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Kentucky Derby and Horse Racing at The Downey Profile®



The Downey Profile is a seasonal website
specializing in the Kentucky Derby

Read about The Downey Profile and Our Subscriptions


SUNDAY SUBSCRIBER NOTICE: Southwest Stakes Selections by Greg "The Commish" Johnson Are Posted on Derby Trail. Segment 2 NOTES Posted on the Kentucky Derby Page: Analysis of the Risen Star and El Camino Real Derby.

In 2019, we have two Subscription Pages: (1) The tried and true Kentucky Derby Subscription, which include the Preakness and Belmont Stakes at no extra charge, and (2) The Derby Trail Subscription Page. For fuller descriptions, please click either of the two links immediately below.  Further, you may read in detail about The Downey Profile here. The Downey Profile® Was Awarded A Service Mark in 2008 by the U. S. Patent and Trademark Office. Renewed in 2018.

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3. Send an email to [email protected] and we'll make arrangements.

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Kentucky Derby Leaderboard Feb. 16

Looking Good   Worth Watching   Just In Case


Southwest Stakes: A Question of Speed

Network Effect Off Derby Trail

Fires Uses Old Hand to Settle Gray Attempt

War of Will Takes Fast Lane on Derby Road

Connections of Anothertwistafate Thinking Bigger Than Preakness

Hyancinth Stakes Result Likely to Have Limited Derby Impact

Alwaysmining Much the Best in Miracle Wood

Trainer Talks Horses: Mark Casse on War of Will

SUNDAY SUBSCRIBER NOTICE: Southwest Stakes Selections by Greg "The Commish" Johnson Are Posted on Derby Trail. Segment 2 NOTES Posted on the Kentucky Derby Page: Analysis of the Risen Star and El Camino Real Derby.

Somelikeithotbrown Punches Through in Battaglia Memorial

Galilean Leads Short Field in Cal Cup Derby

Experimental Free Handicap Axed
Remember Dual Qualifiers?

Not That Brady Connections Step Up for Belmont Backside

After Winning by Six at GP, Skywire Is Worth Watching. We Also Caught Up with Laughing Fox and Added Olympic Runner

How Trainer McPeek Compared Signalman and Harvey Wallbanger, Per TDN Reports

Oaks, Turf Classic Nominations Due

Future Wager Pool 2 Final Odds, Payoffs, Exacta Matrix

2019 Triple Crown Nominations

2019 Triple Crown Nominations Facts and Trivia

Baffert on Video with Game Winner

Continue to More Workouts

Workouts of Interest
On fast dirt unless noted

Feb. 17, Admire 49:26 Breezing 20/48 at GP
Feb. 17, Copper King 1.01:40 Breezing 7/31 at FG
Feb. 17, Front Run the Fed 49:60 Breezing 7/14 at PAY
Feb. 17, Global Campaign 36:40 Breezing 1/15 at PMM
Feb. 17, Gunmetal Gray 48:40 Handily 34/76 at SA
Feb. 17, Instagrand 1.13:40 Handily 4/18 at SA  
Feb. 17, King Ottokar 1.02:60 Breezing firm turf 10/14 at PMM
Feb. 17, Mind Control  1.01:55 Breezing training track 1/23 at BEL
Feb. 17, Nitrous  50:80 Breezing 38/51 at FG
Feb. 17, Not That Brady 49:10 Breezing 1/20 at AQ
Feb. 17, Rijeka 50:00 Handily training track 13/18 at SA
Feb. 17, Roadster 1.10:60 Handily gate 1/18 at SA
Feb. 17, Rubin Hurricane 1.01:40 Breezing 7/31 at FG
Feb. 17, Soldado 49:42 Breezing 4/22 at PBD

Feb. 16, A Thread of Blue 48:75 Breezing 15/72 at PMM
Feb. 16, Come On Gerry 1.01:00 Breezing 13/37 at GP
Feb. 16, Demarchelier 48:20 Breezing firm turf 4/56 at PMM
Feb. 16, Easy Shot 48:80 Handily good 11/13 at SA
Feb. 16, English Bee 50:00 Breezing firm turf 29/56 at PMM
Feb. 16, Federal Case 48:97 Breezing 11/22 at PBD
Feb. 16, Frank'sgunisloaded 49:00 Breezing 5/32 at GPW
Feb. 16, Harvey Wallbanger 50:67 Breezing 98/124 at GP
Feb. 16, Nolo Contesto  59:60 Handily good 1/12 at SA
Feb. 16, Overdeliver 48:97 Breezing 11/22 at PBD
Feb. 16, Proliferate 1.01:60 Breezing firm turf 5/9 at PMM
Feb. 16, Signalman 1.00:11 Breezing 3/37 at GP
Feb. 16, Vekoma 1.00:73 Breezing 3/6 at PBD
Feb. 16, Win Win Win 1.13:40 Breezing 1/3 at TAM

