop-out.
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           I am a big fan of Brian Hernandez, Jr. and have been around him enough to know he is an intelligent, articulate person not prone to exaggeration, so I am taking his post-work statement seriously. Smile Happy's stock has gone down this year, but the fact remains he is 2-2-0 from four starts, he can rate, and he has an impressive win over the track.
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           TAWNY PORT
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.01:60 Breezing 30/57
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           This work indicates to me and other onlookers that he runs more like a turf horse than a dirt horse. His demeanor on the track has been energetic, so there's that, and anything can happen, but the high knee action indicates a preference for turf.
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           TIZ THE BOMB
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.00 Breezing 28/130
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           BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR and COREY LANERIE VIDEO
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           KENNY McPEEK VIDEO
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb (inside under Brian Hernandez, Jr.) stayed ahead of Smile Happy (outside under Corey Lanerie). Both were timed in 23.80 for a quarter and 48.00 for four furlongs, out five in 1:00.20. Smile Happy caught up with his workmate further out in the gallop-out.
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           Jockey Hernandez said, “I had him at 12s all the way around. Just kind of a maintenance half the Saturday before Derby. Just one of those deals that he did his half and galloped out just like we wanted him to. Now it’s all about getting to the Derby in good order. Last week, I was on Tiz the Bomb, and we broke off about a half-length behind Smile Happy. Today we were supposed to swap places, but when we got to the pole, Smile Happy was a little further back than we thought he would be. So I went on and worked my horse like I thought he needed to be worked. It wasn’t quite the work that Kenny was looking for, but it looked like both horses got what they needed out of it. Once you’re in the process of working, you don’t want to stop and make it perfect. Sometimes you’ve got to call an audible and unfortunately that’s what we had to do today. The biggest thing is you don’t want to overdo it -- and blow your race in the morning.”
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           Trainer McPeek said, “It’s like the coach who calls the play, and everybody is supposed to do this and that, but that’s not what we called. Corey said he was worried about Brian’s horse getting a little keen in front of him. He was afraid they were going to go too fast. We wanted a 12s workout, and I think that’s how it played out. I wanted them to go 12s, kind of side by side, and not totally engage. I think they ended up going that, to 48. But no, that’s not the play I called. It happens. Brian’s horse is doing exceptionally well, and Corey was worried they were going to go too fast, because I was adamant that I didn’t want them to go too fast. They didn’t need to go down there in :46.”
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           May 1 COMMENT: 
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           Tiz the Bomb has worked well enough over the dirt at Churchill Downs to make a good impression. Very solid.
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           UN OJO
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           47.60 Breezing 14/130
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Un Ojo posted fractions of 24.60 and 36.40. Trainer Courville said, “I was worried about the weather last night and thought we may have to push it back a day. Colby has won a lot of races for us (in Louisiana). Courville said a hood experiment tried yesterday didn't pan out, so there won't be an equipment change.
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           This was a very nice breeze, just a tick slower than that of Charge It. He finished in 11 seconds.
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           WHITE ABARRIO
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           April 30 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           48:28 Breezing 1/3
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           White Abarrio breezed solo under exercise rider Vicente Gudiel after breaking off from a lead pony at the 3/8 pole, ran down the lane with his ears laid back, and engaged in an energetic gallop-out. Initial fractions were reported to be 12.60 and 24.20, and a track spokesperson said he galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.38 and seven in 1:25.15. Trainer Joseph told BloodHorse, "We weren't looking for overly too much. We had him in :47 4/5 but it was what he did after. I think that's the strongest he's galloped out since I've had him. He worked as good as we wanted him to work."
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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           That was a heck of a workout. If this horse were human he'd be called a go-getter, because he likes to go get 'em. One of many good workouts by the Derby field, but to me this one was a notch above.
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           ZOZOS
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.11:40 Breezing 2/4
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           BRAD COX VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE: 
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           Cyberknife and Zozos worked in company, with Cyberknife breaking off a length behind and finishing on even terms. The move began at the 5/8 pole and ended at the 7/8 pole (midway through the clubhouse turn). Track clockers probably have the splits, but they aren't available yet. I will update if they become available. The pair were pulled up around mid-stretch.
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            May 1 COMMENT:
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            Zozos is drawing favorable attention at Churchill Downs because of his forward running style, something that's been successful since the points system was initiated. and his tenacity even though he is lightly raced. Although Cyberknife bested Zozos a notch in this move, this was a good breeze in its own right.
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           SUMMARY
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           : Not that this is big news, but in my opinion w
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           e are seeing far more good workout than bad ones, adding to the perception that this may turn out to be a pretty good crop of top 3-year-olds.
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           WORKOUTS APRIL APRIL 27-29, 2022
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           CROWN PRIDE
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           April 27, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           46:40 Breezing 1/30
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           The cameramen almost completely missed this workout, but the way it was done is revealed in the splits. Crown Pride breezed outside Southern Passage, a horse with little early speed. Crown Pride went about his business with splits of 11.60 and 23.20, then he finished in another 23.20. He was out five in 1:00.20 before his rider pretty much shut him down with six in 1:14.80. Regular exercise rider Masa Matsuda was aboard Crown Pride. This was Crown Pride's fourth workout in 12 days. I am open-minded about different training methods used in other countries and am following this horse with interest. “That is a typical Japanese training regimen,” said Japan-based representative for the Kentucky Derby Kate Hunter. “Masa was very pleased with the work. He said Crown Pride moves well over the surface with no extra effort.”  Before the work, Crown Pride warmed up doing dressage in the mile chute while the track was undergoing a harrow break, and following the work he was gate-schooled and then had a leisurely trip back to the quarantine barn.
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           April 28 NOTE:
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            Crown Pride had a walk day following a half-mile work in :46.40 on Wednesday. As with any horse, supporters want to see him break well in the Kentucky Derby. Video at Churchill Downs showed him veering left breaking from the schooling gate. I found this comment in the stewards' report after the UAE Derby: "Bumped on jumping, shifted out and bumped another runner." However, he recovered and won the UAE Derby, although not in a fast time.
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            April 29 COMMENT:
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           I am warming up to Crown Pride. Although his time in the UAE Derby was slow, he showed he can respond to commands and launched an impressive, long drive to win. The UAE Derby (about 1,900 meters) was timed in 1:59:76. Maybe the best comparison that day is the $12 million Dubai World Cup for older horses run in 2:04:97, not exactly racehorse time. Based on these two races, the track was playing slowly.
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           The Godolphin Mile at about 1600 meters on dirt was run in 1:36:03, a respectable time, but maybe you would expect faster for a $1 million race on World Cup day coming out of a slightly diagonal chute going one turn. The $2 million Dubai Golden Shaheen going six furlongs at one turn was timed in 1:11.13, while its turf counterpart, the six-furlong $1.5 million Al Quoz Sprint, was timed in 1:08:81, albeit run on the straight.
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           With the April 27 workout we know he has some early speed, and with all the time he's been out on the track since arriving at Churchill Downs in late, it's hard to imagine there will be a fitter horse in the race. However, he must break cleanly.
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           MESSIER
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           April 29 SANTA ANITA PARK Fast
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           1.11:60 Handily 1/1
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           April 29 NOTE:
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            Trainer Yakteen said, “I’ll play it by ear and see what I want to do. I’ll go into Churchill, read the horses and see if I want to do anything there. But since Taiba’s work was a day before Messier’s, I might breeze him in Kentucky or let him stretch his legs a little bit there. If I want to just gallop into the race, I’ll gallop into the race.”
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           April 29 COMMENT:
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            Bob Baffert's imprint is on Messier, who is a good workhorse. The work today was solo, and his gallop-out was visually impressive. The video ends just as his rider was pulling him up. His early speed will be hard to ignore on Derby day.
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           SIMPLIFICATION
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           April 29 GULFSTREAM PARK Muddy
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           Distance: Five furlongs
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           1.00:44 Breezing 1/10
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           April 29 NOTE:
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           Simplification went the first three furlongs in 37.00 per info sent to DRF's Mike Welsch, who is here at Churchill Downs. He was out six furlongs in 1.12:80 and a mile in 1.38.60. Another big gallop-out for Simplification. Trainer Sano said,  “I’m very happy with the work. He went very easy and handled everything. The jockey said he was better than last week. It was a really, really good work for the horse. I am 100-percent confident in my horse. I know the race is very strong, but I’m confident in the horse. I think this is a better horse than Gunnevera.”
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           April 29 COMMENT:
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           Tucked away in south Florida, Simplification isn't getting much publicity for the Derby, but this son of Not This Time (out of a Candy Ride mare) continues to work lights out. He is putting in winning workouts.
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           TAIBA
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           April 28, 2022 SANTA ANITA PARK Fast
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           1.12:80 Handily 1/4
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “It was very straightforward. He worked three-quarters from the five-eighth pole. It was a typical Taiba work and we accomplished what we wanted. I got him in 1:12.60 and out in 1:26. We’re good.” Drayden Van Dyke was aboard Taiba who worked in company with the 4-year-old American Admiral. Taiba is set to be flown Sunday to Indianapolis, followed by a van ride to Churchill Downs.
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           April 29 NOTE:
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            Trainer Yakteen said, “I’ll play it by ear and see what I want to do. It was a perfectly scripted drill for Taiba Thursday and for Messier today. We’re all set; we’re good. I’ll go into Churchill, read the horses and see if I want to do anything there. But since Taiba’s work was a day before Messier’s, I might breeze him in Kentucky or let him stretch his legs a little bit there. If I want to just gallop into the race, I’ll gallop into the race.”
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            April 29 NOTE:
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           This was not a knock-your-socks-off work, but it was workmanlike work offering nothing to extol or criticize or to add or detract from his record. More than anything, it determined he is a credible candidate for his next race.
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           ZANDON
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           April 29 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:40 Breezing 7/43
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           CHAD BROWN VIDEO
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           April 29 NOTE:
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            Zandon went solo, and his splits were 12.80, 25.00 and 36.80, and he was out six furlongs in 1:12.80 and seven in 1:26.40. First furlong: 12.80; second furlong: 12:20; third furlong: 11.80. Final two furlongs: 23.60. First furlong out: 12.40; second furlong out: 13.60. Trainer Brown said,  “I just didn’t want to take any chances with the weather forecast, even though it looks better for tomorrow. The track is in fabulous shape. You’re not going to get a better track to train over than we got this morning. With horses at this level heading into the Derby, very few of them work poorly. It’s the best of the crop running in the Derby. You just hope that you can be in that group of good workers and not in that small one that may not work well.”
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           April 29 COMMENT:
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            This was a fine workout. Zandon was getting hold of the track, rated fast, after winning the Blue Grass on a very wet track. A good horse can run over any surface. Zandon is receiving a lot of positive comment at the track, but more importantly trainer Brown, who does not BS when it comes to the Derby, is showing enthusiasm. For different reasons to be discussed later, Zandon is definitely going to be one of my top picks, if not the top one.
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           WORKOUTS APRIL 22-25, 2022 and prior works where applicable
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           BARBER ROAD
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           April 22 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.16:40 Breezing 4/4
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           JOHN ORTIZ VIDEO
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           April 22 NOTE:
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           Barber Road worked solo with jockey Reylu Gutierrez in the saddle. The son of Race Day easily galloped through opening splits of 13.60, 26.60, 39.60 and 51.80. He completed the final quarter-mile in 24.60, and his seven-furlong gallop out was timed in 1:29 (less than 13 seconds after the official workout ended), and the video shows he continued the gallop-out for a mile, at which time he got an appreciate pat on the neck from Reylu Gutierrez. This workout could have been deceptively good.
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           APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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            The time of this workout is uninspiring, but he galloped out well. Barber Road has a history of slow five-furlong workouts three back from his next start, so this may be something similar and was probably intended to build stamina. I don't see any workout convincing me Barber Road will win the Kentucky Derby, but he is the type that could pick up a piece. However, I would like to see a faster final work before the Derby.  The video of trainer Ortiz is worth watching just to see the personality of Barber Road. The former CEO of Walmart owns this horse. He is a good judge of character, and he believes in trainer Ortiz, a younger player in the game who makes a good impression in the video. Excellent interview by Jennie Rees.
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           CHARGE IT
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           April 15, 2022 PALM BEACH DOWNS Fast
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           47:77 Breezing 1/11
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           April 16 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “He worked super. He was straight as an arrow and changed leads right on cue this morning. A couple of more breezes like that should have him a lot more professional when he runs in the Derby.” Per DRF, Pletcher said he
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           timed Charge It in 24.60 and galloping out five-eighths in 1:00.60.
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           April 22, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:40 Breezing 10/47
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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            April 22 NOTE:
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           Charge It went in company outside Cezanne through fractions of 12, 25.40 and 37.60. They galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.80 and seven furlongs in 1:25 before Charge It completed his move with a one-mile time of 1:38.60.Trainer Pletcher said, “With Charge It, we were looking for a good, solid breeze. He went a minute and four-fifths with a super big gallop out. We were really happy with that.
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           APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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           Video is not available for the April 15 and April 22 works. Charge It reminds me physically of a Point Given type, who inexplicably lost the Kentucky Derby only to reel off several straight Grade I wins including the Preakness and Belmont Stakes. Charge It is not that far along in his development yet, but it only takes one race to change that. He looks like he's still growing into himself, and I see big things ahead for him. Trainer Pletcher said the gallop-out after the April 22 work is awesome on paper and in the words of trainer Pletcher, and it is my experience Pletcher absolutely does get excited when he sees an a big gallop-out. Can Charge It overcome the greenness he showed in the stretch of the Florida Derby when he finished close to a Downey Profile Top 4 horse, White Abarrio?
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           CLASSIC CAUSEWAY
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           April 16 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.80 Breezeing 21/74
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:80 Breezing 22/70
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            APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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           Video is not available for these works. They must've knocked the socks off connections to consider running in the Kentucky Derby after running last in the Florida Derby. Or it could be a simple case of Derby Fever.
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           CROWN PRIDE
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           April 16 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.18:60 Breezing 1/1
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           April 16 NOTE:
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           At 7:30 on a track rated good, exercise rider Masa Matsuda guided Crown Pride six furlongs from the half-mile pole. The duo easily completed opening fractions of 14.60, 28.20, 54 and 1:06.20. Crown Pride steadily picked up his work around the turn and onto the backside before completing his move through seven furlongs in 1:32.40 according to Churchill Downs. The official clocking was for six furlongs.
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           April 19 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           49:80 Breezing 24/44
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           April 24 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           49:20 Breezing 35/58
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           VIDEO
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           April 24 NOTE:
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           Working solo, his fractions were 12.40, 24.80 and 37.20, out five furlongs in 101.40. The final eighth-mile to the finish line was 12 flat, and he was out in 12.20. Trainer Koichi Shintani is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on May 1 and will be in attendance at the post position draw Monday, May 2.
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           April 25 NOTE:
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           Crown Pride returned to the track a day after breezing. With Masa Matsuda aboard, the UAE Derby winner jogged in the mile chute and then schooled in the starting gate before returning to the Quarantine Barn.
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           April 26 NOTE:
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            Although he wasn't credited with a workout today, Brandon Stauble said during the works show he blew out a couple of furlongs through the stretch.
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           April 26 COMMENT:
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            He is a good mover without much wasted motion. During the April 24 gallop-out, his ears were flicking back and forth waiting for commands, a good sign. The gallop-out continued though six furlongs, but apparently the time was not caught by track clockers. This horse spends a lot of time on the track in the mornings, and it is fun to see and hear about the training methods that are employed by his Japanese trainer and exercise rider, including dressage in the chute going in circles and figure 8s. Crown Pride had three workouts in nine days that appear designed to get faster each time. Recently he had a problem during gate schooling, throwing his exercise rider as he veered to the left big time. Speculation is the gate bell ringing distracted him. He was put right back into the gate and broke more in a straight line with an outrider and horse standing to his left. Japanese horses have been doing well around the world, and maybe Crown Pride should not be a toss to run well.
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           CYBERKNIFE
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           April 16 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:00 Breezing 4/14
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           April 16 NOTE:
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            On a track rated good, Cyberknife worked at 9:00 outside of multiple stakes-placed stablemate Tommy Bee. Cyberknife started two lengths behind Tommy Bee and completed fractions of 12.20, 23.80 and 47.20. Cyberknife finished even with Tommy Bee around the seven eighths pole and easily galloped out six furlongs in 1:15.40.
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           Trainer Cox said, “I thought he looked great. He’s done well at Churchill in the past and really likes it here.”
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.12:20 Breezing 1/3
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           FLORENT GEROUX VIDEO
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           BRAD COX VIDEO
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            April 23 NOTE:
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           Cyberknife breezed at 5:15 with Florent Geroux in the saddle on the outside of stablemate Koolhaus, a 4-year-old allowance horse. Cyberknife started two lengths back at the five-furlong marker and finished two lengths in front at the wire. Cyberknife continued his strong move around the far turn and completed seven furlongs in 1:24.60, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols.
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           Jockey Geroux said, “It was a really strong move, and he’s a really good work horse. He continues to improve as time goes on, and he showed that winning the Arkansas Derby. Even going back to his allowance win before the Arkansas Derby he showed a new level of class.”
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            APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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           The slow gallop-out on April 16 was no doubt by design as we saw him come back a week later with a stout gallop-out in 1:24.60. Big John Nichols had that on his watch, and he is reliable. I believe this work was caught on video, as part of it was shown on the Works show yesterday, but it has not been put online in its entirety that I can find. However, his gallop-out is on the Florent Geroux video at 1:40, and it shows him torching his workmate in the clubhouse turn and up the backstretch. Even though workmate was only going five furlongs from the 5/8 pole and Cyberknife was going six, the gap opened up by Cyberknife was impressive. During Chad Brown's interview he was asked about the slow finishing time in the Arkansas Derby; he said it was an oddly run race where "they went quick early, then didn't finish up as fast as some of the other preps. I thought our horse made two moves in the race -- once they turned up the backside he split horses..." During the interview, Cox's demeanor becames very upbeat as he described how Cyberknife's mental side has caught up with his physicality, which showed up in that morning's workout.
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           EARLY VOTING
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           April 23 BELMONT PARK Fast
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           49:92 Breezing 44/118
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            APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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            This horse is lightly-raced, and the workout did not inspire trainer Brown to immediately say, "Oh yeah, we are going to Kentucky!" I don't know why there's been what appears to be a delay in making a decision (it had been reported a decision would be made the day after the work) unless perhaps investment genius and owner Seth Klarman was not available to talk to Brown, or perhaps Brown was waiting to see how Zandon would do after being shipped to Churchill Downs the next morning (he's been doing great, by the way).
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           EPICENTER
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           April 17 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1:00.80 Breezing 7/26
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           STEVE ASMUSSEN/RACETRACK VIDEO (Clip at 2:32)
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           Epicenter worked at 6:00 inside of three-time winning 6-year-old Gun It with exercise rider Wilson Fabian up, and Eddie Martin, Jr., who's won over 4,000 races, on the company. Epicenter clipped through opening fractions of 12.60, 24.20 and 36.00. Epicenter galloped out strongly around the clubhouse turn and onto the backside with a six-furlong gallop out in 1:13.60, seven in 1:27.00, and a mile in 1:44.00.
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            April 17 NOTE:
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           Trainer Asmussen said, "The track is in top condition. Both horses are training extremely well. It has been standard (for them to work in company), and the company they worked with (today) is the company they worked with in New Orleans. We're trying to create more of the same, with the success they had there. With Epicenter, the spacing of his races since December has been very effective for him, and we're trying to put the building blocks in place for him to handle the mile and a quarter here. I couldn't feel any better about how he's doing and how much he likes it here at Churchill Downs. (In coming workouts) they are not going to be asked to pick it up much at all. Both of these horses have been working very sharply, and I'm very pleased with how they're doing it and how they're coming out of it."
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           April 24 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.12:20 Breezing 3/4
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           VIDEO
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           STEVE ASMUSSEN VIDEO
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           RACING AND BLOODSTOCK MANAGER DAVID FISKE VIDEO
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           OWNER RON WINCHELL VIDEO
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            April 24 NOTE:
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           Epicenter worked outside Gun It under exercise rider Wilson Fabian. Opening fractions were 13.00, 24.40, 35.80 and 47.20. He was out seven furlongs in 1:26.20 and a mile in 1:41.00. Trainer Asmussen said, “We’re so happy the weather has cooperated on our scheduled work days. The racetrack is in great shape this morning. These were the most significant works for us. We’re following a pattern that we’re very comfortable with. I love the rhythm these horses are in. Both of these horses (including Echo Zulu) have kept their same workmates from New Orleans this winter. I’m unbelievably appreciative of the job Wilson and Eddie have done helping get them to this point.
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           “They’ve both started out as tremendous prospects and individuals. We’re aiming with incremental improvement to not take too big of a leap forward. So everything is a building block to success. Since they have arrived here at Churchill that trend has continued. I was so excited with Echo Zulu’s first work here.”
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           APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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            Epicenter was bred in downstate Kentucky (we call it south central Kentucky), just 60 miles north of Nashville in Warren County, where I live in Bowling Green. People here are more excited about the Derby than usual. As for me, I'm excited every year. This horse has been punching all the buttons on race day and otherwise. Asmussen's demeanor during the April 17 clip could be attributed to a long drive from Oaklawn as he was burning the training candle at both ends between Hot Springs and Louisville. Epicenter's workmate, Gun It, is a useful 6-year-old allowance horse, and he must be a good work horse because he holds his own with Epicenter. Usually it's hard to read much into the workouts of Asmussen trainees because he typically has them run in moderate times, but Epicenter, who's worked three times since the Louisiana Derby, as well as Gun It, post faster times than most of their stable mates. You'll notice in the workout video that Gun It's rider gets busy on him in the lane as Epicenter's rider sits chilly. During the extended gallop-out, the two horses pretty much stay together, but Epicenter's rider is standing up on his stirrups. It's my opinion this was Epicenter's major work for the Derby, and it was a quality move.
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           ETHEREAL ROAD
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           April 25 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.02:20 Breezing 8/8
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            COMMENT:
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           This was strictly a maintenance move nine days after the Lexington Stakes.
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           HAPPY JACK
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           No workouts since the Santa Anita Derby.
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           IN DUE TIME
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           No workouts since the Lexington Stakes.
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           MESSIER
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           April 23 SANTA ANITA PARK Fast
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           59:80 Handily 7/37
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           April 23 NOTE:
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           Messier worked solo in a “maintenance” drill, per trainer Yakteen's comment to DRF. Messier passed the finish line in 47.20 and finished the work in the clubhouse turn. Yakteen had him galloping out six furlongs in 1:12.00. Yakteen said, “We let him stretch his legs, keep the air in his lungs, and keep our tank full. That was accomplished. We’re very happy with the drill. He was doing it comfortably, doing it within himself, Drayden had plenty of horse.”
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            APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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           The April 23 move was deemed the "work of the day" at Santa Anita. The video was cut just as Messier was starting his gallop-out. He switched leads effortlessly in the stretch. Nothing not to like about this workout.
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           MO DONEGAL
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           April 22, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           50:20 Breezing 49/62
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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           IRAD ORTIZ, JR. VIDEO
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           OWNER JERRY CRAWFORD VIDEO
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            April 22 NOTE:
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           Mo Donegal breezed outside of My Prankster, a good 3-year-old sprinter, through composed early fractions of 13 and 26.20. They galloped out five furlongs in 1:02.20. with Irad Ortiz, Jr. up.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, "With Mo Donegal, with the Wood just 13 days ago, we were just looking for an easy half in :50. He had a nice gallop out as well. All the horses got over the track well. The track still had a little moisture in it from yesterday but they all handled it well.”
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           Jockey Ortiz said, "Mo Donegal is a really good horse. He is nice and quiet. He does everything we ask him to do. It looks like he should like the distance. It shouldn’t be a problem with him. With a mile-and-a-quarter for 3-year-olds, he’s the type of style you want for that day.”
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           APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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           This was strictly a maintenance work compared to that of stable mate Charge It on the same day. Charge It had his second work since running in the Florida Derby, while this was Mo Donegal's first work since winning the Wood Memorial.
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           PIONEER OF MEDINA
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           April 15, 2022 PALM BEACH DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:41 Breezing 1/8
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           April 25 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           59:80 Breezing 1/8
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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            April 25 NOTE:
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           Classic Causeway is now back in the Derby picture, knocking Pioneer of Medina down to number 21 on the Derby leaderboard. Working during the special training session with maiden winner Macallan, Pioneer of Medina posted eighth of a mile fractions of 12.60, 24.40, 35.60 and 47.80. he galloped out six furlong in 1:12.60, seven in 1:25.40 and a mile in 1:40.20.
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            April 25 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “You can use all the trainer clichés you want. We saw what we wanted to see. It was very good, well executed with a strong finish, and he galloped out well. I’ll talk it over with Mr. (Oussama) Aboughazale and we’ll see how he comes out of the work and make a decision. He got a good breeze over the track, and he has the opportunity to draw in.”
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           APRIL 26 COMMENT:
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            Trainer Pletcher revealed during the tail end of an April 22 video that Pioneer of Medina's "blood work was a little bit off when we shipped him in," but at the time he was still being considered for the Derby. The April 25 workout looks to have resolved that question -- if he makes the field.
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           SIMPLIFICATION
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           April 15, 2022 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           1:01.83 Breezing 4/6
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           April 15 NOTE:
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            Trainer Sano said, “He galloped out six furlongs in 1:15.3, the seven furlongs in 1:27 and the mile in 1:40. Excellent. I’m so happy with my horse. He went very easy and came back well.” Junior Alvarado was aboard for the breeze.
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           April 16 NOTE:
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            Trainer Sano told DRF, “He worked very well. He went very easy, very quiet. It was a different work than the one before the Florida Derby, when he went too speedy. He galloped out very nicely today. Just the way we wanted.” Junior Alvarado was aboard. Sano said he expects Jose Ortiz to have the Derby mount.
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           April 22 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           59:42 Breezing 4/17
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            April 22 NOTE:
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            Simplification galloped out a mile in 1:37.52 under a near-motionless Junior Alvarado. Trainer Sano said, “I’m so happy. The work was impressive. He did it very handily, very easy. Junior worked the horse.
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           He told me, ‘Your horse wins the Derby.
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            I’m so proud of my horse. I know the race is a strong race, but my horse is working very good. I want to win the race for Gulfstream. One more work (set for five furlongs) next Friday, and then he’ll go to Kentucky. When he’s in Kentucky he won’t work. He’ll only gallop."
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           Over at DRF, Mike Welsch got the horse going six furlongs in 1:11.95 and seven-eighths in 1:24.10 before easing but not pulling up after a mile in 1:37.52 over a track that Welsch said was on the quick side. According to his report, Simplification was pulling up after a mile and a quarter.
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           April 26 COMMENT:
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            Simplification's April 22 breeze, which was solo, was a monster work, quick track or not. No, it was not a bullet work, but the way Simplification kept running through the clubhouse turn, up the backstretch and into the far turn was impressive. He looks like a smooth mover, too. This had to be his major work for the Derby, and he did it the right way.  The April 15 breeze was also solo, which I like to see, and while it was a prelude to the big one a week later, it was impressive in its own right. If he continues to do well, I will not overlook him in my bets.
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           SMILE HAPPY
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:40 Breezing 12/70
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           COREY LANERIE VIDEO
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           CO-OWNER MIKE MACKIN VIDEO
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           KEN MCPEEK VIDEO
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           April 23 NOTE: Tiz the Bomb and Smile Happy breezed in company. Smile Happy and Corey Lanerie began the work about one length in front of Brian Hernandez Jr. and Tiz the Bomb. Hernandez and Tiz the Bomb moved to the outside of Smile Happy and finished in tandem at the wire. Trainer McPeek said, “We were just looking for an easy move today and we got that. We’ll probably do the same thing again next week.”
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            April 26 COMMENT:
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           During the work proper, Tiz the Bomb was a bit better, but I think Smile Happy was better in the gallop-out. Tiz the Bomb, who was outside, handled the dirt just fine, but can he handle kickback on Derby day? The work was not designed to test that out. This workout was just fine, but I wish we had the internal splits and the gallop-out times. Visually, I liked Smile Happy's gallop-out, which was a mile. Smile Happy was, as Brandon Stauble discussed during the Works show this morning, wet on his neck during the breeze (and wet when he came out on the track that day, according to Stauble), and I think people are bit worried he is regressing. I cannot say that at this point. This morning, Smile Happy looked dry as he came onto the track. Smile Happy is a smooth mover and Tiz the Bomb not so much. He has the front action of a turf horse. Trainer McPeek said Smile Happy needs another work like that for fitness, and then "we won't have an excuse."
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           SUMMER  IS TOMORROW
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           He arrived at Churchill Downs on April 23, quarantined for a couple of days, and was on the track April 25.
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           TAIBA
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           Unlike runner-up Messier, the Santa Anita Derby winner did not work the weekend of April 23.
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           TAWNY PORT
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           Will work once between the Lexington Stakes and the Kentucky Derby. He looked bright and attentive on the track the morning of April 25.
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           TIZ THE BOMB
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:20 Breezing 8/70
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           KEN MCPEEK VIDEO
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            April 23 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb and Smile Happy breezed in company. Smile Happy and Corey Lanerie began the work about one length in front of Brian Hernandez Jr. and Tiz the Bomb. Hernandez and Tiz the Bomb moved to the outside of Smile Happy and finished in tandem at the wire.
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           My buddy in Louisville, Mike Overstreet, read today that Tiz the Bomb has won at all of Kentucky's tracks except Churchill Downs: Ellis Park, Keeneland, Kentucky Downs and Turfway Park.
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           Trainer McPeek said, “We were just looking for an easy move today and we got that. We’ll probably do the same thing again next week.”
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            April 26 COMMENT:
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           During the work proper, Tiz the Bomb was a bit better, but I think Smile Happy was better in the gallop-out. Jockey Lanerie said in his post-work interview that when Tiz the Bomb came to him in the stretch, he let him go on by "til I tell him what to do." Tiz the Bomb, who was outside, handled the dirt just fine, but can he handle kickback on Derby day? The work was not designed to test that. I wish we had the internal splits and the gallop-out times. Visually, I liked Smile Happy's gallop-out, which was a mile, and Lanerie seemed happy with it. At the end of the video, he said without guile, "we got a good chance." Smile Happy was, as Brandon Stauble discussed during the Works show this morning, wet on his neck during the breeze (and wet when he came out on the track that day, according to Stauble). Lanerie didn't mention that. This morning, Smile Happy looked dry as he came onto the track. Smile Happy is a smooth mover and Tiz the Bomb not so much. He has the front action of a turf horse. Trainer McPeek said Tiz the Bomb might be forwardly placed in order to reduce "adversity."
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           UN OJO
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           April 16 THE TRAINING CENTER AT COPPER CROWNE Fast
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           1.03:15 Breezing 2/8
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           April 16 NOTE:
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            After his breeze today, Un Ojo was pronounced good to go to the Derby. Trainer Courville told DRF, “He’s moving good right now. He worked really good. He galloped out really good and cooled out well. He’s bouncing around the barn.”
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           59:40 Breezing 2/70
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           GROOM/EXERCISE RIDER CLAY COURVILLE VIDEO
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           April 23 NOTE:
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            Un Ojo arrived at Churchill Downs on April 19 with trainer Ricky Courville’s son, Clay, in tow. Clay breezed Un Ojo solo through opening eighth-mile splits of 11.60, 23.00, 35.00 and 47.60. Un Ojo galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.20.
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            Clay Courville said, “It’s amazing being here at Churchill Downs. I’ve been here before, but nothing like this. He is getting over the track really well.”
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           April 26 COMMENT:
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            This work was a little faster early than late. The video stops before Un Ojo was pulled up, but he looked to be galloping out seven furlongs. The work on April 16 was merely to see if he was okay after having two staples removed from his shoulder after he was slammed into the rail in upper stretch of the Arkansas Derby, taking him out of contention. I want to see how his final breeze is handled, but if this was his major breeze for the Derby, I'm not sure this is what was desired.
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           WHITE ABARRIO
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           April 17 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           34:55 Breezing 1/41
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           April 17 NOTE:
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           With Junior Alvarado filling in for Tyler Gaffalione, White Abarrio began his work at the three-eighths marker and posted an 11.34 opening split on the watch of DRF's Mike Welsch. He was out four furlongs in 47.48 and five in 1:00.52. Trainer Joseph said, “That was super. I wanted a decent three-eighths with an extended gallop out, and that’s what we got.”
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           Joseph told a track publicist, “The way he worked today gives me a lot of confidence – the way he came back and the way he worked first work back – knowing we have three weeks to go. I think we’re in a good position. Three weeks is long time, but I like where we’re at. Visually, it was as impressive as his time. Sometimes he can work quick and not look as impressive, but today, it was an easy work in a quick time."
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           Alvarado said, “When you work those nice horses, they will fool you. They will go fast when you definitely don’t think you’re going that fast. He was just skipping over the ground. It was like he wasn’t even touching the ground. That was really nothing for him. When he got back to the barn, he wasn’t blowing like he was tired or anything at all.”
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           April 22 NOTE:
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           White Abarrio is scheduled to breeze three furlongs at Gulfstream Park April 24. He is slated to have his final pre-Derby workout at Gulfstream May 1 before shipping to Kentucky.
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           April 24 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           April 24 NOTE:
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            White Abarrio breezed in company, passing workmate Stormy Pattern (1:01.04) nearing the wire. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.58.
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            Trainer Joseph said, “It went good. I got him in 59 and 4. They got him in a minute. He worked with that horse before the Florida Derby, two weeks out. We kept everything the same, the same workmate, a similar pattern two weeks out. That time he ran a 1:02. This time he ran a little faster than a minute. Last time he galloped out in 1:13. This time he galloped out in 1:12. You just try to keep an even keel. It’s a long way to go in horse racing terms – 13 days. You just want to get through everything and ship up there fine and go into the race the best we can.”
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            April 26 COMMENT:
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            The fast three furlong move going solo on April 17 was followed by a nice 5 1/2 furlong gallop-out, and that was followed by a step forward in the April 24 breeze, when White Abarrio broke off four lengths behind an unidentified workmate. He soon within two lengths, then a length as they rounded the far turn. When prompted, White Abarrio ran right by the horse to his inside and was best by almost two lengths under the wire. He distanced his workmate in the gallop-out. We don't have the fractions for either work, but visually White Abarrio did it the right way.
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           ZANDON
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           April 23 KEENELAND Fast
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           48:60 Breezing 24/91
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           CHAD BROWN VIDEO
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           April 23 NOTE:
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           Exercise rider Kriss Bon handled the move as Zandon completed eighth-mile fractions of 12.80, 25.20 and 37.00. He galloped out five furlongs in 1:00.80, six furlongs in 1:13.80 and seven-eighths of a mile in 1:27.60. Trainer Chad Brown reported Zandon will ship to Churchill Downs the next day.
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           Trainer Brown said, “He was moving super; just what we wanted to see. We just wanted to maintain where he is. He does not have to get any fitter. I was impressed with how he galloped out. He has had a small number of races,but those races were very meaningful. We quite liked him by the time he debuted. I was surprised he won sprinting. When he won, he really picked my head up. I thought he had way above average potential. Then he showed a lot in the Remsen going 1 1/8 miles. He has a lot of good experience in a small number of races.”
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           April 24 NOTE:
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           Zandon is scheduled to have his final Kentucky Derby work at Churchill Downs on Saturday, April 30. He was vanned to Churchill Downs from Keeneland today.
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           April 25 NOTE:
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           Zandon made his first appearance on the track at Churchill Downs Monday at 9:40 while the track was quiet.
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           Trainer Brown said of Saturday's workout, “It looked like he was galloping through the lane. It was a super move. I really just wanted to stretch his legs and evaluate how he’s moving and maintaining where he’s at.”
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           My impression of trainer Brown's approach with the media before the Kentucky Derby is that he doesn't lavish praise on a horse unless he means it, and he is very high on Zandon. He is staying close to the horse. Working solo at Keeneland, he ran the final furlong of the breeze in 11.60 before galloping out in 12.20, 13.00 and 13.80, and this was his first workout after the Blue Grass. All cliches aside, I think Brown really would not trade places with anyone right now. Before breaking off, exercise rider Bonn had a snug hold on Zandon. The colt showed good acceleration when allowed to go, and his ears were pricked. At the end of the gallop-out, the horse was bouncing around. Brown said the horse has always been a beautiful mover, and he hopes the colt's race experience, though limited, has moved him up a lot.
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           ZOZOS
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           April 15 CHURCHILL DOWNS
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           1:00.60  Breezing 15/60
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           April 16 NOTE:
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           On April 15 Zozos worked in company at 5:30 with Turnerloose. With jockey Florent Geroux in the saddle, Zozos started about one length behind his stablemate and worked through early fractions of 24 and 48.40. The duo began their five-furlong move at the half-mile pole and Zozos finished even with Turnerloose at the seven-furlong marker. Zozos galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60.
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           Jockey Geroux said, “He’s a really smart horse. He’s starting to come into his own, and it was a really nice work this morning. I settled back of (Turnerloose) and he finished up nicely with her. Both horses worked well.”
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           April 22, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.12:40 Breezing 1/4
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           BRAD COX VIDEO
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           April 22 NOTE:
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           Zozos breezed with Florent Geroux in the saddle outside of stablemate Fulsome through fractions of 24 and 48.40. The duo galloped out around the clubhouse through seven furlongs in 1:25.20.
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           Trainer Cox said, “It was another really strong move. He galloped out really well around the turn and is really doing well over this track. He’s a quick horse as he showed in the Louisiana Derby but he settles into his works nicely.”
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           April 26 COMMENT:
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           His two works since the Louisiana Derby have been good ones evidencing a horse progressing despite having limited experience, and he seems plenty fit with the gallop-out to seven furlongs in 1:25.20. The workmate, Fulsome, is 4-year-old three-time graded stakes winning son of Into Mischief. Zozos broke off about a length behind and to the outside of Fulsom and hit the finish line on even terms while running with his head slightly cocked to the right in the stretch. He showed good energy and eased ahead by two lengths going into the backstretch while not distracted by slower gallopers to his outside. Trainer Cox said he timed a five-furlong move, making the six in 1:12.40 more impressive. Cox said Zozos is a very intelligent horse that's moved up since the Louisiana Derby, and that he can track a horse or two, doesn't have to have the lead.
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      <pubDate>Tue, 26 Apr 2022 13:28:52 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-workouts-analysis</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Week Stakes Probables</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-week-stakes-probables</link>
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           Last updated May 1, 2022
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           Twin Spires Turf Sprint (GII) presented by Sysco, Friday, May 6 at 5 1/2 furlongs
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           Arrest Me Red (Wesley Ward); Bound for Nowhere (Wesley Ward); Chasing Artie (Saffie Joseph Jr.); Diamond Oops (Patrick Biancone); Gear Jockey (Rusty Arnold II); Johnny Unleashed (Eric Foster)
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           Modesty (GIII) run on Friday, May 6 at 1 1/8 miles on turf
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           Bleecker Street (Chad Brown); Hendy Woods (Mark Casse); She Can’t Sing (Chris Block).
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           Alysheba presented by Sentient Jet (GII), Friday, May 6 at 1 1/16 miles
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           Fulsome (Brad Cox); Happy Saver (Todd Pletcher); Olympiad (Bill Mott); Title Ready (Dallas Stewart); Weyburn (Brendan Walsh)
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           Edgewood presented by Forcht Bank (GII), May 6 at seven furlongs
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           Beachnut Trophy (Saffie Joseph Jr.); Dream Lith (Robertino Diodoro); Kneesnhips (Tom Amoss); Tap Dancing Lady (Brad Cox)
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           Eight Belles (GII), Friday, May 6 at seven furlongs
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           Ain’t Easy (Phil D’Amato); Awake At Midnyte (Doug O’Neill); Gerrymander (Chad Brown); Lac Vieux Desert (Robertino Diodoro); Marissa’s Lady (Bill Morey); Pretty Birdie (Norm Casse); Sandstone (Wayne Catalano)
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           La Troienne (GI), Friday, May 6 at 1 1/16
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           Ava’s Grace (Robertino Diodoro); Battle Bling (Rob Atras); Shedaresthedevil (Brad Cox); Temper Time (Dale Romans)
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           Knicks Go, Saturday, May 7 at one mile
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           Collaborate (Saffie Joseph Jr.); O Besos (Greg Foley); Perfect Speighty (Dallas Stewart); Three Technique (Jason Cook)
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           American Turf (GII), Saturday, May 7 at 1 1/16 miles on turf
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           Grand Sonata (Todd Pletcher); Stolen Base (Mike Maker)
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           Pat Day Mile presented by LG&amp;amp;E and KU (GII), Saturday, May 7 at one mile
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            Doppelganger (Tim Yakteen); Hoist the Gold (Dallas Stewart); Jack Christopher (Chad Brown); Newgrange (Tim Yakteen); Pappacap (Mark Casse); Trafalgar (Al Stall Jr.)
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           Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (GII), Saturday, May 7 at one mile on turf
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           In Italian (Chad Brown); Mona Stella (Patrick Biancone); Wakanaka (Bill Mott)
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           Derby City Distaff presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery (GI), seven furlongs on Saturday, May 7
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           Bell’s the One (Neil Pessin); Center Aisle (Paulo Lobo); Four Graces (Ian Wilkes); Obligatory (Bill Mott)
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           Churchill Downs presented by Ford (GI), seven furlongs on Saturday, May 7
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           Aloha West (Wayne Catalano); Jackie’s Warrior (Steve Asmussen); Long Range Toddy (Dallas Stewart); Prevalence (Brendan Walsh)
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           Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (GI), run at 1 1/8 miles on turf, Saturday, May 7
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           Adhamo (Chad Brown); Cavalry Charge (Dallas Stewart); Ivar (BRZ) (Paulo Lobo); Santin (Brendan Walsh); Shirl’s Speight (Roger Attfield)
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      <pubDate>Mon, 25 Apr 2022 22:19:17 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-week-stakes-probables</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string">Kentucky Oaks,Kentucky Derby,Derby week stakes</g-custom:tags>
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      <title>future wager pool html template</title>
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      <title>Fractional Times in Kentucky Derby Preps</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/fractional-times-in-kentucky-derby-preps</link>
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           Fractions, Finishes, Commentary, Beyers
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           Kentucky Derby Prep Races
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           Every year we examine fractions in the nine-furlong Kentucky Derby prep races, with emphasis on (1) whether horses finished the final 3/8 mile in 38 seconds or less; and (2) whether horses ran 12-second furlongs, or what we call "12's" at three of the five calls or better. See Section 7 for more information about "12's". Horses with these abilities do well in the Kentucky Derby. Usually it's better if a horse can run "12's" AND finish in 38 seconds or less in the same race.
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           Stonestreet Lexington Stakes
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           Tawny Port came from off the pace, never more than 3 3/4 lengths off a pace of 23.85, 48.01 and 1:12.45 set by second finisher Major General, to win by a length in 1:45.24 under Florent Geroux.
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           Tawny Port ran the final 5 1/6 mile in 32.34 on a track rated good. He was assigned an 89 Beyer Speed Figure.
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           Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
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           Zandon didn't run "12's," but he finished the final 3/8 mile in a very impressive 36.58. No wonder Corey Lanerie (aboard Smile Happy) thought the race was won turning for home. Ordinarily, he would've been right.
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           Smile Happy ran 12's (his third quarter-mile was just 2/100 of a second off the mark) and finished in under 38 seconds.
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           Zandon really, really took to this muddy track, and Smile Happy performed well on it, too. You know what they say about a good horse. They can run over anything.
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           Zandon overcame a difficult early trip to close for the win, aided by an excellent ride from Flavien Prat. Despite being sloppy or muddy all day, the track did not favor speed -- it played fairly, in my opinion -- and closers won some high-caliber races.
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           Zandon earned a 98 Beyer Speed Figure for his performance. I agree it was a strong effort.
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           The top two finishers stood out. Emmanuel, the third finisher and the third choice in the betting, finished the final 3/8 mile in 38.98. We learned the following day he is not being considered for the Kentucky Derby.
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           Every year after these preps you hear people say, "what did they beat." However, the purpose of these preps is to separate the best from the rest, and that's what we saw in the Blue Grass.
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           Zandon was shipped to a race for the second time this year and overall. Previously he finished third in the Risen Star. This was his second race of the year and fourth overall.
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           Smile Happy also competed in his second race of the year and fourth overall. It was the second time he's been shipped in for a race, the first being his second-place finish in the Risen Star, which has become a key race -- the top six finishers in the field of 10 were Epicenter, Smile Happy, Zandon, Pioneer of Medina, Tawny Port and Slow Down Andy 
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           The gallop-out belonged to Zandon. He was all by himself.
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Zandon
          &#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :25.04 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.29 (tenth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.77 (eleventh)
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:38.06 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.35 (first)
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :25.04
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.25
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.48
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.29
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :12.29
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :36.58
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Smile Happy
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :24.54 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :48.69 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:13.02 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:37.86 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.85 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :24.54
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.15
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :24.33
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.84
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :12.99
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :37.83
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Santa Anita Derby
           &#xD;
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           (Please note: Santa Anita revised the fractions. The revisions are reflected below. The changes did not affect this analysis.)
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           I was as curious about Taiba's Beyer figure as you were, and I found it was a 102. Next, I looked at Equibase figures for these three preps, and they are:
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           Taiba 102
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Messier 99
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Happy Jack 84
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Zandon 107
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Smile Happy 104
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Mo Donegal 103
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Early Voting 102
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Skippylongstocking 97
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Taiba ran a perfect 12's race, and Messier came close.
           &#xD;
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           Taiba and Messier both finished in under 38 seconds.
            &#xD;
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           The elephants in the room. Amr Zedan's corporation owns Taiba, and Zedan Racing Stables owned Medina Spirit. Bob Baffert trained both, and he trained Messier as well before his suspension. Many say Tim Yakteen, a former Baffert assistant, is now training these horses in name only.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           Messier's form in the Santa Anita Derby was pretty much a clone of the form shown by Authentic, also a Baffert trainee, and Medina Spirit in the runnings of the 2020 and 2021 Santa Anita Derby.
            &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
              --Medina Spirit ran second by 4 1/4 lengths in the 2021 Santa Anita Derby after stalking the pace, never more than two lengths back in the early going. He won the Kentucky Derby on the lead in a time of 2:01.02.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
              --Authentic finished second by 2 3/4 lengths in the 2020 Santa Anita Derby after stalking the pace, never more than a half-length back in the early going. He won the Kentucky Derby on the lead in 2:00.61.
            &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           This is the predicament. If Messier goes straight to the lead in the 2022 Kentucky Derby and wins, it's going to be too much to take for some folks, and it could damage the reputation of the greatest two minutes in sports.
           &#xD;
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           On a less skeptical note, Taiba may be the second coming after winning the Santa Anita Derby off a single six-furlong start. It was a professional effort. If he wins the Kentucky Derby in his third start, maybe he IS the second coming. After all, he sold as a 2-year-old for $1.7 million. Regardless of our personal opinions, I think we would all agree suspicion is hanging in the air. It's too bad.
           &#xD;
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           Neither Messier nor Taiba have raced outside of California. This was the second start this year for both of them and the second overall for Taiba.
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           In the gallop-out, Taiba led into the turn but was soon joined by Messier, both in the middle of the track. In the turn, Happy Jack ran by those two on the rail. Messier was pulled up well before Taiba, who was approaching the end of the turn when the video ends.
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Taiba
           &#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Fractions (revised after Santa Anita corrections)
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :22.95 (third)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :47.30 (third)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.37 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:36.06 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.46 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :22.95
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.35
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.07
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.69
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.40
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.09
           &#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Messier
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Fractions (revised after Santa Anita corrections)
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           1/4 mile -- :22.85 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :46.90 (second)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.07 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:36.06 (first)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.91 (second)
           &#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :22.85
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.05
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.17
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.99
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.85
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.84
           &#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Happy Jack
          &#xD;
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           Fractions (revised after Santa Anita corrections)
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           1/4 mile -- :23.75 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.65 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.37 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.76 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.91 (third)
           &#xD;
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.75
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.90
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.72
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.39
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.15
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.54
           &#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Wood Memorial
          &#xD;
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           Mo Donegal received a 96 Beyer figure. He beat Early Voting by a neck.
