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Kentucky Derby and Horse Racing at The Downey Profile®

Derby Trail: Where They're Going Next


By Dick Downey
Updated 9:43 a.m. ET: Added Bayern
Updated 11:35 a.m. ET: More info about Conquest Titan, Matador

The Kentucky Derby is only 53 days away now, and the quest for valuable qualifying points has intensified -- and changed the shape of the leaderboard quite a bit in the last couple of weeks. Let's take a look at what's going where next. Over 70 horses are listed. Their Kentucky Derby points are included in order of ranking on the leaderboard.

CAVEATS: This is not intended to be a survey of all 3-year-olds. Horses with four or fewer Derby points are not necessarily included.

Samraat (60): Wood Memorial on April 5.

Intense Holiday (53): Louisiana Derby on March 29.

Wildcat Red (50): Florida Derby on March 29.

Ring Weekend (50): Connections considering the Calder Derby on April 5.

California Chrome (50): Santa Anita Derby on April 5 or Kentucky Derby.

Midnight Hawk (32): On the right schedule for the Santa Anita Derby or Arkansas Derby on April 12.

Albano (24): Louisiana Derby.

Uncle Sigh (24): Wood Memorial.

Tapiture (22): Rebel Stakes on March 15.

Vinceremos (20): TBA.

Vicar's in Trouble (20): Although in Florida now, owner said Louisiana Derby over the weekend.

General a Rod (20): Florida Derby.

Havana (14): Undetermined, waiting on a quarter-crack to pan out.

Cairo Prince (14): Florida Derby.

Honor Code (14): Allowance race at Gulfstream Park on March 12.

Kristo (14): Santa Anita Derby or Arkansas Derby fit the schedule.

Tamarando (12): Spiral Stakes on March 22.

Bond Holder (11): Difficult to determine; has been in a clinic in Ocala with a foot abscess.

Rise Up (10): He'll add blinkers next out, but as of now, connections undecided. Louisiana Derby is stated to be "possible".

We Miss Artie (10): Spiral Stakes.

Candy Boy (10): Santa Anita Derby.

In Trouble (10): Wood Memorial.

Noble Moon (10): Wood Memorial.

Ami's Holiday (10): Rebel Stakes or Arkansas Derby.

Cleburne (10): Hasn't raced since Sept. 7 but is in active training at Gulfstream Park.

Tanzanite Cat (10): The Rebel Stakes or the Sunland Derby on March 23 or the Northern Spur on April 12.

Surfing U S A (10): Too early to tell.

Conquest Titan (9): Before updating, we noted he's run on synthetic twice, including at Keeneland. Jennie Rees reports he's going to the Arkansas Derby.

Strong Mandate (6): Rebel Stakes.

Casiguapo (5): No workouts since racing on Feb. 2.

Ride On Curlin (5): Rebel Stakes.

Financial Mogul (5): Wood Memorial would make sense.

Classic Giacnroll (5): Ran seventh in the Private Terms, further lowering expectations.

East Hall (5): Toyota Blue Grass on April or Coolmore Lexington on April 19 make sense; has run well on synthetic at Ocala.

Schoolofhardrocks (5): Looks like the Santa Anita Derby, but it's too early to tell for sure.

Hoppertunity (5): Looks like it will be the Louisiana Derby after assistant trainer Jim Barnes said Hoppertunity seemed to like Fair Grounds.

Chitu (4): Rebel Stakes? Sunland Derby?

Coastline (3): Spiral Stakes.

Enterprising: (2): Maybe time to come east and try synthetic track at Turfway or Keeneland.

Gold Hawk (2): Louisiana Derby.


Bayern: (0): Waiting to see how long foot bruise will keep him out of action.

Bobby's Kitten (0): Toyota Blue Grass Stakes.

Bourbonize (0): Rebel Stakes.

Cant'thelpbelieving (0): Nominated to March 29 UAE Derby, but several other options exist.

Commanding Curve (0): Presumably the Louisiana Derby.

Commissioner (0): Waiting to hear, but maybe somewhere other than Gulfstream Park.

Constitution (0): Stakes race at a location yet to be determined by us.

Coup de Grace (0): Steadily working toward something. Was declared off the Derby Trail after the Holy Bull debacle.

Dance with Fate (Not Nominated): Toyota Blue Grass Stakes.

Dunkin Bend (0): Either the Rebel or the Gazebo on March 22.

Edison (0): Working steadily, have to figure a synthetic track race in Kentucky.

Gala Award (0): Toyota Blue Grass figures; trainer Pletcher has run in the Spiral (then Lane's End) too and won it.

Giovanni Boldini (0): UAE Derby? He's nominated to it -- and to the Triple Crown.

Global Strike (0): Not sure where yet.

Global View (0): Rematch with Bobby's Kitten in the Blue Grass?

Harpoon (0): Undetermined.

Indianapolis (0): Based on recent statement by trainer Baffert, we'll be waiting at least another week before we know what the plan is, if any.

Kid Cruz: (0): Wood Memorial.

Kobe's Back (0): Rebel Stakes.

Louies Flower (0): Louisiana Derby.

Matador (0): Before updating, we noted he has experience on synthetic. Jennie Rees reports he'll go in the Florida Derby.

Medal Count (0): Fully expect to see him in the Spiral or Blue Grass.

Mexikoma (0): Either the Wood Memorail or Arkansas Derby if he doesn't run out of time after missing training with a lung infection.

Mr Speaker (0): Was nominated to the Toyota Blue Grass but may not run there, with an intermediate goal being summer races at Belmont Park and Saratoga.

No Nay Never (0): Said to be the Jersey Stakes at Ascot on June 18.

Poker Player (0): Toyota Blue Grass.

Shared Belief (0): Don't think anyone knows. Not nominated to the Spiral; nominated to the Blue Grass.

Sheltowee's Boy (0): Rebel or the Spiral.

Social Inclusion (0): Allowance at Gulfstream Park on March 12.

Solitary Ranger (0): Spiral Stakes or the April 4 Transylvania Stakes.

Spot (0): As of March 6, either the Florida Derby or the Bay Shore Stakes.

Storming Inti (0): One would think the Blue Grass or Lexington would be next.

Street Strategy (0): Rebel Stakes.

Tonalist (0): Must admit we don't know.

Victory Nor Defeat (0): Somewhere down the Triple Crown Trail, but not sure where yet.

To read more about any or all of these horses, click over to our Looking Good, Worth Watching, and Just In Case pages.  

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