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Kentucky Derby and Horse Racing at The Downey Profile®

 

 

 

The Downey Profile is a seasonal website
specializing in the Kentucky Derby

 

2020 SUBSCRIBER NOTICES

Kentucky Derby Subscribers: The Preakness Is Included In Your Order. We Launched That Page Sept. 23 With A Look Back At The Kentucky Derby

Derby Trail Subscribers: We Have Concluded The Derby Trail. Thank You For Your Support!

In 2020, we again have two Subscription Pages: (1) The tried and true Kentucky Derby Subscription, which include the Preakness and Belmont Stakes at no extra charge, and (2) The Derby Trail Subscription Page. For fuller descriptions, please click either of the two links immediately below.  Further, you may read in detail about The Downey Profile here. The Downey Profile® Was Awarded A Service Mark in 2008 by the U. S. Patent and Trademark Office and was renewed in 2018.

Three Ways to Order Our Subscription Pages
1. Via Credit Card Through Our Site
2. Via PayPal Account or with Credit Card at Paypal
3. Send an email to [email protected] and we'll make arrangements.

Trouble with your username or password? Contact us at [email protected]

 

 

NEWS AND LINKS

Please Refer To our Looking Good and Worth Watching pages for updates on horses of interest to you. Feel free to contact us if you don't see your horse.

Monday: Authentic put in his final Preakness workout at Churchill Downs and was joined on the worktab by Max Player and Excession. More on Looking Good.

Lukas Promises Return of Baffert Horses - On Tuesday

Probable: Authentic (John Velazquez); Art Collector (Brian Hernandez Jr.); Country Grammer (Victor Carrasco); Excession (Sheldon Russell); Jesus’ Team (Jevian Toledo); Liveyourbeastlife (Trevor McCarthy); Max Player (Paco Lopez); Mr. Big News (Gabriel Saez); Ny Trafic (); Pneumatic (Joe Bravo); Swiss Skydiver (Tyler Gaffalione); Thousand Words (Florent Geroux)

Preakness Post Position Draw:  It will be conducted virtually Monday at noon ET at Pimlico and will include morning-line odds and interviews with Bob Baffert, Steve Asmussen and John Velazquez. According to the Maryland Jockey Club, the draw will be streamed at https://www.facebook.com/Preakness.

Saturday: There are eight possible Preakness Stakes contenders based at Churchill Downs. They are scheduled to be flown to Baltimore on Tuesday. In alphabetical order: Art Collector, Authentic, Excession, Max Player, Mr. Big News, Ny Traffic, Swiss Skydiver and Thousand Words. (updated)

Saturday: Happy Saver won't run in the Preakness, moved to Worth Watching.

Thursday: Country Grammer, Excession added to Preakness lineup. Moved to Looking Good.

Wednesday: Max Player is on his way to Baltimore soon. Tiz the Law staying home. More on Looking Good and Worth Watching.

Monday: Pneumatic work as good as it gets, per Blasi. He tells us about it on Looking Good.

Sutton Flight: The Tex Sutton plane transporting horses from Louisville to Baltimore for the Oct. 3 Preakness is scheduled to leave Tuesday, Sept. 29.

Tesio: Happy Saver makes it three-for-three in the Frederico Tesio. More on Looking Good.

Looking Good: Known Preakness Probables and Possibles

Final Daily Derby Update: Sept. 6, 2020
Everyone Doing Well Today

Kentucky Derby Horses Page: Everything About The Kentucky Derby Horses

Sunday: Authentic is eligible for the $1 million bonus for any horse that wins the TVG.Com Haskell Stakes, the Kentucky Derby and the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

Authentic Wins Kentucky Derby

Derby Day Handle: Wagering from all sources on the Kentucky Derby Day program was down 50 percent from last year. It totaled $126.0 million compared to $250.9 million on the 2019 Kentucky Derby Day program.  All-sources wagering on the Kentucky Derby race was $79.4 million compared to $165.5 million from last year’s Derby race, a decline of 48 percent. A statement from Churchill Downs said, "the decline in handle for this year’s Derby Day program is attributable to the lack of on-track wagering, fewer horses per race including in the Kentucky Derby race, and a prohibitive favorite in the Derby race."