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           My mouth dropped open when I saw Mo Donegal's time for the final 3/8 mile. I don't recall ever seeing a sub-36 time in the 20 years I've been analyzing these figures. Early Voting and Skippylongstocking also finished in well under 38 seconds.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           I decided to look deeper and found that the next two runners also finished in well under 38 seconds. A.P.s Secret (who was fourth) finished in 37.32, and Barese (fifth) finished in 37.14. The rest of the field were way off the mark. I conclude that Mo Donegal, Early Voting and Skippylongstocking all ran tremendous races, but the shine is just a bit diminished when the next two under the wire also finished in under 38 seconds.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           Not only did Mo Donegal finish fast, he ran perfect 12's (giving him credit for hitting the mark by going 25.06 in the first quarter-mile). However, Early Voting, Skippylongstocking, A.P.'s Secret and Barese also ran perfect 12's.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           More food for thought. This was the fastest-run Wood Memorial since 2005 when Bellamy Road was timed in 1:47.16 (a new track record), won by 17 1/2 lengths and was given a 122 Equibase figure. In the Kentucky Derby, he was the 5-2 favorite and finished seventh, beaten 6 3/4 lengths by 50-1 (off a 15-1 morning line) Giacomo. Go figure. By the way, and some of you may remember this, before that Kentucky Derby I touted Giacomo as "the best bridesmaid in America."
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           I was impressed that while Mo Donegal was being asked in the far turn, he was not being urged, and I liked the way he cooperated with Rosario down the stretch. Both Rosario and Ortiz got busy with their horses in the stretch. Mo Donegal was just a little better.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
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           Mo Donegal had a win over the track last year (the Remsen Stakes). It was his fifth career start and second this year. It was his first time shipping a long distance for a race.
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           Early Voting was competing in only his third race. It was his second start of the year. He's never been shipped a long distance to race.
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           The gallop-out was not dominated by the top two finishers. It was "won" by A.P.'s Secret and Barese. A couple of lengths behind them running into the turn were Mo Donegal, Early Voting and Skippylongstocking. Of the latter three, Skippylongstocking galloped out ahead in the turn and looked to gallop out farthest when the video ended.
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           Mo Donegal
           &#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :25.06 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.75 (eighth)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.49 (sixth)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:36.03 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:47.96 (first)
           &#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :25.06
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.69
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.74
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :23.54
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :11.93
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :35.47
           &#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Early Voting
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :23.86 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.75 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:11.59 (first)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:35.63 (first)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.01 (second)
           &#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.86
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.89
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.84
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.04
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.38
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.42
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Skippylongstocking
           &#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :24.46 (fifth)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :48.45 (fifth)
           &#xD;
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.29 (fourth)
           &#xD;
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           1 mile -- 1:36.43 (fifth)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.71 (third)
           &#xD;
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :24.46
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.99
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.84
           &#xD;
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.14
           &#xD;
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.28
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.42
          &#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
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    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
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           Florida Derby, Gulfstream Park
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           White Abarrio was given a 96 Beyer Speed Figure. Beyer figs were expertly conceived, and my default setting is that they are expertly applied as well. It bothers me, though, that this group finished off the race so slowly.
           &#xD;
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           None of these horses finished in under 38 seconds. However, White Abarrio, Charge It, Simplification and even Pappacap get credit for running 12's.
           &#xD;
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           White Abarrio showed a new dimension, winning from off the pace. He was well-rested after an eight-week break from winning the Holy Bull on Feb. 5, so we'll see how his training comes along in the five week break before the Kentucky Derby. After he won the Holy Bull, White Abarrio's first workout was 22 days later. His camp said he spiked a fever (101.5) 12 days before the Florida Derby; a workout six days before the race was scuttled; and then he blew out three furlongs in 34.96 four days four days before the race.
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Charge It is a big boy who was running two turns for the first time. He hit the gate at the start; lugged in twice under a right-handed whip in upper stretch and near the sixteenth pole; and was very green in the final 100 yards. So, with all that, a second-place finish was pretty good. However, it may reflect poorly on this field. Charge It definitely has room for improvement. He would run in the Kentucky Derby off only three prior starts.
            &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           I was a bit surprised to see Simplification contest the early pace, which was solid but not fast. After doing that he finished in 40 seconds and change, not a great sign for the Kentucky Derby. He looks like a horse that could be right there turning for home only to fade in the stretch.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pappacap has not lived up to expectations this year, and he may have distance limitations. Perhaps he will be best going a mile or shorter.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Classic Causeway went from being a respected Kentucky Derby prospect to a last-place finsh in this race, beaten 21 1/4 lengths, after running for real only about four furlongs. He may have come out of the race injured (I certainly hope not), but regardless it's hard to see him going on to the Kentucky Derby off such a poor effort.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           In a lackluster gallop-out, Steal Sunsine led the way into the first turn after finishing sixth, beaten 8 1/4 lengths at 75-1 odds. White Abarrio and Simplification, the latter one pulled up very early, followed Steal Sunshine in the gallop-out. Charge It and O Captain were behind those three, not galloping out strongly.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           White Abarrio
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :24.21 (fifth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.69 (fifth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:10.98 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:36.55 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.64 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :24.21
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.48
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :23.29
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.57
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :14.09
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :39.66
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Charge It
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :24.17 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.64 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:11.18 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:36.95 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.89 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :24.17
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.47
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :23.54
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.77
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :13.94
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :39.71
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Simplification
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :23.77 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.28 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:10.72 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:36.59 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.09 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.77
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.51
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :23.44
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.87
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :14.50
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :40.37
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Pappacap
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :23.87 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.34 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:10.68 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:36.85 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.79 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.87
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.47
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :23.34
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.17
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :14.94
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :41.11
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Arkansas Derby, Oaklawn Park
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cyberknife was given a 92 Beyer Speed Figure.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           I will give Cyberknife "12's since he was just hundredths of a second from hitting the needed marks. Barber Road and Secret Oath also get credit for 12's. Nothing finished in under 38 seconds. The slowish finishes were much like those of the Florida Derby.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           After unseating Florent Geroux in the post parade, Cyberknife was given a nifty ride, proved once again he can rate, and he looked good navigating through traffic into the far turn. That kind of mental toughness and agility might bode well in a large field like we see in the Kentucky Derby.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           His finish was not as strong as desired. He was not geared down at the end, and in fact the chart describes "brisk handling" in the final stage of the race. However, his win at Fair Grounds on Feb. 19 of an 8 1/2-furlong race in preparation for the Arkansas Derby saw him finish the final 5/16 in 30.64.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Barber Road is beginning to look like a logical must-use underneath in Derby exotics. After winning two of his three first starts, in his five races since then he's finished second four times and third once. He has little early speed, but he keeps plugging away when others tire. His speed figs appear range-bound, but perhaps he will improve racing an even longer distance. Some trivia: he and White Abarrio are both by Race Day.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Secret Oath tried to engulf the entire field after being in last up the backstretch, but she flattened out in the stretch. Hard to see her going in the Derby even if 20 points proves to be enough.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Doppelganger (what a great name -- if not familiar with this word, look it up) went through a nightmare trip so bad he only ran 27 and change in the fourth quarter of the race. He might be worth checking out if he were to run in, say, the Pat Day Mile or the Preakness.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Barber Road galloped out about a length in front of Cyberknife, but the length of the video was inadequate to judge how far they ran. I didn't see any other horses in the gallop-out except for a brief glimpse of Secret Oath slowing down behind the other two.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Commentary after the race indicated Cyberknife "wouldn't blow out a match" in the winner's circle.
            &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Cyberknife
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :22.91 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :46.94 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:11.26 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:37.24 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.42 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :22.91
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.03
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :24.32
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.98
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :13.18
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :39.16
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Barber Road
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :23.41 (eighth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.29 (eighth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:11.82 (fifth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:38.04 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.97 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.41
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.88
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :24.53
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.22
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :12.93
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :39.15
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Secret Oath
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :23.31 (seventh)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.33 (ninth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:11.72 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:37.74 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.12 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.31
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.02
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :24.39
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.02
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :13.38
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :39.40
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Doppelganger
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :22.51 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :46.74 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:12.07 (seventh)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:39.79 (eighth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:52.02 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :22.51
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :24.23
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :25.33
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :27.72
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :12.23
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :39.95
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Jeff Ruby Steaks, TurfwayPark
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tiz the Bomb was given a 94 Beyer Speed Figure. I thought it would be higher, given his perfect 12's and a finishing figure of 37 seconds. Tawny Port and Rich Strike also finished strongly, and they ran 12's.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tiz the Bomb is a proven commodity on synthetic at Turfway after winning the Battaglia and this one. The race before those two, he bombed in the Holy Bull after washing out in the post parade. So was it the dirt? Had he expended his energy? Or was it both? But not question Tiz the Bomb knows he's a racehorse, and he likes it. Now we wait to see if he runs in the Kentucky Derby or goes to Europe.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Some horses run well on both turf and synthetic surfaces, and experts say some turf horses run well on the dirt at Churchill Downs. We should not forget that Animal Kingdom used this race as a springboard to win the Kentucky Derby after posting what was called a strong six-furlong breeze at Churchill.
            &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           I was not very familiar with Tawny Port, but he ran a bang-up race, too. However, of his four career races, the best three came at Turfway Park.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rich Strike ran his best race to date and finished faster than the others. He's one to watch, but he has only 20 Derby points.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
            Fourth finisher Dowagiac Chief wasn't nominated to the Triple Crown.
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           And the winner of the gallop-out was...Rich Strike, much the best. He passed both Tiz the Bomb and Tawny Port before they entered the first turn. Then Tiz the Bomb was pulled up quickly as Tawny Port ran by him, and then so did fifth finisher Royal Spirit.
            &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tiz the Bomb
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :23.95 (sixth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.61 (sixth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:11.58 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:35.89 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.60 (first)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.94
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.67
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :23.97
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.31
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :12.71
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :37.02
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Tawny Port
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :23.75 (fifth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.36 (fourth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:11.48 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:35.99 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.05 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :23.75
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :23.61
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           third 1/4 mile -- :24.12
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.51
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :13.06
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :37.57
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      
           Rich Strike
          &#xD;
    &lt;/span&gt;&#xD;
    &lt;span&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :24.60 (eleventh)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :47.41 (eleventh)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           3/4 mile -- 1:12.93 (eleventh)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:36.59 (fifth)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.75 (third)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :24.60
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :22.81
           &#xD;
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           third 1/4 mile -- :25.52
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :23.66
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.16
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.82
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           March 27, Sunland Derby
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           This race at one time had some luster, but after being canceled in 2020 and 2021 this year's model could not have been more dull. Among the top four finishers, only the winner was early-nominated to the Triple Crown, and he slowed down markedly during the latter stages of the race. It's been seven years since Firing Line ran second in the Kentucky Derby after winning this race.
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           Slow Down Andy
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :22.33 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :45.45 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:09.54 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.91 (second by hd)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.16 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :22.33
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.12
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.09
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :27.37
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.25
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           final 3/8 mile -- :40.62
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           March 26, Louisiana Derby
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           Epicenter earned a 102 Beyer Speed Figure, reminding me that not one starter in last year's Kentucky Derby earned back-to-back triple digit Beyers going into the first Saturday in May. And neither will Epicenter, who was given a 98 in the Risen Star. Still, his figure progressed.
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           Again, as we saw in the Risen Star, all four top finishers ran a bang-up race. All of them ran 12's, with Epicenter hitting the mark at all five calls, Zozos getting four of the five calls, and Pioneer of Medina and even Rattle N Roll getting credit for 12's by being within a second of averaging 12 seconds per furlong at three of the five calls.
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           This was a 1 3/16 mile race, but we can safely say that all four of the top runners get credit for finishing in the benchmark 38 seconds or less. If we assume the horses ran the same speed throughout the final 7/16 mile, then:
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           --Epicenter's final 7/16 mile in 42.39 interpolates to 36.33.
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           --Zozos' final 7/16 in 43.18, interpolates to 37.01.
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           --Pioneer of Medina's final 7/16 of 43.49 interpolates to 37.27
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           --Rattle N Roll's final 7/16 of 43.09 interpolates to 36.93.
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           Assuming all four horses slowed down a bit in the final 3/16, which it does not appear they did (Epicenter ran the final 3/16 in 18.22; Zozos in 18.42, Pioneer of Medina in 18.32, and Rattle N Roll, who went slower than the others earlier, in 18.12), it's still safe to assume that after six furlongs, they ran the next three in 38 seconds or less.
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           Did all these horses run tremendous races, or did the surface aid them? Looking back at the Risen Star, when Epicenter led all the way, the second and third finishers (Smile Happy and Zandon) came from well off the pace to overtake Pioneer of Medina, who, like he did in the Louisiana Derby, ran second early, then backed up a little. Looking back on it, the track was playing fairly that day.
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           Initial fractions in the Louisiana Derby were honest, with the top three finishers all showing good tactical speed. Maybe the track was not an undue aid to success.
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           Epicenter not only added to his resume, he added running-style versatility and the ability to take some dirt. He is a deserving favorite to win the Kentucky Derby at this point. But as we all know, the next six weeks is a long time.
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           Zozos ran very well in his stakes debut and only his third career start. Pioneer of Medina made his third consecutive start after shipping to New Orleans from south Florida.
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           Two more things, and I'm done.
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           The track record is not something I will focus on. Not many races have been run at that distance at Fair Grounds.
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           Epicenter easily led the gallop-out, and he was still going in the second half of the first turn when the video stopped. Rosario seemed reluctant to pull him up, probably by design. The second, third and fourth finishers galloped out in that order.
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           Epicenter
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.47 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.65 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.99 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.16 (first)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:54.38 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.47
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.34
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.17
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.22
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           Zozos
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.27 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.35 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.69 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.46 (second)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:54.88 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.27
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.08
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.34
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.77
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.42
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           Pioneer of Medina
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.47 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.45 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.79 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.96 (third)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:55.28 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.47
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.98
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.34
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.17
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.32
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           Rattle N Roll
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.77 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.45 (sixth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.89 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.86 (sixth)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:55.98 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.77
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.68
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.44
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.97
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.12
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           March 26, UAE Derby, Meydan
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           I am still waiting for the fractions for this race. They don't chart the way we do over in Dubai, but usually the Emirates Racing Authority releases fractions for every horse in the races on World Cup day. So far this year, nothing.
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           It's my understanding that Crown Pride, the winner, came home slowly. i think I heard one of the TV hosts say 27 seconds. Visually, that's the way it looked. Crown Pride easily ran by several horses while going wide to loom up to pacesetter Summer Is Tomorrow, before appearing to hang. But then, Summer Is Tomorrow hung worse and Crown Pride galloped on by him to win by 2 3/4 lengths.
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           The time, 1:59.76 for about 1 3/16 miles, is not fast. I think, though, Crown Pride got a 105 rating for the win, which isn't too bad.
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           I was really rooting for this horse and was very pleased he won, because Byron King and I have him in our Triple Crown Fantasy League stable. Byron drafted him.
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           Feb. 19, Risen Star Stakes, Fair Grounds
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           Epicenter, who won, and Pioneer of Medina, who finished fourth, both ran 12's in the Risen Star. What is striking is that all four of the top runners finished well under 38 seconds, indicating either that this was a very strong race or that the track was playing fast on Feb. 19.
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           Epicenter ran a strong race to maintain his lead and win by open lengths while doing all the heavy lifting, while Pioneeer of Medina, who was second most of the way, faded to fourth in the late going. However, he was passed by two well-rated horses, Smile Happy and Zandon.
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           Epicenter earned a 98 Beyer, indicating that those fellows believe it was a strong race.
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           I have a sentimental connection to Epicenter in that he was foaled in Warren County, Ky. and my home in Bowling Green is in that county.
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           Epicenter
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.79 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.97 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.25 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.58 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.03 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.79
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.28
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.33
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.45
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.78
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           Smile Happy
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.79 (eighth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.77 (seventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.15 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.48 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.58 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.79
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.98
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.38
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.33
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.10
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.43
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           Zandon
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.15 (tenth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.07 (ninth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.25 (eighth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.58 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.68 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.15
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.92
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.33
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.10
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.43
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           Pioneer of Medina
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.99 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.17 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.55 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.48 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.71 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.99
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.38
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.93
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.23
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.16
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           Feb. 12, El Camino Real Derby, Golden Gate Fields (synthetic)
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           Blackadder was trained by Bob Baffert when this race was run and has since been transferred to the barn of Rodolphe Brisset with either the Spiral Stakes at Turfway or the Toyota Blue Grass at Keeneland targeted.
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           Blackadder, an expensive yearling purchase, had traffic trouble and exploded down the lane on the inside to nail favored Mackinnon at the wire after experiencing traffic trouble behind a wall of horses. Mackinnon escaped the same trouble first, then Blackadder came after him.
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           Blackadder did not earn 12's in this race, but he finished extremely strongly.
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           Meanwhile, Mackinnon has not put in a workout since this race.
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           Blackadder's Beyer in the El Camino Real Derby is 82, perhaps indicative of his overall time but not his finish.
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.41 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.97 (sixth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.38 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.36 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.34 (first)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.41
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.56
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.41
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.98
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           final 1/8 mile -- :11.98
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.96
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           Feb. 5, Withers Stakes, Aqueduct
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           The race was run in cold weather over a muddy, harrowed track. The times are glacial, and the 78 winning Beyer figure matches up.
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           There are no 12's in this race -- it was slower than that -- and despite this nothing finished even close to 38 seconds for the final three furlongs.
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           Despite all this, Early Voting still had some support from experts and bettors weeks later as he continued to put in regular breezes at Belmont Park.
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           Un Ojo came back to win the Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park with the same kind of inside trip, but knowledgeable insiders I spoke with said this year's Rebel was very weak. Un Ojo earned an 84.
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           The third finisher, Gilded Age, was smoked in the UAE Derby on March 26.
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           Grantham, who finished fourth, came back and ran a significantly better Equibase speed figure to finish second to Classic Causeway in the Tampa Bay Derby, but Classic Causeway was only given an 84, the same as Un Ojo earned winning the Rebel.
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           Early Voting
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.57 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.04 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:14.29 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:41.75 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:55.90 (first)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.57
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.47
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           third 1/4 mile -- :26.25
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :27.46
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           final 1/8 mile -- :14.15
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           final 3/8 mile -- :41.61
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           Un Ojo
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :26.77 (eleventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :51.54 (eleventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:16.29 (ninth)
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           1 mile -- 1:43.45 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:56.80 (second)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :26.77
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.77
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.75
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :27.16
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.35
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           final 3/8 mile -- :40.51
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           Gilded Age
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           was third, later ran way off the board in the UAE Derby.
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           Grantham
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.57 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.24 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:15.24 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:43.05 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:57.15 (fourth)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.57
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.67
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           third 1/4 mile -- :26.00
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :27.81
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           final 1/8 mile -- :14.10
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           final 3/8 mile -- :41.91
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      <pubDate>Sat, 26 Mar 2022 20:04:03 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/fractional-times-in-kentucky-derby-preps</guid>
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      <title>Profiles of Kentucky Derby Horses</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/profiles-of-kentucky-derby-horses</link>
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           Profiles of
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           Kentucky Derby Contenders
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           Facts, Figures, Connections,
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           Quotes and More
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           By Dick Downey
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           Race recaps and quotes are for nine-furlong-and-longer races, plus the Lexington
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           _______________________________________
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           BARBER ROAD (KY)  POST 14  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 58
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $589,700
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           Jockey: Reylu Gutierrez
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           Trainer: John Alexander Ortiz
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           Owner: WSS Racing LLC (William Simon)
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           Breeder: Susan Forrester &amp;amp; Judy Curry
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Race Day (Tapit, Rebalite)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Encounter (Southern Image, Copeaway)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-4-5-0-0 (12) 3.80
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           Foal Date: March 8, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $15,000 Keeneland November 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 16. Barn 46.
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           April 2, Arkansas Derby, Oaklawn Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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            Cyberknife was all business in the race, tracking early pacesetter Kavod from fourth through fractions of 22.11 and 46.53 for the first half mile. He took command around the final turn and drew off to win by 2 3/4 lengths over the ultra-consistent Barber Road, who placed in all four of Oaklawn’s Kentucky Derby points races. The filly Secret Oath, the 7-5 favorite, was third after running last early and mounting a challenge that flattened out in the stretch. California shipper Doppleganger was fourth after a tough trip and was followed by Kavod, Ben Diesel, We The People, Un Ojo and Chasing Time.
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           QUOTES
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           John Ortiz: “Winning effort once again. The distance proved to be the right angle that we're looking for. Obviously, we still might need a little bit more. I think we secured a spot for the Kentucky Derby starting gate. Reylu (Gutierrez) did a fantastic job. Once again, we've still got to work out our traffic situation, but the horse has got guts. You know what, you've got to run through traffic in the Kentucky Derby and you need a horse that's got guts. I think we've got the right thing and I've got the rider for it.”
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           Reylu Gutierrez: “Well, you've got to give credit to (trainer) Brad Cox. He knew this horse, Cyberknife, was a proper horse the whole time, so you've got to give credit to Brad and his thinking. But for my horse, what a race. Had traffic again. We know the game plan's to get outside, get him out in the clear, out of trouble. It doesn't work out like that sometimes, but I saved ground both turns and I think that helped us finish at the end the way we did. I'm really excited for a mile and a quarter, man. I'm really excited about it. Not many horses go a mile and a quarter, but mine can. It was awesome.”
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            THE NEXT DAY:
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           John Ortiz: “Right now, we don’t have any plans of moving him (yet). He sprung a shoe, so we’re going to get that fixed first and address that. He got banged around there down the stretch, but he’s just a tough little horse.” Ortiz said he will have a 20-horse string at Churchill Downs this spring.
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           April 13 NOTE:
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            Expected at Churchill Downs this week, and will breeze there up to the Derby, per DRF.
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           April 22 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.16:40 Breezing 4/4
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           JOHN ORTIZ VIDEO
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           April 22 NOTE:
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           Barber Road worked solo with jockey Reylu Gutierrez in the saddle. The son of Race Day easily galloped through opening splits of 13.60, 26.60, 39.60 and 51.80. He completed his seven-furlong gallop out in 1:29 (less than 13 seconds after the official workout ended), so this workout could have been deceptively good.
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           April 26 NOTE:
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           Trainer Ortiz has been training six years. Today he said, “This is a dream come true to even be here and participating in the Derby."
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Barber Road galloped about 1 1/2 miles at 6:30 a.m. Trainer Ortiz said, “I’m certainly not going to change his running style going into the Derby. He was on the lead when he broke his maiden, which gave him a lot of confidence since it was a claiming race. I think if he could be about mid-pack in the Derby it would be the ideal position.”
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           April 29 NOTE:
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           Barber Road will work Saturday.
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           Barber Road
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Barber Road breezed four furlongs in 48.80 going solo under exercise rider Elexander Aguilar.. His gallop-out was timed in a slow 1:02.40. Trainer Ortiz said, “We’re ready. We’ve had a really strong campaign leading into the Derby and he has a lot of good seasoning underneath him. We know we have a fit horse and will be ready for the mile and a quarter."
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            POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer John Oritz:
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           “I’m very happy with the post. I don’t feel like I have any pressure on me. Barber Road and (jockey) Reylu (Gutierrez) have to do all the running. I think being out towards the middle of the racetrack gives us a good chance to see how the race shapes up going into the first turn. From there, we just have to navigate through traffic and Barber Road and Reylu have to do their job.”
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            May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Barber Road finished sixth, beaten 4 3/4 lengths, after sitting in last place the first time under the wire.
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           QUOTES
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           John Ortiz: “We still need more ground. I always thought he was a Belmont horse. We knew we had to go wide. Traffic is what we had to avoid. It was awesome. I love the effort. I love what Reylu did. I couldn’t be happier right now.”
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           Rey Gutierrez: “He ran well. We saved ground the first turn and took a chance on the final turn by going really wide. I was hoping it would help him get there, but it didn’t give us the result we wanted.”
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           CHARGE IT (KY)  POST 8  ML 20-1
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $188,000
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           Jockey: Luis Saez
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Whisper Hill Farm, LLC
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           Breeder: Whisper Hill Farm, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tapit (Pulpit, Tap Your Heels)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): I'll Take Charge (Indian Charlie, Take Charge Lady)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-9-10-1-0 (24) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 3, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 17. Barn 35.
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           April 2, Florida Derby, Gulfstream Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           White Abarrio punched his ticket for Louisville when he laid off a fast early pace, took the lead in the stretch and held off Charge It by 1 3/4 length to win. As the 5-2 second betting choice, he fought off a strong challenge by Todd Pletcher-trained Charge It by 1 3/4 lengths. Simplification, the 2-1 favorite who finished second in the Holy Bull and won the Fountain of Youth, took the lead leaving the backstretch but was unable to withstand the bids by White Abarrio and Charge It, finishing third, a length behind Charge It and 3 /12 lengths ahead of Pappacap, who briefly led running into the far turn. White Abarrio was timed in 1:50.64 to win his fourth race in four starts at Gulfstream.
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           Meanwhile, White Abarrio rated in fifth under Tyler Gaffalione behind pacesetter Classic Causeway around the first turn and into the backstretch. Classic Causeway suddenly dropped back out of contention midway through the backstretch, where Simplistic took a brief lead with Pappacap applying heavy pressure. Simplistic took the lead into the stretch under Jose Ortiz, only to be passed by White Abarrio, who made a three-wide sweep on the turn into the stretch. Charge It saved ground into the stretch before making a determined run, only to fall short under Luis Saez.
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           Todd Pletcher: “Super pleased with the effort. To get a real education in a race like that was very encouraging. He got a little green down the lane. He kind of drifted in behind [White Abarrio] and felt like if he could have just run straight that last 100 yards, he was going to be right there. But I thought it was a huge effort, considering everything. Overcame some adversity, took some dirt, and did a lot of things right. Just didn't quite polish it off. It kind of took him a little while to get his wheels going, but once he straightened away it looked like he was going to punch on. But then he drifted in, and he had to correct. The inexperience hurt him a little in the end. I think he earned enough points and showed he's good enough now. Just got to see how he comes out of it and come up with a plan.”
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           Luis Saez: “He got a god trip. We know they have a lot of speed in the race. He broke from there and he got a lot of dirt in the face. He was comfortable with that and when we came to the three-eighths [pole] I thought we were in a perfect spot. I thought we were going to win the race, but he was a little bit green. He came to the top of the stretch, I hit him on the right and he went in. He got behind the winner and he was coming again, but then he went out. He was a little bit everywhere at the top of the stretch, but, man, he has so much talent. I think he got a good education from this race. He’s going to be a nice horse.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Todd Pletcher: “To get a real education in a race like that was very encouraging. He got a little green down the lane. He kind of drifted in behind that horse and felt like if he could have just run straight that last 100 yards, he was going to be right there. But I thought it was a huge effort, considering everything. Pletcher said the Kentucky Derby will be considered after seeing how Charge It comes out of the Florida Derby.
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           April 15, 2022 PALM BEACH DOWNS  Fast
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           47:77 Breezing 1/11
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           April 16 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “He worked super. He was straight as an arrow and changed leads right on cue this morning. A couple of more breezes like that should have him a lot more professional when he runs in the Derby.” Per DRF, Pletcher said he
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           timed Charge It in 24.60 and galloping out five-eighths in 1:00.60.
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           April 22, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:40 Breezing 10/47
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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            April 22 NOTE:
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           Charge It went in company outside Cezanne through fractions of 12, 25.40 and 37.60. They galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.80 and seven furlongs in 1:25 before Charge It completed his move with a one-mile time of 1:38.60.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “With Charge It, we were looking for a good, solid breeze. He went a minute and four-fifths with a super big gallop out. We were really happy with that."
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “The forecast looks a little dicey for the weekend. If the forecast looks favorable, I’d work the (Oaks) fillies Friday and the colts Saturday. I am prepared to move up a day or back a day with either of them."
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher plans to work Charge It Saturday morning but overnight rain Friday is in the forecast. “We are monitoring the weather,” he said.
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           April 29 NOTE:
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           Luis Saez will be aboard for Saturday's breeze.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           47.40 Breezing 9/130
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Charge It, with Luis Saez up, breezed inside of Pioneer of Medina. Charge It was a little better on the gallop-out. Track clockers caught them in 12.20, 23.60, 35.80 and 47.40, with the indication being they were out five furlongs in 59.60 and six in 112.40. Pioneer of Medina still needs a defection to make the Derby field. During the move, the backside siren activated for a loose horse in a gap. The riders persevered through the gallop-out of this all-important breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “It was a solid move. I got them in :23 and one for the last quarter. I was in touch with them on the radio and we had that scary moment when the siren went off (a workmate of an Oaks horse on the track lost the rider) just as they were at the wire so I alerted them. But I saw they picked up the loose horse right away and I was able to let them know about that, too.”
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            POST POSITION DRAW:
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher: I’m happy with (his post).
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            May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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            Charge It finished 17th, beaten 28 lengths, after running within four lengths of the lead through the far turn.
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           QUOTES
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           Todd Pletcher: "Charge It got in a good spot, he came under a drive at the three-eighths pole, but that was it."
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           Luis Saez: “He ran good. He’s still a baby. He broke pretty nice and when we came to the top of the stretch, the other horses were too good.”
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           CLASSIC CAUSEWAY (KY)  POST 17  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 66
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $466,100
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           Jockey: Julien Leparoux
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           Trainer: Brian Lynch
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           Owner: Kentucky West Racing LLC and Clarke M. Cooper
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           Breeder: Kentucky West Racing LLC &amp;amp; Clarke M. Cooper Family Living Trust
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Giant's Causeway (Storm Cat, Mariah's Storm)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Private World (Thunder Gulch, Rita Rucker)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-2-23-0-0 (28) 1.43
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           Foal Date: Feb. 22, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Prior to April 16. Barn 40.
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           April 2, Florida Derby, Gulfstream Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           Classic Causeway set a contested pace around the first turn and into the backstretch. He suddenly dropped back out of contention midway through the backstretch and finished last.
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           Brian Lynch: “(Irad) said he thought he was traveling until about halfway down the backside and then he just sort of ran out of horse. So, we’ll do a little investigating but he looks sound and he said he felt good. We’ll regroup.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Brian Lynch: “Everything seems good. He scoped good and came back good this morning. It’s a bit of a headscratcher. We’ll digest it and go on from there. Everything is up in the air now. We’ll let the dust settle and we’ll make a decision (about race plans) in a few days."
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           April 10 NOTE:
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           Classic Causeway definitely out of Kentucky consideration.
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           April 16 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.80 Breezeing 21/74
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:80 Breezing 22/70
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           That didn't take long. Classic Causeway is back in consideration for the Kentucky Derby, according to the Churchill Downs Racing Office.
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            Classic Causeway's connections have committed him to run in the Kentucky Derby. Trainer Lynch said, “My owners have about 160 years, combined, and who am I to hold them back on running in the Derby. You go back to his races at Tampa, and he fits right in with this field. I think he can have an advantage on the pace.” Julien Leparoux will have the mount.
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           Classic Causeway had a 1 1/2-mile gallop Wednesday morning under regular exercise rider Calamity Compton. Classic Causeway would be the first Derby starter for trainer Lynch, a native of Australia. After moving to the U. S. nearly 30 years ago, he competed on the rodeo circuit riding bulls. In Australia, Lynch worked around horses and eventually bought horses on his own. Lynch said, “It’s really exciting for my owners and for us as a barn to have a horse like this. We won some pretty big races in the Breeders’ Cup and Queen’s Plate, but you could say it would be a dream come true to win the Kentucky Derby.”
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           Classic Causeway is scheduled to work Saturday, reportedly at six furlongs. Julien Leparoux was on hand today to watch his Derby mount gallop.
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           Julien Leparoux will be aboard for Saturday's breeze.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.13:20 Breezing 3/4
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           April 30 NOTE:
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            Under Julien Leparoux and outside of Sounion, a 5-year-old gelded allowance horse, who went in 1:14.20. Fractions for Classic Causeway were 24.60, 36.60 and 48.60, out seven furlongs in 1.27:00.
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           Trainer Lynch said, “He’s been doing everything right on the track to earn his spot in the Derby. With the way he’s training, I don’t want to be the one to hold him back.”
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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            Classic Causeway finished 11th, beaten 17 lengths, after 12th or 13th to the top of the stretch.
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           Brian Lynch: “It was not the cleanest break and he got shuffled back. It was a roughly run race and Julien could never get a run going. We’ll regroup and give him some time to recover. But certainly the Preakness is not in our plans.”
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           Julien Leparoux: “We missed the break a little bit, but there was some pace in front so I was kinda happy anyway to be where I was. He traveled beautifully and gave me everything he had.”
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           CROWN PRIDE (JPN)  POST 7 ML 20-1
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $671,544
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           Jockey: Christophe Lemiere
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           Trainer: Koichi Shintani
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           Owner: Teruya Yoshida
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           Breeder: Shadai Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Reach The Crown (JPN) (Special Week (JPN), Crown Piece (JPN))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Emmy's Pride (JNP) (King Kamehameha (JPN), Emmy's Smile (JPN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-0-7-2-0 (14) 1.55
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           Foal Date: May 4, 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 30, released from quarantine April 1. Remains in Quarantine Barn 1.
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           March 26, UAE Derby, Meydan, About 1 3/16 Mile.
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           Japan connections had a very good day, including this race as Crown Pride ground out a classy victory in the hands of Damian Lane. On a day when being close to the pace was working well, local hope Summer Is Tomorrow made the running and was travelling smoothly as the field entered the homestretch. Out a little wider, however, loomed Crown Pride from off the pace, and the pair separated from the field out for a duel. 
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           At the furlong marker, Summer Is Tomorrow appeared to have the measure of his rival, but his stride shortened and the Crown Pride’s reserve of stamina showed inside the final 100 meters for a victory by 2 3/4 lengths over the pacesetter. Island Falcon closed well to finish third, getting by Beendoog by 3/4 lengths and 1 1/4 length back of the place horse.
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           The winning time was 1:59.76.
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           Order of finish: Crown Pride, Summer Is Tomorrow, Island Falcon, Bendoog, Quality Boone, Reiwa Homare, Kiefer, Sekifu, Azure Coast, Withering, Combustion, Arabian Gazelles, Gilded Age, Irwin, Get Back Goldie, Pinehurst
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           Crown Pride: Tracked leaders, led 150m out, ran on well.
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           Summer is Tomorrow: Soon led, ridden clear 500m out, headed 200m out, ran on
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           Island Falcon: Mid-division, ran on well final 400m, nearest finish
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           Bendoog: Tracked leaders, every chance 500m out, ran on same pace final 400m
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           Damian Lane: “He stepped out okay but didn't travel too well thereafter, and it just took a little bit to get him in a rhythm and get him going. I got crowded a little early, but as I say he was able to stride through and take up position and it was plain sailing from there, really. I was confident a long way out, and although he made hard work of it in the straight, ultimately he was the toughest out there. He's a strong, tough horse and saw the distance out well. Whenever you jump aboard (a Japanese-trained horse) you can be confident they're going to be strong and they're going to run well, and it's just a privilege to be a part of it.”
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           April 7 NOTE:
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            Crown Pride is stabled in one of Churchill Downs’ Quarantine barns, and he will remain there until the Kentucky Derby. He typically trains at 7:40 a.m. ET.
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           April 16 CHURCHILL DOWNS  Fast
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           1.18:60 Breezing 1/1
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           At 7:30 on a track rated good, exercise rider Masa Matsuda guided Crown Pride six furlongs from the half-mile pole. The duo easily completed opening fractions of 14.60, 28.20, 54 and 1:06.20. Crown Pride steadily picked up his work around the turn and onto the backside before completing his move through seven furlongs in 1:32.40 according to Churchill Downs. The official clocking was for six furlongs.
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           April 19 CHURCHILL DOWNS  Fast
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           49:80 Breezing 24/44
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           April 24 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           49:20 Breezing 35/58
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           His fractions were 12.40, 24.80 and 37.20, out five furlongs in 101.40. The final eighth-mile to the finish line was 12 flat. More to come. Trainer Koichi Shintani is scheduled to arrive in Louisville on May 1 and will be in attendance at the post position draw Monday, May 2.
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           Crown Pride returned to the track a day after breezing. With Masa Matsuda aboard, the UAE Derby winner jogged in the mile chute and then schooled in the starting gate before returning to the Quarantine Barn.
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           Crown Pride is scheduled to work again tomorrow.
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           April 27, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           46:40 Breezing 1/30
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           As far as I can tell, the cameramen almost completely missed this workout. If a video shows up I will post it. Crown Pride breezed outside Southern Passage, a horse with little early speed. Crown Pride went about his business with splits of 11.60 and 23.20, then he finished in another 23.20. He was out five in 1:00.20 before his rider pretty much shut him down with six in 1:14.80. This was Crown Pride's fourth workout in 12 days. I am open-minded about different training methods used in other countries and am following this with interest. Regular exercise rider Masa Matsuda was aboard Crown Pride. Before the work, Crown Pride warmed up doing dressage in the mile chute while the track was undergoing a harrow break, and following the work he was gate-schooled and then had a leisurely trip back to the quarantine barn.
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           “That is a typical Japanese training regimen,” said Japan-based representative for the Kentucky Derby Kate Hunter. “Masa was very pleased with the work. He said Crown Pride moves well over the surface with no extra effort.” 
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           Crown Pride had a walk day following a half-mile work in :46.40 on Wednesday. As with any horse, supporters want to see him break well in the Kentucky Derby. Video at Churchill Downs showed him veering left breaking from the schooling gate. I found this comment in the stewards' report after the UAE Derby: "Bumped on jumping, shifted out and bumped another runner." However, he recovered and won the UAE Derby, although not in a fast time.
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           He may breeze again Saturday.
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            After warming up in the mile chute for several minutes, Crown Pride finished the most serious portion of his morning training with another strong gallop.
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           Crown Pride is scheduled to have his final pre-Derby work on Wednesday. He was back on the track today.
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Koichi Shintani:
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            “We’re very happy with lucky number seven. And the Derby is on May 7.”
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           May 4 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           46:60 Breezing 1/9
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           I will post a video if it is made available. It can be viewed at the May 4 Works show link on the Home page.
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           May 4 NOTE:
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           Fractions were 24.20 and 35.60, with an easy gallop-out in 1:00, followed by a slow gallop up the backstretch.
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Crown Pride finished 13th, beaten 18 1/4 lengths, after prompting a too-fast pace to the top of the stretch instead of sitting back and launching a bid.
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           QUOTES
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           Koichi Shintani: Couldn’t be reached for commen
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           Christophe Lemaire: “Early on it was quick. He took good position easily and I could hold him very well. He gradually got tired and couldn't pick up at the end
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           CYBERKNIFE (KY)  POST 16  ML 20-1
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $752,000
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           Jockey: Florent Geroux
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Gold Square LLC
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           Breeder: Kenneth L. Ramsey &amp;amp; Sarah K. Ramsey
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Gun Runner (Candy Ride (ARG), Quiet Giant)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Awesome Flower (Flower Alley, Formalities Aside)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-2-6-0-0 (8) 1.67
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           Foal Date: March 14, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $400,000 Fasig-Tipton Showcase 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 6. Barn 22, Stall 3.
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           April 2, Arkansas Derby, Oaklawn Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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            Despite dumping Florent Geroux in the post parade, Cyberknife was all business in the race, tracking early pacesetter Kavod from fourth through fractions of 22.11 and 46.53 for the first half mile. He took command around the final turn and drew off to win by 2 3/4 lengths over the ultra-consistent Barber Road, who placed in all four of Oaklawn’s Kentucky Derby points races. The filly Secret Oath, the 7-5 favorite, was third after running last early and mounting a challenge that flattened out in the stretch. California shipper Doppleganger was fourth after a tough trip and was followed by Kavod, Ben Diesel, We The People, Un Ojo and Chasing Time.
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            Brad Cox: “Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't, right, like your thoughts. You watch these horses train and you have high hopes. Sometimes, they pick you up, sometimes they let you down. In this case, he picked us up today. We thought he was a good colt. He got some good (speed) figures last time. I don't really know what happened in the Lecomte - from a maiden win to the Lecomte was just too much too quick for him. He looked great in the Lecomte and then straightened up and was just nowhere, backed out of it. So, he certainly trained like a big horse and ran like one today. I was a little concerned he (Florent Geroux) may have been moving just a touch early into a hot pace. But, obviously, it worked out. Very, very proud of him.”
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            Florent Geroux: “Great effort with some high hopes for him. We always thought he was very talented. Looks like he finally put it together and he’s probably not even 100% as he was zig zagging down the lane. I’m hoping he’s going to be a little straighter on the first Saturday in May. But, a very talented horse.”
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           THE NEXT DAY:
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            Brad Cox: “I didn’t see it (Cyberknife unseating Gaffalione) happen, but somebody yelled at me and I said, ‘Oh'. I was too far away to do anything about it, but Florent was able to jump up on him by himself. He’s (Cyberknife) got a lot of energy (today). He’s feeling good. It’s a nice, crisp morning and if you watched him walk around here, you definitely wouldn’t think he ran a mile and an eighth yesterday. He’s got a lot of energy.”
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            Cyberknife raced without blinkers. Cyberknife debuted with blinkers, then raced without blinkers in his next starts, including a troubled second-place finish in a Nov. 5 sprint at Churchill Downs. Cyberknife broke his maiden going two turns for the first time Dec. 26 at Fair Grounds before adding blinkers again in the LeComte when he finished off the board.
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            “Was super disappointed in his (Nov. 5 race). I was in California maybe for the Breeders’ Cup for that race. But I was like ‘Aww, you know, this is our spot; this is when we’re going to get our maiden broken. He didn’t run bad; he just wouldn’t go by the other horse. Not to take anything away from the winner that day (Classic Moment), but I thought he was goofing off and not really focused and paying attention. If you watch his race replays, they tell you more about him than anything in regards to his antics down the lane. Obviously in the post parade yesterday, he did get Flo off and he’s a handful, he really is. He’s not bad. He’s just full of energy.”
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            APRIL 10 NOTE:
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           Cyberknife is set to work at Churchill Downs next weekend.
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           April 16 CHURCHILL DOWNS  Fast
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           1.00:00 Breezing 4/14
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           April 16 NOTE:
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            On a track rated good, Cyberknife worked at 9:00 outside of multiple stakes-placed stablemate Tommy Bee. Cyberknife started two lengths behind Tommy Bee and completed fractions of 12.20, 23.80 and 47.20. Cyberknife finished even with Tommy Bee around the seven eighths pole and easily galloped out six furlongs in 1:15.40.
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           Trainer Cox said, “I thought he looked great. He’s done well at Churchill in the past and really likes it here.”
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            April 21 NOTE:
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           Jockey Geroux certain on Cyberknife.
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.12:20 Breezing 1/3
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           FLORENT GEROUX VIDEO
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           BRAD COX VIDEO
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            April 23 NOTE:
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           Cyberknife breezed at 5:15 with Florent Geroux in the saddle on the outside of stablemate Koolhaus, a 4-year-old allowance horse. Cyberknife started two lengths back at the five-furlong marker and finished two lengths in front at the wire. Cyberknife continued his strong move around the far turn and completed seven furlongs in 1:24.60, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols.
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           Jockey Geroux said, “It was a really strong move, and he’s a really good work horse. He continues to improve as time goes on, and he showed that winning the Arkansas Derby. Even going back to his allowance win before the Arkansas Derby he showed a new level of class.”
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           April 26 NOTE:
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           Cyberknife is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Cyberknife visited the Churchill Downs starting gate and had a 1 1/2-mile gallop at 7:30 a.m.
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Trainer Cox said Cyberknife will work Saturday.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.11:20 Breezing 1/4
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           BRAD COX VIDEO
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           FLORENT GEROUX VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Cyberknife and Zozos worked in company, with Cyberknife breaking off a length behind and finishing on even terms. The move began at the 5/8 pole and ended at the 7/8 pole (midway through the clubhouse turn). Track clockers probably have the splits, but they aren't available yet. I will update if they become available. The pair were pulled up around mid-stretch.
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           “I think this is the part of Derby Week that is special because a lot of family and friends are here to support you,” said Geroux, who hasn’t seen his brother for more than two years due to COVID-19 restrictions in France. “I’ve been watching his plane on my phone, and my family is excited to spend some time with him once he arrives.”
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Brad Cox:
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           “I’m happy with all three draws (Cyberknife, Tawyny Port, Zozos). I think with the Derby starting at the head of the stretch, and a quarter of a mile to the first turn, they’ll be able to get into position.”
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            May 3 NOTE:
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           Trainer Cox said yesterday, “I thought his two works here were the best Derby works I’ve seen. I may be biased, but that’s my opinion.” Also, yesterday I noticed Cox was sitting at the table reserved for connections of Cyberknife during the post position draw ceremony, which is an important event.
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Cyberknife finished 18th, beaten 42 3/4 lengths. He was in sixth place after the first six furlongs.
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           Brad Cox: “Cybernife, super disappointed."
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           Florent Geroux: “I broke super sharp and was in a great position. I only thing I can think of that the pace was very hot and I was up close. I was saving ground on the first turn but he didn’t run his race.”
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           EPICENTER (KY)  POST 3  ML 7-2
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           Derby Points: 164
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $940,000
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: Steve Asmussen
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           Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC (Joan and Ron Winchell)
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           Breeder: Westwind Farms
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Not This Time (Giant's Causeway, Miss Macy Sue)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Silent Candy (Candy Ride (ARG), Silent Queen)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-0-9-1-2 (12) 0.60
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           Foal Date: Feb. 19, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $260,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 29. Barn 38, Stall 20.
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           Feb. 19, Risen Star Stakes, Fair Grounds, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           To win, Epicenter just had to run his race a little better, and he did. An easy winner of the Gun Runner Stakes earlier in the Fair Grounds meet, Epicenter set fast fractions only to be beaten a nose in January’s Lecomte Stakes by longshot closer Call Me Midnight. With his front-running style, Epicenter controlled the pace in the Risen Star and won under Joel Rosario.
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           Breaking alertly from the five-hole, Epicenter needed little urging to open up a length on Pioneer of Medina in fractions of 23.79 and 47.97. After a comfortable six furlongs in 1:12.25, Epicenter was able to skip away in the long stretch with a final time of 1:49.03 on a fast track. He cruised under the wire 2-3/4 lengths ahead of the late-running favorite Smile Happy, who had a bit of traffic trouble in his first start off the layoff. Zandon finished a half-length back in third in the 10-horse field after a horrible break from the gate.
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           Pioneer of Medina ran fourth followed by Tawny Port, Slow Down Andy, Trafalgar, Pappacap, Bodock and Russian Tank.
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           Joel Rosario: “He did run a really big race today. That was really nice. He looked like he was enjoying what he was doing and put in a really nice race today. We’ll see going forward how far he can go.”
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           Ron Winchell: “A little different than his last race in that every fraction was perfect. He looked nice and comfortable. We were just hoping he would finish the race and he did, he looked great.”
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           March 26, Louisiana Derby, Fair Grounds, 1 3/16 Mile.
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           Ridden by Joel Rosario, Epicenter proved rateable after winning two races at the track in front-running fashion. Drawn in the sixth post position, Epicenter broke alertly but was beaten into the first turn by Zozos and Florenet Geroux, who rolled to the front end in 23.27, 47.35, and 1:11.69 for six furlongs.
