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Kentucky Derby and Horse Racing at The Downey Profile®

 

 

 

The Downey Profile is a seasonal website
specializing in the Kentucky Derby

 

2020 SUBSCRIBER NOTICES

Kentucky Derby Subscribers: Segment 14 NOTES Break Down The Outcome Of The Los Alamitos Derby

Derby Trail Subscribers: Next Up Is The Indiana Derby on Wednesday

In 2020, we again have two Subscription Pages: (1) The tried and true Kentucky Derby Subscription, which include the Preakness and Belmont Stakes at no extra charge, and (2) The Derby Trail Subscription Page. For fuller descriptions, please click either of the two links immediately below.  Further, you may read in detail about The Downey Profile here. The Downey Profile® Was Awarded A Service Mark in 2008 by the U. S. Patent and Trademark Office and was renewed in 2018.

Three Ways to Order Our Subscription Pages
1. Via Credit Card Through Our Site
2. Via PayPal Account or with Credit Card at Paypal
3. Send an email to [email protected] and we'll make arrangements.

Trouble with your username or password? Contact us at [email protected]

 

Kentucky Derby Points Leaderboard - Updated July 4

 

NEWS AND LINKS

Please Refer To our Looking Good and Worth Watching pages for updates on horses of interest to you. Feel free to contact us if you don't see your horse.

Uncle Chuck Romps In Los Alamitos Derby

Saturday: We wish you all the best on Independence Day.

Saturday: Miguel Mena, who emigrated to the U.S. from Peru and started riding here when he was 17, won his 2,000th race in this country yesterday at Ellis Park. He said, “We all grow up different. I appreciate the ups and downs that I’ve been through. It has taught me a lot; it has made me mature."

Racing on TV: Times ET. Saturday 5:00-6:00 (NBC/NBCSN), 1:00-7:00 (FS1 and regionals); Sunday 1:00-6:30 (FS1 and regionals)

Friday: Updated Blue Grass list shows Basin upgraded, Finnick the Fierce back. Probable now are Art Collector, Attachment Rate, Basin, Enforceable, Finnick the Fierce, Hard Lighting, Hunt the Front, Man in the Can, Mr. Big News, Rushie, Shivaree, Winning Impression. Possible is Swiss Skydiver.

Thursday Night: Per Dave Basler of the Ohio HBPA, a groom who lives in a dorm at Belterra park has tested positive for Covid-19 and is hospitalized. The local health dept will require three screenings a day from residents of that dorm til July 13. Dorm residents must comply or vacate immediately.

Thursday: Creed wins in New York, Cezanne wins in California. See Worth Watching for details.

Ellis Park Jockey Colony Fills Deep Bench

Indiana Derby 20-8-4-2 points
July 8 (next Wednesday) at Indiana Grand
1 No Getting Over Me (M Mena) 12-1
2 Extraordinary (L Saez) 10-1
3 Taishan (R Bejarano) 6-1
4 Earner (S Elliott) 8-1
5 Shared Sense (F Geroux) 4-1
6 Background (T Baze) 20-1
7 Juggernaut (D Parker) 15-1
8 Major Fed (J Graham) 7-2
9 Winning Impression (J Leparoux) 3-1
10 Necker Island (M Murrill) 20-1

Thursday: Ellis Park Reserved Seating Plans Detailed
Remember, No General Admission

Wednesday: Online Horse Betting Has One-Month Surge Of 67% In What Country

Tuesday: The Kentucky Derby Museum at Churchill Downs has resumed tours, which were suspended March 16 when the Museum closed due to the covid-19 pandemic. The Museum reopened June 8 and was allowed to start tours yesterday. A number of tour options are available, but the backside is off-limits for now.

Monday: At Worth Watching, short status reports on the following, some good, some not so good: Chance It, Colonel Liam, Disc Jockey, Eight Rings, Excession, Farmington Road, Fast Enough, Gold Street, Green Light Go, Independence Hall, Major Fed, Mr. Big News, Mr. Monomoy, Palm Springs, Royal Act, Shake Some Action, Silver Prospector, Silver State, Taishan, Texas Swing, Thousand Words, Three Technique