Pat Day Mile: In the Pat Day Mile, Rushie took command in upper stretch and extended his lead to win by 1 3/4 lengths. Sonneman took second at 25-1 odds, and Tap It to Win was third. The race was timed was 1:34.41. Only four lengths separated the seven runners at the wire. Rushie is trained by Michael McCarthy, was ridden by Javier Castellano, is owned by Jim and Donna Daniell, and was bred in Florida by Ocala Stud. The 5-2 second choice, Rushie paid $7.80, $4.40 and $3.00. Quotes at Worth Watching.

American Turf: Fancy Liquor rallied from far off a fast pace and then held off Taishan by a half-length to win the 29th running of the American Turf Presented by Smithfield at 9-2 odds. Field Pass third, favored Smooth Like Strait fourth. Trained by Mike Maker and ridden by Florent Geroux, Fancy Liquor covered 1 1/16 mile on a firm course in 1:42.83. The winner was bred in Kentucky by Hot Pink Stable and Skychai Racing LLC.

Kentucky Oaks: Shedaresthedevil upset the Kentucky Oaks at 15-1 after stalking the pace; Swiss Skydiver second, pacesetter Gamine third at 3-5 odds after tiring. Florent Geroux rode for trainer Brad Cox and owner Flurry Racing Stables LLC, Qatar Racing Limited and Big Aut Farm. Bred in Kentucky by WinStar Farm, LLC. She paid $32.20, $8.40 and $3.80 and was timed in 1:48.28.

Pneumatic Pounces To Top Pegasus

Art Collector Pads Kentucky Derby Credentials In Ellis Park Derby

Tiz the Law Gavels Down Travers Stakes

Thousand Words Holds 'Em Off In Shared Belief

Authentic Hangs On To Win TVG Haskell

Country Grammer Cuts Corner In Peter Pan

Art Collector Best In Blue Grass

Shared Sense Best In Indiana Derby

Uncle Chuck Romps In Los Alamitos Derby

Dean Martini Toast Of The Ohio Derby

Tiz the Law Gavels Down Belmont Stakes

Honor A. P. Springs Mild Upset To Win Santa Anita Derby

Maxfield Picks Up Where He Left Off

Nadal Pressures Pace This Time To Win Arkansas Derby Div 2

Charlatan Dominates Division 1 Of Arkansas Derby

Mr. Big News Headliner in Oaklawn Stakes

Tiz the Law Coasts to Florida Derby Victory

Wells Bayou Leads Them Home at Fair Grounds

Nadal Takes On All Comers To Win Rebel

Charlatan Romps First Time At Two Turns

Field Pass Gets Up In Jeff Ruby

Authentic, King Guillermo, Mischevious Alex Win Derby Points Races

Ete Indien Waves Goodbye to FOY Field

Sample Kentucky Derby Subscription Page

Looking Back on 17 Years of TDP

Some Changes At The Downey Profile

TDP Overview and Construction; Subscriptions

The Early 2020 Triple Crown Nominations

Facts and Figures About The Early 2020 Triple Crown Nominations

Road to the 2020 Kentucky Derby

Continue to More Workouts

SELECTED WORKOUTS OF INTEREST

On fast dirt unless noted

Sept. 28
Authentic  47:60 Breezing 1/37 CD
Echo Town 38:40 Breezing 1/1 CD
Excession 49:80 Breezing 18/37 CD
Max Player 49:80 Breezing 18/37 CD
Sonneman 50:00 Breezing 22/37 CD

Sept. 27
Americanus 49:20 Breezing firm turf 10/25 BEL
Answer In 49:40 Breezing 43/88 CD
As Seen on Tv 48:40 Breezing 16/80 MTH
Blackberry Wine 47:40 Breezing 1/23 CDT
Chestertown 1.00:46 Breezing training track 1/9 SAR
Fore Left 49:00 Handily 35/57 SA
Mystic Guide 1.01:60 Breezing 2/2 FAI
Ny Traffic 48:00 Breezing 2/88 CD
Silver State  1.00:60 Breezing 5/49 CD
South Bend 47:81 Breezing training track 2/75 BEL
Winning Impression 49:80 Breezing 61/88 CD