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           Epicenter backed off and ran on the rail while Pioneer of Medina, ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, chased Zozos entering the stretch. That's when Rosario angled out Epicenter to daylight and powered past rivals to win by 2 1/2 lengths in 1:54.38. Making his stakes debut and third start overall, Zozos and Pioneer of Medina held off late challengers to earn second and third, separated by two lengths. Pioneer of Medina had been shipped to New Orleans from south Florida for the third time this meet, and to make matters more challenging he threw Gaffalione in the post parade. Rattle N Roll, who was seventh early and thereafter made up no ground on the front pace, edged Galt and Call Me Midnight to run fourth. LeComte winner Call Me Midnight was far back early and flattened out in the stretch after launching his bid around the far turn. Kupuna, Curly Tail and Silent Power rounded out the finish.
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           Joel Rosario: “He took a little dirt today and he didn’t mind it. I shifted him out, and he did the rest. Not only is he a nice horse, but he also tries very hard. He was off the pace today and inside of horses. It seems like he can be special. The way he did it today, the mile and a quarter shouldn’t be a problem. We will see what happens.”
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            Steve Asmussen: “He’s made some great progress over the winter. He’s done so well over the surface here at the Fair Grounds, which has aided in his physical development. I just love the opportunity afforded to us with the series of races that they have here. He got a mile and an eighth in him, a front running win, and today, a little bit off the pace going a mile and three sixteenths in a very solid time. It gives us a tremendous amount of confidence in him moving into the Kentucky Derby. Everything is headed in that direction, and we couldn’t feel better about how we’ve gotten to this point.”
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           April 10 NOTE:
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             Epicenter breezed five furlongs in 1:01 Sunday at 5:50 a.m. at Churchill Downs. His stablemate, filly Echo Zulu breezed 20 minutes prior to Epicenter and completed five furlongs in 1:00.80. With exercise rider Wilson Fabian up, Epicenter worked outside of fellow 3-year-old Guntown through opening eighth-mile fractions of 13.40, 25.40 and 37. The duo stayed together for most of the breeze and completed six furlongs in a comfortable 1:14.60 and were up seven furlongs in 1:29.40. Bettors tabbed Epicenter as the 9-2 favorite in Pool 5 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.
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           April 17 CHURCHILL DOWNS  Fast
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           1:00.80   Breezing 7/26
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            April 17 NOTE:
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            After Jackie's Warrior raced at Oaklawn, trainer Asmussen hightailed it to Louisville to observe Epicenter and Zulu (Kentucky Oaks) work this morning. He said, "The track is in top condition. Both horses are training extremely well. It has been standard (for them to work in company), and the company they worked with (today) is the company they worked with in New Orleans. We're trying to create more of the same, with the success they had there. With Epicenter, the spacing of his races since December has been very effective for him, and we're trying to put the building blocks in place for him to handle the mile and a quarter here. I couldn't feel any better about how he's doing and how much he likes it here at Churchill Downs. (In coming workouts) they are not going to be asked to pick it up much at all. Both of these horses have been working very sharply, and I'm very pleased with how they're doing it and how they're coming out of it."
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           Epicenter worked at 6:00 inside of three-time winning 6-year-old Gun It with exercise rider Wilson Fabian up, and Eddie Martin, Jr., who's won over 4,000 races, on the company. Epicenter clipped through opening fractions of 12.60, 24.20 and 36.00. Epicenter galloped out strongly around the clubhouse turn and onto the backside with a six-furlong gallop out in 1:13.60, seven in 1:27.00, and a mile in 1:44.00.
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           April 24 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.12:20 Breezing 3/4
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           RACING AND BLOODSTOCK MANAGER DAVID FISKE VIDEO
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           OWNER RON WINCHELL VIDEO
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            April 24 NOTE:
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           Epicenter worked outside Gun It under exercise rider Wilson Fabian. Opening fractions were 13.00, 24.40, 35.80 and 47.20. He was out seven furlongs in 1:26.20 and a mile in 1:41.00. Trainer Asmussen said, “We’re so happy the weather has cooperated on our scheduled work days. The racetrack is in great shape this morning. These were the most significant works for us. We’re following a pattern that we’re very comfortable with. I love the rhythm these horses are in. Both of these horses (including Echo Zulu) have kept their same workmates from New Orleans this winter. I’m unbelievably appreciative of the job Wilson and Eddie have done helping get them to this point.
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           “They’ve both started out as tremendous prospects and individuals. We’re aiming with incremental improvement to not take too big of a leap forward. So everything is a building block to success. Since they have arrived here at Churchill that trend has continued. I was so excited with Echo Zulu’s first work here.”
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           Asmussen is winless from 23 Derby starters. His trainees have finished second twice and third twice. His last starter to hit the board was Lookin At Lee, who finished second in 2017 after breaking from post 1. Asmussen finished third in 2016 with Gun Runner, second in 2011 with Nehro and third in 2007 with Curlin.
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           “I literally know what it feels like to win the Derby," Asmussen said. “I didn’t see Animal Kingdom coming down the center of the track (after Nehro). With Lookin At Lee, when Corey (Lanerie) cut the corner with him and the acceleration he showed going by tired horses, it just looked like he was going fast enough to win the Derby. Always Dreaming had enough to hold him off. The visuals of those moments were goosebump exciting. I’ve got 23 different feelings on the Derby but very vividly remember Nehro and Lookin At Lee.
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           “For Curlin’s Derby, I never thought that he’d get beat. The walkover for his Derby felt like it took three strides but the walk back felt like it was the Sahara Desert. He went to the Test Barn after the race with Zanjero (who finished 12th) and Zanejro was blowing hard. Curlin came out of the test barn and was his strong, usual self. He had enough ability but it wasn’t meant to be.”
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           April 26 NOTE: Epicenter returned to the track Tuesday morning following his scheduled Monday walk day and jogged one mile and had a light one-mile gallop under exercise rider Roberto Howell.
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “To see the way Epicenter was able to sit just off the pace in the Louisiana Derby is very pleasing considering how fast the early pace is each year in the Derby. With 20 horses in the Derby, the post position draw matters. We obviously hope he’s able to get away from there cleanly, but the success he’s had with variable styles is one less thing to worry about.”
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Epicenter trained later than his normal 5:30 a.m. outing to school in the Kentucky Derby starting gate. Epicenter was on the track at 7:30 a.m. during the restricted window for Kentucky Derby and Oaks training. After his schooling session he had a standard gallop with exercise rider Roberto Howell in the boot.
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           Epicenter returned to his normal 5:45 am training time. He is scheduled to work Sunday.
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           May 1 CHURCHILL DOWNS Muddy
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           1.01:00 Breezing 3/6
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           STEVE ASMUSSEN VIDEO
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           May 1 NOTE:
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           Epicenter breezed five furlongs inside of Alejandro. Internal fractions not available with this post, he was out six furlong in 1.13:40. His exercise rider had his feet jammed on the brakes to pull Epicenter up as the colt continued to upper stretch.
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           Exercise rider Roberto Howell piloted him through splits of 12.60, 24.40, 36.20, 48.40 and out six furlongs in 1:13.80.
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “Honestly I have so much confidence in Epicenter right now I don’t think you could overdo it. He has taken a lot of training extremely easy. Including, I thought he took the Louisiana Derby extremely easy, how he came back from the test barn and walked into the barn, and that's why his training and his works ever since have been faster, or stronger, than is the norm for me.
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           “It felt perfect, knowing (Alejandro) and how he goes about what he is doing. His previous workmate, Gun It, is a very strong, very physical horse … somewhat hard to manage, and that brings out a little extra in (Epicenter), especially getting to the pole, getting off, getting away from the pole and what you are getting out of it. And as you saw today, they were away from it a lot smoother, just a lot easier to the pole. Still strong, still very smooth. I think he is in a beautiful rhythm, and we are trying to create the circumstances and prepare for what we are expecting to happen in the races this week.
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           “I am unbelievably excited to be doing this well with this much on the line. I had a pretty anxious drive last night with rain and thunderstorms for most of it, and if it's meant to be then it's meant to be, but everything seems to be working out perfectly. This year’s Oaks and Derby are extremely exciting with how strong the races look and how well all the horses are doing going into it. It is going to be an extremely exciting five or six days.”
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Steve Asmussen:
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           “It matches his favorite colors (referring to the Asmussen’s barn color and saddle towel color of blue). Like any race, you want to get away nicely from the gate and go from there. How long he stands in there, how long it takes to load, 150,000 people staring at him – it’s a lot. Joel is very confident in rhythm of the horse. So, if he is away cleanly Joel will let him be who he is.”
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Epicenter, who was never further back than six lengths under Joel Rosario, was in eighth place after a half-mile. He struck the lead leaving the turn but was caught in deep stretch to lose by three-quarters of a length to 80-1 shot Rich Strike.
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           Steve Asmussen: “I can’t believe it after Epicenter’s effort. And, the scenario in which I went 0 for 24, you couldn’t make up. I got beat by the horse that just got in.”
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           Joel Rosario: “Everything was perfect. We thought we were home. Too bad that horse got us right at the end. I thought Epicenter ran a tremendous race. He did everything. He responded when I asked him. We ran too good to get beat.”
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           ETHEREAL ROAD (KY)  POST 20  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 22
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $231,000
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           Jockey: Luis Contreras
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           Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
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           Owner: Aaron Sones
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           Breeder: Paul Pompa, Jr.
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Quality Road (Elusive Quality, Kobla)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Sustained (War Front, Sweetstorm Amy)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-9-1-0 (16) 1.91
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           Foal Date: Feb. 9, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $90,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 16 or 17. Barn 44
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           April 7 NOTE:
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           Was stabled at Oaklawn through March 31 in prep for Blue Grass.
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            April 9, Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, Keeneland, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           Ethereal Road finished seventh, beaten 11 1/2 lengths after running at or near mid-pack most of the way.
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           April 16, Stonestreet Lexington Stakes, Keeneland, 1 1/16 Mile.
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            Ethereal Road finished fourth, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Tawny Port. He picked up only two Derby points, which gave him a total of 22, and that left him number 23 on the Derby Leaderboard.
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           April 25 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.02:20 Breezing 8/8
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           May 1 NOTE:
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           Had to be pushed to gallop out on April 25.
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           May 6 NOTE:
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           Scratched.
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           HAPPY JACK (KY)  POST 2  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 30
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $142,000
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           Jockey: Rafael Bejarano
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           Trainer: Doug O'Neill
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           Owner: Calumet Farm
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           Breeder: Calumet Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Oxbow (Awesome Again (CAN), Tizamazing)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Tapitstry (CAN), Tapit, Chic Sheba)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-8-11-0-1 (22) 2.38
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           Foal Date: March 17, 2019
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           Auction Price(s):
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           RNA $0.00 Keeneland November 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: May 1
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           After breaking his maiden at first asking, he ran fifth in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes and third in the San Felipe Stakes.
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           April 9, Santa Anita Derby, Santa Anita, 1 1/8 Mile. Happy Jack broke slowly and finished third, beaten 12 1/4 lengths by winner Taiba. He finished 10 lengths behind Messier. He was fifth or sixth of six, behind five or 10 lengths, at the first three calls. He edged fourth finisher Armagnac by a neck, which assured him to make the Kentucky Derby top 20 in points.
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            April 29 NOTE:
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            Luis Saez will be aboard for Saturday's breeze.
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           April 30 KEENELAND Fast
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           1:39.60 Breezing 1/1
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Trainer O'Neill said, “We’ve had some good fortune doing this before. We did it with Nyquist where we came here and did our final prep (workout). It’s so quiet; the track’s got a good cushion so it’s a little bit demanding, which we think they get a little bit better exercise out of it. Very happy with the way it went this morning. (He’s a) horse who’s got the potential but he hasn’t put up the numbers that we need to be a huge player in the race. We wanted to ask him firmly and make sure he was fit and ready. To me, he answered that question, and he’s ready.”
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           May 1 NOTE:
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           Trainer O'Neill said, “Rafy (Bejarano) got to know (Happy Jack) a little bit. ‘Jack’ has a lot of ability and maybe the light bulb hasn’t gone completely on, so I’m hoping it does next Saturday.”
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Doug O’Neill:
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           “It is good. We’re happy. I think that new gate makes it better for the horses inside. We remain optimistic.”
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile
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           . Happy Jack finished 14th, beaten 19 lengths. He was last heading into the far turn.
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           Assistant trainer Leondro Mora: “Rafael told us that his tail got caught in the back of the gate when he was fussing before the start. Thank goodness they backed him out and when they released the back gates, his tail came free.”
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           Rafael Bejarano: “My horse was good in the beginning but somehow his tail got trapped in the gate and he started acting crazy. He tried to flip out and then they had to back him out.”
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           MESSIER (ON)  POST 6  ML 8-1
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $390,000
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           Jockey: John Velazquez
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           Trainer: Tim Yakteen
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           Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Robert E. Masterson, Jay A. Schoenfarber, Waves Edge Capital LLC, Catherine M. Donovan, Golconda Stable, Siena Farm LLC
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           Breeder: Sam-Son Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Empire Maker (Unbridled, Toussaud)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Checkered Past (CAN) (Smart Strike (CAN), Catch the Flag (CAN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 12-12-14-0-2 (40) 3.44
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           Foal Date: March 24, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $470,000 Fasig-Tipton Select 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: May 1. Barn 37.
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           April 9, Grade I Santa Anita Derby, Santa Anita, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           With stable mate Messier in control under John Velazaquez after overtaking pacesetter Forbidden Kingdom, Taiba wheeled three-wide at the top of the lane and assumed command approaching the sixteenth pole to score a scintillating 2 1/4-length victory got the distance in 1:48.67. Mike Smith was aboard the winner.
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           As expected, Forbidden Kingdom and Juan Hernandez went straight to the front, but he was pressed every step of the way by Messier through early fractions of 23.23, 46.66 and 1:10.93. A quarter mile from home, Messier put Forbidden Kingdom away and led at the furlong marker in a time of 1:35.97, but he was no match for the winner late. Forbidden Kingdom faded to finish sixth and last, beaten 14 1/2 lengths. Ridden by Abel Cedillo, Happy Jack was off at 26-1 and paid $4.20 to show.
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           John Velazquez: “We didn’t get the result we wanted, and there wasn’t much I could do to get him up there. Mike was ahead and did the work.”
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           THE NEXT DAY:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Messier is on target. He’ll move up from yesterday’s race since he had quite a bit of time between starts (two months after a 15-length win in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6). This sets him up perfect for the Derby, and if you look back in history, there were many second-place finishers that ended up winning the Kentucky Derby. Messier ran huge, and he’ll be able to benefit with this race underneath him.”
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           April 15 NOTE:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Both horses (Messier and Taiba) are back to the track and look great. I’ll probably work them next Friday and plan on shipping to Churchill the weekend before (either April 30 or May 1).”
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           April 23 SANTA ANITA PARK Fast
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           59:80 Handily 7/37
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           April 23 NOTE:
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           Messier worked solo in a “maintenance” drill, per trainer Yakteen's comment to DRF. Messier passed the finish line in 47.20 and finished the work in the clubhouse turn. Yakteen had him galloping out six furlongs in 1:12.00. Yakteen said, “We let him stretch his legs, keep the air in his lungs, and keep our tank full. That was accomplished. We’re very happy with the drill. He was doing it comfortably, doing it within himself, Drayden had plenty of horse.”
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           April 23 NOTE:
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           Messier is scheduled to work again April 28 or 29 and be flown to Kentucky May 1.
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           April 27 Video:
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           Tim Yakteen
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Messier is scheduled to work Friday at Santa Anita. He is set to be flown Sunday to Indianapolis, followed by a van ride to Churchill Downs.
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           April 29 SANTA ANITA PARK Fast
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           1.11:60 Handily 1/1
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           April 29 NOTE:
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            The work was solo with a good gallop-out. Trainer Yakteen said, “I’ll play it by ear and see what I want to do. I’ll go into Churchill, read the horses and see if I want to do anything there. But since Taiba’s work was a day before Messier’s, I might breeze him in Kentucky or let him stretch his legs a little bit there. If I want to just gallop into the race, I’ll gallop into the race.”
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Messier just walked the shed today. Taiba had a jog day today, and we had jockey Ryan Curatolo do the honors. He (Tabia) looked great on the track.”
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           May 1 NOTE:
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           Messier is expected at Churchill Downs this afternoon at about 3:00 ET.
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            POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Tim Yakteen:
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           “They made us wait (said in jest, Messier and Taiba were among the last three horses chosen). But in the end we drew well.”
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            May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Messier finished 15th, beaten 19 1/4 lengths. He led six furlongs into the race after sitting just off a fast pace.
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           QUOTES
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           Tim Yakteen: Couldn’t be reached for comment.
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           John Velazquez: No quote available.
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           MO DONEGAL (KY)  POST 1  ML 10-1
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           Derby Points: 112
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $561,500
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           Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Donegal Racing (Jerry Crawford, et al)
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           Breeder: Ashview Farm &amp;amp; Colts Neck Stables
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Uncle Mo (Indian Charlie, Playa Maya)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Callingmissbrown (Pulpit, Island Sand)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-8-0-0 (16) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 19, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $250,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 17. Barn 35.
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            April 9, Wood Memorial, Aqueduct, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           Mo Donegal, piloted skillfully by Joel Rosario, arrived in the final strides to capture the race. Todd Pletcher got a record-tying seventh win in the Wood, joining “Sunny Jim” Fitzsimmons.
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            Early Voting and Jose Ortiz broke alertly and took command through a quarter-mile in 23.86 as Rosario saved ground from the inside post aboard the slow-starting Mo Donegal in front of only favored Morello under Jose Lezcano, who hit the gate and trailed. Early Voting dictated terms down the backstretch with A.P.’s Secret pressing from second position and Barese moving comfortably in the clear in third as the half-mile ticked by in 47.75.
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           Rosario, ever patient, inched his way closer to the frontrunners along the rail, but Mo Donegal had only two horses beaten approaching the final turn. In the turn, Mo Donegal advanced with great energy to the inside of rivals. Once straightened away for the stretch run, Mo Donegal easily passed to the inside of A.P.’s Secret along the rail before angling to the outside of Early Voting and taking aim at the leader. Early Voting dug in gamely but could not deny Mo Donegal, who posted a neck score in a final time of 1:47.96 over the fast main track.
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           It was another 3 1/2-lengths back to Skippylongstocking in third, who was 1 1/2-lengths clear of A.P.’s Secret. Rounding out the order of finish were Barese, Morello, Long Term and Golden Code.
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           Mo Donegal entered the Wood from a closing third in the Holy Bull on Feb. 5. In March, he spiked a temperature and was scratched from the Fountain of Youth.
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           QUOTES
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           Joel Rosario: “It was a perfect trip. He kept digging in at the end and kept coming. It was a good race. I tried to save ground, and it looked like the track was good inside, so I tried to stay there for as long as I could. He was handling everything well. I just rode him the way he came out and saw how he handled it and hopefully he comes with a finish. He was just galloping out and reaching out. Turning for home, we just had something left. He took off on his own. He’s a very nice horse.”
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           Todd Pletcher: "I thought he ran a great race. It didn't really unfold the way we thought it would. When Steve's horse (Morello) didn't get away well, I was worried the fractions were a little soft, but he was able to overcome that and come with a big run. I think he got his last quarter-mile in 23.69 which is pretty impressive. He was resolute. He kept coming and I was thrilled to see him get there."
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           Lead owner Jerry Crawford: “I thought he was on wings.I think the performance he gave today was even better than it looked to the naked eye. I’ve been here all day yesterday and today and not one horse has closed on the dirt in two days, and he came from far back. So, he had to be not just the best today, he had to be much the best to prevail. You never celebrate ahead of time, but I was confident for the last 100 yards at least. I love that we won today, not for me, but for my partners.”
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            THE NEXT DAY:
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           Trainer Pletcher said Mo Donegal would ship to Churchill Downs next week and added, “I thought it was a super effort on his part. We worked out the trip we hoped to with the exception of the hot pace scenario we hoped would develop. Aside from that, everything worked out well. He put in a good, sustained run and a fast final quarter. He found a seam when he needed it. It was a big run from him. We've always felt like the mile and a quarter distance would suit him well. In the Derby, it's important for everyone to work out a trip. A lot of it will be pace dependent and being able to find seams when he needs to. It's important not to get stopped at a bad time.”
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           Donegal Racing seeks its first Derby score after previous attempts with Paddy O’Prado (3rd, 2010), Dullahan (3rd, 2012) and Keen Ice (7th, 2015).
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           April 22, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           50:20 Breezing 49/62
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           IRAD ORTIZ, JR. VIDEO
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           OWNER JERRY CRAWFORD VIDEO
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            April 22 NOTE:
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           Mo Donegal breezed outside of My Prankster, a good 3-year-old sprinter, through composed early fractions of 13 and 26.20. They galloped out five furlongs in 1:02.20. with Irad Ortiz, Jr. up.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, "With Mo Donegal, with the Wood just 13 days ago, we were just looking for an easy half in :50. He had a nice gallop out as well. All the horses got over the track well. The track still had a little moisture in it from yesterday but they all handled it well.”
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           Jockey Ortiz said, "Mo Donegal is a really good horse. He is nice and quiet. He does everything we ask him to do. It looks like he should like the distance. It shouldn’t be a problem with him. With a mile-and-a-quarter for 3-year-olds, he’s the type of style you want for that day.”
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Mo Donegal galloped 1 3/8 miles during the 7:30-7:45 morning training window for Derby and Oaks horses. Trainer Pletcher said, “The forecast looks a little dicey for the weekend. If the forecast looks favorable, I’d work the (Oaks) fillies Friday and the colts Saturday. I am prepared to move up a day or back a day with either of them.”
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher plans to work Mo Donegal Saturday morning but overnight rain Friday is in the forecast. “We are monitoring the weather,” he said.
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           April 29 NOTE:
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           Mike Repole purchased an undisclosed part of Mo Donegal. Donegal Racing president Jerry Crawford said,"With Donegal bringing 300 partners and friends to the Derby and Mike bringing his entourage, Mo will have more support than the New York Mets." Repole campaigned sire Uncle Mo.
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            April 29 NOTE:
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           Irad Ortiz, Jr. will be aboard for Saturday's breeze.
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            April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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            48.60 Breezing 55/130
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Mo Donegal, with Irad Ortiz, Jr. up, breezed inside tough 3-year-old sprinter My Prankster, going four furlongs in 48.60, out five in 101.80.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.60 Breezing 55/130
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           April 30 NOTE:
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            Mo Donegal, with Irad Ortiz, Jr. up, breezed inside tough 3-year-old sprinter My Prankster, going four furlongs in 48.60, out five in 101.80. Internal splits aren't available.
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            Pletcher watched his colts’ drills from the Churchill grandstand and called Mo Donegal’s move “excellent. He was in hand and it was a good controlled work and gallop out. I was very happy with it.”
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           May 1 NOTE:
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            While stablemates Charge It and Pioneer of Medina had walk days following workouts yesterday, Mo Donegal – who also breezed yesterday – was sent to the track Sunday and galloped a mile and a quarter. “He’s very happy,” exercise rider Amelia Green said.
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            POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Todd Pletcher:
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           “I think the new gate (which brings the inside horses farther off the rail) should work to Mo Donegal’s advantage. He’s got some experience in there; he just won the Wood Memorial from the one hole. He’s used to having dirt in his face and I’d hope that Irad (Ortiz Jr.) could save some ground around that first turn and get us in a good spot. He’s one of the few horses in my barn that I think could handle a spot like that."
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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            Mo Donegal had problems early after breaking from post 1 and finished fifth, beaten 3 3/4 lengths, after being in 17th position after the first six furlongs.
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            Todd Pletcher: “Mo Donegal all but lost it at the gate. That’s the second year in a row that’s happened to us, even though that new gate gets them further off the rail. But to his credit, he kept trying to the end."
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            Irad Ortiz Jr.: “I didn’t have the best break out of there. I worked out my trip, and my horse ran great.”
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           PIONEER OF MEDINA (KY)  POST 11  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 25
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $116,000
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           Jockey: TBD
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Sumaya U.S. Stable
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           Breeder: International Equities Holding, Inc.
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Pioneerof the Nile (Empire Maker, Star of Goshen)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Lights of Medina (Eskendereya, Medina Thunder)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-3-6-0-0 (12) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 24. 2019
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           Auction Price(s): RNA $485,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 17. Barn 35.
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           March 26, Louisiana Derby, Fair Grounds, 1 3/16 Mile.
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            Epicenter proved rateable after winning two races at the track in front-running fashion. Drawn in the sixth post position, Epicenter broke alertly but was beaten into the first turn by Zozos and Florenet Geroux, who rolled to the front end in 23.27, 47.35, and 1:11.69 for six furlongs.
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           Epicenter backed off and ran on the rail while Pioneer of Medina, ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, chased Zozos entering the stretch. That's when Rosario angled out Epicenter to daylight and powered past rivals to win by 2 1/2 lengths in 1:54.38. Making his stakes debut and third start overall, Zozos and Pioneer of Medina held off late challengers to earn second and third, separated by two lengths. Pioneer of Medina had been shipped to New Orleans from south Florida for the third time this meet, and to make matters more challenging he threw Gaffalione in the post parade. Rattle N Roll, who was seventh early and thereafter made up no ground on the front pace, edged Galt and Call Me Midnight to run fourth. LeComte winner Call Me Midnight was far back early and flattened out in the stretch after launching his bid around the far turn. Kupuna, Curly Tail and Silent Power rounded out the finish.
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           April 15, 2022 PALM BEACH DOWNS  Fast
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           1.00:41 Breezing 1/8
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           April 24 NOTE:
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            With Morello's defection, Pioneer of Medina can make the Derby field. He has not breezed since April 15, but he's okay. Trainer Pletcher told BloodHorse, "Need to see the breeze tomorrow, but he had a good gallop this morning. Seems to be in good shape. He's a horse that's always trained well. He's improved kind of in each race. You know I think the Fair Grounds form's holding up pretty strongly, and he was competitive in those races. So he needs to move forward again, but, you know we like what we've been seeing."
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           April 25 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           59:80 Breezing 1/8
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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            April 25 NOTE:
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           Classic Causeway is now back in the Derby picture, knocking Pioneer of Medina down to number 21 on the Derby leaderboard. Working during the special training session with maiden winner Macallan, Pioneer of Medina posted eighth of a mile fractions of 12.60, 24.40, 35.60 and 47.80. he galloped out six furlong in 1:12.60, seven in 1:25.40 and a mile in 1:40.20.
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            April 25 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “You can use all the trainer clichés you want. We saw what we wanted to see. It was very good, well executed with a strong finish, and he galloped out well. I’ll talk it over with Mr. (Oussama) Aboughazale and we’ll see how he comes out of the work and make a decision. He got a good breeze over the track, and he has the opportunity to draw in.”
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           April 26 NOTE:
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           When he was asked if there is a
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           defection from the prospective Derby field, would Pioneer of Medina be a go? trainer Pletcher said, "We're thinking about it." Whether that was said tongue-in-cheek is anyone's guess.
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Pioneer of Medina galloped 1 3/8 miles during the 7:30-7:45 morning training window for Derby and Oaks horses. Trainer Pletcher said, “The forecast looks a little dicey for the weekend. If the forecast looks favorable, I’d work the (Oaks) fillies Friday and the colts Saturday. I am prepared to move up a day or back a day with either of them.”
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Trainer Pletcher plans to work Pioneer of Medina Saturday morning but overnight rain Friday is in the forecast. “We are monitoring the weather,” he said.
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            April 29 NOTE:
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           Exercise rider Carlos Perez will be aboard for Saturday's breeze.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           47.40 Breezing 9/130
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           TODD PLETCHER VIDEO
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            April 30 NOTE:
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            Charge It, with Luis Saez up, breezed inside of Pioneer of Medina. Charge It was a little better on the gallop-out. Track clockers caught them in 12.20, 23.60, 35.80 and 47.40, and out five furlongs in 59.60 and six in 112.40. Pioneer of Medina still needs a defection to make the Derby field. During the move, the backside siren activated for a loose horse in a gap. The riders persevered through the gallop-out of this all-important breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “It was a solid move. I got them in :23 and one for the last quarter. I was in touch with them on the radio and we had that scary moment when the siren went off (a workmate of an Oaks horse on the track lost the rider) just as they were at the wire so I alerted them. But I saw they picked up the loose horse right away and I was able to let them know about that, too.”
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            POST POSITION DRAW:
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           Trainer Todd Pletcher: "I’m happy with (his post)."
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Pioneer of Medina finished 19th, beaten 57 lengths, after running mid-pack to the far turn before suddenly retreating.
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           Todd Pletcher: "Pioneer of Medina got hot in the paddock. I didn’t get much of a line on him in the race."
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           Joe Bravo: “He’ll have better days to shine.”
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           RATTLE N ROLL (KY)  (AE) 22  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 20
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $356,500
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           Jockey:
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: Lucky Seven Stable (Michael J. Mackin)
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           Breeder: St. Simon Place
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Connect (Curlin, Bullville Belle)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Jazz Tune (Johannesburg, Rap and Dance)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-4-0-0 (10) 4.00
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           Foal Date: April 12, 2019
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           $55,000 Keeneland November 2019
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           $210,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: On or about April 10. Barn 6
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            March 26, Louisiana Derby, Fair Grounds, 1 3/16 Mile.
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           Rattle N Roll, who was seventh early and thereafter made up no ground on the front pace, edged Galt and Call Me Midnight to run fourth. Epicenter proved rateable after winning two races at the track in front-running fashion. Drawn in the sixth post position, Epicenter broke alertly but was beaten into the first turn by Zozos and Florenet Geroux, who rolled to the front end in 23.27, 47.35, and 1:11.69 for six furlongs.
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           Epicenter backed off and ran on the rail while Pioneer of Medina, ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, chased Zozos entering the stretch. That's when Rosario angled out Epicenter to daylight and powered past rivals to win by 2 1/2 lengths in 1:54.38.
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           April 9, Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, Keeneland, 1 1/8 Mile.
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            Rattle N Roll finished sixth, beaten 10 3/4 lengths after trailing the field of 11 the first half-mile.
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           QUOTES
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           Kenny McPeek: "Brian (Hernandez) said he was getting out a little. The horse has had a little trouble with his mouth on and off so that is something we will take a look at. We will probably have to regroup with him."
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           April 13 NOTE:
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            Next target is probably the Matt Winn Stakes on June 12.
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           April 23 Churchill Downs Fast
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           48.40 Breezing 14/84
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           April 30 Churchill Downs Fast
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           48.80 Breezing 70/133
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           May 1 NOTE:
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            Rattle N Roll will be entered in the Kentucky Derby as an also-eligible.
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            May 2 NOTE:
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           Was scratched.
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           RICH STRIKE (KY)   (AE) 21  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 21
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $74,500
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           Jockey: Sonny Leon
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           Trainer: Eric Reed
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           Owner: RED TR-Racing, LLC (Richard Dawson)
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           Breeder: Calumet Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Keen Ice (Curlin, Medomak)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Gold Strike (CAN) (Smart Strike (CAN), Brassy Gold (CAN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-8-11-0-0 (24) 3.36
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           Foal Date: April 25, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: On or about April 20. Barn 21.
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            April 2, Jeff Ruby Steaks, Turfway Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           Rich Strike, sent off at odds of 26-1, rallied from last under Sonny Leon to get up for third, three-quarters of a length in front of the pacesetting Dowagiac Chief. Tiz the Bomb registered an explosive 2 1/4-length victory favored at 8-5 in the 11-horse field. He was unhurried early away from the gate and settled into a three-wide position in midpack down the backstretch under Brian Hernandez Jr. Dowagiac Chief sprinted to take command and led the charge through lively opening splits of 23.25 and 47.06. It was past the half-mile pole where Tiz the Bomb rallied, and Hernandez was a mere passenger as the colt mowed past horses into the far turn and struck the front at the top of the lane with the six furlongs clocked in 1:11.38. Repelling a challenge from Tawny Port at the eighth pole, Tiz the Bomb cruised to the wire in a hand ride, stopping the timer in 1:48.60.
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           April 16 KEENELAND Fast
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           48.00 Breezing 10106
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           April 27 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           59.60 Breezing 3/9
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            May 6 NOTE:
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           Drew in to the Derby field.
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            May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           After the break from post 20, Sonny Leon immediately took Rich Strike toward the inside where he raced between horses in the run down the backstretch. On the far turn, Rich Strike maintained his inside position and was still 18th entering the turn. At the top of the stretch, Rich Strike was in 15th place but had advanced to within 4 3/4 lengths of a narrow lead held by Epicenter. Nearing the eighth pole, he came off the rail to split a tiring Messier and Crown Pride for clear sailing while still four lengths in arrears. He ran down Epicenter and Zandon in the final 50 yards.
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           Trainer Eric Reed got his first Kentucky Derby win after Rich Strike drew into the race as an also-eligible following the defection of Ethereal Road from the field. Rich Strike had 21 Kentucky Derby points, 20 of them earned by finishing third in the Jeff Ruby Steaks. He wore number 21 in the race and is housed in barn 21 on the backside of Churchill Downs. Rich Strike became the second-longest odds winner of the Kentucky Derby at 80-1 odds.
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           The Derby was the eighth career start for Rich Strike, who had earned $111,299 going into the race. His sole win had come on the dirt in a $30,000 maiden claiming race at Churchill Downs last September while being campaigned by owner-breeder Calumet Farm and trainer Joe Sharp. He was claimed out of that race by the Derby-winning owner, RED Tr-racing. Rich Strike's other two dirt efforts yielded losses by a combined 17 1/2 lengths before he was switched to synthetic track at Turfway Park, where he ran three times, hitting the board twice but losing by a combined 12 lengths.
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           The victory was worth $1,860,000 and increased Rich Strike's overall winnings to $1,971,289 and a record of two wins and three thirds from eight starts.
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           QUOTES
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           Eric Reed: “He passed them all. I’m elated. I’m happy because this horse trained good enough to win. This rider (Sonny Leon) has been on him all along as he learned the process. He taught him to go between horses. He taught me how to train horses (pointing to his father, Herbert). I’m surrounded by the best. I didn’t think I could win necessarily but I knew if he got it, they’d know who he was when the race was over.”
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           Sonny Leon: “You know we had a difficult post but I know the horse. I didn’t know if he could win but I had a good feeling with him. I had to wait until the stretch and that’s what I did. I waited and then the rail opened up. I wasn’t nervous, I was excited. Nobody knows my horse like I know my horse.”
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           SIMPLIFICATION (FL)  POST 13  ML 20-1
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           Derby Points: 74
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $482,150
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           Jockey: Jose Ortiz
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           Trainer: Antonio Sano
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           Owner: Tami Bobo
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           Breeder: France Weiner &amp;amp; Irwin Weiner
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Not This Time (Giant's Causeway, Miss Macy Sue)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Simply Confection (Candy Ride (ARG), Ballado's Halo)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-0-9-0-0 (10) 1.22
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           Foal Date: Feb. 29, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $50,000 Keeneland November 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 30. Barn 41.
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           April 2, Florida Derby, Gulfstream Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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            White Abarrio punched his ticket for Louisville when he laid off a fast early pace, took the lead in the stretch and held off Charge It by 1 3/4 length to win. As the 5-2 second betting choice, he fought off a strong challenge by Todd Pletcher-trained Charge It by 1 3/4 lengths. Simplification, the 2-1 favorite who finished second in the Holy Bull and won the Fountain of Youth, took the lead leaving the backstretch but was unable to withstand the bids by White Abarrio and Charge It, finishing third, a length behind Charge It and 3 /12 lengths ahead of Pappacap, who briefly led running into the far turn. White Abarrio was timed in 1:50.64 to win his fourth race in four starts at Gulfstream.
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           Meanwhile, White Abarrio rated in fifth under Tyler Gaffalione behind pacesetter Classic Causeway around the first turn and into the backstretch. Classic Causeway suddenly dropped back out of contention midway through the backstretch, where Simplistic took a brief lead with Pappacap applying heavy pressure. Simplistic took the lead into the stretch under Jose Ortiz, only to be passed by White Abarrio, who made a three-wide sweep on the turn into the stretch. Charge It saved ground into the stretch before making a determined run, only to fall short under Luis Saez.
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           Antonio Sano: “I’m so happy today. We made the decision to run near the front today, because [Classic Causeway] was speed and [Pappacap] all the time is behind me. Jose and I talked this morning and we said the last three-eighths you move the horse. I’m just so happy with him. He’s very good. It’s very important he ran well, and comes back well
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            THE NEXT DAY:
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           Antonio Sano: “I am so happy with the race because the horse ran well and came back well. The plan was to be up front, but the pressure from Pappacap outside made Jose move the horse before it was time. It was a good field and my horse ran very good. In the Kentucky Derby, I believe he will run great
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           April 15, 2022 GULFSTREAM PARK  Fast
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           1:01.83   Breezing 4/6
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           April 15 NOTE:
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           Simplification is scheduled to work the next two Fridays at Gulfstream before shipping to Churchill Downs April 29. Trainer Sano said of today's workout, “He galloped out six furlongs in 1:15.3, the seven furlongs in 1:27 and the mile in 1:40. Excellent. I’m so happy with my horse. He went very easy and came back well.” Junior Alvarado was aboard for the breeze.
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           April 16 NOTE:
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           Trainer Sano told DRF, “He worked very well. He went very easy, very quiet. It was a different work than the one before the Florida Derby, when he went too speedy. He galloped out very nicely today. Just the way we wanted.” Junior Alvarado was aboard. Sano said he expects Jose Ortiz to have the Derby mount.
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           April 21 NOTE:
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           It's official: Jose Ortiz will ride Simplification in the Derby.
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           April 22 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           59:42 Breezing 4/17
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            April 22 NOTE:
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           Simplification galloped out a mile in 1:37.52 under a near-motionless Junior Alvarado. Trainer Sano said, “I’m so happy. The work was impressive. He did it very handily, very easy. Junior worked the horse.
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           He told me, ‘Your horse wins the Derby.
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           I’m so proud of my horse. I know the race is a strong race, but my horse is working very good. I want to win the race for Gulfstream. One more work (set for five furlongs) next Friday, and then he’ll go to Kentucky. When he’s in Kentucky he won’t work. He’ll only gallop."
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           Over at DRF, Mike Welsch got the horse going six furlongs in 1:11.95 and seven-eighths in 1:24.10 before easing but not pulling up after a mile in 1:37.52 over a track that Welsch said was on the quick side. According to his report, Simplification was pulling up after a mile and a quarter.
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Simplification is scheduled to work Friday at Gulfstream Park.
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           April 29 GULFSTREAM PARK Muddy
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           Distance: Five furlongs
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           1.00:44 Breezing 1/10
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            April 29 NOTE:
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           Simplification went the first three furlongs in 37.00 per info sent to DRF's Mike Welsch, who is here at Churchill Downs. He was out six furlongs in 1.12:80 and a mile in 1.38.60. Another big gallop-out for Simplification. Trainer Sano said,    “I’m very happy with the work. He went very easy and handled everything. The jockey said he was better than last week. It was a really, really good work for the horse. I am 100-percent confident in my horse. I know the race is very strong, but I’m confident in the horse. I think this is a better horse than Gunnevera.”
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Simplification arrived at Churchill Downs early this afternoon following a van ride from Gulfstream Park in South Florida. Trainer Sano is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Sunday afternoon, and Simplification will go to the track Monday morning.
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           May 1 NOTE:
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           Simplification will make his first appearance on the track Monday morning at 7:30. Trainer Antonio Sano is scheduled to arrive in Louisville this afternoon.
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile. Simplification finished fourth, beaten 3 1/2 lengths, after making a long rally from 15th after the first six furlongs.
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           Antonio Sano: “We were pretty far back early but he made a huge run. We’re very proud about the effort.”
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           Jose Ortiz: “When I wanted to run I had room to run. I had a perfect trip.”
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           SMILE HAPPY (KY)  POST 5  ML 20-1
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           Derby Points: 70
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $499,410
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           Jockey: Corey Lanerie
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           Trainer: Kenny McPeek
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           Owner: Lucky Seven Stable (Michael J. Mackin)
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           Breeder: : Moreau Bloodstock Int'l Inc. &amp;amp; White Bloodstock LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Runhappy (Super Saver, Bella Jolie)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Pleasant Smile (Pleasant Tap, Relax and Smile)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-5-2-1 (16) 1.91
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           Foal Date: Feb. 20, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $175,000 Keeneland November 2019, $185,000 Fasig-Tipton Select 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 11. Barn 6.
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           Feb. 19, Risen Star Stakes, Fair Grounds, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           To win, Epicenter just had to run his race a little better, and he did. An easy winner of the Gun Runner Stakes earlier in the Fair Grounds meet, Epicenter set fast fractions only to be beaten a nose in January’s Lecomte Stakes by longshot closer Call Me Midnight. With his front-running style, Epicenter controlled the pace in the Risen Star and won under Joel Rosario.
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           Breaking alertly from the five-hole, Epicenter needed little urging to open up a length on Pioneer of Medina in fractions of 23.79 and 47.97. After a comfortable six furlongs in 1:12.25, Epicenter was able to skip away in the long stretch with a final time of 1:49.03 on a fast track. He cruised under the wire 2-3/4 lengths ahead of the late-running favorite Smile Happy, who had a bit of traffic trouble under Corey Lanerie in his first start off the layoff. Zandon finished a half-length back in third in the 10-horse field after a horrible break from the gate.
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           Pioneer of Medina ran fourth followed by Tawny Port, Slow Down Andy, Trafalgar, Pappacap, Bodock and Russian Tank.
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           Corey Lanerie: (Smile Happy) “About the 3/8ths pole to the 5/16ths I was wanting to get out and start to make my run a little sooner than I was able to. I felt like I was still running the time I got out to the end (finish line), so if I had gotten out when I had wanted to, I would have liked to see the outcome. But he ran fabulous and he has some points now.”
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           April 9, Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, Keeneland, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           On a track rated muddy, Zandon and Flavien Prat roared past favored Smile Happy, ridden by Corey Lanerie, approaching the sixteenth pole and drew off to a 2 1/2-length victory on a cold afternoon. Zandon was timed in 1:50.35. Emmanuel, with Luis Saez aboard, grabbed the lead out of the gate and led through fractions of 24.04 and 48.39 while being tracked by Golden Glider, with Smile Happy in the clear racing third and Zandon far back in the pack.
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           The top three remained unchanged going into the far turn as Zandon was still last while racing between horses. On the turn, Prat began to weave his way through the field, and on the front end Lanerie sent Smile Happy after Emmanuel. At the top of the stretch, Smile Happy brushed with Emmanuel as he surged to the front. Behind him Zandon had clear sailing in his pursuit. Smile Happy maintained the advantage passing the eighth pole but could not hold off Zandon. Emmanuel stayed on for third, beaten 6 1/4 lengths. It was another half-length back to Golden Glider in fourth with Trademark, Rattle N Roll, Ethereal Road, Commandperformance, Blackadder, Volcanic and Fenwick following in that order.
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           Corey Lanerie: “I had a great trip. When I turned for home, I didn’t think anybody could beat him. He went so easy through the half-mile and the fractions were nice. He had his ears up and he was happy. I called on him and he kept going. The other horse was just better than us today.”
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           Kenny McPeek: “I am not disappointed whatsoever. I thought the timing of this race was good. I think the next race will be his best race. He got a little tired at the end. We will see how much water he drinks and how he is. This is a really good horse. This is only his fourth career start. I feel like I could win the Derby or the Preakness with this horse. The only horse I was worried about is the one who won.
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           “That was part of the plan, to ask him early and let him get in position and not be as far back as he was (in his last start.) He is tactical. He can be up close, not necessarily on the lead, but he can be right off the pacesetters.
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           April 13 NOTE:
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           Trainer McPeek told DRF, “The winner was impressive, and I thought he really liked that surface. Our colt was maybe slipping and sliding a little bit in it, but it was a solid race. It was all we needed. We needed points.”
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:40 Breezing 12/70
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           COREY LANERIE VIDEO
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           CO-OWNER MIKE MACKIN VIDEO
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           KEN MCPEEK VIDEO
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           April 23 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb and Smile Happy breezed in company. Smile Happy and Corey Lanerie began the work about one length in front of Brian Hernandez Jr. and Tiz the Bomb. Hernandez and Tiz the Bomb moved to the outside of Smile Happy and finished in tandem at the wire.
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           Trainer McPeek said, “We were just looking for an easy move today and we got that. We’ll probably do the same thing again next week.”
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           April 26 NOTE:
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           Smile Happy and Tiz the Bomb worked together last Saturday, and their final pre-Derby drill is penciled in for this Saturday, when it could rain. Trainer McPeek said,
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           “I don’t worry about things I can’t control,” McPeek said. “I would have no problem working on an off track here.”
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Smile Happy is scheduled to work Saturday.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.00 Breezing 28/130
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           COREY LANERIE and BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb (inside under Brian Hernandez, Jr.) stayed ahead of Smile Happy (outside under Corey Lanerie). Both were timed in 23.80 for a quarter and 48.00 for four furlongs, out five in 1:00.20. Smile Happy caught up with his workmate further out in the gallop-out. Jockey Lanerie said, “In the Blue Grass, that track was tiring. I was disappointed when he let that horse come and get him so easy. But I think he’s doing better than ever. I like our chances. I hope we get a good, clean break, and find a good position going into the first turn. Hopefully I’d like to be no further back than fifth or sixth, and get a good, clean trip. But it’s the Derby, you never know.”
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           It's been a long day. I just noticed while watching the Works Show that Smile Happy, who's been galloping with a shadow roll this week, worked today without the shadow roll.
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Kenny McPeek:
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           “I’m real pleased with both Smile Happy in the five and Tiz the Bomb in the nine. I wanted to be inside Zandon, and that happened. They’ll be fine, in both their spots."
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Smile Happy finished eighth, beaten 10 lengths, after running in mid-pack most of the race.
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           Kenny McPeek: “What a crazy Derby. I’ll have to watch the replay and see how it all unfolded.”
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           Corey Lanerie: “I had a good trip. Broke clean and had a smooth run through the first turn. I was right with Epicenter when we came to the quarter pole. I popped out to try to go around but just didn't have enough horse. He gave out on me a little bit, so just maybe the distance.”
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           SUMMER IS TOMORROW (KY)  POST 4  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $200,000. Career: $267,606
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           Jockey: Mickael Barzalona
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           Trainer: Bhupat Seemar
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           Owner: Michael Hilary Burke &amp;amp; Negar Burke
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           Breeder: Brereton C. Jones
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Summer Front (War Front, Rose of Summer)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Always Tomorrow (Badge of Silver, Glory Dancer (CAN))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index:  3-4-5-2-0 (14) 2.11
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           Foal Date: April 24, 2019
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           Auction Price(s):
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           $25,000 Keeneland November 2019
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           RNA $14,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           $169,743 Arquana Deauville Breeze Up 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 23. Quarantine Barn 2.
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           March 26, UAE Derby, Meydan, About 1 3/16 Mile.
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           Japan connections had a very good day, including this race as Crown Pride ground out a classy victory in the hands of Damian Lane. On a day when being close to the pace was working well, local hope Summer Is Tomorrow made the running and was travelling smoothly as the field entered the homestretch. Out a little wider, however, loomed Crown Pride from off the pace, and the pair separated from the field out for a duel. 
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           At the furlong marker, Summer Is Tomorrow appeared to have the measure of his rival, but his stride shortened and the Crown Pride’s reserve of stamina showed inside the final 100 meters for a victory by 2 3/4 lengths over the pacesetter. Island Falcon closed well to finish third, getting by Beendoog by 3/4 lengths and 1 1/4 length back of the place horse.
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           The winning time was 1:59.76.
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           Order of finish: Crown Pride, Summer Is Tomorrow, Island Falcon, Bendoog, Quality Boone, Reiwa Homare, Kiefer, Sekifu, Azure Coast, Withering, Combustion, Arabian Gazelles, Gilded Age, Irwin, Get Back Goldie, Pinehurst
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           Crown Pride: Tracked leaders, led 150m out, ran on well.