Feb. 15, Beachside 51:96 Breezing 13/17 at AQ
Feb. 15, Bourbon War 1.02:38 Breezing 12/22 at GP
Feb. 15, Complexity 39:11 Breezing 1/4 at ST
Feb. 15, Garter and Tie 50:04 Breezing 39/48 at GP
Feb. 15, Hidden Scroll 50:00 Breezing 10/26 at PAY
Feb. 15, Souper Jackpot 49:00 Breezing 10/38 at PMM
Feb. 15, Tacitus 50:00 Breezing 10/26 at PAY
Feb. 15, Topper T 49:60 Breezing 5/26 at PAY

Feb. 14, Spectacular Gem 49:40 Breezing 23/62 at FG
Feb. 14, Forloveofcountry  1.14:40 Handily 3/5 at OP

Feb. 13, Chasing Yesterday 1.13:20 Handily 5/9 at SA
Feb. 13, Frosted Ice 49:80 Breezing 27/100 at OP
Feb. 13, Game Winner 1.01:60 Handily 26/50 at SA
Feb. 13, Improbable 1.12:80 Handily 3/9 at SA
Feb. 13, Jersey Agenda  50:60 Breezing 46/100 at OP
Feb. 13, Super Steed 1.01:80 Breezing 8/52 at OP

Continue to More Workouts






Downey's top pick on his Kentucky Derby subscription page won the Kentucky Derby for the fifth straight year in 2018. Justify was among the Downey Profile Top 4 horses, as were second finisher Good Magic and third finisher Audible. The final Kentucky Derby workout by Justify was impressive, and that helped lead Downey to pick him right on top. Good Magic was in Downey's second spot for the cold exacta.
1. JUSTIFY (first)
2. GOOD MAGIC (second)
3. MENDELSSOHN (twentieth)
4. HOFBURG (seventh)
5. AUDIBLE (third)
6. BOLT D'ORO (twelfth)

The Commish had the winner picked in the second slot. He told Downey his top Derby pick had never run last before this year, so he thinks there's plenty of upside potential going forward.
1. MENDELSSOHN (twentieth)
2. JUSTIFY (first)
3. VINO ROSSO (ninth)
4. MY BOY JACK (fifth)
5. AUDIBLE (third)


Downey picked the Kentucky Derby winner for his Kentucky Derby subscribers for the fourth straight year in 2017. Always Dreaming wasn't in the Downey Profile Top 4, but it was kind of a crazy year and Downey wasn't sold on the Top 4, Always Dreaming was the top Profile Buster Profile horse, and he put in a super-impressive final Derby workout. The selections underneath Always Dreaming weren't as strong as the comparable picks in 2015 and 2016.

2. CLASSIC EMPIRE (fourth)
3. IRISH WAR CRY (tenth)
4. MCCRAKEN (eighth)
5. IRAP (eighteenth)
6. GORMLEY (ninth)

The Commish picked the winner right on top for the third time in four years:
2. HENCE (eleventh)
3. STATE OF HONOR (nineteenth)
4. CLASSIC EMPIRE (fourth)
5. TAPWRIT (sixth)



Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2016 Kentucky Derby were:
1. NYQUIST (first)
2. EXAGGERATOR (second)
3. GUN RUNNER (third)
4. BRODY'S CAUSE (seventh)
5. OUTWORK (fourteenth)

For the first time, Downey put together a superfecta part wheel for subscribers. The cost for a $1 ticket was $88, and we were fortunate enough to see that bet hit and pay $542.10.

The Commish picked:
1. EXAGGERATOR (second)
2. NYQUIST (first)
3. MY MAN SAM (eleventh)
4. WHITMORE (nineteenth)
5. MO TOM (eighth)

The Commish stuck to his guns with Exaggerator in the Preakness, and he won the race.


Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2015 Kentucky Derby were:
2. DORTMUND (third)
3. FROSTED (fourth)
4. FIRING LINE (second)
5. DANZIG MOON (fifth)

The Commish picked:

2. DORTMUND (third)
3. FIRING LINE (second)
4. FROSTED (fourth)
5. CARPE DIEM (tenth)


Downey's selections on the Subscription Page for the 2014 Kentucky Derby were:
2. DANZA (third)
3. SAMRAAT (fifth)
4. INTENSE HOLIDAY (twelfth)
5. CHITU (ninth)
6. GENERAL A ROD (eleventh)

The Commish picked:
2. CANDY BOY (thirteenth)
4. DANZA (third)
5. CHITU (ninth)


The Downey Profile is a seasonal website launched in 2003 that's primarily focused on the run-up to the Kentucky Derby and the Triple Crown.

We cover other special events from time to time. In 2015, Dick Downey worked for The Louisville Courier-Journal alongside five-time Eclipse Award winner Jennie Rees during the newspaper's coverage of the Breeders' Cup. Downey worked Breeders' Cup again in 2017 for the newspaper. The Downey Profile has covered every race of the Kentucky Downs meet for several years.



© 2003-2019 Dick Downey dba The Downey Profile

The Downey Profile® was awarded a Service Mark by the United States Patent and Trademark Office in 2008. Renewed 2018.