Sept. 26
Art Collector 48:00 Breezing 7/78 CD
Attachment Rate  1.01:80 Breezing 44/57 CD
Country Grammer 50:25 Breezing 36/49 BEL
Dennis' Moment 36:80 Breezing 1/5 CD
Independence Hall  36:40 Handily 3/13 SA
Jesus' Team 1.03:40 Breezing 23/25 MTH
Liveyourbestlife 1.16:20 Breezing 1/3 BEL
Monday Morning Qb 47:67 Handily good 1/20 PRX
Money Moves 49:23 Breezing 25/82 BEL
Montauk Traffic 1.01:58 Breezing training track 10/25 BEL
Secret Rules 37:20 Breezing synthetic 6/15 FAI
Taishan 48:20 Breezing 10/78 CD
Thousand Words 1.00:60 Breezing 16/57 CD

Sept.  25
Farmington Road 49:93 Breezing turf training 10/25 SAR
Happy Saver 1.01:09 Breezing 1/9 SAR
Lebda 48:40 Breezing 4/16 LRL
Mr. Big News 50:40 Breezing 59/68 CD
Royal Act 59:20 Handily 1/61 SA
Rushie 48:00 Handily 9/29 SA
Tiz the Law 50:07 Breezing 13/32 BEL
Untitled 1.02:80 Breezing 25/29 CD

Sept. 24
Azul Coast 37:00 Handily 3/5 SA

Sept. 23
No Parole 1.01:80 Breezing 2/6 CD

Sept. 22
Mongolian Wind 1.18:00 Handily 1/1 CM
Excession 1.00:60 Breezing 1/11 CD
Express Train 49:00 Handily 9/17 SA
Silver Prospector 1.00:60 Breezing 1/11 CD

Sept. 21
Chestertown 1.02:46 Breezing 10/14 SAR
Echo Town 1.01:00 Breezing 8/21 CD
Halo Again 1.02:62 Breezing 13/14 SAR
Kiss Today Goodbye 49:40 Handily 32/65 SA
Max Player  1.00:20 Breezing 1/21 CD
Pneumatic 1.00:85 Breezing 1/14 training track SAR
Sonneman 1.01:00 Breezing 8/21 CD
Tizamagician 49:60 Handily 37/65 SA

Sept. 20
Americanus  48:23 Breezing 6/69 BEL
Answer In  37:60 Breezing 3/11 CD
Blackberry Wine  1.02:40 Breezing 4/8 CDT
Collusion Illusion  47:60 Handily 2/87 SA
Mailman Money 1.03:00 Breezing 38/41 CD
Major Fed 49:00 Breezing 18/67 CD
Money Moves 49:74 Breezing training track 31/113 BEL
Rowdy Yates  49:57 Breezing 7/22 RP
Shared Sense 1.01:00 Breezing 12/41 CD
Silver State 1.00:00 Breezing 3/41 CD
South Bend 50:85 Breezing training track 61/113 BEL
Winning Impression 49:40 Breezing 24/67 CD

Sept. 19
Art Collector 59:40 Breezing 2/38 CD
Attachment Rate 49:00 Breezing 40/112 CD
Authentic 59:20 Breezing 1/38 CD
Azul Coast 1.00:20 Handily 3/56 SA
Country Grammer 49:57 Breezing training track 8/60 SAR
Devil Made Me Doit 1.00:20 Handily 3/56 SA
Dr Post 50:06 Breezing training track 26/60 SAR
Farmington Road  50:88 Breezing 38/60 SAR
Jesus' Team 47:80 Breezing 4/75 MTH
Montauk Traffic 1.02:61 Breezing training track 2/21 BEL
Mystic Guide 48:60 Breezing 2/35 FAI
Taishan 49:20 Breezing 50/112 CD
Thousand Words 1.02:40 Breezing 26/38 CD
Unrighteous  50:06 Breezing training track 26/60 SAR
Untitled 1.01:20 Breezing 15/38 CD

Sept. 18
Happy Saver 49:03 Breezing training track 6/32 SAR
Market Analysis 1.01:80 Breezing 5/8 LRL
Mr. Big News 48:80 Breezing 22/76 CD
Royal Act 48:80 19/90 Handily SA
Shivaree 1.00:80 Breezing 3/12 GP

Sept. 17
Dean Martini 48:80 Breezing 8/37 CD
Liveyourbeastlife 59.89 Breezing 3/9 BEL

Sept. 16
Excession 1.01:80 Breezing 4/13 CD
No Parole 46:40 Breezing 1/19 CD
Silver Prospector 1.01:80 Breezing 4/13 CD