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           Summer is Tomorrow: Soon led, ridden clear 500m out, headed 200m out, ran on
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           Island Falcon: Mid-division, ran on well final 400m, nearest finish
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           Bendoog: Tracked leaders, every chance 500m out, ran on same pace final 400m
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           QUOTES
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           Bhupat Seemar, trainer of runner-up Summer Is Tomorrow: “I'd definitely consider the Kentucky Derby, but I'd have to see if he's nominated or not first of all (he's not). That's the biggest thing. Why not though? There were some good horses behind him, a couple of Grade 1 horses from America, so now that he's had that run, I think we'd have to think about it."
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           The deadline for late nominations as he spoke as in two days.
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           "This horse eats well, trains well, sleeps well – he is the perfect horse to have for any owner or trainer. Maybe we should have gone to the Guineas first, and if he had a little bit of a longer race in him, he would have finished a little closer. The furthest he'd gone before today was seven furlongs, but he'd shown so much natural speed. At least we have a good horse for next year. He's been sprinting before, so pace comes naturally, the only thing was that the track was playing for speed as well, so we thought we might have a little crack at it. Turning for home when he was still travelling, I thought he would pick up a little bit more but without that longer race to condition him, he just gave out.
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           Jockey quote unavailable.
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           April 25 NOTE:
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           Summer is Tomorrow arrived at Churchill Downs two days ago and had his first exercise on the track yesterday. He is scheduled to work Sunday with gate and paddock schooling on the agenda, said Caroline Seemar, whose husband is the trainer Bhupat Seemar. He is scheduled to arrive in Louisville Wednesday.
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           Mickael Barzalona has the Derby mount.
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           Caroline Seemar said, “This is a big eye opener for him. We have a private track at home, and this is like a festival for him.”
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           April 26 NOTE:
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            Summer Is Tomorrow is scheduled to work Sunday.
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           April 28 NOTE:
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            Summer Is Tomorrow is still scheduled to work Sunday. He galloped and had a paddock schooling session under the supervision of trainer Bhupat Seemar, a former Bob Baffert assistant for War Emblem's Derby in 2002. He said, “Do all the homework now and get the prize next Saturday. It has been a long time, but that wasn’t my first Derby. I was here as a spectator for Charismatic (1999).”
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           April 30 NOTE:
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            Trainer Seemar said, “I like what I have seen so here so far. I usually work five days out from a race, and I wanted to keep on the same schedule. It has been a long journey, and it will be 11 days between works. He is putting weight back on, and I wanted to give him an extra day.”
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            May 1 NOTE: 
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           Summer Is Tomrrow is scheduled to breeze a half-mile Monday morning with Caroline Seemar, wife of trainer Seemar, to handle the work. The trainer said after rain turned the track muddy, “I am glad we did not work today. God is looking out for us.”
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           May 2 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           49:20 Breezing 6/21
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           May 2 NOTE:
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            Splits were 13.60 and 25.80, so he finished well. Out five furlongs in 1:02.00.
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            May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Summer Is Tomorrow finished 20th and last, beaten 64 1/2 lengths, after setting a fast early pace.
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           QUOTES
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           Bhupat Seemar: Couldn’t be reached for comment.
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           Mickael Barzalona: “He’s a perfect six- to seven-furlong horse. Today, we got pressure early on and the backstretch and I couldn’t save him as I did in Dubai last time
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           TAIBA (KY)  POST 12  ML 12-1
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $$450,000
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           Jockey: Mike Smith
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           Trainer: Tim Yakteen
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           Owner: Zedan Racing Stables, Inc.
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           Breeder: Bruce C. Ryan
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Gun Runner (Candy Ride (ARG), Quiet Giant)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Needmore Flattery (Flatter, Kiosk)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-2-8-0-0 (12) 2.00
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           Foal Date: April 13, 2019
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           $140,000 Fasig-Tipton October 2020
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           $1,700,000 Fasig-Tipson Florida March 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: May 1. Barn 37.
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           April 9, Grade I Santa Anita Derby, Santa Anita, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           With stable mate Messier in control under John Velazaquez after overtaking pacesetter Forbidden Kingdom, Taiba wheeled three-wide at the top of the lane and assumed command approaching the sixteenth pole to score a scintillating 2 1/4-length victory got the distance in 1:48.67. Mike Smith was aboard the winner.
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           As expected, Forbidden Kingdom and Juan Hernandez went straight to the front, but he was pressed every step of the way by Messier through early fractions of 23.23, 46.66 and 1:10.93. A quarter mile from home, Messier put Forbidden Kingdom away and led at the furlong marker in a time of 1:35.97, but he was no match for the winner late. Forbidden Kingdom faded to finish sixth and last, beaten 14 1/2 lengths. Ridden by Abel Cedillo, Happy Jack was off at 26-1 and paid $4.20 to show.
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           It was Taiba's second career start. A 7 1/2-length winner first-out going six furlongs March 5, Taiba was the third choice in a field of six at 4-1.
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           Mike Smith: “When one comes along like that, he showed he was really good. He didn’t really get away very well. In the first turn, I didn’t want to get in the way. I wasn’t in any hurry. I felt the others would do the dirty work for me and it set up just fine. He showed just how special he is. He belongs with anyone. He just recovers really well. I’m not getting any younger. As I get older, I have felt that something special is going to happen. This just may lead to that. The sky’s the limit.”
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           Tim Yakteen: “You could have poured me out of a shot glass earlier, but these two horses (Taiba, Messier) represented me unbelievably in this race and I’m just absolutely thrilled, floored with the effort that Taiba put forth. That was a sensational race, he’s just a super horse."
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           THE NEXT DAY:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “All my runners from yesterday have come out in excellent shape. Amr (Zedan)was just over the moon. All the credit obviously has to go to him (for running the horse), because in my professional opinion, I advised him to take a different route in Taiba’s next start. But Amr made an educated decision, based on the information that was given him, and it resulted in a big payday. All the credit goes to him on this.”
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           Santa Anita morning line maker Jon White: “To win the nine furlong Santa Anita Derby with only one six furlong race under his belt is without a doubt one of the greatest accomplishments that I have seen at Santa Anita since my first year here as a DRF writer in 1981."
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           April 13 NOTE:
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           Credit Steve Andersen of DRF with this research: Taiba could be the first horse to win the Kentucky Derby in his third start since Leonatus in 1883. No horse has started in the Kentucky Derby with so little experience since China Visit finished sixth in 2000.
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Both horses (Messier and Taiba) are back to the track and look great. I’ll probably work them next Friday and plan on shipping to Churchill the weekend before (either April 30 or May 1).”
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           April 23 NOTE:
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           Taiba will not work this weekend. Trainer Yakteen told DRF, “He took the race well, but it was a hard race, and I want to make sure he’s energetic. He doesn’t need much to be fit. I want to go in on the fresher side. He’ll work Thursday or Friday this coming week. I’ll give him a few stronger gallops.”
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           April 26 VIDEO:
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           Mike Smith
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           April 27 VIDEO:
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           Tim Yakteen
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           April 28, 2022 SANTA ANITA PARK Fast
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           1.12:80 Handily 1/4
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           April 28 NOTE:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “It was very straight forward. He worked three-quarters from the five-eighth pole. It was a typical Taiba work and we accomplished what we wanted. I got him in 1:12.60 and out in 1:26. We’re good.” Drayden Van Dyke was aboard Taiba who worked in company with the 4-year-old American Admiral. Taiba is set to be flown Sunday to Indianapolis, followed by a van ride to Churchill Downs.
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           April 29 NOTE:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “I’ll play it by ear and see what I want to do. It was a perfectly scripted drill for Taiba Thursday and for Messier today. We’re all set; we’re good. I’ll go into Churchill, read the horses and see if I want to do anything there.  But since Taiba’s work was a day before Messier’s, I might breeze him in Kentucky or let him stretch his legs a little bit there. If I want to just gallop into the race, I’ll gallop into the race.”
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Trainer Yakteen said, “Messier just walked the shed today. Taiba had a jog day today, and we had jockey Ryan Curatolo do the honors. He (Tabia) looked great on the track.”
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           May 1 NOTE:
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           Taiba is expected at Churchill Downs this afternoon at about 3:00 ET.
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            POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Tim Yakteen:
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           “They made us wait (said in jest, Messier and Taiba were among the last three horses chosen). But in the end we drew well."
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           May 4 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           38:40 Breezing 4/6
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           I will post a video if it is made available. It can be viewed at the May 4 Works show link on the Home page.
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            May 4 NOTE:
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           Taiba also blew out three furlongs three days before he won the Santa Anita Derby. Taiba has not raced with blinkers, and he will not have an equipment change in the Derby, but he breezed with blinkers today as he did at Santa Anita on April 28.
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Taiba finished 12th, beaten 17 2/3 lengths, after running three or four lengths off a hot early pace in sixth, fifth, seventh and eighth position, for the first mile.
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           Tim Yakteen: Couldn’t be reached for comment.
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           Mike Smith: “He was a little bad with the dirt (being kicked in his face) but it is what it is. He didn’t embarrass himself.”
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           TAWNY PORT (KY)  POST 18  ML 20-1
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           Derby Points: 60
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $351,400
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           Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Peachtree Stable
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           Breeder: WinStar Farm, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Pioneerof the Nile (Empire Maker, Star of Goshen)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Livi Makenzie (Macho Uno, Greta's Joy)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-3-4-0-0 (10) 4.00
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           Foal Date: March 21, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $430,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Arrived prior to Lexington Stakes. Barn 22
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           April 2, Jeff Ruby Steaks, Turfway Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           Tawny Port ran a respectable second. Tiz the Bomb registered an explosive 2 1/4-length victory. Tiz the Bomb, favored at 8-5 in the 11-horse field, was unhurried early away from the gate and settled into a three-wide position in midpack down the backstretch under Brian Hernandez Jr. Dowagiac Chief sprinted to take command and led the charge through lively opening splits of 23.25 and 47.06. It was past the half-mile pole where Tiz the Bomb rallied, and Hernandez was a mere passenger as the colt mowed past horses into the far turn and struck the front at the top of the lane with the six furlongs clocked in 1:11.38. Repelling a challenge from Tawny Port at the eighth pole, Tiz the Bomb cruised to the wire in a hand ride, stopping the timer in 1:48.60. Rich Strike , sent off at odds of 26-1, rallied from last to get up for third, three-quarters of a length in front of the pacesetting Dowagiac Chief.
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           Trainer Cox said Tawny Port is definitely under consideration for the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes.
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           April 13 NOTE:
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           Trainer Cox told DRF he just wants to see how Tawny Port does on the dirt.
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           April 16, Stonestreet Lexington Stakes, Keeneland, 1 1/16 Mile.
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           Tawny Port came from off the pace, never more than 3 3/4 lengths off a pace of 23.85, 48.01 and 1:12.45 set by second finisher Major General, to win by a length in 1:45.24 under Florent Geroux. He finished up the race, the final 5 1/6 mile, in 32.34 on a track rated good.
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           Florent Geroux: “He needed the race. (The Risen Star) was his only start on the dirt, was definitely the key for the Kentucky Derby . It looked like every horse who ran in there all came back and ran some very strong races, so we were hoping to do the same thing. He that today, in a very powerful way at the high end on the dirt. Looks like the distance should be no problem, and I hope the connections will take a swing at it.”
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           Brad Cox: “He responded today. There was a little bit of a question mark with how well he would handle the dirt. He ran well at the Fair Grounds. Florent came back and had positive comments after that race, and I thought, ‘Well, you know, right now, maybe you try to go in the Jeff Ruby Steaks.’ So that’s what we did, and he ran a real respectable race. Then we found ourselves nominated to this race and it worked out today.
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           “We’ll see how he comes out of it. I’d like to congratulate John and Elizabeth Fort (Peachtree Stable). This was John’s idea, to come back in two weeks immediately after the Jeff Ruby. He said, ‘We need to look at this race,’ and I said, ‘Well, I nominated him.’ We watched him and he seemed to have a great energy level and his weight’s great. He’s a good-looking colt – really good-looking. He picked him out.”
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Tawny Port visited the Churchill Downs starting gate and had a 1 1/2-mile gallop at 7:30 a.m. Wednesday.
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           Trainer Cox said Tawny Port will work Saturday.
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Ricardo Santana, Jr. named to ride Tawny Port.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.01:60 Breezing 30/57
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            POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Brad Cox:
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           “I’m happy with all three draws (Cyberknife, Tawyny Port, Zozos). I think with the Derby starting at the head of the stretch, and a quarter of a mile to the first turn, they’ll be able to get into position.”
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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            Tawny Port finished seventh, beaten 4 3/4 lengths and headed by Barber Road, after running in 14th the first six furlongs.
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           Brad Cox: “Tawny Port finished up OK. No doubt that was a really hot pace. No matter how good you look breezing or in the mornings, you have to have the right setup."
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           Ricardo Santana Jr.; “I can’t ask for a better trip. I had a good trip but he got tired. He came back pretty quick from his last race. The extra distance next time could help.”
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           TIZ THE BOMB (KY)  POST 9  ML 30-1
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           Derby Points: 110
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $1,012,610
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           Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: Magdalena Racing, Lessee (Sherri McPeek, et al)
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           Breeder: Spendthrift Farm, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Hit It A Bomb (War Front, Liscanna (IRE))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Tiz the Key (Tiznow, Cabbage Key)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-5-10-2-0 (20) 1.86
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           Foal Date: Feb. 2, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $350,000 Fasig-Tipton Select 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 14. Barn 6.
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           April 2, Jeff Ruby Steaks, Turfway Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           Tiz the Bomb registered an explosive 2 1/4-length victory coming after a poor effort on dirt in the Holy Bull eight weeks prior followed by a win of the Battaglia at Turfway. Last year, he had a failed debut effort on dirt and a maiden win in an off-the-turf dirt race at Ellis Park before being moved to turf, where he was successful in stakes company.
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           Tiz the Bomb, favored at 8-5 in the 11-horse field, was unhurried early away from the gate and settled into a three-wide position in midpack down the backstretch under Brian Hernandez Jr. Dowagiac Chief sprinted to take command and led the charge through lively opening splits of 23.25 and 47.06. It was past the half-mile pole where Tiz the Bomb rallied, and Hernandez was a mere passenger as the colt mowed past horses into the far turn and struck the front at the top of the lane with the six furlongs clocked in 1:11.38. Repelling a challenge from Tawny Port at the eighth pole, Tiz the Bomb cruised to the wire in a hand ride, stopping the timer in 1:48.60. Rich Strike, sent off at odds of 26-1, rallied from last to get up for third, three-quarters of a length in front of the pacesetting Dowagiac Chief.
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           Ken McPeek: "He's really special. He just clicks along. He does his work, he has good energy, eats good, and he's just a real pleasure to be around. It's going to be interesting. He didn't handle the sand in his face in Florida, but of course that's a different surface. From what we do from here on will be interesting; we have a lot of options. I do think he's a better grass horse than he is a dirt horse. There's some time, and we don't have to make a decision right away and when we do, we'll make the best one."
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           Brian Hernandez, Jr.: "He was the best horse today. We were a little wide but I was never really concerned about it because he was traveling like he was the best horse. When I called on him turning for home, he switched leads and went on about his business like we thought he would."
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           April 4 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb confirmed for Kentucky Derby.
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           April 13 NOTE:
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           Trainer McPeek told DRF Tiz the Bomb could have his first workout since the Jeff Ruby on April 16.
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           April 16 CHURCHILL DOWNS  Fast
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           48:40 Breezing 15/74
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           April 16 NOTE:
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           At about 7:30 on a track rated good, Tiz the Bomb breezed with Brian Hernandez Jr. in the irons. The duo clipped an opening quarter-mile in 24.20 and galloped out five furlongs in 1:01.20.
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           April 23 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:20 Breezing 8/70
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           KEN MCPEEK VIDEO
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            April 23 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb and Smile Happy breezed in company. Smile Happy and Corey Lanerie began the work about one length in front of Brian Hernandez Jr. and Tiz the Bomb. Hernandez and Tiz the Bomb moved to the outside of Smile Happy and finished in tandem at the wire.
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           My buddy in Louisville, Mike Overstreet, read today that Tiz the Bomb has won at all of Kentucky's tracks except Churchill Downs: Ellis Park, Keeneland, Kentucky Downs and Turfway Park.
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           Trainer McPeek said, “We were just looking for an easy move today and we got that. We’ll probably do the same thing again next week.”
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           April 26 NOTE:
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            Smile Happy and Tiz the Bomb worked together last Saturday, and their final pre-Derby drill is penciled in for this Saturday, when it could rain. Trainer McPeek said,
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            “I don’t worry about things I can’t control,” McPeek said. “I would have no problem working on an off track here.”
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            April 28 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb is scheduled to work Saturday.Tiz the Bomb
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           48.00 Breezing 28/130
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           BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR and COREY LANERIE VIDEO
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           KENNY McPEEK VIDEO
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           Tiz the Bomb (inside under Brian Hernandez, Jr.) stayed ahead of Smile Happy (outside under Corey Lanerie). Both were timed in 23.80 for a quarter and 48.00 for four furlongs, out five in 1:00.20. Smile Happy caught up with his workmate further out in the gallop-out.
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           Jockey Hernandez said, “I had him at 12s all the way around. Just kind of a maintenance half the Saturday before Derby. Just one of those deals that he did his half and galloped out just like we wanted him to. Now it’s all about getting to the Derby in good order. Last week, I was on Tiz the Bomb, and we broke off about a half-length behind Smile Happy. Today we were supposed to swap places, but when we got to the pole, Smile Happy was a little further back than we thought he would be. So I went on and worked my horse like I thought he needed to be worked. It wasn’t quite the work that Kenny was looking for, but it looked like both horses got what they needed out of it. Once you’re in the process of working, you don’t want to stop and make it perfect. Sometimes you’ve got to call an audible and unfortunately that’s what we had to do today. The biggest thing is you don’t want to overdo it -- and blow your race in the morning.”
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           Trainer McPeek said, “It’s like the coach who calls the play, and everybody is supposed to do this and that, but that’s not what we called. Corey said he was worried about Brian’s horse getting a little keen in front of him. He was afraid they were going to go too fast. We wanted a 12s workout, and I think that’s how it played out. I wanted them to go 12s, kind of side by side, and not totally engage. I think they ended up going that, to 48. But no, that’s not the play I called. It happens. Brian’s horse is doing exceptionally well, and Corey was worried they were going to go too fast, because I was adamant that I didn’t want them to go too fast. They didn’t need to go down there in :46.
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Kenny McPeek:
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            “I’m real pleased with both Smile Happy in the five and Tiz the Bomb in the nine. I wanted to be inside Zandon, and that happened. They’ll be fine, in both their spots."
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            May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           Tiz the Bomb finished ninth, beaten 12 1/2 lengths, after running in 16th place to the top of the stretch.
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           QUOTES
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           Kenny McPeek: “What a crazy Derby. I’ll have to watch the replay and see how it all unfolded.”
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           Brian Hernandez Jr.: “We didn’t get away from the gate as cleanly as we would like. We ended up a little further back. He ran a pretty good trip, he grinded it out and picked up half the field late.”
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           WHITE ABARRIO (KY)  POST 15  ML 10-1
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           Derby Points: 112
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $769,650
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           Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
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           Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
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           Owner: C2 Racing Stable LLC (Clint Cornett) and La Milagrosa Stable, LLC (Antonio Pagnano)
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           Breeder: Spendthrift Farm, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Race Day (Tapit, Rebalite)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Catching Diamonds (Into Mischief, Grand Breeze)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-5-5-0-0 (12) 3.80
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           Foal Date: March 18, 2019
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           $7,500 OBS Winter 2020
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           $40,000 OBS March 2021
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: May 2. Barn 10.
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           April 2, Florida Derby, Gulfstream Park, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           White Abarrio punched his ticket for Louisville when he laid off a fast early pace, took the lead in the stretch and held off Charge It by 1 3/4 length to win. As the 5-2 second betting choice, he fought off a strong challenge by Todd Pletcher-trained Charge It by 1 3/4 lengths. Simplification, the 2-1 favorite who finished second in the Holy Bull and won the Fountain of Youth, took the lead leaving the backstretch but was unable to withstand the bids by White Abarrio and Charge It, finishing third, a length behind Charge It and 3 /12 lengths ahead of Pappacap, who briefly led running into the far turn. White Abarrio was timed in 1:50.64 to win his fourth race in four starts at Gulfstream.
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           Meanwhile, White Abarrio rated in fifth under Tyler Gaffalione behind pacesetter Classic Causeway around the first turn and into the backstretch. Classic Causeway suddenly dropped back out of contention midway through the backstretch, where Simplistic took a brief lead with Pappacap applying heavy pressure. Simplistic took the lead into the stretch under Jose Ortiz, only to be passed by White Abarrio, who made a three-wide sweep on the turn into the stretch. Charge It saved ground into the stretch before making a determined run, only to fall short under Luis Saez.
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           White Abarrio went into the Florida Derby under less-than-ideal conditions, having spiked a fever early last week that caused him to miss a scheduled workout the previous Sunday. He breezed three furlongs on Tuesday.
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           Saffie Joseph Jr.: “That’s what good horses do, quality horses. They’re able to overcome trainer errors and when things (don't) go right. This time was different. We didn’t give up fitness. Last time we gave up fitness. Once he comes out good and all being well, we’re going to go to Churchill and keep dreaming. It means the world to me. The Florida Derby is up there with the Kentucky Derby because we’re based at Gulfstream. I’m just thankful and blessed that we have this opportunity. It’s amazing.”
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           Tyler Gaffalione: "Saffie and I talked before the race. We wanted to be aggressive out of there and get a good position going forward. There was quite a few guys keen on getting position, as well, so we had to take back and drop in a little bit and save some ground, but my horse was traveling well throughout. Coming out of this race, what he showed us today, I definitely gained more confidence in him. We’ll see how he comes back and hopefully all goes well leading into it. I don’t see distance being a problem. This horse, he has so much talent. He just keeps finding more and more. I don’t think we’ve gotten to the bottom of him yet. I don’t even know what to say right now. I feel like I’m on cloud nine. I’m just so thankful and I feel so blessed. This is all my childhood dreams come true. To win the Florida Derby, growing up down here, it’s just so amazing.”
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           THE NEXT DAY:
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           Saffie Joseph, Jr.: “Physically, he’s not an overly big horse. He’s filled out and he’s grown a bit. He’s a changed horse. He’s changed from November to now, and he’s showing it on the track. That’s what you want. You want to be improving at this time of year. I feel he’s making forward progressions. He was further back than we envisioned and to see him be able to sit back that far off the pace and make his move, it gives you a lot of confidence, because you know he can run close to the pace and now sit back and be as effective."
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           April 17 GULFSTREAM PARK  Fast
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           34:55 Breezing 1/41
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           April 17 NOTE:
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           With Junior Alvarado filling in for Tyler Gaffalione, White Abarrio began his work at the three-eighths marker and posted an 11.34 opening split on the watch of DRF's Mike Welsch. He was out four furlongs in 47.48 and five in 1:00.52. Trainer Joseph said, “That was super. I wanted a decent three-eighths with an extended gallop out, and that’s what we got.”
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           Joseph told a track publicist, “The way he worked today gives me a lot of confidence – the way he came back and the way he worked first work back – knowing we have three weeks to go. I think we’re in a good position. Three weeks is long time, but I like where we’re at. Visually, it was as impressive as his time. Sometimes he can work quick and not look as impressive, but today, it was an easy work in a quick time."
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           Alvarado said, “When you work those nice horses, they will fool you. They will go fast when you definitely don’t think you’re going that fast. He was just skipping over the ground. It was like he wasn’t even touching the ground. That was really nothing for him. When he got back to the barn, he wasn’t blowing like he was tired or anything at all.”
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           April 22 NOTE:
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           White Abarrio is scheduled to breeze three furlongs at Gulfstream Park April 24. He is slated to have his final pre-Derby workout at Gulfstream May 1 before shipping to Kentucky.
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           April 24 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           1.00:04 Breezing 5/13
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           April 24 NOTE:
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           White Abarrio breezed in company, passing workmate Stormy Pattern (1:01.04) nearing the wire. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.58.
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           Trainer Joseph said, “It went good. I got him in 59 and 4. They got him in a minute. He worked with that horse before the Florida Derby, two weeks out. We kept everything the same, the same workmate, a similar pattern two weeks out. That time he ran a 1:02. This time he ran a little faster than a minute. Last time he galloped out in 1:13. This time he galloped out in 1:12. You just try to keep an even keel. It’s a long way to go in horse racing terms – 13 days. You just want to get through everything and ship up there fine and go into the race the best we can.”
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           Joseph has trained one Kentucky Derby starter, Ny Traffic, who finished eighth in the September edition of the 2020 Run for the Roses.
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           April 26 VIDEO:
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           Trainer Joseph
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           April 29 NOTE:
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           White Abarrio is set to work Saturday at Gulfstream Park.
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Trainer Joseph said, “There was no rain at Palm Meadows, but Gulfstream Park got hit with a lot (today). It’s his last work before the Derby, an easy half-mile work. It looks like the weather is improving, but it takes just one shower to make a track bad.” The colt works Saturday after the 10th race.
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           April 30 GULFSTREAM PARK Fast
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           48:28 Breezing 1/
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            April 30 NOTE:
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           White Abarrio breezed solo under exercise rider Vicente Gudiel after breaking off from a lead pony at the 3/8 pole, ran down the lane with his ears laid back, and engaged in an energetic gallop-out. Initial fractions were reported to be 12.60 and 24.20, and a track spokesperson said he galloped out six furlongs in 1:12.38 and seven in 1:25.15. Trainer Joseph told BloodHorse, "We weren't looking for overly too much. We had him in :47 4/5 but it was what he did after. I think that's the strongest he's galloped out since I've had him. He worked as good as we wanted him to work."
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           May 1 NOTE:
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           The van carrying White Abarrio to Louisville was left South Florida late this morning.
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr.:
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           “Everything’s good so far, we like our post. We’re very thankful for where we drew. It’s a good spot, most definitely, now he just has to break well and run his race.”
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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           White Abarrio finished 16th, beaten 20 lengths, after running mid-pack into the stretch.
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           Saffie Joseph Jr.: “He made it out in one piece. It’s hard but that’s racing. An 80-1 shot winning, unbelievable. Congrats to them."
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           ”Tyler Gaffalione: “He jumped great. Then the first sixteenth we got squeezed back and then he was fighting the kickback and I got caught wide both turns. He made a good run just kinda got tired out
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           ZANDON (KY)  POST 10  ML 3-1
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           Derby Points: 114
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $663,500
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           Jockey: Flavien Prat
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           Trainer: Chad C. Brown
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           Owner: Jeff Drown
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           Breeder: Brereton C. Jones
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Upstart (Flatter Party Silks)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Memories Prevail (Creative Cause, Incarnate Memories)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-9-0-0 (14) 2.11
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           Foal Date: March 21, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): $170,000 Keeneland September 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 24. Barn 25.
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           Feb. 19, Risen Star Stakes, Fair Grounds, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           To win, Epicenter just had to run his race a little better, and he did. An easy winner of the Gun Runner Stakes earlier in the Fair Grounds meet, Epicenter set fast fractions only to be beaten a nose in January’s Lecomte Stakes by longshot closer Call Me Midnight. With his front-running style, Epicenter controlled the pace in the Risen Star and won under Joel Rosario.
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           Breaking alertly from the five-hole, Epicenter needed little urging to open up a length on Pioneer of Medina in fractions of 23.79 and 47.97. After a comfortable six furlongs in 1:12.25, Epicenter was able to skip away in the long stretch with a final time of 1:49.03 on a fast track. He cruised under the wire 2-3/4 lengths ahead of the late-running favorite Smile Happy, who had a bit of traffic trouble in his first start off the layoff. Zandon finished a half-length back in third in the 10-horse field after a horrible break from the gate.
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           Pioneer of Medina ran fourth followed by Tawny Port, Slow Down Andy, Trafalgar, Pappacap, Bodock and Russian Tank.
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           Chad Brown: “He leapt at the start so it was disappointing he was so far back. He lost all chance to win. I’m proud of the horse’s effort that he was still able to get a minor piece. The points can help us down the road.”
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           April 9, Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, Keeneland, 1 1/8 Mile.
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           On a track rated muddy, Zandon and Flavien Prat roared past favored Smile Happy, ridden by Corey Lanerie, approaching the sixteenth pole and drew off to a 2 1/2-length victory on a cold afternoon. Zandon was timed in 1:50.35. Emmanuel, with Luis Saez aboard, grabbed the lead out of the gate and led through fractions of 24.04 and 48.39 while being tracked by Golden Glider, with Smile Happy in the clear racing third and Zandon far back in the pack.
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           The top three remained unchanged going into the far turn as Zandon was still last while racing between horses. On the turn, Prat began to weave his way through the field, and on the front end Lanerie sent Smile Happy after Emmanuel. At the top of the stretch, Smile Happy brushed with Emmanuel as he surged to the front. Behind him Zandon had clear sailing in his pursuit. Smile Happy maintained the advantage passing the eighth pole but could not hold off Zandon. Emmanuel stayed on for third, beaten 6 1/4 lengths. It was another half-length back to Golden Glider in fourth with Trademark, Rattle N Roll, Ethereal Road, Commandperformance, Blackadder, Volcanic and Fenwick following in that order.
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           Flavien Prat: “He broke just OK. Then I got myself covered up so I was there with nothing I could do about it. The pace was a bit slow, so I was wandering down the backside. But I was traveling super – it was just a matter of finding a gap and getting a clean run down the lane. It’s going to be a bigger field (in the Derby), but it was already a good field today. It’s just a matter of getting a clean break and getting yourself into position. That’s always key.”
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           Assistant trainer Baldo Hernandez: “After his last race (third in the Risen Star), he is improving a lot. He’s a really nice colt and he’s been handling the track really well. Every morning he is training better and better. Flavien is a nice jockey and gave him a nice race and I think he is a really nice horse to go to the Kentucky Derby.”
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           Owner Jeff Drown: “I’m working on (catching my breath), working on it. What a great race. What a fantastic performance. You gotta trust the rider. The trainer had him ready – Chad did a fantastic job. Flavien rode him perfect. It just felt good.”
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           April 13 NOTE:
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           Zandon will stay at Keeneland for at least two weeks after the Blue Grass before being shipped to Churchill Downs. Trainer Brown told DRF such a schedule worked well for Good Magic and Practical Joke.
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           April 23 KEENELAND Fast
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           48:60 Breezing 24/91
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           CHAD BROWN VIDEO
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            April 23 NOTE:
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           Exercise rider Kriss Bon handled the move as Zandon completed eighth-mile fractions of 12.80, 25.20 and 37.00. He galloped out five furlongs in 1:00.80, six furlongs in 1:13.80 and seven-eighths of a mile in 1:27.60. Trainer Chad Brown reported Zandon will ship to Churchill Downs the next day.
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           Trainer Brown said, “He was moving super; just what we wanted to see. We just wanted to maintain where he is. He does not have to get any fitter. I was impressed with how he galloped out. He has had a small number of races,but those races were very meaningful. We quite liked him by the time he debuted. I was surprised he won sprinting. When he won, he really picked my head up. I thought he had way above average potential. Then he showed a lot in the Remsen going 1 1/8 miles. He has a lot of good experience in a small number of races.”
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           April 24 NOTE:
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           Zandon is scheduled to have his final Kentucky Derby work at Churchill Downs on Saturday, April 30. He was vanned to Churchill Downs from Keeneland today.
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           April 25 NOTE:
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           Zandon made his first appearance on the track at Churchill Downs Monday at 9:40 while the track was quiet.
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           Trainer Brown said of Saturday's workout, “It looked like he was galloping through the lane. It was a super move. I really just wanted to stretch his legs and evaluate how he’s moving and maintaining where he’s at.”
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           April 26 NOTE:
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            Trainer Brown was trackside this morning. Zandon is likely to work Saturday.
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            Zandon galloped about 1 1/2 miles at 7:30 a.m. Trainer Brown said, “I’m really excited the way he’s taken to the surroundings here at Churchill. We’ll likely keep him on the Saturday work pattern."
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           April 28 NOTE:
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            Zandon is slated to have his final Derby work Saturday.
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           April 29 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.00:40 Breezing 7/43
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           April 29 NOTE:
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            Zandon's splits were 12.80, 25.00 and 36.80, and he was out six furlongs in 1:12.80 and seven in 1:26.40. First furlong: 12.80; second furlong: 12:20; third furlong: 11.80. Final two furlongs: 23.60. First furlong out: 12.40; second furlong out: 13.60. Trainer Brown said,   “I just didn’t want to take any chances with the weather forecast, even though it looks better for tomorrow. The track is in fabulous shape. You’re not going to get a better track to train over than we got this morning. With horses at this level heading into the Derby, very few of them work poorly. It’s the best of the crop running in the Derby. You just hope that you can be in that group of good workers and not in that small one that may not work well.”
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           May 1 NOTE:
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            Zandon returned to the track today.
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           POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Chad Brown:
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           “Perfect. We’re ready to go.”
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           May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile
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           . Zandon, shut off at the start and shuffled back to 13th as the field passed under the wire the first time, was gallant in defeat. He and Flavien Prat advanced to ninth at the top of the backstretch, got to the rail around the far turn and swung out into the stretch to get a bead on Epicenter, coming up another three-quarters length short. Zandon was sent off as the third choice at 6-1 odds and paid $5.60 to show.
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           Chad Brown: “We really had a great trip. Epicenter was in front of us closer to the pace and Flavien really just followed Joel (Rosario) all the way. Turning for home he was in a great position and was really battling with Epicenter. (Rich Strike) just snuck up our inside and we were third best.”
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           Joel Rosario: “Everything was perfect. We thought we were home. Too bad that horse got us right at the end. I thought Epicenter ran a tremendous race. He did everything. He responded when I asked him. We ran too good to get beat.”
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           ZOZOS (KY)  POST 19  ML 20-1
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $200,000. Career: $291,200
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           Jockey: Manny Franco
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           Trainer: Brad Cox
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           Owner: Barry and Joni Butzow
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           Breeder: Barry Butzow &amp;amp; Joni Butzow
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Munnings (Speightstown, La Comete)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Papa's Forest (Forestry, Dixie Sue)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-4-4-0-0 (10) 4.00
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           Foal Date: March 18, 2019
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: March 29. Barn 22, Stall 39.
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           March 26, Louisiana Derby, Fair Grounds, 1 3/16 Mile.
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           Epicenter proved rateable after winning two races at the track in front-running fashion. Drawn in the sixth post position, Epicenter broke alertly but was beaten into the first turn by Zozos and Florenet Geroux, who rolled to the front end in 23.27, 47.35, and 1:11.69 for six furlongs.
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           Epicenter backed off and ran on the rail while Pioneer of Medina, ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, chased Zozos entering the stretch. That's when Rosario angled out Epicenter to daylight and powered past rivals to win by 2 1/2 lengths in 1:54.38. Making his stakes debut and third start overall, Zozos and Pioneer of Medina held off late challengers to earn second and third, separated by two lengths. Pioneer of Medina had been shipped to New Orleans from south Florida for the third time this meet, and to make matters more challenging he threw Gaffalione in the post parade. Rattle N Roll, who was seventh early and thereafter made up no ground on the front pace, edged Galt and Call Me Midnight to run fourth. LeComte winner Call Me Midnight was far back early and flattened out in the stretch after launching his bid around the far turn. Kupuna, Curly Tail and Silent Power rounded out the finish.
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           Florent Geroux: “No shame in that effort at all. That was only his third start, and he ran very well. He was digging in late to hold off the challengers. That’s what you like to see.”
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           Brad Cox: “We let him run away from there, establish position. We didn't necessarily think we had to have the lead or anything. I was happy with the layout of the race, maybe a touch quick, but these good horses, that's what they do. He stayed on well down the lane. Once he got him back up off the rail when he was passed, he stayed on pretty well, it didn't indicate to me that distance was the issue just maybe lack of experience, seasoning and foundation--he got a lot of all of that today. And if we choose to go to the Kentucky Derby, he’ll get a lot out of this to propel him forward, and thats what he’ll need to take that path.”
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           APRIL 10 NOTE:
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           Zozos is set to work at Churchill Downs next weekend.
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           April 15 CHURCHILL DOWNS
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           1:00.60   Breezing 15/60
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           April 16 NOTE:
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           On April 15 Zozos worked in company at 5:30 with Turnerloose. With jockey Florent Geroux in the saddle, Zozos started about one length behind his stablemate and worked through early fractions of 24 and 48.40. The duo began their five-furlong move at the half-mile pole and Zozos finished even with Turnerloose at the seven-furlong marker. Zozos galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60.
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           Jockey Geroux said, “He’s a really smart horse. He’s starting to come into his own, and it was a really nice work this morning. I settled back of (Turnerloose) and he finished up nicely with her. Both horses worked well.”
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           April 22, 2022 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.12:40 Breezing 1/4
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            April 22 NOTE:
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           Zozos breezed with Florent Geroux in the saddle outside of stablemate Fulsome through fractions of 24 and 48.40. The duo galloped out around the clubhouse through seven furlongs in 1:25.20.
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           Trainer Cox said, “It was another really strong move. He galloped out really well around the turn and is really doing well over this track. He’s a quick horse as he showed in the Louisiana Derby but he settles into his works nicely.”
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           April 26 NOTE:
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           Zozos will be ridden by Manny Franco in the Derby. He's scheduled to work Friday.
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           April 27 NOTE:
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           Zozos visited the Churchill Downs starting gate and had a 1 1/2-mile gallop at 7:30 a.m. Wednesday.
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           Trainer Cox said Zozos will work Saturday.
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           April 30 CHURCHILL DOWNS Fast
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           1.11:40 Breezing 2/4
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           BRAD COX VIDEO
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           April 30 NOTE:
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           Cyberknife and Zozos worked in company, with Cyberknife breaking off a length behind and finishing on even terms. The move began at the 5/8 pole and ended at the 7/8 pole (midway through the clubhouse turn). Track clockers probably have the splits, but they aren't available yet. I will update if they become available. The pair were pulled up around mid-stretch.
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            POST POSITION DRAW: Trainer Brad Cox:
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           “I’m happy with all three draws (Cyberknife, Tawyny Port, Zozos). I think with the Derby starting at the head of the stretch, and a quarter of a mile to the first turn, they’ll be able to get into position.”
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            May 7, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, 1 1/4 Mile.
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            Zozos finished 10th, beaten 15 3/4 lengths, after sitting a couple of lengths behind a fast early pace for the first mile.
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           Brad Cox: “Zozos was too close to the hot pace. No doubt that was a really hot pace. No matter how good you look breezing or in the mornings, you have to have the right setup."
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           Manny Franco: “The pace was hot. I was right where I wanted to be. The other horses were better than him today.”
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      <pubDate>Sat, 26 Mar 2022 18:20:06 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby 148 Wrap</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-148-wrap</link>
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           Kentucky Derby 148 Wrap
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           By Dick Downey
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           May 16, 2022
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           Epicenter lost his bid to become the first Kentucky Derby winner bred near my home in Bowling Green, Ky. Ironic, at least to me, is that the upset winner was bred by Brad Kelley's Calumet Farm --because Brad was born and raised 20 miles from Bowling Green in Simpson County where I was born and grew up. It's a small world, but it's an even smaller state.
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           Rich Strike's most recent dirt Beyer was a 64. He was given a 101 in the Derby. His pre-Derby last-race Beyer was a career-best 84 running on synthetic in the Jeff Ruby Steaks.
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           Brisnet gave Rich Strike a Derby figure of 102. He had earned a 95 Bris figure in the Ruby. His best pre-Derby dirt figure was an 85 when he won the $30k claiming race at Churchill Downs last year.
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           Equibase shows an interesting progression of figures lifetime for Rich Strike -- 27(T)-77(D)-74(D)-75(D)-88(S)-94(S)-96(S) capped by a 106 in the Derby -- but even if I handicapped using those figures he would not have been attractive to me.
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           "Time reveals all," was carved into the old clock tower at The Curragh. I told a friend soon after the Derby if Rich Strike goes on to the Preakness and runs well, his Derby win will be verified. That's not going to happen, though. But time will reveal all.
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           All that said, if you pressed the All button on top, I am more than happy for you for hitting some exotics. I benefitted from the upset by cashing future wagers on All Others in Pool 1 and Pool 4, but my exotic wagers did not include Rich Strike.
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           My top choice Zandon got a great trip according to trainer Brown and jockey Prat. What I saw was a horse that got shuffled back early and overcame a lot, while finding some good openings along the way, to almost win the race. Epicenter was totally game holding Zandon off by three parts of a length.
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           I can't get a grip on the performance of Crown Pride (JPN). His handlers spent weeks training him to be patient, and he had shown the ability to rate in past performances -- then he ran off in the Derby. Maybe he was overtrained, maybe connections should have used an American jockey, or maybe just he lost his mind in all the pageantry.
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            I don't know about you, but I couldn't shake the "Baffert" feeling with Messier and Taiba. I'm not saying Baffert was training them. He couldn't legally do that. Turns out they were not at all formidable and ruined many a ticket.
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            After picking the winner of the Kentucky Derby right on top for six straight years (2014-2019), which I never thought I could do, since then my top pick ran second once (Tiz the Law in 2020), and third twice (Hot Rod Charlie in 2021 and Zandon in 2022).
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           A Personal Note
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           This was the 20th Kentucky Derby for The Downey Profile, which I launched when I was 51. Now I'm 71 and beginning to wonder if it's time to call it a day. I've had so much fun and met so many people, and there are many loyal subscribers who have been nothing but kind to me all these years. It might be best to quit while I'm ahead. But it's hard to think about giving it up.
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           Influencing my thinking is a health scare from mid-2020 when I was diagnosed with stage 3 prostate cancer. There is nothing like being told you have cancer in the middle of a pandemic; but surgery, radiation therapy and hormone therapy have led to a happy ending. Today my doc told me I am cancer free, subject to having my blood tested once a year.
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           Thank you for your support, and good luck in the Preakness. I am leaning toward Early Voting and wondering whether Epicenter can get it done on short rest.
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      <pubDate>Fri, 07 May 2021 20:59:23 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby 147 Wrap</title>
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           Kentucky Derby 147 Wrap
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            By Dick Downey
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            Thank you again for your support of my work. This Derby was a real challenge, and I missed a winner.
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            One reason I found it difficult to ever deep-down believe in this horse was that he cost only $1,000 the first time he went to auction. How could so many knowledgeable people overlook him?
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            This year, the Kentucky Derby winner was neither in The Downey Profile Top 4 nor a Profile Buster for the first time since 2009, when Mine That Bird won the Derby at 50-1 odds. Full disclosure, Orb was a Profile Buster in 2013, but he was tied three others. So it's fair to say Medina Spirit was only the second Derby winner in the last 13 runnings that didn't totally fit one of our models. Medina Spirit was ranked 10th in The Downey Profile, and he had only three Profile Buster points while Known Agenda led with six.
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            The winner didn't fare well in speed figures, either. Among six different measures of speed in 3-year-old stakes races going nine furlongs or more, he ranked in the Top 4 in only one, and that was Brisnet's E1-E2 early pace figures (first four furlongs of Santa Anita Derby in 46.31).
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               --He was not close to being among the best figures in late pace (finished Santa Anita Derby in a dawdling 38.98).
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               --He was tied for the seventh-best Beyer figure (94) and was tied for the fifth-best Brisnet figure (98).
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               --In the DRF combined speed-track variant category, he was 13th (96).
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               --I didn't write down his Equibase rank, but it was definitely not Top 4. Equibase gave him a 97 for the Santa Anita Derby.
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            In the Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit ran a 102 Beyer and a 110 Equibase figure. I'm waiting to hear from Brisnet, and I don't have the other speed measures today.
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            I wrote of Medina Spirit on the subscription page,
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           "
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           Whether or not you like Bob Baffert, give him credit for saying what he thinks Derby week. If he has a horse he thinks can win the Derby, he says it's great to be at Churchill Downs with a horse that has a good chance to win. If he doesn't, he says things like, 'this is a top 10 horse, not a top five horse' which is what he's saying now.
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           Still, Medina Spirit is a fighter with good early speed. I am informed he was not 100 percent for the Santa Anita Derby, and that he is 100 percent now. If that assessment is accurate, he could take this field deep into the stretch. I'm not on the Win wagon with Medina Spirit, but plenty of tired horses will be unable to get by him in the stretch if he runs his race. He's a fighter that runs with his head low, and he tries hard every time.
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           There is a question about the distance. Rock Your World was in his own zip code in the Santa Anita Derby gallop-out. Medina Spirit was not visible on TV during the gallop-out.
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           Mandaloun didn't rank well in the Profile or as a Profile Buster either, but he did rank well when gauging his speed figures from the Risen Star. There was a question whether Mandaloun would run to his training at Churchill Downs, which was phenomenal. He sure did, in spades, at 26-1 odds. Mandaloun was one of two horses I picked as "longshots I like best." Besos, who finished fifth at 41-1 odds, was the other one. I wrote that I would make a $20 saver win bet on Mandaloun, and I did, but.... Guess I should have bet him to place.
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           Hot Rod Charlie and Essential Quality were Downey Profile Top 4 horses, and I picked them first and second. They ran third and fourth, finishing only a length behind the winner. Rock Your World was in the Top 4, but he was done when he found himself behind several horses early in the race, which I wrote (a) could hurt him but (b) I didn't think would happen. Super Stock was in the Top 4, but I dismissed him as being too slow.
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           Jockey Prat waited longer than I expected to make his move with Hot Rod Charlie, but regardless of that, Hot Rod Charlie was only a half-length behind Medina Spirit at the top of the stretch and just couldn't get by the top two. Essential Quality bumped repeatedly with Rock Your World at the start and was five wide on both turns, seriously compromising his chances before finishing only a head behind Hot Rod Charlie.
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           In the final analysis, and not to take anything away from the brilliant John Velazquez, it appears the main thing Medina Spirit had going for him was that he was in Bob Baffert's barn. I don't know how he does it, but Baffert has turned into the Nick Saban of horse racing.
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           Hope to see you next year, and thank you again.
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           DICK'S PICKS were
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           1. HOT ROD CHARLIE (third at 5-1)
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           2. ESSENTIAL QUALITY (fourth at 5-2)
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           3. ROCK YOUR WORLD (seventeenth at 9-2)
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           KING FURY -SCRATCHED
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           4. KNOWN AGENDA (ninth at 9-1))
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           5. MEDINA SPIRIT (first at 12-1)
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           6. HIGHLY MOTIVATED (tenth at 10-1)
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           HARD TO LEAVE OUT
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           MIDNIGHT BOURBON (sixth at 13-1)
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           LONGSHOTS I LIKE MOST (in post position order)
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           MANDALOUN (second at 26-1)
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           O BESOS (fifth at 41-1)
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           The Commish accurately predicted that early pace would make the race and wrote, "Medina Spirit is the last man standing for trainer Bob Baffert, and we know all too well he knows how to bring them in ready to rumble every time. Bob recently said in an interview that he likes to bring a top 5 horse to the dance, and this guy is more of a top 10. Not the confidence I like to see by any means. Nevertheless, he is a real trier and did run two good seconds to Rock Your World and Life is Good. It speaks volumes to his ability to run with these. Tough to dismiss underneath." He had Medina Spirit seventh in the order of his selections.
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           Selections by The Commish were
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           1. HIGHLY MOTIVATED (tenth at 10-1)
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           2. ROCK YOUR WORLD (seventeenth at 9-2)
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           3. ESSENTIAL QUALITY (fourth at 5-2)
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           4. HOT ROD CHARLIE (third at 5-1)
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           5. MIDNIGHT BOURBON (sixth at 13-1)
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           6. O BESOS (fifth at 41-1)
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      <pubDate>Mon, 03 May 2021 16:55:11 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
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      <title>Derby Day Wagering Up From 2020, Down From 2019</title>
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           Derby Day Wagering Up From 2020; Down From 2019
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           By Dick Downey
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           Wagering from all-sources on the Kentucky Derby Day program totaled $233.0 million up 85% compared to the 2020 Kentucky Derby Day program held during a pandemic, but down from $250.9 million in pre-pandemic 2019.