Derby Future Wager Pool 5 Final   Pool 5 PPs

Dean Martini Toast Of The Ohio Derby

Profiles of Belmont Stakes Horses Complete

Tiz the Law Gavels Down Belmont Stakes

Free Equibase PPs Of All Triple Crown Nominees

Honor A. P. Springs Mild Upset To Win Santa Anita Derby

Twenty-Two Late Triple Crown Nominations

Maxfield Picks Up Where He Left Off

Nadal Pressures Pace This Time To Win Arkansas Derby Div 2

Charlatan Dominates Division 1 Of Arkansas Derby

Mr. Big News Headliner in Oaklawn Stakes

Tiz the Law Coasts to Florida Derby Victory

Wells Bayou Leads Them Home at Fair Grounds

Conference Call on Derby-Oaks Dates Short on Details

Nadal Takes On All Comers To Win Rebel

Charlatan Romps First Time At Two Turns

Field Pass Gets Up In Jeff Ruby

Authentic, King Guillermo, Mischevious Alex Win Derby Points Races

Ete Indien Waves Goodbye to FOY Field

Sample Kentucky Derby Subscription Page

Dosage In Chaos

Looking Back on 17 Years of TDP

Some Changes At The Downey Profile

TDP Overview and Construction; Subscriptions

The Early 2020 Triple Crown Nominations

Facts and Figures About The Early 2020 Triple Crown Nominations

Road to the 2020 Kentucky Derby

Continue to More Workouts

SELECTED WORKOUTS OF INTEREST

On fast dirt unless noted

July 5
Chestertown 1.01:12 Breezing 10/21 BEL
Devil Made Me Doit 39:80 Handily 32/35 DMR
Dr Post 49:00 Breezing training track 19/80 BEL
Happy Saver 49:00 Breezing training track 19/80 BEL
Max Player 49:00 Breezing 37/105 BEL
Modernist 49:34 Breezing training track 31/80 BEL
Ny Traffic 58:64 Breezing good 1/12 GP
Peace Achieved 1.00:80 Breezing 3/8 CD
Royal Act 47:60 Handily 4/69 DMR
Rushie  1.00:40 Handily 2/33 DMR
Sonneman 1.01:12 Breezing 10/21 BEL

July 4
Art Collector 48:80 Breezing 30/97 CD
Attachment Rate 1.00:80 Breezing 7/34 CD
Authentic 1.39:00 Handily 1/1 SA
Collusion Illusion 37:40 Handily 12/19 DMR
Finnick the Fierce 46:20 Breezing 1/90 KEE
Fore Left  49:89 Breezing muddy 5/10 BEL
Honor A. P. 1.02:00 Handily 21/36 DMR
King Guillermo 47:11 Breezing 1/118 GP
Man in the Can 59.60 Breezing 1/18 KEE
Money Moves 1.02:32 Breezing training track 2/5 SAR
Ready Reward 1.02:40 Breezing 16/23 FAI
Shivaree 1.01:65 Breezing 5/24 GP
Well Connected 59:20 Breezing 1/10 CDT

July 3
Country Grammer 49:53 Breezing training track 17/49 SAR
Eight Rings 58:60 Handily 1/27 SA
Enforceable 49:60 Breezing 9/13 CAA
Farmington Road 49:60 Breezing firm inner turf 7/13 BEL
Mischevious Alex 50:01 Handily 26/33 PRX
Three Technique 50:49 Breezing 34/49 SAR
Tizamagician  1.12:40 Handily 1/6 DMR

July 2
Caracaro 1:01.00 Breezing 2/3 GPW
Express Train 50:40 Handily 30/35 DMR
Mr. Big News 1.01:40 Breezing 7/18 CD

July 1
Candy Tycoon 1.02:12 training track 1/4 SAR
Kiss Today Goodbye 50:00 training track 2/3  SA
Tiz the Law 50:06 27/40 BEL

June 30
Halo Again 38:20 Breezing 17/21 KEE

June 29
Azul Coast 1.00:40 Handily 2/13 SA
Basin 1.00:60 Breezing 3/13 KEE
Colonel Liam 1.03:67 Breezing firm turf training 1/3 SAR
Ny Traffic 36:69 Breezing 1/2 GP
Pneumatic  52:85 Breezing training track 28/28 BEL
Ragtime Blues 47:40 Handily 1/33 SA
Ready to Roll 38:00 Breezing sloppy 1/5 CD
Rushie 1.04:80 Breezing 4/4 DMR