Sept. 15
Shirl's Speight 1.00:20 Breezing synthetic 3/10 WO

Sept. 14
Echo Town 51:20 Breezing 39/49 CD
Express Train 1.00:00 Handily 2/20 SA
Max Player  51:60 Breezing 46/49 CD
Sonneman  50:00 Breezing 27/49 CD

Sept. 13
Blackberry Wine 47:00 Breezing muddy 1/11 CDT
Chestertown 51:88 Breezing training track 42/42 SAR
Mailman Money1.15:40 Breezing 1/2 CD
Pneumatic 1.01:58 Breezing training track 4/9 SAR
Rowdy Yates 1.01:09 Handily 1/12 RP
Shared Sense 1.00:40 Breezing 6/32 CD
Silver State 1.01:80 Breezing 18/32 CD

Sept. 12
Americanus 49:20 Breezing 6/32 FAI
Art Collector 48:10 Breezing 1/12 SKY
As Seen on Tv  47:40 Breezing 1/65 MTH
Country Grammer 48:92 Breezing training track 5/42 SAR
Farmington Road 51:02 Breezing training track 32/42 SAR
High Velocity 1.00:00 Handily 1/16 MTH
Market Analysis  1.02:40 Breezing 18/22 LRL
Spa City 1.02:20 Breezing 11/16 ELP

Sept. 11
Azul Coast 1.40:40 Handily 1/1 LRC
Basin 50:48 Breezing training track 21/30 SAR
Three Technique 1.04:07 Breezing training track 6/8 SAR

Sept. 10
Excession  1.02:20 Breezing 14/21 CD
Silver Prospector 1.02:20 Breezing 14/21 CD
Untitled  51:20 Breezing 20/29 CD

Sept. 9
Mister Candy Ride  1.01:80 Breezing 11/24 CD
Shivaree 49:65 Breezing 7/20 GP

Sept. 8
Dean Martini 47:20 Breezing 1/53 CD
Montauk Traffic 1.03:69 Breezing 7/7 BEL
No Parole 47:40 Breezing 2/53 CD
Shirl's Speight 59:80 Breezing synthetic 1/6 WO

Sept. 7
Fore Left  1.02:88 Breezing 11/13 SAR
Halo Again 49:93 Breezing training track 14/22 SAR

Sept. 6
Blackberry Wine 49:00 Breezing 27/50 CDT
Collusion Illusion  50:80 Handily 3/41 DMR
Country Grammer 48:81 Breezing 9/36 SAR
Express Train 49:60 Handily 37/67 DMR
Market Analysis  49:20 Breezing 20/38 LRL
Pneumatic  1.02:94 Breezing training track 7/7 SAR
Shared Sense  1.01:80 Breezing 25/35 CD
Silver State 1.01:40 Breezing 18/35 CD
Spa City 50:20 Breezing 75/87 ELP

Continue to More Workouts

HOW WE'VE FARED IN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

Downey's top pick on his Kentucky Derby subscription page failed to win for the first time in seven years. Three of Downey's four picks finished in the top four, including winner Authentic. The top two finishers were among The Downey Profile's Top 4 rankings, as was fourth finisher Honor A. P.

1. TIZ THE LAW (second
2. HONOR A. P. (fourth)
    THOUSAND WORDS (SCR)
3. Ny TRAFFIC (eighth)
4. AUTHENTIC (first)

The Commish picked the same top two horses as Downey. Authentic was his "sixth man' pick.

1. TIZ THE LAW (second)
2. HONOR A. P. (fourth)
3. NY TRAFFIC (eighth)
4. SOLE VOLANTE (eleventh)
5. SOUTH BEND (fifteenth)
6. AUTHENTIC (first)

Downey's top pick on his Kentucky Derby subscription page won the Kentucky Derby in 2019. It was the sixth straight year his top pick won, and Maximum Security was among The Downey Profile's Top 4 horses, as was Tacitus. Four of Downey's top five picks finished in the top five.
1. MAXIMUM SECURITY (first - DQ'd by stewards to 17th)
2. TACITUS (fourth, moved up to third)
3. IMPROBABLE (fifth, moved up to fourth
4. VEKOMA (thirteenth, moved up to twelfth)
5. CODE OF HONOR (third, moved up to second)

The Commish had four of the top six finishers in his picks.
1. TACITUS (fourth, moved up to third)
2. IMPROBABLE (fifth, moved up to fourth)
3. GAME WINNER (sixth, moved up to fifth)
4. VEKOMA (thirteenth, moved up to twelfth)
5.  MAXIMUM SECURITY (first - DQ'd by stewards to 17th)