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           All-sources wagering on the Kentucky Derby was $155.4 million, up 96% from last year’s Derby, but down from $165.5 million in 2019. The win-place-show pool for Saturday's Derby was $69,432,825, an increase over 2019 when the pool was $65,676,107.
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            All-sources handle for Opening Night, Saturday, April 24, through Derby Day, Saturday, May 1, was $314.6 million, up 79% from last year. TwinSpires recorded preliminary record handle of $62.7 million on Churchill Downs races for the Kentucky Derby Day program, and preliminary record handle on the Kentucky Derby race alone of $40.8 million. Comparable figures from 2019 are not available.
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      <pubDate>Sun, 02 May 2021 14:45:26 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
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      <title>Medina Spirit Takes Them All The Way</title>
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      <pubDate>Sat, 01 May 2021 21:47:56 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
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           Kentucky Derby 147: Early Pace Makes The Race
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           By Greg “The Commish” Johnson
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           Updated 3:14 p.m. ET (King Fury scratch)
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           Great to be back on this the first Saturday in May. Looks like Churchill Downs will also be welcoming back a beautiful day, with a dry, fast track for the Run for the Roses.
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           My angle this year is pretty straightforward. The top flight of early speed may very well be the ones to kick it in when the going gets going late. So away we go with laying it all out there as I have in the past. Pretenders, Contenders, “The Sixth Man,” and The Top 5, with their post positions.
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           THE PRETENDERS
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            LIKE THE KING (2)
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           rallied late to take the Jeff Ruby Steaks at Turfway Park. Great ride by jockey Drayden Van Dyke overcoming significant trouble on the turn. He retains the mount for this dance, but his speed figures are far below many of these and exits a race against horses I do not see as in the same league with these, so let’s move on.
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           BROOKLYN STRONG (3)
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            was pretty high on many lists late last year after taking the Remsen, where he bettered Known Agenda that day. His return to the races was off the board in the scary slow Wood Memorial. Surprised to see him here, after connections were pretty adamant about bringing this gelding around slowly, but Derby fever being what it is, he became the last to make it in. Tab for later on if he comes out of this in one piece.
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           KEEPMEINMIND (4)
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            is a sentimental favorite here at TDP, but his two races this year are far below par. To his credit, he did flash a brilliant workout last week, and did win the Kentucky Jockey Club, both events coming over this surface at CD. Since I am not favoring stone cold closers in this fray, I will have to pass with my money.
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           SAINTHOOD (5)
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            is a lightly raced son of Mshawish, who ran along well in the Jeff Ruby Steaks to get second and stamp his ticket to the Derby. Not crazy about that prep race that produced speed figures that will not compete against these, so as with Like the King, I think they will be crowning someone else after the race.
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           DYNAMIC ONE (11)
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            is one of two Todd Pletcher ponies that got into this race from the Wood Memorial, when he finished a bad-beat second. Connections forked out $725K for him at the Keeneland September Sale, and to this point he has a long way to go to recoup that. Clearly on the improve despite taking four races to break his maiden, so a tab for later on may be in order as he enters the deeper waters.
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           HELIUM (12)
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            is a perfect three-for-three, with an impressive win in the Tampa Bay Derby in his first start of the year. Patiently handled by trainer Mark Casse, who chose to bring in a fresh horse, and give him the acid test in the biggest race in our land. Even though his speed figures do not compete with these, he looks to have a bright future, and I will keep an eye on him into the big summer races as he matures.
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           HIDDEN STASH (13)
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            faded in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at a distance an eighth of a mile shorter than the Derby. His top Beyer Speed Figures are about 15 lengths or more away from the speedsters in this fray, and with that I will have to toss.
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           SUPER STOCK (18)
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           , the Arkansas Derby winner, is 30-1 on the morning line. Didn’t he beat Concert Tour? Concert Tour was a top three Derby contender before that race easy. Hmm. You cannot knock that effort, he is clearly improving as he races up the class ladder, and connections are very high on him. Not crazy at all about his post position, having little speed and surrounded by it on both sides. So as I am taking a pass on closers, he ends up here on this analysis.
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           SOUP AND SANDWICH (19)
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            is a horse I really like, and bet him in the Florida Derby, where a good second place landed him here. I think his fate has been chosen drawing post 19. He needs to step on it early, so he does not get an ugly wide trip around that dreaded clubhouse turn. Training well at Churchill, he is one of the toughest to toss, as it just seems he has got a lot to overcome to be a contender.
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           BOURBONIC (20)
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            shocked the world by taking the Wood Memorial in a pedestrian time. He will be far back early, and frankly looks to be a bigger shocker than Mine That Bird, so proceed with caution.
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           THE CONTENDERS
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           KNOWN AGENDA (1)
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            drew the dreaded rail. It seems like a long time since a true contender ended up there. Trainer Todd Pletcher was not too happy, but he did point out the gate for this race being shifted over allows more room to get away straight and forward. Note also, Known Agenda did have a nice ground saving trip winning the Florida Derby. He may have to be used early more than he would like from down there, and he is still the most likely to get banged around. On the improve, but for now I am going to take a stance against and perhaps wait for the Belmont.
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            MANDALOUN (7)
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           threw in a clunker in the Louisiana Derby after taking the Risen Star in his previous effort at Fair Grounds with a 98 Beyer Speed Figure. He sports enough early speed to get good position early. This son of Into Mischief been very highly touted all year and has been training like a monster over this surface since April 10. You will get great odds on him and I cannot fault anyone that uses him up and down and all around.
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            KING FURY (16)
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           quietly stepped up into the spotlight with a good-looking win in the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland on April 10, with a 96 Beyer Speed figure. Note this guy ran in nothing but stakes races immediately after breaking his maiden at first asking and is the only horse in the race with two wins over this surface. This son of Curlin had one of the more impressive workouts last week and galloped out strong. I think this guy will be closer up early then you might think, as he was in both his wins here. This $950K yearling purchase looks to have a big shot on Saturday.
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           MEDINA SPIRIT (8)
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            is the last man standing for trainer Bob Baffert, and we know all too well he knows how to bring them in ready to rumble every time. Bob recently said in an interview that he likes to bring a top 5 horse to the dance, and this guy is more of a top 10. Not the confidence I like to see by any means. Nevertheless, he is a real trier and did run two good seconds to Rock Your World and Life is Good. It speaks volumes to his ability to run with these. Tough to dismiss underneath.
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           THE SIXTH MAN
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           (Yeah, he is the guy that better not bust up my everything coming from the clouds and draining a bunch of three pointers late in the game to mess up my exotics.)
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            O BESOS (6)
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           may very well be the most consistently improving horse of the bunch this year. Love to see a pony raising his Beyer Speed figures (77, 83. 88 and 96) in four consecutive races this year as he moves up in class. He is training well at Churchill Downs and is unequivocally exactly the kind of runner that busts my “speed rules” concept if the big dogs up front get tired at the top of the stretch.
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           THE TOP 5
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            5 MIDNIGHT BOURBON (10)
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           is a very consistent sort who has shown up big time in all his derby preps this year, including a wire-to-wire win in the LeComte at Fairgrounds on Jan. 16. He has posted 93, 96, and 96 Beyer Speed figures consecutively in his prep races this year, all on or very near the front end. This feisty son of Tiznow has been training well at Churchill Downs, but apparently is not crazy about bath time. We will not hold that against him. Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith gladly takes the reins, and that guy is one of the best around on the front end. An improvement off that good second place finish in behind Hot Rod Charlie in the Louisiana Derby puts him in the hunt all the way around the track.
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            4 HOT ROD CHARLIE (9)
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           has proved time and time again that his brilliant performance in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile behind Essential Quality was no fluke, despite going off at 94-1. The Derby will be his third start this year, after a front-running win in the Louisiana Derby, boasting a 99 Beyer Speed Figure. The only knock I would have on the son of Oxbow would be red-hot Joel Rosario deciding to ride Rock Your World. I have always said it is very rare that a guy of this caliber chooses wrong, but that was a tough decision any way you squeeze it. Another who should be right in the thick of things from start to finish.
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           3 ESSENTIAL QUALITY (14)
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            brings his completely unblemished five-for-five record into the one everyone surrounding him has obviously been waiting for. The fastest winning times of the bunch at a mile and a sixteen and a mile and an eighth. to date. He can tango with them from the get-go or sit right off the speed and wave adios as he is accustomed to. This time of year, it seems there is always going to be a wise guy or two that questions a son of Tapti to get this classic distance. Working and training well, time to stop the talk and open the gates. An obvious win contender.
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            2 ROCK YOUR WORLD (15)
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           did just that in his first try on the dirt, the Santa Anita Derby, and walloped them gate to wire. I immediately noticed his gallop out was effortless and strong. Plenty left in the tank. Then to hear trainer Bob Baffert say the exact same thing and how impressed he was. Just a friendly endorsement from a guy who knows a thing or two about what it takes to win this race. I am good with the post positions for my top three, with this guy taking the lead as they hit the clubhouse turn, my winner below right behind and then this guy keeping an eye on things from a comfortable placement down the backstretch to immortality. If there is a guy on the rise, a “now” horse, and a pony that can take this gate to wire, he’s your man. One of my right-on-tops.
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           (A quick shout out to my wife Shelley, who way back on January 18 put this guy in her Kentucky Derby Fantasy Challenge Stable, and Super Stock, too. I thought she was mad. Where did she find these horses? Never question wifey; she can really pick em’.)
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           1 HIGHLY MOTIVATED (17)
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            set a track record at Keeneland during his two-year-old campaign so we have known for a while he is plenty fast. The first start of the year, he got away poorly on a slow track but finished up well. Just stretching the legs and getting the ball rolling. Straight to Keeneland with this guy to try two turns for the first time, and Essential Quality. Lots of confidence from connections of a Derby hopeful with not enough points to get in.
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            He took the lead and stayed around well to the end against the champ, running the fastest time of any of these in his first mile and an eighth, two turn race. Watching the replay, it really did not look like jockey Javier Castellano was really all out pushing him, just letting him glide over that track he loves in high-speed cruise control. I usually do not get all excited about pre-race interviews, but something about the calm confidence displayed by Chad Brown, and having no question about the distance, sold me. I think he may taking a little money, so 8-1 or less would confirm others are thinking the same thing I am. All systems go go go.
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            Superstitions or folklore always run rampant for when the Roses are up for grabs. My personal favorite this year comes from the Churchill Downs Media Center, which posted a sampling of winners since 1930 from all the post positions. Post 17 said “0 wins.” I love it. Reminds me of the baseball announcer that says, “this pitcher has never allowed a ninth inning home run.” And what happens next?
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            All together now. BOOM!
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           PICKS FROM THE COMMISH
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           HIGHLY MOTIVATED
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           ROCK YOUR WORLD
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           ESSENTIAL QUALITY
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           HOT ROD CHARLIE
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           KING FURY
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           The 6th Man – O BESOS
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           I will play a $5 Oaks/Derby Doubles using Travel Column and Pass The Champagne with my Top 3 above.
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           Here’s wishing you all a fabulous weekend of racing under the Twin Spires, and as usual, may the horse be with you!
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      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Apr 2021 14:16:43 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Downey Selections</title>
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           Dick's Picks for Kentucky Derby 147
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted April 30, 2021 at 8:48 a.m. ET
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           Revised at 4:15 p.m. ET with revised possible exotic bets
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           I'll start by saying that being at Churchill Downs and in Louisville is a lot more fun this year than it was for Derby 146, a gloomy affair held four months too late. By the time last year's Kentucky Derby rolled around, I think some of us had Derby Fatigue. I know I did. Being back on schedule is like watching a sunrise. Hope is on the horizon.
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           The last two years have been tough. Between the disqualification and the pandemic, I think some fans have called it quits, and I wonder if it will take a while for the Derby to return to its glory. The 1994 baseball strike hurt the game, but it was temporary for a lot of fans because the passage of time is a great healer.
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           Two perhaps imponderable things will affect the 2021 Kentucky Derby. It's Lasix-free for the first time since I can remember, and the field will run in front of a large crowd for the first time.
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           Let's look at the crowd size first. Lots of the prep races were run with no spectators permitted at all. The Blue Grass had a big crowd on the track apron, but not all that many in the grandstand. I think the Arkansas Derby had about 16,000 fans. Doug O'Neill commented recently about 40,000 are expected for the Kentucky Derby.
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           I doubt the crowd factor is going to affect things, for one primary reason. Every year, horses run points races in front of crowds that are far smaller than a typical Derby day crowd. It will be like that this year, too, just scaled back on both fronts.
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           One thing we might not have is the "wall of sound" at the moment of truth, when heads turn for home after the opening mile, but there will be much more cheering, ruckus and commotion than ever before in the runners' careers, and that's the way it always is. Further, you can count on the crowd condensed around the Derby paddock being as -- loud? intimidating? party-mode? all of the above? -- as ever.
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           As for a Lasix-free event, who knows. None of these horses have run a points race with Lasix, so they are playing on a level field in that respect. I can't help but wonder if the low speed figures for some of them are connected to the absence of Lasix. Whatever, I am not inclined to allow speculation about this subject to influence my handicapping. It is simply impossible to predict which, if any, of these horses will suffer exercise-induced pulmonary hemorrhaging.
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           With that happy thought, let's get on with the fun task of figuring this race out. We'll examine the field in order of post position.
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           1. KNOWN AGENDA (KY) (Irad Ortiz, Todd Pletcher) 6-1.
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             Known Agenda leads the Profile Buster Profile, and he is fifth in The Downey Profile rankings, but unfortunately he drew post 1.
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           The new starting gate, used for the first time in the 2020 Derby, is positioned so that the occupant of post 1 no longer has to take a slight right to get outside the inner rail. Known Agenda, a homebred son of Curlin, is a tough horse that runs with his head low, but he's not a big horse. The rush for horses to get position going into the first turn is a constant in the Derby. Horses down on the inside can get caught up in the squeeze, ruining their chance to win.
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           Known Agenda possesses the highest Equibase figure in the field, a 112 for his stirring Florida Derby victory, but he didn't even crack the top 4 Beyer or Brisnet figures awarded for the prep races going nine furlongs or more.
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           He ran 12-second furlongs the Florida Derby, hitting the mark at four of the five calls, and he finished the final 3/8 mile in well under 38 seconds, and this was on a track that wasn't hard as a rock -- the track variant was 12. He ran the fourth quarter-mile faster than any of the preceding quarters, which shows an ability to traverse turns, and that comes in really handy at Churchill Downs, knowm for its fairly tight turns.
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           Known Agenda's gallop-out after winning the Florida Derby was good, but not knock-out. He, Soup and Sandwich and Greatest Honour galloped out pretty much together, and moderately ahead of the rest of the field.
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           Known Agenda has improved as his races have gotten longer. Since finishing second to Highly Motivated sprinting in his debut, Known Agenda has run nine furlongs three times, and he won each of those races.
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           Known Agenda has been working well at Churchill Downs, but so have a lot of Derby horses. The thing about him, though, is that he is not considered to be an especially good work horse.
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           This colt is a stalker that has improved dramatically with the addition of blinkers. Trainer Pletcher recently said that Known Agenda will be around the back of the second flight early on. That is doable from post 1 -- if he doesn't get bumped around severely. It would surprise me if he wins because he has a disadvantageous post position, but it would not surprise me at all if he runs in the top four finishers.
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           2. LIKE THE KING (KY) (Drayden Van Dyke, Wesley Ward) 50-1.
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             This is trainer Ward's first Kentucky Derby horse. Recently he said it's nice to be part of the Derby with a horse that has a chance. To my mind, this is not a voice of confidence. Like the King was shipped over from Keeneland on Tuesday. I noted in Wednesday's and Thursday's Daily Derby Updates that Ward is not in Louisville.
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           Like the King debuted sprinting on dirt at Belterra Park, finishing second, and since then he's run middling speed figures on turf and synthetic except for one off-the-turf effort on a good track at Keeneland when he was beaten 12 lengths.
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           The son of Palace Malice garnered 100 Derby points by winning the Jeff Ruby Steaks, a race that was, before Churchill Downs purchased Turfway, worth 20 points to the winner.
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           In the Jeff Ruby gallop-out, Like the King led, with Hockey Dad outrunning Sainthood past the wire.
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           It is difficult for me to envision Like the King denting the superfecta, especially given his inner post position.
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           3. BROOKLYN STRONG (NY) (Umberto Rispoli, Daniel Velazquez) 50-1.
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             Brooklyn Strong, winner of the Remsen Stakes last November after being purchased by owner Schwartz for only $5,000, has been behind the 8-ball all year with a lack of conditioning -- trainer Velazquez said he was sick.
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           His first and only start this year resulted in an 82 Beyer and a fifth-place finish in the Wood Memorial, when he was beaten 4 3/4 lengths by Bourbonic. A review of the gallop-out shows Bourbonic showing energy well ahead of the remainder of the field. Crowded Trade (who finished third) and Weyburn (fourth) were alone in the second flight. Dynamic One was reined in shortly after the finish. Brooklyn Strong is not visible.
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           Owner Schwartz is 67 years old and has played the game at lower levels than this. I am told by someone who knows that when Schwartz saw a chance to be in the Kentucky Derby, he viewed it as a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, and he took it. Who can blame him? I hope he has a good time, and I'm sure he will, but I don't see a Cinderella tale in progress here.
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           Anything can happen, as Mine That Bird reminded us in 2009, but it will be without my money if it involves Brooklyn Strong.
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           4. KEEPMEINMIND (KY) (David Cohen, Robertino Diodoro) 50-1.
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             Keepmeinmind, a son of the up-and-coming sire Laoban, is one of four horses listed at 50-1 on the morning line occupying the inside quadrant of the starting gate. This inner post should actually help him.
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           Connections opted to put him right in the race in the Toyota Blue Grass, but after bumping at the start and enduring a wide trip, he had nothing left when the going got going (as the Commish is fond of saying). He wasn't a factor in the gallop-out, either. In the Derby, they're taking off his blinkers and dropping back to make one run. He can save ground from post 4.
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           Keepmeinmind broke his maiden at Churchill Downs in the Kentucky Jockey Club and apparently loves the track. He worked fast at Churchill after running poorly in the Blue Grass, and he has put in strong gallops there as well. 
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           In the Derby, he needs a patient ride like he had in the Kentucky Jockey Club, he needs to show up at the top of the lane unscathed, and he needs to unleash a closing kick. The Kentucky Jockey Club did not produce fast opening fractions, yet Keepmeinmind came from five lengths off the lead to snag the win. I can't see him winning the Kentucky Derby, but he could pick up a piece or two at long odds.
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           5. SAINTHOOD (KY) (Corey Lanerie, Todd Pletcher) 50-1.
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             Sainthood is a game horse, a fact which was evidenced in his maiden-breaker and during one of the most troubled trips I've ever seen in the Jeff Ruby Steaks. Although he finished seocond in the Ruby, I believe he was the best horse that day.
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           However in the Jeff Ruby gallop-out, winner Like the King led, with third finisher Hockey Dad outrunning Sainthood.
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           With Corey Lanerie aboard in the Derby, I'm looking for a rail-hugging trip. Sainthood has shown just-okay early speed, but it's better early speed than the horses to his inside possess. Wherever he winds up the first time past the finish line, Lanerie's challenge will be to hold his position in the first turn.
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           Workouts at Churchill Downs have been in company with Florida Derby winner Known Agenda, and he's not disappointed connections with his efforts.
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           His sire, Mshawish, is not a household name in the world of breeding, but he earned $2,421,351 in his 24-race career.
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           On the down side, although Sainthood has strong ownership, his Beyer from the Ruby is a modest 84, he's a relatively inexpensive horse, he's lightly raced, and he didn't gallop out strongly at Turfway. He will have to step up his game in major proportion to challenge for the win, and he will have to step it up a lot to challenge for fourth. If some of the big boys falter, it's possible -- if he moves forward from the Ruby.
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           6. O BESOS (KY) (Marcelino Pedroza, Greg Foley) 20-1.
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             He ranks terribly in The Downey Profile and in the Profile Busters Profile, but still...Greg Foley has been walking on air. After years and years of training at Churchill Downs, and his best horse perhaps being Champali almost 20 years ago, this trainer from a family of trainers has a live wire going into the Kentukcy Derby.
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           O Besos was sent off in the Louisiana Derby at 28-1 odds and finished third, beaten only two lengths by Hot Rod Charlie and a head by Midnight Bourbon. If you are purely a gambler wanting a price with a shot, here is a prospect.
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           O Besos, whose name comes from his pedigree (a combo of Orb and the Spanish word for kisses), ranks among the four horses (along with Hot Rod Charlie and Midnight Bourbon) with the best DRF combined speed-track variant figure for his effort in the Louisiana Derby. In fact, if we use that measure of speed, and only that measure of speed, the Louisiana Derby was easily the strongest Kentucky Derby prep. Add to that the fact that O Besos ran 12's and finished fastest of everything in the race in well under 38 seconds.
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           On top of that, after the finish line he out-galloped Hot Rod Charlie a bit.
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           His April 13 breeze was killer, and on April 22 he further impressed onlookers with his development and acceleration through the second turn of the work, which started and ended (not counting the gallop-out) in the middle of both turns.
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           Foley makes no bones about it. The plan is to gallop him to the top of the stretch and make one run. Player underneath. If he wins, more power to him.
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            7. MANDALOUN (KY) (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox) 15-1.
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            It's just me, but his name sounds like a classic rock album title. But enough of that. This horse is magnificent in the mornings. He works like a flashy machine. I'm thinking no other horse at Churchill Downs the past 10 days has been better in the mornings than Mandaloun.
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            He is the War of Will of this Kentucky Derby. War of Will won the Risen Star (albeit at 1 1/16 mile in 2019, and Mandaloun won the 1 1/8-mile Risen Star while running 12's and finishing in under 38 seconds. And Like War of Will, he stunk up the Louisiana Derby. War of Will finished ninth, beaten 12 lengths, and Mandaloun finished sixth, beaten 11 3/4 lengths. And, just like War of Will, he has trained up to the Kentucky Derby like a bear.
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            I don't know what to do with him. I personally don't think he can win the Kentucky Derby off such a mediocre effort, but then again there's always the specter of 1995 winner Thunder Gulch, who was awful in the Blue Grass. So what do you do? Play him just in case? I might buy a $20 saver win ticket on him. Otherwise, in my opinion, he's playable underneath but might just as easily finish seventh like War of Will did in the Kentucky Derby.
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            In countless interviews, trainer Cox has said the stable could not find anything wrong with Mandaloun after the Louisiana Derby, and that he had trained well going into that race. Maybe he really likes to train, but racing not as much. We will find out on Saturday.
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           8. MEDINA SPIRIT (FL) (John Velazquez, Bob Baffert) 15-1.
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             Whether or not you like Bob Baffert, give him credit for saying what he thinks Derby week. If he has a horse he thinks can win the Derby, he says it's great to be at Churchill Downs with a horse that has a good chance to win. If he doesn't, he says things like, "this is a top 10 horse, not a top five horse" which is what he's saying now.
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           Still, Medina Spirit is a fighter with good early speed. I am informed he was not 100 percent for the Santa Anita Derby, and that he is 100 percent now. If that assessment is accurate, he could take this field deep into the stretch. I'm not on the Win wagon with Medina Spirit, but plenty of tired horses will be unable to get by him in the stretch if he runs his race. He's a fighter that runs with his head low, and he tries hard every time.
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           There is a question about the distance. Rock Your World was in his own zip code in the Santa Anita Derby gallop-out. Medina Spirit was not visible on TV during the gallop-out.
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            9. HOT ROD CHARLIE ((KY) Flavien Prat, Doug O’Neill) 8-1.
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            He is my pick to win the Kentucky Derby. On the surface, there appear to be some drawbacks, but are they really?
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            First, there's the Joel Rosario issue. Rosario rode Hot Rod Charlie his last two races, but he was also riding Concert Tour, who was 3-5 going into the Arkansas Derby, for trainer Baffert. After Concert Tour stubbed his toe in Hot Springs, Rosario was in a state of limbo for several days as folks waited to see whether Concert Tour, who was shipped to Churchill Downs, would run in the Kentucky Derby. Hot Rod Charlie's camp wanted a commitment to ride in the Derby, but Rosario was in limbo with Concert Tour, and as we learned later, a chance to ride Rock Your World was developing. O'Neill got in touch with Flavien Prat, who was willing to commit, so Prat got the mount.
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            There is some of this and some of that in the story, and I do take it only as a bit of a negative for Hot Rod Charlie because Prat is super-talented and because Rosario has a long-standing relationship with John Sadler, Rock Your World's trainer.
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            Second, Mike Welsch wrote that he didn't like what he saw from Hot Rod Charlie on Tuesday at Churchill Downs. 'Hot Rod' arrived at the track on Sunday, jogged on Monday, and on Tuesday he merely jogged again with Lava Man, thus prompting Welsch to wonder if he was going to have to "wave the red flag." By the way, I admire and like Mike and his talent. But I was trackside that morning, and what I saw was a horse jogging with his neck bowed, a horse that was focused on his business, and the only Derby contender who'd shown me that look.
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            On Wednesday, Hot Rod Charlie was allowed to gallop, and Welsch described the exercise as "a high-spirited gallop that concluded with a seemingly impromptu mini-blowout down the backstretch." With that gallop, concern about the previous day's jog dissipated.
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            Third, there's that Louisiana Derby thing. The race has barely made a dent in the Kentucky Derby over the last 30 years. I can't argue with that.
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            Fourth, after the finish line in the Louisiana Derby, he was out-galloped just a bit by O Besos.
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            But as pointed out above, in at least one respect (based on combined speed-track variant figures) the Louisiana Derby was a strong prep race. Further, the 99 Beyer earned by Hot Rod Charlie is second in the field only to the 100 earned by Rock Your World in the Santa Anita Derby.
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            HRC can't be a Profile Buster because he's a Top 4 horse in The Downey Profile, but over the years I've noticed that Top 4 horses that also get a lot of Profile Buster points do well in the Derby. Known Agenda, who is not a Top 4 horse in the Profile, leads the Profile Busters with six points. Hot Rod Charlie has five.
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            He ran 12's in the Louisiana Derby, which is only 1/16 mile shorter than the Kentucky Derby, and he finished in less than 38 seconds.
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            Last year, 'Hot Rod' was beaten less than a length by the presumptive favorite, Essential Quality, in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. That was his second start with blinkers. Trainer O'Neill has been saying lately that he and Hot Rod Charlie finally got on the same page -- that onnce O'Neill stopped viewing him as the half-brother of chamption sprinter Mitole and added blinkers, he became a two-turn dirt horse.
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            Hot Rod Charlie demonstrated he can ship well when he won in New Orleans after being flown in from southern California, and he appears to have settled in well at Churchill Downs.
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            I was on the backside in 2012 when I'll Have Another arrived from the airport on a van. I was back there with Darren Rogers. Two things happened. I told Darren that I'll Have Another had about the plainest-looking head I'd ever seen on a Derby horse. At the same time, the hands working for trainer O'Neill were high-fiveing and such. I did not have enough sense to believe what I was seeing, which was that they were jubilant about how their horse was doing.
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            When it comes to the Kentucky Derby, it's about more than numbers. The Downey Profile is a numbers-driven creation, but sometimes we can see or sense things. During the post position draw ceremony Tuesday morning, only one table of connections broke into shouts and clapping when their horse got his name called. You know who it was. There's going to be 150 of them by this weekend. During a conference call last week, O'Neill expressed some disappointment that "only" 40,000 people would be at the Derby. This week, he has a sense of calm confidence about him. In short, I see talent and I feel a vibe. I hope I'm right.
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            10. MIDNIGHT BOURBON (KY) (Mike Smith, Steve Asmussen) 20-1.
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            Here is another horse with potential value after finishing second to Hot Rod Charlie in the Louisiana Derby by two lengths. It wasn't long after Life Is Good was injured that Mike Smith signed on to ride this
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            $525,000 son of Tiznow, replacing Joe Talamo. The colt has not been off the board in seven starts. Among his other accomplishments, he ran second at Churchill in the Iroquois last year. He's never raced at less than a mile and has competed at four tracks.
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            Like Hot Rod Charlie and O Besos, he ran 12's and finished in under 38 seconds in the Louisiana Derby. In the Louisiana Derby gallop-out, O Besos out-galloped Hot Rod Charlie by just a bit, followed a few lengths back by Midnight Bourbon.
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            He's been working well at Churchill Downs, and I like it that his final pre-Derby breeze was solo. I think there is some concern he might get anxious in the paddock. Trainer Asmussen and top assistant Scott Blasi walked him around and around and around the paddock yesterday.
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            Aside from his consistency, there's his trainer's opinion. Trackside Wednesday morning, Rosie Napravnik commented that trainer Asmussen personally escorted him onto the track with his pony. He doesn't want to be very far away from him. Contender if he holds it together.
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           11. DYNAMIC ONE (KY) (Jose Ortiz, Todd Pletcher) 20-1.
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             He's a $725,000 son of Union Rags. It took him a while to come around, but in a span of two races Dynamic One broke his maiden and finished second in the Wood Memorial after leading late only to be nailed by stable mate Bourbonic.
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           A review of the gallop-out shows Bourbonic showing energy well ahead of the remainder of the field. Crowded Trade (who finished third) and Weyburn (fourth) were alone in the second flight. Dynamic One was reined in shortly after the finish.
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           Yes, he's been working great at Churchill Downs, but his speed figures indicate he would have to advance by a leap and two bounds to do damage on May 1. Anything can happen, of course. Maybe play underneath in case the Toddster has him that ready.
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            12. HELIUM (KY) (Julien Leparoux, Mark Casse) 50-1.
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            A son of turf star Ironicus that fetched $55,000 at the sale. He's a pretty mover, but I cannot endorse a lightly-raced horse that made it to the Kentucky Derby by winning a 1 1/16-mile race eight weeks before Derby, only to be benched, and I mean immediately benched, until Derby day.
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           13. HIDDEN STASH (KY) (Rafael Bejarano, Vicki Oliver) 50-1.
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             Last year, Hidden Stash ran pretty well twice at Churchill Downs. His Beyer figs have improved some since then, but his Brisnet figures this year are about the same as the figures he got in those races last year. Either way, his figures indicate he would need to improve tremendously since the Blue Grass to make the superfecta.
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            14. ESSENTIAL QUALITY (KY) (Luis Saez, Brad Cox) 2-1.
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            I think this horse can win the Kentucky Derby. I'm a little concerned about the brief gallop-out following his last workout, but not much. I think it was by design. In my opinion, his penultimate breeze was the important one, and it was a good one with a nice gallop-out to upper stretch with Spa City, a 4yo horse that tough-loves the track in the mornings, just not so much in the afternoons.
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            His win record is perfect, from sprinting to routing to fast tracks to a sloppy one. He is athletic, and he has the will to win. What else? Oh yes, he has won after pressing the pace, stalking, and closing from almost 10 lengths back. Pace-dependent he is not.
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            This is a son of Tapit that won his debut. Often, Tapit's progeny must be handled patiently at first and need more time than that to get to the winner's circle. 
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            Besides all that, this horse has a presence about him on the track. He is an alpha horse, the same as I view Hot Rod Charlie.
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            Essential Quality ranks number one in The Downey Profile. With four points in the Profile Busters category, he made a decent showing but is not at the top. He's among the top four horses in four of six different speed figure categories I examined, tied with Highly Motivated.
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            What else can we say that you haven't seen everywhere else. Oh yes, he ran a perfect race in the Blue Grass, hitting 12-second furlongs at every call and finishing in under 38 seconds. He and Highly Motivated are the only two horses the field that can boast those credentials. 
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            In the Blue Grass gallop-out, Highly Motivated was just a touch in front of Essential Quality, followed closely by Rombauer.
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            He may or may not win, but I am confident he cannot be left off tickets.
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           15. ROCK YOUR WORLD (KY) (Joel Rosario, John Sadler) 5-1.
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             Maybe there's not a whole lot to say about a horse with only three starts,but let's see. The $650,000 son of Candy Ride took a path to the Derby similar in some respects to that of Big Brown, who also had only three prior starts. Both of them debuted on turf (Big Brown as a 2-year-old, RYW as a 3-year-old). Big Brown was put on dirt in his second start; Rock Your World did that in his third start. Both of them, when put on dirt, immediately ran big speed figures. Both of them won a major Derby prep race. And both went into the Kentucky Derby undefeated.
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           Big Brown ran two big figures on dirt before the Kentucky Derby. Rock Your World ran one. His Beyer figures jumped from 82 to 100 in the Santa Anita Derby. The difference in his Brisnet and Equibase figs isn't as extreme (91 to 102 Brisnet; 94 to 103 Equibase). So is he a bounce waiting to happen, or is he a horse that just happens to have improved a lot and/or is that much better on dirt?
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           Despite his unusual path to the Kentucky Derby, Rock Your World is in The Downey Profile Top 4. He couldn't be a Profile Buster because he's a Profile horse, but I'll note that he doesn't fare well in the Profile Busters Profile.
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           In the Santa Anita Derby, both Rock Your World and Medina Spirit ran fast early and slow late. As a result, neither ran 12-second furlongs or finished in 38 seconds or less. Yet, as noted in our analysis of his fractional times in Section 4, he employed tactics that have become a model for winning the Kentucky Derby in recent years. See Section 7 for details about those tactics, but basically it involves running other horses off their feet early so that they're too tired to pass when you slow down. In the Santa Anita Derby, Rock Your World sprinted to the lead, then moderated and dictated the pace while others were unable to pass him.
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           Rock Your World was in his own zip code in the Santa Anita Derby gallop-out, and he returned to be unsaddled with his ears pricked.
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           He has high action, which is often seen in turf horses. It's all about the efficiency of stride, but whether he has an efficient stride or not, he's a fast horse.
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           I expect Rock Your World to go for the lead again in the Kentucky Derby. We'll discuss that further below. He's never taken dirt in a race, and he may not on Saturday either.
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            16. KING FURY (KY) (Brian Hernandez, Jr, Ken McPeek) 20-1. SCRATCHED.
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            This $950,000 purchase, the highest price in the field, turned a lot of heads with his breakout win in the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland. At age two, he won the Street Sense at Churchill but flopped in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and the Kentucky Jockey Club. He was turned out after that to just be a horse. Connections' decision was wise, as evidenced by his visually impressive comeback outing in the Lexington.
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            He followed that up with impressive work in Louisville that's caught many an eye.
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            I was at Keeneland with Mike "Cheap Speed" Pearson in 1999 when Charismatic emerged in the Lexington. We discussed how impressive he was. Did we bet him in the Derby? No, we overlooked him at 31-1 odds like almost everyone else.
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            I've already taken a stand elsewhere, but I'll make a saver win bet on him, and for me he's a must-use on the bottom of tickets. I will say further that if he moves forward off his 96 Beyer speed figure in the Lexington (95 Brisnet fig, 103 Equibase fig) in this, his second start off the layoff, he will be right there at the end of the race. He's a son of Curlin, so the distance should not be an issue if he's ready to roll. Contender.
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           17. HIGHLY MOTIVATED (KY) (Javier Castellano, Chad Brown) 10-1.
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             Let's talk about the good stuff first.
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           He has top connections. A son of prominent stallion Into Mischief, owned by Wall Street guru Seth Klarman and trained by Chad Brown.
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           In his first start going two turns, Highly Motivated ran 12-second furlongs at every call of the Blue Grass, and he finished in under 38 seconds. In the Blue Grass gallop-out, Highly Motivated was just a touch in front of Essential Quality, followed closely by Rombauer.
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           He's among the top four horses in four of six different speed figure categories I examined, tied with Essential Quality for the most mentions. He's not ranked in The Downey Profile Top 4 (he's sixth), but Highly Motivated has five Profile Buster points, putting him just one point behind the top Profile Buster, Known Agenda.
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           A bit of doubt crept in the last two weeks. His first workout after the Blue Grass was not all that. After going five furlongs in 1:00.20, Highly Motivated galloped out six in 1:15.60. Trainer Brown said he was enthused anyway, and I commented in the workouts section of the subscription page that we should pay attention to that. It doesn't appear to have been intended as his major Derby work.
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           The next breeze, which occurred last Saturday, was much better. Highly Motivated easily galloped out better than his mate, had his ears pricked at the end, and exercise rider Peter Roman gave him a strong pat on the neck before the colt walked off the track well within himself.
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           This week, DRF's Mike Welsch has been watching Highly Motivated closely and has commented that he did not gallop as well as before on Tuesday, was still not galloping as well as before on Wednesday and "only jogged" Thursday on a sloppy-sealed track. Basically, the concern is that, to Welsch, he looks stiff. 
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           On the other hand, trainer Brown said Wednesday, “I like the way he’s going, I thought he was moving a little better today. He had a strong work and now, the second day back galloping out of the breeze, he’s loosening up again and looks super. I’m really happy with him.” Sometimes it's hard to know whether it's fair to parse another person's words -- often it's not -- but if we are going to be picky, Brown said "he's loosening up again," not "he's loosened up."
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           All things considered, I've been sore from exertion before, and it always passes in a few days. I am inclined to view Highly Motivated favorably.
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           18. SUPER STOCK (KY) (Ricardo Santana Jr., Steve Asmussen) 30-1.
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             The personal story behind the son of Dialed In is wonderful, and I'm happy for all of the connections. Super Stock has looked good on the track at Churchill Downs. The draw reins that were used to control him during training have been off since at least Tuesday. He won the Arkansas Derby and ranks in the Top 4 of The Downey Profile; however, he finished slowly in the Arkansas Derby, just not as slowly as pacesetters Caddo River and Concert Tour, both of whom were subsequently removed from consideration for the Kentucky Derby. In my opinion, Super Stock can't run fast enough to win the Kentucky Derby.
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           19. SOUP AND SANDWICH (FL) (Tyler Gaffalione, Mark Casse) 30-1.
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             He ran big in the Florida Derby and, in my opinion, has been training well at Churchill Downs. With only three prior starts, Soup and Sandwich is inexperienced and obviously still learning, but he's shown energy on the track at Churchill, not wanting to be pulled up from a long gallop-out after his last work.
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           We note that John Velazquez opted to ride Medina Spirit instead of Soup and Sandwich, but that could be a function of Johnny V's connection to the Baffert barn, and let's face it, Medina Spirit is more accomplished than Soup and Sandwich. Jockey Gaffalione can be aggressive and probably will give Soup and Sandwich an aggressive ride. I think the son of formidable stallion Into Mischief is playable underneath.
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           By the way, he's named so well, being bred and owned by Campbell's Soup heiress Charlotte Weber, owner of Live Oak Stud and its racing counterpart Live Oak Plantation.
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           20. BOURBONIC (KY) (Kendrick Carmouche, Todd Pletcher) 30-1.
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             He ran slow speed figures when winning the Wood Memorial, but there are a few things to like. Surprising to me, he's tied for second in the Profile Busters Profile. A review of the Wood Memorial gallop-out shows Bourbonic showing energy well ahead of the remainder of the field. Crowded Trade (who finished third) and Weyburn (fourth) were alone in the second flight. Dynamic One was reined in shortly after the finish. Brooklyn Strong is not visible.
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           However, I cannot endorse him. Dynamic One has been working better than Bourbonic. But the biggest problem is that Bourbonic is going to make one late run, which means he needs to save ground, but he has to make his way to the rail all the way over from post 20.
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           CLOSING THOUGHTS, SELECTIONS AND PLAYS
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           First and foremost,thank you for supporting The Downey Profile, and I hope you enjoy Derby weekend!
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           The weather is forecast to be perfect on Derby day. The track will be fast. How fast is up to the track superintendent. I hope he doesn't give us a hard track producing multiple track records. I am pulling for a fair track.
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           Knowledgeable people here in Louisville say this is a wide open Derby. I believe one of the favorites will win the Derby but that it is not reasonable to think is wide open. We have several horses with very few career starts, and one of those could show marked improvement.
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           I view Medina Spirit (post 8), Rock Your World (post 15) and Soup and Sandwich (post 19) as the most likely pacesetters. Quite frankly, if Medina Spirit breaks well, I expect to see him lead the way. If that happens, I don't think Rock Your World will necessarily be thrown off his game, but he won't be loose on the lead, either, and he could eat dirt for the first time in his career. How he and jockey Rosario handle that, if it happens, is anyone's guess. With his post position in the outer quadrant of the gate, I don't think taking dirt will be an issue.
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           In theory, Mandaloun (post 7), Hot Rod Charlie (post 9) and Midnight Bourbon (post 10) could track Medina Spirit (post 8) to the first turn, while Essential Quality (post 14) and Highly Motivated (post 17) are in good position to track Rock Your World (post 15) or Soup and Sandwich (post 19).
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           Position on the first turn is important. If Medina Spirit and/or Rock Your World run the first quarter-mile in 22 and change, the stalkers could get good trips, i.e., have some room, going into the first bend. But can they afford to allow the frontrunner(s) to get loose? On the other hand, there is a strong case that the pace will not be all that fast. If the first quarter-mile is moderate, the first turn, at least in theory, will be more crowded. Here's where an agile horse and/or a good jockey can make a difference.
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           Given a good trip, I hope that Hot Rod Charlie is no more than two or three wide entering the first turn, begins his challenge to the leader on the backstretch, improves his position in the far turn and hammers down on the lead before the furlong marker.
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           Before we go, let's look at the best margins of victory in two-turn stakes races. The top race horses finish clear of the pack. In post position order: Known Agenda won the Florida Derby by 2 3/4 lengths. Hot Rod Charlie won the Louisiana Derby by two lengths. Essential Quality won the Southwest Stakes by 4 1/4 lengths. Rock Your World won the Pasadena Stakes by 2 1/4 lengths and the Santa Anita Derby by 4 1/4 lengths. King Fury won the Lexington Stakes by 2 3/4 lengths. Super Stock won the Arkansas Derby by 2 1/2 lengths.
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           As a reminder, The Downey Profle Top 4 are, in order of rank, Essential Quality, Super Stock, Rock Your World and Hot Rod Charlie (the latter one being my top selection). The Profile Buster Profile yields Known Agenda as the top Profile Buster horse.
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           DICK'S PICKS
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           1. HOT ROD CHARLIE
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           2. ESSENTIAL QUALITY
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           3. ROCK YOUR WORLD
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           out KING FURY -SCRATCHED
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           4. KNOWN AGENDA
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           5. MEDINA SPIRIT
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           6. HIGHLY MOTIVATED
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           HARD TO LEAVE OUT
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           MIDNIGHT BOURBON
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           LONGSHOTS I LIKE MOST (in post position order)
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           MANDALOUN
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           O BESOS
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           LONGSHOTS WITH A PRAYER (in post position order)
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            KEEPMEINMIND, DYNAMIC ONE, SOUP AND SANDWICH
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            It's a horse race, and anything can happen. Let's make it happen! Thank you again, and good luck.
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            ________________
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            My exacta plays (REVISED)
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            HOT ROD CHARLIE
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED,
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           KING FURY
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            , KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED,
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           KING FURY
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            , KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            HOT ROCK CHARLIE
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            Each play amounts to six bets.
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            ________________
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            Solid trifecta play (REVISED)
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY
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            , ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY
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            , ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY
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            , KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            This play amounts to 60 bets.
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            ________________
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            Alternate trifecta plays (REVISED)
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY (if you like him best and want to single him)
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            with
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            HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY
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            , KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY,
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            KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, O BESOS, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            or
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            HOT ROD CHARLIE (if you want to single him)
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED,
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           KING FURY,
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            KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY,
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            KNOWN AGENDA, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, O BESOS, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            Either play amounts to 36 bets.
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            ________________
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            Gamble on more horses trifecta play (REVISED)
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY,
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            ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE,
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           KING FURY,
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            KNOWN AGENDA, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            DYNAMIC ONE, ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, HOT ROD CHARLIE, KEEPMEINMIND,
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           KING FURY
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            , KNOWN AGENDA, MANDALOUN, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, O BESOS, ROCK YOUR WORLD, SOUP AND SANDWICH
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            This play amounts to 120 bets.
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            ________________
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            My superfecta plays (REVISED)
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            HOT ROD CHARLIE
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY,
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           KING FURY
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            , HIGHLY MOTIVATED, KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY,
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           KING FURY
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            , HIGHLY MOTIVATED, KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            DYNAMIC ONE, ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, KEEPMEINMIND,
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           KING FURY
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            , KNOWN AGENDA, MANDALOUN, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, O BESOS, ROCK YOUR WORLD, SOUP AND SANDWICH
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            This play amounts to 180 bets
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY,
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           KING FURY
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            , HIGHLY MOTIVATED, KNOWN AGENDA, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            HOT ROD CHARLIE
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY,
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           KING FURY
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            , HIGHLY MOTIVATED, KNOWN AGENDA, MEDINA SPIRIT, ROCK YOUR WORLD
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            with
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            DYNAMIC ONE, ESSENTIAL QUALITY, HIGHLY MOTIVATED, KEEPMEINMIND,
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           KING FURY,
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            KNOWN AGENDA, MANDALOUN, MEDINA SPIRIT, MIDNIGHT BOURBON, O BESOS, ROCK YOUR WORLD, SOUP AND SANDWICH
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            This play amounts to 144 bets
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      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Apr 2021 12:48:53 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/downey-selections</guid>
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      <title>Who'll Make It To The Eighth Pole First? Side-By-Side Speed Figures</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/who-ll-make-it-to-the-eighth-pole-first-side-by-side-speed-figures</link>
      <description>Kentucky Derby by the speed numbers presents a side-by-side comparison of important speed figures. The object is to determine which horse will get to the eighth pole first. Those horses usually win the Kentucky Derrby.</description>
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           Derby By The Speed Numbers
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           Who'll Get To The Eighth Pole First?
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           Our Chart Of Side-By-Side Speed Figures
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           By Dick Downey
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           In 62 of the last 66 runnings of the Kentucky Derby, the winner was either on the lead with an eighth of a mile to go in the race, within a length of the lead, or running second although more than a length off the leader. In all, 49 of the last 66 winners, or 74%, were on the lead at the eighth pole
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           In 2020, Authentic was ahead by a length. In 2019, Maximum Security also led by a length with a furlong left - but was disqualified. In 2018, Justify led by 2 1/2 lengths at the all-important eighth pole. In 2017, Always Dreaming led by three lengths at the eighth-pole. In 2016, Nyquist led by 2 1/2 lengths at the eighth pole. In 2015, American Pharoah had poked his head in front at that point of the race. In 2014, California Chrome led by five lengths at the furlong marker. In 2013, Orb was second, 2 1/2 lengths off the lead at the eighth pole. In 2012, I'll Have Another was second, three lengths off the lead with a furlong left. In 2011, Animal Kingdom didn't qualify for this stat, but he was about as close as you can get -- third by by 1 1/2 length at the eighth pole. In 2010, Super Saver was two lengths the best at the furlong marker. Mine That Bird was one length ahead at the eighth pole in 2009. Big Brown, the 2008 Derby winner, was 2 1/2 lengths ahead. In 2007, Street Sense was up by a length, and in 2006, Barbaro was four lengths in front at the eighth pole. The 2005 winner, Giacomo, was an exception to the rule. He was in sixth place at the eighth pole, almost three lengths off the lead held by Closing Argument at that moment.
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           Top 4 Numbers: Nine Furlong Speed Figures Side-By-Side
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           DRF Beyer Speed Fig:
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            Essential Quality (97), Highly Motivated (97), Hot Rod Charlie (99), Mandaloun (98), Rock Your World (100)
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            DRF Combined Speed-Track Variant:
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           Hot Rod Charlie (109), Mandalouon (108), O Besos (107), Midnight Bourbon (107)
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            Essential Quality (102), Highly Motivated (102), Known Agenda (101), Rock Your World (102)
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            Brisnet Combined E1-E2:
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           Midnight Bourbon (210), Medina Spirit (210), Mandaloun (205), Rock Your World (216), Super Stock (205)
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           Brisnet LP:
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            Bourbonic (109), Essential Quality (106), Highly Motivated (105), Known Agenda (112)
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            Known Agenda (112), Essential Quality (109), Highly Motivated (108), Soup and Sandwich (108)
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           NUMBER OF MENTIONS
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           Essential Quality (4)
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           Mandaloun (3)
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           Hot Rod Charlie (2)
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           Beyer Speed Figures, Speed and Track Variant
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           The Beyer Speed Figures, a well-known staple at Daily Racing Form, are complemented by the publication's pure speed rating and track variant figures, explained succinctly as follows.