June 28
Anneau d'Or 1.02:00 Handily synthetic 16/64 GG
Authentic 1.11:60 Handily 1/6 SA
Cezanne 48:00 Handily 13/62 SA
Chestertown 1.02:88 Breezing training track 4/11 BEL
Digital 52:40 Breezing muddy 33/35 CD
Earner 1.00:60 Breezing muddy 3/19 CD
Ete Indien 1.20:05 (six f) Breezing firm turf 1/3 PMM
Money Moves 50:92 Breezing training track 12/16 SAR
Royal Act  39:80 Handily 26/27 SA
Shivaree 1.00:42 Breezing 4/15 GP
Uncle Chuck 1.12:40 Handily 3/6 SA

June 27
Attachment Rate 1.01:00 Breezing 14/48 CD
Devil Made Me Doit 35:20 Handily 1/15 SA
Peace Achieved 1.02:80 Breezing 42/48 CD
Ready Reward 50:60 Breezing synthetic 14/16 FAI
Relentless Dancer 1.00:80 Breezing 5/10 CDT
Soros  1.02:20 Breezing 7/16 GPW
Well Connected  50:60 Breezing 28/34 CDT
Winning Impression  1.01:00 Breezing 14/48 CD

June 26
Country Grammer 49:91 Breezing training track 15/42 SAR
Eight Rings 1.01:00 Handily 3/13 LRC
Enforceable 58:80 Breezing 1/6 CAA
Finnick the Fierce 1.00:00 Breezing 1/7 TTC
Lookinatamiracle 47:80 Breezing synthetic 13/47 WO
Taishan 1.00:20 Handily 6/36 SA
Thousand Words 1.12:20 Handily 1/3 SA
Tizamagician  1.00:00 Handily 3/36 SA
Untitled 59:80 Breezing firm turf training 4/17 WO

June 25
Candy Tycoon 50:24 Breezing training track 11/16 SAR
Three Technique 38:29 Breezing training track12/27 SAR

June 24
Honor A. P. 47:20 Handily 1/38 SA
Mr. Big News 59.40 Breezing 2/17 CD

June 23
Halo Again  1.00:40 Breezing 4/16 KEE

June 22
Authentic 49:00 Handily training track 22/60 SA
Azul Coast 1.00:60 Handily 8/27 SA
Basin 1.00:80 Breezing muddy 2/4 CD
Cezanne 1.01:80 Handily 19/27 SA
Colonel Liam  1.01:18 Breezing training track 1/3 SAR
Money Moves 48:70 Breezing training track 1/24 SAR
Rowdy Yates  49:80 Breezing muddy 5/20 CD
Uncle Chuck  48:60 Handily 16/60 SA

June 21
Anneau d'Or 36:80 Handily synthetic 6/31 GG
Casino Grande 50:92 Breezing 41/44 BEL
Chestertown 51:14 Breezing training track 53/67 BEL
Green Light Go 37:15 Breezing training track 7/45 BEL
20-`Shivaree 50:12 Breezing 59/81 GP
Sonneman  37:22 Breezing training track 9/45 BEL
Tizamagician 51:60 Handily 53/55 SA
Winning Impression 49:60 Breezing 46/82 CD

June 20
Attachment Rate 1:00.80 Breezing 17/51 CD
Digital  50:40 Breezing : 86/113 CD
Relentless Dancer 1.01:80 Breezing 7/14 CDT
Rushie 52:00 Handily 49/51 SA
Soros 59:60 Breezing 1/18 GPW
South Bend 1.00:40 Breezing 12/51 CD
Storm the Court 1.12:00 Handily 1/10 SA
Structor 39:67 Breezing training track 6/7 SAR
Taishan  1.01:80 Handily 24/41 SA
Thousand Words 1.13:20 Handily 4/10 SA
Unrighteous 49:48 Breezing training track 14/32 SAR

Continue to More Workouts

HOW WE'VE FARED IN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

Downey's top pick on his Kentucky Derby subscription page won the Kentucky Derby in 2019. It was the sixth straight year his top pick won, and Maximum Security was among The Downey Profile's Top 4 horses, as was Tacitus. Four of Downey's top five picks finished in the top five.
1. MAXIMUM SECURITY (first - DQ'd by stewards to 17th)
2. TACITUS (fourth, moved up to third)
3. IMPROBABLE (fifth, moved up to fourth
4. VEKOMA (thirteenth, moved up to twelfth)
5. CODE OF HONOR (third, moved up to second)

The Commish had four of the top six finishers in his picks.
1. TACITUS (fourth, moved up to third)
2. IMPROBABLE (fifth, moved up to fourth)
3. GAME WINNER (sixth, moved up to fifth)
4. VEKOMA (thirteenth, moved up to twelfth)
5.  MAXIMUM SECURITY (first - DQ'd by stewards to 17th)