 

Downey's top pick on his Kentucky Derby subscription page won the Kentucky Derby for the fifth straight year in 2018. Justify was among The Downey Profile Top 4 horses, as were second finisher Good Magic and third finisher Audible. The final Kentucky Derby workout by Justify was impressive, and that helped lead Downey to pick him right on top. Good Magic was in Downey's second spot for the cold exacta.
1. JUSTIFY (first)
2. GOOD MAGIC (second)
3. MENDELSSOHN (twentieth)
4. HOFBURG (seventh)
5. AUDIBLE (third)
6. BOLT D'ORO (twelfth)

The Commish had the winner picked in the second slot. He told Downey his top Derby pick had never run last before this year, so he thinks there's plenty of upside potential going forward.
1. MENDELSSOHN (twentieth)
2. JUSTIFY (first)
3. VINO ROSSO (ninth)
4. MY BOY JACK (fifth)
5. AUDIBLE (third)

 

Downey picked the Kentucky Derby winner for his Kentucky Derby subscribers for the fourth straight year in 2017. Always Dreaming wasn't in the Downey Profile Top 4, but it was kind of a crazy year and Downey wasn't sold on the Top 4, Always Dreaming was the top Profile Buster Profile horse, and he put in a super-impressive final Derby workout. The selections underneath Always Dreaming weren't as strong as the comparable picks in 2015 and 2016.

1. ALWAYS DREAMING (first)
2. CLASSIC EMPIRE (fourth)
3. IRISH WAR CRY (tenth)
4. MCCRAKEN (eighth)
5. IRAP (eighteenth)
6. GORMLEY (ninth)

The Commish picked the winner right on top for the third time in four years:
1. ALWAYS DREAMING (first)
2. HENCE (eleventh)
3. STATE OF HONOR (nineteenth)
4. CLASSIC EMPIRE (fourth)
5. TAPWRIT (sixth)

 

 

Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2016 Kentucky Derby were:
1. NYQUIST (first)
2. EXAGGERATOR (second)
3. GUN RUNNER (third)
4. BRODY'S CAUSE (seventh)
5. OUTWORK (fourteenth)

For the first time, Downey put together a superfecta part wheel for subscribers. The cost for a $1 ticket was $88, and we were fortunate enough to see that bet hit and pay $542.10.

The Commish picked:
1. EXAGGERATOR (second)
2. NYQUIST (first)
3. MY MAN SAM (eleventh)
4. WHITMORE (nineteenth)
5. MO TOM (eighth)

The Commish stuck to his guns with Exaggerator in the Preakness, and he won the race.

 

Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2015 Kentucky Derby were:
1. AMERICAN PHAROAH (first)
2. DORTMUND (third)
3. FROSTED (fourth)
4. FIRING LINE (second)
5. DANZIG MOON (fifth)

The Commish picked:

1. AMERICAN PHAROAH
(first)
2. DORTMUND (third)
3. FIRING LINE (second)
4. FROSTED (fourth)
5. CARPE DIEM (tenth)

 

Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2014 Kentucky Derby were:
1. CALIFORNIA CHROME (first)
2. DANZA (third)
3. SAMRAAT (fifth)
4. INTENSE HOLIDAY (twelfth)
5. CHITU (ninth)
6. GENERAL A ROD (eleventh)

The Commish picked:
1. CALIFORNIA CHROME (first)
2. CANDY BOY (thirteenth)
3. INTENSE HOLIDAY twelfth)
4. DANZA (third)
5. CHITU (ninth)

 

The Downey Profile is a seasonal website launched in 2003 that's primarily focused on the run-up to the Kentucky Derby and the Triple Crown.

We cover other special events from time to time. In 2015, Dick Downey worked for The Louisville Courier-Journal alongside five-time Eclipse Award winner Jennie Rees during the newspaper's coverage of the Breeders' Cup. Downey worked Breeders' Cup again in 2017 for the newspaper. The Downey Profile has covered every race of the Kentucky Downs meet for several years.

 

In 2020, There Will Be A Single Kentucky Derby Starting Gate Manufactured by Sterline

 

 

 
© 2003-2020 Dick Downey dba The Downey Profile

The Downey Profile® was awarded a Service Mark by the United States Patent and Trademark Office in 2008. Renewed 2018.

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