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           The speed rating is a comparison of a horse's final time with the best time at the distance at that track in the last three years. The best time is given a rating of 100. One point is deducted for each fifth of a second by which a horse fails to equal that time. In Hot Rod Charlie's case, he broke the track record and was given an elevated pure speed figure.
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           To compute the track variant, the speed ratings of all winners in each type of race on a card are added together and an average is computed, which is deducted from 100. The lower the track variant, the faster the track, or the better the overall quality of competition that day, according to Daily Racing Form. Conversely, a higher track variant almost always means a slower track.
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           Brisnet Figures
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           Brisnet has its own method of calculating speed figures. Brisnet also uses pace numbers to evaluate horses' speed in the early and late stages of races, called E1, E2 and LP.
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           E1 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the first call, and E2 is the pace rating of the horse from the start to the second call.
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           LP is the pace rating of the horse from the second call to the finish of the race.
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            Equibase has its own method of calculating speed figures.
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      <pubDate>Wed, 28 Apr 2021 14:27:03 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/who-ll-make-it-to-the-eighth-pole-first-side-by-side-speed-figures</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string">Horse Racing,Kentucky Derby horses,Kentucky Derby Eighth Pole,Rock Your World,Hot Rod Charlie,The Downey Profile,Essential Quality,Kentucky Derby,Kentucky Derby Speed Figures,Known Agenda</g-custom:tags>
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      <title>Essential Quality Tops Kentucky Derby Field Of 20</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/essential-quality-tops-kentucky-derby-field-of-20</link>
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            Essential Quality Leads Kentucky Derby Field Of 20
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           LOUISVILLE, KY (Tuesday, April 27, 2021)  – Godolphin’s undefeated homebred Essential Quality has been installed as the 2-1 morning line favorite in a field of 20 3-year-olds for Saturday’s 147th running of the $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve with $1,860,000 going to the winner.
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           Trained by Louisville native Brad Cox, who never has saddled a Kentucky Derby starter, and to be ridden by Luis Saez, Essential Quality will attempt to become the first reigning juvenile champion since Nyquist in 2016 to win the Run for the Roses that highlights a 14-race program that begins at 10:30 a.m. (all times Eastern).
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           The Kentucky Derby will go as the day’s 12th race with a 6:57 p.m. post time. NBC will provide live coverage from 2:30-7:30 p.m.
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           Essential Quality is perfect in five starts in a career that began on Derby Day 2020 with a 4-length victory in a six-furlong maiden race at Churchill Downs on Sept. 5. Following that victory, Grade I victories followed in the Breeders’ Futurity and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Keeneland to cement the Eclipse Award for the son of Tapit.
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           This year, Essential Quality won the Southwest at Oaklawn Park over a sloppy track and then the Blue Grass Stakes (GII) at Keeneland. Essential Quality will break from post position 14.
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           In addition to Essential Quality, Cox will have one other runner in the starting gate: Juddmonte’s Mandaloun (15-1). Winner of the Risen Star, but an also-ran in the Louisiana Derby, Mandaloun will be ridden by regular pilot Florent Geroux and break from post seven.
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           Second choice on linemaker Mike Battaglia’s morning line at 5-1 is Hronis Racing and David Talla’s undefeated Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Rock Your World.
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           Trained by John Sadler, Rock Your World has won all three of his starts with the first two coming on grass. Joel Rosario, who won the 2013 Kentucky Derby on Orb, has the mount Saturday and will break from post 15.
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           Third choice at 6-1 is St. Elias Stable’s Known Agenda.
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           Winner of the Florida Derby (GI) in his most recent start, Known Agenda is trained by Todd Pletcher who will be seeking his third Kentucky Derby victory. Irad Ortiz Jr. has the mount and will break from post position one.
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           Pletcher will have three other runners in the gate: Calumet Farm’s Bourbonic (30-1), Repole Stable, Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable’s Dynamic One (20-1), the 1-2 finishers in the Wood Memorial (GII), respectively, and WinStar Farm and CHC Inc.’s Sainthood (50-1). Kendrick Carmouche has the mount on Bourbonic and will break from post 20, Jose Ortiz will be aboard Dynamic One and break from post 11, and Corey Lanerie has the mount at Sainthood and exit post five.
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           Trained by two-time Kentucky Derby winner Doug O’Neill, Hot Rod Charlie captured the Louisiana Derby (GII) in his most recent start and closed 2020 with a runner-up finish to Essential Quality in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Flavien Prat, winner of the 2019 Kentucky Derby on Country House, has the mount and will break from post nine.
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           One other trainer will be seeking to add his Kentucky Derby win total and it could be a record-breaker.
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           Bob Baffert is tied with Ben Jones for most Kentucky victories with six and he will shoot for No. 7 with Zedan Racing Stables’ Medina Spirit (15-1).
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           Runner-up in the Santa Anita Derby in his most recent start, Medina Spirit will be ridden by three-time Kentucky Derby winner John Velazquez and break from post eight.
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           Another rider trying to add to his Kentucky Derby victory total is Mike Smith. Smith, a two-time winner including the most recent Triple Crown winner Justify, has the call on Winchell Thoroughbreds’ Midnight Bourbon (20-1) for trainer Steve Asmussen. Runner-up in the Louisiana Derby, Midnight Bourbon will break from post 10.
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           Asmussen will have one other entrant in the race: Arkansas Derby (GI) winner Super Stock (30-1) who is owned by his father Keith Asmussen and Erv Woolsey. Ricardo Santana Jr. has the mount on Super Stock and will break from post 18.
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           The field for the 147th Kentucky Derby, with riders and morning line odds from the rail out, is: Known Agenda (Irad Ortiz Jr., 6-1), Like the King (Drayden Van Dyke, 50-1), Brooklyn Strong (Umberto Rispoli, 50-1), Keepmeinmind (David Cohen, 50-1), Sainthood (Corey Lanerie, 50-1), O Besos (Marcelino Pedroza, 20-1), Mandaloun (Florent Geroux, 15-1), Medina Spirit (John Velazquez, 15-1), Hot Rod Charlie (Flavien Prat, 8-1), Midnight Bourbon (Mike Smith, 20-1), Dynamic One (Jose Ortiz, 20-1), Helium (Julien Leparoux, 50-1), Hidden Stash (Rafael Bejarano, 50-1), Essential Quality (Luis Saez, 2-1), Rock Your World (Joel Rosario, 5-1), King Fury (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1), Highly Motivated (Javier Castellano, 10-1), Super Stock (Ricardo Santana Jr., 30-1), Soup and Sandwich (Tyler Gaffalione, 30-1), Bourbonic (Kendrick Carmouche, 30-1). All starters will carry 126 pounds.
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      <pubDate>Tue, 27 Apr 2021 17:53:03 GMT</pubDate>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/essential-quality-tops-kentucky-derby-field-of-20</guid>
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      <title>Kentucky Derby Post Draw Comments</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-post-draw-comments</link>
      <description>Kentucky Derby post position draw comments</description>
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            KENTUCKY DERBY POST POSITION DRAW COMMENTS
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           KNOWN AGENDA (Post 1, 6-1)  – Trainer Todd Pletcher: “Obviously it’s not what we were hoping for. But, of course, this is one of the things you can’t control. With the new (20-stall) gate, we’re hopeful that things will be better than they were in the past and the post won’t be that bad. He had an inside trip in the Florida Derby and he handled it very professionally.”
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            LIKE THE KING (Post 2, 50-1)  – Trainer Wesley Ward: “He’s a come-from-behind horse so it really doesn’t matter where he draws. If he had gotten the one post that might have been a problem if they started playing bumper cars out there.”
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            BROOKLYN STRONG (Post 3, 50-1)  – Trainer Danny Velazquez: “It’s deep inside but it’s OK. (Owner) Mark (Schwartz) says three is his lucky number and he’s won from there before. Hopefully, he gets a good break and can settle into third or fourth early.”
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            KEEPMEINMIND (Post 4, 50-1)  – Trainer Robertino Diodoro: “I’m very happy with it.”
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            SAINTHOOD (Post 5, 50-1)  – Trainer Todd Pletcher: “We’re happy with the draw.”
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            O BESOS (Post 6, 20-1)  – Trainer Greg Foley: “I don’t think my heart was racing that hard in a long time with one of five horses left and the rail still yet to be drawn. We drew a great spot in the gate.”
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            MANDALOUN (Post 7, 15-1)  – Trainer Brad Cox: “It ended up working out very well drawing post seven. He’s a horse that, like Essential Quality, has a tactical advantage and can put himself where he needs to be.”
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            MEDINA SPIRIT (Post 8, 15-1)  – Racing Manager Gary Young: “It worked out great for us.”
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            HOT ROD CHARLIE (Post 9, 8-1)  – Trainer Doug O’Neill: “We (the trainer and his sizable contingent of owners, including five former college football players who are in their 20s) decided we were going to give it a pump no matter what post we drew. But we’re delighted with the nine. It’s a real good post. And the way they load this field, it means we won’t be standing in the gate very long. They’ll put us in, then one other and we’re gone. We’re really happy with it.”
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            MIDNIGHT BOURBON (Post 10, 20-1)  – Trainer Steve Asmussen: “We did well. It’s the perfect spot.”
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            DYNAMIC ONE (Post 11, 20-1)  – Trainer Todd Pletcher: “We’re happy with the draw.”
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            HELIUM (Post 12, 50-1)  – Assistant trainer David Carroll: “We’re happy that we didn’t get the rail. The draw should suit him perfectly. We didn’t want him getting stuck down inside in general but we really didn’t want the one.”
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            HIDDEN STASH (Post 13, 50-1)  – Trainer Vicki Oliver: “We’re happy with it. We wanted to be somewhere in the middle and that’s exactly where we got.”
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            ESSENTIAL QUALITY (Post 14, 2-1)  – Trainer Brad Cox: “It got a little nerve wracking with both horses still to go and the rail still being out there. I think it’ll be a good spot. He’s got good tactical speed that he’ll be able to get into a good position from there.”
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            ROCK YOUR WORLD (Post 15, 5-1)  – Trainer John Sadler: “It’s a good post and we’re happy with it.”
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            KING FURY (Post 16, 20-1) –  Trainer Kenny McPeek: “I like it. Actually, the 14 and the 15 are horses inside of us that have a little speed. So, we’ll probably follow them right into the first turn. They’re going to go on and we’ll follow them right out. If he breaks well, you just have to get him in rhythm and let him do his thing.”
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            HIGHLY MOTIVATED (Post 17, 10-1) –  Trainer Chad Brown: “I’m OK with it. Certainly when it was late in the process and the one was still out there I would’ve paused and put 17 back on my wish list. Like the Oaks, it’s a little farther outside than we would have liked but there’s a long run into the turn and this horse clearly has a lot of natural speed. Hopefully we’ll be forward enough to come over and get some position into the first turn.”
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            SUPER STOCK (Post 18, 30-1) – Trainer Steve Asmussen: “We did well. It’s the perfect spot.”
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            SOUP AND SANDWICH (Post 19, 30-1)  – Assistant trainer David Carroll: “He has speed and has the entire stretch to get into position. I’d rather be outside than inside.”
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            BOURBONIC (Post 20, 30-1)  – Trainer Todd Pletcher: “We wouldn’t have chosen this post but he will be OK. He’s going to drop back and make one run so it’ll work out.”
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      <pubDate>Tue, 27 Apr 2021 17:07:36 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>thos@oneelevendigital.com (Thomas Conner)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/kentucky-derby-post-draw-comments</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string">Horse Racing,Kentucky Derby horses,The Downey Profile,Essential Quality,Kentucky Derby</g-custom:tags>
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      <title>TDP: Workout NOTES</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/tdp-workout-notes</link>
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           Kentucky Derby Workout NOTES
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           April 22-26, 2021
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           Kentucky Derby Workout NOTES
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           April 9-18, 2021
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           Please note that some videos, mostly from Santa Anita, are linked from xbtv.com. To view them, you may be required to click the Log In link in the upper right corner of that site, then log in or create an account with a username and password (which is what I did) in order to see the videos. You do not have to deposit money in order to create an account.
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           --Dick Downey
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           April 26
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           Brooklyn Strong five in 1:00.80 H (1/2) PRX
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           Midnight Bourbon five in 1:02.40 B (14/15) CD
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            He breezed solo under exercise rider Wilson Fabian with initial splits of 24.40 and 49.60. he galloped out six furlongs in 1:16.20. Strictly a routine maintenance work from the Asmussen barn. Midnight Bourbon was put under stout restraint through the turn and finallly settled into the rhythm that was desired. His ears were pricked in the gallop-out. Nothing flashy, but a good work.
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           April 24
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           Essential Quality five in 1:00.40 B (8/29) CD
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            At Churchill Downs, Essential Quality breezed outside and off the hip of Spa City all the way. He ran through early fractions in 12.80, 24.80, 48.20. That second quarter-mile went in 23.40, and he finished up the work proper in 12.20. He was out six furlongs in a leisurely in 114.60 -- and well out-galloped by Spa City. Trainer Cox said later in the day the reason Spa City is used as a workmate because he's really tough in the mornings (adding that they call him "morning glory" because he his work isn't reflected in the afternoons). Initially I was surprised that Essential Quality was out-galloped, in addition to being pulled up earlier than Spa City. After all, last week they galloped out together to the track kitchen. After giving it more thought, my conclusion is that last week's move was designed to be the major one, while today's breeze was designed for maintenance.
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           Highly Motivated five in 1:00.80 B (11/29) CD
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            Highly Motivated breezed under exercise rider Peter Roman outside Southern District, a maiden with the same owner, pretty much together to the wire. A nice gallop-out followed with Highly Motivated pretty much on his own, ears pricked and a happy horse at the end, followed by a solid pat on his neck. Initial fractions were 25.20 and 36.60. He was out six in 1:14.40, seven in 1:28.40. Trainer Brown said he was pleased that the colt got over the track well. He appeared to be sincere when he said a big part of the work occurred when Highly Motivated came off the track in shut-down mode. This work was all good. Incidentally, Brown said, without naming names, that he'd seen several good workouts by Derby horses.
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           Hot Rod Charlie six in 1:13.60 (2/4) SA
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            Just before the first race at Santa Anita, Hot Rod Charlie worked under Flavien Prat. O'Neill showcased Nyquist the same way at Keeneland before he won the Kentucky Derby. Initial splits were 24.46, 48.94 and 1:00.90. 'Hot Rod' started out two lengths behind workmate Chasing Fame (a maiden claiming winner in his sixth start, timed for five furlongs at 1:01.60) and was set down when he was one length back at the quarter-pole. He assumed command at the top of the stretch. At the wire, Hot Rod Charlie was in front about three lengths with Prat sitting fairly chilly and Chasing Fame's rider pushing him on big time. Chasing Fame's work ended at the wire, while Hot Rod Charlie ended his workout at the seven furlong pole. Chasing Fame had little left for the gallop-out. Santa Anita timer Dane Nelson had Hot Rod Charlie galloping out seven furlongs in 1:27.43. He was pulled up in front of the huge RUNHAPPY letters midway on the far side of the backstretch. Next stop: Churchill Downs the following day. Jockey Prat said he "loved the way he went. He went really easy, and he went a solid three quarters, with a good gallop out." It was a good workout.
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           King Fury five in 1:00.20 B (6/29) CD
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            King Fury worked solo with Brian Hernandez, Jr. on board. They began in 12.80, 25.20, 36.80 and 48.40. Out six furlongs in 112.80, seven in 126.60. This is a good-looking, expensive horse. He was light on his feet walking over and made a good visual impression. He worked with with his head extended and ears pricking back and forth. The gallop-out was well done, too. He can be endorsed off this workout.
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           Like the King 1:01.00 B (9/28) KEE
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           He went under exercise rider Julio Garcia in company with 4-year-old Artie’s Princess, the 2020 Sovereign Award winner as Canada’s champion female sprinter. Like the King started two lengths in back and edged clear at the wire. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:15.40. Trainer Ward said he looked a lot smoother this week than last week, that last week he was "kind of on the bridle." Video unavailable
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           Mandaloun five in 1:00.00 B (4/29) CD
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            At Churchill Downs, Mandaloun breezed with Florent Geroux up. He made up about eight lengths on workmate Joe Frazier, a 3yo Keeneland allowance winner, before they got to the wire. He was timed for five furlongs in 1:00 after splits of 23.20, 35.60 and 47.60. He galloped out six furlongs energetically in 1:12.60 and seven in an eased-down 1:27.20. Jockey Geroux said he has a big stride and was full of himself. Very well done.
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           Rock Your World five in 59.20 H (3/67) SA
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            Rock Your World worked with exercise rider Cerapio Figueroa aboard. He went five furlongs in 59.20, with stablemate Best Chance (1:00.00), a 4yo allowance runner that appears to be improving lately. Fractions are not available. Rock Your World started out a neck behind the workmate, eased ahead in the turn, and was on even terms at the top of the lane. The workmate's rider used his whip in the stretch and Rock Your World strode away to lead by three lengths at the finish line. The gallop-out belonged to Rock Your World, who was not really gearing down all that much early in the backstretch when the video stops. Trainer Sadler he "breezed very well", that it was "kind of a repeat of last week, and that he didn't want to "do too much" because "he’s right where he wants to be.” I believe that trainer Sadler is a matter-of-fact type not prone to hyperbole, and that the work did go well.
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           Super Stock five in 1:01.20 B (16/29) CD
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            At Churchill Downs, Super Stock breezed in a typically Asmussen-barn moderate fashion outside a runner from Derby 146, Max Player (1:01.20). Per track clockers, early fractions were 12.80, 24.60, 36.40. He was out six furlongs in 1:14.60 and seven in 128.00. Super Stock has been galloping with draw reins, something Todd Pletcher used to control Always Dreaming's out-of-control gallop habit before the 2017 Kentucky Derby. Presumably, trainer Asmussen uses them for the same or a similar reason. But Super Stock didn't work with draw reins, and he didn't run off either. He rated just outside Max Player throughout the breeze, and they were together in the gallop-out, which went up toward the top of the backstretch.
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           April 23
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           Bourbonic four in 49.60 B (71/108) CD
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            Initial fractions were 12.80 and 24.40, so the second quarter went in 25.20. Exercise rider Hector Ramos niggled him just a bit in the stretch. He was out five furlongs in 102.40, or 12.80 past the wire. Times are not available for the remaining two furlongs of the gallop-out, which doesn't look bad.
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           Dynamic One four in 47.80 B (2/108) CD
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            At Churchill Downs, Dynamic One breezed under Jose Ortiz with Prime Factor (47.80), a former Derby Trail hopeful with good early speed, to his inside. Initial fractions 24.40, 36.20. Out energetically five in 1:00.60, six in 1:13.20. Dynamic Factor broke off a length back, arrived at the wire alongside his mate (so actually ran 1/5 faster), and was much the better of the two galloping out. It was another good workout by Dynamic One. Trainer Pletcher said, “He finished full of energy with his ears pricked."
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           Helium four in 49.80 B (75/108) CD
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            At Churchill Downs, Helium breezed under Julien Leparoux with Laker Mamba (50.00), a 3yo maiden winner beaten in two allowance races. The move got off to a rocky start, with Laker Mamba rank well befoere what can be seen on the video. Helium's splits were 12.20 and 24.00 and he was out five furlongs in 1:03.00. Helium broke off a length behind, finished a length ahead. The workmate was climbing in the stretch. Helium galloped out alone and was pulled up near the top of the stretch. It was a well-executed maintenance move.
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           Hidden Stash five in 1:00.60 B (6/26) KEE
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           His splits are unavailable, but he galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.80. Exercise rider Darragh Sweeney handled the move.
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           Keepmeinmind four in 46.20 B (1/108) CD
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           Splits 22.80, 34.40. Out five in 59.20. Keepmeinmind, ridden by David Cohen, went in company with Shasta Star. It was a visually impressive, energetic move coming from about 10 lengths behind his mate and blowing past him on the inside in the stretch. Keepmeinmind must've gotten an oil change since he was in Arkansas. It looks like he's enjoying his new environment. Were the initial splits too fast for comfort, or does he just plain like it in Kentucky and/or at Churchill Downs? Trainer Diodoro said, "He loves the track here." Jockey Cohen was pleased they went inside to pass the workmate and said, "...one thing he was dealing with early on in his career...he wasn’t wanting to go into some tight spots and kind of sucking out and giving up some much needed ground, which he did in the Breeders’ Cup prep and the Breeders’ Cup as well.”
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           Known Agenda five in 1:01.00 B (17/50) CD
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           Sainthood five in 1:01 B (17/50) CD
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            At Churchill Downs, Known Agenda, with Irad Ortiz up, breezed inside of Sainthood, with exercise rider Amelia Green up. Initially they went 12.60, 24.40, 36.20. Out six in 1:14.20, seven in 1:27.20. Trainer Pletcher commented again that Known Agenda isn't the best work horse, then he complimented Sainthood for "staying with him." On the turn, the two horses took turns responding to rider prompts, alternately showing the way. In my opinion, the gallop-out by both horses was impressive.
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           Soup and Sandwich four in 50:00 B (78/108) CD
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            At Churchill Downs, Soup and Sandwich breezed outside Peace Achieved (50.60). Early splits were 12.40, 25.00, and he was out five furlongs in 1:03 like stable mate Helium earlier in the day. Soup and Sandwich is known for being a less-than-pretty mover, and he started the breeze rankly behind his mate, a few times almost bumping his head with that of his rider, jumping around and running with high action in front. He eventally settled down in the stretch, except for that high action, but then that went away and he created space from Peace Achieved near the wire and galloping out. He's still learning, that's pretty obvious, but there's talent there too, and it's alluring that he didn't seem to want to be pulled up in the far turn.
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           April 22
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           O Besos four in 48:00 B (8/39)
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            At Churchill Downs, O Besos impressed onlookers with his development. Track clockers got initial splits of 12.00 and 36.20, out five furlongs in 1:00, six in 112.60 and seven in 1:26.40. He started the workout proper midway through the far turn, and it ended midway through the first turn. Mike Welsch, who clocks for DRF, tweeted, "O’Besos extremely impressive officially working 4F from 3/8 in 48.13 but that was just the beginning, really accelerated around the turn kept finding more 5F 59.70 3/4 112.59 up 7/8 126.27."
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           Medina Spirit six in 1:12.20 H (1/3)
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            At Santa Anita, Medina Spirit worked outside of 4yo stakes horse Azul Coast (1:12.40). They broke off together, and Medina Spirit was a length better in the shadow of the wire as he was smooched for a little giddy-up. His rider overtly pushed him along in the gallop-out, as did the rider of Azul Coast. Pretty good work.
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           Kentucky Derby Workout NOTES
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           April 9-18, 2021
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           April 9
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           Known Agenda four in 50.25 B (8/11) PBD
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            It was an easy half-mile.This move came inside multiple graded turf winner Colonel Liam. This was a prototypical Pletcher work in company where the horses run together to the wire. It was Known Agenda's first move after the Florida Derby 12 days earlier. Colonel Liam easily moved by Known Agenda on the turn but came back to his rider, and the horses ran through the lane side by side. They were both given a good gallop-out, and Known Agenda showed he'd come out of the Florida Derby in good shape. Known Agenda moves with his head low. Note that Known Agenda is much smaller than Colonel Liam.
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           April 10
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           Hot Rod Charlie five in 1:01.20 H (27/66) SA
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            Trainer O'Neill said, “He went the last eighth in 11 and change." The Louisiana Derby winner breezed outside of Hammering Lemon (1:01.60), a 4yo son of Square Eddie looking for his first allowance win. Hot Rod Charlie broke off two lengths back, so connections have rating off horses in mind for him. It was a workmanlike move to the wire, where Hot Rod Charlie was a length ahead after not being asked much. Past the wire, he was niggled and out-galloped his mate through the first turn, albeit not by a huge margin, where the video ends.
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           April 13
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           O Besos five in 1:00.60 B (1/3) CD
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            This video is in three parts, and in the third one we see O Besos galloping out toward the top of the backstretch. He breezed alone. Trainer Foley comments -- some of it is a little difficult to discern, but the gist of it is that Foley had him working four furlongs, not five, with the first half in 25.37, four in 49 and change, then out five furlongs in 1:00.60 and six in 1:13 and change.
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           April 14
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           Hidden Stash four in 47.80 B (1/23) KEE
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           Video unavailable. He was in company with 4-year-old gelded allowance winner Kentucky Ghost (49.40, 4/23) and unraced 3-year-old Social Chatter (also 49.40, 4/23), Hidden Stash produced initial fractions of 12.60, 24.40 and 36.60, catching up to his workmates at the wire after starting eight lengths back. He galloped out five furlongs in 1:00 and six in 1:13.80
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           April 16
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           Bourbonic four in 48.60 B (12/39) CD
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           Dynamic One four in 48.60 B (12/39) CD
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            Initial fraction was 24.40. Dynamic One finished in front of Bourbonic at the wire and galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 while Bourbonic was out six considerably slower, in 1:14.60. Bourbonic, who nipped Dynamic One at the wire to win the Wood Memorial, was on the inside, initially ahead a neck. They strode down the lane in tandem until Dynamic One surged ahead in the final jumps to lead by a length at the finish line. From there, Dynamic One was easily better, widening the gap between the two. Dynamic One was near the top of the backstretch when pulled up, then joined by Bourbonic.
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           Known Agenda five in 1:00.40 B (9/36) CD
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           Sainthood five in 1:00.40 B (9/36) CD
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            Fractions were 12.60, 24.40 and 36.40. They galloped out together through six furlongs in 1:13.40. Known Agenda and Sainthood breezed in company, with Known Agenda outside. It was almost textbook Pletcher as the pair pretty much began and hit the finish line together, although it should be pointed out Known Agenda was about a half-length behind to start and then stuck his head in front at the wire. In the gallop-out, Sainthood held his own. They were about to be pulled up approaching the top of the backstretch when the video stopped. I think both horses worked well.
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           Helium five in 1:01.80 B (28/36) CD
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            Fractions were 25.60, 37.60 and 49.80. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.60. This was a gate work with Helium to the inside of stakes-placed and winner Peace Achieved. The gate was positioned on the far turn. Helium broke a step slow but soon settled down and led into the stretch, after which the rider on the mate asked for a bit more, and the pair hit the wire nearly together. The work continued past the finish and into the first turn. Helium was the better of the two, as his mate struggled a bit to keep up, then fell back. Not a bad effort, not an eye-popper either.
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           Medina Spirit five in 1:00.00 H (4/35) SA
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            He was outside Paint Me Lucky (1:00.60), a 6yo gelded maiden working over and over for a return to the races after 14 months off. Started off a neck behind, even terms on the turn. Turning for home, a galloper was out in the middle of the track, and Medina Spirit turned it up, splitting horses at the sixteenth pole. At the wire, he was over three lengths ahead of his outmatched mate. He galloped out in a different time zone, but it was not a giant gallop-out by any means, and he was fully geared down well before he hit the backstretch. A maintenance work. Trainer Baffert said, “He worked five eighths, galloped out strong and looked good" adding that the Derby “looks very wide open.”
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           April 17 - The track at Churchill Downs was tight on this date, helping to induce some quick times.
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           Essential Quality five in 59:60 B (4/40) CD
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            Initial splits were 12.80, 24.60 and 47.40. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:28.60. Outside Spa City, a 4yo off-and-on type with two wins from eight starts trained last year by Kiaran McLaughlin, Essential Quality broke off about a length back. The pair were head-and-head at the wire. Galloping out, Essential Quality drifted out early in the turn while losing ground to Spa City. While neither horse was asked for much going up the back, they ran together to the track kitchen, which I like to see.
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           Hot Rod Charlie six in 1:14.20 H (5/6) SA
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            Trainer O'Neill said, “He looked solid. So far, so good.” Outside of Itsthattime (1:14.60), who runs in intermediate claiming ranks, Hot Rod Charlie was initially a length back. Hot Rod Charlie stayed there until gliding by his mate in the stretch. He ran past the wire a length better, followed by a moderate gallop-out into the backstretch, where the video ends.
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           Like the King six in 1.12:80 B (1/3) KEE
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            He worked outside Artie's Princess, a 4yo filly G2 stakes winner (1:13.40). Three lengths behind in the backstretch, Like the King got on even terms mid-stretch while appearing a bit unfocused and was ahead a length at the wire. Galloping out, he fell behind again in the first turn, then was on even terms again before being pulled up while Artie's Princess continued to gallop. At the conclusion of the work, trainer Wesley Ward and Gary Stevens, agent for Drayden Van Dyke, who will have the Derby mount, exchanged fist bumps with enthusiasm.
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           Mandaloun six in 1:11.40 B (1/3) CD
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            Splits were 12.40, 24.20, 35.60 and 58.80. Mandaloun extended his stride in front of workmate Colonel Bowman through a seven-furlong gallop out in 1:25.20 and a mile in 1:41.60. He was outside of Colonel Bowman (1:11.80), a 3yo maiden winner at Fair Grounds, starting off in stalking position a length back at the 5/8 pole. He was under stout restraint early, not rating by choice, and this continued in the turn even as Mandaloun appearded to be passing his mate. In the stretch they ran together, and Mandaloun was about 3/4 length in front at the wire, with the work ending midway through the turn. He ran strongly through that first turn and was pulled up around his starting point. He showed good energy throughout the workout and gallop-out, but the question in my mind is whether he was too eager early? If you think back in the context of the way Always Dreaming worked before the 2017 Derby, then the answer would be no.
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           I happened to see on April 20 live streaming Mandaloun engaging in a strong gallop, continuing to make a good impression with onlookers at Churchill Downs.
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           Rock Your World five in 59:60 H (6/72) SA
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            This move was in company with Tripoli (1:00.20), a useful 4-year-old allowance horse, to his inside. The video begins showing them together nearing the turn. In mid-stretch, Rock Your World left his mate behind and hit the wire two lengths better. From there, he distanced his mate. The rider stood up before the backstretch and began pulling up Rock Your World about 1 1/2 furlongs past the finish line as the video ends. His action is a bit high but not too troubling; after all, he is a fast horse. Good work.
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           Soup and Sandwich five 59:80 B (7/40) CD
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            His opening fractions were12.40, 24.20 and 35.20. Soup and Sandwich began drawing clear of his workmate at the wire and galloped out strongly in front with a six-furlong time of 1:12.40 and seven in 1:25.20. This looked like it started out as a solo work, but there was a workmate. After a swife start with his ears laid back, Soup and Sandwich found company deep in the far turn. He inched by that one in the stretch and then drew off with his rider sitting chilly. Encouraged a bit by the rider's cues, he galloped with energy through the turn. Up the back, he began pricking his ears as if asking for more encouragement and galloped to the far turn. Very nice workout.
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           Highly Motivated four in 47:20 B (1/27) KEE
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            Splits: 12.20, 23.60, 36.00, out five furlongs in 1:00.20, six in 1:15.60. He was inside of Founder (47.20), a 3YO maiden debut winner from four starts. After starting off about a half-length ahead, Highly Motivated held that position and then out-galloped Founder past the wire a couple of furlongs, although his six-furlong out time is not all that. Trainer Brown is enthused, though, and we should pay attention to that.
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           Midnight Bourbon five in 59.80 B (1/13) CD
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            Initial splits were 12.40, 24.00, 35.60. He was out six in 1:12.80 and seven in 1:26.00. The breeze began awkwardly, with the consensus being that the workmate was anxious and throwing his head around, causing Midnight Bourbon to act up, too. In other words, blame it on the workmate. But what will Midnight Bourbon be like in the midst of the Kentucky Derby hubbub? Anyway, Midnight Bourbon finally leveled out and put in a good breeze, cruising down the lane while putting away the workmate. The gallop-out goes on nicely for about 2 1/2 furlongs before his rider had to use some energy pulling him up. All in all, very nice.
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      <pubDate>Wed, 21 Apr 2021 15:59:23 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
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      <title>TDP: Fractions, Finishes in Kentucky Derby prep races; Beyers</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/fractions-finishes-in-kentucky-derby-prep-races</link>
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           Fractions, Finishes in Kentucky Derby Prep Races; Beyers
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           Posted April 12, 2021
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           Known Agenda, Soup and Sandwich
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           April 15 Update:
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           Beyer Figure info for Crowded Trade, Hidden Stash, Medina Spirit, Midnight Bourbon and Sainthood; Panadol out
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           April 17 Update:
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           Concert Tour, Crowded Trade out
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           Corrected final 3/8 time for Essential Quality
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           April 20 Update:
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           Added note about Get Her Number
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           April 21 Update:
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           Removed Dream Shake, Hozier
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           Removed Get Her Number and Caddo River; added Keepmeinmind, Brooklyn Strong
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           Every year we examine fractions in the nine-furlong Kentucky Derby prep races, with emphasis on (1) whether horses finished the final 3/8 mile in 38 seconds or less; and (2) whether horses ran 12-second furlongs, or what we call "12's" at three of the five calls or better. See Section 7 for more information about "12's". Horses with these abilities do well in the Kentucky Derby. Usually it's better if a horse can run "12's" AND finish in 38 seconds or less in the same race.
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           BOURBONIC - WOOD MEMORIAL
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :26.58 (ninth)
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           1/2 mile -- :52.28 (ninth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:16.63 (ninth)
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           1 mile -- 1:41.36 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:54.49 (first)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :26.58
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.70
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.35
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.73
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.13
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.87
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           He finished in under 38 seconds. He did not run "12's". Times were very slow all day at Aqueduct on Wood Memorial day. We note that Bourbonic really picked it up after a dawdling first quarter-mile, and he made a furious stretch run on the outside to nail stablemate Dynamic One in the shadow of the wire.
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           The gallop-out: Bourbonic galloped out with energy well ahead of the remainder of the field. Crowded Trade (third) and Weyburn (fourth) were alone in the second flight. Dynamic One was reined in shortly after the finish, perhaps to save him for the next race.
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           Bourbonic earned an 89 Beyer in the Wood Memorial.
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           BROOKLYN STRONG - WOOD MEMORIAL
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  &lt;/p&gt;&#xD;
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :25.48 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :50.68 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:15.43 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:41.46 (seventh)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:55.45 (fifth)
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :25.48
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.20
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.75
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.03
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 1/8 mile -- :13.99
           &#xD;
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           final 3/8 mile -- :40.02
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            He didn't run 12-second furlongs or finish in 38 seconds or less.
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            He wasn't in the picture in the gallop-out.
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           Beyer was 82.
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           DYNAMIC ONE - WOOD MEMORIAL
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :25.58 (sixth)
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           1/2 mile -- :50.98 (seventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:15.38 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:40.76 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:54.51 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :25.58
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           second 1/4 mile -- :25.40
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.40
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.38
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.75
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           final 3/8 mile -- :39.13
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           He did not run "12's" and did not finish in 38 or less. He lacks focus to some extent -- note how his positions at the calls bounce around -- and he apparently relaxes too much if he gets a late lead. His jockey said after the race he hoped the pace would carry him a bit closer to the finish line before he got the lead.
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           The gallop-out: Bourbonic galloped out with energy well ahead of the remainder of the field. Crowded Trade (third) and Weyburn (fourth) were alone in the second flight. Dynamic One was reined in shortly after the finish, perhaps to save him for the next race.
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           He earned an 89 Beyer in the Wood Memorial.
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           ESSENTIAL QUALITY - TOYOTA BLUE GRASS STAKES
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/4 mile -- :24.03 (second)
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1/2 mile -- :48.31 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.18 (second)
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      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           1 mile -- 1:36.07 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.50 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
      &lt;br/&gt;&#xD;
      
           first 1/4 mile -- :24.03
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.28
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.87
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :23.89
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.43
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.32 (corrected)
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           He got "12's" at all five calls, and he finished in under 38 seconds. In my opinion, this was a strong prep race, and Essential Quality answered the call when the chips were down in the stretch, passing Highly Motivated in the final jumps.
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           The gallop-out: Highly Motivated galloped out just a touch in front of Essential Quality, followed closely by Rombauer. They "essentially" galloped out as a group.
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           The Beyer folks gave Essential Quality a 97 for the Blue Grass. He got a 96 in the Southwest Stakes.
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           HELIUM - TAMPA BAY DERBY
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :24.58 (tenth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.66 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:1 1.58 (second)
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           1 1/16 mile -- 1:43.55 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.58
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.08
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.92
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           final 5/16 mile -- :31.97
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           Helium has not run in a nine-furlong race. One day after the Tampa Bay Derby, it was announced he'd wait for the Kentucky Derby. In this 8.5-furlong race, for what it's worth, he ran "12's", and his sub-32 second finish was not too bad. He repelled a charge from the late-running Hidden Stash to win.
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           The gallop-out: A nano-second of video after the wire shows Helium a bit in front during the gallop-out toward the first turn.
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           Helium got an 84 Beyer in Tampa.
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           HIDDEN STASH - TOYOTA BLUE GRASS STAKES
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.78 (seventh)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.86 (seventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.98 (fifth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.27 (fourth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.50 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.78
           &#xD;
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.08
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.12
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.29
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.23
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.52
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           This might have been a sneaky good race, because he did run "12's" at three of the five calls, and he finished in under 38 seconds.
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           The gallop-out: Highly Motivated galloped out just a touch in front of Essential Quality, followed closely by Rombauer. They "essentially" galloped out as a group. Hidden Stash is behind them but cannot be seen on the replay.
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           His Blue Grass Beyer is 82.
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           HIGHLY MOTIVATED - TOYOTA BLUE GRASS STAKES
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.83 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.21 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.08 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:35.97 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:48.54 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.83
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.38
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.87
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :23.89
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.57
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.46
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           Just like Essential Quality, he got "12's" at all five calls, and he finished in under 38 seconds. I say again: In my opinion, this was a strong prep race. Highly Motivated had far less experience at two turns than Essential Quality -- in fact, this was his first time going two turns -- and he almost pulled off the win.
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           The gallop-out: Highly Motivated galloped out just a touch in front of Essential Quality, followed closely by Rombauer. They "essentially" galloped out as a group.
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           After finishing on near-even terms with Essential Quality, Highly Motivated picked up a 97 Beyer in the Blue Grass.
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           HOT ROD CHARLIE - LOUISIANA DERBY (1 3/16 mile)
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           Fractions
           &#xD;
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           1/4 mile -- :23.12 (second)
           &#xD;
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           1/2 mile -- :47.04 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.25 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.38 (first)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:55.06 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.12
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.92
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.21
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.13
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.68
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           (conservative extrapolated final 3/8 mile if race were 1 1/8 mile = 37.58)
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           In this 1 3/16-mile race, Hot Rod Charlie ran "12's" at all calls; plus he finished in a manner consistent with getting less than 38 seconds if the race had been nine furlongs. A very nice effort.
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           The gallop-out: O Besos out-galloped Hot Rod Charlie by just a bit, followed a few lengths back by Midnight Bourbon.
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           Hot Rod Charlie's Louisiana Derby Beyer Speed Figure was 99.
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           KEEPMEINMIND - TOYOTA BLUE GRASS STAKES
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.58 (sixth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.61 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.48 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.57 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.50 (fifth)
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           Internal Fractions
           &#xD;
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.58
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.03
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.87
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.09
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.93
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.02
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           He ran "12's" at three of the five calls, so he gets credit for that. He was six wide in the first turn. We also give him credit for finishing in 38 seconds or less. Don't know how he did that - he looked leg-weary in the stretch. Could be the top two were just that good.
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           The gallop-out: He was not a factor in the gallop-out.
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           His Beyer from the Blue Grass isn't available as of this post.
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           KING FURY - STONESTREET LEXINGTON STAKES
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.49 (eighth)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.77 (seventh)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.80 (fourth)
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           1 1/16 mile -- 1:43.50 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.49
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.28
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.03
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           final 5/16 mile -- :31.70
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           Okay, it's not a nine-furlong race. However, King Fury was, in my opinion, visually impressive much like Charismatic was when he used this race as a springboard to win the Kentucky Derby. Accordingly, I wanted to examine the fractions. This was King Fury's first race off a long layoff -- in fact, it was his first race of the year. He ran "12's" and still finished up pretty well. He's bred to go longer and will be an interesting prospect should he make the Derby starting gate.
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           The gallop-out: On brief video at twinspires.com, King Fury can be seen initially showing the way by a couple of lengths in the gallop-out; and going into the first turn, separating himself from the field.
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           In this, his first start of 2021, King Fury was given a 95 Beyer.
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           KNOWN AGENDA - CURLIN FLORIDA DERBY
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.33 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.33 (fifth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.79 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.61 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.45 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.33
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.00
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.46
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :23.82
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.84
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           final 3/8 mile -- :36.66
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           Known Agenda ran "12's" at four of five calls and finished in well under 38 seconds. As the chart says, he "burst clear" to open up in the stretch and defeated pacesetter Soup and Sandwich by 2 3/4 lengths. Note that he ran the fourth quarter-mile faster than the preceding quarters; he must be a good at running on the turn.
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           The gallop-out: Known Agenda, Soup and Sandwich and Greatest Honour all galloped out moderately but ahead of the rest of the field. The NBC video did do justice to this part of the event.
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           Known Agenda earned a 94 Beyer for this effort, indicating the track was playing a bit fast on the big day. But still an impressive race.
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           LIKE THE KING - JEFF RUBY STEAKS (synthetic surface)
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            Fractions
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            1/4 mile -- :24.13 (seventh)
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            1/2 mile -- :48.31 (eighth)
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            3/4 mile -- 1:12.40 (seventh)
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            1 mile -- 1:37.53 (third)
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            1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.22 (first)
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            Internal Fractions
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            first 1/4 mile -- :24.13
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            second 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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            third 1/4 mile -- :24.09
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            fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.13
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            final 1/8 mile -- :12.69
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            final 3/8 mile -- :37.82
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            He gets credit for "12's" and for finishing up in less than 38 seconds. As Like the King outfinished Hockey Dad, Sainthood came galloping from the clouds to get second.
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           Aside from Animal Kingdom in 2011, it's been a long, long time since the Jeff Ruby (aka Spiral, Lane's End, galleryfurniture.com) has produced a Kentucky Derby winner. We will watch how Like the King trains up to the Derby.
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           The gallop-out: Like the King led the gallop-out, with Hockey Dad outrunning Sainthood past the wire.
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           Cloud runner Like the King earned an 86 Beyer in the Jeff Ruby Steaks.
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           MANDALOUN - RISEN STAR STAKES
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.95 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.85 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.94 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.60 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.39 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.95
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.90
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.09
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.66
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.79
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.45
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           MANDALOUN - LOUISIANA DERBY (1 3/16 mile)
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.20 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.34 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.65 (fourth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.58 (fifth)
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           1 3/16mile -- 1:57.41 (sixth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.20
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.14
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.31
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.93
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           final 3/16 mile -- :19.83
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           (conservative extrapolated final 3/8 mile if race were 1 1/8 mile = 39.15)
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           Mandaloun was the star of the Risen Star (ran "12's", finished in under 38), only to flop in the Louisiana Derby. From that perspective, he looks like the 2021 version of War of Will (2019).
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           War of Will got strong backing from some in-the-know people in the 2019 Kentucky Derby, but he lacked kick in the stretch drive. Of course, his backers blamed it on the horse that won, Maximum Security. His detractors, and I am one of them, saw him run right up Maximum Security's butt before that one veered out, and we saw 'Max' outrun War of Will and everything else that was lined up when they straightened for home. That debate will never be resolved. War of Will won the Preakness off a perfect setup. After that, he was victorious only once in eight starts, although that one win was the prestigious Grade I Maker's Mark Mile. Being by War Front, he was bred to like turf.
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           Mandaloun, the mystery horse of the 2021 Derby?
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           Gallop-outs: In the Louisiana Derby, O Besos out-galloped Hot Rod Charlie by just a bit, followed a few lengths back by Midnight Bourbon. Mandaloun can't be seen in video of the gallop-out.  In the Risen Star, Mandaloun was slightly ahead of Midnight Bourbon and Proxy in the gallop-out. O Besos was a few lengths behind those three.
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           His Risen Star Beyer was 98, but he only got an 82 in the Louisiana Derby.
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           MEDINA SPIRIT - SANTA ANITA DERBY
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :22.74 (fourth)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.31 (third)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.04 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.77 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.02 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :22.74
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.57
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.73
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.73
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.25
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.98
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           Did not run "12's" or finish in 38 or less. He's a tough knocker and has outperformed his two sale prices ($1,000 at the first sale, $35,000 at the second one.) He was picked out at the second sale by bloodstock agent and professional clocker Gary Young, whom I see in the clockers' stand at Churchill Downs every year the weekend before the Derby. Gary is a funny guy and livens things up. That said, this horse will be right there when they turn for home, but can he outlast foes in the final quarter-mile?
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           The gallop-out: After Rock Your World drew off to win the Santa Anita Derby, he was in his own zip code during the gallop-out, and he returned to be unsaddled with his ears pricked. The other runners cannot be seen during the gallop-out in two different videos I saw showing the gallop-out.
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           He ran a 94 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis, a 95 Beyer in the San Felipe, and a 94 in the Santa Anita Derby.
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           MIDNIGHT BOURBON - RISEN STAR STAKES
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.75 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.55 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.76 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.60 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.74 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.75
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.80
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.21
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.84
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.14
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.98
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           MIDNIGHT BOURBON - LOUISIANA DERBY (1 3/16 mile)
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.12 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.14 (second)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.45 (second)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.48 (second)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:55.46 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.12
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.02
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.31
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.03
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.98
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           (conservative extrapolated final 3/8 mile if race were 1 1/8 mile = 37.68)
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           Midnight Bourbon has the distinction of being the only horse in this group that has run "12's" and finished in under 38 seconds twice on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. He's not dominant horse by any means, but he's been a model of consistency.
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           The gallop-out: In the Louisiana Derby,  O Besos out-galloped Hot Rod Charlie by just a bit, followed a few lengths back by Midnight Bourbon. Mandaloun can't be seen in video of the gallop-out.  In the Risen Star, Mandaloun was slightly ahead of Midnight Bourbon and Proxy in the gallop-out. O Besos was a few lengths behind those three.
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           Midnight Bourbon got 96 Beyers in both the Louisiana Derby and the Risen Star.
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           O BESOS - RISEN STAR STAKES
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.45 (fifth)
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           1/2 mile -- :49.45 (sixth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:13.94 (fifth)
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           1 mile -- 1:38.50 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:51.89 (fourth)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.45
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           second 1/4 mile -- :25.00
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.49
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.56
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.39
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.95
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           O BESOS - LOUISIANA DERBY (1 3/16 mile)
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :24.45 (eighth)
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           1/2 mile -- :48.44 (eighth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.30 (seventh)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.08 (fourth)
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           1 3/16 mile -- 1:55.48 (third)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :24.45
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.99
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           third 1/4 mile -- :23.86
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.78
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           final 3/16 mile -- :18.40
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           (conservative extrapolated final 3/8 mile if race were 1 1/8 mile = 37.05)
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           He ran "12's" in the Louisiana Derby and finished in less than 38 seconds in both the Risen Star and the Louisiana Derby. He looks like an improving type.
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           The gallop-out: In the Louisiana Derby, O Besos out-galloped Hot Rod Charlie by just a bit, followed a few lengths back by Midnight Bourbon. Mandaloun can't be seen in video of the gallop-out.  In the Risen Star, Mandaloun was slightly ahead of Midnight Bourbon and Proxy in the gallop-out. O Besos was a few lengths behind those three.