 

Downey's top pick on his Kentucky Derby subscription page won the Kentucky Derby for the fifth straight year in 2018. Justify was among The Downey Profile Top 4 horses, as were second finisher Good Magic and third finisher Audible. The final Kentucky Derby workout by Justify was impressive, and that helped lead Downey to pick him right on top. Good Magic was in Downey's second spot for the cold exacta.
1. JUSTIFY (first)
2. GOOD MAGIC (second)
3. MENDELSSOHN (twentieth)
4. HOFBURG (seventh)
5. AUDIBLE (third)
6. BOLT D'ORO (twelfth)

The Commish had the winner picked in the second slot. He told Downey his top Derby pick had never run last before this year, so he thinks there's plenty of upside potential going forward.
1. MENDELSSOHN (twentieth)
2. JUSTIFY (first)
3. VINO ROSSO (ninth)
4. MY BOY JACK (fifth)
5. AUDIBLE (third)

 

Downey picked the Kentucky Derby winner for his Kentucky Derby subscribers for the fourth straight year in 2017. Always Dreaming wasn't in the Downey Profile Top 4, but it was kind of a crazy year and Downey wasn't sold on the Top 4, Always Dreaming was the top Profile Buster Profile horse, and he put in a super-impressive final Derby workout. The selections underneath Always Dreaming weren't as strong as the comparable picks in 2015 and 2016.

1. ALWAYS DREAMING (first)
2. CLASSIC EMPIRE (fourth)
3. IRISH WAR CRY (tenth)
4. MCCRAKEN (eighth)
5. IRAP (eighteenth)
6. GORMLEY (ninth)

The Commish picked the winner right on top for the third time in four years:
1. ALWAYS DREAMING (first)
2. HENCE (eleventh)
3. STATE OF HONOR (nineteenth)
4. CLASSIC EMPIRE (fourth)
5. TAPWRIT (sixth)

 

 

Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2016 Kentucky Derby were:
1. NYQUIST (first)
2. EXAGGERATOR (second)
3. GUN RUNNER (third)
4. BRODY'S CAUSE (seventh)
5. OUTWORK (fourteenth)

For the first time, Downey put together a superfecta part wheel for subscribers. The cost for a $1 ticket was $88, and we were fortunate enough to see that bet hit and pay $542.10.

The Commish picked:
1. EXAGGERATOR (second)
2. NYQUIST (first)
3. MY MAN SAM (eleventh)
4. WHITMORE (nineteenth)
5. MO TOM (eighth)

The Commish stuck to his guns with Exaggerator in the Preakness, and he won the race.

 

Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2015 Kentucky Derby were:
1. AMERICAN PHAROAH (first)
2. DORTMUND (third)
3. FROSTED (fourth)
4. FIRING LINE (second)
5. DANZIG MOON (fifth)

The Commish picked:

1. AMERICAN PHAROAH
(first)
2. DORTMUND (third)
3. FIRING LINE (second)
4. FROSTED (fourth)
5. CARPE DIEM (tenth)

 

Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2014 Kentucky Derby were:
1. CALIFORNIA CHROME (first)
2. DANZA (third)
3. SAMRAAT (fifth)
4. INTENSE HOLIDAY (twelfth)
5. CHITU (ninth)
6. GENERAL A ROD (eleventh)

The Commish picked:
1. CALIFORNIA CHROME (first)
2. CANDY BOY (thirteenth)
3. INTENSE HOLIDAY twelfth)
4. DANZA (third)
5. CHITU (ninth)

 

The Downey Profile is a seasonal website launched in 2003 that's primarily focused on the run-up to the Kentucky Derby and the Triple Crown.

We cover other special events from time to time. In 2015, Dick Downey worked for The Louisville Courier-Journal alongside five-time Eclipse Award winner Jennie Rees during the newspaper's coverage of the Breeders' Cup. Downey worked Breeders' Cup again in 2017 for the newspaper. The Downey Profile has covered every race of the Kentucky Downs meet for several years.

 

In 2020, There Will Be A Single Kentucky Derby Starting Gate Manufactured by Sterline

 

 

 
© 2003-2020 Dick Downey dba The Downey Profile

The Downey Profile® was awarded a Service Mark by the United States Patent and Trademark Office in 2008. Renewed 2018.

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