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Kentucky Derby and Horse Racing at The Downey Profile®

Dick's Picks: Holy Bull Has Mucho to Offer

1/28/2011

By Dick Downey
The Downey Profile


The field for the Grade III Holy Bull Stakes on Sunday is solid enough top to bottom that all nine entries are on the lists we maintain at The Downey Profile. And why not, with $400,000 on the line?

Dialed In has been working well at Palm Meadows. In five breezes, his times have all been first-, second- or third-fastest at the distance, but one concern is that he's been sent out for these works an average 10 1/2 days apart. I guess we shouldn't read too much into that--Nick Zito was spacing the works of Ice Box in a similar manner before his excellent Kentucky Derby run--but other issues are that the Holy Bull is only the second start for Dialed In, and he has the far outside post. If he wins for fun, he'll be on all those Top 10 lists you see almost 100 days before the Kentucky Derby.

Along with Dialed In, Mucho Macho Man comes into the Holy Bull with a fair amount of buzz, and quite frankly, his worktab looks more impressive of the two. The fact that he ran second behind To Honor and Serve--twice--doesn't hurt, and since he's a mid-June foal, he has room for improvement that just might show up on Sunday. He's a hard trier, and I like his chances.

Gourmet Dinner exits a sharp work coming into the Holy Bull. I look for this horse--already a race veteran--to save ground and be positioned to pounce when they swing out of the turn heading for home.

Black N Beauty has a high cruising speed that's dangerous, but he'll not find this field quite as easy as the one he defeated on the front end at the same track and distance last time out. Printing Press was second in that race and really needs to step up to impact the outcome.

Leave of Absence came running late in the six-furlong Spectacular Bid, so he's tempting at the extra distance. When we factor in that Leave of Absence was closing on a front pace of :44.74 in the Spectacular Bid, maybe he doesn't look quite so good. Difficult decision, perhaps the hardest in the field. Because the trainer says maybe they're bringing him back a little too quickly, I guess I'll pass.

Major Gain is a horse that I can't quite embrace. He is more than useful, and he has run very well at both one and two turns. However, his most visually impressive effort arguably came in the Grade III Arlington-Washingon Futurity on synthetic track. Something tells me he won't show enough early speed to win. Watch him beat me now!

Ribo Bobo has the distinction of being the first horse I added back to my lists after deleting him during the Early Bird Preview of The Downey Profile. His appearance in this race after showing little in the Pasco Stakes means either that connections are shooting too high or that they know something to the exclusion of just about everyone else. Your call.

Sweet Ducky has six solid workouts coming into the Holy Bull and can't be dismissed. Other than that, you gotta love or hate his name. Personally, it appeals to me. He and Dialed In are on the outside of the field leaving the gate, creating some doubt as to whether they'll get the best of trips.

Let's get one last thing out of the way. Weather condititons will be pristine, so if anyone blames the track when things don't go well...then buyer beware.

DICK'S PICKS:

1. MUCHO MACHO MAN
2. GOURMET DINNER
3. BLACK N BEAUTY
4. DIALED IN

© 2003-2019 Dick Downey dba The Downey Profile

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