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           After earning an 88 in the Risen Star, he was given a 96 Beyer for his performance in the Louisiana Derby.
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           ROCK YOUR WORLD - SANTA ANITA DERBY
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :22.42 (first)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.11 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:10.94 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.27 (first)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:49.17 (first)
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           first 1/4 mile -- :22.42
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.69
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.83
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.33
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.90
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.23
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           Rock Your World didn't run "12's" or finish in 38 seconds or less, but he did employ tactics that have become a model for winning the Kentucky Derby in recent years. See Section 7. He sprinted to the lead, then moderated and dictated the pace while others were unable to pass him after the fast opening stanza.
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           The gallop-out: After Rock Your World drew off to win the Santa Anita Derby, he was in his own zip code during the gallop-out, and he returned to be unsaddled with his ears pricked. The other runners cannot be seen during the gallop-out in two different videos I saw showing the gallop-out.
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           He is the sole possessor of a triple-digit Beyer in the 2021 Kentucky Derby field after getting a 100 in the Santa Anita Derby.
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           SAINTHOOD - JEFF RUBY STEAKS
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.33 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.51 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.10 (sixth)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.93 (fifth)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.44 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.33
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.18
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.59
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :25.83
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           final 1/8 mile -- :12.51
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           final 3/8 mile -- :38.34
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           Very lightly-raced one ran "12's" but did not finish in 38 or less. As Like the King outfinished Hockey Dad to get the win, Sainthood came galloping from the clouds to get second. Sainthood''s race position looks like a bell curve. He actually led the field to the finish line first time by and was second at the first call; was passed by a couple of horses going up the backstretch; was passed by two more horses going into the far turn; was roused to the outside leaving the turn; was blocked and steadied in upper stretch; and rallied again on the outside once clear. It was, as the chart call says, "a gallant effort."
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           The gallop-out: Like the King led the gallop-out, with Hockey Dad outrunning Sainthood past the wire.
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           Sainthood earned an 84 Beyer in the Jeff Ruby.
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           SOUP AND SANDWICH - CURLIN FLORIDA DERBY
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :23.53 (second)
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           1/2 mile -- :47.73 (first)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:12.29 (first)
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           1 mile -- 1:36.91 (second)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.00 (second)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :23.53
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           second 1/4 mile -- :24.20
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.56
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :24.62
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.09
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           final 3/8 mile -- :37.71
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           Soup and Sandwich gets credit for "12's" and for finishing in under 38 seconds, but it should be noted Known Agenda finished several lengths faster than Soup and Sandwich. Regardless, it was a nice effort.
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           The gallop-out: Known Agenda, Soup and Sandwich and Greatest Honour all galloped out moderately but ahead of the rest of the field. The NBC video did do justice to this part of the event.
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           Soup and Sandwich earned a 90 Beyer in Tampa.
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           SUPER STOCK - ARKANSAS DERBY
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           Fractions
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           1/4 mile -- :22.92 (third)
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           1/2 mile -- :46.91 (fourth)
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           3/4 mile -- 1:11.65 (third)
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           1 mile -- 1:37.74 (third)
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           1 1/8 mile -- 1:50.92 (first)
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           Internal Fractions
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           first 1/4 mile -- :22.92
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           second 1/4 mile -- :23.99
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           third 1/4 mile -- :24.74
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           fourth 1/4 mile -- :26.09
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           final 1/8 mile -- :13.18
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           He did not run "12's" or finish in 38 seconds or less. His opening quarter-mile was fast but not grossly fast; he enjoyed moderate fractions in the second and third quarters, but he finished slowly to get the win, but not as slow as the two pacesetters, Caddo River and Concert Tour.
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            The gallop-out: After the momentum of his stretch run, such as it was, I expected Super Stock to draw away from Caddo River and Concert Tour past the wire, but instead they ran on pretty much together.
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           Super Stock was awarded a career-best 92 Beyer after overtaking the slowing-down Caddo River and Concert Tour.
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      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Apr 2021 14:29:21 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/fractions-finishes-in-kentucky-derby-prep-races</guid>
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    </item>
    <item>
      <title>TDP: Profiles of Potential Kentucky Derby Entries</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/profiles-of-potential-kentucky-derby-entries</link>
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           Profiles of Kentucky Derby Entries
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           Facts, Figures, Connections, Quotes and More
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted April 12, 2021
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           Updated April 14: Mike Smith on Midnight Bourbon; Panadol out
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           Updated April 15: Rombauer out
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           Updated April 16: Bourbonic, Concert Tour, Dynamic One, Helium, Known Agenda, Medina Spirit, Sainthood
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           Updated April 17: Concert Tour out; Crowded Trade out
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           Updated April 17: Caddo River, Dream Shake, Essential Quality, Highly Motivated, Hot Rod Charlie, Like the King, Mandaloun, Rock Your World, Soup and Sandwich
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           April 17 VIDEOS: Trainer Cox and jockey Saez on Essential Quality; Cox on Mandaloun; jockey Geroux on Mandaloun; jockey Gaffalione on Soup and Sandwich
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           Updated April 17: Rosario named on Rock Your World
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           Updated April 18: Highly Motivated, Sadler's extended comment on replacing Rispoli; O'Neill touts Hot Rod Charlie
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           Updated April 19: Midnight Bourbon
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           April 19 VIDEOS: Trainer Asmussen on Midnight Bourbon; trainer Pletcher comments on his foursome
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           Updated April 20: Quote from trainer Miller about Get Her Number's trip in the Arkansas Derby
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           April 20 VIDEO: Trainer Brown speaks well of Highly Motivated
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           Updated April 21: Added barn numbers; added Hozier
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           Updated April 22: O Besos impresses with workout
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           April 22 VIDEO: Greg Foley, Marcelino Pedroza
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           Updated April 23 (last update 3:09 p.m. ET): Bourbonic workout; Caddo River workout; Dynamic One workout; Helium workout; Hidden Stash workout; Hozier workout; Keepmeinmind workout; Known Agenda workout; belated Medina Spirit workout; Sainthood workout; Soup and Sandwich workout; Medina Spirit arrives
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           Updated April 23: Dream Shake, Hozier removed; Keepmeinmind added
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           Updated April 24: Removed Get Her Number. Added a note from yesterday for Keepmeinmind. Added workout notes for Essential Quality, Highly Motivated, Hot Rod Charlie, King Fury, Like the King, Mandaloun, Rock Your World, Super Stock.
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           April 24 VIDEOS: Cox, Geroux, Brown, et al
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           Updated April 25: Removed Caddo River; added Brooklyn Strong (Umberto Rispoli)
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           April 25 VIDEO: Brian Hernandez on King Fury
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           Updated April 26: Workouts for Brooklyn Strong, Midnight Bourbon
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           April 26 VIDEO: O'Neill on 'Hot Rod'; Sadler to Rock Your World
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           April 27: Entries are final
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           April 27 VIDEOS: About Hot Rod Charlie, Keepmeinmind, Medina Spirit and Super Stock
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           April 30: King Fury scratched.
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            May
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           2: Updated with post-Derby trainer, jockey quotes
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           BOURBONIC (KY)
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $400,000
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           Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Calumet Farm
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           Breeder: Calumet Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Bernardini (A.P. Indy, Cara Rafaela)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Dancing Afleet (Afleet Alex, Mrs Vanderbilt)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-8-0-0 (16) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 7, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 12. Barn 42.
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           Bourbonic was sent off at 72-1 odds in the Wood Memorial off of just-okay speed figures and no stakes races in his resume. This year, he'd finished first and second in a couple of optional claiming races at Aqueduct and Parx.
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           Todd Pletcher after Bourbonic and Dynamic One finished one-two in the Wood Memorial. "We felt like both horses were coming into the race in good order and we always had high hopes for Dynamic One. He’s a horse that’s just starting to put it all together. I was pleased with how they were coming into it, but with Bourbonic, it was Mr. Kelley of Calumet, who said he like to try a race with Derby points in it. They’re always game to take a chance.
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           On Bourbonic: “We always felt this horse would handle added distance. He was able to get a perfect trip and sit back and make one late run. He was able to get there just in time. It was a big effort. To have any chance, I think the only way he could be successful was to stay back and make one late run. He doesn’t have any early speed. I’ll talk to all the connections and see what everybody wants to do, but that was the purpose of being in today’s race; take a shot and see who would step up and fortunately it worked out. Sometimes the worst thing you can have is a hot hand in January and February. We were hoping something would come together and we always thought he had potential to step up. It was good to see him do it.”
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           Kendrick Carmouche: “I rode this horse twice before. Once on the turf, which he didn’t really like. Then I came back and rode him in a starter allowance after he broke his maiden. He ran such a good race. He fought back, which I really like with young horses. I like that fight at a young age. Nicky the Vest didn’t make it and that was my first option. I had Brooklyn Strong for my buddy Danny Velazquez and we kind of got off that one. This was a last resort. My agent got on the phone with Todd and said, 'Kendrick would love whichever horse you put him on.' When he told me I would be riding Bourbonic I said, 'That’s perfect.' He’s by Bernardini and he can make the distance. Todd asked me what I was going to do and I told him I wouldn’t move. I was just going to sit, sit, sit, sit and hopefully get out the last quarter of a mile. I knew he would go on from there. My horse was in a good stride. Each pole I was picking them up one by one without even asking. I’m thrilled for Calumet Farm. I won my first Grade 1 with True Timber in the Cigar Mile for them and now I won the Wood for them. These past six months of my career have just been what you dream of.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Assistant trainer Byron Hughes said, “It was a very patient ride. That track often plays to front-runners or horses closer to the pace. Yesterday, it was playing fair and there were some closers. He waited as long as he could and made one run and it paid off. We always thought he wanted more distance, and two turns is something he needed. It was a good day for the team. He’s been a forward training horse here. He loves to train, and it’s been great to have him up here this winter. They (Bourbonic and Dynamic One) both look good. They both ate up last night and are walking around here this morning with a purpose."
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           April 16 NOTE: From trackside at Churchill Downs, Todd Pletcher watched his four Derby contenders work shortly after 7:30. Bourbonic and Dynamic One were the second pair to work in company, and they were in lockstep throughout, going company four furlongs in 48.60 (12/39). They both last raced on April 3. Initial fraction was 24.40. Dynamic One finished in front of Bourbonic at the wire and galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 while Bourbonic was out six considerably slower, in 1:14.60. Pletcher also sent out Known Agenda and Sainthood to breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “I thought it would be good to work both of these horses together after coming out of the same race (the Wood Memorial). I’d say we were definitely surprised at winning the Wood. (Bourbonic) has always trained a little bit light, but we always thought that the further the distance, the better it would be for him. He likes to drop back and make one run.”
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           April 19 VIDEO: Todd Pletcher discusses his Derby foursome.
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           April 23 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Bourbonic breezed four furlongs solo in 49.60 (71/108). Initial fractions were 12.80 and 24.40. He was out five furlongs in 102.40 with exercise rider Hector Ramos aboard.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “He has been pretty aggressive in his gallops so we worked him by himself today. It was a good steady work with a strong gallop out.
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           13th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “He never got into position… I’m going to have to watch the replay.”
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           Kendrick Carmouche: “I just never could get a good run at them.”
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           BROOKLYN STRONG (NY)
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           Derby Points: 10
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $112,500
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           Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
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           Trainer: Danny Velazquez
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           Owner: Mark Schwartz
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           Breeder: Cheryl Prudhomme &amp;amp; Dr. Michael Gallivan
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Wicked Strong (Hard Spun, Moyne Abbey)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Riviera Chic (Medaglia d'Oro, Hurricane Warning)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-4-4-1-0 (12) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Jan. 20, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $30,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Fall 2018; $42,000 RNA Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2019; $6,000 RNA OBS October 2019; $5,000 OBS April 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 27
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           Brooklyn Strong won at first asking and took the Sleepy Hollow against fellow New York-breds in his third start. He vaulted into the limelight by winning the Remsen Stakes last November.
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           This year, injury delayed his progress, and he made his 3yo debut in the Wood Memorial, when he finished fifth, beaten 4 3/4 lengths by Bourbonic.
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           Initially he was declared out of Kentucky Derby consideration. As defections from the Derby began to mount, owner Schwartz announced he was back in consideration.
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           April 26 NOTE: Brooklyn Strong worked five furlongs in 100.92, handily, at Parx. He will depart his Bensalem, Pennsylvania base at 6:00 p.m. today and is expected at Churchill Downs by 6:00 a.m. tomorrow.     
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           Trainer Velazquez said, “It was perfect. I’d like to say it went just as planned, but none of this has been planned. We’re excited. He worked great. Cooled out great. He’ll have all day to relax before he leaves.”
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           15th in the Kentucky Derby
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            Danny Velazquez: “It’s a tough load with 20 horses. You’re in there a long time. Umberto (Rispoli) said he wasn’t standing correctly and he broke a little slow. Our horse was really trying. No harm, no foul. If he comes back OK, we’ll go to the Belmont.”
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           Umberto Rispoli: “He broke a little slow out of the gate but he tried.”
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           DYNAMIC ONE (KY)
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           Derby Points:40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $140,000
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           Jockey: Jose Ortiz
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Repole Stable, Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable
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           Breeder: Phipps Stable
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Union Rags (Dixie Union, Tempo)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Beat the Drums (Smart Strike (CAN), Storm Flag Flying)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 6-6-11-1-0 (24) 2.69
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           Foal Date: Feb. 2, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $725,000 Keeneland September 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 12. Barn 42.
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           Dynamic One broke his maiden in his fourth start, which was his third one at two turns, before finishing a closing second in the Wood Memorial.
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           Todd Pletcher after Bourbonic and Dynamic One finished one-two in the Wood Memorial. "We felt like both horses were coming into the race in good order and we always had high hopes for Dynamic One. He’s a horse that’s just starting to put it all together. I was pleased with how they were coming into it, but with Bourbonic, it was Mr. Kelley of Calumet, who said he like to try a race with Derby points in it. They’re always game to take a chance.
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           On Dynamic One: “The one thing we were concerned about is if he made the lead he might idle a little bit. Jose said he tried to time it as well as he could, and he was hoping the leader would carry him to the wire more than he did. It was another step forward for him.”
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           Jose Ortiz: “Passing the sixteenth pole I thought I would hold on, but we couldn’t get there. It was a very tough beat, but the other horse put up a good run the last sixteenth and beat me. My horse ran a hell of a race. I think he would handle the mile and a quarter pretty nicely.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Assistant trainer Byron Hughes said, “He ran a game race. I was looking at the Trakus this morning, and he actually ran 43 feet more than Bourbonic did. It was a game race, and we were happy with his effort. They (Bourbonic and Dynamic One) both look good. They both ate up last night and are walking around here this morning with a purpose."
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           April 16 NOTE: From trackside at Churchill Downs, Todd Pletcher watched his four Derby contenders work shortly after 7:30. Bourbonic and Dynamic One were the second pair to work in company, and they were in lockstep throughout, going company four furlongs in 48.60 (12/39). They both last raced on April 3. Initial fraction was 24.40. Dynamic One finished in front of Bourbonic at the wire and galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 while Bourbonic was out six considerably slower, in 1:14.60. Pletcher also sent out Known Agenda and Sainthood to breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “I thought it would be good to work both of these horses together after coming out of the same race (the Wood Memorial). I’d say we were definitely surprised at winning the Wood. (Bourbonic) has always trained a little bit light, but we always thought that the further the distance, the better it would be for him. He likes to drop back and make one run.”
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           April 19 VIDEO: Todd Pletcher discusses his Derby foursome.
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           April 23 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Jose Ortiz and Dynamic One breezed with Prime Factor to their inside, going four furlongs in 47.80 (2/108). Initial fractions 24.40, 36.20. Out energetically five in 1:00.60, six in 1:13.20.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “He finished full of energy with his ears pricked."
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            18th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “We could never get in positon.”
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           Jose Ortiz: “Didn’t fire.”
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           ESSENTIAL QUALITY (KY)
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           Derby Points: 140
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $2,210,000
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           Jockey: Luis Saez
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Godolphin, LLC
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           Breeder: Godolphin
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tapit (Pulpit, Tap Your Heels)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Delightful Quality (Elusive Quality, Contrive)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-12-14-1-0 (32) D3.00
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           Foal Date: April 9, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 5. Barn 22.
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           Essential Quality easily leads the field in earnings made by winning all five of his races, including the Breeders' Futurity at Keeneland, the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, the Southwest Stakes and the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. The latter win was a nail-biter -- he ran down two-turn debuter and pacesetter Highly Motivated in deep stretch after attending his pace.
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           Brad Cox after winning the Toyota Blue Grass: “It’s a tremendous feeling. He had to dig in today. It was probably what he needed. It was good for him to get a good test today. He did everything easy enough in his last race. I was proud of what he was able to overcome today. Big effort. I was happy where we were (turning for home). I could tell the horse on the inside (Highly Motivated), he had horse, and we really had to work to get by him. The horse on the inside ran a huge race. Both of them really duked it out the whole way. It set up for both of them, and they both responded well. That was a good race four weeks out. Hopefully we’re ready.”
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           Luis Saez: “That other horse was fighting, and I thought we weren’t going to get him. But I always had faith in Essential Quality. He’s a nice horse No matter how fast or slow the pace, he always wants to be first at the wire.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Cox said, “He looks good this morning, and I am happy with the way he came out of the race. I liked that he got a test yesterday. It was not like he just galloped up to the leader and went on by.” Cox said Essential Quality would go to Churchill Downs the following day.
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           April 8 NOTE: Trainer Cox said, “We got him in here (at Churchill Downs) from Keeneland on Monday (April 5) and he went back to the track Wednesday. He’ll probably work twice before the Derby and he’ll be ready. He really showed us a gutsy effort in the Blue Grass, and I think he’ll get a lot out of that race by how hard he had to work for the win.”
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           April 10 NOTE: Essential Quality galloped at 6:30 a.m.
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           April 17 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Essential Quality breezed five furlongs in 59.60 (4/40) at 5:15 this morning with Luis Saez up. The track was tight. Initial splits were 12.80, 24.60 and 47.40. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:28.60. Essential Quality broke off for the workout one length behind two-time winning stablemate Spa City and finished even at the wire. Spa City’s final five-furlong time was :59.80, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols.
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           Trainer Cox said, “I’m not taking a deep breath yet, but we’re very pleased with where we are at today two weeks from the Derby. He really had to work for that win in the Blue Grass, and we were very pleased how well he ended up bouncing out of it.” Cox said he likes to work his horses early while the track is tight and they can skip over it.
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            April 17 VIDEO:
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           Trainer Cox discusses Essential Quality, Mandaloun
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           April 17 VIDEO:
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           Luis Saez shares his thoughts on Essential Quality
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           April 24 NOTE: Essential Quality breezed five in 1:00.40 (8/29) at Churchill Downs. Essential Quality breezed outside and off the hip of Spa City all the way. He ran through early fractions in 12.80, 24.80, 48.20. That second quarter-mile went in 23.40, and he finished up the work proper in 12.20. He was out six furlongs in a leisurely in 114.60 -- and well out-galloped by Spa City.
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           Trainer Cox said, “We keep radios on all of our riders so that way we can stay in contact throughout the work. Galloping out around the turn, I got on the radio to Edvin and told him not to let him go too strongly. Spa City is a horse we used as a workmate for Essential Quality the last three or four works. He’s a good matchup for him because he’s a good work horse.
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            April 24 VIDEO:
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           Brad Cox after workouts by Essential Quality, Mandaloun
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            April 24 VIDEO:
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           Godolphin/Darley America's Jimmy Bell
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           Fourth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Brad Cox: “He didn’t get the greatest trip as he was wide around both turns. That can happen when you start from the 14 hole, especially when don’t get off to a good start. He was leaning out on the far turn and Luis (Saez) said he was shying away from the other horses. We will just have to regroup. Proud of both horses. They trained well and just wish the order of finish was just a little different.”
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           Luis Saez: “He bumped pretty good (with Rock Your World) out of the gate. We ended up getting pretty wide the entire trip which didn’t help either.”
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           HELIUM (KY)
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $255,492
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           Jockey: Julien Leparoux
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           Trainer: Mark E. Casse
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           Owner: D. J. Stable LLC
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           Breeder: Teneri Farm Inc. &amp;amp; Bernardo Alvarez Calderon
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Ironicus (Distorted Humor, Meghan's Joy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Thundering Emilia (Thunder Gulch, Saint Emilia (PER))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-3-7-0-0 (14) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 1, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $55,000 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 7. Barn 36.
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           Helium has won all three of his starts: a one-turn maiden race on synthetic at Woodbine last September, the seven-furlong Display Stakes on synthetic at Woodbine on Oct. 18, and the most recent being the 1 1/16-mile Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby on March 6.
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           Mark Casse after winning the Tampa Bay Derby: "He trained well enough that we thought he deserved a chance. We had thought about running in the Gotham and thought, if we’re going to try the dirt, let’s run him close to home, and it worked well for us. This horse is something, because he got away a little slow today and we had planned on him being closer. He made that big wide run on the turn, but when (Hidden Stash rallied) I was going to be happy with second. I thought, we can build on this, because this is only his third start.... What was amazing is that he wasn’t overly exhausted after the race. He’s a beautiful horse, he’s bred to run all day long and he looks like a Derby horse, so it’s exciting."
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           THE NEXT DAY: Jockey Ferrer said, “He tried to buck twice when we went to the track, and the pony went to grab him. I don’t know if he was trying to make a statement to me, but I petted him and talked to him and he settled down. Sometimes they want to act like little kids, and you just have to let them know you’re on the same team. After that, he was perfect. (During the race) I threw the reins in the air to let him know we weren’t done yet."
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           Trainer Casse said, “I’m not easily worried, but I was kind of worried because he had so much adversity to overcome. We planned to run him in the Grey Stakes (on Nov. 22), but it snowed and they cancelled the race.” (It wasn't rescheduled due to a decision about the pandemic.) We took him to New Orleans next, and were going to run him in the Grade III Lecomte at Fair Grounds, but he wrenched an ankle one morning. Nothing serious, but we brought him home to Ocala and gave him about 10 days off before we put him back in training."
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           April 10 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Helium breezed five furlongs in 59.20 (4/28) under Julien Leparoux on a track that looks to have been playing fast. He ran through splits of 11.80, 23.20 and 35.40 before galloping out six furlongs in 1:12.00. He was in company with Ghost of the Mambo. Assistant trainer David Carroll said, “Everything went as smoothly as we could’ve drew it up. He came in from Florida on Wednesday, and has been doing very well since.”
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           April 16 NOTE: Helium was the first work at 7:30 a.m. ET. after the renovation break at Churchill. He breezed five furlongs in 1:01.80 (28/36) inside of stablemate Peace Achieved through fractions of 25.60, 37.60 and 49.80. He galloped out six furlongs in 1:14.60. Peace Achieved completed his five-furlong move in 1:02.00.
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           Trainer Casse said, “The most important thing about the work is Julien (Leparoux) was happy." Casse is slated to arrive next week in Kentucky.
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            April 23 NOTE: At Churchill Downs with Julien Leparoux up, Helium breezed four furlongs in 49.80 (75/108) with a rank workmate, Laker Mamba, and the move got off to a rocky start. His splits were 12.20 and 24.00, and he was out five furlongs in 1:03.00.
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           Assistant trainer David Carroll said, “Very happy with both of them (Helium and Soup and Sandwich). I thought Helium’s work was good; he’s a very smooth-moving horse. He’s the better work horse of the two and he went absolutely beautiful; in hand the whole way, just waiting for Julien to ask him. He just stretched his legs but that’s all we were looking for. These were the works we wanted for the final pieces of works. Both horses are in great shape so hopefully we have a good week and we have a good draw.”
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           Eighth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Mark Casse: “He finished mid-pack but just wasn’t good enough.”
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           Julien Leparoux: “I got him in a good spot out of the break and he just flattened.”
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           HIDDEN STASH (KY)
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           Derby Points: 32
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $130,000
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           Jockey: Rafael Bejarano
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           Trainer: Victoria H. Oliver
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           Owner: BBN Racing, LLC
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           Breeder: Rhineshire Farm LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Constitution (Tapit, Baffled)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Making Mark Money (Smart Strike (CAN), Kapsiki)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 6-10-12-0-0 (28) 3.67
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           Foal Date: March 15, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $50,000 Keeneland September 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 27. Barn 20.
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           He has two wins, a second and two thirds from seven starts, the last three as follows: third in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, second in the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby and fourth in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. Trainer Oliver would be the 17th woman to run a horse in the Derby and the first since Carla Gaines had Bolo (12th) in 2015, per DRF's Marty McGee.
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            April 14 NOTE: Hidden Stash breezed a bullet half-mile at Keeneland in :47.80 (1/23)shortly after the track opened for training at 5:30. He was in company with 4-year-old gelded allowance winner Kentucky Ghost (49.40, 4/23) and unraced 3-year-old Social Chatter (also 49.40, 4/23), Hidden Stash produced initial fractions of 12.60, 24.40 and 36.60, catching up to his workmates at the wire after starting eight lengths back. He galloped out five furlongs in 1:00 and six in 1:13.80 with Rafael Bejarano aboard.
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            Trainer Oliver: “I thought he worked really well, and we beat the rain. I was going to work Thursday, Friday or Saturday. I was watching the weather and I wanted to get a decent work in, so we went this morning.” Oliver said plans another work on April 24 preceding a ship to Churchill Downs on April 27.
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           April 23 NOTE: At Keeneland, Hidden Stash breezed five furlongs in 1:00.60 B (6/26). Splits unavailable, but he galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.80. Exercise rider Darragh Sweeney handled the move.
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           Trainer Oliver said,  “He is going to jog and stand in the gate tomorrow and walk Sunday. He will gallop Monday and Tuesday and ship to Churchill after he trains Tuesday morning.” 
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           14th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Vicki Oliver: “He looks like he came out of it OK. He ate a lot of dirt but we scoped him and he’s fine. I just jogged him in the shedrow and he’s tired but he should be OK. He ran his race. Rafael (Bejarano) said he broke real good, but he had to check him several times. Horses were in front of him and there was nowhere to go.”
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           Rafael Bejarano: “I didn’t want to try and get him out of his rhythm too soon but when I needed to go he was just flat.”
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           HIGHLY MOTIVATED (KY)
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $271,000
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           Jockey: Javier Castellano
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           Trainer: Chad C. Brown
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           Owner: Klaravich Stables, Inc.
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           Breeder: Klaravich Stables
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Strong Incentive (CAN) (Warrior's Reward, G. G.'s Dolly)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-1-1-1-0 (4) 1.67
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           Foal Date: March 23, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $240,000 Keeneland November 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 19. Barn 25.
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           Never off the board in five starts, four of which were around one turn. After running belatedly to finish a so-so third in the Gotham as the 9-10 favorite in his fourth outing, he ran a big one, losing to Essential Quality in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes by only a neck in his first race at two turns.
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           Whit Beckman, assistant to Chad Brown, after running a close second in the Toyota Blue Grass: “That was just a tremendous run he put in. He ran so well, and you could tell he just did not want to get beat. When one is trying that hard, and you could feel the disappointment. I wasn’t confident being on the front end in a big race like this. But Javier got there and my confidence was with Javi and his decisions.”
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           Javier Castellano: “He ran a huge race. I’m very satisfied the way he did it today. I got beat, finished second, but I’m so proud of my horse and the way he did it today. Easy fractions on the lead, he galloped along – that’s the first time he did two turns. We tested him a little bit to see how far he could go, and he did it. He tried with one of the best horses in the country, and I give all the credit to the winner. But I would never complain with my horse and the way he did it.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Assistant trainer Beckham said, “He is good this morning. He put in a valiant effort yesterday going two turns for the first time. He took all the heat and kept battling. I am not sure, but knowing Chad I would not be surprised to see him go to Churchill for a couple of works."
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           April 17 NOTE: Highly Motivated galloped today at Keeneland and is scheduled to work there tomorrow. He is tentatively scheduled to be shipped to Churchill Downs on Monday. Per the Aqueduct press office, Highly Motivated is slated for the Kentucky Derby.
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           Trainer Brown said, “He’ll work a half-mile at Keeneland tomorrow. I thought he ran terrific in the Blue Grass, and he came out of it good.”
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           Brown's previous Kentucky Derby starters include Good Magic (second in 2018), Practical Joke f(fifth in 2017), Shagaf (20th in 2016), My Man Sam (11th in 2016) and Normandy Invasion (fourth in 2013).
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           April 18 NOTE: This morning at Keeneland: Highly Motivated in company with Founder breezed four furlongs in 47.20. Splits: 12.20, 23.60, 36.00, out five furlongs in 1:00.20, six in 1:15.60. Founder, a 3YO maiden debut winner from four starts, also worked in 47.20. If Highly Motivated comes out of this work in good shape, the Kentucky Derby will be the next target.
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            April 20 NOTE:
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           Trainer Brown speaks well of Highly Motivated
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           April 24 NOTE: Highly Motivated breezed five in 1:00.80 (11/29) at Churchill Downs. He breezed outside Southern District pretty much together to the wire. A nice gallop-out followed, followed by a solid pat on his neck. Initial fractions were 25.20 and 36.60. He was out six in 1:14.40, seven in 1:28.40.
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           Trainer Brown said, “I thought he breezed really well, and it went exactly how I wanted. I wasn’t afraid to give him a good solid breeze, and he did it and he did it well, with some in reserve too. He got over the track well, which I really wanted to see. He had been galloping well over it, but really, when you get to see a breeze, you can see more, obviously.”
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           April 24 VIDEO: Chad Brown after Highly Motivated's workout
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           10th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Chad Brown: “I thought I got a great trip, into the first turn and down the backside, and he just didn't fire today. I thought I got a hot setup and I wanted to be just behind that and that's where we were. He got over early, he saved ground on both turns; I got a dream trip. I hate to waste that kind of trip in the Derby on a horse that didn't fire today. It is what it is and we'll just have to regroup."
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           Javier Castellano: “We got into a good spot but just didn’t fire.”
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           HOT ROD CHARLIE (KY)
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           Derby Points: 110
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $962,000
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           Jockey: Flavien Prat
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           Trainer: Doug O'Neill
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           Owner: Roadrunner Racing, Boat Racing, LLC and Strauss, William
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           Breeder: Edward A. Cox Jr.
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Oxbow (Awesome Again (CAN), Tizamazing)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Indian Miss (Indian Charlie, Glacken's Gal)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-4-5-0-0 (10) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 11, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $17,000 Fasig Tipton February 2019; $110,000 Fasig-Tipton October 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 25. Barn 41.
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           Hot Rod Charlie broke his maiden in his fourth start, then was second at long odds in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, a close third in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes and the front-running winner of the Louisiana Derby.
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           Joel Rosario after winning the Louisiana Derby: “I wanted to get a little position. It didn’t look like there was much speed in the race. He broke well, and in the first turn I found myself on the lead. Working with him in the morning. He relaxes and you don’t have to get him in the race. It worked out really well. He handled the distance very well. Very impressive. With the horse coming on his outside (Midnight Bourbon), he really fought back. He doesn’t have to be on the lead. He can do anything. He can be a little bit off the pace and will run the same way.”
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           April 3 NOTE: At Santa Anita, Hot Rod Charlie worked four furlongs in 49.40 under Flavien Prat. Trainer O'Neill said, “He went the last eighth in 11 and change."
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           April 9 NOTE: Trainer O'Neill said, “If all goes well, our horse will breeze at Santa Anita every Saturday until the final one (April 24). He’s booked to fly to Kentucky the Sunday before (April 25). We have no jockey right now, but Rosario is supposed to let us know after the Arkansas Derby.” Rosario is to ride Concert Tour in the Arkansas Derby.
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           April 10 NOTE: Today at Santa Anita, he worked five in 1.01:20 (27/66) and was labeled the rare "breezing" by clockers at the track, but who knows if this really means anything or whether the clockers were given a heads-up the move would be "breezing". Most of the works out west look like breezes, but clockers label almost all of them handily.
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           April 12 NOTE: Flavien Prat has been booked to ride Hot Rod Charlie in the Kentucky Derby.
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           April 17 NOTE: Today at Santa Anita, Hot Rod Charlie worked six furlongs in 1:14.20, with Flavien Prat up. Prat also worked Dream Shake this morning. Trainer O'Neill said, “He looked solid. So far, so good.”
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           April 18 NOTE: Trainer O'Neill said, “Now it’s day to day to day, keep him injury free and keep moving forward. I would think having gone through the Derby twice before is an advantage. It is all horse-driven, based on who you’re going there with, but we’re very optimistic with Hot Rod Charlie. He’s already shown he can ship and perform well at the highest level. We’re excited, and the previous experience definitely is a benefit, I would think.”
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           April 24 NOTE: Hot Rod Charlie worked six furlongs 1:13.68 (2/4) under Flavien Prat at Santa Anita before the first race. He was set down while one length behind workmate Chasing Fame at the five furlong pole. He assumed command at the top of the stretch and worked past the wire to the seven furlong pole through splits of 24.46, 48.94 and 1:00.90. Santa Anita timer Dane Nelson had Hot Rod Charlie galloping out seven furlongs in 1:27.43. Next stop: Churchill Downs tomorrow.
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           Trainer O'Neill said, “I’m extremely grateful to the Santa Anita Racing Department for letting us work after training hours and before the races. I love the fresh track and not having to worry about traffic. I’m real happy with the way he breezed. We’re all set, looking forward to getting him to Churchill and finding out what our post position will be on Tuesday.”
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           Jockey Prat said, “I loved the way he went. He went really easy, and he went a solid three quarters, with a good gallop out. I loved his energy and the way he went by his stablemate. Essential Quality is the favorite, and we’re one of many horses who have a good chance. There’s no pressure, and I’m really excited to be riding this horse.”
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            April 26 VIDEO:
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           Doug O'Neill talks Hot Rod Charlie
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            April 27 NOTE:
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           Bill Strauss, a co-owner of Hot Rod Charlie, co-founded ProFlowers.com. Now he's looking for special flowers.
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           April 27 NOTE: Roadrunner Racing's Greg and Glenna Helm having fun in Louisville.
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           Third in the Kentucky Derby
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           Doug O’Neill: “I’m proud; very proud. He ran huge. It looked to me like he had a good trip. But Flavien might have a different take on that. We’re honored and blessed to have a horse like this. I’m so proud of him. And know for sure that he’ll be back.”
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           Flavien Prat: “He ran great.”
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           KEEPMEINMIND (KY)
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           Derby Points:18
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $409,707
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           Jockey: David Cohen
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           Trainer: Robertino Diodoro
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           Owner: Cypress Creek Equine, Bennewith, Arnold and Spendthrift Farm LLC
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           Breeder: Southern Equine Stables, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Laoban (Uncle Mo, Chattertown)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Inclination (Victory Gallop (CAN), Blockbuster)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-2-4-0-0 (6) 2.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 8, 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 14. Barn 46.
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           Keepmeinmind got off to a slow start this year after ending 2020 by winning the Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs. That win followed a place in the Breeders' Futurity and a show in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. His fortunes dipped when he finished sixth in the Rebel Stakes and fifth of six in the Arkansas Derby.
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           April 23 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Keepmeinmind went in company with Shasta Star, a very energetic move coming from behind on the inside and blowing on past, looks like he's enjoying his new environment but the initial splits were fast. Four furlongs in 46.20 (1/108). Splits 22.80, 34.40. Out five in 59.20. David Cohen was up.
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           Trainer Diodoro said, I am very happy with both of them (including Oaks candidate Ava's Grace).He worked really good today and he loves the track here, too. I just got a text from (Spendthrift), ‘very sharp’. It is a tough spot (outside looking in at the Derby field. If we don’t get in, we will train here for the Preakness.”
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           Commenting later,  jockey Cohen called the work “beautiful" and added, “He went very strong. I actually put him behind another one of our horses, about 10 lengths. Just wanted to give him a good target and wanted to give him something to pass. As soon as he got up by that horse and went up on the inside, there was a little traffic outside. Opted to just go up the rail. That was one thing he was dealing with early on in his career. He wasn’t wanting to go into some tight spots and kind of sucking out and giving up some much needed ground, which he did in the Breeders’ Cup prep and the Breeders’ Cup as well.”
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           April 24 NOTE: After defections, Keepemeinmind made the Kentucky Derby field.
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            April 24 VIDEO:
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           Spendthrift Farm general manager Ned Toffey on Keepmeinmind
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            April 27 NOTE:
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           Trainer Robertino Diodoro hasn't given up on Keepmeinmind.
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           Seventh in the Kentucky Derby
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           Robertino Diodoro: “The one thing we wanted was to get him back to his old ways and he relaxed the way we wanted. David (Cohen) said they started moving so fast he had to swing him out wider than we wanted. No excuses. We’re happy with the horse. You don’t want to be happy with seventh, but we are.”
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           David Cohen: “I have to be proud of his effort. He ran a good race and I’m very thankful for Robertino (Diodoro) for being so loyal to us.”
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           KING FURY (KY) - SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 20
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $207,595
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           Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: Fern Circle Stables and Three Chimneys Farm, LLC
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           Breeder: Heider Family Stables, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriff's Deputy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Taris (Flatter, Comedy)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index:6-6-12-0-0 (24) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Jan. 12, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $950,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs:  April 18. Barn 7.
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           He broke his maiden first time out, then won the Street Sense Stakes, his third race. He was given a break after running seventh in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and fifth in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes. On April 10, he made his sophomore debut in the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes.
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           Brian Hernandez Jr. after winning the Lexington Stakes: “They were going fast, and my horse, he actually jumped away from (the gate) really, really good. Then going around the turn, he went to hopping up and down from the dirt. Once he got down to the fence and midway down the backside, he went to traveling so good. I got to the five-eighths pole and went ‘Man, they’re in trouble from this point’ because he was just doing it the right way and traveling and taking us the whole way. He was so powerful today that I knew I would just be able to pick my way through like we did. He was just there for me the whole way.”
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           Kenny McPeek: “This has always been a really, really good horse. We were a little aggressive with him last fall. I’m going to give a big tip of the hat to the (co-owner) Three Chimneys team. They said, ‘Hey, send him to us for a little while. Let’s give him a little break'. He needed it. We tested him at the highest levels, and he came back bigger and stronger.”
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           “We’ll check him after this race. I think he’s going to handle a mile and a quarter without any trouble. Whether he gets in (the Kentucky Derby, it’s out of our control. We’ll see how he bounces out. We think a mile a quarter would be great. We'll look at the opposition. The Preakness is a great race too. It could be either-or, but it would definitely one or the other.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer McPeek said, “All good; we are real proud of him. If his points get him in to the Kentucky Derby, we will probably run. It is his home track and he has won there. If he doesn’t get in the Derby, he will run in the Preakness. He seems like a horse that is ready to do all that. We will have to see how that ball bounces. It is out of our control, but we will keep his work schedule the same.”
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           April 17 NOTE: With defections from the Derby still occurring, King Fury still has a shot to make the field.
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           April 24 NOTE: As of yesterday, he made it into the field.
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           April 24 NOTE: King Fury breezed five furlongs in 1:00.20 (6/29) at Churchill Downs. He made a good impression going solo with Brian Hernandez, Jr. on board. They began in 12.80, 25.20, 36.80 and 48.40. Out six furlongs in 112.80, seven in 126.60.
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           Jockey Hernandez said, “Everything was good. He did it with his ears up and he seems like he’s a happy horse. He’s got a little confidence in himself coming out of the Lexington. He’s coming into the Derby with some confidence.”
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           Trainer McPeek said, "We weren’t fretting about it too much. It was all up to a higher power, if we didn’t get in, then it was to go on to the Preakness.... We would have worked him the same today, if he was going to Baltimore or if he was staying here. He’s a steady horse, and he knows what to do. He grinds away and does it quickly. Two weeks and a day ago, I had no notion that we’d be thinking about him running in the Derby. But he ran such a powerful race in the Lexington, that he really deserves a chance. And he’s 2-for-3 here at Churchill, two really good first starts, so we know that he really likes the ground. We were always really high on him. For him to finally show the talent we knew he always had in the Lexington, it was really nice. We’re fortunate that now we’ve gotten in the back door for the Derby with our 20 points. Now we just have to give him a good, clean trip and let him show his stuff.”
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            April 25 VIDEO: 
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           Brian Hernandez Jr. talks about King Fury
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           April 30 NOTE: King Fury has been scratched due to an elevated temperature and white blood cell count.
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           KNOWN AGENDA (KY)
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           Derby Points: 102
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $461,100
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           Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: St. Elias Stable
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           Breeder: St. Elias Stables, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriff's Deputy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Byrama (GB) (Byron GB), Aymara (GB)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-5-8-4-1 (22) 1.44
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           Foal Date: March 22, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): RNA $135,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 12. Barn 42.
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           He broke his maiden second time out, then finished third in the Remsen Stakes in December. He flubbed by finishing fifth in the Sam F. Davis Stakes in his 3-year-old debut, but then rebounded to easily take a Gulfstream Park allowance race, followed by winning the Florida Derby.
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           Trainer Pletcher following the Florida Derby win: “I was really pleased with the progress he was making up the backside, because one of the things we were a little bit worried about was if he got stuck inside, he didn’t seem to handle that in the Remsen very well. A lot of horses are more confident when they’re outside in the clear. When he was making progress up the backside and picking off horses while he was inside and behind horses, I had a pretty good feeling at that point that he was running his race today and that it was a matter of – we’re going to find out how good he is.”
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           Irad Ortiz, Jr.: “The instructions were to try and stay as close as I can without going too crazy and start working my way out and put the horse in the clear outside. I saw a couple horses outside of me, and I had to take a hold to go around, and I said it was too much, so I just followed the flow of the race. I had to go to the rail, and it worked out great. When I took him out, he started rolling.”
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           April 9 NOTE: Breezed an easy half-mile in 50.25 at Palm Beach Downs in company with Colonel Liam, rated in the top 10 nationally.
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           April 11 NOTE: Trainer Pletcher said: “There’s some bad weather in Orlando, so they postponed the flight. He’ll train at Palm Beach Downs and then go (tomorrow). We were scheduled to go today and then all the bad weather came in. He’s doing excellent. We’re very happy with him. He’s showing good energy. He seems pleased with himself.... now we’ll get to Churchill and, hopefully, breeze on Friday there.” Pletcher said he plans to give Known Agenda two works at Churchill before the Derby. "He’s not one that’s going to put in some super quick breezes, but I feel like the mile and a quarter is right in his wheelhouse, and I like the way he’s doing.”
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           April 16 NOTE: From trackside at Churchill Downs, Todd Pletcher watched his four Derby contenders work shortly after 7:30. Known Agenda Sainthood were the first pair to work in company, and they were in lockstep throughout, going company five furlongs in 1:00.40 (9/36). They both last raced on March 27. Fractions were 12.60, 24.40 and 36.40. They galloped out together through six furlongs in 1:13.40. Irad Ortiz Jr. was aboard Known Agenda, and exercise rider Amelia Green rode Sainthood, who does not have a jockey publicly committed yet. Pletcher also sent out Bourbonic and Dynamic One to breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “Because of the spacing of their last two races (Florida Derby and Jeff Ruby Steaks), I wanted a more serious work out of them. I thought both horses got over the surface well, and that’s what was most important about getting them up here early to work over it. I paired these two together because of that spacing of their last race.”
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           April 19 VIDEO: Todd Pletcher discusses his Derby foursome.
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           April 23 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Known Agenda breezed inside of Sainthood, both going five furlongs in 1:01.00 (17/50). Initially 12.60, 24.40, 36.20. Out six in 1:14.20, seven in 1:27.20. Irad Ortiz, Jr. was in for the work.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “Known Agenda is not the most aggressive work horse. He is not an Always Dreaming (the 2017 Kentucky Derby winner) that will work in :59. He has had two good works here (1:00.40 last Friday), and I liked the way Sainthood worked with him.”
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           Ninth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “He never got into position. He made a move around the far turn but got shuffled back. I’m going to have to watch the replay.”
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           Irad Ortiz Jr.: “We made a move on the backside but just sort of flattened.”
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           LIKE THE KING (KY)
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           Derby Points: 104
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $161,300
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           Jockey: Drayden Van Dyke
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           Trainer: Wesley A. Ward
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           Owner: M Racing Group, LLC
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           Breeder: Horseshoe Racing LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Palace Malice (Curlin, Palace Rumor)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Like A Queen (Corinthian, Arcanum)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-8-7-0-0 (18) 4.14
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           Foal Date: Feb. 13, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $28,000 Keeneland November 2018; $170,000 October 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 27. Barn 41.
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           Made his Derby points winning the Jeff Ruby Steaks on synthetic at Turfway.
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           Pal
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           April 10 NOTE: At Keeneland, Like the King breezed six furlongs over the turf course rated firm in 1:16.00 under Drayden Van Dyke. He's set for two more works there on the main track before the Derby. He reportedly started far back of workmates Outadore and After Five, passing the former and making up five lengths on the latter. Trainer Ward said, “I wanted to make sure he got a lot out of it today. Those were two good horses in front of him. Outadore was third in the Breeders’ Cup (Juvenile Turf) and After Five was second in the Futurity at Belmont. He got a good blow today. I wanted Drayden on him today because it is only his second time on him. His next two works will be on the main track with Julio (Garcia) with the last one on (April 25) if the weather cooperates.”
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           April 17 NOTE: Like the King worked six furlongs in 1:12.80 (1/3) at Keeneland. With Julio Garcia aboard, Like the King started three lengths in back of 2020 Canadian champion female sprinter Artie’s Princess and drew even at the sixteenth pole.
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           At the conclusion of the work, trainer Wesley Ward and Gary Stevens, agent for Drayden Van Dyke, who will have the Derby mount, exchanged fist bumps with enthusiasm.
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           Trainer Ward said, “That was a good work, and the horse he worked with is a champion. He’ll work again next Saturday or Sunday.” Like the King is expected to van to Churchill Downs on April 27.
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           April 24 NOTE: Like the King breezed five furlongs in 1:01.00 (9/28) at Keeneland. Working in company with 4-year-old Artie’s Princess, the 2020 Sovereign Award winner as Canada’s champion female sprinter, Like the King started two lengths in back and edged clear at the wire, galloping out six furlongs in 1:15.40 with Julio Garcia aboard.
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           Trainer Ward said, “He was nice and smooth down the lane. He had that filly measured, as he did last week. He looked a lot smoother this week than last week. Last week he was kind of on the bridle. Today he was a lot more fluid. He’s a very difficult horse to gallop. He had a really, really strong last part of his gallop yesterday when a couple of workers came inside of him. So I wasn’t looking to go :59 or anything today.”
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           12th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Wesley Ward: “It was a great experience. The big question mark was if he would like the dirt. He worked great leading up to the race. We were very happy with the day but his future will be on the grass.”
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           Drayden Van Dyke: “He didn’t really handle the dirt.”
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           MANDALOUN (KY)
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           Derby Points: 52
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $270,000
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           Jockey: Florent Geroux
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Juddmonte Farms
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           Breeder: Juddmonte Farms Inc
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Brooch (Empire Maker, Daring Diva (GB))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-1-0-0 (6) 11.00
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           Foal Date: March 18, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Latter March. Barn 22.
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           Mandaloun went into the Louisiana Derby the 6-5 favorite off his impressive win of the Risen Star Stakes. He threw a clunker, finishing sixth of eight, beaten 11 3/4 lengths by Hot Rod Charlie.
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           Trainer Cox after the race: “He was flat and we’re disappointed. There’s no other way to say it. I don’t know. Obviously, this is a nice horse that won the race and he backed up Essential Quality’s form (second to him in Breeders' Cup Juvenile) pretty good. I was happy with the trip. He was three wide and stalking the winner, but at the half-mile pole it looked like we were in trouble. I have no excuse right now, we’ll just have to see. It’s frustrating but it’s part of it. I can’t ask him to train any better, and I don’t think I would have done anything different. We’ll just regroup.”
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           Florent Geroux: “He was a little flat today and I ran out of gas late. I’m disappointed. I had the same trip I had the first two times (in the Lecomte and Risen Star). I was tracking the horses that ran one-two (today) and, for some reason, just came up really empty when it was time to run. It’s disappointing. That’s why these preps are made, to see where you are at for the Derby. Off that effort I really don’t know what he’ll do. He’s already in (the Kentucky Derby), but I don’t know. He was traveling great on the backside, I almost thought I had to slow him down because he was doing so good. But when it was time to run, he just didn’t have it.”
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           April 10 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Mandaloun breezed outside Bonny South, gettting five furlongs in 58.80 (1/28). Splits were 23.40 and 46.60, and he was out six in 1:11.40 and seven in 125.60. The track looks to have been playing fast. Trainer Cox said, “They both worked fast but looked like they were doing it really easy.”
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           April 17 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Mandaloun breezed six furlongs in 1:11.40 (1/3) first thing this morning with Florent Geroux aboard in company with maiden winner Colonel Bowman. The track was tight. The duo began their six-furlong move from the five-eighths pole and cruised through splits of 12.40, 24.20, 35.60 and 58.80. Mandaloun extended his stride in front of Colonel Bowman through a seven-furlong gallop out in 1:25.20 and a mile in 1:41.60. Colonel Bowman’s final six-furlong time was 1:11.80.
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           Trainer Cox said, "He worked great. We were all puzzled after the Louisiana Derby, but he’s been doing great since that race. Maybe that was just a head scratcher. He’s a really good looking son of Into Mischief, and we know he’s better than what we saw in his last start.” Cox said he likes to work his horses early while the track is tight and they can skip over it.
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            April 17 VIDEO:
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           Trainer Cox discusses Mandaloun and Essential Quality
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            April 17 VIDEO:
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           Jockey Geroux on Mandaloun
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           April 24 NOTE: Mandaloun breezed five furlongs in 1:00.00 (4/29) at Churchill Downs with Florent Geroux up. He made up about eight lengths on workmate Joe Frazier before they got to the wire -- after splits of 23.20, 35.60 and 47.60. He galloped out six furlongs energetically in 1:12.60 and seven in an eased-down 1:27.20.
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           Jockey Gerox said, “Going into the pole, Joe Frazier was a little bit strong and I didn’t want to ask Mandaloun to catch up to him too much. I didn’t want to get him in the bit too early, so we started six or seven lengths behind but going around the turn he really picked up the pace. He has a big stride to him and was full of himself getting over this track.”
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            April 17 VIDEO:
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           Trainer Cox discusses Essential Quality, Mandaloun
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            April 24 VIDEO:
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           Florent Geroux after Mandaloun's work
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           Second in the Kentucky Derby
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           Brad Cox: “He ran huge. He saved ground along the inside, battled and battled hard, thought he had a shot to win it there, We just came up a little short.”
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           Florent Geroux: “He absolutely ran his heart out. Words can’t describe how proud I am of him. What a race and what a horse. Well done to trainer Brad Cox. He got him ready to run off the Louisiana Derby effort. He showed us he is the horse we always thought. We just got beat.”
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           MEDINA SPIRIT (FL)
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           Derby Points: 74
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $290,000
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           Jockey: John Velazquez
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           Trainer: Bob Baffert
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           Owner: Zedan Racing Stables Inc
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           Breeder: Gail Rice
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Protonico (Giant's Causeway, Alpha Spirit)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Mongolian Changa (Brilliant Speed, Bridled)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-6-15-0-0 (24) 2.20
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           Foal Date: April 5, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $1,000 OBS Winter 2019; $35,000 OBS July 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs:  April 23. Barn 33.
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           This inexpensive purchase hasn't finished worse than second in five starts, four of which have come in graded stakes. He won his debut, finished second in the Sham Stakes, won the Robert B. Lewis, and finished second in both the San Felipe Stakes and the Santa Anita Derby.
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           John Velazaquez after finishing second in the Santa Anita Derby: “The horse ran well, but the winner took the lead on a fast track and kept running. My horse kept coming and kept coming but couldn’t catch up. He did have some left in the tank at the end, and he kept coming, but the other horse got away pretty well and opened up again. It was too hard to catch up.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Baffert said, “He ran a game race like he always does. The winner was very impressive, but our horse showed up, he ran his race, he came out of it well and we’ve got four weeks to sharpen him up. He’ll be right there. He’s always going to be tough; he tries hard all the time.”
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           April 16 NOTE: At Santa Anita, Medina Spirit worked five furlongs in 1:00.00 (4/43). He's scheduled to leave for Kentucky April 23 or 25. Trainer Baffert said, “He worked five eighths, galloped out strong and looked good" adding that the Derby “looks very wide open.”
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           April 23 NOTE: At Santa Anita on April 22, Medina Spirit worked outside of 4yo stakes horse Azul Coast, going six furlongs on 1:12.20 (1/3).
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            April 27 NOTE:
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           Bob Baffert talks about Medina Spirit with Chad Summers for worldhorseracing.com.
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            ﻿
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           First in the Kentucky Derby
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           Bob Baffert: “This little horse coming in here, he’s always shown he’s an overachiever. His heart is bigger than his body. When he turned for home, something just told me. He reminded me of Silver Charm (Baffert’s 1st Derby winner). He doesn’t know how much he cost. He wouldn’t let anyone pass him. Mr. Zedan wanted to come to the Derby with a $45,000 horse. I thought we’d see what happens. This horse, the way he ran, I didn’t know he had it in him. Johnny Velazquez is unbelievable. He’s so cool. He told me last night not to underestimate this horse. He’s better than you think.”
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           John Velazquez: “Every time I asked him to give more he kept fighting on. You couldn’t ask for more of a horse. When you ride a horse like this who is competitive you can’t ask for anything else.”
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           MIDNIGHT BOURBON (KY)
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           Derby Points: 66
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $430,000
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           Jockey: Mike Smith
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
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           Breeder: Stonestreet Thoroughbred Holdings LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tiznow (Cee's Tizzy, Cee's Song)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Catch the Moon (Malibu Moon, Catch My Fancy)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-2-8-0-0 (14) 2.50
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           Foal Date: Jan. 25, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $525,000 Keeneland September 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Latter March. Barn 38.
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           Midnight Bourbon has never finished off the board. Through seven lifetime starts, he’s recorded two wins, two seconds and three third-place finishes. Most recently, he finished second to Hot Rod Charlie in the $1 million TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby.
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           Joe Talamo after finishing second in the Louisiana Derby: “We got a perfect trip and turning for home I had a lot of horse and I thought we had it. We just got outfinished. Hats off to the winner, he ran huge and fought back on me. I think this distance suits this horse and I think he will be fine.”
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           April 4 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Midnight Bourbon breezed five in 1.01:20 (5/11).
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           April 11 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Midnight Bourbon breezed five furlongs in 1:00.40 (1/15) outside of stablemate Jackie’s Warrior through fractions of 12.40, 24.80 and 36.80. They galloped out together through five furlongs in 1:13.20 and seven in 1:27.40.
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           April 19 NOTE: At Churchill Downs during the Derby-Oaks training window, Midnight Bourbon breezed outside Bajan Rum going five furlongs in 59.80. Initial splits were 12.40, 24.00, 35.60. He was out six in 1:12.80 and seven in 1:26.00. Bajan Rum is a Turfway maiden winner second time out off a long layoff.
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           April 19 VIDEO: Trainer Asmussen after Midnight Bourbon's workout.
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           April 24 VIDEO: Steve Asmussen on a variety of subjects.
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           April 26 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Midnight Bourbon went five furlongs in 1:02.40 under exercise rider Wilson Fabian. He posted splits of 24.40 and 49.60 and galloped out six furlongs in 1:16.20.
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “I’m very happy with how he went. We got exactly what we wanted, and he continues to do very well.”
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           Sixth in the Kentucky Derby
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          Steve Asmussen: “We missed the break and that’s the only thing I thought he’d do right.”
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          Mike Smith: “We simply missed the break.”
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           O BESOS (KY)
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           Derby Points: 25
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $116,000
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           Jockey: Marcelino Pedroza
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           Trainer: Gregory D. Foley
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           Owner: Bernard Racing LLC, Tagg Team Racing and West Point Thoroughbreds
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           Breeder: L. Barrett Bernard
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Orb (Malibu Moon, Lady Liberty)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Snuggs and Kisses (Soto, With a Splash)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-5-7-0-0 (16) 3.57
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           Foal Date: March 4, 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Latter March. Barn 11.
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           Trainer Foley after running third at long odds to Hot Rod Charlie and Midnight Bourbon in the Louisiana Derby: “He answered that distance question today. He galloped out in front. It would have been nice to finish second. We sure have to think about it (the Kentucky Derby). The biggest thing was would he go that far, and I think he answered the ground question as good or better than any of them in there.”
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           April 8 NOTE: Trainer Foley said, “We’ll prepare like we can get in the Derby. If not, we’ll go to the Pat Day (Mile).
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           April 17 NOTE: O Besos now in the top 20 in preference to make the Derby field.
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           April 22 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, O Besos impressed onlookers with his development as he breezed four furlongs in 48.00 (8/39) with track clockers getting initial splits of 12.00 and 36.20, out five furlongs in 1:00, six in 112.60 and seven in 1:26.40. He started the workout proper midway through the far turn, and it ended midway through the first turn. Mike Welsch, who clocks for DRF, tweeted, "O’Besos extremely impressive officially working 4F from 3/8 in 48.13 but that was just the beginning, really accelerated around the turn kept finding more 5F 59.70 3/4 112.59 up 7/8 126.27."
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           Trainer Foley said, “We’re really pleased with how the overall work went and how strong he galloped out/ Our horse has shown improvement in every start so far. We think leading up to the Derby, he’s going to keep showing that improvement and run a big effort. He’ll be ready to make a run at the field at the top of the stretch. We had some distance questions when we ran in the Louisiana Derby, but he was the only horse in the field that day who was making up any ground.”
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            April 22 VIDEOS:
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           Marcelino Pedroza
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            Jr. and 
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           Greg Foley
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           Fifth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Greg Foley: “I’m so proud of our horse. He tried so hard. We got a great trip. He settled well after getting a little rank going down the stretch.”
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           Marcelino Pedroza: “He got a little head strong in the stretch for the first time but I got him settled into the perfect spot. He was moving so comfortably around the turn and we got in the perfect spot to make a run at the leaders. He’s a phenomenal horse.”
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           ROCK YOUR WORLD (KY)
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $510,000
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: John W. Sadler
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           Owner: Hronis Racing LLC and Talla Racing LLC
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           Breeder: Ron McAnally &amp;amp; Deborah McAnally
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Candy Ride (ARG), Ride the Rails, Candy Girl (ARG))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Charm the Maker (Empire Maker, Charm the Giant (IRE))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-4-8-1-0 (16) 2.20
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           Foal Date: Feb. 28, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $650,000 Keeneland September 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 25. Barn 43.
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           Picked out by bloodstock agent David Ingordo, who also picked out Zenyatta, Stellar Wind, Honor Code, Lady Eli, Ball Dancing....
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           Rock Your World ran twice on turf to begin his career, winning both a maiden sprint in January and the one-mile Pasadena Stakes in February, before leading all the way to win the Santa Anita Derby on a track that was favoring speed a bit.
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           Trainer Sadler after winning the Santa Anita Derby: “We have been laying in the weeds. I thought it would be good to start this horse off on the turf, much like Omaha Beach, and develop. The plan was to run him a couple of times on the turf, and now it was time to get the points. We gotta get the points to think about going to Kentucky. We knew we had to be either one or two today to have enough points to go. Umberto Rispoli has been a great addition to our jockey colony here. The post dictated our strategy. I saw Umberto in the paddock this morning at 8 a.m., and I told him go big or go home. We had to get out of there with the scratch inside of us. It worked out great, and I’m very excited.”
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           Umberto Rispoli: No quote
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           Part owner Kosta Hronis: “It (nervous feeling) kind of started Wednesday at the draw, and it gets harder to sleep at night. I finally decided to put my iPad down and not read anything, then I’m watching the TV yesterday and I got excited again and didn’t sleep. Things came together and thank God, John Sadler has done a great job, Juan Leva and Alex Bosano, everybody on the backside they made all this happen. They did a great job with the horse. We told Umberto to be aggressive, but if somebody was going to go, let them go. But I think he just felt comfortable, it was just kind of the thing you had to come out and compete right off the bat, and he did. He rode a great race, I think he knew he had the horse to do it. We get to go to the Kentucky Derby, that’s going to be a fun day. We’re going to try to enjoy this for today, and with three year olds, he’s only had three starts, making his fourth start in his career in the Kentucky Derby, I guess we really have nothing to lose. Just go in there and enjoy it.”
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           THE NEXT DAY: Trainer Sadler said, “We’re still enjoying this win. This is Easter Sunday, so Monday we’ll look at the calendar, but he would have a traditional California pattern where we’ll train here and go to Kentucky the week of the race. You’re hoping, but it’s one of those things, you don’t know until you do it. We’re thrilled the way things worked out. I’ve never won the Derby, but last time I was there, we won the Breeders’ Cup Classic (in 2018 with Accelerate), so I’m looking forward to going back to Louisville. We’ve run four horses in the Kentucky Derby before but haven’t won. Umberto has been a great addition to our jockey colony . . . I was kind of shocked hearing this was his first Grade I win here. He did so well last year, I thought he would have picked up one already. He’s a good kid, very competitive.”
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           April 17 NOTE: Today at Santa Anita, Rock Your World worked five furlongs in 59.60 in company with stablemate Tripoli, who was clocked in 1:00.20, about three lengths slower. Trainer Sadler said he plans to have one more breeze at Santa Anita for Rock Your World, likely next Saturday, before shipping to Kentucky.
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           He added, “I had him going a minute for five furlongs with Serapio Figueroa riding, in company with Tripoli. It was a pretty effortless work, just smooth and relaxed. I was very happy.”
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           April 17 NOTE: Umberto Rispoli replaced with Joel Rosario.
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           April 18 NOTE: Trainer Sadler said, “Let’s be very clear here, I was rooting for Concert Tour to win the Arkansas Derby, and this is all a non-conversation. We decided to wait until after the Concert Tour race to see what was gonna happen, and nobody could’ve predicted that, really. I mean, he was one to five or whatever and then he didn’t run on.
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           “So, when Joel came available…You know, these are agonizing decisions and not easy. I want to be very clear, I think the world of Rispoli and I think the world of his riding. He’s a terrific rider on our circuit and he’s been a great addition to California and will continue to be. But, I had to make a call and this is the call I made…History will tell whether I’m right or wrong. Things could go bad, you know, overnight in this game, but this is the decision we made for this race, so you know, we have to live with it and go forward.
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           “We think with (Joel’s) experience over the track…And just my relationship with him and these owners (Hronis Racing, LLC and Talla Racing, LLC)…this gives us our strongest position. So, this is what we’re going to do…I would love for somebody to look this up. Am I the trainer that Joel Rosario has won the most races for in his career? I think so…We were winning titles together at Del Mar and if you say, ‘Okay, Rosario with Chad Brown or Rosario with Todd Pletcher. Which trainer has the most wins with this jock?’ I think it’s me.
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           “I’ll be shocked if it isn’t…One of the great stats in racing history is Russell Baze and Jerry Hollendorfer. It’s like, there’s nobody even close. You know, the runs they had together…So, there’s definitely some good chemistry there and we just gotta hope things go our way in Kentucky.”
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           April 24 NOTE: Rock Your World worked with exercise rider Cerapio Figueroa aboard. He went five furlongs in 59.20 (3/67), with stablemate Best Chance, who was clocked in 1:00.00. He'll be shipped to Kentucky tomorrow.
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           Trainer Sadler said, “He breezed very well. “He looked good, nice and smooth. It was kind of a repeat of last week. We didn’t want to do too much because he’s right where he wants to be already. We’re happy. It was just what we were after. He went very well, was well within himself throughout and galloped out strongly.”
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            April 26 VIDEO:
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           John Sadler in town with Rock Your World
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           17th in the Kentucky Derby
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           John Sadler: “We got squeezed at the start and we were done. No chance.”
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           Joel Rosario: “It was pretty much over after the break. We got out of position from there and it was a tough trip to overcome in a race like the Derby.”
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           SAINTHOOD (KY)
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $47,500
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           Jockey: Corey Lanerie
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: WinStar Farm LLC and CHC INC.
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           Breeder: Edward Taylor &amp;amp; Springland Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Mshawish (Medaglia d'Oro, Thunder Bayou)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Lemon Hero (Lemon Drop Kid, Bright Gold)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-2-5-3-0 (14) 1.55
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           Foal Date: May 15, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $100,000 Keeneland January 2019; RNA $90,000 Keeneland September 2019; $62,000 OBS October 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 11. Barn 42.
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           Sainthood ran second sprinting on debut in January at Gulfstream Park, broke his maiden at Fair Grounds next time out while routing for the first time, and got his Derby points with a second-place finish in the Jeff Ruby Steaks.
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           April 9 NOTE: At Keeneland, Sainthood breezed a half-mile in company with maiden winner Donegal Bay in :48.60 with Amelia Green in the saddle. Sainthood produced initial fractions of 12.80, 24.60 and 48.60 and was out five-eighths in 1:01.00, six in 1:13.80 and seven in 1:27.60.
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           April 9 NOTE: WinStar President/CEO and Racing Manager Elliott Walden said “We are planning on (running in the Derby). He worked great. It was textbook.”
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           April 16 NOTE: From trackside at Churchill Downs, Todd Pletcher watched his four Derby contenders work shortly after 7:30. Known Agenda Sainthood were the first pair to work in company, and they were in lockstep throughout, going company five furlongs in 1:00.40 (9/36). They both last raced on March 27. Fractions were 12.60, 24.40 and 36.40. They galloped out together through six furlongs in 1:13.40. Irad Ortiz Jr. was aboard Known Agenda, and exercise rider Amelia Green rode Sainthood, who does not have a jockey publicly committed yet. Pletcher also sent out Bourbonic and Dynamic One to breeze.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “Because of the spacing of their last two races (Florida Derby and Jeff Ruby Steaks), I wanted a more serious work out of them. I thought both horses got over the surface well, and that’s what was most important about getting them up here early to work over it. I paired these two together because of that spacing of their last race.”
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            April 17 NOTE:
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           Breaking news this evening: Joel Rosario will replace Umberto Rispoli on Rock Your World in the Kentucky Derby.
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           April 19 VIDEO: Todd Pletcher discusses his Derby foursome.
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           April 23 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Known Agenda breezed inside of Sainthood, both going five furlongs in 1:01.00 (17/50). Initially 12.60, 24.40, 36.20. Out six in 1:14.20, seven in 1:27.20.
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           Trainer Pletcher said, “Known Agenda is not the most aggressive work horse. He is not an Always Dreaming (the 2017 Kentucky Derby winner) that will work in :59. He has had two good works here (1:00.40 last Friday), and I liked the way Sainthood worked with him.”
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           11th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “He never got into position.”
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           Corey Lanerie: “I couldn’t have gotten into a better spot but he just didn’t have enough to get it done.”
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           SOUP AND SANDWICH (FL)
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $161,000
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           Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
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           Trainer: Mark E. Casse
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           Owner: Live Oak Plantation
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           Breeder: Live Oak Stud
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Souper Scoop (Tapit, Scoop)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-6-0-0 (14) 3.67
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           Foal Date: March 30, 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 7. Barn 36.
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           Soup and Sandwich has not finished off the board in three lifetime starts. He dominated Florida-bred competition in his debut at Gulfstream by 7 1/4 lengths. He returned in a first-level allowance at Tampa Bay Downs where he beat only two rivals by 2 3/4 lengths. He finished second, 2 3/4 lengths behind winner Known Agenda, in the Florida Derby on March 27 after dueling on the lead most of the race.
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           Mark Casse after a runner-up finish in the Florida Derby: “I was very pleased, especially if he ever learns what he’s doing. Johnny (Velazquez) said he had to fight with him a little. He stayed on his left lead all the way down the stretch. He’s like that in the morning, too. The thing that will help him is it was a little difficult to ship him down from Palm Meadows. It got him a little worked up. He’ll run a lot better out of his stall at Churchill Downs.”
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           April 11 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Soup and Sandwich worked a half-mile in company outside two-time winner Natural Power in 48.80 (8/17) under Declan Carroll. Initial splits were 12.60 and 24.60, and he galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60 and seven in 1:27.40. Natural Power was timed in 49.20, about two lengths slower.
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           Assistant trainer David Carroll: “This was the first time I’ve seen him work, because he’s been in Florida. He has a big stride on him and really got over the track well. I told Declan to just let him do his thing and gallop out nicely. I think he’s starting to find his stride. The Derby will be the first time he’ll be led over from his own stall, and I think it’ll benefit him getting experience over the track.”
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           April 17 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Soup and Sandwich (7/40) breezed five furlongs in 59.80 today at 7:30 a.m. with Tyler Gaffalione on board in company with four-time winner Epic Dreamer. The track was tight. His opening fractions were12.40, 24.20 and 35.20. Soup and Sandwich began drawing clear of his workmate at the wire and galloped out strongly in front with a six-furlong time of 1:12.40 and seven in 1:25.20.
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           Trainer Casse isn't at Churchill Downs. Assistant trainer David Carroll said, “This horse is just starting to figure things around the racetrack. Tyler was in cruise control around there, and that gallop out was great.”
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            April 17 VIDEO:
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           Tyler Gaffalione interviewed about Soup and Sandwich
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           April 23 NOTE: At Churchill Downs under Tyler Gaffalione, Soup and Sandwich breezed outside Peace Achieved four furlongs in an easy 50:00 (78/108). Early splits were 12.40, 25.00, and he was out five furlongs in 1:03 like stable mate Helium earlier today.
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           Assistant trainer David Carroll said, “Very happy with both of them (Helium and Soup and Sandwich). Soup and Sandwich was a little rank going to the pole but he’s a horse that likes to train. We only jogged him two miles the other day so he was a little fresh. He was anxious to get going but once he broke off he was very smooth the whole way, switched leads, galloped out nicely, and came home great; you couldn’t ask for anything better. These were the works we wanted for the final pieces of works. Both horses are in great shape so hopefully we have a good week and we have a good draw.”
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           19th and last in the Kentucky Derby
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            Mark Casse: “We’ll regroup and see where we go from here.”
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           Tyler Gaffalione: “We got away from the gate good but he faded late.”
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           SUPER STOCK (KY)
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           Derby Points: 109
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $709,000
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           Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: Woolsey, Erv and Asmussen, Keith
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           Breeder: Pedro Gonzalez &amp;amp; P. J. Gonzalez
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Dialed In (Mineshaft, Miss Doolittle)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Super Girlie (Closing Argument, Beafleet)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-2-5-0-0 (10) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 12, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $70,000 Keeneland September 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 14. Barn 38.
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           Super Stock was usually around before winning the Arkansas Derby. After winning at third asking, he was third in the Iroquois, third in the Breeders' Futurity, second in the Street Sense (at Churchill Downs) and fourth in the Rebel Stakes.
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           Ricardo Santana Jr., after the Arkansas Derby: “We got a beautiful trip. I was talking to Mr. Steve for about two weeks about this race. The post was perfect. We both liked breaking from #1.We knew there was some speed, and everything came out perfect. It was a really important win for Steve and his family. I’m really blessed to be the one they chose to ride this race.”
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           Winning trainer Steve Asmussen: “It worked perfectly. We wanted to use his post position. I thought he used his post position into the first turn extremely well. Those horses went :46 2/5 for a half-mile. Plenty solid factions, carried him nicely. He got up behind them a little quicker than we thought he would, obviously, in the stretch. My confidence level was, he was going to run really good. I've been in races like that, that you have no control over how good or bad somebody else runs. But I felt like that he was going to represent extremely well. He's been touting himself all week."
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           ApriL 11 NOTE: Trainer Asmussen said Super Stock emerged in “fantastic” shape from his Arkansas Derby win and is scheduled to be flown early this week to Kentucky.
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           April 24 NOTE: At Churchill Downs, Super Stock breezed in a typically Asmussen-barn moderate 1:01.20 (16/29) outside a runner from Derby 146, Max Player. Per track clockers as always, early fractions were 12.80, 24.60, 36.40. He was out six furlongs in 1:14.60 and seven in 128.00.
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           Trainer Asmussen said, “He went perfect and he gave us exactly what we were looking for. I think that the horse’s confidence level is at an all-time high, he goes really well over this racetrack, and I couldn’t feel any better about him going into the Derby.”
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            April 24 VIDEO:
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           Steve Asmussen on a variety of subjects
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            April 27 NOTE:
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           Erv Woolsey, who knows the ins and outs of Nashville, tells an ironic tale of bad luck and good fortune.
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           16th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Steve Asmussen: No comment available.
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           Ricardo Santana Jr.: “Didn’t have it today.”
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      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Apr 2021 13:37:16 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/profiles-of-potential-kentucky-derby-entries</guid>
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      <title>TDP: Derby 2021 Horse Profiles</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-2021-horse-profiles</link>
      <description>This page shows facts, figures and the people behind potential Kentucky Derby entriese.</description>
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           Kentucky Derby Entries
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           In Alphabetical Order
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           Facts, Figures And The People Behind Them
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           Trainer, Jockey Quotes Post-Derby
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           Posted April 11, 2021
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           Last updated May 2, 2021
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           BOURBONIC (KY)
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $400,000
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           Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Calumet Farm
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           Breeder: Calumet Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Bernardini (A.P. Indy, Cara Rafaela)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Dancing Afleet (Afleet Alex, Mrs Vanderbilt)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-8-0-0 (16) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 7, 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 12. Barn 42.
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           13th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “He never got into position… I’m going to have to watch the replay.”
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           Kendrick Carmouche: “I just never could get a good run at them.”
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           BROOKLYN STRONG (NY)
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           Derby Points: 10
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $112,500
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           Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
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           Trainer: Danny Velazquez
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           Owner: Mark Schwartz
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           Breeder: Cheryl Prudhomme &amp;amp; Dr. Michael Gallivan
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Wicked Strong (Hard Spun, Moyne Abbey)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Riviera Chic (Medaglia d'Oro, Hurricane Warning)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-4-4-1-0 (12) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Jan. 20, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $30,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Fall 2018; $42,000 RNA Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2019; $6,000 RNA OBS October 2019; $5,000 OBS April 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 27.
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           15th in the Kentucky Derby
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            Danny Velazquez: “It’s a tough load with 20 horses. You’re in there a long time. Umberto (Rispoli) said he wasn’t standing correctly and he broke a little slow. Our horse was really trying. No harm, no foul. If he comes back OK, we’ll go to the Belmont.
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           Umberto Rispoli: “He broke a little slow out of the gate but he tried.”
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           DYNAMIC ONE (KY)
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           Derby Points:40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $140,000
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           Jockey: Jose Ortiz
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: Repole Stable, Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable
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           Breeder: Phipps Stable
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Union Rags (Dixie Union, Tempo)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Beat the Drums (Smart Strike (CAN), Storm Flag Flying)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 6-6-11-1-0 (24) 2.69
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           Foal Date: Feb. 2, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $725,000 Keeneland September 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 12. Barn 42.
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           18th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “We could never get in positon.”
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            Jose Ortiz: “Didn’t fire.”
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           ESSENTIAL QUALITY (KY)
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           Derby Points: 140
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $2,210,000
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           Jockey: Luis Saez
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Godolphin, LLC
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           Breeder: Godolphin
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tapit (Pulpit, Tap Your Heels)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Delightful Quality (Elusive Quality, Contrive)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 5-12-14-1-0 (32) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 9, 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 5. Barn 22.
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           Fourth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Brad Cox: “He didn’t get the greatest trip as he was wide around both turns. That can happen when you start from the 14 hole, especially when don’t get off to a good start. He was leaning out on the far turn and Luis (Saez) said he was shying away from the other horses. We will just have to regroup. Proud of both horses. They trained well and just wish the order of finish was just a little different.”
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           Luis Saez: “He bumped pretty good (with Rock Your World) out of the gate. We ended up getting pretty wide the entire trip which didn’t help either.”
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           HELIUM (KY)
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $255,492
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           Jockey: Julien Leparoux
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           Trainer: Mark E. Casse
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           Owner: D. J. Stable LLC
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           Breeder: Teneri Farm Inc. &amp;amp; Bernardo Alvarez Calderon
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Ironicus (Distorted Humor, Meghan's Joy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Thundering Emilia (Thunder Gulch, Saint Emilia (PER))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-3-7-0-0 (14) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 1, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $55,000 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October 2019
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           Eighth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Mark Casse: “He finished mid-pack but just wasn’t good enough.”
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           Julien Leparoux: “I got him in a good spot out of the break and he just flattened.”
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           HIDDEN STASH (KY)
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           Derby Points: 32
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $130,000
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           Jockey: Rafael Bejarano
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           Trainer: Victoria H. Oliver
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           Owner: BBN Racing, LLC
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           Breeder: Rhineshire Farm LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Constitution (Tapit, Baffled)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Making Mark Money (Smart Strike (CAN), Kapsiki)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 6-10-12-0-0 (28) 3.67
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           Foal Date: March 15, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $50,000 Keeneland September 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 27. Barn 20.
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           14th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Vicki Oliver: “He looks like he came out of it OK. He ate a lot of dirt but we scoped him and he’s fine. I just jogged him in the shedrow and he’s tired but he should be OK. He ran his race. Rafael (Bejarano) said he broke real good, but he had to check him several times. Horses were in front of him and there was nowhere to go.”
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           Rafael Bejarano: “I didn’t want to try and get him out of his rhythm too soon but when I needed to go he was just flat.”
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           HIGHLY MOTIVATED (KY)
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           Derby Points: 50
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $271,000
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           Jockey: Javier Castellano
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           Trainer: Chad C. Brown
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           Owner: Klaravich Stables, Inc.
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           Breeder: Klaravich Stables
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Strong Incentive (CAN) (Warrior's Reward, G. G.'s Dolly)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-1-1-1-0 (4) 1.67
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           Foal Date: March 23, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $240,000 Keeneland November 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 19. Barn 25.
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           10th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Chad Brown: “I thought I got a great trip, into the first turn and down the backside, and he just didn't fire today. I thought I got a hot setup and I wanted to be just behind that and that's where we were. He got over early, he saved ground on both turns; I got a dream trip. I hate to waste that kind of trip in the Derby on a horse that didn't fire today. It is what it is and we'll just have to regroup."
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           Javier Castellano: “We got into a good spot but just didn’t fire.”
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           HOT ROD CHARLIE (KY)
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           Derby Points: 110
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $962,000
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           Jockey: Flavien Prat
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           Trainer: Doug O'Neill
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           Owner: Roadrunner Racing, Boat Racing, LLC and Strauss, William
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           Breeder: Edward A. Cox Jr.
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Oxbow (Awesome Again (CAN), Tizamazing)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Indian Miss (Indian Charlie, Glacken's Gal)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 1-4-5-0-0 (10) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 11, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $17,000 Fasig Tipton February 2019; $110,000 Fasig-Tipton October 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 25. Barn 41.
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          Third in the Kentucky Derby
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          Doug O’Neill: “I’m proud; very proud. He ran huge. It looked to me like he had a good trip. But Flavien might have a different take on that. We’re honored and blessed to have a horse like this. I’m so proud of him. And know for sure that he’ll be back.”
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          Flavien Prat: “He ran great.”
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           KEEPMEINMIND (KY)
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           Derby Points:18
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $409,707
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           Jockey: David Cohen
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           Trainer: Robertino Diodoro
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           Owner: Cypress Creek Equine, Bennewith, Arnold and Spendthrift Farm LLC
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           Breeder: Southern Equine Stables, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Laoban (Uncle Mo, Chattertown)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Inclination (Victory Gallop (CAN), Blockbuster)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 0-2-4-0-0 (6) 2.00
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           Foal Date: Feb. 8, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 14. Barn 46.
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          Seventh in the Kentucky Derby
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          Robertino Diodoro: “The one thing we wanted was to get him back to his old ways and he relaxed the way we wanted. David (Cohen) said they started moving so fast he had to swing him out wider than we wanted. No excuses. We’re happy with the horse. You don’t want to be happy with seventh, but we are.”
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          David Cohen: “I have to be proud of his effort. He ran a good race and I’m very thankful for Robertino (Diodoro) for being so loyal to us.
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           KING FURY (KY) - SCRATCHED
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           Derby Points: 20
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $207,595
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           Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
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           Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
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           Owner: Fern Circle Stables and Three Chimneys Farm, LLC
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           Breeder: Heider Family Stables, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriff's Deputy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Taris (Flatter, Comedy)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index:6-6-12-0-0 (24) 3.00
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           Foal Date: Jan. 12, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $950,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 18. Barn 7.
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           SCRATCHED on April 30: Elevated temperature, white blood cell count.
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           KNOWN AGENDA (KY)
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           Derby Points: 102
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $461,100
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           Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: St. Elias Stable
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           Breeder: St. Elias Stables, LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Curlin (Smart Strike (CAN), Sherriff's Deputy)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Byrama (GB) (Byron GB), Aymara (GB)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-5-8-4-1 (22) 1.44
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           Foal Date: March 22, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): RNA $135,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 12. Barn 42.
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           Ninth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “He never got into position. He made a move around the far turn but got shuffled back. I’m going to have to watch the replay.”
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           Irad Ortiz Jr.: “We made a move on the backside but just sort of flattened.”
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           LIKE THE KING (KY)
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           Derby Points: 104
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $161,300
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           Jockey: Drayden Van Dyke
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           Trainer: Wesley A. Ward
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           Owner: M Racing Group, LLC
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           Breeder: Horseshoe Racing LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Palace Malice (Curlin, Palace Rumor)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Like A Queen (Corinthian, Arcanum)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-8-7-0-0 (18) 4.14
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           Foal Date: Feb. 13, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $28,000 Keeneland November 2018; $170,000 October 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 27. Barn 41.
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           12th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Wesley Ward: “It was a great experience. The big question mark was if he would like the dirt. He worked great leading up to the race. We were very happy with the day but his future will be on the grass.”
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           Drayden Van Dyke: “He didn’t really handle the dirt.”
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           MANDALOUN (KY)
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           Derby Points: 52
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $270,000
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           Jockey: Florent Geroux
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           Trainer: Brad H. Cox
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           Owner: Juddmonte Farms
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           Breeder: Juddmonte Farms Inc
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Brooch (Empire Maker, Daring Diva (GB))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-3-1-0-0 (6) 11.00
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           Foal Date: March 18, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Latter March. Barn 22.
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           Second in the Kentucky Derby
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           Brad Cox: “He ran huge. He saved ground along the inside, battled and battled hard, thought he had a shot to win it there, We just came up a little short.”
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           Florent Geroux: “He absolutely ran his heart out. Words can’t describe how proud I am of him. What a race and what a horse. Well done to trainer Brad Cox. He got him ready to run off the Louisiana Derby effort. He showed us he is the horse we always thought. We just got beat.”
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           MEDINA SPIRIT (FL)
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           Derby Points: 74
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $290,000
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           Jockey: John Velazquez
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           Trainer: Bob Baffert
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           Owner: Zedan Racing Stables Inc
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           Breeder: Gail Rice
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Protonico (Giant's Causeway, Alpha Spirit)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Mongolian Changa (Brilliant Speed, Bridled)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-6-15-0-0 (24) 2.20
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           Foal Date: April 5, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $1,000 OBS Winter 2019; $35,000 OBS July 2020
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 23. Barn 33.
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           First in the Kentucky Derby
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           Bob Baffert: “This little horse coming in here, he’s always shown he’s an overachiever. His heart is bigger than his body. When he turned for home, something just told me. He reminded me of Silver Charm (Baffert’s 1st Derby winner). He doesn’t know how much he cost. He wouldn’t let anyone pass him. Mr. Zedan wanted to come to the Derby with a $45,000 horse. I thought we’d see what happens. This horse, the way he ran, I didn’t know he had it in him. Johnny Velazquez is unbelievable. He’s so cool. He told me last night not to underestimate this horse. He’s better than you think.”
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           John Velazquez: “Every time I asked him to give more he kept fighting on. You couldn’t ask for more of a horse. When you ride a horse like this who is competitive you can’t ask for anything else.”
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           MIDNIGHT BOURBON (KY)
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           Derby Points: 66
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $430,000
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           Jockey: Mike Smith
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
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           Breeder: Stonestreet Thoroughbred Holdings LLC
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Tiznow (Cee's Tizzy, Cee's Song)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Catch the Moon (Malibu Moon, Catch My Fancy)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-2-8-0-0 (14) 2.50
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           Foal Date: Jan. 25, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $525,000 Keeneland September 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Latter March. Barn 38.
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           Sixth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Steve Asmussen: “We missed the break and that’s the only thing I thought he’d do right.”
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           Mike Smith: “We simply missed the break.”
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           O BESOS (KY)
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           Derby Points: 25
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $116,000
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           Jockey: Marcelino Pedroza
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           Trainer: Gregory D. Foley
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           Owner: Bernard Racing LLC, Tagg Team Racing and West Point Thoroughbreds
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           Breeder: L. Barrett Bernard
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Orb (Malibu Moon, Lady Liberty)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Snuggs and Kisses (Soto, With a Splash)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-5-7-0-0 (16) 3.57
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           Foal Date: March 4, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: Latter March. Barn 11.
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           Fifth in the Kentucky Derby
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           Greg Foley: “I’m so proud of our horse. He tried so hard. We got a great trip. He settled well after getting a little rank going down the stretch.”
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            Marcelino Pedroza: “He got a little head strong in the stretch for the first time but I got him settled into the perfect spot. He was moving so comfortably around the turn and we got in the perfect spot to make a run at the leaders. He’s a phenomenal horse.”
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           ROCK YOUR WORLD (KY)
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           Derby Points: 100
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $510,000
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           Jockey: Joel Rosario
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           Trainer: John W. Sadler
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           Owner: Hronis Racing LLC and Talla Racing LLC
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           Breeder: Ron McAnally &amp;amp; Deborah McAnally
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Candy Ride (ARG), Ride the Rails, Candy Girl (ARG))
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Charm the Maker (Empire Maker, Charm the Giant (IRE))
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-4-8-1-0 (16) 2.20
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           Foal Date: Feb. 28, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $650,000 Keeneland September 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 25. Barn 41.
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           17th in the Kentucky Derby
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           John Sadler: “We got squeezed at the start and we were done. No chance.”
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           Joel Rosario: “It was pretty much over after the break. We got out of position from there and it was a tough trip to overcome in a race like the Derby.”
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           SAINTHOOD (KY)
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $47,500
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           Jockey: Corey Lanerie
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           Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
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           Owner: WinStar Farm LLC and CHC INC.
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           Breeder: Edward Taylor &amp;amp; Springland Farm
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Mshawish (Medaglia d'Oro, Thunder Bayou)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Lemon Hero (Lemon Drop Kid, Bright Gold)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 4-2-5-3-0 (14) 1.55
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           Foal Date: May 15, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $100,000 Keeneland January 2019; RNA $90,000 Keeneland September 2019; $62,000 OBS October 2019
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 11. Barn 42.
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           11th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Todd Pletcher: “He never got into position.”
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            Corey Lanerie: “I couldn’t have gotten into a better spot but he just didn’t have enough to get it done.”
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           SOUP AND SANDWICH (FL)
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           Derby Points: 40
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $161,000
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           Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
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           Trainer: Mark E. Casse
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           Owner: Live Oak Plantation
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           Breeder: Live Oak Stud
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday, Leslie's Lady)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Souper Scoop (Tapit, Scoop)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 2-6-6-0-0 (14) 3.67
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           Foal Date: March 30, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): NA
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 7. Barn 36.
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           19th and last in the Kentucky Derby
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            Mark Casse: “We’ll regroup and see where we go from here.”
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           Tyler Gaffalione: “We got away from the gate good but he faded late.”
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           SUPER STOCK (KY)
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           Derby Points: 109
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           Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $709,000
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           Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.
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           Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
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           Owner: Woolsey, Erv and Asmussen, Keith
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           Breeder: Pedro Gonzalez &amp;amp; P. J. Gonzalez
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           Sire (Sire’s Sire, Dam): Dialed In (Mineshaft, Miss Doolittle)
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           Dam (Dam’s Sire, Dam): Super Girlie (Closing Argument, Beafleet)
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           Dosage Profile (Points) Index: 3-2-5-0-0 (10) 3.00
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           Foal Date: April 12, 2018
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           Auction Price(s): $70,000 Keeneland September 2018
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           Arrival at Churchill Downs: April 14, Barn 38.
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           16th in the Kentucky Derby
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           Steve Asmussen: No comment availabl
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           e.Ricardo Santana Jr.: “Didn’t have it today.”
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Sun, 11 Apr 2021 15:53:17 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/derby-2021-horse-profiles</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string">Horse Racing,Kentucky Derby horses,The Downey Profile,Kentucky Derby,Essential Quality</g-custom:tags>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Downey Announces Retirement From Current Format</title>
      <link>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/downey-announces-retirement-from-current-format</link>
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           Downey Announces Retirement From Current Format
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           By Dick Downey
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           Posted Dec. 30, 2020
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            (BOWLING GREEN, KY) I am announcing today the retirement of The Downey Profile in its current form. Several things have contributed to my decision.
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            I launched The Downey Profile in late 2002, covering the 2003 Kentucky Derby when 12-1 shot Funny Cide took down Empire Maker, with Peace Rules running third and Atswhatimtalknbout checking in fourth. Both Funny Cide and Empire Maker were in The Downey Profile Top 4, and we were off and running.
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            I am an attorney by formal training, and The Downey Profile has been a beloved, self-taught second vocation for me. I started it out of a passion for the Kentucky Derby, its history, its beauty, its prominence in my home state, and a burning desire to unlock the secrets of the world's most famous horse race.
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            Although nothing can ever be predicted with certainty, I have succeeded to an extent in figuring out what makes the Kentucky Derby tick. I correctly singled the winner six out of the last seven years, singled Smarty Jones in 2004, and I forget how many years my top choice finished second and produced a profit across the board. Back testing of the Profile prior to 2003, and then going forward in real time, has produced 33 of the last 48 winners of the Kentucky Derby from the Top 4.
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            Obviously I can't do this forever, and now seems to be a good time to put on the brakes. Here are some things that influenced my decision.
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            -- I have tried to keep TDP youthful in its presentation, and I hope I've succeeded, but the truth is I turned 70 in November. I got my first Social Security check this month. I feel like slowing down a bit.
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            -- In June I learned I had prostate cancer. I had a prostatectomy on July 22 and somehow barely missed a beat covering the run-up to the Kentucky Derby. As fate would have it, there were no Derby points races the weekend after my surgery.
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            -- By the way, I feel well and so far there is no sign of recurrence. I am close to finishing 35 sessions of radiation therapy, which is a preventive measure, and I am undergoing hormone therapy for the same reason. While I feel really well, it has occurred to me that I should not be tied to the day-in day-out rigor of running a website.
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            -- I can devote more time to Cindy. She has been uber-patient with my obsession and the never-ending, constant-deadline nature of covering horse racing at its highest level. It's time to return the favor.
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            -- I attended the Kentucky Derby this year, but I have to be honest with you, it was not a great experience. Fans weren't allowed in the track. Downtown Louisville was boarded up. Security and protocols were tight, as they should have been, but it was not fun or joyous.
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            -- The powers that be have decided horses can't run with Lasix in 2-year-old races and stakes races in Kentucky. I understand how a desire to present the sport to the public as drug-free is important, but this decision is not going to solve that problem, and apparently a large majority of equine veterinarians are strongly opposed as not being in the best interests of the horse and in fact unsafe.
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            With this in mind, I think it's time to say all good things must come to an end, and so with sadness I am declaring The Downey Profile website has run its course.
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            I will keep my domain name for now. I may start a service that is not as grand in scope or as time-consuming as The Downey Profile. I just don't know yet.
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            I want to thank everyone for following The Downey Profile the past 18 years, especially subscribers. You have meant a lot to me, and I have had the good fortune to make many friends.
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            I want to especially thank:
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            -- Ron Mitchell at BloodHorse for giving me early guidance, constructive criticism and hosting my weekly columns at Bloodhorse.com for over 10 years. Ron and I have been friends for 45 years. I wish him a great retirement.
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            -- Mike "Cheap Speed" Pearson for writing witty, pithy race previews at The Downey Profile for its first six years. Mike decided Smarty Jones would win the Kentucky Derby in December 2003, and he told everyone who would listen. Like me, Mike is an attorney by formal training. Back then, he spent most of his time prosecuting felons for the Commonwealth of Kentucky.
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            -- Greg "The Commish" Johnson, a fine and colorful analyst who, like Mike, is a lifelong horse player. Greg's main vocation is auditing nuclear facilities and teaching others how to become certified. His analytical abilities are self-evident in his writing, and for 12 years he reliably produced quality selections stories for The Downey Profile.
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            -- Ron Dowdy, who never saw a big event he didn't want to attend. He's been my friend and merchant service provider (Java Payment Services) pretty much since the day we accidentally had seats in the same box at Keeneland.
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            -- Judy Egerton and Mike Overstreet for putting me up, and putting up with me, during stays in Louisville of varying lengths all the way down the line. And our mutual friend John Cameron for suggesting I start a Derby website and for helping me with it the first year.
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            -- Thomas Conner and everyone at Sitemason (now Multiply LLC) down in Nashville for an excellent job of hosting The Downey Profile website and providing technical support since its inception.
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            Along the way I made friends with some great people, and I'll mention a few.
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            -- The late Victor Zast, whom I met by accident in 2005 at Gulfstream Park, and who became a good personal friend. Vic traveled hundreds of miles to attend my mother's funeral in 2010, and I shall never forget it. Through him, I am fortunate to have become friends with his family to this day.
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            -- Jennie Rees, who sponsored my induction into National Turf Writers and Broadcasters and who helped me and elevated me many times, not the least of which was during her final week at The Courier-Journal, the 2015 Breeders' Cup at Keeneland.
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            -- Roxy Roxborough, the famed Las Vegas oddsmaker who, early on, called The Downey Profile "the best Derby website by the length of a stretch." He is one of the most brilliant people I've ever met.
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            --  Multiple Kentucky Derby winning owner Jack Wolf, who's been a major friend to the sport we love and who knows how to enjoy it.
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            -- Fellow officers and directors at National Turf Writers and Broadcasters, including present and past presidents Tom Law, Tom Pedulla and Alicia Hughes; board member and thought leader Marty McGee; former board member, president and defender of quality Jay Privman; the always chipper Byron King; the talented Evan Hammonds, who dubbed me "Derby Dick" many years ago; Loren Hebel-Osborne, with whom I've enjoyed working Derby week events including NTWAB's annual awards dinner; James Scully and Ed DeRosa from TwinSpires.com, whose insight has been invaluable; and all the NTWAB members who cover the sport we love. On the public relations side, the late John Asher along with Darren Rogers at Churchill Downs, Amy Gregory at Keeneland, Sherry Pinson at Turfway Park and Joanie Lawrence at NTRA were always accommodating and helpful.
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            -- Last but not least, the guys at Kentucky Downs, from Ryan Driscoll when Brad Kelley was the owner, to Corey and C J Johnsen, to John Wholihan and current primary owners Ron Winchell and Marc Falcone, thank you.
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            The Kentucky Derby
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            During one of the legendary Derby week dinners at the now defunct John E's restaurant in Louisville, Hall of Fame trainer Carl Nafzger stood up and said, very eloquently, that no one is bigger than the Kentucky Derby. The last two years have been trying for the race and its fans, but it will rebound and retain its prominence in the world of sports.
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            Here's a belated Merry Christmas to all, and let's have a better year in 2021. I haven't fully decided what my future holds, and I don't know what it holds for me, but here's to many more years.
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            -30-
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&lt;/div&gt;</content:encoded>
      <pubDate>Wed, 30 Dec 2020 12:29:24 GMT</pubDate>
      <author>dick@thedowneyprofile.com (James Downey)</author>
      <guid>http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/downey-announces-retirement-from-current-format</guid>
      <g-custom:tags type="string" />
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